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00:02:39.000Well, the prospects for the Democrats continue to sink and sink.
00:02:43.000The day before the election, according to FiveThirtyEight, they are calling it a dead heat for the Senate.
00:02:46.000It's not quite a dead heat for the Senate.
00:02:50.000In 54 of those scenarios, the Republicans win.
00:02:53.000There is a not insignificant possibility that Republicans win significantly more than 50 seats, that they end up with maybe 54 seats.
00:03:02.000You start getting outside that range and it becomes very, very speculative, but it's certainly possible they went all the way up to 54 seats.
00:03:08.000Now, again, that does not mean that Republicans are guaranteed to win the seats.
00:03:12.000What it does mean is that Republicans have the upper hand, according to FiveThirtyEight and a wide variety of states.
00:03:17.000And in those states, it looks as though the Republicans are going to win, or at least have a very solid shot at winning.
00:03:23.000A new Wall Street Journal poll also suggests that the GOP has been picking up a larger share of Black voters than in other recent elections.
00:03:29.000They've also improved their standing in the past few months among Latino voters.
00:03:32.000About 17% of Black voters said they would pick a Republican candidate for Congress over a Democrat in Journal polls both in late October and in August.
00:03:38.000That is a substantially larger share than the 8% of Black voters who voted for President Trump in 2020 and the 8% who backed GOP candidates in 2018.
00:03:49.000Meanwhile, among Latino voters, Democrats held a lead of only 5 percentage points over Republicans in the choice of congressional candidate.
00:03:56.000Latino voters in 2020 favored Biden over Trump by 28 percentage points.
00:04:00.000In 2018, they favored Democrats by 31 percentage points.
00:04:04.000So since 2018, that is a 26 point shift in favor of the Republicans.
00:04:08.000These are disastrous numbers for Democrats.
00:04:10.000It means that the demographic coalition argument that Democrats have been making for two decades is not only wrong, it is dramatically wrong.
00:04:16.000If Republicans start cutting into the Democratic base to the tune of 20% of black voters and 50% of Hispanic voters, Democrats do not have a coalition.
00:04:44.000And they've also delivered on their promise that they are going to push in very socially radical directions, which again, most Americans are not in favor of.
00:04:50.000Meanwhile, the bread and butter issues they've completely failed on, according to the Wall Street Journal.
00:04:55.000Elevated and persistent inflation is among the greatest near-term risks to the U.S.
00:04:58.000economy and financial system, according to the Federal Reserve over the weekend.
00:05:01.000They also warned about rising friction in trading of U.S.
00:05:05.000Fed Vice Chairwoman Lael Brainard said on Friday there's a risk an unexpected shock could amplify existing vulnerabilities in the financial system in a statement accompanying the release of the central bank's latest report on financial stability, quote, It's important to remain attentive to the risks raised in the report and to work with domestic and international regulators to support the resilience of the financial system.
00:05:21.000So in other words, we could have inflation to the extent there's an actual meltdown in some of the financial systems globally.
00:05:27.000The Fed and other central banks have been raising interest rates at the fastest pace in more than four decades to beat back inflation by slowing economic growth.
00:05:32.000Right now, economists are estimating there will be a recession next year.
00:05:35.000It is likely that recession could be quite deep and it could be quite long.
00:05:39.000So all of this is a disaster area for the Democrats going into a midterm, let alone a presidential in 2024.
00:05:44.000All of this is starting to have its first effects in the immediate economy.
00:05:48.000Not just in terms of inflation, but in terms of people's actual decision making.
00:05:51.000So according to the Wall Street Journal, many shoppers are now trading down to less expensive clothing and accessories.
00:05:56.000They've been swapping Lululemon leggings for Uniqlo and expensive lingerie for Target bras and panties as inflation eats into their disposable income and a rocky stock market erodes their wealth.
00:06:05.000So people are downshifting their splurge this year.
00:06:08.000The interest rate increases are having the predictable effect.
00:06:11.000People feel like they are running out of money thanks to inflation and they are starting to spend less money.
00:06:15.000Meanwhile, layoffs have begun at a bunch of companies that are most vulnerable to the volatile markets.
00:06:21.000So meta, which has been dramatically misrun in terms of moving away from core business, which was Facebook and toward the metaverse.
00:06:28.000And it's something that Mark Zuckerberg has wanted to focus on.
00:06:30.000Maybe as a long-term play, it works in the short term.
00:06:35.000Meta is now planning large-scale layoffs this week, according to people familiar with the matter, in what could be the largest round in a recent spate of tech job cuts after the industry's rapid growth during the pandemic.
00:06:43.000So there was a massive inflation in the tech industry, thanks to everybody staying home and being on the computer full-time.
00:06:49.000But also thanks to the vast amounts of speculative money that were blown into the pockets of investors, people were putting that into tech, because that's where the high payoffs were.
00:06:57.000Well, now they're looking at mass layoffs over at Facebook.
00:07:00.000All of this amounts to a really, really bad closing for the Democrats.
00:07:04.000So this means that the Democratic closing argument is going to have to be entirely Trump.
00:07:09.000It was always going to be Trump, but now it really has to be Trump.
00:07:12.000Maybe they could have trumpeted their own accomplishments.
00:07:15.000And so their closing argument is going to be that if Republicans take back the House, and then if Republicans take back the Senate, and then if they take back the presidency in 2024, and if Trump is the actual nominee in 2024, then we are going to revert back 50 years.
00:07:28.000It's going to be a tyrannical, fascistic state here in the United States.
00:07:32.000Now, they're not really trotting out Joe Biden to make this case because Joe Biden is really, really bad at this.
00:07:35.000So they've been trotting out Barack Obama, who, by the way, is also Not great at stumping for his own base.
00:07:40.000Barack Obama was great at getting Barack Obama elected.
00:07:42.000He was terrible at getting anybody else elected.
00:07:44.000Over the course of his presidency, something like 1,100 state, local, and federal offices in the Democratic Party were lost because he was so bad at helping people in his own party.
00:07:53.000But you gotta go with what you gotta go with.
00:07:55.000So Barack Obama was out there stumping for John Fetterwoman.
00:07:58.000And his closing argument is that if the Republicans win the House and the Senate, they're gonna set the country back 50 years.
00:08:04.000Now, I would take this a little more seriously if he hadn't said this about Mitt Romney.
00:08:07.000He literally said this about Mitt Romney.
00:08:09.000He said he was going to take us back to the 80s in terms of foreign policies and the 50s in terms of social policy.
00:08:13.000Now he's saying the same about, like, you can't keep playing the same tune over and over without it becoming Muzak.
00:08:18.000And when Democrats keep saying over and over, you're going to bring us back to the 50s, you're going to bring us back 50 years, 60 years, 100 years, 2000 years.
00:08:23.000When you say this kind of stuff over and over again, whatever the melody is, it just starts to sound like background noise.
00:08:29.000It's just elevator music at this point.
00:08:31.000So here's some elevator music from the former president.
00:08:34.000I think somebody mentioned earlier we're setting our clocks back tomorrow by an hour.
00:08:40.000On Tuesday, let's make sure our country doesn't get set back 50 years.
00:08:44.000I love it when people think they have a laugh line and their line is garbage, but they're very enthused by their own.
00:08:53.000I also was amused by Barack Obama trying to make excuses for the Democrats bad crime record by saying, you know, everybody's saying bad crime is going up.
00:09:02.000Well, not just over the last two years.
00:09:04.000There's been a more significant rise in crime over a longer period.
00:09:08.000Here he is explaining there is one problem with this argument.
00:09:12.000There's a lot of talk about crime right now.
00:12:27.000So the media are trying to make the case for Biden because Biden can't make the case for himself.
00:12:31.000Again, people literally in the background of his shot are just playing with their phones as he talks because no one knows what the hell he's talking about.
00:12:36.000So you have the New York Times, which is just the press arm of the White House as midterms near Biden faces a nation as polarized as ever.
00:12:43.000President Biden had hoped to provide preside over a moment of reconciliation after the turmoil of the Trump years.
00:12:48.000But the fever of polarizing politics has not broken ahead of Tuesday's midterm elections by Peter Baker, their star politics.
00:12:53.000Oh, is that what Biden hoped to do was preside over unity?
00:12:55.000Because I have a few notions of how he has not provided unity.
00:13:01.000than anywhere in the history of the United States on a fully partisan basis, like without any Republican votes on anything except for the infrastructure bill.
00:13:08.000Proclaiming that he has the executive power to cram down VAX mandates via OSHA, as well as cram down student debt relief to the tune of half a trillion dollars without any sort of executive authority.
00:13:19.000Claiming that his opponents are evil, tyrannical election stealers who are getting in the way of children's health by preventing people from cutting off the genitals of kids.
00:13:31.000I'm noticing going to Independence Hall, lighting it up blood red, and then shouting that your political enemies are enemies of the Republic.
00:13:39.000He sounds like a real unifier, this guy.
00:13:41.000But according to the New York Times, that's the sad part.
00:13:42.000The sad part is that he is a unifier, and you just don't understand.
00:13:45.000You, the people, the people, you're too stupid.
00:13:49.000So the New York Times says, before heading into a community center for a campaign rally the other day, President Biden stopped to speak to the overflow crowd that could not squeeze into the small facility.
00:13:57.000They're putting him into a small facility because he cannot fill a large facility.
00:14:01.000As often happens, whenever Biden finds a microphone and a willing audience, his family made a cameo appearance.
00:14:05.000This time it was his long-dead grandparents.
00:14:08.000I love that even in the stories that are supposed to be sop pieces for Biden, it's like, oh man, this guy's talking about his dead grandparents again.
00:14:15.000Every time I'd walk out of my grandpop's house, he'd yell, Joey, keep the faith, the president recounted.
00:14:19.000My grandmother would yell, no, Joey, spread it, go spread the faith.
00:15:18.000If only you understood the faith, but you don't.
00:15:21.000So the New York Times is going to try to promote the faith.
00:15:23.000It's not a faith shared by everyone, not even among fellow Democrats, not even among his own advisors and allies, some of whom view the coming days with dread.
00:15:30.000After turning to Mr. Biden for a sense of normalcy two years ago following the turmoil of Mr. Trump, voters now appear poised to register discontent he has not delivered in the way that they expected, regardless of whether it was realistic in the first place.
00:15:49.000If you don't elect the Democrats, if you don't vote for a single party, then this means that democracy is going to die.
00:15:54.000Quote, local governments have erected barriers and called in police reinforcements to protect buildings where votes will be counted.
00:15:59.000Election officials have prepared rapid social media responses to false claims of ballot fraud.
00:16:03.000And a human rights group typically focused on fragile democracies abroad has turned its attention to the United States, asking candidates to pledge to respect the results.
00:16:10.000Two years after Donald Trump tried to overturn a presidential election, Tuesday's midterms will test American democracy once more.
00:16:54.000Tell me again, is it the most important election of our lifetimes?
00:16:57.000Because I've only been hearing that every election cycle my entire life.
00:17:01.000There is no need to overstate the threats, says the Washington Post editorial board.
00:17:04.000Widespread early voting has so far proceeded mostly without incident.
00:17:07.000It is imperative that Americans are not scared away from the polls.
00:17:09.000See, they're already laying the groundwork for the idea that if Democrats lose, it's because Americans were scared away from the polls.
00:17:14.000In deciding whether and how to vote, Americans should keep the fundamentals in mind, supporting candidates committed to the democratic system and the peaceful transfer of power, opposing those who have tried to profit from toxic lies about election integrity.
00:17:25.000How about toxic lies about voter suppression?
00:17:27.000How about toxic lies about the idea that if the Republicans enter power, there will never be another legit election in the history of the United States ever again?
00:17:35.000How about the lie that the Supreme Court is stacked by complete partisans and we shouldn't listen to it because they overruled Roe vs. Wade?
00:17:42.000Or the idea that the Electoral College needs to be overthrown?
00:17:44.000Or the idea that the Senate should be completely reconstituted?
00:17:46.000Or the idea that we should simply willy-nilly add Democratic states to the Senate?
00:17:50.000These folks who do not give a crap about the institutions of the United States lecturing us about the institutional integrity of the United States, it's rather annoying.
00:17:57.000But I guess you gotta follow upon something.
00:18:02.000The Washington Post does acknowledge that Democrats did help extremists win GOP primary elections, calculating cynically they would be easier to beat in general elections.
00:18:09.000Polls show this gambit might backfire.
00:18:10.000Well, yeah, play stupid games, win stupid prizes.
00:18:14.000Shortsightedly, Democrats have failed to build a pan-ideological coalition to defend democracy, as they should have the moment Donald Trump won the 2016 GOP presidential nomination.
00:18:21.000Yet it is ultimately on voters to keep the big picture in mind.
00:18:27.000This is the final closing argument right here.
00:18:30.000And James Clyburn makes that explicit.
00:18:32.000He says that Trumpism is equivalent to Nazism.
00:18:35.000If you voted for Trump in 2020, or if you would vote for Trump in 2024, this means that you are ideologically equivalent to a brown shirt Nazi, says James Clyburn, who made Joe Biden president of the United States because he won him the primaries in South Carolina.
00:18:50.000Congressman, welcome back to Fox News Sunday.
00:18:52.000Thank you very much for having me back.
00:18:54.000I want to start here with some comments you made just a couple of days ago.
00:18:59.000This is what happens in a country that follows what happened in Germany in the early 30s.
00:19:07.000This country is on track to repeat what happened in Germany when it was the greatest democracy going, elected a chancellor, who then co-opted the media, and that's what's going on in this country.
00:19:23.000Congressman, you've repeatedly made comments about Hitler, about Nazism, about Germany in the 1930s in recent years.
00:19:30.000You've gotten a lot of pushback from that, from Jewish organizations and others who say it belittles the suffering of the Holocaust, of the millions who were lost.
00:20:11.000It's not going to do much because the reality is that most people don't actually believe that if they vote for their local Republican congressperson, the Nazis have risen.
00:20:17.000Nobody actually believes that if they vote for Lee Zeldin in New York over Kathy Hochul that the Nazis are arriving.
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00:21:48.000Visit LightStream.com slash Shapiro for more information.
00:21:51.000That's LightStream.com slash Shapiro to get started.
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00:23:20.000Joey got scared of his own shadow there.
00:23:27.000Too bad his grandparents weren't there to tell him, Joey, keep the faith.
00:23:30.000And then he, here's the really bad part.
00:23:33.000In the same speech, a heckler started heckling him about the environment.
00:23:37.000And Joe Biden's response was to pledge no new drilling, which is one hell of a pitch in the middle of an election cycle where you are claiming that you wish to bring down energy prices and you have blamed gas companies and refineries and local gas stations for raising the price.
00:23:51.000He literally says no new drilling two days before the election.
00:23:54.000Genius stuff here from the president of the United States.
00:24:53.000No one's building new coal plants because they can't rely on it.
00:24:56.000Even if they have all the coal guaranteed for the rest of the existence of the plant.
00:25:01.000So it's going to become a wind generation.
00:25:04.000And all they're doing is going to save them a hell of a lot of money, and using the same transmission line that transmitted the coal-fired electric on.
00:25:13.000We're going to be shutting these plants down all across America, and having wind and solar.
00:25:17.000We're going to shut down all the coal, and we're going to blow into little windmills.
00:25:21.000We're going to get pinwheels, and we're going to go... And it's going to make the energy appear, Joey.
00:25:30.000A solid final picture from a president who says he's bringing down inflation.
00:25:34.000Meanwhile, in the Senate, you have John Fetterman, who is still campaigning, and came out shockingly in favor of overruling Roe.
00:25:41.000I didn't expect that in the last days of the election for John Fetterman to say that he's very excited about the overruling of Roe.
00:25:47.000But apparently, either that or his brain is not functioning the way it should.
00:26:16.000So that guy could actually be in the Senate.
00:26:18.000In fact, right now, if you have to ballpark that race, that race is at best a 50-50 toss-up.
00:26:22.000I mean, I'm looking at the polling right now in Pennsylvania, and that Pennsylvania polling has Oz up 0.1.
00:26:28.000Oz is within margin of error against Federman in every single poll, except for a Marist poll that came out like a week and a half ago that says that Federman's up six.
00:26:38.000All the other polls have Oz pulling ahead, but there's been a lot of early voting in that state.
00:26:42.000So that guy could end up in the Senate and he could just by mistake vote in favor of a bunch of Republican policies.
00:27:52.000In the final days of an extraordinary Pennsylvania Senate race, extraordinary, in which a stroke survivor is running against a celebrity television physician, John Fetterman is proactively acknowledging his recovery remains a work in progress, leaning into the issue with a mix of humor, sarcasm, and notes of empathy for others struggling with health challenges as he competes in one of the most consequential contests in the U.S.
00:28:44.000Meanwhile, Val Demings, who is about to lose to Marco Rubio in Florida, she's out there pushing the thing that people care most about, diversity.
00:28:50.000That is what people care about these days, is merely the skin color of the people who staff various political offices, not whether they're actually good at the job.
00:29:04.000The Senate not only needs to reflect the diversity that we see across our nation, but a diversity of perspectives at the table.
00:29:14.000You better believe growing up poor, black, and female in the South, I not only bring a different perspective, but the diversity that we should see within the Senate, just as we all celebrated Justice Katonji Brown Jackson.
00:29:28.000Guys, the pitch, the MSNBC final pitch for you should put somebody in the Senate is the brochure from your local community college.
00:30:04.000Democrats are, um, they're on their heels here.
00:30:06.000Amy Klobuchar, who you'll recall from such hits as, I threw a binder at my staff and I lasted for two weeks in a presidential election before sidecarring Kamala Harris, just bumper-carring her off the road.
00:30:19.000Amy Klobuchar, she was asked specifically on CNN, Why Democrats have propped up people like New Hampshire Senate candidate Don Balder, who was expected to lose his race against Maggie Hassan, but now appears likely to at least be very, very competitive.
00:30:35.000She had to sidestep this one because, again, it totally undercuts the entire Democratic argument.
00:30:39.000If the Republic is at stake, why are you guys supporting these supposed Nazis in the primaries?
00:30:43.000Democratic groups spent millions of dollars boosting him in the Republican primary because they thought he'd be easier to beat in the general election.
00:31:54.000This is why no one takes you guys seriously.
00:31:55.000You say democracy is a threat and then you promote people who are quote unquote election deniers like Don Balduck.
00:32:01.000And then you also claim that on election day, the votes are going to be suppressed and skewed.
00:32:08.000And you're saying it's a uniparty problem, this election denial stuff.
00:32:11.000Here is the chair of the DNC, Jamie Harrison, making this case.
00:32:15.000And that means we're investing in coalition building, organizing, voter protection staff, because we know the hanky-panky stuff that Republicans will do on election day.
00:32:24.000They're already trying to keep many of our young people from voting, many of our communities of color from voting.
00:32:30.000But I want them to know right now, we are not going back.
00:32:37.000Election denial is not a thing Democrats will do, except when they preemptively do election denial.
00:32:41.000Stacey Abrams has another take on why Democrats are about to lose the election, and apparently it's because black men, Stacey Abrams, apparently it's because black men are too stupid to understand information.
00:32:51.000Which is an interesting closing picture from Stacey Abrams, who's about to get her butt kicked in her race against Brian Kemp in Georgia.
00:32:56.000Remember the great hope of the Democratic Party?
00:32:59.000The future president of the universe, according to Star Trek?
00:33:02.000I do not believe it's because of a deep well of enthusiasm for my opponent.
00:33:06.000We know that black voters are often discounted, and unfortunately this year black men have been a very targeted population for misinformation.
00:33:15.000Not misinformation about what they want, but about why they want what they deserve.
00:33:20.000And my campaign has been the only one that has very intentionally, thoughtfully, and consistently reached out.
00:33:26.000That has been misconstrued as concern, when indeed it's just respect.
00:34:45.000Carrie Lake, who has been running a very strong campaign in Arizona, Democrats pushed her in the primaries because they thought that she was going to be a weak candidate.
00:35:04.000Going to the border, one of the big stories is, Governor Ducey said, you're not going to build the wall that the American people paid for, so I'm going to get shipping containers and make a barrier.
00:35:12.000The federal government is suing, saying you're trespassing.
00:35:15.000If you get this job, this is going to be your issue.
00:35:19.000What are you going to do if the federal government says I'm sending cranes, I'm taking them out?
00:35:24.000Well, we're going to tell him to pound sand because we are going to invoke our Article 1, Section 10 powers in the United States Constitution to protect our citizens in Arizona.
00:35:34.000OK, well, again, these sorts of questions obviously cut very much in Kerry Legge's favor.
00:35:39.000The fact that there's been a massive border crisis that the entire media have spontaneously and sporadically ignored.
00:35:44.000Sometimes they'll cover it and then they'll just stop covering it.
00:35:46.000The fact is, like 6,000 people have been crossing the border every day of the presidency of Joe Biden.
00:37:04.000We're going to have to talk about what that governance should look like because they can make some very big boo-boos once they have power.
00:37:09.000But the reason that they're running very strong right now is specifically because all they have to do is point at the Democrats, which is why when you are two days away from an election, you should not have the former president of the United States emerging to start internecine warfare for his own peculiar interests.
00:37:27.000against a sitting governor of Florida in a reelect race who is very popular with the base.
00:37:32.000So Donald Trump was doing a rally and Donald Trump has announced, or his team has announced, that he is likely to announce his new run in 2024 for the presidency as of November 14th.
00:37:44.000It is Axios reporting that Trump and his top advisors have been signaling for weeks a 2024 announcement is imminent.
00:37:49.000It's of course because Trump thinks that he won in 2020.
00:38:04.000And so he has decided that he is going to run again for better or for worse.
00:38:09.000And so he has not announced prior to the midterms, presumably because if then Republicans underperform, then they can't blame him.
00:38:17.000And if Republicans overperform, he can take credit.
00:38:20.000That would be the strategic reason why Donald Trump has waited until after the midterms to do all of this.
00:38:25.000Well, Just before the election, two days before, because he has no discipline whatsoever as a human being.
00:38:31.000Donald Trump decides that he is going to slam Ron DeSantis, who is the governor of Florida, who's about to win a giant victory over Charlie Crist.
00:38:39.000The reason he's attacking Ron DeSantis is because DeSantis is widely presumed to be a possible rival for the nomination in 2024.
00:39:04.000I'm happy to have been a part of that by moving my family over here.
00:39:08.000Ron DeSantis has done an excellent job.
00:39:09.000He stood up to the federal government, led, by the way, by Dr. Fauci, who had been empowered by Donald Trump.
00:39:14.000It was Ron DeSantis who took the heat for opening up his state in the middle of COVID.
00:39:19.000It's Ron DeSantis, who has done yeoman's work in fighting both critical race theory and radical gender ideology in his state.
00:39:25.000In fact, over the weekend, the Florida Health Department banned transgender surgeries on minors in the state of Florida.
00:39:32.000Ron DeSantis has been an incredibly effective weapon on behalf of conservatism in the state of Florida.
00:39:37.000And Donald Trump is mad about this because he sees the possibility that DeSantis may have stolen some of his thunder and may in fact be a rival, especially because DeSantis has raised gobs and gobs and gobs of money, like upwards of $150 million for his gubernatorial race.
00:39:48.000There's going to be a lot in the kitty if DeSantis does decide to run.
00:39:51.000The logic, by the way, suggests that DeSantis should run for president in 2024.
00:40:17.000But Trump also doesn't have the discipline until waiting after the midterm to start attacking Ron DeSantis.
00:40:22.000Also, Trump's mode of campaigning, always and forever, is to target his opponents with nicknames and branding.
00:40:30.000He can't actually make a governing argument against DeSantis, because DeSantis, frankly, has governed more conservatively than Trump did.
00:40:36.000When it came to COVID, he governed more conservatively than Trump did.
00:40:39.000When it came to economic freedom, he governed more conservatively than Trump did.
00:40:42.000Like DeSantis has Trump thoroughly outflanked in terms of policy.
00:40:46.000And so this means that Trump is getting irritated and he's hoping to sort of preemptively smack DeSantis hard enough that DeSantis doesn't end up running.
00:40:54.000And so the nomination basically just falls into his lap.
00:40:56.000But again, he could have done all of this after the election.
00:41:00.000Let's assume that you think that Trump is the best nominee for 2024, that he's the guy.
00:41:04.000Put aside the fact That half the country already has said they don't like Donald Trump.
00:41:08.000Even if you think Trump won the 2020 election, I don't think the evidence is there.
00:41:11.000Even if you think that's true, everyone has an opinion on Donald Trump.
00:41:13.000There are no undecideds about Donald Trump.
00:41:15.000Forget the fact that he will be 80 running for president of the United States in 2024.
00:41:19.000Put aside the fact that Donald Trump will be limited to one term constitutionally.
00:41:23.000So he cannot run for another term after this.
00:41:25.000So even if he were to win, that guarantees you four years of Republican rule, but not eight years of Republican rule and doesn't even give you a candidate in 2028.