Beto O Rourke drops out of the race, Mayor Pete Buttigieg declares himself a top contender, and Elizabeth Warren s dishonesty keeps coming back to bite her. Plus, a new poll shows President Trump lagging behind Joe Biden in a hypothetical matchup, and a new snap poll shows that if Hillary Clinton were still running for president, she'd have a much better chance than Biden would have if she were still leading in the polls at the midpoint of the primary race, which is why she should have stayed in the race at all, Ben Shapiro says. The Ben Shapiro Show is brought to you by ExpressVPN. Check them out at expressvpn.com/TheBenShapiroShow. If you like the show, please HIT SUBSCRIBE on Apple Podcasts or wherever else you get your news and discussion, and tell a friend about Ben Shapiro's or use the hashtag on social media using and if you like what you see here. Thanks for listening and sharing the show! Ben Shapiro is a writer, editor, and podcaster. Please don t forget to rate, review, and subscribe to our other podcast, The Weekly Standard, wherever you re listening. Thank you for supporting this podcast, and remember to leave us a rating and review if you re feeling generous! The opinions expressed in this podcast are your thoughts on the show are your own, and we can help us spread the word to the world. We lllllllll . in the word? I lllll lll llll lllllll llll , and we ll llll lllllell llllellllll , . Thank you, Ben - Ben Shapiro Thanks Ben Shapiro, too! - Thank you Ben Shapiro. - Sarah Kaspersen, Tim Cook, Sarah O Rocha, and Sarah O'Rourke & much more -- And much more! -- Thank you so much, Sarah Good Morning Joe, - Sarah Gooding, -- and much more. -- Rachel Maddow ...and much more... -- The Daily Mail -- And so much so much -- Thanks, Sarah, and so much to you, too, and much, and more! -- and so, so, much more, etc.
00:00:00.000Beto O'Rourke drops out of the race, Mayor Pete declares himself a top contender, and Elizabeth Warren's dishonesty keeps coming back to bite her.
00:00:27.000Got off a 16-hour flight with my children back from Israel to Los Angeles.
00:00:32.000That is a long flight with small children.
00:00:34.000And then my kids decided it would be great to have, like, sort of a midnight festivities.
00:00:39.000They got up at 12 midnight, and we're up from 12 to 3 in the morning.
00:00:43.000A bit of a party, but let's jump into the news of the day.
00:00:46.000So the news of the day, there are latest news polls that show that President Trump is lagging behind Joe Biden.
00:00:52.000So this is the great story of the Democratic campaign thus far.
00:00:56.000The candidates who are most likely to beat President Trump are the ones who are also the most likely to be sidelined by the Democratic electorate.
00:01:03.000So all the people in the primaries who are doing the worst are the people who are most likely to do pretty well against President Trump, with the exception of Beto O'Rourke, whom you'll get to in just one second, because we have to bid a fond farewell to Beto.
00:01:14.000You can go back to smoking dope and eating Arizona dirt and all the things that make Beto Beto, riding that skateboard around.
00:01:24.000There's a new poll out from Fox News and it shows that in a hypothetical matchup, Joe Biden continues to top President Trump nationally by 12 points.
00:01:33.000According to Fox News, Democratic primary voters increasingly feel the need to nominate a candidate who can beat President Trump in 2020 and more think Joe Biden can do that than any of the other top Democratic hopefuls.
00:01:43.000In addition, While most Democratic primary voters are satisfied with their field, more than a quarter wish they had other options, which is why there is a new snap poll showing that Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton, if Hillary were in the race, would be running similarly at the top of the ticket.
00:01:55.000Meaning that Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden would be running very similarly nationally in the Democratic primaries, which is why I've said Hillary's a fool to stay out.
00:02:07.000She runs, she loses, and then she becomes a nine-time loser as opposed to an eight-time loser.
00:02:11.000What exactly does she have to lose here?
00:02:12.000Biden leads the nomination race with the backing of 31% of Democratic primary voters, according to this new Fox News poll, followed by Elizabeth Warren all the way down at 21%, Bernie at 19%, and Pete Buttigieg all the way down at 7%.
00:02:24.000In early October, Biden was at 32, Warren 22, Sanders 17, Buttigieg 4.
00:02:30.000Kamala Harris and Andrew Yang are each at 3%, followed by Cory Booker, Tulsi Gabbard, and Amy Klobuchar.
00:02:36.000Now, as I say, Klobuchar would probably do better against Trump.
00:02:39.000Gabbard would probably do better against Trump.
00:02:41.000Maybe even Booker would do better against Trump than somebody like Elizabeth Warren.
00:02:44.000Biden would do best against Trump among all of these nominees.
00:02:47.000And he is the person who is apparently fading in these early contests.
00:02:51.000And if you look at the polls in Iowa, if you look at the polls in New Hampshire, what you see is that Joe Biden is fading in a lot of these state polls, even though he's doing well nationally.
00:02:58.000He's actually up Over the past few weeks in the national polls, he actually increased his lead over Elizabeth Warren in the national polling.
00:03:05.000He currently has an 8.8% lead in the RealClearPolitics poll average, which is kind of shocking because if you were to just follow the polls for the last month, you would have thought, okay, this thing has really narrowed for Joe Biden, but it hasn't narrowed for Joe Biden.
00:03:20.000As of a couple of weeks ago, Joe Biden was up only 5 points on Elizabeth Warren.
00:03:24.000He's now up 8 points on Elizabeth Warren.
00:03:26.000There was a point in this race where he was up at 28% in the RealClearPolitics poll average, and chooses it like 23.
00:03:32.000If you go back just even slightly before that, there was a point in the RCP average And this point is early October, where his lead had disappeared entirely.
00:03:41.000As of October 7th, 2019, Elizabeth Warren had actually overtaken Joe Biden in the national polling.
00:03:47.000And now she seems to be receding back to where she was.
00:03:49.000Now, on a state-by-state level, Biden is not running as strongly as he is on the national level.
00:03:56.000On the state-by-state level, the latest poll from New York Times' Siena poll, this came out October 30th, shows Elizabeth Warren at 22, Buttigieg at 18, Biden at 17, and Sanders at 19.
00:04:04.000So he's running fourth in that poll in New Hampshire.
00:04:07.000Similarly, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are seen as the two contenders there.
00:04:11.000A CNN-UNH poll from October 27th had Elizabeth Warren at 18, Biden at 15, Sanders at 21, Buttigieg all the way down at 10.
00:04:19.000So all the things that make Joe Biden attractive in a general election matchup make him utterly unpalatable in a primary election.
00:04:27.000Now, as we'll see, that is not enough for somebody like a Beto O'Rourke, right?
00:04:33.000The fact is that being, you sort of have to bridge the gap.
00:04:37.000So on the one hand, you have to be seen as somebody who is capable of defeating President Trump.
00:04:41.000On the other hand, you have to be seen as radical enough to win the base.
00:04:44.000Biden is not seen as radical enough to win the base, which is why he's fading in some of these early states, even as he does really well nationally.
00:04:49.000And then on the other hand, we have to bid a fond farewell to Beto.
00:04:57.000And when I say it's sad, I mean, I can't almost stop laughing.
00:05:00.000Beto O'Rourke ran a very passionate campaign, started off as like a number two contender, and then just dropped off the map, just no.
00:05:08.000And everybody in the Democratic Party kept paying him homage.
00:05:11.000They kept saying, well, he's saying the stuff no one else will say.
00:05:15.000Yeah, yeah, that and five bucks will buy him a bad cup of coffee over at Starbucks.
00:05:19.000According to the New York Times, former representative Beto O'Rourke of Texas announced on Friday he was dropping out of the presidential race Let's be real about this.
00:05:25.000a campaign in which he struggled for months to recapture the energy of his insurgent 2018 Senate candidacy on a national stage full of other big personalities and liberal champions.
00:06:14.000And he was created that way to fight against Ted Cruz, and then Ted Cruz beat him, and then Beto O'Rourke went back to being what he was, which was kind of a loser, who had never served in a position of high politics, and who was way out of his league nationally.
00:06:26.000And the media shifted their allegiance over to Elizabeth Warren, as we will see.
00:06:48.000According to the New York Times, his campaign has been under extreme financial strain.
00:06:51.000O'Rourke's advisors concluded that proceeding in the race might have meant making deep cuts to his staff in order to pay for advertising and other measures to compete in the early primary and caucus states.
00:08:23.000Okay, so Beto O'Rourke's campaign basically ran out of money.
00:08:27.000And it ran out of money because he just was not capable of drawing the kind of attention that he drew in that race against Ted Cruz, mainly because he wasn't running against Ted Cruz anymore.
00:08:35.000And the media fell more in love with Elizabeth Warren.
00:08:38.000The Democratic primary is really a story about who the media decides to fall in love with.
00:08:42.000So for a moment in time, Joe Biden, they were never in love with.
00:08:45.000Joe Biden was the hallmark of a bygone era.
00:08:49.000Against Trump, he's fine, but he's really like this oldie, we don't need him, Elizabeth Warren.
00:08:54.000She's somebody who makes the media members feel really good about themselves, because she's a sophisticate, don't you know?
00:08:59.000She's an intellectual, don't you know?
00:09:00.000We're going to get to Elizabeth Warren in just one second.
00:09:07.000Now they've decided to leave Bernie Sanders behind.
00:09:09.000They've decided to move on to Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg, who they are also very much attached to because not only is Pete Buttigieg intersectional already, He's a gay man.
00:09:20.000But, Pete Buttigieg is young, and he's vibrant, and he rips on Christians on a routine basis.
00:09:25.000So, when you watch the Democratic primaries, what you really have to understand is the media have done an excellent job picking who they want to be the nominee for the Democrats.
00:09:35.000For a brief moment in time, it was Kamala Harris, and then it sort of went away.
00:09:39.000In fact, I think there's something to be said for the idea that Donald Trump's nomination in 2016 was actually a reaction by Republicans to the feeling that the media had had a large hand in controlling who the Republican nominees were in 2008 and 2012.
00:09:52.000There was a feel that the media had really boosted McCain in 2008, that they had really boosted Romney in 2012, that there were hardcore conservative candidates who had been basically ripped to shreds by the media.
00:10:02.000And that they were not going to listen to the media this time around, and so they picked Trump.
00:10:06.000In the Democratic Party, it's the opposite.
00:10:07.000Whoever the New York Times editorial board decides they love, that's the person who is going to get all the benefit, all of the upside.
00:10:13.000But before we bid a fond farewell to Beto, we have to read his thank you note.
00:10:33.000Was it not like you just kind of jet-setting around being useless and saying crazy stuff that you then had to backtrack but then not backtrack?
00:10:39.000Though it is difficult to accept, it is clear to me now this campaign does not have the means to move forward successfully.
00:10:45.000My service to the country will not be as a candidate or as the nominee.
00:10:49.000Acknowledging this now is in the best interest of those in the campaign.
00:10:52.000It's in the best interest of this party as we seek to unify around a nominee, bro.
00:10:56.000It's in the best interest of the country.
00:10:59.000And then he says that it's all about him fighting, this campaign was about him fighting fear by threatening to take away your gun and destroy your church.
00:11:05.000He says, I decided to run for president because I believed I could help bring a divided country together in common cause, brah, to confront the greatest set of challenges we've ever faced.
00:11:15.000It's always funny to me when people say things like we're confronting the greatest set of challenges we've ever faced.
00:11:30.000We're not having race riots against black people in Tulsa.
00:11:34.000We're not having Vietnam War-era riots.
00:11:37.000Really, like, the biggest challenge our country has ever faced is a guy you don't like being president because he says weird things on Twitter.
00:11:45.000He says, I knew that the most fundamental of our challenges is fear.
00:11:49.000The fear that Donald Trump wants us to feel about one another.
00:11:52.000The very real fear that too many in this country live under.
00:11:54.000The fear we sometimes feel when it comes to doing the right thing.
00:11:57.000Especially when it runs counter to what is politically convenient or popular.
00:12:01.000I know, I still know, we can reject and overcome those fears.
00:12:06.000And she was instead to be defined by our ambitions and our ability to achieve them.
00:12:10.000And he kind of flicks his locks out of his face and continues.
00:12:14.000We should be proud of what we fought for and what we were able to achieve.
00:12:17.000What you're able to achieve is one of the worst presidential campaigns in modern American history.
00:12:21.000You started off at near double digits and you ended like before Cory Booker's campaign ended.
00:12:26.000Like Tulsi Gabbard, Amy Klobuchar is still running and Beto is out, which is not what you would have actually predicted.
00:12:33.000And again, that's because Beto was so concerned with earning the love of the media that he forgot that that was not a thing that was going to happen.
00:12:39.000And that what made him popular in the first place was that he was campaigning as moderate.
00:12:48.000He came into the race, got all sorts of plaudits, was an interesting candidate.
00:12:51.000I, on this show, said that Pete Buttigieg was an interesting candidate.
00:12:54.000And then, Buttigieg immediately flipped into the sort of far-left, crazy towns, all-Christians-are-bad-if-they-think-same-sex-marriage-is-morally-a-problem.
00:13:03.000He moved over there, and immediately his support started to recede.
00:13:06.000Then he started attacking Elizabeth Warren, and his support started to rise again.
00:13:09.000Beto jumped into the race, and he was considered sort of a moderate alternative to Ted Cruz in Texas, and suddenly he was like, I'm taking all your guns, I'm saying all the things Democratic voters want me to say.
00:13:23.000He says, at this moment of truth for our country, we laid bare the cost and consequence of Donald Trump, the rise in hate crimes.
00:13:30.000By the way, the rise in hate crimes, it is unclear whether there has actually been a dramatic spike in hate crimes.
00:13:34.000There are more reporting agencies, so the stats on that are not clear at all.
00:13:37.000The terror attack in El Paso, the perversion of the Constitution, the diminished standing of the U.S.
00:13:42.000around the world, But we also made clear the common responsibility to confront him, hold him accountable, ensure he does not serve another term in office.
00:13:50.000Committing ourselves to this task, not as Democrats or Republicans, but as Americans first before we are anything else.
00:14:36.000But the media, as I say, because the media are trying to dictate who exactly is leading this race right now, they've decided to boil down this race to Elizabeth Warren, And the fourth tier candidate, right?
00:14:47.000The fourth candidate in the polls, Pete Buttigieg.
00:14:49.000We'll get to all that in just a second.
00:14:51.000First, we gotta talk about upgrading employees.
00:14:53.000So, as I say, I just came back from Israel, and that meant it was time to upgrade the employee base.
00:15:04.000I mean he had to go work on our other shows because the fact is we wanted to either raise the quality of those shows or alternatively raise the quality of our own by losing Rob.
00:15:15.000Let me tell you about ZipRecruiter.com.
00:15:18.000ZipRecruiter.com is the way that you can get a qualified candidate incredibly quickly with results It's no wonder four out of five employers who post on ZipRecruiter get a quality candidate within the very first day.
00:15:28.000See why ZipRecruiter is effective for businesses of all sizes.
00:15:30.000Try ZipRecruiter for free at our web address, ZipRecruiter.com slash DailyWire.
00:15:58.000And even if you're not getting rid of somebody like Rob, which is a smart move, instead what you should do is you should go hire even better employees in the future at ZipRecruiter.com.
00:16:19.000Well, now they're building up Pete Buttigieg.
00:16:21.000And Mayor Pete, I don't know whether he's delusional or what the story is.
00:16:24.000Mayor Pete is actually coming out now and saying that the race is between him and Elizabeth Warren, which is a real weird take, considering that in the national polling, here's the national polling, the latest from ABC News.
00:18:04.000He will say radical things on foreign policy and then he will immediately say a non-radical thing on foreign policy.
00:18:09.000He'll say I'll eat a Chick-fil-A and then he'll say all Christians are bad people.
00:18:13.000He will do this sort of back and forth all the time.
00:18:16.000And so posing himself as the anti-Warren, as the alternative to slow Joe.
00:18:22.000It's smart marketing by Buttigieg, but it is delusional for him to say, as he did over the weekend, that the race is now down to him and Elizabeth Warren.
00:18:28.000I mean, the guy is, he's running way behind Bernie, right?
00:18:31.000Bernie is still a human being who exists.
00:18:32.000And Joe Biden is still your national poll leader at this point.
00:18:35.000This is, this is clip five, saying that it's down to two candidates, him and Elizabeth Warren, which is like, really?
00:18:42.000It's like me saying that the title of best basketball player on the planet is down to LeBron James and me.
00:18:48.000It feels like there's some people right in the middle that you're sort of ignoring right there, like a lot of people who are good at basketball.
00:18:53.000Here is Pete Buttigieg being delusional.
00:18:56.000I think this is getting to be a two-way.
00:19:47.000He is going after Elizabeth Warren, so Buttigieg Also suggested that like he went after Warren's health care system proposal over the weekend.
00:19:54.000And this is what he has been doing consistently.
00:19:56.000Like in Iowa, the Iowa Democratic Party had a fundraising dinner and it turned into fisticuffs between Warren and Buttigieg.
00:20:02.000According to the New York Times report, the Washington Post, Dan Biles over at the Washington Post reporting.
00:20:08.000Warren is widely regarded as the candidate to beat in Iowa.
00:20:11.000Her organization is currently judged as the best in the field.
00:20:13.000Her disciplined campaign style has helped provide the edge she currently enjoys.
00:20:20.000His campaign initially consisted of four people.
00:20:22.000His organization was late to get moving.
00:20:24.000Despite successes, the candidacy of the 37-year-old mayor of the city of 100,000 continues to face skepticism about its long-term durability.
00:20:31.000Particularly over his ability to attract support from African Americans.
00:20:47.000Showing that he says that it's down to Buttigieg and Warren.
00:20:50.000So he spoke on Friday night and he delivered his thematic rationale for his candidacy.
00:20:56.000He said, I will not waver from my commitment to our values or back down from the boldness of our ideas, but I will also not tired from the effort to include everyone in the future we're trying to build, progressives, moderates, and Republicans of conscience who are ready for a change.
00:21:09.000He said, we will fight when we must fight, but I will never allow us to get so wrapped up in the fighting we start to think fighting is the point.
00:21:14.000The point is what lies on the other side of the fight.
00:21:16.000What lies on the other side of that fight is the hope of an American experience, not defined by exclusion, but by belonging.
00:21:25.000And she basically said that Buttigieg is not progressive enough.
00:21:28.000This is the problem for Elizabeth Warren.
00:21:29.000The problem for Elizabeth Warren is that she is deeply inauthentic.
00:21:33.000That is the big problem for Elizabeth Warren.
00:21:34.000And Buttigieg can take advantage of that.
00:21:35.000The problem for Buttigieg is he's also inauthentic, right?
00:21:38.000Sometimes he seems moderate, sometimes he's progressive.
00:21:40.000Warren is really inauthentic, and her inauthenticity is going to cost her.
00:21:44.000So she got up on stage at the Wells Fargo Arena.
00:21:47.000And she said, anyone who comes on this stage and doesn't understand that we are already in a fight is not the person who's going to win that fight.
00:21:54.000Anyone who comes on this stage and tells you they can make change without a fight is not going to win that fight.
00:21:58.000Anyone who comes on this stage and tells you to dream small and give up early is not going to lead our party to victory.
00:22:03.000This is a time of crisis and media pundits, Washington insiders, even some people on our own party don't want to admit it.
00:22:08.000They think that running some vague campaign that nibbles around the edges is somehow safe.
00:22:12.000Fear and complacency does not win elections.
00:22:17.000She's painting Booty Judge as a sort of...
00:22:21.000Moderate, waffling, vague person, and herself as this progressive champion.
00:22:27.000Well, the problem for Elizabeth Warren is that that's all fun and games until you actually look at her plans.
00:22:31.000Because Elizabeth Warren was not this person, right?
00:22:33.000She's campaigning as Bernie Sanders Lite and getting attention as this progressive wonk, even though she doesn't know what the hell she's talking about.
00:24:09.000Right now, the media may decide that she's the best we have to offer, and they're gonna stick behind her even though her plans are absolute garbage.
00:24:18.000Or they could shift over to Kamala Harris.
00:24:20.000In other words, this race is still very much in flux.
00:24:22.000If the media decides to throw their support behind another candidate, if Kamala Harris has a good debate... By the way, it is beyond me why Kamala Harris is not going after Elizabeth Warren.
00:24:30.000It is an absolute fool's mission not to go after Elizabeth Warren if you are Kamala Harris, and I'll explain why in just one second.
00:24:37.000First, Let's talk about the underwear that currently grace your tufas.
00:24:45.000It was comfortable because I was wearing Tommy John underwear.
00:24:47.000Tommy John are the revolutionary clothing brand that has redefined comfort for Americans everywhere, including for me personally.
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00:25:48.000Like, it's not a two-person race, by any stretch of the imagination.
00:25:51.000As we'll see, Bernie Sanders is still a candidate, despite the fact that Bernie is insane and wild and crazy.
00:25:58.000Ilhan Omar, actually, over the weekend, Bernie Sanders continues to draw huge crowds, like 14, 15,000 people to various arenas.
00:26:04.000He did an event in Minnesota with Ilhan Omar, you know, the radically anti-Semitic, awful, awful human being of a congressperson in Minnesota.
00:26:12.000Ilhan Omar actually made the pledge that Bernie Sanders will, quote, fight against Western imperialism.
00:26:17.000Like, she's now promising that Bernie Sanders is going to fight against America, because when Ilhan Omar says Western imperialism, what she means is America being, in any sense, the sort of hegemon around the world, guaranteeing world security and safety.
00:26:30.000Which has been the reality since World War II, and has basically kept the world from devolving into cataclysmic warfare over the course of the last 75 years.
00:26:38.000And she's very much against this, and that means that she is pro-Bernie Sanders.
00:26:41.000Here's Ilhan Omar making the case for Bernie Sanders.
00:26:45.000I'm beyond honored and excited for a president who will fight against Western imperialism and fight for a just world.
00:26:57.000By fighting against Western imperialism, she means not putting sanctions on Turkey, not putting sanctions on Iran, not putting sanctions on Venezuela.
00:27:04.000Instead, fighting against Israel, fighting against Europe, fighting against America's involvement around the world to guarantee safety and security.
00:27:12.000That guy Bernie Sanders is still drawing in third place numbers, right?
00:27:15.000He's still going in the national polling.
00:29:04.000So in reality, Kamala should be attacking Elizabeth Warren if she were smart.
00:29:09.000And that's particularly to run the Native American issue.
00:29:10.000How is it that we are now like eight debates into this cycle and no one has asked Elizabeth Warren why she claimed to be Native American?
00:29:17.000For decades, for decades, like unofficial forms.
00:29:20.000And if you think that that had no impact in her hiring at Harvard Law, you know, they say, oh, we've released all the documents showing it had no impact.
00:29:27.000She was hired right in the middle of a massive racial scandal at Harvard Law School in which professors like Derrick Bell were threatening to quit their jobs unless Harvard Law hired more minority professors.
00:29:37.000And in all the early press releases, she was championed as a minority professor.
00:29:40.000She was championed as a Native American professor, according to David French, over at, used to be over at National Review.
00:29:47.000So, the fact is that Elizabeth Warren has been using, she used for 25 years, 30 years, intersectional stolen ballot.
00:29:54.000She pretended she's a victim of the American society when she is whiter than the backside of this piece of paper right here.
00:29:59.000I mean, she's supremely white and she pretended to be a minority.
00:30:01.000How has Kamala Harris not attacked her on that?
00:30:03.000How has Kamala Harris said, you know, some of us have actually had to overcome racial discrimination in America.
00:30:08.000And she can go back to the, I was in an integrated school through busing and all of this.
00:30:14.000What did you have to go through except for pretending to be Native American so that you could get a job?
00:30:42.000Like, everybody in the world, right, left, and center, is looking at this plan and going, this does not square with reality in any way, shape, or form, which is opening up the field for Buttigieg, and presumably for Kamala Harris if she actually wanted to take that.
00:30:52.000Like, I think that there will be, before the end of this race, another Kamala Harris upswing.
00:30:56.000I think the chances that the media are happy with the super white, top-heavy Democrat field, I don't think they like it.
00:31:02.000I think the media are... If Kamala Harris could actually break through with any of this stuff, I think they'd be willing to go back to her in absolute heartbeat.
00:31:09.000But, we'll get to Elizabeth Warren's garbage Medicare-for-all plan, which is just completely made up, in just one second.
00:31:15.000Let's talk about the fact that when you're driving around, you look around at just tons of types of car on the road.
00:31:20.000And then a part in your car breaks and you're like, okay, what should I do now?
00:31:23.000Because if I go to the local auto parts store, what are the chances they have the exact part that I need made for this exact car?
00:31:29.000I'm beyond my warranty over at the dealer.
00:32:10.000Go check them out right now at RockAuto.com and see all the parts available for your car or truck Write Shapiro in their how did you hear about us box so they know we sent you.
00:32:17.000That helps us because then they continue to know that we are directing people to them and it helps them so they know that they're spending their advertising dollars well.
00:32:23.000And it helps you because rockauto.com is gonna give you great service.
00:32:25.000Go check them out at rockauto.com and write Shapiro in their how did you hear about us box.
00:32:29.000Okay, so we're going to get to Elizabeth Warren's plan for Medicare for all in just one second.
00:32:34.000It is absolute sheer numbskullery and garbage.
00:33:37.000Also, it helps support us against the nastiness of the left that seeks to de-platform everyone they don't like.
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00:33:49.000All righty, so Elizabeth Warren finally releases her Medicare for All plan, and people have been wondering, you know, you keep lying about this stuff, right?
00:34:07.000Elizabeth Warren has been asked 12 ways from Sunday how she's gonna pay for $32 trillion over 10 years for her Medicare for All plan, and she keeps going, the wealth tax, the wealth tax isn't gonna pay for it.
00:34:17.000She keeps saying, you know, increases in the marginal income, no, that's not gonna do it either.
00:34:20.000You're going to need to radically escalate taxes on the middle class.
00:34:24.000Bernie Sanders is smart enough to admit this publicly.
00:34:27.000Even Pete Buttigieg, who is proposing what he calls Medicare Medicare for some, meaning Medicare for any who want it, a public option.
00:34:35.000Even he says he would probably have to hike middle class taxes.
00:34:38.000Even Pete Buttigieg is honest enough to acknowledge that.
00:34:40.000Here's Buttigieg explaining that he's not going to guarantee no middle class tax hike.
00:34:43.000Everything that we have proposed has been paid for, and we have proposed no tax increase on the middle class.
00:34:49.000We don't have to do it in order to deliver these health care solutions.
00:34:53.000There is a lot of money on the table from loopholes in the corporate tax system, from the wealthiest among us who could and should pay more, and we don't have to look to the middle class in order to solve these problems.
00:35:05.000But it also means making sure that we make promises we can keep.
00:35:08.000Okay, so that is Buttigieg basically acknowledging he's going to raise taxes on everybody.
00:35:11.000Warren has been the only one who says I'm not going to raise taxes on everybody because she's a damned liar and she's inauthentic.
00:35:17.000She went from school voucher proponent in 2003 to I'm going to eliminate charter schools in 2019.
00:35:21.000She went from I am a moderate on issues of two income families and trying to create solutions from them to we need to corporate and we need to take over every major corporation in America and stack their board.
00:35:35.000She has radically moved her positions on everything.
00:35:37.000She's deeply unauthentic and that becomes clear when you actually dive into the details of her plan.
00:35:42.000So she releases this Medicare for All plan and it's just absolute nonsense.
00:35:46.000Megan McArdle over at the Washington Post details this.
00:35:49.000She says, the math for Warren's health care plan adds up, if you accept its ludicrous premise.
00:35:55.000She says, after months of pressure on Friday, Warren finally released her comprehensive Medicare for All plan, which promises lower costs for everyone, paid for by taxes on corporations and the rich.
00:36:04.000The good news is the math adds up, as long as you buy her assumptions.
00:36:07.000The bad news is that Warren's assumptions are crazier than keeping a pet rhinoceros, after which, who cares that her calculator works?
00:36:12.000This is to actual policymaking, as the plastic noodles in a ramen bar window is to lunch.
00:36:17.000To wit, Warren says she can deliver a generous Medicare for All plan with only $20.5 trillion in additional federal spending.
00:36:23.000That is a quarter to a third less than any serious estimate of the plan from outside her campaign.
00:36:29.000By slashing administrative costs, and then mandating that everything else costs less.
00:36:33.000Warren is not exactly the first progressive reformer to have this same idea, and if she pushes forward with it, she will be but the next in a long line to discover she can't make it work politically or economically.
00:36:43.000As Philip Klein of the Washington Examiner dryly noted, Warren could just as well have written that Mexico was going to pay for her big, beautiful plan.
00:36:50.000Warren's revenue ideas are, if anything, even more exquisitely incredible.
00:36:56.000No, not the 3% ultra-millionaire wealth tax she has already pledged, but an entirely new 3% tax on all wealth over a billion dollars.
00:37:02.000The tax would, says Warren, raise a trillion dollars over 10 years.
00:37:05.000The assumption is typical of her whole plans, says Megan McArdle.
00:37:08.000Because on one level the math does work, the U.S.
00:37:10.000has about 600 billionaires, and by my calculation, the total value of their wealth taxable assets would be something under $3 trillion.
00:37:17.0003% of that collected 10 times should indeed yield nearly $1 trillion.
00:37:20.000On another, more important level, the idea is ludicrous in terms of the tax code and basic common sense.
00:37:26.000After adding in the ultra-millionaires tax and factoring in the other capital taxes Warren wants to levy on financial transactions, on unrealized capital gains, on corporations, we'd be asking every billionaire to hand over more than two-thirds of their total wealth over a ten-year period.
00:37:39.000If the government actually managed to collect it, their fortunes would rapidly erode, and so would tax collections.
00:37:44.000The plan might be a good way to smash wealth, but it is a terrible way to fund the nation's healthcare system.
00:37:48.000The best you can say for all of this is none of this will ever happen.
00:37:51.000Okay, Charles Blauhaus over at E21, Economics 21, goes into this in more detail.
00:37:58.000He says, to summarize, the Warren proposal understates Medicare for All's cost as quantified by multiple credible studies by about 34.2%.
00:38:06.000So basically, she's just saying Medicare for All will cost two-thirds of what people say it will, which is just insane.
00:38:21.000Medicare right now pays about 80% of reimbursement rates for doctors' costs, Either they're going to have to blackmail doctors into taking that, in which case many doctors will leave the profession, or they're going to have to radically increase the rates of reimbursement, which means that the cost is going to be a lot higher than what they're talking about right now.
00:38:39.000Another 11.2% of the cost would be met by cutting payments to health providers, such as physicians and hospitals.
00:38:44.000So in other words, they're just going to reimburse doctors and hospitals at lower rates.
00:38:50.000Hospitals are already getting underpaid by Medicare, which is why they've radically raised what they charge insurance companies for everybody else's care.
00:38:58.000Basically, if you are in private insurance, you are subsidizing Medicare.
00:39:01.000Medicare costs are lower because private insurers are paying more money.
00:39:22.000He says that the costs of Medicare for All used by Elizabeth Warren are completely insane.
00:39:27.000He says, for this piece's comparison purposes, it really should cost $38 trillion.
00:39:32.000Only if we use that number can we quantify the amount of savings Warren aims to generate from provider payment cuts.
00:39:38.000So in other words, she's just making things up.
00:39:40.000And then she suggests that she is going to lower provider payment cuts by, like, 11%, which would reduce the spending from $37.6 trillion to $33.4 trillion.
00:39:51.000And then the Warren campaign memo provides a cost estimate of $21 trillion over 10 years.
00:39:56.000That is wildly out of line with the Urban Institute, which is not a right-wing center, the Center for Health and Economy, the RAND Corporation, and Ken Thorpe.
00:40:04.000So how exactly is she doing this by just falsifying the numbers?
00:40:13.000As we say, she is literally double counting where she is spending this money.
00:40:20.000Even Saturday Night Live began to get annoyed with this over the weekend.
00:40:23.000When you've lost Saturday Night Live and you're Elizabeth Warren and they spend their entire time basically on SNL is now spent with them massaging Elizabeth Warren's political shoulders.
00:40:32.000Here is SNL over the weekend basically mocking the fact that Warren's plans don't add up and make no sense.
00:40:37.000You said your plan would cost $20.5 trillion, but other economists have said it could cost $34 trillion.
00:40:44.000Right, okay, let me stop you right there.
00:42:31.000That is the media doing heavy lifting right there and the Democrats.
00:42:34.000That is mirrored by an NBC Wall Street Journal poll showing that 49% now back Trump's impeachment and removal.
00:42:40.000And then that is mirrored by another poll, this one from MSN, suggesting something similar, like 52% saying that they would like to see Trump impeached.
00:42:53.000I mean, it's the top of the headlines right now.
00:42:54.000Probably if you, I'd have to look back at the polling, probably early on in the Mueller investigation, you could probably get a near majority to say they wanted Trump impeached.
00:43:02.000Over that Democrats are really pushing this hard.
00:43:11.000What I'm saying is there seems to be an indication that something was going on here.
00:43:17.000There could be high crimes and misdemeanors taking place.
00:43:22.000There might even be bribery taking place.
00:43:25.000And we will get to the bottom of this, and then we will be able to make a determination at that time whether or not something happened that was treasonous.
00:43:35.000I've talked to a lot of people since I've been home who believe that there's treasonous on the part of this president.
00:43:43.000They certainly believe some crimes have been committed.
00:43:46.000Okay, so the Democrats' campaign here is going to be that Trump is a traitor, that Trump sold out American foreign policy.
00:43:52.000Trump, for his part, is continuing to say that there is no quid pro quo here, which, as I say, I don't think is a defense that actually holds.
00:43:58.000I think his defense should be, yeah, it's pretty obvious there was a quid pro quo.
00:44:02.000My quid pro quo was the same as you guys alleged Joe Biden's quid pro quo with Ukraine was.
00:44:07.000Biden was saying he wanted a prosecutor filed like a specific act from Ukraine.
00:44:10.000He wanted in return for releasing billions of dollars in loan guarantees to Ukraine.
00:44:14.000I wanted them to fight Ukraine, including investigating Burisma.
00:44:17.000And yeah, there was a quid pro quo, but there's nothing wrong with that and just sort of own it.
00:44:20.000Instead, Trump is sticking with the with the there's no quid pro quo thing because Trump has never given an inch on anything.
00:44:25.000Even though he kind of should because it's more of a true story.
00:44:28.000Trump tweeted out, false stories are being reported that a few Republican senators are saying that President Trump may have done a quid pro quo.
00:44:39.000Again, that is a weird defense by President Trump.
00:44:43.000But in the end, what this is really going to come down to is the perception as to whether this is a political hit job.
00:44:50.000And this I think Trump does understand.
00:44:52.000I think that Trump and the Republicans do understand that just like the Clinton impeachment didn't come down to Clinton's actual activity.
00:44:58.000Because Clinton clearly abetted perjury and committed perjury, right?
00:45:01.000Clinton clearly committed impeachable crimes, but that turned out to be an unpopular move for Republicans, mainly because it was felt by the American public that it was a partisan event.
00:45:09.000So Trump pushing that is going to be his best strategy right here, and he's aiding that by the fact that the media are incredibly, incredibly partisan.
00:45:18.000Let the media continue to push in partisan fashion here.
00:45:22.000There's an article in the New York Times today called Adam Schiff, a Trump punching bag, takes his case to a bigger ring.
00:45:27.000And it's a puff piece about Adam Schiff, one of the most dishonest members of Congress, who spent two and a half years claiming that Donald Trump was in fact a traitor who had sold America out to Russia and would go on CNN every five seconds.
00:45:36.000He would exit his pup tent that he had set up outside the CNN green room and then go on and imply he had secret information that would lead to Trump's impeachment over the Mueller-Russia stuff.
00:45:46.000And now he's leading the impeachment inquiry.
00:45:48.000And so the New York Times is puffing him up.
00:45:50.000Sheryl Gay Stolberg and Nicholas Fandos of the New York Times writing, The crowd was buzzing with Hollywood types.
00:45:54.000The actress Patricia Arquette, the producer Norman Lear, at a private film screening on Sunset Boulevard one recent Sunday afternoon.
00:46:00.000But here in liberal America, the biggest celebrity in the room was not someone who makes a living in what people call the industry.
00:46:06.000It was Representative Adam B. Schiff, the straight-laced former federal prosecutor who was on the brink of prosecuting his biggest defendant yet, President Trump.
00:46:14.000Oh, the drool just emanating from the pen of the New York Times writers.
00:46:19.000By the way, you know why Adam Schiff was the biggest person there?
00:46:21.000Because Patricia Arquette isn't a very big star and producer Norman Lear has been sort of irrelevant for 40 years.
00:46:27.000In any case, he says, these are heady but perilous days for Mr. Schiff, the inscrutable and slightly nerdy chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, who is leading the impeachment inquiry into President Trump.
00:46:37.000Adored by the left for vile by the right, he has become a Rorschach test for American politics.
00:46:41.000Depending on one's point of view, he's either going to save the republic or destroy it.
00:46:46.000Here in his home district at the screening of The Great Hack, a film about misinformation in the 2016 election, Mr. Lear introduced Mr. Schiff as a current American hero.
00:46:54.000As the audience leapt to its feet in a standing ovation, the congressman emerged from backstage in standard Washington uniform, navy blazer, white shirt, light blue tie, his manner as inoffensive as his attire.
00:47:05.000We thank them for their patriotism, Schiff said somberly, praising whistleblowers, including the anonymous one whose complaint against Mr. Trump prompted the impeachment inquiry, and we hope others will follow their courageous example.
00:47:15.000Now, Mr. Schiff59, this is the New York Times again, just sickeningly cloying garbage here, is poised to take a much bigger stage as his inquiry moves from a secure office suite in a Capitol Hill basement into nationally televised public hearings.
00:47:27.000He will make the case against Mr. Trump to a divided nation in what amounts to an epic courtroom drama meant to unveil evidence of the president's pressure campaign to enlist Ukraine to smear his political rivals.
00:47:37.000A moment that is bound to be must-watch.
00:48:10.000He drives an Audi whose license plate frame bears the line from the movie The Big Lebowski.
00:48:13.000I don't roll on Shabbos, from which he can quote at length.
00:48:16.000He has dabbled at screenwriting, once drafting a script that featured a prosecutor as the hero.
00:48:20.000He tried stand-up comedy too during a fundraiser at the Improv in Hollywood.
00:48:24.000But if Mr. Schiff has a sense of humor, his friends insist he does have a dry one, he rarely shows it in Washington where he has carefully cultivated his image as the stylistic and substantive opposite of Mr. Trump.
00:48:41.000And it comes from the same New York Times that literally wrote a piece over the weekend about Trump going to an ultimate fighting championship fight in New York and how Trump loves violence.
00:48:54.000The same New York Times that's like praising Adam Schiff to the skies.
00:48:57.000They have an article over the weekend titled, It's Not Like Trump Should Have to Watch Very Boring Sports.
00:49:03.000The President Trump walked onto the floor of Madison Square Garden on Saturday night from the same corner that the mixed martial arts fighters did, his own fighters at his sides.
00:49:10.000Just below 10 p.m., just before 10 p.m., Trump squeezed into a row of folding chairs below the metal fence Doctagon, accompanied by the men who do his battles on Twitter and in Congress, and found a new kind of release at a moment of high tension in his presidency, A real, blood-soaked, stitches-requiring fight.
00:49:27.000So the whole piece is about how Trump loves ultimate fighting because he likes to see people hit each other, he likes to see violence, but he doesn't like to be the victim of violence.
00:49:38.000As the crowd Saturday night thrilled to the most violent kicks and punches, Mr. Trump, who was wearing a suit and tie, sat mostly stone-faced, his arms crossed, but watching intently.
00:49:45.000He loves to reduce everything to a kind of elemental blood level, said Mr. D'Antonio, Trump's biographer.
00:49:50.000If there's blood that's spilled and it's not his, it's thrilling to him.
00:49:54.000Okay, so, in the end, what's this gonna come down to, the impeachment stuff?
00:49:57.000The impeachment stuff is gonna come down to, do you trust the Democrats not to be partisan hacks, or do you not?
00:50:01.000And if the answer is you don't, then likely, this is gonna backfire on Democrats.
00:50:05.000And if you do, then likely you want Trump impeached.
00:50:07.000It's pretty obvious, though, that the Democrats are, in fact, partisan hacks, and the country is too polarized to buy into the idea that Democrats are not, especially when led by somebody like Adam Schiff in this impeachment inquiry.
00:50:17.000Okay, time for a quick thing I like, and then a quick thing that I hate, and then we'll be outta here.
00:51:27.000I mean, really, really good stuff from Dennis Prager on Bill Maher's show, because the left has invested itself in this idea that America is a deeply awful, terrible place.
00:51:36.000And let me tell you, I was just abroad in Israel, and Israel's a wonderful country, right?
00:52:30.000According to the Associated Press, McDonald's chief executive officer has been pushed out of the company after violating company policy by engaging in a consensual relationship with an employee.
00:52:38.000The fast food giant said former president and CEO Steve Easterbrook demonstrated poor judgment and that McDonald's forbids managers from having romantic relationships with direct or indirect subordinates.
00:52:48.000Easterbrook acknowledged he had a relationship with an employee and said it was a mistake.
00:52:52.000He said, given the values of the company, I agree with the board.
00:52:55.000And now the reason this goes in things I hate as opposed to things I like, I think it's fine, is because the media, five seconds ago, were claiming that if Katie Hill, the Democratic representative from California who was schtupping half her staff, that if Katie Hill had been a man, no one would have cared what she did.
00:53:10.000Hey, let me tell you, it is worse to lose a job as the CEO of McDonald's than it is to lose your congressional seat.
00:53:17.000Okay, that's a way better job and a better paying job.
00:53:21.000Just to point out the media's hypocrisy here, they're not going to walk back any of the crap they said about Katie Hill in the aftermath of the head of McDonald's being forced to resign because he had sex with a subordinate.
00:53:31.000This is another astonishing story in the gender wars that are being fought by the left.
00:53:37.000According to the UK Daily Mail, a birth coach has now been ostracized by her professional organization after transgender activists branded as offensive a Facebook post in which she said that only women can have babies.
00:53:46.000Okay, you ready for something super offensive?
00:54:13.000Either womanhood is a set of attributes like how you dress and how you act, in which case, I guess you're a sexist, which you reject, right?
00:54:20.000You say all of these gender norms are socially constructed.
00:54:23.000Or, gender is not a societal construct.
00:54:26.000It's biologically based, in which case, there is no case to be made that a dude with a penis is actually a woman.
00:54:33.000Okay, but this woman said something fairly obvious, which is that men cannot give birth.
00:54:36.000By the way, if men could give birth, man, that urethra's small.
00:54:38.000That would be extraordinarily painful.
00:54:40.000But, Lindsay McCarthy Calver, 45, was forced to stand down as the spokesperson for Doula UK, and has since resigned altogether from the National Organization for Birth Coaches.
00:54:50.000Her exit comes after transgender rights activists triggered an investigation in which Doula UK concluded her message breached its equality and diversity guidelines.
00:54:59.000They did not expel the mother of four who's been a doula for six years, but threatened to suspend her unless she deleted the post.
00:55:05.000But then she resigned, believing that Dula UK had acquiesced to demands from a small number of activists and failed to stand up for women's rights.
00:55:26.000Well, the Dula UK Rose started after Cancer Research UK dropped the word women from its smear test campaign, saying instead that screening was relevant for everyone age 25 to 64 with a cervix.
00:55:51.000In response, McCarthy Calvert posted a photograph on Facebook of a negligee-glad woman somersaulting underwear with the wording, I am not a cervix owner, I am not a menstruator, I am not a feeling, I am not defined by wearing a dress and lipstick, I am a woman, an adult human female.
00:56:05.000Beneath it, she wrote, women birth all the people, make up half the population, but less than a third of the seats in the House of Commons are occupied by us.
00:56:11.000She claimed that women were accused of transphobia more than men, arguing men were not subjected to cries of bigotry and transphobia when they say they don't want to have sex with a woman with a penis.
00:56:19.000Most trans women have not had their male genitalia removed.
00:56:21.000Okay, now, first of all, that last part is true, right?
00:56:24.000If you say that a man is a man and a woman is a woman, let me testify from firsthand experience, you will get an enormous amount of flack if you're a dude.
00:56:30.000But, she is right that feminists are being basically ripped on.
00:56:34.000I think, if you're a feminist and you say this stuff, you will get run out of town.
00:57:33.000Big news in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary and I'm not talking about Beto O'Rourke's dropping out because nobody ever actually cared about Beto O'Rourke except for the media and they're wrong about everything.
00:57:44.000I'm talking about Elizabeth Warren releasing the details of her health care plan which costs roughly 50 bazillion dollars.
00:57:53.000We will get into the economics of it and examine the broader strategy of the Warren campaign.