After the 2018 election, I have a theory about why Donald Trump is more popular than any other presidential candidate in American history. And I'm very proud of myself for coming up with it. We'll see if you agree with that theory in just a little while. Today's episode is a mashup of my thoughts on the results of the midterm elections, and why I think it's a better theory than most of the other theories that have been out there before. I also talk about why Beto O'ourke's campaign was a disaster. And I explain why that's good news for Democrats and bad news for Republicans. Finally, I talk about how much money Beto spent on his campaign, and how it hurt the GOP in the midterms. Ben Shapiro is a writer, comedian, and podcaster. His latest novel Other Words For Smoke is out now, and it's out on Amazon Prime and Vimeo. You can get a free copy of the book, "The Dark Knight's Dark Lord" for only $99.99. You won't regret it if you read the book and listen to it on Audible, iTunes, or wherever else you get your book recommendations. You can also get a copy of The Dark Knight s Dark Lord's Dark Knight novel for free, which is also available for 99.99, or you can get 20% off the first month of the new edition of his new novel, "Dark Knight's New Year's Day." and get an ad free trial only, which starts shipping on January 1st, only through Nov. 19th, 2020. If you're looking for a discount code, use coupon code: CHANGE2020 at checkout, CHECK OUT at CHECKOUT. at checkout. That's code CHANGE.COM for $10, and get a discount of $5, and receive $5 off your first month, you'll get 10% off your entire book or two-week shipping plan, plus free shipping and shipping starts starting at $99, and they'll get an additional $5 more shipping starts after that starts in 7 days. they'll ship you a maximum of $50, plus an additional two-day shipping starts, plus a FREE shipping offer, and you get an extra $5-a-place of $25,99 gets you an ad discount when you get the book is reviewed and two-place discount starts shipping starts starts starting in seven days, and a discount starts in six months, they'll also get my deal starts in two weeks.
00:00:17.000This is like when the Christmas music starts in the middle of Thanksgiving.
00:00:21.000OK, 2020 has begun because it is now after the 2018 elections.
00:00:25.000I have a lot to say about the 2020 elections.
00:00:27.000I have a theory of what Trump is electorally that I think tracks much more closely with the data than a lot of the theories that have been out there before.
00:00:34.000I came up with it this morning and I'm very proud of myself.
00:00:36.000We'll see if you agree with that theory in just a little while.
00:00:40.000First, let's talk about how you can make your business more efficient.
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00:01:09.000You'll be connected with an advisor to discuss the best software options for your needs.
00:01:12.000Talking to an advisor takes just 10 minutes or less.
00:01:15.000Whether you're a medical professional, a construction manager, an HR pro, you name it, software advice saves you time.
00:01:19.000It helps you make a more informed decision.
00:02:24.000And yes, President Trump had something to do with that.
00:02:26.000President Trump visited a bunch of battleground states in hotly contested Senate races, and every place he visited, the candidate won.
00:02:33.000President Trump has a unique gift for getting the base revved up, and particularly in close Senate elections, that does matter.
00:02:39.000So he does have coattails when it comes to getting the base out.
00:02:42.000He does have reverse coattails, however, when it comes to House races.
00:02:45.000Virtually every purple seat that was contested, every seat in a suburban district that Republicans held, went to Democrats last night.
00:02:52.000That is deeply troubling for Republicans.
00:02:54.000So, there's good news for Democrats, there's good news for Republicans, there's bad news for Democrats, and there's bad news for Republicans.
00:03:04.000The good news is that the kind of beloved star-making candidacies, Beto O'Rourke and Andrew Gillum in Florida, Beto O'Rourke being the Senate candidate in Texas, those came to an end last night.
00:03:21.000It was a three-point race that he lost in Texas.
00:03:23.000I think a lot of that has to do with the deeply flawed candidacy of Senator Ted Cruz, who has sort of mortally wounded himself in a lot of ways.
00:05:08.000But overall, the talk of a blue wave was overstated.
00:05:12.000Now, how you see this election is dependent on whether you see this as a year in which Democrats were going to ride back in and overtake everything, or whether you saw this as a rebuilding year.
00:05:24.000I think the Democrats have a very skewed view of politics, thanks to the Obama years.
00:05:28.000I think that the Obama years made Democrats believe they were never going to lose again, that Trump was an electoral aberration, and that therefore, they were going to sweep to victory.
00:05:35.000They were going to come back in, sweep through the House, sweep through the Senate, take everything back in one fell swoop.
00:05:43.000Well, it turns out Trump is not a blip on the radar.
00:05:45.000Republicans are not a blip on the radar.
00:05:48.000State seats that Republicans won during Obama's tenure were not a blip on the radar.
00:05:52.000If they had seen last night as rebuilding the farm team, if they had seen it, Dana Perino suggested this to me this morning, so I'm using her metaphor.
00:06:00.000If, and I think she's right, if Democrats had seen this as we are in recovery here,
00:06:05.000Then it was a very good night for Democrats, right?
00:06:07.000They win virtually every contested seat across the country.
00:06:10.000They oust a bunch of Republican incumbents, including incumbents like Dave Brat in Virginia, which is really not great.
00:06:15.000I really like Dave Brat, congressman from Virginia who ousted Eric Cantor, if you recall, back in 2010.
00:06:21.000All of this is to suggest that Republicans have some problems.
00:06:25.000Now, Democrats have some problems because Florida and Ohio are not solidly in the Democratic line.
00:06:30.000And that's a problem for them in future presidential elections.
00:06:33.000Republicans have a problem because some states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, those states look to be trending back blue, which is a real problem for them.
00:06:40.000If President Trump were to win in 2020, Florida and Ohio, but lose Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, he loses the election, right?
00:06:47.000He needs to win at least Wisconsin of those three.
00:06:51.000Governor Scott Walker has been a tremendous governor, was ousted in an extraordinarily close race that may end up in a recount in Wisconsin.
00:06:58.000But political realities are back in play.
00:08:02.000Did Trump have a massive down-ballot effect for Republicans that was negative?
00:08:06.000Yes, he had an up-ballot effect for people like Ron DeSantis in Florida, for folks like Braun in Indiana.
00:08:14.000He had an up-ballot effect for Ted Cruz in Texas, obviously.
00:08:17.000But when it came to the House races, the negative effect of President Trump was pretty evident.
00:08:21.000The exit polls showed that a huge number of suburban districts did not like President Trump, do not like President Trump, and that there is blowback for President Trump
00:08:31.000So what we saw last night in short, red areas got redder, blue areas got bluer.
00:08:37.000All of the trends that we saw in 2016 were doubled down upon.
00:08:39.000Rural areas went heavier for Republicans.
00:08:42.000Suburban areas went bluer for Democrats.
00:08:45.000Is that a trade that Republicans are willing to make?
00:08:47.000Maybe for now, but that's not a plan for the future.
00:08:50.000With that said, with that said, the Democrats, I think, at least partially, are looking at this and saying, well, there were a lot of blown opportunities there.
00:08:59.000Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.
00:09:01.000And Andrew Gillum nearly winning in Florida is not Andrew Gillum winning in Florida.
00:09:04.000And Beto O'Rourke nearly winning in Texas is not Beto O'Rourke winning in Texas.
00:09:07.000You can see Trevor Noah was very disappointed last night on Comedy Central.
00:09:10.000He said the blue wave was basically just a Smurf peeing.
00:09:13.000So it was touch and go for a while today.
00:09:15.000The blue wave was looking more like a smurf that was peeing.
00:09:19.000And what was worse is that the results just wouldn't come in.
00:09:24.000OK, so I think that if you look this morning as to who feels relieved and who feels unsettled, I think everyone should be.
00:09:31.000Everyone on both sides should feel both relieved and unsettled.
00:09:34.000There's good news for both parties and bad news for both parties.
00:09:37.000But I think the general perception is that Republicans are relieved and Democrats are unsettled.
00:09:41.000Democrats legitimately had expectations that 2016 was a complete outlier and that they were going to return to vast power automatically just by dint of people don't like Trump.
00:10:36.000And the beginning of a new Democratic Party, younger,
00:10:39.000Browner, cooler, more women, more veterans can win in Michigan, can win in Pennsylvania, can win in Ohio.
00:10:46.000We have the first Muslim women, first Native American women, the first black woman from Massachusetts, first Latina from Texas.
00:10:53.000It may not be a blue wave, it's a rainbow wave.
00:10:55.000It's something happening out there and I'm happy about it.
00:10:58.000Okay, anybody who believes that Van Jones has a good read on this election is absolutely wrong.
00:11:02.000What actually happened is a bunch of moderate Democrats in suburban districts won.
00:11:07.000And there were some Democrats in more progressive districts who won in more progressive seats.
00:11:12.000But the notion that a bunch of progressives swept into power and that what Democrats have to do in 2020 is double down, more cowbell, more cowbell.
00:11:22.000And if we run a hardcore progressive in 2020, we're going to win.
00:11:25.000That is not the lesson Democrats ought to be learning.
00:11:27.000I'm going to talk about the lessons both parties ought to be learning in just a second after we finish reviewing sort of what happened in the election last night and why both parties are going to take away the wrong lessons from what happened last night.
00:11:37.000But first, let's talk about your sleep quality.
00:11:39.000Now, I know that when you think about sleeping, you think about a lot of things.
00:11:42.000You think about your pillow, you think about your mattress.
00:11:43.000But one of the things you probably don't think all that much about is your sheets, because you just got a set of sheets for your wedding or for your graduation or something.
00:11:51.000Or you just went down to your local Bed, Bath & Beyond and picked up whatever was on the shelf there and had a high thread count.
00:11:56.000You're like, ooh, high thread count means that it's awesome.
00:11:58.000Well, the truth is, your sheets probably suck.
00:12:00.000And what you really need is Bull & Branch sheets, because they are, in fact, terrific.
00:12:03.000Everything Bull & Branch makes from bedding to blankets is made from pure 100% organic cotton.
00:12:08.000Which means they start out super soft, they get even softer over time.
00:12:11.000You can buy directly from them, so you're essentially paying wholesale prices.
00:12:14.000Luxury sheets can cost up to $1,000 in the store.
00:12:17.000Bull and Branch sheets are only a couple of hundred bucks.
00:15:10.000And again, a lot of these key races, President Trump did play a role, and Chuck Todd pointed this out in NBC News, he is correct.
00:15:16.000He says that President Trump may have pulled DeSantis across the finish line, Brian Kemp in Georgia, who won a victory in the Georgia race, where he was not expected to surpass the sort of runoff margin.
00:16:11.000You need those suburban Republicans if you want to govern.
00:16:13.000You do need people able to win in the suburbs.
00:16:15.000And the demographic movements in the United States are away from rural areas and toward urban areas.
00:16:20.000People are moving out of the sort of outlying areas and more towards suburbia, more toward big cities.
00:16:25.000This is why that race in Texas was so close, because the entirety of the state of Texas is deep red, except for Austin and Dallas and Houston.
00:16:32.000And those are exactly the areas that are growing.
00:16:34.000So for Republicans to sort of give up on those areas and just, you know, wipe their brow and say, oh, you know, last night was fine.
00:16:42.000You know, this is more like Republicans should be worried about the future of the party if the red wave in 2016 begins to recede.
00:16:50.000So Politico points out Democrats won suburbs from the eastern seaboard all the way to Nevada.
00:16:54.000They didn't just pick off low-hanging fruit.
00:16:56.000GOP members long seem to be vulnerable.
00:16:57.000They expanded into Dallas, Houston, Oklahoma City, Richmond.
00:17:02.000Republicans like Barbara Comstock in northern Virginia.
00:17:05.000Mike Coffman in suburban Denver, Kevin Yoder outside Kansas City, Eric Paulson in the Twin Cities.
00:17:11.000They all lost, but they also ousted Steve Russell in Oklahoma, which was a much deeper red, and Karen Handel in suburban Atlanta.
00:17:20.000Democrats won both toss-up races in Virginia.
00:17:22.000They knocked off both suburban Texas members John Culberson and Houston Pete Sessions in Dallas.
00:17:26.000Incumbent Carlos Curbelo crashed and burned in South Florida.
00:17:29.000Republicans kept only a handful of suburban seats, so obviously Republicans have to worry about that.
00:17:35.000You know, one of the things that I'm seeing that's hilarious today is Democrats saying, well, you know, we really did win in a way because look at the popular vote in the Senate.
00:18:05.000Let's not get out over our skis when we suggest that the public has rejected Republicans, and yet the system is structured so that Republicans win anyway.
00:18:13.000No, that's called the United States Senate.
00:18:15.000It's been there for quite a while, so stop being stupid.
00:18:18.000The Politico points out that Democrats may have lost the Senate until 2022.
00:18:22.000As I pointed out earlier, the fact remains that
00:18:26.000As of 2020, Republicans are going to hold 54 Senate seats, which is three more seats than the GOP now holds.
00:18:37.000If Democrats lose the Alabama seat, which they will, they only won this time because Roy Moore was a garbage candidate, the only Republicans up for reelections in state Hillary won are Cory Gardner in Colorado and Susan Collins in Maine.
00:18:48.000Susan Collins is a very good politician in her home state.
00:18:50.000And so there's a significant possibility that Republicans only lose maybe one seat.
00:18:56.000You know, they'd have to have a wave, basically, in order for them to take the Senate in 2020.
00:19:16.000In Iowa, Democrats picked up two House seats.
00:19:19.000In Wisconsin, Scott Walker went down and Senator Tammy Baldwin won re-election.
00:19:23.000But, remember, Trump was not on the ballot in any of those places.
00:19:27.000And as Politico points out, in 2010, Republicans won the governorships in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Iowa, and senators in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Illinois.
00:22:03.000Okay, so what are the lessons that the party should take away?
00:22:15.000The lessons the Republicans should take away is that if they wish to see long-term success, they're going to have to start appealing to these suburban districts.
00:22:22.000In other words, the districts that Mitt Romney did better in than Donald Trump are still important.
00:22:26.000If Donald Trump can hold the rural districts in the way that he has, and he has because Democrats have polarized,
00:22:32.000If he can hold those and somehow start appealing to those suburban districts, Democrats are in trouble.
00:22:37.000By the same token, if Democrats keep appealing to suburban districts with moderate candidates, then the Republicans are in trouble.
00:22:45.000Unfortunately, it seems that everybody is doubling down on what brung them there.
00:22:50.000And what that means is that Democrats are embracing the radicalism and Republicans are embracing the excesses.
00:22:56.000So everybody's gonna take the wrong lessons from today.
00:22:59.000Like the Democrats, you saw that clip of Van Jones a little bit earlier, heard the clip of Van Jones a little bit earlier, talking about how he is so excited that all of these progressives have been elected.
00:23:09.000Well, there were a bunch of progressives elected, again, mainly in areas in which they supplanted other more moderate Democrats.
00:23:15.000This is something the Washington Post is pointing out.
00:23:17.000Moderate Democrats in the Midwest outperformed ideological Democrats in the Sunbelt.
00:23:42.000The only problem is they are deeply, deeply radical.
00:23:45.000Tlaib didn't have any Republican challengers in her district, so once she won the primary, she was in Congress.
00:23:49.000And Ilhan Omar was the favorite to prevail in a solidly Democratic district.
00:23:53.000Both of them are radically anti-Semitic and anti-Israel.
00:23:56.000The Democratic Party is celebrating all of that.
00:23:59.000The Democratic Party is out there championing the fact that Sharice Davids, a lesbian Native American, becomes one of the first two Native American women elected to Congress.
00:24:09.000And the other one is not, Elizabeth Warren.
00:24:54.000What they see is that 95% of black women voted for Beto O'Rourke and 71% of white women voted for Ted Cruz.
00:25:00.000And you're seeing tweets like, these white women are tools of the patriarchy.
00:25:04.000First of all, keep saying stuff like that.
00:25:05.000That's definitely going to win you elections.
00:25:07.000It's insulting the base that you need to win.
00:25:09.000That's definitely going to help you out.
00:25:11.000Second of all, what that actually suggests is that you believe that you are going to make more hay by somehow winning 98% of the black vote and alienating that entire white female base?
00:25:26.000Democrats actually have less upside in a lot of these minority communities than Republicans have upside in those minority communities.
00:28:10.000There are a bunch of areas where Democrats lost and lost big because of Brett Kavanaugh.
00:28:15.000Joe Manchin did not lose, partially because he did not vote against Brett Kavanaugh.
00:28:20.000If that had been, and that was because Democrats exposed themselves as partisan hacks of an extraordinarily ridiculous and extreme measure, that would have cut in Republicans' favor.
00:28:33.000Republicans in kind of hotly contested district lost last night.
00:28:38.000Part of that is because the closing pitch for the Trump campaign was doubling down on the base.
00:28:42.000Now, do you think that Ron DeSantis won in Florida because of the talk about the migrant caravan?
00:29:00.000Because three weeks earlier, she was skunking Kyrsten Sinema, and then it really tightened up in the last three weeks.
00:29:06.000So the Republicans who believe that President Trump appealing to the base is the best strategy for electoral victory, that's sort of missing the point.
00:29:14.000What people want from President Trump, if Trump, if the best version of Trump were available, it would be the President Trump who is capable of fighting back against the radical left and punching and punching, but doing so in a manner that is strategic as opposed to sort of id-driven.
00:29:30.000And if the Democrats had any brains, they would be running blue-collar candidates with moderate appeal.
00:29:34.000It seems, however, that both parties are determined to double down on what the base wants, not what the rest of the voting public wants.
00:29:43.000And that spells a very contentious couple of years.
00:29:46.000We're going to talk in just a second about what the next couple of years spell.
00:29:48.000And then I want to lay out a theory for you about President Trump
00:29:52.0002020, Barack Obama, that I think few people have actually discussed as of yet.
00:29:57.000First, let's talk about, for a second, how much you're spending at the post office.
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00:31:29.000Plus, when you subscribe, you also get access to the final question on our Sunday special.
00:31:33.000This week's Sunday special features John Stossel, who you'll remember from Fox News, libertarian reporter, really has some interesting thoughts on the economy and the future of the country.
00:31:43.000Here's a little bit of what that sounds like.
00:31:59.000So, that is an interesting conversation.
00:32:01.000You're going to want to go check that out this Sunday.
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00:33:03.000Have a better shot of winning the House.
00:33:04.000So basically, both sides did their damnedest to blow this election, and neither side was completely able to.
00:33:10.000All of which speaks to 2020, which is, I know, what's on everybody's mind.
00:33:13.000I mean, let's take a look at the 2016 map real fast.
00:33:16.000So if you look at the 2016 map in, you know, in the presidential election, what you will see in this map is that President Trump won 306 electoral votes.
00:33:39.000If he wins Wisconsin but loses Michigan and Pennsylvania, he's got 270.
00:33:43.000If he loses one of the votes in Maine, he won one vote in Maine, if he loses that one vote in Maine, which is probably likely at this point, then he can win Wisconsin and you end up with a 269-269 tie.
00:33:55.000Which is just everybody's worst nightmare.
00:33:58.000A tie in the electoral college which gets thrown into the house where Nancy Pelosi presides, which is just nightmare scenario.
00:34:04.000But the reason that I'm bringing up this map is because the theory of President Trump is that President Trump finally broke that blue wall that existed in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
00:34:14.000And that the Democrats thought that that was an outlying effect.
00:34:36.000And that what is happening in states like Ohio and Florida and Wisconsin and Michigan and Pennsylvania is much more of a reversion to the pre-Barack Obama era than it is anything else, which says to the Democrats that your intersectional strategy is a giant fail.
00:34:50.000It says to Republicans that they need to do better in reaching out to suburban areas, but it really is a rebuke to the intersectional politics of Barack Obama.
00:34:57.000So here is my evidence for the proposition that what has basically happened here is a reversion back to the pre-Obama era.
00:35:05.000In Ohio, the recent presidential elections, George W. Bush versus, so 2000, Republicans win 50% of the vote.
00:35:14.0002004, Republicans win 51% of the vote.
00:35:16.000Then Obama comes along and Obama breaks the mold, right?
00:35:19.000He wins Ohio with, he wins Ohio and Republican vote share drops to 47% and 48% respectively.
00:35:27.000Then President Trump comes along, Obama's no longer on the ballot, Hillary's a uniquely bad candidate, and Republicans win 51% of the vote again.
00:35:34.000So what that means is that that is a reversion back to the pre-Obama era.
00:37:19.000That's a reversion to the statistical mean.
00:37:21.000It is the same thing in Pennsylvania, where the Republican vote share was 46-49 in the Bush years, and it dropped radically during Obama, and then it was back up to 49 during Trump.
00:37:31.000What this suggests is that the country is still actually broken down very similarly to the Bush era.
00:37:37.000It's just that Barack Obama broke the mold, but that mold could not be broken for anyone else.
00:37:42.000That mold did not apply to anyone else.
00:37:45.000So the Democrats are still doubling down on intersectional politics.
00:37:49.000Republicans, all they have to do is play the Bush era cards, and they still have a shot at winning in all of these places.
00:37:54.000But just as Bush lost a lot of those battleground states, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania,
00:38:01.000Just as Bush lost some of those states, the reality is that Donald Trump is going to have to do better than Donald Trump did in 2016 if he wants to win again in 2020.
00:38:18.000If you want to win, that's what it is.
00:38:21.000So let's not deceive ourselves on the Republican side of the aisle by thinking, OK, we're just going to win from now until the end of time because of these races last night.
00:38:28.000And let's not pretend that it was Trump that saved Florida or Ohio.
00:38:34.000And Donald Trump, yes, is great at a certain number of things, but luck is not a business strategy, as I've once said to my business partner, and it is not a political strategy either.
00:38:53.000That gives him a nice, big target to hit.
00:38:57.000And Nancy Pelosi is smarter than I'm giving her credit for in the past.
00:39:02.000She's attempting a sort of moderation because I think that Nancy Pelosi does get that not everybody can campaign as Nancy Pelosi and win across the country.
00:39:09.000Here's Nancy Pelosi last night talking about what the election was really about.
00:39:13.000What she says here is actually accurate.
00:39:15.000Today is more than about Democrats and Republicans.
00:39:18.000It's about restoring the Constitution's checks and balances to the Trump administration.
00:39:27.000Okay, so when she says about checks and balance, if the Democrats restricted themselves to checking Trump's worst impulses, they'd be in good shape.
00:39:35.000The question is, can Nancy Pelosi hem in her own base?
00:40:21.000Right, so that is Nancy Pelosi understanding that if she alienates the moderates across the country, it's a mistake.
00:40:26.000I wonder if the Republicans are going to learn the same lesson.
00:40:28.000President Trump gave a press conference today in which he discussed the election and his entire election strategy was everyone who didn't like me lost, everyone who liked me won.
00:40:38.000Everybody who liked President Trump in Trumpy districts won.
00:40:40.000Everybody who liked President Trump in purple districts lost.
00:40:43.000President Trump is going to have to understand that if he wants to win re-election, it's not going to be enough to just double down on the gal that brung him.
00:40:50.000He's going to actually have to change strategy a little bit.
00:40:53.000It looks like Nancy Pelosi actually understands that, which is scary.
00:41:16.000It's about stopping the GOP and Mitch McConnell's assault on Medicare, Medicaid, the Affordable Care Act, and the health care of 130 million Americans living with pre-existing medical conditions.
00:41:31.000Let's hear it more for pre-existing medical conditions.
00:41:36.000And people cheer like, yeah, and even the kids who are next are like, why am I even here, man?
00:42:06.000Everything is baked into the cake for Trump.
00:42:08.000If Democrats want to waste their time for the next couple of years in investigations, they can do that.
00:42:12.000The only thing that would, I think, damage Trump at all is if they came up with some evidence of emoluments that was self-enriching or something.
00:42:18.000But even there, I don't think that there's going to be much.
00:42:20.000Adam Schiff, however, who has now, he's now going to be the head of the House Intelligence Committee.
00:42:25.000And he is, suffice it to say that Adam Schiff has moved his pup tent from CNN's Green Room over to the House Intelligence Committee.
00:42:34.000He says there will be more investigations, more cowbell, more cowbell.
00:42:38.000I think that the chances that Bob Mueller will be able to finish his work improved for the reason that our committee and others like the Government Reform Committee and the Judiciary Committee, which under Republican leadership served as basically surrogates for the President in their efforts to batter down the Justice Department, to give the President a pretext to fire people in the Justice Department, all of that
00:43:05.000Okay, so this is, you know, their pitch.
00:43:11.000I don't think that that pitch is going to play in 2020.
00:43:15.000Being a natural pessimist means I think that every party takes the wrong lessons from last night's elections.
00:43:21.000But again, there are encouraging signs and discouraging signs for both sides in that election.
00:43:25.000If people are willing to read the tea leaves, there's a lot of upside for Republicans.
00:43:28.000If they don't, there's going to be a lot of downside.
00:43:31.000OK, time for some things I like and then some things that I hate.
00:43:34.000So things I like, you know, it is true that we are an amazing country in which we get to transfer power safely from one party to the other in a variety of chambers.
00:43:42.000Checks and balances keep our rights safe for the most part.
00:43:46.000And, you know, that that is a wonderful thing and puts you in kind of a patriotic mood.
00:43:50.000Aaron Copland, you'd recognize a lot of his music because he's responsible for Appalachian Spring.
00:46:03.000But now I worry we made a tragic mistake
00:46:27.000You're right, leaving kids in a Chinese orphanage is way better than bringing them to the freest country in the history of the world, and most prosperous country in the history of the world.
00:46:34.000Probably you should have left them in the Chinese orphanage, you crazy person.
00:46:38.000And then she says, I pulled these two beautiful babies away from a rising power and into a damaged democracy.
00:47:44.000Two years ago, writes this crazy person, I brought my daughters to the voting booth with me, expecting they'd witness the election of the very first woman president.
00:47:51.000Instead, we got a guy with multiple sexual allegations made against him, who backs candidates for the highest posts in the land, who also have assault and molestation claims against them.
00:47:58.000Again, Keith Ellison is the new Minnesota Attorney General, guys.
00:48:01.000And Bob Menendez is the returning senator from New Jersey.
00:48:47.000Like, there were a lot of Republicans who were upset that Steve King retained his seat in Iowa last night.
00:48:53.000How many Democrats were upset that Keith Ellison won the Attorney General seat in Minnesota?
00:48:57.000And Keith Ellison is a hell of a lot more racist than Steve King, even.
00:49:02.000It says, Trump promised during his campaign he would roll back Roe v. Wade, and a new Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh's conservative judicial record makes it seem he'd be just the man to help do it, no matter his protestations that he considers it settled law.
00:49:13.000The idea that my daughters may lose the right to control what happens to their bodies, especially if they could end up with a pregnancy that's the result of a sexual assault, keeps me up at night.
00:49:21.000Well, it's kind of weird that you're so pro-abortion considering that your daughters literally are alive because they avoided forced abortion at the hands of the Chinese state.
00:49:30.000Again, the reason that I read this from Marie Claire is not just because I'm picking on a crazy person, but because, unfortunately, this base of the Democratic Party is fully convinced that the way to win is by shouting and screaming like a crazy person.
00:49:55.000Well, we will be back here tomorrow with all the latest breakdowns, plus President Trump reacting in extraordinary fashion to the election.