The Trump movement is coming to an end. What are you going to do about it to save the country? Vote yourself! You need to go find a new voter, and of course, make 100 text messages right now. The Trump Movement is Coming to an End. What are You Going To Do About It To Save The Country Tweet me if you have any thoughts or suggestions on how to get out there and vote. or text CHILL to 741741 and we'll get them on the show. Thanks for listening and Happy Election Day! Timestamps: 3:00 - What are your thoughts on the Trump movement? 4:30 - How do you vote? 5:10 - Who are you voting for in the midterms? 6:15 - What do you need to do to win? 7:40 - What should you be focusing on? 8:20 - How can we change the landscape of the election? 9:10 What s going on with the Super Bowl? 10:00 11:15 How do we win the Superbowl? 12:30 Can we turn it into a landslide? 13:40 14:00- What s the real story? 15:30- What are we waiting for? 16:40- What's going to happen in the final chapter of the Trump campaign? 17:00 Is it possible? 18:00 What is the best way to win the election night? 19: What are the marching orders to win in 2020? 21:00 Can we win it? 22:00 Do you think we have a chance to win this election in 2020 or not lose it in the next election in the fall? 23:00 | What s our best chance? 26:00 +16:00 How will we win in November? 27:00 Are you ready to go to the polls in 2020 and what are we are we going to have a big win in the Super bowl in the remaining midterms in the other races in the second half of the midwestern states? 24:00 Will we have another Super Bowl game in the Biggest Super Bowl in the biggest game we've ever? 25:00 Should we be prepared for a win in Super Bowl Game Day? & much, much more? 35:00 Finally, we'll find out tomorrow?
00:00:33.000His spirit, his love of this country, he's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created, Turning Point USA. We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:00:53.000Noble Gold Investments is the official gold sponsor of The Charlie Kirk Show, a company that specializes in gold IRAs and physical delivery of precious metals.
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00:01:25.000We right now are crushing the Democrats in early voting right now in Arizona as we are chasing ballots.
00:01:31.000Steve, what are the marching orders to the faithful right now as we are going in to the final chapter of this Trump story?
00:01:38.000Charlie, I mean, you've been doing this for years.
00:01:40.000I think what's so amazing is that this is all coming together.
00:01:42.000If you told us four years ago, Charlie, that on the Eva battle here, political battle, we would be perfectly positioned that they would not have a firewall in any of these states, particularly in Pennsylvania, that we would have crushed them on early voting, which, as you know, people were very hesitant about.
00:01:59.000What's been so amazing in this grassroots effort, led by Charlie Kirk and the Turning Point Action people, and with the War Room Posse as the volunteers, is we've done two things.
00:02:09.000Number one, we've totally changed the makeup of the electorate.
00:02:12.000The registrations for Republicans have just exploded, whereas Democrats have kind of dropped and exploded.
00:02:23.000And the precinct strategy people, that's been amazing.
00:02:26.000Number two is you sitting there and saying, here's the concept.
00:02:30.000It's ballot chasing and here's how we're going to do it.
00:02:32.000I'm going to put in an infrastructure, I'm going to train people, and those people are going to be a cadre, a cadre of leadership.
00:02:38.000The convergence of those two have us teed up perfectly.
00:02:42.000The Democrats don't know what's hit them.
00:02:43.000On top of that, Just as you and I have talked about for the last couple of years, their messaging, their coalition is collapsing around them and our coalition is building.
00:02:53.000We're adding the RFK. We're adding the Elon Musk.
00:03:00.000And we're adding Hispanics and African Americans and the Arab Americans in Dearborn and the Somalians in Minneapolis.
00:03:11.000We're adding, and their traditional coalition, because they've taken it for granted and screwed those people over, is collapsing.
00:03:18.000But the cadre, the tip of the tip of the spear, the precinct strategy and the turning point action, And you've had all these great events, AMFest, all of it, has led us to the point that we have structurally changed the architecture of the electorate that will show up tomorrow.
00:03:34.000And you taught people the concept of how you've got to get active, that it is a voting month.
00:03:40.000And as much as we hate the machines, you heard Tucker hate the machines, you've got to get out there, we've got to power through that, then we'll get rid of the machines.
00:03:57.000You hear all this Bill of the Super Bowl and some of the teams don't perform.
00:03:59.000If we perform, given everything that's been done, the prep work, we could have a victory, we could have a big victory, but it's all in the balance.
00:04:23.000We have to enforce our will onto history, and we can do that tomorrow with the tip of the spear of the cadre of the war room posse, the precinct strategy, turning point action, all of it converging into one amazingly powerful force, sir.
00:04:39.000And Steve, everyone in the audience needs to be a force multiplier.
00:06:30.000The coverage tomorrow night, it doesn't matter.
00:06:32.000Yes, we want to find out who's doing that and where we are in the election and make sure election integrity.
00:06:36.000But it's during the day tomorrow that is the action.
00:06:40.000Just remember, this audience, you're about to make history.
00:06:45.000You're about to make history on something that will never be forgotten.
00:06:50.000Next April is the 250th anniversary of Lexington and Concord, six months away from now.
00:06:57.000This is the new shot heard around the world will be tomorrow, to rejuvenate this country and to get back to the revolutionary principles Of our framers.
00:07:07.000And those heroes actually said, hey, we will take on an empire.
00:07:10.000Hey, we're taking on the American empire.
00:07:12.000And tomorrow is going to be a red letter day in that if we do the work, sir.
00:07:19.000And it's just going to come down to the force multiplier energy as well.
00:07:23.000I mean, look, Steve, we're looking on the margins here of Carrie Lake, which could profoundly change the U.S. Senate.
00:07:29.000We're looking on the margins here of Bernie Moreno in Ohio.
00:07:33.000Look, the Democrats, they are seeing the writing on the wall.
00:07:37.000I was just texting with someone very senior in the Trump campaign.
00:07:40.000I said, do you think we're going to win?
00:08:09.000Could we get the policy and could we get turning point action, those young people, those young activists, to actually put their shoulder to the wheel?
00:08:16.000They did it, and now we're on the cusp of it.
00:08:18.000You couldn't ask us to be better positioned.
00:08:27.000This is where you grab American history by the throat and say, no, we're turning this country into a different direction that's based on our founding principles, and that Steve, last thing.
00:08:41.000For nine years, you and I have been, in one way or another, behind the Trump movement.
00:08:45.000It kind of comes to an end politically.
00:09:13.000Well, we'll have many fights once we win, but tonight, that's why tonight's so important, and I'm so pleased that the campaign chose to go back to Grand Rapids, and you're going to be broadcasting, I hope to dip in, I don't want to miss this, kind of his last hurrah for an active political campaign, and then the victory tomorrow, but remember.
00:09:31.000This guy, he's providential with all his flaws.
00:09:35.000And he's the first to admit he's not perfect.
00:09:50.000He knew in coming back That they were gonna put him in prison, they were gonna steal his company, they were gonna get the felonies.
00:09:58.000All that was before him, and he still had the courage to say, no, I cannot let this go.
00:10:05.000And that's why people rallied around him.
00:10:07.000Remember, although we're nine or 10 years into this, Charlie, and through a few more of the Tea Party movement, We're at the top of the first inning in the populist nationalist movement in this country.
00:10:59.000And then we get into the first of all, we get into the close because as Tucker said, don't think that the intelligence, legal, military, industrial complex, tech complex is going to sit there and go, hey, Charlie Kirk and these high college kids turned out and got more votes.
00:15:13.000They're saying, Dad, you're going to do something that's going to be so tough.
00:15:18.000You know, all of my life I've heard that a truly successful person, a really, really successful person, and even modestly successful, cannot run for public office.
00:16:53.000K-A-L-S-H-I. It's the first legal exchange where you can trade and bet on any event.
00:16:59.000For the first time in 100 years, they got approval to list markets to trade on the outcome of the upcoming election, making it legal to trade on the U.S. presidential election and see who's going to win, Trump or Kamala.
00:17:08.000They have markets on who will win each election, who will win swing states.
00:17:11.000They also have markets on inflation, interest rates, will the government shutdown, and more.
00:17:14.000What's really cool about this platform is you can trade on your opinions to make money or hedge risks that may impact you.
00:18:10.000I'm not sure, but that's my base case.
00:18:12.000I think either female voters will swarm to the polls and Something you flagged by saying, you know, men got to turn out.
00:18:20.000And if they swarmed the polls where they're 55% of the electorate and they vote decisively for Kamala Harris, I think she would win big.
00:18:26.000And I think that would be uniform across at least five and maybe as many as six or maybe even seven of the battleground states.
00:18:34.000But I think it's more likely that if it's a big win, it's Donald Trump's big win.
00:18:38.000At this point, I don't think she's got a good chance.
00:18:42.000I don't say no chance, but I think she's got a good chance to win any of the four Sunbelt states.
00:18:45.000And so for her to win big, it's going to mean winning big in the three Great Lakes states, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
00:18:53.000If it's really big, maybe those sunbed states come back into play.
00:18:56.000But the reason I continue to think President Trump has a better chance to win is I see multiple paths for him and I see it more likely that he gets that big win than that she does.
00:19:06.000But as I said, if she has a chance to win, I think it would be because women give her an unexpectedly large win, both in the popular vote Yeah, and look, I want to be very clear and humble the audience a little bit to try to get some urgency.
00:19:19.000Mark, Kamala allies are feeling more confident this week than last week.
00:19:26.000Last week, it was hard to find folks who gave her much of a chance.
00:19:30.000It's not clear what's caused their increased confidence, except they are winning, not every day, but for the last week, they've won what political professionals call the information flow.
00:19:41.000That's, I think, and some people could compare that to vibes, and they certainly have an advantage in information flow because the dominant media is on their side, but they are much more confident than they were, but it's hard to get them to give actual data.
00:19:54.000They trotted out David Plouffe, who's greatly respected by people in politics and media, to say that the undecided voters are breaking towards Kamala Harris.
00:20:02.000In part, they claimed Because of Madison Square Garden.
00:20:05.000I think there should be data to back that up.
00:20:09.000But I think partly because her events are really good now, and President Trump has had some bad events, and partly because David Plouffe came out with his credibility and said things are breaking their way, they are much more confident, but again, not data-driven as far as I can tell, but simply vibes-driven.
00:20:26.000So, Mark, you've been doing this for a long time.
00:20:28.000Tony Fabrizio, who is Donald Trump's pollster, famously says presidential races move glacially, that it is very slow and not as abrupt.
00:20:45.000In your experience, can the last week, especially when you have a candidate that is so defined already as Donald Trump, Can a not great week really be that determinative?
00:20:58.000Does your experience tell you that the last week is actually pretty important?
00:21:02.000It is in a race that the polls suggest is close.
00:21:06.000And remember, even on the Trump side, the most optimistic people on the Trump side, as you well know, maybe some of them think he could win these states, some of these states by five points.
00:21:15.000But they're more talking about wins by two points, which again, in our 50-50 nation, would be akin to a landslide.
00:21:21.000But why the end matters, it's like when I played high school basketball in one important game, I made a turnover and I missed a shot in the fourth quarter, and my coach singled me out for special criticism, and I pointed out that my teammates had made mistakes throughout the game, and he said, mistakes in the fourth quarter matter more because there's no time to make up for them.
00:21:40.000And what you've seen in the last week is Donald Trump, look, I think the garbage truck thing and the press conference and then the story he told, I think that was obviously a great moment.
00:21:50.000There are three things happening now for both campaigns.
00:21:53.000Convincing undecided voters, and I think people who say there aren't any undecided voters left, haven't watched my platform because we talk every day to people who are still undecided.
00:22:01.000And undecided can be who to vote for, but it can also be whether to vote, right?
00:22:07.000Then there's getting your people who are for you to the polls because it could rain or they could have a bad day at work or the subway could be closed.
00:22:16.000And then there's the sort of seamier thing which is voter suppression to try to keep people from voting.
00:22:23.000So if the race is a blowout, does the last week matter?
00:22:26.000But just like if I missed a shot and turned the ball over and we were up 20 points, my coach wouldn't care.
00:22:31.000But in a close game, a close contest, yeah, the last week matters like the fourth quarter matters.
00:22:37.000And both these campaigns know that mistakes now could be a big deal.
00:22:41.000That's why a lot of people in Trump world freaked out yesterday when in his first event of the day that I happened to be covering in Lancaster, Pennsylvania, Probably the worst Trump event I've ever been to in terms of his performance.
00:23:16.000Yeah, and again, you've got to run through the tape.
00:23:19.000That's what everyone says, and you've got to run through the tape.
00:23:23.000I sent out a cockiness tweet about a week and a half ago where I said, cockiness is cancer, and there were some people just kind of in the orbit that guaranteed a victory mark.
00:23:47.000But you also want the bandwagon effect.
00:23:49.000And I think one of the things that the Harris people have done brilliantly, because again, the top level people there are very experienced in political communication, is they went the whole campaign, the first hundred or so days, saying, we're the underdog, we're the underdog, to keep the money coming in, to keep people with their guard up, to keep the volunteers volunteering.
00:24:06.000But I think they changed right around the time campaigns normally do with a week to go.
00:24:11.000And they had Madison Square Garden to key off of.
00:24:14.000And they had the enthusiasm of her events, not just large events, but enthusiastic celebrities showing up, performing well.
00:24:23.000You had some missteps by President Trump, including yesterday.
00:24:26.000And so they're able to switch from underdog, underdog, underdog to bandwagon.
00:24:36.000And I think they probably plan to execute that the entire way, because that's kind of the textbook thing to do.
00:24:41.000But you're right that some people in President Trump's orbit have been on, we've got this locked for longer than most campaigns would.
00:24:49.000That's partly the fact that the data that people in Trump world have is quite positive.
00:24:55.000There's reasons looking at the internal data to be bullish, but it's also kind of a cultural, anthropological difference between the two parties.
00:25:04.000And Democrats tend to worry a bit more.
00:25:07.000So as we kind of get to a close here, the states that it seems the Democrats are making more of a push for North Carolina than otherwise would believe.
00:25:18.000But you're not as bullish on that chance.
00:25:26.000Georgia and Arizona, according to most of my sources in both parties, are not going to happen for her.
00:25:31.000And if she doesn't make a play for one of the three large sunbelt states, she's got exactly one path to exactly 270 electoral votes, and she has enough money and time to play there.
00:25:40.000So just to have another option, number one.
00:25:43.000Number two, she's always thought herself, the vice president, that that was her best of the sunbelt states.
00:25:48.000And so I think she's got her own sort of personal theory of the case there.
00:25:54.000The governor's race there is going to be such a mismatch that there's reasons to think that perhaps between that and some of the changing demographics of the state, maybe they could win it.
00:26:04.000But I think all analysis of this race starts with the questions you have to answer.
00:26:08.000Do you think she can win either North Carolina, Georgia, or Arizona, or more than one of them?
00:26:12.000Most of my sources don't believe that in either party.
00:26:15.000And that means she's back to having one path.
00:26:18.000But There's only so many times in the last week you can go over and over again to Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
00:26:26.000So doing some time in North Carolina and seeing if there's a way to win it, because what you don't want, again, is to leave yourself literally no margin of error.
00:26:34.000If you think, as most of my sources do, she's going to be shut out of the three big Sunbelt states, that means Donald Trump needs to go one for three in the Rust Belt, and she needs to go three for three, and going three for three is a lot harder than going one for three.
00:26:47.000So we literally have hours left of this election, and it's all about turnout.
00:26:53.000Are the Democrats happy with their early vote advantage that they've built in Pennsylvania or other states?
00:27:20.000It means that their turnout operation, which, as you well know, I and others have said for a long time, her turnout operation is really well funded.
00:27:31.000It's being headed by the chair of the campaign who grew up in politics as a field organizer.
00:27:36.000And your side has been run by Elon Musk and by you and other people coordinating legally with the campaign, but this started later, not as big, and trying to turn out low propensity voters as opposed to high propensity voters.
00:27:49.000So that conventional wisdom that their turnout operation was superior and would carry her to victory in a close race is now being brought into sharp relief and question, because how can you say that a turnout operation, which is underperformed by any measure, In early vote, is on election day suddenly going to change the behavior of Democratic voters?
00:28:52.000And maybe the early vote, because again, you don't have perfect transparency in the early vote, right?
00:28:57.000You don't know who people actually voted for.
00:28:59.000The campaigns have analytics, overlay the publicly available data, consumer data, etc.
00:29:05.000So they have good guesses about how people have voted.
00:29:08.000But it's possible that people who profile as Likely votes for Trump, particularly on the female side, are in fact voting for Kamala Harris.
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00:36:09.000Ryan, this weekend, the alleged gold standard of Midwestern polling, Ann Seltzer, came out with her legendary Saturday evening poll.
00:36:19.000The audience might not know much about this unless they obsess over Twitter, but the media has picked up on this rather heavily, that the Des Moines Register poll, they commissioned her to do this this Saturday before the election, and she sometimes picks up trends that other people are missing.
00:36:34.000In 2020, to her credit, she picked up that Trump was stronger in the Midwest than anyone was detecting, and it turns out she was right.
00:36:41.000Well, she shocked the world on Saturday evening where she said that Kamala Harris is up three in Iowa.
00:36:47.000Now, mind you, in order for her to be right, every human being, both internal and external polling, in the Kamala Harris campaign, Trump campaign, public polling, tracking NRFC, DCCC is wrong.
00:36:57.000So it's basically Anseltzer versus the world.
00:37:02.000So I looked at the poll, and the crosshaves were provided in the Des Moines Register.
00:37:05.000And the big shift that she has, the reason how she got from an R-plus-8 state, which is what it was in 2020, to a D-plus-3 state, that 11-point shift, is because of seniors.
00:37:15.000Now, Seltzer keeps bringing up its senior women, look at all these senior women, but her numbers actually show its senior men.
00:37:22.000She said that senior men are breaking crosshaves.
00:37:26.000I think it was a two-point difference, which is completely insignificant in polling.
00:37:31.000And senior women went from being slightly pro-Trump to being the most Democratic group in the entire state.
00:37:39.000It was more Democratic than young people, more Democratic than non-white voters overall.
00:37:45.000Senior women, women over 65, who have voted 50-50, let's say, in the past two elections, and senior men who had voted overwhelmingly Republican were now 50-50 voters.
00:37:57.000When this was brought up to her with the Mark Halpern show, she didn't know what R's or D's stood for in my tweets, which I find confusing.
00:38:04.000But the fact is that she, I think her problem, like I think a lot of pollsters' problems are, and Nate Cohen from the New York Times said, I've been writing about this all year long.
00:38:32.000When they sit there, Nate Cohen said there's a 16-point difference between white Republicans and White Democrats in far as response rate goes and wanting to answer the phone.
00:38:42.000In 2016, they had Biden winning seniors by 10.
00:39:55.000I mean, there's plenty of polls that sit there and say Kamala's winning seniors, although ironically they're saying they're winning seniors by less than Biden did.
00:40:04.000The Marist poll came out today and said Harris is winning baby boomers by 11 points.
00:43:06.000And also, she doesn't look at a lot of partisan breakdown when she's doing these sample sizes.
00:43:13.000So, listen, she's been right a lot in the past.
00:43:15.000If she wins, if Harris wins Iowa, egg on my face, I got it all wrong.
00:43:21.000If it was real data, though, Harris would have sent Governor Walz, who is literally the governor of the neighboring state, to visit their That's what I tweeted.
00:46:58.000I mean, they have no federal representation.
00:47:01.000They have won, I think, statewide elect, and that's it.
00:47:05.000It would be like if there was a shock pull out of Rhode Island or Connecticut showing a Republican win there, we would be like, oh, that's awesome.
00:47:12.000I don't believe it, but that's awesome, if it's true.
00:47:22.000Ryan, you know the Pennsylvania news quite well.
00:47:25.000Walk us through the status of where we are, Pennsylvania early voting and what needs to happen tomorrow.
00:47:30.000So right now, Republicans make up just shy of 34% of all the early votes in Pennsylvania.
00:47:35.000Those are absentee ballots that have been submitted.
00:47:38.000Now, I want to make something very clear.
00:47:40.000Just because I say Republicans or Democrats, it doesn't mean that's how they voted.
00:47:44.000It just means that that's the party that they're registered under.
00:47:47.000Democrats are just shy of a million absentee ballot results handed in.
00:47:52.000I think Republicans are like 568 or something like that.
00:47:54.000Democrats should probably have a 420,000 absentee ballot lead over Republicans.
00:48:01.000That is significantly lower than in 2020.
00:48:04.000And I think it's pretty significantly lower or just on par with 2022, actually.
00:48:08.000Republicans are just shy of overall their 2020 number.
00:48:11.000An interesting thing, and my message is to you, Charlie, when we were chatting.
00:48:15.000Republicans have exceeded their 2020 turnout levels in almost every western county in PA, almost every northeastern county in PA, southeast PA, the Philly Collar counties, Philadelphia, Erie, and Pittsburgh is where they're behind, but so are Democrats.
00:48:32.000Where Democrats are exceeding their average overall turnout, where they're getting the closest to their 2020 numbers, are rural, super Republican counties that Trump won by huge numbers.
00:48:45.000These are counties that Trump went with 66 to 70, close to 80 percent.
00:48:50.000The only way Trump gets those county numbers is that a lot of ancestral Democrats, people who are registered Democrat but vote Republican, cross over and vote for Trump.
00:49:00.000That's where the strongest numbers are.
00:49:03.000Part of me thinks, is there something going on right now where we're seeing very conservative Republicans voting in very large levels, but we're also seeing crossover Democrats voting in very high levels.
00:49:13.000We obviously won't know the answer until Election Day, but it's a very interesting data set.
00:49:17.000What has to happen right now on Election Day, Democrats have eaten about 34% of their high-propensity voters.
00:49:27.000Republicans haven't even had a fifth of their very high-propensity voters out.
00:49:31.000So they have a lot more bullets in the chamber as far as new voters come out.
00:49:35.000What needs to happen is the new Republicans, low-propensity Republicans, need to show up en masse and blow out of the water.
00:49:43.000The good thing going for Republicans right now is that Philadelphia is only 43% of where it was in 2020.
00:49:50.000For every one vote that they don't get out of Philadelphia, they would need to have two or three voters show up because of how the demographics are, how their voting trends are, in the collar counties, in the white college-educated suburban counties.
00:50:03.000That becomes very hard as that number grows, especially if the rules blow through 2020 numbers and other places don't get there.
00:50:11.000So let's just kind of educate the audience.
00:50:15.000Let's say if I tell you 5 million people vote tomorrow in Pennsylvania, just turnout numbers by 6 p.m.
00:50:21.000Eastern, does that make you feel good for Trump's chances or not so good?
00:50:24.000It depends if they're in Philadelphia or not.
00:51:34.000I called literally every person I knew who lived in Pennsylvania.
00:51:38.000And I said, make sure you're voting and who are you bringing to the polls?
00:51:42.000My old roommate from when I was 21, I called and said, is your dad voting?
00:51:46.000Like every single solitary person, if you can do it, if you can call the person who you know you can't rely on to bring an extra meal for dinner or at a potluck dinner, make sure they're voting.
00:51:59.000It's the unreliables that need to go out because the votes are there.
00:52:02.000One of the most important things that most people don't know.
00:52:05.000Last year, when the governor, Josh Shapiro, did an automatic voter registration enrollment for people where they had the driver's license renewed, renewed, Republican enrollment spiked because there were 2.66 million non-college educated Americans in Pennsylvania who were not registered to vote at the time of the 2016 election.
00:53:08.000I've enjoyed texting back and forth, amazed how you can kind of keep all these balls in the air right now.
00:53:14.000Well, it's somewhat cathartic and also creates some urgency.
00:53:19.000Jeremy is the senior fellow at the Claremont Institute and author of the very important book, The Unprotected Class.
00:53:24.000Jeremy, where does the race stand right now?
00:53:27.000What needs to happen tomorrow for us to win?
00:53:29.000Yeah, well, I mean, this is kind of a dumb cliche, but really we need to just turn out and vote.
00:53:34.000But that actually does mean something.
00:53:36.000That means that from what I can see in these various states, and we've gone back and forth on this, I feel very good about where we are coming into Election Day.
00:53:44.000If we perform in the way that we should perform, I think that we win this.
00:53:50.000So if the people show up who we would traditionally expect to show up, I think I think that we win this.
00:53:56.000We're in a good position with early voting, certainly much, much better than we were in 2020.
00:54:03.000But we've got to ultimately get the ball over the goal line, and that'll really determine how this goes.
00:54:20.000So in Nevada, we have most of the vote in at this point, and that is arguably the state.
00:54:25.000It's certainly one of the states, if it's not the state, that really looks almost the best for us compared to maybe expectations before early voting started.
00:54:35.000Traditionally, the Democrats have all Always had a big firewall lead, particularly from Clark County, which is where Las Vegas is, going in to the election day.
00:54:44.000We've made up a huge registration disadvantage in the state to the point that we're basically even now on voter registration, and we're about 42,000, as of I think this morning, votes ahead in terms of Republican ballots out there.
00:54:59.000We're going to also have a very good election day in Nevada and really At this point, the Democrats' hopes there hinge on either a lot more mail than I think is probably going to be out there from Clark County or, and I think this will be kind of a general theme of these states, some unknown unknowns.
00:55:19.000So if for some reason independent voters, which were a large portion of the Nevada electorate, maybe 30 percent or so, if they were to snap Unexpectedly strongly against us.
00:55:56.000And certainly, I think, given the type of voters that we have in Nevada, fewer college-educated voters, more working-class voters, more service workers, the fact that we've made so much registration up in the last few years, I think, does have something to do with the sort of appeal that Trump has.
00:56:13.000I do worry still a little bit about corruption in Nevada.
00:56:19.000Vegas, you might be shocked to know, is not always the most upstanding place.
00:56:23.000And they do have a rule that ballots can arrive up to three days after the election is over and still be counted.
00:56:32.000And the Nevada Supreme Court actually just came out and said, even if it doesn't have a postmark, it can be counted.
00:56:38.000That actually is a few percentage of votes.
00:56:41.000My hope is that we're going to have a bigger lead by then.
00:56:44.000So this will be irrelevant, but it is something to watch.
00:56:47.000And I think just the fundamentals in Nevada, Are really strong.
00:56:50.000At the time, in 2020, when the electorate shifted 3.4% to the right, or excuse me, to the left, Nevada actually shifted slightly to the right.
00:57:00.000So we had a lot of them even going in.
00:57:02.000And I think Trump is really built on that momentum.
00:57:05.000The last couple of years have been very tough on people economically.
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00:58:15.000North Carolina is a Southern-Northern state.
00:58:21.000In some ways, you feel as if you are totally south of the Mason-Dixon line as you go west, but as you go east, you feel as if you're in Greenwich, Connecticut.
00:58:33.000I actually grew up in North Carolina, so I have a little bit of...
00:58:39.000Again, I think when I talk about things look good compared to where they've been, we have our first ever lead, I believe, in the modern history of early voting in that GOP, I believe, has about a 1%, maybe even a little bit more advantage in terms of ballots that are out there right now.
00:58:59.000Again, there's a lot of independence, so it's not definitive, but it is encouraging.
00:59:03.000I am a little bit worried that there's still a lot of There's still a lot of kind of complications that we're dealing with from Hurricane Helene that hit Western North Carolina, of course, really hard.
00:59:15.000That is a very heavily Republican area.
00:59:17.000And when I've been looking at it, it still seems like turnout is lagging a little bit there.
00:59:22.000But, you know, the fact that we're going in with this lead and probably about 80% of the vote or, you know, 70 to 80%, at least, Counted already.
00:59:32.000For us to be in a ballot lead and expecting a good election day, I think that we are going to be in very good shape going in.
00:59:40.000Again, if we lose North Carolina, I don't think it's going to be because of anything we can see right now.
00:59:45.000It'll only be because something weird happened with independents or a group that we were counting on for election day turnout just doesn't turn out.
00:59:53.000But I think this was a state we won by about 1.2, 1.3 points.
00:59:58.000I think we're actually going to build on that margin, and I just don't see that we're going to lose that 1.3 points in this environment that would turn it over to Harris.
01:00:39.000So if if we just had partisan voting, according to form, I think you would expect again, Georgia, where again, we have probably 80% of the vote already in, you'd expect Georgia to at least narrowly Go for us.
01:00:53.000We've had extremely strong turnout also in the rurals, particularly in North Georgia, much more so than normal.
01:01:00.000And we're kind of left with people who I think are pretty regular voters.
01:01:04.000I'd much rather count on some of these very regular voters in the suburbs to show up on Election Day.
01:01:11.000You can't always count on the rurals to the level that we've gotten them.
01:01:14.000So I think, again, things look good for us.
01:01:18.000We'll know a lot about Georgia and North Carolina Shortly after the polls close, they will announce a significant percentage, if not all, of their mail balloting, which will be a significant percentage of the state.
01:01:30.000I think if we're up for that early count, we should feel absolutely fantastic about our chances.
01:01:35.000I think if we're even within a point or two, I'll feel okay.
01:01:39.000If we're down more than that, then that would be a sign for early concern.
01:01:43.000So I want to play a piece of tape here, and I just want to say we're getting lots of emails, freedom at charliekirk.com.
01:01:49.000Also, if you live in the state of Iowa, can you guys email me, please, freedom at charliekirk.com?
01:01:53.000And it's actually because I'm pulse-checking the Seltzer poll, and I have nine emails here, Jeremy, of people saying, I don't know what she's talking about.
01:02:02.000All my neighbors used to vote for Biden, and now they're for Trump, and all my people are still for Trump.
01:03:23.000We're seeing much more positive early voting.
01:03:25.000At the same time, we need to not be complacent because to some degree, right, you're just taking people who were general election voters or election day voters and you're bringing them to be early voters.
01:03:40.000You still don't have to chase after those guys on Election Day, and so you can chase after other voters.
01:03:45.000So there is value in that, but it's not the same value as, yeah, and I know you are, truly bringing in a new voter who wouldn't have been there.
01:03:54.000But as best we can tell, we look at things called voting.
01:03:58.000Voter propensity, which is essentially how, you know, for your voters, how often are these guys voting?
01:04:04.000So do you just have your high propensity voters showing up, the guys who vote all the time, or do you have low propensity voters, people who seldom or rarely vote?
01:04:13.000Part of the basis for me being cautiously optimistic is that we are seeming to turn out not just our high propensity voters, but low propensity voters in these states.
01:04:22.000And at the same time, the Democrats seem to be struggling a little bit with that.
01:04:32.000I mean, I'm not casting aspersions on Seltzer, but it's just not going to happen.
01:04:38.000I would be stunned, and it would certainly be very negative if Iowa was even within five.
01:04:45.000I would not be surprised to see us win Iowa by 10, which has been a little bit more consistent with other polls.
01:04:50.000If you look at voter registration trends in Iowa, again, it's enormously favorable.
01:04:54.000We went from like a 40,000 voter registration advantage in 2020 to like 180,000 a day.
01:05:01.000And this is in a state of just a little more than 3 million people.
01:05:03.000So this is a really Jeremy, so the equation that Blake, who's very smart in our show, and he's right, says if four out of four voters turn out and a lot of three out of fours, and we keep getting some low props in, we win.
01:05:32.000And again, I'm not saying optimistic to be complacent.
01:05:36.000If anything, I feel like maybe the vibes are a little bit less good than they were a week ago, but the data still continues to be very good.
01:06:11.000Very, very encouraging, especially me turning them out early because it's hard to get these voters.
01:06:16.000Usually if they do vote at all, they tend to be maybe more last minute election day voters.
01:06:20.000So the fact that we're turning some of these guys out now early is really encouraging.
01:06:25.000And it's one of the reasons why in a state like Nevada, where in Clark County, the Democrats have a 6,000 voter advantage in sort of low and mid propensity registered voters, but they have just a few thousand more actual voters So,
01:06:50.000by the way, I just got an email, a text message from a low-propensity voter that I registered to vote.
01:07:58.000I still think even if we win this, we're not nearly where we should be with these voters, given that the Democratic Party is consistently hostile to the interest of white Americans.
01:08:08.000So I think that there would be things there that I would look at.
01:08:13.000And then also, if women voters really turn against us because of the abortion question and other things, we're not going to obviously overlook any of our fundamental commitments.
01:08:25.000But we are going to have to think very carefully in that case about how we talk to them, how we reach these voters with the right sort of message that's going to bring them back to our side.
01:08:32.000So that's the sorts of things that I'll be looking at if we don't get the result we want on Tuesday.
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01:11:27.000Charlie, glad to be here with you, brother.
01:11:29.000So, James, you and I have been texting for quite some time, and to your great credit, you have come out with great moral and biblical and theological clarity as to how Christians should view this election.
01:11:41.000Right now, there are millions of Christians that are sitting on the sideline considering not to vote or to vote for Kamala.
01:11:48.000How should Christians view their biblical duty these next 24 hours?
01:11:53.000Well, this is a very remarkable place that we're in right now.
01:11:56.000And I'm going to come from a perspective that a lot of people might not necessarily take because an overwhelming majority of the church, especially in the United States of America, refrains from having a conversation regarding Bible prophecy and the things that are going to be happening in the last days.
01:12:11.000And what we're hearing a lot of in the church right now is, well, Jesus is coming back any moment.
01:12:17.000The country is going to burn to the ground.
01:12:22.000So we might as well just run away and not vote, not participate, not to mention the fact that Trump is kind of an unscrupulous guy.
01:12:32.000And although he might be the lesser of two evils, he's not the person that we want to vote for.
01:12:36.000And I want to make myself very, very clear.
01:12:38.000I'm going to simply start by saying that I think that President Trump will go down as one of the greatest presidents we have ever had in U.S. history.
01:12:45.000I want to make myself clear in saying that, especially from the perspective of a man whose mom and dad were both born and raised in Egypt.
01:12:51.000I'm first generation born into this country and I very clearly understand the dynamic that's going on in the Middle East, all of the things that are happening.
01:12:59.000And if you study Bible prophecy and you know what the Bible says concerning the end times, we are seeing the manifestation of so many of those things beginning to formulate right now.
01:14:06.000And I think if you consider the response of Jesus, it was heavier.
01:14:10.000The response that Jesus told us this master had, it was, hey, listen, you lazy and slothful servant, you evil and slothful servant.
01:14:19.000And the thing that's interesting about this Is to consider the fact that the context that Jesus tells this parable in was one very powerful place and that was the end of the world.
01:14:29.000He was sharing this parable in the end of the world.
01:14:32.000And what he was saying was, I've told you, I've given you talents.
01:14:36.000And those talents, the valuable treasure that I've given you is knowledge of what is going to happen in the last days.
01:14:41.000And I don't want you taking that knowledge and burying it in the ground by saying, Maranatha, I can't wait until I fly.
01:14:48.000I can't wait until I fly and do nothing about it.
01:14:51.000He wants us to realize that he could come at any moment.
01:14:54.000The rapture could happen at any moment, which is why we should be in school board meetings, which is why we should be voting, which is why we should certainly be voting for somebody like Trump rather than somebody like Kamala Harris, because Kamala Harris represents every evil and wicked thing that you can possibly imagine.
01:15:10.000And you can see manifestations of it in every corner, and it's very dark, but it's very important that we point this out.
01:15:16.000I don't know about you, Charlie, but I don't want to be the guy who's caught bearing my talent going, well, Lord, I knew you were going to come back and I was really scared.
01:15:22.000And so I just knew that the world was going to blow up anyway.
01:15:25.000Jesus would say, you are a wicked and you are a slothful servant and you did not do with that knowledge.
01:15:49.000As a matter of fact, we are given a mandate in the Bible.
01:15:51.0002 Thessalonians 2, verse 3 says that the final Antichrist cannot even reveal himself until the church is removed from the earth, which means we're given a mandate.
01:16:03.000And the reason for that in 2 Thessalonians 2, verses 6 and 7 is that we are the restraining force.
01:16:09.000The church filled with the Spirit of God are the restrainers that keep it from coming into fruition.
01:16:14.000The Bible even goes so far as to tell us a pattern of what totalitarian rule does and what it looks like in the end times.
01:16:22.000In Revelation chapter 6, it talks about a white horse, it talks about a red horse, a dark horse or a black horse and a pale horse.
01:16:29.000The white horse, a totalitarian ruler who comes in, who rules without a bow or an arrow.
01:16:35.000He convinces everybody about a revolution.
01:16:37.000And it's speaking, of course, of the final Antichrist, the last one.
01:16:44.000And the result of war is economic failure or collapse.
01:16:47.000And it's funny because when he talks about the black horse, he says, do not touch the oil and the wine.
01:16:52.000That means there will be a ruling class.
01:16:54.000That will remain intact when economic failure happens as a result of war.
01:16:59.000And then it brings us to the pale horse, which by the way, when Christians are gone because they'll be raptured at this point, the end result of totalitarianism by the Antichrist during this time is the death of a quarter of the world's population.
01:17:13.000That is literally two and a half to three billion people.
01:17:16.000Imagine, imagine what that looks like when Christians aren't there.
01:17:21.000Right now we see 100 million people dying in the last century as a result of totalitarian rule, communism and socialism.
01:17:28.000And that's with Christians here on this earth.
01:17:30.000Imagine what happens when Christians are not.
01:17:32.000And that becomes a mandate from the Bible based on Bible prophecy that we are supposed to fight.
01:17:38.000Listen, I don't stand up and tell people to vote for Trump because I believe we're going to win the election.
01:17:43.000I do it because God commands me to do it.
01:17:46.000And if God shows us his grace and allows that to take place...
01:17:50.000Then we stand and we say, to God be the glory.
01:18:06.000So talk about the issues, the biblical principles of first, why a Christian cannot vote for Kamala Harris, why that is irreconcilable, and then make the case for Donald Trump through a biblical context.
01:18:19.000So start with Kamala Harris and the Democrats and then with Donald Trump.
01:18:22.000Okay, Kamala Harris cannot be voted for because Kamala Harris hates the God of our fathers.
01:18:27.000And I think this is important because you might be watching me and you may not be a Christian.
01:18:32.000You may not even care about Christianity.
01:18:36.000And of course, so do I. But the problem is this.
01:18:39.000Freedom is a direct function of God intervening in our lives and providing it for us.
01:18:46.000Our founding fathers created the Constitution with a referendum that was predicated upon biblical principles.
01:18:52.000I mean, even right down to how it classified slaves.
01:18:56.000There was a process that was involved.
01:18:59.000And it's funny because when you start looking at all of the 27 amendments that we have in the Constitution and specifically the first 10, which we know is the Bill of Rights, it was all predicated upon biblical ideas, the idea behind our freedom and what that freedom looks like.
01:19:14.000And if you think about it, what they're doing to Donald Trump right now, they violated his First Amendment rights, definitely his Fourth and Fifth, easily his Seventh Amendment, his Eighth Amendment rights.
01:19:24.000You think about the things that are going on, if they can do that, if Kamala's administration can do that to Donald Trump right now, imagine what they can do to you for experiencing freedom.
01:19:35.000And if Kamala gets voted into office from day one, this is what's going to happen.
01:19:40.000Day one, we will become a socialist country.
01:19:43.000Day one, and I promise you, this is going to happen.
01:19:46.000They are going to go after religious freedom even more than they ever have before.
01:19:50.000And the other thing that they're going to do is they're going to stack the Supreme Court.
01:19:53.000They are going to take away the Supreme Court's ability to rule based on the language of the Constitution.
01:19:59.000And rather, it's going to become an activist mechanism that is designed to destroy the very freedoms that the founding fathers chose to create within us.
01:20:08.000And I think that this is very, very important.
01:20:10.000And this is the reason why they're coming after our Second Amendment rights, because our Second Amendment rights were created by the Founding Father to defend our First Amendment rights.
01:20:19.000And when you begin to think about all of these other things that settle around it, you know, an expansion of the Fifth Amendment based on what was written in the Fourteenth Amendment regarding these protection rights that we have, it's remarkable.
01:20:32.000All of that goes away if Kamala Harris is voted into office, every last bit of it.
01:20:37.000So, Pastor James, allow me to read this tweet here that was sent out by a pastor by the name of Pastor Ray Ortlund.
01:20:46.000So, Pastor Ray Ortlund is a very well-known pastor that said this, How should we think about pastors who say such things as this?
01:20:58.000If you go to that man's church, run the heck away from his church because what he just shared with you is brutally demonic.
01:21:06.000And one of the things I want to say very, very clearly here, and this involves just sharing a small little story of something that happened with me about four months ago.
01:21:15.000It was about six months ago when President Trump had announced his newly formed position with respect to abortion.
01:21:22.000One of the things that I did was I took to Instagram and even made a few YouTube videos.
01:21:27.000And let me just simply say this erroneously said that I would not vote for somebody like President Trump, knowing that I had voted for him every single time and proudly voted for him and encourage other people to vote for him.
01:21:40.000But I said I could not vote for him if he's taking this stand on abortion, especially as a father who has three children, a six-year-old, a three-year-old and a two-year-old, all adopted by the grace of God.
01:22:11.000First and foremost, Kamala Harris hates life.
01:22:14.000She is part of the community and the world of death.
01:22:17.000She is a neo-Malthusian, a completely angry and embittered and enraged individual who has a bloodlust for the life of children.
01:22:27.000How in the world can you trust somebody like Kamala Harris to take care of your life after watching what she did to this country over the last four years?
01:22:36.000And this is the conclusion that I came to when I started really thinking about this and doing some soul searching.
01:22:41.000Look at what President Trump did in the four years he was in office and look at the last four years.
01:22:47.000Let me take one step further when we talk about pro-life.
01:23:03.000Wade was overturned, the hardcore, death-loving, ridiculous Democratic left, the haters of life, went into a panic and went on their way to get out every kind of other abortive tool that they can.
01:23:18.000And we went from 900,000 babies being killed when Roe v.
01:23:23.000Wade was overturned to what will be 1.7 million babies dying by the end of this year because of what Kamala Harris did because of what Joe Biden did.
01:23:33.000And we will see that number double because they have a love for death.
01:23:37.000And let me make this position very clear.
01:23:39.000How can you trust anybody to take care of your life when they hated you before you were even born?
01:23:47.000President Trump loves listening to godly men.
01:23:54.000And I have a deep-rooted personal love for a man like that who would give up absolutely everything to make this country better and also to understand that he's the only president that stood in the March for Life.
01:24:08.000He is the president that did more in the last four years for the unborn than any other president in U.S. history, and now all of a sudden we're going to get on this high horse and say we're not voting for him?
01:24:26.000Donald Trump was very, very good on Israel, moved the embassy to Jerusalem, something I know is near and dear to your heart and your audience.
01:24:32.000Why should Donald Trump earn the support of Christians who care about the nation of Israel?
01:24:37.000I will just tell you, this is very, very important.
01:24:39.000You should do it because Donald Trump has historically lent out his support, even probably more so than any other president in U.S. history.
01:25:18.000Yet Donald Trump seems to understand it all.
01:25:21.000And the work that he's done in Israel has been remarkable.
01:25:23.000And I am grateful to God Almighty for what Donald Trump has done for Israel and what I know he'll continue to do for Israel, which is why our nation will be blessed.
01:25:31.000I will bless those that bless thee and I will curse those that curse thee is what God said concerning the nation of Israel.
01:25:37.000Donald Trump knows that because he's listening to pastors and that's why he's blessing Israel so that the United States of America will be blessed.
01:27:21.000We're currently doing two states for the Trump campaign.
01:27:24.000We're tracking daily momentum in North Carolina and Pennsylvania for the team there.
01:27:29.000So I can talk about this kind of in two separate buckets here.
01:27:33.000For North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona, there's no troubling signs for the Trump team.
01:27:39.000Looking like all three of those states are going to be around plus three.
01:27:42.000For Trump, end of the day, could hit plus five if turnout does hit what we're thinking it might in those three.
01:27:49.000But then when we talk about Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, Pennsylvania, I've seen a little bit of a negative trend in the past week and a half or so.
01:27:58.000But in Wisconsin and Michigan, I've actually seen a big increase for Trump to where those are the two Rust Belt states I'm most confident in right now.
01:28:05.000Okay, so what do you attribute the negative trend in Pennsylvania to be?
01:28:09.000When you're looking at it, it's still the suburban white woman.
01:28:13.000When we go to that mainline Philadelphia suburbs there, we're seeing that bleeding a little worse than it was in 2020.
01:28:19.000And so Trump can, again, go run up the vote in western Pennsylvania and some of those areas that he needs to and still have that be offset if the performance is worse in, say, Bucks County or any of the other mainline suburb areas.
01:28:32.000So what demographic specifically of women?
01:29:00.000It's about the 45 plus range that are high income households, which again for our indication there is 125,000 and above is what we're classifying that as.
01:29:44.000We can talk about that in a second, just about voters under the age of 30 and how well Trump is doing with them.
01:29:49.000But when we go to Ohio and we go to Michigan and Wisconsin, where they don't have super affluent suburbs as they do in Pennsylvania, you could see there that when people have to deal with everyday issues, the abortion topic slips down in popularity or importance to them, and the real things start to matter.
01:30:54.000And the same issues that I deal with here is the future doesn't look too bright if you're an 18 to 29-year-old looking out there today.
01:31:01.000How are you ever going to purchase a home?
01:31:03.000How are you, again, going to compete in this labor marketplace when you're saddled with student loan debt because no one will stand up to the banks?
01:31:10.000Where, again, the open borders causing massive rates of inflation, and it's impacting the job market there.
01:31:16.000How did these young kids who've also been told for the past 10 years, say if we break down just the men in this age group, who've been told that everything about them is wrong for the past 10 years, that's what we're seeing now is that cultural kickback.
01:31:29.000That, again, you guys have done a great job going out on the campuses, registering these people to vote, and you can see the shift.
01:31:34.000In 2020, again, people were a lot more scared to go out and say this, especially on the college campuses, and you can see now that kids are willing to talk about the issues that matter to them, and they see their future, and they see that another four years of this means another four years of them having to put the rest of their life on hold.
01:31:52.000Seems that, is it correct that black turnout and Democrat-based turnout in certain parts of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia is down?
01:32:03.000Yeah, so for Philadelphia and Atlanta, it is down a couple hundred thousand in both of those, respectively.
01:32:10.000Now, again, it is a little hard to guess as to, are those people still going to show up on Election Day and they just didn't happen to early vote?
01:32:20.000And Wisconsin, that's the one why I'm so bullish on Wisconsin now, is that's the true one that we've seen a complete reversal In early voting turnout.
01:32:29.000It's deep red areas, especially like Green Bay when Trump was there two weeks ago.
01:32:34.000That's where you need to run up the score there.
01:32:36.000Because obviously Milwaukee, we're going to have some election day stuff that comes in there that will be a little bit higher than what people are even predicting now.
01:32:44.000It looks though like Pennsylvania, I would probably guess that that's going to level out a little bit.
01:32:50.000Georgia, that is just the true nature of it.
01:32:53.000There's a bunch of people that we've done in focus groups down there with black voters inside Atlanta.
01:32:57.000They're going to have a decreased turnout compared to 2020.
01:33:00.000That's going to stay the same way that we're seeing right now.
01:33:02.000So are we also now seeing increased rural Trump turnout in some of these states?
01:33:08.000So you kind of have an upper-lower thing going on here.
01:33:10.000Yeah, I think five of the seven major swing states, there is an increased rural vote to date compared to 2020.
01:33:17.000So Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Arizona all have that ratio right now with urban vote down and rural vote up.
01:33:27.000And so what then, if we were, I want to go around the horn though, but let me just ask you, if Kamala Harris were to win, what needs to happen?
01:33:35.000What in the next 24 hours needs to happen for Kamala Harris to become president?
01:33:40.000There would need to be a massive push in Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Detroit, and Atlanta.
01:33:48.000Again, I still don't even think the Atlanta one would help that much.
01:33:51.000But if I was the Harris campaign, again, I would have taken every resource out of every other state and blasted into Philadelphia, Detroit, and Milwaukee.
01:34:00.000Because if you don't outsize that election day turnout tomorrow, there really isn't a pathway.
01:34:04.000Do you see any indication that they are doing that?
01:34:08.000You can see in Pennsylvania, and I've tracked that in my data.
01:34:11.000They've done a good job in the past week and a half.
01:34:13.000That's why I think that that one is going to even out and turn out.
01:34:17.000My data is not reflecting that in Michigan and Wisconsin.
01:34:29.000Yeah, and then again, I assume we're going to see a lot of instances where polling places are kept open later in those places that something happens.
01:34:36.000And so anything for Philadelphia could happen.
01:34:40.000I was a poll observer in Milwaukee in 2020, and this is exactly what happened.
01:34:45.000Again, we kept the polls open two hours later.
01:34:48.000So I would expect a lot of that because if outside the busing, having the food trucks, getting every single person they can Out to vote in those two states, they don't have anything left to do.
01:34:59.000Pittsburgh, in that western Pennsylvania area, is already solidified so that they can't do anything.
01:35:05.000That's why they pulled all their media out of North Carolina and put it into Pennsylvania, is they, again, need an overturn out tomorrow there specifically.
01:35:14.000Now, it seems as if there is an increased attention on the male-female divide this cycle.
01:35:37.000Yeah, the only thing of note with that low female number is it still has to be for Trump the right women that aren't showing up to vote.
01:35:47.000If it's the low propensity, lower income woman voter that is kind of more of that indie that we've seen recently, that's actually not a good thing.
01:35:56.000Those are actually women that have come to Trump more recently.
01:36:00.000That's what we're seeing a little bit in Michigan.
01:36:03.000Wisconsin, that group is still actually out voting what they did in 20.
01:36:08.000In Pennsylvania, that's, again, another sign of why I'm a little worried, is the decrease looks to be women in areas where we kind of do actually need them to show up.
01:36:19.000Now, when we're talking about the gender gap here, the real issue, narrow it down to men age 35 to 50 that are white and educated are so close to becoming 50 50 voters in this country that the gender gap is almost mattering less than what I talked about before being just the straight income gap.
01:38:47.000And then he somehow wrangled in Sheriff Joe Arpaio.
01:38:51.000And to see Trump and Sheriff Joe in Iraq nowadays, and the love affair that exists between those two men, like, I think Sheriff Joe wasn't even planning on endorsing him at that point, but he liked him, so he's like, okay, fine, I'll say a few words.
01:39:04.000And so nine years of building, of toiling, of media attacks, of indictments, impeachments, It all comes down to the last MAGA rally, which is tonight, Charlie.
01:40:47.000There are so many Americans that do not understand that they have to go into a polling center or where to drop their ballot off or whatever.
01:40:57.000Like in Arizona, for example, Charlie, you can't drop it off by mail anymore because it would be too late.
01:42:39.000Yeah, I mean, this is, you know, probably right now, the next 18 hours, maybe 20 hours is the most political active hours on the American calendar, right?
01:42:51.000There's been so much work that has gone into this moment.