The Charlie Kirk Show - November 05, 2024


The Last Vigil Before Polls Close


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 27 minutes

Words per Minute

190.35349

Word Count

16,694

Sentence Count

1,496

Misogynist Sentences

17

Hate Speech Sentences

17


Summary

On this episode of The Charlie Kirk Show, host Charlie and his guest Brett Gelleszewski and Turning Point USA's CEO Tyler Boyer discuss the early voting numbers from across the state, and how things are looking for both sides of the aisle in Wisconsin on Election Day. They also discuss early voting in Wisconsin and what they are seeing in the rural counties, and what to look out for in the final days of early voting. Thank you for listening to the Charlie and Brett Kirk Show! Subscribe to The Charlie and the Brett Show on Apple Podcasts and let us know what you thought of today's episode! If you like what you hear, please HIT SUBSCRIBE and become a Member! You'll get access to all the latest political news and analysis, including the latest breaking out from CNN, CBS, CNN, FOX, FOX News, and other major news outlets. Learn how you can protect your wealth with Noble Gold Investments, a company that specializes in gold and precious metals. It's where I buy all of my gold! Go to noblegold.investments.co/thecharliekirk Show to get 20% off your first month with a 5-piece gold and silver package! Learn more about the Noble Gold Investing Club membership! Click here to become a platinum sponsor! The Charlie & Brett Show is the official gold & Silver Club! Get 5% off the first month's Gold and Silver Membership when you buy a piece of your first-grade gold or Silver Membership! Check out Noble Gold & Silver! We'll be giving you access to the show you'll get 5% OFFered for the entire month of the show, plus a FREE 4-month shipping plan! and a FREE 3-day shipping offer when you sign up to receive $50 or 6-month VIP & 2-months VIP & 3-months of VIP & VIP access to Gold + 2-week shipping! FREE Shipping throughout the mail-in Provenza, plus an additional $99/month, plus all other options, plus 2-day Prime + 3-week VIP & 7-avail + 7-option options! Want to join the show gets an ad-plan? FREE PRICING plan? Click HERE to get 5-day VIP + 7 days of VIP access? and 7-day FREE Shipping & VIP membership, plus $10% OFF OFF + FREE Shipping?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody enjoy this episode become a member members.charliekirk.com that is members.charliekirk.com email us as always freedom at charliekirk.com and become a member to support this program buckle up everybody here we go Charlie what you've done is incredible here maybe Charlie Kirk is on the college campus I want you to know we are lucky to have Charlie Kirk Charlie Kirk's running the White House folks I want to thank Charlie.
00:00:25.000 He's an incredible guy.
00:00:26.000 His spirit, his love of this country, he's done an amazing job building one of the most powerful youth organizations ever created, Turning Point USA. We will not embrace the ideas that have destroyed countries, destroyed lives, and we are going to fight for freedom on campuses across the country.
00:00:43.000 That's why we are here.
00:00:47.000 Noble Gold Investments is the official gold sponsor of The Charlie Kirk Show, a company that specializes in gold IRAs and physical delivery of precious metals.
00:00:56.000 Learn how you can protect your wealth with Noble Gold Investments at noblegoldinvestments.com.
00:01:03.000 That is noblegoldinvestments.com.
00:01:05.000 It's where I buy all of my gold.
00:01:07.000 Go to noblegoldinvestments.com.
00:01:12.000 This entire election very well might be decided in Wisconsin.
00:01:17.000 Joining us now is Brett Galiszewski.
00:01:19.000 Did I say that right?
00:01:20.000 Galiszewski.
00:01:22.000 All right, Brett.
00:01:23.000 Sorry about that.
00:01:24.000 Brett, what is going on in the great state of Wisconsin today?
00:01:26.000 Hey, Charlie.
00:01:27.000 Totally fine on that front.
00:01:29.000 No, things are looking good.
00:01:30.000 The weather appears to be holding off.
00:01:32.000 Here in Wisconsin, that was something we were really worried about at first.
00:01:35.000 When the forecast first came out last week, we were worried that this was going to be a big downpour kind of day.
00:01:40.000 But the rain is holding off.
00:01:41.000 The temps are in the mid-60s, so that's looking really good for people to come out and wait at the polls.
00:01:46.000 We're seeing massive lines in areas where we need to rack the score up in, plurality Republican areas.
00:01:52.000 So, so far, looking at the in-person front, things are looking promising.
00:01:57.000 So, do you feel better on the ground than he did in 2020?
00:02:01.000 I feel way better on the ground than I did in 2020.
00:02:04.000 I know you guys had Terry Dietrich here on the show last week, and he had mentioned that there was really no effective ground game when it came to early voting in 2020.
00:02:13.000 This was the first election cycle that we really honed in on it.
00:02:17.000 And you're seeing the numbers.
00:02:19.000 I mean, it's coming to fruition in front of our eyes.
00:02:20.000 I mean, in heavy Republican counties, you're seeing like Washington County, for instance, part of that Wow County, the Milwaukee suburbs.
00:02:26.000 They're reporting a 98 percent mail in return rate, which is just crazy in comparison to, say, a 95 percent return rate that you're seeing out of Milwaukee County.
00:02:36.000 Based on percentages returns alone, you're seeing a heavy Republican county outvoting a heavy Democrat county.
00:02:42.000 So absolutely, I feel better and I'm feeling better by the day as these numbers have continued to come out.
00:02:47.000 Are we seeing a big surge out of Milwaukee for Democrats or Dane County?
00:02:52.000 No, no.
00:02:53.000 In fact, you're seeing early voting returns low in comparison to what they have been.
00:02:58.000 So you know that they're not coming out on election day.
00:03:01.000 So we appear to be losing by less in areas where we absolutely needed to do that, Dane and Milwaukee County.
00:03:08.000 And we appear to be winning the rack the score up game in counties like Waukesha.
00:03:14.000 Tyler, do you have a thought for Brett?
00:03:16.000 Welcome, by the way, Tyler Boyer, CEO of Turning Point Action.
00:03:19.000 He literally just stepped in.
00:03:20.000 He's been working the Turning Point Action HQ Command Center room all morning.
00:03:24.000 So, welcome, Tyler.
00:03:26.000 We've got, and it's just, it's a total command center in Wisconsin, as Brett's covered.
00:03:30.000 We're curing ballots in Wisconsin, the largest curing operation happening for the conservatives in Wisconsin right now, where he's at right now.
00:03:39.000 And then, obviously, we're doing all our calls and texts.
00:03:42.000 Brett, how are things looking in our rurals with our more rural team?
00:03:51.000 What are some of the reports that we're getting from kind of the upper side in between the Fond du Lac and Brown County areas?
00:04:03.000 Yeah, so I'll give you an example.
00:04:05.000 So one of the rural counties that I've had my eye on now for a little while is St.
00:04:08.000 Croix County.
00:04:10.000 You're seeing a 163% YTD increase in returned absentee ballots compared to 2022.
00:04:19.000 So that was kind of the last election cycle that we had anything even close to an early voting ground game.
00:04:26.000 I mean, if you're seeing 163%, and that seems to be kind of the trend of all of these rural counties seeing like upwards of 150% increase YTD from 2022 in return ballots in heavy red counties.
00:04:38.000 I mean, we're doing the job then that we need to do in racking up the score.
00:04:42.000 So, Andrew, do you have a thought for Brett here?
00:04:44.000 Well, I mean, Brett, I know you're overseeing, you know, not just Wisconsin, but you've got your eyes on other states, PA, North Carolina, Georgia.
00:04:55.000 Give us a smattering of the reports coming in, especially North Carolina.
00:04:59.000 We haven't heard much from North Carolina right now.
00:05:01.000 Yeah, North Carolina is interesting because that's going to be one of the first states that we hear from tonight.
00:05:06.000 They end up ending their polling at 730 Eastern, so we're going to hear from them pretty early.
00:05:12.000 Our field staff is reporting long lines in heavy rural areas.
00:05:16.000 So, I mean, you're seeing the same trend that you would in a state like Wisconsin or a state like Arizona right now, seeing long lines in areas where we absolutely need to have that.
00:05:25.000 So, I mean, the good news is we're going to know about North Carolina pretty soon here, like within...
00:05:29.000 If it's five and a half hours here.
00:05:32.000 So I'm curious here, just like you guys, waiting on pins and needles.
00:05:36.000 Brett, have you heard from, back to Wisconsin, have you heard from Hovde in his camp?
00:05:40.000 Like, what's the mood on the ground inside his war room?
00:05:44.000 The Hovde camp has picked up some momentum the last week here.
00:05:48.000 I think the assumption was always, it was just a matter of, you know, the more that Trump performs better here in Wisconsin, that he was going to bring candidates like Eric Hovde up the ballot in the same way that Trump would bring up Cary Lake in Arizona.
00:05:59.000 It's become increasingly clear that Hovde has a better path to victory here.
00:06:04.000 I mean, I can give you guys an example of a ward that we've had our eye on for some time now, Pewaukee, kind of a heavy Republican stronghold.
00:06:13.000 You know, Hovde's going to win if the turnout game is strong, and he's one of those candidates that absolutely can say that.
00:06:19.000 It just turned noon here in the central time zone, and we just had one of our guys on the ground go to this polling location, Wagner Park, that we've identified 1,000 conservatives that are not voting.
00:06:29.000 They're already reporting a number of 687.
00:06:32.000 It's not even noon yet.
00:06:33.000 So the turnout game appears to be on the strong side.
00:06:38.000 I don't want to get out in front of our skis here, but that's going to look really promising for Eric Hubdy this evening.
00:06:43.000 Tyler, can you explain what's going on in this picture?
00:06:45.000 Cut 97 is up on screen.
00:06:46.000 These are folks making calls in the Turning Point Action headquarters.
00:06:48.000 What's going on in that picture?
00:06:50.000 Yeah, and I actually just took a video and just tweeted it.
00:06:52.000 We've got four rooms full of callers and textures happening right now.
00:06:57.000 And what they're calling and texting is our universe of people that we have left who are low propensity to get out.
00:07:04.000 Because again, The high propensity will take care of themselves.
00:07:08.000 A lot of them are dropping off.
00:07:09.000 We're calling some of those people, too, through our Commit 100 program and some other things.
00:07:14.000 But we're getting lots of feedback.
00:07:15.000 I dropped it off.
00:07:16.000 I mailed it a couple days ago.
00:07:18.000 Those numbers haven't come to Maricopa County yet.
00:07:21.000 In Wisconsin, we have the same thing.
00:07:23.000 Like I mentioned, Brett is there helping ringlead the middle of not just getting people out to the polls, but now we're moving to curing ballots.
00:07:35.000 And so this is the thing that we're going to talk about a lot over the next few days, especially if we have tight races in some of these states.
00:07:41.000 Yeah, and we own this in Arizona, Wisconsin, because we have the largest field teams in both states.
00:07:46.000 And it's not just presidential, right?
00:07:47.000 You're curing for down-ballot raises.
00:07:49.000 That's a big part of it.
00:07:50.000 That's a really good question, Andrew, because historically what would happen is in a presidential cycle, Or a Senate cycle, what will happen is the campaign or the NRSC will fund people if it helps them.
00:08:03.000 And then what will happen?
00:08:04.000 They poof!
00:08:05.000 They're gone.
00:08:06.000 They're vapor.
00:08:07.000 They're whoosie whatsie.
00:08:09.000 That's what happens.
00:08:10.000 They leave.
00:08:11.000 And guess what happens?
00:08:12.000 Then we lose these down ballot races because there's no one there to cure.
00:08:16.000 So this is part of the reason why the outside infrastructure is so important.
00:08:19.000 This is one of the many critical reasons why.
00:08:22.000 If you have outside groups that stay, They help you not just win the presidential, not the Senate, not just the congressional, but all the way down to every legislative race, every city council race, every school board race.
00:08:34.000 So what we're going to be doing in Arizona and Wisconsin is regardless if President Trump blows this thing out of the water, we're going to still be there curing for everyone.
00:08:45.000 This is great.
00:08:45.000 I love this point.
00:08:46.000 And Brett, you've been through some of these press inquiries along with the rest of the team where they go, It's like, no, this is not untested.
00:09:01.000 To Tyler's point, the Democrats have been using outside groups for basically decades now.
00:09:06.000 They're the ones that set up the system the way it is, and we noticed it was actually outperforming The sort of centralized power at the RNC model.
00:09:15.000 So this is actually a good thing for the movement.
00:09:16.000 I want everybody to get that through their minds, that we reject the premise that this is somehow bad or untested.
00:09:21.000 This is actually the way it should have been set up, because groups like Turning Point and others are going to be there for the long haul.
00:09:28.000 I want everyone to email me freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:09:30.000 Include the state that you are in when you send us your stories.
00:09:35.000 Brett, we're going to keep you there.
00:09:36.000 Email us freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:09:39.000 Right here, someone says, Charlie, I'm 25 and my best friend is 24.
00:09:44.000 Last week I picked her up and we voted for Donald Trump.
00:09:46.000 First time ever in the state of Michigan.
00:09:48.000 You've got to love that.
00:09:49.000 Charlie, I agree with everything you're saying.
00:09:51.000 I'm a 39-year-old white male who has never voted until today.
00:09:55.000 Saw your videos.
00:09:56.000 I agree with what they're saying.
00:09:57.000 And you got me to vote for Trump.
00:09:58.000 Get this.
00:09:59.000 I live in western Wisconsin.
00:10:01.000 That is a first-time white male voter, age 39, who is voting because of the Charlie Kirk videos.
00:10:06.000 First time at 39.
00:10:07.000 Again, that's what shakes the matrix, guys.
00:10:09.000 That, I mean, because, I mean, you're trying to pull, you're trying to track.
00:10:12.000 All of a sudden, Ricky shows up in western Wisconsin.
00:10:15.000 No one was tracking for Ricky to show up.
00:10:17.000 Nobody assumed he was going to show up.
00:10:18.000 Right?
00:10:19.000 And so that helps really throw things off in a good way.
00:10:24.000 Let me ask a question.
00:10:25.000 Do you think our country is going in the right direction, or does it feel like everything is falling apart?
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00:10:36.000 And that starts with an emergency food supply.
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00:10:52.000 It comes with delicious foods like creamy storgonoff, honey wheat bread, and mushroom rice pilaf.
00:10:58.000 This entire kit offers over 2,000 calories every day.
00:11:02.000 This kit lasts up to 25 years.
00:11:04.000 Who knows what our country will look like then?
00:11:06.000 But when the day comes, you'll be ready.
00:11:08.000 Go to MyPatriotSupply.com.
00:11:10.000 That is MyPatriotSupply.com to order your three-month emergency food kit.
00:11:14.000 You are nine meals away from anarchy.
00:11:16.000 Go to MyPatriotSupply.com.
00:11:21.000 All right, so look, I am now at 5,000 emails this morning of people that have taken at least two or three or four other people.
00:11:27.000 I want you guys to understand that.
00:11:28.000 That's a huge force multiplier effect.
00:11:30.000 Right here, let me just read this here in Arizona.
00:11:32.000 Charlie, I have two co-workers.
00:11:34.000 This is Brandon, who have never voted.
00:11:36.000 Exactly.
00:11:38.000 They have just registered to vote because they wanted to be changed.
00:11:43.000 I don't know how they registered to vote today, but that's fine.
00:11:44.000 They went and voted today for Donald Trump.
00:11:47.000 One 37-year-old white female, one female Hispanic.
00:11:50.000 I have a theory, Tyler, and I want your Wisconsin thing.
00:11:53.000 I think we're going to do better.
00:11:54.000 You can same-day register in Wisconsin.
00:11:54.000 Not in Arizona.
00:11:55.000 Oh, is it in Arizona?
00:11:56.000 All right.
00:11:57.000 Which, I don't know, maybe it's just the semantics thing.
00:11:59.000 I think we're going to do better with working-class women than people think.
00:12:02.000 I think that, like, white girl women, that's a whole separate thing, like, you know, kind of white, college-educated, but working-class women, I think we're going to do better than people think.
00:12:10.000 What's your Wisconsin?
00:12:11.000 Oh, for sure.
00:12:12.000 And today we will definitely get and we will see a higher percentage of women because it's more Republican today.
00:12:22.000 So, you know, where we've seen and so one thing that we've been tracking is modeling the independents in Arizona.
00:12:29.000 The independents in Arizona are coming back slightly more Democrat than they are Republican.
00:12:32.000 We won't get into the exact numbers.
00:12:34.000 But today will offset some of that, or should offset some of that.
00:12:37.000 And so as we're seeing these high Republican numbers, these high independent numbers, they're going to tilt, they should tilt, based off of historics, a little bit more Republican.
00:12:47.000 So a lot more conservative.
00:12:48.000 What's your Wisconsin story?
00:12:49.000 Because we're running out of time here.
00:12:50.000 So one of our managers, Jordan, who's incredible on the western front in Wisconsin, actually shared a message from our group chat today from one of the voters he talked to, a quote, and the voter said, to be honest, I probably wouldn't have voted unless you would have...
00:13:06.000 Ask me to today.
00:13:08.000 Unquote.
00:13:09.000 So this works.
00:13:10.000 The voter contact works, especially the young people.
00:13:13.000 Glad you brought this up.
00:13:15.000 Glad you brought this up.
00:13:16.000 We just actually put together, in honor of you coming on the show and having Brett here as well, Play 96 the B-roll as Tyler talks.
00:13:23.000 These are a few images just from this morning of first-time voters that our ballot chasers have brought out.
00:13:31.000 So check these guys out.
00:13:33.000 First-time voters.
00:13:34.000 And guys, you know how hard it is to get a picture of someone while they're actually doing stuff, too?
00:13:38.000 So this is just a fraction of the people that we're interacting with.
00:13:43.000 And I'll tell you, too, yesterday, you want to get excited?
00:13:46.000 Yesterday, our team doubled our output.
00:13:52.000 In just one day?
00:13:53.000 No, not just doubled our output.
00:13:54.000 Doubled our output in goals.
00:13:56.000 So our goal metric got doubled yesterday.
00:13:59.000 Totally unexpected.
00:13:59.000 It was our best day that we've ever had in chasing.
00:14:02.000 Two times the amount of chase that they're expected to get on a daily basis.
00:14:07.000 I expect we'll have the same, if not better today.
00:14:09.000 Right, because it's ramping up.
00:14:10.000 Everything's getting more...
00:14:11.000 And then you have the buildup.
00:14:13.000 So the beautiful part of if you do the chase correctly, there's buildup over the course of the month.
00:14:18.000 More people, they get reminded more times, they end up voting, and there is a Freddie election day vote boost that we're expecting.
00:14:28.000 We're not building it into our numbers, but Andrew, we're right now on track from the Turning Point action universe.
00:14:37.000 Can we say it today?
00:14:38.000 No, I don't want to jinx it.
00:14:40.000 But once polls close, we can talk about it.
00:14:42.000 We'll talk about it for the next number of days.
00:14:44.000 We'll have so much mic time to talk about this.
00:14:46.000 I'll break down the numbers.
00:14:48.000 These are just first-time voters.
00:14:49.000 Put that picture up again, guys.
00:14:51.000 This is through our chase.
00:14:51.000 First-time voter.
00:14:52.000 Go to the next one.
00:14:53.000 I'll break down the numbers.
00:14:55.000 First time voters.
00:14:55.000 But here's where we're at.
00:14:57.000 We're trending right now to be significantly above where we targeted for low propensity voters.
00:15:02.000 What does that mean?
00:15:04.000 Well that makes up for mistakes or discrepancies with lower turnout with the high propensities.
00:15:10.000 That makes up for slightly unaccounted for variances between bleed from the left and the right, meaning people that cross over from Trump to Kamala and Kamala to Trump.
00:15:25.000 It makes up for all these things.
00:15:29.000 The female vote.
00:15:30.000 If we lose the female vote by a couple more points.
00:15:32.000 I got a great email here.
00:15:33.000 Charlie, I have a small group of 10 women friends in Wisconsin.
00:15:36.000 We're all over 65.
00:15:37.000 We're all college educated.
00:15:38.000 We all voted for Trump.
00:15:39.000 Some of us still have a moral compass.
00:15:42.000 Let me do another one here.
00:15:43.000 Email me, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:15:45.000 Charlie, my college kid at University of Arizona.
00:15:46.000 I only voted because of your appearance, and I got three friends who did the same.
00:15:49.000 Lose by Les and Pima, right?
00:15:51.000 It's kind of cool.
00:15:52.000 We'll never know the actual impact of what we did this semester.
00:15:55.000 We'll never know, right, Andrew?
00:15:56.000 Well, and all the actions together.
00:15:58.000 And since, Brett, we still got you.
00:16:00.000 Throw up Image 98.
00:16:01.000 This is in your HQ right now, if I'm not mistaken.
00:16:05.000 The call center you have going on right there.
00:16:09.000 This is happening as we speak.
00:16:11.000 Right now, this is the largest ballot curing operation that the state of Wisconsin has ever seen.
00:16:17.000 Because there really is no standardized ballot curing program that exists here in Wisconsin.
00:16:22.000 Unlike a state like Arizona, where you can ballot cure for five days after the election, you can only ballot cure on election day here in Wisconsin.
00:16:30.000 This is the dark horse that I don't think the left sees going on.
00:16:33.000 We are making literal thousands of calls and sending 200-plus people on the ground to doors to help assist in curing ballots of likely Trump voters.
00:16:43.000 Guys, I cannot tell you the impact that this could have over the next 24 hours.
00:16:47.000 Brett, you're doing a great job.
00:16:47.000 All right, Brett, we're taking too much of your time.
00:16:49.000 Go chase more ballots.
00:16:50.000 Get more voters out, Brett.
00:16:51.000 Do not sleep on Wisconsin.
00:16:54.000 Wisconsin could end up being the determinative key.
00:16:57.000 It really could.
00:16:59.000 Wisconsin, get everyone you know.
00:17:00.000 Email me, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:17:02.000 Let me read this email here, and it ties into our guest.
00:17:05.000 We have both Josh and Terry.
00:17:07.000 Okay, that's amazing.
00:17:08.000 Charlie, my son got eight friends to vote for Trump today in Wisconsin.
00:17:13.000 Woo!
00:17:13.000 Joining us now is Terry Dietrich, who is the committeeman in Wisconsin, and also my man in Georgia, Josh McCoon.
00:17:19.000 This is the all-star team.
00:17:20.000 Everyone watching right now, I want you to take notes, take a screenshot.
00:17:23.000 These are two names.
00:17:24.000 If we win the White House, these are two folks right here of names.
00:17:27.000 They have done more Let's just say clipboard and tennis shoes work.
00:17:31.000 They've done more shovel work than anybody in the grassroots of Wisconsin and Georgia.
00:17:36.000 Josh and Terry.
00:17:37.000 First, Josh, I'm going to start with you because we just did a whole Wisconsin conversation.
00:17:40.000 So, Terry, just hang on a second.
00:17:41.000 Josh, what is going on in Georgia?
00:17:43.000 How do we feel?
00:17:44.000 Give us an analysis and then contrast it to 2020.
00:17:48.000 So, Charlie, we're feeling good.
00:17:50.000 We've got about half a million people that have voted so far today.
00:17:53.000 We're on trend for about 1.2 million total turnout today, which would set a record For Georgia turnout.
00:17:59.000 As I've said to you before, I believe we ended early voting in the lead, which is unprecedented for us.
00:18:06.000 But today what I'm hearing again is very strong turnout from our rural counties and rural precincts.
00:18:13.000 Lots of precincts reporting in that have already hit 80% of The election day total four years ago, so on trend to overperform in all really rural precincts, particularly in North Georgia.
00:18:27.000 Georgia's 14th district, Marjorie Taylor Greene's district.
00:18:30.000 And then the city of Atlanta, very quiet, almost eerily quiet in terms of turnout at the moment.
00:18:37.000 So obviously there's time left for a late surge to emerge, but right now we are feeling very good about where the votes are coming from and the volume of votes we see coming in hour over hour.
00:18:50.000 Okay, so tell me, in 2020, what did the urban areas look like at this time?
00:18:56.000 And also, didn't they have more absentee ballots in the urban areas?
00:19:01.000 Is that correct?
00:19:02.000 Absolutely.
00:19:03.000 So the story in 2020 was the absentee ballot mail vote.
00:19:08.000 Biden won that vote by 398,000 votes.
00:19:12.000 It was his entire margin.
00:19:14.000 This time, we've had 250,000 absentee ballots returned I would just today left, so very few absentee ballot by mail votes.
00:19:24.000 Most of the urban counties and Democratic districts we look at are underperforming from 2020.
00:19:31.000 They were underperforming in the early vote.
00:19:33.000 They are continuing to underperform in the election.
00:19:37.000 I actually believe when we close the books today that a lot of these areas are going to be under their total vote for 2020.
00:19:45.000 And obviously we've added almost a million voters to our voter rolls in the last four years.
00:19:50.000 So to see that they're not even meeting the turnout from four years ago while we're seeing consistently over performance, more turnout, it looks really good for us heading into the final stretch.
00:20:03.000 Okay, so Josh, we're not celebrating anything, but tonight, if we win Georgia...
00:20:09.000 Go vote.
00:20:09.000 If you're hearing me and you're in Georgia, go vote.
00:20:11.000 No, no, no.
00:20:12.000 By the way, everybody, we are dealing with Stacey Abrams, okay?
00:20:14.000 This is a crooked, crooked operation.
00:20:17.000 We need to surge, but I'll just say, if it goes our way, Josh, you deserve a lot of credit, and we're going to be talking, we're going to have you on, we're going to really debunk, you know, kind of not debunk it, but debrief on it.
00:20:26.000 Sorry, it's been a long time.
00:20:26.000 Long month this week.
00:20:27.000 Now Terry Dietrich, who is our Waukesha man.
00:20:30.000 Terry, we just had a great conversation with Brett.
00:20:34.000 As you know, Brett's doing a great job.
00:20:36.000 Terry, I want you to say, how do you feel right now versus four years ago?
00:20:41.000 I would say certainly our early voting, which brought us Equal or above the Dems makes me feel great because we weren't even close in 2020.
00:20:52.000 I mean, it was two-thirds, one-third, and I would say right now we've got the slight lead on that.
00:20:58.000 I'm seeing 51, 52, 48, somewhere in that.
00:21:02.000 So coming into game day here, I mean, I really feel good.
00:21:05.000 So far, we've seen some pretty heavy voting out here in kind of the western part of Waukesha.
00:21:10.000 Our concern, of course, is over in Brookfield and Elm Grove and right along that Milwaukee borderline that was just redistricted here.
00:21:18.000 So that's a concern for us.
00:21:20.000 We're pushing hard.
00:21:20.000 We're pounding the phones right now of every Republican and every low prop red over on the eastern side to push out.
00:21:28.000 But if I put it all in context, we're way ahead as of Friday night and that number and coming into game day.
00:21:35.000 So I feel good.
00:21:38.000 Hey everybody, Charlie Kirk here.
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00:22:47.000 Andrew, you have a thought for Terry or Josh here, but this is the all-star team, everybody.
00:22:50.000 And let me just say, email me right now, freedom at charliekirk.com, your successful voting story and how you have brought a new vote to the polls.
00:22:57.000 That's all I care about.
00:22:58.000 If you guys are watching your high prop, you need to go bring a new voter to the polls.
00:23:01.000 Andrew.
00:23:02.000 Yeah, I mean, what I'm hearing, it sounds like a lot, and maybe you guys can confirm this or debunk it, but what I'm hearing across the board is that we're seeing really good turnouts in the rurals, we're driving up the score there, and the urban centers seem to be a little bit quiet.
00:23:20.000 In PA, we're told that the urban core tends to kind of liven up as the day goes on.
00:23:25.000 The lines build up a little bit more.
00:23:27.000 Is that what we're expecting in Milwaukee, in Atlanta?
00:23:31.000 Is there a tendency for the Dems to come out in the afternoon in the urban core?
00:23:36.000 Well, I'll just say in Georgia, Democrats tend to do very well in the early part of early voting, and they don't turn out as much on Election Day.
00:23:47.000 So the situation we find ourselves in in this election is they really need to have very significant turnout in the next few hours.
00:23:56.000 I can tell you that Whitfield County, Dalton, and North Georgia has already hit 80% of their 2020 election day number with five hours of voting to go.
00:24:05.000 Bartow County, right outside of Atlanta, huge Republican stronghold.
00:24:09.000 They're tracking ahead of their 2020 numbers.
00:24:12.000 Cherokee County, Catoosa County on track to meet or exceed 2020 numbers.
00:24:17.000 And we're just not seeing that in Fulton County or Clayton County or DeKalb County.
00:24:21.000 They are not approaching those 2020 levels.
00:24:24.000 And obviously, that was a very close election when all of that happened.
00:24:28.000 So if we're exceeding our targets in these key precincts, I think that we're on trend for a good day.
00:24:36.000 But yes, you're right.
00:24:37.000 We will probably see more turnout as the day goes on, but it just is going to take an awful lot of turnout.
00:24:42.000 But I'll say one more time, if you are a Republican and you have not voted in Georgia yet, we need you to get to the polls right now.
00:24:48.000 Go to SwampTheVoteUSA.com.
00:24:50.000 Go find your polling place.
00:24:52.000 Get out there and vote.
00:24:53.000 And as Charlie said, if you've already voted, help us get your friends and neighbors out right now because this is it.
00:24:58.000 This is game time.
00:24:59.000 One follow up, Josh, and then I want to hear the same about Milwaukee and Dane out of Wisconsin.
00:25:04.000 But Josh, what is the time frame?
00:25:07.000 When can you get in line and still vote today in Georgia?
00:25:10.000 As long as you're in line prior to 7 p.m., you'll be allowed to vote.
00:25:15.000 So once you're in line, you're in line before 7, just stay.
00:25:19.000 You will be permitted to vote.
00:25:21.000 Don't walk out of the line.
00:25:22.000 You've got to stay in line until they get you to your machine.
00:25:26.000 But I will tell you today, the lines have not been long because we had 4 million people vote early.
00:25:32.000 So if you get to your polling place, you're probably not going to have a line.
00:25:35.000 So there's really no excuse to go in, check in, check out, get it done for Donald J. Trump and the Republican ticket.
00:25:42.000 All right, Terry, Milwaukee, Dane, how are we looking?
00:25:46.000 Are we expecting later in the day turnout for the Dems?
00:25:49.000 My good friend Josh there in Georgia, it's almost exactly the same in this state.
00:25:53.000 I mean, what's taking place here?
00:25:56.000 Really high early turnout, which did not bode well for the Democrats that way.
00:26:02.000 Look, Dane County is going to be a monster.
00:26:05.000 They're going to get their votes out.
00:26:07.000 Brandon Malley and the Turning Point team up in Madison and Dane County is doing a good job.
00:26:11.000 He's looking for three or four more points.
00:26:13.000 To lose by less up there.
00:26:15.000 I think that's a good shot.
00:26:17.000 I was talking to former Governor Thompson last night.
00:26:19.000 He feels good about Dane County.
00:26:22.000 They're going to put up their big number there.
00:26:24.000 Milwaukee, on the other hand, so far, has been quiet.
00:26:28.000 Absolutely.
00:26:29.000 I mean, we're looking at the inner city and the Hispanic votes.
00:26:32.000 They're just not moving.
00:26:33.000 So, Terry, Josh, you just said Atlanta eerily quiet.
00:26:37.000 Terry, you just said Milwaukee is eerily quiet.
00:26:40.000 Why is that, guys?
00:26:41.000 We've heard the same out of Philly, too.
00:26:43.000 What's going on here?
00:26:44.000 Well, I'll mention one thing about Atlanta and Georgia is we saw really high turnout.
00:26:50.000 Among black female voters during early voting, but they were really approaching the ceiling of those voters as we were getting into Friday, which we had almost 300,000 people vote on Friday.
00:27:01.000 So I think part of what we're seeing is a lack of enthusiasm among black male voters and not there aren't black female voters still available to go out and vote.
00:27:11.000 They're literally running out of those.
00:27:13.000 So I think I think that is at least what is driving the lack of turnout we're seeing in Atlanta right now.
00:27:20.000 In Milwaukee, you know that on Friday night we had President Trump in the same Pfizer Forum, downtown Milwaukee.
00:27:29.000 It was a very strategic move by the Trump team.
00:27:31.000 I give him a lot of credit because I would love to have him out here in Waukesha, but we put him downtown.
00:27:35.000 It was absolutely packed.
00:27:38.000 A lot of crossover.
00:27:39.000 Dems, I think, were very interested.
00:27:41.000 Kennedy was there, pushed hard on that side.
00:27:44.000 We just haven't seen much activity.
00:27:47.000 Kamala was there.
00:27:48.000 She was here in Waukesha County.
00:27:49.000 Bill Clinton was in Waukesha County.
00:27:50.000 But they haven't spent a lot of time at all in Milwaukee.
00:27:54.000 It's surprising to us.
00:27:56.000 Now, you know, there's always a surprise at the polls down there because it is not trustworthy for sure.
00:28:02.000 We're all over it with the election integrity team.
00:28:04.000 But I mean, I've been around a while, and I've seen Milwaukee when it's up and crazy, like for Obama, and I've seen it when it's down, and I've got to tell you that unless they have some kind of surge I don't know about in the next four or five hours, I think that number is going to be down.
00:28:19.000 I think Dane's going to be huge, and so that offsets, and obviously the Weill County's out here.
00:28:25.000 We've been infiltrated, and we've got a really pound Andrew, do you want to go through this Amish thing really quick?
00:28:51.000 We have Josh and Terry here.
00:28:53.000 Yeah, this was just an image that we found.
00:28:58.000 Somebody posted online.
00:29:00.000 It's not our image, but a literal Amish Trump train spotted in Pennsylvania rolling down the road with a big Trump flag.
00:29:10.000 Go ahead and throw that up.
00:29:11.000 And the caption reads, you know it's serious when the Amish get involved.
00:29:15.000 And I mean, you know, kudos to Cliff and Scott working in PA. Also Noah from Micah, our team.
00:29:22.000 They've made huge inroads with the Amish, who oftentimes just kind of sit out the election.
00:29:27.000 This time they are active and getting really involved in their civic duties, which is great.
00:29:32.000 So Josh, let's start with you.
00:29:33.000 Talk about your election integrity team here and the eyes that you have in Fulton County, Cobb, etc.
00:29:38.000 So we have a tremendous team of attorneys, not just from here in Georgia, but all across the country.
00:29:43.000 RNC has been great, given a lot of support.
00:29:45.000 We won a huge decision yesterday.
00:29:48.000 Cobb County was trying to extend to Friday the deadline to receive absentee ballots.
00:29:54.000 The Georgia Supreme Court said no.
00:29:55.000 Georgia law is clear.
00:29:56.000 It's got to be done at 7 p.m.
00:29:58.000 today.
00:29:58.000 So we got a great team, great team of volunteers, more poll watching shifts covered than ever before.
00:30:04.000 So we are on top of it.
00:30:05.000 When issues are being reported, we are jumping right on them.
00:30:08.000 Terry, tell us about your election integrity team that you have in Wisconsin.
00:30:12.000 You know, we always have fun in Milwaukee.
00:30:15.000 So as you probably know, the RNC sued the Milwaukee Election Commission yesterday over the lack of providing access for our observers.
00:30:23.000 We had larger, largest, just like Jack, we had the largest observer and poll inspector crews in all the major counties here in Wisconsin.
00:30:32.000 So we're well covered that way.
00:30:35.000 Love the fact that when Jack and I talked six months ago, He pushed in the fact that we not only needed lawyers, but we needed qualified, trained lawyers who are pit bulls to get in there and do that, and I see that here in Wisconsin, finally, which is great.
00:30:50.000 Out here in Waukesha County, we trained 479 I think we're in really good shape that way.
00:31:07.000 Our state statute, frankly speaking, is the problem.
00:31:10.000 We've got to clean up some of these irregularities and gray areas, and they're unfortunately being interpreted by various clerks in the Wisconsin Election Commission in very strange ways that causes a real challenge.
00:31:21.000 As far as us being there in their face, watching what's going on, I think I feel real good about it.
00:31:27.000 I know in Dane County, we're doing the same thing.
00:31:30.000 Up in Brown County and Green Bay, the same.
00:31:32.000 So we've got good presence on the college campuses.
00:31:35.000 So we're much, much better, much more prepared than we were in 2020.
00:31:39.000 Okay, I have one more question here, and then we'll wrap it up with Terry as well.
00:31:43.000 Josh, let me read this tweet here.
00:31:45.000 It's from Seth Keschel on Twitter.
00:31:48.000 Real info, no voting centers in DeKalb with intermediate or long wait lines, most under five minutes.
00:31:54.000 What does that mean, Josh?
00:31:56.000 And is that correct?
00:31:57.000 Are we reading that data correct?
00:31:59.000 You are.
00:32:00.000 And DeKalb County, Georgia, is the beating heart of the Georgia Democratic Party.
00:32:04.000 They have to have strong turnout.
00:32:07.000 In DeKalb County to win this election.
00:32:10.000 But we're seeing it in Clayton County.
00:32:12.000 We're seeing it in Daugherty County.
00:32:14.000 We're seeing it in these Democratic strongholds all across the state.
00:32:18.000 They're underperforming, and the counties next door that tend to be Republican counties are overperforming.
00:32:24.000 And again, I don't want to oversell it.
00:32:26.000 We've got to have people go vote.
00:32:27.000 There's five more hours to go.
00:32:30.000 But we feel really good about the trends that have been emerging throughout the day.
00:32:34.000 We need people to continue to turn out, keep going to vote.
00:32:38.000 You know, he took a bullet for us.
00:32:40.000 We can take the time to drive to a polling place and be in and out in five minutes and get this thing done for Donald Trump and the Republican ticket.
00:32:47.000 Let's close this out here.
00:32:49.000 Terry, we just got an email from someone saying record long lines in rural Wisconsin.
00:32:53.000 People that have never voted before talked in length while they were in line about people that were getting crushed by inflation.
00:33:00.000 Terry, final thoughts here, the vibe on the ground in Wisconsin.
00:33:04.000 That is the vibe that's been here since day one of the early voting.
00:33:08.000 The outstate here is going absolutely crazy for Trump.
00:33:11.000 So that's fantastic.
00:33:13.000 Same here.
00:33:13.000 We've got big lines everywhere.
00:33:16.000 I'm really feeling good about it.
00:33:17.000 We need to keep an eye on Milwaukee.
00:33:20.000 Try to boost that a little bit, lose by less again.
00:33:23.000 And then Dane County is going to be their only real stronghold that I see.
00:33:26.000 Everywhere else in the state, we're looking good.
00:33:29.000 I've got 45,000 people in my county right now that have not voted.
00:33:33.000 We are on the phone.
00:33:35.000 We are in the cars and the trucks.
00:33:37.000 We're knocking, dropping, dragging, doing everything we need to do.
00:33:40.000 We'll get all those.
00:33:41.000 We're finished with all our absentee ballot votes that have come in.
00:33:45.000 We've chased all those for the last, you know, 20 days or so.
00:33:49.000 So ABs are in and we won that really, really handily.
00:33:52.000 So it all comes down to execution, guys, and we're going to pull it off.
00:33:57.000 I hope so, man.
00:33:58.000 We win Wisconsin.
00:34:00.000 Wisconsin could be the sleeper, Pennsylvania.
00:34:02.000 Just pray.
00:34:03.000 But I want you guys to understand, you have Georgia, Wisconsin.
00:34:05.000 You win those two states.
00:34:07.000 Look at the screen here.
00:34:08.000 You got Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin right on screen.
00:34:11.000 And if we had Michael Watley, we could have the whole gambit right there.
00:34:15.000 That's ballgame.
00:34:17.000 As long as Iowa performs.
00:34:20.000 Sweep the blue wall, lose Iowa.
00:34:23.000 All right, guys.
00:34:24.000 I want to be respectful of your time.
00:34:26.000 Thank you so much, Josh McCoon, Terry Dietrich, two great patriots.
00:34:29.000 Keep texting us with updates, and we are hours away from polls closing.
00:34:33.000 Thank you, guys.
00:34:34.000 Thank you.
00:34:34.000 Blake, you're giving me that look like you have something I want to talk about.
00:34:36.000 I want to read this message that we got on YouTube, I believe it was.
00:34:39.000 Julian D. donated 200 Argentine pesos, and he asked Charlie, greetings from Argentina.
00:34:45.000 Is that like 10 cents, or is that like 10 cents?
00:34:46.000 I'll get to it.
00:34:47.000 Charlie, greetings from Argentina.
00:34:48.000 What do you think about our Presidente?
00:34:50.000 I like Malay, but I hope we never have to get Exactly.
00:34:52.000 So I wanted to highlight this because he donated $200, which sounds like a lot.
00:34:55.000 That is $0.20 in U.S. dollars, and that is because they have had hyperinflation there, which we don't want to have in the United States.
00:35:03.000 We don't want to be bailed out by our own Malay in 10 years or 20 years or 50 years.
00:35:08.000 And so that is why we're hoping that tonight's result is what we need.
00:35:13.000 Andrew, what are we seeing and what are we hearing right now?
00:35:15.000 By the way, the amount of Wisconsin emails we're getting right now of people that are bringing out new voters, I mean, just from a Richter scale standpoint, I like the vibe out of Wisconsin right now.
00:35:24.000 I like it.
00:35:25.000 So the one question, and I want us to all take some humble pie.
00:35:29.000 I mean, obviously, we like some of the trends we're seeing.
00:35:31.000 I'm not trying to get us on a downer note.
00:35:33.000 I just want to remind everybody that 2020 was COVID. We are not in COVID. A lot of Dems voted by mail, and they might have changed their voting habit back to voting on Election Day, and you need to emotionally prepare for that.
00:35:48.000 That could be a reality, right?
00:35:50.000 But the same is also true.
00:35:51.000 We did better with early voting.
00:35:53.000 Again, it does not matter the order of operation you vote, just that you vote.
00:35:56.000 Your vote does not count more in the fourth quarter than the first quarter.
00:35:58.000 However, voting in the first quarter means that you don't have to vote in the fourth quarter.
00:36:03.000 Email us, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:36:05.000 We have right here, first-time voter.
00:36:07.000 Man, we're getting thousands of emails.
00:36:08.000 Charlie, great job.
00:36:09.000 I got my 72-year-old sister to vote for the first time.
00:36:13.000 I got two of my nieces to vote.
00:36:15.000 They all voted for DJT. Charlie, my brother and I, 50 years old, are all first-time voters.
00:36:22.000 I'm telling you right now.
00:36:23.000 You wonder, like, what have these guys been doing the last decade?
00:36:26.000 Honestly, no one's earned their vote.
00:36:27.000 But again, if these emails are any window, I'm just being honest.
00:36:30.000 Again, we could be totally hopium right now.
00:36:32.000 This could be totally, I just want to be clear.
00:36:34.000 But if these emails are any indication of a broader trend, I have like 3,000 emails of first-time voters, of people that are over the age of 30.
00:36:42.000 Hey Charlie, real quick.
00:36:43.000 First time voters.
00:36:43.000 Another one.
00:36:44.000 How can someone phone bank or do something for Trump and PA today?
00:36:47.000 I have nothing to do with that.
00:36:48.000 Take out your TP Action.
00:36:50.000 Take out your phone and download TP Action in the App Store.
00:36:52.000 That's TP Action in the App Store.
00:36:57.000 Hey everybody, Charlie Kirk here.
00:36:59.000 Americans are tired and frustrated by a stalling economy, inflation, endless wars, and the relentless assault on our values.
00:37:04.000 Thankfully, there's companies like Patriot Mobile that still believe in America and our Constitution.
00:37:09.000 I'm proud to partner with Patriot Mobile because they're on the front lines fighting for the First and Second Amendments, Sanctity of Life, and our military and first responder heroes.
00:37:18.000 Take a stand for conservative causes and put America first by switching to Patriot Mobile today.
00:37:23.000 You'll get the same nationwide coverage as the big providers because Patriot Mobile operates across all three major networks.
00:37:30.000 Plus, they back their service with a coverage guarantee.
00:37:33.000 Their 100% U.S.-based customer service team will find the best plan for your needs.
00:37:37.000 Go to PatriotMobile.com slash Charlie or call 972-PATRIOT.
00:37:41.000 Right now, get a free month when you use offer code CHARLIE.
00:37:43.000 Don't get fooled by other providers pretending to share your values or the same coverage.
00:37:48.000 Go to PatriotMobile.com slash Charlie or call 972-PATRIOT for your free month of service today.
00:37:54.000 That is patriotmobile.com slash charlie, patriotmobile.com slash charlie.
00:38:01.000 Email us your successful voting story.
00:38:03.000 I'm going to read some of these first-time voters.
00:38:04.000 Charlie, I'm a first-time voter, 38 years old, never voted before.
00:38:07.000 Trump inspired me.
00:38:08.000 Charlie from Clayton, Wisconsin.
00:38:09.000 My son is a first-time voter.
00:38:11.000 I got my mother, who is a first-time voter, to also vote for Trump, 86 years old.
00:38:14.000 Isn't that amazing?
00:38:16.000 86 years old.
00:38:17.000 First time.
00:38:17.000 First time voter, 20 years old in Pennsylvania.
00:38:19.000 It was very confusing.
00:38:21.000 However, I voted.
00:38:22.000 Love, Elon Musk.
00:38:24.000 Charlie, MAGA since 2016.
00:38:26.000 My grandmother is over 80 years old from the Netherlands.
00:38:28.000 She became a citizen 20 years ago.
00:38:30.000 She voted for Trump.
00:38:31.000 Charlie, let me just go to this one here.
00:38:33.000 So a lot of first-time voters.
00:38:35.000 Tons.
00:38:35.000 I mean, if we win, it will be the rise of the low prop.
00:38:38.000 It will be the rise of the low prop.
00:38:39.000 Can we do something real quick here?
00:38:40.000 Can we play, I believe, I'm getting different numbers.
00:38:45.000 I think it's 103.
00:38:46.000 It should be the right clip from Bryce.
00:38:49.000 Left us a voicemail.
00:38:52.000 Hey Charlie, my name is Bryce.
00:38:53.000 I just wanted to say thank you for opening my eyes upon this election.
00:38:56.000 This is my second time voting and I was on the fence about who I was going to vote for this time.
00:38:59.000 I'm a previous Trump voter and I was going to change my mind, but upon watching your podcast and doing my own research, I can tell that Trump is the best candidate for me.
00:39:07.000 I just wanted to reiterate on thanking you again for what you have done for me and for others upon your podcast and going out to speaking to Gen Z voters like myself and reaching out to them and teaching them the ways on how America should be and we should put American citizens first over others.
00:39:25.000 Thank you.
00:39:43.000 We're literally going to just go one more hour here and then just take a break for a little bit.
00:39:46.000 Polls are closing soon, guys.
00:39:47.000 The picture of what's going to happen is nearly complete.
00:39:51.000 The picture is going to be complete.
00:39:53.000 I haven't heard much out of Pennsylvania lately.
00:39:54.000 Have you?
00:39:55.000 No.
00:39:55.000 Good or bad?
00:39:56.000 It's just kind of a lot of ambiguity.
00:39:58.000 So I hope those lines are continuing.
00:40:01.000 If you have any intel on Pennsylvania, what's happening, email us, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:40:05.000 First time voter.
00:40:06.000 Charlie, my sister is two years older than I. 42 years old.
00:40:09.000 First time voting and I got her to vote.
00:40:11.000 Jeez, it's amazing.
00:40:12.000 Charlie, I'm a first time voter.
00:40:13.000 My husband and father-in-law are also first time voters out today.
00:40:15.000 I'll tell you, man, this is not normal.
00:40:18.000 I've been doing this a long time.
00:40:19.000 Charlie, I'm 46 years old.
00:40:20.000 Chester County, Pennsylvania.
00:40:21.000 White female voter.
00:40:22.000 First time voter.
00:40:23.000 46 years old.
00:40:24.000 Arizona voting story.
00:40:26.000 Charlie, I'm 32 years old.
00:40:26.000 Female welder.
00:40:27.000 Last week I made a plan with every single person in my welder shop to vote.
00:40:30.000 We dropped off our ballots, have a few friends, and I'm picking up to the polls.
00:40:33.000 Go Trump, go.
00:40:34.000 Female welder.
00:40:35.000 God bless you, Brianna.
00:40:36.000 That's amazing.
00:40:37.000 First-time voters.
00:40:39.000 Get first-time voters out to the polls.
00:40:42.000 So email us as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:40:45.000 That is freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:40:47.000 Joining us now is Victor Jakes from Las Vegas Review Journal.
00:40:52.000 Victor does a great job, and Victor is analyzing what's happening in Nevada.
00:40:55.000 It can be very confusing.
00:40:56.000 Victor, welcome to the program.
00:40:58.000 For our national audience, please explain what is currently happening on the ground in Nevada.
00:41:02.000 Well, Nevada, like a lot of places, there's some conflicting signals.
00:41:06.000 So historically, what's happened in Nevada is that Democrats have jumped out to a big lead.
00:41:11.000 We have two weeks of early voting here.
00:41:12.000 We also have universal mail voting and obviously election day voting.
00:41:15.000 So historically, what's happened is Democrats have jumped out to a big lead, especially in Clark County, which is where Las Vegas is.
00:41:22.000 About 70% of the voters are here.
00:41:24.000 And what Democrats like to do is basically run up the score in Clark County And sometimes they have an 80 to 100,000 voter advantage, and there's just not enough votes left in the state to overcome that.
00:41:34.000 And so what we saw this year, which was really encouraging for Trump and other Republicans, is that the Clark County voter edge, obviously we don't know how nonpartisans or minor party voters are voting, the voter edge for Democrats in Clark County was about 18,000 going into Election Day.
00:41:50.000 And so if you go to four years ago, what Democrats had was around a 45,000 It was about 42,000 voter edge in Nevada, and this year it was about 42,000 voter edge for Republicans, which is just, I mean, it's an almost 90,000 voter swing in a state that Biden won by less than 34,000 votes.
00:42:11.000 So you're going into Election Day with Republicans in the lead.
00:42:16.000 Again, that's unusual.
00:42:17.000 Usually that doesn't happen.
00:42:18.000 And the other thing that usually happens is Republicans do very well on Election Day.
00:42:22.000 They outperformed Democrats, but we're also seeing something a little bit different this time, where Democrats are seeing a significant boost in turnout on Election Day.
00:42:33.000 Right before I came on the air here, I actually got some numbers, so you have to apologize.
00:42:37.000 I'm looking down and doing this in real time.
00:42:40.000 Compared to four years ago, Democrats are up 7,500 voters in Clark County.
00:42:46.000 Again, that's the Democrat stronghold.
00:42:47.000 They went from 5,700 voters four years ago voting by 10 o'clock Election Day in person to over 13,000.
00:42:57.000 Republicans four years ago had a lead of about 6.2 thousand voters, and that was actually probably closer to eight.
00:43:04.000 Some of the data wasn't complete.
00:43:06.000 This year, Republicans voter lead at 10 a.m.
00:43:09.000 It's 4,000 voters.
00:43:11.000 And what we've seen, we've actually seen more Republicans show up, but we've seen a greater number of Democrats show up than in past years.
00:43:19.000 And so, you know, obviously everyone wants to know how the election is going to go.
00:43:23.000 I'd love to know how the election is going to go.
00:43:24.000 Only God knows that.
00:43:25.000 What we do know is there is a 90,000, almost 90,000 voter swing compared to where we were four years ago going into Election Day.
00:43:34.000 And so while it's not what we expected with Democrats doing better on Election Day, they haven't yet produced the margins that they would need to really, really dig into that 90,000 voter swing that I've been talking about.
00:43:48.000 Andrew, you are Mr.
00:43:49.000 Nevada.
00:43:50.000 What questions do you have for Victor here?
00:43:51.000 Victor's Mr.
00:43:52.000 Nevada, but I've been, unfortunately, out of state, exiled in Communist California for a number of years.
00:43:58.000 But, Victor, I saw some tweets from you that were getting shared around.
00:44:03.000 You were essentially analyzing the John Ralston prediction.
00:44:08.000 He predicted that Nevada was going to go narrowly, I guess like 0.3 percentage point, less than a point, for Kamala Harris.
00:44:16.000 And it sort of shocked everybody because we're all looking at the early vote numbers as well, which is essentially, as you said, about a 90-vote swing towards the Republicans, towards Trump.
00:44:27.000 Break down what essentially you're seeing in his numbers.
00:44:31.000 Do you take issue with any of his assumptions, any of his predictions?
00:44:37.000 What can you tell us?
00:44:38.000 Well, to be a little cliche here for Las Vegas, basically Democrats are holding a 7 and a jack, and they need to draw an 8, 9, and a 10 for a straight.
00:44:48.000 Because that's what they need.
00:44:50.000 They need to win Election Day.
00:44:53.000 Historically, they have lost Election Day.
00:44:55.000 It looks like that is possible.
00:44:57.000 I don't think they're going to win it by major margins, but that's possible.
00:45:01.000 And then they need basically an unprecedented amount of mail ballots still to come in.
00:45:07.000 And one of the crazy things in Nevada that happens, and one of the reasons we're not going to have results probably for three days, is that all the ballots don't have to be in by Election Day.
00:45:15.000 They can be mailed in and then they can be received up to four days after the election.
00:45:20.000 And further complicating it is that you can go to the polling place and drop off your mail ballot and we won't know how many of those ballots there are until tomorrow.
00:45:30.000 And so basically Democrats need a huge, huge surge We're good to go.
00:45:55.000 Republicans are just a major margin of victory.
00:45:57.000 So, Victor, we talked so much about Clark County.
00:46:01.000 Let's go up to Washoe.
00:46:02.000 What are you seeing numbers-wise in Washoe?
00:46:05.000 And by the way, are you hearing day of reports in Washoe?
00:46:08.000 You're saying that in Clark County, Democrats are performing well.
00:46:12.000 Do we still have the margin statewide?
00:46:16.000 Or are you just saying we still have about a 4,000 margin in Clark?
00:46:20.000 Because we're going to win day of, right?
00:46:22.000 I mean, that's the...
00:46:25.000 Historically, we win day of.
00:46:27.000 So go up to Washoe.
00:46:28.000 Historically, yeah.
00:46:29.000 Okay, so let me just clarify there.
00:46:32.000 Republicans have a 43,000 voter lead, and right now you would say that's around 47,000 voter lead in the state, with the looming mail drop-off ballots as kind of an unknown.
00:46:46.000 So Washoe County, four years ago at this point, before Election Day, Democrats were up by about 400 votes.
00:46:52.000 Currently, Heading into Election Day, Republicans were up by, I think, I want to say it was around 7,800 votes.
00:46:58.000 So a pretty significant shift in Washoe.
00:47:01.000 And what we've seen in the Washoe numbers, let me just do this on the fly.
00:47:05.000 So far, Republicans have outvoted Democrats by about 1,000 people through 10 a.m.
00:47:10.000 Four years ago, it was 1,700.
00:47:12.000 So you're seeing turnout go up for both parties.
00:47:15.000 More Democrats are turning out.
00:47:17.000 Proportionally than Republicans.
00:47:18.000 Republicans still have a lead in Washoe.
00:47:21.000 And so I expect that Republicans are going to do better in terms of voting than they did four years ago.
00:47:28.000 And so just to circle back on kind of that last assumption, if you think Democrats are going to pull it out in Nevada, you also need nonpartisan voters to break for Democrats in a strong way.
00:47:38.000 You know, could it happen?
00:47:40.000 Absolutely it could happen.
00:47:41.000 You know, I don't know what everyone's voting.
00:47:43.000 What I do know is that nationally there have been all of these stories about how Kamala Harris is struggling to motivate young Black and Hispanic voters.
00:47:52.000 And if you look at Las Vegas and to a lesser extent Washoe, who do Democrats need to turn out?
00:47:57.000 Well, they needed to turn out young Black and Hispanic voters.
00:48:00.000 And if you look at those parts of the metro area, Those are the parts where Democrats are missing votes.
00:48:07.000 And so I still think that the simplest explanation for what's happening in Nevada is Kamala Harris couldn't motivate that set of voters that everyone's been talking about for months at this point.
00:48:18.000 And it showed up here in Nevada.
00:48:20.000 And Democrats' effort to churn out more voters probably will save them some down-ballot races.
00:48:27.000 But overall, I still think Trump is the favorite in Nevada.
00:48:30.000 Obviously, the ballots are yet to be counted.
00:48:34.000 Sorry, yeah, Charlie's deferring to me for the Nevada update here.
00:48:38.000 Victor, the rurals, what was the turnout percentage-wise in the rurals, and compare that to what we're looking at now?
00:48:47.000 I know it's a smaller chunk of the vote, but those are my people, and I know there's like 75, 25, 80, 20 votes right there for Trump.
00:48:57.000 The margins.
00:48:59.000 And so what we saw four years ago is these rural Nevada counties, as you said, are small, but they're, you know, very, very strong Republican.
00:49:06.000 Four to one, five to one.
00:49:08.000 And four years ago, they turned out 85 plus percent of registered voters in many cases.
00:49:13.000 And so, you know, if you're looking at it, you know, rural Nevada has outvoted Outvoted Clark County heading into Election Day by 5 or 10 percentage points.
00:49:22.000 And I anticipate that that will continue, that those rural counties will have a lot of Trump and Sam Brown for U.S. Senate ballots.
00:49:30.000 And they seem to be showing up.
00:49:32.000 So I think they're on track to turn out above Clark County.
00:49:36.000 I would anticipate Clark County getting between 70% to 75% and rural Nevada getting between 80% to 85%.
00:49:45.000 And that 10 percentage point turnout difference could make all the difference.
00:49:50.000 Victor, excellent analysis as always.
00:49:52.000 Thank you so much.
00:49:53.000 We will keep a close eye on Nevada.
00:49:54.000 It has been the most talked about early voting state of any state.
00:49:59.000 So much modeling, so much predicting, so much chatter.
00:50:02.000 Victor, thank you so much.
00:50:03.000 Thanks, Victor.
00:50:04.000 Thanks for having me.
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00:50:55.000 Okay, again, this is completely anecdotal, and I could have egg on my face, all right?
00:50:59.000 But if I were to say Charlie, because I'm at now 7,000 emails, which is something, where is the pulse?
00:51:06.000 And this tends to be interesting.
00:51:08.000 Andrew, don't sleep on Wisconsin.
00:51:11.000 I'm telling you, the amount of working class people that are emailing me from Wisconsin right now, saying they brought five friends, six friends, everyone's talking about Trump, formerly Dem areas, and the early voting wasn't great for them.
00:51:22.000 I'm just saying, like, it's...
00:51:23.000 And by the way, you win North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Trump is president.
00:51:28.000 Yeah, you essentially take PA off the board.
00:51:31.000 Assuming we hold Iowa, of course, Charlie.
00:51:33.000 But, yeah, I mean, listen, we're getting a ton of incoming saying rurals are – there's lines out the door, historic turnout, urban cores seem depressed.
00:51:43.000 If that holds, which is a huge if, we're going to see what happens.
00:51:48.000 You saw Clark County should give everybody a little bit of pause.
00:51:52.000 Clark County is having a good day for Democrats on Election Day.
00:51:55.000 We're still holding the advantage overall in Clark County.
00:52:01.000 But if they can do it in Clark, they can do it in some other places.
00:52:04.000 The other – and Victor, I think, pinpointed this really well.
00:52:07.000 The other X factor in Nevada is that vote-by-mail drop, that they're going to keep counting for days.
00:52:13.000 And that's the Harry Reid machine.
00:52:15.000 You don't need Nevada if you win Arizona, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina.
00:52:18.000 Of course, but as a Nevada, and I want to run up the score – By the way, Pennsylvania, I'm getting such mixed message on Pennsylvania.
00:52:24.000 It is a crooked state.
00:52:25.000 Charlie, it's good.
00:52:25.000 It's bad.
00:52:26.000 It's great.
00:52:26.000 I mean, not bad.
00:52:27.000 It's like Dems are surging here.
00:52:28.000 Dems are low here.
00:52:29.000 It's a ghost town in Philly.
00:52:30.000 It's high in the burbs.
00:52:31.000 You just got to go vote, okay?
00:52:31.000 I don't know.
00:52:33.000 But I'm getting a little bit of a clearer picture in Wisconsin.
00:52:36.000 It's less people, okay?
00:52:36.000 Why?
00:52:38.000 There's like not as much.
00:52:40.000 What's the electoral votes there?
00:52:41.000 It's 11, I think.
00:52:42.000 Let me double check.
00:52:43.000 It's 10, actually.
00:52:44.000 So Arizona's more.
00:52:46.000 Yeah, we're 11.
00:52:46.000 So it's 10.
00:52:47.000 Yeah.
00:52:48.000 So, anyway, again, this is just anecdotal.
00:52:52.000 Email us, as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:52:55.000 I want to read some of these emails here of people that are first-time voters.
00:52:59.000 Charlie, six more votes in Trump.
00:53:00.000 Six more official votes cast for Trump in Arizona, Jaden says.
00:53:04.000 God bless you.
00:53:05.000 90-year-old mom in Pennsylvania.
00:53:07.000 Nice guy.
00:53:08.000 Just picked her up in a golf cart for the long way back to her car, thanks to Concord Township.
00:53:12.000 Workers are helping my mom.
00:53:13.000 And that is a 90-year-old with a MAGA hat on.
00:53:15.000 You've got to love it.
00:53:16.000 First-time voter.
00:53:17.000 Charlie, this is my first time ever voting.
00:53:18.000 Voted for a safe, healthy, and prosperous future.
00:53:22.000 Again, I do not know how we're going to do the youth vote.
00:53:24.000 I haven't seen any youth vote tallies recently.
00:53:26.000 So, Charlie, I'm 36.
00:53:28.000 Mexican-American.
00:53:29.000 First-time voter from Tucson.
00:53:30.000 I voted for Trump because I saw your videos.
00:53:33.000 How cool is that?
00:53:34.000 I just can't believe how many of these people there are.
00:53:37.000 I'm not planning these.
00:53:38.000 For the record, I'm not seeding these.
00:53:41.000 This is all legit here.
00:53:44.000 It's very comforting to hear that people are voting because of what we're doing.
00:53:44.000 Which is amazing.
00:53:48.000 Because you kind of live in a bubble.
00:53:49.000 You don't know if anyone's listening.
00:53:51.000 Sometimes.
00:53:52.000 Let's go here.
00:53:53.000 Charlie, first-time voter, 23 years old.
00:53:55.000 Trump, all the way.
00:53:56.000 Arizona, this is a first-time voter.
00:53:57.000 Charlie, this is my first time voting since I missed the last election.
00:54:01.000 Just missed last election.
00:54:02.000 My family's hardcore right.
00:54:04.000 Was so excited.
00:54:05.000 Thanks so much.
00:54:05.000 Loved it.
00:54:06.000 My 18-year-old is a first-time voter.
00:54:08.000 Registered and became a Trump voter.
00:54:09.000 Proud mama bear.
00:54:10.000 Good for you.
00:54:11.000 Kyle is shooting who lives in a Democrat household.
00:54:13.000 But my vote is private.
00:54:13.000 Haha.
00:54:14.000 I voted for Trump.
00:54:15.000 Trump, all the way.
00:54:17.000 I love that.
00:54:18.000 First family vote.
00:54:19.000 Let's go to this one here.
00:54:20.000 So email us freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:54:22.000 This is one of my favorite guys.
00:54:24.000 Family of 20 just went and voted for Trump.
00:54:27.000 Family of 20?
00:54:28.000 It's a Mormon family.
00:54:29.000 Oh, wow.
00:54:31.000 20?
00:54:31.000 20.
00:54:32.000 And you wonder why there's...
00:54:33.000 18?
00:54:34.000 They're out doing the Duggars?
00:54:36.000 That's great.
00:54:37.000 Ah, it's gotta be like aunts and uncles.
00:54:39.000 Oh, okay, maybe, yeah.
00:54:40.000 Email us, as always, freedom at charliekirk.com and subscribe to our podcast.
00:54:44.000 Give me your early voting stories and I'm signing hats, members.charliekirk.com.
00:54:50.000 Andrew has a clip he wants to say.
00:54:52.000 Charlie, the reason we pulled this is you were actually looking at it on the screen here as CNN was playing this because we have a wall full of all the networks playing so we can observe and monitor everything that's going on.
00:55:06.000 Anyways, we pulled the clip because it was actually pretty interesting.
00:55:09.000 This is right here in Maricopa County, CNN interviewing a voter, 107.
00:55:13.000 You just voted for Donald Trump.
00:55:16.000 Walk me through why you cast that vote.
00:55:19.000 Yeah, so just seeing what's been happening in the past four years.
00:55:24.000 I voted Democrat the past four years and I'm really disappointed in the administration, how everything has been going.
00:55:33.000 I was in the mortgage industry for quite some time and that hurt us pretty bad.
00:55:39.000 I lost my job because of it.
00:55:42.000 Dealing with the recession and everything.
00:55:44.000 I know that everyone's saying we're looking for solutions from every party, right?
00:55:48.000 But in actuality, the solutions they came up with were no solutions.
00:55:52.000 It hurt us even more.
00:55:53.000 Now you have to have a son with parents and, you know, daughter.
00:56:00.000 All the families get together to be able to even afford a home or even afford a rent.
00:56:05.000 So the economy is the number one issue for you?
00:56:07.000 Absolutely.
00:56:08.000 It impacts every one of us.
00:56:10.000 Did you vote for Biden in 2020?
00:56:12.000 I'm sorry.
00:56:12.000 I did.
00:56:13.000 I did.
00:56:13.000 Yeah, I did.
00:56:14.000 I was deceived, but I'm a walking example of how people can change their mind.
00:56:20.000 You know, you just go with the evidence of, you know, what benefits you, what benefits you and your family.
00:56:26.000 So Biden has not been beneficial to my family at least.
00:56:30.000 Such a good clip.
00:56:31.000 I love it.
00:56:32.000 I was deceived.
00:56:32.000 I'm a walking example of how people can change their mind.
00:56:35.000 So by the way, when you're looking at these partisan returns, this is a good note of caution for both parties.
00:56:42.000 There is going to be some bleed of Republicans that vote Democrat and Democrats that vote Republican.
00:56:48.000 Totally.
00:56:48.000 It happens every cycle.
00:56:49.000 Yeah.
00:56:49.000 And usually that number is pretty much fixed.
00:56:51.000 But here's why it's maybe a bit more concerned to conservatives in a state like Arizona.
00:56:56.000 We have more people registered.
00:56:58.000 So if both parties lose like 6% of their voters, that means Republicans are losing more of theirs.
00:57:03.000 Now, I hope that we're bleeding less.
00:57:06.000 But that's a great example of a Democrat coming over and breaking party lines.
00:57:11.000 Email us, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:57:13.000 Charlie, first-time voter from Tucson, Arizona.
00:57:15.000 God bless you.
00:57:16.000 Another email that I sent you guys here, which is great.
00:57:19.000 Charlie, University of Wisconsin, first-time voter.
00:57:21.000 Charlie from UW-Madison student, who got my entire friend group to go vote for Trump today after getting them to come to your event in Madison, currently wearing the MAGA hat you signed.
00:57:29.000 Hey, man, don't sleep on Wisconsin.
00:57:31.000 We put so much work in Wisconsin.
00:57:34.000 That was always going to be a little bit of a long shot, but we'll see what happens there.
00:57:39.000 Charlie, first time voting in a presidential cycle from northern Wisconsin.
00:57:43.000 How great is that?
00:57:44.000 The amount of Wisconsin.
00:57:45.000 The Wisconsin emails, guys.
00:57:46.000 Western Wisconsin, northern Wisconsin.
00:57:49.000 You know, it was interesting what Terry was saying, though, about Dane County, that he's expecting it to come in big.
00:57:55.000 You know, I mean, they must have just a killer operation in Dane.
00:57:59.000 I mean, but we broke some of that.
00:58:01.000 I gotta believe we broke some of that.
00:58:02.000 Well, I mean, these guys are, again, but if they don't have, they need Milwaukee plus Dane plus competitive wow and decreased rural.
00:58:09.000 So we have increased rural.
00:58:10.000 We've increased rural.
00:58:11.000 Dane is strong for them-ish.
00:58:13.000 Milwaukee down.
00:58:14.000 Wow, good.
00:58:16.000 Let's see what happens.
00:58:17.000 Again, Wisconsin is the most formulaic of all the battlegrounds, meaning it's very simple to look at the inputs.
00:58:23.000 Pennsylvania is an art, not a science.
00:58:25.000 Pennsylvania's a mess.
00:58:26.000 It's like, oh, well, Scranton is high and Luzerne is low and center is up and Philadelphia is here and Pittsburgh is there and Erie is there.
00:58:32.000 It's like, what in the fresh?
00:58:33.000 It's like there's no formula that exists.
00:58:35.000 Right, Blake?
00:58:36.000 I stand with the people of Hershey.
00:58:38.000 No, I know, but it's like, Lancaster is down, and Hershey is up, and Harrisburg is trending down.
00:58:42.000 It's Lancaster.
00:58:44.000 By the way, Amish country is south of there.
00:58:47.000 They have some funny names over there, I will say.
00:58:49.000 As a West Coast boy, I always look at Pennsylvania.
00:58:52.000 If we look at the vote in New Hampshire, it's Lebanon, not Lebanon.
00:58:56.000 Oh, is that right?
00:58:56.000 It's Berlin, not Berlin.
00:58:58.000 It's not East Palestine.
00:59:01.000 Yeah, we're going to have to check the East Palestine vote.
00:59:03.000 I want to check that one.
00:59:05.000 We're going to want to be checking East Palestine.
00:59:06.000 We're going to want to check Springfield.
00:59:08.000 We're going to want to check Charleroi.
00:59:10.000 Charleroi.
00:59:10.000 Yeah, no, I mean, look, again, Michigan is a whole other thing here.
00:59:14.000 By the way, Maddie says, Charlie, I am a first-time voter, long-time Trump supporter, and NAU student.
00:59:20.000 I got an exciting text.
00:59:21.000 I voted by early in my mail, but I got an exciting text from an undecided voter today.
00:59:24.000 I got her to an event with me.
00:59:25.000 She'll be dropping off her ballot for Donald J. Trump today.
00:59:29.000 God bless you, Matty.
00:59:30.000 Thank you so much.
00:59:31.000 You are the best.
00:59:32.000 Email us, freedom at charliekirk.com.
00:59:35.000 Charlie just got off work today and voted.
00:59:38.000 La Crosse for Trump, second time voter.
00:59:39.000 No many people are voting for the first time in Wisconsin, many for Trump.
00:59:41.000 We sense a wave coming in the Badger State.
00:59:43.000 By the way, Democrats might regret doing same-day registration in Wisconsin.
00:59:48.000 You mentioned your friend that was trying to vote in the same-day registration because he forgot to vote.
00:59:53.000 Low props benefit us right now.
00:59:54.000 Especially when you have Joe Rogan, Charlie.
00:59:58.000 Let me connect two dots for you.
01:00:00.000 Men are the least likely to get their paperwork filed the right way, to register to vote, to get a plan.
01:00:07.000 And then you have these states like Wisconsin, Nevada, that have same-day voter registration.
01:00:11.000 And you have the night before the election, Joe Rogan officially endorses.
01:00:16.000 Who's that going to benefit in those two states?
01:00:17.000 Charlie, I've always leaned right but haven't voted in over a decade.
01:00:21.000 Listen to this, Blake.
01:00:22.000 Always leaned right but haven't voted in over a decade.
01:00:24.000 My wife and I made sure to get out and vote for Donald J. Trump this morning in Milwaukee.
01:00:28.000 Let's win Wisconsin.
01:00:29.000 Appreciate your work.
01:00:30.000 I mean, I'm getting thousands of first-time Wisconsin voters.
01:00:34.000 That's big.
01:00:35.000 Charlie, I live in Wisconsin.
01:00:36.000 I'm 21 years old.
01:00:37.000 I just voted for Donald Trump.
01:00:38.000 Thanks for all you do.
01:00:39.000 What is the entire state of Wisconsin?
01:00:40.000 Are we like live on local Wisconsin television right now?
01:00:44.000 I mean, every other email is Charlie, East Central Wisconsin here.
01:00:48.000 Wisconsin will go for Trump.
01:00:49.000 Rain was forecasted for most of the day.
01:00:51.000 Bodes well for red-blooded Americans.
01:00:54.000 Man, I hope so.
01:00:55.000 By the way, Eric Hovde deserves a lot of credit for narrowing the race and focusing on the issue set.
01:01:01.000 I've heard so many good things about Hovde's race.
01:01:03.000 By the way, it's possible he outperforms.
01:01:05.000 It's possible he outperforms Trump.
01:01:06.000 He could beat Trump in Wisconsin.
01:01:07.000 But he spent $40 million of ads narrowing the issue set that favored Trump.
01:01:12.000 Does that make sense?
01:01:12.000 Where voters were like, oh, immigration, oh, inflation.
01:01:15.000 Update from Cliff Maloney in Pennsylvania.
01:01:19.000 I said, any new updates, clues?
01:01:21.000 He said, it's constant, lines in red areas, Philly picking up, but nothing major.
01:01:26.000 Right here, North Carolina student, first time for Trump.
01:01:28.000 Charlie, I took my ex-wife and her 96-year-old dad to vote, two votes for Trump.
01:01:32.000 Now, that'd be something as a 96-year-old first-time voter.
01:01:34.000 Speaking of which, by the way, can we just give a shout to Bernie Marcus?
01:01:37.000 Yeah, Bernie Marcus passed away today.
01:01:39.000 95-year-old founder.
01:01:40.000 You know what?
01:01:41.000 If we win, I wish he could have saw it.
01:01:43.000 He spent hundreds of millions of dollars.
01:01:45.000 Rich is on there.
01:01:46.000 Rich, so it's just kind of one of those things.
01:01:48.000 I wish he could have...
01:01:49.000 Bernie's a loss.
01:01:50.000 I know.
01:01:50.000 Well, hopefully he's in a better place.
01:01:53.000 Right here really quick.
01:01:54.000 And then, Charlie, I'm 22 years old.
01:01:56.000 I voted for Trump, but my ballot had trouble voting, so don't many others.
01:01:58.000 Worried about this special.
01:01:59.000 I'm not getting into that.
01:02:00.000 You should have voted early.
01:02:01.000 Okay.
01:02:01.000 No, seriously.
01:02:02.000 Just vote early and then you have no problems.
01:02:03.000 Like, again, sympathy is nothing.
01:02:05.000 I wore the Vote Early shirt for 30 days straight.
01:02:07.000 We did everything we could for there.
01:02:09.000 So, hope it works out for you.
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01:03:10.000 Rich, what are we seeing right now?
01:03:12.000 You sent out a very cryptic tweet saying that the Obama gang is increasing the turnout in Pennsylvania.
01:03:21.000 Give us the truth of what's happening in Pennsylvania.
01:03:24.000 Yeah, so there's a lot of misinformation going around with Philly and other areas that simply have no numbers.
01:03:30.000 So people are just making stuff up.
01:03:32.000 I mean, wholly out of cloth.
01:03:33.000 Unless you're talking to people who are township supervisors or ward bosses that are literally in charge of looking at how many votes have been counted today, you don't know anything.
01:03:45.000 And this happens every election.
01:03:46.000 So, but what I, what I was referring to in my tweet, Charlie, is a story that I got, which is an interesting story.
01:03:53.000 And I think it makes sense as to what we're seeing.
01:03:56.000 And basically in the final few hours, there was like a two week period through all early voting and the Harris team didn't want anyone's help.
01:04:05.000 They wanted Biden, team Biden to stay away.
01:04:07.000 And eventually he made that comment, right?
01:04:10.000 Which when they brought him in, he made the garbage comment and they were mad.
01:04:13.000 So they kicked him to the curb.
01:04:15.000 But the old schoolers, and these are smart guys, they had been beating down the door.
01:04:20.000 Like, look at your early vote.
01:04:21.000 This is a problem, right?
01:04:24.000 And by the way, Jim Messina just blew it up on MSNBC the other day.
01:04:28.000 It's like, Jen, we've been texting back and forth.
01:04:30.000 I mean, is he wearing lipstick in that clip?
01:04:33.000 Do you have it?
01:04:33.000 If you want to play it, I'll shut up.
01:04:35.000 You can play it so everyone knows what I'm talking about.
01:04:36.000 Go ahead.
01:04:37.000 Okay.
01:04:38.000 So basically, they weren't getting callbacks.
01:04:40.000 And they said, okay, you don't want to answer our phone calls.
01:04:44.000 We're coming to town.
01:04:44.000 We actually spoke to a voter over the weekend in Philadelphia.
01:04:48.000 He's an unlikely voter.
01:04:50.000 He's African American 36.
01:04:52.000 And we're starting to ask people, did they contact you?
01:04:55.000 Did campaigns contact you?
01:04:57.000 And he was contacted for the first time.
01:05:00.000 The first time.
01:05:02.000 He's only a 2020 voter.
01:05:04.000 And he told us that he'd been knocked by multiple groups the first time in that day.
01:05:08.000 And he did not vote.
01:05:10.000 They were like, look, we noticed you didn't hand in your ballot.
01:05:12.000 And he's like, that's right.
01:05:13.000 When we talked to him and interviewed him, he was upset.
01:05:16.000 And he said, you know, they basically told us Trump was Hitler.
01:05:19.000 You got to get out and get rid of him.
01:05:20.000 He's the problem for COVID. He did this to us.
01:05:23.000 He said, so I voted.
01:05:24.000 You know, but they also told us that everything was fine with Biden.
01:05:28.000 And I thought that this mental acuity stuff was like, you know, I'm not going to use the words he used.
01:05:32.000 But he said, I thought that that was all right wing nonsense and talking points.
01:05:36.000 And they lied to me, man.
01:05:38.000 The guy's senile.
01:05:39.000 You know, and I'm not going out and voting for the next one just because they bang on my door and, you know, try to usher me over to to drop it in the box.
01:05:46.000 So he's not voting.
01:05:46.000 I'm not doing it.
01:05:47.000 So I just I bring that up because the story that was just relayed to me tells me that the old schoolers like the Obama people are trying to save this thing last minute.
01:05:57.000 But her turnout is not good.
01:05:58.000 Let's play cut one on that.
01:06:00.000 OK, what's their biggest concern right now if you're the Harris team?
01:06:04.000 Well, look, I think it's a couple things.
01:06:07.000 The early vote numbers are a little scary, and you and I have been texting back and forth.
01:06:11.000 Republicans didn't do what they did last time.
01:06:14.000 Last time Trump said, don't early vote, and so they didn't.
01:06:17.000 Republicans do have an advantage in early vote numbers.
01:06:20.000 When the early vote come in, it's going to look a little bit different than 2020, and that's scary.
01:06:26.000 That's scary, Rich Barris.
01:06:28.000 Yeah.
01:06:28.000 Look, he's admitting something publicly from everyone that I've spoken with that has plugs to this campaign.
01:06:36.000 They'll admit it privately.
01:06:37.000 They'll say, look, we know we didn't do well in the early vote.
01:06:40.000 But their argument is basically, and this is, you know, you don't want to do this.
01:06:44.000 It kind of sounds like Trump's campaign in 2020.
01:06:46.000 Don't worry, it's all going to break for us because all of these factors are going to fall in line.
01:06:51.000 There's going to be so much women.
01:06:53.000 Women are going to put us over.
01:06:54.000 Well, we can see now that that's a very shaky proposition.
01:06:57.000 Two, also that they think Republican women and indies in specifically are going to give it to them.
01:07:04.000 But here's the kicker.
01:07:05.000 All right.
01:07:06.000 We just and I know it's very, very small sample size of actual votes.
01:07:11.000 But the bottom line is that really didn't happen.
01:07:15.000 In Dixville Notch, those Haley voters voted for Trump.
01:07:18.000 That really didn't happen in Guam.
01:07:20.000 It didn't happen in the Northern Marianas Islands.
01:07:22.000 So, I mean, maybe that's different.
01:07:24.000 It's a very small sample.
01:07:26.000 But, I mean, that's a lot to ride your campaign on.
01:07:29.000 And then also, I don't know if you had Victor on yet to talk about Nevada or if I'm a little before or a little after him.
01:07:34.000 I just want to interject.
01:07:37.000 Yeah.
01:07:38.000 And ABC News just leaked this.
01:07:41.000 Their internal, like some internal Republican model Republicans model Wisconsin has Trump up one and a half in Wisconsin.
01:07:47.000 I think it might be BS. I'm just saying, don't sleep on Wisconsin.
01:07:50.000 But yeah, go to Nevada, please.
01:07:51.000 If you live in Wisconsin, find every human being to go vote right now.
01:07:54.000 You can win Wisconsin with the White House.
01:07:56.000 Yeah, I mean, Wisconsin could be the key to all of this.
01:07:56.000 Please, Rich.
01:08:00.000 I mean, typically these states vote together, but we'll see.
01:08:03.000 The problem also with that argument is that as Republicans have registered more voters in states like Nevada, the registration game is not sexy, but it's very important.
01:08:12.000 And when you see turnout disparities like we're seeing in Nevada right now, Everyone expected Democrats and Clark to vote at a higher rate, but they're not voting at their level or outperforming their level or their share of the vote outstanding.
01:08:27.000 And Republicans are, right?
01:08:29.000 So when that happens, what can typically go down is that not only are your voters more energized, but your independent-leaning voters are more energized.
01:08:38.000 These are people who are registered as other or unaffiliated and We all, you know, we call them independents, but the truth is independents are made up of mostly people who don't have a partisan registration, but they have partisan leanings, a small share that says they don't agree with either party, and then a smaller share that says that they have, you know, something in common with both.
01:09:01.000 It's possible she could do it, Charlie.
01:09:03.000 But to hitch your wagon to this idea when independents could in the end in like Washoe turn out to actually lean to Trump because they're going to vote for Trump in the rolls.
01:09:13.000 The other numbers that you see being reported on the hour in places like Elk and these other counties, they're going to vote for Trump, right?
01:09:22.000 In Clark, Indies typically or other typically votes for Democrats.
01:09:27.000 I mean, Washoe, that is – we don't know.
01:09:29.000 I mean they voted for Lombardo and they voted for against by a hair but against Laxalt in 22.
01:09:37.000 So they split their vote in Washoe, those other voters.
01:09:40.000 So it's hard to – I have family members in Washoe, Rich, that have done the same on the Senate.
01:09:46.000 So let's – Yeah, go ahead.
01:09:48.000 Yeah, they're key.
01:09:49.000 Yeah, I'm just going to say now we just got the update in Washoe and Republicans maintained an election day.
01:09:55.000 They went into election day in Washoe County with an early vote lead and they now have just maintained, slightly expanded it by a few votes to 1,000.
01:10:03.000 I think it's like 1,090 net over Democrats.
01:10:06.000 So if their whole presupposition is that those voters are going to vote for her and that's going to put her over, man, that sounds shaky to me.
01:10:14.000 That sounds like the Trump campaign in 2020 trying to convince me that their Election Day vote is going to come in so big on Election Day, it's going to overcome Joe Biden's lead.
01:10:24.000 And as you know, better than most are in Arizona.
01:10:27.000 You know, they called it for Joe Biden immediately because his lead was so big.
01:10:30.000 I don't agree with that call, but it's hard to overcome a deficit.
01:10:34.000 So, Rich, I want to read this email here, and I want you to tell me about Wisconsin.
01:10:38.000 Again, we've spent a lot of time and money on Wisconsin.
01:10:40.000 We're not in charge of Wisconsin, for the record, right, Andrew?
01:10:43.000 Yeah.
01:10:44.000 Andrew, we're supplemental.
01:10:46.000 Yeah, we've put a lot of energy into it.
01:10:48.000 Yes, but it's always been a big lift.
01:10:51.000 Russell, and he says, 12 years since I voted.
01:10:54.000 Charlie, I'm 40 years old, a male from Wisconsin.
01:10:57.000 It has been 12 years since I voted last.
01:11:00.000 Today I voted for Trump.
01:11:01.000 There was a large presence of males in my voting ward as well.
01:11:04.000 I convince my brother and a few of my friends who aren't politically active to get out and vote as well.
01:11:08.000 Love your work.
01:11:09.000 Rich, we're getting lots of emails here.
01:11:11.000 Either a bunch of lefties are trolling me and sending a bunch of Wisconsin emails with fake email addresses, which I find to be...
01:11:17.000 Or, Rich, do you see the rise of Wisconsin...
01:11:20.000 Unlikely.
01:11:20.000 Yeah, the rise of the Wisconsin mail.
01:11:23.000 Wisconsin is one of the three Rust Belt states where men can outvote women.
01:11:28.000 They can come in 51 to 49.
01:11:31.000 It has happened before.
01:11:33.000 It happened for Walker several times.
01:11:36.000 There are more men in the electorate than women.
01:11:39.000 So absolutely that could be.
01:11:41.000 It's anecdotal, of course, but when my kids were home from school today and I obviously was getting on the early vote train, but they wanted to go see how it was done.
01:11:52.000 We know someone down there, so I walked them down there thinking I'll be in and out, they'll get a quick tour, and there was a line of men.
01:11:59.000 This is an area, specifically that area Trump won by 21 points in North Carolina back in 2020.
01:12:06.000 I have never seen a line this long since I moved here.
01:12:08.000 Never.
01:12:09.000 And it was, I mean, of course, there were women on it too, but it was heavily male.
01:12:14.000 It was heavily working class.
01:12:16.000 And the early vote was robust.
01:12:18.000 So I'm, you know, just leading to my thinking that I'm going to just waltz right in and out of this fire department, you know, in and out.
01:12:24.000 No, sir.
01:12:25.000 That line was around the fire department.
01:12:27.000 I've never seen that before, Charlie.
01:12:29.000 Never.
01:12:30.000 22, 20, it didn't, it has never happened.
01:12:36.000 So, we'll see.
01:12:37.000 Andrew.
01:12:37.000 But not a bad sign.
01:12:40.000 So how much are we anticipating this day of surge for Democrats in the sense that COVID?
01:12:40.000 Rich.
01:12:46.000 I mean, I think a lot of Democrats just change their voting habits.
01:12:50.000 They went or vote vote early.
01:12:51.000 Right.
01:12:51.000 You know, we got somebody texted us there.
01:12:53.000 They were talking to a friend that a lot of Democrats want to vote on Election Day in PA. This was in Pennsylvania because they want their daughter to see them vote for the first woman president.
01:13:03.000 It sounds like a Twitter thing.
01:13:05.000 It could just be a Twitter thing, but are we seeing that?
01:13:09.000 And then after that, I want to go to North Carolina.
01:13:12.000 I know your former home state.
01:13:13.000 Yeah, so I mean, that sounds like a social media thing.
01:13:16.000 It really does.
01:13:17.000 But I will tell you, Pennsylvania has at least a residual culture of voting on Election Day.
01:13:24.000 There are a few places where Democrats still do have infrastructure to get out a vote on Election Day.
01:13:30.000 And one of them, of course, is Philadelphia.
01:13:33.000 But we'll see, because you know this from the work you guys have been doing.
01:13:38.000 Partisans listen to their party strategy when it comes to the preferred method of voting.
01:13:43.000 When Democrats picked up the mantle in 2020, vote by mail, vote early, vote with friends, vote by mail, get it in, get it banked.
01:13:51.000 It is hard to change that behavior.
01:13:54.000 Look at how difficult it was to change it for Republicans, right?
01:13:58.000 Months of research, months of door knocking, months of text messages, months of getting Donald Trump himself to say vote early, vote early.
01:14:06.000 It takes a lot to change voter behavior.
01:14:08.000 They didn't expect this.
01:14:10.000 This is important for everyone to understand.
01:14:12.000 They did not expect this.
01:14:14.000 And now they're trying to convince everyone they can turn out this huge number in a day because their early voting bombed.
01:14:21.000 I mean, I'm very skeptical of this.
01:14:24.000 Just like trying to be as impartial as I possibly can, voters listen to the party's preferred method.
01:14:31.000 They are all in on the early vote train.
01:14:34.000 They have been since 2020.
01:14:36.000 And by the way, the wins in Pennsylvania...
01:14:39.000 Where Fetterman outperformed the polls, he didn't do it because he got a huge turnout on Election Day.
01:14:44.000 He did it because they banked so much more of the early vote than Republicans did, like they did in 2020.
01:14:50.000 And they didn't do that this time.
01:14:52.000 It's a reality.
01:14:53.000 It's a reality.
01:14:54.000 A lot of this is spin, you know?
01:14:56.000 They're calling it the plus.
01:14:58.000 So, Rich...
01:15:00.000 It looks like there's a couple.
01:15:02.000 Philadelphia is its own island, and we'll deal with Pennsylvania later.
01:15:05.000 I have a feeling we're going to have a week-long stream on Pennsylvania.
01:15:08.000 I could be wrong.
01:15:10.000 I don't know.
01:15:12.000 Maybe not.
01:15:13.000 Let's just put that aside.
01:15:14.000 I don't want to make any predictions.
01:15:15.000 But Georgia, Atlanta is sleepy, man, and Milwaukee is sleepy.
01:15:19.000 Those two cities are sleepy.
01:15:21.000 What does that mean?
01:15:22.000 Yeah, that's a bad sign for Harris.
01:15:24.000 I mean, that's the easiest way.
01:15:25.000 Even in North Carolina, where we have Wake County, it's very Democratic.
01:15:29.000 Trump, you want to stay somewhere in the neighborhood of 35%.
01:15:32.000 There's two things that I think are important.
01:15:35.000 Again, that is showing up because they were there doing their early vote thing and they got votes that they needed to get.
01:15:42.000 As many as 20?
01:15:43.000 No, but a decent amount, enough to not get complacent over it.
01:15:48.000 But in a place like Milwaukee, we're just not seeing it.
01:15:51.000 I mean, the last number I looked at was 44%.
01:15:54.000 That's awful.
01:15:55.000 And what it means, let's say Republicans didn't turn out in rural counties in a statewide race.
01:16:02.000 Not only will they get less, obviously, less raw votes because of that, but their margins will actually shrink because the turnout advantage to Democrats means they will improve their margins there.
01:16:14.000 If Kamala Harris's Turnout shrinks compared to Donald Trump's.
01:16:19.000 It means his margin will marginally increase as well, even in urban areas.
01:16:25.000 He'll do better in these urban areas because more of his voters are in that electorate, even in urban areas.
01:16:32.000 That's like something that's just a dynamic that tends to happen.
01:16:35.000 So they need these numbers to get up.
01:16:37.000 They do.
01:16:38.000 And I'm not saying that so Republicans can go, okay, it's over, go home.
01:16:41.000 It's not.
01:16:42.000 It's not.
01:16:42.000 But, yeah, I mean, there's hard – it's hard to find a good data point for the Harris campaign where you can point to it and say, there it is.
01:16:52.000 Charlie, we polled these people all the way to the end.
01:16:55.000 There did not seem to be this meaningful break of Republican women – That they're arguing for.
01:17:01.000 In fact, their polling and a few, what looks to be outlier polls, are the only data points suggesting that.
01:17:08.000 You can go to Cuyahoga County, by the way.
01:17:10.000 It's a great source of information.
01:17:12.000 It's real.
01:17:13.000 I'll give it to people real quick.
01:17:16.000 It is MV Red Podcast.
01:17:17.000 They're constantly tracking Cuyahoga County and the returns as they get them from officials.
01:17:22.000 Look at how down...
01:17:24.000 Blue areas...
01:17:25.000 And this is not updated anymore.
01:17:28.000 We need a new update.
01:17:29.000 But the last one we got.
01:17:31.000 Cleveland, 32%.
01:17:32.000 Lakewood, 53%.
01:17:34.000 Beachwood, 57%.
01:17:36.000 Shaker Heights, 55%.
01:17:37.000 Those are all blue.
01:17:38.000 Now, Strongsville, red, 55%.
01:17:42.000 North Royalton, 57.
01:17:44.000 Broadview Heights, 61.
01:17:46.000 Brexville, 61.
01:17:48.000 So what happens when you see turnout disparities like this, even in some of these urban centers, you're going to see more Trump voters in the mix, and he'll wind up even doing better in some of these urban areas if Democrats don't get these shares up.
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01:19:02.000 Okay, Rich, you're welcome to make a call, but if it's about Arizona, hold your horses.
01:19:07.000 Pennsylvania.
01:19:07.000 Alright, go ahead.
01:19:08.000 Oh, you want me to say it now?
01:19:10.000 Okay, so I can't reveal who I'm getting this from, but again, if you don't have people in Pennsylvania who are in the positions to give you this stuff, then you really can't know.
01:19:22.000 So not from me, but there is in turnout in Bucs, it really does appear that it's in all the right places for Donald Trump.
01:19:32.000 So we're breaking down these things by precincts Donald Trump narrowly won, narrowly lost, is more educated, is not more educated.
01:19:40.000 And the turnout is lower in the deep precincts.
01:19:44.000 All the right places is the proper way to just give it the easy breakdown here to make a very, very long story short without going through lower one, lower two, and all these different township precincts.
01:19:59.000 That's the very short end of it.
01:20:00.000 He's doing well in places and bucks where he would need to to make bucks close.
01:20:06.000 And by the way, he lost bucks twice.
01:20:09.000 So, it's interesting to know.
01:20:11.000 And there's a bellwether.
01:20:12.000 There are bellwether precincts and townships that I'm going to be looking at immediately when those polls close and those results are reported.
01:20:20.000 Because you have places like Ben Salem, Charlie, voted for Trump in 16, voted for Biden in 20.
01:20:26.000 You know, they're going to tell us a lot right away.
01:20:29.000 Now, we may not have all of their votes.
01:20:31.000 We're going to get the early firsts.
01:20:32.000 In Pennsylvania, we'll get the early first, then we'll get the election day, all right?
01:20:37.000 And then later, they have until 8 o'clock around Bucks, for instance.
01:20:41.000 There's like 11 drop areas to have until 8 o'clock to put that ballot in the drop, and then people will go around and collect them, and then we'll have to wait.
01:20:49.000 There are an unusual number of Republican provisional ballots.
01:20:53.000 What happened?
01:20:53.000 It's just the nature of the beast trying to get them to vote early.
01:20:56.000 If you waited about a week out from Election Day, you probably didn't get your ballot in time, and you cannot now just go and vote in person.
01:21:04.000 So they're going to have to vote by provisional ballots.
01:21:07.000 So I'm telling you that not to cause any kind of like disturbance, but last time those provisionals went for Biden pretty significantly.
01:21:15.000 That is probably not going to be the case this time because a lot of them, you can see it clear as day, a lot of them are the product of Republicans trying to get their vote in early, doing this for the first time, you know, in this robust and just not getting some of their ballots back for their voters in time.
01:21:29.000 Rich, you're doing excellent work.
01:21:30.000 We're going to let you go.
01:21:31.000 Come back later tonight.
01:21:32.000 The stream is going to be on fire.
01:21:33.000 Right now we have like 80,000 concurrence, by the way, just right now in this afternoon show.
01:21:37.000 It's kind of crazy.
01:21:38.000 So who knows what tonight's going to be?
01:21:40.000 Thank you guys.
01:21:41.000 It's crazy.
01:21:42.000 I'm looking at the flags that we're getting in the YouTube channel.
01:21:47.000 We're getting people from Greece, Serbia, Brazil, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom, Canada, Argentina, We'd love them, but I'd trade them all for a couple from Western Wisconsin.
01:22:00.000 I'll tell you right now, the Wisconsin emails are amazing.
01:22:04.000 I'm not going to make any calls, but...
01:22:07.000 That's good energy to see.
01:22:08.000 It's really good energy, and doing this a couple election cycles, I can usually tell the type of email.
01:22:13.000 You have pattern recognition.
01:22:14.000 I like what I'm seeing out of Wisconsin.
01:22:16.000 This is it, everybody.
01:22:17.000 Five minutes left, guys, in this stream.
01:22:19.000 And then we're going to take a little break for everyone watching at home.
01:22:21.000 And then we are streaming literally all night.
01:22:22.000 We're going to maybe close our eyes for 20 minutes, have a little bit of food, and we'll be back, what, at 5.30 Eastern?
01:22:28.000 Is that right?
01:22:29.000 And the first post closes at 6, right?
01:22:30.000 Yes.
01:22:31.000 Okay.
01:22:31.000 So we'll kind of start 30 minutes ahead.
01:22:33.000 That's in just a couple hours.
01:22:35.000 Do you want to do any prognostication, Charlie?
01:22:37.000 No.
01:22:38.000 You're not in that business?
01:22:39.000 Not anymore.
01:22:40.000 I would say, here's what I will say.
01:22:42.000 I agree with you.
01:22:44.000 I feel increasingly bullish about Wisconsin.
01:22:46.000 I feel a little bit less bullish on Pennsylvania, if I'm being honest.
01:22:51.000 We're getting some reports that some of the precincts in Pittsburgh are really picking up.
01:22:55.000 They're beating their 2020 margins.
01:22:57.000 I don't think that's statewide.
01:22:58.000 I don't think that's in Philly.
01:23:00.000 but that's a sign that you could start seeing the urban core pick up as the day goes on, right?
01:23:06.000 As people get off work, maybe they clock out early, and they had made a plan to vote in the afternoon.
01:23:10.000 I think we all need to brace for the fact that PA is not going to be some blowout either way.
01:23:15.000 It's going to be a dogfight.
01:23:16.000 To your point, we might be counting votes there for a while.
01:23:19.000 I think Nevada, the Clark County showing in the vote-by-mail.
01:23:23.000 That's going to be a trench fight.
01:23:23.000 Yeah.
01:23:24.000 In Nevada, the vote-by-mail drops are going to be a disaster.
01:23:27.000 Clark County is picking up steam.
01:23:30.000 So again, we shouldn't make the assumption that 2020 voting patterns are going to hold.
01:23:35.000 The Dems are going to come out on Election Day.
01:23:37.000 I would say apparently it's like a ghost town in DeKalb, in Fulton, Georgia, in places in North Carolina, in Philly, Milwaukee.
01:23:48.000 That's a really good sign.
01:23:49.000 Okay, so we've got some really good signs, and I like some of the breaks that we're getting in Maricopa County, where GOP are still outpacing Dems.
01:23:56.000 Look, there's a lot of independents, though.
01:23:58.000 A lot of independents.
01:23:59.000 And this is why I'm not making any calls on anything.
01:24:01.000 If the independents go totally underwater for Trump, we're going to have a long week.
01:24:04.000 Yeah, if they surprise us and break significantly towards Kamala.
01:24:09.000 Which, to be clear, would be against anything we're hearing on the ground, anything in polling, anything in public attitudes.
01:24:13.000 However, anything is possible.
01:24:15.000 Yeah, so when we're looking at the landscape of what could go wrong, the Indies could break significantly for Kamala.
01:24:24.000 We could see, because especially in a state like Arizona, we're seeing a lot of Indies.
01:24:29.000 We're actually seeing more Indies than we were anticipating.
01:24:32.000 Yeah, but thankfully it's a small volume.
01:24:33.000 It's still a small volume.
01:24:35.000 Because they were so far behind in the early.
01:24:37.000 Well, and there's an argument to be made that they're going to break 50-50 or even maybe slightly Trump.
01:24:40.000 Because there's a lot of working class indies.
01:24:42.000 Of course.
01:24:43.000 And I would say that there's, you know, the...
01:24:47.000 The mood of the country is different, so you can't base everything off of what happened in 2020.
01:24:52.000 You could see more women breaking their family unit vote and essentially lying to their husbands, or maybe they're not lying, they're just telling their husbands they're going to vote a certain way.
01:25:02.000 So these are the things we're looking for, and we're going to keep an eye on these urban cores to see if they pick up.
01:25:07.000 But the fact that they're depressed and enthusiasm is down and there is an enthusiasm gap, You also have to sort of wonder, Charlie, in a place like Pennsylvania, a place where Joe Biden had extensive ties, right, politically, will that same machine that the Democrats have been running, is it going to come out the same way for Kamala?
01:25:25.000 And I think that's an open question, and right now we're not seeing indications that they're going to be doing what they need.
01:25:30.000 Yeah, look, right now Atlanta is, I'm not going to make any predictions, but Georgia looks good.
01:25:35.000 I'm just going to say that was one thing.
01:25:36.000 I have almost no attachment at the state, so I can say, I mean, we have a couple staff, but nothing significant, right?
01:25:40.000 Yeah, we have significant staff.
01:25:41.000 But yeah, nothing like Arizona or Wisconsin.
01:25:44.000 It's not like a platoon, right?
01:25:46.000 So, North Carolina has gotten almost no attention today, by the way.
01:25:46.000 Yeah.
01:25:50.000 I think North Carolina is slipping away from them.
01:25:53.000 Someone actually asked even what...
01:25:54.000 You think it's slipping away from them?
01:25:55.000 Yeah.
01:25:55.000 Yeah.
01:25:56.000 I think we're going to win North Carolina by 2-4.
01:25:58.000 I don't even want to make a prediction, guys.
01:25:59.000 The thing is, is that in, you know...
01:26:02.000 Four hours, five hours.
01:26:04.000 We'll actually have an idea what's going on.
01:26:06.000 So all that matters is you guys need to go empty your phone right now and text every human being that's not a lib.
01:26:11.000 Text every non-lib in your phone.
01:26:14.000 Have you voted?
01:26:14.000 Have you voted?
01:26:15.000 Ask for proof of voting.
01:26:16.000 Have you voted?
01:26:18.000 That's it.
01:26:19.000 And I want to hear from you guys.
01:26:20.000 And get the app.
01:26:21.000 Get the Turning Point Action app, guys.
01:26:22.000 Look, in Arizona, we have like five hours left of voting.
01:26:25.000 That's a lot of time.
01:26:26.000 So email us, freedom at charliekirk.com.
01:26:28.000 That's freedom at charliekirk.com.
01:26:30.000 I want to hear from you, your voting experience, and how you are bringing first-time voters to the polls.
01:26:36.000 It is so incredibly important.
01:26:38.000 Reminder, we'll be signing hats literally all night if you become a member.
01:26:41.000 Members.charliekirk.com to get your signed hat.
01:26:44.000 That is members.charliekirk.com.
01:26:46.000 And again, stay in line.
01:26:48.000 If you are in line, they must allow you to vote if you are in line.
01:26:52.000 Stay in line.
01:26:53.000 And look, so we are going to be back in about two hours.
01:26:57.000 So we're going to take a couple hours to recharge, refresh, allow everyone...
01:27:02.000 Are you guys watching the stream?
01:27:03.000 After we're done in about 30 seconds, go text every single one of your friends, right?
01:27:07.000 Now's the time to do that.
01:27:09.000 And we'll be back in two hours with...
01:27:12.000 Probably the most important couple hours of my 12 years.
01:27:14.000 One warning from Rich is, Rich is saying, don't pay too much attention to the exit polls, even if they're good.
01:27:20.000 Just ignore them.
01:27:20.000 Yeah, they're white noise.
01:27:23.000 We're going to come out at around 3 Eastern.
01:27:24.000 Alright, I want to hear from you if you have voted for the first time.
01:27:27.000 I want to hear from you if you're getting first-time voters.
01:27:29.000 Bring other people to the polls.
01:27:30.000 Make as much noise as possible.
01:27:32.000 This thing is going to be really tight, everybody.
01:27:34.000 It's going to be really close.
01:27:35.000 The work you do in the next couple hours could determine it.
01:27:37.000 Stay in line.
01:27:38.000 Thanks so much for listening, everybody.
01:27:39.000 Email us, as always, freedom at charliekirk.com.