In this episode, I talk about artificial intelligence and what it means for the future of the world, and why we should all be worried about it. I also talk about the benefits of AI, and how it can change the way we live, work, and play in the future, and the potential dangers of artificial intelligence. This episode is brought to you by VaynerSpeakers, a leading technology company that specialises in AI and machine learning. I hope you enjoy it, and if you do, please share it with a friend, colleague, or family member who needs it. Tweet me and let me know what you thought of it in the comments section below! Timestamps: 1:00:00 - What is artificial intelligence? 2:30 - What are the benefits and risks of AI? 3:40 - How AI will change the world 4:20 - Is AI a good or bad thing? 5:00 What is AI's role in the 21st century? 6:10 - What does AI have in the world? 7:20 8:30 Is AI bad or good? 9:10 10:30 Is AI the next step in human evolution? 11:40 12:30 Does AI have a purpose? 13:30 What are we waiting for? 14:30 Can AI become more intelligent? 15: Is AI better than us? 16:00 Is AI more human than a machine? 17:30 Are we getting stupider? 18:00 Does AI better at chess? 19: Does AI already have a human brain development? 21: What will AI have more advanced than we can do better? ? 22:30 Do we need to be better at math? or are we getting better at it? 25:30 How do we become more creative? 26:00 Do we have more independent skills? 27:00 Are we becoming more sophisticated? 29:00 Can AI more smart? 30:00 Will AI be better than a better at something we can we be more advanced? 35:00 Should AI be more like a human being? 31:10: Is there a better human brain? 32:00 What do we learn from our brains better than we are a better chess player? 33:00 How can we improve our brains?
00:00:05.000The simple fact is it's not overblown.
00:00:07.000The artificial intelligence revolution is here.
00:00:09.000It is only going to grow more and more in both scope and breadth.
00:00:13.000Things like chat GPT are actually the very basic versions of what the techno bros have in store for the rest of the world.
00:00:19.000And there are some people who are very hot on it, some people who are very scared of it.
00:00:23.000I'm somewhere in the in-between, meaning I think that the upsides economically are going to be extraordinary.
00:00:27.000I think in terms of labor saving and productivity, we could see an explosion of productivity that essentially brings inflation down to zero, that makes an enormous number of products, goods and services significantly easier to access for a wide variety of people, that allows pretty much anybody to engage in a variety of industries they never would have had access to before.
00:00:45.000It's the democratization of intelligence is what some are calling it because Instead of you having to go to medical school, for example, to be able to diagnose a particular condition, now all you have to do is go to a nurse practitioner, she's going to perform particular tests on you, and then the AI is going to diagnose you because it's better at it than any doctor would be.
00:01:02.000Instead of you having to know a ton of things in order to get an answer, you're going to be able to go to the AI, and the AI is going to be able to peruse all of human knowledge momentarily and simply get back to you.
00:01:10.000There are just tons of ways in which AI is going to make us more productive, going to make it easier for us to be creative in many ways.
00:01:16.000There are some problems, I think, when it comes to the sort of human brain development aspect of AI that we're going to have to discuss.
00:01:23.000Because one of the things that we've really never thought about with regard to technology, we've always thought about technology as something apart from us.
00:01:29.000Technology is a machine that you use, but the truth is the machine shapes you.
00:01:33.000I see this with my seven-year-old son.
00:01:34.000So my seven-year-old son, really bright kid, He realized very quickly how my iPhone worked.
00:01:39.000And he could work it better than I could.
00:01:45.000So for my son, he recognized how the voice-to-text feature on my iPhone worked very quickly.
00:01:52.000And so instead of him learning to read and then being able to type in all of the commands, he would simply grab the phone, say his command into the phone, and this allowed him to avoid reading for longer.
00:02:22.000It means that they're using the tools at their disposal.
00:02:25.000But the question is whether there are emergent properties To knowing things like how to calculate in your head that have an impact on overall brain function.
00:02:33.000So for example, let's say that you are the world's best chess player and you use AI in order to enhance your game.
00:02:38.000This has been shown to be the best form of chess playing is somebody who's great at chess and somebody who also has access to AI technology in terms of chess.
00:02:48.000Well, what happens when you have an entire generation of people who have been trained on chess AI, but they've not actually developed independent skills with regard to chess?
00:02:57.000Well, at a certain point, the AI could actually become self-referential.
00:03:00.000The humans are not actually creating inputs for the AI to actually act off of.
00:03:05.000So does an informational desert arise?
00:03:08.000Well, one of the cures for that is presumably a move toward what they call artificial general intelligence, which is much more human-like programming, meaning that right now, the way that an AI works, a chat GPT for example, is you sit there by the chat GPT, you type in your command, Like, write a poem in the style of Jerry Seinfeld.
00:03:25.000And then it gives you a poem and it's in the style of Jerry Seinfeld.
00:03:27.000But you are the master of the machine.
00:03:29.000You are the one who is inputting the command.
00:03:31.000Well, what if we say human beings are not going to be experts anymore?
00:03:35.000They're not even going to be great at all that much anymore?
00:03:37.000Why don't we just make AI that can create its own commands?
00:03:43.000But an AI that can generate its own prompts.
00:03:46.000Well, now you start getting into risky territory.
00:03:48.000Because first of all, you've made humans entirely obsolete at that point in terms of creativity.
00:03:52.000But more than that, you've also led to the possibility that you could have, for example, an AI that starts entering prompts that are really negative for humanity.
00:04:01.000So I'm going to go through with you some of the various perspectives on AI and what AI is going to mean.
00:04:06.000In order to do that, I'm gonna start off by talking about some of the AI technology terminology so that you know what you're talking about when you're at the water cooler today.
00:04:13.000Because again, this is going to be the big topic of conversation, not just for this year, not just for next year, for the next decade, two decades.
00:04:18.000It's going to completely and radically reshift how humanity lives.
00:04:48.000And it's going to get better and better and better, because the stuff they have on the back lines that has not yet hit the public eye is significantly more sophisticated, significantly more creative, significantly more interesting than the stuff that you already have seen.
00:04:59.000We'll get to more on this in just one second first.
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00:06:05.000Let's go through some basic AI terminology.
00:06:08.000So TechCrunch has a good rundown on all of this.
00:06:10.000And one of the things they point out is that the term artificial intelligence is a little bit misleading because there's not really one great definition of intelligence.
00:06:19.000It's sort of ersatz intelligence in the sense that it doesn't work quite the same way as the human brain.
00:06:23.000One of the big mistakes that people make when they think about how computers work is because we've spent so long interfacing with computers, we think that computers are basically like the human brain.
00:06:32.000And there are emergent properties to being a human that do not exist for machines, for computers.
00:06:38.000This is why all of the various movies about when does an AI become sentient, when does an AI become human?
00:06:43.000Well, not until there are emergent properties from the technology itself, right?
00:06:47.000There are emergent properties for human beings.
00:06:49.000Like, for example, the ability to choose freely, I believe.
00:06:53.000There are emotional states that you have that a computer does not have.
00:06:55.000There's tons of stuff about being human that we can't quite categorize and we can't quite chart, and so it makes it easier for us to think about being human by categorizing and charting what it means to be human.
00:07:04.000But that's actually a much more holistic experience than anything else, which is something we'll discuss when it comes to education and interfacing with AI.
00:07:12.000I think one of the things people aren't thinking about enough is how AI is going to change the experience of being human, how it's going to shape our own neural rewiring.
00:07:18.000Anyway, Here's some terms that you're going to need to know because you're going to hear them a lot.
00:07:22.000So a neural network is essentially an imitation of how the brain works.
00:07:26.000So our brains are made of all of these interconnected cells are called neurons and they form electrical connections.
00:07:32.000And when they fire, when your neurons fire, this is what creates thought, presumably.
00:07:37.000Well, GPUs, General Processing Units, they've been trying to work along the lines of neural networks for a very long time and they're sort of layered over one another.
00:07:45.000You have deep layers of neural networks and slightly higher layers of neural networks until you get to sort of the top line.
00:07:50.000The top line is what you see when you open your computer and suddenly the computer can actually identify dog versus cat, for example.
00:07:58.000So, all these models are formed along the lines of what a human brain theoretically works like.
00:08:03.000And then the model, as TechCrunch says, is the actual collection of code that accepts inputs and returns outputs.
00:08:08.000In order to train AI, you have to expose it to an extraordinary amount of data.
00:08:12.000So, the way that an AI learns what a dog is, is you show it a thousand dogs.
00:08:18.000And then you test it up the chain to see whether it can properly identify as a dog.
00:08:22.000And then if it fails, then you go back down the chain and you try to correct and tinker with the neural networking so that you get it right.
00:08:29.000Now one of the things that's happened over the past few years in this way I've seen the
00:08:31.000explosion in AI is instead of having to train these programs on a million dogs, instead
00:08:38.000of that, what you're doing is when it comes to large language models at least, not really
00:08:41.000with regard to pictures yet, but with regard to large language models, what you are seeing
00:08:44.000is the computers, the AI actually being able to properly identify and categorize words,
00:08:54.000So instead of doing it, you know, vertically, where you take the word dog and then go up and down the chain, the way that I just explained to you with pictures, instead you have the dog bit the man.
00:09:03.000And when it comes to large language models, which are trained on how language works, predictive text mechanisms, it's training it horizontally, not just vertically.
00:09:10.000So it's much, much faster than simply training up and down vertically.
00:09:57.000Diffusion is how image generation is done.
00:10:00.000So if you're wondering how it is that AI can now create things that look like Van Gogh,
00:10:04.000diffusion is done by companies like Stable Diffusion, Midjourney, and other popular generative AIs.
00:10:10.000They're trained by showing them images that are gradually degraded
00:10:12.000and then by adding digital noise until there's nothing left of the original.
00:10:15.000And you do that often enough and the computer starts to recognize patterns in the chaos.
00:10:19.000And so now you can basically say, from nothing or from very little data,
00:10:23.000I want you to generate an entire picture, right?
00:10:26.000It's reversing the process in the same way that you remember in the olden days when you would actually produce film, you'd take a picture and then you'd put it in the darkroom and then the picture would suddenly appear.
00:10:57.000Hallucination is what happens when the AI is not properly comprehending the data.
00:11:03.000So this is why you see, for example, Will Smith eating spaghetti and the spaghetti merging with Will Smith's mouth.
00:11:08.000Because the AI is hallucinating, but that's largely because of the over-prevalence of certain data in the set.
00:11:16.000So, for example, the example TechCrunch gives correctly is originally this is a problem of certain imagery and training slipping into unrelated output, like buildings that seem to be made of dogs because the thing had been seeing so many dogs lately.
00:11:29.000So that's hallucinating, but they're wiping that out of the system.
00:11:31.000There are a bunch of companies that are involved in AI.
00:11:34.000OpenAI is more an open model, an open source model, so all of their data is publicly available.
00:11:40.000You have Microsoft, which is developing its own AI.
00:11:42.000They invested early in open AI, and they're using it to power Bing.
00:11:46.000You have Anthropic, which is intending to fill a sort of different role.
00:12:00.000I mean, it's my prediction that within two years, the amount of money that's in AI is gonna look like a hundred billion dollars.
00:12:06.000And after that, we're gonna start talking trillions.
00:12:08.000Because again, it's gonna completely transform how we live and how we interface with technology.
00:12:13.000Some of this is scary, and some of this is really interesting and welcome.
00:12:16.000We're gonna discuss that in just one second.
00:12:18.000First, if you haven't yet heard, the FDA has now approved lab-grown chicken.
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00:12:49.000You can't call the scientists in the lab to ask about their fake meat, but Good Ranchers has a team of people available for you to call.
00:12:54.000They'll answer all of your questions, real meat and real service.
00:12:57.000I know how good they are because they actually made me the one kosher steak they've ever made and it was just delicious.
00:13:25.000So Leanna Nguyen has an interesting piece over in the Washington Post talking about how this is going to impact, say, health technologies.
00:13:31.000She says, Consider the Mayo Clinic, the largest integrated non-profit medical practice in the world.
00:13:36.000It has created more than 160 AI algorithms in cardiology, neurology, radiology, and other specialties.
00:13:41.000Forty of these have already been deployed in patient care.
00:13:44.000To better understand how AI is used in medicine, I spoke with John Halamka, a physician trained in medical informatics who is president of Mayo Clinic Platform.
00:13:51.000As he explained to me, AI is just the simulation of human intelligence via machines.
00:13:55.000He distinguished between predictive and generative AI.
00:13:58.000The former involves mathematical models using patterns from the past to predict the future.
00:14:01.000The latter uses text or images to generate a sort of human-like interaction.
00:14:04.000It's the first type, the predictive model, that is the most valuable.
00:14:07.000And this is why I say that it's going to impact medicine and law, for example, faster than it's going to impact some other areas of American life.
00:14:14.000Because predictive and text-generated stuff is more advanced than some of the other forms of AI so far.
00:14:21.000As Halamka described, predictive AI can look at the experiences of millions of patients and their illnesses to help answer a simple question.
00:14:26.000What can we do to ensure you have the best journey possible with the fewest potholes along the way?
00:14:30.000So, for example, let's say someone is diagnosed with type 2 diabetes.
00:14:33.000Instead of giving generic recommendations for anyone with the condition, an algorithm can predict the best care plan for that patient using age, geography, racial and ethnic background, existing medical conditions, and nutritional habits.
00:14:43.000The quality of the algorithm depends on the quantity and diversity of the data.
00:14:47.000So Mayo Clinic has already signed up with clinical systems across the United States and Canada and Brazil and Israel.
00:14:52.000So apparently by the end of 2023, Halamka expects the network of organizations to encompass more than 100 million patients whose medical records with identifying information removed will be used to improve care for others.
00:15:01.000So, for example, predictive AI is going to be able to augment diagnoses.
00:15:05.000For example, if you want to detect colon cancer, standard practice is for gastroenterologists to perform a colonoscopy and then manually identify and remove precancerous polyps.
00:15:12.000But apparently, one in four cancerous lesions are missed during those screening colonoscopies.
00:15:16.000Predictive AI can dramatically improve the detection.
00:15:19.000The software has been trained to identify polyps by looking at literally millions of pictures of them, and when it detects one during colonoscopy, it alerts the physician to take a closer look.
00:15:28.000Apparently, one randomized control trial already in the U.S., Britain, and Italy found that using such AI reduced the miss rate of potentially cancerous lesions by more than half, from 32.4% to 15.5%.
00:15:39.000He says that within the next five years, it will be malpractice not to use AI in colorectal cancer screening.
00:15:47.000Hey, so this is particularly true in radiology.
00:15:49.000So in radiology already, you're seeing AI begin to replace radiologists because radiologists, their job is to look at the x-ray and spot the problem.
00:15:56.000Well, that's literally what AI is amazing at.
00:16:13.000When I first started off at Harvard Law School, I was out of law school.
00:16:16.000I went to a firm called Goodwin Procter in Los Angeles, and I was a low-level associate.
00:16:21.000All you did all day was review contracts for paragraph errors, pagination errors, sort of basic informational errors, which you did all day.
00:16:30.000That stuff can be done by an AI in seconds.
00:16:33.000I mean, it's going to bring the cost down to zero.
00:16:35.000As I'll explain in a second, I think there may be a pipeline problem when it comes to this.
00:16:39.000Because if AI is really, really good at everything, except for the stuff that the real, real experts can do, it's going to wipe out the pipeline for experts.
00:16:45.000Because the way you become an expert is by training and doing all of these things without AI.
00:16:49.000Alternatively, theoretically, your use of AI could maybe make you more of an expert in the thing that you actually need to do to work with AI in the future.
00:16:57.000I'm not really sure about that answer.
00:16:58.000We'll get some perspectives on this in just one moment.
00:17:17.000Because the AI revolution is going to change nearly everything.
00:17:21.000The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, that'd be the OECD, says that the occupations at highest risk from AI-driven automation are highly skilled jobs.
00:17:30.000They represent about 27% of employment across 38 member countries.
00:17:34.000According to the OECD, they say it's clear the potential for AI-driven job substitution remains significant, raising fears of decreasing wages and job losses.
00:17:42.000However, it added that for the time being, AI was changing jobs rather than replacing them.
00:17:45.000Now, as I say, I think that there will be replacements for these jobs.
00:18:29.000The amount of productivity increase is going to dramatically lower the price on services and goods as well.
00:18:35.000The OECD says occupations in finance, medicine and legal activities, which often require many years of education and whose core functions rely on accumulated experience to reach decisions, may suddenly find themselves at risk of automation from AI.
00:18:47.000So as I say, that'll be workers in the fields of law, culture, science, engineering, and business as well.
00:18:52.000Now, there's not going to be a substitution for the person-to-person interface that is required to do negotiations, I think, because you're still going to have to negotiate with the other person, because that's a relationship based on trust.
00:19:02.000Now, one of the disruptors there could theoretically be that maybe we don't need a relationship based on trust.
00:19:07.000Maybe blockchain technology will be so useful at that point that when you combine that with AI, that the sort of trust that you have to have with the person across the table no longer exists.
00:19:15.000The computers essentially talk to one another.
00:19:18.000And when that happens, and they can actually check each other's work to ensure absolute transparency, maybe trust becomes less of a factor.
00:19:24.000But I think that's a little ways away.
00:19:28.000Now, all of this is creating a sort of sense of chaotic crisis.
00:19:32.000And there's a wide divide of opinion on whether AI is going to be a net positive or a net negative.
00:19:37.000And I think most of the net negative from AI is going to be in how people use it.
00:19:40.000Because I think one thing technology has shown, technology does not wipe out human sin.
00:21:11.000Okay, so some of the perspectives on AI, they're widely variant.
00:21:17.000So Mark Andreessen, who I've talked about in the past, he is, of course, a major investor in AI.
00:21:22.000He talks about how AI is going to save the world.
00:21:25.000And again, what he says is that it's going to make human intelligence significantly more prevalent.
00:21:31.000People are going to have access to things they never had access to.
00:21:33.000A guy with 105 IQ is going to be able to put together a movie by simply typing prompt into a computer.
00:21:39.000You are going to be able to get a great diagnosis for your medical condition from a nurse practitioner who didn't have to spend seven years working on their education.
00:21:48.000Andreessen says, what AI offers us is the opportunity to profoundly augment human intelligence to make all of these outcomes of intelligence and many others, from the creation of new medicines, to ways to solve the climate change, to technologies to reach the stars, much more, much more, and better from here.
00:22:03.000He says in our new era of AI, every child will have an AI tutor who is infinitely patient, infinitely compassionate, infinitely knowledgeable, and infinitely helpful.
00:22:09.000The AI tutor will be by each child's step, side by side, in their development, helping them maximize their potential with the machine version of infinite love.
00:22:16.000Every person will have an AI assistant, coach, mentor, trainer, advisor, therapist that is infinitely patient,
00:22:21.000infinitely compassionate, infinitely knowledgeable, and infinitely helpful.
00:22:24.000The AI assistant will be present through all of life's opportunities and challenges,
00:23:35.000It's going to be great that you are going to be able to access a wide range of services at a much cheaper price.
00:23:41.000It's great that you're going to be able to augment your own skills using AI.
00:23:44.000However, when we say things like every person will have an AI assistant, coach, mentor, trainer, advisor, or therapist, the question is who's doing the inputs.
00:23:51.000One of the things about having an AI mentor, trainer, advisor, somebody's going to have to set the parameters.
00:23:55.000And the parameters are really the big question when it comes to AI.
00:23:58.000So, when it comes to scientific, research, or legal advice, the parameters are pretty clear.
00:24:25.000And once you attach it to the sex dolls the Japanese are making, then obviously life is going to change rather dramatically for a large swath of the population.
00:24:35.000It's great to be able to personalize your coffee.
00:24:37.000It is very bad to be able to personalize your interactions with all the other humans around you.
00:24:41.000Personalizing your interactions with all the other humans around you makes you less human.
00:24:45.000It is interacting with things that you don't like that makes you a better person.
00:24:49.000It is dealing with adversity that makes you stronger.
00:24:51.000The tragedies of life are going to be fewer, and they're going to be milder, because that's what always happens with technological development.
00:24:59.000But they're not going to disappear entirely.
00:25:01.000And what we've seen is that, almost like an animal taken into captivity, Those animals taken into captivity, they can live a really, really long time.
00:25:09.000But when they are hit with any sort of adversity, they don't know what to do, which is why when you release them back into the wild, they're basically helpless.
00:25:15.000We are taking the wild out of life with a lot of this sort of stuff.
00:25:19.000And when we do, it makes human beings weaker in very specific, inhuman ways.
00:25:24.000So this is the area where I think we ought to keep in mind the division.
00:25:27.000And one of the things that we tend to do as human beings, we tend to use certain tools to try to solve quote-unquote all of our problems.
00:25:32.000And they shouldn't solve all of our problems.
00:25:34.000You need different tools for different problems.
00:25:36.000So, for example, you'll hear people say, two cheers for capitalism.
00:25:39.000You hear this on the right a lot, because capitalism, it's great, it provides better products, better services, free trade, all of that is very good, but, but, two cheers, because it undermines, for example, community.
00:25:49.000Capitalism was never meant to support community.
00:25:52.000Capitalism was meant to make products better and cheaper.
00:26:36.000Is it going to be parents or is it going to be the NEA?
00:26:38.000Is it going to be the government or is it going to be you?
00:26:40.000And how exactly do you set those parameters?
00:26:43.000So for example, let's say that, you know, just as I mentioned the calculator before, you set the parameters to the AI to whatever the kid wants so that they can learn the fastest.
00:26:54.000Does a kid need to, like when I was a kid, one of the things we were all sort of nostalgic for when you were a kid, you would look up in the Encyclopedia Britannica all the information.
00:27:02.000You can get information way faster now, which in a certain sense makes us way smarter because we can get the information way faster.
00:27:08.000At the same exact time, were there actual emergent properties, as I was discussing before, emergent properties from learning to look things up in an encyclopedia that may be useful for humanity, and that wiping that away by giving too quick access to information or the answer actually is bad for you?
00:27:24.000It's interesting, I was talking to a very pro-AI person recently, and we were talking about the, I was giving the example of my seven-year-old son to him, who's been using predictive text, or he's been using voice to text instead of reading.
00:27:35.000He said, what's the purpose of reading?
00:28:18.000He is the founder of Anthropic, right?
00:28:20.000The reason I think he's a Doomer is specifically because he's thinking about the impact on human beings.
00:28:24.000He did an interview with Kevin Ruse, who is the tech columnist over at the New York Times.
00:28:27.000Bad on some topics, like, for example, how people like me are horrible on YouTube, but good on some topics, like this interview.
00:28:33.000And he says, It's a few weeks before the release of Claude, a new AI chatbot from the artificial intelligence startup Anthropic, and the nervous energy inside the company's San Francisco headquarters could power a rocket.
00:28:43.000At long cafeteria tables dotted with spindrift cans and chess boards, harried-looking engineers are putting the finishing touches on Claude's new chat-GPT-style interface, codenamed Project Hatch.
00:28:52.000Nearby, another group is discussing problems that could arise on launch day.
00:28:55.000What if a surge of new users overpowers the company's servers?
00:28:58.000What if Claude accidentally threatens or harasses people, creating a Bing-style PR headache?
00:29:03.000Dario Modi is going over his own mental list of potential disasters.
00:29:06.000My worry, as always, is the model going to do something terrible we didn't pick up on.
00:29:10.000Anthropics employees aren't just worried that their app will break or that their users won't like it.
00:29:14.000They are scared, at a deep existential level, about the very idea of what they're doing, building powerful AI models and releasing them into the hands of people who might use them to do terrible and destructive things.
00:29:23.000Many of them believe AI models are rapidly approaching a level where they might be considered artificial general intelligence, that's AGI, the industry term for human-level machine intelligence.
00:29:30.000They fear that if they're not carefully controlled, these systems could take over and destroy us.
00:29:35.000Some of us think that AGI, in the sense of systems that are genuinely as capable as a college-educated person, Presumably with agency, like actually able to input their own inputs, are maybe 5 to 10 years away, says Jared Kaplan, Anthropic's chief executive.
00:29:48.000Just a few years ago, worrying about an AI uprising was considered a fringe idea, and one many experts dismissed as wildly unrealistic given how far the technology was from human intelligence.
00:29:56.000But AI panic is having a moment right now.
00:29:59.000At Anthropic, the doom factor has turned up to 11.
00:30:03.000I spent weeks interviewing anthropic executives, as Ruth, talking to engineers and researchers,
00:30:06.000sitting in on meetings with product teams ahead of Quad 2's launch.
00:30:09.000While initially I thought I might be shown a sunny optimistic vision of AI's potential,
00:30:12.000a world where polite chatbots tutor students, make office workers more productive, and help
00:30:39.000And so they are considering, and so they are concerned about AI safety.
00:30:45.000So, you know, again, AI safety is, let's say that the system decides, quote-unquote decides, that it is going to wipe out humanity and now has the capacity to do so.
00:30:54.000Now, the thing to worry about is not that it gains its own sort of willpower, because AI does not have desire.
00:31:17.000You can talk to your friends from other countries over FaceTime or WhatsApp.
00:31:21.000You can use Facebook to keep tabs on people you haven't seen in 20 years.
00:31:24.000Or, alternatively, you can use these social networks to isolate yourself in your bedroom and spend the next 10 years being lonely, isolated, and bored before you have suicidal ideation.
00:31:35.000And it's been more of the latter than the former in terms of sort of the statistical use.
00:31:39.000The questions of whether the internet, for example, has been an overwhelmingly good thing or a bad thing overall?
00:31:45.000These are very serious questions, and I don't think they're answerable.
00:31:47.000The same thing is going to be true of AI, except in spades.
00:31:51.000Bill Gates, on the other hand, he's more of a tech optimist.
00:31:57.000He says first, he's worried about AI-generated misinformation and deepfakes.
00:32:01.000I'm less worried about that because, again, I think that you'd have to have basically AI running everything in order for any sort of deepfake or misinformation to be so widely spread that everybody believes it.
00:32:13.000In fact, only the media is capable of doing that at this point.
00:32:15.000Second, AI could automate the process of searching for vulnerabilities in computer systems, which is true.
00:32:19.000Again, bad people could get a hold of AI and then they could work around all the security systems.
00:32:35.000There are many, many more jobs on planet Earth now with all of the technology than there were, say, 20 years ago with a lot less of the technology.
00:32:42.000Fourth, AI systems have already been found to fabricate information and exhibit bias.
00:32:46.000And finally, access to AI tools could mean that students don't learn essential skills.
00:32:48.000This is the one, again, that I'm most worried about.
00:32:50.000I'm worried about the pipeline of human development.
00:32:54.000And so, that does argue for the possibility that perhaps we should be carefully shielding kids from AI, particularly at their youngest stage, before we simply open the floodgates.
00:33:05.000It's the parents who open the floodgates to social media, who made their kids into zombified Social engineered problems.
00:33:14.000And I think we ought to be very, very careful about the sort of stuff that we unleash on kids in particular.
00:33:21.000Here's the bottom line to all of this.
00:33:22.000The bottom line to all of this is that you better get ready because things are going to change very, very quickly.
00:33:26.000That can either be scary or it can be wonderful.
00:33:28.000But pretending that the technological situation of the world is going to be the same five years from now as it is today is not true.
00:33:35.000Everything is going to change and it's going to start changing very, very fast.
00:33:38.000Okay, in just one second, we'll get to the NATO summit where Ukraine is now at odds with much of NATO.
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00:35:35.000On Tuesday, he upended that summit by blasting an agreement for its lack of a concrete timeline for Kiev to join the alliance, as well as the absurd process by which it was drafted.
00:35:43.000This is according to the Washington Post.
00:35:45.000in a fiery tweet, Zelensky frustrated Ukrainian advocates inside the alliance who believed they'd
00:35:48.000secured a win for Kiev by pushing the United States, Germany and other reluctant countries
00:35:52.000to consent to quote issue an invitation for Ukraine to join NATO when the allies agree and
00:35:56.000conditions are met. That language was read out by NATO Secretary General Jan Stoltenberg after the
00:36:00.000agreement among NATO's 31 leaders was made. Zelensky's angry intervention, which came before
00:36:04.000the final agreement on Tuesday, but after the language had already started circulating, suggested
00:36:08.000the alliance had not yet found a way to satisfy both sides.
00:36:11.000Zelensky said now on the way to Vilnius we received signals that certain wording is being discussed
00:36:16.000I'd like to emphasize that this wording is about the invitation to become NATO member, not about Ukraine's membership.
00:36:20.000It's unprecedented and absurd when time frame is not set, neither for the invitation nor for Ukraine's membership.
00:36:26.000He claims that NATO leaders are not serious about inviting Ukraine to join the alliance and complained their approach indicated they instead wanted to keep its membership as a bargaining chip for eventual negotiations with Russia.
00:36:34.000Uncertainty is weakness, he said, and I will openly discuss this at the summit.
00:36:39.000Zelensky did not mention Joe Biden in the tweet, but obviously this is directed as a shot over the bow for Joe Biden.
00:36:45.000Now, again, I've said before that the off-ramp here is probably to offer Ukraine NATO membership after cramming down a deal brokered by the United States.
00:36:54.000Basically, Ukraine then becomes a NATO member, meaning that its borders are non-permeable by Russia once Russia gets some territory out of this whole thing.
00:37:02.000So, the NATO saying, like, we're going to put this thing on hold is actually not wrong.
00:37:06.000Perhaps the gap is starting to emerge here that's going to allow for negotiations.
00:37:11.000Stoltenberg, however, immediately sought to smooth things over.
00:37:13.000He said there's never been a stronger message from NATO at any time, both when it comes to political messages on the path forward for membership and the concrete support from NATO allies with their support as well.
00:37:21.000The problem is that because of the way that this is being trotted out by the West, the suggestion is that when the war is over, then they will consider NATO membership.
00:37:29.000That's something Joe Biden has explicitly said.
00:37:31.000Once you say that, it's now in Vladimir Putin's interest to prolong the war as long as possible so that Ukraine does not get NATO membership.
00:37:37.000What they actively should be saying to the Russians is, listen, we're going to probably let them into NATO regardless, like at a certain point.
00:37:43.000So you can either do it with territory, you can do it while the war is still raging, which is going to be a problem.
00:37:48.000Jake Sullivan, the National Security Advisor, he said, when the NATO summit gets underway, our alliance will not only be bigger and stronger than ever, it will be more united, more purposeful and more energized than at any point in modern memory.
00:37:58.000Well, part and parcel of the attempts to bring Ukraine further into NATO is this attempt to bring Turkey further toward the West.
00:38:08.000Some of that is being driven by economic trouble, as the Wall Street Journal points out.
00:38:11.000For more than a year, the Turkish leader, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has carefully straddled the widening divide between Russia and the West over the Kremlin's invasion of Ukraine.
00:38:19.000Now, as he searches for ways to support an economy that has deteriorated under his watch, he is seeking to improve relations with both the United States and his Western allies.
00:38:25.000So he is triangulating, just like everybody else is triangulating, the weakness of Russia.
00:38:30.000Giant favor handed to the West by Vladimir Putin.
00:38:33.000It means that there are a lot of countries that are now triangulating between Russia and the West.
00:38:36.000However, it's the weakness of Joe Biden on the on the obverse side that is creating triangulation between the United States and China for some of these same exact countries.
00:38:44.000It's also leading to some sort of, I would say, risky decision making.
00:38:48.000So the United States has now apparently cleared a path to sell F-16 fighter jets to Turkey.
00:38:54.000National security advisor Jake Sullivan rejected suggestions that advancing the sale to Ankara was directly
00:38:58.000linked to Erdogan's decision to let Stockholm into the alliance of
00:39:02.000NATO saying there was no quid pro quo But US officials said the Japs factored in the negotiations.
00:39:07.000So essentially we paid Erdogan not to block Sweden's extension into NATO.
00:39:11.000A lot of people are a little bit concerned about handing over to Erdogan who is in fact a
00:39:18.000quasi dictator of Islamist bent. F-16s.
00:39:23.000Congress has the authority to pass legislation that will block or modify a sale until the jets are delivered.
00:39:28.000Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Menendez said Friday he was discussing the potential sale of the jets to Turkey, signaling a potential reversal of his longstanding opposition to the idea.
00:39:36.000I mean we have other allies in the region who are not always on the same page as the Turks and so this could be a big problem.
00:39:43.000Meanwhile, Antony Blinken is saying the Ukraine has made good progress on its path to joining NATO, but says they have more work to do.
00:39:50.000Again, it's not clear exactly what is happening here, and so I would say a lot is up in the air.
00:39:56.000President Biden made it very clear that he doesn't believe Ukraine is ready for NATO.
00:40:01.000What will it take for the administration's point of view for Ukraine to be ready?
00:40:06.000I know I've heard you all say when the war is over.
00:40:10.000So we're committed to what's called NATO's open door, to welcoming new members when they're ready for membership and when all of the allies agree to invite them in.
00:40:18.000Ukraine has made good progress in that direction, and that's going to be reflected at the summit.
00:40:23.000At the same time, the Ukrainians and others are the first to acknowledge that they have more work to do, continuing to reform their military, continuing to deepen democratic reforms.
00:40:31.000You're going to see that come out of the summit as well.
00:40:35.000So, it's going to be unclear exactly what happens next year.
00:40:38.000The one thing that is clear is that at some point, maybe this is the beginning of it, so maybe this is the right move.
00:40:42.000Maybe at the beginning of this, the move is going to be to draw some daylight with Zelensky so they can actually cut a deal.
00:40:48.000Meanwhile, Joe Biden is bragging to Erdogan, a person who is, again, a pretty vicious Islamist dictator for the past 10 years or so.
00:40:57.000He's bragging to Erdogan that they look forward to the next five years together.
00:41:00.000This is Biden suggesting he's going to run for re-election, of course.
00:41:04.000I believe today's meeting with you within the margin of the NATO Summit is the first step forward.
00:41:12.000Our meetings prior to this were mere warm-ups, but now we are initiating a new process.
00:41:20.000This new process is a process of five years, and now you are getting prepared for the forthcoming elections.
00:41:28.000And with the forthcoming elections, I would like to take this opportunity to also wish you the best of luck.
00:44:35.000It's where you move things from one place to another.
00:44:38.000I like when she defines basic words because she hasn't read the book.
00:44:42.000If you just assume that every Kamala Harris speech or presser is her giving a book report on a book she has not read, things make a lot more sense.
00:44:52.000They go, Kamala, read To Kill a Mockingbird.
00:44:54.000Well, it's a story in which there is, in fact, a mockingbird.
00:45:25.000Is it my job to answer for that person?
00:45:26.000But the way that it works for Republicans is a Republican says a dumb thing, and then we expand it into the biggest scandal that ever happened, and then we ask every single Republican in America about it in order to dissociate!
00:46:02.000And I think, honestly, that you can almost see it on his face as this clip progresses, that he realizes he's made a boo-boo.
00:46:07.000I think that he thought that she said Christian nationalism.
00:46:11.000And there's been this widespread attempt by the left to morph white nationalism, meaning the idea that a white-only ethno-state would be better for the United States.
00:46:19.000And this idea of Christian nationalism, which is a little more controversial because it can be read in one of two ways.
00:46:44.000And I think that Democrats ought to be ashamed for how they're doing this because it's dividing this country and it's making this country weaker every day.
00:47:40.000He's saying that you shouldn't have racial discrimination in the military, and she's saying white nationalists shouldn't be in the military.
00:47:45.000Now, the case that you can make is that the government over-broadly classifies white nationalists, because every time you go to the Department of Homeland Security and ask them for a definition, they'll say things like, people who want to make sure that their kids are not controlled by the NEA.
00:47:56.000You can make that definition, but the classical definition of white nationalism, of course, of course, is racism.
00:48:06.000And then he's asked more about it and he walks it back and he says, well, I mean, if that's what racism is, then sure, I don't like racism.
00:48:13.000Again, he's just, it's a terminological failure by him and it's a boo-boo and it's a gaffe.
00:48:17.000But does anyone actually think that Tommy Tuberville is in favor of like a white ethnostate?
00:49:03.000He won't step out of the boo-boo by saying, I misheard, or I thought you were talking about just whites generally, or the Department of Homeland Security over-categorizes.
00:49:11.000The point here is a senator says a dumb thing.
00:49:14.000This now becomes the predicate for an entire news cycle where we're not supposed to worry about all of the other racial issues plaguing the United States, such as, for example, the attempt in California to push for a full-scale reparations regime amounting to black fathers no longer have to pay child support for their kids.
00:49:29.000right, actual racism or the affirmative action, racism in action that Democrats have been pursuing
00:49:34.000and are screaming and caterwauling about because it just got banned by the Supreme Court or the
00:49:37.000equity agenda of the Biden administration that is absolutely predicated on group differences
00:49:42.000and rectifying group imbalances in outcome. We're not supposed to pay attention to that,
00:49:47.000we're supposed to pay attention to Tuberville saying a dumb thing. So Chuck Schumer, of course,
00:49:50.000goes ballistic over this because what a convenient brick bath to hit somebody with.
00:49:54.000The definition of white nationalism is not a matter of opinion. White nationalism,
00:50:00.000the ideology that one race is inherently superior to others, that people of color should be
00:50:06.000segregated, subjected and relegated to second class citizenship is racist down to its rotten core.
00:50:13.000And I hope you'll join me in thanking our panelists for their work.
00:50:14.000And for the senator from Alabama to obscure the racist nature of white nationalism is indeed very, very dangerous.
00:50:22.000His words have power and carry weight with the fringe of his constituency, just the fringe But if that fringe listens to him excuse and defend white nationalism, he is fanning the flames of bigotry and intolerance.
00:50:40.000I mean, again, overplaying the hand here is the thing that Democrats do.
00:50:44.000And then, of course, Mitch McConnell is forced to come out and say, white supremacy is bad.
00:50:51.000Do you have any concerns that you have a member of your conference, Senator Kupperville, who seems to have a hard time denouncing white nationalism, especially as it pertains to white nationalism in the military?
00:51:03.000White supremacy is simply unacceptable in the military and in our whole country.
00:51:10.000I mean, again, the fact that Republicans constantly fall into this trap where it's like, I have to now answer for Tommy Tuberville or whatever.
00:51:26.000So Bud Light has just taken it absolutely on the chin.
00:51:28.000And as I said, I'm not sure that brand ever recovers.
00:51:30.000According to Yahoo Finance, Bud Light has now spiraled down to the 14th spot.
00:51:36.000In terms of beer rankings, the repercussions resonate far beyond the brand itself.
00:51:40.000A recent YouGov survey reveals the decline in Bud Light's ranking, casting it below competitors like Pabst Blue Ribbon, Miller Genuine Draft, and Miller Lite.
00:51:46.000The seismic shift in popularity jeopardizes the livelihood of the 65,000 people whose economic well-being is intricately tied to Anheuser-Busch InBev's success.
00:51:53.000I love when the media are suddenly worried about jobs in the beer industry.
00:51:56.000Now again, people aren't buying less beer, they're just buying beer from other providers who presumably are gaining jobs.
00:52:01.000Anheuser-Busch CEO Brendan Whitworth has taken full responsibility for the controversial promotion involving trans influencer Dylan Mulvaney that caused sales to plummet.
00:52:08.000In an interview with CBS, Whitworth emphasized that he is ultimately accountable for the actions of the company.
00:52:14.000But at the same time, he has not actively kind of changed direction here.
00:52:20.000Whitworth has confirmed the company will maintain its partnerships without making any changes.
00:52:25.000He did not explicitly apologize for collaboration with Mulvaney.
00:52:29.000And, again, more and more people are just deciding, I can buy beer somewhere else.
00:52:35.000So, you take a, a lot of other companies are gonna look at that and they're gonna realize, maybe I shouldn't dip my toe into this particular water because it turns out the conservative alligator sometimes will bite you.
00:52:44.000Okay, time for a couple of things that I hate.
00:52:45.000Okay, so, MSNBC sent a tweet the other day, and it was actually of an article that was a year old.
00:52:54.000And the tweet was, quote, the far-right's obsession with fitness is going digital.
00:52:59.000So apparently, if you work out, you are now Hitler.
00:53:06.000And one of the things that has been true since the days of Nietzsche is that there has been a sort of counter-cultural interest in people looking good because they believe that deconstructionists have made everything ugly.
00:53:20.000The attempt to undermine beauty standards is a left-wing thing.
00:53:23.000The left has decided to undermine the standards on nearly everything.
00:53:26.000They did this back in the 1960s and 70s by building ugly cement blocks of buildings and getting rid of all the beautiful buildings that used to exist in America's cities.
00:53:33.000And now they're doing it by trying to proclaim to you that people who are objectively ugly are actually quite beautiful.
00:53:39.000And so the right-wing response to that has been, well, no.
00:53:54.000There's nothing wrong with working out.
00:53:55.000And by the way, it's important in relationships also.
00:53:57.000If you wish to be sexually attractive to your partner, and for your partner to be sexually attractive to you, well, then presumably, going to the gym once in a while wouldn't hurt.
00:54:25.000It also has become sort of an aspect of self-control.
00:54:28.000There's this perception on the left that everything that you are in life is outside of your control, that you are basically just planted on the planet, fully created.
00:54:36.000There's no control over any aspect of your life.
00:54:39.000If you're overweight, it's through no fault of your own, even if you're downing 3,000 calories a day and not going to the gym ever.
00:54:45.000And so the right response to that has been, go to the gym and work out.
00:54:47.000And it's become sort of a meme, right, in the online world.
00:54:50.000Is that you're in shape because you're right wing?
00:54:54.000Well, but the truth is, is there anything wrong with that?
00:54:56.000Wouldn't it be better for the left if the left was like, yeah, you should get in shape.
00:54:59.000Getting in shape is definitely a good thing.
00:55:00.000You want to lower those healthcare costs?
00:55:02.000You want to make sure that you have a more successful dating life?
00:55:06.000Again, the left has wiped out so much of its appeal to the center that now everything that is not hard left has become far right, according to MSNBC.
00:55:14.000That's kind of an amazing, amazing thing.
00:55:18.000So, again, if they wish to abandon fitness, then I guess they can do it.
00:55:23.000I just don't see how that is going to... I'm not sure how that is going to benefit them in either the short or the long run.