Evergreen State College settled with Naima Nadeau, the woman who accused the college of sexual assault, for $500,000. What was the real reason for the settlement? Why did they settle? And why did they do it in the first place? Jordan Peterson and I try to answer these questions and much more on this episode of the podcast. This is a standalone episode, so people can listen to it without having to listen to the rest of the conversation with Jordan and Jamie, who are in the process of filing a lawsuit against the college for the $500k they paid. If you want to learn more about the settlement, go to gimlet.fm/EvergreenStateCollege and click here to see the full story from beginning to end, including the details of the settlement and why it was so bizarre. And if you don't want to know what happened at Evergreen, then you'll have to wait until the end of the episode to find out what actually happened at the bottom of this whole mess, because it's a long and complicated story, because we're not going to tell you the whole story on the other side of the story, which is why you should listen to this episode. Thanks to Brett Weinstein for coming on the podcast, and for bringing it to us. . We appreciate your support, and we'll see you next week! with a new episode of Jordan Peterson's new podcast, "Podcasts on the Road to Nowhere." - Jordan Peterson and Jamie's new book, "The Real You're Not My Real Life Story." in the next episode of his new podcast on the New York Times article on Jordan Peterson, "No One's Real Life Is My True Identity." and much, much more! - and we're looking forward to hearing from you! and we hope you like it. and that you'll join us next week's episode of "The Other Side of the Story" on The Real Thing, Jordan Peterson is a podcast that's coming soon. - And we'll hear from Jordan Peterson on his new book "Praying for You, Not Me? and so on and so much more. , and we can't wait to hear from you, so we'll get back to you in a better version of this podcast in a few weeks, so let us know what you say about Jordan Peterson in the future. --
00:00:15.000Since your settlement, Jamie and I were hoping that you would come in with one of those Paul Wall grills with diamonds on it and maybe some furs, pull up in a Cadillac.
00:00:24.000Well, unfortunately, it's enough money to make a difference, but it's not enough money to...
00:00:30.000To no longer have to think about such things.
00:00:32.000Yeah, you could temporarily ball, though.
00:00:34.000If you were irresponsible and you didn't have a family...
00:00:52.000So this is a standalone podcast, so people can kind of...
00:00:56.000What you need to do, if you're really interested in this, if you're really interested, is Google Brett Weinstein, and you will get the full story from beginning to end with Evergreen State College, where...
00:01:08.000I'll just give you the short version of it.
00:01:10.000There was a bunch of what you would kindly call social active people.
00:01:48.000And then the woman who was kind of at the head of it, she got a nice little chunk of change too, which I thought was quite odd.
00:01:54.000Yeah, the college settled with her even though it was quite clear she had no legal case.
00:01:58.000So there's a bit of a mystery about why they would have paid her to resign when in fact they could have just stood their ground.
00:02:07.000She could have probably become the president of the college if she wanted to.
00:02:10.000The way that guy had responded to the students when they told him to put his hands down because he was being threatening, and then he put his hands down.
00:02:18.000He's chalking them and using hand gestures, and they're like, put your hands down!
00:02:21.000You're threatening us with microaggressions!
00:02:24.000He puts his hands down, and they all started laughing.
00:02:26.000Which just tells you everything about what their intent was, what was really going on there.
00:02:32.000But after I saw that, I'm like, God, she could have been the president.
00:02:35.000They should have just had her be president.
00:02:36.000The whole thing, it was a kangaroo court.
00:02:42.000I will say, it's very hard to get the story right in any sort of short synopsis.
00:02:46.000And so for anybody who really wants, it's not even complete.
00:02:50.000But Heather and I, my wife Heather was also a professor at Evergreen.
00:02:53.000And We wrote a more complete version of the story that allows people to see how the internal politics of the college played out into what they ultimately saw on YouTube.
00:03:04.000So that's in the Washington Examiner last Tuesday.
00:03:12.000It's but it's not if you've been paying attention and you know you and I and Jordan Peterson and boy a bunch of people have tried to figure out what's going on today like why has this movement become so aggressive and so not just aggressive but absurd it's not they're not it's not logical like the way they're approaching things is from this very strange entitled and just oddly fanatical way Trevor
00:03:53.000Burrus But there is also a strategic movement under the surface which we can't listen into directly, and it is more sophisticated than we think.
00:04:08.000In other words, it is managing to wield power in spite of the fact that its explanation for why it is entitled to wield power doesn't make any sense.
00:04:17.000So what do you think the underlying motivation is?
00:04:25.000There are a lot of people who go along with it who I would argue are tools of the movement and they are doing its bidding without understanding the objective.
00:04:33.000But the prime movers are quite clearly interested in taking power.
00:04:40.000They have a superficial rationalization for why they are entitled to power and they are wielding Weaponized stigma as a mechanism for gaining it.
00:04:49.000So you said that Naima could have become the president of the college.
00:04:57.000It would have been a very unusual path.
00:04:59.000But I do know that for more than a year, I watched people Yeah, I think.
00:05:26.000Something that a person who is cynical enough to wield stigma to get it might covet.
00:05:35.000And so anyway, I think there's a small number of people who really do know what they're doing.
00:05:39.000And their point is we can wipe many of the obstacles to our having power off the map by throwing accusations at them that they cannot resist.
00:05:56.000That's one that you never want to have thrown your way.
00:05:59.000If you are deemed a racist, it's akin to being deemed a rapist.
00:06:04.000Even if it's a false charge, like, boy, most people are going to hear the first statement before they ever look into the possibility of you being exonerated.
00:06:14.000You being called a racist is a very, very dangerous thing in today's society.
00:06:46.000You're very left-wing, very left-leaning.
00:06:50.000You're not in any way, shape, or form a conservative.
00:06:53.000And so this is the left eating itself.
00:06:58.000It is the left eating itself, but I was also in the lucky position of being able to imagine what was going to happen when that accusation broke.
00:07:10.000And knowing that there were so many people who knew that that couldn't possibly be right about me, that I was going to survive it.
00:07:17.000And it's not as if there aren't huge numbers of people who still to this day apparently believe I'm a racist in spite of the fact that nothing has emerged.
00:07:25.000And all of the time, with all of the incentive for somebody to bring something forward that would suggest that I have an issue with race somewhere in my history, it never emerged.
00:07:34.000And so people do need to understand that it is possible to survive that accusation.
00:07:42.000Well, especially with your background, though.
00:07:44.000I mean, people don't know your background.
00:08:15.000And after some relatively standard fraternity shenanigans, the event turned into one in which the fraternity had hired prostitutes, black prostitutes from the local environment.
00:08:30.000And the situation, Penn, is in a pretty rough neighborhood, and this was a pretty wealthy Jewish frat.
00:08:37.000And so there was, you know, something...
00:09:00.000A friend and other members of the fraternity rolled into the dorm that night and told me what happened.
00:09:06.000I was absolutely appalled because what had happened was the fraternity had enacted a mock rape of these prostitutes using cucumbers and ketchup.
00:09:22.000The idea that there was anything acceptable about an organization that had special privileges on the campus behaving this way, I couldn't get past it.
00:09:33.000And so anyway, I went to the paper and various things unfolded.
00:09:37.000The paper botched the story and made it look like I was troubled by the fact that there were strippers rather than troubled by what actually had ended up happening.
00:09:46.000And I ended up writing an editorial for the For the paper, and all hell broke loose.
00:09:55.000The police started tracking phone numbers on my phone to see who was threatening me.
00:10:01.000Ultimately, there was a trial of the fraternity.
00:10:03.000The college did not want to put the fraternity on trial, but ultimately, public pressure forced them.
00:10:08.000To do it, I testified at the trial, although since I hadn't seen the thing directly, what I could say was limited.
00:10:14.000But while I was in the witness room with the other witnesses, people who had rushed the fraternity but had not pledged it, the fraternity brothers, including I believe the president, came into the witness room and started bullying these witnesses and coaching them on what they should say in front of this university panel.
00:10:34.000Anyway, ultimately, the university threw the frat off campus for a year, forbid them from pledging a class.
00:10:45.000And anyway, there's a lot more to the story.
00:10:47.000I got an award from the National Organization for Women, actually, for...
00:10:52.000I forgot their terminology, but basically for standing up for women who...
00:10:59.000Needed to be defended or something like that.
00:11:00.000You said you made the biggest mistake, one of the biggest mistakes of your life by leaving.
00:11:05.000Meaning that if you were there you could have probably stopped it or you could at least have known exactly what was going on?
00:11:10.000There's no way I could have stopped it.
00:11:21.000I was a freshman in college, so I didn't know it yet.
00:11:24.000But journalists understand that sometimes something horrifying happens and that The job that you are best positioned to do is documenting it so that the world can understand how such things occur and do something about it.
00:11:38.000And if I had understood that that was probably my highest and best use at that moment, I would have stuck around and paid attention to what had happened rather than having to go through convincing the world that something had happened which I had not directly seen.
00:12:12.000I couldn't have known, but in any case, in retrospect, it was a mistake.
00:12:16.000It's so crazy that they let groups of kids live in a house together and get hammered when they don't even have their frontal cortex develop yet.
00:12:24.000I mean, they're just all living together, feeding off of each other.
00:12:27.000You have mob mentality, all this diffusion of responsibility because you have a large group of people that's also like you and everybody's...
00:12:39.000I mean, you would think that those things would just be chaos the moment you open up the door to every frat house.
00:12:45.000Yeah, and, you know, there's more chaos than we know because a lot of what takes place we don't ever find out about.
00:12:49.000But it's a shame because one could take the thing that drives people into those organizations and one could use it to power something that was useful and interesting and, you know, really was deeply enriching.
00:13:03.000And I know, you know, how much flack am I going to take for Giving the fraternity system a hard time on your podcast.
00:13:08.000But plenty of people will tell me how enriching their fraternity experience was.
00:13:14.000And, you know, even at Penn, there were a couple fraternities that were, I was, as you can imagine, hated throughout the fraternity system.
00:13:33.000But it does seem like a wasted opportunity that that kind of energy that goes into fraternity life could be directed to something really amazing.
00:13:42.000And it's a shame that it doesn't happen more often.
00:13:44.000Well, I'm sure there's a lot of great camaraderie and it's probably a lot of fun to go through that experience together with people that are your same age and you're actually living in a house together.
00:13:52.000But just, man, you should probably have some fucking adults in that room.
00:15:05.000And so that would turn me into a conservative because it would be the right thing to be.
00:15:11.000And a proper analysis would tell you this is the time to conserve the structure rather than change it.
00:15:16.000But in this world, yeah, it turns out I'm a progressive and the events that people keep telling me that they're sure I'm now a closet conservative, that what I faced must have turned me against the left.
00:16:04.000Look, the game of capitalism is a very confusing one, and there's certainly some very evil aspects to it, right?
00:16:10.000But the idea that the answer is Marxism seems to me to be just as Just as poorly thought out.
00:16:20.000Oh, it's at least as poorly thought out.
00:16:24.000You know, Marxism, the flaw is more obvious.
00:16:27.000I think the flaw is what we in biology would call group selection.
00:16:33.000The belief that if we just all row in the same direction, we'll get somewhere marvelous.
00:16:37.000And that's true that if we did all row in the same direction, we would.
00:16:40.000But there's a very good game theoretic reason that that can't be.
00:16:44.000That as soon as you have everybody rowing in the same direction, Then the win goes to the person who figures out how not to row and gets the benefit of everybody else's rowing in that direction while they sweep in the profits.
00:16:55.000And so that tears apart anything structured the way communism is structured.
00:17:00.000Yeah, and that's conveniently ignored.
00:17:02.000I think I really have always believed that competition is good, and it's because I've been involved in competition my whole life, and I think it helps you understand yourself.
00:17:11.000You're competing against other people, but ultimately you're really competing against yourself.
00:17:16.000Because you're trying to better yourself and I I believe that that's the argument for getting children involved in athletics or Games or something that's very difficult to do whether it's chess or pool or something I think things that are hard to do are good for you Competing is good for you because it teaches you about focus and discipline and understanding that there's you can reap the rewards of hard work and you know obviously this can get Distorted.
00:17:43.000And you can get these, you know, billionaire oligarchs who, you know, control vast amounts of wealth and then they have their family and everyone inherits it and you have these fucking mutants that are all inbred and they're all in the same bloodline.
00:18:01.000We should work very hard for equality of opportunity.
00:18:06.000I think equality of opportunity, give everybody a chance to play a game, everybody a chance to get into something and try to better themselves with some endeavor.
00:18:16.000But whenever I hear equality of outcome, That's when I put my foot down.
00:19:19.000One, Equality of opportunity is something I have yet to find the reasonable person that does not agree on this point, in principle.
00:19:28.000Lots of people will tell you it's not worth the effort of trying to pursue it because of the danger of what happens if you do, but nobody disagrees, nobody reasonable disagrees that it would be desirable to have that.
00:19:43.000If you pursue it, you end up with a dystopia.
00:19:46.000And even if it were possible, it would not be desirable for the reasons you point to about the benefits of what you're calling competition.
00:19:54.000And I would want to tear competition into a couple different values.
00:20:16.000What you are trying to accomplish is real.
00:20:20.000It is the world telling you how successful you are at something directly rather than through some sort of social channel, some sort of reward handed to you or some compliment given to you by somebody.
00:20:32.000And there's a tremendous danger in a socially mediated world in which those who are successful are successful because some social thing has told them that they are correct.
00:20:43.000Because you can be dead wrong Seem correct and move ahead in a social world, whereas if you're doing carpentry, if you're in some sort of competition, the nature of the beast is one that will tell you when you've got it wrong, and therefore it will allow you to actually improve your insight in whatever form you have it.
00:21:02.000So I'm a tremendous fan of the idea that even if your world is largely socially mediated, you have to make sure that some part of it isn't.
00:21:11.000And you are confronting something real enough to tell you when you're confused so that you can learn how not to be confused.
00:21:18.000But there are people in this world that do want to push towards an equality of outcome.
00:21:24.000And they make it sound as if this is not just logical but ethical and possible in the future and that you are on the wrong side of history if you think that capitalism and competition and all these things you just talked about are good.
00:21:40.000And that really the best thing is to force people to become some sort of utopian creature that works together in unison and everybody is egalitarian and there's no need for feminism and men's rights activists because everybody looks at everyone as an equal.
00:21:57.000Well, there are two kinds of people who will advocate for equality of outcome.
00:22:01.000One kind of person who will is confused.
00:22:03.000They don't understand what happens if you go down this road.
00:22:18.000Nobody believes that you're going to have it ever realized in a perfect form.
00:22:23.000There's always going to be bad luck that's going to reduce somebody's opportunity.
00:22:28.000What you don't want is any systematic bias in luck.
00:22:32.000In other words, we're all going to suffer some bad luck, and we'll all have some good luck, and some of those things will actually shape the trajectory of our lives.
00:22:39.000What you don't want is some population that just so happens to suffer more than its share of bad luck, which is what we have now.
00:22:46.000So there is something to pursue here, but we're so busy on this other pointless conversation about equality of outcome that we can't get back to the thing that we all agree on that's actually the right goal.
00:22:59.000And there's also some background chatter that you'll get from the less thought out where the people are really just upset that other people have more.
00:23:10.000And so this is an uneducated, not very well thought out perspective on equality of outcome.
00:23:17.000They just are upset that someone else has something and they're trying to somehow or another diminish the effect of their hard work and get something for themselves.
00:23:28.000Well, you can imagine, though, so maybe we take a little digression here.
00:23:33.000My experience over the last six months has done a bunch of things in my life.
00:23:38.000One of them is it has put me in touch with quite a number of black conservatives, which I must tell you, it has changed my understanding of the world substantially, because I knew there were black conservatives, and I always thought, Are they confused?
00:23:53.000Are they not understanding which side they should be on?
00:23:58.000What is going on is that there is a dialogue, which I couldn't hear at least, which looks at the world.
00:24:05.000You can view the unfairness in the world two different ways.
00:24:09.000You can look at it and you can say, well, there's structural unfairness in the world and the cards that we in this community are dealt are not fair.
00:24:19.000We're not getting our share of the good cards.
00:24:22.000Or you can look at the world from the point of view of personal responsibility and you can say, well, it's kind of an academic question whether the cards you got were fair.
00:24:30.000You should play them as best you can given what they are.
00:24:37.000One has almost no ability to address the question of how the cards are dealt.
00:24:43.000It's just not in the range of somebody.
00:24:46.000An individual who discovers that the cards are unfairly dealt can't do very much about that fact.
00:24:50.000But that individual can do a hell of a lot about their own position in the world by recognizing that actually, especially if the cards are unfairly dealt, you need to play them very well.
00:25:03.000And that developing the skill to play them well has the ability, I think?
00:25:26.000Dealing on the personal responsibility side pays back better, which I don't think frees us in civilization from addressing the question of how the cards are dealt.
00:25:35.000But anyway, it more or less solved the mystery in a way that I thought was quite fascinating.
00:25:42.000And, you know, I'm heartened that they were willing to invite me into that conversation so I could hear it and finally figure out what was going on.
00:25:51.000So they advocate towards discipline and personal responsibility as being core tenants that you should reinforce.
00:25:56.000And they are very sensitive to the issue of what happens when you focus on the unfairness of how the cards are dealt, which is that what progressives typically miss is that it really does create a culture of dependency.
00:26:11.000If you focus on the fact that the cards are unfairly dealt and that that's why you're facing a disadvantage, which is largely true.
00:26:17.000Nonetheless, it demotivates you from pursuing success because you recognize that you're starting at a disadvantage and that you're unlikely to win the game.
00:26:28.000On the other hand, the game isn't what we think.
00:26:30.000If you can make progress and deliver your kids a...
00:26:35.000Head start relative to where you were.
00:26:39.000So anyway, again, I don't want to trivialize any part of this.
00:26:42.000I think the unfairness of the way the cards are dealt is really important and we have obligations to address it.
00:26:47.000But from the point of view of individuals within a community trying to plot a course, being focused on the personal responsibility side makes a ton of sense.
00:26:56.000What are your thoughts on affirmative action?
00:26:59.000I used to be for affirmative action because it is justified.
00:27:04.000But now the downsides of it are they loom very large for me.
00:27:11.000And so what I would say is we want to separate the whether or not it is justified to engage in some kind of intentional intervention to fix a problem that has become chronic.
00:27:24.000And then we separate that from what it is that we are advocating.
00:27:27.000And I don't think the substitute for it is something that anybody has properly spelled out.
00:27:32.000But let's just say I would be much more inclined to see a substantial investment In community that makes sense rather than it applied at the individual level.
00:27:46.000Because I will say before any of what happened to me at Evergreen happened, I did have the experience of having quite a number of black students in particular who suffered a totally...
00:28:02.000A stigma that had nothing to do with them.
00:28:05.000Students who did very well on their own merits, who lived in a world that was quick to judge them as having succeeded based on some advantage that, for all I know, they didn't even have.
00:28:25.000I had some very bright students who I think suffered a stigma that came from the fact that people in general imagined that affirmative action was playing some role in their world that it wasn't.
00:28:35.000I mean, affirmative action isn't even legal in Washington.
00:28:37.000So the fact that the stigma appends to people is preposterous in that context in particular.
00:28:45.000I had a friend who was a fireman who told similar stories and he was talking about the resentment of the other people that were on the fire force if a guy got in even if a guy was qualified if a guy was black because they assumed that he wasn't as qualified and the reason why he got through was through affirmative action.
00:29:03.000He was like it's so crazy because what it is is they're trying to combat racism by fueling racism.
00:29:10.000Yes, it creates this whole cascade of effects.
00:29:14.000And so the question really, the civilization-wide question, is what do we do about...
00:29:20.000I mean, we could retune the analysis for each of the populations in question.
00:29:25.000In the case of black people in the New World, that is the Americas, Most black folks in the New World are here via the route of slavery.
00:29:35.000And the thing is, slavery was so brutal in destroying the cultures that these people had access to where they came from, and then putting them together in a synthetic culture that was Built to serve the masters,
00:29:56.000In other words, denying black folks the ability to learn to read obviously limits access to the huge library of insights that happened to be housed with the population that transported these folks from Africa.
00:30:13.000So in any case, my point would be that is hobbling.
00:30:16.000That was intentionally hobbling during slavery.
00:30:20.000The legacy of that hobbling is one that's hard to quantify.
00:30:25.000We don't know what role that plays, but I can say Any population that has, I'm going to speak now as I do as a biologist, I think of us as robots that have a computer on our shoulders that runs software and our culture is the software.
00:30:43.000If you take that robot with the computer and you delete the software package and then you install some other software package designed to make it do one particular job, that has tremendous harm built into it and it's reversible.
00:31:00.000I think we know that we didn't succeed in fixing this problem.
00:31:04.000I think emancipation did not properly deal with how much harm had been done by bringing people from different parts of Africa and pooling them in one population based on effectively skin color alone.
00:31:19.000And then at the point that they were freed, there was no...
00:31:26.000There was no understanding because our understanding of biology and culture wasn't sophisticated yet.
00:31:33.000And so I think we do at some point have to do an honest accounting of how much damage happened in that process.
00:31:43.000And we also have to realize that that damage, you know, I mean, I know right now having been active in trying to make the world a better place, I know that I'm running afoul of an argument called white man's burden, right?
00:31:55.000And so we all know that this is a narrative.
00:31:57.000But the point is that white man's burden argument...
00:32:04.000I think the real story of what happened in the Americas is not a nice story.
00:32:11.000And the implications are with us to this day.
00:32:15.000Nobody knows how deep they go because we haven't studied the question properly.
00:32:19.000And in fact, many of the people who are...
00:32:23.000On the left pushing the sort of naive narrative about Equality are I think fearful of what will happen if we study the question I don't share their fear I think you're right about fearful that there's there's there's a lot of like what you were talking about before like With that woman bringing up ridiculous things in meetings and people just sort of showing their jugular please don't attack you get a lot of that I think of us In terms of,
00:32:50.000you know, the United States or just this mass of humans, I think of us as a super organism.
00:32:56.000And I think if you had an organism that had a broken knee, you would go, well, I've got to fix that knee.
00:33:01.000You know, I can't just give that knee less work.
00:33:08.000You don't want to just give the knee less work.
00:33:10.000You don't want to make it easier for the knee to get by.
00:33:13.000What you want to do is, like, strengthen it.
00:33:15.000So my thought, and I've said this as a very simplistic way of looking at it, but if you really wanted to make America great again, right, you really wanted to make America great, What you would want to do is have less losers.
00:33:27.000So you'd want to go and find these places where people are in these economically deprived areas where there's a ton of crime and violence and they don't have like a real good sense of like a potential positive outcome from where they're at and transform that.
00:33:51.000With a fraction of the money that we spend trying to rebuild nations and invading Afghanistan, we could invest in many of our gigantic problems that we have in inner cities and completely rebuild them.
00:34:05.000And it could have radical implications on the entire country as a whole.
00:34:11.000If you have, instead of Like a place like Baltimore, for instance, right?
00:34:15.000I had Michael Woods on, who was a former police officer in Baltimore, and he sort of explained all the different issues that happened in Baltimore, particularly where there was areas where they literally weren't selling homes to black people.
00:34:32.000Like they had systematic racism built into the system for a long time.
00:34:37.000If someone just invested money into, not someone, the United States government, if we systematically invested money into these places and rebuilt them with community centers, places where people could go where they were safe, staff them with a ton of people that were motivated,
00:34:55.000counselors, people that wanted to help, give them activities, give them skills and trades, and show them ways out.
00:35:13.000I mean, Halliburton got no-bid contracts for billions of dollars to do shit that we don't even know what the fuck they were doing over there, right?
00:35:20.000If we could have a fraction of that money and invest it into inner cities, you could literally change entire generations of human beings that are coming out of there.
00:35:33.000One, by the way, I love the analogy of the busted knee because, in fact, we used to make this mistake medically, right?
00:35:41.000Until recently, we didn't really understand that part of the healing process was not protecting the knee but putting it through physical therapy that properly exposed it to stresses so that it rebuilt and came back strong.
00:35:54.000And so we are making that error and we have made that error.
00:35:57.000In terms of What to do with the stratification of society in a way that locks up opportunity in some communities and not others.
00:36:08.000I think we should be honest with ourselves about why that happens.
00:36:14.000You could make what would be massive investments in communities for a fraction of what we spend tinkering abroad in ways that have just spent huge amounts of treasure on projects that didn't work.
00:36:29.000The reason that that doesn't happen, I don't think has anything to do with it being in obvious that it would be a good thing to do.
00:36:37.000I think it has to do with the same group selection issue that we were talking about with respect to communism, which is to say, if you are at the top of the system, Do you want to educate somebody else's kids to compete with yours?
00:37:04.000People know how to make a school when it's for their kids, and they're not so interested in making a school for other people's kids.
00:37:11.000And so this is a deep, chronic problem with our sociopolitical system.
00:37:18.000We have to confront that, and actually I think we have to come to agreement that actually it is in the long term wise to educate other people's kids, even if in the short term it's economically frightening.
00:37:33.000Yeah, the big conspiracy about children and schools and keeping them stupid and making sure that the school system is frustrating.
00:37:44.000I've always felt like that conspiracy was really just, there's no motivation to make it better.
00:37:50.000And when you look at the amount of money that teachers get paid, it's just disturbing.
00:37:56.000Think of the job of, I don't have to tell you, you're a goddamn teacher.
00:38:51.000Just, you know, not like the most dangerous in Boston, but very sketchy.
00:38:58.00017-year-old kids in seventh grade that had never graduated, like violence, like a lot of weirdness.
00:39:05.000Like I had my head down, got through that year, and then all of a sudden I was in this, we called it fast times at Hebrew High, because it was like a predominantly Jewish neighborhood.
00:39:15.000But it was, even then, there were still some terrible teachers there.
00:39:20.000The job is so important, and we in this country have done some weird thing where we've taken one of the most important jobs that you could ever hire someone to do, educate children,
00:39:36.000and made it almost like it's inconsequential.
00:40:07.000And maybe, you know, every five teachers I hit one who invested and cared and took the time to scratch their head about why I wasn't succeeding.
00:40:17.000That must have had an impact on you, though, as an educator.
00:40:20.000You remember those people, those one out of five.
00:40:25.000While I was teaching, I taught for 14 years at Evergreen, and I felt like maybe I wasn't the only, but I was very nearly the only person on faculty anywhere that I could think of who had not been a good student.
00:40:42.000LAUGHTER Well, but this was a very interesting window because I, you know, I became a professor because I loved science.
00:40:50.000And so the academy is where science happened, not because I wanted to be a teacher.
00:40:55.000My experience in school made me want to get away from the thing as fast as possible.
00:40:59.000But having had the experience of school completely failing and my To my own surprise, learning how to think without school, that's not where I learned it.
00:41:10.000I learned it primarily from my grandfather and my brother and other people in my environment who weren't associated with school.
00:41:16.000But once I got to being a professor, and I think this was only possible at Evergreen, Evergreen made no rules about what you did in the classroom.
00:41:28.000Literally no rule about what subject you taught.
00:41:31.000They could hire you as a biologist and you could teach dance if people showed up to take it.
00:41:35.000So you could teach whatever you wanted.
00:41:37.000And the key was you could teach in whatever way you wanted.
00:41:47.000People abused it, and they would use it to reduce their workload to next to nothing, and they wouldn't invest in their students.
00:41:53.000And then other people looked at this, and it was glorious to have that kind of freedom.
00:41:59.000And so I taught in a way that would have worked for me if I had been a student there, which changed a lot of things.
00:42:06.000And it actually worked for a lot of people.
00:42:09.000Bad students don't typically become professors, so there's almost nobody on the faculty anywhere who has a clue why bad students are the way they are, right?
00:42:17.000They just don't intuit it because it wasn't their experience.
00:42:20.000But if you were like me and you were a bad student, and then you ended up with a class, suddenly all sorts of, you know, bad students aren't uncommon.
00:42:29.000And so suddenly somebody who's speaking to them and says, I know that you're being a bad student isn't synonymous with you not having potential.
00:42:47.000And we would actually often teach the same students either together or they would take my program and then they would bounce over to her program next.
00:42:55.000And so they would get these kind of two different views.
00:43:04.000Enlightened by our relationship with each other because you know to the extent that I might have been dismissive of the great students right here I had one who you know was my my closest person on earth and you know I got to a window into how she saw the world and she got a window into what the kids who weren't performing well in school might have been thinking and so anyway that was a very very useful background to have for teaching.
00:43:29.000There's a tremendous amount of power in teaching people.
00:43:32.000It's a weird relationship, and especially when you're teaching someone and you're giving them credit towards their degree.
00:43:41.000I was a very poor student in high school, and I wasted a ton of time just going to college so people didn't think I was a loser.
00:44:30.000Trying to teach someone to be a professional speaker where someone has been speaking English their whole life where other people are just learning it for the first time.
00:45:07.000If you want an evaluation that raves about you, that talks about your extraordinary capacity, you're going to have to strive.
00:45:15.000And so what I wanted to do, which sounds like what you were doing, is make them safe enough to discover what they could do.
00:45:23.000I don't know whether this will make sense to your audience or not, but I think we are overly concerned.
00:45:29.000We have been sold the idea that the job of a teacher is to assess how much the student has learned, that basically the job of the teacher is largely to report out to the world how qualified this person is.
00:46:25.000But I didn't want to run down a student who hadn't really shined in the classroom because it was a totally artificial moment to judge how much they had picked up.
00:46:51.000And there are some or many activities in which how you do initially doesn't necessarily predict ultimately whether you'll be unusually good.
00:47:44.000Instead, they avoid it, and they try to find workarounds, and they're almost always defeated by grapplers.
00:47:51.000It's like they've, because of the fact that they're gifted and talented, they've avoided the difficult, real character-building moments.
00:48:01.000So this is interesting that you say that.
00:48:04.000I was on a train in New York and looking at Twitter and somebody had posted an article that caused a dime to drop for me with respect to mixed martial arts and why they were suddenly a thing in my life.
00:48:40.000His argument was why Bruce Lee and mixed martial arts points the direction to how to fix our political dialogue, something like that.
00:48:49.000And so anyway, his argument was, and I'm no expert on this at all, but his argument was that Bruce Lee, effectively the innovator at the beginning of mixed martial arts, was interested in testing a martial art against all comers rather than requiring the person on the other side to be practicing the same martial art.
00:49:49.000a kind of artificial boundary placed between things and that those who are interested in tearing down those boundaries even though that opens up a huge range of things that they may face often have something to teach in their particular realm and I was trying to think of other examples of this and Lars Andersen,
00:51:13.000Even if there are lots of cuts here that we're not seeing where he misses, the fact that he can do this with enough reliability to make a video, you can tell there are enough things where he hits two things in one shot that it can't be completely fiction.
00:51:29.000So he took a lot of crap for this from people who were in the archery world who didn't like the way he violated all of the rules about what good archery form looks like.
00:51:44.000But anyway, it's pretty clear that what he's done is he's just said, well, okay, there are bows, there are arrows.
00:51:50.000What is the best way to think about these things from the point of view of solving these different problems?
00:51:54.000And he's discovered a whole landscape of stuff that I don't think you would discover if you took archery and took it seriously and learned from a master who had good form.
00:52:24.000I think at some point, unfortunately, he became a surprise sensation on YouTube and Red Bull figured out that he was a moneymaker and they've sort of pushed him.
00:52:34.000So he's now had a couple of serious accidents.
00:52:36.000But anyway, he is capable of doing things on a bicycle, especially in an urban environment, hopping from...
00:54:32.000And the thing is, it has one advantage, which is that everything is so standardized that you can compare to competitors.
00:54:39.000If you want to award a medal, maybe it has to look like Olympic gymnastics.
00:54:43.000But these guys who can look at an urban environment and figure out how they can make use of these objects and their relationship to each other...
00:54:54.000Are discovering something about what the human body is capable of that isn't obvious if there isn't somebody to point it out.
00:55:25.000But in any case, one of the things, and you know, when you asked me to come on, we decided we would talk a little bit about what to do about planet Earth, because I had mentioned the first time I was on your show that that was an important...
00:55:39.000Well, but my feeling is actually this is about parkour.
00:55:44.000And my point is, where we are with civilization...
00:55:50.000We're stuck and we are on a trajectory that you don't have to be deeply knowledgeable to recognize that it is unstable on enough different fronts that we can't go on like this much longer.
00:56:05.000We're playing with powerful enough tools that we're in tremendous danger of something going wrong.
00:56:09.000And so the question is, it's very hard to imagine How you use normal tools?
00:56:16.000You know, are you going to win an election and get policy through Congress that's going to change the world and suddenly make us safe?
00:56:23.000It's almost impossible to imagine something like that happening.
00:56:26.000And so the question is, is there a parkour kind of innovation, something that is not obvious to us that it's there?
00:56:44.000Is it in front of us what we're supposed to do to take a civilization that's hurtling out of control with too many people consuming too fast and using mechanisms that are dangerous?
00:56:57.000Is there a route to put us back on track to something reasonable that looks like one of these innovations that you don't know it existed until somebody shows you that it's there?
00:57:08.000So what do you think those things are?
00:57:23.000I don't think anybody has the answer to that question.
00:57:27.000Before I go deeply into this question, I should probably say something a little bit self-protective, which is talking about the question of what to do with planet Earth can be an idle discussion,
00:57:42.000in which case there's nothing to be navigated.
00:57:45.000But if you want to do it seriously, there's a danger of triggering a kind of I think we're good to go.
00:58:10.000In order to have a conversation about what to do about planet Earth, obviously we're talking about very serious stuff.
00:58:18.000And for anybody to contemplate that they might know or might be tuned into a conversation that could find its way to some new answer, we are in danger of triggering that, oh my God, that's arrogant circuit.
00:58:32.000And so at some level, in order to have this conversation properly, I need to I need to turn off my own sensitivity to hearing that little warning bell in my own head.
00:58:43.000And, you know, if the conversation is preposterous, fine.
00:58:50.000That's something a reasonable person could conclude about anybody who was talking about changing the way the world functions.
00:58:58.000On the other hand, you know, I have kids.
00:59:02.000I'm pretty sure I can do the math myself on how much danger we're in.
00:59:06.000I may not know the full extent of it, but I can tell that we're in enough danger that we have to do something counterintuitive and different enough that it stands a chance of changing the way the place functions or my kids and your kids are in serious trouble.
00:59:22.000So anyway, that's why I would go down this road.
00:59:27.000But I have to do it in that kind of context where I'm not too worried about whether people hear this as, you know, me being full of myself or something like that.
01:00:27.000I can't go over into math space and do the same favor for him.
01:00:31.000But anyway, yeah, he's a very interesting thinker and across many more levels than I think anybody else I've encountered.
01:00:40.000But anyway, he some years ago after the financial collapse of 2008 decided that there needed to be a proactive discussion about what had gone wrong in economic space that had allowed that catastrophe to happen.
01:00:59.000And so he and some collaborators Put together a conference called the Economic Manhattan Project.
01:01:08.000It was at the Perimeter Institute in Canada.
01:01:11.000And so I went, I attended this conference, and it was the first place I encountered an intentional conversation about changing a large enough piece of the puzzle to actually fix the way the world works, to prevent another financial collapse like the one that happened in 2008. And I also met people at that conference who have continued on in these conversations.
01:01:41.000I mean, not that there was anything really to join, but I participated in it in hopes that it would turn into something capable of changing the way we functioned.
01:01:49.000And I ended up being very disappointed and frustrated by the quality of the conversation inside of Occupy Wall Street.
01:01:57.000But anyway, it revealed some things to me.
01:02:01.000And then after that, there was a group of people who gathered in something that ultimately was called Game B. And Game B is really where the thinking that I want to talk to you about.
01:02:33.000I mean, we really had a lot of different people who were united basically by an understanding that That they each arrived at, that the trajectory we were on was so dangerous that it required us to take action.
01:02:46.000And we tried out various different ideas about what might be sufficient to avert the danger we were heading towards and give humanity more time to find a way to exist on the planet.
01:03:02.000So I should probably say something about what Game B means, and it carries a relevance into what we might do in the present.
01:03:10.000Game B was basically proceeded from the idea that what we live in is a game-theoretic landscape, right?
01:03:19.000That the winners in this game-theoretic landscape are individuals who have figured out Where there's a niche, some of them have figured out how to engage in something called rent seeking, which rent seeking basically means making money without producing value.
01:03:37.000So there's a lot of stuff that goes on in our economy that is not productive and good, but nonetheless generates fortunes.
01:03:43.000So that's rent seeking as opposed to innovation or productivity.
01:03:47.000You talking about like hedge fund type stuff, moving money around?
01:03:50.000Well, I want to be a little careful about this because it is quite possible for things like hedge funds to actually correct inefficiencies in the economy in a way that is productive.
01:04:02.000That doesn't mean that that's the average thing that they do.
01:04:23.000Cable company may produce some benefit.
01:04:27.000They obviously have infrastructure that allows you to get content.
01:04:31.000But what fraction of what you're paying for is actually about them delivering a service at some price and making some reasonable profit?
01:04:39.000And what fraction of it is about the fact that they are an economic Goliath and that you don't have enough choice to be able to negotiate a decent price with them?
01:04:46.000So there's some fraction of what they're producing that is productive, but then there's a large amount of profit there that isn't about productivity or innovation.
01:04:55.000It's about the fact that they own a choke point and you can't get around it.
01:05:00.000So we don't know what fraction of the economy is rent-seeking and what fraction of it is productive.
01:05:09.000But especially if one is broad-minded about thinking about all the ways that one can engage in rent-seeking, One can actually be destructive of value.
01:05:20.000If you destroy future well-being for our descendants, it may look productive in the present, but it isn't productive.
01:05:44.000As you point out, competition is a healthy thing.
01:05:48.000And competition in markets produces a huge amount of value.
01:05:53.000So I hear people deriding capitalism, and I always want to make the same point to them, which is, You've got two things glued together and you are challenging them as a package, but there's no reason they have to be packaged.
01:06:09.000So we would be foolish to give up markets.
01:06:11.000Markets are amazingly powerful engines of innovation.
01:06:14.000They are capable of solving problems that we cannot solve deliberately even if we wanted to.
01:06:20.000So we need markets, but we don't want markets Ruling the planet and deciding that anything that spits out a profit is therefore good and that we should be exposed to whatever the market discovers can be viable.
01:07:54.000Allowing markets to discover any and every mechanism for exploiting you is not good at all.
01:08:02.000And in fact, it's a large part of why we're in the predicament that we're in, is that we let the market decide what problems to solve, and then if it solves them...
01:08:36.000But imagine, I mean, it's amazing to me that it's even hard to do this thought experiment.
01:08:41.000But put yourself in, you know, in your own mind 15 years ago.
01:08:49.000And present yourself the deal that the phone represents.
01:08:53.000You know, hey Joe, check this phone out, right?
01:08:57.000This phone is going to allow you to navigate in a place you've never been.
01:09:01.000It's going to connect you with all sorts of people who share your interests.
01:09:05.000You're going to be able to say a sentence that you think is clever and suddenly hundreds or thousands of people are going to be able to react to it.
01:09:12.000I mean, all sorts of marvelous things.
01:09:15.000And then the point is, well, here's the downside, okay?
01:09:18.000You're going to be hooked into megacorporations that are going to study your psychology and they are going to compete in order to keep you paying attention to their sight.
01:09:29.000And they're going to become so sophisticated that you're going to lose control over your own mind.
01:09:35.000You are going to become addicted to it in the way that you might become addicted to nicotine, right?
01:09:43.000What's more, you are going to surveil yourself.
01:09:48.000You're going to surveil yourself, and your only protection from surveilling yourself are going to be end-user license agreements that you're not going to be legally sophisticated enough to understand.
01:09:57.000And so you're going to be at the mercy of whoever has access to your phone camera, your metadata, your, you know, all of these things.
01:10:16.000Well, I must tell you, if you told me that I was going to be bugging myself with a sophisticated device like that, then I know I can't even turn it upside down because there's a camera on both sides of the damn thing.
01:10:58.000It's also answering every single question you could ever have about anything technical, anything involving history, anything involving facts.
01:11:07.000And obviously, in today's day and age with hashtag fake news, you're going to get a lot of bullshit facts in there as well.
01:11:13.000But just the sheer access to information, the ability to contact each other instantaneously, there's a lot of pros to it.
01:11:25.000Having even just Wikipedia in your pocket is like, that's such a fantastic gift to have that access to information, not only on your home computer, but right there in your pocket.
01:11:38.000So I'm not saying the benefit isn't spectacular, and I've signed up for it like everybody else.
01:11:43.000But the cost is very high and didn't have to be.
01:11:48.000In other words, if you had set the bounds in which the market was going to solve this problem so that you, for example, prevented it from breaching our ability to protect our own privacy, you could have had the benefit of Wikipedia and instant communication and all of these things without the huge downside.
01:12:07.000So the privacy issue being cookies or cameras?
01:12:13.000Well, first of all, I think the cameras are a bit of a red herring.
01:12:15.000I don't think anybody, first of all, there's a huge amount of data involved in video.
01:12:19.000To the extent there's an issue, it would be more about the microphone and the fact that it can listen into conversations and basically track who's thinking what.
01:12:28.000And there's so much power in that potentially that even if it's not being used presently, it's only a matter of time before somebody taps into that data and starts using it to shape things they are not entitled to shape.
01:12:50.000It's a market in which we decide how to behave and if we have insight, maybe we come out ahead.
01:12:55.000If we don't have correct insight, maybe we lose.
01:13:00.000But anyway, that's game A. It's the market as we find it.
01:13:05.000Game B was the idea that there are ways that you could restructure the deal we have with each other so that you could compete in Game A's terms without...
01:13:22.000Losing to Game A. So the conclusion, and again, Game B is not a live organization anymore, but it was a place in which a lot of work was done that I think feeds into the conversation about what we do very clearly.
01:13:33.000In order to change the way the world functions, most of the mechanisms that have functioned in the past are no longer viable.
01:13:43.000It is almost inconceivable to imagine that you could have a revolution in any standard sense that would successfully capture power and then wield it wisely.
01:13:57.000So, Game B is the idea that one needs to Create an entity that is capable of competing in the market.
01:14:07.000It is capable of competing in game A's terms and winning against game A. So game A is the way things run.
01:14:16.000Game B is an alternative that can compete in game A's terms and win.
01:14:21.000And that sounds, first time you hear it, it sounds preposterous because the system has so much inertia in it that you would think it is completely impervious to any challenge.
01:14:31.000But there's a hidden factor which I think is evident in those various examples we were looking at in parkour, in Lars Anderson and his archery innovations, Danny McCaskill, I would also say Jane Goodall and her success at sorting out what was going on with chimps.
01:14:53.000The point is, systems that become very difficult to dislodge, that have great inertia, are almost inevitably feeble in a particular fashion.
01:15:06.000So this is true of academic disciplines, too.
01:15:10.000If a discipline becomes stuck, it is very hard to get a hearing within the discipline, but the discipline...
01:15:50.000They are not well protected from things like bad luck.
01:15:53.000And those are all problems that can be solved by an entity that is capable of restructuring the deals between people.
01:16:03.000In other words, let's take an obvious one like insurance.
01:16:09.000Insurance is not well delivered by a market.
01:16:11.000And there's a very good reason it isn't, which is that the strategy for winning in the delivery of insurance is Perfectly obvious.
01:16:20.000You want to insure people who need it very little, and you want to uninsure people who need it a lot.
01:16:25.000That's how you win at the insurance game.
01:16:27.000So the insurance industry is always looking to make that deal with the world.
01:16:32.000It's always looking to figure out how to dis-insure those who are most likely to need it.
01:16:38.000And what that means is that we can't provide a risk pool A risk pool just means you don't know if you're going to get a brain tumor or I'm going to get a brain tumor so how about we both agree to pay for whoever's treatment needs it and whoever has the bad luck wins in that deal and whoever has the good luck loses but because we don't know who it is ahead of time it's a win for both of us.
01:16:57.000So that structure is one that you can build inside of this competitive architecture and what I'm getting at is that The conversation of people that has coalesced,
01:17:14.000people who are discussing the question of how to make things function in a way that solves the problems that we all face without having to win some unimaginable electoral victory or to challenge these governments outright,
01:17:32.000that conversation centers around a game theoretic I mentioned before that I had participated in Occupy and had been quite disappointed and really where I was before I ran into this conversation was I was,
01:17:54.000if I'm honest with myself, I was becoming a little desperate because I could see how much trouble we were in, but every mechanism that you might use to fix it seemed very unlikely to function.
01:18:05.000When I heard a presentation that said, actually, there's a mechanism that does not go through any of the familiar historical means, but uses...
01:18:15.000Tools that we all see deployed, right, the same tools that cause Facebook to be successful can be used to repair the system, that begins to sound plausible to me.
01:19:31.000It's served an amazing purpose for those people in the Congo.
01:19:35.000But people were actually mad at me that I didn't buy those things with Bitcoin.
01:19:40.000That instead used the, I kept the Bitcoin, but gave him the money value of the Bitcoin.
01:19:45.000They were upset, like, why didn't you just pay for it with Bitcoin?
01:19:48.000But I wanted to see as an experiment where the Bitcoin goes, and it turns out it was a lucky guess on my part, and now it's worth far more.
01:19:56.000Because what was worth $5,000 at the time is now, yeah.
01:20:06.000And whether it's Bitcoin or not, there's something clearly happening in the blockchain cryptocurrency world.
01:20:14.000So the world is trying to figure out which of these currencies is going to function at the moment its blockchain is looking the most promising.
01:20:21.000There are obstacles to it functioning.
01:20:23.000There are ways in which those obstacles are being addressed and, you know, it'd be pointless to get into the details of it.
01:23:00.000But it's a demonstration that you can do things inside this space that, in fact...
01:23:07.000Have reorganized our relationship to information.
01:23:10.000And in fact, in a way that we don't typically acknowledge is challenging the Academy.
01:23:18.000I mean, maybe part of why the Academy was so feeble at the point that this social justice madness started to challenge it had to do with the fact that without the Academy's permission, information became free.
01:23:31.000The fact that everybody was a level playing field for information meant that the academy needed to figure out what it was going to deliver on top of that information and it didn't figure it out.
01:23:41.000And I would say there was an obvious answer which it missed.
01:23:44.000It needed to deliver stuff that didn't scale.
01:23:46.000It needed to teach insight and critical thinking and how to wield that information properly rather than continuing to deliver textbook level information when effectively textbooks are obsolete.
01:23:58.000But these are examples of successful, competitively successful, innovative challenges to the model that preexisted them.
01:24:09.000And the question is, can that set of models be systematized so that it...
01:24:18.000Without having to do the impossible, simply replaces the system as it stands because it delivers the things that the system claims to deliver more successfully than the system delivers.
01:24:29.000Okay, like what things we're talking about?
01:24:46.000Something that we collectively utilize.
01:24:48.000So imagine that you could have wonderful insurance, but that in signing up for that insurance, you were agreeing to some sort of larger social entity.
01:24:59.000So like your taxes would go towards life insurance, but meaning like things that go wrong in life.
01:25:06.000Like some part of what you would spend on things would be attributed to this fund.
01:25:14.000And I think we unfortunately default to thinking of everything in monetary terms.
01:25:20.000You could also invest in such an entity.
01:25:24.000Let's talk about the question of teachers that you were pointing out.
01:25:27.000Why are good teachers so few and far between?
01:25:31.000Well, of course, we pay at a level that we get exactly what we ordered.
01:25:35.000And the few good teachers that we run into are by and large people who are doing it in spite of the fact that they're being economically penalized.
01:25:42.000But what if your insurance, your access to excellent insurance that correctly hedged out the danger of medical bad luck came with some sort of social obligation in which,
01:25:58.000I don't know, the three years after you had...
01:26:02.000Gone to graduate school and gotten your advanced degree in something, you spent teaching in some school that needed that.
01:26:09.000So you didn't sideline yourself from the economy for the rest of your life teaching in some school where you were forever going to be hobbled by bad administrators, but you decided to take some period of time and invest it in your community or somebody else's community using expertise that you got that you'll be highly paid for later.
01:26:28.000So it's almost like you have mandatory military service in a way.
01:26:33.000Mandatory military service is, yes, it is one version of a much larger space of potential agreements that you could sign up for in exchange for benefits that you can't, most of us cannot negotiate on the open market.
01:26:48.000So to get your education, you would agree to use that education for the good of the community for a certain amount of time?
01:26:59.000So instead of walking away with massive debt that is going to hobble you in economic terms as you're trying to find your niche, that you would sign up for some agreement that was, you know...
01:27:13.000But wouldn't that still benefit the elite?
01:27:16.000Because what if Scrooge McDuck has a kid, and Scrooge McDuck's kid, he pays for his kid's education.
01:27:22.000They'll say, listen, son, you're not going to do any service.
01:27:24.000What you're going to do is use those three years to get ahead.
01:27:26.000And those little fucks, when they get out of that service, they're going to be working for you.
01:28:12.000One of the reasons that equality of outcome is absolutely not desirable, even if you could arrange it, is that the inequality of outcome is the incentive that drives people to achieve amazing stuff that we want them to achieve.
01:28:26.000So how far ahead of everybody else should you end up?
01:28:31.000Well, this is a difficult problem because you, to the extent that somebody...
01:28:35.000It earns a fortune because they have innovated in an important way, but then they have gone on to be a rent seeker.
01:28:45.000We don't want them rewarded for their rent seeking, but we do want them rewarded for their innovation.
01:28:51.000So, the problem is, the elite is two different things, and even worse, individuals who are members of the elite are composites of both things, where you get into the elite because you innovated something amazing,
01:29:09.000but the degree to which you have been rewarded is, I don't know, 60-70% the result of rent-seeking rather than what you innovated.
01:29:18.000And again, for people just tuning into us now, rent-seeking meaning doing things to which you extract money from the system without any real benefit to the people that are around you.
01:29:27.000Yeah, it's any time that you get paid without producing something of value, either innovation or productivity itself or something like that.
01:30:05.000It's a very tough conversation because one has to be very careful that you don't remove an incentive to do something valuable, even though the value of it may be very subtle.
01:30:17.000So the example of investment, like playing the stock market...
01:30:23.000Might look unproductive, but to the extent that you are correcting the fact that certain things are undervalued and other things are overvalued, you are actually doing a kind of service that is not as obvious on the outside unless you've spent time thinking about the logic of why you want the market to be efficient.
01:30:40.000So I don't want to declare that certain things are in and of themselves bad because we can't see the obvious value of them.
01:30:49.000On the other hand, there's an awful lot of stuff that is either totally valueless for which people are very handsomely paid or worse.
01:30:59.000Counterproductive, destructive of value, right?
01:31:01.000If you take waste and you get paid to dispose of it and you dispose of it in a way that it creates cancers where you can't detect that they've been created by what you've done, but it's not that you solved the problem of that waste.
01:31:14.000You just caused cancers in random homes that won't be able to trace their misfortune to your action.
01:31:20.000That's not Not only is that unproductive, but it's counterproductive.
01:31:25.000So how do you address these questions?
01:31:29.000Well, A, this is a much harder problem if you imagine that what you want to do is fix the landscape that you're walking into and say, you're a rent seeker and you're productive and you're 30% productive but 70% a rent seeker.
01:31:48.000What you can do is restructure things so that going forward, what is rewarded is actual productivity that is not harmful or actual innovation that is not harmful.
01:32:00.000And what is penalized and what you really want, if the system is to function...
01:32:06.000What you want is a disincentive to do anything that hurts other people, that has a net negative impact on the system.
01:32:37.000If you array incentives so that at the point you have solved a problem that is good to solve, that the well-being starts flowing in your direction.
01:33:01.000But as you start moving in the direction of doing something that interferes with other people's well-being, but nonetheless they can't help themselves, if you're innovating how to addict people to their phone, then actually you're hurting people.
01:33:16.000Are you going to tell Facebook what it's allowed to study?
01:33:22.000Have good intentions, but it turns out that they're, like Facebook is a perfect example.
01:33:27.000One of the executives from Facebook, I was just reading on Digg the other day, there was an article where he was sorry for what they've done.
01:33:35.000It was one of the original guys from Facebook.
01:33:37.000It's like, I really think that we've done a terrible thing with Facebook, and we've made people addicted to social media.
01:33:42.000Facebook seems to me to be particularly addictive, and I'm not exactly sure what they've done different than anybody else, but so much so that I kind of avoid Facebook.
01:33:51.000You know, it's funny how many conversations I've had in the last month in which somebody has said that they're avoiding Facebook, including me.
01:34:29.000Brett Weinstein is going to be on today.
01:34:31.000People tune in and now there's people that are listening right now because of social media.
01:34:36.000And then comedy shows that I have coming up.
01:34:39.000It works for me in a lot of those ways.
01:34:41.000But as time has gone on, I've pushed it away in most other ways.
01:34:48.000Well, and the thing, the interview that you just referenced, I saw it too and was quite blown away by it.
01:34:54.000I've been tuned into that because Tristan Harris is a friend of mine, and Tristan Harris is sort of the Paul Revere on this issue who has pointed out how much danger we are actually in.
01:35:07.000And I must say, he's a very interesting guy because his other area of expertise is magic, and so he's very interested in illusion.
01:35:17.000And so anyway, he's watched as an insider as these economic Goliaths have conspired to not let us go and to turn their product from a facilitator of social interaction into a cigarette, which is, you know, or a slot machine or something like that.
01:35:40.000Like, say, in this new system, how would that work?
01:35:42.000Say if you came up with this new widget, and this new widget does amazing things, but turns out it also makes you addicted to widgets.
01:35:50.000Okay, so I'm speaking only for myself here.
01:35:53.000I would not penalize Facebook or Twitter, but what I would want to see is somebody generate the alternative that has the benefit of not doing that to you.
01:36:05.000Okay, so a new Facebook that doesn't work with likes and all these things, you're not constantly checking on likes.
01:36:12.000But it wouldn't be, here's the thing, it wouldn't be as successful.
01:37:02.000Thirsty is people who are trying too hard.
01:37:08.000Like, you're not the type of person, if you saw someone who's a beautiful girl who's in a bikini, you would say, wow, that is a beautiful girl in a bikini.
01:37:52.000But that these people become these places where everybody goes to stare at their butt.
01:38:01.000And these pictures of them and their bodies and all these different things are traps for all these weird people that lack normal social skills.
01:38:45.000So this is actually the perfect place to go, then, because...
01:38:49.000One of the biggest obstacles to fixing the world is that although a huge fraction of the population is actually aware that things are off and they would like it to be better, there's so much low-level stuff that keeps us trapped in these unproductive kinds of cycles.
01:39:09.000And one of the things that I keep running into now, I'm now being included in all of these conversations with folks who...
01:39:19.000But everybody, and I mean really just about everybody, has stuff that to them is sacred and they want to take it off the table, right?
01:39:29.000They're very interested in the conversation about how we might fix the world.
01:39:32.000But, you know, if they're a libertarian, the point is, as soon as you can't even finish the word regulate.
01:39:38.000And they're just like, oh, well, sorry, you know, who watches the watchers?
01:39:43.000And the point, it's a bitter pill for just about everybody who's got some sacred thing that they're holding on to, is you are, if we deploy something that functions well and is capable of replacing the system we have without some gigantic catastrophe necessary in order to get over the transition,
01:40:08.000The whole point is to everyone's net benefit.
01:40:14.000If liberty is your thing, and I'm virtually sure liberty is your thing as it is my thing, that you will get more liberty.
01:40:24.000Net liberty will go up in a system that functions well.
01:40:28.000Many of the things that cause us not to be free have nothing to do with governmental regulation.
01:40:34.000They have to do with expectations that have been created by a market that does not have our interests at heart.
01:40:41.000And so if you're tracking net liberty, We're good to go.
01:40:59.000To wrap their minds around the possibility of regulation that they wouldn't hate.
01:41:04.000We are all so experienced now living in a world of malignant government where government action almost can't be useful and so it is natural to rebel against it and say I don't want any more of that.
01:41:21.000The less the better because the actions tend to be predatory but that is not the inherent nature of regulation and so Constructing a set of incentives that cause the market to deliver you the good parts of what a phone does without secretly addicting you to something that we now know.
01:41:42.000I don't know how many people in Silicon Valley have now issued a note of caution.
01:41:48.000Many have switched to flip phones themselves.
01:41:51.000I mean, this is nature's way of telling you that these algorithms have escaped our control.
01:41:58.000The fact that the people who are in a position to make a phone call and know more or less what the algorithm does can't even protect themselves...
01:42:06.000That ought to set off warning bells for us.
01:42:09.000Those people are in the best position to protect themselves.
01:42:11.000And the fact that they are bending over backwards, they are externalizing decision-making power, they're having their secretaries tell them when they can interact with certain sites in order to keep them from getting into habits that they can't manage.
01:42:25.000This is the only warning we're going to get.
01:42:31.000But this is only getting more sophisticated.
01:42:33.000And so if we do want to restructure things, and I would argue that even though market fundamentalists will hear their little sacred thing being challenged, what we really want to do is free markets to do what the brochure says that they do.
01:42:52.000While eliminating what the brochure never mentions.
01:42:55.000The brochure doesn't mention the fact that a totally free market produces predators and parasites at a huge rate, right?
01:43:29.000You would eliminate predators by disincentive...
01:43:37.000Your question actually has a hidden assumption built into it.
01:43:42.000You've seen the market as a mature entity with lots of full-grown predators.
01:43:47.000But just as it is with biology, all of those predators started with something simple.
01:43:53.000And what happened was they tapped into a niche.
01:43:58.000And because that niche was allowed to exist, the predators grow and they get more and more sophisticated at doing what they are doing.
01:44:07.000If you don't want to see the predators, you eliminate the niche for predation.
01:44:12.000This sounds like it would be functional if there was like 100 people.
01:44:16.000Well, first of all, this is one of the primary questions in the various conversations where people are trying to figure out how to bootstrap such a thing, is that we have what's called Dunbar's number.
01:44:28.000And Dunbar's number is basically a limit in the low hundreds of how many people you can keep in your head.
01:44:35.000And so the point is, we are adapted to that.
01:44:37.000And that number is probably an indicator of something like the number of people that you can adaptively interact with.
01:44:45.000I mean, in other words, if you had, I mean, this is really the motivation for your question.
01:44:50.000If you had 150 people and somebody was a bad actor, their reputation would precede them and you would detect, I should be careful interacting with that person.
01:44:59.000So the structure would be set up for tribes, which is essentially how we evolved, right?
01:45:04.000I mean, that's what Dunbar's number essentially reveals, is that we evolved growing up in groups of 50 to a couple hundred people, and those are the amount of people that you can keep in your mind.
01:45:16.000We have hard drive space, essentially.
01:45:18.000We do, but we also, human beings are very good at taking a technological solution and kludging or hacking a remedy for a problem like that.
01:45:33.000You on board, in your mind, have the ability to track something like 150 individuals with respect to their reputation so that you know how much to trust in any given interaction.
01:45:44.000In a group of, you know, 1,500, you don't.
01:45:48.000On the other hand, reputation can accumulate in some way that you can check it through people who you know.
01:45:56.000Are directly known to you are capable of giving you a reference and in fact you you know that this works because Interpersonally if somebody you trusted to a great extent gave you a recommendation of somebody else you would you would know how to evaluate it so We are,
01:46:14.000unfortunately, for both better and worse, we are living in a technological landscape that doesn't look like anything that our ancestors faced.
01:46:24.000That provides mechanisms for building solutions to problems that in an ancestral environment would not have been possible.
01:46:37.000The library at Alexandria is a technological solution to the problem of information having expanded to a level that a human mind couldn't hold it.
01:46:47.000And ironically, burned down by ideologues.
01:46:53.000So you have to build a structure that is robust to challenge.
01:46:57.000And of all of the things that would have to be true for a replacement system for planet Earth, The key is understanding that there are certain values that all reasonable people agree on.
01:47:09.000In fact, you can use to diagnose who's reasonable.
01:47:12.000So assuming that we don't all start at the same starting point, right, whether it's from our cognitive ability or education or opportunities, how would you stop predators?
01:47:23.000How would you stop people from preying on the weak?
01:47:28.000Because there are predators who they themselves are unfortunate mentally.
01:47:34.000They themselves have a deficit of thinking.
01:47:38.000And we're dealing with such numbers when we're dealing with 300 and whatever million people we have in this country alone.
01:47:44.000There's plenty of dummies that you could prey on.
01:47:47.000Well, the first thing that you would want to do is you would want to build.
01:47:50.000So if you came to me and you said, I have a social network and it provides 85% of the functionality of Facebook, but it insulates you completely from dopamine traps being used to addict you,
01:49:37.000If there's something over there, blockchain is not a joke anymore.
01:49:41.000Do you think that blockchain, the people that are involved, interested, and comprehensively understand what blockchain is, are there more or less of them than people that are in cults?
01:49:55.000There are vastly more paying attention.
01:51:21.000They believe it was the acacia bush, which is rich in DMT, and they think the metaphor of the burning bush was actually a psychedelic experience, and that Moses, during this psychedelic DMT experience, came back from the other dimension that you go into when you go into the DMT trance with all this Really standard messages that I myself have gotten from these psychedelic experiences that you have to treat each other as if we're all one and that our separations are all illusions that you are literally living
01:51:52.000a life that if I was born in your body and I had your genetics I would be you and you would be me because we are all the same and our differences are really what the illusion is we are these temporary beings And that negative thinking and negative feelings and all these things manifest themselves in negative actions and negative thoughts.
01:52:39.000Well, it definitely has benefited me, true or false.
01:52:43.000If you ask me, is it true that you have had positive experiences from psychedelic drugs where you have interpreted those experiences and improved your life?
01:53:25.000I think it's fine to have a great time, but that these things are so powerful The only thing that I like about doing it recreationally is it's going to get more people to do it.
01:53:40.000And that if you think it's recreational and then you do it, there's going to be a certain percentage of those people that go, what was that?
01:54:16.000And when you talk to people that have studied DMT in particular, one of the reasons why I think it's so familiar to us, when you have this experience, one of the first things that happens is you feel like you've been there before.
01:54:28.000And they believe that this is because during REM sleep, your brain produces DMT. It's very difficult to monitor, but they have been able to, through the Cottonwood Research Foundation, which all started from the work of Dr. Rick Strassman out of the University of New Mexico, who wrote a book called DMT the Spirit Molecule,
01:54:46.000Which was one of the very first times where the DEA allowed them to do clinical studies on people with intravenous dimethyltryptamine, which is like fucking serious shit.
01:54:57.000So instead of like this 10 to 15 minute trip, you're gone for a long time, half hour plus and deep, deep experiences that a lot of these people mirrored.
01:55:07.000They had like super similar experiences.
01:55:12.000But through the Cottonwood Research Foundation, they found that live rats are producing DMT in their pineal gland.
01:55:18.000This has been proven now, which was really just speculation.
01:55:22.000There was anecdotal evidence, but now they know that rats produce this.
01:55:26.000So they don't know exactly when people do it because they would have to do the same thing they do to rats.
01:55:30.000They'd have to open your brain up until they develop some sort of sophisticated detection methods.
01:55:34.000It's just speculation as to when the brain's producing this incredibly potent psychedelic drug.
01:56:46.000And that means that we have carried this with us from an ancestral state into the modern state and we now have molecules that we can trigger it when we want to.
01:56:56.000That gives you access to a style of thinking that you're telling me has altered your understanding of your relationship to other people and that it metaphorically lines up with what you often hear delivered in religious terms.
01:57:15.000And so, when you say Catholicism is a cult, I don't agree, because Catholicism historically must have been delivering messages that caused people to correct their thinking in ways that made them collaborate more effectively,
01:57:33.000that made them better able to find the opportunities in their environment.
01:57:37.000I'm not advocating that we should sign up for belief systems that are At odds with our modern environment.
01:57:47.000But one thing we can say I believe for sure is that religions that have stood the test of time did so because their value to the people who believed in them was so great that those that disbelieved were outcompeted.
01:58:04.000Now, so we get into trouble in the modern circumstance because we can look at many of the teachings of any of these ancient religions and we can compare them to what we learn scientifically and detect that there's something not right.
01:58:32.000By the way, I'm very uncomfortable with Scientology and what it does.
01:58:35.000But the problem is, as Scientology itself points out, if you looked at the inception of something like the Catholic Church, you might be equally troubled.
01:58:53.000Well, I think a cult is the predatory version.
01:58:56.000It is tapping into people's natural tendency to believe in what I call metaphorical truths, and it is using it very often to extract resources from them.
01:59:12.000The Catholic Church is so long-standing and the population that has – I guess what I would say is if a population succeeds by believing in these things, then cult is not the correct – I think you and I have different terms.
01:59:27.000We're using different definitions of the word cult then.
01:59:30.000But let me take – there's a very interesting comparison.
01:59:34.000So Joseph Smith, who started the Mormon Church, had a competitor.
01:59:42.000There's a book called The Kingdom of Matthias, right, about his competitor at the time.
01:59:47.000And to me, the two looked equally plausible, the story that they were selling.
01:59:51.000Now, Matthias never had more than 30 followers, and his – That religion died out and Joseph Smith won and the Mormon Church is obviously a real thing.
02:00:02.000But these sets of beliefs are advanced by somebody, whether those somebodies are cynical when they do it or whether they are earnest.
02:00:13.000I think many of these, the ones that we have Right.
02:00:36.000So the origins of the Catholic Church most likely came from some desire for order and a scaffolding of how to behave and to give people rules and structure for how to get through this life with the most amount of positivity and love.
02:00:53.000And by disciplining them and having these...
02:00:57.000Grave punishments being held over their head burning in the fires of the pits of hell if they decide to have sex with another man or wear two different types of cloth or Whatever the other silly things that were in the Old Testament by doing this what they've essentially tried to do was offer people structure No,
02:03:04.000I mean, this is clearly something that human beings have a hand in manipulating and changing, and they do it for the benefit of the structure itself.
02:03:12.000They're not doing it for the benefit of the human beings that are a part of it.
02:03:15.000They're doing it for the benefit of the structure itself.
02:03:28.000But I am saying that there is a – I mean this is exactly parallel to what we were talking about before.
02:03:34.000There is the predatory version, which I would call a cult.
02:03:38.000And there is the earnest version, which I would not call a cult.
02:03:42.000Now, I'm very uncomfortable with any of these things governing policy in the present, because none of them have a literal relationship with reality that allows them to deal with the fact that we've got all these new problems for which there's no religious wisdom.
02:03:56.000Maybe there's a problem in the word cult.
02:04:05.000A structure created by human beings, which is basically all structures, all structures, all models of behavior where you have to adhere to certain things.
02:04:18.000But the problem with religion, and even with a lot of cults, is the supposed grave consequences for deviating.
02:04:26.000Well, so, alright, let's pick up Catholicism because it's easy, because so much of the structure is visible to us.
02:04:34.000I would argue that Catholicism is going to be true of all of Christianity, it's going to be true of Judaism, but Catholicism is...
02:04:43.000It is easy to see how it would facilitate collaboration, that effectively it would recreate in some sense the insight that you're talking about from DMT, and that it would instantiate it in the population in a useful way that would facilitate collaboration and disrupt processes that cause infighting.
02:05:06.000Yeah, like what I was thinking before, it might be a structure.
02:05:09.000It's the scaffolding for human behavior and ethics.
02:07:19.000So he can't really get ahead by himself.
02:07:22.000He gets ahead, genetically speaking, when the town does well.
02:07:26.000And he's in a position to spot what's going wrong in the town.
02:07:29.000And he doesn't have a dog in that fight because he's not involved in business.
02:07:32.000He's not involved in mating and dating.
02:07:35.000You know, this is all relatively recent when it comes to the Catholic Church in the last couple hundred years.
02:07:39.000Yes, and I would argue if you look back at any of these traditions, any of the ones that worked will successfully have addressed the question of how you prevent corruption from emerging.
02:07:49.000Well, apparently it was sexual corruption.
02:07:53.000Like, the priests were essentially the guys who had the direct line to God, and just like professors have been known to do, not you.
02:08:00.000But, you know, some have sex with their students, you know?
02:08:03.000Because their students, like, look at them like, oh my god, I can't believe the professor's sitting down here with my work.
02:08:09.000I mean, that's a very minor connection in comparison to the connection to God.
02:08:14.000Anybody who's going to have power is in danger of abusing it.
02:08:19.000I would say it's interesting that in the Catholic Church and in other traditions where marriage and making money are impossible, that these appear to be evolved.
02:08:57.000And if you're, you know, hanging around with cute girls, people are going to look at you funny because you're not supposed to be having sex.
02:09:03.000So this limits their ability to get away with stuff.
02:09:11.000But the idea that there will be protections in...
02:09:13.000In each tradition for this, that religions that don't successfully protect against abuses of power will succumb in competition to religions that do it effectively.
02:09:26.000And so you're absolutely correct that all of the changes in religious texts that people believe in, that's all human beings making decisions about what to keep and what to throw out.
02:09:39.000What I am arguing is those that have been insightful about what to keep From the point of view of the particular problems faced by the population that they are in will have a competitive advantage because they will function more cohesively than a population of atheists who doesn't have somebody looking out to prevent outbreaks of competition inside the lineage or outbreaks of infighting.
02:10:04.000So if you were looking at it in an objective way, like say if you were an alien from another planet that didn't understand the language and you're just observing the structure, you would see this error correction.
02:10:16.000The structure would say, oh, they realized there was an issue here with power, and so they error corrected by making these priests be celibate, and then they figured out a way to keep them from having money, and that'll keep them from being invested in, you know, income.
02:10:29.000And I think it's very misleading to people who analyze things the way you and I would because there's so much hocus pocus associated with these structures that, you know, it's like constantly putting a finger in the eye of an analytical person.
02:10:58.000Looking at it as a modern person, it looks preposterous to me.
02:11:01.000On the other hand, there is no way, I'm telling you, I mean, most of my colleagues I'm sure would disagree with this, but I hope to show them to be wrong on this front.
02:11:10.000There is no way that the huge amount of effort and resource that is invested in these structures was an error.
02:11:20.000It cannot have been an evolutionary error because if it was, The huge investment that populations put into these structures is an opportunity for some population that behaves in exactly the same way except it doesn't make that error to win.
02:11:34.000Right, but when you get power and then you have the momentum of that power overcoming the population and then you have positions where the The behavior patterns are extremely restrictive and you have to behave inside these behavior patterns or there's grave consequences.
02:11:53.000I mean, you could conceivably run that for a thousand years without any error correction.
02:11:58.000And that's what you've got with Islam, right?
02:12:01.000You've got a very ancient form of religion that Michael Shermer wrote a piece about it that's pretty interesting, where he was talking about how it's the only religion that didn't go through the Enlightenment.
02:12:12.000And he makes these comparisons to, like, the corrections that have been had with other religions as time has gone on that haven't happened there.
02:12:21.000And you could equate it to resource management.
02:12:23.000You could equate it to the part of the world in which they live.
02:12:26.000There's a lot of different ways that you could try to figure out why this happened.
02:12:30.000But the reality is, That thing has not changed.
02:12:34.000That structure has not changed for a long time.
02:12:37.000I think you've hit on exactly the right point.
02:12:42.000But Islam's mechanism for preventing outbreaks of parasitism was to hard-code the thing.
02:12:52.000And this is a tragedy because what it means is that where Islam needs to update, it doesn't have the mechanism for doing it.
02:13:02.000But also has a built-in way to keep people aboard.
02:13:42.000In the future, if Scientology continues to evolve and self-correct, it could get to the point where it's a behavior pattern that could be complementary and perhaps even beneficial to people.
02:13:53.000I do not believe that this is where it is headed.
02:13:55.000But if a thousand years from now it had flourished and the population that believed these things was successfully growing, you'd have to say, well, there's something in that set of beliefs that's working for these folks.
02:17:10.000We went way far away from our original point, which was that you could figure out a way to restructure with this...
02:17:20.000I don't want to call it Plan B because that's the abortion bill.
02:17:22.000Game B. Game B. Game B. Well, I don't want to say there is no Game B at the moment.
02:17:27.000What there is is a conversation that emerged from this.
02:17:30.000And the basic point is that one can structure a superior deal to what people are able to work out for themselves.
02:17:38.000And it can function inside of the system and it can gain...
02:17:42.000Adherence for the very same reason that people are buying Bitcoin, for the same reason that people have decided to get smartphones, for the same reason people have signed up for Facebook.
02:17:53.000Those are, with the exception of Bitcoin, those are game A examples and they are predatory.
02:18:02.000But you could provide a version that was not predatory, that would function in a superior way with respect to how it enhanced your ability to function in the world, and rational people.
02:18:15.000I mean, you know, you make a good point.
02:18:17.000It's not that we have billions of people who are sophisticated enough to know that they should be looking for that alternative and who will jump on it.
02:18:25.000But to the extent that you have people that are sophisticated, are aware that their lives are being disrupted by forces that they are incapable of managing, like these dopamine traps and the like, Who will embrace these technologies because they themselves are looking for a mechanism to insulate from the predatory things that have emerged in the market.
02:18:49.000What you will get is the spread of these technologies.
02:18:52.000And if there is one sort of key message here about all of the objections that one might raise about the difficulty of creating such alternatives and getting them to be adopted...
02:19:21.000Pick up some new technology or agreement because it enhances your life, it solves some problem for you in some way that's good, that causes the thing to be adopted out of self-interest.
02:19:33.000And that is what the mechanism for change is going to have to look like, is self-interest causing people to embrace a shift in the opportunities and obligations that they are signed up for.
02:19:48.000Now, I think one of the problems that I have with this is that I always assume that this is going to be like on January the 1st, we're switching over to the new system, but it's not, right?
02:20:38.000Leave the reservation as it were, and you can proceed by other means.
02:20:43.000And what happens is the same thing that, you know, Lars Anderson discovered with archery, is that once you're no longer signed up for what good form looks like, there are all kinds of ways to accomplish things that are not documented.
02:21:09.000You know, even if we find a way to be physically healthy, we are all overwhelmed by so much social noise and so much choice that is meaningless that we end up wasting a huge fraction of our time, spending a tremendous amount of our mental effort on puzzles that aren't interesting or worthwhile or productive.
02:21:29.000And so we are all Each of us has a giant opportunity to upgrade our lives by simply removing a bunch of the noise, by getting the systems that are supposed to function in our interest to do so more effectively.
02:21:44.000And therefore we are, I hate to use the word consumers, but we would be willing consumers for a better alternative were it to show up for us.
02:21:53.000And presenting that alternative so that people find it, they experiment with it, and upon discovering that actually, you know what, I am better off when I participate in this way than that way, that that causes adoption.
02:22:06.000And it doesn't take very much, you know, Bitcoin obviously started with, you know, an ambitious person who set the thing in motion.
02:22:14.000What's a currency with only one person using it?
02:22:24.000So anyway, it is possible to get adoption based on the fact that the thing solves problems that people are otherwise stuck with.
02:22:31.000Do you think that because things are moving so quickly today, it seems to me that new ideas are implemented so fast, new concepts are accepted so quickly, that something like this, where it might have taken several decades, a few decades ago, would only take a few years today?
02:22:52.000One, there is the possibility that things will change very rapidly.
02:22:56.000And then there is the fact that they must, because the trajectory we're on, we are playing with such powerful technologies and being operated at such a high rate, with such high throughput, that those of us who have started...
02:23:12.000I think it's a mistake to look at the problems of the world as individual problems.
02:23:17.000It's much more effective to look at them as symptoms of problems that don't have names.
02:23:23.000So we have an economic system that generates technologies that create great benefits in the short term at some massive level.
02:23:52.000And liquidating the well-being of the planet at present is so fast that effectively we need to change quickly.
02:24:00.000And it doesn't mean, I guess that's the other thing that I haven't said yet, is nobody, including me, thinks that we're going to be able to spell out an answer in the present that is correct.
02:24:12.000But what we can do is navigate in the direction of the answer that is correct and we can discover what that answer looks like.
02:24:20.000In other words, the right model is not the writing down of the new rules of the world and the embrace of them because you get benefits.
02:24:32.000What the new structure would be and then you institute the prototype in some group of people who have signed up for it and then you discover what you didn't know about it that you needed to know and you correct those problems so that what you get is effectively Evolution building an elegant solution rather than what progressives often accidentally invite,
02:24:54.000which is good intentions that produce horrifying outcomes because you didn't know what they were actually going to do once you set them in motion, right?
02:26:53.000Use so you can effectively harness the power of evolution to build a functional system rather than build a system and then suffer the consequences of evolution that you didn't anticipate.
02:27:06.000We've built an economy and a political system that evolve out from under us and they create monstrous phenomena that we didn't anticipate because they weren't in the plan.
02:27:16.000Do you think that it's possible that, like you see the radical change, the social change that's happened just over the last couple months since the Harvey Weinstein thing?
02:27:28.000I mean, it literally has probably stopped sexual harassment dead in his tracks.
02:27:33.000Women who work in these workplaces that had to deal with the consequences of these guys, the amount of those sexual harassment episodes has probably been radically reduced like that.
02:27:48.000I think because my only concern is that With false accusations or overreactions or people that are just not treating this like the incredibly powerful medium that it is,
02:28:06.000the medium for change, and then using it to their own benefit, people could get greedy and corrupt this, right?
02:28:27.000But I've seen several stories now that I find very disturbing.
02:28:32.000The first one, and I must say, you know, this was a topic of conversation with me and my friends, as I'm guessing it would have been with you and your friends, and...
02:28:43.000I feel weird saying this on your podcast, but here it comes.
02:28:49.000My friends and I who discussed this had a kind of reaction which was, you know, it turns out to have been a really good decision never to grope anybody who wasn't into it, right?
02:30:11.000He had been comforting a woman and he had leaned in, I guess, to hug her and put his hand on her back and he said her shirt was open and he touched her back and he said his hand went up about six inches that she recoiled.
02:32:42.000Whether that button is a commonplace thing that's been misinterpreted, I don't know.
02:32:45.000But there is some story in which some woman came into his office, he had her bend over his desk, he had sex with her, she fainted, and he had his assistant take her to the hospital, which...
02:33:00.000You know, anyway, I'm uncomfortable now because I can't establish that any of this stuff is true.
02:33:07.000But I will say the Garrison Keillor story doesn't sound like the Lauer story.
02:33:10.000It doesn't sound like the Harvey Weinstein story or Kevin Spacey.
02:33:39.000When I heard that one, suddenly my feeling of safety, based on the fact that I haven't groped anybody who didn't want to be groped, vanished because suddenly it was open season.
02:33:52.000But the story that disturbs me even more is the Matt Taibbi story.
02:34:39.000And that he and his partner were engaged in producing the satirical publication that was in fact mocking the culture of Americans who had gone over to Russia and were snorting tons of coke and living it up as they were corrupting the society that had recently been freed from communism.
02:35:01.000And so the point is This is a case in which the evidence against Taibbi was ironic because it was really Taibbi critiquing this bad behavior amongst other men.
02:35:12.000And so the reason that this, you know, I wouldn't know what to make of that story except that the person, the journalist who started sorting this out, interviewed both Matt Taibbi's girlfriend who worked at the publication and other women in the office soliciting stories about what had happened in the office.
02:35:29.000And the women in the office universally reported Right.
02:36:05.000But the fact that there's no there there, when you pursue the story, the women who were in a position to say, yeah, actually he was kind of a dick, said, oh, the opposite.
02:36:15.000It was designed to lampoon people who were behaving badly in this context in exactly the way that the Me Too movement should applaud.
02:36:24.000You retweeted and quoted a woman who wrote something, and I retweeted it as well when you did it, which she said, here's an unpopular opinion.
02:36:33.000I'm actually not at all concerned about men who are falsely accused of sexual assault slash harassment.
02:36:43.000There's the idea that honorable men who are on your side could get caught up in this, and you're not even remotely concerned.
02:36:50.000I don't know if you followed the thread before she turned her page to private, but one of the more hilarious things is they turned it on her saying, what about men of color who are falsely accused?
02:37:19.000You find this one terrible example, and then everything sort of like gets washed out because of this one terrible example, and then I feel like it'll settle.
02:37:38.000That particular tweet you're talking about, I don't care if some innocent men go down, is based on one relatively easy to understand conclusion, but it misses the more important one.
02:37:49.000So what she's effectively saying is there's been a ton of carnage.
02:37:53.000Lots of women have suffered awful stuff at the hands of men who weren't accountable.
02:37:56.000And so a few men who suffer some bad stuff is tiny in comparison.
02:38:06.000It's the worst idea because what you want is a system in which men are honorable.
02:38:11.000And if you allow men who are honorable to be skewered simply because some person, often cynical, decides to go after them, A, you're going to eliminate all of the courageous men from the system because all those people have enemies.
02:38:27.000And so the point is, anybody with an enemy suddenly has to fear an accusation that has no truth in it that's going to be reflexively believed.
02:38:33.000So if you want the system to work, the last thing you want to do is just decide it's fine for innocent people to go down with the ship.
02:38:41.000Yeah, and to not have any respect for due process is just crazy.
02:38:45.000You're going to go back to the McCarthy era.
02:38:47.000You're going to go to the Salem witch trials.
02:39:02.000Look, I've always said this, the environment of an office.
02:39:06.000It's so fucking entirely unnatural that it takes incredible restraint just to keep people from behaving in the way that they would if they were surrounded by these people on a regular basis.
02:39:16.000And like we were talking about before with professors, the relationship that a professor has with a student, but it's even more so with a boss and an employee, right?
02:39:26.000A secretary, someone who makes a fraction of what you make, or someone who's below you in the office food chain and You kind of can dictate whether or not they do well in life, whether or not they advance.
02:39:41.000Your input can change the course of their career, how much money they make, whether they'll be able to go on vacations, whether they can live comfortably, pursue their dreams.
02:40:42.000Where the power of men like Harvey Weinstein and Matt Lauer comes from a very unnatural concentration of opportunity.
02:40:53.000So women have been compromised because if you're in the news biz, was it NBC, and Matt Lauer tells you to open your blouse, suddenly you're staring at a major career decision, right?
02:41:55.000But even though he was her monster, in her words, she said that there were two Harvey Weinsteins, and you didn't know which one you were going to get.
02:42:44.000And the point is, well, there's something unhealthy about a system that creates somebody so powerful that they are capable of just treating their own sexual assault of other people as a cost of doing business by writing it into the contract.
02:42:59.000We have to fix, not only do we have to fix that if you're a man and you behave this way, you're not safe.
02:43:05.000We also have to fix the system that let this go on so long by concentrating opportunity so that any person who decided to say, hey, actually, things are not healthy here would have been, A, not listened to because everybody else had stuff to lose if Harvey Weinstein didn't like you.
02:43:53.000I mean, you hear horrible stories throughout history.
02:43:56.000Of things that men do when they have ultimate power.
02:43:59.000The old phrase, ultimate power corrupts, you know, or absolute power corrupts absolutely.
02:44:05.000And it's just, there's no way around it, it seems like, unless there's full disclosure.
02:44:11.000I firmly believe that all of this is, there's two things going on right now.
02:44:18.000That we are in sort of an adolescent stage of human evolution in terms of our culture.
02:44:24.000And that we're working out how we interact and behave with each other.
02:44:28.000That information and the ability to exchange information is highlighting all these flaws in these natural systems that we have, these alpha chimps that are running these giant groups.
02:44:38.000But then I think this technology that it's exposing us is going to give way to something that's even scarier.
02:44:45.000And my number one fear over the last year has been artificial intelligence.
02:44:50.000Oh, I'm tremendously troubled by it, too.
02:44:54.000Every day I wake up thinking, are we just sleeping while this thing is about to go live and we literally are in a fucking Terminator movie?
02:45:04.000I think it's both better and worse than that.
02:45:34.000It might be creative and either the paperclip problem is you tell it to make as many paperclips as possible and it sees your attempt to turn it off or reprogram it as an obstacle to making paperclips and it just starts liquidating the universe.
02:45:48.000So that's not a malevolent AI, that's a confused AI. Malevolent AI is also possible, but what we've got is a baby version.
02:46:00.000The algorithms causing us to become addicted to our phones and to do damage to our lives is AI. These are algorithms that are developing.
02:46:10.000And frankly, it doesn't even matter whether people are reprogramming them or whether they are reprogramming themselves.
02:46:17.000What we have is an evolutionary system that the winner will be the site that manages to capture your attention in the face of competitors who are trying to do the same thing, and they will build anything and everything into that algorithm to get you to do it, which means there's nothing in your life that's sacred,
02:46:38.000What we have now is a case where the algorithms aren't so good that we can't have this conversation, recognize that this is a danger we've created for ourselves, and address it.
02:48:22.000Well, suppose you took 99% of the AI projects and managed to correctly build in some algorithm that prevented them from going rogue in one way or the other, but somebody else decides not to.
02:48:35.000So we have to confront this at the level of what is allowed.
02:48:41.000I don't like hearing myself say that because I hear people turning off on the other end when they hear, oh, he doesn't want to allow us to innovate.
02:48:50.000For the survival of the species, I think it's imperative.
02:48:55.000I'm so scared that we're caught up in all this other nonsense, and we're thinking about so much stupid shit in our life, like whether or not Kim and Kanye stay together.
02:49:05.000There's a lab right now, and they're connecting these wires and connecting these dots and reprogramming and accelerating the evolution of this thing, and it's not going to turn off.
02:49:15.000And that life as we know it, we only have a few years left of this.
02:49:20.000I really feel like we're in a fucking science fiction movie, and we're at the beginning of the movie where everything's great.
02:49:35.000And then, in the meanwhile, there's fucking robots that are being built by Boston Dynamics that does backflips, and they're going to be able to think for themselves, and they're going to have machine guns for hands, and their body's going to be filled with bullets.
02:49:48.000It's fucking crazy because it's happening at such an accelerated rate that it's literally, I'll be sitting around, I'll be playing with my kids, I'll be hanging out, and I'll be like, fuck, are they making robots right now?
02:50:01.000Are we like a year away from this being a real problem?
02:50:07.000This is kind of what I'm getting at, is that the AI problem, in some ways, maybe it's good, because it's causing us to be able to focus on one of these hazards to us that you can't, once you've seen why this is a risk, once you've really made eye contact with it,
02:50:24.000you can't talk yourself into why it's safe.
02:50:44.000Sam Harris makes the point that as you talk about the AI apocalypse, it is simultaneously horrifying but kind of fun to get into because it is sort of sci-fi and all.
02:50:59.000But the whole landscape that we have built Right?
02:51:03.000Our socio-political landscape was built by people who had never heard of Darwinism.
02:51:11.000And so they built a bunch of ecosystems in which stuff evolves and they didn't know to worry about it.
02:51:19.000So the AI problem is a very concentrated version of a very general problem, which is if you build a habitat and you install into it those features which cause Evolution to occur.
02:51:37.000We are suffering the consequence of...
02:51:40.000An economic environment that is evolutionary, that creates giant rent-seeking monsters who are liquidating our well-being and putting it into their bank accounts.
02:51:51.000We've created a political apparatus that has the same characteristics, and now we're facing a robot version that actually has the potential to very rapidly push us over the cliff.
02:52:03.000My real issue with this, and this is something that I've been battling again for a couple years now, is that this is what we do.
02:52:10.000And it's one of the reasons why we're so fascinated with technological innovation.
02:52:15.000I mean, literally, we are the caterpillar.
02:52:18.000That is becoming the electronic butterfly, and we don't realize it while we're doing it.
02:52:22.000And we're so obsessed with the newest, latest, greatest phone that really doesn't change your life at all.
02:53:04.000And I think it does look a little bit like Lars Anderson with his fancy archery, you know, which is we are just on the cusp of understanding enough about what a human being is and how it functions for us to actually take control of our structure and to turn it to basically creating a stable,
02:53:46.000That thing that we are pursuing, the well-being that we felt the burst of when we got our first smartphones, that thing can be made to...
02:53:57.000The system can be made such that we are constantly getting the signals of well-being and the liberty to do things that are of consequence.
02:54:07.000In other words, it is not beyond our current understanding to build a system that instead of getting you to innovate something, having a huge burst of dopamine, and then it wears out and you're constantly looking for the next one, it is possible to build a system that...
02:54:52.000Architecting a system that understands what a human being is, that understands we are not built to be happy and therefore pursuing happiness as if we were built to be happy is a hazard.
02:55:08.000We should be pursuing something else and we should recognize that happiness is a carrot on a stick that evolution built into us in order to get us to pursue objectives which were not stable well-being.
02:55:21.000They were actually the spread of our genomes.
02:56:30.000But the fact that we do not understand that we are mindlessly pursuing these things, even when they are not available, causes us to do all sorts of harm to ourselves.
02:56:41.000So understanding these things as we finally are beginning to, we could build a civilization that did not leave us on the hedonic treadmill pursuing happiness, which cannot possibly be Thank you.