Wave Watch: Daily Wire Midterm Election Special
Episode Stats
Length
4 hours and 31 minutes
Words per Minute
215.45338
Summary
Ben Shapiro, Andrew Plavin, and the man who will one day fire me for real, Jeremy Boring, join me for the fire and fury of the most important election ever in our lifetime, which also happens to come around about every two years.
Transcript
00:00:08.480
So join Rakuten and start getting cash back at Sephora,
00:00:17.340
Just start your shopping with Rakuten to save money at over 750 stores.
00:00:21.940
Join for free at Rakuten.ca or download the Rakuten app.
00:00:31.900
You're about to listen to our latest episode of Daily Wire Backstage,
00:00:35.340
where I join Ben Shapiro, Andrew Plavin, and the man who will one day fire me for real,
00:00:40.180
Daily Wire God King Jeremy Boring, for a great conversation on politics and culture,
00:00:44.920
and where we answer questions from Daily Wire subscribers.
00:00:56.780
Welcome to the Daily Wire Backstage election special.
00:01:00.000
I'm Jeremy Boring, known round these parts as the Daily Wire God King, lowercase g, lowercase k,
00:01:05.200
maybe a hyphen in place of the o if you're Ben Shapiro and roll that way.
00:01:10.840
Whoever picked that music is 100% losing their job.
00:01:27.740
Joining me for the fire and the fury of the most important election ever in our lifetime,
00:01:32.820
which also happens to come around about every two years,
00:01:35.820
are my three amigos Benjamin, Chevy Shapiro, Andrew, Martin Clavin, and Michael Shortnoles.
00:01:41.820
I actually think the joke would have been funnier if it had been Ben Short Shapiro.
00:01:51.420
We'll be joined via satellite by the lovely Elisha Krause.
00:01:55.260
With Elisha, tonight will also be the also lovely, they didn't even put this in the teleprompter,
00:02:00.140
but she's quite lovely, Cassie Dillon, a.k.a. the lone conservative,
00:02:03.900
and the also lovely, beaver-haired, stand-in, and all-around wonderful young man,
00:02:07.940
Colton Hawes, known around these parts as Young Colton Hawes.
00:02:17.080
Sorry having audio issues here, but we are live in the Daily Wire backstage election headquarters,
00:02:24.140
we'll be making sure that we give our viewers and our amazing subscribers updates
00:02:30.260
We have about a dozen states whose polls are closed, CNN, MSNBC, Fox News.
00:02:37.360
We're watching them, and we're making sure to not be like the New York Times
00:02:40.120
and inaccurately call things like they did back in 2016.
00:02:43.600
Of course, it's going to be really exciting because polls are kind of all over the place,
00:02:48.560
but the general conception is that it looks as if the Democrats might take the House.
00:02:53.580
They won their first seat that they were very excited about.
00:02:56.000
Barbara Comstock, a Republican incumbent in Virginia 10,
00:02:59.500
is no longer the congresswoman from that district.
00:03:02.360
A Democrat won, but shouldn't be really surprised,
00:03:04.660
considering that Hillary Clinton won that district in 2016, 52 to 42.
00:03:12.340
And Colton and Cassie are going to be doing some really great things.
00:03:15.660
So I have a number of strange and bizarre ballot propositions
00:03:18.400
that I'm going to be throwing to the guys as well as some audience questions.
00:03:22.500
just type them in the chat box on the live stream at dailywire.com.
00:03:25.820
Remember, only subscribers get to ask questions.
00:03:28.140
So if you're not one, become one tonight and get your questions in.
00:03:31.000
And I'll be on Twitter telling you exactly what's going on.
00:03:41.300
So if you want to tweet at us, just tweet at Real Daily Wire,
00:03:47.760
Just check in with us whenever you want election updates,
00:03:50.400
or, you know, to see if Melissa Milano is melting down on Twitter.
00:03:57.520
who our very own Colton Avocado Haas wrote in for Dianne Feinstein's seat.
00:04:18.980
Our air conditioner here at Data Wire Central is broken.
00:04:23.580
And there's nothing I like better than breathing in the smoke
00:04:34.780
Because it turns out that smoking cigars is bad for your health.
00:04:40.820
Stay tuned, everybody, for some cigar smoking, whiskey drinking,
00:04:43.780
and a plethora of insight as we make election night streaming great again.
00:04:47.940
I think it's because it's connected to the earlier three amigos joke.
00:04:54.500
I don't know who writes this crap, to be honest with you.
00:05:05.880
Well, I really want to get my opinion out early before Republicans start losing,
00:05:11.080
so I can at least have a little enjoyment tonight.
00:05:14.020
So, look, the stakes, historically, the Republicans should lose the House by a lot.
00:05:19.080
Barack Obama lost 63 seats in 2010 at his first midterm election.
00:05:23.560
Bill Clinton lost 54 seats at his midterm election, 94, another really tough one.
00:05:30.680
That said, the polls have been all over the place.
00:05:32.940
They've been changing a lot, and we are not in normal times.
00:05:38.100
I've talked to GOP operatives on the ground who have told me with a straight face
00:05:45.480
Nate Silver says it's one in a thousand chance.
00:05:52.640
I mean, to be fair, did he say it's one in a thousand?
00:05:54.120
Because what 538 said is that he said it's about a one in seven chance
00:05:58.360
And he said it's about a one in seven chance that Republicans lose the Senate.
00:06:01.380
Which, you know, he also said that if you're going to look at sort of the 80 percentile block,
00:06:06.760
meaning that, you know, the range of expected possibilities,
00:06:09.480
he said Democratic pickups between 21 and 57 in the House,
00:06:13.840
which would mean anywhere from them not taking the House
00:06:17.860
And he said that on the other side, it's a possibility the Dems pick up two.
00:06:20.820
It's a possibility the GOP picks up four in the Senate.
00:06:23.300
And so things are going to be tight in the Senate.
00:06:25.480
But it's very unlikely that Republicans lose the Senate.
00:06:29.040
You know, again, I think that the data, you know, will be pretty good.
00:06:32.060
I think that they're probably statistically undersampling Republicans
00:06:34.320
only because they did that in 2002, 2006, 2010, and 2014.
00:06:38.400
Also because pollsters tend to think that Republicans are not going to show up at the rates
00:06:45.160
And this includes particularly 2014, when there was only in the RealClearPolitics poll average
00:06:51.600
And they walked out with a seven-point generic ballot advantage by the end of the night.
00:06:55.280
So it is possible that what is a generic ballot advantage for the Democrats
00:06:58.780
of about nine, anywhere from nine to 11 points in the various polls right now,
00:07:04.240
If it were five to seven, that means Republicans could theoretically hold the House.
00:07:09.920
Let's get on the record right now, since I lost money to pretty much everyone in this room in 2016.
00:07:14.260
Let's get on the record right now as to how we actually think things are going to go.
00:07:22.000
We'll start with you, Noel, since you took cash from me
00:07:23.820
and then displayed the check on your freaking desk.
00:07:28.060
Because the odds are so bad, do you want to make it interesting?
00:07:31.880
Do you want to sweeten the button a little bit?
00:07:39.580
And blew your wedding proposal over that check.
00:07:52.760
That Donald Trump will be elected to every seat in the House and every seat in the Senate.
00:07:58.340
Before we get to predictions, we've got to make a little money and talk about honey.
00:08:08.000
Is that before they became a sponsor for us, you know who actually was an evangelist for
00:08:22.060
It takes two clicks and it just saves you money.
00:08:24.780
So it tells you what the prices are, where you can find it cheaper.
00:08:27.560
In the old days, you used to have to Google around and say, where are the coupons and blah.
00:08:34.560
I have saved, I kid you not, thousands of dollars at this point using it.
00:08:37.780
And it works on all the biggest sites too, right?
00:08:40.200
And it just keeps popping up and saying, we're going to take $2 off this.
00:08:47.520
We got the Instant Pot, not the drug, but the actual implement.
00:08:50.560
And we saved ourselves a bunch of money on that using honey over at Amazon.
00:08:56.860
I mean, she is to the Instant Pot what Michael Knowles is to honey.
00:09:03.600
Honey is the money-saving shopping tool everyone can agree on.
00:09:06.280
Get honey for free right now at joinhoney.com slash backstage because this is the backstage show.
00:09:13.100
Again, that's joinhoney.com slash backstage because it is the easiest way to save money while shopping online.
00:09:18.720
When all four of us are this enthusiastic about anything, then that means that it's got to be a pretty good product or a terrible product.
00:09:26.520
In this case, it's an actual really good product.
00:09:28.640
So you're going to want to go check it out right now.
00:09:33.700
Winston Churchill said, for myself, I'm an optimist.
00:09:46.160
And how many seats do they pick up in the Senate, you think?
00:09:50.280
So now, here's the part where I say my critique of predictions, just so folks know out the bat.
00:09:56.500
The best thing you can do, if you're a political pundit, being a professional political pundit,
00:10:00.220
the best thing that you can do is make outlandish predictions like Knowles just made.
00:10:03.820
Because if they turn out to be right, nobody is going to, everybody's going to say, what a genius.
00:10:11.880
And if he's wrong, everybody just goes, oh, well, that was kind of a crazy thing that
00:10:18.660
He can build an entire career based on making a wild prediction.
00:10:22.340
As opposed to, like, this is really, like, Nate Silver got shellacked after 2016 for saying
00:10:26.460
that there was a 75% chance that Hillary was going to be president.
00:10:30.800
Which means that one in four iterations of this means Trump is president.
00:10:40.600
He was operating based on the data, which is why, you know, I think that the original
00:10:43.940
stuff we were saying earlier about sort of the data analysis and where the percentile
00:10:47.680
falls in terms of the range of possibilities is more statistically accurate.
00:10:51.700
Now who's talking themselves out of having to make a freaking prediction?
00:10:57.900
Okay, I'm going to say Democrats pick up 34, Republicans pick up one in the Senate.
00:11:03.940
I think, I have a tough time believing that, well, right now, I think they're going to hold
00:11:14.240
Because I just can't say, I swear to God, if this country elects, if a state elects an honest
00:11:20.360
to God, quote unquote, Taliban supporter from 2003 over an Air Force lieutenant, right?
00:11:27.100
She's a lieutenant colonel, lieutenant, lieutenant, who the first woman to fly an F-16, then that
00:11:33.700
Like, really, that's just a bad, that's a bad choice.
00:11:41.460
As far as the plus one, I'm going to say that it comes in Florida.
00:11:46.220
I think Rick Scott's going to be Bill Nelson there.
00:11:52.020
So as you know, I believe that the future is the thing that's going to happen that we
00:11:59.520
As I believe, as I believe you do not know the things that haven't happened and what would
00:12:06.700
The reason that Drew has this wisdom is because he's very, very old.
00:12:09.000
I remember a time back in the heady days of 2016 when Andrew Klavan made a definitive prediction
00:12:23.520
It's a late at life after shutting your finger in the drawer many, many, many times.
00:12:31.740
You know, my heart would like to go with Knowles on this.
00:12:37.280
The best predictions I've seen and the thing that the map sort of says to me and that history
00:12:42.380
sort of says to me is we lose 30, we lose the House, and we pick up maybe one or two
00:12:49.160
And the thing about this is, though, that this is, what's so interesting about this is
00:12:54.060
this is obviously a referendum on Donald Trump.
00:12:56.200
And the way we know it's a referendum on Donald Trump, on his personality, it's a referendum
00:12:59.880
on his personality, the way we know it's a referendum is because he's done such a great
00:13:05.460
So the only thing, the only reason to dislike him is because of his personality, which we
00:13:11.260
all knew from the beginning was this wild, enormous, weird, flawed personality.
00:13:15.240
It will be fascinating because 2016, there were two ways to read it.
00:13:20.760
And some Republicans, it was a referendum on Trump.
00:13:24.360
And then, that was not a description of President Trump's relationship with any woman with whom he
00:13:39.220
The other sort of narrative that was brought out was, this is a referendum on Hillary Clinton,
00:13:45.660
Well, the results of tonight's election, the assumption is that it's going to be a referendum
00:13:50.420
And the one thing I think Trump did do pretty successfully, and a lot of the Republican
00:13:53.600
media helped him out here, was try to make this a referendum on the radicalism and insanity
00:13:58.160
And so if the Democrats don't pull this out, is that a referendum on people love Trump's
00:14:03.340
politics or people really, really cannot stand the politics of the Democratic Party right
00:14:07.540
Well, that is the position we are in right now.
00:14:09.080
We're in a position where one party has its flaws and Trump has its flaws, and the other
00:14:14.500
I mean, and the high point of these two years, and the point to me of the ecstasy of these
00:14:20.060
two years, was the Kavanaugh hearings, the failure of that absolutely ugly, disgusting
00:14:25.700
technique that they used, that stratagem that they used, and the fact that it failed because
00:14:30.100
the Republicans, taking the tip from Donald Trump, stood up to the press, which, as one,
00:14:36.320
Jeremy, before you get to your update, before you get to your prediction, because we don't
00:14:42.200
So according to Henry Olsen, who is Drew's favorite pollster, basically, Indiana is looking
00:14:49.140
He says, the Election Day vote comes in, Donnelly is slipping everywhere.
00:14:51.640
He's now running behind his 2012 margins in both Marion, which is Indianapolis, and St.
00:14:57.840
He needed to run ahead of his 2012 margins here to hold off Moran's rural surge.
00:15:01.080
That would be a Republican pickup in Indiana, and could be a decent bellwether, the word
00:15:09.060
I also care what my prediction is, but first I want to suggest that...
00:15:12.200
One critique that comes in from time to time, so I'm going to remind us to be mindful of
00:15:17.060
Anytime we talk about anyone who isn't Elizabeth Warren, Ted Cruz, Barack Obama, or Donald Trump,
00:15:23.820
Yeah, that's Joe Donnelly, Democrat of Indiana.
00:15:26.140
And if Republicans pick up the seat there, then they pick up a seat in the Senate, which...
00:15:29.580
And again, that stuff is really, really important, because you need a margin of about three
00:15:33.940
Republican votes in the Senate, so you don't have the ability to have people like Susan Collins
00:15:38.040
and Lisa Murkowski hold up a Republican nomination to the Supreme Court.
00:15:41.920
That is my actual, by the way, prediction, just since we're all saying things that have
00:15:50.280
The Dems are going to pick up 30 seats in the House, but it's going to be a 50-50 split
00:15:55.440
in the Senate, making Mike Pence the deciding vote in whether or not to oust his boss.
00:16:02.020
In other words, I am rooting for mass chaos, complete Handmaid.
00:16:12.560
So Rick Scott, who's the Republican governor of Florida, is running for the Senate against
00:16:16.420
Right now, Scott is up by about 11,000 votes, with 90% of the vote in, which is a shocker.
00:16:24.300
DeSantis is the Republican, and I like Ron DeSantis.
00:16:29.960
It's one of the most disgusting things that I've seen in modern American politics, to
00:16:33.240
watch Andrew Gillum portray Ron DeSantis as a racist without any evidence, and the media
00:16:36.860
cover for Andrew Gillum's absolute corruption in Tallahassee.
00:16:41.760
And Ron DeSantis is up right now by about 34,000 votes, with 90% of the vote in.
00:16:48.320
If the Republicans hold Florida, it's going to be a real good night for the Republicans.
00:16:52.800
That is a bellwether, and the Panhandle is good for us, right?
00:16:55.520
So the next question that I want us all to tackle is, we've made predictions, but I want
00:17:00.420
to talk about what different vote totals actually mean for the president going forward.
00:17:05.820
But before that, I want to kick it over to Election Central, Daily Wire, Election Central,
00:17:10.240
which is literally the inside of a Daily Wire Tumblr.
00:17:27.500
So 538 has its real-time forecast, and its real-time forecast works like the needle, right?
00:17:32.040
Just like the needle from 2016, which was everybody's favorite thing, where it went from 99% Hillary
00:17:51.160
I figured if I was going to have a bad night, that I might as well have a good night.
00:18:06.860
To Michael's credit, Michael then had me give it to charity.
00:18:13.020
He went to the Michael Moles charity, which I have been paying into monthly for legitimately
00:18:23.940
So, like, legitimately six minutes ago, the real-time forecast from 538 said that the
00:18:29.540
chance the Democrats were going to win the House was a two-in-three chance.
00:18:33.060
As of, like, a minute ago, it is now a one-in-two chance.
00:18:46.820
I do want to say, if we hold Florida, I want television set up all around us, tuned
00:18:52.820
into MSNBC, so that for the rest of the night, I can fill my leftist-tears hot or cold
00:19:06.220
I swear, it looked like Wolf Blitzer was snorting lines in the bathroom, because he
00:19:10.460
He was looking at the election map like it was a Playboy centerfold.
00:19:18.000
If they hold the House, if they do hold the House, you know, I mean, really, really.
00:19:27.220
Well, it will be the most consequential political moment of my lifetime, if we hold the House
00:19:35.100
Because there is no possible way that we should, right?
00:19:38.600
Then you have to consider that there are two data points in favor of the idea that Trump
00:19:43.440
has a unique connection to the American people.
00:19:45.300
Which is something that I, you know, have been loathed to say, because I really don't believe
00:19:50.140
But if he is able to do this, then he is working a particular magic that no president has worked
00:19:55.820
in my lifetime, and 2002 doesn't count, because that was right after...
00:20:01.040
I'm really happy to hear you say that, because I think...
00:20:03.440
Dude, I am pretty good at admitting when I'm wrong.
00:20:05.760
That's actually something that I take pride in.
00:20:07.060
I think those rallies are saying something to us.
00:20:11.500
Are they just saying that there is this pocket of people who love this guy, or are they saying
00:20:17.860
And if he struck a chord, I think we, as conservatives, I think we need to think about what the hell
00:20:21.920
And I do think that we're going to have to figure out what that is, because I think the temptation
00:20:25.640
is to intellectualize the policy aspects of this, and this is why you're getting all
00:20:29.380
We were having this debate earlier about, you know, economic populism and all this stuff.
00:20:32.800
The truth is Trump hasn't implemented any of this.
00:20:34.900
I think that this is the one area where I have been completely consistent with regard to
00:20:39.960
And I said this going all the way back to 2015, when I said I thought he might be the
00:20:44.460
And then I changed my mind as he became more toxic over time.
00:20:47.380
But in 2015, I gave a speech at Mizzou University, in which I said he may be the only person in
00:20:51.800
the Republican field who can win because he is fighting back against identity politics in
00:20:57.080
a way that no one else in the Republican field is.
00:21:01.240
He's doing so in ways that I don't always like.
00:21:03.200
Like, I think that he crosses the line for me too much, but it is possible that the
00:21:08.640
Democrats have crossed the line so far that anybody who is willing to shatter this glass
00:21:12.800
with this hammer right here is working a certain magic.
00:21:15.520
Don Lemon, who is one of the people I just, who is a bellwether, talking about bellwethers,
00:21:24.920
But, you know, he made that horrible comment about how white men are the big problem in this
00:21:28.560
And I thought, wow, that really is a racist thing to say.
00:21:30.420
Now he's doubling down on it, and he has a chart of who has done extremist violence.
00:21:35.040
And I thought, wow, what if I put on a chart that showed that 7% of the population, black
00:21:39.420
males, had committed 50% of the homicides and attributed it to their blackness.
00:21:44.300
It's one thing to get the stats out there, and the stats are true, but to attribute it
00:21:53.680
This incredible racism has taken over the left.
00:22:00.440
You know, I mean, you and I, we know every conservative, the four of us know every conservative
00:22:06.560
I don't sit in private meetings with these guys and suddenly hear them spout racism.
00:22:12.340
I mean, I know probably 100 members of Congress, and I know probably one third of the members
00:22:17.740
And I just dropped a bunch of names right there, so I'm going to have to pick all those
00:22:20.080
But the Democrats really believe, like, there's a huge swath of the media that believes
00:22:24.480
that behind closed doors, whenever there's a meeting, people are just dropping the N-word.
00:22:27.340
I have never heard one of these people even come remotely close to doing anything like
00:22:31.660
And this is the difference between the racism on the right and the racism on the left.
00:22:40.040
Dear God, I hope he wins so that I still know one senator who wins every single senator.
00:22:48.040
I, too, know many people in elected government who, of course, don't know any racists.
00:22:52.500
But that's not to say that there is not racism on the right.
00:22:55.660
There's racism on the extreme fringes of the right.
00:22:59.340
The racism on the left is not at the extreme fringes.
00:23:11.140
And this is the part where I think that people have reacted supremely awfully on the left
00:23:19.220
So a person I'm friends with, Barry Weiss, who's a columnist over at the New York Times.
00:23:23.500
Not one of the good ones at the New York Times.
00:23:24.700
Right, but she went on Bill Maher and she said that she was voting straight line Democrat
00:23:28.820
as a sort of renunciation of President Trump's language with regard to the alt-right in 2015-2016.
00:23:37.380
Now, as the number one target of that alt-right in 2015-2016, someone who has been highly critical
00:23:42.380
at literally every step of not only the alt-right, but what I thought was Trump winking and nodding
00:23:50.020
With all of that said, the notion that you are going to respond to what happened in Pittsburgh
00:24:02.940
And the party of let's bring in as many immigrants from countries that we know nothing about
00:24:07.360
as humanly possible without betting any of them.
00:24:11.300
Americans have been told, and this is what I think is really happening, and it's good
00:24:15.700
to feel justified if that's what happens tonight electorally.
00:24:18.240
Americans have been told that their agenda is racist by the left.
00:24:24.060
And when the media says, and when Trump crosses the line, when he says stuff that's racially
00:24:29.460
tinged or close to racist, and the media says, well, not only is Trump saying something racist,
00:24:36.240
The implication is that we are all the dogs, and we need him to dog whistle to us and somehow
00:24:40.920
hit the button of racism, and then we're ready to go.
00:24:43.400
Our racist cap pops up, and we are ready to go to battle against all of the minority folks,
00:24:58.560
And the thing about an ad read is we're talking about people who make it possible for us to
00:25:02.560
have a broken air conditioner and audio problems.
00:25:07.280
They pay all the money that we have in the company, and I just sometimes feel bad for
00:25:10.700
them when it's like, yes, that's bullshit, and racism's bad, and I hate the left.
00:25:17.440
Speaking of the ultimate doom of the Democratic Party, and also your ultimate doom, let's talk
00:25:30.120
You think that your night was dead enough being with us, but you can resurrect your night
00:25:34.020
and your possibilities of future financial independence by getting life insurance right
00:25:38.280
Because the fact is, if you don't have life insurance, you're being an irresponsible human.
00:25:41.460
And when you plot and your family looks around, they said, how are we going to pay for this
00:25:44.500
The only way that's going to happen is if you actually went and bought life insurance.
00:25:51.140
Actually having life insurance is an important thing.
00:25:53.620
And the people of Policy Genius are the folks who make that happen.
00:25:56.140
In just two minutes, you can compare quotes from the top insurers and find the best policy
00:26:03.180
They also do disability insurance and auto insurance and home insurance.
00:26:07.460
There's no reason for you to put this off any longer.
00:26:09.740
If you're listening to this broadcast later, the election's already over.
00:26:14.840
Go pick up your insurance and then come back here safe in the knowledge that if you crash
00:26:18.560
your car five minutes from now, everything's going to be okay for your family.
00:26:22.920
It's the easy way to compare and buy life insurance.
00:26:26.060
Again, be a responsible human, not like a candidate from Texas who drives drunk and hits somebody on
00:26:33.180
Go to some guy from Texas and then drives drunk and comes back.
00:26:35.800
And policygenius, the easy way to compare and buy life insurance.
00:26:39.340
Policygenius, I can't segue into ads, but I can't talk about what's good about these
00:26:44.800
This is another, I kid you not, we're on a roll tonight.
00:26:47.280
This is another company in which I got a recommendation from Ben to look for life insurance on Policygenius
00:26:56.880
And because I, you know, I like to wear untucket shirts and everything I own comes from the
00:27:09.700
But we're going to get back to this thrilling conversation.
00:27:12.620
First, I want to, finally, I think we have solved the technical issues that were forbidding
00:27:19.080
I think we have her now in Daily Wire election headquarters.
00:27:21.640
Elisha, what's going on out there in the crazy world?
00:27:22.900
Honestly, I should have kept it that way because I would have still been able to talk to y'all.
00:27:25.240
I just wouldn't have been able to hear you, which would have been a relief.
00:27:27.360
But now we have updates and my birth state of Florida.
00:27:32.060
I mean, as Kristen Soltis-Anderson rightfully said on Twitter, their main, you know, exports
00:27:37.320
are the wonderful Tim Tebow, alligators, crazy news stories, and toss-up elections.
00:27:45.540
It looks as if Rick Scott there, a former governor himself, is real close.
00:27:50.880
And then, of course, we have the Senate race as well.
00:27:52.860
It looks like Bill Nelson is neck and neck with the GOP candidate.
00:28:05.560
Moving over to the gubernatorial race, of course, just four days ago, we saw former President
00:28:09.440
Barack Obama give that fiery speech where he attacked Donald Trump, and he talked about
00:28:15.020
And he got my, as Ben and I refer to, his Obama preacher voice on.
00:28:21.780
And it looks as if Gillum and Ron DeSantis, Trump supporter, you remember him because
00:28:27.580
he did that whole commercial where he told his toddler son to build the wall with the
00:28:36.960
Hopefully, it won't be another 2,000 with the hanging chads.
00:28:39.940
I was concerned that the governor races in Georgia were going to keep us, you know, twiddling
00:28:45.800
But it looks as if Florida is once again delivering this election cycle.
00:28:51.620
It looks as if President Trump really did a wonder for the Republican candidate for Senate
00:29:02.000
Especially because Donnelly, you know, he ain't a Nancy Pelosi, Dianne Feinstein Democrat.
00:29:06.220
He was really, he's voted with President Trump on some things.
00:29:13.040
Do we know what percentage of the vote is in right now in Indiana?
00:29:15.140
The percentage of the vote that is in right now, I think, was around 50%.
00:29:20.960
We still have some of those metropolitan areas that we had talked about earlier, you
00:29:26.360
Because the metro areas, of course, tend to be more liberal, which got CNN really excited
00:29:30.580
because, I guess, the city of Austin, which is the blueberry in the cherry pie of Texas,
00:29:35.420
was, of course, came in for Beta Bay or whatever the hell we call him.
00:29:42.340
I can't do an Irish brogue, so I can't actually-
00:29:48.500
An even worse actor than you are a political comic.
00:29:54.680
So, Lawrence Olivier, you lose a little bit of money.
00:29:57.100
What if we produced an entire series just to test the proposition?
00:30:02.440
Because this is our election special, but it's also an episode of our backstage show,
00:30:07.000
which we do once a month, and for that reason, I want to take some questions from our audience
00:30:12.140
If you're a subscriber to The Daily Wire, if you give us your $10 a month over at dailywire.com
00:30:16.120
slash subscribe, you can ask us questions throughout the night, and that's a big part of how we
00:30:21.160
do the job that we do here, is because we have these wonderful subscribers who are mailing
00:30:25.500
us their alms each and every month, and they keep us all in employ.
00:30:32.160
Can I tell you, last night I was at UCLA, and a guy got up, and he had gotten into my
00:30:36.800
mailbag, and I apparently told him to man up, and he said it changed his life for the
00:30:48.340
But no, he said that was what he needed to hear.
00:30:53.460
So, some people say in life that the measure of a good life is if you could reach just one
00:31:08.520
Let's go back to Election HQ and hear some questions from our viewers.
00:31:11.520
Yeah, we do have some of those from Cassie and Colton over here.
00:31:16.160
We got some great viewers on Facebook and YouTube, but only subscribers can ask the questions.
00:31:28.960
Why should I care about other states' governorships?
00:31:35.560
They produce the executives who might go on to win the presidency.
00:31:41.340
Governors are much more well-trained for the presidency than senators are.
00:31:46.620
We are still a federation of states, and they're the ones who connect with the president through
00:31:50.980
the states and direct money and direct politics.
00:31:54.780
They're really important for campaigns as well.
00:31:57.060
And the other reason that governorships matter a lot is because you don't find out how much
00:32:00.680
governorships of other states matter until those states go completely bankrupt and turn
00:32:05.660
Because what's going to happen eventually in places like California is you have these
00:32:08.280
large, outstanding trillion-dollar debts and deficits, and eventually they're going
00:32:12.920
to have to look to the federal government for help.
00:32:14.860
And when that happens, things are going to get quite ugly.
00:32:17.340
And this is basically why the EU broke down, is you had some countries in the EU spending
00:32:22.200
well past their means, and other countries having to sack up and pay for those countries.
00:32:26.600
You could have something similar in the United States based on debt in places like Illinois,
00:32:32.240
Also, obviously, those governors very often end up running for president, so their politics
00:32:37.140
And you can change the population's view in populous states of politics more generally
00:32:44.340
If you have a good Democratic governor in a state, I know, oxymoron.
00:32:48.080
But if you did, then that could help change the state's entire political complexion.
00:32:51.340
And the same thing is true of a Republican governor in a purple state.
00:32:58.220
And the great bulwark against tyranny was always intended by the founders to be the state
00:33:03.360
And while we've eroded the power of the states, I think one of the great hopes for the country
00:33:08.060
is that we can see the states be empowered once again.
00:33:11.200
There's a very personal reason, too, which is that when you live in California, you know,
00:33:17.340
You might think, you're in Texas, you think, oh, I don't care that they've got Democrat Governor
00:33:20.520
Moonbeam, except when he governs that state into the ground, then all the refugees from
00:33:25.380
California invade your state and ruin your politics and maybe elect Beto to the United
00:33:34.800
And it says, if Ted Cruz loses, what do you think it means for Texas?
00:33:38.380
And why do you think Beto has received so much fanfare?
00:33:45.220
And I think he's, first of all, he's outspent Cruz by at least $10 million.
00:33:49.780
He's got a political machine that is maybe eight times, yeah, more than that, maybe like
00:34:01.780
He's run the campaign that Ted Cruz ran when he won the first time.
00:34:10.760
He's also been given tremendous credit by the media.
00:34:13.580
Well, that's going to happen to any Obama, any Obama.
00:34:15.600
But what's rare about that is that usually the media has been withholding that sort of
00:34:21.240
And this is why the whole Beto thing is actually a little bit more than humorous.
00:34:24.700
Like if he had been called Robert O'Rourke in this race, I do not think there is any chance
00:34:30.700
I want to say something a little controversial here.
00:34:32.580
And it's that there are a bunch of reasons why Texas has drifted purple, more purple than
00:34:41.360
Some of it is unchecked immigration that's been going on in the country for some time.
00:34:45.580
But a major part of the reason, in my opinion, that Ted Cruz has had the fight that he's
00:34:49.760
had is because part of the collateral damage of the way that Donald Trump conducts himself
00:34:54.940
is that he hurt Ted Cruz with his base, which he co-opted from Ted Cruz.
00:35:00.640
It is the conservative base who turned out for Donald Trump ultimately.
00:35:05.560
And because President Trump is not gracious with the foes that he vanquishes, many people
00:35:12.560
– I made a defense of Senator Cruz on my Twitter feed this week, and I got hit from
00:35:20.420
There were those who said that they couldn't support Ted Cruz because, for example, he didn't
00:35:24.180
stand up for his wife when Donald Trump attacked her.
00:35:26.700
There were other people who said that they couldn't support Ted Cruz because he's lying
00:35:31.340
Ted and he's just going to run against Donald Trump in two years.
00:35:34.260
And the whole thing – in other words, when you engage in the kind of burn the ships style
00:35:43.300
of political warfare that Donald Trump engages in, you do sometimes take down your own allies.
00:35:48.920
And Ted Cruz has been an enormous ally of this president in practice over the last few
00:35:56.080
I also – I'm not going to put that all on Trump.
00:35:58.120
I think that Ted has hurt himself with his base because Ted's original pitch was that
00:36:03.720
he was the most authentic conservative out there.
00:36:07.680
And the key word there is authentic, not conservative.
00:36:10.700
And in 2016, because of all the machinations and because of all the back and forth, it made him
00:36:15.860
look more politician-y than he had been before.
00:36:18.720
And so Beto's whole pitch was basically, I'm an authentic candidate.
00:36:21.780
Look at me being authentic as I ride my skateboard and do kickflips.
00:36:25.740
But to Jeremy's point, I mean, this is one of the things that we are going to have to
00:36:29.620
deal with, especially if the Republicans win tonight.
00:36:33.220
And we have to credit Donald Trump with touching something in the American public.
00:36:36.760
We have to also say that this is a tremendously flawed man.
00:36:44.420
The most Trumpy among us, we think this is a very flawed man.
00:36:47.640
And we have to ask ourselves, does that speak to a flaw in the American character?
00:36:51.100
Or are the American people saying, no, we're overlooking his flaws to get to something that
00:36:57.560
What I'll say is, it was not necessary for Donald Trump to destroy Ted Cruz in the end
00:37:07.580
And had he not, Ted Cruz would be, in my estimation, walking away with us.
00:37:13.380
He got very ugly at the end there, at the end of that primary campaign.
00:37:23.840
I don't remember Ted Cruz saying that Donald Trump's father killed...
00:37:26.720
But he didn't endorse him at the convention, and that's what...
00:37:29.520
It was a political mistake, but it was not a moral duty.
00:37:34.440
But with all of that said, you know, because these election results so far are just astonishing.
00:37:41.400
Like, if Ron DeSantis ends up as governor of Florida after as much press as the media gave
00:37:45.660
Andrew Gillum and him going out there and maligning Ron DeSantis, a good man, as a racist,
00:37:53.380
if the Republicans end up pulling this out, then you have to say at a certain point that
00:37:58.440
Donald Trump's brand of rage politics, which it is, that is...
00:38:03.460
I do think that that has struck a chord in the American people because he's at least authentically
00:38:07.440
So what I said on my show this morning is that I think authenticity is the currency of the
00:38:15.660
There is no one more authentic in American politics than Donald Trump because everything
00:38:19.060
that he believes comes out of his mouth right now.
00:38:23.700
I was actually analyzing this on my show this morning, looking at the final pitch that was
00:38:27.460
being made by Republicans versus the final pitch being made by Democrats.
00:38:29.980
The final pitch being made by Republicans was Trump going out there and saying, here I
00:38:37.500
And his pitch was, I'm here, I'm Schmier, I'm Donald...
00:38:40.900
I am who I am, and that's all that I am, right?
00:38:54.980
The Democrats ran essentially a bifurcated campaign.
00:38:58.220
On the one hand, they were saying to their base, we're going to be as radical as you
00:39:02.020
You're not even going to believe how radical we're going to be.
00:39:09.780
But they were saying this kind of stuff out loud, right?
00:39:11.580
They were saying, they were saying, confront people in public places.
00:39:16.580
And all the Republicans were like, okay, that's what they're actually running on.
00:39:18.900
They're running on, okay, he's running on I am what I am.
00:39:22.240
I'd rather he is what he is than they are what they are.
00:39:24.500
But what they were also doing is they were lying.
00:39:26.720
And this is where I think they were hurting themselves a little bit, if this turns out
00:39:31.980
The Democrats were lying to the American people because at the same time that they were doing
00:39:37.060
the I am what I am routine, they were also saying to the American people, we're the good
00:39:49.300
Just like every racist who hates us, we are as pure as the...
00:39:53.380
Paul Krugman wrote this column, I kid you not, five times in the last four weeks.
00:39:58.040
I read all of his columns on the air because it legitimately was like a Mad Libs machine.
00:40:01.800
He just kind of threw in a few terms like racist, sexist, bigot, homophobe, and Trump.
00:40:07.460
And then he just slid it into the submission pile.
00:40:11.020
What that means is that Democrats have actually, the lying of the Democrats about who they are
00:40:17.460
is even more damaging than who they actually are in certain ways.
00:40:22.780
You make people feel gaslit and people lose their shit.
00:40:25.760
And that's what I think has been going on here.
00:40:28.160
I want to talk for a minute though about this idea that Trump is a racist.
00:40:31.960
Because I actually believe that Trump is not a racist.
00:40:34.160
You know, the only thing that to me that he ever said that was genuinely egregious on
00:40:38.300
this topic was when he didn't disavow immediately the Ku Klux Klan.
00:40:42.440
But when you really get to know Trump, as we've all gotten to know him, he's a completely
00:40:46.640
practical man to the extent that more practical than I would like to see him be because I believe
00:40:53.100
He just thinks, no, I don't want to lose that vote.
00:41:04.100
Racially insensitive is just a subset of insensitive.
00:41:12.960
Israel built or named a train station after him in Jerusalem.
00:41:24.040
Trump is the idea that it's so funny when people talk about Trump, it's the same thing
00:41:29.140
that I get when I go into the bookstores and you see in the self-help section, all these
00:41:34.580
And if you're a man, you're like, this is so easy.
00:41:37.700
Like my wife says, sex, food and be nice to me.
00:41:45.940
And Donald Trump is not complex, but everybody is trying to complexify what is not complex.
00:41:51.840
And it all comes down to his personality, which is, it's not just that he's transactional.
00:41:56.980
It's that he likes praise and he dislikes criticism.
00:42:00.060
And so if someone praises him, he is loath to criticize them.
00:42:02.600
And if someone criticizes them, he is loath to ever praise them.
00:42:11.080
And he's pretty obvious about it and he hasn't been hiding it.
00:42:13.140
And this is why whenever people were trying to like, oh, Steve Bannon is running the ship
00:42:16.220
and he's got a serious intellectual policy that's undergirding all of this.
00:42:20.600
Or what's the secret motivation that drives Donald Trump?
00:42:25.400
He is a 1960s Rat Pack guy without the drinking.
00:42:29.380
He likes to build gilded towers with his name on them.
00:42:41.000
But to your point about gaslighting, meanwhile, there is a party out there that is committing
00:42:48.640
Let's not, let's even just go back to the last.
00:42:50.700
Let's go back to the last time there was an election before Donald Trump when Barack
00:42:54.460
Obama encouraged a mob to burn Ferguson to the ground, tacitly encouraged, but encouraged.
00:43:00.640
So you've got, you've got, you've got Congress people calling for violence against Republicans.
00:43:06.020
Meanwhile, the media is saying there's the, the right is guilty of mob violence.
00:43:09.140
Then you've got a party that's saying, um, white men are the enemy and we, we need to
00:43:14.940
brownify America, which is a egregious racial statement.
00:43:19.040
And then saying, and also Republicans are racist.
00:43:22.000
And people, this is to the gaslighting point that when, when violent people call you violent,
00:43:26.780
when racists call you racist, when anti-Semites call you anti-Semitic, when people who want
00:43:31.300
all of your money call you greedy, you, you do start to lose your mind.
00:43:35.420
And that's created this opening for Trump to say, you know, that's bullcrap.
00:43:40.000
Mike DeWine right now is running extraordinarily competitive with Richard Cordray in Ohio.
00:43:44.120
Cordray is the Democrat who is the head of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, the
00:43:48.100
most overreaching federal agencies ever created by the federal government Democrat.
00:43:51.100
He was expected to win pretty much walking away against DeWine, uh, who was, is the Ohio
00:43:57.680
They are running neck and neck with DeWine just ahead.
00:43:59.560
Not a lot of the vote in so far, but the early indicators tonight are, are, there is no blue
00:44:05.220
I mean, if, if they, like, I'm not sure if it's too early to say this, but there's no
00:44:09.000
indicator that there's certainly not a tsunami.
00:44:14.220
Henry Olson is now saying, Henry Olson is saying, I'd rather be Scott than Nelson in Florida.
00:44:20.040
I mean, this is, by the way, they declared it for Braun, right?
00:44:25.880
Democrats can win the house and it's still not be a blue wave.
00:44:28.600
That's one thing that we've all talked about internally, but that we've not said aloud.
00:44:33.680
I mean, we're talking about 20, what are the, 24 seats need to flip.
00:44:41.300
It's a, it's an historic anomaly in Trump's favor.
00:44:47.140
But job sites that overwhelm you with tons of the wrong resumes.
00:44:50.840
We're talking about ZipRecruiter here, who I know that all three of you have a good relationship
00:44:55.300
Yeah, because if we had had ZipRecruiter, would Knowles be sitting here today?
00:45:00.360
If we had had Google, Michael Knowles would be sitting here.
00:45:02.520
Is ZipRecruiter the one where they drag you out of the gutter and then wash you off in
00:45:08.460
Every day I say to myself, we here at Daily Wire have a special deal with ZipRecruiter where
00:45:12.220
you can actually check it out and you can try it for free.
00:45:17.680
Legitimately, every time I read this ad, I'm like, this stupid guy in this ridiculous jacket.
00:45:28.380
ZipRecruiter doesn't wait for candidates to find you.
00:45:31.560
They have powerful matching technology that scans thousands of resumes, identifies people
00:45:34.960
with the right skills, education, and experience for your job.
00:45:40.500
No more sorting through the wrong resumes, no more waiting for the right candidates to
00:45:44.200
It's no wonder that ZipRecruiter is rated number one by employers in the United States.
00:45:48.000
And right now, my listeners can try ZipRecruiter for free at ZipRecruiter.com slash backstage.
00:45:53.220
That is ZipRecruiter.com slash backstage, B-A-C-K-S-T-A-G-E if you have a problem spelling.
00:46:01.020
Indeed, ZipRecruiter is the smartest way to hire.
00:46:03.880
You know, I have to tell you, almost everywhere I go, seriously, one of the questions I get,
00:46:07.700
you know, we always get, you know, you kind of get the same question.
00:46:09.780
One of them is, why is everybody so mean to Michael Knowles?
00:46:19.440
So as a number one best-selling author, I, you know, some people...
00:46:24.020
I think now we're getting to the core of the issue here.
00:46:26.460
No, you know, sometimes people try, you know, I understand.
00:46:31.640
You see one of the great John Cage political philosophers of your age, and you think, that
00:46:39.600
That is a doubly offensive joke, because first of all, who knows who John Cage is?
00:46:52.620
We're going to kick it over to Alicia Krauss at Daily Wire Election HQ.
00:46:55.560
I really wanted to call it Alicia's Election Headquarters, because it has a nice ring to
00:46:59.820
it, but I think me and my mom are the only two people on the planet doing that tonight.
00:47:18.060
We only got 10% reporting in Georgia, but it looks as if right now, Brian Kemp is up against
00:47:24.000
Stacey Abrams, and of course, you know, Stacey Abrams, who you get a vote, you get a vote,
00:47:28.920
Oprah went to talk to everybody the other day, but Kemp has brought in some heavy hitters
00:47:32.940
himself, including Vice President Mike Pence, so we're going to be watching that race throughout
00:47:36.820
Like I said earlier, it's really one that I was kind of nail-biting over, because I
00:47:40.640
feel like we're going to go to bed tonight, much like we did in 2000, and then again in
00:47:44.220
2004, and waking up wondering who won Georgia, specifically because of all the voter suppression
00:47:49.940
stuff and the lawsuits going back and forth from Kemp's campaign to the Democrats there,
00:47:54.980
and Abrams' campaign saying that there was suppression.
00:47:58.980
But interestingly, there's this poll that some people have referred to as an outlier,
00:48:04.400
There's this Trafalgar group who accurately called the 2016 presidential election, when
00:48:08.760
as we all know, a lot of the other pollsters got it totally wrong.
00:48:13.280
Anyway, they are saying that their latest polling just three days ago showed Brian Kemp
00:48:22.180
So we will see at the end of the night if that ends up being accurate.
00:48:25.720
We also have about seven other states in the center of the country, God's country, flyover
00:48:30.760
country, according to liberals in LA and New York, but I like to call it God's country.
00:48:34.680
They are closing right now, so we'll be keeping an eye on those, but let's go to Texas real
00:48:52.060
Senate race in Texas at 52% O'Rourke over 47 for Cruz.
00:48:56.700
Do we know what percentage of the vote is in over there?
00:49:07.620
At least I'm not showing you guys exit polling, okay?
00:49:10.060
We've got all the results from the Starbucks in the middle of Austin in, and it looks like
00:49:14.140
Are we allowed to talk about how great Alicia is looking?
00:49:19.580
Do you remember when we first hit 50 employees and we had mandatory sexual harassment?
00:49:28.560
Also, the man who should have showed up, just for reference, Michael Knowles, who...
00:49:47.740
I mean, to be honest with you, Alicia, anyone under the age of 40 looks like a baby to play with.
00:49:55.680
So, Alicia, we're going to check back in with you here in just a couple of minutes.
00:49:58.900
Ben, get us up to speed a little bit on what's going on.
00:50:03.920
So, according to 538, the real-time forecast says that right now, the Democrats have a less
00:50:09.580
than 5% chance of winning the Senate, which means they are not going to win the Senate.
00:50:14.580
They are saying right now that Democrats still have a 62% chance of winning the House.
00:50:23.720
I remember something a couple of years ago where the odds suddenly sort of changed.
00:50:29.200
There have been a couple of key districts where it looks like Republicans are going to hold,
00:50:32.480
including Dave Brat's district in Virginia, where it looked like he was really on the ropes.
00:50:35.800
The theory going into the election is that the female suburban vote and the Republican
00:50:39.300
kind of upper-income suburban vote is going to turn drastically against Trump,
00:50:46.460
We are seeing increased Democratic turnout all over the place,
00:50:49.120
but we are also seeing solid Republican turnout all over the place,
00:50:53.580
Again, I think that that, no, I will say, I think that the lack of defections by people
00:50:57.920
who are constitutionally not friendly to kind of President Trump's persona,
00:51:02.140
that has less to do with them embracing the Trump persona
00:51:05.780
and more to do with them looking at the other side of the aisle and going, ah!
00:51:13.880
The attack on Trump was that his strategy in going heavy on immigration was a mistake.
00:51:18.260
It was playing to his base when he needed to play to the independents.
00:51:20.980
His strategy, I believe, Trump's strategy, was that the same suburban women
00:51:26.820
who were concerned about health care were also concerned about things like sanctuary cities.
00:51:34.840
And that's what he was betting, and I think he was playing a very clever game.
00:51:37.920
So I think there is something else, too, and that is that Trump,
00:51:43.560
What I mean by that is what I think he actually plays to is his opposition.
00:51:47.020
He actually plays to their worst fears knowing that,
00:51:52.020
and I'm giving him some credit for strategery here, right?
00:51:54.460
Like, I think that he, and I've talked to, you know,
00:51:58.020
there are a lot of folks at the White House who certainly believe this,
00:52:00.080
that no matter what he does, the Democrats will find a way
00:52:05.060
And when it comes to the immigration thing, look,
00:52:06.540
I've said from the outset pretty much that I think that all the alarmism
00:52:12.120
I don't think 10,000 people are arriving at the borders,
00:52:14.020
rifles in hand, ready to invade the United States.
00:52:16.180
I think by the time it gets here, it's going to be where it was last year.
00:52:18.100
It's going to be 500 people who show up at a border station,
00:52:20.520
apply for asylum, four-fifths of them are rejected,
00:52:24.000
But what Trump did by basically using alarmism and demagoguery here
00:52:28.560
is he got the Democrats to reveal what they actually believe about this,
00:52:32.780
which is not illegal immigration is an important issue,
00:52:43.140
Everyone should be able to come in who should want to come in and abolish ICE.
00:52:46.520
And a bunch of people in the middle of the country went,
00:52:47.840
OK, so if I have a choice, if I now have a binary choice between
00:52:50.500
illegal immigration is a crisis, send the military,
00:52:55.600
open up the border wide to accept anyone who wants to come in,
00:52:58.880
regardless of who they are, that's not a choice.
00:53:01.660
And the fact that Democrats have fallen into this trap of reacting to everything Trump does
00:53:10.120
because the thing is that the soft version of what Trump says,
00:53:14.500
he always says something with a grain of truth.
00:53:17.840
Scott Adams says that what Trump does very often,
00:53:20.180
consciously or unconsciously, is he sells past the sale.
00:53:22.700
There's a point where most people agree with him,
00:53:26.160
And in doing so, he allows the opposition to react to the point that he is now selling,
00:53:32.360
and their reaction is also way past the point of acceptability.
00:53:36.180
Henry Olsen is calling Florida for DeSantis, and he is a-
00:53:41.640
And he's a very sharp observer and not, you know, very cool.
00:53:44.300
So that's not an official call, but that's the Olsen call.
00:53:47.840
He's not the only one who's been saying that, by the way.
00:53:49.380
There's another, sorry, there's another, I think from FiveThirtyEight,
00:53:53.140
who's, no, it's Mark Caputo, who's the election analysis at ABC,
00:53:56.300
saying that he doesn't know where all these myths are coming from
00:53:59.100
about magical votes showing up in Broward County to save Gillum.
00:54:02.540
If Gillum loses, that is one of the biggest surprises of this election cycle.
00:54:07.160
I want to bring in our friend Glenn Beck to jump in on the conversation.
00:54:24.840
I know, this is a, I mean, this is an opportunity in California.
00:54:30.600
With Gillum, I think Gillum is going to lose Florida.
00:54:36.940
You could see the House maybe, maybe being lost by the Republicans
00:54:51.840
If they don't, oh my gosh, this is the worst part of me.
00:54:56.760
But the worst part of me is about 99.8% right now.
00:55:01.200
It's going to make me so happy just to watch the media spin completely out of here.
00:55:09.840
I mean, we're watching CNN right now on the other screen.
00:55:12.000
Glenn, I got to tell you, they are way more entertaining than you are
00:55:14.340
because watching as they finally get that post-cocaine letdown
00:55:21.160
I mean, Wolf Blitzer looks like he may be suicidal.
00:55:28.320
The only thing they can say, and you know they're saying it to each other,
00:55:32.000
they may actually come out and say it on the air.
00:55:39.840
By the way, they're now protecting that Marshall Blackburn wins Tennessee.
00:55:43.120
Marshall Blackburn is going to win Tennessee over Phil Bredesen,
00:55:45.780
which was supposed to be heading to the Republican outer wall.
00:55:48.840
Tennessee, Texas are kind of the, that's the line, right?
00:55:53.780
So that Kavanaugh thing worked out great for the Democrats, guys.
00:55:59.720
I've been saying this for a while, and Stu is such a, you know,
00:56:06.260
I think with the amount of money that was spent and the amount of airtime that has been...
00:56:14.640
...stroy Donald Trump and the right to blame for absolutely everything.
00:56:25.420
If they hold the House, it always goes to the other party in the midterm.
00:56:32.600
Consider, Glenn, the historic consequence of this.
00:56:36.420
It didn't happen, George W. Bush was able to hold the House in 2002,
00:56:44.900
But it happened to Obama, it happened to Clinton, it happened to Ronald Reagan,
00:56:50.700
Consider what that means for the state of the country, for the state of the culture,
00:56:54.460
if the Republicans somehow hold on to the House.
00:56:58.440
And what it means for our relation to the president.
00:57:05.460
I think the Democrats are going to go even farther left.
00:57:08.140
But it's an absolute repudiation of all of this socialist bullcrap.
00:57:12.540
But you see what's happening on the streets now tonight in Portland.
00:57:16.620
You know, the Portland mayor came out and said,
00:57:20.100
We want everybody to celebrate and have a good time.
00:57:24.840
And now, now they're actually claiming, Antifa is now claiming that, you know,
00:57:30.700
these riots are only the ones that are responsible for it.
00:57:34.800
Quote, is the police and the mayor because they are in bed with the alt-right.
00:57:42.780
When you mentioned the mayor of Portland, I assumed you were talking about Antifa.
00:57:47.140
I thought they were the reigning civil authority now in the city of Portland.
00:57:52.040
The Democrats have basically been paving the way since Trump's election for demolishing actual institutions of American government.
00:57:59.180
They've been saying since Trump's election that not only did he steal the election,
00:58:02.820
but they've said we should get rid of the Electoral College.
00:58:04.820
They said we should get rid of the Senate of the United States.
00:58:07.220
Yesterday, Ezra Klein tweeted out that if the House popular vote somehow was larger for Democrats than Republicans,
00:58:13.220
then people would be so angry that they would be out in the streets.
00:58:17.460
There are people right now who have been trying to claim that there's voter suppression going on at wide levels across the country
00:58:23.640
Like they gave an example in Georgia of voting machines that weren't plugged in.
00:58:26.560
They said, ah, this is obviously Donald Trump's minions unplugging voting machines.
00:58:31.300
There are white voters in that line, too, and they're keeping the polls open in Georgia for this.
00:58:36.080
I'm wondering whether we are going to actually see things get really dangerous, like really dangerous in this country,
00:58:41.400
whether it's not just going to be Democrats moving to the left politically,
00:58:45.400
but the sort of mob violence that we've seen from Democrats exacerbating and growing to the point where, for example,
00:58:52.260
there's a serious assassination attempt against the president.
00:58:54.360
I don't think that's out of the realm of possibility.
00:58:56.320
Although I don't think that's impossible, but I also think that the professional political hands are going to be every bit against that.
00:59:03.800
I mean, the guys like Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi are professional politicians.
00:59:06.680
I don't think they're in control of the party anymore.
00:59:10.460
They may not be in control of the party, but they're definitely in control of the actual professional politicians.
00:59:14.260
I don't think Nancy Pelosi can even control Maxine Waters.
00:59:17.560
Glenn, you're in Texas, so you're very close to one of the big concerns that we have out in this office,
00:59:23.820
being kind of isolated by a giant desert from the rest of the country.
00:59:26.820
Is all the talk about Texas becoming a purple state, becoming possibly even a blue state?
00:59:34.020
Well, first of all, I would like to stop worrying about our southern border and put a western border on us.
00:59:38.720
We have 1,000 people a week moving from California into Texas, and California's doing a number on us,
00:59:48.580
plus all of the millions of dollars that have been spent here to turn Texas blue.
00:59:53.800
It is a different state, and I don't think Texans realize the efforts that are being taken by people like George Soros and others to turn us blue.
01:00:08.340
You couldn't find a guy who is less qualified than Beto to run for anything in Texas statewide than Robert Francis or Bob Frank, as we like to call him.
01:00:30.220
And Ted Cruz is, I think in some ways, this was an easy guy to beat right now.
01:00:43.820
He stood against Donald Trump at the convention, and then after, he then pissed off all the other people.
01:00:57.420
And then you run somebody who's actually likable and doesn't seem like a robot against him.
01:01:05.920
But I contend he's still going to pull this out.
01:01:09.300
I really think it's going to be close to 10 points.
01:01:11.880
Well, I hope so, because I have a well-known affinity for robots.
01:01:16.120
Some of my best friends are highly intellectual robots, and I also have a real affinity for Senator Cruz.
01:01:23.360
Glenn, we're going to let you get back to your broadcast.
01:01:25.440
But one thing I did want to say is the worst aspects of your personality that were coming to the fore,
01:01:30.280
I think I speak for all of us when I say that the worst character traits of Glenn Beck are my favorite.
01:01:41.020
It's going to be like a meth lab that just explodes, right?
01:01:46.000
Jake Tapper just said, this is not a blue wave.
01:01:50.340
Jake being honest on CNN, the only honest guy I have to say.
01:01:58.180
And I'm sure that the reason that Glenn came over here and graced us with his presence was just to get Ben to come on.
01:02:09.840
But I will say that it's always great that Glenn makes time to come.
01:02:15.420
Well, and it's great to see him on good nights.
01:02:17.600
How many good nights have we had in a row here?
01:02:21.700
Because every time I get to be pleasantly surprised by things.
01:02:24.660
What I want to know is what FiveThirtyEight is saying is the odds that you're going to end up happy at the end of this year.
01:02:32.220
They're still saying the Democrats have a 56 percent.
01:02:40.880
46 percent chance that Republicans maintain control of the House.
01:02:52.300
Now would be a good time to go over to Robin Hood and start investing in stocks because if Donald Trump holds the House of Representatives, the economy is going to explode tomorrow.
01:03:00.060
Speaking of, Vegas had their money on Republicans holding the House.
01:03:04.180
The betting markets had Republicans holding the House.
01:03:05.820
Vegas also has money on Ben Shapiro being the next president of the United States.
01:03:13.340
Robin Hood, for those who don't know, is an investing app that lets you buy and sell stocks, ETFs, options, and cryptos all commission-free.
01:03:18.880
They strive to make financial services work for everyone, not just for wealthy folks.
01:03:22.460
It's a non-intimidating way for stock market newcomers to invest for the first time with true confidence.
01:03:27.500
We have a bunch of folks at the office, including two of my assistants.
01:03:33.860
And they all use Robin Hood because they don't want to be working for me forever.
01:03:37.560
They actually would like to invest their money, make some money, and grow out of this.
01:03:41.480
And Robin Hood may allow them to do that at some point because they have a commission fee that requires—there are no commission fees.
01:03:47.980
Their cost structure is that they don't charge commission fees.
01:03:53.400
They have easy to understand charts, market data.
01:03:55.400
You place a trade in just four taps on your smartphone.
01:04:02.360
So if you don't know much about the stock market, this is a great way to dip your toe in and get more used to it.
01:04:06.000
Robin Hood right now is giving listeners a free stock like Apple, Ford, or Sprint to help build your portfolio.
01:04:10.500
All you have to do is sign up at dailywire.robinhood.com.
01:04:21.940
And you can get that free stock like Apple, Ford, or Sprint.
01:04:24.440
Go check it out and start getting into the markets because now's a great time, guys.
01:04:30.440
My stock strategy, by the way, is that I buy a certain amount of stock in the indices every month.
01:04:35.020
And when the stock market goes down, I double it.
01:04:36.980
Because I have, unlike Klavan, I have many years to live, I hope.
01:04:43.320
Well, Robin Hood helps you do all of those things if you choose to mimic my stock buying strategy.
01:04:54.540
Ben, can you catch us up on what's going on out there?
01:04:56.440
Well, Taylor Swift did not actually bring the Tennessee Senate race to Phil Bredesen.
01:05:00.980
Believe it or not, Taylor Swift's attempt to weigh in, sorry, Senya, my producer who loves Taylor Swift.
01:05:17.320
But first, let's kick it over to Elisa Krauss and get an election update here.
01:05:24.440
Senya says that you can shove it, and you guys are never, ever, ever getting back together.
01:05:28.220
Well, if she doesn't come in and do the show tomorrow, she is fired.
01:05:33.280
No, we have to keep her forever, mainly because she's one of the only people that will put up with you.
01:05:39.000
Which is, I think, the biggest reason why Ben would never be a good politician, because feelings do not matter.
01:05:43.940
But could be a reason why you'd be a pretty good one.
01:05:50.140
Well, I mean, to be fair, like, a steaming pile of gross crap is better than our Senate ballot.
01:05:57.400
You know, well, is there anything, you know, there are lots of things that are depressing in life.
01:06:02.720
But in politics, is there anything more depressing than walking into a Los Angeles polling place, looking at the ballot, and realizing that it is just a giant bag of human feces?
01:06:12.940
The one thing that would be worse is if you tuned into this show to figure out what's going on tonight, and we keep kicking it to Elisha's election headquarters, and then bailing before she can give us her update.
01:06:26.500
Ben just talked about one of them in Tennessee, but first, let's get to Florida, because we have 96% of the precincts reporting.
01:06:41.420
DeSantis, of course, that really pro-Trump candidate that did a lot of ads and a lot of door knocking, trying to get all of those Donald Trump voters.
01:06:53.100
Of course, former President Obama going down there for him as well.
01:06:56.300
Moving along to the Florida Senate, we do have Rick Scott with 50% and Bill Nelson with 49%.
01:07:02.300
Once again, that's 96% of the precincts reporting.
01:07:08.560
Moving on to the Senate, it looks as if Taylor Swift was not able to make anything happen.
01:07:13.680
And people kind of expected Marsha Blackburn to win there.
01:07:17.440
It looks like Marsha Blackburn has a very, very solid lead.
01:07:21.840
And CNN and other networks are already calling that for her there.
01:07:26.820
And then also, I've got to give a shout-out to Bill Lee, a really great candidate there.
01:07:31.580
And some GOP seats, we're maintaining our gubernatorial seats, which is really good.
01:07:36.700
Part of the reason why there are so many toss-ups in the House this year, too, is there were a lot of people that retired.
01:07:41.200
There were some Republicans that said, can't do it, don't want to do it, and were afraid that they were going to lose their re-elections.
01:07:46.920
And so that cleared up something like 70 Republicans that decided to retire or not run for re-election,
01:07:52.660
which then created those toss-ups in the House that you guys were talking about a little bit ago.
01:07:56.320
OK, so quick update on both DeSantis and Rick Scott, because I know Elisha is getting information from one direction.
01:08:04.280
The live count with 97% ends up, more than what Elisha was talking about.
01:08:12.780
Rick Scott is maintaining a one-point lead over Bill Nelson, 50.3% to 49.6%.
01:08:17.720
Florida, you know, you give us weird people and interesting votes.
01:08:26.940
Elisha, do we have some questions, some Twitter reaction to the show, Twitter reaction to the election?
01:08:32.140
And then let's hear from a few audience members.
01:08:35.360
I think Cassie is like, cannot stop laughing, because of course, like, we make the Taylor Swift puns.
01:08:39.880
That's what all of social media is doing right now, right, Cassie?
01:08:43.400
Right now, conservative Twitter is having so much fun throwing shade at Taylor Swift.
01:08:49.760
It looks like Katie Pavlage tweeted, sorry, Taylor Swift.
01:08:53.780
And Dana Lash also said that Swift endorsement really paid off.
01:08:57.600
Also, Cabot Phillips from Campus Reform posted his election sticker, which says, own the libs.
01:09:05.100
And then our very own Matt Walsh tweeted, man, Kavanaugh backfired on the Democrats spectacularly.
01:09:13.200
Obviously, we still don't know what the results are going to say, but Twitter is a big pile of dog poop right now.
01:09:33.800
There was a blank space baby, and it was not filled with Phil Bredesen's name.
01:09:38.800
I have to say that we cannot talk enough about this Kavanaugh thing.
01:09:44.740
It is such a beautiful thing, A, that the Republicans stood up, that they stood up against the press, which was united against them, and that the people went with them.
01:09:53.280
That, to me, is the blueprint for the future for Republicans.
01:09:56.200
And a credit to women, by the way, because it was amazing.
01:09:58.900
In those polls right afterward, Democrats thought it was going to boost their support among women.
01:10:06.380
It increased Republican female voter enthusiasm.
01:10:08.560
Because it speaks to the reality of women, which is that they like men, and men like women.
01:10:31.120
Got a question from Dylan, and he asks, is it worth it to vote if the outcome of the election in my area is already certain?
01:10:38.760
I mean, okay, so, okay, so, as the cynic in the room, sure, it's worth it to vote, so you can virtue signal and get one of these awesome stickers.
01:10:52.660
Not all heroes, you know, some people serve in Afghanistan.
01:10:56.520
Some people go to their local elementary school, creep out at the children, and then punch a ballot.
01:11:00.920
But, okay, that wasn't, the Democrats, you are that man.
01:11:04.080
The Democrats have been bragging about the fact that they won the popular vote for two years.
01:11:13.440
It matters, but let's say there's a sliding scale of mattering, okay?
01:11:17.720
If you live in a bellwether district in Ohio, it matters a lot more.
01:11:27.220
I'll tell you, the other reason why it matters, obviously, I was one of 20 Republicans in my district when I voted last time.
01:11:33.680
And I went in there, and on the ticket stubs, it'll say 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 3.
01:11:45.540
Yeah, and it was such a joy to see the look of horror on the poll worker's face when I said, Republican, Republican ballot, please.
01:12:01.480
So the New York Times, you know, they were supposed to have their needle tonight.
01:12:07.800
They are now saying, they delayed posting the needle.
01:12:10.560
Finally, they said, okay, we're ready to post the needle.
01:12:12.220
And then they said, we're not confident enough in our estimates to post the needle.
01:12:16.500
Which suggests that things are good for Republicans.
01:12:19.340
I promise you, if things were good for Democrats, that needle would be up like that.
01:12:22.200
By definition, the needle is not about confidence, right?
01:12:28.060
I mean, I will say things are a lot tighter in Texas than they should be right now.
01:12:31.140
Right now, there's 58% in, and they're basically tied.
01:12:36.040
And if you're a Democrat, you do have to think, if I could trade a majority house for Beto O'Rourke
01:12:41.660
beating Ted Cruz in Texas, that might be worth it.
01:12:44.240
Because now they have a 2020 candidate on their hands.
01:12:48.180
Now they have a feeling that they've knocked out the Tea Party senator.
01:12:56.420
Because it seems to me that, as I was watching the map on CNN, it seemed to me that the non-reporting
01:13:03.460
But the fact that it's that close in Texas is obviously-
01:13:06.260
And we do have to wonder how much of that is Cruz and how much of that is just the national
01:13:10.880
But if it's a good night for Republicans and not a good night for Cruz, it suggests that
01:13:15.120
You have to emphasize what a good candidate he was, how much bigger his political organization
01:13:22.600
And that Ted Cruz is wounded coming out of 2016.
01:13:26.520
Right now, 538 has the Democratic pickup line at 24, which means they would win the House by
01:13:34.240
Another thing that's fantastic, brushing your teeth.
01:13:36.580
It's one of the most important things that we do every single day.
01:13:45.300
This is another sponsor that I just love because I'm on the road.
01:13:51.020
This is because we're on the road all the time.
01:13:53.140
And my dentist tells me again and again, you've got to have these electric toothbrushes.
01:13:57.340
And the electric toothbrushes are the size of cannons.
01:14:04.360
You've got this electric toothbrush to travel on the road with you.
01:14:09.660
I don't have a ton of advantages with the ladies.
01:14:11.320
But having a nice smile, having a nice bright white teeth, that's what you can do, especially
01:14:16.620
if you have a little too much of this and that.
01:14:23.900
You're not ashamed to have it in your bathroom.
01:14:30.340
It also has all of these other great features like the sonic vibrations, a built-in two-minute
01:14:35.500
Because let's face it, you're not actually brushing your teeth for the amount of time
01:14:38.960
You're just sort of glossing your toothbrush over your teeth for 15 seconds.
01:14:42.480
This allows you to know when exactly you have brushed your teeth enough for you to have cleansed
01:14:47.680
Also, most importantly, the brush heads are automatically delivered on a dentist-recommended schedule
01:14:53.440
So very often, even if you have an electric toothbrush, you're not getting the brush heads
01:14:56.940
You're just brushing your teeth with the same toothbrush head you've been using for the
01:14:59.660
last seven years and that your two-year-old used on the toilet.
01:15:04.020
But I will say that with Quip electric toothbrush, you know that the new brush head is arriving
01:15:09.980
They are backed by over 20,000 dental professionals.
01:15:14.320
If you go to getquip.com slash backstage right now, you get your first refill pack for free
01:15:19.740
Again, first refill pack free at getquip.com slash backstage.
01:15:26.800
And you get your first refill pack free with a Quip electric toothbrush.
01:15:30.060
Alicia, I think you have a quick update for us.
01:15:32.300
So I heard Andrew Klavan's question there about, well, what are the percentages of the
01:15:35.800
precincts reporting in Texas for that very contentious race between Ted Cruz and Beto
01:15:40.380
It turns out that only 23% are remaining, and the Dallas-Fort Worth area and the outside
01:15:45.900
reaches of the borders of the state, you know, Texas, where it meets the wonderful state
01:15:49.540
of Louisiana, and to the west, which are typically more rural Republican areas, are still waiting
01:15:57.820
Ted Cruz has been known to have a really great grassroots game.
01:16:01.360
But as you guys have noted before, Beto has spent a lot, a lot, a lot of money and has
01:16:06.140
seen something like $35 million come in from outside of the state.
01:16:09.580
Colton, do you have any more questions for us from our delightful Daily Wire subscribers?
01:16:14.740
We got one from Matthew, and he asked, if Democrats take back the House and Republicans keep,
01:16:19.120
if not make gains in the Senate, what will that mean for President Trump's 2020 optics?
01:16:26.500
I mean, you know, my quick take is that the Democrats taking the House by even one seat
01:16:31.760
is a problem because they take the chairmanships.
01:16:33.720
Once they take the chairmanships, it's all investigations from here until the end of time.
01:16:36.960
They're going to be focused on stopping Trump's agenda.
01:16:39.580
But the truth is that there's only so much they can do to stop Trump's agenda because
01:16:43.000
Trump's agenda is so much based on executive regulations and judges, all that Senate stuff.
01:16:48.880
So what the House really can do is make his life miserable with endless investigations
01:16:52.060
and then try and create this image that he is in ultimately a terrible, horrible, no good,
01:17:00.460
But again, I think the size of the blue wave matters here because it does provide a good
01:17:04.320
early indicator as to Trump's electability in 2020.
01:17:07.300
He's going to be just as toxic in two years as he is right now.
01:17:10.220
And if he is able to somehow hold this below the normal margin in this kind of election
01:17:14.760
cycle after winning a hotly contested election, which he lost the popular vote, I think that
01:17:19.740
even a shift to control for the Democrats, it could theoretically cut in his favor because
01:17:23.100
more conspiratorial thinking for the Democrats doesn't necessarily result in a worse state
01:17:28.420
And by the way, he does thrive in adversarial positions.
01:17:32.940
I mean, Donald Trump, when he's not fighting somebody, you know, he's floating, he's treading,
01:17:38.340
When he is fighting somebody, he is at his best.
01:17:41.900
And so actually, as a sheer political matter, just for the Trump 2020 campaign, losing the
01:17:46.940
House actually might give him a little bit of a campaign advantage.
01:17:49.520
And you can depend on the Democrats to overstep.
01:17:51.480
You can just depend on them to talk about impeachment and the whole thing.
01:17:54.280
So they're not going to be, it's not like they're saying like, hmm, maybe we'll negotiate
01:18:09.520
Among the supporters tonight at his headquarters is a woman named Evelyn Arroyo Maltzby.
01:18:14.520
She is a juror on his federal corruption trial.
01:18:29.540
He says, he said on CNN, this is heartbreaking.
01:18:31.940
You can look at Anderson Cooper, who looks like over time he's turned, I mean, what is
01:18:39.720
I mean, it's just like all the enthusiasm has gone out of the CNN crew.
01:18:44.580
And we don't have to have the sound on to know what's going on.
01:18:52.420
The CNN banner at 924, control of U.S. House, too close to call.
01:18:56.660
This is, yeah, it's, there's still some suburban districts that are coming out for Democrats.
01:19:01.880
Henry Olson is saying right now that in the Texas Senate, all the big Democratic counties
01:19:07.840
He says that Cruz will end up winning that seat.
01:19:10.860
Olson also is calling the Ohio 12th district for Troy Balderson.
01:19:14.540
He's getting big on election day vote, just like he did in the special election.
01:19:16.980
That was supposed to be one of those districts where Democrats had a possibility of picking up.
01:19:21.320
And in Georgia, it looks as though Stacey Abrams is going to be out.
01:19:24.300
Because in Georgia, the question isn't whether you win the plurality of the vote.
01:19:27.960
You actually have to win a majority of the vote.
01:19:29.620
And so the question there was going to be whether Brian Kemp, who's the Georgia Secretary of State,
01:19:34.900
It looks like he will win an outright majority.
01:19:36.780
So that means that we retain the governor's house in Georgia.
01:19:42.920
And again, goes to how much of this is Trump is great at this?
01:19:46.220
And how much of this is Democrats suck at this?
01:19:51.840
But it is important in what it says about this massive communication industry,
01:19:56.700
which is governed by 8%, the progressive 8% of the country,
01:20:00.280
which runs the academy, runs Hollywood, runs the news.
01:20:03.280
I mean, this is an incredible amount of information that is coming into people's heads
01:20:07.100
and that people are saying, eh, that's not true.
01:20:10.920
You know, I think this is actually a crucial component here,
01:20:13.560
is that since 2004, what Dan Rather did to the mainstream media was you couldn't take it back.
01:20:21.840
And then they flexed their power during the Obama era by backing every move that Barack Obama ever made.
01:20:26.700
And now you have a situation where the media have so completely blown
01:20:32.160
every element of credibility that they ever had.
01:20:34.520
That when they say anything, the first reaction of anyone on the right is,
01:20:40.280
So if you're trying to depress me from going out, I don't believe you.
01:20:44.900
In some ways, it upsets me as a data-driven person.
01:20:47.960
In some ways, it's great because the media do shade the data.
01:20:53.860
You and I have this continual debate about whether you can go back in time and say,
01:21:00.740
I think a debate we can start having was, was it worth it to the press to protect Obama for eight years
01:21:07.220
while he used the IRS to silence people, while he lied about health care.
01:21:14.900
And while he did all those things, and obviously, he turned the federal government into a Chicago machine,
01:21:28.300
Because if they were just aggressive coverage of Obama.
01:21:30.900
If they were attacking everybody, I'd say, good, good.
01:21:34.000
I mean, this is the thing that nobody understands, is that Obama, the great savior of the Democratic Party.
01:21:39.680
Because he, Harry Enten, who's the forecaster over at FiveThirtyEight,
01:21:43.180
he said that the model that Democrats were using in Florida was there's an emerging Democratic minority majority
01:21:48.220
that is going to change demographically the future of the state, and they will just go from victory to victory.
01:21:56.320
It turns out that human beings are actually malleable in their political point of view.
01:22:01.640
And human beings are not going to think only on the basis of race and only on basis.
01:22:05.300
Skin color is not directly connected to their brain, which is like one of the things I've been telling people for years,
01:22:13.420
You know, the strategy in these midterm elections is that President Trump nationalized it, made it about him personally.
01:22:22.100
One was he went after the media harder than Attila the Hun.
01:22:25.580
You know, he said, you're slime, you're fake news, you're liars.
01:22:28.100
He doubled down on immigration, which is a big winner issue among Democrats and Republicans, even Democrats.
01:22:33.540
And he doubled down on jobs and talked about the gains to the economy.
01:22:39.720
I don't want to call it too early, but it certainly seems to be paying dividends.
01:22:43.000
Whether it takes him the whole way, it's certainly paying dividends.
01:22:45.040
And it did help that he was right about the press.
01:22:50.280
I mean, as much as President Trump destroyed the press, the press destroyed themselves.
01:22:57.620
People forget that Newt Gingrich briefly led the race in 2012 in the primaries because he ripped on the press directly.
01:23:04.600
It was the best thing in the entire primary race, right?
01:23:06.800
I mean, Newt Gingrich, a guy with more skeletons in his closet than the entire cast of Pirates of the Caribbean.
01:23:11.180
In the middle of that race, he went after John Harwood.
01:23:15.260
He said, you're just totally full of it, and I'm not going to take this.
01:23:17.640
And he won the South Carolina primary specifically based on this.
01:23:20.940
What's so funny about the folks on the left is they think that Donald Trump was the inception of all politics.
01:23:25.000
There was like a big bang of politics when Trump came on the scene, and that changed everything.
01:23:29.080
What Donald Trump did was he effectively lassoed the passions that we all felt on the right, and then he hung on for dear life.
01:23:37.360
And those passions, as much as he was whipping the passions, the passions were carrying him.
01:23:41.700
It wasn't just him carrying the passions, right?
01:23:46.380
The Democrats think that we hate the media because Donald Trump tells us to hate the media.
01:23:51.980
We are more friendly to Donald Trump because we hated the media before you even knew who Donald Trump was.
01:23:57.600
And by the way, you guys were pushing Donald Trump way before we were, right?
01:24:02.000
And the thing, you know, I always say about Donald Trump that people talk about, oh, is he playing three-dimensional chess?
01:24:08.620
He's a guy who sees where the daylight is, and he runs for it.
01:24:11.200
He reacts, he reacts, and immediately you can say, like, oh, it was Hillary Clinton's fault that she lost the race.
01:24:18.440
He knew who the candidate was going to be when he got into this race.
01:24:21.260
He had been saying, oh, I'd like to run for president and not really doing it for 20 years.
01:24:28.520
The daylight is where we say, you know, the press lies, where we say, hey, you know, we're tired of this intersectionality.
01:24:35.540
This country, God bless it, is ready to let race go.
01:24:39.640
It is only the left that won't let us let it go.
01:24:43.560
It means making jokes, you know, it means teasing each other.
01:24:46.480
It means not feeling that everything you say has to be looked at and isn't an insult.
01:24:50.100
It means living together like human beings, you know.
01:24:52.140
I mean, people who live with, for instance, members of the opposite sex, you make jokes about that, right?
01:24:59.960
People who live with different races make jokes about that.
01:25:06.480
You know, this is the daylight that Donald Trump saw, and he ran through it, and he's still running through it.
01:25:10.960
Well, right now, it looks like DeSantis is pretty much confirmed as the governor of Florida.
01:25:21.420
Not to drop a name, but Ron DeSantis is actually a very nice guy.
01:25:36.860
Yeah, and he's got a really nice family, and it was one of the most frustrating things in the world to watch that race and watch as the media openly lied about Ron DeSantis, saying that he was a racist.
01:25:47.060
After saying that the monkey of socialism on the back of Florida was a racist comment.
01:25:51.760
That's what he said, don't monkey it up, right?
01:25:54.060
It was so ridiculous, and Andrew Gillum going out there and calling him a racist every five seconds.
01:25:58.820
And also saying that, you know, it's because I'm a black man, you're talking about my corruption.
01:26:11.200
She says, just a quick note on the world of polling accuracy.
01:26:13.320
If Republicans win the Florida Senate and gubernatorial contest, that'll be a surprise to anyone who saw today's final NBC-Marist poll.
01:26:19.360
It had the Democrats winning each race by five points, although the polling averages were a bit closer.
01:26:23.200
While pollsters can argue about margins of error and such, if a variety of other races break for Republicans, they expect these Florida elections to be held up as more proof the polls are missing out on undercover Republican voters.
01:26:33.720
If that isn't what she means by that, is, you know, what they call the silent Tory effect in Britain, what we call the Bradley effect here in the United States.
01:26:40.700
Basically, people who are lying to pollsters, the pollsters call them up, and just to play with the pollsters, people just say, no, I'm not going to vote for the Republican, or I'm undecided because they don't actually want to tell the pollster that they're voting Republican.
01:26:51.880
And the level of scorn that is heaped upon people who vote Republican may actually be screwing with the data inputs in a lot of these races.
01:27:02.700
I'm always against these conspiracy theories that the polls are actually working for the Democrats, that they're actually trying to suppress votes.
01:27:10.960
I think because I think pollsters still have a lot riding on whether they're accurate or not.
01:27:14.000
But I do think I do think that in some of these areas, there's a temptation to statistically overprofile Democrats because people who tend to pick up the phone and talk to pollsters tend to be Democrats.
01:27:28.640
Fox News, by the way, is projecting the Democrats take the House.
01:27:32.120
So the question is going to be by how much the margin is unclear at this point.
01:27:38.340
Basically, what we thought at the start of the night, it is still a good night for Republicans if they lose the House, but only by a little bit.
01:27:45.280
As I said before, my margin night, there's two ways of thinking about whether tonight was a good night.
01:27:50.180
There's the what it means in terms of the momentum of the country.
01:27:54.740
If the Democrats win the House by a handful of votes, it's not a blue wave.
01:28:01.760
The political winds of the country haven't really changed.
01:28:04.240
If they win by a single vote, however, we lose the chairmanships.
01:28:07.900
We're going to be subjected to two years of investigation after investigation, hearing after hearing.
01:28:13.620
Into Russian collusion and padding pockets and criminality.
01:28:19.180
But on the flip side, not to try to pull a silver lining out here.
01:28:23.440
What they did over Brett Kavanaugh, that bloody, awful, despicable fight that was one of the worst fights I've ever seen in politics, is the reason why we're doing so well right now.
01:28:36.460
Democrats, they've been doing the Russia collusion stuff for two years in the media.
01:28:41.840
Adam Schiff now gets to set up his pup tent, not in CNN, but I guess in the House Intelligence Chairman's office.
01:28:49.660
I'm not sure what actually changes all that radically, except that the Democrats will be encouraged to think they did the right thing by going hard to the left.
01:28:56.720
Well, no, no, the Democrats can't be, I mean, if they had won, if they won 30, say, or 40, I could see them being deluded into thinking, ah, this is a major victory for the resistance.
01:29:11.100
The professional politicians, these are like the A-team, the major leagues of politicians.
01:29:17.000
And they've got to be looking at this and thinking.
01:29:20.500
I just don't think congressmen are the major leagues.
01:29:23.560
I think it is the nature of Congress to ascend riffraff in a way that the Senate doesn't ascend riffraff.
01:29:34.940
I mean, you're saying Maxine Waters is the A-team major leagues of American politics.
01:29:38.940
I'm saying that someone like Nancy Pelosi is reading, looking at this today and thinking, this resistance thing, not so good for us.
01:29:47.760
All of them are going to be on the ballot again.
01:29:51.820
And they're thinking, maybe we need a new strategy.
01:29:53.420
Well, the real question is, if they win by, let's say, three, four, sub-five votes tonight, is Nancy Pelosi the next speaker?
01:30:05.080
I haven't read the parchment in a while, but that's unclear.
01:30:11.100
So, OK, well, the Fox News projections are obviously dampening spirits a little bit for us because you don't get the full across-the-board win.
01:30:20.500
But, you know, with that said, I just think that the Democrats have to be looking at all of this and thinking to themselves, we were supposed to wipe people out here.
01:30:32.220
Right now, tomorrow you're going to get triumphalism from the Democrats, but it's going to feel a little bit forced.
01:30:36.700
Because, again, Republicans in 2010 won 63 seats.
01:30:40.940
63 seats on the back of a president who had won a huge landslide.
01:30:49.760
Here they may not even reach the average number of seats lost in an off-year election.
01:30:54.680
It's, you know, again, it could be more than that.
01:30:56.480
It could be 30, 31 seats, right, because they have to win back, what, 25 in order to win back the House?
01:31:03.180
But I think that if you are a Democrat, you have to be looking more at specific races in places like Florida and Ohio when you look forward to 2020.
01:31:13.480
And less at suburban votes in Virginia, for example.
01:31:16.940
And the governorships matter, as we said at the beginning of the show.
01:31:19.420
The governorships matter if they have not taken back.
01:31:21.860
And as people know, I'm not the silver lining guy, like at all.
01:31:25.080
But if I'm a Democrat tonight, I have to be, you have to be disappointed.
01:31:29.100
You know, and by the way, I would like to just point out, 538, Nate Silver still has it at 5-9 chance Democrats win, 4-9 chance Republicans win.
01:31:37.780
So, I mean, I'm not doubting Henry Olsen or Fox.
01:31:48.340
By the way, New Jersey, you remember, I just want to point out a point of media ridiculousness.
01:31:59.440
A guy, credibly accused multiple times of ephibophilia, right?
01:32:03.040
A guy who was, like, hitting up the 14-year-olds.
01:32:09.380
And we were told, as Republicans, I was one of the people saying it, you can't vote for the guy.
01:32:15.240
I mean, the guy is a credibly accused child molester, essentially.
01:32:19.960
Was there an article written by anyone on the left about Bob Menendez?
01:32:23.760
In fact, they said, suck it up and vote for him, which is what I said about Roy Moore.
01:32:27.940
What I said about Roy Moore is vote for him, then censure him, get him out.
01:32:30.920
But vote for him because we cannot lose that vote.
01:32:34.440
And this thing that the morality, especially the sexual morality, is a scam.
01:32:42.380
I want my guys in politics to be as good as I can possibly get them.
01:32:45.680
But I'm not going to panic over every little sexual peccadillo that these people have and give the government to these communists.
01:32:53.400
For those who don't know, by the way, I don't know if people are as knowledgeable about this.
01:32:57.480
Bob Menendez, federal prosecutors believe that Bob Menendez paid underage hookers for sex.
01:33:04.780
In order to do favors for a political donor, it was complete corruption.
01:33:09.980
Whereas Roy Moore was just kind of wandering around the mall doing stuff that was kind of legal.
01:33:15.240
I'm not willing to grant the premise that sex with underage girls by grown adult men, not guys on the bubble,
01:33:23.000
not a 19-year-old guy with a 17-year-old girlfriend, is a sexual peccadillo.
01:33:27.600
But wait, Roy Moore was within the law as we understand it, right?
01:33:31.240
Everything they accused him of was, except for one girl.
01:33:35.640
Except for the 14-year-old when he was 32 or something.
01:33:45.740
There was a lot more corroborating evidence in that case than there was in the right category.
01:33:53.380
I know that, but the point that I'm making, we're making different points.
01:33:56.160
The point that you're making is, they don't play by any rules.
01:34:05.640
I did say that once he got in, we should have censured him.
01:34:08.980
You know, we should have gotten rid of him by...
01:34:11.700
You don't give up that vote over panning, over kind of a sexual...
01:34:17.580
At a certain point, you do actually have to make some sacrifices.
01:34:22.080
And you and I have had this disagreement for a long time about what exactly that point looks like.
01:34:25.640
But the bottom line is, for the Democrats, there is no point of sacrifice.
01:34:28.160
Like, you and I may disagree on the margins here, but there is no disagreement among Democrats.
01:34:32.220
The disagreement among Democrats is not whether Bob Menendez should have earned the vote,
01:34:37.020
It's whether he should be enshrined as a saint.
01:34:39.300
I mean, this is the actual argument that's going on on behalf of all these folks.
01:34:43.700
It looks like the next governor of Colorado is going to be Jared Polis, I guess, a Democrat.
01:34:54.520
So the media are going to celebrate that because that's deeply important.
01:34:57.920
Does Jim McReefe not count in New Jersey when he came?
01:35:05.480
First elected gay governor of the state of Colorado.
01:35:08.260
All of the modifiers, all of the caveats, every box must be checked so that everything is historic, historic, historic.
01:35:16.680
Well, it says that the, you know, again, it looks like, if you're going to read trends tonight,
01:35:22.940
what it looks like is that all of the trends in 2016 held and deepened.
01:35:34.760
In battleground states like Florida and Ohio, maybe Michigan, it looks like Republicans continue to do well.
01:35:40.720
So this looks more like a realignment than it does like a blip.
01:35:46.300
Was 2016 a blip based on Hillary Clinton sucking and Donald Trump's unique candidacy?
01:35:53.500
And it looks a lot more like a cultural realignment with Democrats taking the coasts and Republicans, except for Florida, apparently.
01:36:02.100
And it's, you know, it looks like Cruz is starting to pull ahead.
01:36:06.060
Pennsylvania may be the one area that looks like an outlier because Democrats are picking up a bunch of house seats in Pennsylvania.
01:36:11.460
Well, isn't that where they redistricted the whole thing?
01:36:14.000
But they're picking up a bunch of house seats right there.
01:36:17.180
So, you know, it's really, it's fascinating stuff.
01:36:23.320
And it really is going to have to, we're really going to have to rethink Trump.
01:36:26.840
I mean, we're really going to have to look at him as the, you know, forget about who he is as a man.
01:36:33.060
Look at him as an expression of people who have been put down, insulted, dismissed, told that they were obsolete, who ain't over yet.
01:36:41.580
And I don't, I don't believe we have to relook at Trump.
01:36:47.040
It's just that this is consistent with my view of Trump.
01:36:49.900
My view of Trump is that he is the id of the right.
01:36:52.760
My, what I always object to is the argument that Trump is tapped into a policy, a new conservatism, a new political philosophy, and that that's the source of his strength.
01:37:03.420
That he cracked the code of what people want policy-wise.
01:37:07.720
I think what he has cracked is, we're tired of Paul Ryan being a gentleman.
01:37:16.200
We didn't like, we didn't like, we didn't like, we didn't like, we're like fighter Lindsey Graham.
01:37:22.280
We're tired of being called names and then being gentlemen in response.
01:37:25.680
But you do have to understand that the human mind starts to shape things when it sees events going on.
01:37:32.140
So it is fair for intellectuals to say, what is this guy doing by his gut?
01:37:38.640
What is he stumbling into that makes sense as a future policy?
01:37:42.880
It's not necessarily intellectualizing Trump to say, wait, there is a policy here.
01:37:47.860
Trump may not know what it is, but I can sort of see what it is.
01:37:50.520
I mean, we're seeing this with Walter Meade in the Wall Street Journal, where he's talking about what Trump is reacting to.
01:38:00.000
He is, his nationalism, his idea that America has to put itself first in a world where Russia, Iran, and China, you know, that's not a bad idea.
01:38:14.000
But here's where I think the debate is going to now lie.
01:38:16.860
And it's been lying here for a couple of years, but it hasn't really broken out into the open.
01:38:20.520
The debate is going to lie in, do you think that the wave for Republicans here is a response to the cultural mores of the left being forced on people in the middle of the country?
01:38:30.020
Or do you think that it is a response to the, quote, to economic concerns?
01:38:35.160
Do you think that it's, like, this is Ross Dudehat has been trying to push this for a while.
01:38:39.360
Obviously, we were discussing Orrin Cass earlier.
01:38:41.040
Orrin thinks that he's been trying to push this for a while in his new book, The Once and Future Worker,
01:38:44.520
which is well worth the read, although I disagree with large swaths of it.
01:38:47.160
And I think Tucker Carlson, to a much more loud extent and extreme extent, has embraced some of these arguments.
01:38:53.800
I think it's more an extension of the same idea.
01:38:55.820
This idea that the way that you win back all of these sort of purple states, places like Ohio, places like Florida,
01:39:01.520
the way that you create permanent majorities there is to recognize that there are a bunch of people who have been left behind by the economy
01:39:07.420
and that the way to appeal to those people is through government regulation of capitalism and or redistribution of wealth.
01:39:14.260
Because this is what—Trump did make this pitch in 2016 about Bernie Sanders voters, right?
01:39:19.200
He said, listen, you and I agree on a lot of this stuff.
01:39:26.420
I don't actually think that that is why voters in Ohio and Florida voted for Trump.
01:39:31.340
I think the reason that voters in Ohio and Florida voted for Trump is specifically because they had been called racist, sexist, bigot, homophobes for eight years by the media.
01:39:50.860
You and I are probably closer to the same page than, for instance, Knowles on this.
01:39:57.560
Yeah, we both believe that the government should stay out of the economic world, that the economic world will take care of itself, that automation will not eliminate all jobs, that new jobs will come along.
01:40:10.060
Trump is accused of starting a trade war with China.
01:40:20.060
He's accused of attacking the press and being uncivil.
01:40:23.500
They have been uncivil to the American people for 30 years.
01:40:26.000
When you call someone racist in this country, that's uncivil.
01:40:33.660
And in the same way, he's just answering back to China.
01:40:36.140
If, in fact, what Trump is saying is, oh, I'm going to protect these industries.
01:40:39.820
I'm not going to let them go by creating tariffs that will protect steel and the kind of things that Reagan briefly did.
01:40:48.800
But so far, so far, what I've seen him do is say, hey, China's in a trade war with us.
01:40:57.720
But I think that what people like Cass, what people like even Henry Olsen, what these guys are doing to the extreme Tucker Carlson,
01:41:04.920
what they're doing is trying to build a broad sort of theology, a broad American philosophy of national populism,
01:41:13.820
And my argument, I've made it tonight, I'm going to keep making it, is the math doesn't support it.
01:41:18.440
So a Tucker Carlson, a populist, will look at Trump's, the support for Trump's immigration policies.
01:41:25.480
And they'll say, see, this is proof that NAFTA failed.
01:41:30.940
But I think it's far more likely, since we won the White House twice after NAFTA, since we won the House and the Senate after NAFTA,
01:41:40.280
and NAFTA wasn't even a point of consideration ever in that 20 years,
01:41:45.240
is that ain't nobody was thinking about NAFTA, and that Trump's immigration appeal is successful because of the cultural issues surrounding immigration.
01:41:54.900
That Americans are tired of being told by the right, it ain't your country anymore.
01:41:59.740
They're tired of being told by the right, we're basically going to change the demographics of the country.
01:42:06.000
We're going to change the demographics of the country such that you, white American, or you, suburban American, or you, working middle class American,
01:42:13.780
no longer have a dominant voice in this society.
01:42:17.400
They're tired of being told we can't protect our borders from crime, from potential terrorism.
01:42:24.100
And they're rejecting that on sort of cultural grounds, not economic.
01:42:27.160
I don't think that the average American sits around and says, they took my job, those unlawful immigrants took my job working, picking strawberries in California.
01:42:38.560
But, of course, as a wise man once said, politics is downstream of culture, and it's hard to separate these things.
01:42:43.380
And I will point out, there was a very long period of time, from the beginning of the Republican Party,
01:42:49.180
up through very recent memory, that the right spoke to labor.
01:42:53.660
They weren't socialists, they weren't going to nationalize industries, but they protected labor.
01:42:59.120
And when you have China violating World Trade Organization treaties, subsidizing steel and aluminum, stealing IP,
01:43:05.180
and Donald Trump comes out and he says, we're going to protect our workers.
01:43:08.280
You're making an argument that I'm not even talking about.
01:43:11.040
What I'm saying is that you, what I'm saying is that Republicans won 1,000 nationwide elections during the era from Obama to today.
01:43:24.360
It's not that all of a sudden, at 1,001, everyone went, conservatism is a crap message.
01:43:31.700
What we need is to go back, we need to go back to when Lincoln was a Republican, and we had good tariffs in this country.
01:43:38.320
I don't think, I don't think Trump is saying that.
01:43:41.320
What they're saying is, you can protect the worker.
01:43:45.520
Because we're only talking about this to make sense of the election.
01:43:48.500
And what I'm saying is, I think all the people who wanted to protect the worker in the way you're talking about wanted to before Trump, but will want to after Trump.
01:43:54.980
I've not seen anyone who's been converted to, now I think we need to protect the worker because of Trump.
01:44:00.240
But the reason I say this is that I think that the populist appeal to workers in these areas has typically been from the left.
01:44:08.920
It has typically been from the progressive Robert La Follette left in places like Wisconsin.
01:44:12.760
And what has happened and what's changed, the reason why the right is now making inroads there, is not because the right has embraced that sort of progressivism.
01:44:21.080
It is because the left decided that all those people who they used to believe were the hardworking heart of the country are a bunch of deplorables who are standing in the way of an emergent majority of people who have broader multicultural values.
01:44:33.960
And so what Trump did is he spoke to those people.
01:44:35.840
Now on the back of that, he may also believe some of this progressive economic stuff.
01:44:40.180
But I don't actually think that the future of the country, let me put it this way.
01:44:46.420
If both parties embrace versions of the same argument, which is jobs must be protected, and that's the version of the argument, I think it's a very short ride from there to Norway.
01:44:57.400
And I'm not saying from there to Venezuela, I'm saying from there to Norway.
01:44:59.400
Because I think that everybody is – this is my objection to Orrin Cass's new book, which I look forward to talking with him about.
01:45:07.560
But he basically says that we shouldn't focus on consumers and the economy anymore because there's an inherent value to people of work.
01:45:16.480
But it is a little bit much to ask of people that they understand policy at that level.
01:45:21.880
To say, oh, these people did not embrace Donald Trump because of his policy.
01:45:24.820
No politician wins in this country or really any country.
01:45:30.860
Well, we're trying to figure out what the policy is that he's doing – what he's doing right.
01:45:34.060
And what I'm saying is that what he's doing right isn't policy.
01:45:36.840
I think I can be the great reconciler here, which is this, that President Trump makes this cultural argument.
01:45:43.180
I'm going to fight back against China, which is waging a war on us, and I'm going to fight back for you, the worker.
01:45:48.420
That's a cultural argument, not an economic one.
01:45:50.500
And as a result, China comes out just today, I think, or within the last couple of days, and says, we are going to reduce our import tariffs, basically in response to Donald Trump.
01:46:00.020
When that happens, I don't see why the people who want to protect work, the people who are saying that work has a value that is greater than a consumer good, and the free traders can't all be happy with that.
01:46:10.300
I'm fine with that, but I will say that the argument proves too much.
01:46:14.020
What I mean by that is once you start making the pitch that China stole your jobs, Mexico stole your jobs, technology stole your jobs, somebody stole your job in a free market economy, it is a very short road to let's regulate the economy and make the – let's chain the economy up and make it work for us.
01:46:30.960
There's no question that the politicians will always protect the buggy whip industry.
01:46:39.760
The point I'm making is I think that we are actually ignoring that the code that Trump may have cracked is the code where you get to keep your – if you like your economic conservatism, you get to keep your economic conservatism because the code that he has cracked, even unknowingly, is the cultural code.
01:46:54.700
And that cultural code – I know, you and I are making the same argument.
01:46:57.240
And the cultural code is not really China's screwing you, Mexico's screwing you, and it's not even really the elites are screwing you.
01:47:04.840
It's that there is an entire side of this country who thinks that you are a valueless human.
01:47:19.500
So what I'm saying is let's double down on that message because especially we know that message is going to work because Democrats are going to continue labeling these people racist, sexist, deplorable.
01:47:25.740
But wait, there's also stuff that Trump – wait, this is ignoring the fact that there's also stuff that Trump is doing that's working.
01:47:30.660
But most of that is more conservative and not his nationalist populist rhetoric.
01:47:37.080
Most of what we've gotten from Trump isn't the stuff that Tucker or Henry Olsen or Cass or these guys are trying to move us toward.
01:47:42.640
No, and I thought the stuff that Tucker said – and I love Tucker.
01:47:46.800
But I thought that that stuff that he would save –
01:47:51.480
I don't think any American actually wants to go back in time to the pre-iPhone days.
01:47:58.660
I think Americans – we like the things that globalization has brought us.
01:48:05.540
It's a better way of life for almost every single person in this country.
01:48:10.580
We have the entire knowledge of all of humankind now lives in our pocket because of globalization.
01:48:17.840
But there is a difference between globalization and free trade.
01:48:21.920
And what they're talking about, by the way, this argument that has broken out on the right or this debate,
01:48:26.080
is also saying, yes, our iPhones are great, but every cultural and social measure has cracked up,
01:48:31.660
including families, especially in a lot of these places, that have been hit by unemployment.
01:48:38.100
That's a wonderful benefit of the last two years.
01:48:39.900
And in the same way that I say your economic prosperity in a free country is your responsibility,
01:48:46.960
I also say your mental health, your spiritual health, the health of your family is your responsibility.
01:48:58.840
But I don't grant the argument that it's the government's job to make sure that you have a job so that you'll stay married to your wife,
01:49:04.900
so that you'll be a good parent to your children, so that you'll continue going to church, so that you'll go to heaven.
01:49:15.400
I like that Daily Wire subscribers can tune in right now and give us their $10.
01:49:25.600
I've gotten better at the Knights of the Knights.
01:49:30.040
Stamps.com is the way that you are going to save time and save money.
01:49:35.120
But you don't actually want to spend the time driving down there and waiting in line.
01:49:37.860
Instead, you can get all the great services of the post offices directly from your desk.
01:49:41.500
You can buy and print real U.S. postage for any letter, any package, all available 24 hours a day, seven days a week.
01:49:51.740
You can weigh your letters and packages, print the exact amounts of postage every time.
01:49:54.880
We use Stamps.com here at the Daily Wire offices.
01:49:59.560
It means that our assistants don't have to actually go down to the post office and waste their day down there
01:50:04.040
when they could be doing things like making sure that we are fed and well-kept.
01:50:09.900
Laying out the carpet so that Ben can walk from one room to another.
01:50:15.120
And this is not something that's going to get done in itself.
01:50:19.220
If you go over to Stamps.com right now, use promo code Shapiro for a special offer, a four-week trial, including postage and a digital scale.
01:50:27.980
And before you do anything else, click on that radio microphone at the top of the homepage.
01:50:37.800
The Daily Wire subscribers tune into this show.
01:50:41.660
They give us all the sweet, sweet mammon on which we all thrive.
01:50:52.660
He asks, who will be the first mainstream media host to cry on camera after this election?
01:50:56.720
You know, I would assume that it will probably be Rachel Maddow.
01:51:05.080
The reason being that she actually pretty much, she broke down over things like, you know, the deportation policy at the border.
01:51:18.060
That's because Jim Acosta just wants screen time.
01:51:20.220
I mean, he's actually in the back room like Pagliacci.
01:51:24.440
They're going to get his hair is out of place and he starts sobbing.
01:51:26.480
What we're going to do right now is like a rapid fire Q&A.
01:51:33.460
From Jim, how do you feel this midterm compares to others?
01:51:36.500
Is this truly the most important election of our lifetime?
01:51:39.820
You know, I don't think it's the most important election of our lifetime, but I do think it is a significant, a tremendously significant election.
01:51:46.520
What I mean by that is that the actual results may not be as important as what they tell us about where we're going.
01:51:56.160
It may communicate more than other elections without actually being important.
01:51:59.380
And I think it is the most important election of our lifetime if Republicans win.
01:52:05.240
It's that the election will mean something so profound if Republicans hold the House that that will evidence the importance of the election.
01:52:12.320
If the Democrats win the election, it's just another midterm election.
01:52:16.180
What do you think was the, not to insult the questioner, but what do you think was the most important election of our lifetime?
01:52:21.640
Now, fair to say that Drew's lifetime goes back to one.
01:52:28.400
Well, I mean, in my lifetime, it certainly was Reagan winning.
01:52:34.580
That was a real turnaround, a real change, and it actually lasted for 25 years.
01:52:39.860
People talk, I love the fact that people talk about bubbles.
01:52:44.380
You think 25 years, that's a third of a lifetime.
01:52:47.620
I don't care if that's a bubble because, you know, I could be gone before the bubble pops.
01:52:51.600
You know, so I think that was a really important election.
01:52:56.900
So I will say that I think the most important election of my lifetime is an election that Republicans lost in 2012.
01:53:03.000
I think 2012 did serious damage to the country from which we are still going to see the aftereffects for decades to come.
01:53:17.100
I think that 2012, because when Barack Obama was elected in 2008, even on the right, there was this kind of hopeful moment like,
01:53:22.760
oh, look, here's a guy who's going to help us end the most cataclysmic conflict in the history of the United States.
01:53:31.040
He polarized the country by race, sex, sexual orientation.
01:53:34.980
And then he defeated an overtly good man in Mitt Romney by slandering him.
01:53:39.700
And then the right went, OK, well, screw all you guys.
01:53:42.300
And so now we sort of do have this as much as we can enjoy these elections.
01:53:45.640
And, you know, when the results are good, we enjoy them.
01:53:47.460
And when the results of policy are good, we enjoy them.
01:53:49.580
The country is much worse off just in terms of the social fabric today than it was even in 2011.
01:53:56.340
Because, like, we can't people don't look their neighbors in the face over politics now.
01:54:01.540
And I think that is almost directly a result of Barack Obama.
01:54:07.540
Something I'm observing out of all my friends and family in Texas, I won't name names.
01:54:12.120
It's not all of them, is that people who didn't care about politics for most of my lifetime are, like, unfriending lifelong friends on Facebook.
01:54:23.960
And what concerns me about it is that, to Ben's point about social fabric, that is the social fabric phrase as the Internet moves us from having regional community to being able to find people who we don't even personally know them, but they agree with us.
01:54:36.940
And we find a kind of affirmation in that, that you're now willing to unfriend a neighbor you've known for 20 years who watched after your children when they played in the front yard, who would have been there for you if you'd been injured or if your spouse had been injured.
01:54:53.300
And you're unfriending them off of this abstract called politics so that you can continue to find affirmation from people you will never lay eyes on about something that has very little immediate impact on your life.
01:55:06.000
One of the things I want to ask all my Democrat friends who've been just weeping and gnashing their teeth over the last two years is, in what measurable way is your life actually worse?
01:55:19.200
So I do think you're looking at your neighbor because you are crowing a little bit.
01:55:24.300
But there are a lot of people on the right who can't look their neighbors in the eye anymore.
01:55:27.200
I do have to say, I do want to pull the age card here for just a minute.
01:55:38.180
It's not as bad as some of the times I've lived through.
01:55:40.440
It is not like the 60s when the entire world turned over, when the entire culture turned over, when children turned on their parents and said, you stink, we reject it.
01:55:50.860
But in only one way, I will say that it's, in virtually every other way, it's not as bad.
01:55:56.620
The one way that it is as bad is that there were serious issues on the table in the 1960s.
01:56:00.620
There are no serious issues on the table today, and we are beating each other's brains in.
01:56:06.000
I mean, that tells you, first of all, what a great country this is.
01:56:08.680
Because we can actually sit around and think, we can actually, grown-up people who can tie their ties in the morning are going on and saying, this man is Adolf Hitler.
01:56:22.200
In a sense, that's what makes it a little bit scarier, is that there's a sort of body snatchers thing going on.
01:56:27.540
It's like you go to the nicest restaurants in L.A. with people who are getting $100 bottles of wine for lunch, and they're sitting to each other thinking, the Reich is coming.
01:56:36.620
And it's like, at least in the 1960s, when people said, things suck and I hate my neighbor, you're like, well, things kind of do suck, and your neighbor does kind of blow.
01:56:42.440
My favorite is that we're living through the Handmaid's Tale.
01:56:47.300
I love these girls who read The New Yorker, and they sit around with their Mai Tais, and they say, oh, my God, it's the Handmaid's Tale, darling.
01:56:54.600
There's never been a single moment in human history in any country on Earth where women have been freer, had more opportunity, or been more prosperous.
01:57:11.640
The thing I will point out, too, is that when nothing really matters, when we're talking about trivial things, the stakes become so high.
01:57:19.980
The most brutal elections are school board elections.
01:57:25.820
Okay, so not to put a damper on the evening, but it's fun to kind of go up and down with all the information.
01:57:31.180
The 538 estimate right now has Democrats at plus 36 in the House.
01:57:50.700
Well, I mean, it sounds righter than not to me, since they have more information than I do.
01:57:54.200
It's one vote off from where you thought the night would end.
01:58:01.040
You know, and I said that that didn't constitute a blue wave as much as, you know, a solid blue move.
01:58:07.980
But I was sort of assuming that if there was that sort of move, that Republicans were going
01:58:12.240
to do less well in the Senate, and we're going to have to see where things end up.
01:58:16.420
Where their forecast is right now is D plus 34...
01:58:19.320
It's moving from D plus 34 to D plus 36 in the House, and R plus 2 in the Senate.
01:58:23.720
My early prediction was D plus 35, R plus 1 in the Senate.
01:58:27.960
I said I don't think that that constitutes a blue wave.
01:58:30.460
I do think that it does constitute a repudiation of President Trump in terms of persona.
01:58:40.740
Maybe that does reopen the question as to, you know, President Trump's given us a lot
01:58:48.240
And it is also true that he has driven the left mad, which has led to some kickback in
01:58:55.060
Is it possible that his affect will be more damaging than we think?
01:59:08.900
I think at this point, he's almost a world historical figure.
01:59:13.600
He's a big personality with enormous flaws, with enormous flaws.
01:59:17.240
And those flaws and the flaws in a personality of power are going to have an effect.
01:59:23.340
You know, and so what we have, you know, we have this conversation in America where
01:59:27.440
people are saying, if you say anything bad about Trump, you're a cuck and you're this
01:59:31.360
And then you have other people saying, oh my God, if you say anything good about Trump,
01:59:40.760
No, but Trump may not be a complex person, but he's a complex figure in our politics.
01:59:49.140
As I've said from the beginning, there's going to be a price we pay for his personality, which
01:59:54.300
That was a great answer to a question not asked by one of our Daily Wire subscribers.
02:00:04.300
If Republicans hold both the House and the Senate, what do you think the first things
02:00:10.860
So, I mean, the Republicans are going to lose the House.
02:00:16.100
This is for Ben specifically, but I guess everyone else can answer.
02:00:19.260
Considering how many people don't socialize with their neighbors anymore, do you think
02:00:22.240
door knocking is still a viable campaign strategy for local or national candidates?
02:00:26.460
So I think that it is a viable strategy because you never knew the person really knocking on
02:00:31.100
There is something about face-to-face contact that does change the nature of things.
02:00:36.220
There's a really interesting study that was done in the 1930s about an Asian couple that
02:00:39.920
went around the United States and they tried to register a bunch of bed and breakfasts all
02:00:45.480
And what they found is that they were able to register at bed and breakfasts everywhere.
02:00:48.880
Like out of a hundred places, they were able to register at 99 of them.
02:00:52.440
Then they called up those places and they said, hey, we're Asian.
02:00:55.160
Do you allow Asians to stay at your establishment?
02:00:57.260
And all hundreds said, no, we don't allow Asians to stay at our establishment.
02:01:00.060
The point being that face-to-face contact does change people's perceptions of other people.
02:01:04.080
And particularly in local races, when you feel like you know the person, it does give
02:01:09.220
So I do think that door knocking is actually a lot more effective than, for example, the phone
02:01:12.300
calling, which I think is almost, I think phone banking is almost nearly useless.
02:01:18.120
But there is something special about face-to-face contact that still matters.
02:01:24.940
So Republicans, the split between Republicans and Democrats, that's good for Republicans.
02:01:37.160
In bad news, Democrat Ilhan Omar, who married her brother, allegedly, and is a wild, and
02:01:42.600
is a wild anti-Semite, is now the new Minnesota Congresswoman from the 5th Congressional District.
02:01:49.300
So, you know, blue getting blue and red getting red.
02:01:54.240
So the story for Ilhan Omar is that she was already married, and she, in order to immigrate
02:01:59.560
to the United States, married her brother, without saying, like, legally married her brother,
02:02:04.900
and then claimed that she had not legally married her brother or something.
02:02:07.740
And then the documents came out, and it turns out that she basically scammed the immigration
02:02:11.860
So she will be sitting in Congress, because there is no bottom to what Democrats will elect.
02:02:22.780
Mitt Romney, by the way, is the new senator from Utah.
02:02:28.900
And John James is running neck and neck in Michigan, which would be a huge win for Republicans.
02:02:39.280
Kind of how the conventional wisdom suggested, right?
02:02:41.360
So at the beginning of the night, it was like, everybody's got it wrong.
02:02:43.420
And now it's like, everybody kind of had it right.
02:02:47.160
Okay, so again, the nice thing about being a pessimist, I get to say yay data.
02:02:50.760
Because there is a part of me, just as somebody who does this for a living, you know, where
02:02:57.320
In the same way I like sabermetrics in baseball, I like more information in elections.
02:03:00.720
And I'm not comfortable in an environment where people are like, I don't know anything.
02:03:09.360
Like, if the data's actually good, I kind of like that.
02:03:14.200
This is an interesting question, too, because the predictions were all right in 2012.
02:03:21.580
All the predictions were wrong in 2016 because it was not a normal election at all.
02:03:25.480
And you're seeing that in this House and Senate midterm elections, it's kind of returning
02:03:34.060
What I think it's returning to, what I think we're seeing so far, is that things haven't
02:03:41.840
And that's important because it means the entire arsenal of the left has unleashed upon
02:03:48.420
And it really hasn't changed the matrix at all.
02:03:50.620
Yeah, although some people who are very, very Trumpy are getting killed.
02:03:53.100
Like Chris Kobach, who is running for Kansas governor, he's just getting destroyed by Laura
02:03:58.900
NBC has already called it for Laura Kelly in Kansas.
02:04:02.960
So that's a big loss for Republicans in Kansas.
02:04:06.560
And again, do Republicans have, like, is there a way for Republicans to keep the best of Trump's
02:04:16.740
That is what exactly, exactly what I'm hoping for.
02:04:18.660
What I'm, what I'm hoping for is that his policies, that he is continually forced to
02:04:23.260
the right so that his policies work and that his policies become represented by somebody
02:04:28.660
But I would not like to see, I would not like to see the Reagan-Bush handoff where Reagan
02:04:33.460
hands off to a guy who really doesn't support and he says, oh, we're going to be kinder
02:04:37.440
I would like to see somebody who's kinder and gentler and affect, but is as far right
02:04:43.800
Like, I, I used to think it was going to be Mike Pence.
02:04:46.800
I wonder if Mike Pence has the, the kind of gumption to be-
02:04:49.820
I think that, that basically the best candidates have the capacity to punch, but they also have
02:05:01.820
You know, Obama as a politician did have the capacity to do both of those things, which
02:05:06.760
You know, I think that on the, on the right side of the aisle, the problem with Vice President
02:05:10.160
Pence, who I like very much, is he has the capacity to speak broadly.
02:05:14.220
And, and right now the Republican base particularly values the capacity, if you have to pick
02:05:17.820
one or the other, the Republican base values the capacity to punch the most.
02:05:21.240
Other breaking news, Heidi Heitkamp is done in North Dakota, which was absolutely predicted.
02:05:27.940
I mean, she, she published the names of sexual assault survivors and not, without their permission.
02:05:35.440
I mean, it was just, her campaign was over three weeks ago.
02:05:38.820
So right now, it looks like the path to the Senate majority and the path to the House majority,
02:05:42.480
as Jim Antle says, we're running through absolutely different universes.
02:05:45.460
Like the Senate and the House are just living in, in completely different universes.
02:05:49.960
I mean, it's, it is, it is the way the, the districts are divided and what, what districts
02:05:54.420
were vulnerable and which ones weren't and which states were vulnerable and which ones
02:05:59.800
And that, that fact just means that nothing has really changed.
02:06:03.160
And, and that speaks to the weakness of the mainstream media and, and broader communications.
02:06:20.320
But what do we think, what do we think that's going to be?
02:06:24.880
I mean, they're, they're calling it, but they're not giving any numbers.
02:06:27.640
It's just, as of two minutes ago, they're calling it.
02:06:30.160
Henry Olsen was saying that it was like 3%, which in Texas is a hell of a scare.
02:06:43.080
A guy I like very much who I believe was wounded going into this.
02:06:46.480
Cassie, you got another question for us over there?
02:06:48.900
So Katie wants to know why New England or the Northeast elects Republican governors, but Democratic
02:06:59.060
Having lived there, yeah, New Yorker, it's because the Republicans are Democrats.
02:07:04.220
I mean, the Northeast Republican is so different from what we think of as a national Republican
02:07:12.060
The New York Republican Party, the Massachusetts Republican Party is a different beast.
02:07:19.060
And it's the same answer as California, which only elects Democratic senators, but occasionally
02:07:23.960
And that is that governors administer things better than Democrats, and the Senate is for
02:07:31.420
And so if you want a virtue signal, you virtue signal with the Senate, because the senators
02:07:35.240
I mean, here's the dirty little secret of the Senate.
02:07:39.360
It has some input in terms of budgetary matters.
02:07:41.300
But they're not really doing that much at the Senate, which is why everyone in the Senate
02:07:45.520
Like, there's been a suggestion that we should actually create a constitutional amendment
02:07:48.200
to ban senators from running for president, because it would make the Senate workable
02:07:53.040
It's not the worst idea in the world, because basically all these people do is they get
02:07:56.340
elected to the Senate, and as soon as they do, they're thinking, okay, I'm running for
02:07:59.600
Now I'm going to get up here and grandstand for the rest of my time here.
02:08:06.680
The governor's house is for actually running the state.
02:08:10.920
So Logan says, you guys hammer the left for hypocrisy and double standards, and they
02:08:16.740
Is this the only rule that we as a country agree on?
02:08:24.080
So you guys hammer the left for hypocrisy and double standards, and they give it right
02:08:28.340
back, as in the left gives it right back to the right.
02:08:30.560
Is this the only rule that we as a country agree on?
02:08:36.640
But on the left, it really is important to me that, I think Jeremy said this so well
02:08:42.420
earlier in the evening, when he talked about the fact that you're racist, but you're accusing
02:08:46.000
people of racism, that you're sexist, but accusing people of sexism, that you're doing
02:08:50.340
That this projection game that the left continually plays is maddening, and it makes people crazy.
02:08:58.000
I do not think the right is doing the same thing.
02:09:01.700
The hypocrisy on the right is that hypocrisy, the tribute that vice pays to virtue.
02:09:07.500
It is the fact that we put forward good values, and we don't always live by them.
02:09:12.460
That's a very different thing than accusing people of doing the things that you, in fact,
02:09:17.800
I agree, and I think that there's also points we made here about whataboutism.
02:09:20.640
Right now, there's been this idea that if I point out the left does something bad,
02:09:24.940
No, whataboutism is me saying, it's okay when my side does something bad because your side
02:09:29.220
Whataboutism is not me saying, you're right, my side did something bad.
02:09:32.140
Also, you guys did something bad, and this bad stuff is on both sides.
02:09:35.640
But whataboutism originally was a Soviet ploy where we would say, you guys are killing
02:09:40.140
people and putting them in gulags, and they would say, well, you had slaves.
02:09:43.360
You'd go like, yeah, 200 years ago, that's a different thing.
02:09:47.180
Whataboutism was originally comparing apples and oranges, and to say, oh, wait, you're doing
02:09:52.540
the same thing, or you've been doing the same thing is not whataboutism.
02:09:56.500
And the reason that they focus on hypocrisy more so than we do, I think, on the left is
02:10:04.580
And so when we try to hold ourselves to a standard and fail to hold ourselves to that standard,
02:10:10.920
But we can turn to them and say, you don't have any standards in the first place.
02:10:15.460
That's actually not the definition of hypocrisy.
02:10:17.960
The definition of hypocrisy is living by standards that are not the standards you preach.
02:10:23.520
It's not failing to live up to your own standards.
02:10:28.240
Right now, it looks like, as you say, the race has been called for Ted Cruz.
02:10:33.560
Doug Ducey was reelected as governor of Arizona.
02:10:47.160
And it's, and, you know, is there a pathway to broader Republican victory?
02:10:56.660
I think that now, I mean, it's going to be interesting.
02:10:59.760
One of the things that I have maintained about Trump from the beginning, which I think has panned out,
02:11:03.660
is that Trump is more flexible than the people who comment upon it.
02:11:06.680
For Trump, possibly, in some ways, possibly because he has no ideology and he has no standards.
02:11:17.860
And the question is going to be whether Trump looks at this and he says to himself, you know,
02:11:23.220
in part, my personality has done badly here, but it's done well here and so forth,
02:11:33.500
I think he's a very, very canny politician in this very gut, instinctive way.
02:11:38.520
And I think he's going to look at these results and they're going to change the way he governs
02:11:45.080
When you go out and you actually talk to people, they don't say, oh, I love Donald Trump.
02:11:53.980
If he hasn't done it, this is where I disagree.
02:11:55.580
If he hasn't done it by now, I don't think he's doing it.
02:11:57.020
And I think that he thinks that he's incredibly flexible guy.
02:12:01.240
See, I don't see that he's incredibly flexible.
02:12:03.500
I think that he reacts to circumstance, but I think that in order for him to react to the
02:12:07.040
circumstance, he has to take the advice of the circumstance.
02:12:09.240
And when it comes to issues of character, he's been pretty inflexible.
02:12:12.500
I mean, his character has not changed over time.
02:12:14.540
I've not seen him become a more moderate character.
02:12:16.580
He doesn't have been porn stars at the White House.
02:12:17.520
Yeah, there haven't been porn stars at the White House.
02:12:20.980
And the kind of things that he did against Ted Cruz, which really were egregious, they
02:12:27.920
You know, I won't say he's gotten rid of that 100 percent, but he's dialed it back.
02:12:35.020
Well, where has he done that kind of thing again?
02:12:38.420
To the extent of calling a man's father the murderer of JFK.
02:12:46.760
I think it was Donald Trump's way of being before, and he sees that it is not appropriate
02:13:01.580
He's attacked, I mean, any number of people in, like, directly in the media in exactly
02:13:07.300
the same way he attacked people during the campaign, right?
02:13:08.960
I mean, he went after Mikhail Brzezinski for a bloody face while he was president.
02:13:19.940
I mean, like, I understand that every day here is seven years.
02:13:28.060
Look, if you were able to cleanse that part of his personality and you were able to channel
02:13:31.520
his aggression in positive directions, they had to be nearly unstoppable.
02:13:38.180
He has changed, and I don't think he's given credit to...
02:13:40.080
Well, you know, instead of focusing so much on Trump, let's talk about what the Democrats
02:13:43.240
Because if you look at all of these races and how they're breaking down, what you are seeing
02:13:46.900
is the Democrats are overperforming where they ran moderates, and they're underperforming
02:13:55.380
Because Andrew Gillum is not even close to a moderate.
02:13:58.780
And the same thing is happening to Beto, even though Beto portrayed himself as a moderate.
02:14:06.020
All of the Democrats were winning across the country in these purple districts.
02:14:10.680
Blue Dogs is a little bit strong, but closer to Blue Dogs than to radical San Francisco
02:14:17.080
If the Democrats run somebody, quote unquote, moderate in 2020, it's going to provide Trump
02:14:21.980
with much more of a problem than if they go full-scale intersectional in 2020.
02:14:25.680
If they go full-scale intersectional in 2020, I think the presidential race looks a lot
02:14:29.800
And if they run somebody moderate, I think that the presidential race looks like these
02:14:34.940
Will their base allow them to ascend somebody moderate?
02:14:38.720
You know, I think that they can dig somebody up.
02:14:47.160
So right now, General Stanley McChrystal is going around making the rounds.
02:14:50.920
I mean, because I remember they tried to do this in 2004 with Wesley Clark.
02:15:00.400
And let's say that in 2020, they run Stanley McChrystal, like a serious human.
02:15:04.900
You know, there's a world where Democrats wake themselves up from this stupor and they
02:15:13.280
What 2020 is going to be about is who learned the lesson.
02:15:16.480
Now, the question is, does anyone think they learned a lesson?
02:15:18.880
My fear among Republicans is going to be that the enthusiasm for what happened in Florida
02:15:23.340
and what may be happening in Ohio and maybe it's happening in Indiana, that that enthusiasm
02:15:27.560
is going to translate into, we don't need to learn any lessons.
02:15:30.080
The Democrats are going to shoot themselves right in the head and all we have to do is
02:15:34.820
And of course, the other side of that is the Democrats saying we took the house.
02:15:37.360
The Democrats are looking at the house and saying, we did great yeoman's work here.
02:15:47.900
And now we have a couple of years to just shout at Trump and people don't like Trump.
02:15:51.360
And obviously us yelling at Trump meant that we won the house.
02:15:53.260
I think that is the most likely outcome that nobody learns anything.
02:15:56.680
Both parties are currently controlled by their base to an extent that we have not seen in
02:16:04.800
We've seen George W. Bush was not the base guy.
02:16:24.560
And so when the base is in power in both parties, I don't know if I've lived through
02:16:28.320
a time when both bases were controlling their parties.
02:16:33.840
I really, I know everyone decries the bases controlling the parties.
02:16:39.640
This was a big complaint among political scientists in the 30s and 40s and 50s that the two parties
02:16:48.860
Barry Goldwater called for a choice, not an echo.
02:16:51.260
I'd rather have an honest choice, even if it's run by the crazies of both parties.
02:16:55.340
I'd rather see two clear visions for America than some fake blue dog coming in and pretending
02:17:03.520
I don't think the base of each party is policy driven.
02:17:08.920
I would agree with you if it were like, OK, the Republican base is embracing Tea Party,
02:17:11.680
small government principles, individual rights and God-given liberties.
02:17:14.960
If it's just the Democrats are a-holes and we want somebody who's just going to sock those
02:17:22.320
And the Democratic base's entire pitch is Donald Trump is Hitler and we must go and stop him
02:17:29.600
I'm not sure how that is good for American politics.
02:17:32.740
So if I thought that it were a policy fight, I would totally agree.
02:17:36.800
I am the base when it comes to, you know, I am the Senate.
02:17:39.640
I am the base when it comes to a lot of these political concerns.
02:17:42.900
But I'm concerned that what the base is in love with right now is, in fact, the fight.
02:17:47.340
It is the owning the cons, owning the libs thing.
02:17:52.300
And it used to be that I think that, again, Obama shifted the model in 2012.
02:17:56.380
The model used to be that you lock down the base in the primaries and then you tack
02:18:00.600
And that was true not only with regard to policy, but with regard to affect, right?
02:18:06.340
That when you're on your home turf, you speak like a rabble-rousing Robespierre.
02:18:10.180
And then when you go out in public, then you speak the language of unification.
02:18:16.440
We all know the language of unification is bullshit.
02:18:19.300
We're just going to do the rabble-rousing thing on both sides everywhere.
02:18:22.340
And the problem is that that does lead to the belief, when you see what these, when I see
02:18:28.020
what the Democrats are saying, what they used to say behind closed doors, but now they're
02:18:30.580
saying in public, I go, these people are insane.
02:18:32.980
And I feel like Democrats say the same thing about us.
02:18:35.220
Like there is something to the idea of the kind of platonic noble lie to a certain extent
02:18:39.620
in politics, which is that even if you believe the other guys are ill-motivated, we do have
02:18:44.260
to have the veneer of civilization here, where you assume that the other people voting in
02:18:47.420
the democracy don't actually want to tear out the democracy at its roots.
02:18:50.020
Well, I think this speaks, though, to something that has become dysfunctional in our legislature.
02:18:57.820
You know, immigration is actually a great example of this.
02:19:01.340
As a guy who doesn't really care, you know, wake up in the morning worried about immigration,
02:19:09.180
I do worry about like Chuck Schumer waving a pen in the air and saying Donald Trump should
02:19:13.260
pass a law, you know, His Highness Donald Trump should pass a law, instead of saying I'm going
02:19:17.400
to go talk to Mitch McConnell and we're going to sit down and work out something that is
02:19:20.980
going to appeal to this country where we say these are the rules, we'll all stick by them
02:19:29.140
That's the essence of a republic is these guys doing that.
02:19:32.820
How is it, how is it that immigration law has stagnated where it is for so long?
02:19:38.460
With everybody, with everybody saying that it's wrong, how is that possible?
02:19:45.040
It would solve the thing that Ben is talking about, this division that Ben is talking about.
02:19:50.220
It would actually solve it on a cultural level if they could deal with it on a legislative level.
02:19:56.680
I want to carve out for a moment immigration because I actually think immigration is unique.
02:20:01.400
The reason that everyone in the country says no to this completely free-flowing immigration
02:20:06.680
system that we have, but nothing is done about it, is because the elites of both parties
02:20:12.440
have a vested interest in keeping our borders open.
02:20:14.900
The Democrats believe they're importing new voters, and the Republicans believe that they're
02:20:22.620
So their constituents, so I don't think that immigration should be the one you ask about.
02:20:27.420
The question, why isn't the legislature doing anything anywhere?
02:20:31.820
I actually think is a byproduct of a sort of Tea Party, populist, well-intentioned move that has
02:20:42.100
had disastrous consequences, and that's doing away with earmarks.
02:20:53.940
It's disgusting that some congressman and some senator from some state conspire, and you
02:20:58.480
build a bridge to nowhere, and they spend $25 million on something that three people are
02:21:03.720
ever going to drive on, and we rightly as conservatives, rightly as a Tea Party in that
02:21:10.120
It's like the worst excesses of political corruption, and we worked to get away from
02:21:17.540
The problem is, as soon as we did away with earmarks, we took away the only incentive
02:21:22.460
for legislatures to legislate doors to take political risks.
02:21:26.740
So the day we did away with earmarks, we actually did away with Congress.
02:21:32.340
How many times does Congress vote and actually pass a bill in any given year?
02:21:38.940
When they pass a budget, it's this giant, sprawling, omnibus budget package where there
02:21:44.540
aren't individual committee recommendations for individual pieces of the budget, which
02:21:48.080
seeds the legislative oversight power to the executive.
02:21:52.020
It's how you get this supercharged federal bureaucracy, executive bureaucracy, making law
02:21:57.180
through regulation with no congressional oversight.
02:21:59.720
Because now, if you can't bring home the bacon for your constituents, why risk it?
02:22:07.660
You know, when you first put this theory forward, I thought like, wow, that's a really weird
02:22:13.620
Every single legislator that I've ever talked to believes this is the case.
02:22:16.520
Like every single one, and it does show the disconnect between, you know, what we do
02:22:21.800
in the political class and what people actually have to do in Congress.
02:22:25.760
Last time I was over in Congress interviewing Speaker Ryan, we had a couple of extra hours.
02:22:46.520
I was supposed to be speaking at Georgetown, and it got snowed out.
02:22:50.580
So we just had like an impromptu kind of congressional staff event, and all the congressional
02:22:57.780
And what I said to them, and what I've said to many Congress people over the years, is
02:23:01.740
they start off as ideologues just the same as we are, right?
02:23:05.020
They believe all the same things, many of these folks.
02:23:07.180
And then they go into these halls of power, and it turns out that you actually do have
02:23:12.000
And when we try to destroy people for the fact on the ground, what we end up doing is
02:23:19.720
So the earmark example is a perfect example of this.
02:23:21.780
It's also true with regard to immigration and every other policy.
02:23:25.080
Like Donald Trump could have gotten a good trade for the wall, right?
02:23:28.600
Like there are a couple of good trades that were on the table for the wall, right?
02:23:31.240
Like he wanted the funding for the wall, and he wanted to end certain aspects of chain
02:23:35.200
And in return, it was like legalization of 1.5 million dreamers or something.
02:23:40.140
I mean, sorry to break it to everybody, but they are.
02:23:48.700
And to get some actual concrete gains in a situation in which there are no concrete
02:23:54.880
But in our world, you know, the purity pays in our world.
02:24:03.480
And so what that means is that we are actually preaching to a group of people who become
02:24:07.920
frustrated every time politics is what politics is.
02:24:10.500
And so the reaction is a Trump, somebody from the outside who's going to shatter things.
02:24:13.760
And then they're shocked when Trump goes in and he still has to live in that world,
02:24:20.740
I've always called this fist upon politics where you go like this.
02:24:23.380
You know, you've got to, you've got to, something must be done.
02:24:25.960
And you think, you know, I always felt that Paul Ryan was the big victim of this.
02:24:29.920
A decent human being who actually did something brave.
02:24:33.720
Which was trying to reform the entitlement system, which somebody's going to have to
02:24:39.160
And all we heard about this was, oh, Paul Ryan, he's the worst.
02:24:46.560
You know, herding cats in Congress is an incredibly difficult job.
02:24:50.900
And I think that to have, and we're guilty of this.
02:25:01.420
And here's what they, because talk radio takes it on the chin all the time from, you
02:25:06.920
What talk radio does and what's necessary is they do a public education about key issues.
02:25:11.880
But what they, what we ought to be doing, and I think it's important to say this, is we
02:25:17.860
Here's where we're straying from that principle.
02:25:19.980
Here are the political machinations that are leading us to stray from that principle.
02:25:23.160
We would prefer that we not have to stray from the principle, but sometimes you get the
02:25:27.320
And maybe what we ought to be doing is trying to redesign the system itself so that we don't
02:25:31.720
actually have to go for these bad deals as opposed to, you know what?
02:25:35.100
I'm sure that's possible in a world with human beings.
02:25:37.060
No, but I think that it is possible in the sense that, so we'll take an example.
02:25:40.700
So I talked with Prime Minister Stephen Harper from Canada the other day, and we were talking
02:25:44.300
specifically about the auto bailout that he did in Canada, and he's a pretty free market
02:25:49.820
He was, and he was talking up like, I had to do the auto bailout because it was going to
02:25:54.120
And, you know, that's not political expedience.
02:25:55.920
I said, well, it kind of is political expedience.
02:26:00.840
But in the moment, I either lose 500,000 jobs or I don't lose 500,000 jobs.
02:26:05.260
And they're either going to be sucked south of the border to the United States, which had just
02:26:09.860
Now, it seems to me that in that situation, there's a fair argument to be made that you
02:26:21.300
What the political class then does is they say, OK, well, we bailed out the auto industry.
02:26:25.080
How about that little guy who right now is suffering?
02:26:28.160
How can we look at that guy and say, we're not going to bail you out after we bail out the
02:26:33.260
And the answer to that is, you know, now in good times, that's when the purity matters.
02:26:39.140
The pure in bad times, purity sort of goes out the window because you just got to get
02:26:42.760
But in economic downturn, you got to you got to do things you don't like.
02:26:46.020
But in but in economic uptimes, like now is when Republicans, this is where I'm disappointed
02:26:50.480
And this is where talk radio deserves to be disappointed in Republicans.
02:26:54.740
You had a majority in the House that's now gone.
02:26:58.260
And you did nothing about many of the deepest, most pressing problems of the nation, specifically
02:27:03.480
because you wanted to maintain your own political hopes for the future.
02:27:06.300
And because there's no incentive for you to vote.
02:27:09.240
Well, this is where, you know, in about 2008 is when this spending, pork barrel spending
02:27:17.660
And it was a totally contrived issue at the time.
02:27:20.380
It was contrived largely by John McCain because John McCain was a big spending Republican.
02:27:25.440
And he couldn't run on cutting the major government spending that he wanted to preserve.
02:27:30.080
So he ran against this little thing, earmarks, which is none percent of the federal budget.
02:27:35.440
And it really, you know, we, I won't say we fell for it.
02:27:38.400
You know, I understand on principle, we don't like the pork barrel either.
02:27:43.640
And McCain, McCain got everything wrong like this.
02:27:45.700
I mean, the McCain-Feingold Act, he was always money, money.
02:27:51.100
He didn't understand what money was and how it affected things.
02:27:53.760
Oh, he knew that money was that thing you marry.
02:27:59.560
I'm going to take one more question from Cassie.
02:28:01.200
And then we're going to check in to Elisha Election Headquarters and get an update on all
02:28:06.600
Somebody wants to know what you think Nikki Haley is going to do now that she's no longer
02:28:12.920
Well, now that she no longer has a position as my spirit animal, you know, she, I think that
02:28:20.420
I would be surprised if she doesn't run for office again.
02:28:23.380
I would urge her to stay extremely active because I think that the shelf life for politicians
02:28:27.320
who are out of office is about half a millisecond these days.
02:28:31.280
I think if you're out of the public eye, you're basically not, you know, on the table for a
02:28:37.060
I mean, she could pull up Mitt Romney and find her way into the Senate.
02:28:42.020
No, I don't think that makes any sense for Nikki Haley.
02:28:44.240
Look, I think that in 2024, she's a very viable live candidate.
02:28:57.440
And actually, I know someone else who's met Nikki Haley.
02:29:09.100
You've never talked about my friend Nikki Haley or anything like that.
02:29:12.600
I will say, Nikki Haley is just a wonderful human being.
02:29:15.440
You may have heard that I've met a lot of politicians.
02:29:23.100
I mean, like, as good as she is on camera and at the UN, she's just as great in person.
02:29:29.760
I can say that about, like, five politicians, maybe, that they're genuine human beings.
02:29:34.960
She has a serious shot of being the first female president.
02:29:40.380
I don't have enough good things to say about Nikki Haley.
02:29:44.760
Give us an update on what's going on out there.
02:29:46.840
And unfortunately, I have not had the pleasure of meeting the amazing Nikki Haley.
02:29:50.340
But I did meet her impersonator, our very own Cassie Dillon, on Halloween.
02:29:57.620
So we have this awesome election update for you guys.
02:30:00.260
We have this great graphic of the Senate to kind of show you where things lie right now.
02:30:03.500
And you go, oh, what is this yellow mark right here?
02:30:05.980
Well, it turns out it's a senator that's an incumbent from the great state of Maine.
02:30:10.520
I only know that because I love their lobsters up there.
02:30:13.060
Angus King, he's the sole independent right there.
02:30:20.040
CNN, Fox News, and others are saying that we're good to maintain the majority in the Senate.
02:30:24.260
If we had a live shot of Cocaine Mitch right now, I promise you I would go to him because
02:30:30.920
But something that's really interesting, of course, is that we were able to pick up North Dakota.
02:30:34.220
I don't think many people are surprised by that considering during the whole Kavanaugh debacle
02:30:38.780
how awful Heidi Heitkamp was looking in that state.
02:30:41.640
But Josh Hawley in Missouri is pretty impressive versus Claire McCaswell.
02:30:48.220
And then this general election, of course, he had talk radio giants like Rush Limbaugh and
02:30:52.920
Sean Hannity, the great American, go out and campaign for him along with President Trump
02:31:01.800
Guys, this race against, like, between Scott Walker and his Democratic opponent there in
02:31:09.760
I mean, and this is insane, too, considering that Walker has been able to survive so many
02:31:13.640
teachers' unions attacks in the past, including numerous recalls.
02:31:25.040
That's with over 25% of the precincts reporting right now.
02:31:29.000
Moving back to the Senate, though, I want to take a look at Michigan.
02:31:33.360
Of course, Stabenow typically expected to win there.
02:31:36.600
But it is really interesting that John James right now, 44%, that's with 57% of the precincts
02:31:41.760
reporting a lot of the areas around the metropolitan area of Detroit, which tends to be a lot of
02:31:47.100
Democrat minority voters, of course, are reporting there.
02:31:50.180
Some of the rural areas of Michigan not quite reporting yet.
02:31:53.320
So, maybe some more could go to John James, but it's looking like it might be Debbie Stabenow.
02:31:58.780
Now, we're starting to get the beginning results of a race that everyone in the nation is watching.
02:32:08.320
There's been a lot of talk about how, as awful as Kyrsten Sinema is, even saying things like that
02:32:13.200
she doesn't know why she lives in Arizona and Arizonans are stupid and stuff,
02:32:18.740
And this is for, you know, Senator Jeff Flake's open seat there in Arizona.
02:32:37.300
And then finally, last Senate update for you guys tonight, we have Montana.
02:32:41.920
The numbers are just slowly starting to roll in.
02:32:43.940
But this is one of the races that we have to watch because Republicans were hopeful.
02:32:49.000
A lot of pollsters were calling this a toss-up.
02:32:57.200
And that's about 18% of the precincts reporting.
02:33:03.360
Well, so I think that McSally wins that race against Sinema.
02:33:08.640
I have a hard time believing that somebody who said in 2003 they don't mind if Americans join the Taliban and ends up in the Senate.
02:33:18.840
I mean, what can you say about a guy who is going to end up in an election for Democrats picking up a bunch of seats?
02:33:24.840
Republicans may end up with as many as 55 seats in the Senate after all of the Senate.
02:33:28.600
By the way, they're going to need that cushion because in 2020, the map really shifts.
02:33:32.020
And suddenly, a bunch of Republicans are up for re-election in blue-slash-purple states.
02:33:36.900
And that could get really ugly, which is when Trump's coattails really are going to have a major effect there.
02:33:41.560
You know what we haven't talked about in terms of Trump?
02:33:47.120
I do not know if you can acquire this information of how many blacks and Hispanics have turned for Trump.
02:33:54.980
And the reason I don't know this is because they have to self-report.
02:33:57.740
There's no way for us to know unless they're willing to say, oh, yeah, I voted for Donald Trump.
02:34:03.480
And yet, and yet, we keep seeing these numbers, these strange numbers, 36%, 40% of blacks supporting Trump.
02:34:11.760
If that's true, he could really wipe the Democratic Party out once they start actually voting in those numbers.
02:34:19.160
He could wipe the Democratic Party out in a re-election bid.
02:34:22.120
The question will be, there's two questions, actually.
02:34:24.400
One is, has Trump actually moved a significant majority of those minority voters to a willingness to vote for him?
02:34:33.980
The next question will be, does their willingness to vote for him translate into a willingness to vote for other Republicans down ticket?
02:34:41.020
And again, I don't trust a lot of the polls that you're seeing about percentages because it's just not enough polls of black folks.
02:34:46.820
I mean, like, the numbers, the sheer number of black folks being polled is like, it'll be like a poll sample of 11 people.
02:34:53.300
And three of them are like, I kind of like Trump.
02:34:55.440
And it's like, okay, well, that's 40% of black folks.
02:34:59.160
And it is hard to know, especially when they theoretically voted like 140% for Barack Obama, you know, which was completely understandable to me.
02:35:11.740
But was that loyalty to Democrats or was it just loyalty to Obama?
02:35:17.340
You know, one of the questions here also, and when it comes to Trump, which do you think Trump had more impact on, the Senate or the House?
02:35:22.640
Because that really is a big question, meaning that we're going to lose the House.
02:35:26.560
But which one of those is more of a referendum on Trump or are both?
02:35:29.740
Well, he campaigned more for Senate candidates.
02:35:31.640
Yeah, he's almost entirely for Senate candidates.
02:35:33.940
By the same token, Senate candidates have much more of independent personas as opposed to Trump, right?
02:35:39.040
I mean, like, people actually know, like, name a House candidate.
02:35:41.960
Right, but I can tell you who, like, Ron DeSantis ran as a very Trumpy candidate in Florida and McSally not as much in Arizona.
02:35:50.320
So their independent personas kind of do make a difference in these particular races,
02:35:54.300
which, again, raises the question of whether Trump is a boon or is he a detriment?
02:36:03.080
I mean, honestly, here's the most controversial proposition of the night.
02:36:07.680
Like, really, this is a controversial proposition.
02:36:13.900
Because if Trump didn't exist, let's say that it were some other Republican, unnamed Republican, who were president of the United States, these results look basically what you would kind of expect, you know?
02:36:24.480
And turnout, you know, congressional races are all about turnout because most people don't know who their congressman is.
02:36:30.000
And so the fact that you're there, you start to poke your Democrat or Republican ticket at that point.
02:36:38.800
Look, look, this is true of everybody in this room.
02:36:41.240
There's no question that politics are fascinating right now.
02:36:50.480
You know, the question is going to be in a presidential, can he continue to win with 45 percent of the vote, 46 percent of the vote?
02:36:58.360
And how does he turn that into 49 percent of the vote?
02:37:01.360
Well, I mean, I think it's fair to say that, like, it'll be interesting.
02:37:06.800
It actually will be sort of interesting, contra me making fun of Ezra Klein.
02:37:10.260
It will be interesting to see what the popular vote totals look like tonight in terms of percentage.
02:37:13.500
Because if they mirror what it looked like in 2016, that suggests that Trump has some work to do on the ground in order to help himself for 2020.
02:37:19.180
I mean, George W. Bush had to pick up like 11 million votes, 12 million votes between 2000 and 2004 to win re-election.
02:37:24.480
He barely did that in the middle of, you know, 9-11 and war in Afghanistan.
02:37:30.160
Which, by the way, brings up a whole other thing is, of course, events.
02:37:33.540
You know, one of the things that makes every politics so interesting and so complicated is you don't know what's going to happen.
02:37:37.440
The other issue, I mean, we are on the longest bull run in the last two millennia or something.
02:37:41.960
I mean, at a certain point, the economy has to cool down a little bit.
02:37:45.800
And, you know, right now we're two years out of a re-election.
02:37:48.680
At what point, if the economy starts to dip, does he lose his mortgage?
02:37:53.160
Honestly, I tend to reject all conspiracy theories.
02:37:57.440
But I have one pet conspiracy theory, which is that I think that there are big players in American finance and global finance who wage a kind of economic warfare around presidential elections against Republicans.
02:38:12.360
And it's not that big a conspiracy theory because we've seen...
02:38:38.240
No, I'm talking not about a religious or ethnic tribe.
02:38:44.600
I'm talking about people like Soros and others who I think plausibly wage a kind of economic warfare around presidential elections.
02:38:53.580
I mean, the guy broke the Bank of England, you know.
02:38:59.440
NBC is now projecting Mike DeWine for Ohio governor.
02:39:05.920
So, again, Republicans doing very well on the up-ballot races, not doing nearly as well in the House, which is a weird bifurcation.
02:39:21.940
Like, this is one of the reasons why it's not a 60-vote majority for the Democrats.
02:39:27.840
I mean, the fact is that these districts have now been polarized into red districts or blue districts.
02:39:31.600
And the number of available purple districts is just much smaller.
02:39:34.600
So, while it may be that this doesn't look like 2010, the map also doesn't look like 2010.
02:39:42.200
I mean, swings of 30 seats are probably better for the country than swings of 60 seats every couple of years.
02:39:48.660
In some ways, there's a case to be made that this is maybe the best position for President Trump to find himself in for 2020.
02:39:56.660
The case to be made for that is that President Trump, every time there's a failure, he's had to rip his own Congress.
02:40:10.220
And just like he rips on his own attorney general.
02:40:12.740
If he has a bunch of Democrats in the House who look like they are out to get him, he now actually has the same case that Obama had in 2012, which is this do-nothing Congress that won't help me in any way.
02:40:27.000
We're just going to keep pumping through judges.
02:40:28.740
We're just going to keep pumping judges in there.
02:40:30.000
So the key thing that gets Republicans out to vote, which is the judges, that is if it is one issue, it is the judges.
02:40:37.320
And meanwhile, Trump gets to pummel the Democrats in the House over and over and over.
02:40:41.480
We had a Daily Wire subscriber ask us a question earlier in the evening.
02:40:45.980
Why do these governorships in states I don't live in matter?
02:40:49.400
One reason is because they help determine the district maps within their states.
02:40:54.060
So if you don't want Democrats trying to figure out how to keep Republicans from being able to elect congressmen in the future, you need Republican legislatures and you need Republican governors.
02:41:05.100
You know, this is one I've worked on a bunch of congressional campaigns around the Northeast, and there are some where redistricting just killed us.
02:41:13.040
And we knew it, and we knew the second it happened was we're not winning re-election.
02:41:16.680
And the other thing to remember about these House races is that out here, we don't know our congressmen.
02:41:21.920
If you live in New York City or L.A., you don't know your congressmen.
02:41:25.000
But if you live in suburban, ex-urban, rural districts, you do.
02:41:33.080
I was looking at them last night where I just thought that district, which did break for Trump, is going to re-elect its Democrat congressmen without question.
02:41:43.640
And there is a personal element here that you can't nationalize all the time.
02:41:47.560
And, you know, we do talk about voters in a very condescending way a lot of times, and I don't think it's actually accurate.
02:41:54.800
I think the voters I talk to are always, you know, they have very sensible points of view.
02:41:58.960
They know who the people are that they're voting for a lot of times.
02:42:01.640
And they just say, you know, yeah, I like this and I don't like that, or I know him.
02:42:06.680
You know, all this stuff about he's a veteran and he's, you know, maneuvering this and that, people are awfully bright about this stuff.
02:42:13.640
It's much brighter than we give them credit for.
02:42:16.280
And much more nuanced, by the way, than commentators.
02:42:20.760
I think people should be able to vote from their district.
02:42:23.260
I think that congresspeople should spend 90% of their time in their home district, and they should spend 5% of their time in D.C. voting on a budget once every three months.
02:42:29.560
I think one of the biggest mistakes that we do.
02:42:31.700
Yeah, I mean, then people actually have to answer to their constituents.
02:42:35.520
Do you think that, I mean, do you think there's any chance of that happening?
02:42:40.320
When lazy millennials take over and we're like, you know what, not getting on a plane.
02:42:43.560
You know, you make that great point, too, on the voters being more sophisticated than the national commentators.
02:42:49.400
I sound like I'm writing a Thomas Friedman column.
02:42:56.160
You know, we were talking politics a little bit, and she had a down home, Alabama.
02:43:00.240
And then she proceeded to tell me exactly how the tax reform was benefiting her.
02:43:05.580
I thought, God, I don't know that much about tax reform.
02:43:12.380
You talk to people in audiences who are, you know, just working class guys.
02:43:15.920
And they tell you this stuff, and you think, like, wow, that's an actually sophisticated view.
02:43:19.960
I mean, I found that, you know, listen, I'm a coastal guy.
02:43:24.360
And at one point in my life, I just traveled across the country for years, and I met all
02:43:29.060
these people, and I thought, wow, these people are smart, you know?
02:43:37.900
So for me, being in the middle of the country isn't like being in India, and the food tastes
02:43:44.280
different, and there's these unique smells, and that building's made of marble, and people
02:43:51.740
So I don't see the people in the middle of the country as novel in any way.
02:44:04.140
Because we are about to imbibe the most delicious Leftist Tears agony of the evening.
02:44:12.340
If you do not have a Leftist Tears Tumblr and are therefore unable to partake in the joy
02:44:17.360
you're about to witness in us, you can go over and remedy that right now at dailywire.com
02:44:24.360
We'll give you this beautiful Tumblr, and you get the shows that these guys produce on
02:44:28.540
We're about to fill them with something so, so sweet.
02:44:31.980
Cassie has the Twitter reaction to Beto's loss in Texas.
02:44:48.920
And it seems that most of Twitter is kind of echoing that.
02:44:51.860
A lot of the blue check marks on the left are saying the same thing.
02:44:55.640
Because you may not think that that's not an obvious tear.
02:45:06.580
And then we also have another blue check mark on the leftist side.
02:45:14.640
How many t-shirts he ruined with all that sweat?
02:45:22.760
And why would you vote for him in a race like this?
02:45:25.480
So it seems they're mad at the third-party candidates now.
02:45:29.300
I can't hear you over the tremors going through my body, coursing through my veins as I, hmm.
02:45:36.860
When I drink the Robert Francis O'Rourke tears, I get a little drunk.
02:45:43.320
We need one more to get us through the evening.
02:45:46.020
We have one from a leftist comedian who used to write for The Daily Show.
02:45:50.660
And he says, Ted Cruz being re-elected when Beto was the other option says,
02:45:54.660
it's more about the quality of the people of Texas than it does about Beto.
02:46:06.180
Ben, what's going on out there in election land?
02:46:07.740
Well, the McSally cinema race, which is the one I'm most interested in, that thing is just
02:46:15.220
Right now, 56% of the vote in, they're separated by 9,000 votes.
02:46:19.580
So 630,000 to 621,000 with McSally in the slight lead.
02:46:27.120
Right now, the final forecast or close to final forecast from 538 is Democrats plus 35.
02:46:39.800
I mean, you've got to take advantage of the gloating when it's available.
02:46:41.360
And Senate R plus 2 is where they have that forecast.
02:46:46.020
So that would leave Republicans with, what, 54 seats in the Senate, which is a comfortable
02:46:51.260
And Ruth Bader Ginsburg is 85 years old, which is, of course, what's on the back of everybody's
02:46:57.080
Well, it's so important, too, because he's obviously, I mean, I think this is where Amy
02:47:01.660
Barrett's going to come into play and why he was holding her in reserve.
02:47:06.720
And I think that that's going to be a very tough fight for the Democrats.
02:47:10.580
Andrew Gillen, by the way, has officially conceded the race to Ron DeSantis.
02:47:24.360
Scott Walker running a very, very close race in Wisconsin.
02:47:36.740
He's been around for a long time at this point.
02:47:42.260
Claudia Tenney, who is a good Republican congresswoman from New York.
02:47:47.520
Yeah, unfortunately, her district was just called for the Democrats.
02:47:50.060
So, again, what it looks like is blue areas getting bluer.
02:47:59.360
If red districts get redder, if the right gets more right, if blue districts get bluer and
02:48:05.040
the left gets more left, what happens to a country?
02:48:08.780
You know, I don't know that there is anything good that comes from us.
02:48:13.720
I mean, after all, we do have to figure in policy and the results if the country continues
02:48:22.080
You just stated Wisconsin's never been better than Wisconsin is right now.
02:48:25.860
There's a real chance that Scott Walker gets thrown out.
02:48:28.980
But cultural opinions and cultural policies have results as well.
02:48:33.620
And if we find that, for instance, you know, one of the things about Donald Trump is when
02:48:38.440
you look at how blacks have done under this administration, he's the worst racist who
02:48:49.660
So I think that, you know, that is what affects people.
02:48:52.520
People do start to turn around and say, you know, he doesn't talk the way I was told
02:48:56.720
he's supposed to talk, and yet my life is getting better.
02:49:02.460
By the way, the thing about culture that the right has never understood is they're
02:49:08.460
They always think everything is going down the drain right this minute.
02:49:10.820
They're always rushing off to stick their finger in the dike.
02:49:15.360
And culture is also, reality is part of the culture.
02:49:18.680
Martha McSally, according to Henry Olsen, is looking good in Arizona.
02:49:22.060
He says that she's ahead with 1.3 million votes in.
02:49:25.100
He says if the Election Day vote trends GOP as it has elsewhere, she'll win.
02:49:28.480
He thinks that that means a three-seat pickup in the Senate for Republicans.
02:49:33.960
He said that the St. Louis vote has been so big against Hawley.
02:49:37.720
Yeah, although McCaskill is still behind fairly significantly.
02:49:44.300
Here's one of the other things that's kind of odd about how this has gone.
02:49:47.900
Democrats have been saying, well, what we really need here is we need a Republican Party that's
02:49:51.360
We need a Republican Party that changes from the inside and checks Trump.
02:49:53.980
Well, what they've actually done in this election is get rid of any Republican who ever had an
02:50:00.440
Every single Republican who was kind of lukewarm on Trump in these peripheral districts, in
02:50:06.040
the suburbs, who cares about those suburban voters and those growing demographic minorities,
02:50:09.460
every one of those Congress people is losing tonight.
02:50:13.300
So what you're getting is a more ideologically pure version of the Republican Party in terms
02:50:21.580
There's no question that Trump has changed the party.
02:50:26.860
I think the question is how much of that change is a change of affect and how much of that
02:50:30.200
change, which I'm not entirely against, and how much of that change is a change in actual
02:50:35.760
I think more affect than policy, if I had to put my finger on it.
02:50:39.280
Today, Democrats are in, you know, maybe there's hope for the country in this.
02:50:44.680
Six of the Democrats who have picked up seats from Republicans are military veterans.
02:50:49.680
That usually suggests a little bit more moderate on policy, just as a general rule.
02:50:54.220
So that means that maybe you're seeing a little bit of that diversification in the Democratic
02:50:58.420
You know, we don't talk a lot about what the Democratic Party could do to actually be better
02:51:01.340
for the country because, you know, we think of them as a thing to be defeated.
02:51:04.560
Right, but the fact is that a Democratic Party that returns to the idea of having some ideological
02:51:10.880
diversity more effectuated toward the right and the moderate center would be very good
02:51:16.000
I mean, it would provide at least some sort of center for people to actually talk to.
02:51:19.140
That was one of my hopes for the Republicans keeping the House, is that it would require
02:51:26.940
You know, has anybody been watching this Kansas race in the second congressional district?
02:51:32.160
Steve Watkins was 21 percent, the Republican, was 21 percent behind, and now it's tied.
02:51:40.100
I'm interested in talking about some House races.
02:51:41.840
I think Elisha may have an update for us over at Elisha's election headquarters.
02:51:47.280
It is, but I mean, it's better than the Daily Wire backstage election coverage from election
02:51:56.960
You guys were talking about those House races there, and I think you bring up some very
02:52:00.860
good points, specifically that there seems to be some diversification within the Democratic
02:52:04.880
Party when it comes to those congressional districts.
02:52:07.220
Like Ben mentioned, you have some Democrats that are Iraq and Afghanistan vets that, you
02:52:11.720
know, maybe they'll end up being like a Joe Manchin that sometimes votes with Donald Trump
02:52:17.260
We have an updated House of Representatives map here.
02:52:20.120
It looks as if, of course, Democrats are going to be taking the House.
02:52:24.400
House seats that Democrats currently need are four in order to take the majority, and Democrats
02:52:29.360
are looking pretty good to take that majority because they are leading in 16 currently held
02:52:35.820
So when you look at this map here, the Democrats are going to be really close, and once again,
02:52:40.500
all they need right now, according to CNN, is they're saying four.
02:52:43.700
Here, our graphic is lagging just a little bit, but you can see that it looks as if Democrats
02:52:47.900
might take that up if they are leading in those 16 races.
02:52:51.240
In addition to that, we have places like here in California, two districts, Rohrabacher and
02:52:55.940
Hunter, that have had some issues that they typically have not had in the past, and typically
02:53:00.580
as goes California, specifically Orange County with Republicans, then goes the rest of the
02:53:08.300
You guys briefly mentioned the Arizona Senate race.
02:53:11.160
It looks as if McSally might be pulling through.
02:53:13.880
This is really good news from Republicans in the Senate, of course.
02:53:16.680
You know, tip your leftist tears tumblers to Cocaine Mitch, who is like my favorite guy of
02:53:21.580
the year, I mean, how can you not love him, but the Arizona Senate race, we have McSally
02:53:26.240
with 49.2% lead right now, and Kyrsten Sinema at 48.5%.
02:53:30.960
That's with almost 60% of the precincts reporting, and the rest of the precincts that we're remaining
02:53:35.780
waiting for, guys, we're taking a close look at that when we're bringing you these reports,
02:53:40.880
because we know that certain precincts are going to lean more left, and certain precincts
02:53:44.780
are going to lean more right, but the remaining precincts that we're waiting to come in
02:53:48.000
for McSally are typically very GOP-friendly districts.
02:53:52.980
Ben also mentioned the good governor, Scott Walker.
02:53:55.840
I mean, this is really just unexpected tonight.
02:53:58.540
I mean, people knew that this might be a tough race, but it is so incredibly close right now.
02:54:03.320
We have Evans with 49.2%, and Governor Walker with 48.9%, with 64% reporting.
02:54:11.160
What is interesting here is, once again, we're paying very close attention to specific precincts.
02:54:15.460
The precincts in Milwaukee and Madison, Wisconsin areas, of course, are leaning very blue.
02:54:22.460
The rural areas are more red, but have less voters in them, and the Green Bay area, I guess,
02:54:28.000
thanks Packers, I don't know sports, it is tending to lean red.
02:54:34.380
Nevada and California are closing in just a couple of minutes, so we'll be continuing to
02:54:41.900
Green Bay is definitely one of my favorite basketball teams.
02:54:43.980
Dean Heller in Nevada is going to be a really contested race.
02:54:46.160
The current forecast from 538 is D plus 37 in the House, which is starting to look more
02:54:54.400
So, it's, you know, again, more of the same from the evening, but that's a significant move
02:55:04.300
I mean, they're going to have a substantial majority going into the next couple of years.
02:55:09.220
And let's, you know, for a second, we need to talk seriously about Beto.
02:55:11.620
I know that we've been joking about him all night.
02:55:13.720
He's going to lose by about three points in Texas.
02:55:19.560
Because the left made a huge deal out of Wendy Davis when she ran for governor against Greg
02:55:23.460
And then Greg Abbott beat her by more points than there are in the world.
02:55:32.280
Ted Cruz, who won his last race very, very widely, to win by three points, is that an
02:55:39.800
indicator of a serious move on behalf of Democrats in the state?
02:55:44.600
Is that just going to feed Democrat sort of pipe dreams of taking over Texas?
02:55:48.220
Or is Texas beginning to actually kind of turn purple?
02:55:50.720
Well, if what Glenn Beck said to us is true, and you've got a thousand people from California
02:55:55.420
moving in there all the time, you know, I mean, I think that that is going to, it's got
02:56:00.160
And the thing that would be interesting for us to start talking about publicly and maybe,
02:56:04.820
you know, saying to our friends, the Democrats, is, hey, you're running away from California
02:56:14.920
Instead of bringing California to Texas, maybe you should start voting like Texas.
02:56:18.740
And I think that that's, you know, it's an argument that could be made.
02:56:20.840
And if you'd like to stay in a place where the weather is great, what if you brought
02:56:26.360
That would be the wonderful thing if they started moving this way.
02:56:31.040
Again, my personal goodwill for Ted Cruz, I think, has been well stated.
02:56:41.900
He hurt himself with Trump's base, which is the dominant part of the party now, with his
02:56:47.860
And he hurt himself with his actual base after the convention when he endorsed Trump.
02:56:57.280
He's done a great job for Trump over the last two years.
02:57:00.100
But Trump has not taken many opportunities to rehab him during that time.
02:57:05.540
So when you are in a presidential election, if Texas tilts blue in 2020, it will confirm
02:57:13.860
the theory that Texas, the demographics and the voting makeup, the makeup of the voters
02:57:22.860
But I think it is more likely that this is an anomalous event where you have this damaged
02:57:28.780
guy versus the most talented new politician on the scene today, more talented than anyone
02:57:34.680
currently running for president on the Democrat side.
02:57:38.240
Do you think that they tried to draft him for president?
02:57:40.100
Because we were making fun of Melissa Milano a little bit earlier.
02:57:44.780
I think he's been saving his money to run for president.
02:57:47.340
He actually hasn't been spending the kind of money that he has.
02:57:51.900
He hasn't been giving it to anybody else either.
02:57:58.300
And the question will be, did the loss in Texas set him up to be a front runner going
02:58:10.280
Because the way that we typically see this now is you get elected to the Senate.
02:58:13.920
Two years later, you're on the ballot to be president.
02:58:20.920
Is the very quickly, as soon as you're in the Senate first term.
02:58:25.160
I'm only an honorary Texan, as you may have heard.
02:58:27.140
Yes, I've now been made an honorary Texan, which I appreciate.
02:58:41.180
Well, Texas is changing like everywhere is changing.
02:58:44.140
Texas does suffer from the huge influx of Californians.
02:58:48.920
I think that Texas also is suffering from something that's happening writ large.
02:58:53.460
But I think Texas is uniquely situated to suffer from it.
02:58:56.120
And that is the growth of urban centers over rural populations.
02:59:00.360
That more and more people, you know, Texas is big enough that we have a lot of urban areas.
02:59:04.340
And so that's a lot of area to suck in people who, you know, as you live in a city, you very naturally become more liberal.
02:59:14.820
You know, anecdotally, my parents say that they've never seen more yard signs in any past election than they saw for Beto O'Rourke in this.
02:59:23.420
In Lubbock County, which is arguably one of the three most conservative counties in America.
02:59:28.160
So I think there's no question that there is some shift taking place in Texas.
02:59:33.760
Texas can shift a long way and still be read, which is why I think that we shouldn't read too much into this one moment where you have the most talented Democrat politician to come along,
02:59:44.540
probably since Obama, running against a damaged Ted Cruz, who, while he has many gifts, being a great retail politician is not one of them.
02:59:55.160
I just think that it I think it's a perfect storm.
02:59:57.120
Henry Olsen, by the way, says just update R plus four in the Senate for Republicans.
03:00:05.060
I mean, again, so you could still wind up with 40 and four.
03:00:13.420
We are in the weirdest political time in recent American history by far.
03:00:22.040
So part of that may not speak directly into the culture.
03:00:25.260
It does mean that the Democrats do have a significant uphill battle in 2020 for the Senate.
03:00:29.200
Because they're going to have to pick up a lot of seats in 2020 to take the Senate.
03:00:32.400
If Republicans walk away from tonight with 56 seats in the Senate, then it's going to be a big shift, especially in a presidential year.
03:00:39.780
I mean, this is the other thing to remember is that, you know, Cruz won by 16 in 2012.
03:00:45.560
Everybody in Texas showed up to vote for Mitt Romney.
03:00:47.860
In an off-year election, a lot of Republicans don't show up.
03:00:51.080
Especially in places where they take for granted that the Republican is going to win.
03:00:54.780
And I'm going to give another answer to that Daily Wire subscriber who asked us at the beginning of the evening,
03:00:59.580
why should I care about Republican governors in states in which I do not live?
03:01:03.640
One of the reasons is because if there is a vacancy created in the Senate, guess who gets to fill it?
03:01:13.020
So you could, you know, a lot of good can be done by a Republican governor.
03:01:17.980
You know, it is interesting, too, if the Republicans get these huge gains in the Senate and the Democrats,
03:01:24.480
That means that you're going to get more drama.
03:01:26.420
And just like Russell Crowe in Gladiator, are you not entertained?
03:01:31.900
You know, President Trump does thrive on this drama to the joy and consternation of all of us.
03:01:39.900
If he gets impeached, there's no chance he gets convicted.
03:01:43.740
But this is what I've been saying is that in some ways for Trump, put aside for the country,
03:01:51.040
Nancy Pelosi will be Speaker of the House again.
03:01:59.580
If this drops down to plus 32, plus 30, I think she has a really tough time becoming Speaker of the House.
03:02:07.940
And she's going to be able to say, I drove us back to victory after, you know, a few years in the wilderness here.
03:02:15.800
Trump going to battle with Nancy Pelosi will be a thing.
03:02:18.260
It'll heighten the gender gap for all the reasons that you know it's going to heighten the gender gap.
03:02:24.200
If he wants to battle Nancy Pelosi while we push through the Heritage Foundation's judges, that's a bargain, I think, that we can live with.
03:02:37.200
So, guys, while you enjoy your House victory, if we're going to sip a leftist tears mug, let's pour one out for Amy Coney Barrett, man.
03:02:49.660
And if she's replacing RBG, I mean, that's a big win.
03:02:55.680
At that point, you have a 6-3 conservative majority on the court.
03:02:59.600
Roberts, at that point, isn't even a swing vote.
03:03:01.620
Although, there is this interesting argument made by...
03:03:05.320
And for all the people who are saying, well, it's a Democratic wave, plus 37, plus 37, it's a Democratic wave.
03:03:12.720
In off-year election, party out of power wins back House.
03:03:20.580
Ramish Purnur over at National Review, he says, since 1968, no period of unified government control has lasted longer than four years.
03:03:33.060
I mean, after Trump won in 2016, the general conventional wisdom was that 2018 was going to be a bloodbath across the board.
03:03:41.480
You know, it's bad for Republicans in the House.
03:03:46.300
That's a bloodletting, but it's not a bloodbath.
03:03:47.880
I want to go back to Amy Coney Barrett, because I keep trying to say this thing.
03:03:50.620
We're taking for granted that Amy Coney Barrett should be the next Supreme Court nominee if
03:03:58.640
Ann Coulter raised this great point this week that Trump shouldn't appoint Amy Coney Barrett,
03:04:02.940
That the Democrats have now demonstrated through Kavanaugh going all the way back.
03:04:10.920
Well, that they have one argument, and we know exactly what the argument is, and we know that
03:04:15.120
people don't care about that argument if it isn't true.
03:04:18.180
We don't know what they throw at Amy Coney Barrett.
03:04:21.120
Amy Coney Barrett, they're going to treat like Sarah Palin.
03:04:25.640
They're going to do something different, and this is why they should nominate Amy Coney Barrett.
03:04:28.440
Because Pennsylvania has a heavy Catholic population, and the attack on Amy Coney Barrett is not
03:04:37.860
She's a religious Catholic female who had the temerity to have seven children, including
03:04:44.840
That is a battle I would pay good money to see.
03:04:52.660
When he appointed her to an appellate corps, we had Dianne Weinstein saying that the dogma lives
03:04:57.520
And that didn't get the press that it deserved because it was an appellate corps seat.
03:05:00.460
Imagine them doing, Catholics can't be on the Supreme Court because they are pro-life.
03:05:04.780
You know, Amy Coney Barrett, she's part of a prayer group, and they actually, major
03:05:26.000
Let him come and get her for being a religious person.
03:05:28.760
Whatever, you know, she's a mainstream Christian.
03:05:31.840
You know, happens to be Catholic, but it's a mainstream...
03:05:36.480
You know, and unless they can prove, like I said, that she raped Brett Kavanaugh, that
03:05:46.900
Well, the other thing is that the headline tonight, while it's going to be, you know,
03:05:50.280
Dems take over the house, they are missing the...
03:05:55.100
It's being made by Chuck Todd, actually, and he's right.
03:06:01.380
There's nobody that they can point to and they can go, ah, that's the future.
03:06:08.320
If they got Beto or Gillum, that would have been the case.
03:06:10.740
Even with Sinema, you know, that probably would have been the case.
03:06:13.280
They were going to push for who's the future candidate.
03:06:16.020
Now they're stuck with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
03:06:20.780
And the answer is that there are some actual faces of the victory, but they're all in the
03:06:25.460
When it comes to, like, establishing the future of the party, what they were hoping for
03:06:29.160
was tonight was going to crown the 2020 contender who was going to be in the
03:06:33.400
battle against Trump for the next couple of years.
03:06:35.460
They were looking for Obama circa 2006, and they didn't get it.
03:06:40.520
And that's a big hit for them, because it means we have to go back to the same old,
03:06:43.720
tired crop of candidates that we've been talking about for the last couple of years,
03:06:46.920
Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris and Cory Booker and all the rest of this clown show.
03:06:59.940
I also just think that it shows, you know, this has been unprecedented in its degree, the
03:07:08.320
The attack on Donald Trump has not been, it has been like the attack on Mitt Romney,
03:07:12.900
like the attack on George W. Bush, but incredibly amped up.
03:07:18.500
It hasn't had any effect, really, because, I mean, unless you could say, oh, he's done
03:07:23.380
so well policy-wise that the only reason he's lost any seats at all is because of this attack.
03:07:30.200
I think Trump is to some degree responsible for that for himself.
03:07:36.600
You know, I think this is something that is just really interesting, that all of this
03:07:41.020
effort, all this sweat, all this blood, all this shedding of responsibility and shedding
03:07:50.560
Dave Bratt, by the way, in a loss for the Republicans, has lost his district.
03:07:54.400
So, again, a lot of the suburban districts are experiencing serious trouble.
03:08:10.960
So, you guys have been speculating a lot about how President Trump's going to spin this.
03:08:18.300
So, he's claiming an early victory on this, even though we're still waiting for more results
03:08:22.380
Cassie, are we sure he is referring to the midterm election?
03:08:32.980
I'm sure this is not going to be the only tweet from him tonight.
03:08:39.020
You know, he has been playing this now for probably two weeks saying, we're going to win the Senate
03:08:45.520
The minute he said that, you really had to think, all right, they really don't think that
03:08:54.680
He is a once-in-a-generation political figure, isn't he?
03:08:59.200
I mean, I am here to be entertained and he is an entertaining guy.
03:09:03.300
It's like, this has been, you've got to admit, this has been amusing.
03:09:09.120
I mean, the perspective horrific downsides have not met any reality.
03:09:14.260
And so it's turned from sort of tragedy to bemusement to befuddlement to amusement.
03:09:24.320
And I'll stay in amusement until amusement is no longer possible to maintain.
03:09:31.580
I mean, we're going to get a better show for the next two years.
03:09:37.220
We might lose out on entitlement reform, which we were never, ever going to get.
03:09:49.680
I mean, like, John Cox is fine, but, like, that was never a thing.
03:09:57.440
Oklahoma, apparently Representative Steve Russell just lost his seat in Oklahoma.
03:10:02.800
They're doing what they need to do in the House.
03:10:05.240
I mean, they are doing what they need to do in the House.
03:10:09.580
In the end, it will be right around what some of us predicted earlier in the evening.
03:10:17.900
We've talked about President Trump's successes as failures.
03:10:21.380
We've talked about Republican Party successes and failures, Democratic Party successes and failures.
03:10:29.240
We have had tonight, at almost every moment of this infinity-long broadcast.
03:10:37.420
We have had at least 60,000 people watching in real time on YouTube the entire evening.
03:10:42.640
And so we want to say thank you to everyone who's tuning in live on social media.
03:10:46.680
We want to especially say thank you to the people tuning in live at TheDailyWire.com.
03:10:53.380
If you want to become a subscriber, we'd love to have you.
03:10:55.780
We'll send you out our Leftist Tears Tumblr if you become an annual subscriber.
03:10:59.860
And you get this kind of commentary from Ben and from Drew and from Michael every day.
03:11:04.460
We actually don't let Michael broadcast on Fridays.
03:11:11.280
And I think now is a good time for us to kick it back to Colton and see if there's anything else that our Daily Wire subscribers want to ask us.
03:11:18.980
I'm not exactly sure how long we're going to go this evening.
03:11:22.040
But we do still have a few races we want to stick around for before we call it a night.
03:11:27.660
So we thank you for sticking with us for so long.
03:11:32.800
I'm not going to say we're in it for the long haul.
03:11:38.100
I've got a little bit more damage over here, you know.
03:11:41.500
We're going to get through three questions, so help me.
03:11:45.960
She says, Ben has said Joe Biden could be a real challenge for Trump in 2020.
03:11:50.460
Do you think the Democrats could put up Biden in 2020 with any shred of legitimacy, considering he's an old white dude?
03:11:57.340
So yes, because the Democrats have no standards whatsoever.
03:12:03.140
I just don't think Biden is a true presidential candidate.
03:12:10.360
He does have more blue-collar appeal than any of the other Democrats they're talking about right now.
03:12:15.540
He does have a history of being clubbed over the head and surviving, which does mean something.
03:12:30.120
Well, I think there's something else that he has going for him, too.
03:12:31.920
And that is that President Trump has one particular specialty.
03:12:34.960
And that is he can drag any human being down into the mud with him.
03:12:38.420
If you're already covered in mud, it's actually a benefit.
03:12:40.720
If people think that you're clean as the driven snow, you're Kamala Harris or something, and then Trump starts throwing mud all over you, suddenly your image plummets.
03:12:47.380
And it's that directional plummet in image that actually damages in a presidential race.
03:12:53.960
Those opinions aren't probably really going to change about Joe Biden.
03:12:56.060
If it turns into a poop fight with Joe Biden, that is what it is.
03:13:01.020
You know, I still think that he is – I think he's more of a threat than Kamala Harris.
03:13:04.800
I think he's more of a threat than Elizabeth Warren in some ways.
03:13:07.300
Certainly more of a threat than Elizabeth Warren.
03:13:13.240
Yeah, I don't believe that you can put the Obama coalition back together.
03:13:16.780
I think they may run Kamala Harris because they think that you can.
03:13:22.360
Whereas I think Elizabeth Warren, who is pretty canny, well, I think she will tack to the Bernie Sanders populist position in the party.
03:13:33.320
And I think that that can be very successful for her.
03:13:35.380
I mean, I think Bernie Sanders may have been elected president if Hillary Clinton hadn't literally stolen the election.
03:13:41.700
And I don't think Harris can make as credible a play for that sort of populist wing of the Democrat Party.
03:13:48.940
I think we're seeing something else, too, and that is the intersectional shtick does not work in Ohio.
03:13:54.760
It doesn't work in a lot of the states that are actual battleground states.
03:14:00.100
I mean, and that's – again, if Democrats are smart, what they're going to learn from tonight is that the districts they're winning are moderate districts with moderate candidates.
03:14:05.780
They are not winning with these radical left crazies.
03:14:08.740
Well, they keep doing this, though, that they keep running these moderate candidates and then soiling them by forcing them to follow the Nancy Pelosi trail.
03:14:16.060
All the blue dogs were excised from Congress when people realized that blue as they were, they were voting the radical left line.
03:14:25.540
So you put these guys up and then you destroy them by not letting them vote their conscience.
03:14:29.200
If they started to vote their conscience, the whole tenor of Congress would change.
03:14:32.440
If you say that too many times, Donald Trump literally walks out, stands in the back of the room and causes you to be booed and almost lose a race.
03:14:41.300
So we've got another question from Eli, and you guys might have talked about this a little bit earlier.
03:14:45.840
He says, do you think Beto O'Rourke remains a threat after this loss, or does he fade into obscurity by the time he can run again?
03:14:52.680
I think we've basically covered it, so I don't want to spend too much time on it.
03:14:55.060
But Beto O'Rourke is a talented and gifted politician.
03:15:02.480
I don't think any of us think that he disappears.
03:15:06.300
They're going to start running people in about six minutes from now.
03:15:10.400
But there's a lot of political future for a guy like Beto, because the other thing that Democrats do, that Republicans don't do, is that you can run for office from one state.
03:15:23.060
Show up from an entirely different state and run for office again.
03:15:25.800
But worth noting, MSNBC already saying that the House Democrats are calling for President Trump to release his taxes.
03:15:37.780
Who do we need to elect to see judicial review changed?
03:15:42.940
Honestly, I think that the incentive structure is all wrong to see judicial review changed.
03:15:46.400
So, my perspective has always been that you actually need to limit the power of the judiciary to overturn acts of the legislature,
03:15:51.840
because the judiciary has a rotten record of actually protecting the Constitution of the United States.
03:15:56.500
I'd rather that the people who are screwing with the Constitution be accountable to the public than that they be in robes for their entire life,
03:16:03.460
capable of just doing whatever it is that they want.
03:16:06.560
Look, I think that Republicans should have done that in the last couple of years.
03:16:09.940
I think that, you know, restricting the jurisdiction of the courts would have been a good move,
03:16:14.260
because at the same time they're stacking the courts, they're restricting the jurisdiction of the courts.
03:16:17.600
With that said, I think that judicial review is too well embedded in the fabric of the way that things work for it to really be restricted in any serious way.
03:16:25.540
I think there's something else, too, which is I agree with you conceptually about judicial review,
03:16:30.740
but I worry that it's a little bit like getting rid of the earmarks.
03:16:33.980
It's kind of my gripe a little bit with our friends like Mark Meckler over at Article 5.
03:16:44.900
There is something to, like, I don't agree with everything the founders did, right?
03:16:50.120
Taking the extreme things that we have to caveat out.
03:16:52.720
Even judicial review and some other things that came along.
03:16:55.220
You're speaking to my traditionalist tendencies.
03:16:58.820
And yet, I'm not sure that we've been ill-served by some of the structures that they had the wisdom to sort of create along the way.
03:17:07.660
They didn't create all of them like judicial review at the point of the inception of the Constitution,
03:17:12.360
but they got to it pretty fast, you know, once we had a functioning government.
03:17:16.020
I'm not as radical even in my conservatism as I was 10 years ago.
03:17:20.580
By the way, even the Democrats, they're already getting it wrong.
03:17:23.040
So the Democrats are looking at tonight's house races, and they're already announcing that the big win was for women
03:17:27.360
because 10 women won in these house races, and so it was women that put them over the top.
03:17:32.900
What put you over the top is that you ran better candidates in contested districts, you idiots.
03:17:39.220
It's that you ran better candidates, and they happen to be women, which is fine, good, like, cool.
03:17:43.860
But if their solution is, okay, we're going to run a bunch of women just to run women, this intersectional trap is going to be—
03:17:57.820
Ben has this great point that he makes all the time about President Trump.
03:18:01.420
President Trump has to pick up 10 million new votes.
03:18:05.020
I don't know where President Trump gets 10 million new votes, but I know exactly where
03:18:11.640
I know where she gets 100,000 votes in these swing states.
03:18:15.080
Hillary Clinton—when you want something as bad as Hillary Clinton wants to be president—
03:18:21.540
And also, when you think that you can pick your opponent and win, Hillary Clinton learned
03:18:30.500
Hillary Clinton picked Barack Obama to be her opponent in the primaries, and it blew
03:18:36.740
And then she picked Donald Trump to be her opponent in the general.
03:18:39.720
This is the one thing nobody—we talk about how corrupt she is, but she also is incredibly
03:18:47.980
We're not highly competent, because I swore we would get through three questions we've
03:18:53.960
Nicole asks, if this midterm was a leftover piece of Halloween candy, what would it be and
03:19:12.360
In the way that you could bury a piece of candy corn for 28 years and you get up in
03:19:20.960
Half of the country absolutely detests it, but they're wrong.
03:19:26.060
I was going to go Milk Duds, because at the beginning, you're like, ah, this is great
03:19:31.000
And then as it gets stuck to your teeth, you're like, this candy is not quite—
03:19:34.400
I was going to say dark chocolate for the same reason.
03:19:43.980
He says, do you think the left has any credible grievances when it comes to accusations of
03:19:48.040
voter suppression vis-a-vis district mapping or voter ID laws?
03:19:56.240
And when it comes to redistricting, one of the things that I always find hilarious
03:19:58.940
is that the question of redistricting completely exits the table when Democrats are in control.
03:20:02.720
When Republicans are in control, then it's like, we need fairer redistricting practices.
03:20:06.540
I have yet to see an actual procedure that has been proposed that looks anything better
03:20:11.420
than simply letting the legislature and the governor basically set it.
03:20:15.860
Because the problem is, when you set up these nonpartisan panels that create these redistricting areas,
03:20:23.700
They end up just as partisan as the actual partisan election.
03:20:26.860
And also, I have yet to see the evidence that redistricting has actually prohibited
03:20:34.040
The Democrats are going to win, you know, somewhere between 32 and 38 seats tonight.
03:20:38.700
They were able to do that despite redistricting.
03:20:41.500
That is not a, that is like, Paul Krugman said that if Republicans won this election,
03:20:46.000
it was the end of democracy on the basis of redistricting.
03:20:51.260
It is never, redistricting has never been as much of a problem as people want to make it out to be.
03:20:54.800
And is he going to write the column tomorrow and say, oh, I guess redistricting is fine.
03:21:01.140
I want to know what column he's going to write tomorrow.
03:21:06.280
Well, now that he's told us that no Republican can have a conscience, if you are a Republican,
03:21:21.660
I think that we need to get a couple of races called here and then we'll probably call it a night.
03:21:26.740
But let's talk a little bit more to our Daily Wire subscribers.
03:21:30.080
They don't get to ask us enough questions on the average backstage.
03:21:32.480
And they, like I say, they pay all of our rent, which I, for one, am grateful for.
03:21:37.740
Colton and Cassie, why don't you guys rapid fire a few at us?
03:21:42.980
And he asks, is there any foreseeable redemption for American politics?
03:21:56.480
You know, this whole idea that this is a stately country, like a civics class come to life,
03:22:05.380
He may be an outlying American figure, but he's not unlike other American figures.
03:22:09.300
Andrew Jackson comes to mind, who have risen up in our politics before.
03:22:20.880
You know, one of the things, one of my favorite documents in American history is Antonin Scalia's
03:22:25.700
dissent in Obergefell, where he talks about the fact that before the Supreme Court took
03:22:31.460
from the people their right to make these decisions, America was working as it's supposed
03:22:46.560
Trump is a big character, an outlying character, but he is an American, a typical American figure,
03:22:57.360
And look, the fact is that people associate, because Trump's retail politics is like Huey Long's
03:23:02.040
retail politics, they associate his, you know, actual politics with Huey Long's
03:23:14.840
He's just bloviating ridiculous things, and that is what it is.
03:23:19.080
You know, I just went to a lecture on the 1868 election.
03:23:25.900
But if you look, if you look at those elections, 1868, 1872, 1880, 1880, the Republican ticket
03:23:31.740
published a blank book about the political achievements of the Democrats.
03:23:41.860
Well, I do have a feeling that, for some odd reason, Knowles and Clavin, it's like a
03:23:48.340
Every sin that Michael Knowles commits makes Drew a day older.
03:23:53.000
And then eventually, like, you're out of the closet.
03:23:59.880
Yeah, so I guess we're still waiting for the results from Dean Heller in Nevada.
03:24:05.360
That's really the kind of big outstanding race.
03:24:09.080
Cassie, give us some more questions and remind us how people get to ask questions.
03:24:14.480
If you're a subscriber, go right into the website and you can ask questions right in
03:24:20.420
He says, in your opinion, has President Trump campaigning for Republicans helped boost
03:24:24.980
the Republican turnout or has it pushed anti-Trumpers away from voting for Republicans?
03:24:29.040
Well, it's boosted Republican turnout overall, no question, because there are many more pro-Trump
03:24:37.260
I mean, the fact is that Democrats turned out in droves, particularly in blue areas, because
03:24:42.500
And Republicans turned out in red areas, specifically not only because they like President Trump,
03:24:46.140
but they also hate the people who are showing up to hate President Trump, which I think
03:24:50.460
I really think that when people say that Trump is beloved of the Republican base, there's
03:24:55.500
I also think that there's more truth to the fact that the Republican base despises the
03:25:03.740
Like, it's not like when this is why the Kavanaugh hearing was so big, because even folks like
03:25:08.220
me who are Trump skeptics, I looked at that and I was like, I, you guys are just freaking
03:25:14.640
So there's a poll analysis being done right now in Nevada, actually in North Dakota, rather.
03:25:23.560
It's not like Sinema losing narrowly in Arizona, which it looks like is going to happen, or
03:25:27.500
even McCaskill losing by a couple of points or anything.
03:25:30.760
What this is, what this looks a lot more like in, in North Dakota is an actual swamping
03:25:37.220
The exit polls showed that of the people who mentioned Kavanaugh as a factor in their voting
03:25:41.400
on a two to one basis, they thought the Democrats had completely botched the situation
03:25:47.740
So the Democrats were saying, oh, Kavanaugh didn't make any difference at the end of the
03:25:50.480
In the Senate races, Kavanaugh made a, made a serious difference, made a serious difference.
03:25:54.620
You know, in, in this election, Democrat turnout was a foregone conclusion.
03:26:02.300
The anomaly is that Republicans turned out in such high numbers.
03:26:05.380
So it seems to be, you've got to give credit to, to Trump for that.
03:26:11.760
I mean, I mean, I mean, that was, that was a, it was a wake up.
03:26:14.660
I will give, you know, this still fits within my sort of general take on 2016, which is
03:26:22.060
that Republicans in 2016 voted to show up, showed up to vote against Hillary Clinton.
03:26:27.820
They showed up today to vote against Democrats, particularly Senate Democrats, which makes
03:26:32.780
It was the Senate Democrats who were making a mess of themselves and, you know, experiencing
03:26:36.560
verbal diarrhea and salmonella, you know, oral salmonella, you know, in the, in the process.
03:26:41.760
And, and so I think that that, that made a big difference.
03:26:44.980
I will give Trump 30% of credit in terms of that he has a unique capacity to warm his
03:26:48.840
way under their skin and make them, and make them behave in the worst possible way.
03:26:54.120
And if he has stiffened some spines in the Senate, I mean, I don't think any one of us
03:26:56.880
two years ago would be sitting here talking about the courage of Mitch McConnell.
03:27:01.360
I think, well, Lindsey Graham, I've always thought, I've always thought that maybe John McCain's
03:27:04.660
death had something to do with making Lindsey Graham up.
03:27:06.360
Again, I think that that has something to do with, that has something to do with Trump and it
03:27:09.780
has something to do with the vile response of the left to Trump.
03:27:15.420
So I don't think that it's that Mitch McConnell suddenly grew spine of steel because he loves
03:27:28.520
No, I think, I think what Mitch McConnell does is he looks for the main chance.
03:27:33.240
And he saw in Trump somebody who's going to do certain things and he went with it.
03:27:39.120
And I think that he was it was excellent politicking.
03:27:41.520
And, you know, I think the Democrats are going to take this too far, too, because they're
03:27:44.180
going to say our job here is to check President Trump.
03:27:50.100
And that is not going to work out well for them.
03:27:52.220
The American people still want some things to get done.
03:27:56.640
What what what legislation are we actually pushing through right now?
03:27:59.920
I mean, the truth is, and this is a point David French is making tonight.
03:28:06.400
I mean, like, literally, they don't like I was asking people.
03:28:10.680
And they're like, well, I don't make the tax cuts permanent.
03:28:16.420
And then it'll be made unpermanent the minute Democrats take control of Congress again.
03:28:21.500
But, you know, the the actual agenda for the Democrats.
03:28:28.940
It's the it's the group that launched a thousand investigations.
03:28:39.720
But pretty, pretty hard to get the pretty hard to get Donald Trump unless there's an actual human body buried in the base.
03:28:48.580
Pretty hard to get him because the American public has already calculated the fact that he is what he is.
03:28:54.100
No, this is my strong market sufficiency theory.
03:28:55.640
Everything is calculated in for President Trump.
03:28:57.580
But let's say that they get his tax returns and it turns out there's something nefarious in the tax returns.
03:29:04.920
Well, it depends what's in them, I would assume.
03:29:06.460
Also, what we've seen from Trump's tax returns probably tells us what there is, which is that he gets.
03:29:12.100
He pays as little taxes as he makes and he makes more, less money than he has less money than he says he does.
03:29:18.440
I will say that there are some areas of potential concern in the corruption.
03:29:24.700
That's the stuff that has worried me from day one.
03:29:33.740
Also, you know, also worth noting, it's hilarious.
03:29:38.000
You know, today, sustaining my point that I made very early on tonight in my National Review column this week,
03:29:44.080
with regard to Barry Weiss saying that we are going to vote Democrat across the board in order to provide some sort of rebuke to President Trump and anti-Semitism to candidates who were just elected to Congress in the Democratic Party are openly anti-Semitic.
03:29:57.440
Rashida Tlaib, who is, I believe she's in Illinois, she is, she's pretty much openly anti-Semitic as far as what I've seen.
03:30:06.680
And the woman that I mentioned earlier, whose name escapes me from Minnesota.
03:30:10.660
Look, the Democratic Party is the party that has embraced anti-Semitism, like openly embraced anti-Semitism.
03:30:19.640
It was like, okay, well, we don't like Nigel Farage in UKIP, so let's like Jeremy Corbyn.
03:30:29.200
I did think that, I thought the, we let the press get away with this a little too much, this attack on Trump as an anti-Semite.
03:30:37.840
I think the attack on the Republicans as anti-Semites has no basis in fact.
03:30:41.960
The idea that by attacking George Soros, one of the most anti-Israel forces on the planet, or somehow being anti-Semitic.
03:30:50.620
A guy who went out around the collections, yep, that's right.
03:31:02.600
And Roy Moore never once hit on him. Let's just get that completely out of the open.
03:31:07.980
So, you know, I think that the argument that was made about Pittsburgh was basically that Trump went and nodded at the alt-right.
03:31:14.800
And that Trump, by focusing inordinately on the dangers of the migrant caravan, you know, played up this stuff to the extent that this guy basically went crazy.
03:31:24.420
Again, I have very little truck for a politician drove somebody crazy.
03:31:28.020
I just don't like those arguments as a general matter.
03:31:33.440
What math fundamentally changed about what Trump had said because somebody who is evil and or crazy did an evil and or crazy thing?
03:31:42.240
Like, I condemned Trump when he said bad stuff at the time.
03:31:45.760
Just as I condemned Bernie Sanders when he says bad stuff at the time.
03:31:48.020
This weird re-evaluation that goes on where it's like something bad happened.
03:31:50.940
Now that means that his rhetoric a year ago was worse than it actually was when he said it.
03:31:59.220
Politics is, after all, ultimately a game of realities.
03:32:01.820
You know, when people talk about Donald Trump and forget the fact that Hillary Clinton was openly against the First Amendment, would have appointed judges, swore to appoint judges who were going to damage the First Amendment and the Second Amendment.
03:32:16.220
And so when people answer me and they say, well, Trump said he was going to make more libel laws and Trump attacked the press and Trump did.
03:32:28.300
I don't agree with you that it's not the same thing in 2016 when we were making decisions.
03:32:34.620
I agree with you that in 2018 we're no longer having to make decisions based on Trump's rhetoric.
03:32:43.580
There was no point at which Donald Trump was threatening to appoint Supreme Court justices who would be unfavorable to the First Amendment.
03:32:49.460
It is a different thing to be a loudmouth and say stupid stuff.
03:32:54.500
We can't calibrate the degree to which Donald Trump says stupid stuff.
03:32:58.360
There was no point at which I felt Donald Trump's policies were anti-free speech.
03:33:04.000
There were points where I thought this is a guy who's never read the First Amendment.
03:33:11.180
I'm willing to revise my 2016 position and say that based on the new evidence, which is the voting record of Donald Trump, my worst fears were misfounded.
03:33:20.280
Well, you could have had worse fears about Donald Trump.
03:33:22.500
But my fears about Donald Trump at the time were based on the only evidence available to me, which was the things that he said.
03:33:28.280
And he said things during that election that were deeply troubling on the First Amendment.
03:33:32.220
He said troubling things on the Second Amendment.
03:33:35.620
No, that was the thing that he said that I really just knew.
03:33:39.260
Punch protesters, you know, like he said some stuff.
03:33:42.140
But he was not as functionally equipped to damage the First Amendment.
03:33:46.440
Well, that's the thing, too, is you had to calibrate the actual threat.
03:33:51.100
But your answer to that in 2016 was he doesn't have the sort of architecture around him, even if he is bad the way you think he might be.
03:33:59.000
He doesn't have the architecture of the state around him.
03:34:01.300
In 2016, my answer to that was, as opposed to Hillary Clinton, he's better.
03:34:07.660
But my fear in 2016 was, yes, he doesn't have the structures around him to affect at the same level that Hillary does.
03:34:15.520
But if he moves the right to an embrace of those policies, then there is no firewall anymore against those things happening.
03:34:22.420
If Donald Trump governed like he speaks, I would be saying to you, oh, my God, I've made a terrible, terrible decision.
03:34:28.640
Yeah, but what I'm saying is that I am saying that I was wrong in my conclusion in 2016.
03:34:35.700
I think what you're saying is I had no basis to arrive at that conclusion in 2016.
03:34:40.680
What I said when I voted for Donald Trump was I have 5% fear he's as bad as I think he is.
03:34:48.800
I had to take that chance because Hillary Clinton was openly as bad as I knew she was.
03:34:53.720
But no one's – I'm not second-guessing your decision to vote for Trump.
03:34:58.460
He's saying that there is a rational basis for his own decision at the time.
03:35:01.680
And since I made the same decision, I think that there was a rational basis.
03:35:06.260
And then you change your position because that's how things work.
03:35:07.760
I have never thought that you guys made an irrational decision.
03:35:13.000
But I don't think it was an irrational decision.
03:35:16.360
You know, it's – I'm very pleased that I voted for Trump because I was waffling.
03:35:24.480
Seriously, I was at the polling place and I said, okay, I got to do it.
03:35:27.120
And – but – so it's – I'm very pleased that I did vote for him.
03:35:30.160
But I know – I know plenty of people, plenty of rock-robed conservatives who just were
03:35:36.300
on this side and they just couldn't quite do it.
03:35:38.360
But when you look at 2020, looking now, even talking to everybody here –
03:35:42.680
But who – what votes has he lost among Republicans?
03:35:50.200
So Nancy Pelosi, it should be noted, was just speaking, obviously making conciliatory speech.
03:35:56.600
Yeah, she was jabbering on the new Speaker of the House.
03:35:59.460
I do love when politicians say stuff like this.
03:36:02.280
She said, thanks to you, tomorrow will be a new day in America.
03:36:09.980
I tweeted out, like, what if tomorrow was the same day?
03:36:13.580
Like, then we'd have a crisis on our heads now.
03:36:31.120
I'm going to have a little bit of both on this one.
03:36:43.540
Let's hear it more for pre-existing medical conditions.
03:36:52.740
I will not drink to pre-existing medical conditions.
03:36:55.240
I'd like to see fewer pre-existing medical conditions in America today.
03:37:01.980
Sam Stein over at Huffington Post, he's saying,
03:37:03.720
Trump's enduring strength in Ohio and Florida are, shall we say, problematic for Dems in 2020.
03:37:09.960
Scott Walker is now trailing statewide by less than 3,000 votes in Wisconsin.
03:37:20.760
So, it looks like the Wisconsin governor is going to go to a recount.
03:37:24.460
Walker is down 300 votes with 78% of precincts reporting.
03:37:32.040
So, they're projecting it'll be about 3,000 by the time it's over.
03:37:36.940
The real clear politics in Missouri had Hawley up 0.6.
03:37:55.680
Much more difficult than doing national polling.
03:37:57.500
Again, the national polling seems like it's pretty much right on.
03:38:00.020
It looks, again, like the state polling is very, very difficult to model.
03:38:03.200
So, that is the current status of your election.
03:38:09.800
Hey, Ben, why don't you tell people that they should become subscribers and then let's answer some questions.
03:38:15.280
Because we've been here with you since your birthday.
03:38:20.040
Since I have been here, my children have celebrated no less than four birthdays.
03:38:23.200
When I go home, it will be as though I have come home from war.
03:38:34.100
But it will be as though I went to the moon and came back.
03:38:37.200
And my children, I hope my wife is still married to me.
03:38:44.660
All I can say is I hope that my wife has not had me legally declared dead.
03:38:55.740
If you wish to help pay for my wife's medical education and or the rest of the deplorable
03:39:00.960
folks on this panel, particularly Knowles, who legitimately just sits around the office
03:39:04.620
with like a tin can and a hat out in front of him while playing his ukulele, then you really
03:39:22.300
For those of you who don't know math, that is less than $9.99 a month.
03:39:33.860
And you get the leftist tears hot or cold tumbler, which is being so frequently used these
03:39:40.240
It infuses you with the strength of the gods and the knowledge of the wise men.
03:39:46.200
But we keep trying to use it enough on Knowles.
03:39:58.460
All I can say is I'm vamping at this point until we get some Dean Heller results.
03:40:06.960
The reason is that hearing Ben slur his words and talk about how long we've been here reminds
03:40:16.120
Some two years ago this very evening when we were assembled, you three and I, along with
03:40:23.380
our good friend Bill Whittle, and we were first confronting the reality that the president
03:40:30.840
of the United States had once bought, was a man who had once in the recent past bought
03:40:35.800
steaks, written his name in Sharpie on the front, held a press conference, and said that
03:40:55.360
And note how temperate we've been tonight, how little drinking and how little smoking.
03:40:59.360
We did not accurately pace ourselves, if you'll recall.
03:41:04.420
I think we have an example of how I collapsed into drunken stupor as the night went on.
03:41:17.840
You may recall, by the end of the night, I was slouched over in my chair.
03:41:23.160
It almost looked like I was listening to my shoe, like I was on the phone with someone.
03:41:28.800
And I had a shoe phone, like on a spy movie, but I didn't go to the trouble of taking the
03:41:38.080
Not long after this came the moment that Bill Whittle declared, sort of like a preacher
03:41:50.460
Mr. and Mrs. Bill Whittle proclaimed the president of the United States was Donald Trump, and it
03:42:01.000
He doesn't, he's not, he's not trying to get it anymore.
03:42:38.780
There was a guy named Barack Obama who was president of the United States.
03:42:41.980
Do you remember, do you remember a time when there was a guy, you might, you might recall,
03:42:56.840
And he was, you know, a guy who was president for like eight years.
03:43:07.880
And suddenly, Donald Trump, a host of a show called The Apprentice, was president of
03:43:17.320
And he proceeded to spend the next two years obliterating any memory that we all have
03:43:23.220
Like he just went around with the little gun, like with Will Smith and Tommy Lee Jones,
03:43:26.160
just erasing our memories of any time that existed before President Trump was president.
03:43:30.680
Making himself so ubiquitous that folks on the left would see Trump everywhere.
03:43:36.820
They would just see him randomly in clouds, in objects, at night, a shadow on the ceiling.
03:43:44.040
And every time they thought about him, his image and his power grew.
03:43:48.640
And as that image and that power grew, time warped around the very mass of his manly image.
03:43:54.920
And the left began to slowly but surely lose their minds.
03:43:59.640
Slowly but surely, things that had heretofore been normal were seen as decadent and terrible.
03:44:03.560
Heretofore, things that normal political language was seen as totally off the wall.
03:44:07.880
And folks did not remember a time when a man named Barack Obama had done these exact same things
03:44:15.760
It was as though the universe had collapsed into a small mass, smaller than we could possibly conceive of,
03:44:22.000
and then expanded forth in a burst of bright light, filling up the possible universes
03:44:27.400
with a scale of events too difficult to imagine.
03:44:41.100
We haven't aged one bit because this is all a simulation.
03:44:54.000
We are seven minutes from the polls closing in Nevada.
03:44:58.720
I feel like that's a good time for a question from a Daily Wire subscriber.
03:45:05.960
I mean, it's basically like a Rand Paul filibuster.
03:45:12.180
So we have a question from a subscriber named Dallas.
03:45:24.280
So Dallas asks, why is it that Democrats won't separate themselves from anti-Semitic people
03:45:30.840
How do they benefit from associating with people like him?
03:45:34.160
Why won't Democrats separate from anti-Semites like Louis Farrakhan?
03:45:38.760
Oh, yeah, because Democrats, as Ben said, there is no bottom of the barrel for them.
03:45:44.480
The Democrats believe that any group which they might be able to call disenfranchised is a potential voter.
03:45:50.820
And anti-Semites need somebody to vote for, too.
03:45:58.120
But the answer to this is that Democrats have a different view of anti-Semitism than what is actually anti-Semitism.
03:46:05.480
So anti-Semitism is a giant conspiracy theory about how Jews run the world.
03:46:09.880
But the giant conspiracy theory is that behind every rock and tree lurks a Jew who is running your life and ruining your life in some way or another.
03:46:16.180
They're the globalists, but they're also the nationalists in Israel.
03:46:18.620
They are the capitalists, but they are also the communists.
03:46:20.400
They are legitimately responsible for every bad thing that has ever happened in the history of humanity.
03:46:27.560
Michael, if this conspiracy were true, you would be out of work so fast it would make your head happen.
03:46:38.160
This is why I left you to do a big disappointment.
03:46:42.840
I mean, phenomenal cosmic power, itty-bitty living space.
03:46:45.060
But the way that Democrats view the problem of anti-Semitism is they see anti-Semitism as just one classification in a broader category called bigotry.
03:46:57.840
And because of that, they don't think that anti-Semitism is a conspiracy so much as it is just people don't like Jews in the same way that people don't like blacks or people don't like Hispanics or people don't like women.
03:47:06.560
It's just a form of bigotry among all the other bigotries.
03:47:08.520
Well, what that really suggests, and their view of bigotry, is that bigotry is only power combined with racism.
03:47:17.240
The problem with that is once you start saying that racism is in itself, bigotry is in itself dependent on power hierarchies, which is what the left says.
03:47:24.860
They say that racism is dependent on power hierarchies, that racism is a result of imbalances of power that have existed over time.
03:47:30.760
People hate black folks because white folks were in charge of the system and therefore directed people to hate blacks.
03:47:35.060
People aren't fond of women because it was the patriarchy in charge.
03:47:37.980
Well, once you start seeing every bigoted sort of phenomenon as a hierarchical structure of power, the problem is that Jews are inordinately successful.
03:47:50.120
And so this means that anti-Semitism only exists when Jews are also victims.
03:47:54.560
It does not exist when Jews are not victims, which is to say in most scenarios, because Jews are not victims except when they are victimized.
03:48:02.780
Right. And so so what that means is that the conspiracy theories, which is what anti-Semitism actually is, is actually the mainstream left view of what Jews are in many cases, because Israel is powerful in its region.
03:48:13.780
That means that it is a hierarchical power structure that is cramming down on lower down intersectional groups.
03:48:20.320
Now, that is the exact case that is made by conspiracists, right?
03:48:23.920
The exact case made by anti-Semitic conspiracists is that powerful Jews are in control of less powerful minority groups.
03:48:30.180
The left believes that they actually believe that because Jews are the victimizers in the intersectional hierarchy as opposed to other minority groups.
03:48:37.200
And so when they look at Muslims who, in this particular case, they've endorsed people like Keith Ellison or Louis Farrakhan, they say those people are victimized by the Jews in exactly the same way that anti-Semites would say that those people are victimized by the Jews.
03:48:50.180
So the crossover is actually it's actually an identity.
03:48:54.140
It's an identity in certain belief systems based on a faulty understanding of what anti-Semitism is.
03:48:59.740
And by the way, a faulty understanding of what bigotry is.
03:49:01.680
I actually have a that is an amazing explanation and far better than any I've ever heard articulated.
03:49:07.160
I actually think there is a different reason, though.
03:49:11.740
We don't often get into this kind of territory rightly in our in our programming.
03:49:15.660
But since the question is on the table, I think people hate the Jews because God drew a box around them.
03:49:21.100
And I think that for this reason, anti-Semitism, unlike other forms of other forms of bigotry, exists in a sort of spiritual way among all people.
03:49:34.720
So all people who who don't put their faith in the in the God of Abraham and Isaac and Jacob.
03:49:41.620
If you if you reject God, you reject God's peoples.
03:49:48.300
Yeah, I think God drew a box around the Jews to say not to say you're you're special.
03:49:59.720
And you're special because of how unspecial you are.
03:50:03.600
I'm not saying that God could have drawn a box around any random group of people as an ultimate statement, because God did exactly what he did.
03:50:10.320
But for the sake of argument, God could have drawn a box around anyone and said the fact that I'm drawing the box around you makes you an example to everyone of what everyone is.
03:50:21.200
So in the Jews, you see tribalism that in some ways has has beauty and merit and in some ways can be at various times in history can be ugly in the Jews.
03:50:33.900
You see great success, especially, you know, right now we think of the Jews very successful.
03:50:38.860
The state of Israel, one of the most more venture capital per capita flows into Israel, great inventions in Israel.
03:50:45.020
At various times, the most dispossessed people in many places on Earth have been Jewish.
03:50:49.840
Some of the most religious and pious people have been Jewish.
03:50:52.760
Some of the most hateful and and and rotten people, atheistic people in human history have been Jewish.
03:50:59.360
God God selected them to teach the whole world about what we are.
03:51:05.320
Yeah. So it's almost like they're the they're the the human example of humans.
03:51:11.680
And because we hate everything God tries to teach us, we hate all the lessons that God tries to show us.
03:51:19.400
And the reason that the Democrats in particularly in particular struggle with a virulent stream of anti-Semitism in the modern era is because very slowly since Roe v.
03:51:32.480
Wade, the Democrats have have deliberately separated themselves as a party from God.
03:51:42.120
So they boo God, they boo God at their national convention.
03:51:48.220
Wade that they did not want to be the party of people who actively believed in God.
03:51:53.200
And so over time, the the people who like God's examples all moved over to one party.
03:51:59.080
The people who reject God's examples all moved over to one party.
03:52:01.940
Am I saying the Republican Party is the party of God?
03:52:04.020
No, I'm saying that the Republican Party became the bastion of people who were the people of God over time because the Democrats sort of forced them into that box.
03:52:15.520
I think that there were a lot of religious Democrats before Roe v.
03:52:20.220
Wade, it started a process in which it's believing, believing religious people were sort of pushed out.
03:52:26.560
It's particularly I mean, first of all, there's absolutely no disparity between what you said.
03:52:32.360
That the the conspiracy is is basically the form that this hatred takes.
03:52:37.220
There's there's absolutely no question that that even even if you took the supernatural out of it.
03:52:42.560
If you just eliminated the supernatural, there is no question that our essential values emanate from Jewish culture and from Jewish thought.
03:52:50.780
And we hate those values because they restrict us to moral pathways that the left clearly does not want to take.
03:52:56.780
What's fascinating to me and what is so disturbing is that so many of the people preaching materialism, preaching, you know, what's the word I want to use where you can destroy human life because it's it's getting in your way.
03:53:12.320
It's it's not that, you know, it's not a factual.
03:53:13.700
So many of them are Jewish now that like I mean, I've read one book after another of materialist, anti-moral, anti-God books.
03:53:21.720
And every one of the Jews are secular, not a Jewish Jew.
03:53:26.280
Yeah, they're going to be that's neither a pro or a con.
03:53:28.600
They're God's good example at times and God's bad example.
03:53:30.820
And I think that speaks also to the fact that this if the Jews aren't special, I don't know who is.
03:53:37.260
I mean, I don't even believe I don't know what special means.
03:53:39.460
I don't even believe in race as a as an actual physical manifestation.
03:53:43.800
But the Jews have been formed by history into a unit that that you can't you can't escape.
03:53:50.020
And you can't escape the profundity of what they mean to this culture.
03:53:55.040
Look, you only have to read Nietzsche to hear Nietzsche say, you know, he's Jews.
03:53:58.800
I would agree with you that you can remove spirituality and still come to the same conclusions about why people hate the Jews.
03:54:06.880
I think all the proofs of God are negative proofs.
03:54:10.200
Like the fact that everyone hates the Jews evidences a spiritual reality to the to the calling of the Jews in my in my estimation.
03:54:21.040
We think of man as rational, but man is profoundly irrational.
03:54:25.060
The party that prides itself on being the party of reason isn't trying to emulate the success of the Jewish people in the world, just like they're not trying to emulate the success of free markets in the world.
03:54:37.460
The party of reason sees poor people and sees wealthy people and doesn't say we should create systems to help the poor people become wealthy people.
03:54:45.520
They say we should destroy all the processes that led people to wealthy people.
03:54:51.240
And Vox.com, a mainstream, perhaps the mainstream, left-wing wonky outlet, ran a piece about three weeks ago on why Democrats should practice witchcraft to recover from the Trump phenomenon.
03:55:05.160
And the Jews get singled out because they're the people of God.
03:55:07.620
Alicia, over at Alicia's election headquarters, do you have some info for us?
03:55:14.160
Democrats, of course, as you guys have referenced numerous times, have taken the House.
03:55:17.720
And Nancy Pelosi is super-duper excited about it.
03:55:21.240
The races that we are watching here in California, though, to make sure, you know, hopefully the Republicans are able to maintain a couple of seats, specifically Dana Warbacher and Duncan Hunter.
03:55:30.860
The problem with Hunter is, you know, he had allegedly stolen all of that money from his campaign, and then he went on Fox News and blamed it on his wife, and it was real awkward.
03:55:39.360
So we are waiting on that race, and Warbacher down in Orange County is incredibly close, too close to call right now.
03:55:46.760
Overall, places like ABC News and CNN are saying that the Democrats could pick up as many as 35 House seats.
03:55:53.700
As you guys referenced earlier, Nancy Pelosi did indeed talk about that, and in her speech she said some pretty interesting things.
03:55:59.440
I'm going to toss it to Cassie to give us some interesting quotes.
03:56:02.720
So Nancy Pelosi, obviously somebody who doesn't like President Trump, I think she realizes that his messages work.
03:56:08.560
So in a speech that she just gave, you know, talking about how the Democrats are taking over the House right now, she actually said that they're going to drain the swamp.
03:56:18.000
So Nancy Pelosi says that the Democrats will drain the swamp.
03:56:23.600
And then moving along to the Senate, we have Kathy Griffin freaking out over Beto Herbe.
03:56:28.940
Yeah, Kathy Griffin, honestly, her entire timeline is filling this Tumblr right here.
03:56:34.720
So let's just read a few things coming from her.
03:56:37.400
So she actually quote tweeted the tweet I read earlier from President Trump where he said it was a tremendous success.
03:56:44.940
You are such a delusional, and then the C word that makes women uncomfortable that I don't think I should say on air.
03:56:50.900
She also said that the Green Party is screwing over democracy again.
03:56:54.800
So she's not happy with you third party voters.
03:56:56.560
She also had a tweet about an hour ago saying, F Ted Cruz.
03:57:02.240
And she's also calling for a recount in Florida.
03:57:05.360
So Kathy Griffin's not doing too great right now.
03:57:08.560
We'll see how she is later on, considering the Democrats are looking like they're getting the House.
03:57:12.660
But as of now, her Twitter feed is pretty ridiculous.
03:57:16.380
But I thought all of those celebrities telling us to get out and vote was supposed to mean something.
03:57:20.740
I mean, Taylor Swift helped in Tennessee, right?
03:57:27.600
Speaking of recounts, it looks as if the Wisconsin gubernatorial race there might end up going to a recount.
03:57:39.420
The 22%, though, some strategists and pollsters within the state are saying that those precincts within the state of Wisconsin, they think actually might go to Scott Walker.
03:57:56.220
All in all, they're saying that maybe Walker could be up 3,000 votes, but this is going to go to a recount, which is just fascinating because I think everyone expected this lull and this wait and this back and forth for the great state of Georgia, but we did not expect this for Wisconsin tonight.
03:58:11.340
Some people were saying Evers was in it for an easy win, but Scott Walker, much like many of the times he's been recalled and gone against the teachers' unions and leftists galore, he's putting up a fight, and he's hanging on for dear life there.
03:58:28.500
So here in California, fortunately, as Michael Knowles and many of us other conservatives call him, we have Governor Moonbeam, Jerry Brown.
03:58:36.920
And we also have some interesting propositions, but we're not the only state with interesting propositions.
03:58:41.820
A lot of other states have had some interesting propositions, some good, some bad, and our very own Colton Haas is going to tell us about those.
03:58:49.020
One of the most exciting ones has to be, one that has actually passed.
03:58:52.940
So we've got the numbers in. It's passed by 59.5 percent and with 811,000 votes, that's with 85 reporting.
03:59:02.040
It is Alabama Amendment 2, which recognizes fetal rights.
03:59:05.260
So what that means is an amendment to the Alabama Constitution that declares the state's policy to recognize and support the sanctity of unborn life,
03:59:12.740
which is a huge move to actually enshrine that in a state's constitution.
03:59:16.920
Sounds like they're going to take advantage of us having a conservative Supreme Court justice and try bringing Roe v. Wade back to the court.
03:59:22.140
Right. Well, and so does it actually give a point of viability or what is the specificity of the proposition?
03:59:27.460
I'm not 100 percent sure on the specificity, but it states including the right to life, all manners and measures appropriate and lawful.
03:59:34.120
It may go into more specifics when they actually hash it out, but as far as I can tell from here, it's sort of a broad statement.
03:59:41.360
So big debate in our office earlier today for us California voters was to vote or not to vote for daylight savings time changes.
03:59:51.140
Well, I sent an absentee ballot in Massachusetts, so I didn't get to vote on this, but I got to vote against Elizabeth Warren and it was probably the best vote I've ever casted.
03:59:59.200
Honestly, I'm fine how it is. I mean, I don't like the change of it.
04:00:03.680
I don't want to be like Arizona. There's lots of things I love about Arizona, including your new senator, but I don't know.
04:00:09.840
I don't it's so confusing. Like, let's just stick with everybody else.
04:00:13.000
In addition to that, if the proposition did pass, it just means that it's going to go to the state legislature and they need to pass two thirds in order.
04:00:20.280
And then in order for this to continue. And Congress has to vote on it, too, people.
04:00:24.260
So all of you anti daylight savings time people, even if this proposition passes, which we will find out in the next couple of hours.
04:00:32.800
Sorry, I don't know that Congress is going to be OK with this.
04:00:35.900
And we will be updating you guys on those California races. And we're still waiting with bated breath for that Senate race in Nevada.
04:00:42.860
The polls are trickling in, but we've only got about eight to nine percent reporting right now.
04:00:47.120
The government doesn't get to make up what time it is.
04:00:50.160
Well, they ruined my week. But this is so earlier.
04:00:55.480
I suggested that looking at the popular vote could be an indicator for Trump 2020.
04:00:59.120
If you do look at the popular vote across the nation in the House races and what you see is that the Democrats have won thirty seven million votes thus far.
04:01:07.580
That does not count all the California votes, which are going to come in.
04:01:09.900
And those are going to break heavy for Democrat Republicans have about 30 million.
04:01:13.620
So, you know, the Republicans have some strength in places like Florida and Ohio.
04:01:18.340
And to underestimate, that's a mistake. With that said, they have some real challenges in a presidential race.
04:01:24.380
I mean, the Democrats are showing up in large numbers. They're showing up largely outside.
04:01:28.800
You could there's a world where the results of 2016 become a non outlier, where you do see these huge gaps between popular vote totals and electoral vote totals.
04:01:37.500
You could see a situation where Trump wins again Florida and Ohio very, very narrowly and presumably, you know, he'd have to win Iowa and Texas and all those states.
04:01:47.540
And Democrats just clean up on the coast. And it's not a three point gap. It's a seven point gap.
04:01:55.060
I think it's safe to say that no matter what Trump does, because of his personality, that it's still going to depend on who the Democrat is and what the Democrat Party is doing.
04:02:05.040
He does have a ceiling. He has a ceiling of support.
04:02:07.900
But Democrats are going to be careful here. So Nancy Pelosi is already saying that she is not in favor of impeachment.
04:02:12.800
So she is is actually acting more like a responsible party than you would have thought that you would.
04:02:17.060
The issue you brought up before, does she have control of her party and will she be able to keep them?
04:02:21.280
Well, I mean, she'll be able to keep them from actually flooring an impeachment vote.
04:02:24.500
It's going to I mean, the majority ain't that large that they can lose enough votes off of that.
04:02:29.480
She says, of course, a lot depends on what happens in the Mueller investigation.
04:02:32.520
But, you know, that's that's the next big thing, right?
04:02:36.500
That's supposed to happen this month, this month, because the news cycle does not end.
04:02:46.680
He didn't follow the Comey, you know, playbook.
04:02:50.020
Did you see him knocking on doors, James Comey?
04:02:56.600
But no, I think that Mueller did the right thing.
04:03:06.260
I cannot imagine him bringing in any kind of real life verdict that says that Trump colluded with the Russians.
04:03:12.660
I can imagine him pushing an obstruction of justice charge, but it would be a stretch.
04:03:17.820
And I just I can imagine the possibility of him bringing a charge that someone colluded with the Russians, though.
04:03:30.100
Like that's that's the hot rumor is basically that Donald Trump Jr. is going to be the one who's caught up in all of this because of the Trump Tower meeting and because of his associations with folks like Roger Stone.
04:03:39.080
But, you know, we'll have to see what what comes out from all this.
04:03:42.240
Again, I think that unless you have just a clear, clear smoking gun, then none of this matters.
04:03:50.140
My favorite argument that Obama has made is that no one got indicted in his.
04:03:55.760
I said this on my show because his Justice Department was so corrupt.
04:03:59.100
It's because Eric Holder called himself your wingman and because he was held in contempt by Congress.
04:04:08.940
Well, this is the part that's really insulting is the Democrats saying we have to restore oversight to Donald Trump.
04:04:13.680
But his own DOJ, Jeff Sessions, he's at war with his own DOJ, but he has not fired his attorney general.
04:04:19.300
Jeff Sessions is an honest man for all the crap that Jeff Sessions has taken.
04:04:25.560
He has gone after people inside the Republican Party.
04:04:28.340
And that is something that no Democrat would do.
04:04:30.200
And I've been so sick over the last couple of years of hearing Democrats rant on and on about how Republicans have no standards because they elected Donald Trump.
04:04:37.120
We lost the seat in Alabama because we had standards.
04:04:39.240
A bunch of us stayed home in 2016 because we didn't like Trump.
04:04:42.340
OK, and the fact is that it is Jeff Sessions, Donald Trump's appointee, who has not done anything to stop the Rod Rosenstein investigation and the Mueller investigation.
04:04:55.580
The idea that government is in the hands of corrupt cronies who are twisting it to their nefarious ends, there's just the evidence of that is just not there.
04:05:04.760
I do think that Sessions may quietly slip away after this election, but still.
04:05:10.100
Well, since we kept the Senate, I think we'll see over the next three months quite a lot of turnover in the administration.
04:05:17.280
If we had lost the Senate, it would have been much more difficult for there to be, for people to go home.
04:05:21.720
By the way, I just got the most important election update.
04:05:24.620
I know some people care because the Republicans gained in the Senate.
04:05:29.100
Some people care, you know, Democrats won the House.
04:05:32.300
My aunt Tricia, Tricia Fidrich, just won a seat on the Beaufort County School Board.
04:05:41.460
I mean, I'm glad if we had lost the Senate, maybe then I...
04:05:52.560
So, again, Nancy Pelosi, target of opportunity for President Trump.
04:05:59.400
So, I want to look again at the electoral map in 2016 because I'm curious to see which
04:06:06.440
states Trump could still lose and maintain, right?
04:06:11.340
Obama lost a bunch of states in 2012 that he had won in 2008 and he still maintained his
04:06:16.280
majority because he had won so broadly in 2008.
04:06:18.160
So, if he won 306 electoral votes, what is it, 272 to win?
04:06:24.300
So, let's assume for a second that he loses the states that he lost tonight, which would
04:06:38.660
So, if he only loses those three states and he pulls off Ohio and Florida, then he is
04:06:58.520
I mean, if he loses 46 seats off that total, then he wins with...
04:07:02.920
If he loses 46 seats off of 306, then he loses re-election.
04:07:11.380
So, that means as the night progresses, my math skills deplete.
04:07:15.580
So, Trump is going to need to win one of Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania in order to maintain
04:07:26.420
Michigan is possible, but unlikely, given the results of tonight's race.
04:07:37.720
I mean, Pennsylvania started to fall apart for him, and Wisconsin is a problem for him.
04:07:41.340
So, as things stand, yes, Ohio and Florida are good for Trump, but there is a world where
04:07:49.080
He needs to win one of Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Wisconsin.
04:07:51.840
So, while we can celebrate a lot of these big wins, he's not holding enough of the firewall
04:07:56.780
necessary to win re-election if you were to take the races tonight as a bellwether indicator.
04:08:02.280
And you've got to just think of the prospective candidates against him in those exact places,
04:08:12.640
You know, the Wisconsin, I mean, we'll see what happens in that governor's race, but there
04:08:21.400
But when you put another Democrat candidate, Kamala Harris or somebody, up against it,
04:08:27.720
And that's why I say that, you know, Joe Biden still has a lot of weight.
04:08:31.580
Because Joe Biden is the guy that, of all the people we've mentioned, who is most likely
04:08:35.220
to do damage in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.
04:08:46.020
We find him inauthentic because we have brains.
04:08:57.520
And the presidential election starts literally tomorrow.
04:09:01.120
So get your rest tonight and prepare, because tomorrow they'll launch their campaigns.
04:09:15.700
That's how I feel about him and the Hamburglar.
04:09:30.160
He takes away just enough votes that Trump loses Ohio election over.
04:09:36.160
I mean, Kasich literally spent the last election cycle making Trump the nominee by refusing to get out of the race and splitting the votes at Cruz.
04:09:44.540
This is why I say that while I am very happy about the wins in places like Florida and Georgia and Texas and Ohio tonight, I'm very happy about all of those.
04:09:56.540
I mean, the writing is on the wall a little bit here.
04:09:58.740
Something has to change between now and 2020 for Trump to...
04:10:02.640
We can't keep going and playing the same playbook.
04:10:04.300
Something actually does have to change between now and 2020 unless the Democrats make a huge boo-boo and just nominate somebody completely unpalatable.
04:10:11.160
But again, the question isn't will they nominate somebody completely unpalatable.
04:10:14.760
The question is, is there a human being as unpalatable as Hillary Clinton in a world where no one thought that Donald Trump was going to win?
04:10:25.460
And also, literally no one, including Donald Trump, except for Scott Adams, thought that Donald Trump was going to win that election.
04:10:32.300
And that meant that Democrats didn't show up to vote.
04:10:35.020
Democrats will show up to vote next time because he's on the ballot and he won last time.
04:10:41.000
There's two years to go and two years for Democrats to do the kinds of things that they've been doing.
04:10:46.140
If they learn their lesson and they moderate, it's going to be a different world.
04:10:50.240
But if they learn their lesson and moderate, it's literally going to be a different world.
04:10:53.340
It's not going to be the world that we live in.
04:10:54.720
They may legitimately suppress their own voter turnout by not impeaching the president.
04:10:59.760
Because this is what happens when your party's enslaved to its base, is people, they get disenchanted.
04:11:11.440
Again, I think that we on the right have gotten used to being a little bit sanguine because the last couple of years have been pretty good.
04:11:16.960
But I'm old enough to remember in 2004 when I thought Republicans were never going to lose again.
04:11:21.540
Because I was so ecstatic about, I mean, we'd won three straight elections.
04:11:26.380
It was the middle of a war and Democrats were saying borderline unpatriotic things about the war.
04:11:36.960
Well, you know, who is it who said there's two kinds of races?
04:11:49.060
Whenever I hear somebody say, is this the end of the Democrat Party?
04:11:55.000
But the one, you know, they were promising us a wave election.
04:12:13.420
It matters because of all the stuff that happened.
04:12:16.260
It matters because of all the stuff that's been said about Donald Trump.
04:12:18.900
The incredible united effort of, just think how much of the communication network the
04:12:26.680
left owns, the united effort by that communication network, Hollywood, the Academy, the news
04:12:36.500
And that's just telling you something that, you know, this voice that's out there, which
04:12:41.560
I believe has a long-term effect and I believe is really destructive, I believe has created
04:12:46.800
most of the dissension and division in America, people have caught on.
04:12:59.840
But he has run the cultural battle in a big way.
04:13:01.800
Something interesting that no one's talked about yet.
04:13:10.440
Steve Bannon's doing election coverage tonight with Gateway Pundit over at the site.
04:13:15.980
And listen, obviously the internet's a big deal.
04:13:24.840
But isn't it interesting that the guy who was sort of two years ago, if you go back just
04:13:32.900
a little bit in time, the guy who was sort of being heralded as this mastermind, this
04:13:36.740
new, the Karl Rove for the new era, chief strategist to the president, CEO of the campaign,
04:13:44.880
if you'd ever even heard of that, that the very next election after running a campaign
04:13:50.840
that saw his guy elected president of the United States isn't even phoning in coverage
04:14:01.400
But this is, again, evidence that the gap between Trump not president and Trump president
04:14:11.140
This is why when Jeremy was saying earlier, our decision in 2016 was based on the evidence
04:14:15.120
The evidence at hand was Steve Bannon was the campaign chairman.
04:14:17.980
But I mean, one of the things you have to remember about Trump, and this is, again, to
04:14:21.200
his credit, as far as I'm concerned, is that the establishment Republicans would not join
04:14:30.620
He gathered together the people who would come with him, and then he got rid of them.
04:14:36.660
But this is the point that I'm making, is that Trump as president, in policy terms and
04:14:40.980
in staffing terms, has not been Trump as candidate.
04:14:47.060
I mean, like, the upgrades in the administration, every step of the way, the administration
04:14:54.660
In voting for Donald Trump, I was absolutely convinced that he was better than Hillary Clinton.
04:14:58.120
I in no way expected him to be as good as he's been.
04:15:01.240
And to some degree, he's been forced into that corner by the resistance.
04:15:05.460
But I know very few people who predicted that President Trump would be this good in office.
04:15:20.980
Also, one of the real concerns about him, personality-wise, was that the rumor was that
04:15:26.060
And it turns out that he's a micromanager about the things he cares about, like his Twitter.
04:15:29.220
When it comes to, you know, national policy, then he is far from a national micromanager.
04:15:32.980
But this is, you know, promises made, promises kept.
04:15:35.600
One of the things he said is, you know, yeah, I don't know how to be president, but I'm going
04:15:45.300
I mean, to be fair, after all the worst people quit or got indicted.
04:15:48.960
Michael Cohen was a member of his administration.
04:15:54.440
He was the personal lawyer who was also the head of the RNC Finance.
04:15:58.580
It was like, there were three RNC Finance chair people and two of them ended up indicted.
04:16:04.260
I have to say, I heard a comedian at the comedy store a few weeks ago.
04:16:12.280
But she had a great line about how Donald Trump promised he was going to pick all the
04:16:18.040
But so far, the only one who seems qualified for their job is Stormy Daniels.
04:16:26.380
But I mean, when you think about who's in there now, Mike Pompeo, great job.
04:16:36.600
I mean, he's the guy who bites the heads off chickens.
04:16:48.920
The guy who surprises me the most, though, is Kelly.
04:16:53.520
Like, three days don't go by in a row where there isn't some story about.
04:17:06.040
Basically, John Kelly's tenure is like the end of this broadcast.
04:17:12.360
What do I have to do to get some Dean Heller results around here?
04:17:14.940
I can't believe there's nothing yet coming out of the box.
04:17:32.960
Oh, it's amazing, though, about the Israeli intelligence services.
04:17:35.980
It's 24, but with Israelis and Palestinian terrorists.
04:17:39.840
Although I will say that they do make kind of the modern TV writer's mistake, which is
04:17:43.980
they keep trying to humanize terrorists in a way that I find off-putting.
04:17:50.020
When they do that, they always make it, like, our fault that they're terrorists.
04:17:54.880
They never humanize them by saying, oh, they have motives and a philosophy.
04:18:01.820
Yeah, but they do this routine where it's like, this person's a really good person,
04:18:04.880
except that her husband got killed by Israelis in a firefight.
04:18:09.500
I will say that you recommended this Tom Clancy show, and I'm really enjoying it.
04:18:17.060
It's not, like, the most intelligent show, but it's fun.
04:18:18.740
No, and in fact, once you get through the verbiage that they use,
04:18:22.180
the plots are basically, like, I have some intelligence on a computer.
04:18:25.640
Let's go blow up the fourth arrondissement in Paris.
04:18:29.980
It's like, they have a little bit of plot, and then they just blow things up.
04:18:32.860
I mean, it is reminiscent of 24 just without the ticking clock.
04:18:40.340
And then, I have to say, I was disappointed by the last season of Man in the High Castle.
04:18:46.980
And it's not, there's basically only one interesting storyline, which is irritating,
04:18:51.440
which is about the head Nazi guy who was an American soldier and then ends up being kind
04:19:04.060
It got worse in season two, and then it got better again in season three.
04:19:06.640
And after a while, it gets very self-aware and lots of fun.
04:19:09.800
I mean, it's just like, the writers start to sort of wink at the audience, and it really
04:19:14.100
Have you guys seen South Side with you on Netflix?
04:19:23.900
But, and I'm not sure if the plot's going to make sense.
04:19:26.920
It's one of those things where I think, like, this is either going to be a great, they're
04:19:30.100
going to turn this around and it's going to work.
04:19:31.680
But the actor is great and the setup is great, which is basically this guy with this veteran,
04:19:38.180
it's a British show, this veteran with PTSD is assigned to guard this hawkish politician,
04:19:47.720
So, he hates her, but she's attractive and he likes her too.
04:19:52.580
Apparently, Beto O'Rourke just dropped an F-bomb on national TV.
04:20:00.200
That's how you know that they're really serious.
04:20:06.980
Henry also says he's calling Governor Scott Walker.
04:20:12.960
He says, I'm going to bet out on a limb, but I'm calling Wisconsin governor for Scott
04:20:17.300
Evers has been averaging a bit over 600 votes lead per precinct in Dane, Madison, but there
04:20:24.340
Walker has lots of votes yet to report in rural areas in the Fox River Valley.
04:20:32.240
Well, that's a, that's a, that is a, that is a big thing because Wisconsin obviously is
04:20:36.740
Well, that set up guys, that would set up a 270 win for President Trump.
04:20:42.280
If he wins Wisconsin, but he loses Pennsylvania and Michigan, he wins with 270 electoral votes.
04:20:48.000
Which is, which is, because that's the only way this can go.
04:20:52.580
The only way this can go is that he wins the, he wins the presidency.
04:20:55.200
If you had to have 271, I would have gotten 271.
04:20:59.700
I just want to, I don't want a second backstage in a row to go by where I don't say the show
04:21:05.340
Because you guys remember, you remember favorite Western episode and I never got to talk about
04:21:15.200
I've been watching an actual network television show.
04:21:18.260
I have not watched a network television show and enjoyed it.
04:21:21.360
I mean, I have some guilty pleasures that are like TNT.
04:21:26.080
And it's not that Last Ship's a great show, but like Adam Baldwin's there.
04:21:32.060
But there's a show on CBS in its second season right now called Seal Team with David Boreanaz.
04:21:38.380
And I have to say it's the best show on network TV that I've seen in 10 years.
04:21:59.500
It's not, what was that great movie where they used actual bullets and actual Navy SEALs?
04:22:13.420
It's taking an honest, trying to take a pretty honest look at these guys, what motivates them,
04:22:17.660
the toll it takes on their family, the difficulty of their situation, but while honoring them.
04:22:24.800
So it's not like you don't get to the end of an episode and it's like, oh, but they're just cogs of the evil man.
04:22:30.380
And in fact, at the end of season one, you thought maybe it was going that way.
04:22:33.040
It really seemed like they were setting up this story arc where, oh, yeah, but the Americans are really the bad guys.
04:22:38.560
And then it doesn't because it's just a subtle, complex show.
04:22:42.720
And David Boreanaz, who's been on TV since Drew was a kid and still looks, you know.
04:22:54.320
But he always plays these characters who are flawed but masculine, flawed but male.
04:23:00.260
And they have the kind of strength of classic male characters.
04:23:03.040
It's a lot like watching an old Western, a real old Western as opposed to a modern interpretation of an old Western where the masculine character is hard to like sometimes.
04:23:17.040
And I feel like in all of his roles, he does that.
04:23:28.640
And so it's rare to recommend a network TV show.
04:23:35.000
But if you guys haven't watched this, I think it's the best thing.
04:23:39.100
I'm going to give you the worst case scenario because this is now fun for me.
04:23:47.720
President Trump wins Wisconsin, loses Pennsylvania and Michigan, which I think at this point is maybe the most likely scenario, right?
04:23:55.840
And he loses all four electoral votes in Maine.
04:24:07.620
And then it is kicked to Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi to select the president of the United States.
04:24:29.620
What is the most chaotic thing that could happen?
04:24:33.000
Whatever is the most chaotic thing that could happen, that's what's actually going to happen.
04:24:37.100
And so far, this has served me well ever since 2016 because that has been actually what has basically happened.
04:24:46.600
They're like, we're going to just punk the rest of the country.
04:24:50.920
In what is going to be a headline for sure, NBC News projects Steve King wins re-election in Iowa.
04:24:56.560
Obviously, they're going to play that up because King has made some pretty significantly ridiculous comments in a variety of settings.
04:25:07.600
Part of it, though, is because the people who know Steve King know that he's not a racist.
04:25:11.520
And because it's a local race, right, it's a congressional district race, the people there probably know him.
04:25:19.240
And they probably feel the same way that we feel when King has some of these moments where you're like, buddy, why do you make it so hard to convince people of what we know, which is that you are not a racist?
04:25:31.800
That you're not only racially insensitive, but he's situationally insensitive?
04:25:42.380
I honestly think he'd probably do the country a favor if he found some way to retire and let that seat kick to...
04:25:50.320
He is not what they accuse him of being, but he is a liability.
04:26:01.780
But our victory in the Senate is going to be...
04:26:16.940
Keith Ellison won the Minnesota Attorney General race, which is just perfect.
04:26:20.040
Because what you want a dude in charge of your law enforcement agencies in Minnesota, whose ex-girlfriend alleges that he beat her up, and also who is a rabid anti-Semite associated with Louis Farrakhan.
04:26:42.000
Here's what we're going to do, because the evening has waned upon us.
04:26:46.620
We're going to take one last question, because I want to let the evening end with the people who paid us to be here.
04:26:52.120
That's the people who are paying $99 a year or $10 a month to be subscribers over at DailyWire.com.
04:26:58.480
If we happen to get a Nevada result while we're answering this question, we'll be glad to bring that to you.
04:27:03.040
If not, you can tune in tomorrow morning to the Ben Shapiro Show, the Andrew Klavan Show, the Michael Knowles Show, or stop by DailyWire.com, and we will have this information.
04:27:12.120
But believe me, the version of us that is still here 30 minutes from now, you do not want to tune in to.
04:27:22.120
So this question is from Garrett, and he asks, if the Democratic Party became the best version of itself, what would that look like?
04:27:32.180
But I mean, to a certain extent, that's kind of right.
04:27:34.760
I mean, like, on social issues, the Democrats were always saying, like, get people out of your bedroom.
04:27:39.980
Okay, fine. And if they could get over the fact that they despise unborn children, then that would be helpful as well.
04:27:48.860
You know, the truth is the Democratic Party's best version of itself was basically JFK 1960.
04:27:53.840
Which is the Republican Party today, basically.
04:27:56.620
Right. And I think the Republican Party's best version of itself is not the Democratic Party of 1960.
04:28:02.200
I think that it's something that we haven't actually seen yet, which, you know, suggests that the entire spectrum needs to shift radically in a different direction.
04:28:11.180
I mean, I think, look, I think the Democrats have served a purpose, which is to point out problems.
04:28:16.360
There's one thing that the Republicans do not do is they won't move until they're forced to move by Democrats making a stupid mistake.
04:28:23.640
We're finally talking about health care because Obama destroyed the health care system.
04:28:30.500
And so now the Republicans are tasked with the problem of how do you make free market reforms without the House of Representatives.
04:28:40.260
I mean, without even being able to access the House of Representatives, because we've had it for two years.
04:28:47.220
Well, I mean, John McCain, may he rest in peace, you know, like provided that vote that wouldn't that made it impossible to to get rid of Obamacare,
04:28:55.480
at which point they would have had to start instituting reforms because the old system.
04:28:59.480
I just don't think that I am not I'm not a fan of the current nature of the legislature.
04:29:07.540
I don't think that Republicans will make it better for fear of making it worse.
04:29:11.440
I don't think they'll make entitlements better for fear of making it worse.
04:29:19.000
They don't like Obamacare because they don't like Obama.
04:29:21.400
But the question of what would a good Democrat party look like?
04:29:24.000
It is a party that says, you know, here's a problem.
04:29:27.500
It also needs to stop being so anti-patriotic and so anti-God.
04:29:32.320
Those two things are really so toxic about the Democrats.
04:29:39.080
They were liberal and on the left for a very long time.
04:29:41.660
But it's that anti, you know, protesting the flag, booing God.
04:29:45.840
There's something so toxic and wicked about that that you end up at this bizarre farce with Fox.com suggesting witchcraft.
04:29:52.900
And that is radical and really bad for the country because they start hating their fellow countries.
04:30:00.840
So here's where we are and where we're going to end.
04:30:03.180
We have the Republicans have certainly held on to the Senate.
04:30:06.720
The question is, did they pick up three seats or did they pick up four?
04:30:09.900
The Democrats have flipped the House of Representatives, not in a complete blue wave of historic proportion, but certainly in a meaningful way.
04:30:17.780
The question is, will they get 32, 33, 34, as many as 35 seats?
04:30:22.260
We will have the answers to those questions tomorrow and to the bigger questions.
04:30:25.720
What does this mean for the future of Donald Trump's agenda?
04:30:28.260
And let's not forget, if you think that the excitement is over, the 2020 presidential election officially starts by the time we all wake up tomorrow.
04:30:38.880
And thank you for sticking it out with us this evening.
04:30:40.500
This Men's Mental Health Month, CAMH is confronting a silent crisis.
04:31:09.980
Do general men account for 75% of all suicide deaths in Canada?
04:31:17.740
CAMH is on the front lines pioneering breakthroughs and expanding access to compassionate support.
04:31:22.560
Your donation fuels this vital work so no father, son, brother, or family is left behind.
04:31:27.460
To join us in building better mental health care for men across Canada, visit camh.ca slash support men.