Trump declares the primary race over, calls for an end to all future primary debates, and calls for the RNC to end any further primary debates. Meanwhile, President Trump continues to bask in the glow of his 40 point lead over Joe Biden in the polls. Trump also continues to capitalize on the ongoing strike by the United Auto Workers, and tries to get his supporters to vote for him in a speech he gave in favor of the strike, but is it enough to get them to actually do so? And, of course, there's still time to catch up on the latest news from the world of sports and politics. Stay tuned for the rest of the news and reaction from around the world! Tweet me if you have any thoughts on this or any other stories you would like to see us cover. Timestamps: 5:00 - Trump declares the primaries are over 6:30 - Trump's lead in polls over the field 7:15 - Biden's rise 8:00 9:10 - Trump calls for no more primary debates 11:40 - UAW protest 12:30 13:10 15:00 | What's next for Trump? 16:15 17:40 | What s next for the Trump campaign 18:40 19:10 | What are we going to do now? 21:30 | What should we expect from Trump in 2020 22:00 // 22:30 // 23: What s going to happen next? 26:00 / 27:00 +28: Is it over? 29: Is there a real chance for Trump s chances in 2020? 35:00 @ least likely to win the primary? 36:00 & 33:00 Is he a done? 37:00 Can he really be a real presidential candidate? 39:00 Or is he running for president in 2020 or not? 40/40? 45/46? 41: Does he have a chance to win in 2020 ? 45:00/45/47? 47:40/50? 46:00 Does he really have a shot at winning the nomination in 2020 at this point? 48: Is he really running for the White House in 2020?? 51:00 Do I really have any chance at a chance at it? & much more? , 47:00
00:00:47.000At least 45 to 50% of the Republican base in these primaries does not want Donald Trump,
00:00:53.000or at the very least is talking about voting already about people who are not Donald Trump.
00:00:57.000And there's a solid number of people who like Donald Trump, but would be open to others.
00:01:01.000This is what the polling is showing right now.
00:01:03.000Well, Trump would like to cancel all future debates because he says that we need to train our fire on Biden.
00:01:09.000Now, that's kind of an ironic claim coming from President Trump, who's trained most of his fire at this point on various prosecutors going after him or on Ron DeSantis.
00:01:16.000He's not trained in enormous amounts of fire on President Biden to this point.
00:01:20.000However, trying to end the primaries early is obviously in Trump's best interest.
00:01:25.000Whether the RNC goes along with anything like that is another question.
00:01:28.000According to Mediaite yesterday, the Trump campaign has now asked the RNC to put an end to any further primary debates following a second debate that former President Donald Trump skipped.
00:01:37.000A note from senior advisor Chris LaCivita was sent from the Trump press office.
00:01:43.000Said, tonight's GOP debate was as boring and inconsequential as the first debate.
00:01:46.000Nothing that was said will change the dynamics of the primary contest being dominated by President
00:01:49.000Trump. President Trump has a 40 or 50 point lead in the primary election and a 10 point
00:01:53.000lead over Joe Biden in the general election. Well, that is according to one poll.
00:01:56.000We talked about that poll a couple of days ago.
00:01:57.000There are two separate polls that have come out since then, one with Biden up one, one with Biden up five.
00:02:01.000This is to suggest that in the real clear politics polling average, for example, Trump is up 10 is not right.
00:02:06.000In the average, basically he and Biden are running within margin of error.
00:02:11.000The RNC should immediately put an end to any further primary debates so we can train our fire on crooked Joe Biden and quit wasting time and money that could be going to evicting Biden from the White House.
00:02:19.000Now, again, one of the problems here is that the argument that Team Trump is going to spend all that money on evicting Biden from the White House ignores the fact that an extraordinary amount of the money that is poured into Trump's campaign has been spent on his legal bills and will, going forward, be spent on his legal bills, particularly if all of his assets are locked up in New York because of this fraud case.
00:02:37.000Meanwhile, President Trump is doing the Trump thing.
00:02:40.000He did this UAW speech the other day that was not to the UAW, it was about the UAW.
00:02:45.000And Stagecraft, you could call it Stagecraft, you could also call it fibbing.
00:02:50.000So President Trump stacked the room apparently with a bunch of his own supporters.
00:02:55.000In fact, there was one person carrying a sign that said union members for Trump, who then admitted to the press that he was not, in fact, a union member and had basically been handed the sign.
00:03:02.000According to the UK Guardian, when Donald Trump gave a speech in Michigan on Wednesday, seeking to capitalize on the UAW strike, at least two crowd members holding signs saying union members for Trump and autoworkers for Trump turned out to be neither.
00:03:13.000According to the Detroit News, one individual in the crowd who held the sign that said union members for Trump acknowledged she was not a union member when approached by a reporter after the event.
00:03:20.000Another person with a sign that read auto workers for Trump said he was not an auto worker when asked for an interview.
00:03:25.000Both people did not provide their names.
00:03:27.000The paper said that between four and five hundred people attended the event.
00:03:30.000It was at a non-unionized automotive parts supplier in Clinton Township.
00:03:35.000So he didn't go to like a unionized shop.
00:03:36.000He went to like a non-union shop to do a speech about how the UAW workers deserve more and how they're being screwed by President Biden.
00:03:43.000Now again, the general message that Trump gave with regard to Biden and electric vehicle mandates and all the rest, a lot of that is true.
00:03:49.000However, again, the manipulation of the stagecraft is pretty wild.
00:03:56.000Well, Donald Trump's lawyers, meanwhile, as we say, they're looking down the barrel of a real problem for Donald Trump with regard to his assets.
00:04:02.000People, I think, are not spending enough time and energy on the fraud ruling in New York.
00:04:06.000The reason being, again, all these criminal indictments, they're going to go whichever way they're going to go, and everybody knows that they're politically motivated.
00:04:11.000The fraud ruling is also politically motivated, but the real-world impact of that fraud ruling is devastating to President Trump on a personal and a familial level.
00:04:20.000President Trump's lawyers apparently don't really know what to do because the judge in this case is so obviously partisan and so obviously over the top.
00:04:26.000The judge actually fined Trump's lawyers for making arguments he didn't like in that last ruling.
00:04:31.000According to the New York Times, Trump could lose his grip on buildings including Trump Tower on Fifth Avenue, the Trump International Hotel overlooking Central Park, and all the rest.
00:04:40.000The judge sided with New York Attorney General Letitia James, and as a punishment, the judge effectively revoked Trump's licenses to operate all of those properties, and it left much of his New York operation hanging in the balance.
00:04:53.000He's already sued Justice Engeron himself, who's been a thorn in the side of the Trump lawyers for more than a year.
00:04:59.000In a Wednesday hearing, Trump's lawyers pled for clarity, asking Justice Engron to explain exactly what the effect of his ruling would be, and the judge refused to say.
00:05:07.000So, it's totally unclear what happens now.
00:05:08.000So, it could spell the end of the Trump Organization.
00:05:11.000It could force the sell-off of several properties.
00:05:13.000It could basically destroy Trump's organization in New York.
00:05:16.000More likely, said legal experts, is a period in which Trump would be unable to operate his properties, which would be handed to a court-appointed chief executive, Such an arrangement would preserve Trump's ownership while preventing him and his two adult sons from running the machinery of the empire without permission from the court, which could be a problem depending on how much leverage he is taking out against buildings, for example, in order to fund his legal enterprises.
00:05:36.000All these are obstacles to Trump's re-elect.
00:05:38.000Again, it is not that Trump can't beat Biden.
00:05:44.000I think that it is a, I would say a 40 to 45 percent shot that Trump would beat Joe Biden in a general election, given his performance in the last election, given the fact that right now he's not the actual nominee yet, and so many Democrats are focusing in on the failures of Joe Biden rather than how much they hate Donald Trump.
00:06:00.000Obviously, Joe Biden is focusing in in tremendous fashion on Trump and Trump alone.
00:06:05.000The only reason, basically, that he stayed in the race is because Trump is the nominee.
00:06:08.000He believes that he's the only candidate that he can beat.
00:06:10.000We'll get to more of that in just one second.
00:06:12.000First, I want to talk to you about Dailyware's most trusted privacy partner and premier sponsor of this show, ExpressVPN.
00:06:17.000Internet service providers know every single website you visit and can sell this information to ad companies and tech giants who then use that data to target you.
00:07:30.000Well, finally, Ron DeSantis is actually training his fire on Trump.
00:07:33.000And this has been, you know, the sort of pattern when it comes to primaries with Trump going all the way back to 2016.
00:07:38.000If you go back to 2016, what you will see is that Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio were under the weird assumption that Donald Trump's support base would simply collapse at a certain point and then they would just walk into the nomination.
00:07:49.000Instead, they ended up fighting each other to the end.
00:07:51.000And then John Kasich stayed in to make sure that Donald Trump was the nominee by sucking up like 10, 15% of the vote in competitive primaries.
00:07:58.000And so Donald Trump waltzed in that nomination despite the fact that in the early states he's only winning 30-35% of the vote.
00:08:04.000Well, today Trump is a lot stronger than he was in 2016.
00:08:14.000And so whoever is running against Trump at a certain point here is going to have to stop with this notion that Trump is going to just fall off the road somewhere.
00:08:41.000And so finally, DeSantis, who has now done two separate debates with the rest of the second-tier Republicans, He's beginning to fight back because he's making an argument.
00:08:52.000The argument basically is, look, I won the last two debates.
00:08:56.000I'm the only guy who's running double digits even against Trump in these primaries.
00:09:00.000So if you're going to consolidate the field, don't consolidate the field around one candidate who has not even had to go through a debate and who has a lot of blemishes on his record.
00:09:08.000Instead, why not consolidate the field around two candidates and then let us battle it out?
00:09:56.000As you can see, DeSantis cleared the field when it came to this debate.
00:10:01.000And the polling data support that same sort of notion.
00:10:04.000So, FiveThirtyEight did a poll on the debate, and what they found is that 33% of likely Republican voters who watched the debate said DeSantis performed the best.
00:10:12.000Only 5% said that he performed the worst.
00:10:31.000People hated Mike Pence's performance.
00:10:32.000Nobody understands why Doug Burgum is on the stage.
00:10:34.000So DeSantis is now making the case that he should have made a long time ago, which is, when it comes to winning the general election, I'm your guy.
00:10:42.000I have the proven track record in Florida.
00:10:44.000I have not lost to President Biden before.
00:12:09.000Iowa is still very much an open question.
00:12:11.000There's a world where DeSantis wins Iowa.
00:12:13.000And so if Trump just keeps ignoring DeSantis, I mean at a certain point somebody's going to have to take it to Trump.
00:12:18.000And DeSantis is going to have to be the guy who does it because no one else in the field really is capable of doing that.
00:12:22.000Now the big problem here is that when you're looking at consolidation of the field, Trump wants the field to consolidate to just him.
00:12:27.000I think it's premature to do that, considering, again, all of his vulnerabilities that we've discussed, ranging from the fact that he's wildly unpopular with suburban women, to the fact that he already lost to Joe Biden the first time, to the fact that he does not have the self-control to actually meticulously attack Joe Biden's record.
00:12:42.000All the things we all know about Donald Trump, those should be fair game for debate.
00:12:46.000But consolidating the field to two is necessary at this point if you actually want there to be any sort of race.
00:12:51.000Instead, we have a bunch of also-rans who are staying in the field.
00:13:05.000Vivek Ramaswamy is not running for president.
00:13:07.000He's running for Senate from Ohio, or he's running for a cabinet position under President Trump, or he is running for a new business in the media.
00:13:14.000Chris Christie is running a pure revenge play.
00:13:19.000He committed the world's most famous political murder suicide in New Hampshire against Marco Rubio, basically ensuring the nomination of Donald Trump.
00:13:26.000And apparently he wants to do the same thing again.
00:13:28.000Christie says, I'm not going to drop out.
00:13:37.000If it all is going to come down to New Hampshire, and you know this better than anyone, having run, you ran a great campaign in 2016.
00:13:45.000How are you getting the sense the field is going to be winnowed?
00:13:49.000And if you're down before New Hampshire, would you drop out of the race?
00:13:55.000No, I have every intention of winning New Hampshire, and I wouldn't drop out before that, and I don't think I'm going to see any evidence that would compel me to do so.
00:14:04.000But what I would also say to you is, at least what I see up in New Hampshire, is Donald Trump in almost every poll well below 40%.
00:14:12.000The unbelievable arrogance of people like Chris Christie staying in the race, even if Chris Christie were to win New Hampshire.
00:14:17.000Do you think that Chris Christie goes on to even compete in South Carolina or any of the other primaries?
00:14:33.000But if there's going to be any alternative, the field has to winnow.
00:14:37.000Again, I'm looking at that RealClearPolitics polling average, and what you are seeing in that RealClearPolitics polling average is that even in the national polling, Trump's at like 53%, which means 47% of the Republican base is not in love with Trump.
00:14:48.000But you have 83 candidates, including like Christie at two, and Scott at three, and Pence at four, and Ramaswamy at five, and Haley at seven.
00:14:57.000That field is gonna have to winnow and winnow pretty quickly if anyone is going to challenge Trump.
00:15:02.000And again, DeSantis is gonna have to get a lot more aggressive on the campaign trail against Trump, against Trump, among other people.
00:15:08.000In just a second, we'll get to Joe Biden, who is deeply relying on Donald Trump's candidacy in order to project him back to the presidency of the United States.
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00:16:23.000The entire speech was about how Donald Trump is the scourge of the world.
00:16:26.000And of course, he has to run this campaign because if he is forced to run on his record, he loses.
00:16:31.000So he's going to run purely on the idea that Donald Trump is a threat to democracy and all the rest.
00:16:34.000Now, back in 2022, some of us kind of scoffed at this strategy.
00:16:37.000We said, well, yeah, but he's a bad president.
00:16:39.000And his bizarre speech in front of Independence Hall flanked by U.S.
00:16:43.000Marines in the background with a blood red background was absurd and ugly and quasi terrifying.
00:16:50.000And yet, because Trump was seen as such a threat by so many sort of moderate voters, the result was that the Democrats overperformed in 2022.
00:17:00.000And so they're going to run that same playbook back again.
00:17:03.000Here was Joe Biden yesterday talking about how the MAGA movement is a dangerous threat to democracy.
00:18:49.000Here we go, MAGA quotes with Joe Biden.
00:18:51.000What's amazing about Joe Biden, I've never heard, the longest word in the English language is pneumo-ultra-microscopic-silico-volcanoconiosis.
00:18:57.000Or at least it was until this speech, in which Joe Biden strung together at least 8,000 words into one.
00:20:04.000We're at an inflection point in our history.
00:20:07.000One of those moments that not only happens once every several generations, it happens once every eight or nine generations, where the decisions made in the short period of time we're in now are going to determine the course of this country and the world for the next six or seven decades.
00:20:25.000So, you, me, every American is committed to preserving our democracy and our constitutional protections.
00:20:34.000Okay, again, all of this is garbage, but the case that he is making is going to be, and it always comes down to this one, is Biden versus Trump.
00:20:43.000Who is the person who's going to project solidity?
00:20:45.000Now, when it comes to record, Trump's record is way more solid than Biden's, without a doubt.
00:20:50.000When it comes to personality, Biden isn't particularly solid.
00:20:53.000The good news is that he's not alive anymore, so you don't have to worry about whether he's solid or not, because corpses generally aren't all that volatile.
00:21:00.000In just a second, we'll get to the other flaws in Joe Biden's candidacy first.
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00:21:47.000Meanwhile, again, Joe Biden's entire campaign is predicated on Donald Trump being the nominee.
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00:22:04.000And meanwhile, again, Joe Biden's entire campaign is predicated on Donald Trump being the nominee,
00:22:08.000because if he's not the nominee, he's got a real problem.
00:22:10.000One of those big problems is the fact that he is as corrupt as the day is long.
00:22:15.000So the House yesterday commenced their impeachment inquiry.
00:22:18.000So I suggested beforehand that I don't really see the strategic need for an impeachment inquiry given the fact we are already on the Republican side looking into All of his corruption.
00:22:28.000I'm not sure how like putting a stamp impeachment inquiry helps things other than it sort of boxes you in because you don't come to an impeachment at the end of the impeachment inquiry you exonerate the guy and the question is going to be whether you have enough votes even on the republican side of the aisle for an actual impeachment that means holding together your caucus in really strong fashion which is kind of a problem since again the impeachment inquiry was launched without a vote in the house meaning that The majority in the House, the Republican majority, was not even there.
00:22:55.000And the fact is that McCarthy could not get enough Republicans to vote on the dotted line with regard to an impeachment inquiry to launch it that way, which raises the question as to whether he's going to get enough Republicans to vote for an actual impeachment, which would be a giant fail.
00:23:05.000If you launch an inquiry without coming to an actual impeachment, you get nothing out of it.
00:23:11.000They launched the impeachment inquiry.
00:23:12.000A lot of people think that that was an attempt by McCarthy to stave off the right flank, saying, listen, I'm giving you guys what you want.
00:23:20.000Okay, whatever this is, that yesterday they had a six-hour hearing on impeachment.
00:23:25.000It was not, like, amazing for the Republican Party.
00:23:28.000They didn't present any first-hand witnesses.
00:23:31.000Instead, they heard some testimony from a variety of sort of different scholars, including Jonathan Turley, forensic accountant Bruce Dubinsky, former Justice Department tax attorney Eileen O'Connor.
00:23:43.000They knew going in that Jonathan Turley was going to say that they have not the evidence to impeach Biden yet.
00:23:49.000The problem is that that is the headline coming out of the impeachment inquiry day one, is that the Republican's own witness said, you can't impeach him based on what you got right now.
00:24:41.000Well, the evidence continues to emerge.
00:24:47.000Yesterday, according to Breitbart, Hunter Biden apparently referenced selling access to presidential Biden as the keys to my family's only asset, according to messages from Hunter Biden's iCloud backup released by the House Ways and Means Committee on Wednesday.
00:25:00.000The committee released information confirming Devin Archer's testimony that Hunter Biden traveled the world selling access to the Biden brand, meaning Joe Biden.
00:25:07.000Hunter referred to access to Joe as, quote, the keys to, quote, my family's only asset.
00:25:14.000Documents obtained by the committee confirm associates of the Biden business had direct access to the White House and then-VP Joe Biden's advisors.
00:25:21.000According to the committee, Biden's associates were told not to mention Joe being involved.
00:25:24.000White House logs show many Biden business associates visited the White House multiple times.
00:25:28.000In addition, after the IRS launched its investigation into the Biden family, Hunter Biden apparently, quote, expected all of this stuff to go away when his dad becomes president, according to an email between Hunter Biden and a CNN producer that the committee actually obtained.
00:25:40.000Again, the producer has an email from Hunter saying he expected all this stuff to go away
00:26:31.000In China, This was the Chinese government.
00:26:34.000This was the Chinese government sending direct payments to Joe Biden's immediate family.
00:26:39.000And what they needed was help navigating the bureaucracy and eliminating barriers to entry in our markets.
00:26:47.000And all that is true, and more evidence is going to drop here, and it's not going to be good for Joe Biden.
00:26:51.000Now, Democrats, for their part, they were dunking on Republicans yesterday.
00:26:54.000They were suggesting that they've got nothing, there's no evidence, all the rest of this kind of stuff.
00:26:57.000But it doesn't matter, because in the general American perception of Joe Biden, the idea that he is clean and pure and honorable, no one thinks that.
00:27:03.000The polls show people think that Joe Biden is corrupt, mainly because he's corrupt.
00:27:06.000But here are Democrats yesterday slaying, go ahead, slay kings and queens, go for it.
00:27:13.000We're 62 hours away from shutting down the government of the United States of America, and Republicans are launching an impeachment drive based on a long, debunked, and discredited lie.
00:27:26.000What a day we are having here, isn't it?
00:29:58.000Again, they've got an amazing guarantee.
00:29:59.000Results on day one or you get your money back at GenuCell.com slash Shapiro.
00:30:03.000And so meanwhile, again, Joe Biden, Between his corrupt personality, the fact that he is in a state of physical and mental decay, and his bad policy, he is a very vulnerable candidate.
00:30:13.000The UAW apparently is now threatening more strikes.
00:30:17.000So you mean the president showed up, wore their hat, and now they're like, hey, we got some juice.
00:30:22.000Let's strike some more and wreck the economy.
00:30:23.000The UAW pledged to widen its strike on Friday, barring significant progress in talks with Detroit carmakers as the companies take steps to keep critical parts flowing to their dealerships.
00:30:32.000Parallel talks between the UAW and GM, Ford Motor, and Chrysler parent Stellantis continued, a union official said Wednesday, nearly two weeks into a limited strike at all three automakers.
00:30:41.000The UAW official said the union would identify new strike targets at 10 a.m.
00:30:44.000Friday with walkouts to begin at noon unless bargainers make headway in negotiations for a new four-year contract.
00:30:50.000Last week, the UAW expanded that strike beyond three assembly plans to include a 38-part distribution centers owned by GM and Stellantis.
00:30:58.000The union spared Ford for more walkouts.
00:30:59.000They said they were getting more concessions from Ford.
00:31:03.000But the widening of the strike, why do you think they're doing that?
00:31:05.000They're doing that because the President of the United States literally showed up and walked the picket line with them wearing a UAW hat.
00:31:10.000That is why you end up with more strikes.
00:31:12.000So, if they cut a really, really great sweetheart deal with all of these car companies and your car becomes wildly more expensive, you know exactly who to blame.
00:31:23.000It turns out, again, that when the President of the United States endorses one side in a private labor action, it is very likely that that side is going to be incentivized to take a harder line position not to come to the negotiating table and bargain.
00:31:35.000Speaking of failures, the Ukraine war continues to slog on.
00:31:39.000According to the New York Times, literally no one has gained ground this year.
00:31:42.000Although both sides have launched an ambitious offensive, the front line has barely shifted.
00:31:45.000After 18 months of war, a breakthrough looks more difficult than ever.
00:31:49.000Again, the frontline Ukraine basically changed not at all from last winter.
00:31:52.000There was supposed to be a major Ukrainian offensive that was going to reverse Russian gains in Donbass and the Crimea region.
00:31:59.000Instead, the map looks pretty much the same, despite nine months of bloody fighting, less than 500 square miles of territory have changed hands since the start of the year.
00:32:08.000And meanwhile, Joe Biden has no off-ramp.
00:32:18.000There was going to be a negotiated settlement.
00:32:20.000No one believes the Ukrainians are pushing the Russians all the way out of Crimea and all the way out of the Donbass.
00:32:25.000There's been almost like zero territorial change.
00:32:28.000The last major territorial change was in November, December of last year.
00:32:34.000Otherwise, no territorial change whatsoever.
00:32:38.000Since the start of the year, Ukraine has gained about 143 square miles, and Russia has gained about 331 square miles.
00:32:43.000These are not major amounts of territory.
00:32:46.000And yet, Joe Biden has no plan to end this war.
00:32:48.000It's just going to continue ad infinitum, which presumably is why some other Democrats are starting to look around and go, like, why isn't anyone jumping in on this guy?
00:32:56.000I mean, he's vulnerable on the Democrats.
00:32:57.000Like, 70% of Democrats don't want him to run again.
00:33:00.000One of the people who is now delusionally thinking about running for president is apparently Cenk Uygur.
00:33:49.000If someone like me were to get to 20 points, do you have any idea how quick Newsom and Whitmer would enter the race?
00:33:56.000So that's Cenk basically saying, I'll get in the race just to show that Biden's vulnerable, and then you'll see some other more serious candidates jump in.
00:34:01.000There's a reason that Democrats are hitting the panic button right now, and Cenk does not happen to be wrong.
00:34:06.000I mean, again, there's something tactical to what he's doing there.
00:34:09.000I think that it's a mission doomed for failure, but he's saying it's a mission doomed for failure.
00:34:13.000Okay, in just one second, we'll get into the controversy of the day on the right side of the aisle first.
00:34:20.000It's time to give a shout out to the people whose job it is to hire, from small business owners growing their teams to HR directors hiring hundreds across the nation.
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00:34:29.000Hiring a good HR team is one of the most important things you can do, which is why we are so grateful that we have Sierra over here at Daily Wire, making sure that all HR procedures are followed.
00:34:39.000I mean, not that HR at Daily Wire has told me that I'm not allowed to roast my own employees on air before and then I disobey them and it turns into a big internal fight.
00:34:48.000And you know, Sierra's doing her best and everything, and she has to listen to everybody complain all the time.
00:34:52.000But let's say that at a certain point, we decide, you know what?
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00:35:59.000So there are a bunch of people on the so-called red-pilled right who have now suggested that marriage is bad for men, that men should not get married.
00:36:05.000Now, the case that they're making is not the liberal feminist case that basically men are useless and terrible and a woman needs a man like a fish needs a bicycle or anything like that.
00:36:14.000The case that they are making is that the stakes of marriage have been changed by things like no-fault divorce, custody arrangements, The child support payments and all the rest, spousal support, that basically the legal regimen has made it not a bargain for men to get married.
00:36:28.000Now, I agree with the critique of all of those policies.
00:36:32.000I think no-fault divorce is a disaster area.
00:36:34.000I think that the child custody arrangements that basically always go to mom no matter what, that is a serious problem.
00:36:40.000When you shift the incentive structure, there's a reason why the majority of divorces, the vast majority of divorces are now initiated by women.
00:36:47.000That is not because in the past women were wildly abused and today they are wildly liberated.
00:36:53.000What that really is is when you shift the incentive structure and it turns out that all the risk is now taken by men, women aren't going to be the ones who actually activate and push that divorce button.
00:37:03.000However, the red pills have taken it one step further and now they're telling young men you should not get married.
00:37:16.000So Pearl Davis is an anti-feminist who has become pretty popular these days.
00:37:20.000A lot of people label her sort of a female Andrew Tate, although without the checkered past.
00:37:25.000And here is Pearl Davis talking about marriage.
00:37:29.000The Trad Con's Daily Wire conservatives are saying that Pearl's just a doom and gloomer who lies about stats, just focuses on the negatives, never the positives, and all the men complaining are just crybabies.
00:37:46.000And so one day he comes home and he finds out that his wife had called the police on him and told them that the first time they hooked up 10 years ago, He had quote-unquote raped her.
00:38:04.000And the truth of the matter is, when a man has children, they're not his kids.
00:38:08.000A man has no way to have children, and those kids be actually his.
00:38:15.000Because the courts give women custody 90% of the time, and rich men are really the only ones that have the money to fight it, and the time.
00:38:25.000So, I ask the Daily Wire, Jeremy Boeing, Matt Walsh, Um, is this just crybabies?
00:38:33.000Are they just, are they just their crybaby weak men who don't man up and want to risk that?
00:38:40.000So, you know, it's interesting because instead of demanding that the laws change and demanding women face repercussions for doing this stuff, you guys demand that men need to step up and take part in a system that discriminates against them.
00:38:57.000You say, oh, find a girl that prays, she won't do it.
00:38:59.000But, and I had this thought too, until I found a Muslim girl that did the same thing.
00:39:05.000I found a Christian girl that did the same thing.
00:39:17.000Okay, so the argument that she's making against all these marital policies, those are correct arguments and nobody is disregarding the pain of men who have been wrongfully victimized under these circumstances where the incentive structure is completely stacked against them.
00:39:36.000To pretend that there is no difference between the person that you marry, that it's happening with Christians and Muslims and it's all the same, that's statistically untrue.
00:39:43.000There are things that you can do to mitigate against the risk of divorce and the person that you marry is the chief mitigation.
00:39:49.000The truth is that in the Jewish community, we always have a backup plan in the sense that every marital contract is a prenup.
00:39:56.000Every marital contract is a prenup, right?
00:40:12.000How about we revise the system of law?
00:40:14.000But also, in the meantime, you do need to find a spouse and get married to her.
00:40:18.000And if what it requires for you to feel comfortable doing that is to shift away from the state-mandated law and toward a contract arrangement, then do that as well.
00:40:28.000We can have churches that sponsor that sort of thing.
00:40:30.000Because the truth is that those are enforceable contracts in court very often, the pre-custody arrangements and all the rest of that sort of thing.
00:40:36.000I want to go through some of the stats with regard to the benefits of marriage because I think that it's also possible to exaggerate how bad things are for men.
00:40:42.000That doesn't mean they aren't really bad for men who end up divorced, or that women aren't divorcing men at an incredibly high rate overall, or that women aren't initiating the vast majority of divorces.
00:40:51.000Again, I agree with many of the critiques of current marital law.
00:40:55.000The problem is that when you take it so far that you say that the solution for men is to not get married, now what you have done is you've created a second order of fact where unmarried men Become actual menaces.
00:41:05.000The reality is that men channel their aggressive drives toward building or they channel it toward destroying.
00:41:14.000And a system in which women are unmarried and men are unmarried, that's something that the left wants.
00:41:19.000And if you acquiesce in that, then you actually end up destroying the very fundamental basis of society that allows for the growing and building of a society beyond the leftist principles.
00:41:33.000Yes, get married, and also we should work to change those laws.
00:41:36.000But, by the way, the way that we date has an effect on how we get married and who we get married to.
00:41:42.000When I dated my wife, we went in knowing, as we began to date, that we were not going to sleep together until we were married.
00:41:48.000We knew for a fact that we were going to have long conversations about things that mattered.
00:41:53.000And this is, by the way, the best available data suggests that this is how you end up with a tangible, durable marriage that lasts a very long time, is that everybody has to be committed going in.
00:42:04.000When you put values at the center of dating, that obviously doesn't mean that you're going to be impervious to the possibility of divorce, but it does mean that your chances of divorce are really a lot lower, a lot lower.
00:42:13.000Now, I don't want to rip on Pearl here, and I don't think I am ripping on Pearl, frankly, but there are a bunch of other people who are making similar claims.
00:42:18.000So, for example, Brian Atlas was on the Whatever podcast, and here he was talking about marriage.
00:44:31.000And I don't think that many people understand that men are intrinsically wired to desire respect
00:44:37.000amongst our peers and in our environments. This is why CEOs work so hard because they get respect
00:44:43.000in their company. Okay. So again, I don't disagree with much of what you say, but the solution
00:44:50.000very often with the red pill kind of movement, the diagnosis is correct and the solution is wrong.
00:44:56.000That happens very, very often in this sort of movement.
00:44:59.000The reason, by the way, that Pearl and the rest of the red pill movement think the way they do is because of arguments like the one that a person named Destiny makes with Pearl in this particular clip.
00:45:07.000I mean now earning men have a hard time respecting the men they're with.
00:45:44.000When you get older and you manage a household on your own, Pearl, you'll see how f***ing annoying it is when you're working and then you come home and everything is f***ed up and horrible and nobody's f***ing cleaning anything.
00:45:51.000Yeah, that is a totally valid reason for divorce, of course.
00:45:56.000Have you lived in a filthy home before?
00:45:58.000It's so funny because lifelong friends from grade school to high school will dorm in college and then hate each other forever over bad dorm roommates.
00:46:06.000So yeah, of course I think stuff like this is perfectly valid.
00:46:09.000I think splitting up duties in the household is one of the most important parts of a relationship.
00:46:13.000Because it's where you're spending most of the time together.
00:46:15.000This is why I say, people get triggered when I say it, I don't think you're even dating until you live together.
00:46:20.000So what Destiny is saying here is totally crazy, okay?
00:46:28.000The idea that you get divorced, let's say you have kids, you get divorced because you can't split up who handles the dishwasher is nuts.
00:46:34.000And comparing marriage to roommates, college roommates, yes, because you don't expect to be roommates with your roommate for the rest of your life and have children with them, generally speaking.
00:46:43.000A marriage is not supposed to be a contractual arrangement that is purely about who shares household duties.
00:46:47.000It's supposed to be about building a household.
00:46:49.000So it's that attitude toward divorce that is making the Red Pill crew basically say, okay, well, if that's your version of marriage, then I'm not in.
00:46:56.000If that were my version of marriage, I would not be in.
00:46:59.000The point that I'm making is that that shouldn't be anybody's version of marriage.
00:47:02.000Just like the current version of divorce shouldn't be anybody's version of divorce.
00:47:04.000And I want to give you some stats that demonstrate that not all marriages are created equal.
00:47:08.000Not all predicates for marriage are the same.
00:47:11.000So Brad Wilcox, who is a social science scholar on all of this, he has a book called Get Married, and it's all about marriage and divorce.
00:47:19.000And here are some of the facts in that book that are well substantiated by the data.
00:47:23.000The number one factor in predicting a high quality marriage is perceived partner commitment.
00:47:27.000If you believe that your partner is deeply committed to the marriage, you will be deeply committed to the marriage.
00:47:35.000Which is one of the reasons why it really matters how you date.
00:47:37.000It really, really matters how you date.
00:47:39.000So I agree that in a context where you're picking up a girl at a bar and then you live together and then you get married to her, that's a very risky situation.
00:47:44.000You put yourself in a situation that is very risky.
00:47:46.000But that is not how I've ever recommended dating.
00:47:48.000That is not ever how I've recommended getting married.
00:47:49.000It is all part of a holistic view of how male-female relationships work.
00:47:54.000If you just take marriage as an institution and you just throw it out there and however you date is supposed to be equivalent, that of course is not true.
00:48:02.000Women who attend church are 50% less likely to divorce.
00:48:05.000For example, so when you heard Pearl earlier talk about, for example, I've seen Christian women do it, I've seen Muslim women.
00:48:20.000As far as the stat that 50% of marriages end in divorce, just about 40% right now of first marriages end in divorce, which is way, way too high.
00:48:26.000It's also down significantly since the 1980s.
00:48:28.000But again, it's not equivalent between groups.
00:48:30.000College-educated parents' risk of divorce has fallen by about 25% since the 1970s.
00:48:53.000Those would be the biggest things that are going to affect whether you end up staying married or whether you end up divorced.
00:49:00.000By the way, another factor that ends up determining whether you stay married or end up divorced is, again, about the nature of the marriage.
00:49:06.000Marriages with kids divorce far less often than marriages without kids.
00:49:12.000In fact, the divorce rate for couples with kids is about 40% lower than the divorce rate for couples without kids, which makes sense because you have less investment.
00:49:18.000Once you have kids, then actually it damages another party for you to get divorced over the dishwasher.
00:49:25.000And then somebody else pays for your crimes at that point.
00:49:30.00077% of college-educated conservative parents are still in their first marriage.
00:49:33.000So are 70% of moderates and 68% of liberals.
00:49:38.000And again, the number of newly divorced people per 1,000 married Americans has declined pretty markedly since the 80s.
00:49:48.000As far as the notion that it's damaging financially for men to get married, no, it's damaging for men to get divorced.
00:49:53.000It's not damaging for men to get married.
00:49:55.000Married men in their 30s earn about $95,000.
00:49:56.000If they're cohabiting, they earn about $68,000.
00:49:58.000If they're single, they earn about $42,000.
00:50:03.000The average marriage premium in household assets is more than $290,000 for a stably married man.
00:50:08.000So, again, I think what people are actually arguing about over here, to be fair to the Red Pill crew, I think what they're actually arguing about is divorce.
00:50:14.000And so the question is, are you more likely to stay married or are you more likely to end up in a divorce situation?
00:50:20.000And that is a fair question depending on the process that you use for dating.
00:50:25.000In the cultural milieu in which you live.
00:50:28.000In the community where I live, an Orthodox Jewish community, Not a lot of divorce.
00:51:08.000I think it is a decision that you have to make as to what kind of person you wish to date, how you wish to date that person, what kind of relationship.
00:51:16.000Let's look at some of the upsides and downsides.
00:51:18.000Here's a chart from Brad about opioid overdose deaths by gender, educational attainment, and marital status.
00:52:40.000John Fetterman looks like a schlub in a hobo.
00:52:43.000According to Axios, the Senate passed a resolution on Wednesday to make business attire a requirement on the Senate floor.
00:52:48.000The move came after backlash to Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer's directive to scuttle the chamber's informal dress code, which was widely viewed to be inspired by Senator John Fetterman.
00:52:56.000The bipartisan resolution requires that business attire be worn on the floor of the Senate, which for men shall include a coat tie and slacks or other long pants.
00:53:04.000Again, he had shown up after going to the hospital for depression and he had presided over the Senate wearing a short-sleeved shirt earlier this month.
00:53:14.000So Schumer said, quote, though we've never had an official dress code,
00:53:16.000events over the past week have made us all feel as though formalizing one is the right path forward.
00:53:20.000I deeply appreciate Senator Federman working with me to come
00:53:22.000to an agreement that we all find acceptable.
00:53:24.000And of course, I appreciate Senator Manchin and Senator Romney's leadership on this issue.
00:53:27.000I'm not sure why exactly this was necessary in the first place.
00:53:33.000Senator Federman, for his part, we always say he tweeted, but he never tweets.