The Joe Rogan Experience - March 28, 2017


Joe Rogan Experience #938 - Lawrence Krauss


Episode Stats

Length

2 hours and 24 minutes

Words per Minute

192.48875

Word Count

27,805

Sentence Count

2,077

Misogynist Sentences

11


Summary

In this episode, Dr. Carl Sagan joins me to talk about his new book, The Dark Side of the Universe. We talk about how he broke his own brain to figure out what gauge symmething is, why it's so important to understand nature, and what it means to be a scientist. We also talk about the importance of a scientific understanding of the universe, and how science can help us understand it. And, of course, we talk about quantum physics and the Higgs boson, and why the real world is so much more interesting than we think it is. It's a great episode, and I hope you enjoy it as much as I enjoyed recording it! Thank you so much to Carl Sagan for coming on the show, and for being so generous with his time and his insights. I really appreciate it, and it was a pleasure to have him on to talk to me about science and all the amazing things he's written about in his book, "The Dark Side Of The Universe." I hope that you enjoy this episode and that it makes you think about how important it is to have someone like Dr. Sagan as a scientist and a scientist in the field of science and how important science is to you. I think it's important to have a scientist on your side. . Thanks for listening and for supporting the show. - Carl Sagan - Tom Bell and his book "A Good Life: The Story of Science and Mythology: The Real World in the Making of a Good Life" by Carl Sagan, written by David Grauso, published in 2016, is a must-listen-listenergasmic in the best book I've ever written by a scientist, and the most brilliant man in the world, and a true story about science, and so much so that you should listen to it. Thank you, Tom Bell, for being kind enough to share it with the rest of us, and thank you for letting us know what you think of it, too. Tom Bell is a good friend of mine, and you're a wonderful human being and a great human being, and he's words of wisdom, and good advice, good words, good vibes, and hope you'll give us a listen to us all a listen, and we'll get a chance to hear it in the next episode of this podcast, too! - Thank you Tom Bell.


Transcript

00:00:02.000 One, four, three, two, live!
00:00:05.000 Mr. Krause, how are you, sir?
00:00:07.000 Great.
00:00:07.000 Great to be here.
00:00:08.000 I have been enjoying your latest book, but I do have to tell you, I think you broke my brain with gauge symmetry.
00:00:14.000 I had to go over that about 30 or 40 times to try to figure out what that means and how that works.
00:00:21.000 Well, it's amazing you did.
00:00:22.000 It breaks our brains.
00:00:23.000 I put it in there in spite of the fact it's hard.
00:00:25.000 That part is hard.
00:00:26.000 But it is so central to the way we think about the world nowadays that I thought, I got to try and explain it.
00:00:31.000 And I broke my own brain trying to think of ways to explain it.
00:00:35.000 And I figured people wouldn't devote as much time as you did to doing it.
00:00:40.000 It's so subtle that even physicists have a hard time in some ways grasping the implications of it.
00:00:47.000 But it is so central the way we think about the universe.
00:00:50.000 If I don't include it for the inquiring mind like you, then I'd feel bad.
00:00:54.000 It is so baffling.
00:00:56.000 But you know what?
00:00:56.000 It's one of the things that when I write books...
00:01:00.000 I do most things for myself, in a way.
00:01:03.000 And in every book I write, I usually learn something.
00:01:06.000 And always when you're explaining stuff, most teachers say the first time they understand anything is when they teach it.
00:01:12.000 And gauge symmetry, I'd never thought of really how to explain it.
00:01:16.000 And I tried to explain to my editor, which was great because she didn't know any science and she kept not understanding it.
00:01:22.000 And then I came up with this explanation involving these chess boards, which is still subtle, but I realized afterwards it was kind of neat because...
00:01:29.000 When I developed this explanation for gauge symmetry, I not only understood it in a new way, but I realized, gee, I now understood physically, if I'd had this explanation before, I could have predicted this Higgs mechanism and all the things I only see mathematically all come out of the picture I gave.
00:01:45.000 So I loved that.
00:01:46.000 It's a new way for me to think about the world that I didn't before.
00:01:48.000 Well, most of what you guys do is almost like another language to someone like myself.
00:01:54.000 And what this seems to be, this gauge symmetry seems to be, is like a very complicated word in an alien language.
00:02:01.000 Yeah.
00:02:02.000 Everything.
00:02:03.000 It is.
00:02:03.000 But it nevertheless, it's so central.
00:02:07.000 And if you can picture the fact that it's fundamental to nature, and therefore if you really want to understand nature, at some level you've got to grapple with it.
00:02:15.000 You know, it's...
00:02:17.000 We're stuck with the world the way it is.
00:02:19.000 It'd be great if it was a lot easier.
00:02:21.000 But would it be?
00:02:22.000 Because I think that's one of the more fascinating things about it is that it's so bizarre.
00:02:25.000 Well, yeah.
00:02:26.000 In fact, that's why it's the greatest story ever told so far, because it's bizarre.
00:02:29.000 And the fact that it's bizarre and we've come this far is amazing.
00:02:33.000 I mean, it's just amazing.
00:02:35.000 We could have come this far in a few hundred years.
00:02:37.000 And it's kind of sad that people don't realize, because they get all stuck at all this myth and superstition, and the real world is so much more interesting.
00:02:45.000 It is unbelievably fascinating when you delve into the world of quantum mechanics and quantum physics and all these bizarre things that are happening far smaller than the eye can see.
00:02:56.000 You realize it is kind of magic.
00:02:58.000 Well, it seems like magic, but the fact that We get it at some level is remarkable because the other thing I find that makes it magic is when you realize that the world we experience is such an illusion.
00:03:11.000 Yes.
00:03:11.000 That the real world is so different and I love telling you a story of how we got there because you see scientists are biased and prejudiced and have You know, they know where they're going, even when it's wrong.
00:03:24.000 But science can overcome those biases and prejudices and drag us kicking and streaming in the right direction.
00:03:30.000 And that's why the story is neat, but it's also lately, I've been thinking in terms of politics, why it's also neat.
00:03:35.000 Because we need that to cut through the crap that we're hearing about in Washington.
00:03:39.000 The same scientific methods of skeptical inquiry, of reliance on empirical evidence, of testing, of looking at many sources.
00:03:59.000 Yeah.
00:04:00.000 Yeah.
00:04:02.000 Yeah.
00:04:15.000 Which was written by illiterate peasants 2,000 years ago and never changes because it was just as boring then as it is now.
00:04:21.000 And this one keeps changing, and we're surprised every day.
00:04:24.000 Well, I think one of the things that's important that you said is that scientists sometimes have ego problems and they have an idea where it's going, even if the evidence disproves them, but that science corrects it.
00:04:34.000 So I think that, like, using that...
00:04:37.000 Explanation, or using that definition, it sort of defines what's important about it.
00:04:41.000 Because human beings, even the most brilliant ones, are flawed because we do have egos and we are just people.
00:04:47.000 Exactly.
00:04:47.000 And this story that I tell, which is, for me, actually, for me it was interesting because I really had to learn, I thought I knew the history, but of course when you write something down, you...
00:04:55.000 You suddenly realize you don't.
00:04:56.000 And I had to learn it more.
00:04:57.000 And you want to take some of these people and shake them and say, look, the solution's right here.
00:05:02.000 You've got it.
00:05:03.000 Why are you waiting 20 years?
00:05:04.000 You're looking in the wrong direction.
00:05:06.000 The example I was just thinking about the other day when I was giving a talk, I don't know if you ever saw this video where you're supposed to look at these people bouncing basketballs and you're supposed to, I'm going to ruin it for you and all your listeners if they haven't.
00:05:18.000 I'm I've probably seen it.
00:05:19.000 Where you're supposed to count the basketballs and see how many people are, and there's a guy walking between them in an ape suit and a gorilla suit, and you never see him.
00:05:27.000 Right.
00:05:28.000 You don't even see him because you're so focused on the wrong thing.
00:05:31.000 And that's the way physics often happens.
00:05:34.000 We think the direction is one direction.
00:05:36.000 We're so focused on it, we don't even realize the solution is there before our very eyes.
00:05:40.000 And I think it's important because, you know, people think that science...
00:05:44.000 You know, that scientists and science are the same thing, and they're not.
00:05:49.000 The good thing about scientists, the good scientists, is they're at least willing to recognize in the end that they're wrong.
00:05:55.000 So they have these preconceptions, and the great thing about science is it trains us, yeah, there are these things that are central to our being, but ultimately we realize we're wrong and we're willing to change our minds.
00:06:05.000 That's the difference between science and religion, really, is that, yeah, we have biases, yeah, we have prejudices, yeah, we want to believe.
00:06:12.000 We really want to believe, just like the X-Files.
00:06:14.000 But eventually, when nature tells us otherwise, we throw out those beliefs like yesterday's newspaper.
00:06:19.000 That's why science is so neat.
00:06:21.000 Now, people that are listening to this are probably going, what is gauge symmetry, dude?
00:06:24.000 You just passed over that, and you said it was crazy.
00:06:26.000 Is there a way that you could possibly just give a small synopsis?
00:06:31.000 Sure.
00:06:32.000 We'll try.
00:06:32.000 We'll see how we do.
00:06:33.000 Okay.
00:06:36.000 So it turns out that there's a fundamental principle in nature, which really was discovered by this wonderful woman mathematician, Emmy Nerther, who wasn't even allowed to get a job because she was a woman at the turn of the century.
00:06:50.000 But she discovered...
00:06:51.000 So there's things we say, and we tell kids, unfortunately, in schools...
00:06:55.000 Energy is conserved and momentum is conserved.
00:06:57.000 It sounds like the Ten Commandments, like we come up with them because we like them.
00:07:01.000 And now we understand them differently.
00:07:03.000 We understand that everything that is conserved, that doesn't change in the world, is due to a fundamental symmetry of nature.
00:07:10.000 So energy is conserved because we now understand the laws of physics don't change over time.
00:07:18.000 As long as you contest that the laws of physics are the same tomorrow as they are today, then we know energy is conserved.
00:07:24.000 It's not something we take on faith.
00:07:26.000 It's a mathematical consequence of that.
00:07:29.000 Momentum conservation is a consequence of the fact that the laws of physics don't change from place to place.
00:07:34.000 That they're the same in this studio here as they would be if we were having this conversation in New York.
00:07:39.000 That seems reasonable.
00:07:40.000 And she showed mathematically it's the case.
00:07:42.000 So there's a famous, everyone's experiences who learned any physics, conservation of charge.
00:07:49.000 You know, the electric charge in any system doesn't change magically over time.
00:07:53.000 That's a fundamental property of electricity and magnetism.
00:07:56.000 You've got a certain amount of charge at the beginning.
00:07:58.000 It's got to be the same at the end.
00:08:00.000 That's a consequence of the fact that it's arbitrary.
00:08:04.000 There's a symmetry of nature that says, you know, Benjamin Franklin called electrons, you know, negative, negatively charged.
00:08:10.000 But it doesn't mean anything because I could have called them positively charged.
00:08:13.000 It's just an arbitrary definition.
00:08:15.000 If I changed every negative charge in the world to positive charge and every positive charge to negative charge, everything would work the same way.
00:08:23.000 A symmetry of nature represents something that doesn't change about nature when you make a change in a definition.
00:08:30.000 So, calling electrons positively charged and protons negatively charged would not make the world difference.
00:08:37.000 It's an arbitrary name.
00:08:40.000 Martians could call electrons positively charged and protons negatively charged.
00:08:44.000 There's nothing fundamentally important about the word positive charge.
00:08:47.000 It doesn't mean any different than a negative charge.
00:08:50.000 So I could change every...
00:08:51.000 Right now, I could change the charge on every electron in the universe And flip it.
00:08:57.000 It's a sign.
00:08:58.000 So every electron is negatively charged now, but now suddenly I'm God and I make every electron positively charged and I make every proton negatively charged.
00:09:07.000 Nothing about the laws of physics will change.
00:09:09.000 I don't understand that.
00:09:09.000 Why wouldn't it change?
00:09:11.000 I mean, is there a function of them being positive or negatively charged?
00:09:13.000 No, no, it's just a name.
00:09:14.000 That's why it's like calling...
00:09:16.000 I could call up, down, and down, up, and it wouldn't make it...
00:09:19.000 As long as it's a noise you make with your mouth.
00:09:20.000 Yeah, exactly.
00:09:21.000 So the name I give it is irrelevant.
00:09:24.000 Okay, so it's not like you would change the actual function of the electron.
00:09:28.000 No, no, exactly.
00:09:29.000 I call, it's electrically charged.
00:09:32.000 That's important.
00:09:33.000 Okay.
00:09:33.000 And it repels other electrons because they have the same electric charge.
00:09:37.000 That's important, right?
00:09:39.000 Right.
00:09:39.000 Two electrically negative charged particles repel.
00:09:42.000 Right.
00:09:42.000 But look, if I made them both two positive charged particles, they'd also repel.
00:09:45.000 So the physical consequences would not change at all depending upon how I named them.
00:09:51.000 I see what you're saying.
00:09:51.000 Okay.
00:09:51.000 Now, so the example I used in the book to try and sort of describe that is a chessboard.
00:09:57.000 You got white squares and black squares and you play with the white chessmen and the white...
00:10:01.000 If I changed all the white squares into black squares...
00:10:06.000 And I rotated the board by 90 degrees, it would look identical.
00:10:09.000 And if I changed the black players to white players and the white players to black players, the game of chess would be identical.
00:10:16.000 Nothing would change about it.
00:10:17.000 So what's white and what's black is kind of arbitrary, right?
00:10:20.000 It doesn't matter, which is good because if it kind of wasn't, then chess wouldn't be a fun game because if you always had black, you might win.
00:10:26.000 If you always had white, you might win.
00:10:27.000 But it's the same, right?
00:10:30.000 So I could change all white Squares to black squares and black squares to white squares, and the game of chess would not change.
00:10:37.000 So that's a symmetry of the chessboard.
00:10:39.000 And that's like electric charge.
00:10:42.000 White being negative or positive and black being...
00:10:45.000 So let's say white is negative and black is positive.
00:10:48.000 If I switched all black to white or negative or positive, nothing would change about the game of chess.
00:10:52.000 If I switch negative to positive in the universe, nothing changes in the universe.
00:10:56.000 The game of life, the game of physics would not change.
00:10:59.000 The rules wouldn't change.
00:11:02.000 The dynamics, everything would remain the same about the universe.
00:11:06.000 So that you could sort of, even that is not so easy.
00:11:08.000 I can tell from looking at your face, it's already not so easy.
00:11:11.000 Okay?
00:11:12.000 But you can sort of accept that, right?
00:11:15.000 Yes.
00:11:15.000 Okay.
00:11:16.000 Okay.
00:11:16.000 That's the easy part.
00:11:18.000 Okay.
00:11:21.000 So here's what gauge symmetry says.
00:11:23.000 Man, this is really weird.
00:11:26.000 I can actually do better than that.
00:11:28.000 I can arbitrarily change each white square in a chess board to a black square.
00:11:34.000 I can choose randomly which white squares to change to black squares.
00:11:38.000 And I can still make the game of chess the same if I just have a rulebook.
00:11:43.000 And the rulebook tells me, oh, if you're on that square, you can do what you could have done if it was a white square.
00:11:48.000 So if I have the rulebook, then it doesn't matter what colors the squares are.
00:11:51.000 If I know I was in the square that used to be white, but I call it black, and I look and I say, okay, my knight can do this in that square, but I couldn't do that.
00:11:59.000 So if I have a rulebook, then I'm arbitrarily free to change the color of each square in a chessboard, as long as a rulebook tells me what I've done.
00:12:10.000 That's electromagnetism.
00:12:11.000 Because it turns out, electromagnetism has a symmetry that says, you know what, I could change the definition of the charge on an electron here, but in the next room differently, so I could call this electron positive and that one negative, and it wouldn't change anything as long as I had a rule book that told me That I made that change and how the electromagnetic interaction would be the same.
00:12:34.000 As long as I'm free to change the definition of what I call positive and negative charge locally, not globally.
00:12:41.000 That means I can do it differently here and there.
00:12:43.000 As long as I have a rule book that says, you know what, that electron used to be negative, so it'll still repel this electron here, even though I call it positive and I call that negative.
00:12:51.000 I've changed locally the definition, but I also changed the rules.
00:12:54.000 I understand that, and I understand the need for the rulebook.
00:12:56.000 Now, it turns out that the rulebook really tells you it's a rule at each point in space, right?
00:13:02.000 It's a rule.
00:13:03.000 It tells you what you can and can't do at each point in space.
00:13:06.000 So we call that a function, because a function is a number or a rule at each point in space.
00:13:11.000 A function at space is exactly that.
00:13:14.000 Well, it turns out the function that does that is the electromagnetic field.
00:13:20.000 If you ask what would be the mathematical characteristics of a quantity that would make sure the rules remain the same no matter what I called an electron place to place, and you ask how I could write it down mathematically, It would have exactly the mathematical form of the electromagnetic field,
00:13:36.000 the thing that we call the electric field or magnetic field.
00:13:40.000 The mathematics of it is precisely fixed.
00:13:44.000 By being able to allow us to change the definition of charge from place to place in a way that doesn't change the ultimate dynamics, doesn't change the way the world works.
00:13:55.000 It's prescribed by the mathematics, the rule book is prescribed, and the mathematics of that rule book turns out, magically almost, to be exactly the mathematics of Maxwell's equations, which are the equations of electromagnetism.
00:14:06.000 Here's where it gets squirrely for me.
00:14:08.000 Why would you do that?
00:14:10.000 Why would you change the definitions?
00:14:12.000 Why would you need that rule book?
00:14:14.000 Well, because, I mean, what it says is that nature somehow has a symmetry.
00:14:18.000 It doesn't depend, you don't want to, but it says nature has designed itself such that the definition of electric charge from place to place is arbitrary.
00:14:30.000 It really came, if you want to step back, Einstein told us, You know, that length and time are kind of relative to...
00:14:39.000 They depend upon the observer.
00:14:41.000 And his theory of general relativity actually said, I can define locally...
00:14:47.000 What my coordinate system is, what my length is, what my time is, I can define that arbitrarily locally, and it may differ from place to place.
00:14:55.000 My rulers could differ from place to place, but the universe doesn't care, because there's this thing called the gravitational field that takes into account of that, and nature has that symmetry, so it doesn't matter if I change the rulebook, if I change what I define as space and time locally,
00:15:10.000 the universe behaves exactly the same.
00:15:13.000 So when you say by symmetry, do you mean essentially there's a balance?
00:15:15.000 That there's always going to be an equal numbers of negatives and positives, and if you change the functions of each one, it balances itself out?
00:15:22.000 Is that what you're saying?
00:15:22.000 Well, that's sort of a consequence.
00:15:23.000 It says that the universe can't be charged, ultimately.
00:15:27.000 But no, it really says that that's a quality of nature, that nature It doesn't care about.
00:15:37.000 Namely, that's a label.
00:15:40.000 But nature has a symmetry.
00:15:42.000 In physics, symmetries are things when you make changes, then the object doesn't change.
00:15:47.000 Take a sphere, okay?
00:15:48.000 A sphere, you can rotate it.
00:15:51.000 But it looks like a sphere, no matter what rotation you make.
00:15:54.000 That's a symmetry of the sphere.
00:15:55.000 That's why it's so beautiful, mathematically.
00:15:58.000 Nature's the same way.
00:15:59.000 I can take another quantity, I'll call it electric charge at this point, and I can change it.
00:16:04.000 If you want to, say, make a rotation in some internal space.
00:16:07.000 I can imagine an internal space.
00:16:09.000 Positive and negative charges were part of some continuum.
00:16:12.000 I make a rotation.
00:16:14.000 Nature doesn't care about it.
00:16:15.000 It's a symmetry of the equations that govern nature.
00:16:18.000 But it turns out, the reason this is important, let me step back again, because your face tells it all.
00:16:23.000 I wish that people could see it.
00:16:24.000 They can.
00:16:25.000 Yeah, yeah.
00:16:26.000 And so...
00:16:31.000 What we've discovered is that the playing field determines the rules.
00:16:35.000 The characteristics of the playing field determine the rules.
00:16:38.000 If you played baseball and there were five bases instead of four, the rules would be different.
00:16:44.000 If the distance between home plate and first base was a mile, the rules would be different.
00:16:49.000 If you had 25 outfielders in outfield, it would be different, okay?
00:16:54.000 So the playing field determines the rules, right?
00:16:58.000 Baseball would be a very different game if it were played on a field that's different.
00:17:03.000 What we've discovered in nature is we used to think the forces were kind of fundamental.
00:17:07.000 You know, Newton told us F equals MA and all that.
00:17:09.000 What we've discovered is the thing that really constrains what can happen in the world is the playing field and the characteristics of the playing field.
00:17:17.000 And for physicists, what determines the characteristics of the playing field are the symmetries of that playing field.
00:17:24.000 Baseball, the fact that it looks like a diamond is a symmetry, right?
00:17:28.000 The playing field looks the same.
00:17:30.000 I could call first base home plate and home plate first base if I rotated the whole field, right?
00:17:35.000 It determines, in some sense, that's a characteristic of baseball that sort of determines the rules of the game.
00:17:43.000 Okay?
00:17:44.000 And what we've learned is what's really fundamental in nature is the characteristics of that playing field and what determines the characteristics of that playing field are the symmetries of nature.
00:17:54.000 The things that demonstrate to us that what we think is fundamental is really just an arbitrary label.
00:18:01.000 Like electric charge, we've discovered, is an arbitrary label.
00:18:06.000 Locally as well as globally.
00:18:08.000 And that determines the whole nature of the forces that can happen.
00:18:11.000 Once you say that electric charge is an arbitrary thing and nature doesn't care what you call positive and negative from here or Mars, that determines the nature of the force, of what we call the electromagnetic force.
00:18:23.000 It's completely prescribed.
00:18:25.000 And it turns out that's true for all the forces in nature.
00:18:27.000 The nature of gravity is determined, as Einstein showed, by the fact that you can change what I define as one meter Here, and on Mars, call one meter something else, and nature doesn't care what I label as a meter.
00:18:42.000 It turns out gravity takes that into account and says what we define as length is irrelevant.
00:18:49.000 The fundamental gravitational field is due to a curvature of space that is independent of what we define as length or time locally.
00:18:59.000 It's a weird thing, but it's a property of space and time that Einstein discovered for general relativity.
00:19:04.000 We've discovered it for electromagnetism.
00:19:06.000 It turns out all the forces in nature respect that same kind of mathematical symmetry, that there's some quantity that you can change in your equations.
00:19:17.000 I can change its definition in the equations, but the physics remains the same.
00:19:22.000 And the nature of the equations is prescribed, the mathematical form of the equations is prescribed precisely by the requirement that I can change, in the case of electric charge, that electric charge is arbitrary.
00:19:35.000 I can call an electron positive or negative anywhere I want in space, and the equations don't care.
00:19:41.000 That prescribes the form of the equations.
00:19:43.000 They have to have a very particular form, a unique form, and that unique form happens to be the form that it has.
00:19:51.000 Now, so you can say, look, it's an accident, that really there's something fundamental, that the equations have this form, and lo, and we've discovered this mathematical symmetry is an accident.
00:20:01.000 Or you can say that the mathematical symmetry is fundamental, it's a property of nature, and it prescribes the form of the kind of forces that nature That the world allows.
00:20:12.000 When you say that it's fundamental, that the symmetry is fundamental, do you study ecosystems?
00:20:21.000 I know about them, but I'm...
00:20:22.000 But do you ever contemplate them when you're thinking about theoretical physics?
00:20:26.000 Do you ever look at how these animals sort of stay in balance in these ecosystems, especially when they're untouched?
00:20:32.000 Well, I mean, the mathematics...
00:20:33.000 I mean, that's the great thing about physics, about science in general.
00:20:37.000 It's kind of like Hollywood.
00:20:38.000 If it works, you copy it.
00:20:39.000 And so we often find the same mathematical formalisms apply to vastly different systems.
00:20:45.000 So there's a very famous set of equations of predator and prey for ecosystems, and you can look at those equations, and they're the same kind of equations that apply in many different systems.
00:20:58.000 In oatmeal boiling.
00:21:00.000 It's amazing how the same mathematics appears in very different systems.
00:21:04.000 And we can therefore use what we've learned in one case to apply to another.
00:21:08.000 That's why we copy it, because it works so broadly.
00:21:10.000 It's amazing that very few equations turn out to so broadly describe so many vastly different systems.
00:21:17.000 And predator-prey relationships, which is, I think, what you're talking about in ecosystems, how, you know, there's a very...
00:21:22.000 And even with plants as well.
00:21:24.000 I mean, like the full system...
00:21:26.000 Yeah, and it becomes more complicated when you include more variables.
00:21:29.000 But physics, of course, is generally much easier than many ecosystems.
00:21:33.000 That's why I do physics.
00:21:34.000 It's so much easier.
00:21:35.000 Because it's really the low-hanging fruit.
00:21:38.000 Maybe for you.
00:21:39.000 Well, I know, but...
00:21:41.000 For most people listening to this, there's probably 100 people that have driven into trees by now.
00:21:45.000 Like, what in the fuck is this guy talking about?
00:21:48.000 I'm glad there's people like you out there that are contemplating this stuff.
00:21:52.000 They can feel good that the laws of physics are independent of whether they've run into the tree.
00:21:55.000 Yes.
00:21:55.000 I'm sure that gives them great comfort.
00:21:58.000 Yeah, exactly.
00:21:59.000 It's just the study of this is so taxing.
00:22:04.000 It is, but you know, that's okay.
00:22:06.000 I mean...
00:22:06.000 Sure.
00:22:07.000 What sort of bothers me is that people...
00:22:12.000 When they think it might be taxing, they don't want to think about it.
00:22:16.000 But the interesting thing is, that doesn't apply in other areas.
00:22:19.000 So people can be...
00:22:20.000 They don't think they have to be Eric Clapton to enjoy guitar music, or Picasso to enjoy weird paintings, or Shakespeare to enjoy plays.
00:22:29.000 But somehow...
00:22:30.000 And all of that's taxing in its own way.
00:22:34.000 Let's take Bach.
00:22:35.000 The more you understand music, I'm sure the more you appreciate Bach cantatas, all the different voices.
00:22:40.000 But I can enjoy just listening to it.
00:22:43.000 But people say, in every other activity, it's fine.
00:22:46.000 But when it comes to science, they say, nah, it's not easy for me.
00:22:49.000 I can't even touch it at all.
00:22:51.000 And what I try and do in my books and other places is, look, you don't have to master it.
00:22:57.000 And so, you may not master gauge symmetry, which is the most subtle and complicated thing in all of modern physics, but you can still, even if you skip that section of the book, there's still things in there you can appreciate about how we understand the world that we couldn't appreciate before, and have that orgasmic aha experience.
00:23:14.000 That, hey, the world is different than I thought.
00:23:18.000 And that's what's wonderful.
00:23:20.000 So, you can appreciate science without mastering it, sure.
00:23:24.000 Gate symmetry and things like it are basically mathematical concepts, so to talk about them in language without math is always sort of verbose.
00:23:34.000 Well, I think what's important about your book, chapter 10 or 11, I think, I think what's really important about it is you're not speaking in layman's terms, but you're also not speaking in theoretical physicist's terms.
00:23:49.000 You're making a bridge.
00:23:51.000 Well, yeah, and someone, I think Richard, a few people nicely said about the book that, they claimed, as Einstein said, I'm trying to make it simple, but not simpler than it can be.
00:24:01.000 Yes, that's a great way of saying it.
00:24:03.000 But I think it's important to do that, right?
00:24:04.000 I mean, if it respects the reader...
00:24:07.000 Because it doesn't, you know, it says, look, you want to understand it?
00:24:11.000 Okay, here's what you need to know to understand it.
00:24:15.000 And here's how I can try to explain it without math.
00:24:18.000 And you can puzzle through it and think about it and eventually maybe get to that aha stage.
00:24:23.000 Or I could just say, you know, poof, it all happened, you know.
00:24:28.000 And that's religion in a way, except the difference is this has content, religion doesn't.
00:24:32.000 For people like me that have never studied it, when I read what you're doing, and I read what's been done, and I read all of the people out there that are trying to decipher all this magical stuff out there in the universe, It's important just to be aware that this is going on,
00:24:49.000 because I think for the vast majority of the seven billion people on the planet, this is just unknown.
00:24:54.000 Exactly.
00:24:55.000 And yet it's being discovered, it's being contemplated, it's being studied constantly.
00:25:00.000 And not just that it's being done, but it's amazing.
00:25:03.000 It's changed our picture of our place in the universe.
00:25:06.000 And therefore, I think science is like art, music, and literature.
00:25:11.000 They all serve the same purpose.
00:25:13.000 Science also produces technology, and somehow people think that's all science is good for.
00:25:17.000 Sure, it produces the technology that's allowing you and I to have this conversation and people to listen.
00:25:21.000 It's allowing you and I to live longer, all of the rest.
00:25:24.000 But the really neat thing about science is it is just like those other things.
00:25:27.000 It changes our perspective of ourselves.
00:25:30.000 And that's what's so wonderful.
00:25:33.000 I once said that one of the purposes of science is to make people uncomfortable.
00:25:37.000 And I felt regretted that for a while, but it really isn't.
00:25:40.000 If you're never outside your comfort zone, Then you're never growing.
00:25:45.000 I completely agree, and I love that quote in the book.
00:25:47.000 I think that for a lot of people, that discomfort is just, people are tired.
00:25:53.000 They work, they've got jobs, they've got families, they've got a lot of stuff to do, and something like this comes along that just throws a monkey wrench into the gears of the mind.
00:26:01.000 Yeah, it does, but sometimes you want your mind blown.
00:26:03.000 And sometimes, you know, you can skim over or try with each of my books to say, okay, so that part you can get, but, you know, it's not like suddenly you won't understand the rest of the book.
00:26:12.000 And the stuff is so neat.
00:26:14.000 The idea that there's this invisible field everywhere in the universe that changes the way you haven't got there in the book yet, but that changes our picture of the universe.
00:26:23.000 It's amazing, and people should have the opportunity to know that our picture has shown that we are a cosmic accident, that we're just like an icicle on a window whose direction, if you lived on that icicle, might seem very special to you,
00:26:39.000 but is an accident.
00:26:40.000 And it turns out...
00:26:42.000 The forces of nature are what they are by the same kind of accident, because some field froze in the early universe in some direction.
00:26:49.000 If it had frozen in another direction, you and I wouldn't be having this conversation.
00:26:53.000 But would we be a different thing?
00:26:55.000 Well, in fact, in most cases, you wouldn't even have you and me, because there wouldn't be particles that have mass, and you wouldn't have stars and galaxies and planets.
00:27:03.000 Now, what there would be, I can't say.
00:27:05.000 But I can definitely say that everything we see in the universe would be gone.
00:27:09.000 But you're confident that it was an accident at some point in time, and that's what created it.
00:27:13.000 What I mean by accident, no more of an accident or less of an accident than an icicle on a window.
00:27:18.000 Now, if you look at icicles on a window, they're beautiful patterns, they're in all different directions.
00:27:23.000 Now, there's a physical reason, ultimately, why one icicle forms in a given direction.
00:27:28.000 But there's no significance to that.
00:27:30.000 It may have been a dust particle that caused that part, you know, so we're not saying it's magic.
00:27:34.000 There was ultimately some micro-physical reason why that happened and why oatmeal, when oatmeal boils, a bubble occurs in one place and not another.
00:27:41.000 But there's nothing significant about that bubble popping up here or that icicle pointing in a given direction.
00:27:47.000 It's not fate.
00:27:48.000 It's not fate.
00:27:48.000 It's not designed.
00:27:50.000 Anything is possible in that icicle, okay?
00:27:52.000 And so what I'm saying is, Our universe is the way it is because a field froze in a certain direction.
00:27:58.000 Now, sure, there are laws of physics that say the field can freeze in that direction, but it's also laws of physics that say the field could have frozen maybe in another direction.
00:28:06.000 And if it did, everything would be different.
00:28:09.000 Now, by field, how are you defining field?
00:28:11.000 Well, a field is a...
00:28:13.000 Uh-oh, you had to take a...
00:28:14.000 You embraced yourself.
00:28:15.000 No, no, no, I was worried about this.
00:28:17.000 A field is...
00:28:19.000 Well, it's like the electric field.
00:28:20.000 It's some quantity that's defined in each point in space.
00:28:24.000 And the neat thing in particle physics is every field, like an electric field, every field is associated with an elementary particle.
00:28:31.000 So the electric field is produced by a coherent state of photons, the ultimate quanta of electromagnetism.
00:28:39.000 The individual particles that are going into your eye right now and are being absorbed by your eyes so you can see me.
00:28:46.000 The reason you can see light is it's a lot of little particles entering your eye that are reflecting off my eyes, so you can see them.
00:28:55.000 And it turns out in quantum mechanics, every field, which is a function of points in space, the electric field in this room, there's a magnetic field in this room because the Earth has a magnetic field, right?
00:29:08.000 If you put a compass here, we'll feel the magnetic field.
00:29:10.000 That's because actually there's this coherent state of Photons that are basically very regular in space.
00:29:18.000 That's really what a field is in quantum physics.
00:29:20.000 A very regular configuration of elementary particles that are sort of hidden in space.
00:29:25.000 And it turns out there's this background field, we call the Higgs field, which is everywhere in space and happens to have a very particular configuration.
00:29:34.000 And then when the particles that make your body and my body up, when we move through it, they experience a resistance that causes them to behave as if they have mass.
00:29:43.000 If the field wasn't there, the particles would be massless.
00:29:45.000 It's like swimming in molasses.
00:29:47.000 If you're swimming in water, you feel pretty light, but if I filled the pool up with molasses and you tried to do 100 meters, you'd be pretty damn tired at the end of it.
00:29:56.000 You'd feel like you weighed thousands of pounds.
00:29:58.000 We're swimming through molasses.
00:30:00.000 We just don't see it.
00:30:01.000 It's amazing.
00:30:02.000 It's there.
00:30:03.000 I mean, it sounds like, as I was just saying to a group earlier today, it sounds like Religion, right?
00:30:10.000 I think there's an invisible field everywhere that's responsible for our existence.
00:30:13.000 That sounds like religion, except for the fact in physics, we can say that's not good enough.
00:30:18.000 If it's there, we've got to find it.
00:30:20.000 And if it's there, what do we do?
00:30:21.000 If that field is associated with particles, if I, as I like to say, it's cosmic sadomasochism, if I spank the vacuum, if I dump enough energy in empty space at a single point, I should kick out real particles if that field is there.
00:30:35.000 If the Higgs field is there, if I dump enough energy in empty space, I'll kick out real particles.
00:30:40.000 I'll call them Higgs particles.
00:30:42.000 And you know what?
00:30:42.000 Let me build a big machine in Geneva, the biggest and most complicated machine humans have ever built, called the Large Hadron Collider, that dumps enough energy into a point in space that can maybe kick out Higgs particles if they're really there.
00:30:54.000 And you know what?
00:30:55.000 They're there.
00:30:57.000 On July 4, 2012, we announced the discovery of 50 particles that looked and sounded and walked and quacked like Higgs's, and we now have tested them much more, produced many more, and they're Higgs particles.
00:31:09.000 It gives us evidence that that field exists.
00:31:11.000 It was an outrageous and audacious claim that the properties of the universe we see are an accident due to this background field that's there, and if that background field wasn't there, the world would look very different.
00:31:24.000 It's an amazing claim.
00:31:26.000 But is it a consequence of this field or an accident?
00:31:29.000 Well, the properties of the universe we experience are a consequence of that field, but that field being there is as much an accident as an icicle freezing on a window in a certain direction.
00:31:39.000 The field could have frozen with a different value.
00:31:41.000 It could have frozen with a different magnitude.
00:31:44.000 See, that's where I'm gone.
00:31:47.000 It's very difficult for me to understand why you can determine in one way or another the field.
00:31:52.000 Here, let me give you an example that I try and use.
00:31:54.000 In fact, a version of it just went online.
00:31:57.000 I used a beer bottle as an example.
00:31:59.000 You may have drunk beer once or twice in your life.
00:32:01.000 I have.
00:32:01.000 Okay, good.
00:32:02.000 I don't know if you've ever had a party.
00:32:04.000 I have.
00:32:04.000 And you forgot to put the beer in the fridge.
00:32:06.000 I've done that too.
00:32:07.000 You put it in the freezer.
00:32:08.000 Okay?
00:32:10.000 And then what happens?
00:32:11.000 You forget that it's in the freezer.
00:32:13.000 And then the next morning, you discover it in the freezer...
00:32:15.000 Explodes.
00:32:16.000 Explodes.
00:32:16.000 You got it.
00:32:17.000 Why?
00:32:18.000 Because really, the beer would rather be frozen, but when it's under pressure in the bottle, it's liquid.
00:32:25.000 Okay?
00:32:26.000 But, for example, if you open the top, suddenly the pressure is released and it suddenly freezes.
00:32:31.000 Okay?
00:32:31.000 The beer has changed from one state to another.
00:32:34.000 It's gone from liquid to solid.
00:32:35.000 When it's gone to solid, it suddenly releases a lot of energy.
00:32:39.000 Okay?
00:32:39.000 If you wish...
00:32:42.000 You could think of the properties of that beer as a field.
00:32:46.000 It can either be liquid or solid.
00:32:48.000 Okay?
00:32:49.000 And it changes depending upon the temperature and the pressure and all the rest.
00:32:53.000 Turns out the state of the universe changes as the universe cools.
00:32:57.000 And you could think of that Higgs as like sort of a cosmic fluid that's everywhere.
00:33:03.000 And as the universe cooled down, suddenly it found it would rather be in a certain configuration.
00:33:07.000 It would rather be frozen than liquid.
00:33:09.000 And it's some numbers that tell you whether it's acting like it's frozen or liquid.
00:33:13.000 Just like I could describe the beer, I could define some numbers that would tell me whether the beer was frozen or liquid.
00:33:20.000 And so as the universe cooled, that cosmic fluid, which is everywhere, all these elementary particles, if you wish, that are permeating space, suddenly found themselves preferring, as the universe cooled down, to be in a certain configuration rather than another configuration.
00:33:35.000 And it really is no different than the arbitrary state of an icicle.
00:33:39.000 No.
00:33:39.000 Exactly.
00:33:40.000 It's just essentially as arbitrary.
00:33:42.000 It's not magic, and it's not as if...
00:33:44.000 In some sense, the accidents of the dust that's on your window and the wind that's blowing and everything else is going to determine what that pattern looks like.
00:33:55.000 But every day, if you had a new cold day, the icicle pattern would look different.
00:34:01.000 Okay?
00:34:01.000 It's not as if every day you'd have the same icicle pattern on your window.
00:34:05.000 It would be different.
00:34:06.000 And that's what I mean by an accident.
00:34:08.000 It's not as if the laws of physics at some level couldn't have told you that if you knew all the configurations on that day why it would look one way or another.
00:34:15.000 But it's not significant.
00:34:17.000 That's what I mean.
00:34:17.000 There's no special significance to that pattern that meant God meant it to be.
00:34:23.000 And there's no special significance to the universe in which we live that meant God meant it to be.
00:34:29.000 It could have been quite different.
00:34:31.000 We should celebrate that it's not quite different, because you and I can have this conversation.
00:34:36.000 So it's a wonderful thing that it is the way it is.
00:34:38.000 And let's celebrate that we've evolved, and I can still say that word in this country, we've evolved a consciousness so that we can appreciate all of the wonders of the universe.
00:34:47.000 Let's celebrate that.
00:34:48.000 So it doesn't mean we're meaningless just because the universe has no purpose.
00:34:52.000 We make our own purpose in our own life.
00:34:54.000 It means to me, in some sense, that life is more purposeful.
00:34:57.000 There isn't someone pulling the strings.
00:34:59.000 We're pulling the strings.
00:35:01.000 And so It's okay to live in a purposeless universe.
00:35:05.000 It doesn't make life worse.
00:35:06.000 It makes it much better.
00:35:08.000 We just always ascribe significance to things that happen to us.
00:35:12.000 The physicist Richard Feynman used to go up to people and he used to say, you won't believe what happened to me today.
00:35:18.000 You won't believe.
00:35:19.000 And people say, what?
00:35:19.000 He'd say, absolutely nothing.
00:35:21.000 Okay?
00:35:22.000 Because when things happen to you, suddenly they're significant.
00:35:25.000 You know, you have a million crazy dreams, and then one night you dream that your friend is going to break their arm, the next day they break their leg, you go, oh my god, I'm clairvoyant.
00:35:34.000 You know, or he'll say this, he'll say, you know, I just saw a license plate.
00:35:38.000 You wouldn't believe, I just saw a license plate, it was J24796, can you believe it?
00:35:45.000 Because, you know, that's as significant as seeing a license plate that says, 1-1-1-1-1-1, or a license plate that says, I am God.
00:35:53.000 Okay?
00:35:54.000 They're all just as significant, but the things that appear to mean something to us suddenly take on some significance, because we're hardwired to want to believe.
00:36:03.000 Just like the X-Files said, we want to believe.
00:36:06.000 We all want to believe.
00:36:08.000 Why?
00:36:09.000 Well, here's the reason.
00:36:10.000 We want to ascribe meaning to everything, and I think there's an evolutionary reason for that.
00:36:16.000 For example, if you're an early modern human on the savannah in Africa, the leaves can be rustling in the trees next to you.
00:36:26.000 You can say, ah, no reason.
00:36:28.000 Or you can say, maybe there's a lion there.
00:36:31.000 And what happened was, so maybe there's a lion causing, maybe there's a cause for that happening.
00:36:36.000 Now, those of our potential ancestors that said, eh, there's no reason.
00:36:41.000 They got eaten.
00:36:43.000 Okay?
00:36:44.000 The ones that didn't are the ones that reproduced.
00:36:47.000 Right.
00:36:48.000 And so, in some sense, we're kind of hardwired by evolution to want to find purpose and meaning in everything.
00:36:54.000 But isn't that just recognizing danger or potential danger?
00:36:57.000 Well, of course it is, in that case.
00:36:59.000 But a side effect of anticipating danger is to ascribe significance to things that may not...
00:37:07.000 You're much luckier, not luckier, but you're much more likely to survive.
00:37:13.000 If you ascribe significance to everything, perhaps, in the early days, than if you ascribe significance to nothing.
00:37:19.000 But when you're talking about significance, essentially you're talking about divine significance.
00:37:23.000 It can be divine significance, but you can think there's more to it than meets the eye.
00:37:31.000 Right.
00:37:31.000 But when you're talking about clairvoyance or when you're talking about some sort of a divine intervention by a deity, you're talking about something powerful.
00:37:39.000 This is the one that is meant to be the leader of this tribe because he's going to lead us.
00:37:44.000 Yeah, but that's a consequence.
00:37:45.000 Right.
00:37:45.000 Yeah, but it works at all levels.
00:37:46.000 Mm-hmm.
00:37:46.000 I think?
00:38:08.000 That maybe would help make them happier about being alive early on, because they might be so scared of a universe that wants to kill them all the time, that it would embolden them.
00:38:17.000 So there's obviously an evolutionary purpose to what is religion.
00:38:21.000 Because if there wasn't, religions wouldn't be everywhere, right?
00:38:24.000 I mean, pretty well all human cultures have religions.
00:38:26.000 Each one is inconsistent with every other one, which is the reason we know that they're probably all wrong.
00:38:31.000 But...
00:38:33.000 It works.
00:38:34.000 The fact that it's universal must mean there's some evolutionary utility to believing.
00:38:41.000 But then, certain things eventually, even though they worked and were useful early on, as our human condition changes, they may not be so useful.
00:38:50.000 Well, that seems to be the place where we're at now as a civilization.
00:38:53.000 Yeah, exactly.
00:38:53.000 I would argue that religion is turning out to be counterproductive now.
00:38:56.000 It may have been useful early on in human history, but now what it's doing is it's getting in the way not only of progress, but of human cooperation.
00:39:06.000 And so evolution is now counterproductive.
00:39:11.000 But the great thing is we have a consciousness, we have an intellect, so we can actually overcome that evolutionary predilection by realizing we have that predilection.
00:39:21.000 And as Feynman said, the easiest person to fool is yourself.
00:39:26.000 So if you're a scientist, what you have to do is ask yourself, am I believing that because I want to believe or because there's evidence?
00:39:32.000 So if we constantly are skeptical of ourselves, we can know to overcome that ingrained impulse we have to want to believe.
00:39:42.000 That's one of the utilities of science.
00:39:44.000 So I may listen to you and like you, and I may listen to another radio person and not like them, and I may be therefore naturally willing to assume that they're wrong and you're right.
00:39:54.000 But I should also say to myself, Is it really the case, or is it just because I like Joe Rogan and I don't like, you know, you pick your favorite right-wing nut?
00:40:02.000 And so we should be asking ourselves, okay, maybe I should go beyond my predilections, beyond my biases, to ask why I am sympathetic to what I'm hearing.
00:40:14.000 And if we did that in everyday life, I think we'd cut through the crap more carefully.
00:40:18.000 So science says, look, we are hardwired to want to have these weird beliefs.
00:40:23.000 And it's fine.
00:40:24.000 Maybe some of them are right.
00:40:26.000 But the only way to know is to test them.
00:40:27.000 If we're not willing to test our beliefs, And subject them to the test of nature, then we're going to be deluded.
00:40:35.000 And that's the problem with a lot of what's happening in our government.
00:40:39.000 People are saying, you know what, I really want to believe in this absurd story, and therefore I refuse to accept evolution.
00:40:46.000 If you're Mike Pence, the Vice President of the country, you say, I don't believe evolution, because it doesn't agree with my ridiculous fundamentalist And he said that in Congress, right?
00:40:55.000 He said, we shouldn't be teaching evolution in schools.
00:40:57.000 We should be teaching intelligent design.
00:40:59.000 And why?
00:41:00.000 Because it offends his personal faith.
00:41:05.000 Perhaps.
00:41:05.000 It might also be a political ploy.
00:41:07.000 It might be, I think, because he knows that a large percentage of the country finds comfort in a leader that subscribes to the same sort of superstitions that they do.
00:41:15.000 Yeah, that could be.
00:41:17.000 He did this before he was in a national office.
00:41:19.000 He was a congressman.
00:41:20.000 I suspect he did it.
00:41:21.000 It sounds like he believed it, but you're right.
00:41:24.000 Who knows?
00:41:25.000 But the point is that we should realize that we shouldn't listen to that kind of nonsense.
00:41:34.000 Because there are a lot of people in this country who do think that evolution directly confronts their belief in God.
00:41:41.000 Or the Big Bang directly confronts their belief in God, and therefore they don't want their children to learn about that.
00:41:47.000 But what an awful thing to do to your children, to withhold evidence about how the world really works.
00:41:54.000 Because, you know, you don't have to believe in the Big Bang, but it really happened.
00:41:57.000 You don't have to believe in evolution, but it happened.
00:41:59.000 It's like Philip K. Dick said, the science fiction writer, reality is that which continues to exist, whether or not you believe in it.
00:42:06.000 Yeah.
00:42:06.000 Okay?
00:42:06.000 And so...
00:42:08.000 You may not want to believe in it, but it happened.
00:42:10.000 And for you to withhold that kind of knowledge from your kids because you're worried it's going to affect their faith is, in my opinion, child abuse.
00:42:18.000 Because you're hindering their capabilities as an adult in a society which is highly technological to function effectively.
00:42:25.000 But they're doing it because they believe it as well.
00:42:27.000 Well, they believe it's right.
00:42:29.000 They think they're helping their kids.
00:42:31.000 I don't know if you're a parent.
00:42:32.000 I am.
00:42:33.000 We've all screwed up our kids, right?
00:42:34.000 We all do things for our kids because we think it's good for them, and sometimes it is, and sometimes it isn't.
00:42:40.000 I'm not saying these people are doing it because they want to hurt their children.
00:42:44.000 They think, somehow, that not believing in God makes you a bad person.
00:42:47.000 Right.
00:42:48.000 But there's no evidence of that.
00:42:50.000 In fact, as Steve Weinberg, who's a Nobel Prize winning physicist, has said, and I love it, he said, so there are good people in the world, there are bad people.
00:42:57.000 Good people do good things, bad people do bad things.
00:43:00.000 When good people do bad things, it's religion.
00:43:03.000 Do you think that religion in its earliest stages was, in a sense, primitive man with no science, trying to figure out the world and trying to have some sort of rules, like almost like a scaffolding in order to move to the next?
00:43:21.000 If you see that it exists in so many different cultures, that it might have been something along those lines.
00:43:26.000 Of course that way.
00:43:27.000 It was their effort to understand the world around them based on what they knew.
00:43:30.000 It was noble.
00:43:32.000 You know, they tried to understand the world.
00:43:34.000 And so there's nothing wrong with it.
00:43:35.000 But claiming that we today should be guided by the worldview of illiterate peasants in the Iron Age peasants who didn't know the Earth orbited the Sun and wrote down scriptures based on their beliefs at the time, they argue that that should guide our life today when we discovered 100 billion galaxies in the universe and discovered all this stuff,
00:43:55.000 is ludicrous.
00:43:55.000 So you're absolutely right.
00:43:56.000 The birth of science...
00:43:58.000 And religion are the same.
00:44:00.000 And in fact, modern science grew out of religion.
00:44:02.000 People point that out, and they say to me, how dare you talk about religion, you know, as being outdated?
00:44:07.000 Science grew out of religion.
00:44:08.000 And I say to them, well, that's fine, but children outgrow their parents, right?
00:44:13.000 It's so great.
00:44:15.000 No doubt, religious ideas, and all our early scientists were religious, because there's the only game in town.
00:44:20.000 You couldn't be educated, except the church controlled all the universities, and so it was like the National Science Foundation of the 16th century.
00:44:28.000 It's not surprising they were all religious, because that was the only game in town.
00:44:32.000 So that helped create the birth of modern science, but science outgrew it.
00:44:37.000 And that's okay.
00:44:38.000 Kids outgrow their parents, thank goodness.
00:44:41.000 Well, I think maybe that might help kids outgrow their parents.
00:44:44.000 Why?
00:44:45.000 I mean, getting religion forced down your throat is one of the best ways for kids to reject it as they get older.
00:44:51.000 For some kids.
00:44:52.000 For some kids.
00:44:52.000 Kids like you and me.
00:44:53.000 But I get lots of letters.
00:44:54.000 You know, we made this movie called The Unbelievers, which followed Richard Dawkins and I around the world as we talked about this stuff.
00:45:01.000 And it was nice, and maybe, and I hope, and it's a well-made film.
00:45:05.000 I like the filmmakers who made it.
00:45:07.000 But I found people come up to me I had no idea of this.
00:45:11.000 It's one of the negative aspects of religion that I never appreciated.
00:45:15.000 I have people come up to me, almost every day I write me, and saying, you know what, I saw that movie, and I realized I'm not a bad person for asking questions.
00:45:23.000 And I'm not alone.
00:45:24.000 You know, these people from small towns in Georgia, they have no one to talk to.
00:45:27.000 They think they're the only ones who's asked the question, is God real?
00:45:31.000 Is it okay to not believe in God?
00:45:33.000 And they're told by everyone else, not only you'll go to hell, but you're a bad person.
00:45:37.000 And suddenly they discover that's not true.
00:45:40.000 And so I think there are a lot of people who have that force down their throat.
00:45:42.000 It's really hard when you're a kid, you know, and have these...
00:45:47.000 And that's why I do think any kind of religion for kids is kind of child abuse, no matter what, because these concepts of a deity and the possible existence of a purpose of the universe are very deep and subtle concepts.
00:45:59.000 And to expect a three-year-old kid...
00:46:02.000 To ram that down a three-year-old kid's throat is unfair, because the kid can't address it.
00:46:06.000 It ends up being internalized in ways, and a lot of people, you know, I hear a lot of people who've had deep religious educations who say, you know, it's hard to outgrow that, because when that's thrust into you as a child, it's really hard to ever overcome it.
00:46:20.000 The guilt feelings that many religions introduce, the fundamental notion that, you know, Ultimately sinful, and no matter what you do is sinful, is something a lot of people have hard times with.
00:46:33.000 And that claim of sin is just so, you know, I've debated people who argue that homosexuality is sinful.
00:46:43.000 And it's unnatural.
00:46:45.000 God intended it to be otherwise.
00:46:47.000 And then I point out, well, you know what?
00:46:48.000 You take all mammals, 10%, in every species almost, 10% have homosexual relationships.
00:46:55.000 10% of sheep have long-term homosexual relationships.
00:46:58.000 Are they sinful?
00:47:00.000 It's not unnatural at all.
00:47:02.000 It's a natural consequence of whatever...
00:47:04.000 Now, why it's a case, it's an interesting evolutionary question, but it's certainly not unnatural.
00:47:09.000 It seems uniform, then, if it's 10%.
00:47:10.000 Yeah, well, you know, plus or minus a little bit.
00:47:12.000 It certainly seems to be biology...
00:47:14.000 There's some purpose.
00:47:15.000 There's some biological purpose to it.
00:47:18.000 And so, to argue that it's both unnatural and wrong is to misunderstand biology.
00:47:25.000 But people grow up being told it's evil because the Bible said it.
00:47:29.000 And then they don't want to give people who are homosexual the same rights as other people because they say God didn't want them to have the homosexual.
00:47:36.000 So the problem is people are told these things that are ultimately wrong because for whatever reason the tribe that wrote down that scripture Wanted to make sure that there weren't homosexual relationships in the group.
00:47:51.000 Well, it's really baffling when you talk to people about the Bible and the Old Testament versus the New Testament, and they don't even understand where the New Testament was created by Constantine and a bunch of bishops.
00:48:00.000 They threw a bunch of stuff out.
00:48:01.000 And by the way, they think it's kinder or gentler.
00:48:03.000 Sure, the Old Testament is one of the most...
00:48:06.000 People say the Koran is violent and vicious.
00:48:08.000 Read the Old Testament.
00:48:09.000 You're supposed to stone your kids if they disobey you.
00:48:12.000 You're supposed to kill people who wear two different kinds of cloth.
00:48:15.000 Exactly.
00:48:16.000 And the reason that nowadays the Abrahamic religions of Judaism and Christianity may seem a little less violent than Islam for some people is because people take the Koran literally.
00:48:29.000 That's part of fundamentalism.
00:48:31.000 Very few, very few people take the Bible as literally as, namely, hey, we're going to stone kids.
00:48:38.000 In the 12th century they may have, but now we've outgrown it, and Islam is 600 years younger.
00:48:44.000 And so it's just, the Old Testament is just as violent as the Koran, but no one takes it seriously.
00:48:50.000 Most people who call themselves religious They pick and choose the things they like from the Bible or the New Testament or the Old Testament.
00:48:56.000 They pick and choose the nice, kinder, gentler things.
00:49:00.000 You know, Richard Dawkins Foundation in England did an interesting survey.
00:49:04.000 So the British government does a census, you know, and they ask people's religions as part of it.
00:49:10.000 And in the last census, remarkably, only 55% of the people said they were Christian.
00:49:14.000 Church of England, which was one of the lowest ever.
00:49:17.000 But fine.
00:49:17.000 They went to those 55% people.
00:49:19.000 They did a survey of those.
00:49:20.000 And they said, okay, why do you call yourself Christian?
00:49:22.000 Do you believe in the virgin birth?
00:49:24.000 Do you believe in transubstantiation?
00:49:25.000 Do you believe in...
00:49:26.000 And went down the list.
00:49:27.000 And people say, no, no, no, no, no.
00:49:29.000 And then they'd ask, why do you call yourself Christian?
00:49:31.000 And the answer was, we like to think of ourselves as good people.
00:49:35.000 So religion has usurped morality.
00:49:37.000 And somehow...
00:49:39.000 People throw out all of the evil, and it's not just the Old Testament.
00:49:42.000 No one talked about hell more than Jesus Christ.
00:49:46.000 A guy who's supposed to love everyone talked about hell, this eternal damnation for people who disobey, as Christopher Hitchens used to say, God is like a cosmic Saddam Hussein.
00:49:56.000 But worse, because Saddam Hussein used to just torture his enemies while they're alive.
00:50:01.000 God is worse.
00:50:02.000 He takes the people who doesn't like it, tortures them for all eternity.
00:50:05.000 Who wants such a God?
00:50:06.000 What an awful, disgusting idea.
00:50:09.000 My wife bought this sauna thing.
00:50:11.000 You know what a sauna thing is?
00:50:12.000 It's like a sauna suit.
00:50:14.000 You zip it up and you hit these buttons and it heats you up and it heats your body temperature up.
00:50:18.000 Neat.
00:50:18.000 And it comes from China.
00:50:20.000 Okay.
00:50:20.000 And it has this hilarious instruction manual because it's translated from Chinese to English by people that are not fluent in English.
00:50:27.000 Every time I read one of those manuals, I love it.
00:50:29.000 It's unbelievable.
00:50:30.000 It's like, make waste of body, go away.
00:50:34.000 Cells to fat, disappear.
00:50:36.000 Like, very, very strange stuff.
00:50:38.000 And she was laughing when she was reading, and she handed it to me, and I go, well, this is the problem with the Bible.
00:50:42.000 One of the big problems of the Bible is translating from ancient Hebrew...
00:50:46.000 And Aramaic, in some cases, but not even Hebrew.
00:50:48.000 Dead Sea Scrolls.
00:50:49.000 Yeah.
00:50:49.000 Ancient Hebrew, the letters doubled as numbers.
00:50:52.000 So there was no numbers.
00:50:54.000 So the letter A is the number one, and words also had numerical value.
00:50:58.000 And when you think about, I mean, and this is, if you've actually ever looked at this, it's amazing.
00:51:02.000 So people say, the Bible, you know, is just the Word of God.
00:51:05.000 But they don't realize that this came by, in fact, the King James Version was decided by a bunch of people who decided what to throw out.
00:51:13.000 There were parts of the earlier Bible they didn't like, they threw out.
00:51:16.000 They determined what is now the Old Testament in the King James Version was a bunch of people who got together and decided to throw things out and how to translate things and what to do.
00:51:26.000 It was people.
00:51:27.000 It's not the Word of God.
00:51:28.000 It's a bunch of people.
00:51:29.000 Have you ever heard of John Marco Allegro?
00:51:32.000 Well, I know a lot of people named Allegro.
00:51:35.000 John Marco Allegro is one of the scholars that was, he was one of the people that was deciphering the Dead Sea Scrolls.
00:51:42.000 And he wrote a book in the 1970s called The Sacred Mushroom and the Cross.
00:51:47.000 Oh, I've heard of the book.
00:51:48.000 It was his determination after 14 years of deciphering the Dead Sea Scrolls that the entire Christian religion was a massive misunderstanding, that it was really all about consumption of psychedelic mushrooms and fertility cults.
00:51:59.000 Yeah, I've heard that.
00:51:59.000 I'm skeptical of that.
00:52:00.000 I should say, but I'm skeptical of everything.
00:52:02.000 It's fascinating.
00:52:02.000 It's fascinating, but there are a lot of people who have written really interesting books on the early history of the Christian religion and Judaism.
00:52:09.000 And I know a number of those scholars, and it's really fascinating.
00:52:12.000 In fact, there's really great evidence that Jesus wasn't even divine in the early Christian way.
00:52:17.000 I mean, his divinity came about 300 years later.
00:52:20.000 It's some really interesting work.
00:52:21.000 And so religion has evolved, and we now take it as if it was sort of obvious.
00:52:29.000 Apparently, according to the books I've been reading lately, there's really good evidence that, you know, Not only did Jesus never call himself God, his followers never did either.
00:52:39.000 And this resurrection thing was put in later when people wanted to make him divine.
00:52:43.000 Wow.
00:52:44.000 And so that's fascinating.
00:52:46.000 Again, you could be skeptical about it.
00:52:48.000 We should be skeptical of everything.
00:52:49.000 But what's really amazing, and this is what bothers me, I wrote a piece for the New Yorker once that said all scientists should be militant atheists.
00:52:57.000 Yeah, you were really criticized for that.
00:52:59.000 By some people.
00:53:00.000 By some people, yeah.
00:53:01.000 And praised by others.
00:53:02.000 Yeah, but the point is that people who criticize me never read the piece, which often happens for my work, because there was a title, and the editor chose the title, which is fine, but what I said was, When I simply asked the question, could it be that Jesus was,
00:53:19.000 you know, what I just said, could it be that Jesus wasn't always considered divine in the Christian religion?
00:53:23.000 You know, a scholarly question.
00:53:24.000 When I asked that question, in many cases I'm called a militant atheist.
00:53:28.000 How dare you question our doctrine?
00:53:32.000 Right.
00:53:34.000 Nothing should be above questioning.
00:53:37.000 In our society, nothing should be sacred.
00:53:40.000 Everything should be open to question.
00:53:42.000 So if simply questioning makes me a militant atheist, then all scientists should be militant atheists, because we should adore questioning.
00:53:50.000 And so I wasn't arguing, you know, we should be handing out pamphlets.
00:53:54.000 I said, we should be asking questions.
00:53:57.000 And so the discussion you and I just had would be viewed by some people, and will be viewed by some people, as sinful, as sacrilege, should not be on the air, should not be allowed to have that discussion, because how dare we question the divinity of Jesus Christ, because after all,
00:54:13.000 He was God, and to question His divinity is to do the work of the devil.
00:54:19.000 And that's so sad, because, you know, you should be questioning.
00:54:23.000 And it is fascinating where people draw that line, too, whether they draw the line at the New Testament, or whether they go back to the Old Testament, or whether they even...
00:54:31.000 I mean, how many people are believers in the Dead Sea Scrolls?
00:54:34.000 I mean, how many people have gone over the work from Qumran with a fine-tooth comb?
00:54:39.000 We haven't, exactly.
00:54:40.000 But, by the way, I don't like the word believer.
00:54:41.000 I should tell you that.
00:54:42.000 I use it sometimes myself.
00:54:43.000 I think, if you're a scientist, you'd never use the word belief.
00:54:46.000 Okay.
00:54:46.000 Something's likely or unlikely.
00:54:49.000 But belief is not a part of the, if you really want to think of rational inquiry.
00:54:53.000 Of course you can have, we all are colloquium, we all have beliefs, which means we have preconceptions.
00:54:57.000 But really what we're saying is, this is highly likely based on what I think or what I know before.
00:55:02.000 And when I learn something, does it make it more or less likely?
00:55:05.000 Well, I respect that.
00:55:08.000 I use the word belief all the time, but I try not to.
00:55:11.000 It's one of those things like the word like.
00:55:13.000 I try not to use like in sentences because people use it way too much.
00:55:17.000 There's got to be a way.
00:55:18.000 All kids, if you go to high school now.
00:55:19.000 It's fucking kids.
00:55:21.000 But it is strange to me that people do draw those arbitrary lines at when they decide the doctrine is real.
00:55:27.000 They'll tell you, you know, if you start talking to them about the Old Testament and they're trying to be a Christian apologist, they'll say, well, listen, you're talking about the Old Testament, and we don't go by that.
00:55:36.000 We go by that thing that Emperor of Rome created with a bunch of bishops, and he wasn't even Christian himself until he was on his deathbed.
00:55:42.000 Well, you know, exactly.
00:55:44.000 But people like to define themselves.
00:55:46.000 And I don't want to, you know, it sounds patronizing as if, oh, I'm...
00:55:50.000 We all believe crazy things.
00:55:52.000 You and I also do.
00:55:53.000 What crazy things do you believe?
00:55:54.000 Well, here's what we all believe.
00:55:56.000 Ten impossible things before we get up for breakfast, as Lewis Carroll used to say.
00:56:00.000 Wasn't Lewis Carroll a big proponent of acid?
00:56:03.000 Probably.
00:56:05.000 When he wrote Alice in Wonderland, maybe.
00:56:07.000 There's lots of things.
00:56:08.000 But it doesn't matter.
00:56:09.000 The idea is interesting.
00:56:10.000 Humans are not just rational beings.
00:56:13.000 In order to make it through the day, we convince ourselves of ten impossible things.
00:56:16.000 It might be that you love your wife.
00:56:17.000 It might be that you like your job.
00:56:19.000 It might be...
00:56:20.000 What if you do love your wife?
00:56:21.000 What if you do love your job?
00:56:24.000 That's not impossible, but there are other things that you may find.
00:56:27.000 Ten?
00:56:28.000 Well, you could pick it.
00:56:30.000 You might find that you...
00:56:31.000 But do you believe anything weird?
00:56:35.000 I'm sure I do.
00:56:36.000 But did you ever explore it?
00:56:38.000 Of course, I try.
00:56:39.000 Some of the things I probably...
00:56:40.000 I'm a human being, so I make it through the day.
00:56:44.000 I may convince myself I'm interesting.
00:56:47.000 You are interesting.
00:56:48.000 Well, that's nice, but...
00:56:49.000 I thought you were interesting before I met you, and now you've confirmed it.
00:56:52.000 Oh, good.
00:56:53.000 I was going to say, now I know.
00:56:56.000 But, you know, let me put it this way.
00:56:58.000 I may convince myself I'm handsome and I'm sexy and whatever it is that we all convince ourselves with.
00:57:03.000 If you were in a room full of 100-year-old dudes, you'd be handsome and sexy.
00:57:07.000 Exactly.
00:57:08.000 But if I'm in a room full of maybe not 100-year-old dudes, I might not be.
00:57:11.000 You'd have issues.
00:57:12.000 But so would I. A bunch of male models.
00:57:15.000 But we don't have issues.
00:57:16.000 We say, oh yeah, those male models, but they look like they're getting...
00:57:18.000 Oh, not me, man.
00:57:19.000 But that's great.
00:57:20.000 That's great if you have your eyes wide open.
00:57:21.000 If you're comfortable enough in your own skin.
00:57:23.000 And hopefully, part of growing up, part of becoming an adult, is learning that a lot of the ridiculous notions we had are just that.
00:57:32.000 And getting comfortable with that.
00:57:34.000 That's part of maturing, I think.
00:57:36.000 So when we...
00:57:37.000 We're now more comfortable in our own skin.
00:57:38.000 We're able to accept ourselves.
00:57:40.000 But I bet when you were a teenager...
00:57:42.000 You would have had a harder time saying, you know, those other guys are better looking and more interesting than me.
00:57:47.000 Oh yeah, for sure.
00:57:48.000 Okay, and so that's part of growing up, and that's what science helps civilization do, is grow up.
00:57:54.000 That's a good point.
00:57:55.000 Yeah.
00:57:55.000 Yeah.
00:57:56.000 Do you...
00:57:57.000 Boy, do you think that any of those bizarre beliefs are important at all to people today?
00:58:03.000 How do you think society would function if we all abandoned religion?
00:58:07.000 And what about the people that have included it as a part of the scaffolding?
00:58:13.000 Of how they operate in this life.
00:58:14.000 And there are people who do good things.
00:58:15.000 There are people who are more generous and give to charity because of religion and help their neighbors and go to, you know, at Christmas time, go to soup kitchens and all.
00:58:23.000 There's no doubt that that happens.
00:58:24.000 And they genuinely do experience positive results from that.
00:58:28.000 Absolutely.
00:58:28.000 Absolutely.
00:58:29.000 So it's not as if religion breeds badness in everyone.
00:58:32.000 Right.
00:58:33.000 But what people should realize is it's not as if the lack of religion breeds badness as everyone.
00:58:37.000 The question is, is it necessary?
00:58:39.000 Right.
00:58:39.000 Altruism and kindness can exist on their own.
00:58:41.000 Exactly.
00:58:42.000 So you can do all of that.
00:58:45.000 And I know people who go to soup kitchens at Christmas time who are atheists.
00:58:48.000 The point is, it's not necessary.
00:58:50.000 So for some people it helps.
00:58:52.000 I would argue that on average, and this is where you can have a debate, but on average I would say the net effect of religion is negative.
00:59:00.000 And I know colleagues of mine, some of whom would disagree with me on that, but I think if you look at the net effect of religion on society in the current world, and maybe even over human history, The net effect is negative.
00:59:11.000 And I would argue you could probably get many of the same features.
00:59:15.000 If we dispense with religion right now, it'd be a problem.
00:59:18.000 Because right now, for many people, religion gives them community, a sense of community, a sense of belonging, and maybe for many a sense of comfort and death and all sorts of things.
00:59:29.000 So we couldn't just sort of...
00:59:31.000 It provides useful things, as I said before.
00:59:34.000 It fulfills evolutionary purposes.
00:59:36.000 If it wasn't, it wouldn't be so ubiquitous.
00:59:38.000 But I can imagine, at least, a world where we could fulfill those things in other ways.
00:59:44.000 For example, instead of bringing people together for church every Sunday, we could bring them together for a rock concert every Sunday.
00:59:50.000 Okay?
00:59:51.000 And they'd get the same sense of community.
00:59:52.000 Or maybe for a quantum mechanics class every Sunday.
00:59:55.000 But maybe they might find it fun if they made quantum mechanics.
00:59:58.000 Or maybe they'd find a sense of community in everyone rolling their eyes just like you did now.
01:00:03.000 Because I suspect that happens in church a lot, too.
01:00:05.000 For sure.
01:00:06.000 Well, a sense of community is very important to bond people and bring them together.
01:00:10.000 And religion does it.
01:00:11.000 Yes.
01:00:11.000 But the point is, what bothers me when people say, well, therefore, we need religion.
01:00:15.000 And the answer is, maybe now.
01:00:17.000 But could we imagine building a sense of community because we care about each other and we have a commonality in other ways?
01:00:24.000 That's another thing that makes science so wonderful, right?
01:00:26.000 I've called the Large Hadron Collider the Gothic Cathedral of the 21st century because the Gothic The cathedrals were built in the 11th or 12th century by thousands of artisans over centuries working together.
01:00:37.000 They had different languages, different cultures, different religions maybe, not so many different religions back then, but they worked together.
01:00:44.000 The Large Hadron Collider is built by 10,000 scientists from over 100 different countries with different languages, different religions.
01:00:51.000 They're working together.
01:00:52.000 They have a commonality.
01:00:54.000 Science really, much more effectively than religion, I would argue, binds people globally.
01:00:59.000 Because religions are still an us-versus-them thing.
01:01:02.000 I'm Christian, you're a Jew.
01:01:03.000 I'm Christian, you're Islam.
01:01:04.000 You know, whatever it is.
01:01:05.000 I'm Buddhist.
01:01:06.000 It's always us versus them.
01:01:08.000 With science, in principle, anyone can do it.
01:01:12.000 And we're all working towards a common goal, which is to understand how the universe works.
01:01:17.000 We're not interested in pushing our own picture or joining together to believe anything.
01:01:24.000 That's the other thing people think of.
01:01:26.000 Scientists push evolution because we all get together at night and with special rings and talk to each other and say, we don't want to believe anything else.
01:01:33.000 They don't realize if you're a scientist.
01:01:36.000 The biggest way to become famous, and what we all do when we go into work every day, is try and prove our colleagues wrong.
01:01:42.000 Because that's how you really make progress.
01:01:44.000 Hey, something we thought was right is really not what we thought it was.
01:01:48.000 Those are the great discoveries that push people forward.
01:01:50.000 So it's not as if we all buy into the same thing.
01:01:53.000 We're all trying to push knowledge forward, which means we're trying to discover...
01:01:57.000 Perhaps old biases and overcome them.
01:02:02.000 And so scientists are bound together not to push their own...
01:02:05.000 I mean, of course we all have theories, but we're all willing to throw them out if the theories are proven wrong.
01:02:12.000 And we're all willing to celebrate being wrong.
01:02:15.000 And that's a wonderful thing, and as I always say, if you're a theoretical physicist, the two favourite states to be in are either wrong or confused, because that's great, because then you're going to learn something.
01:02:26.000 And if we are more comfortable with not knowing, which is the other aspect, I think, that science for many people is terrifying, because if you deeply believe you know the answers, if you deeply believe there's a God, you can put aside that uncertainty.
01:02:41.000 And for many people, uncertainty is terrifying.
01:02:43.000 But being comfortable with not knowing is wonderful.
01:02:47.000 And moreover, I would argue, is better for teachers and for parents.
01:02:51.000 You know, your kids ask you questions and you really want to always give them the answer, whether you know it or not.
01:02:56.000 Right.
01:02:56.000 But it'd be much better to say, you know what, I don't know.
01:02:58.000 Let's figure out.
01:03:00.000 If anyone knows this.
01:03:01.000 Because then they participate in the joy of discovery.
01:03:04.000 They're not told something by some authority.
01:03:06.000 And same with teachers.
01:03:07.000 I do think we should be teaching questions rather than answers.
01:03:10.000 We should be teaching kids how to question and then how to search for the answers.
01:03:14.000 How to distinguish the wheat from the chaff.
01:03:16.000 How to distinguish the nonsense from the scents.
01:03:18.000 Especially in our society right now, we used to teach school as if it's just a compository of information.
01:03:25.000 Now we know, in my phone I have more information than in school, but I also have more misinformation.
01:03:30.000 How do I tell the difference?
01:03:31.000 It's the process, and that's what we need to teach in school, the process of skeptical inquiry, relying on evidence, checking many sources, testing your ideas constantly.
01:03:42.000 Those are the tools kids need to deal effectively in the modern world with an internet that's full of, and with news sources which are equally full of misinformation as well as information.
01:03:53.000 One of the biggest issues I think that people are having with religion in the 21st century is these areas where you're not allowed to question and explore.
01:04:00.000 That things hit these walls where this is God's will and this is the way it is.
01:04:05.000 And in my mind, what we say, that is just a cold word for I don't want to think about it.
01:04:09.000 Right.
01:04:09.000 It's too confusing.
01:04:10.000 It's too complicated.
01:04:12.000 Or too terrifying.
01:04:13.000 Or people say, and this amazes me, I get people saying, you will never understand the origin of the universe.
01:04:22.000 You'll never understand what love is.
01:04:24.000 Science will never, ever explain love.
01:04:26.000 Science will never, ever explain X. Well, what will?
01:04:29.000 And then I say to them, well, that's incredibly a pompous statement.
01:04:33.000 Because if you say that science will never explain this, you must understand it.
01:04:37.000 Because how do you know that we'll never explain it?
01:04:39.000 We never know what we won't be able to explain until we try.
01:04:43.000 And maybe there are things about our universe that we'll never understand.
01:04:46.000 But we don't know until we try.
01:04:48.000 You can never say up front that science will never explain this or that because you haven't tried.
01:04:54.000 And in my experience as a scientist, I've been, you know, there could have been brick walls, but I've watched progressively those brick walls crumble as we move around them, or we break them, and it is so exhilarating, and that's why it's the greatest story ever told.
01:05:09.000 It's so exhilarating to see them knocked down, and things you thought we'd never understand.
01:05:13.000 I remember one of the forces in nature, a very prominent physicist, the 19...
01:05:21.000 It will be a hundred years before we discover, understand this interaction.
01:05:25.000 Next year the theory came out.
01:05:26.000 And it's so wonderful to see how the story surmounts The biases and the anticipation of individual scientists.
01:05:35.000 That's the greatest story ever told so far.
01:05:38.000 Well, what's ridiculous about saying no one will ever figure anything out is that what we figured out over the last 200 years is monumental and that human language has only been around for 40,000.
01:05:49.000 Absolutely!
01:05:50.000 Can we live another 50,000 years?
01:05:52.000 100,000 years?
01:05:53.000 As long as we don't, as long as we keep open inquiry.
01:05:57.000 You could imagine moving, I mean, look, we went through a few hundred years of the Middle Ages where the incredible inquiry-based civil culture of the Greeks was just forgotten.
01:06:10.000 You know, Greeks had determined the circumference of the earth, not only that it was round, but what its circumference was by simple measurements that were then not accepted because of dogma.
01:06:20.000 So we have to, if we want to progress, we have to beware of dogma.
01:06:24.000 How did they figure out the circumference of the earth?
01:06:26.000 Oh, it's really neat.
01:06:27.000 I think it was Aristarchus.
01:06:29.000 I forget which was the Greek now.
01:06:30.000 It's amazing.
01:06:31.000 Well, what he said was, look, So, at a certain time of day, a certain time of the year, the sun is directly overhead at 12 noon.
01:06:39.000 Okay?
01:06:40.000 And I can tell that by looking down a deep well, and I see the reflection of the sun exactly in that deep well.
01:06:47.000 Okay?
01:06:48.000 So the rays of the sun, which are coming down in the same direction towards the Earth everywhere, comes down in the deep well.
01:06:53.000 But 100 miles away, the well, because the surface of the Earth is curved, the well is pointing in a little bit different direction.
01:06:59.000 So the sun's rays come at a slightly different angle.
01:07:02.000 So on this day, I will measure that the Sun is directly overhead for me, but I'll get my friend 100 miles away to measure the angle of the Sun relative to the well, and that tells you that the Earth is curved.
01:07:15.000 And if you do the geometry, you can work out if the 100 miles of the Earth's surface causes the Sun's rays to suddenly be at that angle, how curved the Earth is and what the circumference of the Earth is.
01:07:25.000 It's plain geometry that, in principle, any high school student could do.
01:07:28.000 But when you say 100 miles away, first of all, how are they communicating with this guy 100 miles away?
01:07:32.000 They're not immediately, but the guy writes it down, and then he takes a horse, and they come and compare notes later.
01:07:36.000 And they use a sundial to determine the time?
01:07:38.000 The sundial to determine the time, and the...
01:07:41.000 But 100 miles away, would there be a deviation at all in the time, a minute or two?
01:07:45.000 Well, yeah, but so to some accuracy, you get it wrong to some accuracy.
01:07:50.000 But they did pretty damn well.
01:07:52.000 They came up with the circumference of the Earth that was darn close to the circumference of the Earth.
01:07:56.000 And so it's amazing that they use these techniques.
01:08:00.000 So they were just so confused and so curious about it all.
01:08:03.000 They just tried to figure out what...
01:08:05.000 There's got to be a way to figure this out.
01:08:07.000 And they didn't...
01:08:08.000 And they weren't...
01:08:09.000 They weren't forced with the dogma that the Earth is flat.
01:08:12.000 Right.
01:08:13.000 As I've told today, you were dealing with some people who are still forced with that dogma.
01:08:17.000 It's very strange.
01:08:18.000 How do you feel about that in 2017?
01:08:21.000 It's amazing.
01:08:21.000 But you know, nothing surprises me anymore.
01:08:23.000 Not only that, gravity's not real and dinosaurs aren't real.
01:08:25.000 I know.
01:08:25.000 And you know, the people who say gravity aren't real, I have a great solution.
01:08:28.000 What?
01:08:28.000 It's a great solution.
01:08:29.000 Jump off a building?
01:08:29.000 Walk out the window on the 13th floor and test your ideas.
01:08:32.000 And the great thing is do it before you reproduce.
01:08:34.000 But it's a magnetism thing, they believe.
01:08:37.000 It's electromagnetism or something like that that sucks people down to the ground.
01:08:40.000 Yeah, that's what they could think.
01:08:42.000 Fascinating.
01:08:43.000 Carry a magnet and look at it as what happens as you're falling to the earth.
01:08:45.000 Well, what's even more hilarious is that they, well, we talked about this before the podcast started, the Japanese weather satellite that takes an image, a full image of the earth.
01:08:56.000 What is the name of that satellite again, Jamie?
01:08:59.000 It takes a full image of the earth from 22,000 miles away.
01:09:04.000 People keep saying in this flat earth theory thing that there's no images of the earth in full, that they're all composites.
01:09:11.000 That's not true.
01:09:11.000 It's not true.
01:09:12.000 There are images of the earth that are taken every 10 minutes by this one satellite and they're high resolution.
01:09:17.000 You can access them online anytime you want.
01:09:21.000 But people see those and they want to think they're fake, but yet they believe there's an ice wall around Antarctica that you cross over and you fall to the abyss.
01:09:29.000 Where's this photo of the ice wall?
01:09:32.000 How does someone fly from Japan to the United States?
01:09:35.000 They don't believe that people can fly around the world.
01:09:37.000 I've done it.
01:09:38.000 And that they're all lying.
01:09:40.000 Here's another one.
01:09:42.000 Have they ever thought of time zones?
01:09:44.000 Why are there time zones if the Earth is flat?
01:09:46.000 Why are there time zones?
01:09:47.000 They should go from New York to L.A. and see, you know what?
01:09:51.000 The time is different.
01:09:52.000 Leprechauns.
01:09:53.000 Well, no, but they probably think it's a human invention.
01:09:56.000 But you know, the sun is still shining in L.A. when it's gone down in New York and they can call their friends and check.
01:10:02.000 And if the Earth was flat, that wouldn't be the case.
01:10:05.000 It's only the case because the Earth is curved.
01:10:07.000 So those simple things should convince people.
01:10:10.000 But people are willing to throw out evidence if they have a belief That's really firm.
01:10:14.000 And what I said before is we have to realize the easiest person to fool is yourself.
01:10:20.000 So if you're not willing to question your beliefs, especially those that you hold particularly cherished beliefs in, if you're not willing to question those, you're not going to ever grow.
01:10:30.000 Yeah, well, that's a good way to put it, particularly cherish, because I think a lot of people do cherish these ideas, things like the earth being flat, because it gives them some sort of information leg up on everybody.
01:10:39.000 I know something that people don't know.
01:10:41.000 Or it makes them feel better about themselves.
01:10:42.000 They may hate gays because it makes them feel better about not being gay.
01:10:46.000 Or maybe they...
01:10:47.000 They're gay and they're trying to hide it.
01:10:49.000 Yeah, exactly.
01:10:50.000 You know, I mean, you always worry about that.
01:10:51.000 And so I think we all...
01:10:53.000 That's what I mean about believing ten impossible things for breakfast.
01:10:57.000 I don't want to make fun of people because we all do think of things to make us feel better about ourselves.
01:11:03.000 It's part of being human.
01:11:04.000 The psychological pitfalls.
01:11:05.000 Yeah, and so we should be aware of those.
01:11:07.000 And I have them and you have them.
01:11:08.000 And I don't pretend I don't.
01:11:10.000 What I do try and do is question them.
01:11:12.000 But we can all do that.
01:11:14.000 And I don't...
01:11:15.000 I understand why people believe certain things.
01:11:18.000 It's not...
01:11:19.000 And you can be...
01:11:20.000 You know what?
01:11:20.000 Again, Richard Dawkins tells me about an astrophysicist he knows who, during the day, you know, studies objects in the sky and looks at galaxies or stars and measures that they're 12 billion years old or whatever.
01:11:35.000 But yet he goes home at night and is convinced that the Earth is 6,000 years old.
01:11:40.000 So somehow he can do both.
01:11:42.000 Really?
01:11:42.000 Yeah.
01:11:42.000 He knows a guy like that?
01:11:43.000 Oh yeah.
01:11:44.000 And we're all capable of believing in two mutually contradictory things at the same time.
01:11:50.000 It's just the way we're built.
01:11:52.000 How does this guy measure the age of these planets?
01:11:56.000 Somehow it doesn't affect his fundamental beliefs.
01:11:58.000 And it's amazing.
01:11:59.000 It's true because we can all believe things that are wrong.
01:12:02.000 And so it doesn't mean they're stupid.
01:12:04.000 Because this guy is apparently a fairly accomplished astrophysicist.
01:12:07.000 It's a psychological pitfall.
01:12:09.000 It's a trap.
01:12:10.000 So many people, you know, when I talk about this, I don't want to seem pompous in the sense of saying, oh, I'm better, or scientists are better.
01:12:18.000 Science is better, because science helps us overcome those pitfalls.
01:12:22.000 Why do those pitfalls exist, though?
01:12:24.000 Because obviously, I would argue that they have an evolutionary purpose.
01:12:30.000 That somehow, if they didn't have an evolutionary purpose, then they wouldn't have been selected for, right?
01:12:36.000 Right.
01:12:36.000 There does seem to be some weird inclination or some desire to expose secrets, to find secrets and to know them.
01:12:45.000 Yeah, it's nice.
01:12:46.000 Well, but on the other end, that's great.
01:12:48.000 Let's exploit that.
01:12:49.000 Right.
01:12:50.000 Discovering secrets.
01:12:52.000 It's about discovering mysteries.
01:12:54.000 Discovering mysteries is what motivates us to do science.
01:12:56.000 So let's put it in a positive light.
01:12:58.000 We all want to solve puzzles.
01:13:00.000 We all want to understand something, and maybe we're the first one to understand it.
01:13:03.000 We all want to access information, maybe, and make us feel special for doing it.
01:13:08.000 That's the reason I do science, right?
01:13:09.000 It's not to save the world.
01:13:11.000 It's because I really want to be...
01:13:12.000 No, I understand.
01:13:13.000 And it's nice to be the first person to maybe understand stuff.
01:13:15.000 It's gratifying for your ego.
01:13:17.000 And we are driven, you know, by ego.
01:13:20.000 And let's not pretend otherwise.
01:13:22.000 Right.
01:13:22.000 But I think you're talking about measurable things and elements and things that you could sort of expose and explain.
01:13:28.000 But what these people seem to be really obsessed with is people lying about stuff and covering up secrets about, like, the earth being flat or Yeah, they like to believe there's a conspiracy.
01:13:40.000 Yeah.
01:13:41.000 Conspiracies are very, very attractive.
01:13:43.000 Yeah, because, and I'm not a psychologist, so what I say here is just a speculation.
01:13:50.000 But the world doesn't care what you believe, and it doesn't treat you fairly.
01:13:56.000 Right?
01:13:57.000 Right.
01:13:57.000 And that's just a fact.
01:13:58.000 The world doesn't treat me fairly, doesn't treat you fairly, it doesn't give a damn about my well-being.
01:14:03.000 So, hey, I'm being treated unfairly.
01:14:08.000 Isn't it better for me to think that someone is actively being unfair to me than to assume it's just the way it is?
01:14:13.000 Because then I can blame it.
01:14:16.000 And so I tend to think conspiracy theorists tend to say, you know, the things I don't like, there's a real reason for it.
01:14:21.000 It's not an accident.
01:14:23.000 It's not just haphazard.
01:14:24.000 It's not anything.
01:14:26.000 And, you know, I've lost my job because there's got to be a reason.
01:14:31.000 There's got to be a villain.
01:14:32.000 There's got to be someone making it happen.
01:14:33.000 Just like the reason we burned witches, right?
01:14:37.000 Because there were storms or there wasn't, you know, there wasn't crops that year.
01:14:41.000 And a lot of people say, it's an interesting historical...
01:14:44.000 theory, which I think seems quite plausible to me, that when Newton discovered the laws of gravity, the universal law of gravity, it contributed to the ending of the burning of witches.
01:14:54.000 I thought that that was a myth, the burning of witches.
01:14:57.000 I thought they drowned them mostly.
01:14:58.000 Well, they hung a lot of them, too.
01:15:00.000 They drowned them.
01:15:01.000 I don't care whether it's burning.
01:15:02.000 They killed them.
01:15:02.000 Right.
01:15:02.000 I understand.
01:15:03.000 Okay.
01:15:03.000 They blamed crops.
01:15:05.000 They blamed bad things.
01:15:06.000 And then when Newton discovered that even the planets are affected by the same laws that an apple is, there's a universal loss.
01:15:13.000 It meant that physical effects had physical causes.
01:15:16.000 And when bad things happen, there's a physical reason.
01:15:19.000 There's not someone you can blame and witches or whatever.
01:15:23.000 And so there's a lot of arguments that suggest that that kind of development in physics led to the end of blaming people for bad crops or for bad things happening.
01:15:33.000 But I think that's the kind of thing when we want to find someone to blame, rather than just saying, the universe doesn't give a shit about me.
01:15:40.000 And anybody interested in this, this is a really fascinating subject, but the whole Salem witch trial thing, there's a lot of really convincing evidence that seems to point towards ergot poisoning, that there was a late freeze, and that this particular type of fungus grew on some of their wheat that makes ergot,
01:15:59.000 which has very LSD-like properties, and they think these people thought they were being bewitched because they're being contaminated.
01:16:05.000 It's a great idea.
01:16:07.000 It's fascinating.
01:16:08.000 Yeah, it is fascinating.
01:16:25.000 Assign blame when we shouldn't.
01:16:26.000 When I lose my keys, sometimes I say to my wife, where did you put the keys, right?
01:16:32.000 And then I learned very quickly that I shouldn't have said that.
01:16:35.000 And so I think it's a characteristic of being human, and accepting it as a characteristic of being human doesn't diminish us.
01:16:46.000 But what's really great is we can understand that and try and work And try and figure out ways to avoid those pitfalls.
01:16:53.000 So a lot of these ways of thinking, these patterns of thinking, these are sort of hold-offs from the ancient days.
01:16:59.000 The things that helped us to survive, those pathways still exist.
01:17:02.000 They are now counterproductive.
01:17:04.000 I ran a meeting at my origins project at ASU about the origins of xenophobia.
01:17:09.000 And, you know, us versus them.
01:17:11.000 And it turns out there's really useful evolutionary purposes for us versus them, tribal purposes.
01:17:17.000 Tribal invaders.
01:17:18.000 And not just that.
01:17:19.000 Actually, it goes back to biochemistry.
01:17:20.000 You know, immune systems is us versus them.
01:17:23.000 Right.
01:17:23.000 Just being able to recognize foreign bodies and cells.
01:17:25.000 So it goes back to single-cell organisms.
01:17:28.000 Wow.
01:17:28.000 But then the question is, is it now got to...
01:17:31.000 Is it now...
01:17:34.000 Run its course and become counterproductive.
01:17:36.000 Counterproductive, exactly.
01:17:37.000 And then we have to look at those things and ask what there is.
01:17:40.000 And if we explore those things, then there's a better chance that we can deal with them and ask what's useful and what isn't.
01:17:46.000 But if we refuse to acknowledge that those things exist and that they may be the purpose of our religion or our beliefs or whatever, then we can't possibly overcome them.
01:17:59.000 I'm going to change gears a little bit here, but are you concerned at all about AI? Yeah, yes.
01:18:05.000 We just had a workshop again at My Origins Project, which you can watch it online, the public event anyway.
01:18:10.000 Where can someone see it?
01:18:11.000 It's at www.origins.asu.edu.
01:18:14.000 We run these amazing events.
01:18:16.000 And what's neat to me, by the way...
01:18:17.000 We get 3,000 people attending, paying to attend.
01:18:20.000 People really want to hear science if it's done right and interestingly.
01:18:23.000 That's awesome.
01:18:24.000 I'm so pleased and privileged that people find things that interesting and come over and over again.
01:18:32.000 So we ran this event called the Future of AI, Who's in Control?
01:18:36.000 Because associated with it, we had a scientific workshop on what are the possible disruptive influences of AI. Now, AI is going to change the world.
01:18:44.000 The future is not going to be like the past.
01:18:46.000 What it means to be human is not going to be like it was the past.
01:18:49.000 Get over it.
01:18:50.000 Now, the question is, some of those things which we think are horrible may not be so bad.
01:18:56.000 For example, the ancient Greeks thought the introduction of writing would be horrible because oral storytelling would be destroyed.
01:19:04.000 But writing wasn't such a bad thing.
01:19:06.000 It actually made the world kind of maybe a more interesting place.
01:19:10.000 Maybe AI will take over certain functions that humans have, teaching or doctoring or whatever, and maybe it won't be so bad.
01:19:18.000 Maybe it seems terrifying for us, but maybe it won't be so bad.
01:19:22.000 On the other hand, though, you can imagine awful consequences, ones that are really bad.
01:19:27.000 So we looked at these disruptive possible consequences, and the point is, it can have both.
01:19:33.000 What's really important is, unless you think about it, Pasteur said, fortune favors the prepared mind, ultimately.
01:19:42.000 So yes, AI is both terrifying and exciting.
01:19:45.000 The future is terrifying and exciting.
01:19:48.000 For example, I'm...
01:19:51.000 I'm really excited by the possibility that AI might become better physicists than us.
01:19:56.000 And I'd like to know how intelligent computers, especially intelligent quantum computers, understand quantum mechanics.
01:20:02.000 They may understand it better than we do, and I might learn from them.
01:20:05.000 So maybe they'll be the dominant physicists in the future, the dominant academics, and we can learn from them.
01:20:10.000 We can learn from intelligent artificial systems.
01:20:14.000 That wouldn't be so bad.
01:20:16.000 Maybe it seems like it'd be bad, but what's wrong with that?
01:20:18.000 It's really rose-colored glasses, though.
01:20:20.000 That may be, but on the other hand, it could be that intelligent AI decides that there's no need.
01:20:29.000 For example, here's something that one of the people who was at our workshop, Jan Tallinn, who founded Skype, was one of the coordinators of our workshop.
01:20:38.000 He says, well, you know, oxygen is really bad for oxidation of electronic systems, okay?
01:20:47.000 So if AI could control, you know, technology, they might want to systematically reduce the oxygen content of the atmosphere.
01:20:57.000 That wouldn't be so good for humanity.
01:20:59.000 So you can imagine the other extreme where basically intelligent AI systems control most of the technology in the world and maneuver things so humans become extinct.
01:21:09.000 So you can imagine one realm or the other, but unless you think about the ways that you can try and ensure that the future is as good as it can be, you've got to at least confront those possibilities.
01:21:22.000 You don't put your head in the sand and you don't go, oh my god, the world is ending.
01:21:26.000 You say, look, there are changes that are going to happen.
01:21:29.000 For example, AI will displace millions of people from their work.
01:21:35.000 You know, there's no doubt.
01:21:37.000 If not billions.
01:21:38.000 Billions.
01:21:38.000 Let's say billions.
01:21:41.000 What's that going to do?
01:21:42.000 Well, there are two possibilities, and one of them was imagined by John Maynard Keynes when he thought about what industrialization would do.
01:21:48.000 He said, you know, the effects of it is that, yeah, machines are going to do a lot of the work that people are going to do, but the great thing is that'll free people from the work.
01:21:54.000 They'll be able to go have coffee in coffee shops, go read books, see plays.
01:22:00.000 The quality of their life will improve.
01:22:02.000 But of course, that didn't happen because, you know, the increased resources that were, the increased money and all of that that was generated by industrialization wasn't uniformly distributed at some point.
01:22:15.000 When we are billions of people out of work, we're going to have to decide to say, you know what?
01:22:18.000 Those machines have produced a higher net potential quality of life for everyone.
01:22:23.000 Maybe we have to spread the wealth.
01:22:26.000 So some sort of universal basic income.
01:22:28.000 Yeah, and I think, frankly, we have a choice.
01:22:30.000 Either we, as machines, begin to do just that, we have a choice to move in that direction, it seems to me, or we have a choice to move in a direction of incredible socioeconomic...
01:22:44.000 That's going to create huge, huge societal problems.
01:22:47.000 And I'm worried that in our society, for example, that doesn't even want to provide health care to everyone, where some people say, why should I pay for you when you're sick?
01:22:58.000 Even though we live in a society that's wealthy enough to do just that, that we'll never get to a point where we say, you know what, these machines have generated incredible wealth.
01:23:08.000 Let's allow all the people who've been displaced to benefit from that wealth.
01:23:13.000 I suspect that won't happen, and I'm pessimistic about the future, although as my friend Cormac McCarthy says, because he's a really chipper fellow, but he writes very dark books, and when I first met him, I said, how can you be so cheerful?
01:23:26.000 And he said, you know, I'm a pessimist, but that's no reason to be gloomy.
01:23:31.000 And that's become my mantra ever since then.
01:23:33.000 That's a great statement.
01:23:35.000 Yeah, I love it.
01:23:35.000 Now, what I'm worried about with AI is that we're looking at it as if it's an invention.
01:23:41.000 It's a human invention, which it most certainly is.
01:23:44.000 But it's also a life form.
01:23:46.000 What I'm worried about is that it decides, well, eventually if you extrapolate.
01:23:50.000 Yeah, but okay, so, big deal.
01:23:52.000 Well, that it decides to make a better version of itself.
01:23:56.000 It will.
01:23:56.000 And we're going to be completely obsolete within a short amount of time.
01:23:59.000 Great.
01:24:00.000 Really?
01:24:00.000 Well, I mean, no.
01:24:01.000 So that could be good or bad.
01:24:03.000 It's going to suck.
01:24:04.000 No, but this is your illusion that you're significant.
01:24:07.000 Well, no, it's not.
01:24:08.000 It's not.
01:24:09.000 I'd just like to stay alive long enough to die of old age.
01:24:11.000 Oh, but maybe...
01:24:12.000 Not be eaten by robots.
01:24:13.000 So there are lots of things that don't have any real purpose.
01:24:16.000 But would the robots...
01:24:18.000 You know, if you want to talk about robots, would it be...
01:24:21.000 Why would they feel it's necessary...
01:24:25.000 To destroy us.
01:24:26.000 Because we're polluting the environment.
01:24:28.000 We might screw up the world.
01:24:29.000 Well, when we're not governing things, we might not be.
01:24:32.000 Right.
01:24:32.000 You know, they might want to save us like we do the turtles and...
01:24:36.000 Chimps.
01:24:37.000 Or, you know, in various places, they don't want the lights to happen because the turtles don't, you know, mate if the lights are on the beach.
01:24:42.000 We don't do such a good job about that.
01:24:44.000 We don't, but they'll be better than us, right?
01:24:45.000 Right, but we might be an evil hyena-like species to them.
01:24:49.000 If we are, then why should we be around?
01:24:51.000 That's a good question, but I mean, I'm worried about that.
01:24:53.000 Well, no, but maybe...
01:24:54.000 It won't give us a chance to get better.
01:24:56.000 But maybe you could view them as your offspring.
01:24:59.000 And then you...
01:25:00.000 Boy, that's optimistic.
01:25:02.000 Well, then you say, look, I'm my offspring.
01:25:03.000 And in fact, actually, I do think, ultimately, if machines can program themselves and ultimately become better, then it will be difficult for biology to keep up.
01:25:13.000 And our future as humans could easily be...
01:25:17.000 What you would call the Borg in Star Trek.
01:25:18.000 It could easily say, the only sensible way is to merge.
01:25:21.000 And you know what?
01:25:22.000 It's really interesting.
01:25:23.000 So then the dominant life form, it'll be really interesting.
01:25:26.000 So we tend to think of, why are carbon-based individuals the dominant life form in the universe?
01:25:31.000 It could be, if we're looking out in the universe and looking at the dominant life form, they're silicon-based.
01:25:36.000 They're not carbon-based.
01:25:37.000 And it'd really be interesting because, in this case, it would be intelligent design.
01:25:42.000 You can imagine a bunch of intelligent computers having a podcast in the far future saying, you know, I think we were designed by these...
01:25:51.000 Yeah, by these monkeys.
01:25:54.000 Yeah.
01:25:54.000 Wow.
01:25:55.000 And they would be right.
01:25:56.000 That's what's really fascinating is the idea that we are some sort of, not just a creator, but that we are the predecessors of some greater species.
01:26:06.000 And who knows?
01:26:07.000 Who knows what the future is going to be?
01:26:08.000 But to be afraid of the future...
01:26:12.000 Well, it's inevitable, right?
01:26:14.000 Ultimately, what can happen will happen.
01:26:16.000 We just have to accept that.
01:26:17.000 And we have to try and prepare for it as best as possible to try and make sure it works out as well as possible.
01:26:24.000 I begin this book, The Greatest Story Ever Told So Far, with a quote from Virgil from the Aeneid saying, I think these are the tiers of things and they're I should, you know, I don't know if you have a copy of the book around.
01:26:36.000 No, it's at home, unfortunately.
01:26:37.000 Yeah, I was going to bring mine in, but I'm sure you'd have it with you.
01:26:40.000 Sorry.
01:26:41.000 Anyway, and the stuff of our mortality cuts us to the heart.
01:26:44.000 And it's a Latin phrase that people remember.
01:26:48.000 That's famous.
01:26:48.000 But the next phrase in the Nineveh, which I talk about at the very last page or two of the book, is the phrase, release your fear.
01:26:56.000 And I think that's the important thing.
01:26:58.000 The stuff of mortality does cause us to the heart.
01:27:00.000 But release your fear.
01:27:02.000 Use it to make our brief moment in the sun more precious.
01:27:05.000 But it's fascinating to me that we're so connected to this particular form that we find ourselves in now and that we're so attached to it.
01:27:13.000 And that even though we know that we are a finite life form as individuals...
01:27:16.000 Oh, some people don't...
01:27:17.000 Yeah, go on.
01:27:18.000 What I'm saying, you know, irrationally, but we know that we're a finite life form.
01:27:22.000 We would like to think that we stay in this state for as long as, you know, history allows.
01:27:29.000 But, you know, but of course we're just temporary.
01:27:31.000 Even as humans, even as hominids, homo sapiens have only been around for a speck of time.
01:27:35.000 A couple hundred thousand years, right?
01:27:37.000 And who would expect our future to be the same?
01:27:39.000 Well, yeah, of course it can't be.
01:27:41.000 And what if, I mean...
01:27:44.000 What if the things that are wonderful about our culture are preserved by our descendants, but our descendants aren't carbon-based?
01:27:51.000 Okay.
01:27:53.000 So what's wrong with that?
01:27:54.000 Why do you care if your great-great [...]-grandchildren look like you?
01:28:00.000 Right.
01:28:00.000 I mean, of course we all do, because we want some immortality.
01:28:03.000 Right.
01:28:04.000 Okay, so the robots are made to look like you.
01:28:05.000 I mean, I don't care, you know.
01:28:07.000 They all have Joe Rogan faces on them in front of them.
01:28:10.000 Did you see Ex Machina?
01:28:12.000 Yeah, yeah.
01:28:12.000 Did you know Alex?
01:28:14.000 Yeah, I've talked to Alex Garland.
01:28:16.000 There was a hesitation there.
01:28:17.000 There was a little nod.
01:28:18.000 Well, you know, of course, whenever I see science fiction, I try to suspend disbelief, okay?
01:28:25.000 I think the idea, in fact, I showed a clip from Ex Machina in our event.
01:28:30.000 Because I think there are many possible negative consequences of artificial intelligence.
01:28:38.000 One of them is malevolence, but the other is unintended negative consequences.
01:28:43.000 And I thought Max Machina was a wonderful example of unintended negative consequences of artificial intelligence.
01:28:49.000 I don't think that lovely young woman was designed to be evil, but it was an unintended consequence when she saw an opportunity for herself.
01:28:57.000 I mean, and the other one I showed, of course, is from 2001, Space Odyssey, the great Hal, where Hal says, sorry, Dave, I can't do that.
01:29:04.000 And I think it's wonderful and thoughtful, and it was thought-provoking.
01:29:10.000 And as I say, I've come to know Alex Garland, who wrote it and directed it since then, and he's a very thoughtful and interesting guy.
01:29:16.000 One of my favorite all-time movies.
01:29:17.000 I love that movie.
01:29:18.000 Yeah, it's a really interesting movie.
01:29:19.000 I agree.
01:29:21.000 I always try and analyze it afterwards, and sometimes as a scientist, I try not to get in the way of liking science fiction because, of course, they all involve...
01:29:32.000 Right.
01:29:50.000 Example of this.
01:29:51.000 And the example that comes to mind is I remember a New York Times reporter after the physics of Star Trek came out said, can I go with you to a science fiction movie and watch you and talk to you about it?
01:30:01.000 And so we went to see Starship Troopers.
01:30:05.000 This is the stupidest movie of all time.
01:30:07.000 That's a great movie.
01:30:08.000 How dare you?
01:30:09.000 No, because these ants poop out things at supersonic speeds across the galaxy.
01:30:16.000 I mean, you know, that's amazing, but it's stupid.
01:30:20.000 Well, it's a very campy movie, right?
01:30:21.000 Yeah, I know, but the problem is because he was asking me to look at the reality of it, I couldn't even suspend disbelief if I wanted to.
01:30:28.000 But it's things like that.
01:30:30.000 For example, when something happens that suddenly takes you out of the story, you suddenly go, oh shit.
01:30:36.000 Here's another one, another movie I hate called Ghost.
01:30:39.000 Maybe you liked it with the famous movie.
01:30:40.000 Demi Moore?
01:30:41.000 Demi Moore and what's his face?
01:30:42.000 Patrick Swayze?
01:30:43.000 Yeah, yeah, right.
01:30:43.000 And here's the idea.
01:30:44.000 So this guy's a ghost, right?
01:30:45.000 And he...
01:30:47.000 He wants to show his long-lost lovelies around.
01:30:49.000 It's beautiful.
01:30:50.000 It's wonderful.
01:30:50.000 So he tries to lift a penny, but of course it goes through his hands, right?
01:30:53.000 He tries to hug her, but his hands go right through her.
01:30:55.000 But you notice each time he stands on the floor or sits on the couch, he stands on the floor and sits on the couch.
01:30:59.000 So his butt or his feet have some incredible ability to be stopped by matter, but nothing else does.
01:31:04.000 When I saw that, the rest of the movie went downhill.
01:31:07.000 That's a very good point.
01:31:09.000 I didn't want to ruin it for you, but I just did.
01:31:11.000 Well, I saw it when I was like 10. I'm older now.
01:31:14.000 That's an older movie.
01:31:15.000 When is that movie?
01:31:16.000 I probably wasn't 10. I was probably 20 or something.
01:31:19.000 I'm older.
01:31:19.000 It's a stupid movie.
01:31:20.000 It is, but for that, what I'm saying is the minute I saw that, it was hard for me to enjoy the rest of the movie.
01:31:26.000 I get it.
01:31:26.000 Plus the heaven and hell bit, which also I found stupid.
01:31:29.000 So sometimes something like that, and it doesn't have to be science.
01:31:37.000 You can be watching a drama and you say, Why the hell did they do that?
01:31:41.000 I mean, it's just out of character.
01:31:43.000 A cut-the-shit moment.
01:31:43.000 Yeah, and then it's hard for you to enjoy the rest of the movie.
01:31:46.000 Yeah, I find that all the time.
01:31:47.000 I have a real issue with that.
01:31:50.000 When you think about artificial intelligence, do you consider, like, one of the things that freaks me out is that what we consider life, when we think about instincts and needs and desires, Those won't necessarily be programmed at all into any artificial life.
01:32:10.000 Well, one of the questions that arises, and this is a huge point of discussion among AI researchers, because I've been to a bunch of meetings in preparation for our meeting, is whether, and I find this statement almost vacuous, but I'm amazed that they use it all the time, to program machines with human values.
01:32:25.000 Right.
01:32:25.000 Why?
01:32:26.000 Should we be programming our machines?
01:32:27.000 And my problem is, what are human values?
01:32:29.000 Right.
01:32:30.000 And they said, well, one of the, it was a very smart guy, and I won't say who, said at this meeting, well, they just have to watch us.
01:32:36.000 And I said, what do you mean?
01:32:36.000 They watch Donald Trump and they know what human values are?
01:32:39.000 I mean, come on!
01:32:40.000 You know, there are, I'm not sure there are universal human values.
01:32:43.000 And so, so how do we program them in?
01:32:45.000 But nevertheless, the question is, do we want to align their programming in terms of what we think will be beneficial to us?
01:32:52.000 Right.
01:32:53.000 Because after all, we're programming them.
01:32:55.000 So do we impart saint-like values?
01:32:58.000 Who knows?
01:32:59.000 I mean, I find that a very interesting question and a very difficult one to resolve.
01:33:03.000 My own feeling is, if you're up to me, and it's not an area of active research for me, you produce the smartest machines you can.
01:33:12.000 Just like you have kids, I have kids.
01:33:15.000 Do we want them to believe everything we believe?
01:33:17.000 No.
01:33:18.000 We want them to become the most capable human beings they can be, so that they can go out and do the best stuff.
01:33:23.000 So why is it different for a computer?
01:33:25.000 I'd want to make the most capable, intelligent, resourceful machine I ever could, because then I at least, all the evidence suggests to me that that machine will make the best decisions.
01:33:36.000 Right, but if the machine doesn't have an ability to breed sexually, and if it doesn't have ego, and if it doesn't necessarily have creativity because it doesn't need to be praised for its ego...
01:33:46.000 Oh, I don't think creativity comes from needing to be praised for ego.
01:33:49.000 I think creativity is one of the great intrinsic aspects of human beings that makes being a human being worth being a human being.
01:33:55.000 Well, I think, I agree with you, but I think if you're going to connect that sort of mindset to a computer or to artificial intelligence, don't you think it would have some need to create?
01:34:05.000 Like, our need to create is, like, we like to express ourselves to other people.
01:34:10.000 If you were alone on an island, do you think you would create?
01:34:12.000 Yeah, sure.
01:34:13.000 Here's an example.
01:34:14.000 By yourself?
01:34:14.000 Forever?
01:34:14.000 You think you would paint and make things?
01:34:16.000 I'd like to think I would, because that's what I find gratifying.
01:34:21.000 But I think one of the things people find gratifying is that other people are enjoying it.
01:34:24.000 It's a sense of community.
01:34:25.000 No, I don't do science because other people enjoy it.
01:34:27.000 I do science because I enjoy it.
01:34:29.000 So you think you would do science if you were the last person on Earth?
01:34:31.000 You would be alone with a legal pad?
01:34:33.000 What I do, the work I do is...
01:34:35.000 I mean, I don't want to make any pretense.
01:34:37.000 I do it because it's fun for me.
01:34:38.000 Right.
01:34:38.000 And I think most people do it.
01:34:40.000 They may claim...
01:34:41.000 Actually, I shouldn't say.
01:34:42.000 There are people, probably better than me, who do what they do because they're constantly trying to save humanity in one way or another.
01:34:49.000 I like to think what I do has a net positive effect.
01:34:52.000 And I try to take time out of my science to try and counter things that I think are wrong with the world.
01:34:57.000 Because I have a...
01:34:58.000 Because of my background and also because I have a soapbox.
01:35:00.000 I'm lucky enough to people listen to me for one reason or another.
01:35:03.000 So I try to take that responsibility seriously.
01:35:06.000 But on the whole, I do what I do because I enjoy doing it.
01:35:08.000 I think most of us do.
01:35:09.000 And we only do it, we're only good at it if we're good at it because we enjoy it.
01:35:13.000 Right.
01:35:13.000 And look at, here's an example.
01:35:16.000 So the best, one of the best machine learning...
01:35:19.000 Machines and existence just beat the best Go player in the world, right?
01:35:24.000 Right.
01:35:24.000 How did it do it?
01:35:25.000 It learned, constantly taught itself to be better at Go.
01:35:29.000 Okay?
01:35:30.000 That's creativity, if you want.
01:35:31.000 It's trying to be better at playing the game.
01:35:34.000 Right, but didn't it just calculate every single move that's ever been done?
01:35:37.000 No, no, it learned how to be, no, it can't do that.
01:35:40.000 What it can do is try to teach itself strategies that work.
01:35:45.000 Which is creativity.
01:35:46.000 And it does teach itself strategies that work, new strategies, by looking at old strategies that didn't work.
01:35:51.000 That's creativity.
01:35:53.000 Yeah, in a way.
01:35:53.000 I mean, who knows how to define creativity in all senses?
01:35:56.000 Yeah.
01:35:56.000 But you can imagine a sufficiently intelligent computer would be creative, because in order to do physics and science, you need to be creative.
01:36:02.000 You know, in fact, I just did an event with Alan Alda in New York City.
01:36:06.000 Alan Alda from MASH? Yeah.
01:36:08.000 Yeah, who's a great guy, an intelligent man, and very interested in science and science communication.
01:36:12.000 We've done a few events together, one with my origins project we can see online.
01:36:16.000 So he was interviewing me, or we had a dialogue, but he was interviewing me about the new book, and in the context of that and science communication.
01:36:24.000 And he said something wonderful, both there and earlier.
01:36:27.000 He said, because it's so counterintuitive to modern culture's perception, he said, art...
01:36:35.000 Art requires rigor.
01:36:36.000 Science requires creativity.
01:36:39.000 And I thought, wow, because that's the opposite of what most people think.
01:36:42.000 But in fact, science, art requires rigor.
01:36:45.000 You've got to just get just the right colors and work really hard to get the right patterns, whether that art is music or, you know, by art, I'm talking very broadly.
01:36:54.000 Whereas science makes progress because we're creative.
01:36:56.000 It's also rigorous.
01:36:58.000 But people somehow have this artsy-fartsy notion that, oh, artists are creative and scientists are nerds.
01:37:03.000 You know, they're just rigorous.
01:37:05.000 Science is just rigorous garbage.
01:37:07.000 It's not.
01:37:08.000 It's creative, just like art.
01:37:10.000 And art is rigorous.
01:37:11.000 And the scientists who say, oh, these artists, these musicians, they're not as good as we are, they're equally bad.
01:37:17.000 Because art...
01:37:19.000 Doing anything well requires rigor.
01:37:21.000 Discipline, effort, and rigor.
01:37:24.000 And I think that beautiful dichotomy, that juxtaposition of art and rigor and science and creativity is something wonderful that Alan said, and we should realize it's a characteristic.
01:37:34.000 Science does involve creativity and rigor, but so does all the areas of human activity that make the story of humans so wonderful.
01:37:43.000 That's why it's the greatest story ever told so far.
01:37:46.000 Many, many aspects of human life require creativity.
01:37:51.000 Many endeavors.
01:37:52.000 And rigor.
01:37:52.000 Whether you're a better kickboxer.
01:37:54.000 There's a lot of creativity in fighting, believe it or not.
01:37:57.000 Yeah, and rigor.
01:37:57.000 You have to learn rules.
01:37:59.000 You have to discipline your muscles over and over again.
01:38:01.000 Any sports person.
01:38:02.000 And maybe there's even creativity in football.
01:38:05.000 But, you know, there's rigor and creativity in anything that humans push To the limits.
01:38:12.000 Yeah, no, I absolutely agree.
01:38:14.000 The question would be, what would the motivation of artificial intelligence be?
01:38:19.000 If it's not, if it doesn't happen, we're essentially riding on the motivations of our ancient genetics, right?
01:38:26.000 Oh, sure, we want to have sex, for example.
01:38:28.000 Yes, exactly.
01:38:28.000 And it'd be interesting to see.
01:38:30.000 Who knows?
01:38:31.000 What would it be interesting to find out?
01:38:32.000 What was their motivation to be creative?
01:38:35.000 Because we've developed in them problem-solving capabilities.
01:38:39.000 And because they're self-aware.
01:38:41.000 And they want to ask questions because they're self-aware.
01:38:44.000 They may want to improve their understanding of the world, partly for technology.
01:38:48.000 They may want to make the world better for themselves.
01:38:50.000 All sorts of reasons, but we'll see.
01:38:53.000 To some extent, we'll input it in programming, but to some extent, we'll see.
01:38:57.000 And to some people, that's terrifying that we won't know the motivations.
01:39:00.000 Of course it's terrifying.
01:39:01.000 I'm not as terrified about it.
01:39:02.000 I guess I'm concerned that we've got to make sure we understand what we're doing at each step so we don't produce massive negative results that could have been avoided.
01:39:14.000 But I'm not as concerned that the future will be different than the past.
01:39:18.000 I hope it is.
01:39:21.000 When you see some of the emerging technologies like CRISPR, some of these genetic engineering technologies where they're starting to use non-viable human fetuses and run some tests on them, are you concerned at all about that?
01:39:36.000 Are you concerned about...
01:39:37.000 I shouldn't even use the term concern, because obviously you have that mindset.
01:39:41.000 No, no, no, I'm concerned.
01:39:43.000 Of let things happen.
01:39:44.000 No, no, it's not just let things happen.
01:39:48.000 Watch what's going to happen, try and anticipate the results, understand them in detail, anticipate what the results are, and avoid negative ones to the extent you can.
01:39:57.000 But accept the fact that things are going to change.
01:39:59.000 But accept the fact that things are going to change.
01:40:05.000 Aren't we happy that the world is different than it was during medieval times?
01:40:08.000 Sure.
01:40:09.000 I mean, except for, you know, Mike Pence and other people.
01:40:12.000 The rest of us are happy, or, you know, I can pick a lot of radio commentators, but most of us are happy that the world has gotten more open, more interesting, and so that's part of the human drama, is that it's going to go places and we don't know where it's going to go,
01:40:28.000 and that's okay, but we should all work as much as we can to try and make sure, to the extent that we can, that the direction it heads is a good one, is beneficial, more interesting, more exciting, more possibilities, more fun for everybody.
01:40:43.000 And maybe even more sustainable, because it seems reasonable that it should be sustainable if we think we care about not just our children, but our grandchildren and their grandchildren.
01:40:51.000 And so it's self-interest in some sense, to be interested in conservation and sustainability instead of immediate profit.
01:41:00.000 Of course, you might say, if I amass enough wealth, then my children will be fine forever.
01:41:04.000 And who gives a damn about the rest of the people's children?
01:41:07.000 But, you know, we can decide that maybe it's in the best interests of everyone, if human society is sustainable, because there'll be less likelihood for extreme war, extreme violence, blah, blah, blah.
01:41:18.000 I would argue that we behave well...
01:41:21.000 In large part because of reason.
01:41:24.000 And my point is, and I've had this, we had a session in my origins project, a whole meeting on the origins of morality.
01:41:30.000 And I've had this debate with a number of colleagues who point out, I think it was Hume who said, you can't get ought from is.
01:41:36.000 Okay?
01:41:37.000 You can't get ought from is.
01:41:38.000 Just by rationality, you can't decide how to behave.
01:41:41.000 Maybe, maybe.
01:41:42.000 But here's the point.
01:41:43.000 Without is, you can never get to ought.
01:41:46.000 Without knowing the consequences of your actions, which is what science is all about, you can't decide what's good and bad.
01:41:53.000 And so science and reason is an essential part of any progress because we can't possibly decide what economic policies to enact or what social policies or what technological policies if we don't know the consequences of actions.
01:42:09.000 That's why, for example...
01:42:11.000 Here's an example.
01:42:11.000 It was so stupid for the Republicans to design this healthcare policy and promote it before anyone had analyzed, say, the economic impact of it.
01:42:19.000 I mean, they could have still decided to do it.
01:42:22.000 But at least that data would have been useful for making a final decision.
01:42:27.000 It's that simple.
01:42:31.000 But getting back to that CRISPR thing, if that becomes available, and if it advances to the point where it's available to people that are live today, would you give it a shot?
01:42:42.000 Would you change anything about yourself?
01:42:44.000 Would you become Thor?
01:42:45.000 I mean, if it really gets to that point...
01:42:47.000 Well, I mean, we can worry about a lot of things.
01:42:50.000 I'm not anywhere near as worried about that as I'm hacking, right?
01:42:53.000 Right.
01:42:53.000 Because, you know, we can hack computers, and if you can hack DNA, as a lot of kids want to do, in fact, I was told years ago, I'm chairman of the board of something called the Bull's Need of Atomic Scientists, the board of sponsors, that sets the doomsday clock every year.
01:43:05.000 And so we have to think about existential threats to mankind.
01:43:08.000 I remember about seven or eight years ago, we had a professor from MIT who said his...
01:43:12.000 Computer science students were most interested in hacking DNA. Much more interested than hacking DNA. Because it's just a code.
01:43:19.000 And so, if you can manipulate arbitrarily, in a very precise way, DNA, then of course there are many good things that can come.
01:43:27.000 And maybe you can make yourself stronger, bigger, whatever you want.
01:43:30.000 Maybe we're not you, maybe your children, whatever.
01:43:32.000 And maybe you can overcome genetic diseases, which of course would be great.
01:43:37.000 But you can also, you know, with great power comes great responsibility.
01:43:40.000 And with that you can also imagine hacking, right?
01:43:44.000 And creating new viruses or whatever you want.
01:43:45.000 And so, yeah, it's any new technology.
01:43:49.000 Is terrifying.
01:43:50.000 Does that mean we shouldn't create new technologies?
01:43:52.000 I mean, cars are terrifying.
01:43:54.000 Cars kill.
01:43:55.000 Look how many people cars kill.
01:43:56.000 Now maybe we'll have self-driving cars.
01:43:58.000 Maybe fewer people will die.
01:43:59.000 Some people are afraid of self-driving cars because they do present moral problems.
01:44:04.000 If a car is designed to minimize the number of people it kills, and it can do that by killing you, if you're faced with running into five school children or the car turning and hitting a wall...
01:44:15.000 What do you want your car program to do?
01:44:17.000 Right.
01:44:18.000 And these are fascinating questions we will have to address.
01:44:21.000 But technology can be used in many ways, and it's terrifying, but it's trite to use this old expression.
01:44:30.000 But I do think of it at times, which is a little thing I gave my stepdaughter once that said, ships are safe in the harbor, but that's not what ships are meant to do.
01:44:40.000 Hmm.
01:44:41.000 I mean, you can bury your head in the sand, you can never go outside the house for fear of being run over by a car or being embarrassed or whatever, or you can choose to live a life.
01:44:54.000 It's your choice.
01:44:55.000 But to me, living the life is more interesting.
01:44:58.000 That's why, in the book, I point out you can choose how to look at the world.
01:45:04.000 You can choose to say you're the center of the universe, and if that makes you feel better, fine, and the universe was created for you.
01:45:09.000 Or you can choose to let your beliefs conform to the evidence of reality and assume the universe exists and evolved independent of your existence.
01:45:17.000 And in that case, you're bound to be surprised.
01:45:20.000 Isn't it better to have a life full of surprise than a life that doesn't have any?
01:45:24.000 No, it's a wonderful philosophy.
01:45:25.000 What I'm thinking is, I'm wondering about these technological advancements when it comes to the ability to manipulate the human body, and when they get to the point where we don't have the same issues that we have today with diseases and injuries, or even with biological inferiorities.
01:45:42.000 Everyone looks like LeBron James.
01:45:43.000 Yeah, yeah, okay.
01:45:44.000 You could imagine that's the case.
01:45:48.000 I suspect people will want different things.
01:45:50.000 Sure.
01:45:51.000 But okay, that'll be a very different world.
01:45:53.000 But look at it this way.
01:45:56.000 You're a pretty buff guy, okay?
01:45:58.000 You manipulated your body, right?
01:45:59.000 Yes.
01:45:59.000 Okay, what's wrong with that?
01:46:01.000 No, nothing, but I'm still five foot eight.
01:46:03.000 Okay.
01:46:04.000 You know, LeBron James is seven feet tall and he manipulated his body.
01:46:06.000 It's a very different deal.
01:46:07.000 If someone gives me a seven foot tall pill, I might take it.
01:46:10.000 Yeah, but you manipulate your body given the technology of the time.
01:46:13.000 Right, but that technology changes and everyone can be seven feet tall.
01:46:16.000 But is it worse?
01:46:17.000 Because you know enough physiology now or whatever, exercise physiology, that you can manipulate your body more efficiently now than you could before.
01:46:24.000 And people can run faster miles or jump higher because we've been...
01:46:29.000 Sure.
01:46:30.000 Forever.
01:46:31.000 And so that's okay.
01:46:32.000 You know, that's fine.
01:46:33.000 I just wondered what your thoughts are on the future when there aren't these physiological imbalances.
01:46:39.000 I try to anticipate the possibilities and to the extent I can discuss what they are so that we as a society can address them more cogently.
01:46:47.000 I do not, however, generally make predictions about anything less than two trillion years in the future.
01:46:56.000 That's a great quote.
01:46:58.000 What's going to happen two trillion years from now?
01:46:59.000 Is the universe expanding to the point of cooling off and everything dies?
01:47:02.000 There's two reasons for that statement.
01:47:04.000 One is, it's pretty simple.
01:47:06.000 When you start to think about the long terms, the universe is probably going to expand forever, all the galaxies.
01:47:09.000 And if it doesn't, the sun's burning out anyway.
01:47:11.000 And the point is, if it doesn't do that, no one's going to know I was wrong.
01:47:13.000 That's a good point.
01:47:15.000 That's a very good point.
01:47:16.000 Yeah.
01:47:16.000 It's a safe bet.
01:47:17.000 Yeah, so that's why I do...
01:47:18.000 You know, that's my general...
01:47:19.000 I've read a quote once about supermassive black holes that has messed with my brain ever since I read it.
01:47:26.000 And the quote was that inside every galaxy is a supermassive black hole that's one half of one percent of the mass of the galaxy.
01:47:36.000 And that it's very possible that inside that supermassive black hole is a whole nother universe.
01:47:42.000 Well, up to that point...
01:47:44.000 What does that mean?
01:47:44.000 Up to that point, everything sounded fine.
01:47:46.000 Everything sounded fine, okay.
01:47:47.000 Okay, it is true that it's amazing that most galaxies that we can measure have large black holes in the center, which leads to an interesting question we don't have the answer to, and one of the reasons we're building the James Webb Space Telescope.
01:47:57.000 The James what?
01:47:58.000 James Webb Space Telescope, the one that's going to replace the Hubble Space Telescope.
01:48:02.000 And where's that?
01:48:02.000 Is that going to be in space?
01:48:03.000 Yeah, yeah.
01:48:03.000 It's going to be out of much further orbit.
01:48:05.000 It's going to be launched next year, and it's the successor to James Webb.
01:48:09.000 It's going to be 100 times the collection area.
01:48:11.000 It's going to look at different wavelengths of light.
01:48:13.000 It's going to push what Hubble has been able to do, to look back to the earliest galaxies that ever formed.
01:48:18.000 First light, as we call them, when stars first turned on.
01:48:20.000 The first stars that formed in the universe.
01:48:22.000 It's going to be fascinating.
01:48:23.000 But there's a chicken and egg question.
01:48:24.000 Mm-hmm.
01:48:25.000 If most galaxies have supermassive black holes in them, which came first?
01:48:29.000 Right.
01:48:30.000 And did the black holes form and that was necessary for the galaxies to coalesce around them?
01:48:34.000 Or did the galaxies exist and then the black holes built up hierarchically by swallowing things and getting bigger and bigger and bigger?
01:48:40.000 It's a question we don't know the answer to.
01:48:42.000 When we build that thing, we might have the answer to it.
01:48:44.000 It'll be an interesting question that we resolve.
01:48:47.000 It is amazing that, as far as we can tell, these supermassive black holes exist.
01:48:51.000 Even though we don't know they're black holes, by the way.
01:48:53.000 We know they kind of look like black holes and quack like black holes and walk like black holes.
01:48:58.000 But what I mean is we can tell there are mass concentrations that are immense, a billion solar masses, in a region so small that our theories tell us they should be a black hole.
01:49:09.000 But we don't know if the consequences of general relativity tell us that they are black holes, but the simplest assumption is that they are, that nothing escapes from them, that they formed classically like black holes.
01:49:22.000 And they're fascinating, and we're learning about black holes, by the way, or putative black holes in ways we never thought we could, because we now have a new window on the universe, gravitational waves.
01:49:33.000 This LIGO detector just detected gravitational waves from colliding black holes that coalesce and just discovered that the predictions of general relativity are validated.
01:49:42.000 We're like Galileo when he first turned his telescope to the heavens and saw the moons of Jupiter.
01:49:48.000 We've just opened a new window on the universe and it'll be the new astronomy of the 21st and 22nd centuries and we will learn things we had no Knowledge about, because that new window will reveal to us the dynamics of black holes in ways we never thought possible.
01:50:04.000 So it's an amazing time to be alive.
01:50:05.000 And I tend to think that's also a time invariant statement.
01:50:08.000 But anyway, so everything, so the black, but what happens inside black holes is a question that's much different.
01:50:16.000 And the answer is, we don't know.
01:50:19.000 We don't know.
01:50:20.000 We know classically, if general relativity tells us what's happening, we know that things will collapse to an infinitely dense singularity.
01:50:27.000 But, you know, most of us physicists think infinite is a pretty bad word.
01:50:31.000 That in physical reality, things don't get infinitely dense.
01:50:34.000 That the laws of quantum mechanics are going to change things.
01:50:37.000 And when things get sufficiently dense, so that quantum mechanics has to be applied to gravity.
01:50:42.000 And the only time that really happens Operationally, or either the beginning of our universe, when our entire observable universe was in potentially an infinitely dense singularity, or at the center of black holes.
01:50:55.000 That's the only places where that matters.
01:50:57.000 When quantum mechanics must be applied to gravity, our current physical theories break down.
01:51:03.000 So we don't know what happens in the ultimate state of black holes.
01:51:07.000 One possibility is indeed they are a portal to another universe.
01:51:10.000 Because what's really interesting is what you see from the inside of a black hole and the outside are very different.
01:51:16.000 If you're inside of a black hole, the space can look like it's expanding.
01:51:21.000 Whereas outside the black hole, it can look like the black hole is contracting.
01:51:24.000 Why is that?
01:51:25.000 Because general relativity tells you that your perceptions of what space is doing around you, in some sense, depends upon the gravitational configuration in which you live.
01:51:39.000 In general relativity, you can be moving and standing still at the same time.
01:51:43.000 We're doing it right now.
01:51:44.000 I'm not moving much with respect to you.
01:51:46.000 I had a little bit of coffee, so I'm shaking a little bit.
01:51:48.000 But relative to...
01:51:52.000 Radio conversations that's happening in a studio at the other end of the visible universe, we're moving away at the speed of light.
01:51:58.000 And those individuals having that conversation are also at rest in their local surroundings.
01:52:02.000 But they're moving away from us at the speed of light.
01:52:04.000 How is that possible?
01:52:06.000 Because locally, space is at rest.
01:52:08.000 But globally, space is expanding.
01:52:10.000 So general relativity says that what you consider to be happening to space around you depends upon your local environment.
01:52:18.000 And so you can locally be at rest, but globally be part of an expanding universe.
01:52:24.000 Similarly, inside of a black hole, the direction of time reverses.
01:52:28.000 It turns out, because space and time are tied together.
01:52:31.000 So what you perceive inside of a black hole to be happening to the time evolution of the system you're in would be very different than what's seen from outside to be happening at the surface of the black hole.
01:52:47.000 I mean, black holes are fascinating and they're laboratories that allow us to focus on the physics we can't yet fully understand.
01:52:55.000 How long have we known about them?
01:52:57.000 Well, the idea of a black hole was first thought about...
01:53:01.000 people wondered what was the ultimate state of gravitational collapse.
01:53:05.000 And people had argued that maybe the ultimate state of gravitational collapse was these things that we now call black holes.
01:53:11.000 There was a big debate about it.
01:53:12.000 Oppenheimer and Snyder in the 1940s and 50s, the person who first named black holes was John Wheeler.
01:53:18.000 It amuses me.
01:53:20.000 He came up with the term black hole in 1965 or something like that to describe the ultimate state of collapsing.
01:53:27.000 People felt it was impossible, that physically forces would stop things from collapsing to the kind of densities that black holes would format.
01:53:35.000 But based on the work of Chandrasekhar and others, it was discovered that if you have a massive object that's massive enough, Nuclear forces and all other forces cannot fight against gravitational collapse.
01:53:46.000 And eventually, things will collapse inside of what we call the event horizon.
01:53:50.000 It's the ultimate state collapse.
01:53:51.000 But it was hugely debated in the 30s, 40s, 50s.
01:53:54.000 By the 1960s, it was accepted.
01:53:57.000 And interestingly enough, Wheeler was one who first thought it couldn't happen.
01:54:02.000 Later on came up with the name black holes, and I think that's one of the reasons that people are so fascinated by black holes.
01:54:07.000 Turns out in Russian, the term for black hole was frozen star.
01:54:11.000 And you don't see movies made in Russia about frozen stars.
01:54:15.000 You see a lot of movies about black holes.
01:54:16.000 It's a great name.
01:54:18.000 Yeah.
01:54:18.000 And you know why it's a frozen star?
01:54:20.000 Let me blow your mind a little bit.
01:54:22.000 Okay.
01:54:23.000 When objects are falling into...
01:54:25.000 So, one of the things you need to know is the rate at which our clocks tick depends upon the gravitational field we're in.
01:54:32.000 So, if I'm way above the Earth's surface, my clock is actually ticking at a different rate than your clock.
01:54:38.000 This sounds so crazy, but we need it every day.
01:54:42.000 Because, you know what?
01:54:43.000 Did you use GPS at all today?
01:54:45.000 Okay.
01:54:45.000 Wouldn't have worked if it wasn't for that.
01:54:47.000 Because the clocks and the GPS satellites are ticking at a different rate than the clocks on Earth because of general relativity.
01:54:54.000 Because they're higher up with respect to the Earth.
01:54:56.000 So they had to calculate?
01:54:58.000 We have to use that effect to correct.
01:55:01.000 If it wasn't for that case, your GPS would go out of alignment in less than one minute.
01:55:06.000 We use it every single day.
01:55:07.000 So explain that please.
01:55:09.000 So the GPS satellites, global positioning satellites that are in orbit, they take into account the fact that they are higher above the Earth.
01:55:17.000 That their clocks are ticking more slowly than ours.
01:55:19.000 How do we know that?
01:55:20.000 Because how do they know where we are?
01:55:22.000 By triangulation.
01:55:25.000 They basically look at the time it takes They have atomic clocks, very accurate clocks.
01:55:30.000 The time it takes for a signal from your watch or your phone to get up to the satellite and back, and that other satellite and back, allows you to determine your position.
01:55:40.000 But if the clock there is ticking at a different rate, then you get a wrong answer for the time it takes for it to go on the...
01:55:46.000 the number you get from that satellite when it reports to your watch.
01:55:51.000 Is it slower or faster?
01:55:52.000 Well, due to...
01:55:53.000 there are two effects.
01:55:55.000 Due to its motion, Due to its motion, it's basically slower, but due to its motion, it's ticking at a slower rate.
01:56:06.000 Due to its height in the gravitational field, it turns out that it's faster.
01:56:11.000 So the two effects counter each other, general relativity and special relativity.
01:56:15.000 In this case, general relativity wins, I think.
01:56:17.000 It's something like, they're ticking more slowly.
01:56:21.000 I calculated once, I wrote a New York Times piece on this, and I forget the number, but it's something like, Of the order of 38 microseconds per day, they're ticking at a slower rate, 38 millionths of a second every day different.
01:56:40.000 And that may not sound important to you, but if you calculate how far light travels in 38 millionths of a second, it's pretty far.
01:56:47.000 And so therefore, if you keep getting wrong by that number, your determination of your position is going to keep getting wrong by that number.
01:56:57.000 And I worked out, and this should allow me to work backwards if I had a pad and paper.
01:57:02.000 I see a pad, but I'm not going to do it right now because I don't care.
01:57:04.000 But I remembered you'd be out by something like a kilometer in two minutes.
01:57:09.000 Wow.
01:57:09.000 Isn't that amazing?
01:57:10.000 It is amazing.
01:57:11.000 So we use these abstract esoteric principles and they govern our lives.
01:57:15.000 So general relativity really matters for our technology.
01:57:18.000 But it tells us, but what's really interesting, so as objects fall into a black hole, because they're getting in stronger and stronger gravitational fields, from the outside, we see them moving more and more slowly.
01:57:29.000 And eventually we see them freeze at the surface.
01:57:32.000 We will never see, from the outside, it will look like it will take an infinite amount of time for an object to fall through the event horizon of a black hole, even though in its own frame it falls through no problem.
01:57:43.000 For us, it will watch it slowly, slowly, slowly, because its clock is literally ticking at a different rate, and it will take an infinite amount of time for us, for any object, to fall through the event horizon of a black hole, if we're watching from the outside.
01:57:56.000 That's why the Russians called them frozen stars.
01:57:58.000 Isn't that weird?
01:57:59.000 It's crazy.
01:58:00.000 Yeah, it is, but it's true.
01:58:01.000 Now, where did the concept come from that inside every black hole is perhaps hundreds of billions of galaxies, each with a black hole in front of it?
01:58:07.000 Oh, well, I never heard that concept.
01:58:09.000 What I have heard is that at the singularity, the singularity may be a portal to another universe.
01:58:14.000 Right.
01:58:15.000 And moreover, that inside the black hole you could imagine that you're observing a space that appears to be expanding instead of contracting.
01:58:24.000 And is it possible that those inside that black hole, that universe, would not have the same laws of physics that we experience?
01:58:31.000 Well, once you go through the singularity, who knows?
01:58:33.000 Because the laws of physics break down.
01:58:34.000 But one thing I can tell you for sure is there aren't millions and billions of galaxies inside that black hole.
01:58:39.000 And you know why?
01:58:40.000 Why?
01:58:40.000 Because gravity allows us to measure what the total mass of the black hole is.
01:58:44.000 Okay.
01:58:45.000 But if it's a portal?
01:58:47.000 Well, if it's a portal, that's a different universe.
01:58:49.000 Right.
01:58:49.000 That's what I'm saying.
01:58:50.000 But then it's no longer inside the black hole.
01:58:53.000 Right.
01:58:54.000 I see what you're saying.
01:58:54.000 But it's wonderful that in that sense, black holes are just like any other stars.
01:58:58.000 You know, you can orbit around them.
01:59:00.000 Not everything falls into a black hole, because if you're far enough away, you can just do an orbit.
01:59:04.000 Right.
01:59:05.000 Like a planet around the sun.
01:59:06.000 The sun is attracting us, but the earth doesn't fall into it, at least not in a normal amount of time.
01:59:11.000 Do you anticipate that that's something that we might try to do in the future, is send a satellite into the black hole?
01:59:16.000 First, we'd have to find a black hole.
01:59:17.000 Well, the one in the center of our galaxy, perhaps?
01:59:19.000 Well, you know how long it takes to get to the center of the galaxy?
01:59:22.000 The center of our galaxy is 40,000 light-years away, so it's a long experiment.
01:59:30.000 Yeah, that's unfortunate.
01:59:32.000 It's not clear to me the National Science Foundation, under Trump or anyone else, is going to fund that.
01:59:37.000 I'd be interested if we could send a lot of Congress to explore what it's like in the center of the black hole.
01:59:44.000 That would be a solution?
01:59:45.000 Yeah, maybe.
01:59:46.000 Suit them all up?
01:59:47.000 Yeah, suit them all up.
01:59:48.000 Go boldly go where no man or woman has gone before.
01:59:50.000 What about black holes that are not attached to galaxies?
01:59:54.000 Well, we don't see them.
01:59:56.000 We don't.
01:59:57.000 I mean, right now we have...
01:59:58.000 I don't believe anyone's...
02:00:00.000 Because here's how you...
02:00:01.000 How do you see a black hole?
02:00:03.000 You have to see the stars circling around.
02:00:05.000 Exactly.
02:00:05.000 Right.
02:00:05.000 It's the only way you can see that it's there.
02:00:07.000 So are those just theoretical?
02:00:08.000 The stars that aren't, the black holes rather, that aren't attached to galaxies?
02:00:11.000 Well, I mean, and not only are they theoretical, I think very few people argue there are many such things.
02:00:17.000 Because we tend to think that stars...
02:00:20.000 They conglomerate around regions where there's dominant mass, right?
02:00:23.000 They collapse.
02:00:24.000 And so, while it's true that the galaxies are just the tip of a cosmic iceberg, most of the mass of galaxies isn't stars or black holes.
02:00:33.000 It's this stuff called dark matter.
02:00:35.000 What is that?
02:00:36.000 It's stuff you can't see.
02:00:36.000 Neil deGrasse Tyson tried to explain it to me and that didn't get in there either.
02:00:39.000 Well, look, it's really quite simple.
02:00:41.000 When we weigh galaxies, which we can do by seeing how fast the stars move around them, we find out that they weigh a lot more than can be counted by counting all the stars.
02:00:50.000 So the dominant mass doesn't shine.
02:00:53.000 We call that dark matter.
02:00:54.000 Not too surprising.
02:00:56.000 But what we have discovered, and this is the surprising part, is we can estimate how much normal matter there is.
02:01:03.000 And by normal matter, I mean the stuff made of protons and neutrons, the same as you and me.
02:01:08.000 And when we add up how much dark matter we see in the universe, there's a heck of a lot more of that than can be accounted for by the total number of protons and neutrons in the universe.
02:01:17.000 And that means that we think that dark matter is made of some new type of elementary particle, something that was created in the early history of the universe that's different than normal matter.
02:01:26.000 That's not too surprising either, because in the early universe there was lots of energy around, and if there are new elementary particles that are stable, it's not too surprising that there are lots of them around, and if they don't interact with light, we wouldn't see them.
02:01:37.000 In fact, not only is that reasonable, but we cannot understand how galaxies would form if it weren't for dark matter.
02:01:45.000 We can do the calculations and show that if the dark matter weren't made of stuff that's different than protons and neutrons, there would not have been enough time in the history of the universe for galaxies to form.
02:01:59.000 Therefore, that's really strong evidence that that stuff must be there and it must not be made of protons and neutrons because we're proof, you and I, that galaxies formed.
02:02:08.000 It's so fascinating that there's this element that's a huge part of the universe itself that we're not really exactly sure what it is.
02:02:17.000 Yeah, isn't that great?
02:02:18.000 It's amazing.
02:02:18.000 It's amazing.
02:02:19.000 There are mysteries.
02:02:20.000 What, unfortunately, people get told is it makes it seem like, you know, science was done, and it's all done.
02:02:26.000 It was done by dead white men 200 years ago.
02:02:28.000 That's not...
02:02:28.000 The mysteries continue.
02:02:30.000 That's why it's the greatest story ever told so far.
02:02:32.000 That's why young kids should be interested in science, because...
02:02:35.000 Life is full of mysteries, and we've learned so much about the universe, but it gets more mysterious and more exciting.
02:02:41.000 And every time we open a new window on the universe, we're surprised.
02:02:45.000 That's why we've got to keep looking out and not looking in.
02:02:49.000 Tell me about hypernovas.
02:02:52.000 Hypernovas?
02:02:52.000 I watched a science documentary that freaked me out about how when they first started measuring gamma-ray bursts out into the unit, they thought there was wars going on between alien races.
02:03:02.000 Well, the point is that, you know, there are these things called gamma-ray bursts?
02:03:06.000 Yeah.
02:03:06.000 And what they are, gamma rays are extremely energetic forms of light, if you want to think about it.
02:03:11.000 Okay?
02:03:11.000 And they're, among other things, they're emitted in nuclear weapons explosions.
02:03:14.000 Okay?
02:03:15.000 Okay.
02:03:16.000 And you know how they were discovered?
02:03:17.000 It's really neat.
02:03:18.000 It's one of the few examples of defense money well spent, in my opinion.
02:03:23.000 But maybe not the few, but now you'll get lots of 8 mils.
02:03:27.000 But anyway, so there were these satellites that were designed to go up, that were Earth monitoring, to look for gamma rays.
02:03:35.000 Why?
02:03:35.000 Because we were looking for nuclear weapons explosions to see if the Soviets or some other country were having nuclear weapons explosions.
02:03:41.000 What year was this, Ron?
02:03:43.000 Oh, these satellites were...
02:03:45.000 Put up in the 60s and 70s.
02:03:47.000 So this is around the time they did that Operation Starfish Prime where they detonated and nuked into the atmosphere or the magnetosphere?
02:03:55.000 Probably.
02:03:56.000 I don't know.
02:03:56.000 I honestly don't know the answer to that question.
02:03:58.000 But the point is they were used as monitoring systems to look for nuclear weapons explosions.
02:04:04.000 And then these things which are looking downward discovered these short bursts of gamma rays, which would be a potential signature of nuclear weapons explosions, but they discovered they weren't coming from Earth.
02:04:16.000 And then they discovered they were coming from everywhere in the cosmos.
02:04:19.000 And that's how they were discovered.
02:04:21.000 These devices were monitoring the earth, looking for nuclear weapons explosions, and then sawed them out in space.
02:04:26.000 How many of them were?
02:04:27.000 Well, they're everywhere.
02:04:29.000 There are millions of them.
02:04:30.000 And they happen there one second, two second, one minute long, bursts that are incredibly energetic, emitting more energy than the sun may emit in its lifetime.
02:04:39.000 In its lifetime.
02:04:40.000 And they're happening all the time.
02:04:41.000 They're happening all the time.
02:04:42.000 You know why?
02:04:43.000 Because the great thing about the universe is it's big and it's old.
02:04:46.000 And therefore, rare events happen all the time.
02:04:49.000 Let me give you an example.
02:04:51.000 Stars explode, and it's good for us that stars explode in this book, because every atom in your body and every atom in my body was made inside stars that eventually explode.
02:05:02.000 How do we know that?
02:05:03.000 Because in the Big Bang, the only elements that were created were hydrogen, helium, and a little bit of lithium.
02:05:09.000 Okay, but the importance...
02:05:10.000 Well, for some people, lithium is important, but the rest of us, carbon, nitrogen, oxygen, iron, all the stuff that makes us human was only created in the...
02:05:19.000 Fiery furnaces in the cores of stars.
02:05:22.000 How could it get into your and my body?
02:05:23.000 Because there were stars that were kind enough to explode.
02:05:26.000 So as I once said, and some people put on t-shirts now, so forget Jesus.
02:05:29.000 The stars died so we could be born.
02:05:31.000 But here's the deal.
02:05:33.000 Stars explode about once every hundred years per galaxy.
02:05:38.000 So in our galaxy, once every 100 years, the stars explode.
02:05:41.000 There have been about 200 million stars explode in the 12 billion years since our galaxy's been around.
02:05:47.000 And that's produced the raw materials that 4.5 billion years ago coalesced to form our sun and the planets and you and I. So all the atoms in your body have gone through stars and been through the most intense explosion that we know of in nature, a supernova.
02:06:01.000 And every atom in your body has experienced it, maybe more than once.
02:06:04.000 Because to get to the amount of carbon, nitrogen, and oxygen that's in our bodies, it had to be recycled many times.
02:06:09.000 So the atoms in your left hand may have been inside a different star than your right hand.
02:06:12.000 You're really stardust.
02:06:13.000 We're all stardust.
02:06:15.000 We're really connected to the cosmos in really interesting and important ways.
02:06:19.000 We literally were created by stars.
02:06:21.000 That's a great thing, but that's not the point I wanted to make.
02:06:24.000 The point I wanted to make was...
02:06:28.000 Stars explode once per 100 years per galaxy.
02:06:30.000 We use supernovae as a way to probe the universe.
02:06:33.000 How can we do that if we're looking at galaxies and one star explodes every 100 years in a galaxy?
02:06:39.000 How can we use them as probes?
02:06:41.000 Well, as I say, there's one way, is to assign a graduate student to each galaxy.
02:06:45.000 You know, a PhD period can be about 100 years.
02:06:47.000 And if they die, students are cheap, so you get a new one.
02:06:51.000 Or we use this fact that the universe is big and old.
02:06:54.000 If you take your hands up tonight and weren't in Los Angeles where you could see the stars and made a dime-sized hole and looked up at a dime-sized dark region of the universe where you didn't see any stars, if you had a telescope that is as big as the telescope,
02:07:10.000 say, we have in Chile, you'd see 100,000 galaxies.
02:07:14.000 100,000 galaxies in that small region.
02:07:17.000 Then if one star explodes every 100 years per galaxy, if you work out how many stars will I see explode tonight, you'll find out you'll see two or three stars explode.
02:07:26.000 Just in that dime-sized hole.
02:07:27.000 Yeah, because the universe is big and old.
02:07:30.000 And rare events happen all the time.
02:07:32.000 And that's what makes the universe so exciting because now we can use supernovae to study the universe because astronomers write proposals and say, tonight I'm going to use the Hubble Space Telescope to look at this region and I'm going to see three stars explode.
02:07:45.000 Isn't that amazing?
02:07:45.000 That is amazing.
02:07:47.000 Yeah.
02:07:47.000 And isn't it a shame that more people don't realize that?
02:07:51.000 Because that's as amazing as anything.
02:07:53.000 I mean, that's the kind of thing that makes life go, wow, that's neat.
02:07:58.000 And as I say, it's neat to see a great movie, too.
02:08:02.000 But they're all together.
02:08:03.000 Science is fun and neat and interesting.
02:08:05.000 And you don't have to be a scientist to find it amazing.
02:08:09.000 Yeah, that is about as amazing as it gets.
02:08:11.000 I think.
02:08:12.000 We have a real issue, I think, with cities where light pollution prevents people from seeing how amazing the stars are.
02:08:18.000 In fact, there's a lot of astronomers who are doing, in fact, active work to try and reduce light pollution in cities near telescopes.
02:08:26.000 And there's other, I mean, the Arecibo Radios Telescope, if you've never been down to Puerto Rico, It's beautiful.
02:08:32.000 It was actually, you would have seen it in two James Bond movies, because they made it into the, like, the lair of, you know, the pictures of it in the lair of some crazy, evil scientist.
02:08:41.000 And I've been there a few times, and it's amazing, because it's this thousand-meter-wide net of wires in a natural...
02:08:51.000 Canopy?
02:08:52.000 Volcanic canopy.
02:08:53.000 It's really beautiful.
02:08:54.000 And there's jungle growing underneath it.
02:08:56.000 I've walked underneath it.
02:08:57.000 And the Ercebo Tredosculpt is amazing because it's so big, it allows us to measure lots of neat things in the universe.
02:09:04.000 In fact, you could measure a light bulb on Pluto if there was a light bulb.
02:09:08.000 We're looking at the picture of it now.
02:09:09.000 Wow, look at that thing.
02:09:11.000 It's amazing.
02:09:11.000 And you can't even get the sense of the size of it necessarily from that.
02:09:14.000 And that's all wires.
02:09:15.000 It's all wires.
02:09:16.000 It's not solid.
02:09:17.000 It's wires, because it's only measuring radio waves, and if the wavelength is large compared to the spacing between the wires, you don't need something solid.
02:09:27.000 They were worried, and this is a real example.
02:09:30.000 They're looking for, among other things, a frequency of radiation which is ubiquitous in the universe that is emitted by hydrogen.
02:09:37.000 It was the first sort of thing that people used to do radio astronomy.
02:09:42.000 Hydrogen has a characteristic frequency of emission of radio waves due to what's called the hyperfine splitting in hydrogen.
02:09:49.000 And so people said, you know what?
02:09:51.000 That would be a wonderful frequency for aliens to communicate.
02:09:56.000 If they really wanted to show...
02:09:57.000 If they're smart enough to know how the universe works, that's a universal frequency that's everywhere, because hydrogen is the dominant kind of matter, and it always emits radiation at that frequency, okay?
02:10:09.000 It's 1,040 megahertz, I think, is the frequency, okay?
02:10:13.000 Although, again, I could be wrong, but something like that.
02:10:18.000 But they're worried because there was nearby...
02:10:22.000 There was an evangelist who had a huge radio station.
02:10:26.000 And wanted to broadcast to the continent of the United States his evangelical message.
02:10:31.000 And he was going to basically broadcast at a frequency that would mean that air speedball couldn't work anymore.
02:10:37.000 Speaking of light pollution, we talk about light pollution, but that was radio pollution.
02:10:40.000 And in this case it was pollution in many ways because everything he said was polluting.
02:10:44.000 And finally they managed to be able to fix that.
02:10:47.000 But there would have been one of the most amazing windows on the universe that would have been Blocked out by radio light, just like...
02:10:55.000 From an evangelist.
02:10:56.000 Yeah, yeah.
02:10:56.000 That's very ironic.
02:10:57.000 Isn't it?
02:10:58.000 Isn't it?
02:10:58.000 It's very ironic.
02:10:59.000 I think it's very symbolic of many things.
02:11:01.000 Wow.
02:11:04.000 That is fascinating.
02:11:05.000 Moment of silence because it's so amazing.
02:11:07.000 Yeah, well, it's confusing.
02:11:09.000 Well, yeah, but that's okay.
02:11:10.000 Being confused is that...
02:11:11.000 I told you, being wrong or confused is the best part.
02:11:14.000 No, and I can get it.
02:11:16.000 I get it.
02:11:17.000 Now, when you talk about the vastness of space and you talk about space being 14 billion or whatever it is, years old...
02:11:25.000 It's 13.8 billion years old, plus or minus a little bit.
02:11:28.000 What's the going theory about what was going on before that?
02:11:32.000 Ha!
02:11:33.000 Well, I wrote a book about it, first of all, but called The Universe From Nothing.
02:11:37.000 The point is, the simple answer is we don't know.
02:11:40.000 Right.
02:11:41.000 Because at the instant of the Big Bang, the whole universe was contained in a region where you'd have to understand gravity as a quantum mechanical force to really understand what was happening.
02:11:51.000 And we don't have a quantum theory of gravity.
02:11:53.000 So it's okay to say we don't know.
02:11:54.000 But we can say what plausibly was the case.
02:11:57.000 And one possibility, and the possibility that looks most plausible that I talked about, is our universe spontaneously came into being from nothing.
02:12:05.000 By quantum fluctuations.
02:12:07.000 A space and time that did not exist, so our space and our time didn't exist, and there was no matter in the universe, and it suddenly popped into existence.
02:12:15.000 And one of the neat things is if you add up the total energy of all the stuff in our universe, it adds up to zero, as far as we can tell.
02:12:21.000 What?
02:12:22.000 Zero!
02:12:23.000 How's that?
02:12:24.000 Because gravity allows things to have positive energy as well as negative energy.
02:12:28.000 You add it all up, and our universe looks like it has total energy zero.
02:12:31.000 But I know you're shaking your head, but the neat thing is...
02:12:33.000 I'm trying to rattle something loose.
02:12:35.000 If you were going to create a universe from nothing, what would you make the total energy of the universe?
02:12:39.000 But why does it have to be from nothing?
02:12:41.000 Once you realize the total energy of the universe can be zero, then the possibility that it comes from nothing becomes plausible.
02:12:48.000 Because if it doesn't, you may need a deity to create everything.
02:12:50.000 But it turns out you can create a hundred billion galaxies, each containing a hundred billion stars, without violating energy conservation.
02:12:59.000 Okay?
02:12:59.000 It's the ultimate free lunch, as Alan Guth would say.
02:13:02.000 And it's amazing that that's possible.
02:13:05.000 Now, can we prove that that happened?
02:13:07.000 No.
02:13:07.000 But everything we can point to makes it plausible.
02:13:10.000 In fact, you can ask the following question.
02:13:12.000 What would a universe look like today That arose spontaneously from nothing 13.8 billion years ago, just by known laws of physics, or at least plausible laws of physics,
02:13:27.000 what would it look like today if that was the requirement?
02:13:31.000 And the answer is it would look just like the universe in which we live in.
02:13:34.000 Now, does that prove that that's what happened?
02:13:36.000 No, but it makes it plausible.
02:13:37.000 And it makes it plausible without supernatural shenanigans.
02:13:40.000 And any time you can get rid of God, it's a good thing.
02:13:43.000 But isn't something out of nothing supernatural shenanigans?
02:13:46.000 No!
02:13:46.000 Because it happens all the time.
02:13:48.000 This is an example I've been talking about a few times today to people.
02:13:51.000 The lights in this studio.
02:13:53.000 The lights above us, our head.
02:13:56.000 So, what happened?
02:13:58.000 Electrons change energy levels in atoms and they emit photons.
02:14:01.000 Where were the photons before they were emitted?
02:14:04.000 They weren't in the atoms.
02:14:06.000 Where were they?
02:14:06.000 They didn't exist.
02:14:08.000 They were spontaneously created.
02:14:09.000 They were turned on by the light switch?
02:14:10.000 No.
02:14:10.000 So the light switch is God?
02:14:12.000 No.
02:14:12.000 They were spontaneously created because there's no cause for any of them.
02:14:15.000 Each atom spontaneously decays into a different level because quantum mechanics says that these things can happen spontaneously.
02:14:21.000 And when it does, a photon is created from nothing.
02:14:24.000 So here's what I was getting at.
02:14:26.000 Yeah?
02:14:26.000 What is the difference between this infinitely dense small point that the universe came out of and the center of a black hole, the event horizon of a black hole?
02:14:37.000 Well, the event horizon isn't the center, it's the outside of a black hole.
02:14:40.000 The answer is there is no difference.
02:14:42.000 No difference?
02:14:43.000 No, they're singularities where the laws of physics as we know them break down.
02:14:46.000 Is it possible that inside of each one of those black holes is the birth of a universe?
02:14:50.000 Maybe.
02:14:51.000 Is that how we came out of that?
02:14:53.000 No, I think it's more likely that quantum mechanics just burped us out.
02:14:56.000 Burped us?
02:14:57.000 We're a cosmic burp.
02:14:58.000 Much like, you know, I mean, I think it's great.
02:15:00.000 I don't know if you saw in my jacket, which I don't know where I put it, but it was here somewhere.
02:15:04.000 Probably outside.
02:15:05.000 Probably outside.
02:15:06.000 I had this flying spaghetti monster, because I love this flying spaghetti monster, because he boiled so that we could be alive today.
02:15:12.000 But it's, you know, it's just...
02:15:16.000 You like pissing people off.
02:15:17.000 Who, me?
02:15:19.000 LAUGHTER So this infinitely dense point of 13.8 billion years ago, whatever it was, this something out of nothing point, what are your thoughts about before that?
02:15:33.000 Well, here's the thing that you're going to hate.
02:15:34.000 Okay.
02:15:36.000 One possibility, which is quite plausible, if our space suddenly popped out of nothing...
02:15:43.000 Einstein tells us that space and time are together.
02:15:46.000 We live in a four-dimensional universe.
02:15:48.000 So space began at that moment, so did time.
02:15:51.000 So there was no before.
02:15:52.000 The question isn't a good question.
02:15:54.000 Time didn't exist until our universe came into existence.
02:15:56.000 So to ask the question, what was before, is not a good question.
02:16:00.000 So time didn't exist before 13.8 billion years ago?
02:16:03.000 It could be.
02:16:03.000 If our universe is all there is, and that, we happen to think, by the way, is not likely, but if it is, Then it doesn't make sense to ask the question what was before, because time didn't exist.
02:16:14.000 It sounds like a cop-out, and it kind of is, but it may also be true.
02:16:18.000 And if there's no before, then all of our notions of causality go out the window, because we all depend on before and after to decide causes and effects.
02:16:25.000 But if there was no before, then we have to change our notions of a cause and effect.
02:16:29.000 And that's awful, but hey, that's what we call learning.
02:16:32.000 What about the ideas that the universe is in a constant state of contraction and expansion?
02:16:36.000 No, it isn't.
02:16:36.000 Nah, nah.
02:16:37.000 Well, I mean, some people think that.
02:16:39.000 No, it's not been abandoned.
02:16:40.000 Some physicists will argue that there's a cycle because it looks nice.
02:16:44.000 But I think most people...
02:16:46.000 I mean, there's some people who are arguing for that.
02:16:48.000 Do you think they're just trying to tie up something neat?
02:16:50.000 Well, I think they're trying to tie up their ignorance in something that isn't any more plausible in the picture that expands forever.
02:16:56.000 And as far as we can tell, the most likely possibility is that our universe will expand forever.
02:17:00.000 But...
02:17:01.000 To make you a little bit happier, it's quite possible.
02:17:04.000 The best pictures that we have of the early universe is that our universe isn't unique, isn't alone.
02:17:11.000 That there are many universes.
02:17:12.000 We call it a multiverse.
02:17:14.000 And that at any instant in time, in kind of a cosmic supertime, there's always a universe being born.
02:17:21.000 So that multiverse might be infinite and eternal.
02:17:25.000 Where are they?
02:17:26.000 Outside of our universe.
02:17:27.000 How's that even possible?
02:17:28.000 Of course it's possible.
02:17:29.000 I understand.
02:17:30.000 I'm not questioning it.
02:17:31.000 I just would like you to define it.
02:17:33.000 Well, first of all, the simplest possibility is that they're outside the region we can see.
02:17:38.000 Right?
02:17:39.000 For example, the edges of our visible universe, space is expanding faster away from us than light.
02:17:46.000 Because, you know, we taught you in school nothing can travel faster than light.
02:17:49.000 You may remember that from school.
02:17:50.000 We lied.
02:17:52.000 Well, no, you have to parse it more carefully, like a lawyer.
02:17:55.000 Nothing can travel through space faster than light, but space can do whatever the hell it wants.
02:18:00.000 So, locally, as I told you, the radio host is at rest.
02:18:04.000 They're not moving in the other end of the galaxy at the other end of the invisible universe.
02:18:07.000 And we're at rest.
02:18:08.000 But the space between us is expanding.
02:18:10.000 So that galaxy, like a surfer, is being carried away from us faster than light.
02:18:15.000 Relative to the water, the surfer isn't moving.
02:18:19.000 Right?
02:18:19.000 But relative to the shore, the surfer is.
02:18:21.000 Right?
02:18:22.000 Right.
02:18:23.000 Okay.
02:18:23.000 So, this galaxy is not moving relative to its local surroundings, but it's moving away from us faster than light.
02:18:30.000 And like a surfer in an undertow, they can swim really fast in the water, but if the water's moving away from the shore, they'll never make it back to the shore.
02:18:38.000 Right?
02:18:38.000 And so that galaxy, the light from that galaxy, is traveling through space at the speed of light.
02:18:43.000 But if the space in between us and the galaxy is moving faster than light, then the poor light can never make it to us.
02:18:48.000 We call that a horizon.
02:18:51.000 Wow.
02:18:52.000 So the space is traveling too far for the light to reach us.
02:18:57.000 Too fast.
02:18:58.000 Too fast.
02:19:00.000 So the light can't catch up with the expansion of space, and it never gets to us.
02:19:05.000 And that galaxy disappears from our causal horizon, we call it.
02:19:10.000 We'll never be able to see it.
02:19:11.000 We'll never be able to interact with it.
02:19:13.000 We'll never be okay.
02:19:15.000 And it could be that there are different regions so far away from us where space is expanding faster than light, which have a very different history than our own.
02:19:26.000 Space could be infinite.
02:19:28.000 Just our simple space that we know of and love could be infinite in extent, and different regions of that space had different histories.
02:19:37.000 And some of those regions, everything we can see, we know emerged from a single point.
02:19:42.000 Okay?
02:19:42.000 We can tell that.
02:19:43.000 We can tell that by measuring the Big Bang expansion of everything we see and working backwards.
02:19:47.000 And our visible universe was once smaller and smaller and smaller.
02:19:51.000 If we go back in time, we can actually follow the laws of physics back to the earliest moments of the Big Bang until those laws break down, and we can make predictions about what the universe should look like.
02:19:59.000 All those predictions agree exactly with the observations we make, which tell us that that picture works.
02:20:04.000 But another region, if you wish, could have come from a different Big Bang.
02:20:08.000 But is that another universe, or is it a part of the universe that we can't see?
02:20:12.000 Here's how we've changed, and this is semantics, but non-trivial semantics.
02:20:16.000 Namely, when I was a kid, universe meant everything.
02:20:19.000 Everything, right.
02:20:20.000 But we say that's a pretty stupid definition.
02:20:22.000 A better definition is an operational one.
02:20:25.000 Universe means that region of space with which at one time we could have communicated, or one time in the future, even if the future is infinite, we might communicate with.
02:20:36.000 Because that describes the region of space where cause and effect works.
02:20:41.000 Some measurable distance.
02:20:43.000 Yes.
02:20:43.000 And so we think of a universe as that region throughout which everything could affect everything else ultimately in an infinitely long time.
02:20:53.000 And in that picture, universes can be restricted in size.
02:20:58.000 And then other regions which could never have affected us and which will never affect us in the future, we call other universes.
02:21:06.000 Ah, I see.
02:21:07.000 And now, there are many different versions of a multiverse, but that's the simplest version.
02:21:12.000 And this picture we call inflation I just did two little clips associated with the new book.
02:21:20.000 One was for a publisher and one was for Big Think.
02:21:23.000 One is the universe in under two minutes.
02:21:25.000 So you can look up online and look for Lawrence Krauss explains the universe in under two minutes where I talk about this cosmic expansion and how it might mean there's a multiverse.
02:21:32.000 But the other is I explain the universe in terms of this beer bottle that I talked about to you earlier.
02:21:38.000 That's a video.
02:21:39.000 You can watch that.
02:21:40.000 But this theory of inflation which actually says The qualities that we see of our universe can best be explained in some early time in the history of the universe when it was a billionth of a billionth of a billionth of a billionth of a second old.
02:21:55.000 It had a huge expansion suddenly and increased in size by 30 orders of magnitude in size in a billionth of a billionth of a billionth of a billionth of a second.
02:22:05.000 Which is, by the way, particle physics suggests is highly plausible.
02:22:10.000 And then it would produce a universe that looks more or less like we look like.
02:22:15.000 And it's right now the only explanation of how that would cause the universe to look like what it looks like.
02:22:22.000 But the neat thing about inflation is it's eternal.
02:22:26.000 So inflation, that puffing up ended in our universe, and then boom, a hot big bang followed it.
02:22:31.000 Okay, so the universe puffed up by a huge amount, then all of that energy, which was stored in empty space, got released, like the beer bottle, and we got a hot big bang, and the rest is history.
02:22:42.000 But, that's locally.
02:22:44.000 But somewhere else, between us and there, space is still expanding exponentially.
02:22:50.000 And faster and faster and faster.
02:22:51.000 And only maybe somewhere else today.
02:22:53.000 Boom!
02:22:54.000 Like an ice crystal forming.
02:22:55.000 Boom!
02:22:56.000 That region of space has suddenly left inflation.
02:22:59.000 And maybe a gazillion years in the future there'll be another region of space that's expanding away from us so much faster than light so we'll never know about it.
02:23:06.000 Where suddenly that region leaves inflation and boom!
02:23:09.000 Another hot big bang happens.
02:23:11.000 And it turns out in each of those hot big bangs after the inflation ends, depending upon how it ends, the laws of physics could be different in that universe.
02:23:20.000 So we tend to think it's quite likely that there are many, many separate regions of space, and in fact it's eternal, so such regions are forming eternally for all time, and there are hot Big Bangs happening in many regions, and the properties of each of those regions,
02:23:36.000 whether they're conducive to forming galaxies and stars and planets and people, may be different.
02:23:42.000 So we could say, logically in that picture, that the reason the universe looks like the way it does is because we're here to measure it.
02:23:53.000 Oh my God, we should leave it at that.
02:23:55.000 Okay.
02:23:55.000 We should close with that.
02:23:56.000 That is the mind blower of mind blowers.
02:23:58.000 Good, good, okay.
02:23:59.000 Wow.
02:23:59.000 I'm glad I wore you out, not the other way around.
02:24:01.000 That was amazing.
02:24:02.000 Thank you so much.
02:24:03.000 That's fun.
02:24:04.000 Fascinating.
02:24:04.000 That was two and a half hours, man.
02:24:06.000 Just flew by.
02:24:06.000 Good, thanks.
02:24:07.000 Wow, thank you.
02:24:08.000 For you and me, it might have flown by.
02:24:09.000 I don't know how the list was.
02:24:10.000 Listen, man, that was a mind blower.
02:24:12.000 Okay.
02:24:13.000 Okay, thanks.
02:24:13.000 The greatest story ever told so far.
02:24:15.000 It's available now.
02:24:16.000 You can get it in audiobooks.
02:24:18.000 You can get it on iTunes in an audiobook form as well.
02:24:21.000 Thank you very much.
02:24:22.000 Really, really appreciate it.
02:24:23.000 It's been great to finally get to talk to you, Joe.
02:24:25.000 Great to talk to you, too.
02:24:26.000 Really appreciate this.
02:24:26.000 Thank you.