The third presidential debate is right around the corner, and you do not want to miss it! Join Ben Shapiro, Andrew Klavan, and the God King, Jeremy Boring, as they discuss the latest news and cultural events, all while enjoying some fine whiskey and cigars.
00:00:00.000Hey, Michael Knowles here, and do I have a treat for you. The latest episode of Daily Wire backstage is right around the corner, and you do not want to miss it. Join me, Ben Shapiro, Andrew Klavan, and the God King, Jeremy Boring, as we discuss the latest news and cultural events, all while enjoying some fine whiskey and cigars. It is going to be all that and more. Take a listen.
00:00:19.180Welcome to the Daily Wire backstage, mute this debate edition. I'm Jeremy Boring, known around these parks as your friendly neighborhood God King. That's lowercase g and lowercase k, and we're glad you've tuned in.
00:00:31.040Will Trump's performance be a departure from his last debate appearance? Can Joe Biden contain his rage if his family's scandals are mentioned? How much of the word hunter will Trump be able to utter before he's completely muted by the moderator? Are there any actual undecideds at this point who'll be swayed one way or another based on this circus show? Probably not. Stick around, though, and you'll find out.
00:01:04.420Joining me to discuss all of this and more, we have the Ben Shapiro, the Andrew Klavan, Michael Knowles.
00:01:10.580Coming up after the debate, we will also be joined by the lovely Elisha Krause.
00:01:15.040Reminder, stick around after the debate live stream for some instant analysis from us here on Backstage.
00:01:20.220If you're an All Access member, make sure you're watching this over on our discuss page at DailyWire.com, because we will be joining all of our All Access members in the live chat, reading your comments, and taking your questions during the course of the actual debate.
00:01:33.020If you're not a DailyWire Insider or All Access member, join now.
00:01:36.940We'll give you a 20% off discount with the coupon code DEBATE, exclamation point.
00:03:43.820He doesn't know what state he's in, but he's pretty good at politics.
00:03:46.500And where he doesn't do very well is where he has time to finish.
00:03:49.920And so I actually think, I'm sure the Presidential Debate Commission was trying to hurt Trump.
00:03:53.740But I actually think, unwittingly, they may have helped him.
00:03:56.620But Ben, will they use the mute in a way that doesn't appear to be an overt attack on the president?
00:04:02.480Does the media have enough discipline at this point to even come off with the appearance of objectivity?
00:04:07.640I think they'll be careful here because I think that the last thing that they want is to keep underscoring this message, which is that they are biased against Trump.
00:04:15.020Now, they obviously are biased against Trump.
00:04:17.460I mean, you saw NPR today announce they will not cover the Hunter Biden story under any circumstances, which is your taxpayer dollars at work on behalf of Joe Biden.
00:04:24.520I mean, it's an in-kind contribution by NPR with your taxpayer dollars.
00:04:29.020But with that said, I think that they will be, I would say, fairly generous before they actually hit the mute button.
00:04:35.220And I think that more than that, Trump, I think, is going to be a lot more disciplined when it comes to not talking over people because he recognizes that was a bad thing.
00:04:40.980The bigger question is going to be what his angle has to be tonight because, I mean, we can all disregard the polls and we can say that Trump is ahead and then the debate doesn't matter.
00:04:48.860But if you think that the debate actually matters and that this may be Trump's last attempt to turn this thing around, the question is what should his message be?
00:04:56.500Possibility number one is that he goes directly after the Hunter Biden issue, which has been percolating for the last two weeks.
00:05:02.220The media have been trying to cover it up.
00:05:03.680Joe Biden, right before the debate, decided to issue a statement denying that he ever had held stock in a Hunter Biden business or discussed business with Hunter or any of that.
00:05:11.880You could see Trump try to go after it.
00:05:14.660I think the problem there is that it's kind of a complex story and Trump is not a good storyteller.
00:05:18.600He's a good joke teller, but he's not a good storyteller.
00:05:21.060Tucker Carlson is very good at laying out all of this stuff A to Z.
00:05:23.720But Trump is not he kind of speaks in slogans and he speaks in Twitter isms.
00:05:28.280So he's more likely to just go straight to the punchline of a story without actually laying out any of the details.
00:05:32.740I think his better policy tonight is probably going to be to just remind everybody that the economy was going great guns until covid hit.
00:05:38.940And that if the Democrats take charge, they're now talking about making Bernie Sanders secretary of labor, which is insane.
00:05:43.560They're now talking about raising taxes so high that 50 cent is off the bandwagon that that I think might bear more fruit than, you know, he's got to mention that Joe Biden is corrupt and that he's got corruption problems.
00:05:55.920But I think if he makes that the chief issue in the debate, it'll quickly get bollocks up, especially because, you know, the moderator is going to then ask Trump to detail exactly how Biden is corrupt.
00:06:05.160And Trump just does not have the capacity to ferret out all of those particular thickets.
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00:11:43.020And, you know, since the beginning of the Trump administration, this idea of the deep state, the bureaucracy, the administration has been creeping up a lot.
00:12:17.040The independents, the people haven't made up their minds.
00:12:18.900But I agree with you, Jeremy, that there really aren't that many undecided voters.
00:12:23.840And Trump, either by strategy or just by instinct, and I really think it's his instinct, I really think it's a limitation on what he's capable of doing,
00:12:31.240has been playing the game that Molly Hemingway identified very early on, which was get the people who love you to come out.
00:12:39.060Because the one thing where he, the one place where he is winning is on enthusiasm.
00:12:43.120It is really difficult to read these polls which show Biden ahead and then see the rallies that Trump is staging
00:12:49.060and compare them to the graveyard shift that Biden is doing.
00:13:00.180There may not be a lot of enthusiasm for Biden, but there is a lot of enthusiasm against Trump.
00:13:04.260And that really is the key to the election, which is why shifting the focus to Biden has,
00:13:08.360it's been a failure of the Trump campaign that he's been unable to shift any focus, not for one iota of a moment, to Biden, not for a millisecond.
00:13:15.200And so, yeah, I think Biden made a crucial error today in something that he said in an interview and then tweeted it out.
00:13:20.320He said, America is an idea and we've never lived up to the idea.
00:13:23.040And I just thought to myself, like, that would be a great thing for Trump to bring up.
00:13:28.460This idea that America has always kind of sucked, that America was an idea, but that we've never in our entire history lived up to that idea.
00:13:34.560So not when we were liberating the concentration camps, not when we were ending segregation,
00:13:39.380not when we were electing Barack Obama president of the United States,
00:13:41.440like at no point in all of American history have we ever lived up to our own ideals.
00:16:30.840If you're an All Access member, stick around right now over at DailyWire.com.
00:16:35.520Head to the Discuss page and we'll be there with all of you live chatting, reading your comments, taking your questions as we watch what is sure to be the most consequential presidential debate, I think, in living memory.
00:16:48.240Certainly, no incumbent has gone into a debate with more on the line than President Trump does today.
00:17:12.520I think we're going to tune in to the presidential debates, and we'll catch up with you right after.
00:17:17.120Well, welcome back to the Daily Wire backstage.
00:17:26.520I'm here with Andrew Klavan, Michael Knowles, and Ben Shapiro to recap on what I'm hoping you all just watched as we did, which is the second debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump.
00:17:36.300Reminder, if you're not a Daily Wire insider or All Access member, you can join during the course of this broadcast for 20% off with the coupon code DEBATE.
00:17:45.280And now they have removed the exclamation mark, so all you have to remember is just DEBATE, D-E-B-A-T-E.
00:17:51.500We just saw the most civilized debate.
00:17:55.300I think even if you go all the way back to the Democrat primaries, this was the most civil debate.
00:17:59.580Much different in tone than what we saw last time.
00:18:03.000How do you think it played for the president, Michael?
00:19:00.900I thought this was a wash on points, and Trump won.
00:19:03.680And he won because two narratives went down the drain.
00:19:06.580The narrative that Biden can't stand for 90 minutes and speak semi-coherently, he did.
00:19:11.820And the narrative that Donald Trump is the devil from hell.
00:19:14.940And I think that that is the more powerful narrative.
00:19:17.040That's the narrative that's been being sold to us for four years by the mainstream media and just about everybody else in the elite communications industry.
00:19:37.900And what he was saying, basically, was Joe Biden doesn't know what he's talking about.
00:19:41.820And I think that's pretty clearly the case.
00:19:43.860I think he had a couple of great lines that will resonate with people.
00:19:46.980Who built the cages, Joe, was probably the best one.
00:19:49.760That's kind of the one that I think will resonate for the longest time.
00:19:53.600The press tomorrow is going to say, isn't it wonderful that Joe Biden is sentient?
00:19:56.900But I think what people saw was a president who knows what he's doing, basically, and a guy who's just a standard issue politician who's been in government for 47 years.
00:20:06.680This is the kind of debate that brings out the people who were thinking, I don't like Trump.
00:20:12.040I voted for him before, but now I won't.
00:20:14.060Now I think they can come back and say, no, wait a minute.
00:20:20.300Yeah, no, I totally agree with that last point.
00:20:21.780I mean, after having cut that video this week talking about how I'll vote for Trump because, you know, despite all of the character flaws and all those problems and everything that we know about him, the bottom line is that when you look at the alternatives, this is the better alternative for the country.
00:20:32.360It makes you more comfortable voting for him.
00:20:34.380After the last debate, I think a lot of people got very uncomfortable voting for him because of his behavior.
00:20:38.400I think after his COVID behavior, people got very uncomfortable voting for him.
00:20:43.380I think you're going to see the polls start to come back together a little bit here.
00:20:45.640And I will say that I thought that the only aspect of this where he did not handle himself really well, actually, was about the first 15, 20 minutes.
00:20:53.860I thought the first 15, 20 minutes before he got to the actual lockdown of it, when they were just talking about how you handled COVID generally, I thought that Biden was very on message the first 15 to 20 minutes.
00:21:05.440He keeps saying over and over that everybody has died because of Trump.
00:21:08.160And I wish that Trump would have just said to him, Joe, how many lives would you have saved considering that people all over the world are dying of this thing?
00:21:14.020How many lives did Andrew Cuomo not save and Gretchen Whitmer and various other people who took exactly your political recommendations?
00:21:20.460But I thought that after that, he acquitted himself, I thought, incredibly well, actually.
00:21:24.860That's about as good as you're going to see Donald Trump on a debate stage.
00:21:28.180And as you were mentioning, Michael, I thought that there were several moments where he jumped in and he really hammered home a point.
00:21:34.880And this is where he really is good, right?
00:22:01.860And then Trump comes back with, well, you could talk to them, right?
00:22:04.940I mean, it was actually a really good moment for Trump.
00:22:06.940I thought that the moment where he went after him on criminal justice reform, again, same kind of thing.
00:22:12.360I thought that he hammered him pretty well on the Hunter Biden stuff.
00:22:15.940Although, again, he wasn't able to draw the whole narrative.
00:22:18.380But just the fact that now the media are going to have to come out and explain what Trump was talking about, which is going to be the story, right?
00:22:24.320After this is going to be Trump lied about how much money Joe – there's no evidence that Joe Biden took direct money from the Russians.
00:22:46.040But I think that in the end, this was a much, much – I mean, an infinitely better performance for Trump.
00:22:52.760And if you are somebody who is on the fence, not about which candidate to support, but on the fence about you kind of like Trump or at least you're okay with Trump.
00:22:59.640And you're wondering, you know, is it really worth it for me to go out and vote for him in one of these swing states?
00:23:03.260I think you feel a lot more comfortable going out and standing in line and voting for the guy after this.
00:23:34.080Yeah, no, I mean, Joe Biden openly said in that debate that not a single human being lost their private health insurance because of Obamacare.
00:23:39.580I mean, that was literally called the number one lie of the year by PolitiFact just a few years ago when Barack Obama suggested that you wouldn't lose your doctor or lose your insurance under Obamacare.
00:23:48.360And literally millions of people were kicked off of their private health insurance because many of those insurance plans became illegal under Obamacare.
00:23:54.040But the biggest lie – but the biggest lie of the night, and it's gone completely unchecked now at two consecutive debates, is that if you lost someone to COVID-19, that is Donald Trump's fault.
00:24:05.720COVID-19 has killed people all over the world and, to the president's point, killed more people in New York than anywhere else in this country.
00:24:13.700The fact that they allow Joe Biden to say that, that there won't be a single fact-check about it, is evidence of what Michael is saying, which is that fact-checking sites right now are really just the most front-facing piece of the Democrat propaganda machine.
00:24:27.340It's a real vulnerability for conservatives and one that we as a group probably need to think a little bit more about.
00:24:31.740Before we do that, I want to talk about something that makes my life a whole lot easier, and that is our friends over at Stamps.com.
00:24:38.760You have a lot of things that you need to be doing in your life.
00:24:41.540You need to be listening to The Daily Wire.
00:24:43.560You need to be checking in on whether or not Andrew Klavan survived yet another Klavan-less weekend.
00:24:49.440You don't want to spend a minute of your holiday season, a minute of your any season, at the post office.
00:29:03.600It turns out that he was actually lying about his own policy, of course, because everyone knows the public option is the first step to getting rid of private insurance.
00:29:10.120Because once you can subsidize a public option and you can use that public option in order to cram down low drug prices on the pharmaceutical companies,
00:29:16.560and presumably you would have to mandate that doctors and hospitals take that public option in order to make any of this work,
00:29:22.240well, then you've already taken the first step to getting rid of private insurance.
00:29:24.640But it was pretty glorious to watch him just absolutely disown Bernie Sanders, who's now wandering around in Vermont, wondering what he's done with his life.
00:29:31.640I wonder if there will actually be a consequence to throwing Obama under the bus.
00:30:34.060And so he can actually say two completely opposite things in the same sentence.
00:30:39.800Because when you've been in politics for 47 years, you actually know that the truth doesn't matter.
00:30:44.740This is one of Trump's best moments, and nobody's going to talk about it tomorrow, but I think it played, which was when Trump said, Biden was saying, oh, look at your kitchen table and you're reaching for your bed and all this.
00:30:56.540And Trump said, you know, is that all you've got?
00:30:58.640Is that all you've got old politician stuff about the kitchen table and your bed?
00:31:15.600Where Rubio kept saying the same thing.
00:31:17.180And then Christie jumped in in the 2016 early debates.
00:31:20.840And and just for those who missed it, and Christie jumped in and said, what you're going to say now is this whole thing about make no mistake, blah, blah, blah.
00:31:28.260And then Rubio immediately came back with it.
00:31:30.240That was fantastic because it was highly irritating that after being hit on his family, he went to this pre-planned line about they don't care about my family.
00:32:58.960Sorry, one more quick note on the China stuff.
00:33:02.460And I think this he didn't explicate the China stuff particularly well.
00:33:05.620He kind of threw out some accusations, kind of like chum in the water, hoping that the sharks are going to circle around and feed off of it.
00:33:11.200The one thing that he did create was the fact that Joe Biden went over the top.
00:33:16.480So Biden didn't just say, I never received money from any foreign deals, which, OK, fine.
00:33:21.260He said, my son never did anything wrong.
00:33:36.120I want to talk about the Hunter Biden stuff in detail because it's the big story of the week, the big story of the day.
00:33:40.160And it was obviously a big issue in this debate.
00:33:42.900But first, I want to talk about the Second Amendment.
00:33:45.380Now, more than ever, our Second Amendment is under assault.
00:33:48.160The left, as we discussed earlier in the program, the left, we're not debating the left today on policy.
00:33:53.080We're debating the left on the fundamental structures of our government.
00:33:56.060They actually want to do away with the protections of the First Amendment, the protections of the Second Amendment, the protections of the 14th Amendment.
00:34:02.560They want to do away with the Electoral College.
00:34:04.440They want to do away with the filibuster, which, while not constitutional, is a major norm in our system of government.
00:34:09.820Well, when the founders crafted the Constitution, the very first thing that they made sacred was the right of the individual to share their ideas without limitation by their government.
00:34:17.280And back then, there wasn't social media to limit it either.
00:35:01.540If the left wasn't coming for our guns, I wouldn't own any guns.
00:35:04.620If the left wasn't coming for AR-15s, I wouldn't own any AR-15s.
00:35:08.500But the very fact that they want them means that I have a responsibility to own them, and I have a responsibility to own one that will work, one that will serve me if, God forbid, I'm ever put in a position of needing to use it.
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00:36:30.260It's not just a right to own a firearm. It's a responsibility. You should do it.
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00:37:02.780And our pals over at BCM really understand it.
00:37:04.560They make really entertaining videos, and you will learn a lot about what they do.
00:37:58.400And while I agree that Kristen Welker did a fairly good job tonight, the one place where she really intervened to save Joe Biden was in the very first exchange when the president came at at VP Biden specifically about his family's history of corruption.
00:38:15.280And she didn't want Biden to be angry.
00:38:19.460She didn't want Biden to make a mistake.
00:38:20.880So she kept trying to pull it away and pull it away.
00:38:24.380So we had a lot of back and forth on this.
00:38:25.740My question, well, let's in fact, let's play clip 5A here and let people hear what what was said.
00:38:33.000Joe got three and a half million dollars from Russia and it came through Putin because he was very friendly with the former mayor of Moscow and it was the mayor of Moscow's wife.
00:38:43.260And you got three and a half million dollars.
00:38:45.440Your family got three and a half million dollars.
00:38:47.540And, you know, someday you're going to have to explain why did you get three and a half.
00:39:45.440Well, I think there's a possibility the first holds up.
00:39:47.540I mean, we've seen his we've seen his tax records.
00:39:50.120There's nothing in there that suggests that he's received foreign money.
00:39:52.700It is also possible that he can claim he didn't receive foreign money if Biden is holding the cash and trust somewhere.
00:39:57.400I mean, that's also possible for him if you were really to kind of parse these things.
00:40:01.680But I think that in all likelihood, he probably has not seen money directly.
00:40:06.020I think my guess is that if you really had to boil this thing down, just looking at what we've seen, he probably said to Hunter Biden, go with God, use my name, go make bank.
00:40:15.220And I think that that's pretty obvious.
00:40:16.540I mean, Hunter Biden has said that fairly publicly.
00:40:19.040And that's fairly corrupt in and of itself.
00:40:22.020You know, whether he was personally benefiting from it or not, if your kids are making money off of your name while you're vice president of the United States and you're taking them on Air Force Two to go pick up giant checks in China, that is not a particularly good looking thing.
00:40:32.760That did not require these emails in order to reveal that the part where he overextended himself is that statement about Hunter when he said nobody's ever indicated that Hunter did anything wrong.
00:40:41.280Well, I mean, they're in some indications considering the two of his business partners are now in jail for fraud.
00:40:44.860So it feels like there are some things that are that he probably did wrong here.
00:40:47.980Yeah, there's also this issue that we know that Joe Biden has lied about this before because Joe Biden said, I never spoke about my son's business dealings with him ever once.
00:40:58.760But his son contradicted that in an interview, I believe, with New York magazine.
00:41:02.480It was with one of these magazines where he said, yeah, I talked to my dad and my dad said, you better know what you're doing.
00:41:07.640He then, Hunter, went on a television interview and said, yeah, I never talked to my dad.
00:41:11.420And the interviewer, to her credit, said, well, what about this business of you better know what you're doing?
00:41:15.840He goes, yeah, well, look, but that was the end of the conversation.
00:41:18.680Well, actually, no, it wasn't even a conversation.
00:43:20.820I think that when the story of this era is written, one of the one of the enormous scandals that people will look back on is how people can spend an entire life making one hundred and eighty thousand dollars in government service and somehow have net worths of thirty eight million dollars.
00:43:36.160And you can say, oh, well, he wrote some books.
00:43:38.160He wrote a book and it did ten million dollars of business.
00:44:02.540Now, to Ben's point, I don't know that you're going to find a, you know, a W-2 or something from Joe Biden taking money from some Ukrainian oligarch.
00:44:10.320But some some money has made its way into Joe Biden's pocket.
00:44:14.140So this is the thing about this, because I actually is weird, but I kind of agree with both Jeremy and Ben on this.
00:44:18.740Yeah, that the money, the real money that Biden has made, he made after he left office and these as these guys typically do.
00:44:26.760He made a lot of money after he left office.
00:44:28.800Bush, but but the loans and the houses and the things that you get, the kind of easy mortgages that you get and the easy loans that you get.
00:44:37.500Those are things that come from the swamp.
00:44:44.280He is the face of the government that they sent Donald Trump to Washington.
00:44:48.740In 2008, The New York Times reported this, right?
00:44:50.900I mean, in 2008, The New York Times, before it was verboten to report anything bad about Joe Biden, they reported back in 08 when Trump, when Obama was considering him.
00:44:58.180They talked about how he got a sweetheart loan from some people back in Delaware on he was able to buy a piece of land under market value in order to do that, which we know Barack Obama, by the way, also did with his neighbor back in Chicago.
00:45:08.920So politics allows people who want to influence you to do these kind of not quite illegal, but kind of scuzzy things in order to make clear to you exactly where your bread is buttered.
00:45:18.680And we know that Hunter's been doing that for years.
00:45:20.380I mean, it's been known for a very long time that Joe Biden, who is from Delaware, which is a state that is, you know, very often used in order to incorporate businesses.
00:45:28.220But also Scranton is anywhere else where people might be.
00:45:34.420And we all we all know that he's been a lobbyist, essentially, for the credit card companies for a very, very long time.
00:45:38.880And his son was working for some of the credit card companies.
00:45:41.160I mean, again, all this was reported by The New York Times in 2008.
00:45:44.180So it is true that he has a long history of just being a typical politician who is making a good living off of being a politician in public service.
00:45:53.760I think that the foreign ties sort of highlight some of that stuff and they make it more relevant today.
00:45:59.600It makes it feel like an October surprise.
00:46:00.960But the truth is that I'm not sure that you needed it if anybody had any sort of level of awareness about what exactly the government is, because you can write that story about nearly every politician in Washington, D.C., all of whom seem to enter the government being middle class and then all leave the government being in the top one percent.
00:46:15.960And by the way, Bernie Sanders is worth a million bucks and has a lake house.
00:46:19.060As somebody who was a reporter in my youth, I keep going back to the image in my mind of those 1940s movies of reporters, the guy with a snap rim hat and the press card and the hat band, you know.
00:46:29.860And he's typing on his typewriter and Cary Grant comes in and says, you know, I've got a story for you.
00:46:34.780The leading candidate for president has been basically profiting off influence peddling in in his while he was vice president.
00:46:44.720And the reporter says, yeah, I'm not going to cover that because, you know, there's no governing authority, as Al Gore would say, over that really makes it illegal.
00:47:01.440And I think that this is the thing, the fact that the press is trying to cover this up.
00:47:05.700And I don't believe they've succeeded, by the way.
00:47:07.480I believe this is they've actually brought this story to the fore by trying to cover it up.
00:47:12.540The fact that the press is trying to cover it up is a point in Donald Trump's favor.
00:47:16.700It says to the people that the the communications industry and the Democrats it supports and the institutions it supports is against you and doesn't really care what you think.
00:47:27.140And I think we also need to give Trump credit for a tactic that he used here, which is he didn't get into the exact precise way that the money went from Ukraine or from China or wherever.
00:47:37.620He made this broad statement, which is, as Ben says, going to invite all of these fact checks.
00:47:42.300Namely, he said, Joe Biden, your family made three and a half million bucks.
00:47:44.780How did they do that? I think it's actually good to get the fact checks because it's going to elicit much more press.
00:47:51.580The media were trying to ignore it to begin with.
00:47:53.320It's going to elicit all this press and it's going to put them on the defensive because they're going to have to say, no, Biden didn't get the three and a half million.
00:47:59.180His son got the three and a half million from then.
00:48:01.800Any way you explain it, people are going to be exposed to more of the story, which in itself isn't is a very ugly story.
00:48:07.800I will say one of the one other area where I thought that Trump really excelled, putting aside the Hunter Biden stuff for a second.
00:48:12.500I thought that when he got to his anti-lockdown program, I thought that was very, very strong stuff and I thought it was deeply necessary.
00:48:19.760So the first 15 minutes, which was all about Joe Biden lying that everybody died because of Trump.
00:48:23.540And if there's an empty chair at your dinner table, it's because of Trump.
00:48:26.200And if there's a bad man hiding in your closet with a knife, it's because of Trump.
00:48:29.940And if you get cancer, it's because of Trump.
00:48:31.500And if your dog crapped the carpet, it's because of Trump and all this.
00:48:33.880You know, after after all that was done and Trump looked at him and he said, right, but you're Captain Lockdown over here.
00:48:40.100And Biden was like, well, you know, I really am only going to lock down if it's what the science is like.
00:48:44.700Well, I've got lots of people in the bureaucracy and, you know, Anthony Fauci is one of them.
00:48:47.820But I'm not just going to listen to one guy if they say lockdown.
00:49:07.100I think in a lot of swing states, people are not petrified of the virus.
00:49:09.500I think that people are treating the virus with the appropriate level of risk.
00:49:12.920I think people are generally out and about living their lives.
00:49:16.220What I'm seeing here in South Florida, which, again, is hotly contested territory, I think Trump is going to win the state.
00:49:20.420I think the reason that Trump is going to win the state is because there is there's enormous enthusiasm, particularly in the Hispanic community, actually, for Trump in the state of Florida.
00:49:30.160But I think beyond that, people are not shutting down the way they do in California.
00:49:34.880In California, people seem pretty sanguine about like, OK, so I'm never going to my business again.
00:49:39.240OK, so Disneyland is just going to be closed forever.
00:49:41.360Well, Disney World is open here and they haven't had massive infections.
00:49:43.700All the schools are open here and they have not had massive infections.
00:49:46.100In certain counties, they have mask mandates.
00:49:47.720Most people are abiding by them, but there doesn't seem to be just this generalized level of mask shaming that you see in some of the heavy blue areas.
00:49:54.800I think if there is a secret Trump vote out there that manifests beyond the polls, and this really is the question, right?
00:50:03.160If it's there, I think it is manifest in the number of people who are irritated by the overt level of government control that has been exercised by the Democrats with regard to lockdown.
00:50:12.300And there are a lot of people out there who are going, listen, I'm OK with the masks.
00:50:15.280It's like when Biden holds up the mask and he acts like it's the be all end all, you know what?
00:50:55.660They are much more fine from this than they are from the flu.
00:50:57.480There have been a grand total of last count as of yesterday, 74 Americans under the age of 15 who have died of covid out of several hundred thousand infections at this point.
00:51:06.560Right. That is compared to some 470 Americans who died of flu in the last flu season under the age of 15.
00:51:12.240And Trump said it's not particularly dangerous for young people.
00:51:14.960And Kristen Welker said, well, yes, but they can get it and they can transmit it.
00:51:18.500And it was like, OK, so they take measures to prevent them from transmitting it.
00:51:22.500And and and and if the teachers are young, then that's OK.
00:51:27.060And if the teachers are not so young, then you keep them out of the classroom.
00:51:29.340And by the way, the evidence on transmission from kids tends to be that older kids transmit it and younger kids do not transmit it nearly as much.
00:51:36.240And that's why you haven't seen massive outbreaks in school.
00:51:37.860So I thought that was a very strong point for Trump.
00:51:39.840And I was glad to see him argue that I thought he was shockingly good on minimum wage.
00:51:42.820He actually understands that basic idea.
00:51:45.040So there are a couple of moments where he actually said things.
00:51:47.400And I thought, well, I didn't realize that he could articulate it that well.
00:51:49.940So we've got the lovely Elisha beaming in, not from her normal closet, but beaming in from the Ronald Reagan Museum in beautiful Santa Barbara, California.
00:52:00.160Elisha, you have some questions from our Daily Wire subscribers?
00:52:13.580I don't think that tonight's debate changed anyone's mind about who, about which worldview they would rather see emerge victorious in the election.
00:52:21.460But I think, and as the guys were saying earlier, I didn't weigh in.
00:52:24.240I think that it did change people's minds perhaps about whether or not they can vote for Donald Trump as a personal moral decision.
00:52:31.640I think that one of the reasons that the last debate didn't hurt Trump overly is because people are pretty dug in in terms of the two camps at the moment.
00:52:39.140But that still isn't great for Trump because being fully bought in to the conservative vision for the country still doesn't make it easy to vote for a guy with the personal failings that Trump has.
00:52:50.540And that last debate was so difficult to watch for this reason.
00:52:55.560It was so poisonous and turned people off.
00:52:57.860I think this made you see Donald Trump in a different way, probably the best light that we've seen him in in any debate in the time that he's been in public life.
00:53:06.980And and that it perhaps will give people the the ability to say, yeah, I can get behind that.
00:53:14.080As far as the early vote, by the way, quick note on the early voting.
00:53:17.380So there is a question as to whether the early voting is a reflection of new voters coming in or whether it's just banking the old voters, meaning maybe it's all the people who are already highly motivated to vote who are standing out there voting.
00:53:28.820And they would have voted on Election Day.
00:53:30.000Now they're just voting early because they can vote early.
00:54:02.080Like last I checked, voter suppression was like people with hoses and dogs and clubs beating the living crap out of you because they don't want you to vote.
00:54:08.540Not you had to wait in line while watching Netflix on your eye on your eye.
00:54:11.940And when did the left decide it dislikes lines?
00:54:14.100Every single policy that they come up with forces us to stand in line.
00:54:49.180Generally, probably didn't sway too many people other than people who are a little bit more moderate Republicans who are now feel more comfortable to vote for Trump.
00:54:56.260But this issue of I'm going to destroy the oil industry, which Trump really hit Biden on that, that is going to matter for some voters.
00:55:04.880Now, how large an effect that's going to have, I'm not so sure.
00:55:07.400But going after fossil fuels, going after natural gas or oil or or any of those industries that that could move some boats in Pennsylvania and Pennsylvania could decide the election.
00:55:16.660Yeah. So here's here's my view of this.
00:55:19.740And Kristen Soltz's Henderson, the pollster, sort of laid this out on my show today.
00:55:23.320Basically, there are two sets of states that you need to watch on election night.
00:55:26.180One is the Sun Belt states and the other is the Rust Belt states.
00:55:29.460If Biden wins North Carolina, the election is essentially over early.
00:55:33.540If Biden wins Florida, the election is essentially over early.
00:55:36.880Those are the ones that are going to start to come in early because those are East Coast states.
00:55:40.140Right. Pennsylvania will start to come in fairly early as well.
00:55:42.480But you're probably this is what happened with Romney.
00:55:44.240I remember when when North Carolina and Florida started to move against Romney, it was like, oh, OK, this is going to be it's going to be over fairly early, even though I think Romney ended up pulling out North Carolina narrowly.
00:55:53.900Once he lost Florida, it was dead over.
00:55:55.340So Trump needs to win the following states.
00:56:21.800If he if he doesn't win Pennsylvania, it is basically over because the chances that he loses Pennsylvania and Michigan, but somehow pulls out Wisconsin.
00:56:28.120I think that's going to be very difficult for him.
00:56:31.140I think there's a good shot that, as I say, I think that he's going to win Florida.
00:56:34.360Florida tends to overperform for Republicans.
00:56:35.880That's why DeSantis is governor here instead of the the meth addict in a hotel room with the with the gay porn star guy, Andrew Gillum.
00:56:44.260But I'm I think North Carolina will trend red.
00:56:47.800I think that that that Rust Belt, which nobody expected him to win last time, it's going to be it's going to be harder for him.
00:56:53.560And it's really going to come down to Pennsylvania in the main.
00:56:55.860And so that that's why that last the thing you mentioned there, Michael, is the thing.
00:56:59.360I mean, if he's able to really hone in on the fracking and the he's threatening your job and he's threatening your future, that that's going to have to be the ballgame for him because that's where he's going to have to put his chips.
00:58:05.560And the move in identification and people who identify as Republicans, which is something like between five and eight points, a shift from people who identified as Democrats to identifying as Republicans.
00:58:18.540There is another narrative here where Trump wins by a landslide.
00:58:22.740I'm not saying that's going to happen.
00:58:24.120I really don't know what's going to happen.
00:58:25.780But there is something terribly wrong.
00:58:27.840So discordant between the polls and what I'm seeing with my own eyes.
00:58:42.720And then we'd have a constitutional crisis because legitimately the Constitution does not answer the question of what happens in an election in which one of the candidates dies.
00:58:51.760You could say, oh, it'll be then Kamala wins.
00:58:56.560All of that to say, I agree with you, Drew.
00:58:59.660When you read that it's Biden 10, Biden 14, that 56 percent of people say Trump doesn't deserve a second term, all these numbers that we keep seeing, obviously very discouraging.
00:59:10.680When you drive around, you don't see Biden flags and you don't see Biden rallies when the NBA finals are down 70 percent from the numbers that they had just one year ago.
00:59:24.720Now, you would probably think the numbers might even tick up because nobody's been able to go to games in person.
00:59:31.900That's obviously a political activity that's happening.
00:59:35.600There are there are these strange signs that make you think it is actually possible that that are that our accounting system is so broken either by intent or by simply not changing with the times that we're missing.
00:59:52.040And we're just not going to know that until election night.
00:59:55.340And to Ben's point, we could know it one hour in.
00:59:58.300If if Florida drops blue, you know, one, not even an hour, 15 minutes after the polls close on the East Coast, right, then all of it was right.
01:00:09.260If if the night goes well for Donald Trump, there is going to be there's going to need to be a reckoning in the way that we approach these questions, which which was not true in 2016.
01:00:18.840The polls were not radically wrong in 2016.
01:00:21.240But if Donald Trump has a big night on election night, the polls will have been actually fundamentally wrong.
01:00:27.700And by the way, this is something that the pollsters say and they point this out is that the polls were wrong in Romney's direction in 2012.
01:00:34.340Right. So they were wrong against Donald Trump in 2016.
01:00:36.820They were wrong in Romney's direction in 20 in 2012.
01:00:39.580Romney is supposed to be very competitive in Ohio.
01:00:41.340Right. He was supposed to be very competitive in Pennsylvania.
01:00:43.240He held this big rally in the last days.
01:00:45.600And the polls were saying it was super close.
01:00:47.060And then he just got absolutely blown out in both Ohio and Pennsylvania.
01:00:51.020So, I mean, at some point we're going to have to if they're wrong again, at some point, all the pollsters have to learn to code because this is just.
01:00:58.480The one the one area where I will say that I think the debate could matter that nobody's actually talking about is it's not just about comfort level with voting for Trump.
01:01:05.360It's about Republicans showing up to the polls generally to vote for Senate candidates, which may be the most important thing that happens, because if the Republicans lose the Senate and Biden is elected, prepare for Armageddon.
01:01:14.600I mean, it's just going to be a disaster in every possible way.
01:01:23.620We've got close races in in two close races in Georgia.
01:01:26.820We've got close races basically across the board in Montana, in Colorado, in Arizona.
01:01:32.900A lot of Republicans are up for reelection in Iowa.
01:01:36.900It's a bad map for Republicans in the Senate.
01:01:38.840It's a terrible map for Republicans in the Senate.
01:01:41.100And all of this stuff, all those races are pretty close.
01:01:43.400So even if Trump is outside the margin of error in some of those states, if he ticks up the polls just a little bit for the Senate candidate, then he will have done a world of good for the Republican Party generally.
01:02:19.320By the way, I mean, nobody's talking about this, but one of the real disasters for Republicans, if it does occur, will be something nobody has talked about yet.
01:02:25.580And that is the regaining of state legislatures and governorships by the Democrats, because in 2020 is redistricting and census, right?
01:02:32.340I mean, they could fundamentally reshape how Congress is elected and take the House away from Republicans for 10 years based on the redistricting and the census.
01:02:39.700So you picked a bad time to quit sniffing glue here.
01:02:44.000I mean, it turns out to be a bad year.
01:02:45.440Any year ending in zero is a very, very bad time for the Republican Party to have a rough year.
01:02:49.460Along those lines, do you guys think that there will be an increased interest in the removal of the Electoral College?