Joe Biden's squeaky clean, above board image, whatever image existed, whatever image existed, for those who weren t watching closely for the last 30 years of Joe Biden s political career, that image is now crumbling. And that is a massive problem for him. As I said yesterday, whatever mud you throw at Donald Trump has no effect. The man is made of mud. And when you throw mud at Joe Biden, it has a significant effect on his poll numbers. And so his worst nightmare is now coming true because all of the Hunter Biden stuff is now breaking wide out into the open. Joe Biden's son, Hunter Biden, testified in front of Congress yesterday. And James Comer, who is the chairman of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, put a statement with the committee s statement together. And here's what he says: "Here's what I says: Devon Archer's testimony today confirms that Joe Biden said he had no knowledge about his son's business dealings and was not involved in his business dealings when he was in contact with the American people or with foreign associates. I have not taken a penny from any foreign source ever in my life. I don t know what he was doing. I trust my son because I don't know what his father has not made money from China. That's the only guy who made a penny, ever. No one else has made money in China. No other than this guy has not had a cent from China, ever in his life." And that's not even close to what I'm talking about. I know Trump deserves to be investigated because he is violating every basic norm of a president. You should be asking the question, why is he doing this? And why not ask the right question? And what are you should be looking at Trump, right? And who is he looking at this? and what is he's doing this, and why isn't he doing it? And he's not doing it, you're not looking at me? And I'm not even looking at the right person? and I know he's using the right questions, right, and I'm looking at him? And that? And you're doing it right? -- what's the answer you're asking the right thing, and not asking the wrong question? And I'll tell you what you should do, and you're looking at it right, right away, right here, right in the mirror, right across the lens.
00:00:00.000So, if you are up for an election, like a presidential election, about which presidential candidate the American public consider to be more of a legal problem, well, get ready because, boy, have I got an election coming for you.
00:00:10.000Because that's essentially what this election is now going to be.
00:00:12.000It's not going to be an election about the issues.
00:00:14.000It may not even be an election about the economy.
00:00:16.000If Joe Biden is indeed the nominee, if he survives to actually be the nominee, which, you know, he's not looking great, and if Donald Trump on the other side is the nominee, it's just going to be Democrats accusing Republicans of being lawbreakers and Republicans accusing Democrats of being lawbreakers, because here is the deal.
00:00:29.000Joe Biden's squeaky clean, I'm above board image, whatever image existed, for those who weren't watching closely for the last 30 years of Joe Biden's political career, that image is now crumbling.
00:00:38.000And that is a massive problem for him, as I said yesterday.
00:00:41.000Whatever mud you throw at Donald Trump has no effect.
00:01:37.000I have not taken a penny from any foreign source ever in my life.
00:01:42.000We learned that this president paid 50 times the tax in China, has a secret bank account with China, does business in China, and in fact is talking about me taking money?
00:01:55.000I have not taken a single penny from any country whatsoever, ever.
00:02:36.000I know Trump deserves to be investigated.
00:02:39.000He is violating every basic norm of a president.
00:02:43.000You should be asking him the question, why is he on the phone with a foreign leader, trying to intimidate a foreign leader, if that's what happened.
00:03:15.000So whenever Joe Biden gets false angry like that and then he kind of whips himself up into actual rage, it's because he probably did the things.
00:03:22.000Well, Devin Archer, who was Hunter Biden's business partner for a significant period of time when tens of millions of dollars were moving through various different accounts associated with Hunter Biden, he testified in front of Congress yesterday.
00:03:34.000And James Comer, who is the chairman of the House Committee on Oversight and Accountability, put together a statement following a four-hour transcribed interview with the committee.
00:03:42.000And here's what he says, quote, Devon Archer's testimony today confirms Joe Biden lied to
00:03:45.000the American people when he said he had no knowledge about his son's business
00:03:49.000Joe Biden was the brand his son sold around the world to enrich the Biden family.
00:03:53.000When Joe Biden was vice president of the United States, he joined Hunter Biden for dinner with
00:03:58.000his foreign business associates in person or by speakerphone over 20 times.
00:04:01.000When Burisma's owner was facing pressure from the Ukrainian prosecutor investigating the company for corruption, Archer testified that Burisma executives asked Hunter to call D.C.
00:04:09.000after a Burisma board meeting in Dubai.
00:04:12.000By the way, that meshes very closely with the whistleblower account to the FBI,
00:04:16.000the confidential human source account to the FBI that suggested that the head of Burisma had said
00:04:23.000that he had paid money to Joe and Hunter in order to get Viktor Shokin,
00:04:26.000the prosecutor in Ukraine, fired so that he would stop looking into Burisma.
00:04:31.000Now, by the way, it could be that the head of Burisma said that because Hunter had told him that
00:04:35.000and that Hunter didn't actually achieve that, but it doesn't matter because the bottom line is
00:04:39.000that Joe was deeply involved, at least to the extent that he knew what was going on
00:04:44.000Commer says, why did Joe Biden lie to the American people about his family's business dealings and his involvement?
00:04:48.000It begs the question, what else he's hiding from the American people?
00:04:51.000The House Committee on Oversight and Accountability will continue to follow the Biden's money trail and interview witnesses to determine whether foreign actors targeted the Bidens.
00:04:57.000President Biden is compromised and corrupt.
00:05:02.000Devin Archer testified that the value of adding Hunter Biden to Burisma's board was the brand and confirmed that then-Vice Presidential Biden was the brand.
00:05:10.000And by the way, Hunter has openly said this.
00:05:12.000Hunter was asked, why are we getting paid tons of money to be on Burisma's board?
00:05:15.000He said, because my last name is Biden.
00:05:17.000Archer admitted that Burisma would have gone out of business if the brand had not been attached to it.
00:05:21.000He believed that Hunter Biden being on the board and the Biden brand contributed to Burisma's longevity.
00:05:25.000People would have been intimidated to mess with Burisma legally because of the Biden brand.
00:05:30.000In December of 2015, Mykola Zlochevsky, owner of Burisma, and Vadim Porzharsky, an executive of Burisma, placed constant pressure on Hunter Biden to get help from D.C.
00:05:39.000regarding Ukrainian prosecutor Viktor Shokin.
00:05:41.000Shokin was investigating Burisma for corruption.
00:05:43.000Hunter, along with Zlochevsky and Porzharsky, called D.C.
00:06:54.000Whatever Hunter was doing, he was on the phone.
00:06:58.000He was on the phone for all of this sort of stuff.
00:07:01.000And of course, Joe openly bragged about getting Victor Shokin fired, which just happened to merge with exactly what his son was lobbying for.
00:07:23.000But only Shokin was worthy of Joe Biden calling up and threatening to withdraw a billion dollars in aid from Ukraine unless they pulled Victor Shokin.
00:07:35.000I remember going over convincing our team or others to convincing that we should be providing for Loan guarantees.
00:07:43.000And I went over, I guess, the 12th, 13th time to Kiev, and I was supposed to announce that there was another billion-dollar loan guarantee.
00:07:54.000And I had gotten a commitment from Poroshenko and from Yatsenyuk that they would take action against the state prosecutor, and they didn't.
00:08:03.000So they said they were walking out to the press conference and said, no, we're not going to give you the billion dollars.
00:08:30.000And they put in place someone who was solid.
00:08:35.000Okay, by the way, if you don't think that Joe Biden is the kind of pathological liar who would have the gall to tell a story about how he was rooting out corruption while being corrupt, you haven't been watching Joe Biden for 35 years.
00:08:44.000Okay, Joe Biden is exactly that kind of person.
00:08:47.000This is a guy who shamelessly lied about every element of his career for the first 15 years of his career, so much so he had to drop out of a presidential race for being a plagiarist.
00:08:55.000And for lying about his college record and for lying about everything else.
00:08:57.000Joe Biden is the kind of person who lies about the circumstances of his former wife's death in a car crash by openly lying about the other person involved in the car crash, suggesting for years that the guy was driving drunk and essentially ruining his life.
00:09:12.000Okay, Joe Biden is not an aboveboard, honest fellow.
00:09:16.000And so if you think that he doesn't have the gall or the temerity to do this sort of stuff while openly bragging about how he's fighting corruption, again, you ain't been watching Biden for very long.
00:09:23.000We'll get to more on this in just one second.
00:09:24.000First, Window treatments that can make a huge difference in your home or office.
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00:10:27.000And make sure that you let them know that you heard about them on the Ben Shapiro Show.
00:10:33.000The level of corruption here is obviously very high.
00:10:36.000That coffee with the Russian oligarch in spring of 2014, Elena Baterina.
00:10:41.000Well, the New York Post reported way back in October of last year that a real estate company with ties to first son Hunter Biden received more than $100 million.
00:10:51.000From a Russian billionaire for property investments across the United States dating back a decade.
00:10:55.000The hefty cash injections into Rosemont Realty came from, wait for it, Alina Baterino, one of Russia's wealthiest women.
00:11:01.000The widow of the former mayor of Moscow and a close ally of Moscow tyrant Vladimir Putin, according to sources.
00:11:07.000So, Joe Biden just happens to be meeting with everybody who could possibly help out his son.
00:11:14.000So, the White House is now responding to all of these allegations, and they're saying, ah, there's nothing here, nothing to see here.
00:11:18.000So notice how the goalposts, they started off moving, and then as Molly Hemingway, the Federalist, points out, they've now been kicked into the ocean.
00:11:23.000I mean, they're like in the middle of deep sea right now.
00:11:27.000And they're next to that sunken Titanic.
00:11:30.000According to the White House, quote, it appears the House Republicans own much-hyped witness today testified he had never heard of President Biden discussing business with his son or his son's associates or doing anything wrong.
00:11:42.000I'll explain in a second why this is so ridiculous.
00:11:43.000House Republicans keep promising bombshell evidence to support their ridiculous attacks against the president, but time after time, they keep failing to produce any.
00:11:49.000In fact, even their own witnesses appear to be debunking their allegations.
00:11:52.000Instead of continuing to waste time and resources on this evidence-free wild goose chase, House Republicans should drop these stunts and work with the president on the issues that actually impact- Okay, so, here is the reason this is so insanely stupid.
00:12:03.000The claim of the White House is that because Devin Archer testified, That Joe Biden did not openly discuss every aspect of business with the people that Hunter would get Joe on the phone with?
00:12:14.000That means that Joe was not involved in the business.
00:12:16.000That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard in my life.
00:12:18.000If you're influence peddling, the entire operation is based on plausible deniability.
00:12:23.000What, he's going to openly influence Petal?
00:12:24.000Then you can get Joe on the phone and she's going to be like, Oh, what does it take to get Victor's show?
00:12:29.000Can you give my son like, you know, an 800, like hundreds of thousands of dollars and I'll fire?
00:12:35.000Like, do you think he's going to say that?
00:12:37.000Or is the conversation going to go something like this?
00:12:39.000Hunter walks in the room, he says, I want 83 grand a month and I'll get daddy on the phone.
00:13:00.000Hi, how's the weather over there in Ukraine?
00:13:04.000That's how this stuff works, obviously.
00:13:06.000So believe it or not, the slim read that Democrats are relying upon here to protect Joe Biden is the idea that when Joe Biden gets on the phone during business meetings with Hunter, is that Joe actually just likes discussing weather with people randomly.
00:13:28.000And sure, I mean, he does it with like Russian oligarchs who give a hundred million dollars to different firms with which Hunter Biden is an associate, and sure he does it with like Burisma, and sure he does it with wide varieties of foreign companies, including like Chinese companies, and sure he writes letters for the heads of those companies, like kids, to get into college.
00:14:32.000Well, his son is bagging hundreds of thousands of dollars, promising that that's exactly what would happen.
00:14:37.000Is that just a giant coincidence, by the way?
00:14:39.000That's really what we're being asked to believe, that it's all a coincidence.
00:14:41.000We're asked to believe that Hunter went on the board of Burisma, promising access to Joe Biden, and promising that the Biden last name would shield Burisma, and that he promised everybody at Burisma that he would work on getting Shokin fired, and that just coincidentally, his daddy got Shokin fired.
00:14:55.000That's what we're, like, no relation, Chinese wall of separation, nobody knows who's talking to whom, I mean, sure, they had phone calls and everything, but no.
00:15:11.000Actually, there's nothing to see here.
00:15:13.000There's absolutely nothing to see here.
00:15:15.000Now, after five long years of stupid jabber from Democrats about how there was a smoking gun, that Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump were working together, and they were rigging the election on behalf of Donald Trump, and using Facebook because Donald Trump really needed Vladimir Putin to input on Facebook, that it was all corrupt, and the smoking gun was around the corner.
00:15:44.000Again, it is impossible to look at the juxtaposition of Hunter's business activities and now what Hunter's business... Again, this is not the first Hunter Biden business partner to say this.
00:15:52.000Tony Bobulinski said the exact same thing.
00:15:54.000Tony Bobulinski said years ago that Joe Biden was stopping by business meetings and like hanging out with people.
00:16:01.000Again, Hunter texted his own daughter saying he pays dad's bills.
00:16:04.000I don't know what you need other than like an actual bank account wire showing money moving from Hunter to Joe.
00:16:10.000But here's the thing, he doesn't even have to do that.
00:16:12.000Because I don't know how it works with your parents.
00:16:14.000If I go out to dinner with my parents, I just pay for dinner.
00:16:17.000I don't wire money to my parents' bank account to pay for dinner.
00:16:20.000If Hunter wants to pay Joe's expenses, he'll just pay Joe's expenses.
00:16:24.000Like, the money doesn't actually have to- That's the beauty of being a member of a family.
00:16:29.000This is why family corruption is so common, by the way.
00:16:32.000We'll get to more of this in just one second, because what you're being asked to believe is the dumbest crap imaginable.
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00:18:09.000He was impeached the first time by the House over a phone call with the President of Ukraine, Vladimir Zelensky, telling him that he might withhold military aid if they didn't dig up dirt on Hunter Biden.
00:18:20.000Meanwhile, the accusation here, which appears to be fairly well founded, is that Joe Biden openly threatened Ukraine that he would withdraw $1 billion in aid unless they fired a prosecutor who just so happened to be looking into his son's company.
00:18:35.000And the same people who prosecuted Impeachment 1 against Trump, those exact same people are now rushing to Joe Biden's defense, which just shows you the politics is a game of, it's a game of partisanship, purely and simply.
00:18:48.000It's either wrong in both cases or it's wrong in either case, but this is really amazing stuff.
00:18:52.000So Representative Dan Goldman, again, he's one of the impeachment prosecutors.
00:18:56.000Watch how far these goalposts have moved.
00:18:58.000He now says it is a preposterous premise to say that Joe should not be talking with Hunter's business associates.
00:20:23.000It's very obvious they believe that they can just gaslight you into thinking nothing untoward happened here when every indicator is that something untoward happened here.
00:20:30.000We'll get to more on this in just one second.
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00:21:43.000Again, the line from the Democrats, believe it or not, is nothing to see here, everything is fine.
00:21:48.000So Dan Goldman, again, one of the impeachment prosecutors, he says it's a preposterous premise to say that Joe shouldn't be talking with Hunter's business associates.
00:21:54.000This is after Joe has spent years saying he knew nothing about the businesses, that he never, like literally nothing, that he never heard anything.
00:22:04.000And then, Dan Goldman emphasizes that sure, Hunter put Joe on speakerphone, but they were just talking about the weather.
00:22:10.000Again, they're asking you to be such a moron here.
00:22:12.000They were just talking about... He's looking real sweaty here, because it turns out that this is not a good defense.
00:22:16.000They were just talking about the weather.
00:22:19.000It is impossible to describe what a weak defense this is.
00:22:23.000If you were prosecuting, let's say, a RICO case against the Mafia, and a low-level hitman told you, I talk routinely with the head of the Mafia, I would get him on the phone, and I would use him.
00:22:34.000I'd walk into a bar, and I would say to the bartender, I need you to give me 10 grand, or I'm going to shut down your bar.
00:22:43.000You don't believe that I'm a connected guy?
00:23:06.000Joe Biden really just wanted to know how the weather was over in Kiev.
00:23:11.000So to confirm, you're saying that the speakerphone conversations, they don't seem concerning to you because there is no specifics about business?
00:23:17.000And it just seemed like it was clear that it was clear that it was part of the daily conversations that Hunter Biden had with his father.
00:23:27.000And it was and and sounds like most of the time.
00:23:33.000Now President Biden didn't even know who the people he was at dinner.
00:24:27.000I say, excuse me, folks, and I get up and I go outside to talk to my parents because it's not relevant to the rest of the conversation that my dad's on the phone.
00:24:35.000This is the stupidest defense I've ever heard.
00:26:03.000By the way, it is in fact a benefit when your children benefit from this.
00:26:07.000Just to point this out, Joe would not have to directly benefit in order for this to be bribery.
00:26:14.000If somebody said to Joe, Hunter is getting paid a lot of money.
00:26:19.000He's getting paid a lot of money in order to achieve X. Can you help X happen and you are a public official?
00:26:25.000He doesn't need to see money hit his own bank account to benefit him.
00:26:28.000As a parent, I care very much about my children.
00:26:31.000I assume that Joe cares very much about Hunter and who pays Hunter's bills for his crack.
00:26:35.000So presumably that money was either coming from Joe or from someone else in the family or from some outside oligarchs.
00:26:40.000And we know for a fact that business associates of Joe have been paying hundreds of business bills, like his legal bills, them buying his crap paintings, his garbage paintings.
00:26:47.000They've been paying like half a million dollars.
00:26:49.000So it's perfectly in line for Joe Biden to have outside sources paying his son and his son benefiting from that and that acting as a form of bribery.
00:26:57.000If your entire family benefits from the bribery, and you're over here, like, living your life, but you're the one who's actually brokering the thing, yeah, that's still bribery, okay?
00:27:05.000It doesn't actually have to hit his bank account, but that's gonna be the next offense.
00:27:08.000Well, you can actually show a formal dollar being moved from this Chinese CEFC fund into Joe Biden's personal bank account.
00:27:15.000This is the next line they're going to use.
00:27:18.000So far, they have been not able to prove any evidence here of wrongdoing.
00:27:22.000House GOP members continue to try and link Hunter's business dealings to the president, though they have yet to produce any concrete evidence.
00:27:29.000Now, it is important to keep in mind, while Republicans believe that there is a tie between Hunter Biden's business dealings and the president himself, they have yet to provide any hard evidence that the president himself has done anything wrong.
00:27:41.000House Republicans are going to accuse him.
00:27:56.000There is no evidence of any wrongdoing by the President.
00:28:00.000There is today zero evidence, zero evidence that Joe Biden, the President of the United States, knew about what his son was doing.
00:28:07.000Okay, first of all, lots of evidence that he knew exactly what his son was doing.
00:28:11.000Literally, we have a WhatsApp message from Hunter Biden to a foreign oligarch in China saying, my daddy is sitting next to me right at this moment.
00:28:19.000According to Dan Goldman, probably they were just sitting there talking about the weather or something, probably.
00:28:24.000By the way, it's worth noting, UK Daily Mail, 2022, Joe Biden agreed to pay son Hunter's legal fees for his deal with the Chinese government-controlled company, emails reveal.
00:28:32.000The revelation ties the president even closer to Hunter's overseas business dealings and makes his previous claims he never discussed them with his son even less plausible.
00:28:39.000Joe was able to pay those bills after earning millions of bucks through his and his wife's companies after he left office as VP.
00:28:45.000Some of the wave of cash came from their book deals and speaking engagements, but the president's financial filings reveal he declared almost $7 million more on his tax returns than he did on his government transparency reports.
00:28:55.000Some of that difference can be accounted for with salaries earned by the first lady, Joe Biden, and other sums not required on his reports.
00:29:00.000But that leaves $5.2 million earned by Joe's company not listed on his transparency reports.
00:29:32.000They were just talking about the weather.
00:29:34.000This is literally it's it's legitimately one of the worst excuses for corruption I've ever heard.
00:29:37.000They were talking about the weather is like this one's up there with Hillary Clinton saying wiped like with a cloth.
00:29:43.000Yes, they were talking about the weather, because I routinely get my father on the phone during my business dealings to discuss the weather.
00:29:50.000So Goldman's sort of explaining that Archer qualified the topics of discussion on these phone calls as niceties, that Biden sometimes didn't even know who was on the other line with his son Hunter, and sources in the room telling CNN now that Archer did not point the finger directly at any sort of a connection between Joe Biden and his son's foreign business dealings, and rather said that Hunter Biden was selling the illusion of said access.
00:30:15.000Boris, really a stunning development, Zach, when you consider that Republicans were selling this as a breakthrough that would link Hunter's business dealings with his father.
00:30:23.000Instead, business was apparently never discussed, according to Devin Archer.
00:30:29.000See, the bombshell is that nothing happened.
00:30:31.000They were just talking about the weather.
00:30:58.000Let me call up a Senator right now and get them on the phone.
00:31:00.000And then I call up a Senator and get them on the phone.
00:31:02.000That is not an illusion of access, that's access.
00:31:06.000In Illusion of Access, he calls his friend, who is pretending to be Joe Biden, and then his friend gets on the phone and goes, and then he hangs up.
00:31:14.000Actual access is when he's your father and you call him on the phone, he's the vice president of the United States, and he is squiring you around on Air Force suits to pick up bags of cash in China, and also is in charge of Ukrainian policy, overseeing the prosecutor who is prosecuting your son's company.
00:33:41.000Maybe it's so that you can claim, well, yeah, you know, Hunter called me on the phone, and I picked up because I love my crack-addled son, who's screwing prostitutes.
00:34:37.000Well, now they take messages on his mirror like memento, like, you're the president of the United States.
00:34:42.000But again, the reason that he's playing this stuff up is because the closer he appears, the more he's a family man, the more family corruption just appears to be an act of love.
00:34:49.000And that is where this is going to go.
00:34:52.000It's a more related to Joe Biden in just one second, because that dude is extraordinarily vulnerable in a presidential election.
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00:36:56.000Okay, meanwhile, Okay, so all of this makes Joe Biden very, very, very vulnerable.
00:37:01.000Not because it means that he is open to attack from Republicans, though he certainly is, but because the only way that Joe Biden wins is, again, with high voter turnout.
00:37:08.000So Joe Biden benefited from unprecedented voter turnout in 2020.
00:37:11.000The jump in voting numbers between 2020 and 2016 is massive.
00:37:17.000The total number of votes in 2016 was Something like 127 million voters.
00:38:52.000It's the same sort of thing with Hillary Clinton.
00:38:54.000Black voters were the margin of victory for Barack Obama in 2012.
00:38:58.000They were the margin of loss for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
00:39:01.000They were the margin of victory for Joe Biden in 2020.
00:39:03.000What's going to happen with them in 2024?
00:39:05.000It's not about whether Republicans win 15% of the black vote or something.
00:39:08.000The real question is, how many black people are going to vote in swing states?
00:39:13.000Because they vote disproportionately Democrat, you need high voter turnout.
00:39:16.000This is how Barack Obama won Ohio in 2012, for example.
00:39:19.000Well, according to the Washington Post, Democrats are really worried about this.
00:39:22.000They're worried about a potential drop next year in turnout among black voters, the party's most loyal constituency.
00:39:27.000Their concern stems from a 10-percentage-point decline in Black voter turnout in last year's midterms compared with 2018, a bigger drop than among almost any other racial or ethnic group, according to a Washington Post analysis of the Census Bureau's turnout survey.
00:39:38.000Such warning signals were initially papered over by other Democrat successes in 2022 because they picked up a seat in Pennsylvania and Warnock won re-election in Georgia, but in key states like Georgia, Turnout in last year's midterms was much lower among younger and male black voters, according to internal party analysis.
00:39:54.000The drop in black turnout has become a focus for Democratic leaders as the party reorients to next year's presidential contest.
00:40:00.000And again, remember, in Georgia, the same year that Raphael Warnock won his reelect effort, Brian Kemp won an election running away in Georgia.
00:40:07.000That was not a close election against Stacey Abrams.
00:40:11.000So it's quite possible that Donald Trump is able to benefit from low voter turnout in places like Georgia.
00:40:17.000Biden's election in 2020, as the Washington Post points out, hinged on narrow victories in states like Georgia, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania that former President Trump won in 2016.
00:40:25.000Democrat activists are cautioning the party cannot afford to let support from black voters slip.
00:40:33.000And they should be worried because Joe Biden is not exactly an attractive candidate to young people of any sort, let alone young black voters who may not be all that interested in a corrupt old white man whose son was clearing a buttload of money and avoiding jail while committing obvious crimes.
00:40:48.000And let me tell you, Joe Biden's image is not what the media think Joe Biden's image is.
00:40:51.000I mean, there's a photo that emerged from Joe Biden in Delaware, Rehoboth Beach, Delaware, violating the prescriptions for avoiding skin cancer in Rehoboth Beach, Delaware.
00:41:01.000And the media tried to play this as like a big W for Joe Biden.
00:41:05.000For those who can't see the photo, this is Joe Biden shirtless in a bathing suit, staring out at somebody with a camera, wearing sunglasses and a backwards baseball cap.
00:41:32.000You will recall that back in 2008, there was a famous photo of Barack Obama merging shirtless from the ocean and the media going gaga over all of that.
00:41:39.000Yeah, I mean, that sort of stuff kind of does matter, which is why Joe Biden, being a decrepit elderly person who obviously is involved in corruption schemes with his son, is not exactly a voter turnout Jogger.
00:41:50.000I mean, it's not going to jog or increase voter turnout for Democrats, which is why they're freaking out at this point.
00:41:56.000You know who knows this is Donald Trump.
00:41:57.000It's also the reason why Donald Trump is at this point the most likely candidate to be the Republican nominee.
00:42:03.000The reason is because the man's just a battering ram.
00:42:04.000And so Republicans are thinking about Joe Biden, the same thing they thought about Hillary, which is, is Donald Trump going to throw the kitchen sink at Joe Biden?
00:42:12.000The fun of watching Donald Trump come in off the top rope against Joe Biden again, but this time actually directed against Joe Biden's corruption, And directed in a more meticulous way, perhaps, is quite real.
00:42:23.000This is what the polls are showing right now.
00:42:52.000He's the most corrupt president we've ever had.
00:42:55.000And he's also the worst president we've ever had.
00:42:57.000You look at what happened in Afghanistan, you look at what happened with inflation, look at the economy, look what's going on.
00:43:03.000No, he's the worst president we've ever had.
00:43:06.000If Donald Trump could stick to this message, a lot of Republicans believe this could be a winning message.
00:43:10.000And again, there's an element of fun to Trump that doesn't exist for the other candidates.
00:43:13.000So right now, what the polls show is that Donald Trump is in a historically strong position to return to the White House according to CNN's Harry Enten.
00:43:20.000He broke down the numbers according to mediaite behind the current state of play in the GOP presidential primary.
00:43:23.000He said, quote, Trump is not only in a historically strong position for a non-incumbent to win the Republican nomination, he's in a better position to win the general than at any point during the 2020 cycle and at almost any point during the 2016 cycle.
00:43:35.000He says no one in Trump's current polling position in the modern era has lost an open presidential primary that didn't feature an incumbent.
00:43:40.000He's pulling in more than 50% in the national primary polls, more than all of his competitors combined.
00:43:44.000Three prior candidates in open primaries were pulling in more than half the vote in primary surveys in the second half of the calendar year before election.
00:43:51.000Al Gore and Bush in 2000, and Hillary Clinton in 2016.
00:43:55.000Enten also notes that Trump is in pretty good shape in a general.
00:44:00.000He says Trump was up on Biden by one point in the Quinnipiac poll, a result within the margin of error, but nevertheless a remarkable achievement for the former president.
00:44:07.000He says one giant warning sign for Democrats was that poll, because that poll is from Pennsylvania.
00:44:13.000A low voter turnout could actually stop Joe Biden from beating Donald Trump.
00:44:19.000Well, Republican voters are obviously trending toward Donald Trump at this point.
00:44:24.000There's a New York Times Siena College poll that came out yesterday, and it shows that if the only two choices in the primary were Trump or DeSantis, right now Trump would win 62 to 31.
00:44:43.000It is not actual policy, because when it comes to policy, there is no question that DeSantis is a much stronger leader than Trump, just in terms of what he's been able to get done in the state of Florida versus what Trump was able to get done nationally.
00:44:53.000Trump was hampered by his own executive branch.
00:44:56.000Clearly, in a variety of ways, ranging from the riots to Fauci to the investigations into him by his own executive branch, his own policies were thwarted at every turn.
00:45:30.000Fascinatingly enough, when asked who is more likable, 45% of Republican voters actually say DeSantis, compared to 43% of Republican voters who say Trump.
00:45:39.000So it's not that they think that Trump is likable.
00:45:41.000It's not that they think that Trump is moral.
00:45:44.000They think that Trump is able to beat Joe Biden, 58 to 28, they believe that Trump is better to beat Joe Biden, which is kind of fascinating.
00:45:53.000When it comes to getting things done, which clearly the answer is DeSantis got a lot more things done in Florida than Trump has gotten done nationally, but it doesn't matter because it's about affect.
00:46:00.000Trump is winning 67 to 22 in that same poll.
00:46:04.000When asked who is more fun, and this is a big one, when asked who is more fun, 53% of Republicans say that Donald Trump is more fun.
00:46:37.000So, you know, it seems to me that he should debate because in an open primary, it behooves Republicans to be able to decide between candidates.
00:46:44.000But Trump put out on Truth Social last night, let them debate so I can see who I might consider for vice president.
00:46:50.000And it's sort of hard to see at this point how Trump is clawed down.
00:46:56.000Because this is really not about any of the other Republican candidates being able to overcome Trump.
00:47:01.000Trump is going to have to fall in the polls in order for any of the other Republicans to win.
00:47:05.000So what exactly could bring Trump down in the polls?
00:47:14.000There are other Republicans, like Chris Christie, who have been going after Trump.
00:47:17.000It's not affecting his poll numbers at all.
00:47:19.000Basically, the only thing that could theoretically take Trump down at this point is an outside indictment.
00:47:23.000Which, by the way, benefits Trump because that means that every time there's an indictment that comes down, there's probably going to be another one this week, he can say with plausibility, literally the only thing that can stop me at this point is Democrats indicting me.
00:47:35.000Now, as I've said before, two things can be true at once.
00:47:36.000He may be guilty, facially, of crimes like mishandling of classified documents.
00:47:40.000It can also be true That Democrats have a very strong interest in indicting him to stop him from beating Joe Biden, right?
00:47:48.000Again, one of the things that I pointed out about Ron DeSantis' candidacy, and again, I think DeSantis is a better candidate than Trump.
00:47:53.000I think that DeSantis is a stronger governor than Trump was a president.
00:47:55.000I think he'd make a better president than Trump.
00:47:57.000I've not been shy about any of this, but the big problem for Ron DeSantis is that Trump sucks all of the air out of the room.
00:48:04.000And not only that, Joe Biden is running really, really poorly at this point.
00:48:07.000If Joe Biden were running at 49-41 against Trump, then there'd be a case for DeSantis.
00:48:12.000But it's very hard for Republicans to make that case in favor of DeSantis when they're basically running even against Joe Biden because Biden's just such an unbelievably weak candidate.
00:48:20.000So speaking of these indictments, Donald Trump came out yesterday and he suggested that he is going to be indicted soon.
00:48:27.000He said on Truth Social, I assume an indictment from deranged Jack Smith and his highly partisan gang of thugs pertaining to my peacefully and patriotically speech will be coming out any day now as yet another attempt to cover up all this bad news about bribes, payoffs and extortion coming from the Biden camp.
00:48:39.000This seems to be the way that they do it.
00:48:41.000And now Atlanta is bracing for possible indictments, according to the Washington Post.
00:48:45.000For more than two years, people here and across the country have watched and waited for clues.
00:48:48.000The high-profile Georgia investigation into whether former President Trump and his allies broke the law in their attempts to overturn his 2020 election loss in the state was winding to an end.
00:48:56.000That speculation hit fever pitch in recent days with the installation of orange security barriers near the main entrance of the Fulton County Courthouse in downtown Atlanta.
00:49:04.000Simultaneous with them setting up all of that security was an appeal by Donald Trump to the court to basically rule out Fulton County District Attorney Fannie Willis's investigation.
00:49:14.000A judge, Fulton County Superior Court Judge Robert McBurney, who oversaw the special grand jury investigation in this particular case, basically slapped down Donald Trump's legal efforts to stop all of that, so it's very likely that that case is going to go forward in the near future.
00:49:28.000Meanwhile, Adam Schiff continues to be out there treated as a credible source after lying for years about the Russia-Trump stuff.
00:49:33.000He says there could still be more charges against Trump on January 6th.
00:49:39.000Do you expect that they will come out with an indictment before that, or do they need that in order to make the strongest case?
00:49:46.000You know, we're all a bit blind here because we haven't seen the body of evidence that the special counsel has.
00:49:52.000But I would imagine, you know, if the target letter went out, if they're having these, you know, last-minute conversations, that Smith is ready to indict.
00:50:00.000And he may just want to dot an I and cross a T by bringing Carrick in.
00:50:04.000He may not expect to get a lot of valuable information, but he wants to make sure at least he knows if the other side called Carrick, what would he have to say.
00:50:11.000So I don't think it's necessary that the investigation would wait until then.
00:50:16.000And as we saw in Florida, if the special counsel gets new information, there can always be a superseding indictment on these January 6 charges.
00:50:25.000So again, Democrats are going to go after Trump.
00:50:27.000And again, all of that benefits Trump in the primary.
00:50:28.000So what does that mean for the other candidates?
00:50:30.000Well, as I've said before, they're not going to win this race against Trump by actually going up directly against Trump.
00:51:25.000The vast majority of voters do not care about policy.
00:51:26.000They care about personality, which is why Donald Trump became president of the United States.
00:51:30.000It's also, by the way, why Barack Obama became president of the United States without any sort of political experience in actually promoting policy before he became president.
00:51:54.000So yeah, I told you last week that I saw Oppenheimer, but I didn't really review it because I had a 43-minute review of Barbie, which became like the most viral thing on the internet for a bit.
00:52:03.000And so here's my actual review of Oppenheimer.
00:52:06.000So it's a brilliant film because Christopher Nolan is just amazing.
00:52:09.000Christopher Nolan is the best living director.
00:53:12.000is playing the guy who's the head of the Princeton physics program who originally got Oppenheimer to come over there.
00:53:19.000And who is Essentially up for a position as the head of the Department of Commerce under Dwight Eisenhower.
00:53:26.000At one point, actually, he was offered to be—this is a real-life story—he was actually offered to be chief of staff for Dwight Eisenhower.
00:53:36.000The movie sort of implies that he was jealous of Oppenheimer and that's the reason why he was implacably opposed to Oppenheimer.
00:53:41.000So the basic thrust of the Oppenheimer story, and this is true in real life, is that Oppenheimer was a communist fellow traveler in the 1930s.
00:53:47.000There's some good evidence that he was actively being used by the Soviets in like the early 1940s, even during the Manhattan Project.
00:53:56.000In order to sort of facilitate transfer of information, there's a fairly famous letter from a Soviet agent in the United States to Lorenzi Beria, who is the head of the KGB.
00:54:06.000It wasn't called the KGB at the time, but the KGB.
00:54:09.000And about Oppenheimer, implying that Oppenheimer was in fact being used to funnel information.
00:54:15.000to the Soviet Union or at least hooking people up.
00:54:17.000There's a lot of controversy about his Soviet ties.
00:54:19.000The man was like deeply embedded with tons of communists all around him.
00:54:23.000There were a bunch of people who actually were active Soviet spies who were present at Los Alamos during this period.
00:54:28.000So basically the story of Oppenheimer, just on a historical level, is that he was granted a security clearance in order to help produce the bomb.
00:54:33.000There were serious security problems with him leading up to that and everybody was worried about it.
00:54:37.000But they really had no choice because all the best nuclear scientists We're all in bed with communists.
00:54:42.000Including, by the way, Albert Einstein.
00:54:44.000Albert Einstein, quite famously, was kind of a fan of Lenin.
00:54:47.000He literally said about Lenin, quote, That is what Albert Einstein had to say about Vladimir Lenin.
00:54:50.000So, I mean, a lot of these people were communist fellow travelers.
00:54:51.000energy to the realization of social justice. I do not consider his methods practical, but
00:54:55.000one thing is certain, men of his type are the guardians and restorers of humanity."
00:54:58.000Right? That is what Albert Einstein had to say about Vladimir Lenin. So, I mean, a lot
00:55:04.000of these people were communist fellow travelers. One reason for that is because most of Europe
00:55:10.000at this point was divided between sort of fascists and communists, right? This is exactly
00:55:13.000what happened in pre-war Germany, is that there was a divide between the communists
00:55:19.000in Germany and the fascists in Germany, and the right sided with the fascists in order
00:55:23.000to stop the communists, right? That's the story of the early 1930s and late 1920s in
00:55:27.000Germany, and obviously the Nazis end up rising to power. A lot of people who oppose the Nazis
00:55:30.000then fall into the communist camp because the communists very often would promise sort
00:55:35.000of equality of man and brotherhood. So for a lot of Jewish expatriates, they were
00:55:38.000So, Oppenheimer is brought into Los Alamos.
00:55:41.000There are serious suspicions about his security, even at the time.
00:55:44.000He's given security clearance to get the bomb done.
00:55:46.000toward the communist camp. This is why in intellectual Jewish circles communism was
00:55:50.000very popular in the 1930s and 1940s as sort of an anti-racist routine despite its evils.
00:55:55.000Okay so Oppenheimer is brought into Los Alamos. There are serious suspicions about his security
00:56:00.000even at the time. He's given security clearance to get the bomb done. After the war he becomes a big
00:56:05.000and ardent opponent of the development of the hydrogen bomb.
00:56:10.000He speaks publicly about how the hydrogen bomb should not be developed because it'll lead to
00:56:13.000an arms race. Instead maybe we should share technology with the Russians and there'll be
00:56:16.000mutually assured destruction and then we'll all go weapons down. And there are two ways to
00:56:21.000as Oppenheimer's fans would read it, which is that he was so stunned by the power of the bomb
00:56:25.000that now he turns against the use of nuclear weapons and the possibility of nuclear weapons
00:56:30.000themselves, right? I'm the destroyer of all man and the all of the quotes about him being, you
00:56:36.000know, death. And the other read on this is that he was perfectly fine using the bomb on Japan when
00:56:43.000the Soviets wanted the bomb to be used on Japan.
00:56:45.000But then as soon as the war was over, he didn't want the United States leaping way, way, way ahead of the Russians in terms of nuclear technology.
00:56:51.000And so he wanted to stop the development of the hydrogen bomb.
00:56:53.000And it was these suspicions that led Louis Strauss to testify, to essentially organize A removal of Oppenheimer's security clearance in the early 1950s.
00:57:02.000So in the movie, this is played as sort of McCarthyite scare.
00:57:09.000But again, there's pretty good material suggesting that Oppenheimer probably should not have had security clearance in the aftermath of the war because he was given security clearance as like an emergency measure.
00:57:20.000But he was a serious, I mean, like literally every woman he ever slept with was a communist.
00:57:39.000The movie plays it as though Oppenheimer is clearly not in that camp and that the real reason that he's sort of going through this process and respecting the process is because he wants to do repentance for having created the nuclear bomb.
00:57:50.000The real problem with the movie is the time in which the movie is made.
00:57:53.000So the entire premise of the movie is that Oppenheimer has created a means for the world to destroy itself and he can't actually deal with that.
00:57:59.000And so that's the entire plotline of the movie.
00:58:23.000Not only because of the development of nuclear energy, which is essentially endless and clean, but also because the development of the nuclear bomb itself has made wartime death extraordinarily less of a mathematical issue.
00:58:39.000Meaning that, let's take a quick example.
00:58:41.000The number of American soldiers who were killed in World War II was 405,000.
00:58:50.000405,000 Americans died in World War II.
00:58:52.000116,000 Americans died in World War I.
00:59:58.000He was a person who was deeply involved with himself.
01:00:02.000And there's a pretty good argument to be made that his sort of narcissism led him to make some of the arguments that he was making.
01:00:08.000There's a scene that's sort of played for almost like Truman is the villain in which Oppenheimer, and this is a real story from American Prometheus, the biography upon which the film is based, There's a scene in the movie where Oppenheimer goes to visit Truman, and he is telling him he doesn't want to do the hydrogen bomb, and that he's very concerned about the casualties, and he says that he is disturbed, but that he's the person who created the bomb.
01:00:31.000And Truman looks at him, and he says, you didn't drop it.
01:00:45.000The fact is, nobody remembers Oppenheimer for being the guy who dropped the bomb because he didn't drop the bomb.
01:00:49.000And this is sort of the outcome of the movie that's sort of weird.
01:00:52.000So, the movie seems to suggest that the scientists have some sort of special viewpoint into humanity because they developed the science.
01:01:01.000That the politicians are sort of venal and corrupt and they have all these worldly concerns, but the scientists are operating on sort of a spiritual plane.
01:01:09.000The cult of scientific expertise probably went out of fashion with Oppenheimer, and it's a good thing that it did.
01:01:14.000Because the reality is that just because a scientist is great at science does not mean they know jack bleep about politics or about human nature.
01:01:21.000Again, Albert Einstein, most brilliant scientist who ever lived, was a fan of Lenin.
01:01:26.000Oppenheimer was a communist fellow traveler.
01:01:30.000The fact is that Anthony Fauci does not know about human nature.
01:01:33.000Anthony Fauci does not know what sort of decisions should be made to balance all the interests of human beings.
01:01:39.000This is why we don't have scientific god kings.
01:01:42.000And so there are a couple of messages that come away from the film that are sort of in conflict.
01:01:46.000One is that it's kind of bad that the scientists, you know, didn't get to run things because the politicians were so venal and all of this.
01:01:51.000But the other one is that the scientists are really kind of screwed up because they're screwed up just like all other human beings.
01:01:56.000They're not a class apart from all other human beings.
01:01:58.000They are not wiser or more brilliant, except in the fields in which they are wiser and more brilliant, which includes nuclear physics, but does not include politics.
01:02:05.000And so in any case, the fact that, you know, it takes on all of these issues and does so in a blockbuster fashion, a three hour long movie about issues like politics, science, about the interplay of the two, about communism versus freedom of speech and all that like the fact that you do
01:02:20.000that in a three-hour film and it's going to make hundreds of millions of dollars is testament to uh
01:02:23.000what Christopher Nolan is capable of in terms of where this ranks among Nolan's films it's it's a
01:02:28.000different kind of Nolan film Nolan's films that you think of are like the Dark Knight or Interstellar
01:02:33.000or Inception you know these vast sort of these vast visual feasts
01:02:39.000That's not really what Oppenheimer is.
01:02:41.000It's more along the lines of, say, There Will Be Blood than it is along the lines of his prior work.
01:02:46.000As I say, it's the best scientific biopic ever made.
01:02:48.000In terms of where I put it in sort of the Nolan pantheon, it's kind of strange to put it in the Nolan pantheon because, again, it's such a different type of film.
01:02:55.000But I will say that I was pleasantly surprised by the fact that it's better than his last two films.
01:03:00.000So I wanted to love Dunkirk, instead I kind of liked Dunkirk.
01:03:23.000Okay, so my friend Matt Walsh, he believes that he has now won the greatest of all arguments, the argument over UFOs.
01:03:31.000He thinks that not only do aliens exist, that they are here on this planet.
01:03:37.000And so he was very upset with me yesterday when I said that this is stupid.
01:03:39.000He was very mad, and he had basically two main arguments in which he quote-unquote destroyed me using facts and logic, which, dude, I've got that branded.
01:05:38.000The more outlandish the claim, the more evidence must be provided to support the claim.
01:05:42.000So if you were going to claim that a giant green monster the size of a dragon emerged from your toilet and then proceeded to burn down your local city, and I said, I'm gonna need to see some evidence of that.
01:05:54.000And you're like, well, one time a guy took a shadowy photo on his radar I might be like, well, that's a big claim and it is not supported by the evidence you have thus far presented.
01:06:04.000So could you present me with evidence that aliens have been here?
01:06:07.000In fact, I think the government sucks at pretty much everything.
01:06:10.000So it seems to me quite plausible that if the evidence existed, that not only would we know about it, we'd see a lot of it and it would be pretty credible, which brought us to Matt's second argument, which is there is evidence.
01:06:20.000Because again, I'm not saying that you couldn't show me evidence to convince me that alien life is on earth and is zipping around like you could.
01:06:27.000But I'd need an awful lot of it, and it would need to be super credible, and there are several plausible explanations.
01:06:32.000I say, let's take this logically for just a moment to destroy Matt with facts and logic.
01:06:36.000So, if I say to Matt, there's a bunch of dirty dishes in the kitchen.
01:07:12.000Because on the list of possibilities, this one ranks rather low.
01:07:15.000So, when I see some of the evidence that Matt is going to talk about in a second, the possibility that this is alien life is like 10th on the list of probabilities.
01:07:29.000I think at best it is extraordinarily highly unlikely, but here's Matt explaining that no, no, no, it's highly likely.
01:07:35.000But with the UFO, blink and you miss it.
01:07:39.000And so most of the time, there's not enough time to even pull your phone out because the thing's traveling so fast.
01:07:44.000And yet, in spite of those obstacles, still we have hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of photographs, footage that we've seen since the 50s.
01:07:54.000I mean, there are compelling UFO photos back in the 50s that still have not been debunked.
01:07:59.000People want to say that they're hoaxes, but many of them still.
01:08:01.000People have been, you know, experts have been looking at them for decades and haven't been able to debunk them.
01:08:08.000You expect that if UFOs have visited, you would expect that in, you know, back in the mid 20th century when there was, there's photographic technology, but not like it is today, that every once in a while you'd see a good photograph.
01:08:20.000And then you would expect that today there'd be a lot more.
01:09:20.000Because I think the laws of physics are things that exist, and they exist here on Earth.
01:09:23.000And that means that if something is defying the laws of physics, it is more likely that my eyes are deceiving me than that the laws of physics are being violated.
01:09:53.000Because you believe in the laws of physics.
01:09:55.000So, when something comes into conflict with the laws of physics, one of two things has to be true.
01:09:58.000Either you're now claiming that not only did aliens come to Earth, they also defy the laws of physics and are stupid enough to get caught on camera.
01:10:06.000Or alternatively, it's an optical illusion and your eyes are playing tricks on you or the radar is malfunctioning.
01:10:11.000By the way, I mean, I'll take an example.
01:10:14.000The Independent Rampage just Earlier this year, talking about unidentified aerial phenomenon in the United States, they say some of these highly maneuverable UFOs seem to defy physics.
01:10:25.000Researchers, including those from the Pentagon's All Domain Anomaly Resolution Office, say these UFOs do not show the telltale signs that normally appear when objects moving at such speeds experience friction with air.
01:10:35.000The new study, which remains to be peer-reviewed, did not delve into more philosophical questions, such as proof of intelligent lifeforms on other planets, but from the UAP observations, the researchers said the friction of UAP with the surrounding air or water is expected to generate a bright optical fireball ionization shall entail implying radio signatures.
01:10:50.000For an object observed to be moving in such fashion at high speeds, scientists say ionization and associated radio frequency signatures are expected as they move through the atmosphere, in addition to the thermal shock and associated optical signatures.
01:11:01.000But in reports of such highly maneuverable UAPs, there are no signs of these signatures.
01:11:06.000Scientists speculate the lack of these signatures could be due to more mundane reasons, including that human instruments may not be sensitive enough to record these changes.
01:11:14.000The lack of these signatures could imply inaccurate distance measurements for single-site sensors without a range gate capability, say researchers.
01:11:20.000Typical UAP sightings are too far away to get a highly resolved image of the object, and determination of the object's motion is limited by lack of range data.
01:11:28.000So, this could be a sensor-induced optical illusion.
01:11:33.000Either there is indeed a ship violating the laws of physics, which are laws because they're, you know, real.
01:11:38.000Or, it could be that the sensor data is malfunctioning.
01:11:42.000So, if you step on your scale this morning and it says that you are 100,000 pounds, one of two things is happening.
01:11:50.000Either you are violating the laws of biology because you as a human being cannot actually live being 100,000 pounds, or your scale is malfunctioning.
01:11:57.000Which one do you think is more likely?
01:12:00.000Again, this is a question of likelihoods, Matt.
01:12:02.000It's not a question of for-sures, because I don't know for sure.
01:12:05.000All I'm saying is that the evidence you're presenting me is going to have to be better than a guy saw a shadowy image that appeared to defy the laws of physics.