00:25:12.700And I hope to have a show on tonight and invite an Albertan analyst on with me just to talk about the results and what we think it means.
00:25:23.380Clearly this is going to be a victory for Prypoli.
00:25:26.180And no matter what liberals say, no matter what the Carney government has to say about this, Prypoli is going to continue to be the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada.
00:25:38.220As I've said on many occasions, I don't always agree with Prypoli.
00:26:48.100We've got the official opposition as our MP.
00:26:50.680Other people are going to say, unfortunately, the official opposition leader is far too focused on national issues and not the constituency.
00:27:03.340I think it's basically not bad for the CBC.
00:27:07.780Voters in the Alberta riding of Battle River Crofit head to the polls tomorrow in a closely watched by-election.
00:27:14.360That is where Conservative leader Pierre Polyev is running after losing his Ottawa area seat in the last federal election.
00:27:22.080The riding is seen as one of the safest Conservative seats in the country.
00:27:25.980A record 214 candidates are on the ballot.
00:27:30.500But a large number of those are part of the longest ballot committee, a protest group calling for changes to Canada's electoral system.
00:27:37.760For more on tomorrow's by-election and what we could expect to see and what it'll mean when the House of Commons gets back, we're joined by my friend Kathleen Petty.
00:27:47.580She hosts the radio show Alberta Noon at Noon and the podcast West of Centre on CBC.
00:27:59.060So this riding is the safest of safe Conservative seats.
00:28:04.480Is this kind of a fait accompli for Pierre Polyev?
00:28:08.780Look, Eli, I don't know anyone who suggests that we should all be sitting on the edge of her seat waiting to see if he's going to win this.
00:28:16.780I mean, I'm not into the prediction game, but I don't know anyone who seriously thinks he's under any threat.
00:28:22.800I think what the focus is going to be is what share he gets and has been pointed out.
00:28:29.300Generally speaking, Conservative candidates garner somewhere in the 80s in terms of the vote share.
00:28:45.640But clearly people will look at the share and reach a conclusion.
00:28:50.020And I would suggest that that conclusion will be seen through a very partisan lens.
00:28:55.020So if there is a way, if you're, say, a Liberal, to look at that share and see that, you know, it's something below what Pierre Polyev should get,
00:29:05.740then that's the narrative they will advance.
00:29:08.800Conservatives, I think, will advance another narrative, not least of which is the fact that there are 213 people running against him.
00:29:39.460You have chose this riding, one of, if not the safest seat for Conservatives in the country.
00:29:47.520Do you think it changes the way Canadians see him?
00:29:51.080Does it change kind of the appeal he may or may not have right now?
00:29:54.920I think people probably reached that conclusion initially when it was decided this was the riding he would run in.
00:30:03.760Obviously, you want to run your leader in a riding that you know he's going to win.
00:30:07.980There is, you know, as you point out, the specter of, wow, could you make it any easier?
00:30:12.240There was one riding that had a higher boat chair, believe it or not, and that was Sirrus Moose Mountain in Saskatchewan, which was closer to 84%.
00:31:10.320But, yeah, it doesn't get much safer than this.
00:31:15.120But, honestly, I just think people will move on.
00:31:17.800People will take a look at that boat chair.
00:31:20.460And then, you know, and then he's going to hit the ground running because he's essentially been, although, you know, he certainly has made statements.
00:31:27.440And he's entered into the political conversation.
00:31:30.740He hasn't really had the impact, I think, that he would normally have if he was, you know, an elected MP and returning to the House as leader of the opposition, which, as it stands right now, he's leader of the party, but not leader of the opposition.
00:31:46.900Kathleen, do you have any sense how locals feel about him in this election, other than the longest ballot committee and that push for electoral reform?
00:31:56.360Because I could see on the one hand, well, now you have the leader of a political party representing your riding, and that's great.
00:32:02.800But others might see him as a bit of a carpetbagger.
00:32:06.280Well, Bonnie Critchley would be the one who would have been the most vocal and has made that point.
00:32:12.060I don't know if this is a direct quote, but it's pretty close.
00:32:14.800Well, I have to say this, there's an irony here that nobody in the mainstream media has pointed out.
00:32:24.480Maybe somebody on YouTube has, I don't know.
00:32:27.700But people said that about Pierre Pagliav when he won as a conservative in the PN, and he was a carpetbagger, because he hadn't spent a week in that riding, maybe a week.
00:32:40.980But he had literally just arrived in Ottawa.