In this episode of the Gun Show, we talk about Alberta's credit rating upgrade from Fitch, and why we're better off than the rest of the country. We're joined by Chris Sims, the Alberta Director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation, to break it all down.
00:00:00.000One in two Albertans cannot make ends meet.
00:00:03.480What does government spending have to do with all of this?
00:00:06.240I'm sure you've agreed when you're watching The Gun Show.
00:00:25.520I want to show you this article from the Calgary Herald the other day.
00:00:29.680Now, the data has been widely reported in other places, but this is just the source that I chose.
00:00:36.620It reads, tipping point, nearly half of Albertans are $200 or less away from insolvency, MNP survey says.
00:00:44.840The accounting firm's latest consumer debt index, or CDI, was released Monday, highlighting that 47% of Alberta respondents were $200 or less away from failing to meet all their financial needs.
00:00:58.56013 percentage points higher than last quarter.
00:01:02.260Now, this is only going to get worse if Justin Trudeau does not rein in his spending.
00:01:07.620The more the federal government borrows, the greater at risk the federal government is for a credit downgrade, which means the cost of borrowing in this country for the federal government, but also for you, will go up.
00:01:24.040And on the flip side, in Alberta, while it indicates that things are bad here, I think we're better off than the rest of the country.
00:01:31.940Our government is seeing credit upgrades here as they work hard to undo the damage done by four years of Rachel Notley's NDP government from 2015 to 2019.
00:01:43.980It's nearly 10 years since the NDP formed government here, and we're just starting now to undo some of the damage.
00:01:50.740Now, this needs an expert's breakdown.
00:01:54.560So joining me now is my friend, Chris Sims, the Alberta Director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation, to make sense of all of this and to tie it all together.
00:03:17.220And so they have changed our outlook as a province in Alberta from stable to positive, meaning, hey, everybody, you can lend these people money,
00:03:29.260you can invest in this province because it's a good bet, it's a good investment.
00:03:33.540And that also allows us then to borrow money at a lower interest rate.
00:03:38.180Who pays the interest on our provincial debt?
00:03:40.840You and me, Sheila, all of your listeners, all of your viewers here in the province of Alberta.
00:03:45.200Right now, last time I checked with their year-end update, we're paying around $3.1 billion per year just in the interest payment on our debt.
00:04:01.160So we really wanted to give the government a pat on the back when it's due.
00:04:06.500And this also falls hard on the heels of Fitch, which is another big international credit rating agency that did give us a credit upgrade, like an actual boost.
00:04:17.300So according to Moody's, we are now at 2AA, which is good, apparently, for our interest rate.
00:04:25.220And at the same time, like you point out, we've seen downgrades in other provinces, and we're hearing about a threat to downgrade federally.
00:04:35.380So I really wanted to highlight this as to why, though, okay?
00:04:39.400Because a lot of people might assume it's, oh, just because the energy sector is doing a bit better than it was a few years ago.
00:04:45.160So, no, that matters, and that's always good.
00:04:48.420We want to see the energy sector doing well.
00:07:01.880It is debt servicing charges that we are going broke on.
00:07:05.060And I think we could all do with three extra hospitals a year, you know, for people who care about social services and the public safety infrastructure net.
00:07:17.400That's a lot that can be done, and it's going straight to international banksters right now.
00:09:17.960If you want to cry, look up the, I forget what it's called, the Norwegian Solidarity Fund or something like that, Security Fund, something like that.
00:09:25.400But we could be closer to Alaska if we had played our cards right and not, you know, emptied out to the Heritage Fund.
00:09:31.840And so now, knock wood, it sounds like these guys are pretty serious about this stuff.
00:09:50.540And on the flip side, and we just sort of mentioned it in passing, Justin Trudeau's Liberal government, they doubled the size of the national debt in less than a decade.
00:09:59.940This is from Michelle Rempel-Garner's Substack.
00:10:02.660And now multiple senior economists and major financial institutions have issued warnings that unless the Liberals, not eventually, but immediately lessen the size of the federal deficit, Canada is going to be faced with a credit downgrade.
00:10:17.220And if that downgrade happens, it just wouldn't increase the cost of borrowing from the federal government.
00:10:21.780And as she puts it, if this happens in the middle of Canada's current affordability crisis, while Canadians are already shouldering some of the highest household debt loads in the world, it could have explosively bad implications for the entire Canadian economy.
00:10:44.980So this is going to get heavy, and I'm sorry, we'll probably try to end on a lighter note, but it's a serious major problem, like super duper.
00:10:54.920So right now the deficit is just over $40 billion, and there's a difference between obviously deficit and debt.
00:11:03.700Deficit is yearly holes in your budget.
00:11:08.120That's your yearly shortfall for your annual budget.
00:11:11.740So say you made $100, okay, that was your revenue, but you spent $140, obviously your deficit for that year would be $40.
00:11:22.400Now add a whole bunch of zeros to that for the federal government.
00:11:27.400So our deficit is $40 billion this year.
00:11:31.680To your point, Sheila, and I can't stress this enough, the Trudeau government since 2015 has now, this year, doubled our national debt.
00:11:43.320So picture, like imagine it's like the matrix and you're looking backwards in time, okay, all the NEOs and the Trinities are lined up.
00:11:49.780Picture all of the Prime Ministers lined up back to Confederation.
00:12:51.900The problem here, though, is that a lot of people's mortgages are coming back up for renewal at a much higher interest rate, thanks again to the government.
00:13:02.260They've got credit cards, car payments, all of the stuff they owe on.
00:13:06.360So when you see the government spending like this, it affects your ability to borrow as well because it screws up our lending rate in Canada.
00:13:15.940And so this is why it's super important for people to keep the pressure on politicians, to balance the budget, take spending seriously.
00:15:40.880I was reading this Calgary Herald article the other day, two days ago.
00:15:45.960The Consumer Debt Index, that's a CDI, released Monday, noted that 47%, nearly 50, like one in two Albertans who responded to the survey were $200 or less away from insolvency.
00:16:03.140From failing to meet their financial needs.
00:16:05.600And that's 13 points higher than it was just last quarter.
00:16:31.420Because they will indicate when their food sales go up, which to me is, I know it's hard to say, but to me is an indicator of, you know, need.
00:17:29.760And again, this stresses the need to stop blowing money.
00:17:35.400And the government blows money all the time.
00:17:37.380The provincial government isn't perfect yet.
00:17:39.320My next big report for their budget is going to be finding them savings to cut out waste.
00:17:44.620So I'm going to be digging like a weasel through all these different little departments and finding out how much they're spending on stuff.
00:17:49.740Because government gets big and gangly and people lose track of where money is going all the time.
00:17:56.220Same thing happens here in Alberta, just not to the same grotesque degree.
00:18:16.680But we, I think we generally do better than everybody else in this country.
00:18:22.180Because, you know, we don't have provincial sales tax.
00:18:25.700We have a province that is fighting back against the feds.
00:18:28.680You know, we're a resource-based economy.
00:18:32.160And generally, those jobs are higher paying.
00:18:34.060And we seem to be in a bit of a boom time.
00:18:36.660If Donald Trump wins the election and he proceeds with drill baby drill, we'll likely see the final completion of Keystone XL, which will, you know, give a bump to our economy, much the same way that the opening of the Trans Mountain Pipeline did for the national GDP.
00:19:41.480And almost always, Sheila, the ones who sound the most desperate and who are getting in really tough are almost always from British Columbia.
00:21:06.740If you're buying a used car from a private seller, say you've saved up your money and you're trying to afford that used Honda Civic to get to work, right?
00:30:32.620I don't want them to leave, but yeah, if you're out here and, you know, like we have thousands of viewers, like tell us what you think, right?
00:30:40.960You know what, I hope those crazy people never stop because that is a perfect synopsis of who and what they are.
00:30:51.660Is she referring to a multi-gazillion, jillion dollar lawsuit for saying that a shooting was staged?
00:31:05.040Because I hear a lot of Democrats doing that.
00:31:07.920But anyway, let's go and see what you people have to say about what she said.
00:31:14.540Flux Pistol 3608 says they've clearly lost the plot, yet at some point in their brain something says,
00:31:20.780Oh, I don't want to be held accountable on the internet for my words and actions actually saddens me.
00:31:26.300Clearly they're finding reality too difficult to handle.
00:31:30.240Perry Fefchuk 637 says right to free speech, right to free thought, not taking the time to think before speaking, priceless.
00:31:39.920You know, these people never actually think they're going to be pressed on why they think the way they think or how they come to their worldview.
00:31:52.440I can clearly articulate why I believe that government should fit in a teacup and why I believe in personal responsibility and I don't believe in the welfare state.
00:32:04.960Like I can tell you all of those things.
00:32:06.560I can tell you why I believe in gun rights, why I don't believe in a carbon tax.
00:32:11.240But if you talk to people on the left, they are just saying slogans, chanting mindlessly.
00:32:17.860They don't even know why they're saying those things.