Donald J. Trump's mug shot is out, and it's destined to be the most famous mug shot in the history of humanity. It's a win for Trump, because it's a giant imagistic win for him. And it's an even bigger win for the left because it was supposed to be some sort of big win for them, and they finally got him. They finally, finally, the frog marching in the ha- the mug shot of Trump is out and it will be a giant, giant, massive victory for the far-left, because Trump has been on camera since he was about 20 years old, and he knows how to take a picture. And that's what this mugshot does: it gives Trump the appearance of somebody who is bravely standing up to forces that are going after him, and the goal here is to look as though he is the face of doom coming for his enemies. And that s what it looks like in this mug shot, because that's exactly what it's going to convey: I'm coming for my enemies and your enemies are my enemies, and that's why he's already trotting it out on t-shirts with the slogan "I'm Coming For My Enemies" on them. And when it comes to the Georgia indictment, as we've discussed in this episode, Fannie Willis is spinning up a theory that doesn't make a whole hell of a lot of sense. She could have charged Donald Trump for conspiracy to commit a crime, but she couldn't identify the crime, because she can't actually identify the conspiracy involved. And so she's not even charge him with a crime. She can't even be charged with a RICO, which is an RICO charge, right? What are we're talking about? And she's just not dedicated to actually committing a crime? she's dedicated to a variety of crimes, is she dedicated to running a racketeering organization dedicated to protecting money? And then you wrap it up in between a big ball and then wrap it in between the crimes? And so there's no evidence that she doesn't have any actual crimes that she's stuck in between like that level of crime, and then she does something that doesn t have a big enough to prosecute everybody else in between? And there are no evidence of what she's committed a crime that she does that? What were they were dedicated to? And so, what are you gonna do with all the crimes they were committed?
00:00:51.000So 60 long years of being in the public eye and of having your picture took means that dude knows how to take a picture.
00:00:57.000And the mugshot of Trump, again, it is such a big, I have to say, it's a giant imagistic win for him because we know that he was going to be arrested.
00:01:04.000It's not as though no one knew he was arrested.
00:01:06.000It's not as though it was a shock dawning on the American people that Donald Trump is under indictment in four separate jurisdictions.
00:01:11.000We've known about all of this for months.
00:01:13.000What the mugshot does, especially this particular mugshot, is it gives Trump the appearance of somebody who is bravely standing up to forces that are going after him.
00:01:23.000And again, his image here actually conveys all of that because Donald Trump is phenomenal on camera.
00:01:30.000And whatever else you can say about the guy, the dude was a TV star for decades.
00:01:34.000And I promise you, he knows what he looks like on camera.
00:01:37.000There is zero chance that before he did this mugshot, he didn't sit with his team and say, OK, what expression should I use in the mugshot since it's going to be the most trafficked photo of me ever?
00:02:11.000I mean, if you flash that back up there, that is exactly what Donald Trump looks like in this mugshot.
00:02:16.000And this is what he is going to convey for the rest of the campaign, is I'm coming for my enemies and your enemies are my enemies.
00:02:23.000There's a reason why he's already trotting it out on the mugs.
00:02:26.000There's a reason why he's already trotting it out on the t-shirts.
00:02:30.000The cash machines at the Trump headquarters are going to just be going nonstop today.
00:02:36.000And when it comes to the Georgia indictment, as we've discussed, Fannie Willis is actually spinning up something that doesn't make a whole hell of a lot of legal sense.
00:02:44.000She could have charged Donald Trump for conspiracy to commit some sort of crime, right?
00:03:08.000So she decided instead that she was going to go for a RICO charge.
00:03:10.000Now, a RICO charge means an ongoing criminal organization dedicated to a variety of criminal activities.
00:03:17.000The problem is, what are the variety of criminal activities that the organization was dedicated to?
00:03:21.000Normally, when you have some sort of mafia organization, they're dedicated to things like prostitution or like prohibition era Alcohol running or drugs or, you know, any other variety of protection money, right?
00:03:34.000That is what the criminal organization is dedicated to.
00:03:36.000And then you wrap everybody up in a big ball and then you prosecute everybody together because you want to make sure that the leaders are held responsible for what their lower downs are doing.
00:03:43.000But in this particular case, was there an actual criminal organization surrounding Trump dedicated to criming?
00:03:56.000There are people on low level who may have committed actual crimes, but there's no clear evidence that Trump actually told them to do those things.
00:04:04.000And there's no evidence that Trump himself committed a crime.
00:04:07.000And so what you have here is her basically living in the space between conspiracy.
00:04:26.000It's why he may be the president again.
00:04:28.000He released a personal note just before he showed up in Georgia for the arrest.
00:04:33.000And it said this, today I will be going to the notoriously violent jail in Fulton County, Georgia where I will be arrested despite having committed no crime.
00:04:40.000Isn't it interesting that I went my entire life without ever getting arrested?
00:04:43.000But suddenly out of nowhere, once I decided to run for president as a political outsider and fight for the forgotten citizens of our country, I get arrested four times within the span of five months.
00:04:50.000Not only that, a judge has ruled that today's spectacle may be televised for the entire world to see.
00:04:54.000The American people know what's going on.
00:04:56.000There's a punishment handed down from the deep state for daring to challenge the status quo and give a voice to the silent majority.
00:05:02.000The left wants to intimidate you out of voting for a political outsider who puts the American people first.
00:05:06.000But today, I'm walking into the lion's den with one simple message on behalf of our entire movement.
00:05:10.000I will never surrender our mission to save America.
00:05:13.000When I walk into the jail to get wrongfully arrested, I will not cower, I will not sulk, I will stand tall and remain resolute in our mission to save America.
00:05:18.000And that's, again, Dude is great at pictures.
00:05:21.000That picture is the resolute face for Trump, right?
00:05:24.000And if you see me on TV during my sham arrest, just remember, you are the source of my courage, my hope, and my resolve to save our country.
00:05:29.000If you're doing poorly due to the sinister people in control of our country right now, don't even think about donating, but if you can, please make a contribution to save America during this dark chapter in our nation's history.
00:05:47.000I mean, even at the very end where he drops like, if you can't afford it because you're suffering under Joe Biden, don't give it to my campaign.
00:05:52.000But if you can, then give it to my campaign.
00:05:55.000And there is something to the baseline idea, obviously, that dude wasn't arrested for his entire career.
00:06:02.000And then the minute he walks out of the office and just before the election, suddenly have four indictments ring down on him as though he's in the middle of a summer storm in South Florida.
00:06:12.000So that is a very strong pitch from President Trump.
00:06:15.000And ironically, that pitch was actually exacerbated by Joe Biden.
00:06:20.000So everybody knew that Donald Trump was supposed to show up for the arrest at 7.30 p.m.
00:06:45.000The entire case here is that the Democratic Party infrastructure is going after Donald Trump to make Joe Biden president.
00:06:51.000So at the exact time that Trump is showing up to be arrested, you tweet out, come support my campaign.
00:06:58.000You want to say this isn't a political prosecution, and then you're tweeting out as the arrest is happening, not, this is a sad day for our country, the rule of law must be upheld.
00:07:07.000You're not tweeting that out, you're tweeting out a campaign link.
00:07:09.000I mean, guys, you're saying the quiet part out loud here, and you're saying it really, really, really loudly.
00:07:14.000Now, there's another side to that, which is that Joe Biden pretty clearly wants Donald Trump to be the nominee because he thinks he can beat Donald Trump because he beat Donald Trump in 2020.
00:07:21.000He thinks that Donald Trump, his performance in 2020, plus four indictments means he loses.
00:07:31.000But it's pretty obvious that Biden would both like Donald Trump to be indicted multiple times in order to degrade his candidacy.
00:07:37.000And also, he certainly doesn't mind if Donald Trump is the nominee, because the polls show that Donald Trump is not running amazingly well against a deeply unpopular president of the United States.
00:07:48.000Right now, Donald Trump's own approval ratings are lower than Joe Biden's approval ratings.
00:07:52.000So Biden both wants Trump indicted and also wants him elevated in the Republican primaries.
00:07:59.000I mean, that's a disgusting tweet, really.
00:08:01.000Your political opponent's getting arrested by people who are of your political party, on charges that are basically spurious, and you are tweeting out, apropos of nothing, I think today's a great day to give to my campaign, and sort of blithe, oh yeah, by the way, this is all political.
00:08:19.000We'll get to more on this in just one second.
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00:09:24.000So, the folks at CNN, They were pretty giddy over yesterday because the spectacle of a person they absolutely despise showing up at the Fulton County Jailhouse to turn himself in is one of their favorites.
00:09:37.000Fulton County Jail is not a pleasant place to be.
00:09:42.000We've been informed by one of our own producers, whose name rhymes with savvy, that she spent some time at the Fulton County Jailhouse at one point.
00:09:52.000Because of her deep and abiding criminal history, we here at The Daily Wire, we tried to reach out to the underprivileged who have had arrest records, which is why Savvy works here.
00:09:59.000But Savvy had to spend some time at the Fulton County Jail.
00:10:04.000And for the record, guys, she was there basically by mistake.
00:10:08.000She ended up having her arrest expunged.
00:10:16.000They also say that it is a garbage heap, but they're real excited because that means that Donald Trump has to walk into a garbage heap.
00:10:22.000Mr. Trump will be booked at the Fulton County Jail.
00:10:25.000It's a jail known for rather deplorable conditions including inmate deaths and excessive force and a prison population that is more than double the amount it was designed to hold.
00:10:38.000Four people have lost their lives there in just the past few weeks.
00:10:42.000Anybody connected to the criminal justice system in the Atlanta area knows that if you're ever told you gotta go down to Rice Street, brace yourself because it's gonna be horrible.
00:10:51.000We can give you some details on this place now.
00:10:53.000Fulton County Jail is the formal name.
00:10:55.000It is known as Rice Street because of its address.
00:10:58.000It opened in 1989, but almost immediately after it opened, it was overcrowded, had deplorable conditions, and was just, you know, just a horrible place to be.
00:11:07.000Just last month, I've never seen someone so excited about terrible jailhouses.
00:11:18.000Somebody get that dude a paper bag, because he is really, really excited.
00:11:22.000He's like, you know how many people died at Fulton County Jailhouse?
00:12:10.000So he was booked on 13 counts, stemming from the efforts to reverse the Georgia 2020 election certification.
00:12:17.000He was wearing a dark blue suit and a red tie.
00:12:19.000He arrived at the Fulton County Jail around 7.30 p.m.
00:12:23.000And jail records listed him, this part, there were actual betting markets on what he was going to be listed at for his weight, but that was assuming he was actually going to be weighed.
00:12:37.000Donald Trump, during his last physical in office, clocked in at 240.
00:12:40.000He is significantly heavier than he was when he left office.
00:12:44.0006'3", 215, he should be playing tight end for the Baltimore Ravens.
00:12:48.000Like, that's not... But, bottom line is, he was released on $200,000 bail, and then he strolled out to the cameras and did what he does best.
00:13:05.000If you challenge an election, you should be able to challenge an election.
00:13:09.000I thought the election was a rigged election, a stolen election.
00:13:13.000And I should have every right to do that.
00:13:14.000As you know, you have many people that you've been watching over the years do the same thing, whether it's Hillary Clinton or Stacey Abrams or many others.
00:13:22.000When you have that great freedom to challenge, you have to be able to.
00:13:27.000Otherwise, you're going to have very dishonest elections.
00:13:29.000What has taken place here is a travesty of justice.
00:13:40.000And he went on along these lines for another 20 seconds, then he walked away.
00:13:44.000Again, for Donald Trump, this may be the best day of his campaign.
00:13:48.000Honest to God, yesterday, today, these are going to be the best days of his campaign because it is so obviously political in Georgia, and it's so obviously political to mugshot the guy in the first place.
00:13:56.000Again, Georgia state law does not require a mugshot if you are a well-known figure who has taken a recent photo.
00:14:03.000Georgia state law requires everybody to get a mugshot unless we have a, you know, recent photo of you.
00:14:07.000Well, I mean, I feel like we have some recent photos of Donald J. Trump.
00:14:11.000So they were being vindictive in going after him with the mugshot, and he completely reversed it on them with what is going to be an iconic photo of him.
00:14:47.000In just one second, we're going to get to what this means for, you know, the Republican nomination process.
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00:15:57.000Well, first of all, it means that Donald Trump is going to be spending, like, the next year and a half in various courthouses.
00:16:04.000Right now, his proposed trial on Georgia election interference is supposed to begin October 23rd.
00:16:10.000They want to start it, like, forthwith.
00:16:12.000One of his other co-defendants has already been charged and will start his trial on October 23rd.
00:16:17.000Presumably, Trump will try to push that into the middle of next year, at the very least.
00:16:22.000When it comes to the Mar-a-Lago classified documents case, that is already slated to start May 20th of next year, just before the conventions at the tail end of the primaries.
00:16:34.000case, the one about Stormy Daniels, that one is slated to begin March 25th, which is literally the day before Super Tuesday.
00:16:40.000So all of this is pretty obviously, when he says it's election interference, I mean, yeah, it pretty clearly is.
00:16:46.000And when it comes to the January 6th case that was filed in Washington, D.C., we are still awaiting Some more information as to when that case is actually going to begin.
00:16:56.000As far as the 13 charges that Donald Trump is facing, he's facing one charge violation of Georgia RICO, three charges of solicitation of violation of oath by a public officer, which would presumably be him asking people to put their names on some sort of alternative elector slate, which I'm not sure why that's illegal, actually.
00:17:13.000He has one charge of conspiracy to impersonate a public officer, which is a very weird charge.
00:17:17.000Two charges of conspiracy to commit forgery in the first degree.
00:17:21.000Two charges of conspiracy to commit false statements and writings.
00:17:23.000One charge of conspiracy to commit filing false documents.
00:17:26.000And a couple of charges on false statements and writings and filing false documents.
00:17:30.000So that is where the Georgia case stands.
00:17:33.000Okay, so what does this mean for the election?
00:17:36.000Obviously, Republicans, me included, anybody who is conservative who looks at this and looks at what's happening in Georgia or looks at what's happening on the January 6th case in D.C., looks at what's happening in Manhattan, a little bit less so on the case in Florida, where it's pretty obvious that Donald Trump violated the law.
00:17:50.000The best case that you can make right there is that so did Hillary Clinton.
00:17:53.000And this is a political prosecution because of the double standard, which, again, I sort of agree with.
00:17:57.000It is pretty obvious to everyone that there's a lot of sympathy for Trump on this, and there should be a lot of sympathy for Trump on this, that he is being politically targeted.
00:18:04.000Now, he could have made it a lot harder for his political opponents to target him, in the classified documents case particularly, but that wouldn't have stopped the other three cases, which are all ginned up.
00:18:13.000Okay, so that being the case, there's gonna be a lot of sympathy for the idea that if you nominate him, there has to be a groundswell because you feel it, right?
00:18:37.000This is what Trump himself is saying in his statement.
00:18:40.000The problem is that because we live in various silos and echo chambers, it's easy to forget that there are other voting populations that don't agree with you and don't feel the same things that you do.
00:18:49.000Democrats get caught up in this regularly.
00:18:51.000This is why Democrats, they'll say things like, well, you know, where I live, everybody feels the same way.
00:18:56.000How could anyone else feel differently?
00:18:57.000And it turns out a vast majority of the country feels differently than they do.
00:19:01.000Well, this is why it's important to look at the actual data on how Americans feel about Trump and how they feel about the indictments and how they feel about voting for Trump.
00:19:09.000Because I understand that people want to... Every time there's a poll, confirmation bias is a very strong drug.
00:19:14.000Whenever there's a poll that confirms your suspicions, you are likely to cite it.
00:19:17.000Whenever there's a poll that does not confirm your suspicions, you are unlikely to cite it.
00:19:21.000So, one of the things I try to do here on the show is give you polls that both confirm my suspicions and also do not confirm my suspicions.
00:19:29.000I don't think that zero data is a substitute for some data, even if that some data is not perfect data, because there's no such thing as perfect data.
00:19:36.000So in a second, I'm gonna get into what the polls actually say about whether additional Trump indictments, whether mugshots, whether any of this actually is going to lead Trump to victory in a general election against Joe Biden, which is the thing that I care about.
00:19:51.000Sympathize with Donald Trump's legal plight, promote the legal funds of people who are being charged as co-conspirators, like Jenna Ellis, which we've done on the show and online.
00:20:00.000We can do all that, and also recognize that is he the best guy to beat Joe Biden come next fall?
00:21:13.000Okay, so let's look at the actual data.
00:21:17.000With regard to President Trump's favorability, unfavorability ratings.
00:21:21.000So according to the latest YouGov polling available, which was like three or four days ago, his current favorable ratings are, he's underwater by 17 points.
00:21:30.000And according to the Ipsos poll, about the same time, ABC News Ipsos, unfavorable ratings, 24 points underwater, 31% favorable rating.
00:21:37.000In fact, there are zero polls that I can identify that have Donald Trump anywhere close to even parity with regard to his favorability or unfavorability rating.
00:21:48.000Now, you compare that to Joe Biden, who's the person he would be running against, and Joe Biden also has terrible, favorable, unfavorable ratings, for sure.
00:22:52.000Now, in order to understand this, you have to have lived in both a blue area and a red area.
00:22:55.000So, during the 2016 and 2020 elections, I lived In California.
00:23:00.000And let me explain to people who have never lived in a blue area.
00:23:03.000The level of hatred for Donald Trump in places like California is deeper than the level of hatred that people in California have for like ISIS.
00:23:42.000And their level of panic went so high that every single one of them voted.
00:23:46.000They changed the voting rules, obviously, with the mail-in ballots and everything else.
00:23:50.000Joe Biden's presupposition, and this has been shown, by the way, by pretty much every subsequent election, 2018, 2020, 2021, 2022, right?
00:23:58.000All the subsequent elections show that when Trump is perceived, even, to be on the ballot, every single person who is a Democrat shows up to vote against him, not because they love the Democrat, but because they hate Donald Trump, hate him, with the fiery passion of a thousand burning suns.
00:24:12.000And meanwhile, in the Republican areas, people really, really love Trump, and so they show up, and they vote for Trump in really high numbers.
00:24:18.000However, There is a core of people, you know, they tend to be ignored, but the never Trump folks who say they will not vote for Trump under any circumstances is not a minority.
00:24:29.000It's not a huge position, but it's not a tiny position either.
00:24:32.000The number of people in the Democratic Party who say they 100% will not show up for Joe Biden is essentially non-existent.
00:24:38.000There is no never Biden crew among the Joe Bidens.
00:24:40.000So if you're looking at who's going to come home in the Democratic Party, the likely answer is virtually everybody.
00:24:45.000In the Republican Party, the answer is likely like 92%.
00:24:48.000That 8% makes a difference in a very, very tight election.
00:24:53.000And then you look at and beyond that, there are going to be some Republicans who are just like not enthused with the idea of a Trump-Biden election again.
00:25:00.000And then maybe like, well, I like Trump and I want to be president, but it is raining today.
00:25:23.000There's very little evidence they're going to switch back to Trump.
00:25:25.000Now, the case for Trump is very easy, actually.
00:25:27.000The case for Trump is it was better when Trump was president than when Biden is president.
00:25:31.000The problem is that if all you're going to get next year is not Trump prosecuting the case against Joe Biden and his economy and his incompetence and how bad a president he is, the case you're going to get is it's really unjust that I'm being jailed by Fannie Willis or by The Manhattan DA, Alvin Bragg, or by Jack Smith.
00:25:50.000That's a bank shot because you basically have to say that all of these people are working for Joe Biden and therefore it's unfair that Joe Biden is musing all of these people to go after me and it's not quite the easiest argument actually for Trump to make.
00:26:03.000Which presumably is why what the polls show, according to the most recent polling data asking the question, There's a poll from AP NORC.
00:26:13.000This is circa about a week ago, week and a half ago.
00:26:17.000More than half of Americans say there is zero chance of them voting for Donald Trump to return to the White House in 2024.
00:26:23.00053% of Americans told the AP NORC censor survey they would definitely not support him next November.
00:26:29.000Another 11% say they would probably not pull the lever for the 45th president, which means only 36% say they would probably or definitely support Trump in his third consecutive bid for the White House.
00:26:40.000So it is this disconnect between Republican voters who think that everybody thinks like them and the rest of the country that is leading to Trump's increase in the polls.
00:26:50.000Now, do I think that this is going to wear well for Trump?
00:27:25.000And my take, as I suggested, is different from the take of some of the lanes inside the Republican Party.
00:27:30.000And it's also, you know, count it for what it's worth, which is one person's opinion.
00:27:34.000I'm going to give you the data that we now have from some of the polls.
00:27:38.000First of all, important to note, a lot of people watched the debate.
00:27:41.000Not 2016 numbers, but 12.8 million total viewers watched the debates according to the Nielsen ratings.
00:27:49.000The first debates in 2015 did like twice that because Trump was on the stage, but 13 million people is not bad.
00:27:55.000There were another 1.7 million people or so who watched it on Fox Business, so it actually looked like 14 million people probably who watched the debates.
00:28:01.000That's leaving aside everybody who watched it on Rumble or watched it in other places.
00:28:08.000And that's going to be a large percentage, not an insignificant percentage of people who actually vote in the Republican primaries.
00:28:14.000So it turns out that that debate may indeed have mattered a little bit.
00:28:18.000And when people say, well, you know, Trump's interview with Tucker Carlson did 230 million video views and all the rest of it, that, again, the metrics for a video view on Twitter are not the same as the metric for a video view on Nielsen.
00:28:46.000So you can be scrolling and you just start looking at the tweet below it and it's playing above and that counts as a view.
00:28:51.000Also if you reload because your connection went away Which I did, right?
00:28:55.000I was watching the Trump-Tucker thing.
00:28:58.000I had to reload that sucker because I was on a plane.
00:29:00.000I had to reload that sucker probably 15, 20 times.
00:29:03.000And so that each one of those is a view.
00:29:06.000The actual percentage of people who actually watched a significant portion of the Trump-Tucker interview is not even remotely 230 million.
00:29:15.000It is, by some metrics, as low as a couple of million.
00:29:19.000Because, again, it wasn't broadcast anywhere, it wasn't particularly illuminating, that interview.
00:29:28.000You really have to really love Trump in order to really find that stuff illuminating, as I talked about yesterday on the show.
00:29:32.000Like the Trump-Tucker interview, he was asked no serious questions and he gave no serious answers.
00:29:36.000And it was entertaining, but it really didn't illuminate anything.
00:29:38.000Okay, so, that means that maybe the debate mattered a little bit.
00:29:41.000So, we now have some polling data with regard to who won and who lost the debate.
00:29:47.000So the Washington Post, FiveThirtyEight, and Ipsos all conducted a poll before and after last night's debate, according to the Washington Post, with potential Republican primary and caucus voters, including those who watched the debate.
00:29:57.000According to those voters, not according to me, according to the voters, the 29% who watched said that DeSantis had the best night.
00:30:26.000Christie wanted to throw a couple of punches and shore up the Never Trump vote.
00:30:28.000So pretty much everybody got what they wanted from the debate.
00:30:30.000But what the stats actually show is that DeSantis, according to this poll, 29% say that he performed best, which is a far cry from a lot of the people who are big Trump fans saying that he was terrible, he was awful, he was ugh.
00:30:41.000That's really not what people who watched the debate said.
00:30:44.00026% said that Vake performed the best.
00:30:48.000What's more important, actually, is what percentage of people say they are considering voting for each of the candidates.
00:30:56.000So again, this is just for GOP debate watchers, for the people who actually watched the GOP debate, which, you know, again, is 12, 14 million people.
00:31:03.000It is not the 40 or 50 million people who presumably will vote in a Republican primary.
00:31:08.000But among the debate watchers, 67% of people say they are considering Ron DeSantis for President of the United States.
00:31:13.000That is an uptick of about four or five percentage points from where it was.
00:31:18.000That actually is the number one in the field.
00:31:23.00061% say they are considering voting for him.
00:31:26.000Nikki Haley had by far the biggest bump.
00:31:27.000She went from 29% of people in the GOP debate watchers saying they were considering voting for her to 46% saying they were voting for her or would consider voting for her.
00:31:36.000Vivek moved from 40 to 46 percent, so he picked up some ground, but not a ton.
00:31:42.000He's now tied with Nikki Haley in terms of people who would consider voting for him in a primary.
00:31:46.000That's followed by Tim Scott at 43 percent, Mike Pence at 23, Chris Christie at 22, and the inimitable and electric Doug Burgum at 12 percent.
00:31:55.000Now, when you take a look at GOP primary voters, just overall GOP primary voters, not just people who watch the debate, what you find is that 51% say they are considering DeSantis, 64% say they are considering Trump, and nobody else is even within remote spitting distance.
00:32:08.000Nikki Haley's at 24, Vivek is at 23, Tim Scott is at 25, 26 are at Pence, 14 Kristi, 4% the inimitable and electric Doug Burgum.
00:33:07.000Nikki Haley's favorables went up pretty dramatically.
00:33:10.000She's up to 65% favorable, 27% unfavorable.
00:33:14.000Weirdly, Vivek, because nobody had heard of him up until the last few weeks actually, Vivek's favorable ratings went from 50 to 60, but his unfavorable ratings went from 13 to 32.
00:33:27.000So he actually, on net, lost favorability ratings over the course of the debate.
00:33:31.000So there's more people who said they loved him, but there are a lot more people who said they didn't like him after watching that debate, which again makes sense.
00:33:54.000What does that mean for the primaries?
00:33:55.000I mean, it may mean very little for the primaries, depending on whether anyone can capitalize off the back of that and move forward.
00:34:01.000But the notion that DeSantis got his clock clean, the campaign is over, which is something that Don Trump Jr., for example, is trying to push, that obviously is not true.
00:34:10.000Here's a Fox News focus group directly after the debate.
00:34:40.000You came in liking DeSantis, and did you like what you heard?
00:34:44.000Yeah, I think that something about DeSantis is that he's very much touting his background and what he's accomplished in Florida.
00:34:52.000Yesterday, I kind of saw a lot of people talking about what they will do once they get into office.
00:34:58.000DeSantis said, I've done it in Florida, and I'll do it on a national level.
00:35:01.000So to me, someone who has the accomplishments there, it really resonates with me.
00:35:06.000So that was a clip that involved a couple of people who were previously pro-DeSantis, but there were a bunch of people in that focus group who were actually more pro-Trump or more pro-Poveyk, and they also said they thought DeSantis did well.
00:35:17.000Again, that's not standing for DeSantis.
00:35:20.000It could be just another kind of moment in which it seems like he's going to burst onto the scene and then nothing happens.
00:35:26.000Or it could be the beginning of a build of momentum.
00:35:28.000What happens next is going to define, I said this yesterday, what happens next is going to define what the debate means for everybody else.
00:35:33.000As always, you can only see inflection points in retrospect.
00:35:37.000Some things look like they're going to be inflection points and they turn out to be nothing.
00:35:39.000Some things look like they could be inflection points and they turn out to be something.
00:38:04.000It is fun to hear people try to defend him.
00:38:06.000So DNC chair, Jamie Harrison, he says that Joe Biden is one of the most successful presidents since LBJ, which is weird since LBJ was so unsuccessful, he had to drop out of his own 1968 reelect race because he was so unpopular.
00:38:18.000I don't take much credence in terms of polls.
00:38:20.000Because in the end of the day, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are going all across this country, Democrats are going across the country to talk about how this administration, which is probably one of the most successful since Lyndon Baines Johnson, has done so much to improve and put America back on track.
00:38:36.000We are going to make sure that that message gets out to the American people.
00:39:13.000She is a strong black woman and she will be incredible.
00:39:15.000And then she went into a debate and she told a bunch of bullcrap lies about how Joe Biden didn't want her to go to school as a kid or something.
00:39:20.000And everyone's like, oh my God, it's a moment.
00:39:22.000And then like five seconds later, her campaign imploded.
00:39:24.000She didn't even make it to California.
00:40:19.000We should give a look at Kamala Harris.
00:40:21.000So this is take number 87 here, quote, I can't get into people's heads.
00:40:25.000Kamala Harris tries to reshape her public image ahead of 2024.
00:40:27.000In a political interview, the vice president addressed how she views the growing scrutiny she's under as Republicans use her as a bogeyman in 2024.
00:40:41.000So they can pretend that she is the heir apparent to a to a I mean, honestly guys, Joe Biden is in such fragile health that some of the stuff that we do here at Daily Wire involves me cutting videos a couple of weeks in advance so that we can edit them properly.
00:40:56.000And so we actively consider things like, if I make this video, what's the turnaround time on it?
00:41:01.000If the turnaround time is like several months and it's about Joe Biden, I'm not sure we can do it.
00:41:08.000These are active considerations that people make in the political world based on Joe Biden's frailty and ailing health.
00:41:14.000So of course they're trying to prop up Kamala Harris again backstage as she prepares for a not-so-intimate fireside chat about gun safety in front of hundreds of people.
00:42:29.000Maybe she'll be better even- She's like the Michael Moulse of politics.
00:42:32.000The worse she does at her job, the more we're like, what if we just promote her more?
00:42:36.000Her tenure as Joe Biden's number two has not been known for relaxing warm moments like those in Chicago.
00:42:40.000Instead, Harris's term has largely been marked by stilted performances at public events, at odds with the uninhibited interrogator she was known as in the Senate.
00:42:47.000They've fueled whispers about whether she'll be a drag on the reelect ticket as 2024 heats up.
00:42:52.000Now her political future and quite possibly the success of the Democratic ticket hinges on a simple question.
00:42:56.000Is it possible for Kamala Harris to make a second impression?
00:42:59.000By second, do you mean 2000th impression?
00:43:03.000For Harris, it's a question that fundamentally misunderstands the point.
00:43:06.000In her mind, she's the same person she was, when the prevailing narrative of her was that of star prosecutor, ascendant political talent, even the future of the Democratic Party.
00:43:13.000You could have followed me around in Iowa ahead of 2020, Harris said.
00:43:16.000You would have seen the same thing four years ago.
00:43:27.000And then the entire article is about how that's not true and how, really, it's others around her who have failed the great leader.
00:43:33.000But really, she's actually empathetic and sympathetic and wondrous.
00:43:37.000Guys, if this is the best you got, you better pray that Republicans jog Democratic turnout because Kamala Harris is a disaster area.
00:43:45.000And when I say that Joe Biden is being a bad president, I mean, he's really a quite terrible president.
00:43:49.000So the migrant crisis continues to mount.
00:43:50.000I mean, I know that we all forget about it intermittently, but it is still a problem.
00:43:54.000According to CBS News, officials in New York are assembling tent cities for those who can't be placed in a shelter system of more than 200 hotels and other facilities already housing 60,000 migrants.
00:44:04.000And more than 50,000 homeless residents.
00:44:06.000In Chicago, housing over 7,000 migrants, police stations and parks have been converted into makeshift shelters.
00:44:11.000Plans to house asylum seekers in vacant schools have generated fervent local backlash.
00:44:15.000In cities like Sacramento and Denver, some migrants have found themselves on the brink of homelessness.
00:44:19.000In Boston, the arrival of thousands of families and pregnant women seeking asylum prompted the state's governor to declare an emergency.
00:44:24.000A perfect storm, again this is CBS News reporting, has brought the historic migration crisis along the US-Mexico border to some of America's largest cities.
00:44:32.000The city struggles to house tens of thousands of destitute migrants and their growing calls for federal action have also placed mounting pressure on the Biden administration to intervene.
00:44:40.000Local leaders have implored the administration for funds and to allow migrants to work legally so they can be self-sufficient.
00:44:45.000Cities have spent hundreds of millions of bucks serving migrants, housing them in hotels, churches, schools, parks, police stations, even a National Guard base.
00:44:52.000The Biden administration has set aside $770 million for New York, Chicago, Denver, Boston, and other cities.
00:44:57.000The administration recently asked Congress for another $600 million, but the administration has refrained from taking other actions requested by local leaders, such as granting migrants temporary legal status so they can apply for work permits more quickly.
00:45:08.000Now, what's hilarious is that nobody at these cities will say, you know, what we might do is, you know, close the border.
00:45:19.000So instead, they're stuck in the unenviable position of allowing the border to remain wide open and migrants to be shipped by the tens of thousands to their cities, and then complaining they don't have enough money to deal with it.
00:45:29.000Here's Cathy Hochul, the failing governor of New York.
00:45:33.000But New York has shouldered this burden for far too long.
00:45:38.000Since the first migrants began arriving at the Port Authority bus terminal last year, city and state have poured tremendous funds, billions of dollars, and energy into helping them.
00:45:49.000The city has been helping by the state to manage this in partnership with our state legislature, and in our budget we allocated over $1 billion, now upwards of $1.5 billion, for providing shelter.
00:46:03.000National Guard, public health, transit, case management, and legal services to asylum seekers, especially the housing.
00:46:12.000That's in addition to the over 200 shelters and hotels that are stood up by the City of New York with the financial support from the state.
00:46:22.000Well, they're doing an amazing job, but now they have to beg the federal government for more money.
00:46:26.000Or they could actually, you know, talk about the fact that their stupid policies have generated this problem in the first place.
00:46:31.000Okay, meanwhile, speaking of Joe Biden's failures, his DOJ is such a mess.
00:46:36.000I mean, between trying to cut sweetheart deals with Hunter Biden, and then getting exposed for it, and that blowing up in their face, and going after Donald Trump on non-criming, between those two things, Now they've added to that that they are filing a lawsuit against SpaceX, you know, the only truly successful space company in America.
00:46:58.000The lawsuit alleges that from at least September 2018 to May 2022, SpaceX routinely discouraged asylees and refugees from applying and refused to hire or consider them because of their citizenship status in violation of the Immigration Nationality Act.
00:47:11.000SpaceX apparently wrongly claimed that under federal regulations known as export control laws, SpaceX could only hire U.S.
00:47:17.000citizens and lawful permanent residents.
00:47:31.000They are now suing SpaceX for the great crime of discouraging people who have claimed asylum and refuge from applying for open position because they haven't actually been given a green card.
00:47:42.000They're not encouraging people to falsely claim asylum and refuge by suing companies like SpaceX, which, by the way, has national security contracts.
00:47:49.000So what the federal government is now doing is they want people who have claimed asylum or refuge and whose cases are, it sounds like, either pending or being adjudicated They want those people hired by companies that do national security business.
00:48:26.000You know how many companies are going out of their way to hire people who don't have green cards?
00:48:30.000Because you know what's really hard to check?
00:48:32.000Whether somebody has legit refuge or asylum status.
00:48:34.000A lot harder to check than a green card or a citizenship status.
00:48:39.000But apparently, you know, there are a lot of companies, I'm sure, that do this.
00:48:43.000SpaceX is the one, of course, that comes up.
00:48:47.000Musk said, I think people are very confused about this during a 2016 speech.
00:48:50.000He said, Unfortunately, this is not up to us if you're working on rocket technology that's considered an advanced weapons technology.
00:48:56.000Even a normal work visa isn't sufficient unless you get special permission from the Secretary of Defense.
00:49:00.000This isn't out of some desire of SpaceX to just hire people with green cards.
00:49:03.000It's because we're not allowed to do anything else.
00:49:05.000I think this is not a wise policy for the US.
00:49:07.000There are so many talented people all around the world.
00:49:08.000We'd love to have work at the company.
00:49:10.000Unless they can somehow get a green card, we're legally prevented from hiring someone.
00:49:14.000Musk added the export laws do not apply to Tesla and that about 25 to 30 percent of the engineering staff of Tesla was from outside the country.
00:49:23.000So, um, Jonathan Grode, immigration attorney, he says that SpaceX is not barred from hiring foreign nationals at all, but companies do have to seek certain visas for foreign nationals or obtain government approval when it comes to ITAR restrictions.
00:49:34.000SpaceX is within its rights to not pursue that path.
00:49:37.000But he said that refugees should not be affected by ITAR restrictions.
00:50:31.000According to the Wall Street Journal, shortly after 6 p.m.
00:50:33.000Moscow time on Wednesday, an Embraer jet carrying Wagner paramilitary group owner Yevgeny Progozhin, who led a short-lived June uprising challenging Putin, abruptly disappeared from flight-tracking radar screens northwest of Moscow.
00:50:44.000Videos posted by bystanders showed the plane missing a wing, spiraling to the ground.
00:51:19.000I mean, it's very weird always when a plane jumps out of a fourth story window.
00:51:23.000There's so many people who commit suicide who are enemies of Vladimir Putin, you know, by shooting themselves twice in the back of the head and then throwing themselves from a fourth story window.
00:53:46.000My wife and I were annual pass holders when we were in California, and then we fully intended on being annual pass holders of Disney World when we came here to Florida.
00:53:55.000And we have not done so for a very specific reason, and it is because of the politics they've decided to inject in every- Like, I'm not gonna walk into Disney World with my kids and see some dude dressed up as a lady waving my three-year-old into Bibbidi-Bobbidi Boutique.
00:54:36.000But for you guys, apparently it's tough because you're held hostage by your own politics.
00:54:40.000So if you wish to destroy the most valuable IP in the history of humanity, I suppose you can do it, but it really is quite terrible.
00:54:47.000Okay, time for some things that I hate.
00:54:52.000We are now learning that in Maui, Where did this horrifying fire happen in Lahaina?
00:54:58.000The Hawaii Power Utility, believed to have started the deadly Lahaina fire, removed damaged power poles and other equipment from a key fire scene, potentially affecting evidence that is part of an official investigation into how that blaze ignited, is according to the Washington Post.
00:55:10.000Hawaiian Electric hauled away fallen poles, power lines, transformers, conductors, and other equipment from near a Lahaina substation starting around August 12th, before investigators from the ATF could even get there.
00:55:20.000Those actions may have violated national guidelines on how utilities should handle and preserve evidence after a wildfire and deprives investigators the opportunity to view any poles or downed lines in an undisturbed condition before or after the fire started.
00:55:32.000According to Michael Wera, he says if a lot of equipment has already moved or gone by the time investigators show up, that's problematic.
00:55:37.000You want to observe where the equipment was relative to the ignition site.
00:55:40.000Maybe there's a homeless encampment or kids or a power line down on the ground where the ignition occurred.
00:55:43.000Once you move it, it's kind of hard to figure out exactly what happened.
00:55:47.000Hawaii Electric is pretending that they didn't move all of this stuff.
00:55:51.000One of the claims is that the utility did not shut off power in advance of high winds, though it said it took some other preemptive measures and is now facing at least nine lawsuits.