EZRA LEVANT | Reform UK stuns the country with byelection win
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Summary
The Conservative Party didn t break through in Canada, but will Nigel Farage's party do the same in the United Kingdom? It's May 2nd, and this is The Ezra LeVant Show. I'm in the north of England, in the riding of Runcorn and Hellsby, and I'm here on Thursday because there's a special by-election that could determine the future of this country's politics.
Transcript
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Tonight, the Conservative Party didn't break through in Canada, but will Nigel Farage break
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through in the United Kingdom? It's May 2nd, and this is The Ezra LeVant Show.
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You know, I can't get enough of elections. Canada just had its big election on Monday.
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I'm here on Thursday in the United Kingdom because there's a special
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by-election that could determine the future of this country's politics.
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Look at this beautiful scene behind me. I'm in the riding of Runcorn and Hellsby.
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That's a British name if ever there was. It's in the north of England. Liverpool's that way.
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Manchester's that way. And just looking at this gorgeous valley, you can see a story of the United
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Kingdom. You can see the oil refinery, which has been there for decades. And you can see the new
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net zero wind turbines, hundreds of millions of dollars worth and not a single one of them
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turning. You can see down there four giant smokestacks. There used to be eight. That's
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a coal-fired power plant that they detonated because they're getting off coal. That's why
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the UK pays some of the highest prices in the world for energy. This is a country with energy
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poverty. What's interesting is this is a working-class area. In fact, the Labour Party
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got more than 50% of the vote just last year. But here's the wrinkle. The Labour MP, Iron
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Mike Amesbury, he got into a spot of bother, as the Brits would say, late one night in front
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of a pub. He got into an argument with a constituent and he beat the daylights out of him. Trouble
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is that whole thing was caught on tape. Well, Iron Mike was sentenced to prison, although there
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are two tiers of justice in the UK. Our friend Tommy Robinson was sentenced to two years in
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prison for putting up a tweet. Mike Amesbury had two days in prison before the judge let
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him go. But he was ejected from Parliament and so the by-election comes tonight. And what's
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so amazing is this district that was overwhelmingly Labour last time, well, it's neck and neck.
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The Labour Party is tied with the Reform UK. That's Nigel Farage's party. Both candidates
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are women. In the case of the Labour Party, it's a local councillor, Karen Shore. She's tried
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to de-laborize herself, saying she actually set up a Facebook page against an asylum hotel,
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which is quite a trick, given that she was pro-migration until about five minutes ago.
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She was out door-knocking with one of the local TV stations and I just got to show you this
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moment of the severely normal homeowner condemning Keir Starmer, the Labour leader, and slamming
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the door. That's not what you want when you're a candidate going out with the press. Take
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Here with Karen Shore, the Labour candidate in the by-election.
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On the Reform UK side, they're running a prestigious candidate. It's a real populist grassroots party,
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but they're running a former magistrate, which is a junior judge, Sarah Pochin. And the latest
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polls show that the Reform UK and the Labour are tied. It's a dead heat. Nigel Farage himself
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has come to town to campaign, which says he thinks he can win it. It's a very interesting
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place. It's a large rural sector too. And Keir Starmer's Labour Party has declared war on
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farmers. It's really anti-human to declare war on energy and declare war on food. It makes
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no sense. Prosperous societies have plentiful, affordable energy and plentiful, affordable
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food. In the UK, they pay some of the highest energy prices in the world because they're
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net zero madness. And now they're demanding that farmers pay an enormous inheritance tax.
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I think it's 40%, which would basically end family farms in this country. So there's a lot
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of discontent in this district. And tonight we'll decide not just the local MP, but if Reform
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UK manages to punch through, it'll do one other thing. See, in the UK for decades, it's been
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conservative labor, conservative labor, like in Canada, conservative liberal, conservative
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liberal. The great Margaret Thatcher was a great conservative. But in the last 15 years,
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the Conservative Party lost its way. It was in power until last year. It had 14 years and it was
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behind net zero and it was behind wokeism and it was behind online censorship and it was behind
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mass immigration. The Conservative Party was. And so it was conservative in name only. And here comes
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Nigel Farage and his central plank. A decade ago, it was taking the UK out of the European Union,
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but now it's stopping mass immigration. And that is an idea that has inspired this country.
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If Nigel Farage's candidate can win in this former bastion of labor, can win the farmers and
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win the industrial workers and can win people concerned about immigration, not only will that
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be a defeat to labor in their stronghold, but it will be a defeat for the Conservatives because it will
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signal to every Brit who is upset with the way things are going, that the alternative to the
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incumbent is not the Conservative Party centuries old, but rather the populist conservative upstart
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party of Reform UK. That is just as important as beating labor. The Conservative Party recently chose
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a new leader named Kemi Badenoch, a black woman who's very strong on issues. But whenever she raises
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them in the House of Commons, the Prime Minister says, where were you for those 14 years? It's a
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compelling argument. Tonight, we'll decide who is the MP for this lovely place. It'll decide whether
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or not labor's grip on the working class North continues. But more importantly, it may determine
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which party is the alternative, the opposition, because as we've learned in Canada so many times,
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unless you unite the right, you have no chance in beating the left. If Nigel Farage's candidate wins, that will
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hasten the coalescing of the right behind his party. It's very exciting. And I thought I would come over for
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one day to cover that. In the UK, they have a wonderful system on election night, all the parties gather in one room,
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all the ballots from the entire district are brought to one room. And they're all counted together with so many
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checks and very, you know, people verifying, it takes hours. Last time I was here a year ago,
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they counted till 4am, but everyone was there in person. It was the most secure count I've ever seen
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in my life. Like I said, every ballot was in one room, all the different parties were in one room. In fact, all the
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candidates at 4am came out to hear the results together. It was a wonderful tradition. There's
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so many lovely things about the UK. Anyways, it's an unseasonably warm day, as you can see. I'm a
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little bit hot. I'm going to make my way into town to see if I can do some streeters. I'm in
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Fraudham, which is near Runcorn, and it's a market town. It's a town that's, you know, it was in the
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Doomsday book, which as you know, was really one of the earliest books about what towns and cities and
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villages that were in the UK would be sort of like the first written census of buildings. So it is an
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ancient market town, and it still has that feeling. So let's go into town and see if we can find any
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Brits willing to talk to us about the by-election. I'm hoping in that market town area, they're open
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to chatting with a few Canadians. It's lovely up here, and I just want to pay some attention to the
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War Memorial to my left. This is the kind of place that mustard soldiers in the Boer War, in the First
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World War, in the Second World War. It's part of a great tradition of the United Kingdom, and indeed
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the British Empire before it, fighting for the freedoms of the world. And I should pay my respects
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to it, and it's one of my favorite things about the United Kingdom. All right, let's go downtown.
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Who do you think is going to win the by-election today? Have you thought about it?
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No, not really. Do you live here? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Are you going to vote?
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We've already been. We went first this morning. Good for you. You sound motivated.
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We'll see. I'm optimistic. Can I ask you who you're voting for?
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I vote for Labour. And so did I. Yeah, I did as well.
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And you're optimistic. You think that Labour is going to carry the day?
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I think they're the only ones that have got that capability at the moment. I'm not saying
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agree with the strategies and where they are. But, yeah, I'm optimistic.
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We're not telling you. There's a lot of things, but we're not going to tell you.
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Why do you think people would say such a harsh thing?
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Do you think it's because maybe they don't have a substantive argument against your position,
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BBC and Sky tell you, if you vote reform, you're a right-wing racist, Doug.
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What are your thoughts? What's the feeling in the district?
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So I think there's a counter-effort by people who are plotting voters and so on to support other parties
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who may vote anti-reform rather than for their own party.
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So that makes me... But it's a knife-edge we'll have to see.
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Because they're more in touch with the general public than any other party.
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They offer more of a solution to the migrant crossings.
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And I think that's the big issue at the moment.
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Can I ask you who you think you might vote for?
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Well, traditionally, we've gone for, like, Conservative,
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because it's been a Conservative town for a long time.
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But with the Labour getting in and not seemingly fulfilling his promises,
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I think Farage is saying a lot of things that I'm listening to.
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And most politicians do not want to speak the truth.
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Well, obviously, there are all sorts of issues.
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The economy, the green issues, and, of course, immigration.
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Not to do with racism, all to do with practicalities.
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Illegal and, you know, we're being invaded in this country.
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And, you know, as a pensioner, I've had my winter fuel I was taking off,
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£200 that's going towards, you know, putting up all these illegals
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And then I've been voting for Nigel Farage, but it's various parties since.
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Did you vote Labour or you just think that's how your neighbours are voting?
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I think before we get in this time, they were second anyway.
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And is it just out of tradition you vote Labour or is there something about them?
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Do you like their Prime Minister, Kier Starmer?
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It's the policies, you know, they do share the wealth of the country more when it gets started.
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That's something I've heard a few times, people talking about the boats.
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People doing the jobs that nobody else in this country seems to want to do.
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The gentleman I just spoke with said the migrant crossings look bad, but we shouldn't be worried and they need help.
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I have an Indian daughter-in-law who married my son, obviously, interracial relationship.
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She's an economic migrant who works in this country and she contributes.
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She has to have to pay so much money in visas over the years to be allowed to stay in this country.
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And the migrants in the boats obviously just came over.
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So financially, it's hard for economic migrants to come to this country and thrive.
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But on the flip side, the migrants are coming on the boats.
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Basically, the way this election campaign has been run, it's been dragged down to the lowest common denominator.
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We're going to end up like the right wing in America, the way things are being pushed.
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The lies that reform have told from start to finish, I actually don't have a problem with the party or what they're doing.
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The lies they've told in the campaign have been absolutely reprehensible from start to finish.
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Why do you think the reform, at least in the opinion polls, are so far ahead of the Conservatives in this district?
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And do you think that's why there's a lot of shy reformer voters?
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That is, they don't tell pollsters they don't say things in public?
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Do you think reform has a chance tonight or do you think this is pretty traditional Labour?
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I don't think they have a chance of forming the government.
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But in the special by-election today, in just this district...
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They've gone against the pensioners, the farmers, the disabled.
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None of us are Conservative about this, but we all agree on the same thing.
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They don't want to look after their own people.
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Can I ask you why people are anti-Nagel Farage?
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What do you think the Conservative vote will do?
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The old Conservatives, who I used to admire back in the 70s, before Thatcher,
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That has long gone since Thatcher, 50 years of that kind of economics.
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And so they've gradually gone, moved right and right.
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You think about Prime Ministers like Macmillan, people like that,
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But after Thatcher and onwards, and to Cameron and so on,
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You know, can't get a doctor's appointment down there for weeks.
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Sometimes there's little boats crossing the English Channel
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Like, there are hundreds of migrants a day across the Channel, right?
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It needs to be controlled, but that's how you do it, isn't it?
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How do you feel about how the Labour's doing, controlling that?
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Many of the migrants are military-age men who are single.
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I mean, refugees, in my mind, are the elderly, women, children.
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I haven't got a problem with families fleeing persecution,
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but I do struggle with younger men who are coming from countries with no war.
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They're not coming from any war-torn country whatsoever.
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Um, we, we, um, we haven't the room to, to accommodate these people.
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Um, and that's the problem, is the accommodation.
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Social housing is, is it, is so precious, and they're getting priority.
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Um, and, and, and, and so as a flip side of having my daughter-in-law,
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who are genuinely working, contributing to the country,
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are being classed in the same umbrella as immigrants
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because of their, their race and their ethnicity and their colour.
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There's a lot of people who come to this country who do contribute.
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I'm now voting against something, not voting for something.
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You've just done a £5 million cut on disabled people.
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But I've had to, to stop this odious little toad of Nigel Farage
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She's air-claiming about the, um, illegal immigrants in the hotel.
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It's the disingenuity and the lies that bother me.
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and in particular the, the boats coming across the channel,
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uh, of irregular, or many would say illegal immigration.
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Because that seems to be motivating some of the reform votes.
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It's very hard because they're fighting for their life, you know,
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But they're coming from France, some would say.
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However, however, we're paying France a substantial amount of money.
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Yeah, I'm saying they must be able to stop them.
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but they can't find the people who supply the boats and the engines,
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You know, in terms of, um, paying the French to do that.
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And in the next breath, they're just letting them come over.
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you don't run a business without questioning why
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the amount of money you're paying is not getting the results you want.
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what you said could be said by a reformed voter.
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but I think Labour have done some good things while we've been in.
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we were surrounded by BBC and Sky all asking us questions,
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I'll check people like you that, on the internet,
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that I've got free channels that aren't following the government narrative.
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The last two people I spoke with were concerned about mass immigration.
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and that was why they said they were going to vote reform.
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If they don't get a job within a few months, they leave.
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What about the ones who come in the dinghies across the English Channel?
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I mean, that's horrible to look at, but it is a very small percentage of the ones who come here as refugees.
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They're not illegal immigrants until the law says they're illegal.
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But they're coming from France, which is a safe place, right?
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Well, it's not France's safe place, but there are agreements between France and the UK,
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and there's more could be done, more needs to be done.
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The boat thing is very bad PR, but they're desperate people.
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Would you cross the Channel in a boat if you weren't desperate?
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And again, I don't want to put you on the spot, but I'm just interested to hear what you admire about Labour.
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Is there anything in particular that comes to mind?
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I think some of the things they've done, it's like the Conservative.
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You know, they all come up with the right words.
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We need to see things happening and them actually saying Labour.
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For me, my father was Labour through and through.
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And they were for the people, the working class.
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Sadly, Stammer's made a bit of a mistake there,
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because I think he's made it more difficult for people of the working class to struggle
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with the way that he's putting out his strategy for the future.
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I'm from Canada, so I obviously don't have the expertise or the knowledge,
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I heard that Karen Shore, the Labour candidate,
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set up a Facebook page to shut down an asylum hotel,
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but in her earlier political life, she was pro-asylum seekers.
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Yeah, and do you know what's really interesting?
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If you go on Facebook, you'll also see Sarah Potion doing the exact same thing.
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Who would you vote for then if you don't like Labour and you don't like Farage?
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This time, I probably would have voted the Green Party,
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which would be the first time in my life I've even considered going anywhere near the Greens,
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I've just voted mainly because it's such a tight race,
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we had a super quick nap because we were so jet-lagged,
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and we went for a bite at a local pub, of course.
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But then we made our way to the Counting Centre,
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In Canada, any district might have a hundred different polling places,
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and those are counted, and the results are sent to a central authority.
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In the UK, all the voting boxes, all the ballots are brought to a central counting place,
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every single ballot in the entire district is counted.
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There's no touchscreen counting like the Americans have.
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They don't have their different election night parties.
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Normally when I go to meet professional protesters,
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So until they Googled us about 10 minutes into it,
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I'm not sure if they're used to answering questions.
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to campaign against the racist that is Reform UK.
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there's no room for racists like Farage and his mates.
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and his party are in the running for first place.
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I don't believe voters that vote reform are racist.
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And because the Labour Party has let us down so badly,
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but not everybody that votes Reform UK is racist.
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his election, you know, conference for the Northwest.
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Hasn't Keir Starmer said they just stopped the votes?
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So how come you're not saying that Keir Starmer's racist?
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There are no anti-racists in Reform UK, are there?
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read some of things that he has written and he has said,
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and he's absolutely a Paulite through and through.
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Can you tell me the name of the Nazi sympathizer?
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who were attracted by the racist policies of reform.
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Do you think that questioning the migrant boats
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Somehow this idea that the country's being overrun,
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isn't it great that they have left war-torn countries
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because they don't want to be involved in the war?
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they come first before they bring their families
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Many of them have had a connection with Britain,
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the people of Britain, I think, are more welcoming.
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But what about applying for refugee status legally
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These people have come from places like Syria, Yemen...
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that many of them have connections here in Britain.
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that they think in Britain we're more welcoming,
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But Brits don't get free housing in hotels, right?
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and then they've increased the price of housing.