America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - 2020 ELECTION RESULTS | America First Ep. 715

00:02:08.000 Donald Trump from the same cloth.

00:02:12.000 It's not too big, is it?

00:02:31.000 So right, it's a deal.

00:02:36.000 I put together some really impressive deals.

00:02:45.000 I like that.

00:04:49.000 This sounds like a presidential call.

00:04:54.000 You said, though, that if you I didn't go in to lose.

00:05:07.000 I've never gone into losing my life.

00:05:09.000 I don't know how your audience feels, but I think people are tired of seeing the United States ripped off.

00:05:13.000 That's the guy on the side, right?

00:05:17.000 That's me.

00:05:18.000 Kevin, thank you.

00:05:19.000 I'm happy you helped me.

00:05:21.000 Okay, kids, make it first.

00:05:23.000 I better play the game.

00:05:24.000 Can you create a magazine, Mr. Trump?

00:05:27.000 We can do it.

00:05:29.000 Scavigee. 0.96

00:07:23.000 Isn't it ridiculous? 0.99

00:07:24.000 Crazy. 1.00

00:07:28.000 Ridiculous. 0.99

00:07:30.000 Isn't it crazy? 0.99

00:07:51.000 Ten feet higher!

00:07:53.000 The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:07:58.000 That's right.

00:08:00.000 Ten feet higher.

00:08:01.000 I said, The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:08:06.000 Ten feet higher.

00:08:08.000 The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:08:12.000 Ten feet higher.

00:08:15.000 I said, The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:08:24.000 I'm building a wall.

00:18:12.000 Alexander the Donald Trump from the same cloth and that cloth is very It's not too big, is it?

00:18:36.000 It feels so right.

00:18:45.000 Yeah, there's some really aggressive deals.

00:20:55.000 Sounds like...

00:20:55.000 You said, though, that if you did run for president, you believe...

00:21:17.000 ...the United States ripped off.

00:23:56.000 Ten feet higher.

00:23:58.000 The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:24:02.000 I said, The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:24:09.000 Ten feet higher.

00:24:13.000 The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:24:17.000 Ten feet higher.

00:24:21.000 I said, The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:24:31.000 I'm building a wall.

00:24:34.000 Build that wall.

00:27:43.000 Thank you.

00:27:44.000 Thank you very much.

00:27:45.000 And we will...

00:34:20.000 From the same cloth.

00:34:21.000 That cloth is very, very large.

00:34:23.000 It's not too big, is it?

00:37:00.000 This sounds like...

00:37:01.000 I would say that I would have a hell of a chance of winning.

00:40:02.000 Feet higher.

00:40:12.000 Ten feet higher.

00:40:13.000 The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:40:17.000 Ten feet higher.

00:40:18.000 I said the wall just got ten feet higher.

00:40:22.000 I'm building a wall.

00:40:27.000 Build that out!

00:50:23.000 Donald Trump from the same cloth, very, very large.

00:50:28.000 It's not too big, is it?

00:50:35.000 And yourself.

00:50:46.000 It feels so right.

00:50:48.000 And it's a deal.

00:50:49.000 Gather some of you need for some deals.

00:51:01.000 I like that.

00:51:03.000 Go big or go home.

00:53:05.000 This sounds like presidential.

00:53:10.000 You said, though, that if you didn't.

00:53:22.000 I didn't go in to lose.

00:53:23.000 I've never gone into losing my life.

00:53:25.000 I don't know how your audience is, but I think people are tired of seeing the United States ripped off.

00:53:30.000 There's the guy on the floor, right?

00:53:33.000 Tiffany.

00:53:34.000 Tiffany, thank you.

00:53:35.000 How do you help me? 0.63

00:53:36.000 Okay, kids, make it fast.

00:53:38.000 I've got a plan.

00:53:38.000 Give me three hundred and eighty.

00:55:36.000 Isn't it crazy? 0.97

00:55:38.000 Is it ridiculous? 0.93

00:55:40.000 Ten feet higher 0.83

00:56:08.000 The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:56:11.000 That's right.

00:56:12.000 Ten feet higher.

00:56:13.000 I said, The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:56:17.000 Ten feet higher.

00:56:19.000 The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:56:22.000 Ten feet higher.

00:56:23.000 I said, The wall just got ten feet higher.

00:56:27.000 I'm building a wall.

00:56:28.000 Okay.

00:56:28.000 I'm building a wall.

00:56:31.000 I'm building a wall.

00:56:31.000 Okay.

00:56:32.000 I'm building a wall.

00:56:33.000 Okay.

00:56:34.000 I'm building a wall.

00:56:36.000 okay i'm building a wall everybody

01:02:08.000 You are watching America First.

01:02:10.000 My name is Nicholas J. Fuentes.

01:02:12.000 We have a great show for you tonight, and I am very excited to be with you here tonight for the 2020 presidential election.

01:02:21.000 If you can believe it, the day is finally here.

01:02:25.000 It is finally upon us after three and a half years of President Donald Trump.

01:02:31.000 We are back here for another election, and it's been a bizarre year between the coronavirus and the lockdown and the riots.

01:02:41.000 And everything that's been going on, but we finally made it through here.

01:02:45.000 And we don't know what's going to happen tonight.

01:02:48.000 And we actually don't even know if we'll know who wins by tonight.

01:02:52.000 There's a chance we could know tonight, but it's also a possibility, and some might say likely, that we won't even know the result of this contest until tomorrow or even weeks after tomorrow.

01:03:06.000 So we're going to get started here tonight.

01:03:08.000 We've got a really good panel.

01:03:11.000 We have got three people coming on for the first half of the stream.

01:03:15.000 We will have Vince James, Steve Franson, and Scott Greer.

01:03:19.000 They'll be on for the first half, which should be about 6 o'clock to 10 o'clock.

01:03:24.000 And then from 10 o'clock to 2 a.m., we're going to have Jaden, Patrick, and Jake Lloyd, and Beardson.

01:03:32.000 And then at 2 a.m., probably whoever wants to come on can come on.

01:03:38.000 People that were on in the first half.

01:03:39.000 At that point, I think we're all going to be very tired.

01:03:42.000 And we may have to make a decision.

01:03:43.000 At one point, we're even going to cut off the stream.

01:03:46.000 We may have a winner by 2 a.m.

01:03:48.000 We may not have a winner, like I said, until weeks out into the future.

01:03:53.000 So we may have to make a discretionary call as to when we're going to call it.

01:03:56.000 But I figure at 2 a.m., we'll have some idea.

01:03:59.000 And at that point, we'll just play it by ear.

01:04:01.000 But that's the schedule.

01:04:03.000 And it should be a pretty fun night before I introduce our guests.

01:04:07.000 I want to go over just very quickly what we're going to be watching and looking out for.

01:04:11.000 We're going to be looking at the New York Times.

01:04:14.000 Election needles, which were actually very popular in 2016.

01:04:18.000 I think I've told the story about me on Election Day, and I remember in 2016 we were watching the needles moving on this New York Times map here.

01:04:29.000 And I don't know if they have them up yet, but they'll have a needle that shows what the percentage likelihood is that either candidate will win each state and then ultimately the election.

01:04:39.000 So we'll be watching the New York Times and we'll watch them call states in real time.

01:04:44.000 It looks like already they've called Vermont for Joe Biden and Kentucky for Trump.

01:04:49.000 We'll be looking at NBC's live coverage here on YouTube and just kind of keeping track of what the media is saying.

01:04:57.000 We'll, of course, be looking at our 270 to win interactive map and trying to figure out, as states are called, what the pathway is for either candidate to continue on as the night goes on.

01:05:08.000 We'll be looking at the Twitter timeline and we'll be looking at this, which will show us when the polls are closing.

01:05:17.000 So as the night goes on from now until I think like midnight.

01:05:21.000 Or 1 a.m., actually, we'll be watching different states will officially call it, they'll close the polls, and then they'll begin tabulating the results and reporting them.

01:05:30.000 So that's what we'll be watching here.

01:05:32.000 And I want to get back to the interactive map and just sort of summarize where we are in case you didn't know, in case you didn't catch my show yesterday or you didn't catch my show on Friday.

01:05:43.000 I want to just briefly go over what we're going to be looking for tonight, which states are going to decide the election.

01:05:50.000 This is basically the map that we can expect.

01:05:54.000 Within reason, some say, even for example, that North Carolina is undecided.

01:06:00.000 But this is really where we stand.

01:06:02.000 This is kind of our expected map.

01:06:04.000 More likely than not, this is how the map looks as we stand right now with a great degree of certainty.

01:06:11.000 Some say that Georgia might be contested, or Texas, or Iowa, or Ohio.

01:06:15.000 I think it's safe to say, though, that these are the states that Republicans can count on.

01:06:20.000 These are the states that Democrats can count on.

01:06:23.000 And the election is really going to come down in particular to our race in Arizona, our race in Florida, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.

01:06:32.000 And you can see that if Trump pulls all of these races, It puts him over with 278 to 198.

01:06:40.000 People see this as the most likely path for Donald Trump to secure 270 electoral votes.

01:06:47.000 Of course, though, we're looking at other states.

01:06:49.000 Some say that New Mexico is competitive.

01:06:52.000 Nevada will be looking at the results.

01:06:54.000 Virginia, it appeared to be like it wasn't going to happen this year because we got crushed in 2016, but some are saying that Democrats are severely underperforming in Virginia.

01:07:06.000 And of course, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, we will be watching.

01:07:11.000 I think it's less likely that we'll see an upset there, but of course anything's possible.

01:07:16.000 So the main states that we're going to be focusing on, like I said, are Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, but we'll be watching all the swing states here.

01:07:24.000 You know, for the fun of it, we'll even say New Hampshire and Georgia.

01:07:29.000 And for the fun of it, we'll just say Texas, Ohio, and Iowa.

01:07:33.000 You know, I think the map is going to go the way I just showed you, but I want to blank it all out.

01:07:37.000 Maybe we'll just start with nothing here.

01:07:40.000 That's not right.

01:07:42.000 We'll start with a blank map and we'll fill it in as we go along.

01:07:45.000 And so far, we've got Vermont for Biden and Kentucky for Trump.

01:07:50.000 So that's where we stand.

01:07:51.000 Those are the key states that we're going to be looking at.

01:07:53.000 I'll just give you a little summary of what I've seen so far because I've been following everything all day today on Twitter.

01:08:01.000 And I've been talking to my friends in the campaign and some of my friends across the country that are in various swing states.

01:08:08.000 And I have to say that it's looking reasonably optimistic.

01:08:13.000 I don't want to get anybody's hopes.

01:08:16.000 Way too high before the polls even close in a lot of these states and in a lot of these swing states.

01:08:22.000 But from what I've seen so far, it shows that we are still in the race.

01:08:26.000 There are some things that are troubling.

01:08:28.000 There are some things which are encouraging.

01:08:31.000 So far, it is looking really good for us in Florida.

01:08:35.000 In Florida, Republicans are turning out really well, and it seems like it is all but certain that Florida will fall to Trump.

01:08:43.000 North Carolina is looking good.

01:08:44.000 They say that Arizona, you're seeing a lot of Republican turnout in the biggest.

01:08:50.000 Congressional district there, which is Maricopa, or the biggest county, Maricopa County.

01:08:55.000 They're seeing a lot of Republican turnout there.

01:08:57.000 They're saying in Virginia that the Democrats are underperforming.

01:09:01.000 They say in big cities like Philadelphia and Cleveland and even parts of Wisconsin, Democrats are underperforming.

01:09:09.000 Really, the race, as far as I've seen so far, is going to go down to Pennsylvania.

01:09:15.000 If we can continue the momentum throughout the day with the remaining hours left, In Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina, which I think those will be, I think, relatively more likely to go for Trump.

01:09:27.000 It looks like then it will all come down to Pennsylvania.

01:09:30.000 And Pennsylvania is a state where it won't be decided simply by the vote alone, but also by the political maneuvering and some court decisions that will come down in the days and weeks after the election.

01:09:44.000 And what I'm talking about is, for example, in Philadelphia, they're seeing a lot of improprieties.

01:09:49.000 I heard one number somebody said that there were 2,000 reports.

01:09:54.000 About election improprieties happening in Pennsylvania.

01:09:57.000 And that's going to be in the big cities Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, elsewhere.

01:10:01.000 So, it's going to come down to probably the vote in Pennsylvania, and then in the days and weeks after, to what extent votes will be discarded, decisions that might be made, investigations, maybe a recount.

01:10:14.000 So, it could, and hypothetically, barring a landslide scenario, surging turnout for the rest of the day, the whole thing could come down to Pennsylvania, and then that could come down even further to some key decisions made in the courts or by election officials.

01:10:31.000 So that's where we are as it stands at 6 15 p.m. Central Time.

01:10:37.000 But of course, there's a lot of time to go.

01:10:39.000 The voting patterns, as expected, fall basically in line with what we've been saying for the past week.

01:10:45.000 It appears that Democrats are largely favored and have the edge in the early and the mail in voting.

01:10:52.000 Republicans have a substantial edge on election day voting.

01:10:56.000 What's more, we're looking at the pattern over time, and we saw a huge Trump surge in the morning.

01:11:04.000 Voting for both parties has slowed down since then.

01:11:07.000 It is expected then that there will be another surge of turnout overall towards the end of the day as polls begin to close.

01:11:14.000 And I think this fits in line with the workday.

01:11:18.000 People are voting before they go to work, people are voting before they go to school, and presumably people are planning on voting after work and after school.

01:11:27.000 So we saw major turnout early in the day.

01:11:30.000 It slowed down considerably, I think, because of how the workday goes.

01:11:35.000 And it is expected that turnout will pick back up as the polls begin to close.

01:11:39.000 The results will begin to come in, and then we will start to see.

01:11:42.000 It also is important which way independents swing, because all the data that we're going to see as the voting goes on is Republican and Democrat registered voters returning their ballots.

01:11:55.000 But this is not indicative of what the final tally will be necessarily, because you could have registered Republicans voting for Biden, you could have registered Democrats voting for Trump, and Obviously, much more substantially than that, we have yet to see how independents are going to vote.

01:12:12.000 If independents are 10 or 20% of the return ballots, it matters a great deal by what margin they're going for either candidate.

01:12:21.000 What proportion of those independents will end up going for Trump or Biden for the Election Day vote totals?

01:12:28.000 So that's what we're looking at so far today.

01:12:30.000 That's where I'm at.

01:12:31.000 I'm going to bring in Vince, I'm going to bring in Steve and Scott in a minute here.

01:12:36.000 Before I do that, though, I do just want to tell you my story about Election Day and my voting day, and then I'll bring them in.

01:12:44.000 But I just want to get this out of the way because it's kind of a funny story.

01:12:47.000 Of course, as you know, I came in and I voted this afternoon, and honestly, I told everybody to vote on, well, really for the past two weeks.

01:12:59.000 I've been telling people it doesn't matter what state you're in or where you're from, you have to vote.

01:13:03.000 And the reason being is because if you look at states like Virginia, it could make a difference.

01:13:07.000 In Nevada, It could make a difference, even New Mexico or other states like Texas, which are considered safe Republican.

01:13:14.000 So I've been telling people to vote no matter what because you never know.

01:13:17.000 And what's more, obviously, the bigger the popular vote is, the more legitimate the election will be seen as for Trump, and the easier it is for Trump to remain in office without any kind of contest or attacks on the legitimacy of the election itself.

01:13:35.000 In any case, I'm voting in Cook County, Illinois, and it is probably impossible that.

01:13:42.000 Illinois or Cook County will ever go red.

01:13:44.000 And if you looked at 2016, all of Chicago went blue.

01:13:48.000 All the surrounding suburbs went blue.

01:13:50.000 All the major cities in Illinois went blue.

01:13:52.000 But I go out and vote dutifully for Trump.

01:13:55.000 And I was wearing my Trump hat, my Trump sweatshirt.

01:13:58.000 I even had a Trump face mask.

01:14:01.000 And I told people in the build up to the election don't fight with them on the face masks.

01:14:05.000 I've been telling people to not wear the face masks in protest, but not on Election Day.

01:14:12.000 What's important on Election Day is that you get in there and you vote.

01:14:15.000 And it actually can be put on a back burner this crusade against the masks because this is a much bigger priority.

01:14:22.000 So I came in today to vote at my local polling place and I noticed there were signs all outside.

01:14:29.000 Of the polling place, which is illegal in Illinois.

01:14:32.000 I checked the rules and it said that you cannot have signage or any kind of campaign material within 100 feet of the polling place.

01:14:40.000 And I looked at the parkway, which is that grassy area between the street and the parking lot, and it had all these political signs Biden and Kim, whatever her name is, the state's attorney general, and all these people.

01:14:56.000 And I noticed that it's obviously not 100 feet away from the door.

01:15:00.000 So I said, well, that's an issue.

01:15:02.000 And I go inside with all my gear on.

01:15:04.000 I go downstairs to the polling place and I walk through the door and I begin to register.

01:15:10.000 And some woman gets up and says, Excuse me, sir, you can't wear all of that in here. 0.66

01:15:15.000 I'm sorry, but you have to take all that off.

01:15:18.000 And I said, No, you're wrong about that.

01:15:20.000 I said, I'm perfectly with it.

01:15:22.000 And by the way, I at that point was like 99% sure I was wrong.

01:15:28.000 I was going to see if they were going to call me on it and they did.

01:15:32.000 But I was basically sure I was in the wrong.

01:15:34.000 But I said, You know what?

01:15:37.000 I want them to make me take it off, if for no other reason other than it'll give them a hard time.

01:15:42.000 It'll be kind of funny.

01:15:43.000 It'll cause a little bit of entertainment for me, a little bit of drama.

01:15:48.000 So I said, No, I think you're wrong.

01:15:49.000 I think you're wrong.

01:15:50.000 I can definitely wear this in here.

01:15:52.000 And they said, No, you can't, and we're not going to let you vote.

01:15:57.000 You have to go out and take all that stuff off.

01:15:59.000 I said, No, I don't think I'm going to do that.

01:16:02.000 And they said, Okay, well, we're going to call this one and that one.

01:16:06.000 I said, Call whoever you want.

01:16:07.000 I said, I'm not leaving.

01:16:09.000 And I get into it with these people, and this black woman says, That's campaign literature. 0.94

01:16:15.000 I said, This isn't campaign literature. 0.99

01:16:17.000 I said, This is a hat.

01:16:18.000 I said, And I don't think you know that much about literature anyway.

01:16:22.000 And she said, You know, you're not allowed to do that.

01:16:25.000 You could vote outside.

01:16:26.000 I said, Really?

01:16:26.000 I could vote outside?

01:16:28.000 I said, Okay, let's do that.

01:16:29.000 She goes, Okay.

01:16:30.000 I'm like, I don't think you're being serious.

01:16:32.000 She goes, Well, you can't vote in here wearing that.

01:16:35.000 I said, I think you're trying to be cute.

01:16:36.000 I said, I think you're trying to be funny.

01:16:38.000 That's not funny.

01:16:39.000 I said, You know what?

01:16:40.000 It's not very cute, actually.

01:16:41.000 And she said, I agree, it's not funny.

01:16:43.000 I said, no, no, I said, you're not funny.

01:16:45.000 I said, because you're saying you can vote outside.

01:16:48.000 I said, I can't vote outside.

01:16:49.000 I said, now I think you're just trying to be cute.

01:16:51.000 I said, and that's not okay. 0.99

01:16:53.000 The lady comes, this other lady comes up to me. 0.74

01:16:56.000 I said, whoa, whoa. 0.99

01:16:57.000 I said, why don't we do the social distancing?

01:16:59.000 I said, this isn't six feet.

01:17:01.000 Why don't you take a step back? 0.99

01:17:02.000 You know, she backs away.

01:17:03.000 I said, and anyway, you've got all these signs outside.

01:17:07.000 They're not 100 feet away from the polling place.

01:17:10.000 She tells me, well, it's 100 feet from this room.

01:17:15.000 Because I guess it's not 100 feet from the building, but if you count the interior space, you walk through the vestibule, through the lobby, down the stairs, through the other part, and then through the door, they said, That's 100 feet.

01:17:28.000 I said, Oh, you gotta be kidding me.

01:17:30.000 I said, You've got signs right outside the door, but I can't wear my hat in here.

01:17:34.000 They said, No, you can't.

01:17:36.000 And at that point, actually, some girl kind of started sticking up for me.

01:17:40.000 I mean, she didn't say she was, but some girl was in the process of doing her thing, and she said, Why is that that he can't wear his hat?

01:17:48.000 I mean, I'm just curious, but why is that?

01:17:50.000 And they said, well, he can't wear that hat because, you know, it's going to cause problems.

01:17:55.000 People are going to, people will be offended.

01:17:57.000 I said, I think the only people here that are offended are you people.

01:18:01.000 And they said, no, we don't care.

01:18:03.000 If it was a Biden hat or a Trump hat, we wouldn't care.

01:18:07.000 You just can't have it on.

01:18:08.000 You can't have it on because of the rules.

01:18:10.000 I said, okay.

01:18:11.000 And I go on my phone just out of curiosity and I'm checking the rules.

01:18:14.000 And yeah, I mean, it turns out I was wrong, which I knew going into it, but it was funny anyway.

01:18:20.000 And so they end up calling the police.

01:18:24.000 I thought they were going to call, like, I don't know, some kind of poll watcher or something.

01:18:28.000 But they end up calling the police.

01:18:30.000 And the police come down, and the police officer steps up to me and says, Sir, can you step outside?

01:18:35.000 I go, Okay.

01:18:36.000 So I go outside, and he asks them to explain what's going on, and they say, He can't be wearing that in here.

01:18:42.000 And whatever.

01:18:43.000 And the police officer comes out and says, Yeah, we're going to need.

01:18:46.000 He gives me a plain mask.

01:18:48.000 He says, Here, you got to turn your shirt inside out.

01:18:52.000 You could go in the bathroom, but you got to take your hat off and wear this mask.

01:18:55.000 I said, Okay, whatever.

01:18:57.000 So I go into the bathroom.

01:18:58.000 I flip my thing because I got to vote, you know?

01:19:01.000 I'm like, all right, I pushed it as far as I could push it here.

01:19:04.000 I'm not going to mess with the police.

01:19:06.000 So I turn my sweatshirt inside out, put the generic mask on, take the hat off.

01:19:12.000 I go back inside.

01:19:13.000 I go through the process and everything, and I vote.

01:19:15.000 It's very uneventful.

01:19:16.000 I vote for Trump.

01:19:17.000 Here's the best part of the story.

01:19:19.000 That part is actually not even the most interesting part of the story or even the best part.

01:19:24.000 So I vote, whatever.

01:19:26.000 I give her the ballot.

01:19:27.000 Have a good day.

01:19:27.000 Yeah, okay, thanks.

01:19:28.000 You too.

01:19:30.000 I go into the bathroom.

01:19:33.000 To get changed again, you know, to take my sweatshirt off and flip it back around.

01:19:37.000 And I hear behind me the police officer, there's two police officers now, he brought in backup.

01:19:42.000 And I hear the one guy say, Oh, I gotta run in the bathroom real quick and wash my hands.

01:19:47.000 And I'm thinking, Oh boy, I'm gonna be changing in front of this cop now, look like a real joke.

01:19:53.000 So I'm changing out of my gear.

01:19:56.000 The police officer walks in behind me and he goes, Trump 2020, four more years.

01:20:01.000 And he goes to give me an elbow.

01:20:03.000 And I give him the elbow.

01:20:05.000 I go right on, Trump 2020.

01:20:07.000 I give him the elbow.

01:20:09.000 And he turns around and walks right out.

01:20:11.000 He didn't have to wash his hands.

01:20:12.000 He just wanted, he said as like an excuse in front of the other cop, like, oh, I got to wash my hands.

01:20:17.000 And then he came in and gave me an elbow.

01:20:20.000 And I was like, let's go!

01:20:22.000 Me magic?

01:20:23.000 Yo, me magic? 0.60

01:20:25.000 Trump soldiers, Trump race soldiers deployed to the polling place to enforce total America first, Trump 2020.

01:20:33.000 I was actually even debating, like, should I tell the story?

01:20:36.000 Should I not tell the story?

01:20:37.000 Because I don't want to get him in trouble.

01:20:40.000 I don't think that's enough information to get him in trouble, but it was. 0.93

01:20:45.000 And that's like, I don't think there's anything improper about that, but it was a totally based white brother moment. 0.75

01:20:52.000 This, like, totally Chad cop. 0.60

01:20:54.000 Hey, Trump 2020, baby.

01:20:56.000 He goes four more years.

01:20:58.000 I'm like, yeah, all right.

01:20:59.000 So I put my stuff on, and I'm like, okay, we did it.

01:21:03.000 I voted Trump.

01:21:04.000 I got in there.

01:21:06.000 Now the story gets even crazier.

01:21:08.000 Now, I'm not capping, okay?

01:21:11.000 No cap.

01:21:12.000 I'm not capping.

01:21:14.000 I'm not making this up.

01:21:16.000 So I leave.

01:21:17.000 I get in my car and I'm drafting my tweet to say, oh, you know, I just got done voting.

01:21:23.000 Go out and vote Trump 2020.

01:21:25.000 You saw it.

01:21:25.000 I said, I just voted Trump.

01:21:27.000 So I'm in my car.

01:21:28.000 I'm drafting the tweet.

01:21:29.000 I'm looking for a picture of Trump to post with it.

01:21:34.000 And I'm in the convertible.

01:21:35.000 So the top's down.

01:21:36.000 It's a beautiful day out today. 0.93

01:21:38.000 I'm not, this is going to sound like the most absurd and ridiculous story.

01:21:43.000 People are going to say, oh, what? 0.68

01:21:44.000 And then everyone clapped.

01:21:46.000 Some girl comes up to my car, I swear, my right hand to God. 0.98

01:21:52.000 Some girl comes up to my car and says, Hey, I saw you in there. 0.94

01:21:56.000 That was really funny.

01:21:58.000 I'm not going to say her name, but she goes, I'm this.

01:22:02.000 Here's my number.

01:22:03.000 Give me a call sometime.

01:22:04.000 I swear to God.

01:22:05.000 And she gives me a little piece of paper with her phone number written on it.

01:22:08.000 And I'm like, all right, thanks.

01:22:10.000 Yeah, I'll give you a call.

01:22:11.000 Good to see you.

01:22:14.000 That's the end of the story, but how crazy is that?

01:22:16.000 This is what it's like to vote for Trump in 2020. 1.00

01:22:20.000 You go in, you get oppressed by libtards, the police come in and they back you up. 1.00

01:22:26.000 Trump's race soldiers are deployed and they back you up. 1.00

01:22:30.000 And then girls give you their number and say, hey, call me.

01:22:35.000 So it was a pretty interesting day for voting, pretty eventful, meme magic day for voting.

01:22:42.000 And look, I mean, people might say I'm making that up or I'm lying.

01:22:46.000 I wouldn't make something like that up.

01:22:47.000 I don't think I've ever even said anything like that on the show before.

01:22:51.000 I would not make something like that up.

01:22:54.000 Nobody's ever approached me like that in that way.

01:22:57.000 I don't think that's ever happened.

01:22:59.000 Where somebody just out of a clear blue sky says, oh, hey, here's my number.

01:23:03.000 I mean, that doesn't happen.

01:23:04.000 I rarely go out, and when I do, that's not happening.

01:23:08.000 So I thought I was going to go in there and everyone would roll their eyes and hate me, but it's like there were even two girls I went to high school with working at the tables.

01:23:15.000 They were like, Oh, hi, Nick.

01:23:16.000 How's it going? 0.98

01:23:17.000 I'm thinking, I thought I was the biggest jerk in here, but I guess everybody was digging it. 0.98

01:23:23.000 The girl defended me. 0.98

01:23:25.000 These girls, one of them I didn't even recognize, and she's like, Oh, hey, Nick.

01:23:28.000 Hi.

01:23:29.000 Good to see you.

01:23:31.000 And then I come out and I'm like, What is going on?

01:23:34.000 What's going on?

01:23:35.000 I hadn't even showered yet.

01:23:36.000 My hair was a mess.

01:23:38.000 My face was greasy.

01:23:39.000 My breath probably smelled.

01:23:42.000 Anyway, but let's check in here.

01:23:44.000 We'll see how we're doing.

01:23:47.000 Do we have any updates?

01:23:49.000 So it's 6 30 almost, so we don't have any more polls closed yet.

01:23:55.000 Well, they're beginning to count the votes.

01:24:00.000 Okay, but we'll bring in our panel here.

01:24:02.000 I'm going to put on my headset and we'll bring on the panel.

01:24:08.000 35,000 viewers already, and the night hasn't even really started.

01:24:16.000 It's only 6 30.

01:24:17.000 We're at 35,000 viewers.

01:24:20.000 Huge stream, huge stream.

01:24:23.000 And wow, we almost, we actually, the peak was 36.8 thousand.

01:24:28.000 So this is already the biggest stream I've ever done.

01:24:32.000 This is the biggest show ever.

01:24:34.000 Nearly 37,000 viewers.

01:24:38.000 Tentatively, that's our peak so far.

01:24:40.000 Okay, but I'm going to bring in our panel.

01:24:42.000 And I will introduce them.

01:24:44.000 So let me get my headset on.

01:24:47.000 Let me take a look.

01:24:48.000 We've got the producer texting me, and I hope it's important.

01:24:53.000 It looks like Biden is officially declared for the state of Virginia.

01:24:58.000 I guess they're calling Virginia for Biden, according to Fox News.

01:25:05.000 Let me just accomplish this before I introduce.

01:25:07.000 I just got a text.

01:25:10.000 Yeah, it looks like Biden has taken Virginia.

01:25:12.000 So, and you know what?

01:25:13.000 This isn't a huge.

01:25:15.000 Deal, in my opinion, because you know, it was like a last minute thing.

01:25:21.000 Some people were saying, like, oh, Virginia has very low Democrat turnout in the Democrat stronghold counties.

01:25:31.000 They said, we might be able to flip it.

01:25:33.000 So, not a huge deal, but we've got so far Kentucky red, Virginia blue, Vermont blue.

01:25:39.000 No real surprises.

01:25:40.000 Okay, but let's introduce our panel.

01:25:42.000 I'm going to open it up here.

01:25:45.000 Okay, well, well, well.

01:25:47.000 Hello, everybody.

01:25:49.000 You guys can unmute your microphones if you're ready to go.

01:25:52.000 It looks like we've got Vince.

01:25:54.000 Vince James, how are you doing?

01:25:59.000 Whoa.

01:26:00.000 I can't hear you.

01:26:01.000 Give me one sec.

01:26:02.000 I think my headset turned off.

01:26:07.000 That's embarrassing.

01:26:08.000 Give me one sec.

01:26:10.000 Okay.

01:26:11.000 Hello?

01:26:17.000 So we're having a great time here so far.

01:26:17.000 Okay.

01:26:22.000 Okay.

01:26:27.000 Hello?

01:26:28.000 Can you hear me, Vince?

01:26:29.000 Yeah, there you are.

01:26:30.000 Okay, okay.

01:26:31.000 Sorry about that.

01:26:32.000 Okay.

01:26:32.000 All right, one sec, actually.

01:26:37.000 I can hear you, but they can't.

01:26:38.000 Just give me one sec.

01:26:41.000 Okay, there we go.

01:26:42.000 All right.

01:26:43.000 It's always something, but we've got to resolve quickly.

01:26:45.000 Okay, welcome, Vince, to the stream.

01:26:48.000 How are you doing?

01:26:50.000 Pretty good.

01:26:51.000 How's it going for you?

01:26:52.000 Going well, going well.

01:26:53.000 Looks like we're having a great day.

01:26:55.000 It looks good so far.

01:26:57.000 I think so, yeah.

01:26:58.000 I mean, it's encouraging.

01:27:00.000 Obviously, nothing's decided yet, and maybe a while before anything's decided, but we're in this, right?

01:27:05.000 We're in it.

01:27:07.000 Right.

01:27:08.000 The obvious states have been decided already.

01:27:10.000 A couple of obvious states, according to some decision desks, right?

01:27:14.000 Yeah, so far, no surprises.

01:27:16.000 But let me introduce our whole panel here now that it looks like everybody's getting unmuted, everybody's getting situated, the audio's working.

01:27:22.000 So we've got Vince from the Red Elephants and Scott and Steve.

01:27:26.000 Scott, how's it going?

01:27:28.000 I'm just kecking out loud right now.

01:27:30.000 KOL.

01:27:31.000 That's what I'm doing.

01:27:32.000 I've got Chatelet on repeat.

01:27:34.000 You know, I'm feeling the meme magic tonight.

01:27:36.000 I love that.

01:27:37.000 I love me too.

01:27:38.000 And it is on Keck tonight.

01:27:40.000 We're praising Keck.

01:27:41.000 That's exactly right.

01:27:42.000 That's right.

01:27:43.000 And we've got Steve as well.

01:27:45.000 Welcome, Steve.

01:27:46.000 How are you doing?

01:27:47.000 Hey, I'm Steve Franson.

01:27:48.000 Heave ho, baby.

01:27:51.000 Love it.

01:27:52.000 The number one hit of the summer.

01:27:55.000 Heave ho.

01:27:56.000 I don't know.

01:27:56.000 He should have brought on Steve Franson at one of these rallies.

01:27:59.000 He brought on Lil Pimp.

01:28:01.000 He should have brought on Steve Franson.

01:28:02.000 Right.

01:28:04.000 Take it.

01:28:06.000 So, welcome everybody.

01:28:07.000 Welcome to the 2020 presidential election stream.

01:28:12.000 It all comes down to this.

01:28:14.000 And of course, you guys are our really like the A team, team A here, our first round, our first half of the stream.

01:28:23.000 And we're going to be hanging out here probably until about 10 o'clock.

01:28:25.000 And then, of course, you guys can come on probably after 2 or whatever when everything's settled down and all that.

01:28:32.000 But I want to go through and just kind of get your thoughts.

01:28:34.000 I want to introduce some of your takes because I know everybody's looking at different numbers and different.

01:28:40.000 Analysts and everything, and we'll go sort of down the list here how everybody's feeling so far, what you guys are thinking about the voting that's gone on with early voting, the mail in voting, and of course, how election day is looking so far.

01:28:53.000 We'll start with, we'll just go down the list here.

01:28:56.000 We'll start with Scott.

01:28:57.000 Scott, I know you're a smart guy, host of Highly Respected, and I know you're a real academic, so to speak, a real writer.

01:29:05.000 So I want to know what is your take so far?

01:29:08.000 How do you think we're doing?

01:29:10.000 We're doing pretty well.

01:29:11.000 And actually, I would dispute the Virginia early call, even though it is Fox reporting it.

01:29:16.000 Associated Press, which is usually the one that everyone trusts and they want to go with, they haven't called it yet for Virginia.

01:29:24.000 And looking at the AP results, it's only 3% reporting.

01:29:27.000 Trump is up 68% to Biden's 29%.

01:29:32.000 Of course, a lot of the liberal counties haven't reported in.

01:29:35.000 I think that Fox called it based on exit polling.

01:29:39.000 But as you were mentioning this earlier in the show, a lot of these Democrat counties like Fairfax County, Arlington County, some of the schools, some of the counties that rely a lot on the big universities in Virginia, they haven't really shown up today.

01:29:55.000 Their turnout is down from 2016.

01:29:58.000 And we've been hearing about record turnout everywhere else.

01:30:00.000 But in Virginia, all of those Democrat counties are, their turnout is down.

01:30:05.000 And there's supposedly a high turnout in rural counties.

01:30:08.000 So this could be a surprise.

01:30:10.000 I mean, it's likely to go to.

01:30:12.000 I don't think Trump even campaigned there.

01:30:15.000 But, you know, miracles can happen if we believe in mean magic.

01:30:19.000 Maybe Virginia can turn red, but we'll have to see later on the night.

01:30:23.000 I think a lot of things are going well.

01:30:25.000 Looking at Florida's numbers right now, Trump apparently in Miami Dade County won, or the vote margin is much smaller for Biden.

01:30:36.000 I think Hillary won it by like 20 or 30 points.

01:30:40.000 And this year, it looks like.

01:30:41.000 Biden only won it by nine.

01:30:43.000 And I think Palm Beach County, which is a traditionally a battleground county, may go for Trump tonight.

01:30:50.000 So, you know, Florida is looking very good.

01:30:52.000 And right now from Associated Press reporting 64% reporting in, Biden's got a narrow lead at 50.3%.

01:31:01.000 Trump is right under 49%.

01:31:04.000 Only a less than 100,000 votes are in between them.

01:31:09.000 And Florida's got a lot of state, got a lot of counties coming in, a lot of them rural, a lot of them love Trump.

01:31:15.000 We'll see.

01:31:15.000 So Florida looks pretty good right now.

01:31:18.000 And before we move on, I want to say that's a very important point that you made about Virginia.

01:31:18.000 Yeah.

01:31:24.000 I didn't even know that Virginia was called because I didn't see it on Twitter.

01:31:28.000 I didn't see it on New York Times.

01:31:29.000 I guess Fox was the first to do it.

01:31:31.000 It's possible they did a premature announcement.

01:31:33.000 And, you know, look, whether it goes one way or the other, Trump didn't campaign there.

01:31:38.000 Biden didn't campaign there.

01:31:39.000 It was leaning or tilting blue anyway.

01:31:42.000 So, you know, I wouldn't put too much stock in that for right now.

01:31:46.000 It's one of these things where we're looking at it as a gauge of.

01:31:49.000 Turnout and maybe unexpected Trump turnout.

01:31:52.000 Florida is looking good.

01:31:54.000 And just to follow up on what you just said, and then we'll move on and we'll talk to Steve here.

01:31:58.000 I'm on the New York Times and the all important needles.

01:32:02.000 You remember the famous needles from 16?

01:32:04.000 They put Trump at a 95% chance of winning Florida.

01:32:09.000 Trump needs Florida to win.

01:32:12.000 That's what, 29 electoral votes, I think?

01:32:15.000 And correct me if I'm wrong, but I think that's what it is, right?

01:32:18.000 29?

01:32:19.000 That's 29 electoral votes.

01:32:22.000 It's what he needs.

01:32:23.000 And it looks like we are cruising towards a victory there, which is a big deal because the polls were looking better for him out of all of them, but the polls basically had him tied.

01:32:32.000 And now they're saying the margin could be plus three.

01:32:35.000 So far, so good in Florida.

01:32:36.000 But let's move on here.

01:32:37.000 Thank you, Scott.

01:32:38.000 Very intelligent academic, as always.

01:32:41.000 The brilliant and the highly respected Scott.

01:32:43.000 We're going to bring on Steve here.

01:32:45.000 I want to get Steve's take.

01:32:46.000 He is obviously a cowboy, and whereas Scott is the academic from a university in D.C., Steve is the cowboy from the mountains.

01:32:57.000 He is the hill folk, the timeless wisdom of the country.

01:33:01.000 And I want to hear from Steve.

01:33:03.000 What is your take so far on the election?

01:33:06.000 Well, I got to say, you know, people are really biting their nails on Florida.

01:33:11.000 But it's my understanding that a lot of the rural counties that really come out for Trump, they came out for Trump last time, are not quite reporting all the way.

01:33:20.000 So I think we're going to see a lot of lean in his direction with that.

01:33:26.000 And he's up in Miami Dade County.

01:33:29.000 He's up there by like 100,000 or something like this.

01:33:32.000 He's looking good there anyway, which is a nice flip for him.

01:33:36.000 And then on Virginia, you know, it's not a surprise.

01:33:39.000 He didn't win it last time.

01:33:41.000 I mean, he got beat there by like 250,000 votes or something like this.

01:33:46.000 So nobody campaigned there, as you said.

01:33:49.000 But I think he'll have a stronger performance there than last time.

01:33:54.000 So that's something to look out for.

01:33:56.000 And then I just got to say, Vermont came in disappointing me early, had my chips in on Vermont.

01:34:03.000 So I think that.

01:34:07.000 New Hampshire is going to be pretty split.

01:34:10.000 I think it's going to go Biden.

01:34:11.000 I think it'll go 52, 53% Biden.

01:34:15.000 But besides that, that's what I'm looking at right now.

01:34:19.000 And then these people that say that Texas is going to go blue, I just don't see it.

01:34:22.000 There's no way.

01:34:24.000 Okay, very good.

01:34:25.000 I agree with you.

01:34:26.000 I think your takes are basically spot on.

01:34:29.000 I think the stuff about Texas going blue is basically a meme.

01:34:33.000 It is going to be a reality in politics in this decade, presumably.

01:34:38.000 But not anytime soon, not in 2020.

01:34:39.000 I think the Georgia, the Sun Belt flip, I think that's exaggerated.

01:34:43.000 I think you're right on the money, on the Northeast, on Virginia.

01:34:46.000 It's good stuff.

01:34:47.000 It looks like New York Times just called Virginia.

01:34:48.000 So I'm going to put that down tentatively for Biden.

01:34:54.000 I was going to say one thing before we moved on.

01:34:57.000 Oh, yes, about New Hampshire, because I know we haven't actually talked about New Hampshire so far.

01:35:01.000 The margin in New Hampshire in 2016 was 1%.

01:35:06.000 It was right around 1% in 2016.

01:35:08.000 And I'm told, because I actually worked.

01:35:11.000 On the New Hampshire campaign in 2016, I campaigned in the Manchester area, which is down in the south of the state and the biggest city there.

01:35:19.000 I campaigned there.

01:35:20.000 I knew a lot of people on the campaign.

01:35:22.000 And I'm told that it was honestly due to cheating in the northern part of the state, in like Dover, where we didn't have poll watchers and things like that.

01:35:31.000 Or maybe it was Concord, where we ended up getting cheated out of the vote because it was a very slim margin.

01:35:36.000 What will be interesting is that in New Hampshire and in New Mexico, the impact of Gary Johnson.

01:35:42.000 On the ballot as a libertarian, probably had an outsized effect on the margins.

01:35:48.000 In New Mexico, where Gary Johnson was governor, he won a significant proportion of the vote.

01:35:53.000 It'll be interesting to see where the Gary Johnson voters will go because I doubt that many of them will stick with the libertarian candidate, Joe Jorgensen, who's a bit of a joke this year.

01:36:04.000 I don't know if you saw the libertarian ticket, her and the vice president.

01:36:08.000 It's kind of a disaster.

01:36:09.000 So we'll see.

01:36:10.000 In New Mexico and New Hampshire, that's a factor.

01:36:12.000 Will the libertarians break for Trump?

01:36:15.000 Are they more right wing?

01:36:16.000 Or will they break for Biden?

01:36:17.000 And I think the same question can be posed for New Hampshire and what effect that that'll have on the ultimate margin.

01:36:23.000 But good thoughts there, Steve.

01:36:25.000 And at long last, we got to bring in Vince, Vince of the Red Elephants, who, if you're not following, and by the way, follow all these guys.

01:36:32.000 I don't know if Scott has a channel here, but follow Steve, follow Vince.

01:36:36.000 Vince is the numbers guy.

01:36:37.000 This guy is like a human calculator.

01:36:40.000 He's got this encyclopedic knowledge.

01:36:42.000 He knows the numbers better than I do.

01:36:44.000 I can tell you that because I look at the numbers for an hour after the show.

01:36:47.000 I think Vince.

01:36:49.000 Doesn't look at the numbers for one hour per day.

01:36:51.000 So, we're going to bring in Vince.

01:36:53.000 Vince, tell me, what are you thinking so far?

01:36:56.000 Yeah, I mean, that's just a symptom of autism, unfortunately.

01:37:01.000 I wouldn't give myself that much credit.

01:37:02.000 But, you know, one thing that I did notice, and yeah, I'm calling Virginia early.

01:37:06.000 Fox called Virginia before they even called Indiana, and NBC called Indiana before they called Virginia.

01:37:11.000 So, and another thing I have to say about that is that all these media outlets were constantly saying that, you know, we're not going to call these states too early.

01:37:18.000 We have to wait until all the votes are counted and so forth.

01:37:20.000 But now, you know, we have this like, One after another, after another, all these states are being called by all these different media outlets, some calling some states, others calling other states.

01:37:30.000 So I think that that's important to note.

01:37:33.000 I don't know what's going to happen in Virginia.

01:37:34.000 I would likely give that to Biden.

01:37:36.000 I didn't have that with any potential of going red.

01:37:39.000 But one thing that I noticed in Florida, and I don't know if you guys noticed the same thing, by the way, the New York Times gives Trump a 93% chance of winning Florida right now, according to the ticker.

01:37:47.000 But in Miami Dade, Trump already has 120,000 more votes than he did back in 2016.

01:37:53.000 He had 333,000 votes in 2016.

01:37:55.000 He's already got over 420,000 votes in Miami Dade.

01:37:58.000 This is a massive turnout for Republicans in the state of Florida.

01:38:01.000 Florida, I'm least concerned with, it's more Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.

01:38:07.000 And even Minnesota, that I really want to start to see numbers on before I really am able to gauge on what the results of this election will be.

01:38:16.000 But I think I've always been very confident that Florida was going to go to Trump, especially with some of the numbers that we've seen.

01:38:22.000 And then the Gary Johnson thing, you mentioned this.

01:38:24.000 I've actually talked about this on my show.

01:38:26.000 In Minnesota, which I think we're going to see a ride effect there in Minnesota, we might even see a ride effect in Pennsylvania as well as Wisconsin.

01:38:33.000 But in Minnesota, Gary Johnson got 112,000 votes in Minnesota.

01:38:37.000 We're not going to see this this year.

01:38:38.000 And I doubt that a lot of those votes are going to go to.

01:38:41.000 Joe Biden this time around.

01:38:42.000 I would venture to guess that a lot of those are probably going to go to President Trump this time around.

01:38:46.000 So we'll have to see.

01:38:47.000 And Trump only lost the state by 40,000 votes.

01:38:50.000 So it's, you know, Minnesota might even be in play for President Trump this time around, but we'll have to see how this happens.

01:38:56.000 But the only way that Joe Biden can win, like Joe Biden's campaign came out and said, well, we can win without Pennsylvania and Florida.

01:39:02.000 The only way they can do that is if they win Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota all at the same time.

01:39:11.000 They have to win Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Arizona.

01:39:15.000 I just don't think that that's going to happen.

01:39:17.000 It's a slimmer path to victory for Joe Biden than President Trump, in my opinion.

01:39:21.000 Yeah, and I think that's a really important point to make.

01:39:24.000 I'm going to throw a map here on the screen really quickly and show everybody kind of where we are here as far as what the pathways are for victory for either candidate, because I think that's another important point for how we think about the election.

01:39:41.000 In order for Biden to win, he needs to sweep virtually every swing state.

01:39:47.000 You know, not only the ones that he's winning, but even the ones that are a toss up and the ones that he's losing.

01:39:52.000 If Trump wins Arizona, North Carolina, which he won handily in 2016, he only needs to win one out of the four Midwestern states.

01:40:03.000 He needs to win some combination of Pennsylvania by itself, Michigan by itself, Wisconsin plus another, Minnesota plus another, and he's got it.

01:40:14.000 For Biden to secure the victory with certainty, he needs to win Minnesota and Wisconsin and Michigan and Pennsylvania.

01:40:21.000 Like you said, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, they all went to Trump in 2016.

01:40:26.000 In spite of the polling in Minnesota, even though Trump lost, he only lost it by 1%.

01:40:32.000 Michigan was close.

01:40:33.000 Wisconsin was close.

01:40:34.000 Pennsylvania was close, and Trump won.

01:40:36.000 Minnesota was close, and Trump lost.

01:40:38.000 Biden has to do a clean sweep out of all those four states for him to win a narrow victory.

01:40:44.000 Trump needs to win either just Pennsylvania, just Michigan, or some combination Minnesota and Wisconsin plus Minnesota.

01:40:51.000 Something else.

01:40:52.000 And so when I look at it that way, I think just on the basis of this like cumulative probability, that alone gives Trump a better and a clearer path to victory there than Joe Biden.

01:41:04.000 Additionally, I think it's interesting to note that Joe Biden has been campaigning today.

01:41:08.000 Donald Trump is not doing any campaign events today.

01:41:10.000 He's been doing five or four campaign events for the past weekend and for the past week.

01:41:17.000 Joe Biden has largely been in the bunker, confined to Delaware, not been campaigning.

01:41:22.000 Their ground game has virtually been non existent for most of the year.

01:41:26.000 And now you're seeing at the last minute in the last week, they brought out Barack Obama, and now they're blitzing all these states.

01:41:33.000 Kamala's in Detroit today.

01:41:35.000 They've been going all around Pennsylvania.

01:41:37.000 They've got surrogates all over the country.

01:41:39.000 And so I want to go back around, and I guess any one of you guys can take this.

01:41:42.000 But as far as determining what the real probability is here, what does it say that the Joe Biden campaign appears to be scrambling?

01:41:50.000 Because they assured us it was a landslide.

01:41:53.000 The polls show that Joe Biden is way ahead in Arizona, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota.

01:42:02.000 Some polls even say he's ahead in Georgia.

01:42:04.000 They say that a high turnout scenario has Joe Biden winning Texas.

01:42:07.000 And they're tweeting out today Joe Biden still has a path.

01:42:11.000 Joe Biden can win without Florida.

01:42:13.000 And they're sending out their campaign surrogates on Election Day to do additional campaigning.

01:42:18.000 How much should we read into something like that?

01:42:20.000 I guess maybe we'll go to Steve for that one.

01:42:22.000 Are you there, Steve?

01:42:27.000 I was just out.

01:42:27.000 Sorry, I missed you.

01:42:29.000 Oh, no problem.

01:42:32.000 I was just going to say that, well, like I said, the only way that he can win.

01:42:37.000 Without getting Florida and Pennsylvania, as if he wins Arizona and all three of those Midwestern states, or all three of those Midwestern states in one of these states that Trump is up big in.

01:42:47.000 By the way, the New York Times has Georgia at 66% for Donald Trump and climbing.

01:42:51.000 It was just at 52% a couple of minutes ago.

01:42:54.000 I don't think that we should read too much into that.

01:42:56.000 I mean, if we just look at all the data that was coming out just yesterday and a couple of days ago, we can see that in a lot of these states where Joe Biden is supposedly up big in the mainstream polling, Republicans are even leading in.

01:43:10.000 Mail in ballots requested and mail in and early person ballots returned.

01:43:14.000 And they're leading right now on election day.

01:43:16.000 There's a huge turnout for Republicans.

01:43:18.000 Like I said, just if we want to gauge this turnout for Republicans, just look at some of these counties where Donald Trump got 100,000 less votes last time around.

01:43:28.000 And then add in the Gary Johnson factor, add in the riot factor, and so forth.

01:43:33.000 And then add in the coronavirus factor.

01:43:35.000 If you look at Pew Research, they say that Democrats are 77 to 80% of Democrats are fearful of getting the Coronavirus while outside, where only 20% of Republicans are.

01:43:44.000 I think on election day turnout, this is going to have an effect, in my opinion.

01:43:49.000 I think Georgia is no problem for Trump.

01:43:51.000 I think Florida at this point is no problem for Trump.

01:43:54.000 North Carolina, Ohio, Indiana, Pennsylvania, Iowa.

01:43:57.000 The only questions for me are Pennsylvania is a question.

01:44:02.000 Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota.

01:44:04.000 And those four states are, I'm shaky on.

01:44:07.000 I'm not as confident as I was in 2016 when I predicted that Wisconsin and Michigan would go to Trump.

01:44:12.000 So, I agree.

01:44:14.000 I'm not as confident in those Midwestern states.

01:44:14.000 I agree.

01:44:17.000 The margin in the polls is greater.

01:44:19.000 And the other thing about the Midwest is, and a lot of people have said for years that Trump won a landslide victory in 2016.

01:44:27.000 And I always get frustrated when people say that because it was by no means a landslide.

01:44:32.000 It was a tiny margin in a handful of states.

01:44:35.000 In Wisconsin, it was a small margin.

01:44:37.000 In Michigan, it was a small margin.

01:44:39.000 Pennsylvania, Florida, we barely got over in these states.

01:44:43.000 And taken all together, it was something like 50,000 votes that determined.

01:44:47.000 The entire thing in a handful of important counties in swing states.

01:44:52.000 And it was close. 0.79

01:44:52.000 And I think a big factor in that was this idea that Hillary Clinton didn't do any campaigning there. 0.79

01:44:58.000 People have pointed out the differences between 16 and 20.

01:45:03.000 And one of them is that Hillary Clinton was much more unpopular than Joe Biden.

01:45:07.000 Hillary Clinton did much more poorly with certain demographics than Joe Biden is doing, at least in the polling.

01:45:13.000 That has a big effect when the margins are very small, particularly with college educated white voters, with suburban women, which we've been talking about a lot.

01:45:21.000 And I think in a lot of those states, it's by no means a given that that was a permanent red flip or a realignment, maybe more like a fluke that was highly contingent on the specific circumstances of the 2016 election.

01:45:35.000 I think it's a really good point that you make, though, about the coronavirus pandemic, because of course, the Democrats have the edge in the early and the mail in voting.

01:45:44.000 Republicans so far have the edge on election day voting.

01:45:48.000 There is a surge in turnout, huge turnout in every state.

01:45:52.000 If we can deduce based on what you've said, and I think what a lot of people have seen, which is that Republicans tend to be less fearful of the virus than Democrats, Republicans planned on voting on Election Day as opposed to Democrats, probably large swaths and the vast majority of that surging turnout on Election Day will be Republican, which is a big factor in a lot of this.

01:46:13.000 And if you look at the early and mail in voting where Democrats had a lead, it was a much smaller lead than would have been forecasted by the polls that showed all the mail in and early voting should have been Democrats.

01:46:24.000 So I think that's another factor to consider.

01:46:26.000 As the votes are tallied.

01:46:27.000 But I want to bring in Scott here and I want to get Scott's feelings on all this.

01:46:32.000 What do you think about the comparison between this election and the 2016 election?

01:46:36.000 Because, you know, some people think it's like, oh, well, you know, we're just going to do it again.

01:46:41.000 And I want to get your take on this idea that Clinton is very different than Biden and specifically that the voter demographics that Trump won in 2016 are different than the ones he's polling favorably with in 2020.

01:46:55.000 Well, that's absolutely the case.

01:46:56.000 Hillary Clinton was a very different candidate from Biden.

01:46:59.000 As you were saying, she was much more unlikable. 1.00

01:47:03.000 Her unfavorability ratings were in the toilet. 0.84

01:47:05.000 But at the same time, she was a functional adult.

01:47:09.000 I mean, Biden can't campaign.

01:47:11.000 I mean, whenever he goes out there, he has a new gaffe.

01:47:13.000 He forgets what state he's in.

01:47:15.000 Last night, he was like, I'm Joe Biden's husband.

01:47:18.000 And he's like, my friend, Lady God, he's like such.

01:47:21.000 It's so sad that they're putting out this senile old man who should be at his retirement home.

01:47:27.000 And they're trying to push him out there.

01:47:28.000 They're loading him up on Vivants and What God knows what else, and they're putting them out there. 0.97

01:47:33.000 So Hillary Clinton didn't have necessarily great health, she didn't have the terrific genes that Donald Trump has, but she could still campaign and deliver a speech without, you know, the hilarious gaffes that Biden gives on a daily basis.

01:47:49.000 And one difference I would say is that the media is far more in the tank for Biden than they were for Hillary Clinton.

01:47:56.000 They would still report negative stories about Hillary Clinton, they would still say, you know, raise questions about her corruption.

01:48:02.000 They would, you know, challenge some of her positions.

01:48:06.000 But with Biden, they will pretend that he has the fully functioning brain.

01:48:11.000 There is absolutely nothing wrong with him.

01:48:13.000 To suggest that he may be suffering from dementia is Russian disinformation.

01:48:18.000 You know, they hid the Hunter Biden story, even though, you know, there were some good reasons to hide some of the revelations from the laptop.

01:48:27.000 You know, this is a family friendly program, so I won't get into that, but it involves Skittles.

01:48:32.000 Anyway, so they avoided the real important parts of the Hunter Biden.

01:48:38.000 He was clearly influenced peddling with his dad.

01:48:40.000 He was dealing with China.

01:48:43.000 He was going up to people who were very important in China and being like, hey, I can help influence my dad if you pay me a lot of money.

01:48:48.000 And all these people were like, sure, here you go.

01:48:50.000 But people just didn't care.

01:48:52.000 That's even far worse than what was revealed in WikiLeaks against Hillary Clinton.

01:48:57.000 And yet the media just doesn't want to cover it.

01:48:59.000 And it's fully authenticated.

01:49:01.000 There's no Russian connection with Hunter Biden's laptop, but they don't report it.

01:49:05.000 And they just pretend that all of his rallies are full of energy and excitement, even when there's like 12 people sitting there.

01:49:12.000 It appears that they're napping in their little circle and they're masked up and they have their fold-out chairs.

01:49:16.000 There's zero energy, but the media will pretend there's tons of energy there.

01:49:20.000 And it's just as wild and crazy as the Trump rally.

01:49:23.000 So that's one difference.

01:49:24.000 But Biden at the end of the day is more likable than Hillary.

01:49:28.000 And that is a definite advantage for him.

01:49:33.000 You know, when you're going on the demographics for Trump and yeah, this is a different election for him.

01:49:38.000 The white working class is not as excited as they are or were for Trump in 2016.

01:49:44.000 I mean, they're still in the tank for him, but there's a kind of.

01:49:49.000 Depressed turnout there.

01:49:50.000 They're not as excited to go out.

01:49:51.000 Their turnout is definitely expected to be a bit lower this time around.

01:49:57.000 It's still maybe enough to push them over the edge, but it's not something that the media is not paying attention to. 0.76

01:50:03.000 The media knows they need to pay attention more to the white working class than they did in 2016 because this was a demographic they totally rolled out.

01:50:09.000 And then they turned out in droves and they're like, oh, you know, we didn't realize that this was actually a people we should care about. 0.69

01:50:16.000 And also, another thing is, Despite all of the boomerism and the claims that Trump's going to win 30% of the black vote, his numbers are up among non whites, even with the mainstream media. 0.85

01:50:28.000 The mainstream media admits this. 0.67

01:50:30.000 I think he will get at least 35% of the Hispanic vote, possibly breaking into double digits with blacks.

01:50:36.000 I don't know necessarily if this is clearly not enough for him.

01:50:40.000 In Biden's campaign, they don't think it's enough.

01:50:44.000 I read a New York Times article the other day that Biden actually prefers the trade off that he wants.

01:50:48.000 More of the white voters, particularly from these college educated whites in the suburbs, and a trade off for 2% of the black vote and 8% of the Hispanic vote.

01:50:58.000 You would rather make that trade off because whites are still a much larger part of the electorate. 0.66

01:51:03.000 And in some of these battleground states, the suburbs could very well determine. 0.92

01:51:07.000 I mean, the Philadelphia and Pittsburgh suburbs are huge, and those could be the deciding factor here.

01:51:12.000 Very good.

01:51:13.000 Well, I think I agree with you.

01:51:15.000 I think everybody agrees.

01:51:17.000 This has been a common theme that we've been talking about.

01:51:20.000 Since the first election, which is this misguided and very bad idea by the Trump administration and the Trump campaign, the Trump reelection campaign, to pander to non white voters at the expense of pandering to white voters.

01:51:36.000 And some people, for example, I complained about the Platinum Plan.

01:51:40.000 I said a month ago or a month and a half ago that this Platinum Plan, which is Trump's proposal to allocate $500 billion to invest in the black community, to invest in historically black colleges and opportunity zones and grants and things like that.

01:51:55.000 I said that that was a terrible idea, not because there was necessarily anything problematic with the. 0.96

01:52:02.000 Well, I mean, there's a lot wrong with it, but not that there's anything wrong with pandering to black voters, but that there's an opportunity cost to pandering to black voters. 0.99

01:52:10.000 Yes, politics is about pandering, and you should pandering to as many voters as possible. 0.97

01:52:15.000 And where it is cheap to pandering to voters, you should do it.

01:52:19.000 If it costs you nothing, then you should do it.

01:52:21.000 And I complained about the Platinum Plan, and I said.

01:52:24.000 You can't do this a month before the election.

01:52:27.000 You need to shore up your support with white voters, suburban voters, college educated whites.

01:52:32.000 You need to shore up your support with the base that won you the election in 2016, which all the polls showed he was falling behind with those groups.

01:52:41.000 And people said, well, you don't understand politics, Nick. 0.93

01:52:44.000 It's not coming out of his pocket, and blacks will turn out. 0.70

01:52:47.000 And the thing that I think that people don't understand is there is an opportunity cost. 0.71

01:52:51.000 In other words, the more time and energy that you focus on pandering to non white demographics, The less resources and energy and time you have to expend on pandering to white voters. 0.58

01:53:03.000 I think we're seeing that. 0.75

01:53:04.000 I think we're seeing that opportunity cost. 0.67

01:53:06.000 All that effort that went into the First Step Act, all that effort that went into getting that rapper freed from, what was it, Sweden or whatever, all the energy that went into the Platinum Plan and everything that was said to accommodate BLM and George Floyd and all the black speakers at the Republican National Convention, if all those opportunities were used instead to appeal to that traditional white demographic that delivered Trump his victory in 2016, I think it would be a different race. 0.74

01:53:34.000 I think it would have been much easier for him. 0.72

01:53:36.000 It's not to say that you can never pander to non white voters, but It's about putting the resources. 1.00

01:53:42.000 Where are you going to see a return? 0.97

01:53:43.000 Where are it going to pay off? 0.72

01:53:45.000 How much do we do for the black vote?

01:53:47.000 And we might get double digits of a constituency which is 13% of the population.

01:53:52.000 We might, we might by a hair get double digits.

01:53:56.000 In other words, slightly more than 10% with a constituency that's 13% of the population. 0.89

01:54:02.000 We have sacrificed in order to do that all the energy and resources that could have been spent on winning over, winning back the white voters, which constitute. 0.71

01:54:11.000 Anywhere between 60 and 70 percent of the population, and more depending on some of these swing states. 0.53

01:54:16.000 So, I want to go to Steve because I know Steve.

01:54:18.000 Steve, are you there by the way this time?

01:54:21.000 Yes, I'm here this time.

01:54:22.000 Okay, just making sure.

01:54:23.000 Because I know you met Kanye West, and you know, I've seen some of your tweets about LeBron James, and it's very good stuff.

01:54:31.000 And I know you have strong feelings. 0.52

01:54:33.000 So, I want to get your take on this idea of pandering to the whites versus non white voters for the past few years. 0.68

01:54:40.000 Yeah, well, I think it does come at a tremendous opportunity cost because. 0.59

01:54:43.000 You know, the Trump campaign could be running with their immigration victories.

01:54:47.000 I mean, they've just racked up in the last two years, immigration victory after immigration victory. 0.81

01:54:53.000 A lot of their spare time in the first half of Trump's term was, you know, other than the Russiagate stuff and fighting all the hoaxing there, it was really spent on black people. 0.73

01:55:06.000 And the needle didn't really move so much in the midterms.

01:55:08.000 And then it was like they didn't take this as relevant feedback.

01:55:12.000 And they just kind of went with the same thing in the second half of his term.

01:55:17.000 And I think, you know, it's setting them up to fail in some regards because that number is not so pliable anymore.

01:55:24.000 I mean, this community is, and I hate to be like a skeptic or a cynic here, but this community has been shaped by massive government programs over the course of two generations.

01:55:36.000 When Obama and LeBron want to go out and pull black votes, they get a bunch of buzz.

01:55:43.000 When Candace Owens gets Trump behind her and, you know, everyone, they try to get everyone behind her and, you know, it just doesn't have the same strength.

01:55:51.000 Splash.

01:55:52.000 So it's good.

01:55:53.000 I mean, it's good that he's done this.

01:55:55.000 He's sort of like extended this olive branch, but there's just so many victories that could have been highlighted on immigration.

01:56:02.000 And also, he could have really talked about how wages are going up.

01:56:05.000 And instead of this, like, oh, the economy's hot, the economy's hot, I think if they could have been a bit more explicit about this and appealed to white voters, you know, now we're seeing, and the white vote is down.

01:56:19.000 It was 71% of the electorate in 2016.

01:56:22.000 And now they're saying it's 65%.

01:56:25.000 So, this number is dropping like we all know.

01:56:27.000 It's going to drop.

01:56:29.000 A lot of third worlders that have come through the mass migration program in the United States are becoming enfranchised.

01:56:36.000 They're feeling that second generation radicalization that we know happens.

01:56:43.000 And they're going to probably turn out for Biden in a big way tonight.

01:56:46.000 That's not a huge chunk of the vote, but these things matter.

01:56:51.000 And when you're looking at the last election, he won a few states 40,000 here.

01:56:57.000 He lost by 3,000 in New Hampshire.

01:56:59.000 Gary Johnson stole a victory from him in this state.

01:57:02.000 When you're looking at these margins, I agree.

01:57:05.000 It wasn't really a landslide last time.

01:57:07.000 It looks good to have the electorate, you know, the electoral college the way it was last time.

01:57:12.000 This time, it's, I think he's, you know, he's in, frankly, I think he's in more of a dogfight.

01:57:18.000 I'm optimistic, but I'm not like locked in like last time.

01:57:18.000 I do.

01:57:25.000 But I think that he's going to perform well, and I think he's going to win tonight.

01:57:30.000 Well, I want to get Vince's take on this because he's also the numbers guy.

01:57:30.000 Very good.

01:57:34.000 This idea about the, Demographics and everything.

01:57:37.000 Before I do that, I want to pull up 538.

01:57:40.000 And we're looking at a lot of these different models tonight.

01:57:42.000 We're looking at a lot of different websites with features and everything.

01:57:46.000 And one of the features that 538 has is it will adjust the probability of the candidates winning based on the states that you pick going one way or the other.

01:57:57.000 They've got this interactive map.

01:57:59.000 And if you click on a state, you could say it's gone one way or the other.

01:58:03.000 You can make your pick at which way it's going to go.

01:58:06.000 And it's interesting because.

01:58:07.000 The 538 projection was that Trump had a 10% chance of winning.

01:58:13.000 That was their official projection.

01:58:15.000 Trump's got 10% and Biden's got a 90% chance of winning.

01:58:19.000 But I go through on their interactive map here and I clicked all the states that are obviously going Trump and the swing states that Trump has won so far, which is I think Iowa, Ohio, and Florida.

01:58:31.000 And just by giving Trump Florida, Iowa, and Ohio, and not Georgia, not North Carolina, not Arizona, Trump's chances of winning go from 10%.

01:58:42.000 To 46%, which is amazing because they would have you believe, by the way, all these picks that I made on this map, and you might have selected all of them, all of this is uncontroversial.

01:58:53.000 Trump is up by like seven in Iowa.

01:58:56.000 Trump is up in Ohio.

01:58:57.000 Trump has already won Florida.

01:58:59.000 I could give Trump Georgia and his odds go to 50 and Biden's go down to 48, but let's say I don't give him Georgia.

01:59:06.000 It's amazing how they led people to believe for weeks and months that Trump had virtually no chance to win, that The ceiling for his probability for his chances of winning was 30% down to 10% on the day of the election.

01:59:22.000 Magically, you give him one swing state, which he was leading in in the RCP average anyway, and now the odds magically go from 10 to 46, which sounds a lot more likely.

01:59:33.000 It's what I've been saying for months now.

01:59:35.000 It's a coin flip, it's 50 50.

01:59:37.000 And even if you give him Georgia, which I think is likely, like I said, then you go to 50 to 48.

01:59:42.000 And, you know, 5 38 isn't the gospel.

01:59:44.000 They're, I mean, they're.

01:59:46.000 Been wrong on a lot of things, and they were wrong in 2016.

01:59:48.000 But it goes to show you cannot trust the polls at all.

01:59:52.000 You can look at them, they can inform your opinion, but the polls are literally designed to suppress turnout.

01:59:58.000 Because what happens when they tell you for days and weeks and months, Trump can't win, he has no path, it's a Biden landslide, Biden's going to win Texas, and all of this, it demoralizes the Trump supporters.

02:00:11.000 They say, Oh, well, I'm not going to bother voting, I'm not that enthusiastic, I'm not that excited, I don't think he's going to win.

02:00:18.000 Then on election day, it turns out, oh, actually, everything is razor thin.

02:00:22.000 Actually, it's anybody's ballgame.

02:00:23.000 It is quite literally a coin toss.

02:00:26.000 It's 50 to 48 or 48 to 50, either side.

02:00:29.000 So I think that's amazing because we just put this together.

02:00:32.000 The polls haven't even closed in all the swing states yet.

02:00:36.000 And already we're up to a 50 48 chance Trump versus Biden.

02:00:40.000 And by the way, I agree with you, Steve.

02:00:42.000 I think that it's a dogfight.

02:00:44.000 Some people have been saying, oh, it's a Trump landslide.

02:00:46.000 He's going to win 500 electoral votes and all this.

02:00:49.000 I don't think that's the case.

02:00:50.000 I think.

02:00:51.000 Biden could easily win tonight.

02:00:53.000 It will come down to Pennsylvania.

02:00:54.000 But I want to get Vincent here, and I want to ask you a similar question that I posed to Vincent and Scott.

02:01:01.000 And kind of going off of what, or I'm sorry, that I talked to Steve and Scott about.

02:01:06.000 Going off of what Steve said, the demographic of the vote so far is 65% white.

02:01:12.000 Whites are only 65% of the electorate today.

02:01:16.000 And as we've all been saying in the America First Coalition, this presents a problem.

02:01:20.000 Even though Trump may be doing better with blacks and is certainly doing better with Hispanics, It is a problem for the Republican Party that whites, who constitute 90% of their electorate, is going down as a proportion of all the people voting in the country.

02:01:34.000 And I want to kind of gauge what your thoughts are about that fact and how Trump is doing with whites versus this.

02:01:39.000 You know, he's sort of losing with whites and then he's surging, apparently, with Hispanics and potentially blacks.

02:01:47.000 Yeah, I've said this before. 0.85

02:01:48.000 I've actually talked about this a lot on my show, which is that the pandering for the black vote is an expensive vote, and that's an expensive. 0.98

02:01:56.000 That's an expensive thing to do, is the pander for the black vote.

02:01:59.000 Because you could be talking to people in Minnesota. 0.94

02:02:03.000 You could be talking to people in Wisconsin.

02:02:04.000 You could be talking to people in Michigan.

02:02:06.000 You're actually going to need to get these states consistently, not just for President Trump, but for the Republican Party into the future, because we are looking toward what they call an electoral winter because of what might happen in Texas.

02:02:20.000 Now, I say maybe that won't happen until 2028.

02:02:23.000 Maybe that might not happen until 2036.

02:02:26.000 But we are looking toward an electoral winter because of what's going to happen in Texas.

02:02:30.000 So, You're going to need that replacement for Texas, and that's going to consistently be in the Midwest. 0.77

02:02:35.000 And you're going to consistently have to go to these states instead of wasting your time pandering for the million votes that's going to come from the black community. 0.82

02:02:42.000 You have to realize this think about it like this.

02:02:45.000 Out of the 62 million votes that President Trump got in 2016, approximately 56 million of those were from white voters.

02:02:54.000 Now, you might be able to pick up a few percentage points with black voters, you might be able to pick up a few percentage points with Hispanic voters, with Asian voters, but that's not going to replace the disaffected.

02:03:03.000 White vote that's not as enthusiastic or may not be as enthusiastic to vote for you this time around in places like Ohio and places like Pennsylvania and other Midwestern states like this.

02:03:15.000 It's something the Republican Party really needs to realize.

02:03:19.000 Yeah, he might get 40% of the Hispanic vote.

02:03:22.000 Most of those votes that we're seeing, where he's getting an additional 120,000 votes or maybe even more than that, an additional 120,000 votes in Miami Dade County, most of those might be coming from the Cuban vote.

02:03:33.000 But that still doesn't change what's happening in the Midwest.

02:03:35.000 That still doesn't change what's happening in Pennsylvania.

02:03:38.000 By the way, the polls just closed in Pennsylvania, so we should be seeing some statistics come out from there.

02:03:42.000 Also, in Georgia, I think you mentioned this they're giving Trump a 77% chance of winning in Georgia.

02:03:49.000 Only 1% of the vote has been reported in North Carolina, but they're saying 63% for Joe Biden.

02:03:54.000 So we can't really tell much from that.

02:03:57.000 Also, we have some breaking news Laura Loomer has, and this was expected, lost her race because there's just not enough Republican votes in the districts that she ran in.

02:04:08.000 So she's lost her race.

02:04:10.000 Sad day.

02:04:10.000 Laura Loomer.

02:04:11.000 Sad day.

02:04:12.000 F. F in the chat for Laura Loomer.

02:04:14.000 F in the chat for Laura Loomer.

02:04:17.000 So that's what I have to say about that.

02:04:18.000 I don't know if that answers your question or not.

02:04:20.000 Yeah, no, that's perfect.

02:04:21.000 That's perfect.

02:04:23.000 And I agree. 1.00

02:04:24.000 And I, you know, Republicans are so stupid. 1.00

02:04:26.000 I try to, we all together collectively have been saying for years the America First audience understands this. 1.00

02:04:35.000 Everybody that watches this show, that supports our movement, understands this.

02:04:39.000 We have been sounding the alarm for years.

02:04:42.000 This is what red pilled me on everything in 2016.

02:04:45.000 I looked at that meme of all the different electoral college maps based on if only a certain demographic voted.

02:04:53.000 And I looked at, you know, if only white people vote, it's all red.

02:04:57.000 In fact, I'll pull it up right now. 0.70

02:05:01.000 Yeah, and while you're pulling that up, I'll say this.

02:05:04.000 If you look at the, if you look at the, I think I mentioned this before, like 56 million of the 62 million votes that President Trump got in 2016.

02:05:17.000 We're white voters.

02:05:19.000 And if you look at the turnout right now, I mean, especially in these Midwestern states, it really does, and this goes to what Scott said, it really does look like that enthusiasm isn't there.

02:05:30.000 But then again, we might be proven wrong throughout the night.

02:05:32.000 So we'll have to see what happens.

02:05:35.000 Yes.

02:05:36.000 So I pulled up the picture here, and this is the picture that red pilled me four years ago, maybe five years ago.

02:05:47.000 This is the Breakdown of if only certain demographics voted in the election.

02:05:51.000 This is for, I think, 2016. 0.60

02:05:55.000 If only non white people vote, Democrats win 538 electoral votes. 0.61

02:06:02.000 If only white men voted, Republicans win 493 electoral votes. 0.75

02:06:10.000 If only women vote, Democrats win 461 electoral votes. 0.66

02:06:14.000 If only men vote, Republicans win 350 electoral votes. 0.54

02:06:18.000 And you could go through More than that, white people, white women, non college educated whites, and so on. 0.53

02:06:24.000 But these are the most important maps.

02:06:25.000 It shows that based on race and based on gender, it's not like there's a small difference, there's a huge difference in the way that they vote.

02:06:34.000 And when I was in high school, I was 17 or 18 when the election happened.

02:06:40.000 I thought to myself, clearly, there is an obvious choice here.

02:06:43.000 There is an obvious choice.

02:06:44.000 It's not really subjective.

02:06:46.000 You've got someone who's corrupt, a criminal, somebody that's going to raise taxes, start wars.

02:06:51.000 Do everything wrong, essentially.

02:06:54.000 And even on a generic Democrat versus Republican basis, Democratic policies are bad for the country.

02:07:00.000 Republican policies are good for the country.

02:07:02.000 This is virtually, I think, at this point, indisputable.

02:07:04.000 I said, I know this is the case. 0.80

02:07:07.000 I said, and yet, all the non white people go for Democrats, and virtually all the white people go for Republicans. 0.81

02:07:14.000 Most of the women go for Democrats, most of the men go for Republicans.

02:07:18.000 And I said, these differences in the voting, and I looked in more into the data and Pew Research and other things were. 0.56

02:07:24.000 Differences in the people. 0.75

02:07:26.000 That there is something that is substantially different about non white people than white people.

02:07:31.000 Some say it's cultural or racial or biological.

02:07:34.000 Whatever you want to say, they vote differently, and the voting is an expression of substantial differences between the populations, between the populations in the races and the populations in the genders.

02:07:45.000 And that basically led me to understand that, yes, it's because these categories are different in significant and substantial ways.

02:07:53.000 Looking at that made me change my whole worldview.

02:07:56.000 And so ever since I saw that, I've And many other people have been sounding the alarms saying, What are we thinking? 1.00

02:08:02.000 We are bringing in more non white people in the form of immigrants every year. 1.00

02:08:06.000 If you look at the fertility rates, more non white people are being born than white people. 0.98

02:08:11.000 That's just the math, that's just the arithmetic. 0.79

02:08:14.000 And based on how those populations vote, clearly this leads to one inevitable consequence, which is the destruction of the Republican Party, and what's more, the destruction of the American right.

02:08:26.000 That the Democratic Party will turn America into a one party state.

02:08:30.000 That the left wing ideology will be the prevailing and uncontested ideology of America and the American Empire.

02:08:37.000 And that's it for any kind of resistance to left wing ideology in the ruling regime.

02:08:42.000 And since then, I said, well, we've got to put a stop to this.

02:08:45.000 We've got to reverse this.

02:08:47.000 We've got to find a way to hold off, like you said, the electoral winter where the demographics change, the voters change, and the map flips.

02:08:53.000 I know everybody watching the show understands this, but it's like you're watching in real time everything that we've been saying for years is playing out right in front of your eyes.

02:09:03.000 Why is it that the map looks like this?

02:09:05.000 You know, why is it that the map, I should say, looks like this with a seemingly unbeatable blue wall where Republicans are scrambling to carve out a 1% advantage in Pennsylvania?

02:09:16.000 To win the whole thing barely with 278 Electoral College votes, whereas four years ago, we got 306.

02:09:23.000 In 2004, we got Colorado and Nevada and New Mexico.

02:09:27.000 And in 2000, we got New Hampshire.

02:09:29.000 And in 88, we got, I think, Michigan and all these other states.

02:09:34.000 Well, you're watching in real time.

02:09:36.000 It is because of these massive demographic changes, the changes in the voters, and it has to be addressed.

02:09:41.000 I initially thought when I first came upon this or discovered this, I thought, like, oh, I'm just wrong.

02:09:47.000 Clearly, it wouldn't be this way because.

02:09:50.000 People would care.

02:09:51.000 You know, I thought it can't possibly be the case that I figured this out and this is, you know, that we're in existential jeopardy here of losing our country.

02:10:00.000 I said, probably Republicans know about this.

02:10:02.000 And, you know, then you start to figure out, well, who's controlling the Republicans and so on.

02:10:06.000 But anyway, so important.

02:10:08.000 It's the most important thing, and we're watching it play out in real time.

02:10:11.000 I'm going to go through some of these announcements, and then I'll throw it back to Scott.

02:10:15.000 We haven't heard from Scott in a minute.

02:10:17.000 So let me just read off some of the calls that have been made so far.

02:10:19.000 We'll go over to the New York Times and look at our map, and we'll take a look.

02:10:26.000 At where we stand.

02:10:27.000 So, in the meantime, we've been hearing from everybody on the panel.

02:10:31.000 And while we've been talking, it looks like Oklahoma has been called for Donald Trump.

02:10:35.000 Mississippi called for Donald Trump.

02:10:37.000 Alabama, Tennessee, and South Carolina called for Donald Trump.

02:10:42.000 Illinois, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Massachusetts called for Joe Biden.

02:10:48.000 And, you know, in all those, it's really, there's not a major surprise there.

02:10:52.000 That was basically expected.

02:10:54.000 You know, all those different races.

02:10:57.000 The one thing that is Interesting to me, and this is more about the swing states, is and I think Vince pointed this out Georgia is now projected to go to Donald Trump 86% chance, which is incredible because they told us it was a swing state.

02:11:12.000 And as we saw a moment ago when it was 1% reporting, they had Joe Biden 65% chance of winning.

02:11:18.000 If I enter that information into our 538 interactive map, that gives Donald Trump a 50 in 100 chance of winning and Joe Biden a 48 in 100 chance of winning based on Donald Trump winning in Georgia, Texas, Florida, Iowa, and Ohio.

02:11:35.000 So, once again, you know, they told us 10%, and now we're at 50%.

02:11:41.000 So, I want to throw it back to Scott.

02:11:43.000 And based on everything we've seen so far, based on the results, we're seeing the vote totals come in, states are being called, the election is really underway.

02:11:52.000 It is happening, history is being made.

02:11:54.000 What are your thoughts so far?

02:11:55.000 How are you feeling?

02:11:56.000 I'm seeing you're tweeting, you're saying mixed news.

02:11:58.000 How are you feeling right now?

02:12:01.000 Yeah, that was an earlier thing.

02:12:02.000 So, my apologies.

02:12:03.000 Actually, That's actually good news because it shows that David Perdue is winning very easily.

02:12:10.000 They said he's a senator from Georgia.

02:12:12.000 He's pretty good.

02:12:13.000 He's not exactly terrific, but he did co sponsor the RAISE Act, which would significantly reduce immigration.

02:12:20.000 He's one of the better senators on immigration. 0.90

02:12:23.000 We want him to stay there.

02:12:24.000 He's not a cuck like Lindsey Graham or Tom Tillis are these other people who are also in competitive races.

02:12:29.000 So we want him there.

02:12:30.000 But it looks like in Georgia, Trump's improving his numbers.

02:12:34.000 It's looking a lot better.

02:12:35.000 It was just looking bad before.

02:12:37.000 I had tweeted that out too early.

02:12:38.000 That was a premature tweeting.

02:12:40.000 But in Florida, it looks like Trump has secured victory there.

02:12:44.000 Decision desk, HQ has already called it.

02:12:48.000 He's up, I think, by almost two points, and not all.

02:12:53.000 And the panhandle hasn't all come in yet, and that's Trump country.

02:12:56.000 So it looks like Trump will win Florida.

02:12:59.000 I think even New York Times gives him at least a 95% chance right now.

02:13:03.000 So Florida's looking good.

02:13:05.000 Georgia's looking good.

02:13:08.000 Ohio is, you know, there's some problems out there.

02:13:11.000 I'm seeing that the suburbs are going a little bit more for.

02:13:14.000 Biden than they were expected to.

02:13:16.000 That may present some problems for Trump.

02:13:18.000 It's still early in the night.

02:13:20.000 Ohio was always a state where Trump was leading in the polls.

02:13:23.000 I think there were only a few polls where it showed him down by like one or two points.

02:13:27.000 He was expected to go for Trump.

02:13:29.000 He definitely has to win pretty much every battleground state, but he definitely has to win Ohio if he loses Ohio.

02:13:36.000 That would not be good for the night.

02:13:38.000 But you know what?

02:13:40.000 Forget the polls.

02:13:41.000 Just keep checking out loud. 0.99

02:13:43.000 I'm checking my ass off. 0.97

02:13:46.000 PMAO, you know, just that's on Chatelet. 0.95

02:13:49.000 Just keep playing it.

02:13:51.000 If you see any negative poll numbers out there, turn off the polling, blast Chatelet, just keep posting memes and that just let it happen.

02:14:00.000 Like Trump will win.

02:14:01.000 Just if you keep thinking that Trump will win, he'll win.

02:14:04.000 So no negative attitude.

02:14:06.000 But I'm just putting it out there that there is some questions from Ohio.

02:14:12.000 It's a lot of the Trump parts aren't in yet.

02:14:15.000 So we'll have to see.

02:14:16.000 But he looks like he won Florida, looks like he's going to win Georgia.

02:14:20.000 North Carolina is a little bit too early now.

02:14:24.000 But the campaign was much more optimistic about the Sun Belt states than it was about the Midwest.

02:14:30.000 They were all predicting that they would win all the Sun Belt states.

02:14:33.000 And maybe they can win all those states if they win Ohio, and that's the only Rust Belt state they win, but then they sweep through Arizona, Nevada.

02:14:46.000 They would have to win.

02:14:47.000 Well, actually, thinking about that, they would have to win another Rust Belt state.

02:14:52.000 Keep an eye on it.

02:14:54.000 I don't think Wisconsin and Minnesota have had any of the results really come in yet.

02:14:59.000 So there could be a surprise.

02:15:00.000 I think in my election map, I predicted that Minnesota would go for Trump.

02:15:05.000 A lot of the polling there looks much better than it is in Wisconsin or Michigan.

02:15:10.000 Democrats didn't put as many resources there.

02:15:12.000 I think there's a lot of silent Trump voters who are seeing the total hellhole that Minneapolis has been turned into.

02:15:18.000 And they're like, I don't want my state, my entire state, and my entire country to turn into that.

02:15:23.000 So, they're going to vote for Trump.

02:15:24.000 But this may be their first time they're ever voting for Republican, and they're hesitant to tell pollsters that.

02:15:29.000 So, keep an eye out on Minnesota.

02:15:31.000 So, so far, I'm pretty optimistic, but they're not 100%.

02:15:36.000 There's still some things to keep an eye on out.

02:15:39.000 Yeah.

02:15:40.000 Yeah, I agree.

02:15:41.000 One more thing, and then I'll who is that?

02:15:43.000 I think that was Vince.

02:15:44.000 One more thing before we jump in there.

02:15:46.000 I just want to read this tweet from Nate Cohn here.

02:15:48.000 It says, as you can see, Trump is doing way, way better than 2016 in Hispanic and Cuban areas.

02:15:55.000 Is also doing better in majority black precincts.

02:15:57.000 Biden is doing better in older and relatively white areas, but not by much.

02:16:03.000 Now, I see that and I think to myself, if we can sort of extrapolate that information, we were told that Biden was going to win seniors by 10.

02:16:11.000 We were told that Biden was going to do much better with whites than Trump did, or than Hillary Clinton did in 2016. 0.76

02:16:19.000 It seems like Trump is blowing away with the non white, and Biden is underperforming what the poll suggested he would do with senior and white voters. 0.93

02:16:27.000 If that trend holds in Arizona, I think that gives us a really good advantage there in Arizona. 0.94

02:16:33.000 That makes me feel a little bit better about Nevada.

02:16:35.000 I don't feel strongly that we'll win there, but who knows?

02:16:39.000 So, I think that the numbers are looking like Scott said.

02:16:41.000 I'm optimistic, cautiously optimistic.

02:16:44.000 We're still in it.

02:16:45.000 But, Vince, go ahead.

02:16:46.000 You are ready to jump in.

02:16:48.000 What do you got?

02:16:50.000 Yeah, no, I was just going to say that about the Hispanic vote, something that I forgot to add.

02:16:55.000 You know, if Trump is going to get, like, if these polls are right, we're seeing some of these polls come out saying that Trump is going to get, you know, somewhere close to 40% of the Hispanic vote nationally, and his Hispanic vote margins are up in Arizona, up in Nevada, up in Florida, and so forth.

02:17:09.000 Up in Texas.

02:17:10.000 It wasn't because of pandering, because Trump is the most, I wouldn't call him, I hate the term anti immigration, but he is the candidate that has cracked down on legal and illegal immigration the most.

02:17:23.000 And he might get the margins that we saw in 2004 under President Bush.

02:17:28.000 And this just really tells the Republican Party something.

02:17:31.000 It's not pandering that is increasing your vote chances, your chances with the Hispanic base.

02:17:39.000 It's the social issues. 0.62

02:17:41.000 It's Black Lives Matter, it's rioting and things like this that the Republican Party should make their wedge issues, banning drag story art, things like this. 1.00

02:17:50.000 This will get the Hispanics, if they want to turn over Hispanics, on their side. 0.76

02:17:55.000 But you don't have to really waste time and resources to do those things.

02:17:59.000 All you have to do is talk about those policies.

02:18:01.000 All you have to do is bring up these issues that could potentially be wedge issues and major issues for the Republican Party.

02:18:07.000 And then you'll turn over the Hispanic vote.

02:18:09.000 I think the Black vote's a little bit different.

02:18:10.000 He might get maybe 12, 13%. 0.99

02:18:13.000 He'll He might break a record.

02:18:15.000 The record is 13%.

02:18:16.000 Maybe he'll do that.

02:18:17.000 But once again, you have to realize this only equals about a million. 0.71

02:18:21.000 And think about it like this Asians voted, there were more Asian votes.

02:18:25.000 There were more Asian votes for President Trump during 2016 than there were black votes.

02:18:30.000 So think about it like that in terms of where the Republican Party should be spending their time and resources.

02:18:35.000 Secondly, if Trump does get 40% or 44% of the Hispanic vote in these places, He might even get Nevada.

02:18:47.000 Nevada might even turn over for President Trump.

02:18:49.000 I don't have that state going blue.

02:18:51.000 I still don't think that state's going to go blue.

02:18:53.000 But this might be a potential for Trump.

02:18:56.000 We're also seeing some things that are happening right now in Ohio and North Carolina that are concerning to me.

02:19:01.000 But we'll have to see how the night plays out.

02:19:03.000 In North Carolina, there's 55% of votes have been reported.

02:19:07.000 Biden's up by 400,000 votes.

02:19:09.000 North Carolina is a state that I had going for Trump.

02:19:12.000 I didn't think that the state was in play.

02:19:14.000 But once again, the New York Times doesn't even have a Ticker in North Carolina.

02:19:18.000 There are some states where they have a ticker.

02:19:19.000 Other states, they don't.

02:19:20.000 They don't have a ticker in Pennsylvania.

02:19:21.000 They don't have a ticker in Ohio.

02:19:22.000 They don't have a ticker in North Carolina.

02:19:24.000 So, oh, they do have a ticker in North Carolina.

02:19:26.000 In fact, North Carolina, the probability for Biden is going down.

02:19:30.000 It was at 66%.

02:19:31.000 Now it's at 57%. 1.00

02:19:32.000 So, that's good news.

02:19:34.000 In Ohio, though, I don't see a ticker on the New York Times for Ohio.

02:19:38.000 So, I don't know why that is, but there are things that I'm seeing right now in Ohio that are kind of concerning to me.

02:19:45.000 But I think that Trump will pull that off.

02:19:47.000 Once again, it's the Michigans, it's the Wisconsonsons, it's the Minnesotas.

02:19:50.000 That Trump needs to pull out.

02:19:52.000 Pennsylvania is another one.

02:19:54.000 Did you guys see all the shenanigans that were happening in Pennsylvania?

02:19:57.000 Yes, yes.

02:19:57.000 I heard there were 2,000 incidents reported.

02:20:00.000 Right.

02:20:01.000 Craziness.

02:20:01.000 And they know that this state is going to be the new Florida, you know, with the hanging Chads in Florida back in 2000, what happened in 2018 in Broward County and so forth.

02:20:09.000 They know that Pennsylvania, just as we know that Pennsylvania is going to be shaky. 0.73

02:20:13.000 And with the whole Supreme Court decision where they might even toss out ballots, like we're going to, I mean, it might come down to Pennsylvania.

02:20:20.000 I hope that Trump wins in such a way.

02:20:21.000 And I'll just say this and let someone else talk.

02:20:24.000 I hope that Trump wins in such a way to where Pennsylvania doesn't even matter.

02:20:30.000 If he wins Michigan or Wisconsin, the riot effect gives him a few percentage points.

02:20:35.000 I hope he wins in such a way that Pennsylvania doesn't matter.

02:20:38.000 We're not waiting for the Supreme Court decision.

02:20:39.000 We're not waiting for this to play out.

02:20:41.000 But, you know, like I said, I'm not as optimistic as I was in 2016. 1.00

02:20:47.000 But I don't want to black pill. 0.99

02:20:48.000 I'm still white pilled, but we'll just have to see how this plays out. 0.96

02:20:52.000 I'm white pilled.

02:20:53.000 I am white pilled, honestly, no matter what the outcome is, I'm white pilled. 0.72

02:20:57.000 I'm kecking.

02:20:59.000 It will be crushing.

02:21:00.000 It will be crushing if you lose.

02:21:02.000 But then we have to fight harder.

02:21:03.000 We have to fight harder after that.

02:21:05.000 So that's right.

02:21:06.000 That's right.

02:21:06.000 We do.

02:21:07.000 We just have to keep fighting harder. 0.98

02:21:09.000 But yes, it is, you know, My concern is diminishing because with these New York Times needles, holy shit, I mean, it's back and forth and back and forth. 0.97

02:21:18.000 Georgia, they had 65% Biden, now it's like almost all the way Trump. 0.78

02:21:23.000 North Carolina, they had going for Biden, now it is slowly gone 56% tilting Trump, which this is honestly, it's kind of like deja vu because I remember in 2016 we were watching these needles in the New York Times, and in the same way, we watched the needle go from very likely Hillary.

02:21:43.000 All the way around.

02:21:44.000 I don't know if we'll see a repeat of that, but we've already seen it in Georgia.

02:21:49.000 We appear to be seeing that happening here in North Carolina.

02:21:52.000 And if, according to 538, if Trump is able to pull North Carolina, his odds go to 56% chances of winning.

02:22:01.000 I think he's got a strong chance in Arizona, which then that would take him up to 65.

02:22:06.000 Some say, though, that Ohio, you said Ohio, there's maybe warning signs there, but we'll see.

02:22:14.000 It seems like We're not getting a ticker there from the New York Times.

02:22:17.000 That's why I was wondering why there's no ticker there.

02:22:17.000 Yeah, I know.

02:22:19.000 That's interesting.

02:22:20.000 In Arizona, I mean, even like on the RCP average and most of the polling, they had Trump up, but there's more registered Republicans in Arizona, and they even added 30,000 more this time around than Democrats did.

02:22:33.000 So they've added to that margin.

02:22:35.000 And then, like I said, if Trump gets a higher percentage of the Hispanic vote there, they have a high population of Hispanics there.

02:22:40.000 I mean, that's good in Arizona.

02:22:42.000 That's the only way, you know, when the Biden campaign comes out and says that we can win without Pennsylvania and Florida.

02:22:48.000 They have to win Arizona.

02:22:50.000 That's what they're talking about.

02:22:51.000 So if that goes, then that goes out the window for them.

02:22:53.000 You're right.

02:22:54.000 You're right.

02:22:55.000 Well, I think we're on our way here.

02:22:55.000 Yeah.

02:22:57.000 I think we're on our way.

02:22:58.000 We'll see.

02:22:59.000 I want to get into some of these super chats, so I'm not stuck at the end reading 100 of them.

02:23:03.000 So let me just go through some of these super chats real quick, and then we'll get back into it.

02:23:07.000 It is almost 7 30 p.m., and I'm going to take a look here.

02:23:11.000 It looks like our next big state, our next swing state for polls to close, will be in Arizona at 9 p.m., Minnesota is at 9 p.m.

02:23:21.000 Wisconsin is at 9 p.m. and Nevada is at 10 p.m.

02:23:24.000 And I would assume that's New York time.

02:23:27.000 I would assume that's Eastern time.

02:23:28.000 So we should see Arizona and Minnesota come out and Wisconsin as well come out in the next half hour.

02:23:34.000 Let me just double check that real quick.

02:23:37.000 It looks like that is the case.

02:23:39.000 But I'm going to dive into some of these super chats and we'll see what you guys are saying.

02:23:43.000 I'll pull up NBC here.

02:23:45.000 We've got MMA Groyper says, I love you all so much.

02:23:48.000 Wherever things go, I'll always be with this movement.

02:23:51.000 I love you all.

02:23:52.000 Love you too, buddy.

02:23:53.000 Harley says, America first is inevitable.

02:23:56.000 Yes, it is.

02:23:57.000 Ray Gunn says, 6'2, highly respected gang, checking in.

02:24:01.000 Can't smear the greer. 0.98

02:24:02.000 And remember, when we win, pour one out for the homies who got canceled and doxxed to get us this far. 0.99

02:24:08.000 Miss you, Ricky Vaughn, and TV Kwa.

02:24:11.000 Yeah, we got to pour one out for our fellas. 0.94

02:24:11.000 Very true. 0.94

02:24:15.000 Jason says, We are winning tonight.

02:24:16.000 Let's go.

02:24:17.000 Pee Pee Kaka says, Greetings from Paris.

02:24:20.000 Masks are mandatory outside, but I'm not wearing one.

02:24:22.000 Head still firmly attached.

02:24:25.000 Love to hear it.

02:24:26.000 FF with a big super chat says, Good luck, America.

02:24:28.000 As always, Australia is standing back and standing by.

02:24:31.000 Well, thank you for the big super chat.

02:24:33.000 Closest ally, I appreciate it.

02:24:36.000 Jay Rotris says, America first.

02:24:37.000 Water Groyper says, We want Trump.

02:24:40.000 Hypersonic Groyper says, Much love from Australia.

02:24:42.000 Let's go. 1.00

02:24:43.000 Douchebag says, The Libtard horn is collapsing and they're desperate for control. 1.00

02:24:48.000 MAGA 2020. 0.99

02:24:50.000 Dan the Asian says, PA voter checking in.

02:24:52.000 07.

02:24:53.000 Maximilian says, Take my energy from Germany, King. 0.55

02:24:55.000 We'll take all the energy from Germany. 0.90

02:24:58.000 I'll take energy from Germany. 0.89

02:25:00.000 Goody says, No matter what happens, America first is the future of this country.

02:25:04.000 Stay safe.

02:25:04.000 You're a legend.

02:25:05.000 You're right.

02:25:06.000 And it's important to keep that in mind.

02:25:08.000 Whatever the outcome is, We are still in it for the intergenerational struggle.

02:25:13.000 It's bigger than any election.

02:25:15.000 Epic Guy says, I just really want one thing, and that's to keep America great.

02:25:20.000 Me too.

02:25:21.000 Home Alone says, Thank you for all you've done, Nick.

02:25:23.000 You are smart, fearless, and handsome.

02:25:25.000 I agree.

02:25:26.000 That is true.

02:25:28.000 Jay Roxas says, It's my birthday today, sending birthday energy.

02:25:31.000 Well, happy birthday.

02:25:32.000 It would be a great birthday gift if Donald Trump was reelected, right?

02:25:36.000 Radical Doylist says, 286 for Trump.

02:25:39.000 We'll see. 0.97

02:25:41.000 He's dead.

02:25:41.000 Jim says, Good luck.

02:25:42.000 Thanks.

02:25:43.000 Optical Knight says PA 2020 will be the new Florida 2000.

02:25:47.000 The apparent loser will contest the results regardless.

02:25:50.000 I think you're right.

02:25:52.000 And then Doomer Squidward with a Ninjet says, So epic, the first time I voted is for Trump.

02:25:57.000 Going to remember it forever.

02:25:58.000 Didn't give Crenshaw my vote, though.

02:26:00.000 Don't vote for Crenshaw.

02:26:00.000 Good.

02:26:02.000 We want him to lose.

02:26:03.000 And love to hear that.

02:26:04.000 Love to hear. 0.98

02:26:05.000 We got a lot of Zoomers voting for Trump. 0.98

02:26:07.000 It's their first election, and they get to vote in this all important deal for the God Emperor of the United States. 0.99

02:26:14.000 So love to hear it.

02:26:16.000 Thanks for the big super chat.

02:26:18.000 And I think we'll stop there.

02:26:19.000 We'll pick up some of the rest of these later here.

02:26:23.000 And let's take a look.

02:26:24.000 Do we have any updates right now?

02:26:26.000 Oh, I just wanted to chime in very quickly here in Ohio.

02:26:30.000 If you look at a couple of counties there, if you look at the vote totals in Ohio, once again, still New York Times doesn't have a ticker, but in Montgomery County, we have over 51% of the votes in Ohio reported in Montgomery County.

02:26:43.000 And Donald Trump hasn't even reached half of his vote totals from 2016 in that particular county.

02:26:49.000 And I'm seeing the same for other counties.

02:26:51.000 So, Ohio.

02:26:52.000 Is one to pay attention to throughout the night.

02:26:55.000 Okay.

02:26:56.000 Good to know.

02:26:57.000 That is concerning.

02:26:58.000 That is concerning.

02:26:59.000 You know, I thought Ohio was basically safe.

02:27:01.000 I was looking at all the polls.

02:27:03.000 So did I. Right?

02:27:04.000 I think it will be.

02:27:05.000 I think in the end, I think Trump will take it.

02:27:07.000 Because the polling averages, I mean, Ohio was one of the best states he was polling in.

02:27:11.000 And I don't even think there was a lot of Biden campaigning there.

02:27:15.000 So, yeah, but I think you're right.

02:27:16.000 I mean, these things, we've seen them flip back and forth over the course of the night.

02:27:20.000 And historically, this happens.

02:27:22.000 But I want to get Steve back in.

02:27:24.000 Steve, I feel like I haven't heard from you.

02:27:26.000 So we're watching these results coming in.

02:27:29.000 We're feeling maybe a little bit concerned about Ohio.

02:27:31.000 Georgia is looking good.

02:27:33.000 North Carolina is looking good.

02:27:35.000 New York Times just moved the needle to 63% chance for Trump.

02:27:40.000 You're watching these numbers come in.

02:27:41.000 What are you feeling right now?

02:27:43.000 Well, I'm looking at Ohio, and a word is a lot of this vote total is coming from Columbus and Cleveland.

02:27:53.000 And so that a lot of the Trump counties are not yet reporting in.

02:27:57.000 So I think that's going to tilt a lot toward Trump in the late going.

02:28:01.000 I still think he's going to take the state.

02:28:03.000 I don't know that it'll be as comfortable of a margin as last time.

02:28:07.000 And North Carolina, you know, it's tilting our way.

02:28:10.000 So I'm optimistic with these two states.

02:28:16.000 So it's some optimism here.

02:28:17.000 I'm going to go ahead and plug in some of these early results here for Democrats.

02:28:24.000 And yeah, once I plug in where we are so far with these states, it looks like it's much.

02:28:29.000 Closer as I've been saying, than they've let on.

02:28:31.000 But we continue to see the votes coming in, and I'm curious, like you said, Vince, why they don't have a ticker in Ohio.

02:28:39.000 It would be helpful if they could give us some kind of a gauge because I'm not completely familiar with the numbers in Ohio.

02:28:44.000 I didn't do much research on Ohio because, as we said, I think that was one of the stronger states going for Trump, stronger swing states heading into the election.

02:28:53.000 But it looks like they just made a call here in Arkansas.

02:28:56.000 They called Arkansas for Trump, another one that's not really a big surprise.

02:29:01.000 And it appears to be we're standing at.

02:29:06.000 88 for Joe Biden and 111 for Donald Trump appears to be our total, but polls aren't closing and there's a lot to go here swing states and non swing states.

02:29:18.000 But I want to take a look at the timeline a little bit and see what we are seeing from the people that I follow here on Twitter.

02:29:27.000 It looks like apparently Donald Trump did better in Florida with Latino voters than George W. Bush did in 2004.

02:29:36.000 And I was actually looking at these numbers.

02:29:39.000 Last night, just out of curiosity, looking at the historic vote totals for non white voters for Republicans, and George W. Bush, by far and away, had the biggest Hispanic vote margin out of any Republican president in 60 years.

02:29:55.000 I mean, he got, I believe, 40% in the 2004 election.

02:29:59.000 And if Donald Trump beat that by 5%, and I'll keep in mind, he won Hispanics with 27% in 2016.

02:30:07.000 So that not only represents a nearly 20%.

02:30:10.000 Increase for him, but also the all time high for Hispanics.

02:30:14.000 And of course, and we've been talking about this, what effect will this have then on Nevada? 0.69

02:30:21.000 What effect then will this have on Arizona, where there is a larger Hispanic population?

02:30:26.000 And I want to kick it over to Scott, because we've been talking about Hispanics, and Trump has obviously been doing well and much better with non white voters.

02:30:35.000 And I think that's the story of this election better with non whites, not so good with white voters.

02:30:39.000 And I want to kick it over to Scott, and I want to get your take first. 0.52

02:30:42.000 On Nevada and Arizona with respect to these numbers on Hispanics.

02:30:46.000 But I also want to get your take on what our prospects are for the GOP and for the American right to win Hispanics in the long term. 0.56

02:30:54.000 Because a lot of people, myself included, are basing our model for the decline of the GOP and the decline of America on the increasing proportion of the U.S. population, which is non white.

02:31:05.000 And that's largely being driven in part by Asians, but also largely by Hispanics. 0.71

02:31:10.000 Hispanics moving into Texas, specifically Arizona, New Mexico, Nevada.

02:31:15.000 They're all largely voting Democrat.

02:31:17.000 What, if any, do you think our prospects are for the Republican Party to win consistently large percentages of Hispanics in swing states?

02:31:25.000 And how does that affect this idea of the electoral winter, the point after which the map doesn't work for us and states like Texas and Arizona and Nevada become unwinnable?

02:31:35.000 What are your thoughts on the future?

02:31:37.000 I think they're definitely winnable, but they have to have a candidate who can appeal to them and connect them in a way.

02:31:43.000 I think a lot of Hispanics just like. 0.81

02:31:46.000 The braggadocious nature of Trump, as he used to say, is like, I don't like to be braggadocious, but they really like that. 0.99

02:31:52.000 They like him as a caudillo, they see him as just like a badass, masculine guy who just attacks libtards and all these stupid people in politics and media. 0.98

02:32:03.000 And they like that, they gravitate towards that. 0.98

02:32:05.000 And it also showing that they're not Trump isn't really conceding anything to Hispanics, he's not calling for amnesty, he's not, uh, you know, like talking about how Hispanics are better Americans than you, and we need to love them because.

02:32:19.000 They came here unlike you, white people, and thus they're better Americans, which a lot of George W. Bush and a lot of those Republicans used to say that they're the real Americans, not white Americans.

02:32:31.000 And he's still appealing to them with a national populist message that they really like. 0.74

02:32:36.000 And I think for a lot of Hispanics, and the difference between them and Asians is that a lot of Asians are more upper income, of course, college educated, and they're assimilating into the upper middle class whitedom, which is becoming more and more left wing. 0.85

02:32:51.000 And they realize that it's better for them to play up wokeness and identity politics in order to gain status and power in our society. 0.89

02:32:58.000 But for a lot of Hispanics, that's denied them. 0.98

02:33:01.000 They don't really have that opportunity, or they don't really gravitate towards it.

02:33:04.000 A lot of them are going to middling state schools or community college, or not going to college at all.

02:33:09.000 They're assimilating to the middle class and working class, which is much more conservative.

02:33:14.000 And they don't really seem to have as many problems with white people as other minority groups. 0.74

02:33:20.000 I think for a lot of Asians, it's a performative anti whiteness. 0.97

02:33:23.000 They claim that they were oppressed under. 0.92

02:33:25.000 Colonialism in India, and thus the white man must pay.

02:33:28.000 But they know they do that as a way of guilt tripping white liberals to give them more benefits. 0.96

02:33:33.000 And I don't think Hispanics really get into that.

02:33:35.000 I don't think they have much animosity towards whites, especially not the same animosity that blacks have or some other immigrant groups.

02:33:43.000 And I think there are a lot of them, they would prefer the traditional white America than to what the Democrats are offering them. 0.63

02:33:52.000 And a lot of them live near black neighborhoods, and they see when law and order breaks down. 0.64

02:33:57.000 As you saw in Chicago when there were Latin kings patrolling their neighborhood, defending it from rioters, that they see that this is very bad for them, that they have to live with these consequences while rich white liberals and rich Asian liberals don't have to deal with that.

02:34:10.000 And they want somebody who's going to bring law and order, who is going to bring sensibility and is not going to bend the knee to the preferred minority groups. 0.81

02:34:19.000 And I think a lot of ways, Black Lives Matter was such an alienating experience to them because they experience Blacks on a basis. 0.94

02:34:28.000 Much more so than any other group in America.

02:34:31.000 And they see these weird rich white liberals coming over and kissing their feet and bending the knee and just doing all these things for them and making our whole country center around the black experience.

02:34:41.000 And they're like, hey, what about us?

02:34:43.000 Like, we're here too. 1.00

02:34:46.000 We don't want to worship blacks. 1.00

02:34:47.000 Like, we know what they're like. 1.00

02:34:48.000 Like, this is like, this Black Lives Matter is nonsense. 1.00

02:34:53.000 Like, a lot of them are committing far more crimes than anybody else. 1.00

02:34:58.000 We have to live with the consequences if you reduce the police.

02:35:01.000 And if you cater to them and you're giving them all these benefits, and they of course don't like reparations because they see that as like an extra benefit to a group that they don't get, that another group gets a leg over them, a leg up over them.

02:35:14.000 And this is profoundly alienated.

02:35:17.000 They know that in a democratic hierarchy, they're put at, like, they're shunted aside.

02:35:22.000 They only matter in terms of we need to bring in more cheap labor for our billionaires and our corporations.

02:35:29.000 And that's all we want you. 1.00

02:35:31.000 We only want Hispanics to serve as cheap labor and to dutifully vote for Democrats. 1.00

02:35:36.000 And if some of them are like, you know, like have ideas like, I don't like illegal immigrants because they take my job. 0.98

02:35:43.000 Or I think there should be less immigration because these people, even the legal ones, are going to take my job.

02:35:48.000 They think that's racist. 0.89

02:35:50.000 And that's not tolerated in the Democratic Party.

02:35:52.000 And the last one on Hispanics is the most interesting thing I found is that there was this long Reuters article about all these families that have been divided and, and, Permanently separated over politics.

02:36:04.000 And there was a Hispanic mom who's in her 40s, whose son told her, You're not my mother anymore because you're voting for Trump.

02:36:11.000 And this Hispanic mom says she's voting for Trump because she loves to stand on illegal immigrants. 0.98

02:36:18.000 She's like, I don't want any. 1.00

02:36:19.000 Illegal immigrants here, and that has caused a rupture in her family, but she believes very strongly in that. 1.00

02:36:25.000 So I think there's a lot of Hispanics like that. 1.00

02:36:27.000 Um, I think my prediction that earlier the show that he's going to get at least 35 is looking good, it'd probably get a little bit more than that. 0.87

02:36:34.000 So I think you know, with the Hispanic uh outreach, the one thing is they cannot cater and capitulate and give up certain policy positions that are integral to national populism in order to appease them. 0.94

02:36:47.000 I think the difference between appealing to them and blacks is that When you look at the Black Platinum Plan, we're making Juneteenth a holiday, and Juneteenth is an explicitly Anti White, Anti American holiday that wants to make white people feel guilty for slavery and make us feel bad for our country. 0.93

02:37:02.000 And there's no reason to have that holiday when we already have Martin Luther King Day. 0.85

02:37:06.000 They don't need a second holiday, they don't need another one.

02:37:10.000 They already have one.

02:37:11.000 They have a whole month of themselves.

02:37:12.000 What more do they need?

02:37:14.000 So we're just gonna have like a whole year. 0.95

02:37:17.000 It's like Gay Pride Month turned into like a whole summer. 1.00

02:37:20.000 You know, they have their one holiday, we don't need another. 0.99

02:37:25.000 And so they're also wanting to give up on criminal justice reform, give up on undermining their law and order position to appeal to blacks. 0.80

02:37:34.000 And that hurts them. 0.82

02:37:35.000 But I think with Hispanics, if they just put out, you know, badass salsa songs and talk about what Trump and all the jobs Trump is bringing and how immigrants hurt their job prospects and hurt their wages, I don't think there's anything wrong with it.

02:37:50.000 And I think this is a demographic that we're going to start to depend on in future elections.

02:37:56.000 Yeah.

02:37:56.000 And depend on, especially, sorry to cut in there.

02:37:59.000 Without you going to me, depend on especially to hold off the electoral winter that we were talking about, too.

02:38:04.000 I just want to cut in really quickly here.

02:38:06.000 In Dallas County and Harris County, Donald Trump, and I know Texas isn't a question.

02:38:11.000 Most of the big vote totals that we saw from Texas, a lot of people were tweeting, Oh, I'm worried about Texas.

02:38:18.000 Don't worry about Texas.

02:38:19.000 Most of the votes that we saw coming out of Texas were from big, deep blue counties, Dallas County, which, by the way, used to be red back in the era of Reagan and even George W. Bush, Harris County, same thing.

02:38:30.000 But Donald Trump, In these blue counties, has surpassed his vote totals from 2016 in Harris County by almost 100,000 votes.

02:38:40.000 And it's only 82% reporting. 0.98

02:38:42.000 So we're seeing a massive, and this might be all Hispanics here. 0.91

02:38:46.000 It might be the rising up of the Castizos and the mostly white Cubans who are going to pull off this election for us in these states. 0.87

02:38:56.000 But I just thought that that was interesting. 0.63

02:38:58.000 We're seeing a massive turnout above what we saw in 2016 in counties that are.

02:39:04.000 Probably overwhelmingly Hispanic and a less than, you know, maybe a lesser turnout in counties that are largely white counties in places like Ohio and Pennsylvania.

02:39:15.000 But we'll have to see.

02:39:16.000 Maybe I'm wrong on that too.

02:39:18.000 So I just wanted to chime in there and add that in there.

02:39:20.000 Yeah, no, good point.

02:39:21.000 And I think that's a really critical thing.

02:39:24.000 I think about the Hispanics, it's kind of funny because, of course, the meme about Hispanics is that the Paul Ryan and heritage types and conventional beltway conservatives.

02:39:35.000 They have this line that Hispanics are natural conservatives because they've got family values and they're Catholic.

02:39:42.000 And when they come over the border, they're a natural fit for the Republican Party.

02:39:46.000 They're entrepreneurial, they're innovators, and all of this. 0.97

02:39:49.000 And it's funny because it turns out that the way to appeal to Hispanics is not by being a conventional beltway pussy, for lack of a better word, and to open up the borders and bring in millions of immigrants like George W. Bush did. 0.97

02:40:02.000 George W. Bush brought in, what was it, like 10 million immigrants or 8 million immigrants in five years, something crazy like that. 0.98

02:40:09.000 But instead, the way to win Hispanics is ironically to be racist, to be hard on immigration, to be hard on crime.

02:40:17.000 Because, and Scott pointed this out, this idea of Trump as a strongman dictator seems to be more appealing to Hispanics than being a Paul Ryan, pandering, open borders, soft on crime, all of that kind of stuff. 0.95

02:40:33.000 Because, and I think Scott is totally right that Hispanics come here, and a lot of them actually identify as white. 0.90

02:40:40.000 A lot of them are patriotic, they're working class, they tend not to be politically correct. 0.99

02:40:46.000 And they probably, more than any other demographic in the country, would have some kind of Prejudice or racial animus against blacks because it is Hispanics that are engaged in the turf war with blacks for the cities and with the gangs and for jobs and all of that. 0.78

02:41:03.000 And it is also the Hispanics competing with the blacks for market share in the Democratic Party as far as politicians go and the conventional sort of racial interest politics or racial lobbying that goes on. 0.60

02:41:17.000 And there was actually a really effective advertisement, I think, that Trump ran in Florida. 0.74

02:41:22.000 And it was a Spanish advertisement, but the gist of it was.

02:41:26.000 Why did Joe Biden pick a black running mate and not an Hispanic running mate?

02:41:31.000 Are we not good enough for Joe Biden because we're not black?

02:41:35.000 And in other words, playing Hispanics off of blacks and all this focus with Black Lives Matter and the pandering to black people, the ethnic narcissism that everybody seems to be trying to accommodate in the political left and the American regime.

02:41:48.000 And I'm sure that for a lot of Hispanics who maybe identify as white or are patriotic, working class, anti political correctness, in many places in direct competition with blacks or even illegal immigrants, They look at Trump as a strong man. 0.67

02:42:03.000 They look at Trump as this sort of caricature of America.

02:42:07.000 They look at Trump as somebody that appears to be willing to work with them.

02:42:11.000 And they compare that to the Democrats, who are the party of sort of weak, limp wristed, very socially liberal, politically correct, favoring blacks over Hispanics in this sort of contentious battle.

02:42:23.000 And I think that keeping all that in mind, it's like, you know, maybe not all hope is lost when it comes to these states, particularly in states like Virginia.

02:42:32.000 And Texas, a lot of what's driving the changing electorate in these states, it's not only immigration, although immigration is a big deal, but it's also the suburbs. 0.70

02:42:43.000 It's also that, and I think Scott talked about this Asians are assimilating now into this upper sort of white class. 0.52

02:42:49.000 It is these suburban whites now that are making a break for the Democratic Party. 0.82

02:42:55.000 Of course, immigration is driving it, no question, in Nevada, in Arizona, New Mexico, Texas, Virginia.

02:43:02.000 But Virginia and Texas in particular, it's also the suburbs that are turning more blue.

02:43:06.000 And I'm wondering if, you know, certainly these states are going to become competitive, and some states will become more, maybe some states will become more solid Republicans, some will become competitive.

02:43:16.000 But point being, it appears that not all hope is lost.

02:43:20.000 It's not like, well, would you look at the time, 2024 is around the corner, and it's impossible for us to win. 0.76

02:43:26.000 It seems like we'll remain competitive for a good while, and I think that Trump's turnout with Hispanics kind of proves that. 0.97

02:43:32.000 I mean, it makes me feel a little bit better. 0.95

02:43:35.000 If we can get a Republican candidate that can win, A large margin with whites and not lose Hispanics by that much, it seems to me like that is a kind of voting coalition that we could cobble together and make work.

02:43:47.000 Of course, though, and this is the caveat, which is all important, without capitulating. 0.50

02:43:53.000 That is the all important caveat because what we've been led to believe for a long time, the going sort of conventional wisdom, is that in order for us to win these percentages of non white voters, we have to pander to them. 0.75

02:44:06.000 And we have to pander to them by cucking on the important issues. 0.77

02:44:09.000 Opening the borders, giving out welfare, compromising on our culture, compromising on American identity.

02:44:15.000 And I think Scott and Vince pointed this out. 0.89

02:44:17.000 What Trump proved is that you can win Hispanics, maybe more Hispanics than any Republican has ever won, without doing any of that, without amnesty, while securing the border, while cutting immigration in half, while going out there and saying, they're bringing drugs, they're a crime, they're rapists, we're going to ban Muslims, that kind of stuff. 0.90

02:44:37.000 It's like we could make it work, in other words, and we want to do that.

02:44:41.000 It's not to say, like, oh, I'm okay with multiracial boarding house orphanage America.

02:44:47.000 I'm not. 0.94

02:44:48.000 But it is to say that as far as electoral politics goes, if we want to win, we need to control the government.

02:44:52.000 If we want to control the government, we need to win elections.

02:44:55.000 And we have to think very deeply about maps and math and electioneering.

02:44:59.000 And it appears that not all hope is lost with some of these demographics as far as the voting goes.

02:45:03.000 It might be competitive.

02:45:04.000 But I want to kick it over to Vince.

02:45:08.000 Oh, yeah.

02:45:09.000 Go for it, Steve.

02:45:10.000 Go for it.

02:45:10.000 I wanted to jump in on Hispanics a bit because I've got some insight here.

02:45:14.000 You know, Hispanics come from what is called a latifundia system.

02:45:17.000 So they come from a system of like large agricultural holdings.

02:45:22.000 That are run by strongmen. 0.92

02:45:23.000 And so, you know, I had this guy like tweet out to me because I was bagging on Mexicans, you know, on Twitter. 0.58

02:45:30.000 And he tweets out to me, he's like, Steve, inside of every Mexican that comes to the United States is like the memory that white men ran everything two generations ago. 0.66

02:45:38.000 And they yearn for this, they yearn for a return to this.

02:45:41.000 And so it's just something to keep in mind when we're looking at construction wages skyrocketing under Trump.

02:45:47.000 These people see these benefits immediately.

02:45:50.000 You know, they come over, they've come over recently in the last generation.

02:45:54.000 And they see this huge increase in wages.

02:45:57.000 They see the Mexican government starting to have to play nice because the Mexican government just ran amok under Obama.

02:46:04.000 And then they also see agricultural jobs being protected by Trump with these tariffs that he's putting on China.

02:46:10.000 I mean, the smarter ones do anyway.

02:46:12.000 And then they also come from places like Costa Rica, Colombia, Venezuela, Argentina, places like this where there's actually Peru, even Bolivia, even where.

02:46:25.000 In a lot of cases, there is still a bit of an aristocracy there, and a white man does in the capital cities of these countries, white man still kind of runs things in these places.

02:46:34.000 So I think that they are very pliable. 0.68

02:46:37.000 I think that I'm very white pulled on the Castizo futurism, and I think if we shut mass migration off, actually there will be a lot of pressure on them to assimilate rather than this like Marco Rubio approach or even this like Ted Cruz approach, this like, you know, kind of pretty good on immigration, but giving some. 0.98

02:46:54.000 Some key concessions away. 0.96

02:46:56.000 I think Trump is doing exactly right with Latinos. 1.00

02:46:59.000 That's a really good point, Steve.

02:47:01.000 And thank you for the insight because I know you and I, we have that little handshake there, Hispanic pride.

02:47:08.000 And it's true. 1.00

02:47:09.000 I mean, in these Hispanic countries, they were colonies.

02:47:13.000 And it's interesting to think about the different colonial systems.

02:47:17.000 I feel like people don't consider this.

02:47:19.000 In the grand scheme of things, people tend to look at American history like, well, 30 years ago, we won California and now we're not winning.

02:47:26.000 It's like, well, let's think about. 1.00

02:47:29.000 This is like a settler state.

02:47:31.000 It's a colonial state. 0.94

02:47:33.000 That is the sort of history of America.

02:47:36.000 500 years ago, there was nobody here. 0.90

02:47:39.000 I should say there were no Europeans here.

02:47:41.000 And the kinds of colonies that were established by the different European colonial powers have an effect on the outcome in a lot of these countries.

02:47:51.000 For example, the Spanish, who were the initial settlers in South and Central America, and even in Florida and everything, they established.

02:48:00.000 Basically, a racial caste system, the hacienda system, where they have the Spanish ruling on top and then these sort of slave classes or worker classes. 0.66

02:48:09.000 And it's a hierarchical racial caste society which prevails to this day. 0.59

02:48:13.000 And like you said, it wasn't very long ago when it was explicitly an empire, when it was explicitly colonial, explicitly a caste system. 0.63

02:48:24.000 But even to this day, who rules Mexico?

02:48:26.000 Look at Vicente Fox.

02:48:28.000 Look at Peña Nieto. 1.00

02:48:29.000 These are white Spanish men. 0.95

02:48:31.000 The celebrities, the politicians, the ruling class in Mexico and in these countries is Spanish, it's white. 0.93

02:48:38.000 And the lower classes, even geographically, but also socioeconomically, Are the Indians, you know? 0.99

02:48:45.000 And so, in many ways, that system still prevails there. 0.67

02:48:48.000 In the United States, of course, the English model for colonialism is that we would come and we would sort of do a blank slate. 1.00

02:48:55.000 We would clear out the Indians. 0.99

02:48:57.000 The Indians largely did not assimilate into Anglo society, not in big numbers, not in a systematic way. 1.00

02:49:04.000 It was largely an English or Northern European settlement, and the Indians were sort of driven back from the frontier.

02:49:12.000 In Canada, there was some forced assimilation and so called cultural genocide of natives, but not in. 0.98

02:49:17.000 Enormous numbers like it was in Latin and South America.

02:49:21.000 And it sort of speaks to the evolving character of this sort of settler colonial settlement on this continent, where America goes from the sort of English model of colonialism or English model of settlement, where maybe 40 years ago America was still largely descended from the founding stock and mostly white in any case from immigration, northern, and then eventually eastern and southern European, but appears to now be transitioning into a country more resembling. 0.96

02:49:50.000 The South and Central American states, which is to say that maybe there is a white European elite that kind of sits atop an informal caste system.

02:50:02.000 Now, I'm not speaking like this is not a prescription, by the way, but this is maybe perhaps simply the reality that you'll have this implicit or soft racial caste system where whites are at the top. 0.52

02:50:14.000 You've got now the Indians have come back, the blacks from the triangle trade, and you've got Jews have come over. 0.75

02:50:23.000 So, really, the United States has turned into like the global battlefield of the different populations. 0.73

02:50:30.000 It's got that like diaspora Jewish population that was antagonistic against Europe for centuries. 0.59

02:50:36.000 It's got that native European population like Europe. 0.84

02:50:39.000 It's now got indigenous Indians and indigenous blacks and indigenous Orientals moving in. 0.91

02:50:45.000 And this is just sort of like this is like Battle 2100, like race war, global race war concentrated on the American continent. 0.81

02:50:55.000 And it's all a matter of sorting.

02:50:57.000 Maneuvering, posturing.

02:50:58.000 So it's a very interesting thought that you bring to us, Steve.

02:51:02.000 Always interesting.

02:51:04.000 But Vince, I want to get you in because I was going to pivot to you.

02:51:07.000 Steve jumped in there with a great comment.

02:51:09.000 We hadn't heard from him in a while, anyway.

02:51:11.000 But Vince, tell me, have you been looking at the numbers so far?

02:51:14.000 Well, I've been going on and on and rambling.

02:51:16.000 Have you been looking at Ohio and everything?

02:51:18.000 How are we looking?

02:51:20.000 Ohio looks pretty much the same, but in Georgia and North Carolina, the ticker's leaning more and more towards.

02:51:28.000 By the way, I don't know how the New York Times hasn't called Florida yet.

02:51:28.000 President Trump.

02:51:31.000 It's the weirdest thing.

02:51:32.000 Most of these media outlets haven't called Florida yet.

02:51:34.000 I think they're holding on to hope.

02:51:36.000 They're coping right now as we speak.

02:51:38.000 But I did want to touch more on that the Hispanic thing.

02:51:43.000 I live in California, as most of you guys know, and I have a lot of Hispanic friends.

02:51:47.000 And the video that was the most widely shared across Hispanic communities was this Hispanic street vendor getting beaten up by black people and a couple of other Hispanic janitors and Hispanic street vendors.

02:52:01.000 Getting beaten up by Black Lives Matter activists.

02:52:04.000 These videos, and social media doesn't know this, mainstream media doesn't know this.

02:52:08.000 I don't think most liberals know this, but these videos are widely shared through WhatsApp and through text messages and things like this. 0.87

02:52:15.000 And every single Hispanic that I know out here in California knows of this street vendor, the Elotero, this corn guy, getting beaten up by blacks. 0.98

02:52:23.000 And so, you know, Hispanics are very racially conscious. 0.55

02:52:27.000 You can actually look this up the statistics.

02:52:29.000 Hispanics and blacks are the most racially conscious. 0.98

02:52:32.000 Whites are, you know, the least racially conscious. 0.99

02:52:36.000 Blacks are more racially conscious than Hispanics, but Hispanics are still racially conscious. 0.99

02:52:40.000 And this is how Trump won. 0.81

02:52:41.000 Trump won differently than George Bush did in 2004, where he got 44% of the vote.

02:52:46.000 He offered amnesty.

02:52:48.000 He offered all of these different things to the Hispanic community.

02:52:51.000 And just like you said, Nick, Trump didn't do that.

02:52:53.000 He actually went the opposite way.

02:52:55.000 He said, I'm going to build a wall. 1.00

02:52:56.000 We're not going to allow these rapists to be, they're bad people, they're animals, these people to come in here. 0.99

02:53:02.000 And they like this because he went a different route. 0.98

02:53:07.000 And it's not really because he picked on these different things.

02:53:12.000 But it's more so because of what the black community specifically did to the Hispanic community in a lot of these cities, where a lot of those restaurants that were burnt and looted and so forth, and a lot of those street vendors that were beat up, these are Hispanics and they care about their race, la raza, as they say.

02:53:28.000 And so this is something that should be taken note of by Republicans. 0.76

02:53:31.000 But I want to make it clear this is not to say that if the entire country becomes Hispanic, Republicans are just going to have flawless victories time and time again. 0.68

02:53:40.000 That's not going to happen.

02:53:42.000 It's probably not going to be the case that Hispanics are going to be over 50% for the Republican Party. 0.99

02:53:47.000 And this spells disaster for states like Texas, where it's increasingly becoming, in fact, I think right now it is a Hispanic majority, a supermajority of Hispanics. 0.51

02:53:57.000 Now, for right now, the turnout for Hispanics is still kind of low, and not many Hispanics are actually eligible to vote as many as white people in Texas. 0.98

02:54:05.000 But this is going to change in the future, and this is something that Republicans need to realize.

02:54:09.000 And so, you know, I just wanted to throw that out there.

02:54:12.000 But yeah, for right now, right now we're looking at, there's still no ticker for Pennsylvania, still no ticker for Ohio.

02:54:19.000 Texas is, like I said, turnout is going through the roof in Texas for Republicans.

02:54:23.000 Right now, North Carolina and Georgia are leaning more and more to Trump every time I check back in on the ticker there.

02:54:31.000 So that's what I have.

02:54:32.000 You know what's funny?

02:54:33.000 I just realized, Vince, you're a little bit Hispanic, right?

02:54:38.000 No, I'm about, well, maybe, but it doesn't show up on my ancestry thing.

02:54:46.000 I'm, Irish and Italian mostly.

02:54:48.000 I'm Calabresi.

02:54:49.000 I'm from Calabria.

02:54:50.000 My family's from Calabria.

02:54:52.000 I grew up in Chicago and most of my family's from. 1.00

02:54:55.000 Gross. 1.00

02:54:56.000 My great grandfather, actually, Bruno Bertucci, he started the St. Rocco Festival in Chicago.

02:55:03.000 You know how they have that in New York City?

02:55:05.000 You saw it on The Godfather?

02:55:06.000 He started the St. Rocco Parade in Chicago back when it used to be Little Italy.

02:55:12.000 Now it's like Little Mexico.

02:55:15.000 But no, I'm not.

02:55:18.000 My wife is originally from Brazil.

02:55:20.000 She came over here about 15 years ago, but that wouldn't be considered. 0.57

02:55:23.000 She's mostly white. 0.69

02:55:24.000 She's like Portuguese and German and Italian, so she wouldn't be considered.

02:55:28.000 But oh, one thing I did want to say is if you break this down on Pew Hispanic, most of the Hispanic Trump voters are actually mostly white.

02:55:36.000 They're actually mostly of Spanish descent, just as most of the Cuban voters are mostly white.

02:55:41.000 So that says something, too.

02:55:45.000 Well, you know, the only reason I asked you is because for whatever reason I thought you might have been, but I think it's me and Steve and Jake.

02:55:45.000 Interesting.

02:55:53.000 That have a little bit of a span.

02:55:54.000 Again, it's like you think about this panel, and it's like what, three out of the seven of us have a little bit?

02:56:00.000 It's that I'm telling you, Castizo futurism is real. 0.94

02:56:05.000 The America First is a Latino movement. 1.00

02:56:09.000 I feel it.

02:56:10.000 It's happening in Florida.

02:56:12.000 It's happening here.

02:56:14.000 I love Hispanics. 0.66

02:56:15.000 I love Hispanics. 0.55

02:56:17.000 And it's looking like Scott.

02:56:19.000 Scott is all alone here because, what, I think, well, Jaden's, what, Scott's Irish? 0.77

02:56:24.000 Jaden might be completely white. 0.69

02:56:26.000 Patrick's Irish.

02:56:27.000 I'm Irish, Italian, and Mexican.

02:56:29.000 Steve, Jake, I mean, we're hardcore.

02:56:31.000 Vince is Italian and Irish.

02:56:33.000 So I think it's Scott and Jaden are the only ones that are, you know, technically. 0.92

02:56:37.000 White, they're outnumbered five to two here.

02:56:41.000 There is an internet rumor that I'm actually Balkan, even though it's not true.

02:56:45.000 I am Albanian ancestry.

02:56:48.000 Yeah, they're claiming that I'm a Serbian war criminal who fled over in the 90s and I changed my whole identity and I got a new accent and everything.

02:56:58.000 There's a rumor out there, but I'm not Balkan at all.

02:57:00.000 I'm mostly Anglo. 0.84

02:57:02.000 I do have a little bit of Irish, but it's mostly so.

02:57:04.000 It's Jaden, Jaden's the only white guy here.

02:57:07.000 I know that his last name's McNeil.

02:57:10.000 Oh, yeah.

02:57:10.000 What are you?

02:57:11.000 Well, he's Scots Irish, right?

02:57:13.000 Is that does that count? 0.64

02:57:14.000 Is that Celtic or is that the Mick? 0.54

02:57:16.000 If it's Mick, it's usually MC, it's usually Irish.

02:57:20.000 He probably does have Irish in him. 0.86

02:57:23.000 So we're all non white. 0.52

02:57:25.000 Yeah.

02:57:27.000 Is Jaden here?

02:57:30.000 It's very refreshing to hear Vince talk about his African heritage and how he was they had the St. Rocco Festival, and I was like, Finally, some real black heritage. 0.78

02:57:43.000 No, it's from Calabria.

02:57:45.000 I'm not from Sicily.

02:57:46.000 My family's not from Sicily.

02:57:47.000 They're from Calabria. 0.96

02:57:48.000 It's different.

02:57:50.000 It is different.

02:57:52.000 Venice.

02:57:53.000 You know, it's all the same. 1.00

02:57:54.000 You know, anything south of the Alps, you know, it's just Africa. 0.95

02:57:58.000 My family's from Calabria, too.

02:57:59.000 I have ancestry in Calabria, Naples, and what's the other one?

02:58:05.000 Calabria, Naples, and in Apulia.

02:58:08.000 What's in Apulia?

02:58:09.000 It's Bari.

02:58:10.000 Bari is the Oh, okay.

02:58:12.000 Yep.

02:58:13.000 I'm 2% North African.

02:58:13.000 So, yeah.

02:58:15.000 I'm 2% North African.

02:58:16.000 I have a significant percentage of that.

02:58:19.000 North African and Western Asian.

02:58:22.000 Yeah, Western Asian.

02:58:23.000 Mostly Asian. 0.90

02:58:25.000 Well, you know, Menas are also joining the movement with Latinas.

02:58:29.000 So, we got to have our base North Africans as well. 0.93

02:58:33.000 It's true.

02:58:34.000 Look at how inclusive.

02:58:35.000 What a diverse white coalition that we've established here.

02:58:40.000 We really.

02:58:40.000 Oh, hey.

02:58:41.000 Hold on.

02:58:42.000 We've got some calls here on New York Times.

02:58:45.000 New Mexico goes blue.

02:58:47.000 North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, and the Jaden McNeil state, Nebraska, have all gone red.

02:58:53.000 Thank you, Jaden.

02:58:54.000 Thank you, Jaden, for delivering Nebraska.

02:58:57.000 New York goes blue.

02:58:59.000 Okay.

02:59:00.000 The map is coming together here.

02:59:03.000 Why does it say 94 here and I have 133?

02:59:06.000 Oh, they haven't called Florida yet.

02:59:08.000 They haven't called Florida in the New York Times.

02:59:08.000 Yeah, that's so weird.

02:59:11.000 Right.

02:59:11.000 It is weird.

02:59:12.000 North Carolina, they give Trump 79%.

02:59:15.000 Georgia, they give him 82%.

02:59:16.000 So, I mean, it's looking good.

02:59:19.000 All the states that he needs to win, he's performing well.

02:59:22.000 And as expected, the polls have just closed in Arizona.

02:59:27.000 And, or I'm sorry, do they close in an hour?

02:59:30.000 Is that 9 p.m. Central or Eastern Time?

02:59:33.000 In any case.

02:59:33.000 It's actually 9 p.m.

02:59:36.000 Wait, they close now?

02:59:37.000 Wait, 9 p.m.

02:59:37.000 It should be, yeah, it should be right now, about 9 p.m.

02:59:37.000 79.

02:59:40.000 Isn't that Eastern Time?

02:59:42.000 I believe so.

02:59:43.000 But it doesn't show any results yet from Arizona.

02:59:47.000 So we'll either get those now or in an hour.

02:59:49.000 But.

02:59:50.000 The states that we remain to see because Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Texas are looking good.

02:59:56.000 We're waiting now on Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Arizona.

03:00:00.000 If we could get a really good percentage in, and I'm just pulling up the map right here.

03:00:07.000 Virginia, they've called blue.

03:00:08.000 It looks like it, who knows, it may flip back.

03:00:10.000 But if we can just swing Arizona, North Carolina, or I'm sorry, Arizona, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, if we can call those, it's a done deal.

03:00:20.000 Republicans, 280 or 279, I guess.

03:00:23.000 Even if they win a district in Nebraska, 278, you know, that's all we need.

03:00:28.000 So we're waiting on Arizona, Pennsylvania, Ohio.

03:00:31.000 And if we secure, obviously, Georgia, North Carolina, too.

03:00:35.000 That's game.

03:00:37.000 I don't want to get too cocky or optimistic.

03:00:39.000 Yeah, just Ohio.

03:00:41.000 Yeah, if we get Ohio and Pennsylvania, I mean, that's pretty much it.

03:00:45.000 Even Michigan, Ohio and wouldn't Ohio and Michigan do it?

03:00:49.000 Yeah, Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania would do it for us too.

03:00:53.000 There's also something happening in Virginia, which a lot of commentators are noticing on Twitter is that they think that they called the state too early and that there may be a surprise later on that the poll shamans got a little too cocky here and that Virginia may have a.

03:01:10.000 Result that was pretty surprising to most people.

03:01:13.000 It would be funny if Virginia lost because this is the deep state awful homeland.

03:01:18.000 That would be the first time ever that they called it earlier. 0.99

03:01:21.000 They want more wars so they can make more money.

03:01:24.000 There's even this deep state awful who's running in a district that's some of it's in Nova, but it's mostly like the Charlottesville area and some of the central Virginia suburbs.

03:01:33.000 I think the Richmond suburbs also.

03:01:35.000 Abigail Spamberger, and she's a former CIA agent, and all of her ads are about, like, I served our country in the CIA.

03:01:42.000 I was like, Yeah, thank you for your service for destabilizing regimes and not knowing when 9 11 was going to happen and funding like ISIS.

03:01:53.000 And yeah, we really thank you for your service, Deep State Awful.

03:01:57.000 Yeah, you really put country over party.

03:01:59.000 Thank you.

03:02:00.000 But even this is like a noticing that the state may be redder than it lets on.

03:02:05.000 Is that all of her ads or the ones I saw?

03:02:08.000 She kept talking about how she worked with Trump and she passed a bill that Trump signed into law.

03:02:12.000 And it's like very weird.

03:02:13.000 Because you think that all Democrats don't want to deal with anything with Trump.

03:02:17.000 They want to send Trump to the Hague for war crimes trial for his tweets and stuff.

03:02:22.000 But here's a Democrat running in a district that you would think would be full of wine ants who are just chugging wine all day and getting mad over what Rachel Maddow is saying.

03:02:31.000 And she's having to say, Oh, I work with Trump.

03:02:34.000 I'm nonpartisan.

03:02:36.000 I don't follow the far left radicals in my party.

03:02:40.000 And I'm in the CIA, by the way.

03:02:41.000 All our ads are about the CIA.

03:02:44.000 And so this does show that the area is much more.

03:02:48.000 You know, conservative, at least outside Northern Virginia.

03:02:50.000 And if Northern Virginia didn't show up today, which they didn't, you know, maybe the exit polls are inaccurate that they thought that there were all these voters who showed up in Northern Virginia based on the results that they're like, oh, they may be a larger part of the electorate.

03:03:05.000 But then they're actually looking at it.

03:03:06.000 It's like, wait a minute.

03:03:07.000 Nova is a much smaller part of who actually showed up.

03:03:12.000 And, you know, the results may change.

03:03:13.000 So, you know, something to keep an eye on. 0.93

03:03:16.000 You know, crank up Chatelet a little bit more and, you know, Virginia will go red.

03:03:20.000 Do you think that's possible, though?

03:03:23.000 You think that's possible, though, to win Virginia?

03:03:26.000 I would have said it's totally impossible.

03:03:28.000 I saw there were people who were going on, Virginia's in play.

03:03:31.000 It's like, there is no way.

03:03:32.000 Because in 2017, the GOP invested a ton of money into the Ralph Northam race where they put up Gillespie against him.

03:03:41.000 Gillespie was this horrible, moderate, cheap suit guy.

03:03:44.000 He had no charisma whatsoever. 0.90

03:03:46.000 And people thought he would really win because the GOP was putting in a ton of resources there.

03:03:51.000 And Gillespie was, you know, Adopting some Trumpian positions on immigration.

03:03:56.000 And he got blown out.

03:03:57.000 He lost by 10 points.

03:03:58.000 I mean, Trump only lost the state by five points, and he, Gillespie either won by almost 10 points.

03:04:05.000 It was not a close race at all.

03:04:07.000 And it really disappointed people like, okay, Virginia is permanently blue.

03:04:11.000 But it may have just been that, you know, those Trump voters out in rural Virginia didn't feel motivated to vote for Gillespie because he was so boring.

03:04:19.000 And they're like, this is just another establishmentarian.

03:04:21.000 We don't care about this person.

03:04:23.000 Meanwhile, all the suburban liberal whites were motivated to go to the polls that year because it was only a few months after Charlottesville.

03:04:31.000 They're so traumatized by it that they had to go and cast a vote against racism.

03:04:37.000 And those are some effects that made the state seem bluer.

03:04:42.000 And so there is something there.

03:04:44.000 I mean, yeah, it has a Democratic government.

03:04:47.000 I mean, I think they lost the state house last year, but things can change.

03:04:54.000 There could be a big surprise on hand.

03:04:56.000 And I guess Northern Virginia got too cocky and thought they had this in the bag and they didn't need to show up today.

03:05:02.000 Yeah, that would be the first time, and that would be unprecedented for a decision desk to call a state before it was supposed to be called, wouldn't it?

03:05:11.000 I don't think I remember that happening.

03:05:13.000 There's been times in the past, I don't know if in the last 10 years, but I mean, anything can change.

03:05:19.000 There's been so many times.

03:05:20.000 I mean, they called Florida early in the night in 2000, and then they had a call back.

03:05:25.000 Wait a minute.

03:05:26.000 I mean, you would have thought that there was more accurate technology today.

03:05:31.000 And I think people are just overly confident that there is no way you could have won.

03:05:35.000 Virginia, as we talked about earlier in the program, neither Biden nor Trump showed up in Virginia.

03:05:40.000 They didn't do any rallies.

03:05:42.000 You know, no one thought it was a battleground state.

03:05:44.000 It was a done deal.

03:05:45.000 Didn't have to worry about it.

03:05:47.000 But, you know, it could be one of these surprising states.

03:05:49.000 That's why you should keep an eye on the states that weren't necessarily featured as heavily battleground, like Minnesota and Nevada.

03:05:55.000 You know, everyone, you know, oh, for sure.

03:05:57.000 Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida, Georgia, Texas, all these states got the most attention and there was the most money spent on them.

03:06:06.000 So a lot of these states where there wasn't as much money spent on, You know, there could be a surprising result.

03:06:12.000 There could be all these silent Trump voters who are like, I don't want to have these riots show up on my doorstep.

03:06:17.000 Well, right.

03:06:19.000 Well, I'll say this much and I'll let someone else talk because I know I'm speaking out of time.

03:06:23.000 Speaking out of time.

03:06:24.000 No, no, go for it.

03:06:25.000 I'm happy.

03:06:26.000 I mean, it is much more of a chill sort of a vibe whenever we're just like having a conversation.

03:06:26.000 Okay.

03:06:32.000 I understand that.

03:06:32.000 But I do want to say this, though, in Fairfax County, Donald Trump has 53,000 votes and only 18% of votes are reported in Fairfax County, Virginia.

03:06:43.000 For the total in Fairfax County, Virginia, Donald Trump got 157,000 votes.

03:06:48.000 So he's going to get, if it stays consistent with this market, not only in Fairfax, but also in Loudoun County, I don't know how to pronounce that, Loudoun County, and Prince William County.

03:07:01.000 If he stays consistent in Fairfax County, he'll get over 100,000 more votes in Fairfax County.

03:07:07.000 So the whole silent vote Trump voter that I talk about on my show, the shy Trump voter, maybe this is true.

03:07:14.000 And maybe they did, in fact, call this state too early.

03:07:16.000 We'll have to see what happens and how it shakes out in Fairfax, though, of course.

03:07:21.000 And I have one more white pill do offer on MSNBC. 0.99

03:07:25.000 Nicole Wallace is warning that all the people are drinking too much right now. 1.00

03:07:31.000 So if the libtards who are watching MSNBC, the middle aged spinsters, are hitting the wine bottle a little too hard, they're already done with their first bottle, they're moving on to the second. 1.00

03:07:44.000 Good things can happen. 1.00

03:07:44.000 If they're nervous and worried, you should keep. 1.00

03:07:48.000 Positive attitude, power of positive thinking, as I keep talking about.

03:07:52.000 Let this happen, let it ride.

03:07:54.000 And, you know, we might not even know the results at the end of the night.

03:07:57.000 I think it's good that we wouldn't know the results at the end of the night because everyone was saying we may call this early at midnight for Biden.

03:08:04.000 I was like, yeah, that's not going to happen.

03:08:06.000 You know, there probably will be legal challenges over Pennsylvania and maybe some other states.

03:08:10.000 So if the other side is nervous and panicking and having a rough night, we need to have a fun night.

03:08:17.000 Think about how 2016 was.

03:08:20.000 This is once again, we have a repeat here.

03:08:22.000 So keep up the positive thinking.

03:08:24.000 Yes, power of positive thinking.

03:08:25.000 And, you know, I'm looking at this map.

03:08:27.000 I'm talking to some people watching the stream.

03:08:30.000 And, you know, I just want to make sure everybody's.

03:08:32.000 Having a good time.

03:08:33.000 I want to get back to the map and I want to just illustrate.

03:08:37.000 And, you know, we're going to have to retrace a little bit because we have a lot of people watching.

03:08:41.000 I summarized this in the very beginning, but I want to show the map here.

03:08:44.000 So, right now, this is where we are with all the different calls.

03:08:48.000 It's looking like Georgia is going to go red, North Carolina is going to go red.

03:08:52.000 And I want to zoom out here and say that, you know, right now we are waiting on results potentially in Virginia, but definitely in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nevada, and Arizona.

03:09:05.000 Potentially, they say even New Mexico, even though they called it, they said might have been called too early.

03:09:10.000 The reason why I'm feeling so positive is because if you look at this map with, and by the way, did Joe Biden get one of those Nebraska congressional districts, or did they call that yet or not?

03:09:21.000 I just want to make sure.

03:09:23.000 We'll just leave it blank for now.

03:09:25.000 If we leave all these swing states blank, and they haven't called Georgia, North Carolina, or Ohio yet, or even Iowa.

03:09:32.000 But Iowa looks strong.

03:09:33.000 Ohio should close.

03:09:35.000 North Carolina and Georgia, they're giving good odds.

03:09:37.000 Same with Texas.

03:09:37.000 Florida, they already called.

03:09:39.000 Before we even consider the swing states yet to be called, Republicans are sitting at 247.

03:09:45.000 That's before any swing states are factored in.

03:09:47.000 They only need 23 more.

03:09:49.000 You know, it could be the case that Virginia flips. 0.73

03:09:51.000 That's possible.

03:09:52.000 Arizona, if we get North Carolina, Florida, and Texas, it's probably likely we get Arizona.

03:09:58.000 At this point, if Virginia flips, that's it 271.

03:10:02.000 We don't need the district in Maine.

03:10:04.000 We don't need the district in Nebraska.

03:10:06.000 If Virginia doesn't flip, if we get Pennsylvania, we win.

03:10:11.000 If we get Michigan, we win.

03:10:12.000 We win.

03:10:13.000 If we get Wisconsin, we'll be a little bit short.

03:10:15.000 If we pull the district in Maine and Nebraska, we win.

03:10:20.000 At this point, there are many pathways for Trump to win the election.

03:10:25.000 And I see some people are freaking out about Texas.

03:10:27.000 Texas is going to go red.

03:10:28.000 I mean, that's just nonsense.

03:10:30.000 Arizona, for whatever reason, we're not really getting good data from New York Times or anybody.

03:10:35.000 But no matter which way you cut it, we're winning the states that we need to win.

03:10:40.000 We're on track for a victory.

03:10:41.000 And we're already outperforming the polls because.

03:10:44.000 For example, Nate Silver of 538 gave Trump a less than 30% chance of winning Florida.

03:10:50.000 The average, the real clear politics average for the polls had Trump up by half a point, and we won it by three points.

03:10:58.000 He's on track to win it by three points, and it's already called.

03:11:00.000 North Carolina, they had Biden up by half a point, and we're on track, 80% chance of winning North Carolina.

03:11:07.000 Georgia, a lot of the polls showed that Trump was behind in Georgia.

03:11:10.000 We're on track, 86% chance to win Georgia.

03:11:13.000 So Trump is outperforming the polls. 0.67

03:11:15.000 He's outperforming with Hispanics. 0.56

03:11:17.000 He's outperforming with blacks.

03:11:18.000 And what's more is Joe Biden is underperforming with elderly, which he was expected to do 10 points better than Trump with elderly. 0.50

03:11:27.000 Trump was expected to underperform with whites 10 points compared to 16.

03:11:31.000 It's looking like that's not exactly the case.

03:11:34.000 So, really, all the numbers are aligning in a way where whichever way you cut it, wherever the votes are going to come from, there's a lot of toss ups here.

03:11:41.000 New Mexico, they say, could have been called prematurely.

03:11:44.000 Same with Virginia.

03:11:45.000 Pennsylvania could go either way.

03:11:47.000 Michigan could go either way.

03:11:48.000 Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nevada.

03:11:50.000 But there are a lot of different pathways for Trump to win this map. 0.99

03:11:53.000 And in other words, they were telling us for weeks and months that we had a fucking 10%. 0.99

03:12:00.000 Sorry for the language, but 10%. 0.98

03:12:02.000 It's a 10% chance of winning.

03:12:04.000 Now, I showed you on this interactive map, or I'm sorry, that's not it.

03:12:08.000 On this interactive map, if you select all the states that Trump already won or is favored to win, he's now got a 53% chance.

03:12:15.000 The average outcome is a 279 electoral vote victory for Donald Trump.

03:12:21.000 They said it was a landslide, they said it was a 10% chance.

03:12:24.000 And now you're looking at the map that we're constructing here.

03:12:28.000 Which one is it?

03:12:28.000 This one?

03:12:29.000 This one.

03:12:30.000 And we're not even, really, like halfway through the night.

03:12:34.000 We're halfway through in about a couple hours.

03:12:36.000 And already it's overwhelming in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, everywhere where it needs to be.

03:12:41.000 We're really closing it in here.

03:12:43.000 So, you know, I don't want to get too, I don't want people to think it's a done deal because it's still a slog.

03:12:48.000 And who knows what the margin will turn out to be in Pennsylvania?

03:12:51.000 Who knows if it'll even come down to Pennsylvania?

03:12:53.000 It could come down in some of these states, too.

03:12:55.000 Like I said, discarding ballots, court challenges, making decisions about, you know, if there were incidents or improprieties during the election.

03:13:04.000 And there were a lot of them in some of these cities.

03:13:06.000 But, you know, everything that they told us was wrong.

03:13:10.000 Everything that they told us was manipulative.

03:13:12.000 The polls were suppression polls.

03:13:14.000 They tell you, oh, well, we're pulling away in Florida, we're pulling away in North Carolina, so that you would not vote, right?

03:13:21.000 In other words, so that people would get demoralized on our side and say, oh, well, we're not going to vote.

03:13:26.000 And don't get me wrong, we very well.

03:13:28.000 We could lose tonight, but this is like the most likely loss scenario is 260.

03:13:34.000 That's not a landslide.

03:13:35.000 That's not a blowout.

03:13:37.000 That's Joe Biden barely winning.

03:13:39.000 And they told us that he was going to win Texas and Georgia and Missouri and Iowa and all this.

03:13:46.000 This is likely where we're headed.

03:13:49.000 And I think even more likely is, you know, we could see at least one of these guys flip, maybe Michigan.

03:13:53.000 So, anyway, I just wanted to zoom out.

03:13:55.000 I've been talking to some people who are watching the stream, and some people are saying, Let's sort of retrace and zoom out a little bit, take a look at the bigger picture.

03:14:03.000 Really, what we're going to be looking at.

03:14:04.000 And the polls are closing.

03:14:06.000 They say that we're going to get results from Arizona in really like the next hour.

03:14:11.000 By like 9 o'clock Central Time, we'll get Arizona.

03:14:14.000 The polls closed in Wisconsin.

03:14:15.000 The polls closed, I believe, in Pennsylvania.

03:14:18.000 So we'll start to see what's happening there.

03:14:21.000 And then we will be waiting until.

03:14:24.000 What time is it for Minnesota?

03:14:26.000 I'm going to double check here on New York Times.

03:14:30.000 I think it's Minnesota closed.

03:14:33.000 It closed already.

03:14:34.000 Yeah, we're getting, we should be getting vote totals from there.

03:14:36.000 I want to say something about Michigan.

03:14:38.000 That's a bit of a white pill for us.

03:14:38.000 Go for it.

03:14:40.000 Trump right now is ahead by over 100,000, 200,000 votes right now, but we don't have everything from Detroit and a couple of other counties there.

03:14:51.000 But I will say this in Macomb County and Oakland County, which are big counties with a lot of votes, Donald Trump has already surpassed 50% of his vote totals.

03:15:02.000 In 2016, with only 37% reporting.

03:15:06.000 So that's good news for Michigan for President Trump.

03:15:10.000 And excuse me while I open up a can of LaCroix.

03:15:13.000 Sorry about that.

03:15:14.000 Let's go.

03:15:16.000 Sorry about that.

03:15:17.000 That's all I drink.

03:15:17.000 No, man, we're kecking and we're cracking LaCroix.

03:15:21.000 And open up a package of fruit snacks.

03:15:23.000 But yeah, that's some good news out of Michigan for us.

03:15:26.000 And Donald Trump is, it appears that Donald Trump is catching up in Ohio.

03:15:31.000 That's also good news.

03:15:33.000 That was one that I was worried about.

03:15:34.000 And still, no ticker in Pennsylvania or Ohio.

03:15:39.000 Or, in fact, actually, even in Michigan, nothing in Michigan either for a ticker for New York Times.

03:15:46.000 I don't know why they do that.

03:15:47.000 Why is there no ticker for some of these states?

03:15:48.000 It's sort of annoying.

03:15:50.000 It's not looking good for them.

03:15:53.000 True.

03:15:54.000 Maybe that's why they haven't called Florida yet either.

03:15:57.000 You're right.

03:15:57.000 One good news about Ohio is we were talking about earlier about how it may not be looking so well there.

03:16:04.000 Actually, all the results that are coming in are not from today.

03:16:08.000 Pretty much everything that is in has been the early voting and the mail in ballots.

03:16:12.000 Very little has come in from actual election day.

03:16:15.000 And of course, in every state, election day turnout heavily favored Trump.

03:16:19.000 So we shouldn't get too black pilled about it that those election day results are going to start coming in.

03:16:25.000 And we'll probably see Ohio turn red. 0.56

03:16:28.000 So, one thing to keep in mind another white pill. 0.91

03:16:31.000 I'm hype.

03:16:31.000 I'm hype, dude.

03:16:33.000 I forget.

03:16:34.000 I was just going to say something.

03:16:35.000 I lost my train of thought.

03:16:37.000 What were we just talking?

03:16:38.000 We were talking about the ticker and the needle.

03:16:42.000 You know, it's funny you bring that up.

03:16:44.000 You know, they're not showing it because they're not doing well.

03:16:47.000 It's true because I remember in 2016, all the liberals were tweeting, they were like struggle posting about the ticker, how traumatic it was for them to watch the ticker go from like 90%.

03:17:00.000 All the way back around in the same way that I was hyped to see that.

03:17:04.000 That was like a scarring experience for them.

03:17:07.000 And I distinctly remember, I think in 2018, they actually took out the ticker for that reason.

03:17:12.000 They said, we can't do the needle.

03:17:14.000 It was too hard on us last time.

03:17:16.000 I wouldn't be surprised if they're not giving us a needle because it would show a really bad result for them.

03:17:23.000 I mean, it's premature to say that because, like Scott said, it looks like they're counting only the mail in votes in Ohio and Michigan and Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

03:17:23.000 Now, I don't know.

03:17:31.000 They don't have a lot of votes in yet, but.

03:17:34.000 You know, I'm feeling really good because with these elections, I'm always a little bit nervous because I'm wondering is it election day and there's something that we missed, we didn't see, and it turns out, like, oh my gosh, we lost Georgia, oh my gosh, we lost Texas.

03:17:50.000 But what is making me so optimistic is we're really showing up here.

03:17:55.000 Like, it's very competitive right now.

03:17:58.000 And I know maybe I'm beating a dead horse at this point, but they told us, like, oh, you have no chance in hell.

03:18:03.000 And I was half expecting, like, I don't know.

03:18:06.000 Are we going to be so surprised that Joe Biden's going to come in and sweep everything?

03:18:11.000 Is it going to be the Nate Silver 100 Trump electoral vote defeat?

03:18:17.000 I didn't assign a high likelihood or a high probability to that happening, but sometimes I'm concerned and I wonder, is that going to happen?

03:18:25.000 At the bare minimum, we are beating the polls by a lot, we're beating the numbers, and nationally it's looking very good.

03:18:31.000 So I am excited here.

03:18:33.000 I am curious to see, though, what the numbers are going to look like in Arizona, because we're going to need Arizona.

03:18:39.000 And the polls closed 20 minutes ago, and we have nothing from them.

03:18:43.000 We've got no tickers.

03:18:44.000 Ohio, allegedly, we're not even getting any election day data.

03:18:48.000 North Carolina, though, is looking great.

03:18:50.000 Their ticker has North Carolina at 90% Trump.

03:18:54.000 Their ticker has Trump at 85% in Georgia.

03:18:58.000 And if we give that to Trump, if we give Georgia and North Carolina to Trump, Trump is now the favorite then to win the election at that point. 0.97

03:19:07.000 Odds on, even by 538's stupid model that didn't predict anything. 0.87

03:19:12.000 He's at a 56% chance of winning. 0.99

03:19:14.000 And that puts him at how many electoral votes?

03:19:17.000 That puts him at 245.

03:19:19.000 So we are really creeping up there.

03:19:22.000 And whatever it says, they say that in some states he's actually performing better in the suburbs.

03:19:27.000 He's doing better in the suburbs and doing really well with Hispanics. 0.72

03:19:31.000 If that's the case, it seems like Arizona then is a cinch. 0.87

03:19:35.000 If that's the case, it seems like one of these, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, even Nevada, we could see a flip.

03:19:42.000 They give Trump 44 in 100.

03:19:45.000 In Nevada, given the current map here.

03:19:47.000 So, I don't want to get too optimistic here.

03:19:51.000 I want to be as conservative as possible, but I mean, I'm feeling really good about tonight.

03:19:56.000 But does anybody have anything new that we're looking at?

03:19:59.000 I know now at this point we're waiting for some numbers to come in.

03:20:02.000 It looks like a lot of the swing states are basically being finalized, more or less.

03:20:06.000 Does anybody have anything new here that's come up?

03:20:10.000 Well, I was just going to say that Texas, people were freaking out about Texas about 30, 45 minutes ago.

03:20:16.000 There is no way, there is no way that Texas is going to go blue.

03:20:20.000 We're looking at Houston, Austin, San Antonio.

03:20:23.000 These are majority accounted for.

03:20:25.000 And there are so many districts, there's so many counties left that haven't even, so many rural counties that haven't even brought their votes in.

03:20:33.000 So this is going to tilt hard Trump in the next hour.

03:20:38.000 And the same thing, you can look at the same thing also with Virginia and also with North Carolina and with Ohio.

03:20:45.000 A lot of the major Democrat cities, their voting, the majority of it has come in, and then we're waiting on these suburban.

03:20:53.000 And rural counties to come in.

03:20:55.000 So, things are gonna be tilting, I think, toward Trump very soon.

03:21:00.000 I think you're right.

03:21:02.000 I'm feeling it!

03:21:03.000 Are you feeling it?

03:21:04.000 I'm feeling the meme magic.

03:21:07.000 I'm feeling the Keck energy.

03:21:09.000 Although, I don't want it to be like in 20. 0.88

03:21:11.000 I don't want this to be the Young Turk stream of 2016.

03:21:14.000 Look, here we lose.

03:21:16.000 We can't have a meltdown.

03:21:18.000 But, I mean, look, I'm hyped.

03:21:21.000 I'm feeling the meme magic.

03:21:23.000 I'm feeling Keck.

03:21:24.000 I'm feeling like we're going to do it.

03:21:26.000 I guess Democrats have retained the House, which is expected.

03:21:32.000 But I got to tell you, I'm really beginning to feel hyped the more that I'm looking at these numbers coming in.

03:21:38.000 It is all looking very good.

03:21:40.000 And I don't know.

03:21:41.000 Do we want to take a look at maybe like 4chan?

03:21:43.000 I want to take a look at 4chan and see what the mood is over there.

03:21:47.000 We've had a lot of this numbers stuff.

03:21:49.000 I want to be careful not to have any like nudity or anything.

03:21:52.000 I don't want to see.

03:21:53.000 Apparently, some of the betting markets, Trump is.

03:21:56.000 Now has a slight advantage to win.

03:21:58.000 Yeah, that fair has Trump at 51%.

03:22:00.000 I'll put up John Sturgeon.

03:22:03.000 I think S Markets has him at 52%.

03:22:06.000 So this is, you know.

03:22:08.000 Let's go!

03:22:10.000 Yeah, let's go! 1.00

03:22:12.000 Let's fucking go! 1.00

03:22:19.000 49%. 1.00

03:22:20.000 Go ahead.

03:22:21.000 A pipe has burst at a State Farm Arena and is delaying the Fulton County.

03:22:29.000 Absentee ballot processing.

03:22:32.000 Wow.

03:22:32.000 This is in Georgia.

03:22:34.000 It looks like Georgia is going to be fine for President Trump.

03:22:36.000 It looks like he's catching up in Ohio, too.

03:22:38.000 Counties that's been leaning toward Democrat recently.

03:22:41.000 And I have to, because a lot of those Atlanta suburb counties, it's like you have to go to which one.

03:22:47.000 One will be Republican, the next one will be Democrat.

03:22:49.000 I'm trying to remember if that's one of them.

03:22:52.000 Pretty sure Fulton is one of the ones that's been going Democrat in recent years.

03:22:55.000 So maybe the State Farm Arena thing, but it's absentee ballots, which I don't know.

03:23:01.000 I'm so white pilled about Michigan.

03:23:04.000 I was really questioning Michigan, but if you look at some of the vote totals coming out of some of the bigger counties, it's crazy.

03:23:11.000 I mean, he surpassed his 2016 turnout in some instances with only 37% reporting.

03:23:17.000 That's insane to me for President Trump.

03:23:20.000 I mean, and Michigan's a big one.

03:23:21.000 That's 16.

03:23:22.000 I mean, he could lose Wisconsin and Minnesota at that point.

03:23:29.000 And he might even be able to, wouldn't he be able to get Pennsylvania and he'll be able to pull that off?

03:23:36.000 We're gonna get a new command.

03:23:37.000 We're gonna get a new command. 1.00

03:23:39.000 It's Trump 2020, bitch! 1.00

03:23:43.000 Let's go! 1.00

03:23:44.000 Dude, I got the manga hair!

03:23:48.000 I'm not putting it on yet, but I got it because I don't want to mess up my hair.

03:23:54.000 It's happening!

03:23:55.000 I'm up a toothpillar!

03:23:57.000 And now they're looking at tonight.

03:23:59.000 Like, all these people, like, Biden would get $400.

03:24:01.000 Nick was saying earlier, like, even if Trump loses, it'll be a very, very narrow loss.

03:24:06.000 I never would call you that a good person until I hear it.

03:24:10.000 So, and I really didn't like the negativity of the black films because there's nothing really gained by saying the hard truths of what the New York Times and the Washington Post and CNN are posting. 0.90

03:24:30.000 Yeah, if I wanted to hear all these negative polls and, like, Trump was going to lose and everyone hates racism and stuff, I would just turn on. 0.99

03:24:50.000 Let's fucking go! 1.00

03:24:52.000 MAGA BITCH! 1.00

03:24:54.000 Trump 2020! 1.00

03:24:55.000 It's happening!

03:24:57.000 Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, Nevada, Virginia, New York, California, the whole planet is going red.

03:25:07.000 Trump will never lose.

03:25:09.000 Eight years, 12 years, 100 year, Trumpin' right.

03:25:14.000 100 years, Livetarn. 1.00

03:25:15.000 Fuck you, liberals. 1.00

03:25:17.000 And fuck all these fucking people coming across the border. 1.00

03:25:21.000 And these blacks rioting. 1.00

03:25:23.000 And all these fucking white faggot liberals. 1.00

03:25:26.000 And women. 1.00

03:25:27.000 Fuck women that won't vote for Trump. 1.00

03:25:29.000 We don't need you. 1.00

03:25:30.000 This is Trump country, bitch. 1.00

03:25:32.000 It's Trump forever. 1.00

03:25:35.000 Send him your energy.

03:25:35.000 Let's go.

03:25:36.000 Send him your energy right now.

03:25:39.000 Send him your energy.

03:25:42.000 You voted.

03:25:42.000 I voted.

03:25:43.000 We're all voting.

03:25:48.000 We're going to do it.

03:25:49.000 Dave, forget this.

03:25:50.000 Forget my map.

03:25:51.000 Forget my map.

03:25:53.000 We're winning them all.

03:25:55.000 Forget it.

03:25:56.000 Just forget it.

03:25:57.000 It's done.

03:25:59.000 I was confident that he'd lose Michigan.

03:26:04.000 So was I.

03:26:06.000 I mean, I predicted he would win, but I don't like mine.

03:26:09.000 Is he bringing us back?

03:26:11.000 Hey.

03:26:12.000 Sorry.

03:26:13.000 Sorry.

03:26:14.000 Man, I feel rude.

03:26:15.000 I got shut up.

03:26:17.000 I had this epic rant going on, and then I finished my rant, and then I realized I was just talking to Ben.

03:26:22.000 I'm sorry.

03:26:24.000 I'm sorry.

03:26:27.000 We need Chatelet to be played at least once or twice.

03:26:30.000 Oh, yeah.

03:26:31.000 We got to build up.

03:26:32.000 I was playing that Super Saiyan song.

03:26:36.000 I was getting it.

03:26:37.000 I mean, I was just feeling it in the moment.

03:26:40.000 You needed it.

03:26:41.000 No, it's understandable.

03:26:42.000 You needed it.

03:26:43.000 We had it.

03:26:44.000 That was on CAC.

03:26:45.000 But go ahead.

03:26:46.000 I'm sorry for interrupting you.

03:26:47.000 But what were you saying?

03:26:49.000 I completely forgot.

03:26:51.000 This is what happens.

03:26:55.000 You're talking about Michigan.

03:26:56.000 Be over.

03:26:56.000 It didn't matter about what facts and data.

03:26:58.000 It was boring. 1.00

03:26:59.000 Let's talk about Black Pillars and how they depress people and put everyone down. 1.00

03:27:04.000 They spread too much negativity and they didn't gain anything from it. 1.00

03:27:08.000 And I think we saw a lot on that on our side.

03:27:11.000 And I think right now it's to be hyped.

03:27:13.000 Imagine how awful it would be if you're one of those MSNBC viewers and you're just getting, you know, you're popping pills.

03:27:20.000 You're getting very nervous.

03:27:21.000 You're like, oh no, not again.

03:27:24.000 Don't be like that.

03:27:25.000 Be confident.

03:27:26.000 Just enjoy the moment.

03:27:27.000 Even if it's like, even if he does end up losing, it's better to be positive and enjoy the moment than to, you know, wallow and look at every negative result that's coming in and start wailing over it.

03:27:40.000 No, don't do that. 0.98

03:27:42.000 Don't be a black pillar. 1.00

03:27:43.000 White pillars only. 0.98

03:27:45.000 There is no, oh, we're only kecking here.

03:27:48.000 There is no black pilling allowed.

03:27:51.000 So that goes to the chat as well. 0.99

03:27:52.000 So true.

03:27:53.000 I agree with you.

03:27:53.000 I agree.

03:27:55.000 It's well, and look, you know, win or lose.

03:27:57.000 And this is so important because I talk about this all the time on my show.

03:28:01.000 It's all about the, it really is.

03:28:04.000 It sounds like a self help thing, but it is all about the attitude.

03:28:08.000 It's all about, well, let's put it this way.

03:28:12.000 You can't win if you don't believe.

03:28:14.000 Whether you can win or whether you can't win, if you don't believe, it will never happen.

03:28:20.000 Whether it's possible or it's impossible, belief is a necessary precondition for winning.

03:28:26.000 And in some cases, if it is impossible, belief is.

03:28:31.000 Can make it possible.

03:28:32.000 Point being, you have to believe no matter what.

03:28:36.000 Even if you think it's unlikely, even if you think it's impossible, you have to believe.

03:28:41.000 Because, and this is another thing too.

03:28:45.000 I talked to a friend of mine about this when I was getting banned from YouTube.

03:28:49.000 I had a few strikes against me or a couple strikes on my YouTube channel.

03:28:53.000 And I was telling my friend, I said, Do I just abandon YouTube?

03:28:56.000 I said, Do I just delete all my videos in the hopes that I won't get banned?

03:28:59.000 And he said, No.

03:29:01.000 He said, You should appeal it, make them ban you.

03:29:03.000 He said, Who knows?

03:29:04.000 Maybe the guy that was supposed to ban you, who works at Google, is going to get hit by a car tomorrow.

03:29:10.000 And, you know, that's kind of funny, but it's like, really, you never know.

03:29:13.000 The point is this this battle that's happening in any war, the first thing is for both sides to show up and do everything they can.

03:29:21.000 And if we get it in our heads that, oh, we'll never do it, whatever, we're giving them the victory unnecessarily.

03:29:28.000 We have to, at the bare minimum, make them fight tooth and nail.

03:29:32.000 We have to leave it all on the field.

03:29:33.000 We have to make them work for it because who knows?

03:29:36.000 Maybe they don't show up.

03:29:38.000 Maybe they slip.

03:29:39.000 Maybe they make a mistake.

03:29:40.000 And this goes for everything that's going to happen in this intergenerational struggle and everything along the way elections, partisan battles, bills, whatever you call it.

03:29:51.000 If we're all working, exactly.

03:29:53.000 And all these institutions, if we're showing up and we're giving it our all and we're putting everything into it, I mean, it could be enough in itself, but there's also a chance that they won't show up.

03:30:04.000 They don't have the will.

03:30:05.000 They don't have whatever it is.

03:30:06.000 So the point being is in any war, You have to fight the war.

03:30:10.000 The war is going to happen, and we got to show up and we got to fight it.

03:30:15.000 Some people want to give it up before we even fight it.

03:30:17.000 They're like, well, it's unlikely we'll win, so let's just not even show up to the battlefield.

03:30:21.000 We have to meet them there.

03:30:23.000 We have to fight them.

03:30:24.000 We have to put it all out there.

03:30:25.000 And at the end of the day, you know, not to be, I don't want this to sound nihilistic, but, you know, look, at the end of the day, God is on our side.

03:30:32.000 And whether the ultimate victory is in a couple of years or if it's a thousand years from now, I mean, we have the ultimate victory.

03:30:39.000 We have, you know, to be religious, but we have eternal life.

03:30:43.000 We've been promised, we've been saved.

03:30:44.000 So, I mean, what really do we have to lose by believing and going there?

03:30:48.000 And I don't know.

03:30:49.000 I mean, we'll see what the outcome is for this election, but that goes for everything.

03:30:53.000 I think that's very true.

03:30:54.000 I mean, it's like imagine a commander before the battle is like, we should be in a better position.

03:30:59.000 I didn't pick this position.

03:31:01.000 I wish we had better equipment.

03:31:03.000 I don't think we're going to win, but will you guys fight anyway? 1.00

03:31:07.000 You know, that's what the Black Pillar mentality is. 0.99

03:31:09.000 It's like just complaining about your position and stuff.

03:31:11.000 No, you give them a rousing speech.

03:31:13.000 You're going to say we're going to win no matter what.

03:31:15.000 It doesn't matter our odds.

03:31:17.000 And just go out and give it to your all.

03:31:19.000 And just that's, I only just wanted to echo your point.

03:31:21.000 And I'll let Steve and Vince go for it.

03:31:24.000 I was just going to give an update on Ohio.

03:31:26.000 It looks like President Trump is catching up in Ohio versus Biden over there.

03:31:33.000 But I just wanted to mention in Lorraine and Wood County, Donald Trump has already reached his 2016 vote totals in both of those big counties, and it's only 77% reporting in Ohio.

03:31:44.000 So Ohio is looking better and better as the votes come rolling in.

03:31:49.000 Very good.

03:31:50.000 Well, yeah, and I think, hang on, Steve.

03:31:53.000 I was just going to say real quick people have been saying this, it's going to close in Ohio.

03:31:58.000 Scott pointed out, we were nervous, but Scott pointed out it's all the mail in votes, apparently, which the Democrats had an edge in anyway.

03:32:04.000 So, but anyway, go ahead, Scott, or Steve, I didn't mean to interrupt you.

03:32:08.000 Well, I wanted a couple of things is that Trump really is outperforming his last go round in Michigan and Wisconsin.

03:32:16.000 And in Wisconsin, he's looking good just outside of Milwaukee.

03:32:21.000 And then a lot of these votes are, you know, like when you look at the tally there in Milwaukee, he is like he's on track.

03:32:29.000 To outperform how he did last time there.

03:32:31.000 So, and he edged that state by like a percentage and a half last time.

03:32:36.000 And then I also wanted to add a couple of like notable pickups.

03:32:40.000 Marjorie Taylor Greene won her, won Georgia's 14th congressional district. 0.81

03:32:45.000 And Madison Cawthorn, he won his race tonight.

03:32:49.000 So we can look forward to it.

03:32:52.000 I saw that.

03:32:52.000 What?

03:32:54.000 That sucks. 1.00

03:32:55.000 Oh, cry harder libs. 1.00

03:32:56.000 That's what he tweeted.

03:32:57.000 Tommy Tuberville's up 15%.

03:32:59.000 Too.

03:33:00.000 In North Carolina, it just moved to 95% Trump, 94% Trump.

03:33:05.000 Okay, yeah.

03:33:06.000 I mean, that.

03:33:07.000 And North Carolina was one of those polls, or that was one of those states, swing states, where the average in the polling was trending Biden for a long time.

03:33:15.000 Even, I believe, when we checked last night, Biden was up by half a percentage in the average.

03:33:21.000 So, needless to say, if Trump is pulling away in North Carolina, which he appears to be doing, and Georgia, which he appears to be doing, he's outperforming in the polls.

03:33:31.000 And if he.

03:33:32.000 And by the way,.

03:33:33.000 I believe Arizona was closer and more favorable for Trump in the polls than North Carolina.

03:33:39.000 And maybe even than Florida.

03:33:41.000 If this is the case, it seems like Trump can win Arizona.

03:33:44.000 Now, the worrying part is winning one of these guys Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin because the polling wasn't horrible, but in Pennsylvania, the average last night was two and a half for Biden.

03:33:59.000 In Michigan and Wisconsin, it was like five, six, or seven average for Biden.

03:34:05.000 Same deal in Minnesota.

03:34:06.000 So, I mean, there, the polling would really have to be wrong for Trump to pull off an upset.

03:34:11.000 I still haven't given up on Virginia.

03:34:14.000 I mean, it looks like Joe Biden's collecting some votes here.

03:34:18.000 I mean, I don't know.

03:34:19.000 Maybe the people that called it know better than we do, but I mean, it looks like Trump is doing really well in Virginia.

03:34:25.000 Some say even New Mexico, they called too early.

03:34:28.000 I don't see any votes.

03:34:30.000 There are zero votes counted in New Mexico, and yet they've called it for Biden already.

03:34:36.000 So the hidden Trump.

03:34:37.000 Vote and and in those particular counties in Virginia that we talked about earlier.

03:34:42.000 You know if if, if we're looking at uh Fairfax County and and Loudon County, where Trump is already probably on pace to surpass his turnout, then maybe they did call Virginia too early.

03:34:53.000 I don't know about uh New Mexico, though.

03:34:56.000 Yeah, but I mean we'll see New Mexico.

03:34:58.000 There's a lot of new Mexicans there, so maybe they'll, maybe they'll, maybe they'll turn over for for Trump, who knows?

03:35:04.000 I know that there's a heavy Hispanic population.

03:35:06.000 I don't think New Mexico has a chance of going red, just as I don't think that New Hampshire is ready to go red yet. 0.77

03:35:15.000 But definitely Virginia.

03:35:16.000 That's so weird.

03:35:17.000 Only 43% votes reported, though.

03:35:20.000 And CNN's walking back their Virginia call.

03:35:23.000 Are they ready?

03:35:25.000 Base is happening.

03:35:26.000 Where do you see that at?

03:35:29.000 Where do you see that at?

03:35:31.000 Jaden tweeted it out.

03:35:34.000 So, wait, Jaden McChee.

03:35:37.000 He's a good source, okay?

03:35:39.000 Yeah, great source.

03:35:42.000 He doesn't have a.

03:35:44.000 He doesn't have a.

03:35:46.000 Oh, man, I read it wrong.

03:35:52.000 I trust him.

03:35:53.000 We just can't, Jaden.

03:35:54.000 Jaden's going to come on.

03:35:55.000 Oh, no.

03:35:55.000 Cassandra's saying it too.

03:35:58.000 I guess they are.

03:35:59.000 They're walking it back with Virginia.

03:35:59.000 Wow.

03:36:02.000 Holy shit. 0.99

03:36:03.000 That changes a lot. 0.99

03:36:05.000 It changes a lot.

03:36:06.000 Trump's now ahead in Texas.

03:36:08.000 So it's pretty much guaranteed.

03:36:09.000 And Nate Silver said if he won Georgia, North Carolina, and Florida, that he would have a 50% chance of winning.

03:36:17.000 And now you're adding Texas, you're adding Ohio, potentially Virginia.

03:36:22.000 Virginia never came up in anyone's predictions.

03:36:25.000 So maybe this could be for Trump tonight.

03:36:29.000 If he wins Virginia, if he wins Virginia, if that truly is true, he could lose Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota and still be at 272.

03:36:39.000 You're right.

03:36:40.000 Yeah, if he wins Arizona, yeah.

03:36:43.000 If he wins Arizona, he will.

03:36:45.000 It's game.

03:36:46.000 It's game.

03:36:48.000 Actually, he doesn't even need to win.

03:36:49.000 Wait, if he wins Virginia, is this right?

03:36:52.000 If he wins Virginia, he doesn't need Arizona, Nevada, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and all the Western states he's winning.

03:36:59.000 Are you sure about that?

03:37:00.000 Yeah, I mean, if he needs to win Ohio, he definitely needs to win Ohio.

03:37:05.000 I think if he wins Virginia, he.

03:37:07.000 I had Illinois as red.

03:37:10.000 Okay, there you go.

03:37:13.000 No, if he wins Virginia, he has to win Ohio and Arizona, which we're both expected to go for Trump or we're leaning toward Trump.

03:37:20.000 Right.

03:37:21.000 So that could change the whole dynamic.

03:37:23.000 But it's looking good in Michigan.

03:37:26.000 I need to look at what's going on in Wisconsin.

03:37:28.000 There's not that many votes coming in.

03:37:30.000 But that, if, you know, all these states are going into Trump's favor.

03:37:34.000 You know, unexpectedly against all what the poll shaman said, then, you know, maybe, you know, if he went to Virginia, I think you'd also see some of these rust belts go his way as well. 0.71

03:37:46.000 Take a look at this. 1.00

03:37:48.000 Hardly walking back.

03:37:50.000 Take a look at this.

03:37:50.000 The betting odds have Trump now at 63%.

03:37:55.000 And Sleepy Jab.

03:37:58.000 It's happening.

03:37:59.000 It's happening.

03:38:04.000 It's happening, man.

03:38:07.000 Oh, man. 0.99

03:38:08.000 Let's fucking go. 0.99

03:38:09.000 Should we tune into the Young Turks briefly? 0.99

03:38:12.000 Yeah, let me pull it up.

03:38:15.000 Are they on YouTube or on Twitch?

03:38:16.000 Yeah, they're streaming on YouTube, and you have more viewers.

03:38:19.000 I think you almost have the same amount of viewers as them.

03:38:23.000 Well, not quite.

03:38:24.000 They're at 74.

03:38:25.000 Yeah, but they're mostly hate watchers.

03:38:25.000 I'm at 49.

03:38:27.000 49.

03:38:28.000 I think you're higher than Tim Pool, Nick.

03:38:30.000 Especially for progressives.

03:38:31.000 Yeah, he's at 50.

03:38:32.000 He's at 50.

03:38:33.000 But most of the people watching the Young Turks, if you pay attention to their chat, it's mostly people who hate.

03:38:38.000 Hate them and want to see a reaction like they did in 2016.

03:38:41.000 So there's the difference there, Nick.

03:38:43.000 I think you have more viewers than Fox News. 1.00

03:38:45.000 And no, vets, don't correct me on this. 0.97

03:38:47.000 He's got more viewers than Fox News, right? 0.69

03:38:50.000 I have more viewers than the Young Turks.

03:38:53.000 Nick has more viewers that actually like him.

03:38:55.000 Yeah, maybe.

03:38:57.000 Than the Young Turks do. 1.00

03:39:00.000 I got to tell you, folks, it's looking good. 1.00

03:39:03.000 I mean, we're going to pick Kansas.

03:39:06.000 He's looking really good in Kansas.

03:39:07.000 He's going to take it in Kansas for sure.

03:39:09.000 Yeah, no surprise there.

03:39:11.000 I'm wondering if the New York Times is going to undo their Virginia call because, yeah, I mean, I wonder is there a tweet from CNN that we can look at that says that they're walking it back?

03:39:22.000 I mean, I just like to see a little something in black and white, you know?

03:39:27.000 It's worth noting in Florida, Trump is just piling it on at this point.

03:39:31.000 He's really stacking it up.

03:39:32.000 He's at plus 400K.

03:39:36.000 He's at plus 100K last time.

03:39:41.000 Man, oh, man.

03:39:43.000 Wow.

03:39:44.000 Oh, my gosh.

03:39:47.000 This is good stuff, man.

03:39:50.000 Feeling good so far.

03:39:51.000 I don't know, though.

03:39:51.000 I mean, so tell me how this works.

03:39:55.000 Are they going to be counting mail in ballots now for the next two weeks?

03:39:58.000 So they're going to flip it?

03:39:59.000 Because I honestly.

03:40:01.000 Hopefully not.

03:40:02.000 Hopefully not.

03:40:03.000 I don't think.

03:40:04.000 I think that Trump is going to win in such a way.

03:40:06.000 And this is what I was hoping for.

03:40:08.000 And I hope that this is right.

03:40:09.000 I hope that Trump wins in such a way that there's not enough mail in ballots to cover for it.

03:40:14.000 So it wouldn't matter.

03:40:16.000 And this is why I hoped that Trump would win in such a way that Pennsylvania and this debacle with the Supreme Court, they even said that they're going to separate the ballots that come after Election Day just in case the Supreme Court revisits this.

03:40:29.000 I'm hoping that it doesn't come down to something like this.

03:40:29.000 Okay.

03:40:32.000 I hope he wins in such a way.

03:40:34.000 There's so many, quote, shy Trump voters out there that none of that will actually matter and that these races will be able to be called.

03:40:41.000 Like I said, the media is calling these races very quickly.

03:40:45.000 Some outlets are calling these races very quickly before they even start.

03:40:49.000 But like I said, they might be calling these early.

03:40:51.000 I mean, they really might be.

03:40:53.000 New York Times still has Virginia on Joe Biden's column.

03:40:55.000 So I don't know.

03:40:59.000 Trump is growing stronger every day, and there's nothing they Can do about it.

03:41:05.000 This is such a good feeling.

03:41:06.000 And if we wanted to really be conservative about it, we could say, obviously, we're way outperforming the polls.

03:41:13.000 The polls were wrong.

03:41:15.000 The election betting odds were wrong.

03:41:18.000 I mean, everything appears to be moving in our directions.

03:41:22.000 I'm really digging where we are.

03:41:24.000 And I guess people are saying that Trump has taken the lead now officially in Ohio.

03:41:31.000 And I'm also reading that Michigan is looking good too.

03:41:36.000 We haven't seen anything decisive in Michigan just yet.

03:41:36.000 I don't know.

03:41:41.000 And honestly, nothing decisive yet in Ohio.

03:41:43.000 But most of these states are looking very good.

03:41:48.000 I think we knew that Trump was going to do better when he first came back from coronavirus.

03:41:53.000 He's at his rally and he was dancing to Macho Man.

03:41:57.000 I think when he did that, you knew he couldn't lose.

03:41:59.000 There was no chance he could lose unless they stole it, unless they were going to try to rig the election and dig up.

03:42:06.000 You know, put in a bunch of fake ballots.

03:42:07.000 That's the only way he could lose. 1.00

03:42:09.000 When he started dancing at his rallies, it was over for libtards. 1.00

03:42:13.000 And honestly, though, it was really important, I think, that he did the rallies because this is something that makes a huge difference. 1.00

03:42:21.000 Trump really put it all on the line here.

03:42:24.000 I mean, he really left it all on the field that he was doing four or five rallies a day, thousands of people, high energy.

03:42:32.000 And there was something about those rallies in particular, the dancing.

03:42:36.000 Some people think that's silly or whatever, but I think it's a really sharp distinction and a sharp contrast with Joe Biden.

03:42:44.000 Whereas Trump gets up there and it's YMCA, it's proud to be an American.

03:42:49.000 He's dancing, he's smiling.

03:42:51.000 I mean, literally, he's dancing, he's joking around, and everybody's there together and it's outside.

03:42:58.000 Then you look at Joe Biden and he gets up there and he's confused.

03:43:02.000 And when he's not confused, he's screaming, he's angry.

03:43:06.000 Nobody's there.

03:43:07.000 They're in the rain.

03:43:09.000 Chalked circles, you know, they're six feet away from each other.

03:43:12.000 They're doing these car rallies, and the message is everything's terrible, we need more lockdown, and Trump is evil, and all this kind of stuff.

03:43:21.000 I think that does make a difference.

03:43:23.000 As far as being like a retail politician, Trump is a genius.

03:43:27.000 The presentation, the optics, the message, the tone, it's all there.

03:43:32.000 And people think that that doesn't make a difference, but I think that the barnstorming, all these swing states, I think that made an impact in the same way that it did in 2016.

03:43:41.000 In a similar way, not in exactly the same way, but in a similar way, in 2020, they think, oh, we won.

03:43:48.000 We don't even need to campaign.

03:43:50.000 We don't need a ground game.

03:43:51.000 We don't need to do speeches.

03:43:52.000 We don't need to do rallies.

03:43:54.000 And then, as the election drew near, as it got closer and closer in a panic, Barack Obama enters the mix, and Kamala's out there, and Joe Biden gets out there, and they're scrambling to do these events 10 minutes away from Delaware, from where Joe Biden lives.

03:44:11.000 And I think they began to realize that they can't count on that structural advantage alone the media, the anti Trump, the Hollywood, all that other stuff to get them across the finish line.

03:44:23.000 I think it's that that kind of made a huge difference in the end.

03:44:26.000 And who can really say?

03:44:26.000 I mean, after every election, Every analyst, everybody's got a reason why they think, well, here's why Trump won.

03:44:34.000 It was this thing.

03:44:35.000 It was this issue.

03:44:36.000 It was this policy.

03:44:37.000 But I think that really makes a difference.

03:44:37.000 It was whatever.

03:44:40.000 The dancing, the rallies, five a day in all the swing states, putting it all on the line.

03:44:45.000 I think that really did it.

03:44:47.000 But we're going to look back at our numbers.

03:44:49.000 I'm eager to see numbers from Arizona.

03:44:52.000 We have nothing from Arizona.

03:44:55.000 We don't have needles for any of these states, which is disappointing.

03:44:59.000 I guess Ohio's closing in.

03:45:00.000 A lot of people are reporting that Ohio's basically going there.

03:45:03.000 Texas is looking much better.

03:45:06.000 North Carolina looks like all but guaranteed.

03:45:09.000 I'm going to give it to them.

03:45:10.000 It's more than 95% chance, they say.

03:45:12.000 And I'll say Georgia, too, just for the fun of it.

03:45:17.000 And it looks like we're doing really good here.

03:45:19.000 So, where are we at?

03:45:20.000 I'm sorry, I'm rambling here.

03:45:22.000 Tell me.

03:45:22.000 And by the way, we just hit 50,000 live concurrent viewers.

03:45:29.000 Making this easily the biggest stream I've ever done.

03:45:32.000 And, you know, can I just, I was about to talk to you guys more, but can I just take a little self indulgent moment here before I move on?

03:45:40.000 And I'll say a little something at the end too, but it's kind of amazing because I started this show February 2017 with 100 live, I mean, literally like 100 live viewers every night.

03:45:51.000 I remember when I got 1,000, I was like blown away for the first time, and that was like a year later.

03:45:57.000 When I got 300, 400 regularly, I'm like, oh my gosh, this is crazy.

03:46:01.000 I was getting 100 viewers.

03:46:03.000 The show was losing money.

03:46:05.000 It got canceled because nobody was watching it and people were losing money.

03:46:08.000 Then they brought it back because this very loyal following that did watch the show demanded it.

03:46:14.000 And from the inauguration, basically, to the re election now, and I never saw the day.

03:46:19.000 I never thought I'd see the day.

03:46:20.000 Now we're at 50,000.

03:46:21.000 But anyway, I just want to take a moment to appreciate that.

03:46:25.000 I'll say more towards the end.

03:46:27.000 But I wanted to get back to you guys.

03:46:29.000 But hey, the thing's not even over yet.

03:46:32.000 So let's save that for the end.

03:46:33.000 But I want to move on and.

03:46:34.000 I want to hear from you guys.

03:46:36.000 What are you thinking?

03:46:36.000 Do we have any new information here?

03:46:38.000 Things are kind of slowing down because the polls aren't closing and the numbers aren't coming in from some of these states.

03:46:43.000 But do we have anything significant to report?

03:46:48.000 Yeah, no, probably with Virginia, they have a bunch of mail in ballots that they're wanting to count tomorrow.

03:46:55.000 They were bringing in thousands in Fairfax County and a couple of other places. 0.63

03:46:59.000 And of course, those are lean heavily D. 1.00

03:47:02.000 So we might, they may have a chance. 1.00

03:47:05.000 We'll have to wait till.

03:47:07.000 Tomorrow afternoon, perhaps, to find out what really happened in Virginia.

03:47:11.000 It looks like we won't have the full reversal tonight, unless you know there's something big that happens that it outweighs whatever Fairfax County can produce.

03:47:20.000 Okay.

03:47:21.000 Well, it looks like I want to discuss now.

03:47:23.000 We've obviously all night we've been talking about the presidential election, but I do want to talk a little bit about it.

03:47:30.000 It looks like Ilhan Omar wins re election.

03:47:33.000 It looks like Madison Cawthorn and Dan Crenshaw have won that the QAnon candidate.

03:47:41.000 I forget her name, but Martha, I think something.

03:47:44.000 She won as well.

03:47:46.000 Right.

03:47:46.000 It's only with an M.

03:47:48.000 I wanted to get your guys' take.

03:47:49.000 Why don't we go to Vince?

03:47:50.000 I feel like we haven't heard from Vince in a minute.

03:47:53.000 I've been rambling for a long time.

03:47:54.000 I haven't heard from anybody.

03:47:55.000 But I want to go to Vince and talk a little bit about some of these races.

03:47:59.000 What are your thoughts on these down ballot contests?

03:48:02.000 Some of these outspoken congressional representatives from either party Ilhan Omar and Dan Crenshaw, Madison Cawthorn.

03:48:11.000 What are your thoughts on them winning?

03:48:12.000 And how do you think that's going to factor into this emerging battle in the GOP between the establishment, which is now younger and fresher, and they've got these cartoon characters, wheelchair and eye patch versus America First?

03:48:25.000 What are your thoughts on that?

03:48:30.000 Okay, I guess we're not hearing from Vince.

03:48:32.000 Well, how about this?

03:48:33.000 I posed the same question then to Steve.

03:48:35.000 I got it.

03:48:36.000 Okay, all right.

03:48:38.000 I was thinking about your eye patch comment, and I was just thinking about how people call him Zyoclops.

03:48:44.000 That name is so funny to me.

03:48:47.000 Yeah, Madison Cawthorn, you know, and this is the thing, and this is a point that a lot of people have brought up in the past is that if Donald Trump did, if he were to lose this election, Then the Republicans would backtrack and go back to their original ways and say that, you see, Donald Trump was too racist.

03:49:07.000 He focused too much on immigration.

03:49:09.000 We have to grant amnesty.

03:49:10.000 We have to evolve on a lot of these issues, as Madison Cawthorn said in his op ed.

03:49:17.000 And you look at Matt Walsh, and he's tweeted in the past that Trump supporters should be deported.

03:49:21.000 We've seen what Charlie Kirk has tweeted in the past.

03:49:23.000 We've seen what Ben Shapiro has tweeted in the past.

03:49:25.000 And that if Donald Trump were to lose this election, they would.

03:49:30.000 They would go back to their original ways and say all these different things and try to retake the Republican Party with this, you know, the original old school Zionist neocon policies.

03:49:42.000 But now, you know, it's looking like that probably won't happen in the election.

03:49:47.000 And so now our fight is to push these people out of the Republican Party, push this way of thinking out of the Republican Party, and convince younger voters that this is the way to win over voters, you know, that Trump.

03:50:00.000 Trump's way, Trump's path that he has laid out for us is the way to win over younger voters.

03:50:06.000 And it's the path that the Republican Party should go down.

03:50:09.000 You know, the Democratic Party has taken over.

03:50:11.000 You talked about Ilhan Omar, Alexander Ocasio Cortez, and some of these people.

03:50:16.000 They have completely taken over.

03:50:17.000 The far left has completely taken over or is taking over the Democratic Party.

03:50:21.000 And not only the Democratic Party in Congress, you know, House of Representatives and the Senate, but also in positions like the district attorneys and all sorts of other local politics.

03:50:32.000 The Republicans have yet to make a A real push for transforming the Republican Party in the image of Donald Trump.

03:50:41.000 And, you know, the Madison Cawthorn race being won, you know, him winning his race is sort of going backwards.

03:50:50.000 We want to go forward.

03:50:51.000 We want to push people like that out.

03:50:53.000 Additionally, you asked about the down ballot races.

03:50:59.000 I'm interested to see how the race is going in New Hampshire because Donald Trump is outperforming.

03:51:06.000 In New Hampshire.

03:51:07.000 He's outperforming his 2016 totals in New Hampshire.

03:51:10.000 And I'm interested to see what happened with what is going on with the race.

03:51:14.000 And tell me if anyone knows about this.

03:51:16.000 What's her name? 0.53

03:51:17.000 The woman who is running, isn't she running in New Hampshire?

03:51:23.000 What's her name? 0.98

03:51:24.000 The blonde lady? 0.96

03:51:25.000 I'm not sure you're talking about.

03:51:27.000 She's running in New Hampshire, I'm pretty sure. 1.00

03:51:30.000 The blonde lady, she's very outspoken. 1.00

03:51:33.000 She has a verified account. 1.00

03:51:34.000 She's anti immigration. 0.90

03:51:36.000 She sort of sides with it.

03:51:39.000 Sorry?

03:51:40.000 Whitsky's in Delaware.

03:51:42.000 Oh, Delaware.

03:51:43.000 I'm sorry.

03:51:44.000 Delaware.

03:51:44.000 That's right.

03:51:45.000 Okay.

03:51:45.000 How's her race going?

03:51:45.000 Yeah.

03:51:48.000 I don't know.

03:51:49.000 I don't know actually how that's going.

03:51:51.000 Let me pull up New York Times.

03:51:53.000 Let me just post a tweet first.

03:51:53.000 Let me check it.

03:51:56.000 Oh, she lost.

03:51:57.000 Someone said she lost.

03:51:58.000 Well, I mean, in fairness, Delaware is like a hard blue state.

03:51:58.000 Yeah.

03:52:01.000 So I don't know that she had a good chance.

03:52:03.000 It's like Laura Loomer.

03:52:04.000 You know, they run in these hardcore left districts and, you know, not for nothing, but you'd like to think that they could change the game or something, but they run in these districts that are like hardcore blue.

03:52:15.000 And it's like, oh, I lost.

03:52:17.000 It's like, but don't get me wrong.

03:52:19.000 What was really significant about Witzke is that she.

03:52:22.000 Won a Senate primary in Delaware.

03:52:25.000 And it's not like it was uncontested.

03:52:26.000 She won, and she won as America first.

03:52:30.000 Now, Delaware isn't really a contested state. 0.88

03:52:32.000 Nevertheless, Senate primary, that's a statewide race. 0.98

03:52:37.000 And she won as basically unapologetically America first.

03:52:40.000 Immigration moratorium and pro Trump and even like Groyper adjacent and all of that, which is really significant. 0.86

03:52:47.000 But what I was trying to get at with some of these races is what you're beginning to see metastasize or materialize is. 0.56

03:52:56.000 This younger, fresher face of neocons, Nikki Haley and Dan Crenshaw and Madison Cawthorne, and people like this.

03:53:04.000 And we have to be concerned because whether Trump leaves office tonight, which is looking less possible, but if he leaves in 2024, there will be a civil war within the American right between these con ink establishment neocons and us.

03:53:21.000 And even there's another faction called Populist Inc., which will be people that sound like us and talk like us and use similar language.

03:53:29.000 But they're actually the same old stuff.

03:53:32.000 They're basically appropriators.

03:53:34.000 They're usurpers. 1.00

03:53:35.000 They're gay. 1.00

03:53:36.000 They're faggots. 1.00

03:53:37.000 Yeah, they're co opting our stuff. 1.00

03:53:39.000 They're gay. 0.94

03:53:40.000 And they're co opting our everything, but they don't believe in race and they don't talk about Jewish power and they don't talk about tech and they don't talk about porn and they don't talk about opioids and all these other things. 0.99

03:53:52.000 They're basically imitators. 0.72

03:53:53.000 And there's going to be this battle, I think, within the America First coalition between the fakers and the real guys. 0.72

03:54:00.000 And then there will be a battle between whoever is the. 0.82

03:54:03.000 Winner of that contest between them and the other side.

03:54:07.000 I mean, the avatars of Populist Inc., I think, well, I don't know if I want to name any names right out of the gate because you'll know who they are, but we'll be fighting against them.

03:54:07.000 And I don't know.

03:54:17.000 And then it'll be like Michelle Malkin and us and people like Darren and John Miller and John Doyle and Scott, obviously, everybody here, and people like that, maybe somebody like Ron DeSantis and versus the neocon establishment, which will be represented by Nikki Haley, Dan Crenshaw, Gen Z GOP, Benji Bakker, you know.

03:54:36.000 And now these aren't like huge figures, the latter two, but these types, Madison Cawthorn.

03:54:42.000 And over the next four years, it's critical, if Trump wins, to be posturing and maneuvering within this party and within the broader movement for domination while Trump is president, so that when 2024 comes around, we have outflanked them, we've infrastructureed them and outprepared them and everything.

03:55:02.000 So that's kind of the forward thinking that I've been thinking about.

03:55:06.000 When it comes to these down ballot races, these like superstar millennial candidates from either side.

03:55:12.000 What do you think about that, Steve and Scott?

03:55:16.000 Yeah, absolutely.

03:55:17.000 And I think there's going to be a war on authenticity.

03:55:21.000 I mean, because, you know, that's kind of like what Madison Cawthorn is trying to feel out right now with the people that he has advising him what is his real base?

03:55:30.000 What is his staying power?

03:55:31.000 We saw the similar process with Matt Gaetz, who won handily tonight.

03:55:37.000 He had the same sort of process here in the last couple of years.

03:55:42.000 And voters are going to be looking for that.

03:55:43.000 They're going to be looking for people who tell them the facts.

03:55:46.000 And they're going to run into people who actually tell them the facts, and they're going to run into people that sugarcoat these facts, or they're very, very soft and sweet on Israel. 0.99

03:55:56.000 They want to cut a lot of deals for Israel, or they're big flaming homos, but they've got good politics. 0.95

03:56:02.000 And people are going to have to sort of sort their way through that. 0.99

03:56:06.000 And I'm very optimistic because we have Tucker Carlson.

03:56:11.000 I mean, Tucker Carlson is based, okay?

03:56:16.000 With the messaging, you know, with the people that he's going to have on his show, if he stays in there, he's going to nudge people in the right direction.

03:56:23.000 So, whereas who do they have?

03:56:25.000 They have like who's their big guy, like Ben Shapiro.

03:56:29.000 If it comes down to Ben Shapiro versus Tucker Carlson, I know whose side I'm on.

03:56:34.000 That's a really good point, you know, and Tucker Carlson is not to be, I mean, I don't know if it's even possible to understate or, I mean, overstate his influence.

03:56:45.000 I mean, everybody knows that he's the biggest thing in the American right, except for Trump.

03:56:50.000 Tucker is the biggest cable news host in the history of television.

03:56:54.000 Eight million viewers he had last week covering the Ukraine, Joe Biden, Hunter Biden situation, which is unheard of.

03:57:03.000 You know, Bill O'Reilly was number one in cable TV for 25 years, and he would average, what, three million?

03:57:10.000 Barely three million viewers.

03:57:12.000 Tucker, the average is five million.

03:57:14.000 He gets up to eight million before the election, and he does it.

03:57:19.000 Advertisers pulling out, his own party resisting him, probably Fox News.

03:57:24.000 I mean, And I've heard some of the inside baseball, Fox News even being a little bit not happy with certain things that he said in the past.

03:57:31.000 There have been times when he's kind of been on the ledge there.

03:57:34.000 And in spite of all of that, advertisers pulling, Fox News not being completely supportive, a lot of people in the establishment that don't love him.

03:57:42.000 And he's pushed through and become the number one thing in a lot of ways, like Trump and the two most important, powerful people in the American right, and maybe even in the country, Donald Trump and Tucker Carlson, Tucker Carlson through Donald Trump influencing him, they are both America first.

03:57:58.000 Donald Trump is America first.

03:58:00.000 Tucker Carlson is America first.

03:58:02.000 And that to me is so white pilling that if we get another four years of Trump, we get four years of America first as the head of the GOP, institutionalizing the Trump revolution in the GOP, redefining the conservative movement and the GOP as a nativist, immigration restrictionist, non interventionist, and protectionist party.

03:58:23.000 And you've got Tucker reinforcing that every night and Tucker influencing the president.

03:58:29.000 If Joe Biden becomes elected, Fox News is going to do a left wing pivot.

03:58:33.000 They may kick Tucker off.

03:58:34.000 And of course, Tucker's not going to influence the Biden administration.

03:58:38.000 So, four more years of Trump means that America First gets four more years, basically, of the tip of the spear of the entire American right is basically being directed and defined by an ideology that is, at the bare minimum, friendly, beneficial, and in some cases, adjacent or ostensibly allied with us.

03:58:59.000 So, it's huge.

03:59:00.000 And that's why I've been telling people vote Trump.

03:59:03.000 We can build on these victories.

03:59:05.000 This is why I talk so much in the buildup to the election about what Trump is doing with personnel.

03:59:10.000 PPO has ordered, or it was rumored that this would happen.

03:59:14.000 I don't know that it did.

03:59:15.000 But they were going to order the resignations of all the political appointees in the White House, in the Trump administration.

03:59:22.000 And what this would do is that once Trump gets reelected, he can pick and choose basically all the political appointees that stay on and fire anybody who isn't loyal or wasn't good in the first four years, anybody that was deep state or resistance or whatever.

03:59:37.000 What's more, he had an executive order recently reclassifying more than 100,000 federal employees.

03:59:44.000 And he changed the way they were classified, basically turning them into political appointees.

03:59:48.000 So that he could fire them at will if they were disloyal or he didn't like them.

03:59:53.000 And these are like career civil servants.

03:59:55.000 These are career bureaucrats.

03:59:57.000 This is like the meat of the permanent bureaucratic state, of the deep state.

04:00:03.000 If Trump gets re elected, it's not only like, oh, four more years of what we saw for the past four years.

04:00:08.000 No, it's like four more years of what we saw for the past nine months when he built 10 miles of wall per week, when he shut immigration down 92%.

04:00:18.000 And I know that was because of the coronavirus, but.

04:00:20.000 He's cleaning up illegal immigration and he increased the requirements for H 1B visas too, withdrawing troops from Iraq and Afghanistan, completing the trade deal with China and the trade war, cutting regulations, cutting the payroll tax, cutting taxes, all this kind of stuff.

04:00:36.000 It's four more years of like all the really good stuff that we saw.

04:00:39.000 And what's more is rebuilding the deep state and like the White House with people that are not from the establishment, people that are not from the political establishment, the bureaucratic state, from the Republican Party.

04:00:53.000 Recruiting people from the country, recruiting people from the Trump campaign, recruiting America First people, putting them in the bureaucracy, and more importantly, putting them in the party.

04:01:03.000 And another four years of Trump, like I said, it solidifies and institutionalizes that change in the party.

04:01:09.000 It's flushing out the government, which is a huge deal.

04:01:12.000 And this sets us up so well in 2024 to take on Nikki Haley.

04:01:17.000 I hope that Ron DeSantis runs against Nikki Haley and Trump, with his 95% approval rating, Goes down bigger and greater than Reagan and FDR and everybody else, throws his weight behind Ron DeSantis and Tucker Carlson does, and the America Firsters does.

04:01:34.000 And like, this is where you get the 100 year, and I know it's bad optics, but like the 100 year Trump and Reich, like the 100 year Trump empire.

04:01:42.000 And I don't want to get ahead of myself here.

04:01:44.000 I don't want to get, you know.

04:01:44.000 Trump Republic, much better.

04:01:48.000 You know, that's lame, Scott.

04:01:52.000 But that is what building upon Trump looks like because there were so many people for years.

04:01:57.000 That would say, Oh, I'm disappointed with Trump.

04:02:00.000 Oh, this was a setback.

04:02:01.000 He bombed Syria.

04:02:04.000 He said that he might make a deal on DACA.

04:02:07.000 Never did it, but oh, he said he might make a deal on DACA.

04:02:09.000 They said, Okay, so not only are we done with Trump, okay, we're just done with him, they said.

04:02:14.000 He bombed Syria a couple of times to no event.

04:02:17.000 I mean, it was really uneventful.

04:02:19.000 Okay, well, we're just done with Trump.

04:02:21.000 And not only are we completely done with him, but we're done with the Republican Party.

04:02:25.000 And not only are we done with Trump and the Republican Party, But we're also done with politics altogether.

04:02:31.000 You know, and that's what some people tried to do.

04:02:33.000 And I thought that was probably fake, controlled opposition, feds.

04:02:37.000 They said, okay, well, we'll abandon Trump completely.

04:02:41.000 We abandoned the Republican Party, and we're abandoning politics as a concept.

04:02:45.000 And the only way that we're going to win is an armed uprising.

04:02:47.000 So you need to get guns, buy a gun from me illegally to borrow.

04:02:52.000 Right, right, yeah.

04:02:52.000 Join the militia.

04:02:53.000 Join the Boogaloo boys. 1.00

04:02:55.000 Give me your social security number, and I'll sell you an unlicensed gun, right? 1.00

04:02:59.000 And they told us that for years. 0.97

04:03:00.000 They said, oh, Nick is an optics cuck.

04:03:02.000 We're never going to vote our way out of this.

04:03:04.000 I mean, look, we have to do a lot more than voting.

04:03:07.000 It's not going to be violence, by the way.

04:03:08.000 We have to do a lot more than voting.

04:03:09.000 That's organizing infrastructure, building networks and communities and all of that.

04:03:13.000 But I'll tell you what, we're not going to do it without voting.

04:03:16.000 It's not like we're not going to, voting is necessary but not sufficient.

04:03:21.000 It's not this, well, we're not going to vote our way out of this.

04:03:24.000 Sure, voting is necessary but not sufficient.

04:03:28.000 It won't take us all the way, but we're not going to go there without voting.

04:03:32.000 This is the case in point.

04:03:34.000 We vote, we get our guys hired in the administration, we reshape the institutions, we create an elite.

04:03:40.000 They decapitated our elite. 0.99

04:03:42.000 They replaced the elite with Atheists and Jews and the hippie children of the old elite. 0.98

04:03:47.000 And we need to replace that with recruits from the hinterland of the country and the interior and the Trump campaign and give them career civil servant jobs and put them in the White House and fill them up in the GOP. 0.92

04:03:58.000 And this is something that doesn't take, it takes a long time.

04:04:01.000 It's not like Trump wins the election, game over, wall goes up tomorrow.

04:04:06.000 No, he had to win the election.

04:04:07.000 He had to fight his own party in the Congress, in his own White House, in the party apparatus.

04:04:14.000 Within the White House, within his own inner circle as strategists, he had to slog through that first term.

04:04:21.000 And in the past six months, you start to see the light at the end of the tunnel.

04:04:24.000 If we get through here, that's where the plan really begins to take shape.

04:04:28.000 Anyway, so I know that's kind of a.

04:04:31.000 Go ahead.

04:04:31.000 Yeah, go ahead.

04:04:32.000 I was about to kick it over to you.

04:04:34.000 I was just going to say Trump is up in Wisconsin.

04:04:38.000 He's up in Michigan.

04:04:39.000 He's now up pretty big in Ohio.

04:04:42.000 He's also up in Pennsylvania right now.

04:04:44.000 And he's doing very well in New Hampshire, surprisingly well in New Hampshire.

04:04:48.000 But I just wanted to add something to what you were saying.

04:04:50.000 Go right ahead.

04:04:51.000 Yeah. 1.00

04:04:52.000 AOC just won her election again.

04:04:55.000 And, you know, these are people that have really bullied the Democrat Party into supporting their far left progressive agenda.

04:05:02.000 And maybe the Republicans, maybe we don't take over, quote unquote, the Republican Party in the future, but we could certainly influence the Republican Party.

04:05:11.000 As long as President Trump wins this election here, we're not going to go back to the old guard GOP.

04:05:17.000 We're not going to give the reins over to the.

04:05:19.000 Matt Walsh's of the world, who said that we should deport all Trump supporters.

04:05:22.000 We're not going to give the reins over to the Nikki Haley's of the world or these people as long as Trump wins this election.

04:05:28.000 And we can, like you said, we can use this win to influence the Republican Party, to influence them into supporting these ideas.

04:05:37.000 Just look at the Republicans right now and where they're donating, where they're feeding, where they're sending their money to.

04:05:42.000 They're sending their money to these rich donors.

04:05:45.000 They're sending their money to Republican candidates like Nikki Haley.

04:05:48.000 They're sending their money to Republican candidates like, uh, like, uh, You know, Madison Cawthorne and so forth.

04:05:55.000 Meanwhile, the Democratic Party, they're making sure that they're getting their candidates in places where there's no incumbent, where there's no competition, like with the district attorney in San Francisco and Chase Aboudin and a couple of other places, Diana Bechton, things like this.

04:06:11.000 This is a blueprint that the Republican Party needs to copy or take into consideration going forward.

04:06:17.000 These are the sorts of rules that we have to play by.

04:06:21.000 We have to get serious about winning.

04:06:23.000 But I just wanted to, I just really wanted to bring that up.

04:06:26.000 And then also the fact that Trump is up in those four states, which is good news.

04:06:31.000 Yeah, I'm looking at it.

04:06:32.000 Go ahead, though.

04:06:33.000 Go ahead.

04:06:34.000 Well, to speak to your point earlier about this institutional change, Nick, and for anybody that's tuned in recently, I'm Steve Franson.

04:06:42.000 Vince James was just talking, and we have the estimable Scott Greer on as well.

04:06:48.000 Something that sort of came up today that I think you probably would have dedicated at least part of a show to, Nick, had tonight been like any other night.

04:06:57.000 Is that Trump actually allowed the Patriot Act to expire?

04:07:00.000 Yes.

04:07:01.000 Yeah.

04:07:02.000 So I think it's worth riffing on that.

04:07:04.000 And, you know, there was that New York Times article that came out recently.

04:07:08.000 It said Trump's secret war on the intelligence agencies, and it detailed how the deep state is just furious with him because he's, you know, getting people fired.

04:07:17.000 He's getting people moved out of key positions.

04:07:20.000 I just thought that was worth mentioning.

04:07:23.000 No, yeah, that's a good point.

04:07:24.000 I did see that earlier today.

04:07:24.000 You're right.

04:07:26.000 He let essentially the Patriot Act expire, you know, where it had to be renewed.

04:07:30.000 And it was allowed to expire.

04:07:33.000 And you're right.

04:07:34.000 I mean, this is another one of the ways that there are.

04:07:36.000 They're fighting the deep state.

04:07:37.000 That's why they hate him so much because he's really picking apart the intelligence community, the military industrial complex, the Pentagon, the DOD, all the special interests, Big Pharma.

04:07:49.000 This is why you see this unprecedented opposition.

04:07:51.000 And some have tried and a small amount of people have tried and failed to make the case that Trump is this shill, he's cucked, he's co opted, whatever.

04:08:00.000 What do you think most favored nation does for pharmaceutical companies?

04:08:06.000 What do you think that drug price competition does for Big Pharma, which is one of the biggest?

04:08:10.000 Lobbying interests in the country.

04:08:13.000 What do you think it does for the intelligence community when he lets the Patriot Act expire?

04:08:18.000 For the DOD and Lockheed Martin and Raytheon when he pulls troops out of Afghanistan, pulls troops out of Iraq, when he reorients the Middle East away from this greater Israel strategy of crushing every Arab country to normalizing relations with the Gulf states and with Sudan as opposed to American led intervention to destroy Israel's enemies?

04:08:39.000 I mean, he really is in a meaningful way.

04:08:42.000 And it's happening bit by bit, deconstructing the most powerful power structures in the country.

04:08:48.000 That's why they're all against him.

04:08:49.000 That's why, and I pointed this out the other week, the author of the resistance article in the New York Times, you remember in 2018, there was that article that came out, New York Times op ed, front page, of someone claiming to be working in the Trump administration who said, I'm in the deep state, I'm part of the resistance, and I'm sabotaging Trump's agenda.

04:09:11.000 Well, that guy came out, his name was Miles Taylor recently.

04:09:14.000 And identified himself.

04:09:15.000 He was the chief of staff of DHS.

04:09:19.000 And so he was in the permanent political class working in the White House, or rather, working in the administration.

04:09:28.000 And he goes from there then to having a contributorship at CNN and working at Google.

04:09:34.000 And it just goes to show you look at like James Comey and his book deals and everything, how there's these constellations of power structures all helping each other out and working together.

04:09:45.000 It's the FBI, it's the CIA, the NSA.

04:09:49.000 The Pentagon, the DOD, people working in the whole civil service, all the alphabet soup agencies, the agencies, the departments.

04:09:56.000 It is Google.

04:09:57.000 It is the big tech companies, the four biggest companies in the history of the world.

04:10:01.000 It is the legacy media, CNN and the Washington Post and the New York Times.

04:10:06.000 And obviously, there are conglomerates which are owned by billionaires.

04:10:09.000 Washington Post, owned by Jeff Bezos, owner of Amazon, you know, a big tech company.

04:10:15.000 There's this interconnected web, basically, like I said, a constellation of these power structures all working against Trump.

04:10:23.000 The case that people are trying to make that he's like controlled opposition, why would all of those people that hate us, all those elites and all those different institutions that I just described, plus like Hollywood and academia, why would all those institutions that hate the American people, have been crushing the American people, destroying our cities, our communities, our towns, why would they then throw everything that they have behind Joe Biden?

04:10:47.000 It makes no sense.

04:10:48.000 Trump is the man of the people, he is the candidate of the people.

04:10:52.000 He doesn't always succeed because he's up against impossible odds, but he is doing quite literally.

04:10:58.000 A miraculous, it's a miracle, a miraculous job.

04:11:02.000 And he does represent, I think, our best interests.

04:11:05.000 But I want to get Scott back in here.

04:11:07.000 I'm looking at Fox News.

04:11:08.000 Fox News is giving Trump, I'm sorry, he's giving Biden a 90% chance of winning.

04:11:15.000 How do you think we're doing here?

04:11:16.000 I want to get back to some of these numbers.

04:11:19.000 There is like, whoever what Democrats are in Fox News are making this up.

04:11:23.000 I mean, if you look at what the map is, I don't know how you could say that there's a 90% chance that Biden is winning.

04:11:30.000 I mean, even if you look at the New York Times with their election needles, they're of course not updating it with like states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Arizona.

04:11:41.000 And they have with this, like, what are the outcomes in these three states mean for the presidential race?

04:11:46.000 And then the estimated likelihood that he went, that Trump wins all three states is 80%.

04:11:53.000 But when they have to say that they have to hedge, they have to say either candidate could win the race and it could take days or longer to know.

04:12:00.000 We just don't know.

04:12:01.000 Well, All their other options is like Biden wins if he doesn't win all three states.

04:12:06.000 So they're trying to hedge their bets.

04:12:07.000 The average Fox News reporter and staffer voted for Biden.

04:12:12.000 They don't want any more of Trump.

04:12:14.000 They have the people around Tucker and Hannity who, of course, love Trump and are supporting him.

04:12:19.000 And so they're just pointing out that 90%.

04:12:22.000 I don't even think that's the case anymore.

04:12:23.000 I mean, I don't know how you could look at the map right now and say that there's a 90% chance that Biden wins.

04:12:31.000 It's just wish casting at this moment.

04:12:34.000 And, you know, go back on your point about.

04:12:36.000 Go back a little bit to your point about populism.

04:12:39.000 That is very true that there are all these people, many of whom voted for Ev McMullen in 2016, who came out in the last three or four years and, like, oh, look, I'm a nationalist.

04:12:51.000 I'm a populist.

04:12:52.000 I've always been a nationalist. 0.99

04:12:53.000 Like, Yoram Hazzoni.

04:12:55.000 I know you didn't want to mention some of these people, but we've commissioned Yoram Hazzoni because I think he's blocked most of us here.

04:13:01.000 And he was somebody who tried to latch himself to the Tea Party to be like, I'm the great Tea Party intellectual in the early 2010s.

04:13:09.000 And I don't remember at all any statements him saying I'm pro Trump in 2015 or 2016 or saying anything about nationalism.

04:13:17.000 But curiously, after Trump wins, he's just like, Well, I've always been a nationalist.

04:13:21.000 Let me tell you what nationalism really is.

04:13:23.000 And of course, it's always about unquestioning support for Israel.

04:13:28.000 And somehow the Torah and the Talmud are the real originator of nationalism.

04:13:36.000 And there's the same with many of these characters who are now pretending to be populist nationalists.

04:13:40.000 And you are also mentioning first is that.

04:13:43.000 They never want to talk about race.

04:13:45.000 They never want to talk about identity issues, are the cultural issues that really animated the Trump campaign in 2016. 0.76

04:13:51.000 And in 2020, of course, I mean, Trump was talking about law and order, attacking the 1619 Project, attacking critical race theory, all these things that are very much built around identity issues and racial conflict and racial tension, which none of the kosher national populace want to even touch. 0.50

04:14:09.000 They want to just pretend that Trump won in 2016, and they'll do this again if he wins this year. 0.70

04:14:14.000 Is that you all want to based on industrial policy or economic policy?

04:14:18.000 And it had nothing to do with identity or race issues.

04:14:22.000 And there was this multicultural group that just came together.

04:14:27.000 And they actually, and this coalition may be open to Black Lives Matter when Trump is explicitly running his campaign on anti Black Lives Matter, anti minority identity politics.

04:14:37.000 But they don't want to address these issues because they don't want to be canceled.

04:14:40.000 And they just want respectability.

04:14:42.000 And they're useful little puppets to put in.

04:14:44.000 They'll have their nice little New York Times.

04:14:46.000 Op ed once in a blue moon, and they'll say, Oh, I'm a real intellectual in this, but they do not connect with the base.

04:14:53.000 I mean, they're not out there having a live stream that has over 50,000 viewers on election night.

04:14:58.000 So, you know, none of these people are like that.

04:15:00.000 They have some of them have audiences.

04:15:03.000 Some of them are taking advantage of the situation, but they ultimately do not capture the Trump moment.

04:15:09.000 They do not connect with the base.

04:15:11.000 It's too much eggheads who don't understand what Trump is about.

04:15:16.000 They try to change Trump into something that's nice and presentable and a sellout.

04:15:23.000 It's just not going to work.

04:15:24.000 I think if he wins again, it's going to be much harder for them to make this silly argument that he won based on industrial policy.

04:15:32.000 When Trump's economic policies, right or wrongly, were mostly standard GOP fair, except for when it came to trade.

04:15:39.000 I mean, he was a strong trade protectionist.

04:15:42.000 But outside of that, mostly standard GOP stuff.

04:15:45.000 And his 2020 campaign was built entirely on identity warfare and cultural warfare that makes these people very uncomfortable with Trump.

04:15:55.000 And they.

04:15:56.000 To make it much nicer for themselves.

04:15:58.000 Yeah.

04:15:59.000 Well, and that's exactly it.

04:16:01.000 It's like this they're de beaking Trump. 0.81

04:16:04.000 You know, like birds, they de beaked and they want to neuter and emasculate and defang Trump.

04:16:13.000 And that's exactly right.

04:16:15.000 They're taking, and people don't see the difference because people don't pay attention as closely, obviously, to the subtleties as we do.

04:16:22.000 In some cases, they're not so subtle.

04:16:24.000 But they want to take Trump, like you said, And fashion them into something completely inoffensive, basically the same mainstream establishment conservatism.

04:16:34.000 Oh, but we want to have like trade regulations, some kind of stuff like this.

04:16:39.000 But no, we don't believe in race. 0.69

04:16:42.000 No, we don't believe in white identity. 0.54

04:16:44.000 No, we don't care about immigration. 0.85

04:16:46.000 No, we don't care about any of this stuff.

04:16:48.000 And we're also going to take out the edge.

04:16:49.000 You know, we can't be too offensive.

04:16:51.000 We're going to be clean cut, sterilized, just like every other politician.

04:16:55.000 And it just goes to show they don't get it, you know.

04:16:58.000 Trump has a 95% approval rating because of that cult of personality.

04:17:02.000 It's not because people are over there and they're like, well, let's take a look.

04:17:05.000 Stock market is up.

04:17:06.000 And don't get me wrong, that's a big part of it.

04:17:08.000 But Trump represents, and this is so critical, this realignment that's happening in the Republican Party away from this sort of libertarian kind of perspective, this like, oh, well, we're hardcore fiscal conservatives and that's really all we're about, and a transition to an emphasis on, like you said, social and cultural and identity issues.

04:17:31.000 Trump.

04:17:32.000 More than just the booming economy, which is necessary, represents this revanchist Americana.

04:17:39.000 He represents, you know, think about like a border wall. 0.99

04:17:42.000 A border wall is certainly about immigration, but it's also a big middle finger that says, fuck you, that's Mexico, and this is America. 0.99

04:17:49.000 And in Mexico, they speak Spanish, and in America, we speak English. 0.99

04:17:52.000 And in Mexico, they do it their way, and we do it our way.

04:17:56.000 It's things like the 1776 Commission, defending Mount Rushmore, defending.

04:18:02.000 American curriculum and schools, like all of that, I think that is really the good stuff that people are enthusiastic and they're turning out.

04:18:10.000 That's where he's forged this new base.

04:18:12.000 It's been proven that the other stuff doesn't work.

04:18:15.000 Mitt Romney and John McCain got obliterated and they were these nice guys, inoffensive. 0.96

04:18:21.000 Oh, don't say that Barack Obama's a Muslim. 1.00

04:18:24.000 I don't want to hear that.

04:18:25.000 You know, that kind of stuff.

04:18:27.000 It didn't work.

04:18:27.000 They got killed.

04:18:28.000 It didn't work in the 2016 primary.

04:18:30.000 You had every flavor.

04:18:32.000 Every flavor of beltway conservative.

04:18:34.000 And Ted Cruz might have been maybe the closest approximation to Trump in terms of immigration policy.

04:18:41.000 And he didn't come close.

04:18:42.000 I mean, he came closer than anybody else, but he still got railroaded. 0.57

04:18:46.000 But Rubio, a fresh faced Latino neocon who says the new American century, he got killed. 0.78

04:18:52.000 And Jeb Bush, the dynastic old establishment guy, he got killed. 0.63

04:18:57.000 Somebody like Rick Santorum wasn't even like a factory representative.

04:19:00.000 Mike Huckabee, this folksy social conservative kind of thing, it didn't work.

04:19:05.000 Trump blew them all away, and he was the only one that could have destroyed Clinton and sweep the Midwest.

04:19:11.000 And that's because he realigned the Republican Party around a more of a cultural, identitarian, social conservatism. 0.63

04:19:18.000 This is what turned those blue collar white people.

04:19:22.000 Traditionally or historically, Democratic voters in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania turn out in big numbers for Trump and flip parties and everything like that. 0.91

04:19:30.000 And that's the future. 1.00

04:19:31.000 These faggot, like DC heritage petri dish people that just put on a MAGA hat and they go to Trump Hotel and they say, make America safe again. 1.00

04:19:42.000 Like you said, the authenticity is not there. 1.00

04:19:45.000 I think Steve said that.

04:19:46.000 The energy is not there.

04:19:48.000 They're not relatable.

04:19:49.000 People can see through it.

04:19:50.000 They're phonies.

04:19:51.000 And like, what's the pitch going to be for Nikki Haley?

04:19:54.000 Hi. 1.00

04:19:54.000 We're going to take down all the Confederate flags and kill all the racists. 1.00

04:19:58.000 And Trump is like Dylan Roof. 1.00

04:20:00.000 Remember when she said that?

04:20:01.000 And we should fight more wars for Israel. 0.99

04:20:03.000 And my running mate is going to be, you know, that Jewish pedophile that got a pardon from President Trump. 0.99

04:20:10.000 What's his name? 0.99

04:20:12.000 Shubiskin, Rubiskin.

04:20:13.000 Yeah, yeah, Rubashkin.

04:20:15.000 My running mate is going to be Rubashkin. 0.92

04:20:17.000 And we're going to make Iran into an embassy for Israel. 0.99

04:20:20.000 And it's not going to work.

04:20:22.000 And the hope is that it doesn't work for people like Josh Hawley or Matt Gaetz or.

04:20:27.000 Yoram Hazoni, or people like that either.

04:20:30.000 I think Hawley might be the worst offender of presenting a nice, de beaked Trumpism, as you would say.

04:20:38.000 When his reaction to George Floyd, he had this very angry speech where he implied that there's systemic racism and police racism outrages him.

04:20:46.000 And this was when the riots were raging, where it was after that weekend where there was all these cities burning down and there was violence everywhere.

04:20:55.000 And he was just mad about how awful police racism is.

04:20:58.000 And he implied systemic racism is real.

04:21:01.000 And he had like the short, but riots are wrong.

04:21:04.000 It was really weak.

04:21:06.000 And he absolutely wants to play up that there's this nice Trumpism, but there's no cult of personality that could ever be built around Josh Hawley.

04:21:15.000 Josh Hawley is not a caudillo.

04:21:17.000 No one is ever going to see him as a strong man where they're just like hanging out like Hawley flags everywhere and they're having Hawley boat parades and all of this. 0.65

04:21:26.000 And I said this in my AFPAC speech is that what Hate Trump connect me with people was his first speech where he said the Mexicans are bringing drugs, they're bringing crime, they're rapists, some I assume are good people, and everyone's like his campaign is over. 0.96

04:21:42.000 But him just saying it like it is like everyone wants to say that Trump is so dishonest, he just lies and everything. 0.97

04:21:50.000 But really, his lies are mostly just exaggerated stories that people just laugh at, like him saying he's the least racist person on earth, or him saying that there's never been a Better president for black people, except for Abraham Lincoln. 0.72

04:22:02.000 A lot of these are just like tall tales or jokes that most of his crowd gets that he's exaggerating.

04:22:08.000 And it's not the lies of like Joe Biden who will make up stories about himself, you know, getting arrested in South Africa or something like that.

04:22:17.000 These are just, it resonates with this crowd.

04:22:20.000 A crowd connects it and it creates the message. 0.99

04:22:22.000 But he would say things that his crowd believed in, the base believed in, but no Republican politician had the balls to say it, such as the Muslim ban. 0.97

04:22:32.000 I remember when the Muslim ban happened, and everyone in the Daily Caller office was going, Oh, this is so over. 0.97

04:22:37.000 He's done.

04:22:38.000 This is so outrageous.

04:22:40.000 And his poll numbers shot through the roof. 0.62

04:22:42.000 He finally got over 30% in the polls when he announced the Muslim ban because all ordinary Republicans understood that this is a sensible measure.

04:22:51.000 And it was just the cuck politicians in DC, the Jeb Bushes and the Marco Rubios, like, oh, we have to be better than this. 0.96

04:22:56.000 Islam's a religion of peace.

04:22:58.000 George W. Bush said that.

04:23:00.000 You know, they imitated George W. Bush's model after 9 11 going to a mosque and saying, we love Islam.

04:23:06.000 I mean, compare that to Emmanuel Macron, who's like waging war on Islam right now.

04:23:12.000 You know, Macron is more based than the average Republican.

04:23:16.000 Chew on that for a moment.

04:23:17.000 But yeah, Trump connects in a way, and there's going to be people like Holly.

04:23:22.000 I think he's the worst offender who's going to present this nice, neutered, diet Trumpism that's going to be shorn of all of the elements that actually drew people to Trump, and it's just not going to work.

04:23:33.000 Right.

04:23:33.000 There's no one, there really is no one like Trump.

04:23:36.000 There really is no one like him.

04:23:38.000 I mean, his son's not like him.

04:23:40.000 Tucker's good, but his son's not like him.

04:23:42.000 You know, you can tell, you know, his son's even trying to talk more like him.

04:23:45.000 Maybe he's planning on running in the future, but.

04:23:47.000 No one's really like Trump.

04:23:49.000 Maybe Tucker is close.

04:23:50.000 I do want to mention something.

04:23:52.000 In Arizona, we got 75% of the votes reported in Arizona.

04:23:57.000 Biden's up by 200,000.

04:24:00.000 He's actually outperforming his vote totals from 2016 by about 100,000 votes.

04:24:13.000 But I think that there's a lot more votes to be counted because we're only at 77% reporting in Arizona.

04:24:18.000 I think there's a lot more votes to be counted in Maricopa County and some of those other.

04:24:23.000 Bigger counties in Arizona.

04:24:24.000 So we'll have to wait to see.

04:24:26.000 I'm not worried about Arizona for right now.

04:24:28.000 I did want to mention something else, just tailing off of what Nick was talking about in regards to President Trump's executive order that would allow him to swiftly get rid of thousands of federal workers for disloyalty.

04:24:39.000 He also came out and basically said that he's going to fire FBI Director Christopher Wray, CIA Director Gina Haspel, and Mark Esper if he gets reelected, along with Dr. Fauci, suggesting that he's probably going to go completely scorched earth after the election.

04:24:55.000 And then on top of that, We see these reports coming out, and I covered this on my show from The Guardian that Stephen Miller has a drawer full of executive orders on immigration that were just too radical to push through before the election, including birthright citizenship and a few other things.

04:25:11.000 They're saying that he's going to bust open this drawer after Donald Trump gets reelected.

04:25:15.000 So just imagine this scenario.

04:25:17.000 Donald Trump's reelected.

04:25:18.000 Day one, he fires Christopher Wray.

04:25:20.000 He fires Gina Haspell.

04:25:21.000 He fires Mark Hesper.

04:25:22.000 He fires Dr. Fauci.

04:25:24.000 He replaces Robert C. O'Brien with someone like a Douglas McGregor.

04:25:28.000 And then Stephen Miller comes rushing into his office and kicks open his drawer full of these immigration executive orders and just starts handing them one by one to President Trump as he's signing them.

04:25:38.000 I mean, we're in store for probably a full on scorched earth if Donald Trump does get reelected. 0.84

04:25:45.000 And this really goes in the face of a lot of those black pillars out there, even the ones, not just the ones who said, I'm completely done with politics, we should get out in the streets and commit violence, but the ones like others, maybe we shouldn't mention, who said that they're going to vote for Joe Biden because he's going to further. 0.80

04:26:00.000 Our policies. 0.85

04:26:01.000 He's going to help us accomplish the things that we believe in.

04:26:04.000 Meanwhile, Joe Biden's promising to increase the refugee cap to 250,000, which is 150,000 higher than Barack Obama in his last year of his presidency.

04:26:14.000 And then also promising to grant amnesty to everyone illegally here, which could be 30 million people.

04:26:21.000 It's absolutely ridiculous to me to suggest that we should vote for Biden or give up on the political process altogether when we're seeing these things happen right now.

04:26:31.000 And it's not just talk.

04:26:32.000 Look at the action that Trump.

04:26:34.000 Has already that Trump has that we've seen from Trump already in the last six months.

04:26:38.000 I mean, we're talking about a 92% reduction in immigration.

04:26:42.000 And yeah, maybe 30% of that is due to COVID 19, but the rest of that is due to President Trump and the public charge rule, the Wait in Mexico policy.

04:26:50.000 The wall's already built and it's driving illegal immigration.

04:26:53.000 Even the Washington Post admitted that a lot of the illegal immigration that the CBP is experiencing right now is on the water and like in mountainous regions.

04:27:01.000 So the wall's driving them to those more, you know, more of those regions where it's harder to get across and it's easier for CBP to pick you up. 0.66

04:27:11.000 We're looking at the refugee capital. 0.99

04:27:13.000 Being reduced. 1.00

04:27:14.000 I mean, there are so many wins from President Trump already within the last six months, and plus more wins to come.

04:27:21.000 And I just don't understand these, as you call them, black pillars.

04:27:24.000 But we should take a look at Arizona too.

04:27:26.000 That's the reason why I wanted to chime in.

04:27:29.000 Yeah.

04:27:29.000 No, go ahead, Nick.

04:27:32.000 I was going to say about Arizona that, yeah, it's 75% in and we're behind by 8%.

04:27:32.000 No, no.

04:27:38.000 So I don't know that much about Arizona, but it looks like.

04:27:44.000 Almost all of Maricopa is in, and that's obviously the biggest district by far.

04:27:51.000 I'm wondering what the turnout is like in these smaller districts if we can make it up.

04:27:56.000 I don't know the demographics.

04:27:57.000 It's not significant enough.

04:27:59.000 It's not significant enough to make it up, no.

04:28:01.000 Not looking very good.

04:28:02.000 So we'll keep an eye on there.

04:28:05.000 But, you know, we don't know.

04:28:06.000 Killing in the chat, no way.

04:28:07.000 He could definitely make it up.

04:28:09.000 Just believe.

04:28:10.000 Yeah, it's only 77% reporting in Maricopa.

04:28:14.000 We don't have anything from Nevada, and it's still early in Wisconsin, Michigan, PA, Minnesota, and we're up.

04:28:20.000 We're up in all those states.

04:28:21.000 Yeah, he's taking a lead in PA and Ohio.

04:28:23.000 Ohio commanding lead.

04:28:25.000 And they say in Wisconsin that Biden is severely underperforming in Milwaukee so far, and I don't know if that will hold.

04:28:33.000 They've got 28% in, but they say that Biden is really behind there.

04:28:37.000 I'm hoping that you have this big effect from the riots in Wisconsin.

04:28:43.000 I'm hoping that you have a big effect from Kenosha and.

04:28:46.000 Who knows?

04:28:46.000 I mean, Milwaukee's not a great area, and maybe there's some spillover even for Minneapolis.

04:28:51.000 I'd hope that there's some impact.

04:28:52.000 So, I mean, I wouldn't, don't get me wrong.

04:28:55.000 I mean, the polls were much closer for Arizona than they were for any of these Midwestern states.

04:28:59.000 But once again, you know, it goes back to this pathway to victory argument that Biden's got to win Arizona, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

04:29:10.000 We really only need to win one or some combination of like Minnesota and one or Wisconsin and one or something like that.

04:29:17.000 So that's why it's, uh, You know, we're not.

04:29:21.000 And I say we can't get too optimistic.

04:29:23.000 I know earlier we were saying, like, oh, he's already done it.

04:29:26.000 You know, it still is up for grabs.

04:29:29.000 I mean, Biden can still win here.

04:29:31.000 But it is just looking good.

04:29:34.000 It'll be close either way.

04:29:36.000 Then again, it may not be.

04:29:37.000 I mean, we'll have to see what the turnout's like in Michigan and Wisconsin.

04:29:40.000 But the betting odds are falling.

04:29:42.000 Trump was up at 78% at one point, he is down to 68%.

04:29:48.000 And it's fluctuating.

04:29:51.000 Still good, don't get me wrong.

04:29:52.000 But you don't think there's an extra 200,000 votes in Maricopa County?

04:29:56.000 I mean, there could be.

04:29:58.000 I'm just saying that it's looking a little bit like it's not going to be as decisive as it is.

04:30:02.000 Well, Jaden just informed us that a large percentage of Arizona was early voting, according to the New York Times.

04:30:08.000 So the 23% is coming from today.

04:30:10.000 And obviously, the 23% would be overwhelmingly in favor of Trump.

04:30:15.000 I don't know if that's enough to get Trump over the hump, but we'll see.

04:30:20.000 You know, another update is violence is already starting to break out in D.C.

04:30:23.000 Yeah, I saw that. 0.67

04:30:24.000 The whole video of a guy getting beaten with a Bat, who looked like, I guess, a stereotypical Republican.

04:30:30.000 He's in a suit and surrounded by Antifa, and they're beating him with a bat.

04:30:35.000 So, you know, it's only 10 30.

04:30:38.000 So, you know, the night is young.

04:30:42.000 So, I mean, it probably is going to get very bad in D.C.

04:30:46.000 I haven't seen the type of violence that was just witnessed.

04:30:49.000 Usually they break it up and they're not using actual weapons in these types of melees.

04:30:54.000 But it seems like they're more prepared tonight and they're more eager for an acceleration of the violence that we haven't even seen before.

04:31:05.000 And this could be very well happened in cities all across the country.

04:31:09.000 Tommy Tuberville won, by the way, guys.

04:31:11.000 Yeah, I don't like Tuberville, but, you know, that was a spook that the Democrats had that sentencing.

04:31:16.000 So, you know, it's whatever.

04:31:17.000 But, yeah, I did want to shift gears a little bit and talk about the post election violence.

04:31:22.000 What do you guys think is coming here?

04:31:24.000 I mean, how long do you think it'll last?

04:31:25.000 How severe do you think it'll be?

04:31:27.000 Is it overblown or are we actually underestimating the violence?

04:31:31.000 I want to hear your guys' take on where this is headed tonight and in the coming weeks as far as civil unrest goes.

04:31:38.000 Because we haven't actually touched on that all night so far.

04:31:42.000 Oh, yeah, there's guaranteed violence.

04:31:43.000 I mean, it saw this with the summer.

04:31:45.000 I mean, they can get violent over anything.

04:31:48.000 And even the week leading up, I mean, we had really bad rioting in Philly.

04:31:53.000 There was rioting in D.C.

04:31:55.000 I think there was even rioting going on in New York City.

04:31:58.000 There is definitely the capacity for violence that we didn't see in past years.

04:32:02.000 I thought that when Trump won in 2016, we were going to see massive civil unrest.

04:32:07.000 That, of course, didn't happen.

04:32:09.000 We're definitely going to see that this time because anytime there are large gatherings of protesters and demonstrators, They will use violence, and there is an acceptance of violence on the left that there wasn't in 2016.

04:32:21.000 They're willing to do it, they know they can get away with it.

04:32:25.000 Antifa is trained and organized in a manner that they weren't in 2016 and 2017.

04:32:31.000 Uh, you know, they're seeing these vans going around the country passing out weapons and training people and organizing.

04:32:40.000 Oh, we're going to see that very well here.

04:32:42.000 And there's a reason why all these businesses were boarding up in Los Angeles, DC, New York, and Several other places as well, as they know violence will be expected.

04:32:53.000 And I don't know whether it will just be a repeat of what we saw this summer or if it will be worse.

04:33:00.000 I mean, of course, all we have to base on is these few videos we're seeing out of DC.

04:33:05.000 But based on that one video, I hadn't seen just like the kind of brutal mob beating from Antifa types.

04:33:13.000 I think we saw that a little bit in the first wave of George Floyd protests.

04:33:17.000 There was this guy in Dallas who charged at him with a knife or something.

04:33:21.000 And then he got really.

04:33:24.000 Beaten up there.

04:33:25.000 But I think we're going to just see.

04:33:28.000 I think if they catch people coming from like, you know, parties that they think were in support of Trump or they see people with suits, that you're going to see, you know, the type of brutal assaults that we didn't witness.

04:33:41.000 You know, after when, you know, Trump had the RNC at the White House and there's people coming out and they were accosted and shoved and they were yelled at and spit at, but they weren't necessarily beaten.

04:33:53.000 I think you're going to start seeing that now where they'll.

04:33:56.000 Like, if they think that someone is a Republican or a Trump voter, they'll enact serious violence against them.

04:34:05.000 And of course, the police aren't going to do anything about it.

04:34:07.000 And, you know, they'll probably go away.

04:34:09.000 But of course, if your car may have slightly skidded against a Biden volunteer trailing the Biden bus in Texas, the FBI will, of course, investigate you.

04:34:21.000 And this will be seen as the worst act of terrorism in United States history, is for you to, if you're a Biden staffer and being a terrible driver, And getting slightly rammed into by a Trump supporting pickup truck.

04:34:33.000 And yeah, that's going to get the full power of the state.

04:34:36.000 But if you're Antifa just beating up a random person with you and your friends, you can go get away with it.

04:34:42.000 And the media will pretend it didn't happen. 0.86

04:34:44.000 And they'll blame that violence on white supremacist agitators.

04:34:48.000 So yeah, that's another one last thing I want to point out, and not to hog the whole time the media, if you look at any of the articles coming out about warning of election unrest and all these fears that we're going to see serious violence.

04:35:03.000 They only talk about white supremacist agitators and the militiamen and the Gretchen Whitmer kidnap plot.

04:35:10.000 You would have imagined that there were no riots and no unrest coming from the left.

04:35:15.000 Portland had never existed.

04:35:17.000 Kenosha never existed.

04:35:19.000 Minneapolis was totally peaceful.

04:35:22.000 That there was no violence coming from Black Lives Matter and Antifa. 1.00

04:35:25.000 All the violence is just coming from stupid militiamen in Michigan who got entrapped by the FBI and these phantom white supremacist agitators who have yet to be caught. 1.00

04:35:36.000 Or Kyle Rittenhouse, who fired his weapon in self defense. 0.99

04:35:40.000 But yet, all the violence is blamed on the right, and none of these media outlets even dare mention Antifa and BLM as instigators of the violence.

04:35:51.000 We have some numbers coming out of Iowa right now.

04:35:54.000 Also, Trump has a commanding lead, a very large lead in Ohio.

04:35:59.000 He also has a pretty large lead in Pennsylvania.

04:36:03.000 Even without Arizona, I was just looking at the map here.

04:36:06.000 Like, if Arizona goes blue, if Minnesota goes blue, and Wisconsin goes blue, and even Pennsylvania goes blue, but we get, and I've said this before, but we get Michigan, and this is even with Arizona going blue, if Donald Trump can't make up that extra 200,000 votes there in Maricopa County, Donald Trump has a commanding lead in Michigan right now by over almost 400,000 votes in Michigan,

04:36:32.000 and Biden is underperforming in Milwaukee and other counties in Michigan too.

04:36:39.000 So, if Biden gets Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Arizona, and even Pennsylvania, we can still win with Michigan and Ohio, which he has a commanding lead into right now.

04:36:50.000 But yeah, the numbers are starting to come out in Iowa.

04:36:56.000 I think actually he's going to be able to make up the deficit in Maricopa County because Joe Biden already has 100,000 more votes than Hillary Clinton got in Maricopa County.

04:37:07.000 So I can only imagine that, you know, because those vote totals came in right away.

04:37:13.000 As soon as New York Times reported on it, It came in right away, 75% reporting.

04:37:17.000 So I understand what you're saying there, Scott, about the, you know, probably most of this being early voting and mail in voting.

04:37:23.000 I think he'll be able to make it up, but we'll see how this goes on.

04:37:27.000 As far as like the violence is concerned, the violence appears to be, as I'm looking at my Twitter feed, appears to be escalating very quickly as the betting odds change in Trump's favor.

04:37:37.000 The violence escalates as we see that the tickers go.

04:37:40.000 It looks like the New York Times has completely gotten rid of their tickers, by the way.

04:37:43.000 Every state that opens up, the ticker is completely.

04:37:46.000 Completely gone.

04:37:46.000 So you might be right about that whole thing, Nick, where the ticker from last time made Sally Cohn take her dog's Xanax.

04:37:56.000 And they might want to change this in the future as far as the ticker is concerned.

04:37:59.000 But I'm looking at my Twitter feed and I'm seeing this violence.

04:38:02.000 It looks like it's escalating.

04:38:03.000 I think it'll be really bad if Trump wins.

04:38:05.000 It will be really bad if Trump wins.

04:38:07.000 And the whole thing with the whole Zoom call.

04:38:09.000 Did you guys see this?

04:38:10.000 There was this Zoom call with a bunch of federal workers, people who work with the DHS and otherwise.

04:38:16.000 Planning out their targets and talking about breaking into federal buildings, breaking the windows of these federal buildings, and occupying the White House and so forth.

04:38:26.000 This actually drove the White House to build this quote non scalable wall.

04:38:30.000 It was very scalable, but this quote non scalable wall around the White House.

04:38:35.000 And this is only going to continue, especially as Donald Trump's lead, as it becomes more and more likely that Donald Trump will win the election.

04:38:47.000 I think you're right about the.

04:38:50.000 I actually, I think you said something earlier about Arizona.

04:38:54.000 You said that if we just win Michigan, we can't win with just Michigan.

04:39:01.000 And not Arizona and Minnesota and Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

04:39:05.000 We need Michigan plus one more.

04:39:08.000 Yeah, that's what I was saying.

04:39:10.000 Michigan, if we get Michigan, I'm looking at it right now, unless I have a state incorrect.

04:39:18.000 If we get Michigan, they can take Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Arizona.

04:39:23.000 I have Trump at 277.

04:39:25.000 Nah, he gets 265.

04:39:27.000 Wait, what?

04:39:28.000 He might have.

04:39:29.000 Yeah, Michigan's only 16.

04:39:30.000 So we would need at least.

04:39:33.000 We would need Arizona or Virginia or Nevada, Wisconsin, Minnesota, or Pennsylvania.

04:39:39.000 We would need one additional.

04:39:40.000 And that's going to be the trick where among Arizona, Nevada, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Virginia are we going to get the one or the two states?

04:39:50.000 I guess we need two in any scenario.

04:39:53.000 Yeah, we need at least two more.

04:39:55.000 And I guess any combination works except for Arizona and Nevada.

04:40:00.000 But we need some combination here.

04:40:02.000 Otherwise, we're not going to pull it off between these two.

04:40:05.000 Oh, you know what it was? 0.95

04:40:08.000 I had Virginia.

04:40:09.000 I think I had Virginia as red for some reason.

04:40:11.000 Yeah, let's see.

04:40:12.000 Well, yeah, because I mean, it's in play.

04:40:14.000 Don't get me wrong, it's in play.

04:40:15.000 But yeah, I did the same thing earlier.

04:40:16.000 I had Illinois red.

04:40:17.000 I'm like, it doesn't matter.

04:40:20.000 And it's like I had Illinois red.

04:40:22.000 But so I'm just talking to a buddy of mine from the campaign.

04:40:29.000 He says the mood at the campaign is very optimistic right now at the campaign HQ, which is exciting.

04:40:35.000 I like to hear that stuff from on the ground because they, I'm sure, probably have.

04:40:39.000 Much more up to date data than we do.

04:40:41.000 But let's take a look here at the timeline.

04:40:44.000 And by the way, we're coming up on 10 o'clock, so we're probably going to shift our cast over and we're going to bring on Jake, Patrick, and Jaden and Beardson are going to shift over here at 10 o'clock.

04:40:57.000 And you guys are welcome to come back probably at like 2 a.m.

04:41:01.000 If we're still going, it may all be over by then, but you guys are welcome to come back if it's called or if it's not called by 2, and we could do that.

04:41:08.000 But that'll be in about 15 minutes, just giving you guys a heads up.

04:41:11.000 And we'll transition over.

04:41:13.000 But yeah, I mean, so far, we're halfway through here.

04:41:16.000 We're halfway through sort of the planned coverage.

04:41:19.000 And it's a lot of surprises.

04:41:20.000 It's a lot of good stuff.

04:41:22.000 In Pennsylvania, we're up by 12 points.

04:41:26.000 We're up by 12 points in Pennsylvania with 62 to 73% in.

04:41:31.000 That's good.

04:41:33.000 Then we can lose Arizona then.

04:41:35.000 Yes, yes.

04:41:36.000 If we win Pennsylvania, that's 20 votes. 0.99

04:41:38.000 That's a big fucking deal. 0.99

04:41:40.000 It looks like Mark. 0.99

04:41:41.000 Sally is going to lose. 1.00

04:41:43.000 She's even pulling behind Trump, but McSally kind of sucks. 1.00

04:41:48.000 And everyone is pulling behind him. 0.99

04:41:49.000 She was dragging him down.

04:41:51.000 But yeah, this is looking really good here.

04:41:54.000 Democrat senator won there last time around in 2018 for the first time in 25 years, Democrat senator.

04:42:02.000 And this will be the first time a class two senator wins there if McSally doesn't do well in, I think, 60 years in Arizona.

04:42:11.000 So bad news for Arizona.

04:42:14.000 Somebody says, though, that Arizona's looking how North Carolina and Ohio looked an hour ago.

04:42:18.000 I don't know if that's 100% true, but I mean, it is worth pointing out that Ohio was looking bad.

04:42:24.000 Although, as more people turned out in Ohio, Trump's lead grew to like six points.

04:42:29.000 There's a higher reported results in Arizona.

04:42:33.000 Actually, I actually agree with that person. 1.00

04:42:36.000 Only kecking allowed here. 0.96

04:42:38.000 He's going to win Arizona.

04:42:38.000 No black pill.

04:42:39.000 Shut the sky, man.

04:42:41.000 I don't know.

04:42:42.000 I mean, we'll see.

04:42:44.000 Arizona.

04:42:45.000 Trust the plan.

04:42:46.000 He's going to get 400 electoral votes, even though I don't think that's possible for him, but he's definitely going to happen.

04:42:53.000 Trust the plan.

04:42:55.000 You have to imagine, if you look at Trump, he has 656,000 votes in Maricopa County.

04:43:00.000 Last time around in 2016, he had 750,000 in Maricopa County.

04:43:05.000 Unless 100,000 Trump voters aren't showing up for some reason, that just doesn't make any sense to me.

04:43:11.000 And Joe Biden's.

04:43:13.000 Overall in Arizona, like the turnout in general.

04:43:16.000 Right.

04:43:16.000 Well, Joe Biden has over 100,000 more than Hillary Clinton did in Maricopa County than.

04:43:21.000 In 2016.

04:43:22.000 So he's getting a higher overall state.

04:43:25.000 The turnout is like much higher.

04:43:26.000 Like there's more people voting.

04:43:28.000 Yes.

04:43:31.000 So maybe you can.

04:43:32.000 Oh, bad news.

04:43:33.000 Maybe it won't be as insurmountable as the 100,000 were in 2016, since there's just more people voting in general.

04:43:41.000 I don't know if it.

04:43:42.000 Well, I have to.

04:43:43.000 I'm going to look up these numbers before, you know, we all have to leave.

04:43:46.000 I want to check this out.

04:43:51.000 All right.

04:43:52.000 Well, um, Have you brought in them yet or no?

04:43:57.000 I'm going to bring them in in 10 minutes.

04:43:59.000 But you got to use more time, Vince.

04:44:02.000 Don't want to be rushing away.

04:44:04.000 You can give up your spot to Beardson and Jaden and Patrick so easily.

04:44:10.000 You're just like, wow, I just want these people to come and replace me.

04:44:14.000 Replace me.

04:44:15.000 I'm just trying to assess what the odds are that we're going to do well in the Midwest.

04:44:21.000 Because, I mean, don't get me wrong.

04:44:23.000 I think it's possible that we could flip a Midwestern state or I should say, Keep a Midwestern state like Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania.

04:44:32.000 But I keep thinking, and I know I shouldn't be, but I keep thinking about these polls where the average had Biden ahead by like six in Michigan and had him way ahead in Wisconsin.

04:44:41.000 And Pennsylvania, Biden's up two and a half from the polling average, and then they're going to dump all these mail in ballots in 12 minutes.

04:44:50.000 They said at 10 o'clock they're going to dump all these right here in the New York Times, they're going to dump 21,000 mail in ballots.

04:44:56.000 So, I mean, don't get me wrong.

04:44:58.000 I think it's definitely possible that he flips one of these, but it's like, I keep going back to these polls, and I'm wondering, are there votes that we're not counting here?

04:45:05.000 Are there votes that are going to come in and flip it?

04:45:08.000 Because you really can't base it on 40% turnout.

04:45:12.000 I mean, look at Ohio.

04:45:13.000 Ohio was at that level of turnout, and it was Biden, and then it flipped to Trump, and it still is not even called their complete yet.

04:45:21.000 So I'm a little bit nervous.

04:45:23.000 They say that there was a bellwether county in Wisconsin, which started with a P. Let me see if I could find it.

04:45:30.000 I forget which one it was, but they said that one of these.

04:45:34.000 Bellwether counties in Wisconsin pulled away and went for Trump.

04:45:39.000 And if that's indicative of the rest of the state, then we're in good shape.

04:45:41.000 This Fond du Lac, however, they say that's indicative of maybe a Trump victory in Wisconsin.

04:45:48.000 And then there was one other, it was, I don't know, I'll pull it up on Twitter.

04:45:54.000 That's where I saw it.

04:45:55.000 But I mean, they're saying these Bellwether counties are going for Trump.

04:45:59.000 I find it hard to believe that Trump wins 45%, supposedly with Hispanics in Florida.

04:46:05.000 But he's struggling in Arizona.

04:46:07.000 I mean, what's confusing to me is why, you know, maybe the Midwest is in play, but not Arizona.

04:46:12.000 I thought supposedly we were doing so bad with whites, or at least not performing where we were in 2016 with whites, but overperforming with Hispanics. 0.69

04:46:22.000 And yet, Arizona appears to be a struggle, and these Midwestern states are more up for grabs. 0.72

04:46:27.000 I don't know.

04:46:29.000 The numbers in Arizona are, I mean, of course, up.

04:46:32.000 I mean, it was 2.3 million had already cast a ballot four days ago in that state.

04:46:38.000 And in 2016, it was a little over.

04:46:41.000 2.6 million who would count it off.

04:46:44.000 And I'm pretty sure there was way more than 300,000 people who voted today in the state.

04:46:48.000 I mean, maybe even possibly a million, if not more.

04:46:52.000 So there is 100,000 votes, as I was saying, may not be insurmountable.

04:46:57.000 I'm trying to find how many people cast a ballot in Arizona.

04:47:01.000 It's not giving me the data yet, but it's clearly far more than 2.6 million in 2016.

04:47:08.000 And so maybe, you know, maybe Trump.

04:47:12.000 We'll have enough in the 28% that hasn't been counted to overcome this disadvantage he has right now.

04:47:21.000 Look at Iowa, too.

04:47:24.000 What's going on in Iowa?

04:47:27.000 If you look at Iowa, it looks like in Iowa, Biden is up by about 100,000 votes or so, but it looks like most of the votes have been counted in Iowa.

04:47:47.000 In the blue counties.

04:47:48.000 And in fact, Donald Trump is outperforming his numbers while Joe Biden is underperforming his numbers in a couple of counties there, including Lynn County and Polk County.

04:48:01.000 So good news and bad news at the same time.

04:48:04.000 So, Hillary, well.

04:48:05.000 Has New Hampshire been fully called yet by ever?

04:48:07.000 I don't think AP's called New Hampshire yet.

04:48:10.000 Okay.

04:48:11.000 It's close.

04:48:11.000 Nope.

04:48:12.000 It's very close, just like it was last time.

04:48:14.000 Wasn't it like 6,000 votes?

04:48:15.000 Apparently, Trump is leading in Maine, even though only 22% is reporting.

04:48:20.000 I don't think he'll win, Maine.

04:48:21.000 I think other people had called Maine for Biden, but AP has not called it yet for Biden.

04:48:29.000 Yeah, they did call it for Biden earlier, but Maine was another close one in 16.

04:48:34.000 I mean, it wasn't as close as New Hampshire and Minnesota, but I believe it was only 2% or 3% that Biden won in Maine.

04:48:41.000 So it's interesting, though.

04:48:43.000 I mean, North Carolina, we took.

04:48:45.000 New York Times gives them a 95% plus chance.

04:48:48.000 Florida, we're in.

04:48:49.000 Georgia, they haven't called, but I mean, it's looking really good there.

04:48:52.000 It's kind of amazing these states I thought we'd struggle in, but.

04:48:55.000 I mean, it looks like we're pulling away with these guys.

04:48:58.000 It just comes down to these.

04:48:59.000 And that's what we said. 0.56

04:49:01.000 It's going to come down to the eight.

04:49:02.000 Michigan, especially.

04:49:05.000 No more reason to blackpill about Ohio.

04:49:08.000 I think he's exceeded.

04:49:09.000 What is he up to? 1.00

04:49:10.000 Holy shit. 1.00

04:49:11.000 By 500. 0.99

04:49:12.000 He's up by almost 500,000 votes in Ohio.

04:49:15.000 He's also up by 400,000 votes in Pennsylvania, which is really good with 38% reporting.

04:49:22.000 In Michigan, I know what you're talking about.

04:49:24.000 Like the polls, the RCP average even had Biden plus five in Michigan.

04:49:29.000 They had Biden plus six or something like that in Wisconsin as well.

04:49:37.000 And Donald Trump is doing very well right now in Michigan, even with 40, 30% more to go in Wayne County and Oakland County.

04:49:51.000 But he's outperforming, like I said, in Oakland County and Wayne County in Michigan.

04:49:57.000 Donald Trump has outperformed his vote totals of 2016, just as he's outperformed his vote totals in.

04:50:04.000 Iowa, in Polk County, and in Cedar County.

04:50:09.000 So it's worth noting with Iowa that Biden is outperforming Hillary Clinton in a number of rural counties.

04:50:16.000 In Polk, yeah, in Polk County.

04:50:18.000 Well, not only in the rural counties, but even in Des Moines, in Polk County, and then in Cedar Rapids.

04:50:24.000 Joe Biden in Polk County has right now 143,000 votes with 93% reporting.

04:50:31.000 In 2016, Hillary Clinton.

04:50:34.000 I had 119,000 votes in Polk County.

04:50:38.000 But the good news is that Donald Trump had 93,000 votes in Polk County in 2016.

04:50:44.000 And right now, Donald Trump has 104,000 in Polk County with 94% reporting.

04:50:51.000 So most of those votes in those blue counties in Iowa have been reported.

04:50:57.000 Now the rest of the state is basically red.

04:51:00.000 So not to worry in Iowa.

04:51:02.000 And really, not to worry.

04:51:03.000 It doesn't look like we're going to have to worry in many of these states.

04:51:07.000 Maybe we'll have to see what happens in Arizona.

04:51:09.000 We haven't had it.

04:51:10.000 It could almost be called because it's nearly 88.

04:51:13.000 It's over 88% that's in.

04:51:16.000 If you said half a million up, I don't know how.

04:51:19.000 They haven't even called Florida yet.

04:51:23.000 They haven't even called Florida yet.

04:51:24.000 I know.

04:51:26.000 I think it's like 93% is there that's already been counted?

04:51:30.000 Yep.

04:51:30.000 94.

04:51:33.000 Same thing with North Carolina.

04:51:35.000 I don't know why.

04:51:36.000 Well, it's very close.

04:51:38.000 Well, Florida has a Republican state government, so they'll probably force, you know, they'll call it.

04:51:44.000 I mean, Broward County is trying to figure out how many votes they can finagle.

04:51:48.000 Yeah, exactly.

04:51:49.000 Exactly.

04:51:51.000 And just like, oh, we found all these ballots stored away in the post office.

04:51:56.000 And it's surprisingly the number of ballots we need.

04:51:59.000 So I, but I think Broward County may realize that they can't have any election trickery, that the lead is just so insurmountable that they're going to have to concede.

04:52:10.000 So hopefully that happens.

04:52:13.000 Betting odds 69% for Trump on action.

04:52:20.000 Let's see, predict it.

04:52:23.000 Joe Biden's climbed 10% in the last 20 minutes.

04:52:27.000 Oh, okay.

04:52:28.000 What is the final on predict it?

04:52:30.000 Trump is at 66.

04:52:31.000 Biden's at 40.

04:52:33.000 Okay, so very close then to action.

04:52:37.000 Well, he still has the advantage.

04:52:37.000 Okay.

04:52:38.000 I mean, that's like much better.

04:52:40.000 I mean, what were these this morning?

04:52:42.000 What was the advantage?

04:52:44.000 It was reversed.

04:52:45.000 It was reversed.

04:52:46.000 Basically, like 65.

04:52:47.000 Go ahead.

04:52:49.000 Yeah, this is looking very good.

04:52:52.000 I'm not seeing any numbers, many numbers from Nevada.

04:52:55.000 When does Nevada close?

04:52:57.000 They closed already.

04:52:59.000 No, they closed in a few minutes, right?

04:53:01.000 10 p.m. Eastern Time.

04:53:02.000 Oh, yeah.

04:53:03.000 They closed an hour ago.

04:53:06.000 Yeah.

04:53:06.000 No, wait.

04:53:08.000 Or at least AP, nothing's in.

04:53:10.000 Well, they've counted nothing from Arizona in a long time.

04:53:13.000 Nothing from Nevada.

04:53:15.000 Right.

04:53:15.000 We haven't seen anything from Arizona yet.

04:53:17.000 Since the last time.

04:53:17.000 Slowing down.

04:53:20.000 Yeah, things are looking good in Wisconsin with 54% reporting in.

04:53:26.000 Trump is up 51.3% to Biden's, up by four points.

04:53:32.000 Where do you see that?

04:53:34.000 I only see 41% in Wisconsin.

04:53:36.000 I'm looking at Associated Press's numbers.

04:53:38.000 Ah, okay.

04:53:38.000 Let me pull that one up.

04:53:40.000 Wait.

04:53:40.000 You can just Google it uses Associated Press.

04:53:43.000 We may not like Google.

04:53:44.000 Maybe you can duck duck go it, but you can find Associated Press's numbers.

04:53:49.000 And it's 54% reporting in.

04:53:51.000 It looks like Milwaukee and Madison, all the blue counties are, you know, they have a significant number in.

04:54:00.000 I don't know if they have most of them in, but it's looking good for Trump right now.

04:54:06.000 Yeah, 64% in, and they've got less in Michigan.

04:54:12.000 42% in Pennsylvania, and we're winning.

04:54:15.000 Man, this is looking pretty solid.

04:54:19.000 If we're going to keep messing around with this map a little bit, let's say we get Wisconsin.

04:54:24.000 Let's say we get Michigan.

04:54:26.000 Game over.

04:54:29.000 What website exactly is.

04:54:29.000 That's it.

04:54:31.000 What is the.

04:54:33.000 Let's Google.

04:54:34.000 Well, just Google.

04:54:35.000 Just say Arizona results and it'll give you Associated Press.

04:54:39.000 And then you can go to the map and show all states and then you can monitor it.

04:54:43.000 I see.

04:54:45.000 Hopefully, us can figure this out. 0.99

04:54:48.000 You know, us millennials are technically deficient.

04:54:50.000 Yeah, this is way faster than Arizona.

04:54:52.000 I noticed there was a massive delay on the New York Times stuff, the New York Times numbers, where NBC had it quicker.

04:55:00.000 And I was like, for some reason, the New York Times is behind some of these.

04:55:06.000 And I have to pay. 0.98

04:55:07.000 I have to pay for a fucking, excuse my language. 0.99

04:55:12.000 I have to pay for a subscription to the New York Times so that I can be able to access all of this great and wonderful content that they provide us. 0.99

04:55:20.000 But they're slower than the free stuff.

04:55:25.000 Yeah, just look at Google.

04:55:27.000 Yeah, it's much better numbers going on that I prefer on Associated Press.

04:55:31.000 And social media is relying on Associated Press callings to allow on their websites.

04:55:37.000 I think either Twitter or Facebook announced that they would not allow any candidate to say they're the winner until Associated Press calls.

04:55:45.000 And when I worked at The Caller and most news outlets, they would refuse to call a race until AP called it.

04:55:51.000 AP is considered the gold standard. 0.90

04:55:55.000 Okay.

04:55:56.000 Okay.

04:55:57.000 Well, we're in good shape.

04:55:59.000 But it's exactly 10 o'clock.

04:56:01.000 So it's got to be that time, fellas.

04:56:04.000 So we're going to send you guys off and we're going to bring in our new panel.

04:56:08.000 We're going to bring in Jaden McNeil, Patrick Casey, Jake Lloyd, Beardson Beardley.

04:56:13.000 But before you guys go, I just want to hear from each of you guys one last time.

04:56:18.000 And I want you guys to tell everybody where, obviously, your channels on DLive, your social media, everything like that.

04:56:23.000 We have 47,000 people watching.

04:56:27.000 So plug whatever you got.

04:56:29.000 Tell people where they can find you.

04:56:30.000 And then why don't you give us a final take where you think things are headed?

04:56:33.000 And we could just go down the list.

04:56:34.000 We'll start with Scott.

04:56:37.000 Well, I just want to keep.

04:56:39.000 The audience to keep kecking, kecking out loud or KMAO, whatever you prefer.

04:56:45.000 And you can, of course, follow me on Twitter at Scott M. Greer.

04:56:48.000 And of course, watch and subscribe to Highly Respected, which is on YouTube at youtube.comslash highlyrespected.

04:56:56.000 So we should have a great episode this week, depending on how the results end up.

04:56:59.000 And I think trouble wins.

04:57:01.000 I'm still very confident, and you should not be blackpilling at all.

04:57:05.000 And any blackpilling should not be tolerated.

04:57:08.000 He's going to win Arizona.

04:57:09.000 Just keep thinking that.

04:57:11.000 Love it.

04:57:12.000 Yeah, no black pilling.

04:57:13.000 We're kecking.

04:57:14.000 It's a keck check.

04:57:15.000 All right, Steve, you're up.

04:57:18.000 I'm Steve Franson.

04:57:20.000 If you guys go on D Live right now, you can find me as F R A N S S E N.

04:57:26.000 That is the name of my D Live channel. 0.97

04:57:28.000 That's the best place to find me.

04:57:30.000 Otherwise, just look me up on YouTube, Steve Franson.

04:57:33.000 You'll see my funny analysis videos there, and you'll find all the relevant links in the information below the video.

04:57:41.000 Thank you.

04:57:42.000 Very good.

04:57:43.000 Thank you, Steve.

04:57:43.000 All right.

04:57:44.000 And we love Steve's YouTube channel.

04:57:46.000 He does great.

04:57:47.000 I'm like sweating.

04:57:48.000 I'm literally sweating over here.

04:57:50.000 It's 100 degrees.

04:57:51.000 So I'm wiping the sweat from my face.

04:57:53.000 Yeah, everybody check out Steve's YouTube channel.

04:57:53.000 But thank you, Steve.

04:57:55.000 It's great stuff.

04:57:56.000 And his DLive.

04:57:57.000 He does Saturday Night Vibe.

04:57:58.000 Epic show.

04:57:59.000 Highly respected, of course.

04:58:01.000 Great show by Scott.

04:58:02.000 And Vince, last but not least, certainly not least, what's going on with you?

04:58:06.000 Yeah, thanks for having me on.

04:58:07.000 I really appreciate it.

04:58:09.000 I remember coming on back during 2018, which, you know, turned out all right for the Senate, not too well for the House of Representatives.

04:58:17.000 But thanks for having me on.

04:58:18.000 You can find me on dlive.tv slash Vincent James.

04:58:22.000 I stream every day, Monday through Friday at least, 3 p.m. Pacific time, 6 p.m. Eastern time.

04:58:27.000 I haven't been as lucky as many of these people.

04:58:29.000 I'm not on YouTube any longer.

04:58:31.000 I've been permanently banned.

04:58:32.000 My channel of 300,000 subs wiped away.

04:58:35.000 So I'm on dlive.tv slash Vincent James every weekday and also BitChute, which seems to be back up for the time being.

04:58:42.000 So thanks for having me on.

04:58:43.000 I really do appreciate it, Nick.

04:58:45.000 Thanks a lot.

04:58:46.000 Well, and hey, thank you guys so much for joining us.

04:58:49.000 Really great commentary, top two stuff.

04:58:51.000 This is the most talented panel there is.

04:58:52.000 Everybody's brilliant and funny and everything.

04:58:56.000 And of course, I encourage everybody to check you guys out when you're doing your thing.

04:58:59.000 But thank you guys so much.

04:59:01.000 And hey, hey, good luck, everybody.

04:59:03.000 Good luck to you guys.

04:59:04.000 Hope you enjoy the rest of your night with the election.

04:59:08.000 So we're now.

04:59:10.000 So I'm going to take a look and see if everybody's still on the Discord.

04:59:13.000 Okay, I think Steve remains there.

04:59:15.000 But we're going to transition.

04:59:17.000 We're going to bring in the other guys.

04:59:18.000 We're going to bring in Jake and Jaden and Patrick.

04:59:22.000 I think Patrick's running a little bit behind.

04:59:24.000 He said that he is going to come on at 11 and not 10.

04:59:30.000 So I don't know what he is doing.

04:59:31.000 What is this guy doing?

04:59:33.000 But it hurts my ears to have these big.

04:59:39.000 Cans hanging off of them.

04:59:41.000 So we're going to wait on Patrick, but Jake and Jaden, and I think Beardson will be joining us shortly.

04:59:48.000 Jaden and Jake are already there, ready to go.

04:59:50.000 We're moving into the latter half.

04:59:53.000 We're already almost halfway over here, potentially.

04:59:56.000 I mean, it could go way on into the night, but as far as expected results go, we are, to get you an idea, about halfway through the night.

04:59:56.000 Who knows?

05:00:05.000 And looking so far very good.

05:00:07.000 To give you a quick recap, if you're just joining us, and I'll put out a little tweet here explaining where we are.

05:00:13.000 To give you a little recap of where we are, I'm going to go through all the numbers, sort of a check mark or a checkpoint.

05:00:19.000 We have on our betting odds, the betting odds have completely flipped.

05:00:24.000 And this is an aggregate of all the betting websites FTX, SmartKids, BetFair, PredictIt.

05:00:29.000 It's got Trump at 70.7%, which is a 34.8% increase over the past 24 hours.

05:00:36.000 We've been filling up our own map of all the states that are confirmed.

05:00:40.000 Now, we could fill in more states here, but this is what is 100%.

05:00:45.000 We have figured it out.

05:00:46.000 This is where the map stands so far Republicans with 154, Democrats 138.

05:00:51.000 On Associated Press, this is where the states are leaning.

05:00:55.000 It's looking like we're going to win Wisconsin and Michigan.

05:00:59.000 That little gold outline, I believe, means that it's likely Republican, and that it's tinted red means that Republicans are leaning.

05:01:07.000 So it's looking like we're going to pick up Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Ohio, Utah, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, maybe even Maine.

05:01:16.000 At least we're leading in Maine.

05:01:18.000 So this is kind of the state of the race, although.

05:01:20.000 They've got a lot more ballots to count.

05:01:22.000 They've got a lot more mail in ballots to count.

05:01:25.000 And there's still a lot of election left tonight.

05:01:26.000 But needless to say, at the halfway point, we can say this Trump is the favorite to win.

05:01:32.000 Whether he wins or not, whatever the pathway is, however close it is, he's now the favorite to win.

05:01:37.000 And it didn't take long.

05:01:38.000 It only took about an hour or two for him to surge from, and we saw in the Nate Silver forecast, they had him at 10% at the beginning of the day.

05:01:48.000 Now you take out Wisconsin and have the map of what we basically know.

05:01:51.000 And at the most conservative estimate, we could say that.

05:01:54.000 He's got at least a 56% chance of winning, and the people at the money on the line say that he's at a 70% chance of winning.

05:02:01.000 So, with the most conservative take, the most conservative speculation and estimation about the rest of the night, we could say at the bare minimum that Trump is wildly outperforming the polls, bigger even than in 2016.

05:02:15.000 He's not only competitive, but he is now the favorite to win.

05:02:19.000 All the pollsters were wrong, all the models were wrong, all the projections were wrong, everything that they expected about the election has been overturned.

05:02:28.000 Just like it was in 2016.

05:02:30.000 Now, there's still a chance that we come away with a loss.

05:02:33.000 I guess anything's possible.

05:02:33.000 It's possible.

05:02:35.000 And we could see states flip back and forth because of recounts and mail in votes and civil unrest.

05:02:42.000 And who knows what the next 24 hours and the next weeks and months will hold.

05:02:47.000 But at least for now, it's very optimistic.

05:02:50.000 And I could tell you the people on the campaign are optimistic.

05:02:53.000 I'm optimistic.

05:02:54.000 The pollsters are optimistic in terms of, I mean, they think it's likely that Trump will win.

05:03:00.000 So, at this time, 10 07 p.m. Central Time on November 3rd, 2020, it's looking like a great result.

05:03:08.000 And even if we don't win, it is a surprisingly good result.

05:03:11.000 We're about to bring on Jaden, Jake, and Beardson.

05:03:14.000 I'm going to pull a little tweet out here to remind everybody.

05:03:18.000 I'll also say a little checkpoint here.

05:03:21.000 We hit 52,000 live viewers over the past few hours.

05:03:26.000 That was our peak.

05:03:27.000 I think we're now down to about 47 or 48.

05:03:30.000 It's understandably slowing down because.

05:03:32.000 The results are not coming in.

05:03:35.000 You know, I mean, in Nevada, the results aren't coming in.

05:03:37.000 In Arizona, they're not coming in.

05:03:39.000 Very slow in the Midwest.

05:03:40.000 And this is typically what happens.

05:03:42.000 They all release, the early states are called, and then it's a bit of a slog when it's closer.

05:03:47.000 So this is to be expected.

05:03:49.000 But 52,000 viewers at our peak, bigger than Chapo.

05:03:53.000 We're right up there with the Young Turks virtually.

05:03:55.000 We're right up there with Tim Pool.

05:03:57.000 Huge, huge stream.

05:03:59.000 And I want to thank everybody for joining me.

05:04:01.000 Thanks for your super chats.

05:04:02.000 I don't know if I'll even be able to read all the super chats tonight, but.

05:04:06.000 I'll try to read as many as I can at the end of it whenever we conclude this stream.

05:04:10.000 Before we bring in Jaden and Jake and Beardson, I'm going to write out this tweet very quickly here.

05:04:18.000 And I'm going to say Trump blowout landslide imminent.

05:04:29.000 Jaden and Pat, I'll just say Trump.

05:04:31.000 I don't know if I'll announce that people are coming on.

05:04:33.000 I want to keep it short and sweet.

05:04:36.000 I'll put that in the reply.

05:04:37.000 Trump blowout landslide imminent.

05:04:41.000 Watch America first.

05:04:44.000 And let me harvest a quick picture here from 4chan.

05:04:46.000 Let me harvest a high energy and a rare Trump meme if I can find one very quickly.

05:04:52.000 And I'll throw it on there.

05:04:54.000 I'll tweet it out and then I'll move on to the next segment here.

05:04:57.000 And then we'll introduce our people.

05:04:59.000 So let's find what's the highest energy deal that we can find?

05:05:05.000 Apu or a Pepe?

05:05:07.000 And we can find.

05:05:10.000 I want to get another.

05:05:12.000 And these are a little stale.

05:05:13.000 I used that one already.

05:05:15.000 That one's not very good.

05:05:17.000 Let me see if I could find a good one.

05:05:19.000 I'll throw it up on Twitter and then we'll crack the sip.

05:05:22.000 This is sort of a momentous thing here.

05:05:25.000 So give me a sec.

05:05:27.000 You notice usually I'm harvesting these people.

05:05:29.000 Scott and Vince and Steve are talking, and I'm like scrolling through 4chan trying to find a good reaction image.

05:05:37.000 Let's see.

05:05:38.000 Let's take a look.

05:05:41.000 We've got to find one with a lot of replies here.

05:05:45.000 You know what?

05:05:46.000 I guess, is this one?

05:05:47.000 How big is this one?

05:05:49.000 This one's not very big.

05:05:51.000 I'll, you know what?

05:05:52.000 I think I'll just pull.

05:05:57.000 Is this okay?

05:05:57.000 How's this one?

05:06:01.000 That one's not loading.

05:06:02.000 How about this one?

05:06:03.000 I'll just throw this one up.

05:06:07.000 You're seeing the sausage being made here.

05:06:09.000 It's really.

05:06:11.000 Let's throw that up.

05:06:13.000 Okay, we've got the tweet.

05:06:15.000 So now we are halfway here.

05:06:17.000 I've thrown up the tweet.

05:06:18.000 Remind people to keep filling in here.

05:06:20.000 I've showed you where we are.

05:06:22.000 This is where we are.

05:06:23.000 It's looking good.

05:06:24.000 I mean, based on Associated Press's projection, we're leading in all these states.

05:06:30.000 Oh, you know what?

05:06:31.000 The gold just means battleground state.

05:06:33.000 It doesn't mean we're winning there yet.

05:06:34.000 Okay.

05:06:35.000 But we're watching all these states.

05:06:36.000 It's looking very good everywhere.

05:06:38.000 I'm getting a little bit low energy here.

05:06:41.000 My nasal cavity is closing up.

05:06:43.000 I'm getting tired.

05:06:43.000 It's late into the evening.

05:06:45.000 We've been streaming now for four hours.

05:06:48.000 So I'm going to crack the sip, and you got to do it with me. 0.99

05:06:52.000 If everybody's out there drinking their white monster, we're going to say cheers. 0.96

05:06:56.000 We're going to slunk. 0.97

05:06:57.000 MAGA hat on.

05:07:01.000 I'm going to get the Trump deal going.

05:07:03.000 We're going to get some music going.

05:07:05.000 And then I'll bring in Jaden.

05:07:08.000 Where's my Dragon Ball Z?

05:07:11.000 What the hell is it called?

05:07:15.000 We're going to get it going.

05:07:16.000 Once again, we have to build our energy back up.

05:07:18.000 Where is it?

05:07:22.000 I had it on Google Chrome.

05:07:29.000 Let me see.

05:07:33.000 Stereo Saiyan.

05:07:34.000 Here we go.

05:07:37.000 Let me pull it up and let's do it.

05:07:40.000 We're building our energy back up.

05:07:43.000 Oh, more energy tonight.

05:07:45.000 I like this.

05:07:48.000 Because we're hyped now.

05:07:50.000 I'm turning it all the way up.

05:07:51.000 I'm pumping it.

05:07:52.000 This is a Super Saiyan.

05:07:55.000 As loud as we can go.

05:07:57.000 And this.

05:07:58.000 This is what is known as a Super Saiyan that has ascended past a Super Saiyan.

05:08:05.000 What are you doing?

05:08:06.000 It's happening.

05:08:08.000 It's me magic.

05:08:09.000 Send him your energy, everybody.

05:08:11.000 Send him your energy right now.

05:08:13.000 Send Donald J. Trump your energy.

05:08:16.000 He needs it.

05:08:18.000 We're going to win.

05:08:19.000 He needs it.

05:08:23.000 He must be bluffing.

05:08:25.000 I mean, he must be bluffing.

05:08:34.000 You gotta give it to us.

05:08:36.000 Let's go. 1.00

05:08:41.000 Let's fucking go. 0.99

05:09:00.000 Send it saying it isn't much of a challenge for you. 0.99

05:09:04.000 Service, we gotta give it up and live chat. 0.99

05:09:07.000 Let's fucking go. 0.99

05:09:08.000 It's unreal. 1.00

05:09:08.000 How is he generating that much power? 1.00

05:09:10.000 It feels like the whole world is shaking apart.

05:09:12.000 It is.

05:09:13.000 What's he doing?

05:09:14.000 If he doesn't stop this, everything is going to be destroyed.

05:09:18.000 What's going on?

05:09:19.000 Guten's dad is putting out even more energy than the- This is it, folks.

05:09:23.000 This is it.

05:09:24.000 This is it.

05:09:25.000 I can feel it.

05:09:26.000 It's possible.

05:09:27.000 Look at this.

05:09:28.000 Look at the energy!

05:09:30.000 Send him here!

05:09:31.000 We can do it!

05:09:32.000 It's me, man!

05:09:33.000 It's on tech!

05:09:34.000 Let's go! 1.00

05:09:35.000 Let's fucking go! 0.99

05:09:36.000 I'm taking it! 1.00

05:09:37.000 Let's fucking go! 1.00

05:09:40.000 Let's fucking go! 1.00

05:09:42.000 Sips! 1.00

05:09:43.000 They said it's steps!

05:09:44.000 It's too much!

05:09:45.000 It's too much energy!

05:09:52.000 Look at this!

05:09:56.000 Long live the king! 1.00

05:09:59.000 Am I gonna throw up a Roman? 1.00

05:10:00.000 I can't! 1.00

05:10:01.000 But we're there.

05:10:02.000 I mean, look at that.

05:10:05.000 Look at this.

05:10:06.000 Look at this.

05:10:07.000 Now that's our president now.

05:10:09.000 I'm sorry that took so much longer than the others.

05:10:18.000 We're doing it.

05:10:19.000 We're doing it right now. 0.99

05:10:21.000 I asked and we fucking did it. 0.97

05:10:24.000 Look at this map. 0.99

05:10:26.000 Look at all that red.

05:10:29.000 And frankly, you're going to see a big, beautiful red wave.

05:10:34.000 And it's already happening.

05:10:36.000 Oh man, that was good.

05:10:40.000 That was good.

05:10:41.000 We got the monster going.

05:10:43.000 How much caffeine is this?

05:10:45.000 This is a lot of caffeine.

05:10:47.000 It's like 160 milligrams.

05:10:49.000 It's got nice and vitamin B6.

05:10:51.000 This is a vitamin drink.

05:10:54.000 This is nutrients in here.

05:10:57.000 So we're loving it.

05:10:58.000 We're loving it.

05:11:00.000 And frankly, and frankly, there's going to be a red wave.

05:11:08.000 And it's happening, okay?

05:11:09.000 I'm talking to everybody.

05:11:11.000 I'm talking to the campaign.

05:11:12.000 They're loving it.

05:11:14.000 I mean, it could go either way, but I'm feeling it.

05:11:18.000 Take a look at these margins.

05:11:20.000 Take a look at these margins in Pennsylvania, in Wisconsin, in Michigan.

05:11:24.000 We've got Florida.

05:11:25.000 We've got Georgia.

05:11:26.000 We've got North Carolina.

05:11:27.000 They're not going to call it.

05:11:29.000 They're not going to call it, but it is there.

05:11:31.000 Take a look at Wisconsin.

05:11:33.000 Wisconsin, you've got 70% reporting.

05:11:35.000 We're up by four.

05:11:37.000 We're up by four, 70% reporting.

05:11:40.000 37%, we're up by 11% in Michigan.

05:11:44.000 46%, we're up by 13% in Pennsylvania.

05:11:48.000 Iowa, we're a little behind, probably because they're doing the mail in ballots.

05:11:51.000 They're counting first.

05:11:53.000 Arizona, I don't know what's going on.

05:11:55.000 They haven't reported any new results in a long time, but we are really getting there.

05:12:01.000 Send your prayers, send your energy.

05:12:05.000 Let's get the classic.

05:12:06.000 You know what?

05:12:08.000 I love the Dragon Ball Z as much as the next guy, but we got to hit the classic.

05:12:12.000 And then we'll bring in Jaden, we'll bring in Beardson and Jake Lloyd.

05:12:15.000 We'll bring back the panel, but first we got to get.

05:12:18.000 Do we do the original?

05:12:20.000 Let's do the original and the presidential version.

05:12:26.000 The same energy, it's happening again.

05:12:28.000 I cannot believe it.

05:12:30.000 Cannot believe it, but it's happening again.

05:12:34.000 God is in control.

05:12:35.000 Never forget this.

05:12:36.000 We are going to make our country great again.

05:12:45.000 Let's go.

05:12:46.000 Let's go.

05:12:52.000 Just since, I mean, it's there.

05:12:54.000 We did it.

05:13:15.000 Well, we're not there yet, but we're getting there.

05:13:19.000 Eminence!

05:14:01.000 We're going to make our country great again.

05:14:15.000 Number one everywhere.

05:14:18.000 We're winning California, New York.

05:14:29.000 We got it.

05:14:38.000 Okay, that's the original.

05:14:40.000 And now, now we gotta get the presidential.

05:14:43.000 We got it.

05:14:44.000 Now we're gonna do the presidential.

05:14:47.000 We're going 10 hour.

05:14:48.000 When he wins, hey, when he wins, we're doing the 10 hour version.

05:14:52.000 You understand that?

05:15:04.000 Our country great again! 0.91

05:15:18.000 Mussolini moment!

05:16:26.000 country great again.

05:16:37.000 I think I blew out my headphones.

05:16:38.000 They're not even giving me bass anymore.

05:16:56.000 Ha ha!

05:17:10.000 Okay, well, the energy is back.

05:17:12.000 The monsters down the hatch.

05:17:15.000 We're leading.

05:17:17.000 We're leading all over.

05:17:18.000 Let's get a quick check and then we'll bring these guys on.

05:17:21.000 71%, we're leading by 5.

05:17:23.000 Okay.

05:17:24.000 43%, we're leading by 11.

05:17:28.000 91%, we're leading by 8.

05:17:30.000 46%, we're leading by 14.

05:17:33.000 Okay.

05:17:34.000 74%, we're leading by 4.

05:17:35.000 Texas is close, actually.

05:17:38.000 Georgia, Georgia, we're winning.

05:17:39.000 North Carolina.

05:17:41.000 We're gonna win.

05:17:42.000 We're gonna win so big. 0.84

05:17:44.000 So, yeah, I think I fucked up my. 0.73

05:17:47.000 I literally played that so loud, it like my headset broke or something.

05:17:52.000 Okay, but we're gonna bring these guys on.

05:17:54.000 We've got the whole.

05:17:55.000 Let me just tweet it out, though.

05:17:57.000 I'll tweet out that we got our guys on.

05:18:00.000 Let's see.

05:18:02.000 We got Patrick Casey, Jake Lloyd, Jaden McNeil, and Beardson joining me now on the America Free.

05:18:15.000 First, whoops, election stream.

05:18:28.000 Okay.

05:18:29.000 All right.

05:18:30.000 Okay.

05:18:31.000 Let's bring these guys in.

05:18:32.000 Let's introduce them.

05:18:34.000 Hello, everyone.

05:18:34.000 Hello.

05:18:36.000 Can you hear me in here?

05:18:38.000 Yo.

05:18:39.000 Can you hear me?

05:18:41.000 I can hear you loud and clear.

05:18:43.000 Great.

05:18:44.000 So, let me introduce the panel.

05:18:46.000 We have got Jaden McNeil.

05:18:49.000 Welcome.

05:18:50.000 Hello.

05:18:51.000 Thanks for having me.

05:18:51.000 Hello.

05:18:52.000 Thanks for being here.

05:18:54.000 We've got Jake Lloyd.

05:18:55.000 How's it going?

05:18:56.000 Hey.

05:18:56.000 Good.

05:18:57.000 How are you?

05:18:57.000 I'm doing good.

05:18:58.000 I'm doing good.

05:18:59.000 I'm doing good.

05:19:01.000 Big ol' Jake.

05:19:03.000 Big ol'.

05:19:06.000 Big ol'.

05:19:06.000 The big boy.

05:19:08.000 It's like in Modern Warfare 2 when the juggernaut steps onto the map.

05:19:15.000 Boom!

05:19:16.000 Right, right.

05:19:18.000 Exactly right.

05:19:19.000 That's exactly right.

05:19:21.000 We got Patrick Casey, of course, the incomparable.

05:19:24.000 How's it going, Patrick?

05:19:26.000 I'm doing well, Nick.

05:19:27.000 Thank you for having me on.

05:19:28.000 Thank you for being here.

05:19:30.000 I feel like Charlie Kirk.

05:19:31.000 Thank you for being here.

05:19:33.000 Well, thanks, everyone.

05:19:34.000 Thank you, Charlie.

05:19:35.000 Yeah.

05:19:36.000 Yeah, thank you, Charlie.

05:19:37.000 Well, thanks, everyone, for being here.

05:19:39.000 Uh oh, it looks like they called Arizona for Biden, I'm being told.

05:19:43.000 Uh oh.

05:19:44.000 Yep, they just did.

05:19:45.000 That's fine.

05:19:46.000 Yeah.

05:19:48.000 Arizona was one of the ones that I thought might flip.

05:19:51.000 And some of the voter registration stuff didn't look good beforehand.

05:19:59.000 It's too bad.

05:20:00.000 He's definitely still in this.

05:20:02.000 He can afford to lose a few of these swing states, obviously.

05:20:04.000 So long as he claims Florida, which he did.

05:20:07.000 Pennsylvania is kind of a different story.

05:20:08.000 That's not good.

05:20:09.000 Yeah, it doesn't matter because he's going to win Florida, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio.

05:20:14.000 It doesn't matter.

05:20:15.000 I hope so.

05:20:16.000 I hope so. 1.00

05:20:17.000 Look, Florida, these, I'm sorry, Arizona, these Arizonans, man, fuck Arizona. 1.00

05:20:23.000 I'm sorry, but what a pathetic. 1.00

05:20:25.000 I'm glad they threw that out. 0.96

05:20:27.000 I'm glad they threw that out.

05:20:29.000 He left the state.

05:20:31.000 That's right, yeah. 0.84

05:20:32.000 And he left and he took, there was Yoba.

05:20:36.000 But Arizona is a big fat mistake. 0.99

05:20:39.000 Arizona's a waste. 0.77

05:20:40.000 What were you going to say, Jaden?

05:20:42.000 Did you see that Pennsylvania, seven counties aren't counting the votes?

05:20:47.000 No, I did not see that.

05:20:48.000 According to Fox News, apparently seven counties aren't counting the votes because they're low on staff, they say.

05:20:55.000 Really?

05:20:57.000 Yeah, right, right.

05:20:58.000 Yeah.

05:20:59.000 I love this.

05:20:59.000 Yeah, I saw that Philly announced that it's done counting votes for the night.

05:21:05.000 So, yeah, real quick on Pennsylvania, it looks like Donald Trump does have, he's at 55.7.

05:21:12.000 Joe Biden's at 42.9.

05:21:14.000 So he has roughly, I don't know, 420,000 vote lead at this point.

05:21:23.000 But the thing to keep in mind, so cautious optimism is warranted.

05:21:25.000 The thing to keep in mind, though, is you look at Montgomery County, that's only been 29% of estimated votes have been counted.

05:21:32.000 Philadelphia County, only 33%.

05:21:35.000 Allegheny County, which is where Pittsburgh is, obviously 17%.

05:21:37.000 So in some of these Dem stronghold counties, there are quite a few votes to be counted.

05:21:43.000 So Now, some of the red ones, that's the case too.

05:21:48.000 But if you look through the map, there are a bunch of these red ones that have already been counted.

05:21:52.000 So, cautious optimism.

05:21:55.000 I'm still predicting that Trump is going to win unless they really manage to pull off some widespread, rampant voter fraud.

05:22:03.000 And unfortunately, it does appear that if that's going to happen in any state, it's going to happen in Pennsylvania.

05:22:08.000 But I'm still predicting Trump's going to win.

05:22:10.000 So, I'm feeling good.

05:22:11.000 It's been an amazing night so far.

05:22:13.000 I mean, and I said this just before you guys came on, at the bare minimum, he's.

05:22:13.000 I think so.

05:22:18.000 Wildly outperformed what they said his chances were.

05:22:23.000 You know, they said that it was going to be, he had a 10% chance, he was going to win 100 electoral votes, he was going to, right, and that he would lose Texas and Georgia and North Carolina.

05:22:34.000 And it wasn't even close.

05:22:35.000 You know, in Florida, it's like you won by three points.

05:22:37.000 In North Carolina, they predicted to win by three points.

05:22:40.000 Arizona was a toss up, and obviously it went the other way.

05:22:43.000 But just like in 2016, I think it was suppression polls, it was an attempt, a deliberate attempt to demoralize the audience, or rather the voters, and, um, And it didn't work, you know, and it turned out to be a lie.

05:22:58.000 So, but I want to go through.

05:23:00.000 So, Patrick, we've got your take, and I want to hear from Jaden and Jake now.

05:23:05.000 How are you guys?

05:23:06.000 I want to catch up with you guys.

05:23:07.000 What are you thinking about how this is going?

05:23:09.000 I guess we'll start with Jake.

05:23:12.000 Yeah, I'm, you know, I'm thinking that it's.

05:23:14.000 I obviously feel very good.

05:23:16.000 I mean, I'm joking, you know, when I say he's going to sweep the entire Rust Belt and everywhere else, it's obviously very early still in a lot of these places, like Patrick and Jaden mentioned.

05:23:26.000 These places.

05:23:27.000 In Pennsylvania specifically, that aren't counting their votes yet, that aren't reporting.

05:23:31.000 That's concerning.

05:23:33.000 And there are still a lot of unknowns.

05:23:35.000 But I think that the way that he's outperforming the expectations in these other places is so encouraging.

05:23:44.000 You know, I was talking, this is purely anecdotal, but I have a friend.

05:23:49.000 He's a great guy, but he's liberal.

05:23:51.000 And he's not like radical or anything, but he is liberal and stuff.

05:23:54.000 And I chatted with him a little bit earlier today.

05:23:57.000 And I said, you know, like, what are you feeling?

05:23:58.000 What do you think about tonight?

05:24:00.000 And he says, you know, I think that it's.

05:24:02.000 Probably a little bit closer than what they say, but you know, it's you really can't go against the polls that have Biden so ahead.

05:24:10.000 It's like he's like, I won't count Trump out, but I just don't think there's a chance.

05:24:14.000 And you know, about maybe an hour ago, I texted him, I said, you know, like, hey, how's it going?

05:24:18.000 And he said, I think I've seen this episode before.

05:24:21.000 I was like, yeah, exactly, exactly.

05:24:24.000 And this is what I thought, you know, and not because I'm such a smart guy, I don't look at polls very much.

05:24:30.000 You know, I look at basically what I see on the timeline and I do a little bit of light Google searching.

05:24:36.000 But this is just kind of the gut feeling that I had.

05:24:39.000 And of course, you know, like, you know, not, we still don't know.

05:24:41.000 We still don't know.

05:24:42.000 But I feel very good.

05:24:46.000 This is kind of how I expected it to go.

05:24:48.000 I wasn't really very sure about Arizona.

05:24:51.000 I guess that looks like it's pretty solidly for Biden now.

05:24:54.000 But I hadn't really thought of it very much prior to tonight.

05:24:59.000 But I feel and I have felt pretty confident that Wisconsin and Michigan will go for Trump.

05:25:03.000 Those are the two states where I actually have looked into the numbers and stuff.

05:25:07.000 And I do feel pretty confident.

05:25:08.000 The way that you see, I won't go into too many of the specifics because I probably will get certain things wrong about it.

05:25:16.000 But what you see with the way that Trump is performing in certain counties, he underperformed what Republicans normally do.

05:25:26.000 And since then, he has gone way, way up.

05:25:29.000 So I think that it's very possible that he's gained a lot of the Republican support that he was missing in 2016 and maybe held on to what he gained across the aisle or from independents or from whoever.

05:25:43.000 I feel very good about those two states.

05:25:45.000 Pennsylvania, I feel good about Pennsylvania if they don't cheat, but they're going to cheat.

05:25:49.000 And so we'll see how that turns out.

05:25:52.000 Right.

05:25:53.000 And that is the problem the cheating.

05:25:53.000 Yeah.

05:25:56.000 I will say, though, I guess apparently some are saying that Fox called Arizona prematurely.

05:26:03.000 I don't know.

05:26:04.000 I don't know because I've been looking at New York Times, and New York Times isn't updating their results, and AP is behind even New York Times by a lot.

05:26:13.000 So I don't know.

05:26:14.000 What's going on with Arizona?

05:26:16.000 Maybe it's similar to Virginia.

05:26:17.000 Maybe they called it prematurely.

05:26:19.000 Although in Virginia, Biden seems to be catching back up.

05:26:23.000 But yeah, I think based on the returns that we're seeing in Michigan and Wisconsin, it's looking much different than what the polls suggested.

05:26:31.000 It's interesting because the polls had Trump neck and neck with Biden in Arizona, or in some cases even ahead.

05:26:37.000 And the average and overall in some of the polls, and in Wisconsin and Michigan, the average was plus five, plus six Biden.

05:26:44.000 So I'm a little bit confused.

05:26:47.000 The polls seem to be completely wrong.

05:26:49.000 Um, in like every state, but I want to get Jaden's take on this.

05:26:52.000 Jaden, what have you been seeing?

05:26:54.000 What have you been feeling so far tonight?

05:26:56.000 What's your thoughts?

05:26:57.000 Yeah, I mean, a lot.

05:26:59.000 Basically, I agree with Jake.

05:27:00.000 I think we all kind of thought that it was going to come down to these Midwestern Rust Belt states.

05:27:06.000 Um, the Pennsylvania, I'm feeling good, like Jake said there as well, but like Patrick said, it's still early.

05:27:13.000 But Ohio is looking good, Michigan's looking good, it's still early there.

05:27:17.000 But if we look at the counties, it's looking pretty good.

05:27:20.000 Um, I don't know about Arizona.

05:27:23.000 Like you said, Fox has gotten called out twice, I believe, tonight for prematurely calling things.

05:27:29.000 But I did read that the early voting in Arizona was the majority of Maricopa County's massive lead there to start.

05:27:41.000 And New York Times hasn't updated since we first, you guys were talking about Arizona like an hour ago.

05:27:47.000 So I don't know what exactly is going on there.

05:27:50.000 Have you covered New Hampshire going to Biden?

05:27:53.000 Them calling that?

05:27:55.000 Yeah, we did cover that it went to Biden, but didn't get too into details there.

05:27:58.000 Why do you have a hot take on New Hampshire?

05:28:00.000 Not really.

05:28:01.000 I was just curious because I just, I didn't notice that earlier.

05:28:05.000 So I was, I will say this is interesting that I don't know how this really means anything, but Trump's currently, he currently has a 29 point lead in Kenosha and he won that county by 0.3% in 2016, and he's up 29% now.

05:28:25.000 Hmm.

05:28:26.000 I don't know that that means anything.

05:28:28.000 Obviously, just pointing that out because of what happened during the summer and whatnot.

05:28:33.000 But I don't know.

05:28:34.000 I'm feeling good.

05:28:35.000 I'm feeling good, like I think most people are.

05:28:39.000 Trump is pulling away, it seems, in Iowa.

05:28:41.000 I just saw that.

05:28:43.000 And with Wisconsin, Kenosha is not a huge county, but it may be representative, like other bellwether counties in Wisconsin, of how people are voting in Wisconsin overall and based on.

05:29:00.000 Their reaction to the Floyd riots, the Kenosha riots, and what impact that'll have on the vote.

05:29:05.000 And of course, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and even Minnesota are probably similar in that regard and that it's similar demographics, similar sort of socioeconomic situation.

05:29:16.000 They've all experienced riots to varying degrees.

05:29:18.000 Obviously, Philadelphia and Pennsylvania, Lansing and Michigan, Kenosha and Wisconsin, Minneapolis and Minnesota.

05:29:24.000 So, yeah, I'm feeling more strongly about Wisconsin and Michigan than even these other states.

05:29:30.000 You're right, though, with Arizona.

05:29:33.000 It makes sense to me that it was all the early and mail in votes that they're counting in Phoenix and in Maricopa County.

05:29:40.000 And I find it hard to believe that Arizona would go so easily to Biden only because how can Trump win Florida by three points and win 45% with Hispanics and not Arizona?

05:29:52.000 And I understand that they've got the Cuban population in Florida, which disproportionately goes Republican compared to Mexicans or other kinds of Hispanics.

05:30:00.000 But nevertheless, he did better not just with Cubans, but also with Hispanics overall and with the.

05:30:07.000 South and Central Americans. 0.66

05:30:08.000 So, I don't find it hard to believe to me how he is doing more poorly with whites than he did in 16 and much better with Hispanics. 0.92

05:30:18.000 He'll retain Wisconsin and Michigan, but not Arizona. 0.92

05:30:22.000 That's to me where I start to worry a little bit and I wonder how he loses Arizona but wins Wisconsin?

05:30:29.000 Is that possible?

05:30:30.000 I mean, I guess anything's possible, but that's sort of my thoughts right now.

05:30:34.000 At this point, it's a waiting game.

05:30:36.000 And apparently, what I saw on poll just now from disclosed.tv is.

05:30:42.000 Is that Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia say that they're not announcing a winner tonight?

05:30:47.000 And I've heard other reports that say that they're delaying, like you said, the counting of the votes, and they're delaying when they're going to report the count in some of these counties in Pennsylvania and in these other states.

05:31:01.000 So I wonder, like I think Patrick said, and I think you said, the cheating then.

05:31:06.000 Is the cheating then going to be a big factor where now the race is on to stuff the ballot box, find all the votes that they need?

05:31:13.000 Flip the however many states that they need to flip, and then it turns into this protracted, contested election like we originally thought it would be.

05:31:22.000 It seemed at one point that Trump was pulling away and dominating, and that could still happen, but it seems now that there seems to be this deliberate obfuscation here where, oh, well, we're going to report the results later.

05:31:33.000 We're not going to count the results until later.

05:31:35.000 We won't declare a winner until later.

05:31:38.000 So I don't really know what's going on.

05:31:41.000 I'm a little bit concerned about that.

05:31:42.000 What do you guys think about that?

05:31:47.000 Yeah, I think that's right.

05:31:47.000 I mean, in some of these states, the longer, obviously, the longer that it takes for them to announce a winner, the more potential there is for them to do who knows what behind the scenes.

05:31:58.000 And I, yeah, I mean, I'm concerned about Pennsylvania.

05:32:01.000 I do still think that Trump's going to win overall, just so we're clear.

05:32:03.000 I'm not trying to black pill here.

05:32:05.000 But yeah, I mean, we've just seen so much weirdness already today.

05:32:10.000 And, you know, with poll workers being prevented from getting inside polling stations, pardon me, poll monitors.

05:32:17.000 You know, they've got signs right by the door in a number of these precincts where they, you know, they're telling people to vote like a straight Dem ticket.

05:32:27.000 And, you know, one instance they had some of the poll watchers relegated to all the way to one side of, you know, the building where they can't see what's actually going on at the polls.

05:32:38.000 So, I, you know, again, Pennsylvania, I've been saying, is the most important state.

05:32:42.000 And it's pretty unfortunate that that's the one where it does seem that there's the highest potential.

05:32:47.000 For voter fraud.

05:32:48.000 But again, I'm not, I am still optimistic about this.

05:32:51.000 You guys should be too.

05:32:52.000 If, you know, oftentimes we end up in a situation where, you know, we're overthinking things and we're feeling bad about our prospects.

05:33:00.000 But then people on the other side are actually doing worse.

05:33:03.000 And that kind of seems to be where it is now, right?

05:33:05.000 The Florida loss was huge, it was a huge setback for Biden.

05:33:09.000 I was tuning into the Young Turks a little bit earlier, right prior to joining this.

05:33:14.000 And Chank is, he's sweating, he's upset, he's angry.

05:33:17.000 It just appears to be a repeat of 2016. 0.69

05:33:20.000 So, Yeah, there's a lot that they can do, but I do think that Donald Trump is prepared to send in his lawyers in the event that he loses some of these states that he was pretty sure he was going to win.

05:33:30.000 So I'm still optimistic, even if they try something.

05:33:34.000 Can you guys clarify which states are choosing not to count or not to announce tonight?

05:33:39.000 It was Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania.

05:33:46.000 Oh, okay, Wisconsin and Michigan.

05:33:49.000 Yeah, that's according to a tweet I'm seeing here.

05:33:51.000 I mean, I don't know if that's interesting.

05:33:53.000 Because I was, yeah, that's interesting.

05:33:55.000 Because otherwise, I mean, some of these other states are close enough where if he won Wisconsin and Michigan, for example, that it would be close enough or where it would be enough of a win where it'd say, okay, well, you can pretty reliably expect that he will win anyway.

05:34:09.000 But if they're also electing not to announce tonight, that's a problem.

05:34:16.000 Who knows?

05:34:17.000 Then the question is just whether or not they can lie and cheat enough to make up for the deficit.

05:34:23.000 Yeah, we'll have to see.

05:34:24.000 But it seems like funny business because.

05:34:27.000 You know, you look at the lead that Trump has in all these states, which just started to occur, you know, as the results are being reported in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, like Wisconsin right now, 77% in.

05:34:41.000 Trump's got a five point lead, you know?

05:34:43.000 And then all of a sudden they say, oh, well, we won't declare the winner.

05:34:46.000 We won't declare the winner.

05:34:48.000 And, you know, we're not counting the votes and all this stuff.

05:34:50.000 It seems like a lot of funny business to me.

05:34:54.000 And in the big Democrat counties, It looks like there's a large percentage of them are in.

05:35:01.000 Well, except for, I guess, up in Door County.

05:35:04.000 Well, no, I mean, Milwaukee's almost all the way in.

05:35:08.000 Dane is all the way in there.

05:35:10.000 I guess Madison would be in Dane County, right?

05:35:10.000 Where's Madison?

05:35:13.000 And then up north, all these Democrat congressional districts are mostly reporting in.

05:35:20.000 Everything else is where the votes are yet to come in, at least in Wisconsin.

05:35:24.000 And you figure that Trump wins Wisconsin.

05:35:27.000 And Wisconsin had a higher margin for Biden in the polls than any of the Midwestern.

05:35:32.000 States.

05:35:33.000 That also puts him in a position where he's up to 259.

05:35:36.000 I mean, he's on the cusp then.

05:35:38.000 I think a win in Wisconsin means that it's likely he'll win in Michigan or Pennsylvania, at least, you know, or Minnesota, maybe even.

05:35:45.000 So, and Arizona, I don't even know if I want to say that Arizona is called because Fox is the only one that called Arizona.

05:35:53.000 NBC hasn't called it, AP hasn't called it, only Fox has called it.

05:35:58.000 And we don't, we haven't seen any more votes.

05:36:00.000 They're stuck at 75.

05:36:02.000 They haven't, for whatever reason, reported anything more than that.

05:36:06.000 I don't know what information they have access to that suggests that they could make an easy call then already.

05:36:11.000 I mean, Biden is up by a lot, but as Patrick said, probably this is the result of early and mail in ballots being counted, where Biden was expected to have the edge in the first place.

05:36:21.000 Trump is going to have the edge on the election day votes, and if they're not putting those out there, that's why he can have 75% turnout and still be behind by 7% or 8%.

05:36:30.000 So, I mean, still, anything's possible.

05:36:34.000 But that's, you know, it's interesting how now things are starting to get dragged on.

05:36:39.000 Now there's these issues.

05:36:40.000 So now we're not going to report.

05:36:42.000 So.

05:36:43.000 Yo, what's their justification for not counting the votes tonight?

05:36:46.000 Oh, hey, Beardson, welcome.

05:36:48.000 Hey, if you want to introduce me.

05:36:50.000 We got Beardson Beardley.

05:36:51.000 What's going on, man?

05:36:53.000 You popped in.

05:36:54.000 You snuck in.

05:36:55.000 How's it going?

05:36:56.000 It's going good, man. 0.58

05:36:57.000 I'm feeling white pilled, honestly.

05:36:58.000 I'm feeling good.

05:37:00.000 I'm feeling good, too.

05:37:02.000 The only reason I'm feeling good, though, is because, like, You know, I and I said this earlier.

05:37:08.000 There was a small part of me that said, Well, what if there's something we don't know and the election happens and Biden wins in a landslide and we're like, Oh my, like it's a blowout.

05:37:18.000 We got crushed.

05:37:19.000 We never saw this coming.

05:37:20.000 There was like a small part of me that said, I don't know if that's going to happen.

05:37:24.000 I've been saying it on the show for a long time.

05:37:27.000 I expect a wide range of outcomes.

05:37:28.000 If Biden won in a landslide, I said, I wouldn't be surprised.

05:37:32.000 So I'm a little bit white pilled in that we are here at the end of the night and Trump is.

05:37:37.000 Basically, on the precipice of winning, according to the betting odds and even the sheer probability.

05:37:43.000 Well, I don't know.

05:37:44.000 Now, Trump is slipping in the betting odds.

05:37:45.000 But unlike 538 and on some of the other sites, he's now the favorite to win here at 1042 with many votes counted in Wisconsin, many votes counted in Michigan and Pennsylvania.

05:37:56.000 Florida, North Carolina called.

05:37:58.000 Arizona, I mean, hangs in the balance.

05:38:01.000 So for that reason, I'm white pilled because, I mean, we are far exceeding what they said we should have done and therefore then I think conservative expectations.

05:38:10.000 It's still not a done deal.

05:38:12.000 We still haven't crossed the finish line.

05:38:14.000 And honestly, that goes both ways.

05:38:16.000 It could flip to Biden.

05:38:17.000 It could flip to Trump.

05:38:19.000 Whatever we're going to see in the next 24 hours with counts and everything like that, whoever loses, whoever is the nominal loser, will then contest it, recounts, lawsuits, investigations, and so on.

05:38:33.000 So we don't even really cross the finish line for a long time, probably.

05:38:38.000 I don't think we have a presumptive president elect, maybe until the end of the month, December.

05:38:44.000 I won't believe it until January 20th.

05:38:48.000 Apparently, Fox News is claiming that the Arizona, so as we know, it has a large senior population and a large Hispanic population.

05:39:00.000 And they're claiming that the boomer vote basically split and Biden won due to Mexicans, which isn't really surprising.

05:39:12.000 And further, you know, proves what we've been saying about immigration for all year.

05:39:17.000 But.

05:39:19.000 Just an update.

05:39:20.000 I don't know.

05:39:21.000 Once again, that's Fox News.

05:39:22.000 It's coming out of Fox News.

05:39:23.000 So who knows how accurate that is and how they know that.

05:39:27.000 Fox News.

05:39:28.000 Fake news.

05:39:30.000 I'm getting a little bit nervous here.

05:39:30.000 I don't know.

05:39:32.000 I mean, I hate to say it.

05:39:34.000 As Patrick and Scott have been saying, I'm not trying to blackmail here, but I'm getting a little nervous because there was a time when, you know, on the betting odds, Trump soared up to nearly 80.

05:39:46.000 The betting odds, he's now down to 60.

05:39:47.000 Now, in fairness, he was at like.

05:39:50.000 He was at 35 at the beginning of the day, and he was even lower than that earlier.

05:39:55.000 I mean, he was at all the way down to 27 just a month ago.

05:39:59.000 So, I mean, don't get me wrong.

05:40:01.000 The betting odds aren't even a good measure of as a prediction, it's more a gauge of where the public sentiment is at.

05:40:07.000 When it seemed like Trump was blowing away, oh, he shot right up.

05:40:10.000 When it seemed like he wasn't doing good, he came back down.

05:40:12.000 It doesn't hold a lot of predictive power.

05:40:14.000 Nevertheless, it shows that people with the money are watching the counts come in, and they're feeling more skeptical than they were.

05:40:22.000 An hour ago, two hours ago.

05:40:23.000 So that is a little bit of a cause for concern.

05:40:26.000 I look at the raw numbers, though, and I keep returning to this in Wisconsin.

05:40:30.000 And where are we at?

05:40:32.000 We're at 2.2 million votes counted.

05:40:36.000 I don't think it's showing me the percentage of what that is, but I mean, we're still up by five.

05:40:41.000 I'm going to scroll back here, and it says, yeah, nearly 80% in.

05:40:45.000 We're up by five.

05:40:47.000 These are not, these are not, the numbers that they're reporting are not high enough where I feel completely confident, but.

05:40:54.000 You know, we're competitive in the Midwest when the polls said that we shouldn't be.

05:40:58.000 The polls said that it should be the opposite.

05:41:01.000 You know, if Biden was supposed to have a six or seven or 17 point lead in Wisconsin, like some polls suggested, in Wisconsin, it wouldn't be five points ahead with 80% reporting in Milwaukee and Madison largely accounted for.

05:41:15.000 So it looks like, and, you know, Iowa looked like it's flipped back now.

05:41:19.000 Trump is now leading.

05:41:21.000 We don't have really anything out of Nevada.

05:41:23.000 Arizona stuck at 75.

05:41:27.000 So that's where we are so far.

05:41:30.000 We continue to watch the results come in.

05:41:32.000 I want to shift gears a little bit, though, because we're kind of stalled.

05:41:35.000 We're waiting to see results being reported.

05:41:38.000 Looks like Ohio has just called for Trump.

05:41:40.000 So we're going to give Trump Ohio.

05:41:43.000 Very good.

05:41:44.000 Nice.

05:41:45.000 And that is a big deal.

05:41:48.000 I mean, he's going to need Ohio.

05:41:49.000 He needs Florida.

05:41:50.000 He needs North Carolina.

05:41:51.000 And now it's just a matter of if he gets Pennsylvania, I mean, that's all but guaranteeing victory.

05:41:58.000 But he's going to need two.

05:41:59.000 He's going to need two states, however you cut it.

05:42:03.000 Potentially three.

05:42:05.000 If it's Wisconsin and Arizona, he gets it.

05:42:08.000 If it's Minnesota and Wisconsin, he'll need another.

05:42:11.000 If it's like Nevada and Minnesota, he'll need another.

05:42:14.000 Nevada and Wisconsin, he'll need another.

05:42:16.000 It's some combination, but Biden's going to have to get nearly all the remaining states then to take it.

05:42:25.000 So we're watching this.

05:42:26.000 We're waiting.

05:42:27.000 But I wanted to shift gears.

05:42:28.000 Have you guys seen any major civil unrest so far in D.C. or anywhere else?

05:42:33.000 I've seen a little in D.C., yeah.

05:42:34.000 Apparently that started about 20, 30 minutes ago.

05:42:37.000 Apparently there's been some stuff kind of booting out.

05:42:40.000 Yeah, I just saw the guy getting hit with the bat.

05:42:42.000 I haven't seen anything else.

05:42:43.000 Granted, I haven't really been paying attention to that.

05:42:46.000 I didn't even see the video at the bat yet.

05:42:49.000 Oh, here we go.

05:42:49.000 Here's Andy.

05:42:50.000 No.

05:42:51.000 Let's take a look.

05:42:59.000 Yeah, but this isn't like crazy, honestly.

05:43:02.000 The other thing, too, is that, I mean, it's obviously, you know, that sucks, but, you know, I was expecting that there would be violence in the polling places where they're counting the votes, but honestly, it seems relatively tame.

05:43:17.000 Although I've been on the stream all day, I haven't been looking closely at the major cities, but it seems tame at the moment.

05:43:25.000 Yeah, I think most of the unrest, we'll probably see some more, some chaos in D.C. tonight. 1.00

05:43:33.000 You have tons of people gathered in Black Block, so they're clearly there to cause trouble. 0.87

05:43:40.000 We'll see how that compares to some of the stuff we saw over the summer or Trump's inauguration. 0.99

05:43:46.000 But I think the potential for the most unrest really is going to come in how Trump declares himself victor, right?

05:43:56.000 I mean, the scenario that I've considered, and I think you guys probably have as well, is that Donald Trump declares victory before the media gives him victory.

05:44:05.000 Right, permission to do so.

05:44:07.000 And they're going to use that to manufacture outrage and hysteria, talk about how Donald Trump is destroying our democracy.

05:44:15.000 He's stealing the election, whatever.

05:44:18.000 And that's going to provide the kind of elite signal to the masses, right, as part of the high low dynamic for them to go out and just kind of create chaos.

05:44:30.000 So, yeah, I don't know if it's going to get too wild tonight.

05:44:33.000 I think that we'll probably see some unrest in DC, perhaps other places.

05:44:39.000 But in terms of anything like we saw over the summer, it's going to take a little bit more.

05:44:45.000 It's going to take the establishment finding anything that Trump does and using that as a pretext to say Donald Trump is doing a fascism, basically.

05:44:55.000 Right.

05:44:56.000 And I think the unrest will come when it becomes apparent, or if I should say it becomes apparent, that Trump is on his way to the presidency.

05:44:56.000 Yeah, you're right.

05:45:07.000 So probably not so.

05:45:09.000 I imagine everyone.

05:45:10.000 Antifa and left wing is just watching the same thing that we are.

05:45:15.000 They're watching the results come in.

05:45:17.000 They're waiting to see.

05:45:18.000 I guess what I'm finding out now, based on what I'm seeing on Twitter, they say that they haven't counted any of the Election Day votes in Arizona, or at least in Maricopa County.

05:45:30.000 And I guess there's some confirmation now, too, from several people.

05:45:35.000 They say that Michigan needs until Friday.

05:45:39.000 Wisconsin is not announcing a winner tonight.

05:45:41.000 And they say Pennsylvania is not coming out anytime soon either.

05:45:45.000 And, you know, those are really the states.

05:45:47.000 So now let's say that those are out of play, at least for tonight.

05:45:52.000 If we can declare a winner outright tonight, it comes down to Nevada, Arizona, then in Minnesota.

05:45:58.000 I mean, I guess if Trump pulls it out in Minnesota and Arizona, if he declares victory in those two states, he can win it outright tonight.

05:46:09.000 If he wins, like, I mean, that's really the only way.

05:46:13.000 He's got to win all three to declare victory tonight, or Minnesota and Arizona.

05:46:17.000 You know, either Minnesota and Arizona or Nevada.

05:46:24.000 And, well, I guess Nevada doesn't even really matter because there's no.

05:46:27.000 There you would need to win both Arizona and Minnesota for Nevada to count towards a victory, right?

05:46:34.000 Because one or the other wouldn't do it.

05:46:37.000 So, yeah, I mean, the only way that he's going to win outright tonight is by winning both Arizona and Minnesota, which I think that's probably unlikely.

05:46:46.000 Other than that, we're going to be waiting.

05:46:49.000 Until Friday for Michigan.

05:46:50.000 We don't know how long for Wisconsin.

05:46:52.000 We don't know how long for Pennsylvania.

05:46:55.000 So the fate of the country hangs in the balance.

05:46:57.000 No winner tonight.

05:46:58.000 They're not going to declare a winner tonight.

05:47:00.000 And I assume as the longer that the election goes on, the worse that is for us because the more opportunity there is, the more time that they have to pull off fraud, stealing, you know, other improprieties.

05:47:15.000 So it's as we've, and by the way, nothing that we haven't expected.

05:47:19.000 I think we all got a little bit excited earlier tonight and we thought, oh, maybe the impossible is possible.

05:47:25.000 But, you know, in truth, we've been forecasting this for weeks that the election will go on for a long time, it'll go on for days.

05:47:32.000 Maybe weeks as they count, and there's states that are contested, and as we expected, it may come down then to Pennsylvania.

05:47:42.000 Right.

05:47:44.000 Stop me if you guys mentioned this already, but it looks like in Arizona they're saying that there are over a million election day votes that have yet to be counted.

05:47:53.000 And this is from Jason Miller, who's part of the Trump campaign, says that they only need 61% of the outstanding uncounted election day votes in Arizona to win.

05:48:04.000 Well, I mean, we know that Trump supporters, at least this election cycle, Have been voting primarily in person on election day.

05:48:11.000 So, yeah, it's very strange that Fox has called it for Biden in Arizona, despite the fact that there are, assuming this is true, 1 million uncounted election day votes in that state.

05:48:24.000 Most of those, or a large fraction of those, certainly will be Trump supporters.

05:48:32.000 It seems very weird.

05:48:33.000 Yeah, I haven't seen anyone else call it too.

05:48:34.000 So, hopefully, Fox News is wrong about Arizona, and it just seems really.

05:48:40.000 Really shady for them to call it at this point.

05:48:42.000 I don't know what's going on over there at Fox with, like, they were saying it was like 90% for Biden earlier.

05:48:51.000 I don't know.

05:48:51.000 But yeah, we definitely, I mean, I definitely felt the excitement earlier.

05:48:55.000 I don't feel particularly, you know, obviously I'm concerned.

05:48:59.000 I'm not happy to see these things like the election getting delayed, pushed back by however many days or weeks.

05:49:06.000 I'm obviously not happy about that.

05:49:07.000 It's something that I've expected along with, You guys and everybody else who's been following this thing like us.

05:49:17.000 So that's pretty much what I and we expected.

05:49:22.000 I still do feel good seeing the way that things are going, seeing the fact that we are so competitive in these states that we're not just getting blown out like we maybe were worried about earlier.

05:49:34.000 That is encouraging going forward into this stuff where they're going to try to cheat and stuff.

05:49:38.000 Because if it were so much tighter in a place like.

05:49:42.000 Like in Michigan, for example, where we're ahead by almost 300,000.

05:49:50.000 And that's only 47% of the votes in.

05:49:54.000 So I guess that's hard to say exactly anyway.

05:49:57.000 But the fact that we are so competitive in these areas is encouraging going into this very uncertain time where they're going to be trying to play all of these games and all of the cheating that they're going to do.

05:50:11.000 I do agree, though, that the more time that.

05:50:17.000 The more time between now and whenever, you know, that goes on without some kind of definite date set is bad for us because not only, you know, not only does it take time to figure out, you know, okay, we have not only does it take time to fill out fake ballots and stuff, but it also gives them more time to figure out all of the ways that they can fake it on their end and contest it on Trump's end.

05:50:40.000 So that'll be that's that's what I'm concerned about is that places like Wisconsin, right?

05:50:46.000 Don't.

05:50:46.000 And Pennsylvania don't have a date set for when they're going to figure it out.

05:50:50.000 It's a little bit different for somewhere like Michigan, which says we need until Friday.

05:50:54.000 So that's my primary concern.

05:50:56.000 Yeah.

05:50:58.000 It looks like they just called Texas for Trump.

05:51:02.000 And I guess at some point they called Kansas as well.

05:51:06.000 So, I mean, we're building up that map there.

05:51:08.000 I mean, I presume Montana's going to go.

05:51:12.000 I mean, that just seems like, you know, a given.

05:51:16.000 So now it's 223 Trump, 212 Biden.

05:51:23.000 And it seems like we will not get any kind of certain result tonight.

05:51:27.000 And I agree with you.

05:51:28.000 Jake, the time is not good for us.

05:51:32.000 Did they call Alaska yet?

05:51:34.000 No, the polls haven't even closed there yet.

05:51:38.000 I was going to say, what was I going to say even?

05:51:41.000 I don't even remember. 1.00

05:51:43.000 But this is bullshit. 0.99

05:51:45.000 I wish we could have won it outright. 0.99

05:51:47.000 I don't think anybody expected that to happen or somebody would win it outright.

05:51:50.000 But I don't like when it gets down to this tricky stuff.

05:51:55.000 And they're talking about in Wisconsin, oh, it's taking.

05:52:00.000 New York Times reports just a minute ago.

05:52:02.000 It's taking longer than expected to count the ballots in Wisconsin because officials have found the machines do not count ballots as fast as they had expected.

05:52:10.000 Really? 0.99

05:52:11.000 That kind of shit is like, okay, come on. 1.00

05:52:13.000 That seems a little bit convenient. 1.00

05:52:15.000 Same in like Pennsylvania.

05:52:16.000 They're like, oh, well, we're just going to dump, we won't report the results, and we're not going to count them even.

05:52:23.000 We're low on staff.

05:52:24.000 Yeah, really?

05:52:25.000 Sounds like a rationalization for drawing it out.

05:52:27.000 How do you not know the speed at which these machines count?

05:52:30.000 Right.

05:52:30.000 That seems like a spec that you could just look up on the model.

05:52:33.000 How fast does it count ballots?

05:52:34.000 That's all it does.

05:52:35.000 Or, like, we know that we're going to have a very bizarre election where we're going to need to count a lot of ballots that have been sent in.

05:52:41.000 So let's hire more people.

05:52:43.000 Let's bring more people.

05:52:44.000 Yeah.

05:52:44.000 Oh, which we just didn't realize.

05:52:47.000 Yeah.

05:52:47.000 Whoops.

05:52:48.000 Look at that.

05:52:48.000 Wow.

05:52:49.000 Yeah.

05:52:49.000 So going back to Arizona real quick, I guess this is related to Fox in general.

05:52:55.000 So Paul Sperry tweeted out about 10 hours ago records reveal that the analyst who will run Fox News election.

05:53:01.000 Decision desk is a registered Democrat who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 and gave Democrats more than $4,000, including $1,500 for Obama.

05:53:09.000 Arnon Mishkin will announce states for Biden or Trump on election night.

05:53:14.000 So, is this actual Russian interference here?

05:53:19.000 Russian Democrats?

05:53:21.000 I don't know if he's Russian.

05:53:23.000 Well, Fox News is terrible.

05:53:24.000 They have rapidly become as bad as, with the obviously notable exceptions like Tucker Carlson, they have become as bad as any.

05:53:33.000 Mainstream media outlet.

05:53:35.000 People like Brett Baer and I guess Shep Smith left, but even Chris Wallace, who moderated the debate, they're terrible.

05:53:44.000 And with these calls, all these calls favor Biden.

05:53:47.000 They call Virginia early for Biden.

05:53:49.000 They call New Mexico early for Biden.

05:53:51.000 They call Arizona potentially prematurely for Biden.

05:53:55.000 They don't call Florida.

05:53:56.000 They don't call Texas.

05:53:57.000 They don't call any of the states that Trump is going to win.

05:54:01.000 So, honestly, the fix is in here.

05:54:03.000 I don't want to say like we're losing here or anything, but obviously the momentum is.

05:54:09.000 Is waning and it's waning because it's being killed.

05:54:12.000 I mean, it seems like it's almost deliberately being stopped where, oh, we don't have the staff.

05:54:18.000 Like you said, they could look up how long it takes the machines to count the votes.

05:54:23.000 They say, oh, well, we just don't know how long it's going to take.

05:54:25.000 Really?

05:54:25.000 I mean, everybody knew that this election was going to be a logistical nightmare.

05:54:29.000 Everybody expected that it was going to be counting lots of mail in ballots and big turnout.

05:54:35.000 We knew that a long time ago.

05:54:38.000 And now you're telling me, oh, we just don't know any of this stuff.

05:54:41.000 I wonder, though.

05:54:42.000 I saw this story earlier today from Axios.

05:54:46.000 They said that apparently the post office didn't get all of the ballots out of their system.

05:54:54.000 Did you guys read the same story?

05:54:57.000 No, I didn't see that one.

05:54:58.000 Okay, so this is in my bookmarks.

05:55:00.000 This is from Axios.

05:55:01.000 It says, and I'm loading it up here.

05:55:05.000 It says, the USPS fails to meet the deadline to sweep facilities for remaining ballots in swing states.

05:55:11.000 The U.S. Postal Service on Tuesday failed to meet the deadline set earlier on election day to conduct a sweep of some of its facilities in key battleground states for remaining mail in ballots and to rush delivery.

05:55:22.000 They're saying, given the time constraints set by this court's order and the fact that postal inspectors operate on a nationwide basis, Defendants were unable to accelerate the daily review process to run from 12 30 to 3 p.m. without significantly delaying pre existing activities on the day of the election.

05:55:38.000 USPS noted it had a review process scheduled for election day between 4 and 8 p.m. to ensure that inspectors are on site to ensure compliance at the critical period before the polls close.

05:55:50.000 It says that, with the exception of Pennsylvania and Texas, each of those states require that mail in ballots will be received by the end of day Tuesday.

05:55:59.000 That includes Pennsylvania, Michigan, Colorado, Wyoming, Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arizona, all of New England, South Carolina, and Florida.

05:56:08.000 And now I'm wondering, in other words, there may be these mail in ballots that are lost in the system essentially, and they're not getting them out in time to the states.

05:56:18.000 Now I'm wondering, how does it work?

05:56:20.000 Is it if they lose those ballots, are they not counted then, in other words?

05:56:26.000 Because in these states, they have to be received by the end of the day, except for in Pennsylvania and Texas.

05:56:32.000 So, if they receive them late, even though it was the postal service's fault, do they not get counted?

05:56:37.000 Or do they get sort of counted because it was the post office's fault?

05:56:43.000 I mean, I don't know exactly how that works.

05:56:45.000 But once again, you got these, and everybody said it, you got these tricky things.

05:56:49.000 They told us, oh, no, no, vote by mail, there's never a problem.

05:56:53.000 Voter fraud doesn't exist.

05:56:55.000 And certainly the government is never incompetent.

05:56:57.000 And now we're seeing all over well, we don't have enough staff.

05:57:00.000 We don't know how long the machines take.

05:57:02.000 We couldn't conduct a sweep in time.

05:57:03.000 And now these ballots.

05:57:05.000 Won't get to where they need to by the deadline. 0.99

05:57:07.000 What the fuck is going on? 0.97

05:57:09.000 Right. 0.99

05:57:10.000 I would imagine that something like that probably comes down to the judges in the area for the state.

05:57:15.000 So that'll probably, the responses and the judgments on what exactly, you know, do you throw them out?

05:57:20.000 Do you keep them in?

05:57:21.000 What do you do?

05:57:22.000 That'll probably vary pretty widely based on where this is happening specifically.

05:57:28.000 Yeah, you're right.

05:57:31.000 So some news, more news out of Arizona. 0.94

05:57:34.000 Apparently, the Arizona GOP chairwoman.

05:57:37.000 Said that the numbers in Arizona are mostly early votes, and she believes Fox News will be embarrassed by calling the racer Biden.

05:57:44.000 And apparently, CNN hasn't even called it yet.

05:57:48.000 I'm going to check that to make sure, but that's what people are saying.

05:57:51.000 So it's literally just Fox.

05:57:53.000 Yeah, Chris Buzkirk tweeted out too that the Fox decision desk folks said earlier that they're combining their exit polls with actual results to make their calls.

05:58:03.000 So they're not just basing it off of the ballots, which is what you're supposed to do.

05:58:07.000 They're basing it off of exit polls.

05:58:10.000 So, yeah, cautiously optimistic about Arizona here.

05:58:14.000 It really does seem like Fox's.

05:58:15.000 I don't know if this is intentional or incompetence, but it does seem confined to Fox, at least in the case of Arizona.

05:58:24.000 So, I don't think it's over, right?

05:58:25.000 One million uncounted election day ballots.

05:58:28.000 That's quite a few.

05:58:29.000 Big.

05:58:30.000 Yeah.

05:58:31.000 I see that I guess Trump is overperforming in Western Pennsylvania.

05:58:37.000 And I also saw that Trump's lead in Ohio.

05:58:41.000 Is slightly bigger than it was in 2016.

05:58:45.000 Now, taken together, barring any goofy stuff, that probably means that Michigan and Wisconsin could go similarly.

05:58:53.000 If Pennsylvania is doing better in the western half than in 2016, maybe he pulls it out.

05:59:01.000 And even if he doesn't pull it out in Pennsylvania, it seems like he's at the very least meeting where he was in 2016.

05:59:07.000 If he's exceeding it in Ohio, if he's exceeding it in western Pennsylvania, does that mean that he shows up in Wisconsin and Michigan enough to flip?

05:59:16.000 One or two of these states, I mean, I'd have to think that it's likely, right?

05:59:22.000 Yeah, I think, you know, one thing that I think is really encouraging or something that's kind of, I don't want to say comforting because that sounds like, you know, I'm coping, I'm just trying to find hope or something, but I really do find it very encouraging that we're in a little bit of a different situation than we were in 2016.

05:59:41.000 We are facing a situation that's very different as far as the opportunities for them to cheat and defraud the election.

05:59:50.000 We didn't see that in 2016, but we were still nervous about voter fraud, about cheating, and all of this.

05:59:57.000 Trump, you know, notoriously was not willing to come out and say, I will, you know, unquestionably accept the ruling on election night, you know, all of that stuff because of this.

06:00:11.000 The difference between then and now, however, is that at that time, Trump didn't have any form of institutional power.

06:00:18.000 At best, he could challenge it with lawyers and stuff.

06:00:21.000 Who knows?

06:00:22.000 He didn't have the power, though, because Obama was president.

06:00:25.000 And if the media and the government was all behind Hillary Clinton becoming the next president with fraud and stuff, then there's not much that you could really do.

06:00:35.000 However, now he is the president.

06:00:37.000 He does have a certain degree, a certain amount of power.

06:00:41.000 And he has things at his disposal that can possibly help to mitigate the fraud, possibly help to, you know, he might be able to have more resources to challenge us in the future.

06:00:51.000 Of course, it is up to, you know, Does he use it properly or does he not?

06:00:55.000 That's been a problem in the past, like exactly to what degree he uses this power that he has.

06:01:00.000 We've seen him not do that with the FBI and other stuff.

06:01:03.000 But so I am a little bit encouraged by that.

06:01:05.000 It does kind of soften a little bit of the fears that I have, but I don't know.

06:01:11.000 That's just something that I think about.

06:01:15.000 He definitely has more institutional clout in the way that he didn't in 2016.

06:01:15.000 Yeah, that's a good point.

06:01:20.000 I'm definitely less concerned only because if there is some kind of funny business.

06:01:26.000 He has the resources.

06:01:27.000 He has the clout.

06:01:29.000 He has that institutional support to investigate that, to see it through.

06:01:35.000 And just like in 2000, he even has the backup potentially of the Supreme Court if it goes all the way, if it goes all the way up to the top, from top to bottom, structurally, even the federal courts, which have been filled up by Trump appointees.

06:01:51.000 He has got this sort of institutional advantage that just wasn't there in 2016.

06:01:55.000 So I'm less concerned about that.

06:01:56.000 I'm more worried that.

06:01:59.000 You know, that there's going to be some kind of a coup.

06:02:01.000 You know, they're going to say, oh, well, we're going to honor the investigation.

06:02:05.000 The media, social media will try to fix it.

06:02:07.000 That's sort of the problem, it sort of enters into this like uncharted waters as far as, you know, how conventions work in the country.

06:02:17.000 Where what happens if like the military defects?

06:02:19.000 I know that sounds probably outlandish, but things are pretty goofy like that.

06:02:24.000 It looks like Atlanta is not going to finish their accounting tonight, so they may not even call Georgia tonight.

06:02:30.000 North Carolina had 95%.

06:02:33.000 And Google shows them at 99.89%.

06:02:37.000 Trump up by more than 1%.

06:02:39.000 They won't call North Carolina.

06:02:42.000 Georgia, Trump up by seven.

06:02:45.000 You know, they didn't call Florida yet.

06:02:46.000 They didn't call Texas yet.

06:02:48.000 It's very goofy what they're doing.

06:02:50.000 Iowa's looking good, though.

06:02:51.000 Trump up by seven with 81%.

06:02:53.000 I think they're going to get Iowa.

06:02:55.000 So I'll give that to Trump.

06:02:58.000 And, you know, Georgia looks like it's likely.

06:03:02.000 I mean, it's not all the way there, but it's likely.

06:03:05.000 Alaska, we're going to get.

06:03:08.000 I mean, reasonably, we could say we're at 248.

06:03:10.000 And then, as we've been saying, it comes down to these.

06:03:13.000 Pennsylvania and Arizona.

06:03:14.000 Potentially Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Nevada, but those are going to be the big two.

06:03:20.000 So that's where we are.

06:03:26.000 Yeah, so I don't know.

06:03:27.000 I mean, I was planning on going until like 2 or 3 a.m., and I'm not calling it yet.

06:03:33.000 I'm not calling the stream yet, but it's like, what do we even do?

06:03:36.000 It's just kind of like, now we play the waiting game.

06:03:40.000 See you tomorrow.

06:03:41.000 The good thing is the betting odds.

06:03:44.000 I mean, they're all over the place, but it's moving back in Trump's direction.

06:03:48.000 Biden's back down to 37.

06:03:49.000 Trump's up to 61.

06:03:51.000 So that looks decent.

06:03:53.000 Let's look at Wisconsin.

06:03:54.000 Wisconsin up to 84.4% reporting.

06:03:57.000 Trump's lead, it appears to have increased to a little bit more than 5%.

06:04:04.000 And it's getting down to the wire there in Wisconsin.

06:04:07.000 I don't know where they think Biden's going to find the votes.

06:04:11.000 This Dane County's 93% reporting, this other county, 87%.

06:04:17.000 Iowa County, 75%.

06:04:19.000 Milwaukee's almost completely done.

06:04:22.000 I mean, all of the Democratic strongholds, with the exception of a couple, are almost all the way counted.

06:04:30.000 And then it's just outstanding.

06:04:31.000 I don't know.

06:04:32.000 I guess these more rural counties, do they think that Biden's going to flip it in rural Wisconsin, which is heavily Trump?

06:04:38.000 So, anyway, so that's where we are.

06:04:41.000 And they're not even making a decision.

06:04:43.000 It's taking too long.

06:04:45.000 The machines are taking longer than we expected.

06:04:47.000 So, I don't even know at this point what we're waiting for.

06:04:50.000 Well, it's funny, these people act like they didn't know that today was the election.

06:04:53.000 It's like they woke up late for school and they're just scrambling.

06:04:56.000 They're like, oh, school's today?

06:04:59.000 And they're running out of the house with toast in their mouth. 0.99

06:05:02.000 It's ridiculous. 0.94

06:05:07.000 I like that visual running outside of town. 0.53

06:05:10.000 Like one of those old movies where it's like the scrambling for the first day of school and you get that little, it's the following shot where get out of bed and toaster pops up, pet the dog.

06:05:21.000 You know, one of those intricate.

06:05:24.000 Yeah, that's Democrats trying to count all the votes on the presidential election.

06:05:28.000 Not like they had four years to prepare for this, but.

06:05:31.000 Yeah.

06:05:32.000 Well, and it's just like we've been saying, it's totally fixed.

06:05:35.000 We knew this.

06:05:36.000 We knew the mail in ballots were going to be a nightmare.

06:05:39.000 We knew the turnout was going to be huge.

06:05:41.000 We knew they were going to try funny business.

06:05:43.000 And yet, here we are, you know, just as we forecasted.

06:05:48.000 And it just sucks, too, because this is going to be like another thing that's just going to loom over Trump's presidency for, you know, what, two, three, six months, you know?

06:05:56.000 It's going to be something that we're going to have to hear about for forever if it actually comes down to the wire and it gets contested like this. 0.91

06:06:02.000 Because, you know, we had the same thing last time with the whole Russiagate nonsense that we had to deal with for years.

06:06:09.000 And now they're going to pull some funny business and we're going to have to, you know, contest it in the courts and all of this.

06:06:15.000 And it's just going to be another thing that just drags down the America First agenda, drags down what Trump is trying to get accomplished for this country.

06:06:23.000 Whoa, hold on.

06:06:24.000 Take a look at this. 1.00

06:06:26.000 You've got Virginia.

06:06:29.000 Virginia has counted.

06:06:32.000 Let me pull it back up here.

06:06:33.000 Virginia's counted 98.88% of votes.

06:06:38.000 Trump is in the lead by 1.7%, and they've counted 98.8%.

06:06:47.000 How does that work?

06:06:49.000 Where are you seeing that?

06:06:51.000 This is on Google.

06:06:52.000 If you look up Associated Press.

06:06:55.000 Yeah, so I see that, but I see maybe it's not updated for me.

06:06:59.000 For me, it says Virginia is like 70% reporting.

06:07:02.000 Maybe refresh because I'm looking at it right now 3.1 million votes counted.

06:07:06.000 Trump is still ahead, even where I am, at 70% reporting what it says.

06:07:10.000 It must be behind or something.

06:07:11.000 Yeah, Virginia is.

06:07:12.000 I was actually just looking at Virginia.

06:07:14.000 It's weird.

06:07:15.000 So, on New York Times, they have Biden at 52.4% and Trump at 45.9%.

06:07:25.000 But then, if you go to results.elections.virginia.gov, they have Trump at 49.96%, Biden at 48.06%.

06:07:34.000 It's kind of hard to.

06:07:35.000 Yeah, I mean, I think AP is kind of the top source here.

06:07:39.000 But, yeah, I mean, he might actually win Virginia, which is.

06:07:43.000 I mean, that's huge.

06:07:45.000 And I don't think anyone really saw that coming.

06:07:48.000 Yeah.

06:07:48.000 Oh, I mean, nobody even talked about it.

06:07:49.000 Nobody was like, well, Virginia, you know.

06:07:52.000 Yeah, I saw a few tweets of people very.

06:07:54.000 Yeah, punning off that Hillary didn't win by all that much.

06:07:58.000 But that's it.

06:07:59.000 And they were talking about like Fairfax County numbers already today.

06:08:04.000 And that's about it.

06:08:05.000 Most of the people who would have called Virginia were like the people who were calling like New York for Trump and stuff.

06:08:12.000 Yeah, New York.

06:08:16.000 Maybe not New York this time around.

06:08:19.000 Yeah.

06:08:20.000 Next time.

06:08:21.000 We'll get it next time. 0.99

06:08:23.000 So that's a little stupid because if Trump wins Virginia, that's huge. 0.99

06:08:23.000 Yeah. 0.99

06:08:28.000 And by the way, New York Times also says that Georgia is tilting Democrat.

06:08:36.000 Now, they have now updated their needle and they've now got Georgia at 63% for Biden.

06:08:44.000 I don't know, man.

06:08:44.000 This seems like a really Trump wins.

06:08:46.000 Florida, but not Georgia.

06:08:49.000 Trump wins North Carolina, but not Georgia.

06:08:52.000 North Carolina, they haven't even called in the New York Times. 1.00

06:08:55.000 That seems like a bunch of bullshit, honestly. 0.98

06:08:59.000 I'm inclined to agree with that assessment of things. 0.99

06:09:03.000 Yeah.

06:09:03.000 Yeah, I have to agree.

06:09:04.000 This is bullshit. 0.99

06:09:05.000 Yes, my thoughts, exactly. 1.00

06:09:07.000 Magna Knight at the White House.

06:09:09.000 I'm ready.

06:09:12.000 I'm, you know, kind of like what Beardson was saying, though.

06:09:15.000 Like, it's kind of funny to me, actually, that they had. 0.99

06:09:17.000 Over four years to fucking rig this bullshit, and this is the best they could do. 0.99

06:09:22.000 Like, it's this tight. 1.00

06:09:23.000 They've had four and a half years, and this is the best they could do.

06:09:27.000 Yeah, right. 1.00

06:09:28.000 Well, four years, and people don't even give a shit. 0.99

06:09:31.000 I mean, they're voting against Trump. 0.99

06:09:34.000 They could have put up anybody as a Democrat.

06:09:36.000 It doesn't even matter.

06:09:37.000 Biden wasn't even so popular.

06:09:39.000 But I'm staying positive.

06:09:42.000 I think we got a shot here.

06:09:44.000 It's just.

06:09:44.000 I think we.

06:09:45.000 I think.

06:09:46.000 I've said it on Twitter.

06:09:47.000 I've said it on my streams.

06:09:49.000 I really do believe.

06:09:50.000 I think that Trump will.

06:09:51.000 You know, and I'm trying not to say it in a way that's like overconfident.

06:09:55.000 You know, I'm not like, I'm not trying to post like, you know, Bill Mitchell or anything like that.

06:09:59.000 Like it's a landslide, you know, whatever.

06:10:01.000 I don't think it'll be a landslide.

06:10:02.000 I think that it'll be within, you know, I think it'll be, it has been a fight.

06:10:07.000 It will continue to be a fight.

06:10:08.000 And I think that the end tally will represent that.

06:10:11.000 But I do think first, you know, I do think that Trump will win, that he will have another four years.

06:10:19.000 I'm not sure exactly what that'll look like, but.

06:10:22.000 Based on what we're seeing tonight, I do kind of feel confirmed in feeling that way.

06:10:31.000 Fox projects that Trump has won Iowa.

06:10:35.000 I'm seeing that apparently there's a source that says that Virginia was called for Trump.

06:10:40.000 I mean, that's not confirmed, but I saw somebody in chat saying Virginia called for Trump.

06:10:45.000 I don't know if that's true.

06:10:47.000 Fox reversed Arizona.

06:10:51.000 Fox is called back in.

06:10:54.000 We're back in it.

06:10:55.000 We're back.

06:10:56.000 Let's go.

06:10:57.000 Virginia back in play.

06:11:00.000 Iowa's ran.

06:11:01.000 Virginia, Arizona.

06:11:04.000 Oh, man.

06:11:06.000 Oh, man.

06:11:06.000 Did CNN call Nevada?

06:11:09.000 Somebody says CNN called Nevada for.

06:11:11.000 Okay, are people just lying now?

06:11:13.000 I can't even tell, but let me pull up CNN. 1.00

06:11:16.000 I don't know if people are just full of shit at this point. 0.98

06:11:18.000 It'd be really nice if Twitter was doing more to combat this misinformation. 0.99

06:11:22.000 Yeah, for real.

06:11:24.000 So Trump wins Iowa.

06:11:26.000 I haven't seen.

06:11:27.000 Okay, AP projects Biden wins Minnesota, which is not a big surprise.

06:11:30.000 I didn't think that he was going to win Minnesota.

06:11:32.000 Yeah, they called that.

06:11:34.000 Minnesota?

06:11:34.000 Yeah.

06:11:36.000 But looking at Wisconsin, I really don't see how Trump loses Wisconsin.

06:11:40.000 And well, cheating, upsets.

06:11:45.000 There's a lot of stuff.

06:11:46.000 No, but I'm saying, looking at these districts that are left, counties, I guess.

06:11:54.000 Kanye tweets, Welp, Kanye 2024.

06:11:59.000 That's funny.

06:12:00.000 There's always next time.

06:12:03.000 I like how he tweeted at 4 p.m.

06:12:07.000 I don't remember exactly what it was.

06:12:08.000 He was like, Don't stop believing.

06:12:12.000 Let's take one.

06:12:14.000 I think he got 7,000 votes in Tennessee.

06:12:18.000 Pretty epic.

06:12:23.000 I don't know what's going on in Virginia.

06:12:25.000 98.96.

06:12:27.000 It keeps going up.

06:12:28.000 Trump's still in the lead.

06:12:30.000 I don't know.

06:12:31.000 Maybe that's.

06:12:31.000 Yeah, New York Times is showing Trump up in Virginia again.

06:12:38.000 I don't know. 0.99

06:12:38.000 I feel like, what the fuck with my. 0.99

06:12:42.000 Sorry, I feel like my language has gotten like that. 0.98

06:12:44.000 Yeah, this guy's off the rails here.

06:12:47.000 I don't know.

06:12:47.000 My Virginia on this is, yeah, on New York Times, it says that it says 76% of votes reported.

06:12:58.000 But Trump is at 50.2.

06:13:00.000 Biden's at 48.2.

06:13:02.000 Yeah, that's what I'm seeing too.

06:13:06.000 People are saying to check the Virginia election website.

06:13:09.000 Is this the right one?

06:13:11.000 Yeah, that was what I did refer to that before.

06:13:13.000 Results.elections.org.

06:13:15.000 Virginia.gov.

06:13:15.000 I can post the link if you want it.

06:13:20.000 Virginia?

06:13:20.000 Okay.

06:13:23.000 Yeah, I'll just DM it to you on Discord in case you.

06:13:26.000 I think I just pulled it up.

06:13:27.000 Let me see.

06:13:27.000 Okay, cool.

06:13:32.000 I mean, the issue is there are screenshots of it going around, and yeah, it's a positive sign, but people are acting like it's been called because it's on the website.

06:13:42.000 I think the website's kind of a live update.

06:13:44.000 But no, Virginia is looking good.

06:13:46.000 And the fact that the New York Times just updated it to show that Trump is ahead.

06:13:49.000 Over the course of the last few minutes, yeah, definitely both well.

06:13:53.000 Yeah, definitely.

06:13:54.000 It hasn't been called yet.

06:13:55.000 That's the important point in my mind.

06:13:57.000 Right, right.

06:13:59.000 And especially, I mean, it's so with Georgia, with the number, the percentage that's been reported and the lead that Trump has.

06:14:06.000 I mean, short of stuffing the ballot boxes like they're trying to do, I mean, it's like that goes for.

06:14:16.000 I mean, it's just.

06:14:18.000 I guess Trump got Montana.

06:14:22.000 Some are saying, see, the chat is like, read chat, read chat.

06:14:26.000 I would not read chat.

06:14:27.000 Yeah, I know.

06:14:28.000 It's a disaster.

06:14:30.000 People are telling me, oh, look at this site, look at this one.

06:14:32.000 You got to read whatever.

06:14:33.000 I'm trying to follow along with what's going on, all these different sources here.

06:14:39.000 Just send it to me on Discord.

06:14:40.000 I'll run through it.

06:14:41.000 I'll be the data guy.

06:14:43.000 Let's see.

06:14:45.000 I'm not seeing Montana called.

06:14:47.000 Who called Montana?

06:14:48.000 You guys are just lying.

06:14:51.000 I haven't seen anybody call Montana.

06:14:54.000 Guys, California went red.

06:14:55.000 Let's go.

06:14:58.000 Yeah, right.

06:14:58.000 Well, and they're doing the.

06:15:00.000 They're telling me to look at the CNN map.

06:15:02.000 They're telling me to look at all this different stuff.

06:15:03.000 I mean, what I'm really thinking about is Virginia. 0.66

06:15:06.000 How the hell.

06:15:07.000 Virginia should be too close to call.

06:15:10.000 How have they projected a winner?

06:15:11.000 They have got 99% of votes, and Trump is in the lead, and they're like, yeah, well, Biden won.

06:15:17.000 Called it hours ago.

06:15:18.000 No retractions.

06:15:20.000 Yeah, and New York Times has Florida still undecided, right?

06:15:24.000 With close to 100% of the vote in.

06:15:27.000 And he's up by four or three.

06:15:29.000 Yeah.

06:15:31.000 Yeah.

06:15:32.000 I mean, 96% of the vote.

06:15:38.000 Biden's giving a speech shortly, they say.

06:15:38.000 Wow.

06:15:41.000 Oh, I see where I'm thinking this is.

06:15:43.000 He may declare victory.

06:15:46.000 I mean, but how?

06:15:47.000 I mean, I would understand if he says, that would be, yeah.

06:15:50.000 You know, we won't declare, you know, because there's a lot of counting to be done or whatever, but I don't see how Biden could declare victory.

06:15:58.000 It would just be a total mask off moment.

06:16:00.000 Yeah, it would be rust belt states haven't been decided at all.

06:16:05.000 He loses Florida. 0.99

06:16:06.000 Yep, looks like I've won.

06:16:08.000 He loses Florida, Georgia, North Carolina as of right now.

06:16:11.000 We don't know for sure, but.

06:16:13.000 He loses those three states.

06:16:15.000 The rest belt hasn't been decided yet, except for Ohio for Trump.

06:16:19.000 And, you know, he goes, Oh, I've won.

06:16:22.000 Thank you.

06:16:23.000 I don't, I just, I mean, I don't know.

06:16:29.000 Yeah, I don't know.

06:16:30.000 People are, I'm talking to the campaign.

06:16:33.000 I guess they're very confident at the campaign, but I'm not, I'm not feeling, I'm feeling nervous, you know?

06:16:39.000 I'm, I'm a little bit confused.

06:16:43.000 I don't know.

06:16:46.000 I mean, I'm feeling good.

06:16:47.000 There's just so much weirdness, really.

06:16:48.000 Yeah, I do feel good.

06:16:50.000 It's just like us, you know, like we're in very uncharted territory, I guess.

06:16:53.000 I mean, we don't know what this is like, what to expect.

06:17:00.000 Wow, absolute blowouts.

06:17:02.000 Less than 1% of the vote in Nevada, and Trump is 80%.

06:17:05.000 Incredible.

06:17:12.000 Georgia flipped, they're saying.

06:17:14.000 Yeah, Georgia, 67% chance Biden.

06:17:18.000 But Trump is still in the lead by seven.

06:17:20.000 It's at 80%.

06:17:21.000 Trump is up by seven.

06:17:23.000 Biden's about to make a statement.

06:17:24.000 Is there, let me pull up YouTube and see if we can get that.

06:17:28.000 I'll be, yeah, I'll be back in one second.

06:17:31.000 Oops.

06:17:33.000 Oops, let me pull up NBC.

06:18:03.000 Okay, let's take a look at NBC and what they're saying here.

06:18:07.000 Why is this no sound?

06:18:08.000 Is this muted?

06:18:12.000 Why am I getting no sound?

06:18:20.000 From Arizona.

06:18:21.000 So I think we're in that.

06:18:23.000 I think I'd also caution people to examine counties that are only half reported as if it matters to what it was before.

06:18:32.000 That's a great point.

06:18:33.000 But I just want to put one more question.

06:18:34.000 Do you say basically emerging, and Nate said the same thing, of 2016 and 2018?

06:18:38.000 Since 2018, we've had an impeachment, a pandemic, 20 million Americans unemployed, a president getting COVID, a second surge, and nothing changes?

06:18:49.000 And that's what, I mean, George.

06:18:50.000 That's exactly what it looks like.

06:18:52.000 When you take a look at Donald Trump's job approval number over that entire expanse of his presidency, it's been at the same almost exact number for four years.

06:19:02.000 Matt Dowd, thanks very much.

06:19:03.000 We have to take another quick break.

06:19:04.000 As you've just heard, it's going to be a long night, a long week.

06:19:07.000 Stay with us.

06:19:22.000 America this morning.

06:19:23.000 Okay, so I just got a message from one of our guys who's involved in GOP politics in Virginia.

06:19:32.000 He says, Not sure if you'll see this through the stream, but the VA numbers are off because the site Nick Polled has absentee votes in a different category.

06:19:41.000 Today was slightly in favor of Trump, but his numbers will likely fall as mail in ballots are counted.

06:19:47.000 So, gotcha.

06:19:48.000 Yeah, I guess it could still go either way, but yeah, the question of how.

06:19:53.000 You know, how far, how much they're going to fall, really.

06:19:57.000 Right.

06:19:58.000 Well, that's a bummer because that, I mean, Georgia hangs in the balance.

06:19:58.000 Okay.

06:20:04.000 These Midwestern states will not be called.

06:20:07.000 Arizona's in play.

06:20:08.000 I mean, Arizona's in play, but it's all going to be a lot closer in areas where we didn't think it would be.

06:20:14.000 I would think it would be closer in Florida.

06:20:16.000 I would think it'd be closer in North Carolina.

06:20:20.000 But we'll see.

06:20:27.000 But it's a yikes.

06:20:28.000 This is kind of disconcerting.

06:20:32.000 Trump is down to 59% in the betting odds.

06:20:35.000 Not that that, I mean, that kind of doesn't really mean much, one way or the other.

06:20:39.000 The campaign still says they're optimistic.

06:20:44.000 But we'll see.

06:20:46.000 We're going to get, by the way, a special guest is going to Skype in after the Biden statement.

06:20:52.000 Oh, nice.

06:20:53.000 We have that to look forward to.

06:20:56.000 I hope it's Scott Greer.

06:21:00.000 Montana goes to Trump, which, I mean, that was expected, of course.

06:21:07.000 And again, Virginia is definitely blue, I think, with what Patrick has told us.

06:21:14.000 Disappointing, but I'm still hopeful.

06:21:18.000 I remain hopeful.

06:21:19.000 I remain optimistic.

06:21:21.000 And I'm telling you about the campaign.

06:21:26.000 I just texted them.

06:21:27.000 I'm like, you guys are still optimistic, literally, just now.

06:21:31.000 They go, yep.

06:21:32.000 Really? 0.98

06:21:33.000 Because we're fucking freaking out over here. 0.98

06:21:35.000 He's like, yeah, we're still optimistic. 0.98

06:21:37.000 No, we're not freaking out.

06:21:38.000 Yeah, I'm not.

06:21:39.000 I'm white pilled.

06:21:41.000 I'm freaking out a little bit.

06:21:42.000 I don't know about you.

06:21:44.000 I mean, you know, I'm concerned, but I'm still believing.

06:21:48.000 I'm going to trust the plan.

06:21:50.000 Trust the plan.

06:21:52.000 Thank you.

06:21:56.000 I honestly think the only way that Trump can lose, and I'm not joking about this, is if they engage in voter fraud, which is a likely possibility, but.

06:22:05.000 You know, Trump has to know that he needs to fight it.

06:22:08.000 He needs to send in his attorneys.

06:22:10.000 He needs, I mean, there's still a lot he can do. 0.98

06:22:12.000 He needs to send in Chad Wolves. 1.00

06:22:14.000 Yeah.

06:22:15.000 Well, yeah.

06:22:17.000 He has options.

06:22:18.000 But yeah, I mean, a lot of this is going to be up to Trump to fight it.

06:22:23.000 It's going to be up to him to refuse to accept the results of an illegitimate election.

06:22:28.000 And, you know, I mean, people have complained about stuff Trump has done.

06:22:32.000 Oh, he should have stood up to the GOP for, you know, the omnibus spending bill back in 2018.

06:22:37.000 And I'm inclined to agree for some of these things.

06:22:39.000 But, When it's a question of being president and not being president, I mean, I don't think he's going to become a dictator, but I do think that he is going to fight it.

06:22:51.000 What kind of, I mean, Trump has to be fairly concerned about what his life is going to be like under a Biden Harris administration.

06:23:00.000 There's so much they can do to him, right?

06:23:02.000 Financial investigations, all sorts of stuff that, you know, it really behooves him to stay in office for as long as possible.

06:23:12.000 True.

06:23:14.000 Yeah, I agree.

06:23:15.000 Well, according to 538, they still have a 53%, 54% chance of Trump winning.

06:23:23.000 So, I mean, this is, you know, it's a race.

06:23:26.000 It's a war.

06:23:27.000 It's a slog.

06:23:28.000 But, you know, that's what politics is and that's what the race was expected to be.

06:23:36.000 Okay, so my source in the campaign said everyone's mood is up at the White House.

06:23:43.000 I wonder what they know that we don't know.

06:23:45.000 Maybe they know.

06:23:46.000 Biden's campaign said they're going to win.

06:23:46.000 I don't know.

06:23:48.000 So I don't, I mean, both campaigns seem to be optimistic.

06:23:53.000 Well, we'll see.

06:23:56.000 I'm standing back and standing back.

06:23:58.000 Yeah, I don't know.

06:23:59.000 I don't know what happens.

06:24:00.000 Yeah.

06:24:00.000 But Trump's going to win.

06:24:02.000 I'm confident.

06:24:03.000 I'm confident.

06:24:04.000 I feel like Biden's campaign is more likely to lie about that for like, you know, saving faith, like saying, oh, we're going to win.

06:24:11.000 I feel like, I don't know.

06:24:14.000 Like Beardson said, so then they can pull the whole thing.

06:24:17.000 This was rigged.

06:24:18.000 Right.

06:24:19.000 Because Biden's never going to.

06:24:20.000 He's, I mean, maybe at some point he'll, if he has to, he'll concede, but he's never just going to like, will willingly, you know, say, yeah, guys, sorry, it looks like we're going to lose.

06:24:30.000 Yeah, he beat me fair and square.

06:24:32.000 Right, right.

06:24:34.000 Old corn pop got me again.

06:24:36.000 When he concedes, it'll be, you know, because he has to, whether it's because they challenge it or because and lose or because Trump just wins in such a clear way that they can't.

06:24:48.000 So, well, right now, where's Joe?

06:24:51.000 I guess he said 11 30, so we still got a minute.

06:24:55.000 I have to piss, by the way.

06:24:57.000 After the statement, I'll go take a leak.

06:24:59.000 Maybe during it because I'll keep my head down.

06:25:01.000 Where is this that you're.

06:25:03.000 I'm just watching the NBC or ABC stream here, and I'm sure they're going to have it on.

06:25:13.000 I'm nervous.

06:25:16.000 Hopeful.

06:25:17.000 Hopeful and optimistic, but I'm a little bit concerned, I have to tell you.

06:25:21.000 The lead in Pennsylvania is huge, though.

06:25:25.000 So, I mean, that is something that is important to consider is that he's up by 15, 61% in.

06:25:32.000 Now, let's just for the fun of it, give him Pennsylvania.

06:25:34.000 Let's say that Georgia is all a bunch of bluster.

06:25:38.000 I mean, he's still not there, but I don't know.

06:25:41.000 I mean, I guess we'll see then about Arizona or Alaska.

06:25:46.000 I don't know, man.

06:25:47.000 It's really getting down.

06:25:48.000 If we win that district in Maine, you know what, though?

06:25:52.000 We could, honestly, if Biden doesn't win that vote in Nebraska, If we win the vote in Maine, if we win Pennsylvania, nothing else, it does turn into a 269 to 269 race.

06:26:07.000 But then, I mean, Wisconsin's looking good.

06:26:09.000 Michigan's looking good.

06:26:11.000 So, I mean, really, the reason I'm honestly what's more disconcerting is that he won't win outright tonight because with these three states, they're basically just out of play tonight.

06:26:21.000 The worst outcome that we'll see tonight is that he won't win it outright.

06:26:24.000 But that doesn't mean that he's lost in Wisconsin, Michigan, or PA.

06:26:27.000 They haven't called any of them.

06:26:29.000 And he's ahead in all of them.

06:26:31.000 Right.

06:26:32.000 And he's a heavy opponent.

06:26:33.000 If he wins those three, he can still lose, obviously, Virginia and Georgia.

06:26:38.000 I mean, I guess my map right here is well, I mean, he can even lose Nevada and Arizona, technically, if he wins Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

06:26:49.000 So, I mean, there are several ways that this thing could shake out.

06:26:53.000 Yeah, as long as he wins Wisconsin and Michigan and Pennsylvania, like, it's solid. 0.99

06:26:58.000 If he loses Georgia, though, I mean, we're kind of fucked. 0.98

06:27:02.000 No, I mean, my man. 0.98

06:27:03.000 Not if he wins, though.

06:27:04.000 I mean, again, this is a much taller order than just saying he needs to win one.

06:27:08.000 But if he were to win those three states, even if he were to win, you know, well, I guess, I mean, one of those you end up with a 269, but 269.

06:27:17.000 But if he were to win those three, I mean, he can afford to lose Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada.

06:27:25.000 So that's, I mean, if he wins those three, then he's pretty safe because that's not even, maybe he wins Arizona and then it's much safer or Nevada.

06:27:33.000 Who knows?

06:27:34.000 Is the Biden speech up?

06:27:36.000 People are saying it is.

06:27:37.000 I can't find it.

06:27:41.000 I'm not seeing it.

06:27:44.000 How can you not have it up right now?

06:27:45.000 Here we go.

06:27:46.000 Is this going to be here?

06:27:48.000 Yeah, I don't. 1.00

06:27:50.000 All these fucking advertisements, man. 1.00

06:27:55.000 Give me a link. 1.00

06:27:56.000 Link me.

06:27:57.000 Somebody link me.

06:28:01.000 I mean, I see ABC and they don't have it.

06:28:03.000 I would imagine that ABC would have it up.

06:28:05.000 They'll carry it, I think, is what makes sense, right?

06:28:09.000 Yeah.

06:28:10.000 Yeah, I'm seeing these places and they're not showing it, so.

06:28:17.000 Where are you seeing that this is up in the chat, which is very unreliable, of course?

06:28:26.000 I don't know.

06:28:27.000 I'm gonna go for our Twitter group chat, and I'm sure that it will.

06:28:29.000 Yeah, nothing's in the Twitter group chat.

06:28:31.000 I was just looking, I haven't started.

06:28:33.000 Thanks, chat though.

06:28:34.000 Thank you, Wisconsin.

06:28:41.000 He could win Michigan and Wisconsin, but it's not.

06:28:44.000 There in some way, Nevada.

06:28:46.000 We, I mean, they count so slow.

06:28:48.000 Yeah, I don't know.

06:28:49.000 I'm I feel good about the number of ways that this can go in our favor.

06:28:54.000 It's hard to know if one of them will or if any of them will, which one's more likely.

06:28:58.000 But it's not like we have to have oh, this way, we have to win this state or it's over.

06:29:05.000 There are a few different things that could happen.

06:29:08.000 Here we go.

06:29:10.000 So now, this I guess, and they're getting ready.

06:29:14.000 So let me Kensney from Folk Salad sent me the link.

06:29:18.000 Face.

06:29:18.000 Thanks to him.

06:29:19.000 Okay, but they're not starting.

06:29:21.000 They just started the stream.

06:29:22.000 We love Folk Salad Nation. 0.92

06:29:25.000 Yeah, hello, Folk Salad Nation.

06:29:26.000 I'm about to start a stream. 0.89

06:29:30.000 All these liquids I've been drinking, monster coffee, sparkling water.

06:29:36.000 I'm about to start a stream.

06:29:38.000 I was about to say, you're already streaming, Nick.

06:29:40.000 What are you talking about?

06:29:42.000 I'm going to start a piss stream.

06:29:44.000 I've got to start a heavy, high pressure, high energy piss stream.

06:29:52.000 Flowing.

06:29:53.000 Only one stream at a time, I think, is the best way.

06:30:00.000 Yeah, so it looks like Virginia is basically done.

06:30:02.000 They just updated the vote counts on the website.

06:30:06.000 Biden is at 51.81.

06:30:08.000 Trump is at 46.28.

06:30:10.000 So I don't know if they're going to update it again and Trump is going to be ahead.

06:30:14.000 It doesn't look like that at this point.

06:30:19.000 Stop blackpilling Patrick.

06:30:20.000 He's going to win.

06:30:21.000 No, I do think he's going to win.

06:30:23.000 I'm just reporting the numbers.

06:30:25.000 I'm just kidding. 0.98

06:30:30.000 Accepting that Trump is going to lose any state is black. 0.95

06:30:34.000 I'm sorry.

06:30:34.000 You know, I haven't been trusted in the plan.

06:30:35.000 You're not killing me.

06:30:36.000 Stop it.

06:30:37.000 I'm looking at the map again in a new light.

06:30:39.000 I'm just seeing red from sea to shining sea.

06:30:43.000 Okay, now we're seeing, now we're on the same page.

06:30:49.000 Where's the now this stream?

06:30:50.000 I saw it a minute.

06:30:51.000 Okay, there it is. 1.00

06:30:53.000 This fat loser on the thumbnail. 1.00

06:30:56.000 Fat, greasy loser. 1.00

06:30:58.000 Well, we'll see. 1.00

06:31:00.000 It's coming down to the wire.

06:31:02.000 I do want to see what Biden will say.

06:31:04.000 I wonder if Trump will speak tonight.

06:31:05.000 There was that tweet earlier where it said that they don't have an acceptance or concession speech written for Trump, but he might speak tonight anyway, which will be interesting if he does.

06:31:17.000 Which will be phenomenal.

06:31:18.000 Oh, yeah.

06:31:19.000 I guess Nevada results are going to start to come out soon.

06:31:23.000 And their 1% has come out, and Trump is up, but it's only these far out.

06:31:30.000 It's going to be really Las Vegas versus everything else.

06:31:34.000 Yeah.

06:31:36.000 Do we know anything about Nevada as far in this group?

06:31:39.000 Do we know anything about the likelihood of it going for Trump?

06:31:44.000 It wasn't polling super well.

06:31:46.000 But they didn't do a lot of polling there. 1.00

06:31:48.000 But it's just these Hispanics. 1.00

06:31:50.000 I feel like if Hispanics turned out so good for Trump in Florida, I feel like he'd have a better shot in Arizona and Nevada than they predicted. 0.99

06:31:56.000 But that's, yeah, they kind of had that in mind. 0.69

06:32:00.000 So, yeah, obviously a lot of it has to do with the type of Hispanics.

06:32:05.000 Cubans are far more receptive, it seems.

06:32:08.000 Yeah, it'll be very interesting to see the exit polls for the racial breakdown, state by state, nationally.

06:32:22.000 People are saying it's the Cubans.

06:32:24.000 Yeah, but he was also polling better with Mexicans, too, not just Cubans, but also with other kinds of Hispanics.

06:32:30.000 Like, we don't know that it's Cubans in Florida.

06:32:32.000 It's just that he's polling better with Hispanics generally as a category, also with non Cuban Hispanics, too.

06:32:32.000 We know that.

06:32:41.000 So.

06:32:43.000 Florida is just Trump country.

06:32:45.000 If you're living in Florida and you don't support Trump, yeah.

06:32:49.000 His home state of Florida.

06:32:50.000 Yeah.

06:32:51.000 I love how he's.

06:32:53.000 I mean, he does live there and everything, and it's, you know, whatever, but it's like, I love how he's just completely switched.

06:32:59.000 So I am in my home state of Florida.

06:33:01.000 Yeah.

06:33:03.000 The whole state just has like a Trump vibe.

06:33:06.000 It's kind of hard to put into words, but.

06:33:09.000 Rich boomers.

06:33:11.000 Yeah. 0.92

06:33:11.000 I mean, that's basically it. 0.92

06:33:12.000 Yeah.

06:33:13.000 Yeah.

06:33:13.000 I do know.

06:33:13.000 Yeah.

06:33:14.000 Playing golf and.

06:33:17.000 Eating Big Macs on their yacht.

06:33:21.000 So, this is our official map in terms of.

06:33:24.000 I want to keep an official map, basically, of calls.

06:33:29.000 Because they haven't called.

06:33:31.000 Did they call the 2nd District of Maine yet?

06:33:33.000 Did that go Trump or did that go Biden?

06:33:37.000 I don't think they've called Maine yet.

06:33:38.000 I haven't seen that.

06:33:39.000 I don't think they've called it one way or another.

06:33:46.000 And they say Biden may win Nebraska 2nd, which would be.

06:33:50.000 I mean, it's one vote, but we need everything we can get at this point.

06:33:57.000 Patrick, sorry you lost the Senate race.

06:34:03.000 Oh, Nebraska?

06:34:04.000 Yeah.

06:34:05.000 Well, you know, I ran a good campaign.

06:34:07.000 I think we spread the message far and wide.

06:34:10.000 I was able to win over the most important person in Nebraska, and that was Jaden McNeil, who wrote me in.

06:34:18.000 I voted for you three times, Patrick, in the Katowice.

06:34:21.000 Okay.

06:34:22.000 I don't know if I can legally support that, but I support the spirit of it.

06:34:30.000 It was only for a city comptroller, but still.

06:34:33.000 I thought you'd be a good comptroller.

06:34:34.000 I've always thought I'd make a good comptroller.

06:34:41.000 Just a random question Does anyone know how many votes Kanye West got?

06:34:48.000 Has anyone seen any figures?

06:34:51.000 I think I saw somewhere he got 7,000 in Tennessee.

06:34:54.000 Yeah, I saw that.

06:34:55.000 People are saying Florida called.

06:34:55.000 I saw that.

06:34:56.000 Yeah, we know.

06:34:57.000 They called Florida a long time ago.

06:35:00.000 Different people are calling it.

06:35:02.000 Florida called.

06:35:02.000 Yeah, we know.

06:35:03.000 Florida's been called for a long time.

06:35:06.000 Oh, yeah.

06:35:08.000 Texas was called.

06:35:10.000 New York Times didn't call Minnesota yet, but it's been called.

06:35:12.000 They didn't call Texas yet, but it's been called.

06:35:14.000 They didn't call North Carolina yet, but it's been called.

06:35:16.000 So people don't be freaking out.

06:35:20.000 North Carolina was called.

06:35:23.000 Not by New York Times, but it's been called by other places.

06:35:28.000 So, is North Carolina a done dealer?

06:35:29.000 Are they one of those saying that they're not going to?

06:35:32.000 I'm like 99% sure it was called at some point earlier by one of the sites.

06:35:37.000 Am I right or am I wrong about that?

06:35:39.000 I mean, they have 95% reporting.

06:35:41.000 I mean.

06:35:42.000 But did they get an official?

06:35:43.000 I thought I recalled an official call.

06:35:45.000 Maybe I'm wrong.

06:35:47.000 This is their strategy, though.

06:35:47.000 I don't know.

06:35:49.000 They're trying to throw us into disarray.

06:35:56.000 I guess Fox did.

06:35:57.000 Did not end up retracting Arizona.

06:36:01.000 But they're the only ones that called it.

06:36:03.000 Yeah, nobody else has called it.

06:36:06.000 What, um, boozers, what's with the ruling in North Carolina in the election and like the Supreme Court rule?

06:36:15.000 Will that affect this?

06:36:16.000 Because of the amount of votes for Trump?

06:36:19.000 The North Carolina, they did decide that the extension was constitutional, so there's not a high chance that that's going to be struck down.

06:36:28.000 The Pennsylvania is the one that came down 4 4, and then they did not make a decision on it when Republicans petitioned after Barrett got confirmed.

06:36:39.000 So.

06:36:40.000 Pennsylvania, they could still throw out votes.

06:36:42.000 But we, I mean, the reason why it's nerve wracking is because we want him to win outright as unambiguously as possible.

06:36:49.000 We don't want it to come down to fighting it and everything like that.

06:36:53.000 So, you know, there's always going to be a path, even no matter what the outcome is tonight.

06:36:59.000 It's just much more difficult after calls are made and things like that.

06:37:12.000 Joni Ernst wins her reelection in Iowa.

06:37:14.000 Good.

06:37:15.000 I think Joni Ernst we like.

06:37:19.000 Did you see that Martha McSally lost? 1.00

06:37:22.000 I did, yeah, but she sucked. 0.99

06:37:23.000 I mean, she was worse. 1.00

06:37:24.000 She polled worse than Trump in that state. 0.96

06:37:29.000 Yeah, she was one of these.

06:37:30.000 I don't know if she was a never Trumper, but she was one of these Republicans that refused to really get on board with him, right?

06:37:36.000 Yeah.

06:37:38.000 Righto.

06:37:40.000 Okay, are we getting Biden?

06:37:42.000 I thought they said 11 30.

06:37:44.000 Here it is.

06:37:44.000 Here we go.

06:37:45.000 Here it is.

06:37:46.000 Here's Joe Biden.

06:37:48.000 All right. 1.00

06:37:52.000 The hawking is so stupid. 1.00

06:37:53.000 The hawking is so stupid. 1.00

06:37:54.000 Yeah, that's cool. 1.00

06:37:57.000 Oh my gosh.

06:37:58.000 We should have synced up.

06:38:00.000 Oh, wait, it's live. 0.93

06:38:01.000 I'm retarded. 0.96

06:38:04.000 Guys, hit the live button. 0.61

06:38:05.000 Let's all sync up.

06:38:06.000 Press play at the same time.

06:38:08.000 Let's see what he says.

06:38:15.000 I'm Joe Biden's husband.

06:38:16.000 I hate when he says that.

06:38:20.000 They're trying to catch the honking.

06:38:20.000 What is this audio?

06:38:25.000 Good evening.

06:38:27.000 Your patience is commendable.

06:38:29.000 We knew this was going to go long, but who knew we're going to go into maybe tomorrow morning, maybe even longer.

06:38:37.000 But look, we feel good about where we are.

06:38:42.000 We really do.

06:38:46.000 I'm here to tell you tonight, we believe we're on track to win this election.

06:38:53.000 Talk to you.

06:38:55.000 We knew because of the unprecedented early vote and the mail-in vote that it was going to take a while.

06:39:02.000 We're going to have to be patient until the hard work of tallying the votes is finished.

06:39:08.000 And it ain't over until every vote is counted, every ballot is counted.

06:39:17.000 But we're feeling good.

06:39:19.000 We're feeling good about where we are.

06:39:22.000 We believe one of the nets has suggested we've already won Arizona, but we're confident about Arizona.

06:39:29.000 That's a turnaround.

06:39:31.000 We also just called it for Minnesota, and we're still in a game in Georgia, although that's not one we expected.

06:39:41.000 We're feeling real good about Wisconsin and Michigan.

06:39:47.000 And by the way, it's going to take time to count the votes.

06:39:51.000 We're going to win Pennsylvania.

06:39:58.000 I'm talking to folks in Philly, Allegheny County, Scranton, and they're really encouraged by the turnout and what they see.

06:40:05.000 Look, you know, we could know the results as early as tomorrow morning, but it may take a little longer.

06:40:11.000 As I've said all along, it's not my place or Donald Trump's place to declare who's won this election.

06:40:18.000 That's the decision of the American people.

06:40:20.000 But I'm optimistic about this outcome.

06:40:22.000 Oh, the honking's so annoying.

06:40:24.000 I want to thank every one of you who came out.

06:40:27.000 And vote in this.

06:40:28.000 What's up with his smile?

06:40:29.000 That's.

06:40:30.000 Yeah, it's very.

06:40:32.000 Like on a weird medical journey.

06:40:34.000 Yeah.

06:40:35.000 It's like an animatronic.

06:40:37.000 Hey, John, the Gov, yeah.

06:40:37.000 Like a Chuck.

06:40:40.000 The whole team, man.

06:40:42.000 You've done a great job.

06:40:43.000 I'm grateful to the poll workers, to our volunteers, our canvassers, everyone who participated in this democratic process.

06:40:50.000 And I'm grateful to all of my supporters here in Delaware and all across the nation.

06:40:56.000 Thank you, thank you, thank you.

06:40:58.000 And folks, you heard me say it before.

06:41:01.000 Every time I walk out of my grandpa's house up in Scranton, he'd yell, Joey, keep the faith.

06:41:07.000 And my grandma, when she was laughing, y'all know Joey, spread it.

06:41:11.000 Keep the faith, guys.

06:41:12.000 We're going to win this.

06:41:13.000 Thank you, thank you, thank you.

06:41:15.000 Your patience is great.

06:41:17.000 Let's walk over here.

06:41:23.000 That's it.

06:41:23.000 Yeah, that was basically uneventful.

06:41:25.000 Yeah.

06:41:26.000 He came out and said, Well, we know.

06:41:29.000 It's just they have no idea.

06:41:31.000 Until every last vote is counted.

06:41:34.000 Yeah, that's the main takeaway, I think.

06:41:37.000 All right, I'm going to run to the bathroom real quick.

06:41:39.000 I'll be back.

06:41:40.000 In a second, but you guys will hold it down.

06:41:42.000 Don't worry, yeah, yeah, keep it going.

06:41:46.000 I'm gonna take the headset off here.

06:41:47.000 I'll uh, we'll keep the faith.

06:41:51.000 I'll be back in one second.

06:41:52.000 I've got all these fluids, all these you know, all this liquid, yeah, to start the stream up.

06:41:57.000 Okay, but I'll be back in a second.

06:41:59.000 Go ahead, we'll hold it down.

06:42:01.000 Yeah, we uh, yeah, I mean, I was expecting something not more definitive as far as the election goes, but I was I thought that they were going to say something.

06:42:12.000 Something more, but it was really just like, you know, we don't know, we have to figure it out, and we think we're going to win.

06:42:20.000 I feel positive.

06:42:22.000 Yeah, I mean, from their perspective, that was the wise decision, right?

06:42:26.000 He gets out there, he shows his face, he talks to his supporters, he lets them know he's confident that they are going to win, but you need to count every vote.

06:42:33.000 So that's really what it's going to be.

06:42:35.000 He understands that Trump wants to get this over with as soon as possible.

06:42:40.000 Right.

06:42:41.000 He did it.

06:42:42.000 And, you know, they.

06:42:44.000 They're met from like you said, from their perspective, their messaging was right.

06:42:47.000 Where he said, We could know tomorrow morning or maybe longer.

06:42:50.000 He didn't say this is going to go on for weeks and weeks, yeah, which would be bad optically for him to say now. 1.00

06:42:57.000 But you know, libtards, libtard losers. 1.00

06:43:02.000 I just, I mean, I, yeah, dude, I want to know. 1.00

06:43:05.000 I'm trying to figure out watching like his face and stuff.

06:43:07.000 I'm trying to figure out like what kind of like combination of stuff he's on because he's it's like the guy has like a different personality by you know.

06:43:15.000 Just tweaked up a little bit differently each time he goes on stage.

06:43:19.000 So Trump just tweeted out, I will be making a statement tonight, a big all caps win!

06:43:24.000 That would be epic.

06:43:27.000 Trump declares, I have won.

06:43:30.000 I have won the election.

06:43:31.000 Yeah, he like maybe didn't plan on doing it, but then he saw Biden give the speech and he wants to one up him.

06:43:36.000 I'm just going to claim, I'm just going to declare.

06:43:37.000 I win.

06:43:38.000 Yeah, I win.

06:43:39.000 I mean, this goes up there and cancels the election.

06:43:42.000 It's like, you know what?

06:43:43.000 I've canceled it.

06:43:46.000 After much thought.

06:43:48.000 Yeah, for personal reasons, I will be canceling the election.

06:43:51.000 Oh, man.

06:43:52.000 Oh, man.

06:43:57.000 Okay, I'm back.

06:43:58.000 You guys still here?

06:43:59.000 Yeah, we're back.

06:44:03.000 Check Trump's latest tweet, Nick.

06:44:05.000 That felt good.

06:44:06.000 That felt good.

06:44:08.000 I feel good.

06:44:11.000 I needed that.

06:44:11.000 I really did.

06:44:12.000 Trump says I'll be making a statement tonight a big win. 0.99

06:44:16.000 He better fucking declare victory. 0.99

06:44:18.000 I hope. 0.99

06:44:20.000 That would up the chaos level so high.

06:44:24.000 I would love it.

06:44:25.000 Love it.

06:44:28.000 We are big, but they are trying to steal the election.

06:44:32.000 We will never let them do it.

06:44:34.000 Votes cannot be cast after the polls close. 1.00

06:44:37.000 I also like Isis' polls, like, poll, Polish people. 0.94

06:44:42.000 The polls close. 1.00

06:44:45.000 Heilton.

06:44:47.000 I think Zero means a poll watcher.

06:44:50.000 Yeah.

06:44:51.000 Oh, man. 1.00

06:44:52.000 Our leader, our fucking leader, dude. 1.00

06:44:54.000 I'm so moving right now. 1.00

06:44:56.000 I mean, that's really the thing.

06:44:58.000 It's just like so unfortunate that we have this whole apparatus of media, the bureaucratic government and everything arrayed.

06:45:07.000 Because Trump, I mean, this election should be canceled.

06:45:11.000 By all reasonable standards, this election should not be happening.

06:45:14.000 But it's such a shame.

06:45:17.000 Trump just deleted the tweet.

06:45:20.000 Did he?

06:45:21.000 Yeah.

06:45:22.000 Oh, probably.

06:45:22.000 Okay.

06:45:23.000 It's probably because he spelled polls.

06:45:24.000 Yeah.

06:45:26.000 Okay.

06:45:26.000 Yeah.

06:45:27.000 Well, he did.

06:45:27.000 I thought you meant the big win one.

06:45:29.000 That one's still up.

06:45:30.000 It's the other one.

06:45:30.000 Yeah.

06:45:30.000 No.

06:45:32.000 Votes cannot be cast after the Polish are closed. 1.00

06:45:34.000 Yeah, yeah. 0.98

06:45:36.000 We will not let the Polish American group on the same side watch. 0.91

06:45:39.000 Yeah. 0.98

06:45:40.000 The campaign is telling me they're only worried about how long it will take Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania to be called, but I guess they're really confident about the Midwest.

06:45:50.000 That's from the campaign I just heard.

06:45:54.000 Great, great.

06:45:55.000 And, you know, I want to stress the only reason why the nerves are intense right now is because, number one, they are trying to steal the election.

06:46:03.000 That is happening in Atlanta.

06:46:05.000 That is happening in Philadelphia, that is happening in Phoenix.

06:46:09.000 Number two is he's not going to win it outright on the evening, which would have been nice and it seemed like we were getting there, but obviously now they're rigging it.

06:46:20.000 Number three is that the longer it goes on, the longer it's delayed, the more it becomes contentious.

06:46:25.000 It's a smaller opportunity to win as opposed to outright.

06:46:28.000 So it's not like, oh no, Trump will lose imminently.

06:46:31.000 This is something that will be carried on now for days and maybe weeks like we predicted.

06:46:37.000 And it's just a little bit disappointing because there was a moment, I think, tonight we thought, okay, game over.

06:46:44.000 Clearly, now our worst fears are confirmed.

06:46:46.000 They are trying to steal it.

06:46:48.000 That doesn't mean we've lost.

06:46:49.000 That doesn't mean we're going to lose tonight or anytime soon.

06:46:53.000 But now it's just more time, right?

06:46:56.000 So I want to stress it's not like, oh no, we're not going to win anymore.

06:47:00.000 It's like, oh no, now it's entered another stage of combat and it will drag on.

06:47:06.000 I think we've still got a.

06:47:07.000 We're still likely to win.

06:47:09.000 But now it's just.

06:47:11.000 There's a different dynamic now.

06:47:14.000 He tweeted again.

06:47:15.000 He fixed it.

06:47:16.000 Okay, perfect.

06:47:21.000 I love how he tweets that video of himself dancing, the compilation earlier today, or I guess it's almost a day ago now.

06:47:29.000 It's just videos of him dancing.

06:47:29.000 Vote, vote, vote.

06:47:31.000 So, when is Trump going to speak?

06:47:33.000 Uh oh, we're getting an incoming call here, an incoming transmission.

06:47:36.000 I'm going to deafen myself here on Discord, and we'll get set up.

06:47:40.000 We've got a special guest calling in, and I hope we can squeeze this in before Trump speaks.

06:47:46.000 We've got a special guest.

06:47:47.000 I told you there might be some surprises tonight, and I'm going to answer the call and then I will put it up on the screen so you can hear it.

06:47:54.000 We're getting a call from my friend Sam.

06:47:57.000 So let's see.

06:48:00.000 Okay, so I've accepted the call.

06:48:03.000 Hello, can you hear me?

06:48:05.000 We're having maybe a little technical issue.

06:48:09.000 There it is.

06:48:10.000 Okay, let me give me one sec here.

06:48:15.000 Let me add a thing here so I can capture this on the screen.

06:48:20.000 My computer's slowing down a little bit because I got too much stuff open.

06:48:23.000 Let me add a little window capture.

06:48:27.000 One sec, one sec.

06:48:31.000 Is this it?

06:48:37.000 Okay, I think we've got it.

06:48:37.000 There it is.

06:48:40.000 And then let me get audio.

06:48:44.000 Let me see.

06:48:47.000 Audio and video.

06:48:48.000 This is our chat microphone.

06:48:53.000 Okay, so I think he can hear me.

06:48:54.000 Okay, I'll be able to hear him in one sec.

06:48:57.000 Okay, can you hear me, Sam?

06:48:57.000 There we go.

06:48:59.000 How is it going?

06:49:00.000 Hey.

06:49:00.000 Yo.

06:49:01.000 Can you hear me?

06:49:02.000 I can hear you loud and clear.

06:49:03.000 How's it going?

06:49:05.000 This is Chinese intelligence officer Sam Puhide Chan reporting in for duty. 0.72

06:49:12.000 The Splinter Cell. 0.93

06:49:14.000 I'm off doing my. 1.00

06:49:16.000 I actually am being followed by black people right now. 0.88

06:49:18.000 That's not a joke. 0.94

06:49:19.000 So hold on one second.

06:49:20.000 I got to see what scoop is here.

06:49:22.000 That's actually serious. 0.98

06:49:23.000 I had a whole routine planned out, but now I'm like stressing out because these guys are fucking following me. 0.93

06:49:28.000 Did you. 0.63

06:49:28.000 What'd you do? 0.63

06:49:29.000 I know you drive very aggressively when I was over here.

06:49:32.000 You're freaking me out.

06:49:33.000 I got to shake him.

06:49:35.000 I got to shake him.

06:49:36.000 Hold on a second.

06:49:37.000 All right. 1.00

06:49:39.000 This is fucking crazy. 0.99

06:49:40.000 If I die tonight, make sure you put it on YouTube, but chop it up, okay? 0.99

06:49:45.000 We got it.

06:49:46.000 We got it.

06:49:51.000 evasive maneuvers Okay.

06:49:53.000 We're all set.

06:49:58.000 Just another ordinary night here.

06:50:01.000 Just another night in Rhode Island.

06:50:02.000 Did you vote today, Sam?

06:50:04.000 Did you vote?

06:50:05.000 I did not vote, man.

06:50:07.000 I'm sorry.

06:50:08.000 I'm sorry.

06:50:08.000 I let everyone down.

06:50:11.000 I was too busy casting votes into the ether with my voice.

06:50:15.000 I was using that new magic voting system.

06:50:17.000 Have you heard about that?

06:50:18.000 Oh, yeah.

06:50:19.000 Oh, yeah.

06:50:19.000 I understand.

06:50:20.000 You're manifesting.

06:50:22.000 You know, yeah.

06:50:22.000 Well, I was a spokesperson briefly for the service 1 800 USA Vote, which turned out to be not a scam, but they haven't been.

06:50:33.000 Forthright about paying me on time.

06:50:34.000 1 800 USA Vote.

06:50:36.000 That's the service where you just text your vote.

06:50:39.000 And so, anyway, I started doing this thing.

06:50:41.000 It's like witchcraft, but it's like magic.

06:50:43.000 So, you shout your vote out into the air and it's picked up by magic.

06:50:49.000 I mean, I don't know how it works, you know, but hey, it works.

06:50:54.000 And I've been casting, at first, I started casting common votes, but then I started casting rare votes and I learned how to make what they refer to as champion votes.

06:51:04.000 A champion vote is like 50 times.

06:51:06.000 50x a regular vote, so it's kind of amazing that I was able to do this.

06:51:11.000 And right now, I'm working on an elite vote that's going to be worth 200 votes, hopefully, to get us over the hump here.

06:51:18.000 Oh, well, yeah, maybe that's why Rhode Island is still.

06:51:21.000 It looks like Trump is still going strong there.

06:51:23.000 We're like halfway counted.

06:51:25.000 He's on his way.

06:51:26.000 Yeah, those are the votes that you want to win. 0.98

06:51:28.000 The sucker votes where you go and cast it, forget those. 0.95

06:51:31.000 The one that wins is the one that's casting the champion. 0.99

06:51:34.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

06:51:35.000 The premium.

06:51:36.000 You got the premium votes.

06:51:39.000 Yes, yes, we have all tiers of votes.

06:51:41.000 I'm trying not to kill a construction worker here with my truck while I'm talking on the voicemail.

06:51:45.000 Hold on, actually, there might be cops here.

06:51:47.000 I've got to put this phone down at a low angle, a low angle here.

06:51:50.000 Yeah, there we go.

06:51:53.000 Anyway, man, how are you doing?

06:51:54.000 I'm doing good.

06:51:55.000 We're freaking out, man.

06:51:56.000 I mean, we've been covering this for like, I don't know, 100 hours, it feels like.

06:52:00.000 And it seemed like we were going to win.

06:52:03.000 Now they're trying to steal it, so it's all political stuff, you know. 0.96

06:52:06.000 But I'm drinking coffee, monster. 0.59

06:52:09.000 How about you? 0.92

06:52:10.000 What are you up to?

06:52:12.000 You remember in 2016, they tried to delay their demise so childishly, so sophomorically with all these tricks, this trickery.

06:52:26.000 But as far as I'm concerned right now, I'm driving to Canada right now to pick up Faith Goldie for my celebration.

06:52:33.000 Bring her in.

06:52:34.000 Hey, Faith, if you're watching this right now, we're going to celebrate you and me.

06:52:37.000 Here we go.

06:52:39.000 I'm coming.

06:52:40.000 On the way.

06:52:41.000 On the way in the rapture.

06:52:44.000 Yes.

06:52:45.000 I'm excited about that. 0.98

06:52:46.000 It's fucking not. 0.98

06:52:49.000 If he wins, if Biden wins, it'll at least be hilarious. 0.99

06:52:54.000 It'll be nonstop hilarity.

06:52:57.000 He'll be dead within three months from whatever this. 1.00

06:53:02.000 They'll shoot him with the heart attack gun or bake his brain with a microwave or something to get this freak, this ghoul faced, hollow eyed demon, Kamala Harris, into the presidential hot seat. 0.99

06:53:19.000 And then from there, the sound bites and the humor will just never end. 0.99

06:53:23.000 It'll just be four years of black comedy.

06:53:26.000 Yeah.

06:53:27.000 Well, that's the benefit if we do lose.

06:53:30.000 I mean, it could go either way at this point.

06:53:30.000 And I don't know.

06:53:32.000 They're trying to steal it.

06:53:33.000 We could steal it back.

06:53:34.000 But if it's four years of Biden and Harris, I mean, it's going to be like 100%, 538 votes for Trump at the end of it. 0.91

06:53:41.000 He'll die.

06:53:42.000 She'll get in. 1.00

06:53:43.000 She's insane. 1.00

06:53:44.000 She's a lizard. 1.00

06:53:45.000 And the country's just going to go to hell. 1.00

06:53:47.000 It's going to be a prison state.

06:53:49.000 The coronavirus vaccine will never come out.

06:53:51.000 And when it does, everyone's going to die from it.

06:53:53.000 The economy's going to crash.

06:53:55.000 So, you know, life goes on, you know.

06:53:58.000 Obama tended to be the best thing that happened.

06:54:01.000 Hopefully, it'll just make everyone more racist. 1.00

06:54:03.000 If Kamala Harris gets in, it'll make the Mexicans more racist. 1.00

06:54:06.000 Opposition media will get stronger. 0.79

06:54:09.000 Fingers crossed.

06:54:10.000 Well, speaking of racism, I got a special treat for you right now.

06:54:14.000 All right?

06:54:16.000 Close your eyes.

06:54:17.000 You hear something funny?

06:54:19.000 Do you hear the stampeding sound of one million all black Air Force One low drug dealer sneakers?

06:54:29.000 You do?

06:54:30.000 Well, guess what?

06:54:31.000 Guess what, Nick?

06:54:32.000 I'm coming for your birthday.

06:54:34.000 Here's what I got for you here November 3rd.

06:54:36.000 I have one million black convicts going to the polls at 1 a.m. 0.92

06:54:42.000 I'm calling it. 1.00

06:54:43.000 1 a.m. is when this is going down because of my army of black convicts. 0.93

06:54:47.000 I am black, first of all.

06:54:50.000 Second of all, for the past four years, I've been street fighting, MMA fighting in prisons, earning the respect of the most important blacks.

06:55:01.000 They are on my side.

06:55:02.000 I'm with them.

06:55:03.000 They're coming with me.

06:55:05.000 We are going to the polls.

06:55:06.000 We are going to be voting for Donald J. Trump. 0.99

06:55:08.000 Extreme last minute black felon vote coming in now! 0.99

06:55:13.000 It's happening! 1.00

06:55:13.000 Blakes, it is happening! 1.00

06:55:15.000 We did it!

06:55:16.000 It's happening!

06:55:17.000 And Candace Owens, you'd close cooperation. 1.00

06:55:21.000 Man, all these blacks, I can't fucking wait for all these drug dealers and murderers to go out and vote for Trump, as we all know in Atlanta. 1.00

06:55:30.000 They think they're counting votes in Atlanta. 1.00

06:55:32.000 They're thinking, oh, we still have 10 million more votes to count in Atlanta. 0.79

06:55:35.000 It's all blacks voting for Biden. 0.84

06:55:37.000 Man, are they in for a surprise? 1.00

06:55:39.000 They're going to feel so stupid while they all go for Trump. 1.00

06:55:43.000 I mean, look at Lil Pump, Ice Cube, Kanye West, 50 Cent. 1.00

06:55:47.000 It's over.

06:55:48.000 The whole country's going black. 1.00

06:55:50.000 Sorry, sorry, racist Democrats. 1.00

06:55:53.000 The whole map is black now. 0.99

06:55:55.000 100% N word, 100% Negro map. 1.00

06:55:59.000 Now, there is one small price to pay. 0.98

06:56:02.000 And I hate to be the one to break this to you, but I know that you're pragmatic.

06:56:05.000 I know you're willing to take this loss as much as I am.

06:56:09.000 The price that has to be paid, Nick.

06:56:13.000 We got to give him Faith Goldie.

06:56:15.000 Hmm.

06:56:18.000 Well, you know what they say.

06:56:20.000 For the greater good.

06:56:21.000 Is that not what we are?

06:56:23.000 Collectivists.

06:56:25.000 It has to be done.

06:56:26.000 It has to be done.

06:56:28.000 Yeah, well, that's why you're on your way to pick her up.

06:56:31.000 I hope she's not watching the stream.

06:56:33.000 Because, you know, she thinks she's going for ice cream or something.

06:56:36.000 She doesn't know.

06:56:37.000 She has no idea.

06:56:41.000 She's about to get dropped off.

06:56:43.000 And they're going to be sucking their teeth and licking their lips.

06:56:46.000 She doesn't know.

06:56:47.000 You can't win them all.

06:56:48.000 You can't win them all, man.

06:56:50.000 You can't win them all.

06:56:51.000 You can't win Faith Goldie and the nation. 0.98

06:56:53.000 Hey, she's Canadian. 0.93

06:56:55.000 This show is America first.

06:56:57.000 They could take Stefan Molyneux, too.

06:56:59.000 They could take Stefan Molyneux.

06:57:01.000 They could take Steven Crowder.

06:57:03.000 Forget it.

06:57:05.000 Man, Stefan Molyneux freestyle rapping is coming soon.

06:57:10.000 Well, man, what more can be said about the situation by me, my limited P brain intelligence, and my car accident that's waiting for me here? 0.99

06:57:21.000 Hey, what's Kekistani thing to say right now? 0.99

06:57:28.000 How should I sign off here? 1.00

06:57:30.000 You could say, I don't know, that's on Kek.

06:57:32.000 You could say your Kek check.

06:57:34.000 Kek out loud, KOL. 0.76

06:57:36.000 Yeah, yeah.

06:57:38.000 All right, man. 1.00

06:57:39.000 Well, hey, save Europa and fucking, fuck it, MAGA. 1.00

06:57:46.000 Let's go. 1.00

06:57:47.000 All right, MAGA, baby.

06:57:48.000 Well, hey, thanks for calling in.

06:57:49.000 Good to hear from you.

06:57:51.000 Be safe.

06:57:51.000 Have a good stream, man.

06:57:52.000 YouTube, buddy.

06:57:53.000 Hey, good luck with Fade Goldie.

06:57:56.000 I don't need luck.

06:57:59.000 All right, well, there you go.

06:58:00.000 There you have it.

06:58:02.000 That was our special guest.

06:58:04.000 You know, I feel much better, actually.

06:58:06.000 I feel much better about our chances after that.

06:58:09.000 You know, they weren't counting. 0.89

06:58:11.000 They weren't counting on that black vote.

06:58:12.000 I'm thinking, where are the numbers?

06:58:14.000 Where are the numbers in Georgia?

06:58:15.000 Where are the numbers in Pennsylvania?

06:58:18.000 Little did we know. 0.81

06:58:20.000 We've got 100,000 N words and 100,000 ghetto prison thugs coming to bat for. 1.00

06:58:29.000 Trump and all it's going to cost us is Faith Goldie.

06:58:31.000 You know, at the end of the day, I love Faith Goldie, great friend of mine.

06:58:34.000 I'm sure she understands.

06:58:36.000 She gets it.

06:58:37.000 We all have to make sacrifices, right?

06:58:38.000 So, okay, but I'm going to bring back on our panel.

06:58:42.000 That was fun, right?

06:58:43.000 I told you.

06:58:44.000 Guests, special guests, surprises.

06:58:44.000 I told you.

06:58:48.000 Pretty fun stuff.

06:58:49.000 Pretty unbelievable.

06:58:50.000 I'm a little bit starstruck.

06:58:51.000 You know, we hear from Sam Hyde and I'm like, oh my gosh.

06:58:55.000 So, pretty crazy stuff.

06:58:56.000 Okay, but let's get back into it.

06:58:58.000 I'm going to open it back up to our guests.

06:59:00.000 Hey, fellas.

06:59:02.000 I won't say what it is, but hey, what's up, man?

06:59:05.000 Sorry to cut you guys off there.

06:59:07.000 I know that was amazing.

06:59:11.000 I would have brought him in.

06:59:12.000 He didn't want to do Discord.

06:59:13.000 He wanted to do Skype, but.

06:59:17.000 That was good content for sure.

06:59:18.000 Fun stuff.

06:59:21.000 So, what are our updates?

06:59:23.000 What are you guys discussing right now?

06:59:26.000 So, they censored Trump's tweet.

06:59:28.000 Okay.

06:59:30.000 The one where he said we're a big, the one that he redid. 0.94

06:59:33.000 The Polish one. 0.97

06:59:35.000 Yeah.

06:59:40.000 Let me pull it up for Trump.

06:59:41.000 So that's all we know.

06:59:42.000 I know he's going to speak, and he tweeted they censored it.

06:59:46.000 Any other developments?

06:59:49.000 Nah.

06:59:49.000 Not really.

06:59:50.000 It's unbelievable.

06:59:51.000 I can't believe.

06:59:53.000 Yeah, go ahead.

06:59:54.000 Sorry, people are saying that the odds in Georgia are starting to tilt back in Trump's favor.

06:59:58.000 Okay, let's see.

07:00:00.000 Yeah.

07:00:01.000 How are things in Virginia?

07:00:01.000 Okay.

07:00:03.000 I still don't see what you guys saw.

07:00:05.000 I'll send you the link.

07:00:06.000 I don't think Virginia is about done.

07:00:09.000 So, yeah, I posted in the Discord here.

07:00:11.000 So, Virginia, according to the Virginia government website, 52.26% Biden and 45.82% for Trump.

07:00:26.000 And it's those that's within the last half an hour.

07:00:29.000 Gotcha.

07:00:29.000 Yeah.

07:00:30.000 And even Florida has been called, or even New York Times now is called Florida, finally.

07:00:36.000 Yeah.

07:00:38.000 Which was.

07:00:39.000 Called by EP a while ago, but still.

07:00:41.000 Yeah, they called Minnesota for Biden, but that's no surprise.

07:00:45.000 So, this is the tweet here breaking Wisconsin, Trump 51.06%, Biden 47.45%, estimated 78.5% to 91.7% reporting.

07:00:58.000 So, I'm feeling pretty good about Wisconsin.

07:01:01.000 I'll confess, I don't know what the breakdown is for the remaining precincts and so forth.

07:01:07.000 Maybe I can look into that.

07:01:09.000 That's what, yeah, it's been really good.

07:01:12.000 That real American politics guy on Twitter, he went, he was, I, Like I said earlier in the stream, Wisconsin and Michigan were the two that I actually looked into.

07:01:22.000 And I'm still, but by no means an expert on that, on Wisconsin Republican politics.

07:01:30.000 But from what this guy was saying and the stuff that he was looking into, it looks like most of it would be election day votes that still need to come in.

07:01:39.000 I don't know.

07:01:39.000 I'm not, you know, whatever, but it looks pretty good from what I see.

07:01:44.000 Yeah, he can still absolutely win both of those states.

07:01:47.000 So, Arizona definitely still on the table.

07:01:50.000 I'm feeling pretty good about Arizona, honestly.

07:01:52.000 I mean, there was the.

07:01:53.000 I think he just dropped.

07:01:55.000 What do you mean?

07:01:58.000 I thought it was.

07:01:59.000 It looked like a percentage point just dropped.

07:01:59.000 I could be wrong.

07:02:01.000 Oh, okay.

07:02:02.000 Yeah, no, I haven't been paying the percentage points as much.

07:02:05.000 Yeah.

07:02:05.000 Yeah, I mean, just the fact that they have a million uncounted election day votes.

07:02:10.000 It's.

07:02:11.000 Yeah, I don't know what was going on at Fox, but feeling good about Arizona, feeling good about Wisconsin, Michigan.

07:02:18.000 Feeling okay.

07:02:20.000 Pennsylvania is, yeah, again, it's just going to be such a disaster.

07:02:24.000 And some of these states, we're not going to know the full result for at least a few more days.

07:02:30.000 Yeah, a friend of mine is suggesting, I'm getting some more, and I think it's a good idea too.

07:02:35.000 A few of my friends have been telling me, some of my insider pals, they're saying what needs to happen now is for Trump to start declaring victory in states.

07:02:44.000 He needs to declare victory in Georgia and Wisconsin.

07:02:47.000 He needs to start calling it.

07:02:49.000 And what's more, he needs.

07:02:52.000 Them in those states to know they're being watched because what's happening right now is they're running up the total in Atlanta.

07:02:59.000 That's why it's swinging in Georgia because the poll watchers, the Trump campaign people, they went to bed basically, and now they're running up the score in Atlanta.

07:03:08.000 And something needs to be done if Trump declares victory, or I don't know, but something needs to be done to show or to communicate to the people, the poll watchers, and the people doing the count and everything that this whole thing is being watched.

07:03:22.000 Set the frame because what's going to happen and what they're going to try and do is they'll just keep running it up.

07:03:28.000 If we don't do anything, they'll run it up.

07:03:30.000 They'll say, Oh, we don't know.

07:03:32.000 And then by Friday, they'll say, Oh, Georgia's blue, Michigan's blue, Pennsylvania's blue, Arizona's blue.

07:03:38.000 We have to shut that down right now.

07:03:40.000 So I don't know about declaring victory outright, but a couple of my buddies are texting me from like DC, from around.

07:03:47.000 And that seems to be the consensus is that the Trump campaign's got to act to start to, and even Matt is tweeting it out, to control perception. 0.98

07:03:55.000 Trump fucking won the election. 0.98

07:03:57.000 That's got to be the message. 1.00

07:03:59.000 Because they actively are trying to steal it right now. 0.99

07:04:03.000 Even this fucking Twitter, you know, taking down the president's tweet on election night. 0.99

07:04:07.000 Give me a break. 0.99

07:04:10.000 It says 113,000.

07:04:12.000 Yeah, I think I read what you just said, Patrick.

07:04:15.000 One 13,000 election day votes counted in AZ.

07:04:18.000 Trump winning over 64%.

07:04:20.000 Okay.

07:04:21.000 And what did they say he needed to win?

07:04:23.000 So it looks like he may be headed towards a win in Arizona, which would be a big deal.

07:04:23.000 60%?

07:04:30.000 But we're waiting on that Trump statement, and the night drags on for that.

07:04:37.000 Hello, you guys there?

07:04:39.000 Yeah.

07:04:39.000 Yeah, no, I'm in the green here.

07:04:41.000 Yeah, I'm just looking at the map now, considering Arizona is still in.

07:04:50.000 Did you guys see that Hawaii was called?

07:04:53.000 Was that a while ago?

07:04:54.000 Yeah.

07:04:56.000 I just haven't paid attention.

07:04:57.000 I didn't mention it, but I did flip it on my map.

07:05:00.000 Yeah, just saw that AP called Texas for Trump.

07:05:04.000 I think a few other media outlets called it prior.

07:05:07.000 Yeah, that had been called.

07:05:10.000 So we're waiting on the ones that we knew it.

07:05:12.000 Yeah, they called North Carolina.

07:05:14.000 See.

07:05:15.000 But Georgia is outstanding.

07:05:18.000 Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Maine, Maine even still in play.

07:05:22.000 I mean, not likely, but still in play.

07:05:24.000 Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

07:05:26.000 That's what we're waiting on.

07:05:29.000 That's it.

07:05:34.000 Yeah, I'm interested to see which way Nevada goes.

07:05:36.000 I mean, considering the polling and stuff, I'm interested to see which way Nevada goes.

07:05:42.000 Nevada.

07:05:44.000 Nevada! 0.98

07:05:46.000 Nevada!

07:05:47.000 How does everybody say it in here?

07:05:48.000 Nevada, Nevada?

07:05:49.000 It's Nevada.

07:05:50.000 I have friends in Nevada and they call me out for saying Nevada.

07:05:54.000 It's Nevada, Patrick, you're saying?

07:05:57.000 It's Nevada, yeah.

07:05:58.000 It's not Nevada.

07:06:00.000 I say Nevada. 1.00

07:06:00.000 Fuck them. 1.00

07:06:01.000 C. Jake is stupid. 1.00

07:06:06.000 Fuck Nevadans. 1.00

07:06:06.000 I'm right. 1.00

07:06:08.000 Fuck them. 1.00

07:06:09.000 I will pronounce the state name wrong. 1.00

07:06:12.000 I will pronounce it incorrectly.

07:06:15.000 We have the right, we have the moral right to mispronounce.

07:06:20.000 To mispronounce things in America.

07:06:21.000 We'll start saying it right if it goes red. 0.96

07:06:23.000 My state is better than theirs. 0.85

07:06:25.000 Yeah, you want your name to be pronounced some certain way.

07:06:28.000 Why don't you vote for the president?

07:06:30.000 Yeah.

07:06:30.000 Right?

07:06:33.000 Vote correctly, and we'll say your name correctly. 1.00

07:06:35.000 Nice desert, losers. 0.99

07:06:38.000 Trump is speaking. 1.00

07:06:39.000 Trump is speaking right now, I guess.

07:06:41.000 Let's pull it up.

07:06:43.000 Can I get a link?

07:06:48.000 Let me see.

07:06:49.000 Same mistake.

07:06:50.000 Is this swing voter a unicorn, George?

07:06:52.000 I don't know.

07:06:53.000 Or does he reflect something that's happening here?

07:06:55.000 That's a very good question, Juju.

07:06:56.000 Thanks very much.

07:06:57.000 I want to keep going on the map, but first, I want to keep going on the map.

07:07:02.000 Where is it, Thomas?

07:07:03.000 You just saw him pop up.

07:07:05.000 Michigan.

07:07:06.000 Michigan Senate seat just left.

07:07:08.000 We just heard from Juju right there saying peaceful orderly death.

07:07:15.000 That means maybe Michigan's going right.

07:07:19.000 That would be sick.

07:07:20.000 So, what are you guys predicting Trump is going to say?

07:07:22.000 I think he's going to.

07:07:24.000 Build off of what he tweeted out, which is that he's winning, and they're trying to steal it, though.

07:07:33.000 So, again, just kind of preemptively delegitimizing a potential loss.

07:07:39.000 Right.

07:07:40.000 Yeah, I think he'll basically say the reason they're doing this, the reason they're delaying it, is because he's on the cusp of winning.

07:07:46.000 Yeah, Michigan, if John James, that's a statewide race, and John James failed in 2018.

07:07:54.000 So.

07:07:55.000 If he picked it up in Michigan, that I think would lead to a belief that he could win, that Trump could win Michigan.

07:08:03.000 Multiple people on Twitter are saying Trump's climbing fast in Arizona as well.

07:08:10.000 Let's take a look at Arizona.

07:08:17.000 Trump is six points behind.

07:08:20.000 Let me take a look at AP, though.

07:08:26.000 AP is similar.

07:08:28.000 Where's the Trump speech?

07:08:30.000 Trump won.

07:08:31.000 Trump won.

07:08:32.000 I'm not going to tweet it though because I don't want them to ban me.

07:08:36.000 Because you know that they may do that.

07:08:38.000 Yeah, yeah, you should definitely be careful.

07:08:40.000 They will put out conspiracy.

07:08:41.000 The American system is broken.

07:08:44.000 They are trying to steal the election from Donald Trump.

07:08:46.000 Those things are concerns.

07:08:48.000 Also, you have domestic groups doing the same kind of thing.

07:08:51.000 The good news is that the social media companies like Google and others, Facebook, have done a better job this time, they say, of identifying fake information so they can.

07:09:03.000 Wow, I don't know what this is about.

07:09:05.000 Apparently, I don't know what this is about.

07:09:07.000 Somebody tweets that.

07:09:09.000 There was an error in reporting in Fairfax County.

07:09:11.000 It will mean subtracting about 100,000 from Biden's total.

07:09:15.000 Really?

07:09:17.000 Big deal.

07:09:19.000 This is from Julie Carey of NBC.

07:09:24.000 Well, I guess she's local NBC.

07:09:27.000 I mean, that would give Trump the edge there.

07:09:31.000 Yeah, what's Trump down by in Virginia?

07:09:33.000 I'm looking, so again, there appear to be, the numbers appear to differ according to the source, but on the Virginia government website.

07:09:42.000 Biden has a roughly 250,000 lead, so that would narrow it down a bit.

07:09:51.000 There's always the potential for other errors to be found and corrected.

07:09:55.000 So that was what, a counting error?

07:09:58.000 Yeah, I don't know what you're saying.

07:09:59.000 I guess it was a reporting error, so maybe not the counting, but just getting what's been counted to the news to report on.

07:10:07.000 If they subtract 100,000, they've got 80% in on New York Times.

07:10:12.000 And Biden's up by 0.3%.

07:10:14.000 He's only up by 10,000 votes.

07:10:17.000 But that's only 80%.

07:10:18.000 And who knows?

07:10:19.000 The 20% could be mail in.

07:10:21.000 It could be whatever.

07:10:22.000 Huh.

07:10:23.000 What is it on the Virginia website, Patrick?

07:10:25.000 What percentage in?

07:10:27.000 Does it say?

07:10:29.000 I don't know if it has a percent.

07:10:31.000 It doesn't say here.

07:10:32.000 It says 2,565 precincts out of 2,585 have reported.

07:10:39.000 So that's upwards of what?

07:10:41.000 90, 95%.

07:10:43.000 I don't know, though.

07:10:49.000 I mean, there could be other reporting errors, so we'll see.

07:10:55.000 Yeah.

07:10:56.000 We weren't, you know, this bears repeating that we weren't expecting Trump to even have, to even really be competitive in Virginia.

07:11:03.000 So the fact that, yeah, the fact that this is even being, you know, floated as a possibility, you know, bodes pretty well.

07:11:10.000 But yeah, obviously, Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, that's really where it's all going to come down.

07:11:17.000 Doesn't look like Minnesota's.

07:11:19.000 Going to work out for Trump.

07:11:23.000 I don't know what's going on there.

07:11:24.000 They had their, I mean, the worst riots we've seen in this country in years, decades.

07:11:30.000 It's too liberal.

07:11:32.000 We haven't won Minnesota since 72.

07:11:36.000 And if you look at these rural areas, it looks less red than in 16.

07:11:41.000 And then now they're not all the way there yet as far as votes reported.

07:11:47.000 But it doesn't look like he did even as good as he did then.

07:11:52.000 And.

07:11:53.000 You have all of these just really, really nice Nords, right?

07:11:57.000 The Swedes and the others out there.

07:12:01.000 You know, Hispanics came through for Trump, but these Nords, not so much, huh?

07:12:06.000 These white people. 0.98

07:12:08.000 White people are canceled. 0.99

07:12:09.000 Jaden. 0.67

07:12:10.000 Yeah, I know.

07:12:11.000 You guys are naming me the one, the lone white man.

07:12:14.000 The lone white man. 1.00

07:12:17.000 This white bitch, man. 1.00

07:12:19.000 This white man. 1.00

07:12:20.000 Jaden's a, hey, he's a Celt.

07:12:22.000 He's a fellow Celt. 1.00

07:12:23.000 He's not. 1.00

07:12:24.000 He doesn't.

07:12:24.000 He says he's Scots Irish.

07:12:26.000 He's self made. 0.98

07:12:27.000 Technically, Scott Irish, but I don't know. 0.99

07:12:31.000 There's probably some mixing in there.

07:12:33.000 Get that white guy. 0.98

07:12:34.000 Hey, get that white straight male! 1.00

07:12:37.000 Now! 0.93

07:12:39.000 The man, it's on sight!

07:12:41.000 Us Mexicans, I swear! 1.00

07:12:43.000 We're gonna find all these white cucks. 1.00

07:12:47.000 Wow. 0.99

07:12:47.000 Who knew that the race war would be Mexican? 0.99

07:12:50.000 It would be like, you know, esoteric, pagan, like Castizos going after white liberals. 0.83

07:12:59.000 That's the real race war. 1.00

07:13:01.000 We're gonna team up with blacks, you white bitches. 1.00

07:13:07.000 We're going to install white people at the top of this cast system, whether you like it or not, Jaden. 1.00

07:13:12.000 Whether you like it or not, white man. 0.99

07:13:14.000 I'm revolting against my people. 0.98

07:13:16.000 We demand that the reluctant white man take his rightful place at the top.

07:13:26.000 We want Trump.

07:13:28.000 We want Trump.

07:13:29.000 Here we go.

07:13:30.000 Pennsylvania court has agreed to hold a hearing tomorrow on a GOP effort to invalidate mail ballots that initially contain errors but were later fixed.

07:13:38.000 Or cured in legal jargon.

07:13:40.000 Okay, so once again, the race now is on to shut down ballots and contest the election.

07:13:52.000 Where's our big guy?

07:13:58.000 Where's our big guy?

07:13:59.000 Where's the big man?

07:14:02.000 Where's our big, beautiful man?

07:14:07.000 Where's our favorite president?

07:14:11.000 Of all time.

07:14:13.000 A big, beautiful president like nobody's ever seen before.

07:14:18.000 And you look at what's happening, and he's bigger.

07:14:23.000 He's gonna kiss all of us.

07:14:24.000 I can't wait for Trump to kiss all of us.

07:14:28.000 I love that.

07:14:29.000 I want Donald Trump to kiss me.

07:14:29.000 I love this.

07:14:32.000 On the cheek, of course.

07:14:33.000 I could just kiss all of you.

07:14:35.000 I want him to kiss all of you. 0.98

07:14:37.000 We'll catch COVID. 1.00

07:14:38.000 I don't give a shit. 1.00

07:14:41.000 I'll give him a European. 1.00

07:14:44.000 You know, when they hug and they do mwah mwah, we'll do like that.

07:14:49.000 It's good to get Trump COVID, it makes you stronger.

07:14:52.000 Look at him.

07:14:53.000 Then we get the Regeneron.

07:14:55.000 Forget the vaccine. 0.99

07:14:56.000 I don't give a shit. 1.00

07:14:57.000 I would prefer getting COVID and Regeneron over getting the vaccine and never getting COVID. 0.99

07:15:02.000 It's like he's like a Super Saiyan, you know?

07:15:03.000 You just gotta pummel him down a little bit and then he just activates. 0.98

07:15:07.000 That could be the biggest eugenics program ever, you know? 0.95

07:15:11.000 You have two options. 0.91

07:15:13.000 You either opt into the vaccine or they expose you to the virus and give you Regeneron.

07:15:18.000 And the people that get the vaccine are rendered impotent and dysgenic.

07:15:23.000 And the people that get Regeneron are.

07:15:25.000 I mean, they are really going out and they're having like a.

07:15:29.000 What do they call that?

07:15:30.000 Reproductive strategy? 1.00

07:15:31.000 Where they go and have sex with as many women as possible. 1.00

07:15:36.000 You know that? 1.00

07:15:36.000 Whatever. 1.00

07:15:37.000 It's called bleaching. 1.00

07:15:40.000 Essentially, the African reproductive strategy. 1.00

07:15:46.000 In 10 years, only people that have taken Regeneron are allowed to vote. 0.99

07:15:50.000 They're all 6'5, blonde hair, blue eyes.

07:15:54.000 And all the people that took the COVID vaccine, you know, they're decrepit.

07:15:58.000 They have these bizarre mutations, low IQ. 0.96

07:16:04.000 They're short.

07:16:04.000 It's like the Captain America juice.

07:16:08.000 K selection, people are saying.

07:16:09.000 Yeah, they have K selection, hypergamy. 0.87

07:16:14.000 Okay. 0.59

07:16:15.000 Well, I'm not seeing there's like no updates.

07:16:17.000 We're just waiting on Trump.

07:16:18.000 We're waiting on complicated business.

07:16:23.000 In Maine, in the second district, Trump is up 8%, which is good.

07:16:32.000 We like that.

07:16:33.000 I guess Fox is calling the vote in Nebraska for Biden.

07:16:42.000 Which one is that?

07:16:42.000 Is that the second or third district?

07:16:44.000 Second.

07:16:45.000 Okay.

07:16:46.000 Jaden would know.

07:16:49.000 I'm pretty sure.

07:16:51.000 Don't quote me on it.

07:16:52.000 I will not quote you.

07:16:54.000 Thank you.

07:16:56.000 Let's give it to Biden because I guess Fox called it.

07:17:00.000 Yeah, no, none of these numbers are moving up.

07:17:02.000 Arizona's stuck at 79.

07:17:06.000 I hate Fox.

07:17:08.000 Boo. 1.00

07:17:09.000 Screw you, Juan. 1.00

07:17:11.000 I want to know. 0.99

07:17:12.000 Juan Williams.

07:17:18.000 Betting odds still holding strong, giving Trump the advantage.

07:17:40.000 I'm running out of steam here.

07:17:41.000 I'm running out of juice.

07:17:44.000 Get a crack opener to the monster.

07:17:47.000 We need Trump to speak.

07:17:48.000 We need the Trump energy.

07:17:49.000 Yeah.

07:17:50.000 We need him to give us his. 0.98

07:17:51.000 Patrick, you're the one that napped here.

07:17:53.000 You took a nap.

07:17:55.000 I'm here.

07:17:56.000 Yeah.

07:17:57.000 I'm here.

07:17:57.000 I'm still going strong.

07:17:59.000 What do you guys want?

07:18:00.000 Let me tell you stories.

07:18:01.000 Yeah.

07:18:01.000 I mean, I could be yelling and screaming, but out of respect to your viewers, I'm keeping it low profile.

07:18:08.000 Low key.

07:18:09.000 Yeah, me too.

07:18:10.000 Yeah.

07:18:11.000 Beardson and I could be screaming and.

07:18:14.000 Cursing and bringing in the heat, but we're not doing that.

07:18:18.000 Scott's Irish energy, huh?

07:18:20.000 Yes, yes. 0.53

07:18:20.000 That's how the Scott's Irish are. 0.53

07:18:22.000 They make you thank them for not yelling, for not being loud. 1.00

07:18:30.000 You're welcome that I'm not screaming at the top of my lungs right now.

07:18:33.000 Well, some of the, I don't know, some of these guys in chat need to wake up.

07:18:39.000 They're down.

07:18:40.000 It's like, what's going on?

07:18:43.000 We're still absolutely in this.

07:18:44.000 Yeah, easily.

07:18:46.000 And all these, you know, we came in on the, Second half, we could have been.

07:18:50.000 We weren't here for the hype portion.

07:18:52.000 Yeah, I've been screaming and yelling for six hours now.

07:18:58.000 Yeah, I can go Super Saiyan in real life.

07:19:00.000 Yeah, you often do.

07:19:02.000 You went Super Saiyan.

07:19:04.000 I mean, I've seen you go Super Saiyan mode, and it's sometimes violent and disastrous.

07:19:09.000 That's what happens when you're jacked.

07:19:12.000 I'm not going to answer your question.

07:19:13.000 If I got specific, you'd get mad at me.

07:19:15.000 I'll just say this guy's high energy radiating off of him.

07:19:18.000 He's like a radioactive.

07:19:21.000 Atoms or something.

07:19:23.000 Radioactive decay, particles flying off.

07:19:26.000 That's what I'm known for.

07:19:27.000 You know, the high energy, the jumping around, the yelling, the screaming.

07:19:31.000 It's like in X Men First Class.

07:19:33.000 Remember when Kevin Bacon holds on to those two rods in the ship and he starts going crazy mode? 0.99

07:19:42.000 He touches Fastbender one time and he fucking explodes. 0.98

07:19:47.000 Never seen it. 0.98

07:19:50.000 I don't get your movie references.

07:19:52.000 You haven't seen that one?

07:19:54.000 Beardson, you've seen it, right?

07:19:55.000 I've seen it.

07:19:56.000 I've probably even seen it since it came out in the theater, so I don't remember.

07:20:00.000 Boo.

07:20:01.000 I'm an old man.

07:20:02.000 I love that one.

07:20:03.000 That was one of my favorites because I was really into the Cuban Missile Crisis and the Cold War when that movie came out, and that movie took place during all of that, so I was really into it.

07:20:12.000 Yeah, I remember that one being one of the most interesting X Men movies.

07:20:17.000 I liked what was the other one that they did that I really liked?

07:20:21.000 Days of Future Past?

07:20:22.000 That one was pretty decent.

07:20:24.000 I didn't see any of them except for the first class.

07:20:30.000 I have another Mountain Dew.

07:20:31.000 I already drank one.

07:20:32.000 I could drink another right now.

07:20:36.000 I could go grab a truly.

07:20:37.000 Maybe that's what I need a truly. 0.82

07:20:41.000 I was waiting to crack open into the truly's until it was absolutely clear that Trump won, but it doesn't look like it's going to happen tonight, so.

07:21:01.000 How close of attention have you guys been paying to the congressional races?

07:21:06.000 I've just been checking in on the total.

07:21:07.000 I haven't been paying any attention.

07:21:10.000 Where are you seeing the total?

07:21:12.000 New York Times.

07:21:14.000 And I'm also on Reuters.

07:21:18.000 Okay.

07:21:21.000 It looks like for.

07:21:24.000 Well, they finally called Texas for Trump.

07:21:30.000 For the House election results, yeah, currently 159 for the Democrats, 164.

07:21:36.000 The Republicans, 116 still to be determined.

07:21:39.000 So, yeah, I mean, basically neck and neck, slight lead for our side.

07:21:45.000 The interesting thing is, in the event of a tie, it obviously is up to the House to determine, you know, basically to sort that out.

07:21:59.000 I'm not predicting a tie, but that's obviously a possibility.

07:22:02.000 And given the strangeness of everything here, anything could happen.

07:22:07.000 So, the way that works out is that in the House, so when the Senate chooses the vice president, each senator gets one vote.

07:22:15.000 But in the House, each state only has one vote for the president.

07:22:20.000 So, it's a state delegation.

07:22:22.000 So, it's not based off of size there.

07:22:26.000 So, the presidential candidate needs 26 states to win.

07:22:29.000 Currently, Republicans hold 26 state delegations in the House.

07:22:38.000 It looks like Democrats have 23 state delegations.

07:22:40.000 Pennsylvania has a tied delegation.

07:22:42.000 So, the thing to keep in mind here, though, is that it's going to be the new Congress that would get to determine that.

07:22:47.000 So, just something to keep in mind.

07:22:48.000 Again, I'm not predicting an electoral college tie, but who knows?

07:22:57.000 I mean, it's definitely possible at this point.

07:22:59.000 I mean, the way that the map is working out, there's a scenario where Trump only wins Pennsylvania.

07:23:08.000 You know, I mean, if you give Biden Wisconsin, I guess the only way, well, actually, if Biden wins that Nebraska vote, then it's no go.

07:23:23.000 If Biden wins that vote in Nebraska, then the tie won't work.

07:23:30.000 If Trump loses everything except for PA.

07:23:33.000 So I guess the tie, you know, if it turns out it's true with Nebraska, That Biden won that one vote, that would prevent a tie in the way that we think it's coming together.

07:23:47.000 So I think that's right.

07:23:52.000 So a question to consider now is how long the process is going to be drawn out for.

07:23:52.000 Yeah.

07:23:58.000 They're talking about Friday.

07:23:59.000 Now I saw something saying that they want more time than Friday to count the votes in Pennsylvania.

07:24:06.000 Obviously, they perceive there to be an incentive for their side to prolong the process as long as possible and hope that Trump.

07:24:15.000 Does something or says something that gives them a pretext to ramp the color revolution stuff back up again.

07:24:23.000 But yeah, so December 8th this year is the safe harbor deadline that refers to the deadline for states to choose their electors that they can send to the Electoral College.

07:24:36.000 And then December 14th is when the Electoral College meets to cast ballots for the program.

07:24:43.000 So there's a lot that can go wrong there other than the obvious, which is that.

07:24:48.000 There isn't a decision made.

07:24:51.000 You can have competing sets of electors, right?

07:24:54.000 You can have these state legislatures choose a set of electors and then the governor refuse to sign off to certify them.

07:25:05.000 So, yeah, it could get pretty weird.

07:25:08.000 I don't know if this process is, I don't know if all of the votes are going to be undecided by December the 8th.

07:25:14.000 It's really just a question of to what extent the establishment is dedicated and committed to.

07:25:22.000 Messing with the whole process in the attempt to take Trump out.

07:25:25.000 So I'm just going to have to wait and see.

07:25:28.000 Yeah, it's a wait and see.

07:25:30.000 There's a lot of variables here.

07:25:31.000 I'm going to throw something up on the screen.

07:25:34.000 Sam wanted me to plug his podcast real quick.

07:25:36.000 I don't think he had time to do it, but he wanted me to throw this up here.

07:25:40.000 Perfect guy life.

07:25:41.000 We're starting by showcasing.

07:25:46.000 In my house, if you come in my house, I have my own. 1.00

07:25:54.000 Female corner, and that's your corner to do whatever you want. 1.00

07:25:57.000 You can sit and face the corner. 0.89

07:25:59.000 People don't realize how much is involved in doing this, and it looks like I'm on the poster, but I should be the last person on the poster.

07:26:03.000 There's so many people that did this.

07:26:04.000 He's so humble.

07:26:06.000 Thank you to the guy that held a light bulb and held a ladder for me.

07:26:10.000 The guy that cleaned the toilet.

07:26:11.000 Get him, Jack! 0.98

07:26:12.000 Get the terrorists!

07:26:13.000 Yes, yes, you got him!

07:26:15.000 That's the thing about me. 1.00

07:26:17.000 Cops' wives want to f me. 1.00

07:26:19.000 Before you want a man to eat your pussy, you need to make sure that bitch is clean. 1.00

07:26:22.000 I think that's solid advice. 1.00

07:26:24.000 I don't have an issue with that.

07:26:24.000 I don't see it.

07:26:25.000 The CIA is something that we should all not only cherish, but be saying thank you every single day.

07:26:29.000 You should be thanking the CIA every single day.

07:26:31.000 I'm already waking up at 4 45 in the morning, so I'll just make a mental note now.

07:26:35.000 That's my time to thank the CIA.

07:26:38.000 I'll set aside 15 minutes to thank the CIA.

07:26:40.000 Well, there you go.

07:26:42.000 There's a little plug.

07:26:43.000 He wanted me to throw it out and throw that up there.

07:26:46.000 And so a little word from our sponsors there.

07:26:48.000 A little word.

07:26:50.000 Looks pretty cool.

07:26:51.000 I didn't know he was doing a new podcast because my entire Instagram feed is being shitted up every day by meme accounts.

07:26:58.000 That I don't even like.

07:27:00.000 But good stuff, good stuff.

07:27:02.000 You know, I figure we're not really doing anything urgent right now.

07:27:06.000 We're sitting on our hands.

07:27:07.000 We're waiting for Trump.

07:27:10.000 Let's take a look.

07:27:12.000 I've got some breaking news here.

07:27:14.000 So it looks like Senpai just declared that Donald J. Trump is the winner of the 2020 United States election.

07:27:22.000 Wow, huge wipe.

07:27:24.000 There it is.

07:27:26.000 Big development.

07:27:26.000 Yeah.

07:27:27.000 Well, we'll see how long it takes New York Times to.

07:27:29.000 To catch up, Associated Press maybe will come before that.

07:27:34.000 But the biggest name in news, StemPy has declared already.

07:27:38.000 I think he's right.

07:27:39.000 I do think he's correct.

07:27:41.000 Yeah.

07:27:44.000 We should be a little more cautious shouting some of these people out.

07:27:47.000 I mean, there are 50,000 people watching right now.

07:27:49.000 This is prime advertising.

07:27:51.000 That's true.

07:27:52.000 Yeah.

07:27:53.000 It's going to go to their head.

07:27:54.000 Maybe they should be dropping a few ninjets here and there, something like that.

07:27:58.000 Yeah.

07:27:58.000 When was the last time StemPy donated?

07:28:00.000 This is prime real estate.

07:28:01.000 Never.

07:28:02.000 He never donates.

07:28:03.000 He never donates.

07:28:03.000 Wow.

07:28:05.000 You know, that's true.

07:28:06.000 He actually has been in my chat a lot, and I've never seen even a diamond.

07:28:10.000 No, if anything, all he does is soak up all the gifted subs.

07:28:12.000 That's all he does.

07:28:13.000 Wow.

07:28:15.000 Curious.

07:28:16.000 You know, I take that back.

07:28:17.000 There's no Twitter user named Stempy, and he did not, this fictional character did not endorse Donald Trump.

07:28:25.000 It was just a social experiment.

07:28:27.000 I just made it up.

07:28:29.000 Now everybody's just trying to harvest clout out of this stream.

07:28:34.000 Yeah, everyone's talking about ballot harvesting, but I think the clout harvesting is really the kind of the undertold story about this election.

07:28:42.000 The real story, yeah.

07:28:46.000 Okay, well, we're creeping up here in some of these states.

07:28:50.000 No, no decisions being made.

07:28:54.000 Arizona, I mean, Arizona's looking good only because they're saying that there's all these votes for Maricopa County that have yet to be counted, and they're all, well, not all of them, but majority of them are going to go to Trump.

07:29:06.000 And that's why nobody's called it yet.

07:29:08.000 So Arizona, you know, it's blue for now, and it could eventually go blue, but it's certainly not lost yet based on what I'm reading all over Twitter.

07:29:19.000 And it could end up going that way, but like I said, it's definitely not settled yet.

07:29:24.000 Let's see.

07:29:25.000 No, that's North Carolina.

07:29:27.000 Georgia, yeah, Georgia's hovering in the high 50s for the likelihood that it'll be Biden.

07:29:37.000 Georgia's the one I'm more worried about.

07:29:40.000 Yeah. 1.00

07:29:41.000 I think they'll try to steal that one.

07:29:43.000 Yeah, I was worried about Georgia early in the night, and then I felt okay about it.

07:29:48.000 And now I'm wondering again.

07:29:51.000 I don't know.

07:29:51.000 Well, this AP is so unreliable because with that Virginia thing, now I don't trust him at all.

07:29:57.000 But.

07:30:00.000 Yeah, now they have in Virginia 99% reporting, and magically Joe Biden's at a 6% lead.

07:30:06.000 Really?

07:30:07.000 Georgia, they've got nearly 92% reporting, and Trump is up by 5%.

07:30:12.000 So that makes me feel a little bit better because they updated Virginia, that it makes sense now.

07:30:16.000 And Georgia, if Georgia is as updated, it's not like they left out a bunch of votes like I think they did earlier with Virginia, then we're on track to win Georgia.

07:30:26.000 But New York Times is behind, and New York Times was right about Virginia.

07:30:30.000 So that's why I'm not sold on it yet.

07:30:34.000 And then again, we could sweep through.

07:30:36.000 Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania are literally giving us zero reason to doubt that he'll win.

07:30:42.000 It's looking good in Pennsylvania.

07:30:43.000 It's looking good in Michigan.

07:30:44.000 It's looking good in Wisconsin.

07:30:46.000 In the bellwether counties, in the major cities, the Democratic strongholds, the turnout is good.

07:30:51.000 The margins are.

07:30:52.000 I mean, there's almost no reason to doubt that he is the likely winner in all three.

07:31:01.000 Yeah, I mean, if he takes Wisconsin, Michigan, and PA, then he's the victor.

07:31:06.000 Like, that's a.

07:31:07.000 The race is over.

07:31:08.000 Yeah.

07:31:09.000 He can lose Georgia.

07:31:10.000 He can lose Arizona.

07:31:11.000 He can lose Nevada.

07:31:12.000 Yeah, look, he doesn't even need Georgia if he sweeps through.

07:31:17.000 Mm hmm.

07:31:18.000 And I'll actually play around with the other map here.

07:31:21.000 This is what we have certain so far.

07:31:23.000 This is everything that's been called that we know 100%.

07:31:26.000 Actually, Alaska hasn't been called yet.

07:31:28.000 Let me mess around on this one.

07:31:30.000 So there's a scenario where he loses Georgia, but he wins Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

07:31:37.000 Um, In the second district in Maine.

07:31:40.000 He doesn't even need that, but there's a scenario where he loses Nevada, loses Arizona, and Georgia even.

07:31:47.000 But he pulls through in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which is looking like he can do.

07:31:51.000 It's looking like that might be a likely outcome, and he still pulls it out.

07:31:55.000 There's also an outcome where he ends up taking Arizona and then, you know, and even Georgia.

07:32:02.000 There's, you know, there's a lot of paths here.

07:32:05.000 It's really looking bad for Biden because Biden has to win Georgia and Arizona.

07:32:12.000 And then I guess one of these three states that are going heavily for Trump.

07:32:18.000 You know, he's got to win Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, which Arizona and Georgia would be upsets, and then he would have to win at least one Midwestern state on top of that.

07:32:27.000 So he, in my opinion, has a more narrow chance to victory at this point than Trump.

07:32:32.000 Even if he gets Georgia and Arizona, he still has to make up a pretty heavy deficit in these Midwestern states, which, I mean, I'm counting them out for tonight only because he's not going to win outright with them because they're not going to announce the winner, but.

07:32:45.000 But it's still not bad.

07:32:47.000 I mean, it's looking like with the betting odds.

07:32:51.000 It's looking likely that Trump will win.

07:32:54.000 It's not certain.

07:32:56.000 It's not heavily. 0.96

07:32:57.000 It's not 90%, but it's looking like it is likely that Trump will win, which is a good place to be considering they told us that he had a fucking 10% chance.

07:33:07.000 Now, I think if we were to quantify it, I'd say that the bet fare is probably right.

07:33:12.000 Probably something like a 60% to 70% chance of winning.

07:33:17.000 So.

07:33:22.000 That's where I'm at mentally.

07:33:23.000 That's mentally where I'm at.

07:33:28.000 Mentally, I'm just trying to look at my predict it.

07:33:31.000 Look at my money that I'm going to win.

07:33:32.000 And it won't let me.

07:33:38.000 Uh oh.

07:33:38.000 90% in Georgia, and Trump is up by three, a little bit less than three.

07:33:46.000 Which is a yikes.

07:33:48.000 That's a yikes for me, Chief.

07:33:52.000 Nevada is also at 74% now.

07:33:56.000 Is it?

07:33:57.000 And Trump's behind by five.

07:33:59.000 Yeah, most of Vegas is at 75%.

07:34:02.000 Yeah, Trump's behind by 10.

07:34:04.000 He's probably not going to win Nevada.

07:34:07.000 So they're finally getting around to counting the election day votes in Arizona.

07:34:11.000 So far, they've counted 147,923.

07:34:18.000 Trump has claimed 65.3% of those.

07:34:22.000 That's good.

07:34:22.000 If he maintains that, then he's got it.

07:34:26.000 And I don't think anybody thought it was likely.

07:34:28.000 It would have been nice if we won Nevada, but I don't think anybody thought it was necessary.

07:34:32.000 Yeah, it's not necessary.

07:34:33.000 Right.

07:34:34.000 Arizona is important. 0.84

07:34:36.000 Georgia's important.

07:34:38.000 And the Midwest.

07:34:39.000 And that's our map.

07:34:40.000 If we come through in Arizona, if we come through in Georgia, we got to pull Michigan or Pennsylvania.

07:34:47.000 And I believe that puts us over.

07:34:49.000 Right.

07:34:50.000 Let me take a look.

07:34:51.000 Okay, let's see.

07:34:53.000 No upsets.

07:34:54.000 Arizona, Georgia, we keep.

07:34:56.000 We only need Pennsylvania.

07:34:59.000 Or Michigan.

07:35:02.000 Wisconsin in itself isn't going to do it.

07:35:04.000 If we got Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, then we would get a tie.

07:35:11.000 I guess a tie still is possible.

07:35:17.000 I'm going to check in with the campaign.

07:35:24.000 I do feel good about Wisconsin and Michigan, though.

07:35:27.000 Pennsylvania, obviously, I feel good about it, but, you know, minus the cheating, but.

07:35:32.000 If we get those two, I mean, that's just as good.

07:35:37.000 Yeah, well, I mean, Madison is all Madison done, and that's the hot spot for Dems, and then Milwaukee, obviously.

07:35:48.000 I don't know where they're at, but I mean, I don't know, man.

07:35:54.000 What I like about Michigan is that John James won.

07:35:58.000 Yeah.

07:35:59.000 How does John James, who lost in 2018, How does John James win a statewide Senate race in Michigan, but Trump loses in the general?

07:36:09.000 I mean, that to me is a good question.

07:36:11.000 I don't think that could happen.

07:36:15.000 Especially with the margins that we're seeing at what they've reported so far.

07:36:19.000 I don't believe that it's possible that John James could win.

07:36:22.000 I mean, what are those people voting for John James?

07:36:26.000 How much of them are voting for Joe Biden, really?

07:36:28.000 I mean, come on.

07:36:31.000 It's not happening.

07:36:35.000 Well, if we take John James as a sign that we pull Michigan, let's give ourselves Michigan.

07:36:42.000 Wisconsin looks really good.

07:36:44.000 We'll give ourselves Wisconsin.

07:36:48.000 Pennsylvania is looking pretty solid.

07:36:51.000 I mean, we have how much?

07:36:55.000 It's not showing how many of 67%, according to the New York Times, of estimated votes have been reported.

07:37:01.000 Trump is up by 700,000 votes.

07:37:04.000 It's going to be hard for them to cheat that.

07:37:09.000 I mean, I guess, again, anything's possible this time around.

07:37:11.000 But the problem is in these big cities, they're not even close.

07:37:16.000 You know, in Pittsburgh, they're halfway.

07:37:18.000 In Philadelphia, they're halfway.

07:37:23.000 Yeah, I just saw they're only 48% in Philadelphia County. 0.93

07:37:26.000 That's true.

07:37:27.000 So that's the only difficulty.

07:37:30.000 I'd be interested to see turnout with that because Hillary Clinton had 584,000 votes in Philadelphia and 367,000 in Pittsburgh.

07:37:45.000 I don't know what they're at right now and what that, you know, what.

07:37:52.000 Turnout is, but there's 219,000 in Pittsburgh right now, 289 in Philadelphia.

07:38:05.000 If Trump gets Michigan, according to 538, he wins it.

07:38:09.000 They say if Trump gets Michigan, he'll get Georgia, he'll get Pennsylvania, he'll get Arizona.

07:38:18.000 Let's see, if Trump gets Wisconsin, they say that he'll get Arizona.

07:38:26.000 They say that he'll get Georgia.

07:38:32.000 And then Pennsylvania might be a toss up.

07:38:34.000 So, all these scenarios where if Trump can pull, I mean, even like just one of these, the sort of effect that that would have on how we're looking at the votes in the other states basically means we win.

07:38:48.000 If we win any, if we are certain that we can win any one of these, Trump becomes the overwhelming favorite.

07:38:54.000 If he wins Pennsylvania, He becomes an overwhelming favorite.

07:38:58.000 If he wins Michigan, he becomes an overwhelming favorite.

07:39:00.000 And Wisconsin.

07:39:01.000 And they're sort of a predictive model here based on selecting which states have been won and which ones aren't won.

07:39:08.000 So that makes me feel okay.

07:39:11.000 My friend from the campaign says that if nothing is stolen, we won.

07:39:16.000 If there's funny business, then obviously it's subjective.

07:39:20.000 So it's really going to come down to the ability of the Trump campaign to prevent bad things from happening.

07:39:27.000 Philadelphia, Atlanta, and Detroit, Milwaukee.

07:39:36.000 Let's take a look, though, at Wisconsin.

07:39:38.000 I mean, Milwaukee suddenly now down to 41%.

07:39:42.000 Earlier was 90%.

07:39:50.000 So it looks like a lot, almost every one of these Democratic strongholds is all the way in.

07:39:56.000 All the way in.

07:39:57.000 It's just Milwaukee.

07:39:58.000 Milwaukee's halfway.

07:40:00.000 So, if they, I wonder what the math looks like on that.

07:40:03.000 If they, you know, the rest of these votes come in and it's proportionally the same, is Milwaukee alone going to tip the state for Biden?

07:40:10.000 Because every other county here is almost all the way in.

07:40:15.000 And at least all the other Democratic counties Dane County, 98%, Rook County, 98%, Greene County, 98%, Iowa, 98%, Sauk, 98%, La Crosse, 77%, but smaller population, Portage, 81%.

07:40:31.000 Menominee, 98, Door County, 98, Eau Claire, 97, Ashland, 98, Bayfield, 98, Douglas, 98.

07:40:41.000 So, you know, Democrats are kind of running out of counties where they're going to flip it considerably.

07:40:49.000 It's 51 to 47.

07:40:51.000 Are they going to offset that by 4% from Milwaukee alone?

07:40:54.000 Milwaukee's very big, but the margins will be small, don't get me wrong.

07:41:00.000 But barring any kind of funny business, it doesn't seem like the math works out for them where they can flip it.

07:41:10.000 Yeah, he's doing a lot better in Milwaukee this time around as well than he did in 2016.

07:41:21.000 If you look at the map.

07:41:23.000 So, I don't know.

07:41:24.000 I tend to agree with you.

07:41:25.000 I think it's, I don't see that flipping, but who knows.

07:41:30.000 And when the hell is Trump going to talk, huh?

07:41:33.000 I don't know, man.

07:41:34.000 I'm sitting here waiting.

07:41:35.000 I need the energy.

07:41:39.000 I'm fading.

07:41:40.000 I know.

07:41:40.000 Me too.

07:41:42.000 Wake me up, Patrick.

07:41:47.000 Hey, Jaden.

07:41:48.000 Yo, what up, bro?

07:41:50.000 You awake?

07:41:53.000 I am now.

07:41:55.000 Good.

07:41:57.000 If you want to wake up, you maybe get your adrenaline up a bit.

07:41:59.000 We can hop on some rust, hop on some Minecraft.

07:42:03.000 Yeah, Patrick, gonna hop on some Minecraft.

07:42:05.000 You can get, yeah, I'll get my adrenaline playing on the games.

07:42:09.000 Get your cortisol levels up.

07:42:11.000 Yeah.

07:42:15.000 So, Andy knows been tweeting out some.

07:42:16.000 It looks like some of these Black Lives Matter, Antifa, general Antifa things have been sort of heating up. 0.85

07:42:25.000 I don't know if there's been any widespread destruction of property, but they're definitely out in force. 0.99

07:42:36.000 It really does seem like they're waiting.

07:42:38.000 I mean, you have so many people convened.

07:42:44.000 They're probably waiting on something, Trump to say something, some pretext to, you know, maybe orders from on high to, you know, get to work.

07:42:54.000 Trump is talking in the next 20 minutes, they say.

07:42:57.000 Yeah.

07:42:59.000 So we're getting there.

07:43:02.000 I wonder, did that ballot measure in Illinois pass?

07:43:05.000 I'm going to be so pet, I'm going to be really upset.

07:43:13.000 Yo!

07:43:15.000 Let's go.

07:43:19.000 55% voted no with 92% reporting.

07:43:22.000 Hell yeah.

07:43:24.000 No tax hike for Nick.

07:43:26.000 Love to see.

07:43:27.000 Nice.

07:43:28.000 Nice. 1.00

07:43:30.000 That would have been a bitch. 1.00

07:43:33.000 That's unbelievable. 1.00

07:43:35.000 They raise your taxes 3% if that got through.

07:43:40.000 And understand, like with that, so it was a constitutional amendment in the Illinois Constitution, they have a flat tax.

07:43:47.000 And all that, they're saying, like, oh, well, we're going to overturn the amendment, and then look at these rates.

07:43:53.000 In these rates, nobody's going to get their taxes raised except for the super, super rich, which is not even true.

07:43:58.000 It's very middle class people are going to get their taxes raised, too.

07:44:02.000 But the point is, they take away the constitutional obligation that the tax is flat, and basically, whatever they set the rates at, it doesn't matter.

07:44:12.000 Repealing that amendment or overturning that amendment means that then now they can set the rates at whatever they want.

07:44:19.000 There's a constitutional amendment that it has to be a flat rate.

07:44:22.000 If they raise the income tax, they raise it on everybody.

07:44:24.000 They raise it on poor, middle class.

07:44:26.000 So, mandating a flat state income tax in the Constitution prevents the state government from raising taxes really at all because then they'd got to go out and say, okay, well, we're going to raise taxes 1% on poor people, middle class people, and rich people.

07:44:40.000 It doesn't fly.

07:44:41.000 Nobody would go for that. 0.93

07:44:42.000 You'd get killed politically.

07:44:43.000 So, they tell people, oh, well, we're going to break this constitutional amendment, but don't worry.

07:44:49.000 Everyone's taxes will stay the same, and maybe some people's taxes will go down, only the very top.

07:44:54.000 And it's like, well, whatever they tell you is the tax rates is subject to change.

07:44:59.000 Now that you've broken the thing that's keeping them low, they could make them whatever they want.

07:45:05.000 They could raise it for middle class, for poor people.

07:45:07.000 They could raise it as high as they want for anybody.

07:45:09.000 So that's what a lot of these minorities and other Democrats in the state don't understand. 0.57

07:45:15.000 They're like, oh, well, the rich should pay their fair share. 1.00

07:45:18.000 It's like, hey, idiot, everyone's going to pay more. 0.99

07:45:21.000 The Constitutional Amendment protects everybody from having their taxes raised. 0.99

07:45:24.000 It prevents politicians from being able to do that, which they will because Illinois is so far on the hole.

07:45:29.000 Anyway, that's my rant on the ballot measure, but these goofies, they're like, well, we'll get a tax cut.

07:45:35.000 And what is the tax cut?

07:45:36.000 For people making less than $10,000 a year, the tax cut is like 0.05.

07:45:43.000 The tax cut for people.

07:45:44.000 Less than $10,000 per year?

07:45:45.000 Yeah.

07:45:46.000 And for people making between $10,000 and like, I think $150,000, I haven't looked at it in a while, but for the next.

07:45:56.000 Segment of income that your taxes are cut the same.

07:45:59.000 It's like 0.05%.

07:46:01.000 People go from paying 4.95 to like 4.9%.

07:46:06.000 And they raise it on the higher income earners by 2.5%. 0.97

07:46:11.000 So they're cutting it by 0.05 for poor people, like they're even fucking paying anyway.

07:46:17.000 People making less than $10,000 are paying taxes. 0.84

07:46:20.000 Yeah, that's news to me.

07:46:21.000 And then they're going to raise it on basically upper middle class to, you know, Sky's the limit by two and a half percent.

07:46:30.000 It's a joke.

07:46:30.000 I guess you could say taxation is theft.

07:46:37.000 And yeah, you could say that.

07:46:39.000 One could say, one could certainly say that taxation constitutes theft. 0.99

07:46:45.000 Yeah, no, taxes do suck.

07:46:47.000 I mean, I wouldn't mind paying fairly higher taxes if it was actually being spent well in like a different society.

07:46:54.000 But yeah, for the foreseeable future, if we're getting taxed, it's just going to be wasted or spent on stuff that's.

07:47:03.000 Not even just a waste, but is actually totally, runs totally contrary to what we're trying to get done.

07:47:09.000 Well, yeah.

07:47:10.000 I mean, they take it and they, if they're not just simply giving it to, literally just taking it from you and giving it to someone else, then they're putting it in things that are bad for you.

07:47:20.000 Or they put it to do good things in places where you don't live, you know?

07:47:24.000 When you're in a rich neighborhood, you pay all these property taxes and like that is, that's only a barrier to entry.

07:47:31.000 It's not even like you get much better services or anything.

07:47:34.000 You still probably got to pay for private security, private security systems and everything like that.

07:47:40.000 And, Be even private schooling, and the list goes on and on in these cities. 0.99

07:47:45.000 Public schools are still shit, right? 0.99

07:47:47.000 So you pay for the privilege of not having to live next to poor people, and all the resources are just going to this giant black hole of like the CIA and black people and, you know, whatever else government largesse, contractors. 1.00

07:48:05.000 It's a joke. 0.96

07:48:06.000 I hate taxes.

07:48:07.000 And like you said, I wouldn't even, I mean, I would still hate paying taxes.

07:48:11.000 But it would at least make sense to me.

07:48:13.000 Now it's like, and because I'm self employed, I just write a check.

07:48:17.000 You know, most people, because of withholding, most people don't even think about how much they're paying because they just take it out of your paycheck.

07:48:25.000 And it's not like, it's like at the end of the year, you get a refund back.

07:48:29.000 It's like, wow, the government gave you this money back.

07:48:32.000 When you're self employed, you set aside money over the course of every quarter.

07:48:36.000 You set aside the rule is about a quarter of your income, and sometimes it's more and sometimes it's less, but you pay quarterly. 0.88

07:48:44.000 And you're just writing out a big ass check every quarter.

07:48:47.000 And you're like, okay, here's my literally IRS, state of Illinois.

07:48:53.000 Here's all this money that I'm just never going to see ever again that doesn't do anything for me.

07:48:58.000 It'd be one thing if you, and I hate spending money on things that do, on investments or things that do something for me.

07:49:03.000 I'm like, oh my gosh, I just spent all this money.

07:49:06.000 But you're writing all these big checks to the government.

07:49:08.000 It's like, oh, here's this money.

07:49:10.000 I'm basically just throwing it out the window. 1.00

07:49:13.000 And I'm just going to literally set it on fire, like fucking wipe my ass with it. 1.00

07:49:13.000 All this money. 1.00

07:49:17.000 It because that's what you get for it. 1.00

07:49:19.000 You get dick butt kiss, you get nothing. 0.99

07:49:22.000 And as a self employed person, it's infuriating if they just withhold it, it doesn't have that same like visceral impact. 0.98

07:49:27.000 But self employed, you're writing it out, and you know how you write a check you have to literally write it the number, and then you got to spell it out, and then you got to dutifully put it in the envelope and say, Okay, bye bye, bye bye.

07:49:42.000 It's horrible, anyway.

07:49:44.000 Okay, let's see.

07:49:45.000 People are telling me to check the states.

07:49:47.000 I guess we've got some updates here.

07:49:50.000 Oh, 78%.

07:49:52.000 Donald Trump 47.6, Biden 50.5.

07:49:56.000 Remember, that's in Nevada.

07:50:00.000 Wow.

07:50:01.000 78% in, and Donald Trump is within two and a half points.

07:50:05.000 Arizona 80% in.

07:50:07.000 It's Biden 52, Trump 46.

07:50:09.000 Let me check Nevada, though, and see how we're doing with Clark County.

07:50:13.000 Clark County 75% in, and it's a 10% Biden advantage.

07:50:22.000 I don't think we're going to win Nevada.

07:50:26.000 Who knows though?

07:50:29.000 Georgia is fluctuating.

07:50:33.000 It looks like it's honestly the same as where it was before.

07:50:38.000 Nothing new to report in Wisconsin, Michigan, or PA.

07:50:42.000 Same with Georgia.

07:50:45.000 So we wait.

07:50:48.000 I'm curious if Trump can maintain his lead in Genesee or Guinnessee.

07:50:53.000 It's where Flint, Michigan is located, county.

07:50:57.000 That county went 10 points.

07:50:59.000 It was a 10 point lead for Hillary Clinton in 2016, and he currently has the lead with 77%.

07:51:05.000 He's only up a point, but still, I'm interested to see if he maintains that 10 point sway.

07:51:20.000 They're saying that Trump is winning by bigger, by huge margins compared to 16.

07:51:26.000 And admittedly, there's less reporting, but it's like, okay, in 2016, Biden won, or I'm sorry, Trump won by 44,000.

07:51:35.000 With 66% reporting, he's winning by 700,000.

07:51:38.000 Now, that's a lot of votes to count.

07:51:40.000 And if it's mail in ballots, they're going to be in favor of Biden.

07:51:43.000 But 700,000 point lead or 700,000 vote lead, that's a lot.

07:51:50.000 Wisconsin, it's 105,000 compared to 23,000 nearly is what the end margin was for Trump in 16.

07:51:58.000 Again, 77% reporting.

07:52:00.000 But, I mean, these are big margins that far into it.

07:52:03.000 So it's looking good in the Midwest.

07:52:05.000 If we can win all three, I mean, we're good, you know?

07:52:10.000 Right?

07:52:11.000 I mean, let's do the math real quick.

07:52:15.000 Yeah, I mean, if he gets those three, forget it.

07:52:18.000 He can lose Nevada, he can lose Arizona, he can lose Georgia if he pulls all three.

07:52:23.000 But that's where they'll try funny business.

07:52:25.000 Okay, is Trump speaking?

07:52:26.000 Nope.

07:52:28.000 People keep telling me in chat, Trump is speaking.

07:52:31.000 He's not.

07:52:46.000 Trump has surpassed his 2016 popular vote total.

07:52:49.000 Nice.

07:52:51.000 Well, he'll need to because turnouts.

07:52:53.000 Someone just tweeted that.

07:52:53.000 I don't know if it's confirmed, but yeah, that's wild.

07:53:03.000 Let's see.

07:53:03.000 Chris Buskirk says Trump has almost met the number of votes he received in Philadelphia in 2016, and only 46% of the votes have been counted.

07:53:13.000 There aren't enough votes in Philly to close the gap.

07:53:17.000 Okay.

07:53:18.000 I'm feeling good about Pennsylvania, man.

07:53:21.000 Even with the fixed, I think it's going to be Trump.

07:53:25.000 Tentatively, we give PA to Trump, and based on John James, we give Michigan.

07:53:33.000 And then Trump's got to win.

07:53:34.000 Yeah, that's big.

07:53:35.000 Biden's got to win the remaining four.

07:53:37.000 So, yeah, I'm feeling better and better here based on these numbers.

07:53:41.000 Let's see how his betting odds are.

07:53:45.000 Yeah, someone else said that the remaining votes in Pennsylvania need to be two for one in the Dems' favor.

07:53:51.000 In order for them to win, I don't know.

07:53:55.000 I just don't see that happening.

07:53:56.000 But again, right, of all the states, that's the one where we've seen the most shady behavior.

07:54:02.000 So there's the biggest potential for things to go poorly.

07:54:07.000 How is Arizona doing right now?

07:54:11.000 Let's take a look.

07:54:11.000 We're at 80%, and Trump is still behind six.

07:54:15.000 But, you know, it's Maricopa County, it's Phoenix.

07:54:19.000 They're counting election day votes where Trump appears to have a significant advantage.

07:54:23.000 So, That 20% is going to make a big difference.

07:54:26.000 It's a big lead to overcome, but it's election day votes they're counting.

07:54:33.000 And a lot of them.

07:54:33.000 True.

07:54:36.000 Trump is about to speak.

07:54:38.000 I don't see him, though.

07:54:39.000 Which are you guys watching the Yahoo stream or what?

07:54:43.000 No, I'm watching.

07:54:45.000 I'll pull up Yahoo.

07:54:49.000 Yahoo Finance.

07:55:01.000 I mean, yeah, if Trump can pick up Arizona, then, I mean, it's Pennsylvania or Michigan.

07:55:08.000 I mean, I guess if Biden wins Georgia, that's an issue.

07:55:12.000 But then if Trump wins both, then he's, you know, he wins again.

07:55:19.000 Both Michigan and Pennsylvania, I mean.

07:55:22.000 Yeah, I mean, Georgia, I don't know, man.

07:55:26.000 I was really confident in Georgia, and I still kind of am, but.

07:55:31.000 It's just nerve wracking that that needle is that way.

07:55:34.000 Because if we can get Georgia, I mean, then.

07:55:37.000 All right, we're getting something from Trump's stream.

07:55:41.000 You better not lose Georgia because I put money on Georgia.

07:55:45.000 Upset.

07:55:51.000 What were the odds on Georgia?

07:55:55.000 Let me take a look.

07:55:57.000 Oh, his odds on predicted?

07:55:58.000 Yeah, like how many?

07:56:00.000 It was like 59 cents a share or something like that.

07:56:04.000 For Trump, I thought that was a safe bet.

07:56:07.000 Yeah, me too.

07:56:11.000 This looks like a weird setting.

07:56:13.000 Like, is this where?

07:56:14.000 This is the East Room, apparently.

07:56:17.000 So, this is not the place where he is planning to speak, regardless?

07:56:23.000 Maybe the lights are just up, and I don't know.

07:56:25.000 It seems.

07:56:26.000 In Georgia, the average was Trump up by one.

07:56:32.000 Yeah, and the average.

07:56:33.000 Huh.

07:56:34.000 So, I don't know what the hell.

07:56:36.000 I think it's cheating because they were leading, dude.

07:56:40.000 They had a huge lead throughout the election.

07:56:43.000 Then October comes.

07:56:44.000 Oh, all of a sudden Biden's leading.

07:56:46.000 Now he's leading by a lot.

07:56:47.000 Trump flips it in the final week.

07:56:50.000 Oh, and now he's losing by a lot of points.

07:56:52.000 Come on. 0.87

07:56:54.000 I blame Stacey Abrams. 1.00

07:56:55.000 She's rigging it. 0.95

07:57:00.000 It seems unlikely that Georgia would go blue, but it could be cheating in Atlanta.

07:57:04.000 Yeah, Jay Bruss says Atlanta is cheating.

07:57:06.000 You're 100% right.

07:57:07.000 And of course it would happen in Atlanta.

07:57:09.000 Of course.

07:57:10.000 Yep.

07:57:11.000 Mm hmm. 1.00

07:57:14.000 All the black pollsters. 1.00

07:57:16.000 I blame you. 1.00

07:57:20.000 Mm hmm.

07:57:28.000 Bing says, or the Associated Press says that it's 99% reporting.

07:57:33.000 Trump's up two and a half points.

07:57:36.000 But it's the same deal in Virginia.

07:57:39.000 So maybe he took it, maybe not. 1.00

07:57:41.000 I don't trust it after the Virginia call, which was retarded. 1.00

07:57:46.000 Wisconsin, too, 95% reporting, four point advantage. 1.00

07:57:50.000 If he gets, let's just take a look for fun.

07:57:54.000 If he gets Georgia and Wisconsin, which is what.

07:57:59.000 Associated Press is telling us, kind of.

07:58:02.000 That puts him at 258.

07:58:03.000 He needs basically one state.

07:58:06.000 PA, Michigan, would Arizona?

07:58:11.000 No, I'm sorry, Nevada.

07:58:12.000 Nevada wouldn't do it.

07:58:14.000 Neither would Arizona.

07:58:15.000 But I mean, that's putting him on track there.

07:58:18.000 But based on Associated Press, 95% reporting, four point lead.

07:58:23.000 99% reporting in Georgia, two and a half point lead. 1.00

07:58:29.000 So either Trump won or, you know, that's bullshit. 0.96

07:58:42.000 Okay, why are you guys quiet? 0.99

07:58:43.000 He's not speaking yet.

07:58:44.000 I don't know.

07:58:45.000 I'm just like, I'm thinking about the map.

07:58:48.000 I'm looking at maps right now.

07:58:49.000 Yeah, that's what I'm doing too.

07:58:51.000 I was just, yeah, I mean, personally, I was just really absorbed in what you were saying, Nick. 1.00

07:58:56.000 Fuck it. 1.00

07:58:57.000 I bring these people on. 1.00

07:58:59.000 They've been asleep all day.

07:59:01.000 Patrick Casey's been.

07:59:03.000 I did not sleep.

07:59:04.000 Wow.

07:59:04.000 This endless.

07:59:05.000 You take one nap to be well rested.

07:59:08.000 I mean, what do you want me to say, Nicholas?

07:59:13.000 You know what?

07:59:13.000 I'm okay.

07:59:14.000 I'll start interrupting you, talking over you, asserting myself a little bit more.

07:59:14.000 We'll mix it up.

07:59:20.000 No, Scott was good tonight.

07:59:21.000 He was interrupting me on Highly Respected.

07:59:23.000 I'm like, what are you doing, man?

07:59:26.000 Well, that's just what he does on Highly Respected.

07:59:29.000 That is the Scott's move.

07:59:29.000 That's the move.

07:59:32.000 You're in his territory at that point.

07:59:34.000 Yeah, his turf.

07:59:34.000 Yeah.

07:59:35.000 Yeah.

07:59:38.000 I enjoyed the first half of this.

07:59:38.000 Yeah, I know.

07:59:40.000 Some pretty good analysis.

07:59:42.000 Thanks.

07:59:44.000 Yeah, sadly, when we got on, it was.

07:59:47.000 Slowed down.

07:59:49.000 Yeah.

07:59:50.000 What, in terms of viewers?

07:59:51.000 No, no.

07:59:52.000 No, in terms like the election, like the states.

07:59:55.000 The action.

07:59:56.000 The action.

07:59:58.000 I don't know.

07:59:59.000 I mean, I was feeling so pumped.

08:00:01.000 I have to say, I was feeling so pumped when, with all the stuff that was happening.

08:00:06.000 But then, Nick, you played some of the classics.

08:00:09.000 You were like, you know, hyping it up.

08:00:12.000 And I was feeling hyped.

08:00:14.000 I was dancing with Trump, with you dancing with Trump.

08:00:18.000 It was.

08:00:20.000 We've got the graveyard shift.

08:00:22.000 This is for the true men among the ruins. 0.69

08:00:27.000 The Spangler's Roman soldier, we're going to remain at our post even as the numbers get a little weird.

08:00:36.000 Well, I don't know. 0.99

08:00:37.000 Hopefully, I'm going to stay up for however long is necessary.

08:00:42.000 If it reaches a point where they're not going to announce anything.

08:00:43.000 I'm not going to announce Trump and declare it a winner.

08:00:47.000 I'm talking weeks.

08:00:48.000 If it has to be weeks, I'm not sleeping.

08:00:52.000 Jake Lloyd is delirious.

08:00:55.000 Yeah, this is a time when, yeah, I'm no sunshine patriot.

08:01:08.000 That's right.

08:01:09.000 I'm here for the long haul.

08:01:11.000 Fairweather patriot.

08:01:12.000 Predicted has Trump 61% in PA, Biden 56% in Georgia, 84% in Arizona.

08:01:20.000 I mean, they really think Biden's going to win Arizona.

08:01:22.000 67% in Michigan for Biden, 66% in Michigan for Trump.

08:01:27.000 Yeah, I put money in Arizona too.

08:01:29.000 I'll just offer.

08:01:31.000 I'm tempted to actually get into Arizona right now.

08:01:37.000 We'll see.

08:01:44.000 I don't know.

08:01:46.000 I don't think he's going to take Arizona.

08:01:47.000 I think he's going to take Wisconsin and Michigan and PA.

08:01:51.000 That's my prediction.

08:01:54.000 Why aren't you confident about Arizona?

08:01:56.000 I don't know.

08:01:58.000 Maybe the Fox News thing has got me a little shook.

08:02:01.000 Yeah, I think so.

08:02:02.000 It's definitely going to be close.

08:02:03.000 I think that kind of has had a psychological impact on us, though.

08:02:07.000 That's the plan.

08:02:08.000 They're trying to run the op on us, they're trying to demoralize us and trick us into being.

08:02:16.000 Blackpilled, but it's not going to work.

08:02:17.000 It will not work. 1.00

08:02:20.000 You can't blackpill me.

08:02:23.000 I'm unblackpillable. 1.00

08:02:25.000 Yeah, honestly, just staying white pilled is the best scenario. 0.60

08:02:29.000 Like, even if you acknowledge at the same time, there's the potential that things could go wrong.

08:02:32.000 So, according to studies, I mean, I just look back at how many things I've worried about happening in politics, in life, that just never happened.

08:02:40.000 And, you know, you waste all this energy.

08:02:42.000 Maybe you respond to a situation in a way that you wouldn't otherwise.

08:02:46.000 And then you're like, oh, wow, it's actually.

08:02:49.000 It was okay.

08:02:50.000 So, yeah, it was like people during 2016.

08:02:52.000 There were people who were Trump, they supported Trump and the dissident right who, oh, he can't win.

08:02:57.000 Oh, you know, he's not going to be able to do it.

08:03:00.000 And, yeah, lo and behold, yeah, he's able to pull it off.

08:03:05.000 So, I'm feeling good, man.

08:03:10.000 It's just a question of how long it's going to take.

08:03:12.000 You can't gain to your life by worrying.

08:03:14.000 You can't.

08:03:15.000 So true.

08:03:17.000 Live, laugh, love is.

08:03:19.000 Is what I always say.

08:03:21.000 That's the saying goes.

08:03:23.000 Old Colgate is an endless well of wisdom, wise beyond his years.

08:03:28.000 True.

08:03:29.000 You know what they say?

08:03:30.000 You only live once.

08:03:33.000 Also true.

08:03:34.000 Yeah.

08:03:34.000 I feel like if that was turned into an acronym, it would be catch on.

08:03:39.000 Yeah.

08:03:42.000 I want to take this tie off.

08:03:43.000 This collar is cutting into my neck.

08:03:45.000 And I've been on here for seven hours.

08:03:48.000 This is the seven hour stream.

08:03:52.000 At the very least, you can kind of loosen it up and unbutton the top button.

08:03:56.000 Like, dad just got home from work.

08:03:58.000 Yeah, yeah.

08:03:59.000 Good call.

08:03:59.000 Kicking back some whiskey.

08:04:01.000 Trump took off his tie at the rally the other day.

08:04:03.000 I think you can do it.

08:04:05.000 There we go.

08:04:05.000 Okay, I'm seeing a little movement here.

08:04:08.000 Yeah.

08:04:09.000 Circulation returning.

08:04:10.000 Man behind the curtain and the Trump stream.

08:04:17.000 That's better.

08:04:18.000 I'm breathing a little bit better here.

08:04:20.000 Oh, man.

08:04:27.000 Oh, Rihadi, that's not good. 1.00

08:04:29.000 Not good. 1.00

08:04:32.000 I must drink more pop.

08:04:36.000 Pop.

08:04:37.000 That's what you say too, Nick, right?

08:04:39.000 I do.

08:04:40.000 I do say pop.

08:04:42.000 See, I'm looking in Michigan, and it's a lot of right wing shift.

08:04:46.000 Not a lot of left wing, but a lot of big right wing shift.

08:04:50.000 Pennsylvania, there's some left wing shift.

08:04:53.000 Ohio, look at Ohio.

08:04:54.000 Look at all that right wing shift. 0.91

08:04:56.000 Iowa.

08:04:57.000 Right wing shift, Florida, Wisconsin, a lot of right wing here. 0.88

08:05:17.000 Uh-huh.

08:05:27.000 Mr. President, let's go.

08:05:31.000 Mr. President, we are standing back and standing by.

08:05:41.000 Which Fortnite dance do you think Trump's going to open his speech with?

08:05:46.000 Floss.

08:05:47.000 I'm thinking he's going to go for Floss.

08:05:49.000 He's going to do the didn't notice.

08:05:50.000 Didn't even notice.

08:05:51.000 Yeah, yeah.

08:05:52.000 The say so dance.

08:05:53.000 That would be best.

08:05:55.000 Well, here, I'm reading a tweet here.

08:05:56.000 It says Georgia has 500,000 votes over its 2016 total, and Trump has a 120,000 vote lead.

08:06:03.000 Decision desk shows 4.6 million votes.

08:06:06.000 The New York Times shows only 3.5 million, and 91% reported.

08:06:11.000 Way behind the actual tally.

08:06:12.000 Georgia is done.

08:06:13.000 Trump wins. 1.00

08:06:16.000 Let's hope so.

08:06:17.000 That would be huge.

08:06:18.000 That would alleviate a lot of anxiety.

08:06:20.000 Yeah, I mean, if that's the case, then I mean, that's big.

08:06:25.000 I'm not anxious for the record.

08:06:26.000 I'm talking about other people. 1.00

08:06:27.000 Yeah, for those fucking losers out there that are trying to be unfortunate to are just pussies. 1.00

08:06:35.000 Yeah. 1.00

08:06:36.000 Kidding, kidding.

08:06:38.000 I'm not kidding. 0.99

08:06:39.000 They're total cucks. 0.99

08:06:39.000 I'm not. 0.99

08:06:43.000 I mean, guys, Nick said he was anxious. 0.79

08:06:45.000 Are you calling Nick Fuentes a cuck? 0.74

08:06:46.000 Better not.

08:06:47.000 You're out of the mood.

08:06:48.000 Yeah.

08:06:50.000 Purge them, Nick.

08:06:52.000 They're gone. 0.66

08:06:53.000 They're done. 1.00

08:06:55.000 Jake Lloyd, get your fat ass out of this. 1.00

08:06:59.000 I'm kidding. 1.00

08:07:03.000 I'm fat like Donald Trump. 0.81

08:07:05.000 I just want to be like my hero. 0.90

08:07:08.000 We love it.

08:07:09.000 We love our big boy, Jake Lloyd.

08:07:14.000 Big man.

08:07:16.000 10%.

08:07:17.000 Of the calories goes to the big man.

08:07:23.000 Okay, looks like.

08:07:24.000 Okay, people are walking.

08:07:26.000 There's people coming out of the door.

08:07:27.000 Let's go. 1.00

08:07:28.000 Well, those are women. 1.00

08:07:29.000 I don't know if I'd seen the word people. 1.00

08:07:32.000 Fair.

08:07:34.000 Beardson, that was incredibly offensive.

08:07:38.000 We need more women in the movement, and you're not helping. 1.00

08:07:44.000 Garen the Tradwives. 1.00

08:07:51.000 I like how under this thing that YouTube has a disclaimer that says elections may not or results may not be final.

08:07:59.000 See the latest on Google.

08:08:02.000 Ah, love that.

08:08:04.000 See the latest on our other website where we will tell you what the truth is.

08:08:09.000 So, Trump in election day votes is at 60, he's winning 65% of them.

08:08:15.000 They've gone through 150,000.

08:08:17.000 So, all the votes that are made to be counted in Arizona, it's going to be a 65% Trump.

08:08:23.000 Percentage, which seems like it's still up for grabs.

08:08:27.000 So, I mean, we're still in it in Arizona.

08:08:29.000 We're still in it in Georgia.

08:08:31.000 I mean, we are looking like on track to win Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

08:08:36.000 I mean, it's possible that we see this map.

08:08:39.000 It's possible that we get up to 305.

08:08:42.000 And the only thing that we lose from 16 is that vote in Nebraska.

08:08:46.000 It's possible.

08:08:59.000 Okay, what the hell?

08:09:02.000 Yeah. 0.98

08:09:03.000 Come on, Trump.

08:09:04.000 Come on, big guy.

08:09:05.000 We're standing back and standing by.

08:09:08.000 Trump is always on time.

08:09:10.000 We need your orders.

08:09:11.000 What should we do?

08:09:14.000 Trump just needs a better pre show lobby.

08:09:18.000 That's what it is.

08:09:21.000 Somebody needs to make Trump an entrance graphic.

08:09:24.000 Oh, whoa.

08:09:26.000 Okay.

08:09:28.000 I'm unpredicted.

08:09:29.000 Predicted now has Trump at 52 in Michigan, Trump at 57 in Pennsylvania, Trump at 60 in Georgia.

08:09:37.000 And I know it just flipped wildly, but if that's our map, we win.

08:09:42.000 Things are coming together.

08:09:44.000 Is that good?

08:09:44.000 So that's up from where it was?

08:09:46.000 Pennsylvania is down, but Georgia flipped and Michigan flipped by a lot, by double digits.

08:09:52.000 Interesting.

08:09:53.000 But, I mean, they could just as easily flip the other way.

08:09:56.000 Right, right.

08:09:57.000 But, I mean, Arizona is staying solidly blue in the predicted market.

08:10:01.000 But, yeah, North Carolina, as they say, is settled.

08:10:05.000 Georgia is at 60.

08:10:06.000 PA, 57.

08:10:08.000 Michigan, 52.

08:10:10.000 Wisconsin remains unchanged, but still only 57 for Biden.

08:10:14.000 And again, if he pulls that Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan win, done, done deal.

08:10:19.000 And they got Trump up to 59.

08:10:22.000 Earlier, they had him at like 51.

08:10:23.000 Now he's up to 59.

08:10:26.000 So.

08:10:33.000 Come on, baby.

08:10:34.000 Oh, and he's up all the way.

08:10:36.000 I mean, he's in all of the betting markets.

08:10:39.000 And Maxim Lott's bet fair, he's up to 67, which is he's holding that advantage.

08:10:45.000 And again, you know, these bets tend to follow the news and not the other way around.

08:10:51.000 It's not like, oh, they know something we don't, and then it comes out, and then it's usually they're reacting to the news.

08:10:58.000 So if it seems like something good comes out, the market goes up.

08:11:01.000 So something bad could come out, and then the markets flip.

08:11:04.000 And it's Biden 99, Trump 1.

08:11:05.000 I mean, that's possible too.

08:11:07.000 So I wouldn't read too much into it, but people are watching the votes coming in, and this is a gauge of how those votes are doing.

08:11:18.000 And based on that, it looks like we're doing much better in Georgia, slightly less good in Pennsylvania, and better in Michigan.

08:11:26.000 And Arizona remains unchanged.

08:11:30.000 Okay.

08:11:42.000 Where is the man?

08:11:46.000 Has it been 20 minutes yet since it was said that he would be speaking within 20 minutes?

08:11:53.000 It certainly has.

08:11:57.000 It better be good.

08:11:58.000 I mean, it better not just be like Biden.

08:12:01.000 I don't know.

08:12:02.000 Like Biden, like what Biden said.

08:12:03.000 It better be something, you know, some kind of declarative statement, even if he's not claiming we have won the election.

08:12:11.000 He should be, you know.

08:12:13.000 I bet they're holding him back.

08:12:14.000 They're like, Trump, no, you can't go out there and declare victory.

08:12:17.000 And they're trying to physically hold him back from going out there and doing it.

08:12:21.000 Yeah.

08:12:37.000 Yeah, I do feel good about our odds, though.

08:12:40.000 I do.

08:12:46.000 Trump's got to declare victory and send in the army.

08:12:48.000 He's got to call up his guys, get them on the ground where they're counting the ballots.

08:12:52.000 He needs to get them there right now in Atlanta, in Philadelphia.

08:12:56.000 He needs to get the.

08:12:57.000 in all these states because there's funny business going on all across the board.

08:13:02.000 We don't have enough staff.

08:13:04.000 The votes take longer than we thought.

08:13:06.000 Oh, the.

08:13:07.000 People counting in Western PA went to bed. 0.99

08:13:10.000 Oh, no, they fucking didn't. 0.99

08:13:12.000 Get people out there. 0.99

08:13:14.000 He's got to take control here.

08:13:16.000 Declare victory.

08:13:16.000 Yeah.

08:13:18.000 Send people out because this is a joke.

08:13:21.000 And it's being stolen in real.

08:13:23.000 I mean, it is happening right now in Atlanta.

08:13:26.000 They're stealing it.

08:13:30.000 Okay, still no sign of him anywhere.

08:13:41.000 I wonder what he's doing.

08:13:42.000 I wonder, like, what they're going over right now, what they're talking about, what they're doing.

08:14:04.000 Trump 2020, I'm about that.

08:14:08.000 That's right.

08:14:21.000 Did one of you guys read Kaylee McEnany's tweet about the margins in the Rust Belt comparing them to 2016?

08:14:21.000 Well, I was gone.

08:14:29.000 I did see that.

08:14:30.000 I did see that.

08:14:32.000 Pretty big difference.

08:14:33.000 That is pretty, I mean, yeah.

08:14:35.000 Because with what's been reported so far, so Wisconsin, for example, 2016, the margin was 22,000, almost 23,000.

08:14:45.000 And now with 77% reporting, it's over 100,000, almost 105.

08:14:51.000 I mean, that's enormous.

08:14:56.000 Yeah, and I suppose you could always, you know, you'd have to take a look at the exact precincts or whatever, but no, he's.

08:15:04.000 This is good.

08:15:05.000 That's looking good.

08:15:06.000 So it's not over.

08:15:07.000 Yeah.

08:15:07.000 Right.

08:15:08.000 And it's the way to go.

08:15:09.000 It's the same or better.

08:15:12.000 I mean, the thing with Michigan and Pennsylvania, the number reporting is smaller.

08:15:18.000 So with Wisconsin, the numbers I just said, it's 77% reporting, whereas Michigan and Pennsylvania, it's 61% and 66% respectively.

08:15:26.000 Wow.

08:15:28.000 But the.

08:15:30.000 Margins are much bigger.

08:15:31.000 Hold on now.

08:15:33.000 Predict it.

08:15:34.000 Wisconsin, 53 Trump.

08:15:37.000 Michigan, 54 Trump.

08:15:39.000 Pennsylvania, 63 Trump.

08:15:40.000 Georgia, 61 Trump.

08:15:43.000 Arizona, 90 Biden.

08:15:44.000 So Arizona's up Biden, but all these Midwestern states in Georgia are going Trump.

08:15:53.000 Yeah, Wisconsin was just 57 Biden.

08:15:55.000 So the last time you were on there, I believe.

08:15:59.000 So, yeah, 90% of Wisconsin has voted.

08:16:03.000 Trump is at 51.3.

08:16:05.000 Biden is at 47.2.

08:16:07.000 So, I think he's got that in the bag for sure.

08:16:11.000 Yeah, I really think that Wisconsin and Michigan are Trump.

08:16:18.000 I think Pennsylvania is obviously Trump if they don't cheat.

08:16:21.000 I mean, obviously, with the 50% left in Pittsburgh and Pennsylvania, I think that would narrow it a lot, but I don't think they could overtake the lead that he has.

08:16:33.000 Yeah, he's maintaining the 700,000.

08:16:36.000 Yeah, I mean, the only two things that I'm really worried about is him trying to cheat Georgia and Pennsylvania.

08:16:41.000 That's my only concern.

08:16:41.000 That's it.

08:16:44.000 And Georgia will be a lot easier for them to cheat than Pennsylvania.

08:16:48.000 Right.

08:16:48.000 Which is not what we thought.

08:16:50.000 That's not what I thought, at least, going into this.

08:16:53.000 And it seems like they'll have difficulty cheating in Wisconsin and Michigan, which is only ideal because he can win without Georgia if he pulls the three in the Midwest.

08:17:04.000 Right, right.

08:17:19.000 Okay, so it looks like he's come.

08:17:22.000 Yeah, I think he's coming out now. 0.99

08:17:30.000 Dude, Kimberly Guilfoyle is so repulsive. 1.00

08:17:34.000 True. 0.95

08:17:35.000 There he is.

08:17:37.000 Our king.

08:17:37.000 There he is, our king.

08:17:39.000 King of America.

08:17:41.000 Big DT.

08:17:42.000 Here he comes.

08:17:42.000 Here we go.

08:17:45.000 I'm going to deafen, so.

08:18:01.000 the latest news conference I've ever had.

08:18:11.000 I appreciate it very much.

08:18:13.000 I want to thank the American people for their tremendous support.

08:18:16.000 Millions and millions of people voted for us today.

08:18:20.000 And a very sad group of people is trying to disenfranchise that group of people.

08:18:29.000 we won't stand for it.

08:18:31.000 The results tonight have been phenomenal,

08:19:01.000 and we are getting ready.

08:19:03.000 I mean, literally, we were just all set to get outside and just celebrate something that was so beautiful, so good, such a vote, such a success.

08:19:14.000 The citizens of this country have come out in record numbers.

08:19:18.000 This is a record, there's never been anything like it to support our incredible movement.

08:19:23.000 We won states that we weren't expected to win.

08:19:26.000 Florida, we didn't win it, we won it by a lot.

08:19:48.000 700,000 votes and they don't even include it in the tabulations.

08:19:55.000 It's also clear that we have won Georgia.

08:19:58.000 Yes!

08:20:02.000 Yes!

08:20:04.000 This is exactly what we need.

08:20:05.000 17,000 votes with only 7% left.

08:20:08.000 They're never going to catch us.

08:20:10.000 They can't catch us.

08:20:12.000 Likewise, we've clearly won North Carolina.

08:20:20.000 This is perfect.

08:20:21.000 This is perfect.

08:20:23.000 This is exactly what he needs to say.

08:20:26.000 My president.

08:20:27.000 Can't catch us.

08:20:29.000 We also, if you look and you see Arizona, we have a lot of life in that.

08:20:36.000 And somebody said, somebody declared that it was a victory.

08:20:41.000 And maybe it will be.

08:20:42.000 I mean, that's possible.

08:20:43.000 But certainly there were a lot of votes out there that we could get because we're now just coming into what they call Trump territory.

08:20:50.000 I don't know what you call it, but these were friendly Trump voters.

08:20:54.000 And that could be overturned.

08:20:56.000 The gentleman that called it, I watched tonight, he said, well, we think it's pretty.

08:21:00.000 Fairly unlikely that he could catch.

08:21:02.000 Well, fairly unlikely.

08:21:05.000 And we don't even need it.

08:21:06.000 We don't need that.

08:21:07.000 That was just the state that if we would have gotten it, it would have been nice Arizona.

08:21:11.000 But there's a possibility, maybe even a good possibility.

08:21:15.000 In fact, since I saw that originally, it's been changed and the numbers have substantially come down just in a small amount of votes.

08:21:24.000 So we want that obviously to stay in play.

08:21:28.000 But most importantly, we're winning Pennsylvania.

08:21:31.000 Yes, yes! 1.00

08:21:33.000 This fucking guy is bad. 1.00

08:21:41.000 What a Roman salute so bad! 1.00

08:22:00.000 690,000 votes in Pennsylvania. 0.87

08:22:07.000 These aren't even close.

08:22:08.000 It's not like, oh, it's close.

08:22:13.000 With 64% of the vote in, it's going to be almost impossible to catch.

08:22:19.000 And we're coming into good Pennsylvania areas where they happen to like your president.

08:22:31.000 We are winning Michigan.

08:22:33.000 I'll tell you, I looked at the numbers.

08:22:36.000 I said, wow, that's a lot.

08:22:40.000 By almost 300,000 votes.

08:22:42.000 And 65% of the voters were.

08:22:48.000 And we're winning Wisconsin.

08:22:50.000 I said, we don't need all of them.

08:22:53.000 We need, because when you add Texas in, which wasn't added, I spoke with the really wonderful governor of Texas just a little while ago.

08:23:03.000 Greg Abbott, he said, congratulations.

08:23:05.000 He called me to congratulate me on winning Texas.

08:23:08.000 We won Texas.

08:23:09.000 I don't think they finished quite the tabulation, but there's no way.

08:23:13.000 And it was almost complete, but he congratulated me.

08:23:16.000 And he said, by the way, what's going on?

08:23:18.000 I've never seen anything like this.

08:23:20.000 Can I tell you what?

08:23:21.000 Nobody has.

08:23:23.000 So we won by 107,000 votes with 81% of the vote.

08:23:28.000 That's Michigan.

08:23:30.000 So when you take those three states in particular, And you take all of the others.

08:23:35.000 I mean, we have so many.

08:23:37.000 We had such a big night.

08:23:40.000 You just take a look at all of these states that we've won tonight.

08:23:43.000 And then you take a look at the kind of.

08:23:45.000 I love the paper.

08:23:45.000 The paper.

08:23:47.000 And all of a sudden, it's not like we're up 12 votes and we have 60% left.

08:23:53.000 We won states.

08:23:54.000 And all of a sudden, I said, what happened to the election?

08:23:57.000 It's off.

08:23:59.000 And we have all these announcers saying, what happened?

08:24:03.000 And then they said, oh.

08:24:05.000 Because you know what happened?

08:24:07.000 Oh!

08:24:08.000 They didn't win.

08:24:10.000 So they said, let's go to court.

08:24:13.000 And did I predict this, Newton?

08:24:14.000 Did I say this?

08:24:15.000 I've been saying this from the day I heard they were going to send out the president.

08:24:20.000 I love him.

08:24:20.000 I love this man.

08:24:21.000 Exactly.

08:24:23.000 Because either they were going to win, or if they didn't win, they'll take us to court.

08:24:28.000 So Florida was a tremendous victory.

08:24:32.000 377 votes.

08:24:33.000 Taxes are just.

08:24:42.000 Ohio, a tremendous state, a big state.

08:24:44.000 I love Ohio.

08:24:45.000 We won by 8.1%.

08:24:46.000 Almost 500,000 votes.

08:24:53.000 North Carolina, a big victory with North Carolina.

08:25:10.000 This is a fraud. 1.00

08:25:13.000 What the fuck? 1.00

08:25:14.000 This is an embarrassment to our country. 1.00

08:25:18.000 We were getting ready to win this election.

08:25:21.000 Frankly, we did win this election.

08:25:25.000 Yes!

08:25:30.000 That is exactly what he needed to say.

08:25:33.000 For the good of this nation, this is a very big moment.

08:25:37.000 This is a major fraud on our nation.

08:25:40.000 We want the law to be used in a proper manner.

08:25:45.000 So we'll be going to the U.S. Supreme Court.

08:25:48.000 We want all voting to stop.

08:25:52.000 We don't want them to find any ballots at 4 o'clock in the morning and add them to class.

08:26:00.000 Yes.

08:26:02.000 It's a very sad moment.

08:26:04.000 To me, this is a very sad moment.

08:26:06.000 And we will win this.

08:26:08.000 And as far as I'm concerned, we already have.

08:26:11.000 Yes.

08:26:12.000 Yes.

08:26:22.000 with us and Mr. Vice President.

08:26:39.000 He does the.

08:26:40.000 Thank you, Mouse.

08:26:41.000 Thank you.

08:26:42.000 Thank you, Mr. President.

08:26:43.000 I want to join you in thanking more than 60 million Americans who have already cast their vote for four more years for President Donald Trump.

08:26:53.000 I love it.

08:26:54.000 I love it.

08:26:55.000 I love this.

08:26:57.000 Oh, man.

08:26:58.000 Let's continue to be counted.

08:27:00.000 We're going to remain vigilant, as the President said.

08:27:04.000 The right to vote has been at the center of our democracy since the founding of this nation.

08:27:09.000 We're going to protect the integrity of the vote.

08:27:11.000 But I really believe with all of my heart, with the extraordinary margins, Mr. President, that you've inspired in the states that you just described, and the way that you launched this movement across the country to make America great again, I truly do believe, as you do, that we are on the road to victory and we will make America great again.

08:27:50.000 Oh my gosh.

08:27:52.000 That is so.

08:27:58.000 I want to see the closing music.

08:27:58.000 Where's the.

08:28:02.000 That closing music.

08:28:04.000 That was so Trump.

08:28:06.000 The fist pump.

08:28:07.000 The road to victory.

08:28:08.000 And then the booving.

08:28:28.000 Oh, yes!

08:28:30.000 Yeah!

08:28:32.000 Oh, my gosh.

08:28:33.000 That is so good, man.

08:28:36.000 That is exactly.

08:28:39.000 That is perfect.

08:28:42.000 Do you understand?

08:28:44.000 He checked every single box.

08:28:47.000 That is exactly what he needed to do.

08:28:50.000 Say, we already won.

08:28:52.000 Put the spotlight on the steal.

08:28:54.000 Acknowledge he was being stolen.

08:28:57.000 Frankly, we already won.

08:28:59.000 Twice he said it.

08:29:01.000 That is exactly what he needed to do.

08:29:03.000 Set the frame.

08:29:04.000 Set the frame that it's a Trump victory.

08:29:06.000 Put the spotlight now on these cities.

08:29:08.000 Atlanta, threaten them.

08:29:11.000 They're not going to try and steal it now.

08:29:12.000 The Supreme Court, they know they can't win in the Supreme Court.

08:29:15.000 It's 5 4 now.

08:29:17.000 And they don't want to take that risk.

08:29:20.000 And he's put the spotlight on.

08:29:21.000 He called it out.

08:29:22.000 This is why they, throughout the campaign, said, No, there's going to be a peaceful transition of power.

08:29:30.000 Will you accept the results? 1.00

08:29:31.000 Because they knew they were going to pull this shit. 1.00

08:29:32.000 And good on him. 1.00

08:29:34.000 He never backed down.

08:29:35.000 And he's not backing down tonight.

08:29:37.000 If it were anybody other than Trump, they'd say what Biden did.

08:29:41.000 And they'd say, well, we'll see what happens.

08:29:43.000 And it would be stolen right out from under them.

08:29:45.000 It would have been stolen from them in Atlanta and in Philadelphia and in all these states.

08:29:50.000 That is exactly what would have happened if it was anybody other than Trump. 0.97

08:29:54.000 But Trump has balls, and Trump isn't the system. 0.97

08:29:57.000 So he came out and he said, you know what? 0.98

08:29:59.000 I see you.

08:30:00.000 We put the spotlight on you.

08:30:03.000 We know what you're doing.

08:30:03.000 We won.

08:30:05.000 And we're going to go to the Supreme Court and shut down the vote.

08:30:08.000 And we're going to get these votes thrown out and get it set straight.

08:30:11.000 We won.

08:30:12.000 Perfection.

08:30:13.000 Genius.

08:30:14.000 Okay, but let me bring back in our panel here.

08:30:16.000 I had to deafen because I wanted that to be as quiet as possible. 1.00

08:30:20.000 Folks, holy fucking shit. 1.00

08:30:23.000 Let's go. 1.00

08:30:25.000 Let's go.

08:30:26.000 Okay.

08:30:27.000 Oh my gosh.

08:30:29.000 So good.

08:30:30.000 So perfect.

08:30:31.000 Perfect.

08:30:32.000 Oh my gosh.

08:30:34.000 I couldn't have asked for that.

08:30:36.000 My energy is back.

08:30:37.000 You literally couldn't have asked for a better outcome here tonight.

08:30:42.000 I know.

08:30:43.000 Seriously.

08:30:45.000 So good.

08:30:46.000 That was perfect.

08:30:47.000 That was exactly what he needed to say.

08:30:48.000 He hit every point that he needed there.

08:30:53.000 Okay, check this out.

08:30:57.000 Predicted has 65 Georgia, 63 Pennsylvania, 62 Wisconsin, 58 Michigan.

08:31:09.000 It's looking like that's going to be it.

08:31:10.000 He's going to sweep the Midwest.

08:31:13.000 He's not going to lose Georgia.

08:31:16.000 People are saying Shapiro.

08:31:17.000 What did Shapiro tweet?

08:31:18.000 Ben Shapiro tweeted, No, Trump has not already won the election, and it is deeply irresponsible for him to say he has.

08:31:29.000 Two minutes ago.

08:31:31.000 In case anyone needed to say something.

08:31:32.000 What's going on, guys?

08:31:34.000 Who is this?

08:31:36.000 Vince.

08:31:36.000 Vince!

08:31:37.000 What's going on, man?

08:31:38.000 Welcome.

08:31:40.000 That was awesome.

08:31:40.000 Welcome back.

08:31:42.000 That was absolutely epic.

08:31:44.000 That was so great.

08:31:47.000 Ben Shapiro is seething right now.

08:31:51.000 Trump can't just declare victory.

08:31:53.000 I'm a journalist.

08:31:55.000 I tell him when he wins. 1.00

08:31:58.000 Fuck Ben Shapiro, subversive piece of shit. 1.00

08:32:01.000 Yeah. 1.00

08:32:03.000 Man, I want a Fed post so hard on Ben Shapiro. 1.00

08:32:08.000 Piece of shit. 1.00

08:32:09.000 Human scum, traitor, traitor to our nation. 1.00

08:32:13.000 And you know what? 1.00

08:32:13.000 Here's the good thing this experience is going to radicalize Trump. 1.00

08:32:19.000 And when he wins, he's going to come back in the White House.

08:32:22.000 And it's going to be on site. 0.99

08:32:23.000 It's going to be Mussolini moment and not like hanging upside down like Maga night at the fucking White House. 0.99

08:32:31.000 It is going to be Stalin, whatever you want to call it. 0.99

08:32:35.000 Because this is going to, this is totally going to, him personally, his people, this is fucking it. 0.91

08:32:43.000 I mean, I don't think if he ends up winning and defeating all these challenges, which I think is now more than likely, this is maybe the best outcome that could happen because, you know, he wins it outright. 0.90

08:32:55.000 He wins it outright and.

08:32:57.000 You know, he's like, okay, the people love me.

08:32:59.000 I'm good.

08:33:00.000 But now that there's this BS, he says, you know what?

08:33:03.000 I can't trust anybody.

08:33:04.000 They're all against me.

08:33:06.000 I don't trust the system.

08:33:08.000 I need to start, you know, getting people loyal.

08:33:11.000 This is it, man.

08:33:12.000 This is really what we needed.

08:33:14.000 This is perfect.

08:33:16.000 As long as we come out on top.

08:33:18.000 Do you guys see what they're doing?

08:33:19.000 I don't know if you talked about this.

08:33:21.000 Did you see what they're doing, what they're trying to do in Georgia?

08:33:23.000 So Trump's up by about 120,000 votes and they suspended the count in Fulton County.

08:33:29.000 Yes, yes.

08:33:30.000 Yeah.

08:33:31.000 So they have Fulton County, DeKalb County, and Cobb County.

08:33:35.000 And I broke down the numbers here, and he just, there's not enough to make up the 100,000 votes in Georgia.

08:33:41.000 And if he wins Georgia and Michigan, and he wins Pennsylvania, which he's up by like 750,000 votes, and Wisconsin, I mean, that's it.

08:33:50.000 That's game over.

08:33:51.000 Trump won this election.

08:33:53.000 His odds are soaring in all of these states.

08:33:55.000 He's now up to, in predicted at least, he's up to 64,000.

08:34:01.000 In Wisconsin, 65 in Michigan, 66 in Pennsylvania, 67 in Georgia.

08:34:07.000 I mean, we are really getting there, man.

08:34:12.000 It's in the bag.

08:34:13.000 You want it.

08:34:14.000 Trump won.

08:34:15.000 Trump won.

08:34:16.000 Well, he just went up to 77 cents in Georgia.

08:34:19.000 It's on the lawyers now.

08:34:21.000 The lawyers have to follow through and the campaign people have to follow through.

08:34:25.000 But I mean, he is really the favorite here.

08:34:28.000 Yeah, dude, it's skyrocketing in real time.

08:34:32.000 Like Vince said, 78 in Georgia, 69 in Georgia.

08:34:35.000 In Wisconsin, 66 in Michigan, 66 in Pennsylvania.

08:34:40.000 Dude, hey, think about this. 1.00

08:34:42.000 We're going to fucking get four more fucking years of Donald Trump. 1.00

08:34:47.000 Okay? 1.00

08:34:48.000 Think about that.

08:34:49.000 Never coming off.

08:34:50.000 I'm glued.

08:34:51.000 I'm stapling into my skull. 1.00

08:34:54.000 Hey, Vosh. 1.00

08:34:55.000 Hey, Hassan. 0.98

08:34:56.000 Hassan, check.

08:34:57.000 Hey.

08:34:58.000 I mean, this is like full on Pepe. 1.00

08:35:01.000 Hey, bitch. 0.99

08:35:05.000 The meme magic is back, man. 1.00

08:35:07.000 It's been an insane.

08:35:09.000 Four years, although it's been defined by periods of political apathy and stuff.

08:35:16.000 But I feel like I've lived multiple lifetimes since 2016.

08:35:20.000 That is so true, dude.

08:35:22.000 Yeah, just the breakneck rate at which dissident politics has evolved.

08:35:28.000 We're all here together.

08:35:29.000 I mean, it's crazy.

08:35:31.000 Wouldn't trade it for the world.

08:35:33.000 It's awesome.

08:35:34.000 And hey, you know what?

08:35:36.000 Winning is there is no substitute for victory.

08:35:41.000 But.

08:35:42.000 You know, they say the movement is the friends we made along the way.

08:35:46.000 There's no substitute for victory, but, you know, being together with all of you, all the friends we've made, this is the real deal.

08:35:55.000 We're not faking it.

08:35:56.000 You know, I used to think very cynically about politics that, you know, you gotta buy hook or buy crook and you gotta be vicious.

08:36:04.000 And, you know, in a lot of ways you do have to be extremely pragmatic and all of that. 0.90

08:36:09.000 But it's not bullshit when we say we really care.

08:36:13.000 We mean what we say.

08:36:16.000 We are all friends. 1.00

08:36:17.000 It's not like, oh, we put on this public face and then we go back behind the scenes like, fuck you, Jaden and Patrick, you little shit. 1.00

08:36:24.000 You know what I mean? 1.00

08:36:24.000 That's like, I mean, we are all. 1.00

08:36:26.000 That happens publicly when we play video games together.

08:36:29.000 Yeah, right.

08:36:30.000 If anything, it happens publicly.

08:36:31.000 No, you're absolutely right, though.

08:36:33.000 But we're all, we've got this brotherhood.

08:36:35.000 We're in this together.

08:36:36.000 We've got this shared struggle, shared, what is the word, I guess, anguish and angst.

08:36:43.000 And we're in this uphill battle.

08:36:45.000 So it really is.

08:36:47.000 It's all part of the plan.

08:36:50.000 No, I personally consider the people in this call my closest friends and allies, and I wouldn't trade any single one of you for anything because I know that we are all on the path to victory together.

08:37:03.000 That's right.

08:37:04.000 And it's just the beginning.

08:37:05.000 It's just the beginning.

08:37:08.000 This isn't step one.

08:37:10.000 This is maybe step two or something along those lines.

08:37:15.000 The ultimate victory is still.

08:37:18.000 In sight, right?

08:37:19.000 We still, we still, you know, as good as this feels, right?

08:37:22.000 We're still not even there.

08:37:24.000 Well, yeah, even Trump getting four more years, even him crushing the coup, the sedition, all of this stuff, that's just a battle.

08:37:24.000 Right.

08:37:33.000 That's just winning a battle in the ultimate struggle that we're engaged in.

08:37:38.000 It's true.

08:37:38.000 And it is so great.

08:37:39.000 It is so great to have a group of people, this whole panel, not just us that are on now, but even Vince and Francis and Scott and everybody that was on the first one, this whole little coalition that we have.

08:37:54.000 It's so great, especially just knowing. 0.96

08:37:56.000 I mean, you don't have to worry about the fucking gay political backstabbing and social climbing and all that other shit that goes on in these other circles where people are always trying to figure out how to get a leg up on everybody else and they'll throw each other under the bus for any little crumb of clout that they can get. 0.99

08:38:15.000 Not only is it great personally to have friends and stuff, but it's also great to, you know, it's such an advantage not to be fucking gay. 0.99

08:38:23.000 And let's not forget that Trump, when he gets his victory, Completed, he's going to go absolutely scorched earth, even more so than he was going to go before. 0.99

08:38:33.000 Oh, man, I can't wait. 0.74

08:38:35.000 Punish Trump. 0.98

08:38:36.000 We will have punished Trump, truly.

08:38:40.000 Before he's even inaugurated, Christopher Wray gone, Gina Haspel gone, the executive orders broken out.

08:38:50.000 You think about how he's like the other day he was talking during one of the rallies.

08:38:53.000 He's been, he was like basically saying, like, you know, we have investigations going into these people.

08:38:59.000 And, you know, I'm not saying like, you know, as soon as the election was won, he's going to throw Hillary Clinton and Biden and Obama in jail.

08:39:05.000 And I don't know what's going to happen there.

08:39:06.000 But he was saying about them spying on the election stuff.

08:39:09.000 He says, we have investigations going and so and so and so and so are doing what they're doing, but it's very slow.

08:39:17.000 He says, I try to not get involved, but maybe I'll have to get involved one day.

08:39:20.000 It's like, how do you, what do you think his like hands on or hands off approach is going to be after this, after they try to steal the election from him?

08:39:28.000 And he has to, and he has to, Force it out of their hands.

08:39:31.000 Exactly.

08:39:32.000 Grab it himself.

08:39:33.000 Right.

08:39:34.000 Well, the whole thing is that he was complaining about Bill Barr and he was even talking about firing Bill Barr.

08:39:39.000 He says that's not even off the table because he has to go into the election.

08:39:42.000 This was his words.

08:39:43.000 He's like, I have to go into the election with all these different clouds hanging over my head and they don't have to because Republicans are too nice.

08:39:50.000 And so, I mean, this is something we have to look forward to too him just completely replacing everyone and busting out all of these different executive orders that I talked about.

08:40:00.000 I mean, that's.

08:40:02.000 That's it right there.

08:40:03.000 I mean, Bill Barr didn't do anything.

08:40:05.000 I mean, these investigations weren't completed when they should have been completed.

08:40:09.000 And then look what happened with the whole Hunter Biden thing.

08:40:12.000 It's like the FBI, Christopher Ray, sat on that stuff for seven months, said nothing about it.

08:40:20.000 I heard that Vosh is throwing a hissy fit.

08:40:22.000 Does anyone know where he's streaming?

08:40:24.000 Should we tune in?

08:40:26.000 Yeah, he tweeted out.

08:40:28.000 TYT ended their stream.

08:40:29.000 They rage quit their stream.

08:40:33.000 Well, maybe he's complaining on Twitter.

08:40:36.000 What's his ad on Twitter?

08:40:39.000 At Valjev.

08:40:40.000 Oops. 1.00

08:40:48.000 Trump hasn't won shit yet. 1.00

08:40:50.000 Yeah, keep coping, you fat piece of shit. 1.00

08:40:54.000 Miserable loser. 1.00

08:40:55.000 Fat pedophile. 1.00

08:40:56.000 He's the resistance. 0.99

08:40:57.000 He's the resistance, but he's monetized on YouTube and gets completely artificially propped up on all these different platforms. 0.51

08:41:05.000 Okay, Asperger's. 1.00

08:41:06.000 Go suck more horse cock, you fat faggot retard. 1.00

08:41:10.000 Trump hasn't won shit. 1.00

08:41:11.000 Yeah, go guzzle cocks, you fat loser. 1.00

08:41:14.000 That's what these people are. 1.00

08:41:16.000 I look at that guy, Vosh, and it reminds me.

08:41:18.000 When I was in middle school, I went to middle school and high school with this kid who was autistic.

08:41:27.000 And as we know, when you turn a certain age, you discover things about yourself.

08:41:33.000 Now, most normal people can handle this.

08:41:36.000 But this guy, because he had problems, when he discovered his urges and things like that, I mean, this was, he couldn't forget about it.

08:41:47.000 This guy, I don't want to say his name, but I knew this guy in middle school and high school and very.

08:41:51.000 Highly not functioning autist. 0.93

08:41:53.000 He was caught jerking off in math class. 0.99

08:41:57.000 He was caught jerking off in the locker room on the football team, like everywhere. 1.00

08:42:02.000 He was caught jerking off. 0.99

08:42:03.000 And, you know, I was reading Vosh's Kiwi Farms, and I promise I'm not being vulgar just for the sake of being vulgar. 0.98

08:42:10.000 There's a point here.

08:42:11.000 I was reading Vosh's Kiwi Farms, and I realized that's really all this guy is somebody with severe autism and severe mental problems who discovered sexuality. 1.00

08:42:24.000 And hasn't been able to take his hand off his dick since. 0.99

08:42:28.000 And I, you know, I'm trying not to be too vulgar, but this is really what his ideology revolves around degeneracy, this like utilitarian argument about maximizing happiness. 0.99

08:42:39.000 What does it tend to mean? 0.66

08:42:40.000 It tends to mean, well, he wants to be able to be a so called pansexual.

08:42:45.000 And that, then what does that mean?

08:42:46.000 Total license to do whatever he wants, permission to do whatever he wants sexually.

08:42:51.000 And that's kind of what his ideology is.

08:42:53.000 That's, that's his whole thing, I think, derived from that.

08:42:57.000 And I've seen, I think, um, Classical theists talk about this.

08:43:01.000 I've seen some other Catholic Twitter accounts talk about this.

08:43:05.000 How many, like, militant leftists or anti Catholics are motivated by the fact simply that they have these degenerate urges and do not want to relinquish them?

08:43:15.000 They do not want to feel guilty for them or something like that.

08:43:18.000 That's basically because I was reading through this long Discord log and I'm reading through all these different things and I'm thinking, wait a second, I've met this person before.

08:43:28.000 I've met this person several times in my life.

08:43:31.000 And I know exactly what this is all about.

08:43:33.000 You've got somebody completely dysfunctional who can't control their urges.

08:43:36.000 They've got severe, you know, trauma because of their mental illness and because of their sort of socialization, so to speak, their social development, early childhood development.

08:43:47.000 And this is what creates a person that is out there bragging about the disgusting and repulsive things that he's talking and bragging about all the time.

08:43:55.000 That's basically what I saw.

08:43:57.000 Anyway, I don't want to make it all about him, but I just see that it just, you know, I see Vince just linked Scott Gur's tweet.

08:44:04.000 And I was just about to say, it's important to point out that Ben Shapiro is on the same side as him.

08:44:11.000 And then he vowed to Twitter.

08:44:13.000 Yeah.

08:44:15.000 And Vosh tweeted at Ben Shapiro and said, You, sir, won the internet for today when Ben Shapiro said Trump hasn't won the election.

08:44:24.000 I got to give that a retweet.

08:44:26.000 When it comes down to it, these people, they're all against us on the same team.

08:44:32.000 I know that's not a hot take, but they're all.

08:44:35.000 Ben Shapiro.

08:44:36.000 There's really no difference between them.

08:44:38.000 Yeah.

08:44:39.000 There's no difference between the outcome of their policies, right?

08:44:43.000 So Glenn Beck is talking about a billion more, you know, a billion Americans.

08:44:47.000 We need a billion Americans.

08:44:49.000 But what's the outcome of policies like this, especially in terms of immigration, you know, flooding the country with immigrants?

08:44:57.000 The outcome of that, whether it's conservatives or liberals arguing for these sorts of things, is the same.

08:45:03.000 We lose our First Amendment.

08:45:04.000 We lose our Second Amendment.

08:45:06.000 We lose the election for many, many, many decades to come.

08:45:10.000 There really is no difference between.

08:45:12.000 Between the results of conservative ink policies and the results of liberal policies or progressive policies.

08:45:19.000 The results are exactly the same.

08:45:20.000 It's just a different path there.

08:45:22.000 These people are together in every way.

08:45:26.000 And they have big tech on their side, too.

08:45:28.000 Both of them, both factions.

08:45:32.000 Yeah, yeah, exactly.

08:45:34.000 I'm putting out a tweet right now.

08:45:36.000 Everybody's got to acknowledge this.

08:45:37.000 For everybody that doesn't see the difference between Con Inc. and America First, well, here it is Epic handshake.

08:45:44.000 Ben Shapiro and Bosch. 0.99

08:45:46.000 Left wing, disgusting, pedophile, degenerate who wants to kill conservatives and hardcore Jew, Zionist, free market, small government conservative, high five. 0.99

08:45:56.000 And not high five on like criminal justice reform. 1.00

08:45:59.000 No, high five on the most important election in our lives Joe Biden, open borders, mass amnesty, pack the courts, destroy the Constitution, rape the country versus Trump.

08:46:11.000 You know, it's not like, oh, well, they teamed up on, you know, they think they're not racist or whatever.

08:46:17.000 No, it's like they're teaming up on something quite substantial.

08:46:20.000 So, I hope everybody acknowledges that.

08:46:24.000 Yeah, but there's no reason to be mad.

08:46:27.000 I mean, I'm mad.

08:46:28.000 I'm not mad, but I'm like fired up because I'm feeling good.

08:46:33.000 Trump's odds in the betting market keep climbing.

08:46:36.000 He's up to 71% overall 63% in Wisconsin, 59% in Michigan, 68% in PA, 69% in Georgia.

08:46:45.000 I think it might be time to call it soon, only because I don't think there are any developments incoming, right?

08:46:52.000 I mean, Biden spoke, Trump spoke, the The people counting the votes have gone home and gone to sleep.

08:46:58.000 I don't think they're counting anything more in these states, right?

08:47:00.000 I mean, Trump already called it.

08:47:03.000 He won, and that's good enough for me.

08:47:05.000 Yeah, I don't think they're going to start counting.

08:47:05.000 Georgia?

08:47:08.000 I mean, who knows what time they're going to start counting in Georgia?

08:47:11.000 They're probably going to try to do this in the dead of night.

08:47:14.000 In Michigan, too, if you look at Wayne County and Oakland County, there's not enough to make up that $300,000 deficit that Joe Biden is experiencing in Michigan either.

08:47:24.000 So, I mean, that's it.

08:47:25.000 Well, these numbers haven't budged.

08:47:27.000 And the New York Times, the 79, 82, all these reporting numbers haven't budged for the past hour, hour and a half.

08:47:35.000 Yeah.

08:47:39.000 Right now, the only thing being updated is the betting market, and that's pretty stable right now.

08:47:47.000 Yeah, this, I mean, if Trump pulls through with it, I mean, because if you think about what the 2016 election had, the effect that it had on people's perception, Of the presidential office, but the elections in the United States.

08:48:03.000 I mean, this will have an incredible effect on the way that people see these elections.

08:48:07.000 I mean, not only, obviously, yeah, it'll open people's minds up to the fact that there's fraud and all of this other stuff, but just this idea of using power to our advantage will be incredible.

08:48:19.000 Incredible.

08:48:20.000 I mean, the effect, and it's not even just as if anybody could do this, it's specifically Trump.

08:48:27.000 I mean, maybe somebody else could use these tools appropriately, but it's like Trump's personality.

08:48:34.000 The figure that he is, the archetype that Trump represents, it's like whatever he does has a profound and lasting effect on the American psyche.

08:48:43.000 And Trump utilizing the power at his disposal to secure, using power to secure his own power will be monumental.

08:48:53.000 A huge, huge, it'll have a huge effect on people's minds.

08:48:56.000 Totally true.

08:48:58.000 Well, and it's that this effect where the two sides are really retreating into hard power.

08:49:06.000 You know, in these real expressions of power, as opposed to relying on legitimacy and this like social contract.

08:49:15.000 Now it's coming down to, well, okay, we're going to send our lawyers to Georgia. 0.90

08:49:20.000 They'll cheat.

08:49:21.000 We got to investigate them.

08:49:22.000 Now it's pretty out in the open what this is now.

08:49:26.000 It's pretty explicitly a war.

08:49:29.000 So, yeah, there's no pretense of like, oh, we're just counting, you know, we're going to try to figure this out.

08:49:35.000 It's like, you know, they're lying about it, and Trump says they're lying.

08:49:40.000 And they're trying to cheat, and we're going to stop them.

08:49:43.000 It's very explicit.

08:49:44.000 You know, in these states that, like, in these states where he's up big and they've stopped counting, by the way, in many parts of Wisconsin, they've stopped counting, in many parts of Michigan, they've stopped counting, in Georgia, they've stopped counting.

08:49:57.000 In parts of Pennsylvania, they've stopped counting too.

08:50:00.000 You know, these states are also the states where the New York Times didn't have the ticker, which is also an odd coincidence, and also the states that Trump needs to win the election.

08:50:10.000 So, There's no way they're going to be able to find an extra 100,000 votes in Georgia for what I'm seeing, and an extra 300,000 votes in Michigan.

08:50:19.000 So, I mean, that's the election right there.

08:50:21.000 Pennsylvania is up like 750.

08:50:23.000 They just won Arizona.

08:50:24.000 They just called Arizona for Biden.

08:50:26.000 Right.

08:50:27.000 So, Nevada will.

08:50:28.000 So, if I'm going to make a guess here before we clock out, I'm going to guess Nevada goes to Biden.

08:50:35.000 Alaska goes Trump.

08:50:37.000 I'm going to say Georgia goes Trump.

08:50:38.000 PA, Michigan, Wisconsin go Trump.

08:50:41.000 And I'm going to say the 2nd District of Maine goes Trump.

08:50:44.000 I'm going to predict at this point it'll be 294 to 244.

08:50:49.000 And the beautiful thing about this map, some are saying they're worried about Georgia.

08:50:53.000 We don't even need Georgia.

08:50:55.000 So, track Georgia.

08:50:56.000 And I think, based on the betting odds, based on the margins we're seeing, these bellwether counties, just the math Philadelphia, Milwaukee, I think that there's really kind of this inescapable deal that Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania.

08:51:13.000 The only way they're going to win Georgia is if they're allowed to steal it.

08:51:15.000 And the Supreme Court may get involved and.

08:51:18.000 Blow up some of this, and you know, Georgia could go our way, but it wouldn't be the end of the world if it didn't.

08:51:24.000 Virginia, I mean, who knows?

08:51:26.000 Maybe Virginia is in play, I don't even know.

08:51:29.000 But I would say tentatively, this is going to be my map.

08:51:33.000 And even if it's a little bit wrong, even if we lose Georgia, we're still there.

08:51:37.000 Even if we don't get Pennsylvania, we're still there.

08:51:40.000 If we don't get Wisconsin, Michigan, either or, you know, we're still there.

08:51:45.000 So I think it's looking good.

08:51:47.000 I think that probably this estimate of 70% Trump.

08:51:51.000 Is approximately right.

08:51:54.000 And that's where I think I'm going to leave it off.

08:51:56.000 But I want to hear from all of you guys some final predictions, some final thoughts.

08:52:01.000 What are we all thinking here?

08:52:04.000 I'll go first.

08:52:05.000 So, I'm predicting quite a bit of unrest.

08:52:09.000 I think it might be a bit too late tonight for us to see a bunch of riots and stuff.

08:52:15.000 It does look like some of these people did go home in DC.

08:52:20.000 I'd have to double check.

08:52:21.000 But I think in the upcoming week, there are going to be tons of news articles talking about how this is a constitutional crisis, a crisis of legitimacy, Donald Trump threatening our democracy, right?

08:52:31.000 The usual talking points. 0.56

08:52:33.000 Employed in the ongoing color revolution against him.

08:52:37.000 You might have people getting violent, riots.

08:52:41.000 And yeah, as you said, it might go to SCOTUS.

08:52:45.000 It might go to, he's going to need his lawyers to get in there.

08:52:50.000 But the dates to keep in mind here are December 8th is the safe harbor deadline.

08:52:55.000 So that's when states, as I said before, need to have their electors chosen.

08:53:01.000 That whole process very well might be fraught with.

08:53:06.000 You know, indecision and disagreement.

08:53:08.000 Then on December 14th, that's when the Electoral College convenes.

08:53:13.000 So it's, you know, many people have said this.

08:53:16.000 We're not just headed into uncharted territory, we're already there.

08:53:20.000 So, but I think that Trump did the right thing in coming out and claiming victory.

08:53:27.000 And it's just really a question of, I guess you could say, the balls in the establishment's court at this point.

08:53:31.000 It's really a question of what they're going to do.

08:53:33.000 And I think based on everything we've seen from them over the course of the last four years, They are not going to take this sitting down.

08:53:39.000 They are going to absolutely put up a fight.

08:53:41.000 And let's hope that our side wins.

08:53:45.000 Very good.

08:53:46.000 Very good analysis, Patrick.

08:53:48.000 I agree.

08:53:50.000 And let's go down through the list here.

08:53:52.000 What are we thinking, Jake Lloyd?

08:53:56.000 Yeah, you know, I would definitely agree with Patrick.

08:54:00.000 My prediction for the electoral map is pretty much the same.

08:54:03.000 You know, I mean, I think it's pretty clear what you said, Nick.

08:54:06.000 That's probably the way that it'll go.

08:54:09.000 My prediction, presuming, provided that Trump pulls this out and he is president, that he's inaugurated on January 20th, I think that this is a big deal, as we've talked about before.

08:54:24.000 I don't think that, obviously, to say, oh, Trump is going to become the dictator or whatever, that's obviously far fetched.

08:54:33.000 But I think that this will push him.

08:54:37.000 He already likes this picture, this image of Andrew Jackson.

08:54:41.000 And I think that this will push him.

08:54:43.000 In that direction, as far as the opposition and the attempt to break the institutional opposition that these government bureaucracies have to the office of the president.

08:54:54.000 And I think that it'll wake up, you know, many presidents over the past however many years have not so much with like Obama, Bush, whoever, all of these guys, but going back, they've talked about how the presidency has been weakened.

08:55:05.000 And I think that this will give Trump a much different perspective.

08:55:08.000 And I think that he will attempt to break these institutions.

08:55:11.000 What that looks like, I don't know.

08:55:13.000 I mean, you know, who knows exactly what that would look like.

08:55:16.000 I don't mean to make it sound more dramatic than it will be, but I think that it will give him a completely different perspective on the goals of his term beginning in 2021.

08:55:29.000 We already know that he has these executive orders piled up, ready to go, that he's wanting to clean out the executive branch, that he wants to fire the heads of the FBI and the CIA.

08:55:40.000 That was already on the table.

08:55:42.000 And I think that now, given what he's seeing now, what he's seen for the past four years, I think that the The camel's back is broken, and that he's going to actually draw the power to himself that he really has.

08:55:57.000 And hopefully, I hope, surround himself with loyal people and get rid of those that aren't, and then really, really go to war with the people around him that are trying to destroy him, destroy the country, and carry out this coup.

08:56:13.000 So that's my primary prediction.

08:56:15.000 That's about all that I have that I can add that hasn't already been said, but that's what I think.

08:56:20.000 Very good.

08:56:20.000 Okay, Jake.

08:56:22.000 Good takes.

08:56:22.000 I think you're right.

08:56:23.000 I think the Andrew Jackson, I think that's right on the money.

08:56:28.000 And I think Trump is the one that's strong enough to do it.

08:56:32.000 Jaden, what's your final take?

08:56:35.000 My take is Trump victory, of course. 0.85

08:56:41.000 I think homosexuals on both sides, we see Caleb Holles already tweeting alongside Ben Shapiro. 1.00

08:56:48.000 They're going to keep crying. 0.99

08:56:50.000 The ones on the left will riot with the blacks. 0.97

08:56:54.000 I anticipate, like Patrick said, the news stories are going to continue to push. 0.97

08:57:01.000 Oh, this is a threat to our democracy, blah, Trump's going to go mask off mode.

08:57:07.000 He doesn't have his re election looming over him.

08:57:10.000 He can just go off.

08:57:12.000 And I'm pumped.

08:57:13.000 I'm pumped to see King Trump in action in 2021.

08:57:19.000 Me too.

08:57:20.000 Yeah.

08:57:22.000 And how about you, Vince?

08:57:23.000 I know we already had a closing statement, but conditions have changed.

08:57:28.000 So what are you thinking, Vince?

08:57:30.000 Yeah, I think as far as the election is concerned, my map is.

08:57:33.000 Basically, the exact same as yours.

08:57:36.000 I think that Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania go to Trump.

08:57:39.000 And at that point, you're right.

08:57:40.000 He doesn't even need Georgia.

08:57:42.000 I think they're going to try to steal Georgia. 0.57

08:57:44.000 I think it's going to come down to Fulton County and DeKalb County, maybe even Cobb County in Georgia, in Michigan, Wayne County, and Oakland County. 0.54

08:57:52.000 I'm hoping that we'll be able to find out more tomorrow.

08:57:55.000 We'll see what happens.

08:57:56.000 But it looks like even in Wisconsin, they've completely stopped counting the ballots.

08:58:00.000 But I think that Trump's going to win.

08:58:04.000 It's a lot closer than it was, of course, in.

08:58:07.000 2016, obviously, and this is not what I was predicting at all, especially in what happened in Arizona.

08:58:14.000 But Trump needs to go full.

08:58:16.000 I mean, he needs to be as aggressive as possible here.

08:58:20.000 He needs to come out and he needs to consistently declare himself the winner.

08:58:24.000 He needs to come out and declare himself the winner again tomorrow.

08:58:28.000 Trump won this election and he needs to push the Republicans and he needs to push the court into making the correct decision.

08:58:36.000 And I'm hoping that we don't see something like what we saw with Amy Coney Barrett.

08:58:42.000 Sitting out of these decisions for some reason, like she did last time.

08:58:47.000 So, I mean, they need to make a decision on this, and especially if it comes down to the wire here.

08:58:52.000 So, we'll see what happens.

08:58:54.000 But yeah, unrest, I agree with Patrick.

08:58:56.000 There's going to be unrest in the street for however long this takes, and probably even after that, and especially if Donald Trump wins.

08:59:02.000 So, this is looking to be lining up with exactly what these people said on the Zoom call, which is they had these dates all mapped out.

08:59:11.000 You know, on the 5th, we're going to do this, on the 6th, we're going to do that, and we're going to occupy.

08:59:15.000 Washington, D.C., and the White House, and so forth.

08:59:18.000 It seems like this might possibly go for that long.

08:59:21.000 But we hope it doesn't.

08:59:23.000 We hope it doesn't.

08:59:24.000 We hope it's all decided.

08:59:25.000 But either way, they're not going to say that Trump is the legitimate president.

08:59:30.000 This is going to be like another whole Russiagate thing for the next four years.

08:59:34.000 So that's what I'm expecting.

08:59:36.000 I think you're right.

08:59:37.000 I think you're right.

08:59:39.000 I think we all have basically a consensus.

08:59:41.000 I think everyone agrees with what everybody said.

08:59:43.000 A lot of.

08:59:44.000 A lot of analysis tonight.

08:59:46.000 Oh, oh, Beardson.

08:59:48.000 I totally.

08:59:49.000 I'm sorry.

08:59:50.000 I'm sorry.

08:59:51.000 It's late.

08:59:53.000 You were a recent addition anyway.

08:59:53.000 Yay.

08:59:54.000 But Veeran said, let's hear your final take.

08:59:57.000 I'm sorry, I didn't mean to skip over it.

08:59:59.000 It's fine.

09:00:00.000 You're just saving the best for life.

09:00:00.000 It's fine.

09:00:02.000 I get it.

09:00:03.000 It's fine.

09:00:03.000 Yeah, I get it.

09:00:05.000 No, I mean, look, you guys are a lot smarter than I am when it comes to this stuff.

09:00:09.000 That's no secret.

09:00:10.000 I agree with everything that you guys have said.

09:00:13.000 My only thing would be to add to this is to really take note and to take measure of this speech and the reaction to this speech, because this speech, I really do feel, is historic in a lot of ways.

09:00:26.000 And this is really going to.

09:00:28.000 Reveal a lot of people's agendas and reveal a lot of people's character throughout not only the left and the media, we all know their character, but within the conservative right as well.

09:00:40.000 This is really a landmark moment in American history that you really need to pay attention to.

09:00:49.000 This whole economy of Republican and Democrat is dead.

09:00:54.000 It is us versus them.

09:00:56.000 There is America first, and then there is the rest of them. 0.98

09:00:56.000 That is it. 0.98

09:01:00.000 And that is something that you need to take to heart for the next weeks or months or however long this is going to last.

09:01:06.000 That's my final take.

09:01:07.000 Completely agree.

09:01:09.000 Well, thank you, Beardson.

09:01:11.000 And thank you, everybody.

09:01:13.000 Thank you, Beardson.

09:01:14.000 Thank you, Patrick and Jake and Vince and Jaden.

09:01:18.000 Thank you, everybody, for joining me tonight for the big stream.

09:01:25.000 It was great to have you guys.

09:01:26.000 Also, of course, thanks to Steve and Scott who were with us earlier.

09:01:30.000 And I'm not ending the stream, by the way.

09:01:33.000 I'm going to try and read some of these super chats and I'm going to give some closing thoughts.

09:01:37.000 But thanks to all of you guys for joining me tonight and spending your election eve with me, or I guess the election itself.

09:01:44.000 So thanks a lot and good night, okay?

09:01:47.000 Thanks for having us, Nate.

09:01:47.000 We'll talk soon.

09:01:48.000 Take it easy.

09:01:49.000 Thanks for having us.

09:01:50.000 Thank you very much.

09:01:52.000 Big shout out.

09:01:53.000 Big shout out.

09:01:54.000 I appreciate it.

09:01:54.000 Big shout out.

09:01:55.000 Good night.

09:01:56.000 King Trump 2020.

09:01:59.000 Let's go.

09:02:00.000 Good night.

09:02:00.000 Peace.

09:02:01.000 Good night.

09:02:02.000 All right, good night, fellas.

09:02:06.000 Okay, so those were our guests.

09:02:09.000 I'm not done yet.

09:02:12.000 I'm going to go through some of these super chats, and I've got to give some closing thoughts after some of these super chats.

09:02:19.000 I have so many to go through.

09:02:22.000 There is no way I'm going to read all of these.

09:02:24.000 There is literally no way I'm looking through, and there's like an impossible amount here.

09:02:32.000 So.

09:02:34.000 And it's already 2 a.m.

09:02:35.000 I've been at this now for how long?

09:02:37.000 I've been at this for eight hours.

09:02:40.000 And it has taken an emotional toll.

09:02:42.000 I've gone through energy drink, coffee, water.

09:02:47.000 We've had, by the way, also thanks to Sam for stopping by.

09:02:51.000 I almost forgot.

09:02:52.000 Hi for coming on.

09:02:52.000 Big thanks to Sam.

09:02:53.000 That was a great surprise and an honor.

09:02:56.000 Great to hear from him.

09:02:58.000 A living legend.

09:03:00.000 We'll get to these super chats.

09:03:02.000 I think I'll give my spiel because probably a lot of you guys are going to tune out for the super chats, and I don't blame you.

09:03:02.000 Actually, you know what?

09:03:08.000 I'm calling it right now.

09:03:09.000 I'm making the decision to call it at 2 07 a.m., November 4th, 2020, Central Time, for the record.

09:03:17.000 And I'm going to call it because they're not counting the votes anymore.

09:03:21.000 If you look at the New York Times, if you look at Bing, the reporting is not going up.

09:03:27.000 They stopped counting in Georgia, they stopped counting in Pennsylvania, they stopped counting everywhere.

09:03:31.000 The only thing that we're seeing any movement now is on Predict It and in the betting markets.

09:03:38.000 The betting market favors this map that I put together.

09:03:41.000 I think this map is.

09:03:43.000 Whoops.

09:03:43.000 I think this map is more or less what you're going to see.

09:03:46.000 And the benefit of this map, this could even go red.

09:03:50.000 I think they called it for blue, but it could go red.

09:03:52.000 Arizona could be challenged.

09:03:54.000 Virginia could be challenged.

09:03:56.000 This is where I think it'll wind up this week.

09:04:00.000 The beauty of this map is we don't even need all these states.

09:04:02.000 We could lose Georgia and still win.

09:04:05.000 We could lose Wisconsin.

09:04:06.000 We could lose Michigan.

09:04:08.000 We could lose Pennsylvania.

09:04:10.000 There's a lot of pathways here.

09:04:11.000 There's a lot of ways to make the math work the odds favorite, the numbers favorite, the margins, the turnout, the bellwether counties.

09:04:20.000 Everything that we know about this election shows that basically we won these states.

09:04:24.000 And now it is a question of largely cheating in Atlanta.

09:04:27.000 Funny business in Pennsylvania, potentially them intervening in Michigan and Wisconsin to interfere.

09:04:33.000 But barring any of that, we have won the election.

09:04:36.000 Barring that, and the way that you fight that is by getting lawyers involved.

09:04:41.000 You have people show up where they're counting the votes.

09:04:43.000 You challenge these decisions and take it to the Supreme Court.

09:04:46.000 You do recounts.

09:04:49.000 And maybe in some states that won't even be necessary.

09:04:51.000 Maybe Trump's speech alone will put enough of a spotlight on these states and the threat of taking it all that way.

09:04:57.000 That exposure is going to prevent them from intervening in a way that is blatant.

09:05:02.000 So, I'm thinking this is where it's headed so far, where we are.

09:05:06.000 This is where we're calling it tonight, basically, with Trump leading in these states and Biden leading in some of these other ones that haven't been called.

09:05:14.000 That's what it is in the betting markets.

09:05:16.000 And I would say that that's going to be the map.

09:05:17.000 And even if it isn't, we have a little bit of wiggle room there, too.

09:05:21.000 I've talked to the campaign.

09:05:22.000 The campaign says that we won the Midwest, we won Georgia.

09:05:27.000 The campaign says that there is a chance that they're going to steal it.

09:05:30.000 And now, and this is what happens next in the coming days, there will be a battle in the courts.

09:05:35.000 The remaining votes will be counted.

09:05:38.000 There will be shady practices.

09:05:40.000 Now it is a different kind of a battle.

09:05:42.000 And this is something I've been telling you guys about now for months.

09:05:45.000 If you've been watching this show, this outcome is not a surprise at all.

09:05:49.000 The only surprise to me is Biden winning Arizona.

09:05:53.000 That's the only surprise of the night to me so far.

09:05:55.000 We got a little excited.

09:05:56.000 We got maybe a little bit carried away in the middle.

09:05:59.000 We said, oh, it's a Trump landslide.

09:06:00.000 He's going to take Virginia.

09:06:01.000 He's going to win.

09:06:02.000 Right.

09:06:03.000 And some of that was just, you know, memeing and we're, we're, Trying to stay positive and optimistic and get the energy up.

09:06:11.000 But notwithstanding the excitement earlier tonight, it has been my opinion and what I've said on the show for weeks and months that it's going to be a map something like this.

09:06:19.000 It'll come down to Pennsylvania, which is where it's going to come down to.

09:06:23.000 And I think maybe one other.

09:06:25.000 It'll have to turn to Wisconsin or Michigan.

09:06:30.000 And if he doesn't, then Biden will have to lose that vote in Nebraska.

09:06:33.000 In any case, it's basically what we predicted that it'll come down to a few key swing states in the Midwest.

09:06:41.000 It will turn into then another phase of the election.

09:06:44.000 The election has been going on for weeks.

09:06:46.000 Early voting, mail in voting before the election, Election Day, which was today or yesterday.

09:06:51.000 And now the battle will continue with recounts, legal challenges, lawyers, the actual counting itself.

09:06:58.000 And this is a battle that could extend, I think Patrick said, right up until the beginning of December.

09:07:02.000 That first week in December is when the electors have to be sent and cast their votes.

09:07:09.000 And I am confident at this point that the margins are big enough that we could win it outright.

09:07:14.000 We're going to make challenges that could help us.

09:07:17.000 It could put a stop to the steal.

09:07:18.000 You know, there's a lot of ways it could play out, but it definitely seems like we're winning by enough in these states that it's not a nightmare scenario.

09:07:26.000 It doesn't feel like it's going to come down to a razor thin margin where, you know, it's going to be one state and it's going to be a big legal challenge over a tiny margin.

09:07:35.000 It looks like we're blowing them away in three states, you know, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Georgia, with enough wiggle room.

09:07:43.000 We could challenge, for that matter, Arizona and Virginia too.

09:07:47.000 And we could still win this, I think, pretty comfortably.

09:07:50.000 And the betting markets show that Trump is still the favorite.

09:07:53.000 I think Trump is still basically the favorite.

09:07:56.000 If I were to quantify it, and I think I said this earlier, I think I'd give him a 70% chance of winning, which is by no means a certainty.

09:08:04.000 It's not a done deal.

09:08:05.000 There is still a lot that has to be done, but he is likely to win.

09:08:08.000 He's got the votes.

09:08:10.000 I think he's the legitimate victor.

09:08:12.000 And now it's a question of him mobilizing his people to combat this.

09:08:15.000 And then that's not a given.

09:08:17.000 But I think that we're cruising towards a victory.

09:08:20.000 Potentially there is risk, but it's not what they said.

09:08:24.000 We started out this stream and we've been watching this election for months.

09:08:30.000 And we started the stream today with the pollsters telling us that North Carolina was the swing state, Florida was a swing state.

09:08:38.000 They told us that Pennsylvania was going to be four or five points Biden.

09:08:43.000 They said Michigan and Wisconsin was going to be five or six points Biden.

09:08:47.000 They said that Biden was ahead nationally eight to ten points.

09:08:51.000 He's not ahead eight to ten points.

09:08:53.000 He's ahead one to two points nationally.

09:08:56.000 And in all the swing states, he's wrong.

09:08:58.000 They said.

09:08:59.000 That he was at 10% chance of winning.

09:09:03.000 Now he's at 60 or 70% chance of winning.

09:09:06.000 So, what we do know, we don't know the outcome totally in these elections with a great degree of confidence, but what we do know 100% is that their predictions were all wrong.

09:09:16.000 Everything that they said was wrong.

09:09:18.000 No matter how it shakes out, it was wrong.

09:09:22.000 The national polling, the swing state polling, the turnout, they were telling us Texas would go blue.

09:09:28.000 They said that it would be a Biden landslide.

09:09:31.000 They said that Biden could win outright in the beginning.

09:09:34.000 We knew that wasn't true.

09:09:35.000 That's why they started sending out Obama in the past week.

09:09:38.000 That's why they sent out Kamala and Joe Biden to campaign in the past week.

09:09:42.000 That's why they are starting to charge up their ground game again.

09:09:45.000 Too little, too late in these states.

09:09:47.000 We saw the early voting in Miami Dade.

09:09:50.000 We saw the numbers in the voter registration.

09:09:52.000 They were playing catch up.

09:09:54.000 And we knew this.

09:09:55.000 And they knew that.

09:09:56.000 And they lied.

09:09:57.000 And the point of the manipulative polling and the projections and the models that they're running.

09:10:05.000 It's suppression polling.

09:10:06.000 They're telling you Biden's running away with it so that you won't vote.

09:10:10.000 Meanwhile, their actions tell you otherwise.

09:10:12.000 They weren't acting like it was a 10% chance that Trump was going to win.

09:10:17.000 They were acting like it was probably much more substantial.

09:10:20.000 I don't know about 60%, but definitely like it was a coin flip, which is kind of what it came down to in a lot of these swing states.

09:10:26.000 So we know that they were wrong.

09:10:28.000 And now there's going to be a great legal battle.

09:10:30.000 And the other factor, which we didn't talk too much about because I didn't see a lot of it, is the civil unrest.

09:10:36.000 It turns out we didn't see a lot of overt intervention from the deep state, from these grassroots organizations.

09:10:43.000 You know, I was expecting like real major protests in every major city.

09:10:47.000 And honestly, so were all the businesses and the local governments.

09:10:51.000 It's not to say that there wasn't anything at all, but it wasn't anything that we haven't seen in the past six months.

09:10:58.000 Certainly nothing bigger than what we've seen in the past six months with George Floyd and Philadelphia and Kenosha.

09:11:04.000 So I was a little bit surprised about that, but you watch.

09:11:07.000 As this process goes on, and if Trump gets closer to victory, I think you're going to see more of these demonstrations.

09:11:13.000 And the reason why I know this is because this is what happened in 2016.

09:11:17.000 The night after the election, there were major demonstrations.

09:11:21.000 And he won it, obviously, outright after the election.

09:11:24.000 And there were also major demonstrations before and after the inauguration.

09:11:28.000 So I think that once it becomes more clear that Trump is sailing towards becoming the presumptive president elect or the president unofficially, or, you know, we're figuring that he's headed towards.

09:11:41.000 Being the guy, being inaugurated once again, I think that's when you're going to see that things are going to start to ratchet up.

09:11:47.000 And we'll obviously be covering that.

09:11:48.000 Didn't see so much of it tonight.

09:11:52.000 So that's where we stand.

09:11:53.000 That's where we're going.

09:11:55.000 I'll obviously be right back here tomorrow on Wednesday at the usual time, 8 o'clock.

09:12:01.000 I want to say something really quickly.

09:12:04.000 Well, actually, a few more things about the election.

09:12:07.000 I want to point out that this election shouldn't have been this close, but the reason why it's close is because of largely the strategy of the GOP and the shifting demographics of the country. 0.98

09:12:17.000 The GOP and the Trump administration has prioritized pandering to non white demographics for the past four years, and that's just true. 0.92

09:12:25.000 Instead of doing so much for opioids, we did the First Step Act. 1.00

09:12:29.000 Can you name a bill that Trump did for opioids?

09:12:32.000 Can you name what Trump did for infrastructure?

09:12:35.000 Can you name what Trump did on an immigration overhaul?

09:12:39.000 Don't get me wrong, immigration turned out okay, largely because of coronavirus.

09:12:43.000 And the border wall went up, but it wasn't even one of the biggest features of the campaign up until the past six months.

09:12:49.000 It really didn't happen until the past six to nine to 12 months.

09:12:53.000 And he didn't even really campaign on it at all, even in the home stretch.

09:12:58.000 So, did he do anything major and did he sound off on that for the past four years?

09:13:04.000 No.

09:13:05.000 And certainly not in the same way that he made sure to accomplish the First Step Act and the Platinum Plan and all of that.

09:13:12.000 And there's a lesson in this. 0.51

09:13:13.000 If Trump had spent more time appealing to white voters, it wouldn't have been this close.

09:13:17.000 What's more, the changing demographics of all these different states is the reason why Texas was a swing state.

09:13:23.000 That's the reason why Georgia is a swing state.

09:13:25.000 That's the reason why Arizona went blue.

09:13:27.000 That's why Nevada went blue.

09:13:28.000 And New Mexico and Colorado and Virginia.

09:13:31.000 It's the changing demographics of these states.

09:13:34.000 The way that we're going to keep winning elections is by solidifying this political realignment.

09:13:38.000 And the way that you do that is by appealing to these working class, blue collar white people in the Midwest and the Northeast.

09:13:48.000 And if you appeal to them on cultural, social, and identity issues, and the economy is good, you can win them over compared to the left.

09:13:57.000 So those are sort of my two criticisms where it shouldn't have been this close.

09:14:02.000 It didn't have to be this close.

09:14:04.000 Of course, I think.

09:14:05.000 We've talked about this throughout the stream.

09:14:07.000 The Trump administration is going to come back with a vengeance if he finishes the job here, if he closes.

09:14:13.000 The Trump administration is really going to come back with a vengeance.

09:14:17.000 It's going to be new personnel, new inner circle.

09:14:20.000 It is going to be a real fresh start, and Trump's going to be pissed off.

09:14:23.000 And it's a totally different story.

09:14:27.000 So I'm not trying to say that to be blackpilling, but that is just my analysis, and it's something to think about, particularly we're looking at these exit polls, and if you look at it by race, You know, think about all of the time and energy and resources we spent on trying to win over the black vote.

09:14:42.000 And I'm going to try and find how the vote went down by race.

09:14:46.000 And this isn't perfect by any stretch, but it does give you a little bit of an idea.

09:14:50.000 I think it said that we won 12% of the black vote.

09:14:53.000 Yeah, so this is the breakdown based on the CNN exit polls.

09:14:57.000 I mean, just look at this.

09:14:59.000 And this tells you the story of the country and the election. 0.62

09:15:02.000 Blacks went 87% for Biden and 12% for Trump.

09:15:06.000 Latinos, and Trump won, he improved. 0.84

09:15:09.000 If this is true, 5% with Latinos, which is good, but Biden still won 66% of them. 0.91

09:15:16.000 In a state like Texas and Arizona, that's a problem. 0.98

09:15:20.000 Biden won 63% of Asians.

09:15:22.000 Trump won less Asians than Hispanics.

09:15:25.000 And everything else, which is 6% of the population, what else is there? 1.00

09:15:29.000 Arab?

09:15:30.000 I mean, a lot of these miscellaneous groups are characterized as white or something else. 0.92

09:15:36.000 So I don't even consider that a legitimate demographic, but everyone other than whites voted at least. 0.56

09:15:42.000 For Biden, but in every case, really, substantially for Biden, it was only whites. 0.62

09:15:48.000 It's whites that are shoring up Trump. 0.72

09:15:51.000 Now, what do you think happens as whites diminish as a proportion of the electorate and non whites increase as a proportion of the electorate? 0.83

09:15:58.000 Well, the Republican vote total goes down and the Democrat vote total goes up. 0.99

09:16:02.000 And you could say, well, we'll convince them. 0.96

09:16:04.000 Okay, well, how are we going to convince the blacks then? 0.99

09:16:07.000 Because we basically tried everything and we improved three points. 0.99

09:16:12.000 We barely got double digits.

09:16:13.000 They voted dictator margins.

09:16:15.000 Putin doesn't win 87%.

09:16:17.000 Saddam Hussein doesn't win 87%.

09:16:20.000 And they voted much more for Democrats in the past.

09:16:23.000 Hispanics, too.

09:16:24.000 What are we going to do to win them over?

09:16:26.000 Asians, et cetera. 1.00

09:16:27.000 We have a real problem here. 1.00

09:16:29.000 And as I've been saying for four years, it's demographics.

09:16:32.000 I've had a lot of black conservatives and people that are not race realists, people that don't recognize the reality of these changing racial demographics.

09:16:42.000 They told me for years, for years, because I've been doing this show for three years now, since the inauguration in 16, they told me, you'll be surprised how many blacks are going to vote for Trump.

09:16:52.000 25% of blacks are going to vote for Trump.

09:16:55.000 Nowhere near that.

09:16:56.000 And I knew that then, and it's a no brainer because that's that party identification with blacks as a result of their race, their culture, and how socially they are.

09:17:09.000 So I wanted to point that out before we left.

09:17:11.000 That's one thing.

09:17:12.000 And you know what?

09:17:13.000 I'm going to leave off the analysis there because we're going to have plenty of time to talk about this tomorrow.

09:17:19.000 And we'll be talking about this all week, of course, and for a long time.

09:17:23.000 We'll talk all about it tomorrow and Thursday and Friday when I'm well rested.

09:17:27.000 And I'm prepared and I've sort of collected myself.

09:17:29.000 I've been streaming now for eight or nine hours.

09:17:32.000 So I'm going to leave it there as far as analysis goes, but that's sort of where my head's at right now.

09:17:37.000 I do want to just talk about this stream and this show.

09:17:41.000 And I want to say, first of all, thanks everybody for watching.

09:17:45.000 I want to say thanks to everybody that joined me tonight Sam Hyde, Steve, Scott, Vince, Jake, Jaden, Patrick, Beardson.

09:17:54.000 Am I leaving anybody out?

09:17:56.000 Vince?

09:17:57.000 Did I say Vince?

09:17:58.000 I want to thank everybody that joined me in the stream in some way, shape, and form.

09:18:02.000 I want to thank the people I've been talking to.

09:18:04.000 They know who they are in D.C., on the campaign, everywhere else, giving me some information.

09:18:09.000 I got to thank you guys for filling up the live chat and tweeting.

09:18:12.000 Show's not even close to being done, by the way, because I still got to read super chats.

09:18:17.000 Thanks to everybody that super chatted.

09:18:18.000 If I get to yours, if I don't get to yours, I can't get to all of them, I don't think.

09:18:22.000 And probably people didn't stick around to see them read in a lot of cases.

09:18:26.000 But thanks to our super chatters, new followers, new subscribers.

09:18:30.000 I just want to say for people that joined us, For the first time, I do the show every night, Monday through Friday, 7 p.m. Central, although we typically start closer to 8.

09:18:41.000 And, you know, follow me on DLive and everything like that.

09:18:43.000 Make sure to go to my website, NicholasJFuentes.com, and you could access everything I've ever done for $5 per month.

09:18:52.000 All episodes of America First, of which there are 715 of them, plus 70 episodes that I did for RSBN.

09:19:00.000 That's all on my website in one place with a great video player that works.

09:19:04.000 I've got all my commentary streams, video game streams.

09:19:08.000 All my IRL speeches, every debate I've done, there's dozens of them, as well as interviews, things like that.

09:19:15.000 A lot of good crossovers.

09:19:17.000 I want to plug that before everybody takes off after the Super Chats.

09:19:21.000 So check that out.

09:19:22.000 That's NicholasJFuentes.com.

09:19:23.000 Please do subscribe.

09:19:24.000 It helps the show a lot.

09:19:26.000 You'll never believe how much that helps support everything that America First is doing, even if you don't use it that much.

09:19:32.000 So check that out.

09:19:34.000 And I also wanted to say this stream is the biggest stream I've ever done.

09:19:38.000 I'm going to look at my number here.

09:19:40.000 And the peak viewership tonight was.

09:19:43.000 52,300 concurrent viewers.

09:19:46.000 Got up to 52,000 at one point.

09:19:49.000 And as the night has gone on, people are not, you know, people are going to the exits because the election, at least for tonight, is on pause here.

09:19:59.000 And I'm talking like I'm closing it out and we're about to get to super chats, but we are at, you know, we got to 52,300, which makes it easily the biggest stream I've ever done.

09:20:09.000 The previous record was 36,000, and that was for the first presidential debate.

09:20:15.000 So I beat my previous record by more than 50%.

09:20:19.000 And I want to point out the significance of that in the context of the show.

09:20:24.000 I want people to know, in case you forgot, that I started the show with nothing.

09:20:30.000 My parents aren't political.

09:20:31.000 My parents didn't even go to college, much less I know all these people in politics.

09:20:36.000 And it's all my father worked in this administration.

09:20:38.000 My father worked under Nixon.

09:20:40.000 My father works in Hollywood.

09:20:42.000 My uncle's a billionaire.

09:20:44.000 And I started from nothing with no help, with no connections.

09:20:48.000 And honestly, I started 50 steps behind everybody because I said, I'm going to do something radical and I'm going to take an extremely effective presentation and combine it with a controversial message.

09:21:01.000 And I'm going to take the best from people that can't get ahead but have the right ideas and the best from the people that are dominating everything but are totally corrupt and combine them into America First.

09:21:12.000 And that was the idea behind the show.

09:21:14.000 That's the name, that's the brand, the look, everything about it.

09:21:18.000 And it was just me and my idea.

09:21:21.000 And RSBN put me on the air and I had my earbook.

09:21:25.000 Whatever they call it, my MacBook.

09:21:28.000 I had a cheap Blue Yeti snowball microphone, which cost $130, this webcam, which costs $150, this cheap green screen, which everyone makes fun of, and a lighting setup.

09:21:42.000 And I started the show in my friend's dorm room, which I love that guy to death, but it was kind of like dirty.

09:21:50.000 And I would come up every night, and I wouldn't be here without him, but I would come up every night.

09:21:56.000 Every night, Monday through Friday, when I was in college and I was failing all my classes, I would come up and I would make the trek.

09:22:04.000 I'd bring all my gear.

09:22:06.000 I'd set it all up every night.

09:22:08.000 I'd do this show and I would stream this show for 100 people, 100 live viewers every night.

09:22:14.000 And I would be impressed with myself if I got 5,000 total views, cumulative views after a week worth of shows.

09:22:23.000 The show made no money.

09:22:25.000 The producers would send me money because they felt bad for me.

09:22:27.000 Send me $150 every month because they said, Well, you know, your show's losing money.

09:22:32.000 Nobody's supporting you.

09:22:34.000 And they're like, We don't know what's going on.

09:22:35.000 We have a quarter of a million subscribers, but your show gets 100 views.

09:22:39.000 They canceled me.

09:22:39.000 They called me up.

09:22:40.000 They said, We can't do it.

09:22:41.000 It's too expensive.

09:22:42.000 I said, Okay.

09:22:43.000 I said, You're right.

09:22:44.000 It's not working.

09:22:45.000 They called me back up by popular demand from the 4,000 people that watched.

09:22:52.000 And they put me back on.

09:22:53.000 They fired me after Charlottesville.

09:22:56.000 And when I say I started 50 steps behind, it's because I chose to break.

09:23:02.000 With Daily Wire.

09:23:03.000 I chose to break with the consensus.

09:23:06.000 I fought with everybody.

09:23:07.000 I fought with the Leadership Institute.

09:23:10.000 I fought with the, what's that college publication?

09:23:14.000 I'm drawing a blank right now, but Cabot Phillips used to work there, and I fought with Ben Shapiro.

09:23:19.000 And I was just some guy in a dorm room.

09:23:21.000 This is getting a little bit self indulgent.

09:23:23.000 I'll try to arrive at my point.

09:23:24.000 But then I go to Charlottesville, and then everybody told me my life was over.

09:23:28.000 I dropped out of high school.

09:23:30.000 I dropped out of college.

09:23:31.000 I went to Charlottesville, and everybody told me it was over.

09:23:35.000 Everybody in politics told me, you're not serious.

09:23:38.000 You're never going to go anywhere.

09:23:40.000 You're not even right about what you believe.

09:23:42.000 All my peers told me, you know, you're a college dropout, you'll never be a YouTuber, whatever.

09:23:50.000 And I was radioactive.

09:23:52.000 When I started doing my show independently after Charlottesville, the viewership was a little better than RSBN, but it was negligible.

09:23:59.000 People don't realize back then nobody wanted anything to do with me because people know how it was after Charlottesville.

09:23:59.000 And you know what?

09:24:06.000 It was a race to get away from anyone associated with that, even a little bit.

09:24:10.000 And people ran away and they wouldn't talk privately or publicly, they wouldn't give me a chance.

09:24:15.000 You know, so that's really where we started.

09:24:17.000 And you look at what's happened over the years, everything we fought against, and how we've moved the ball forward.

09:24:23.000 I'll say maybe the last thing historically is even six months ago, I got banned from YouTube.

09:24:29.000 I've been banned from PayPal.

09:24:30.000 I've been banned from Twitch, major platforms.

09:24:32.000 I got banned from YouTube six months ago, and the show has grown.

09:24:36.000 When I thought the show couldn't get any bigger after the Groyper War, the show then doubled in size after I got banned from YouTube, my main platform, my channel that I had for three years.

09:24:46.000 Built up 77,000 subscribers.

09:24:48.000 I had to start from scratch.

09:24:50.000 And just nine months later, I have 50,000 people on a platform that nobody uses, DLive, watching the same show at the same green screen, the same camera.

09:25:02.000 So I know, I know it's a little bit self indulgent, but it's something amazing because the show started after Trump's inauguration.

09:25:10.000 And the show is not over, but we're in some ways closing a chapter on that first term or that first.

09:25:16.000 Part of America First, that now we head into the election and another inauguration.

09:25:21.000 And it's amazing in what a short time how far we've come.

09:25:24.000 And it just goes to show it vindicates the whole approach, the mindset, you know, everything that I started saying back in 2017 that was so unpopular with everybody, with establishment Republicans and even with the alt right. 0.97

09:25:38.000 Establishment people told me I was racist and crazy, and people in the alt right told me I was an optics cuck. 0.96

09:25:45.000 And now, America First. 0.95

09:25:47.000 Is the only movement grassroots with momentum charging full speed ahead, getting bigger every day, in spite of every attempt at taking us down.

09:25:56.000 Censorship, deplatforming, blacklisting, you name it, with the most powerful enemies, and with, by the way, no major institutional support.

09:26:04.000 People still conspire and they claim, rather, that I'm conspiring with the Mercers or Milo or Bannon, in spite of what people suggest.

09:26:13.000 Believe me, none of that is happening.

09:26:14.000 It's all.

09:26:15.000 And I have help, don't get me wrong.

09:26:17.000 I have a web developer and a merch guy, and we've got great friends.

09:26:21.000 Like Patrick and Jaden and everybody, but it is, this is the thing, you know, it's this desk, it's this guy.

09:26:28.000 So, with that note, you know, we're closing a chapter here on America First, and thanks for everybody that's been on the journey with me.

09:26:34.000 Thanks for everybody for sticking with me, for all the support through difficult times.

09:26:39.000 And sometimes difficult times means difficult.

09:26:42.000 People think difficult times means adversity when we rally together.

09:26:45.000 No, that's actually when it's easy.

09:26:47.000 When it's me versus Charlie Kirk, that's easy to stick by me, but through scandals and lots of different things, you know.

09:26:55.000 Like earlier this year, the year of the cat, right?

09:26:58.000 So I appreciate everybody stuck with me and support and believe.

09:27:02.000 And, you know, we talk about this stuff with the election, and this is part of the struggle that we are in.

09:27:08.000 I mean, this struggle is not Trump's, it's ours.

09:27:12.000 And we are in this just as much as he is and Tucker, and we're going to be in this long after.

09:27:17.000 And I think it goes to show whatever happens here tonight that the movement keeps going on.

09:27:22.000 America first keeps rising.

09:27:24.000 Even if I depart, who knows?

09:27:26.000 SPLC is writing a hit piece about D Live as we speak.

09:27:30.000 Even if it becomes difficult to do the show, we'll figure it out.

09:27:32.000 We'll pave a way forward.

09:27:33.000 So, anyway, I'm rambling now.

09:27:36.000 I'm going on and on.

09:27:38.000 But I just want to say thanks.

09:27:40.000 And I want to say to myself, mission accomplished, job well done.

09:27:43.000 We're moving full speed ahead, and everything is happening.

09:27:47.000 The last thing I'll say the plan that I thought of years ago is being executed at a pace that is unbelievable to me.

09:27:58.000 I mean, everything that I've been saying for three years is coming to fruition faster and faster, and in a schedule that is way ahead of where I thought it would be.

09:28:08.000 So we're really in good shape here.

09:28:11.000 Big stream, exciting stuff.

09:28:13.000 Congratulations to me.

09:28:14.000 Thanks to you.

09:28:16.000 And, you know, of course, tomorrow it's business as usual, just another day, but I wanted to take a minute to acknowledge all of that.

09:28:22.000 It's been a long journey.

09:28:25.000 And it shows you what's possible.

09:28:27.000 If anything, Trump and Tucker and me, and it shows you what one person can do, it should be inspirational for people that say it's too late, it's too far gone, I have no hope, whatever.

09:28:38.000 Take a look at what a difference one person makes, whether that's Trump or Tucker or me.

09:28:43.000 Not comparing myself necessarily, they're on another order of magnitude, but nevertheless, the principle is the same.

09:28:50.000 A drop can create waves, and everybody should keep that in mind.

09:28:54.000 Don't make bad decisions, don't sell yourself short, don't give in to despair.

09:29:00.000 Stay hopeful, put it all on the line there.

09:29:02.000 And not everybody's going to have the impact as Donald Trump, but everybody can have a big impact.

09:29:06.000 So, okay, but we got to call it at some point. 0.95

09:29:09.000 So, that is my very roundabout way of saying America first, bitch, vindication nation, we are inevitable. 0.98

09:29:17.000 It never stops. 0.98

09:29:18.000 We're never coming down.

09:29:19.000 Not even a choice anymore.

09:29:21.000 But we're going to move on and take a look at some of these super chats.

09:29:24.000 And then I'm calling it a night.

09:29:26.000 I'm getting all that out of the way now so that when I finish the super chats, we could just say, okay, bye bye.

09:29:31.000 But I'll read these.

09:29:32.000 And then I really got to call it.

09:29:33.000 Then I'm going to go to bed.

09:29:34.000 And then I'll wake up and do another show.

09:29:36.000 So that's really where we are.

09:29:38.000 I'll have to wake up bright and early so that I can, you know, catch new election developments and everything.

09:29:45.000 But we'll be watching very closely, as you know.

09:29:49.000 Okay.

09:29:50.000 So let's see.

09:29:52.000 I actually read a somewhat significant proportion of them before, earlier in the stream.

09:29:59.000 So I'll try and start where I left off.

09:30:04.000 Or should I work my way backwards so that the people that super chatted late can have their chat read?

09:30:11.000 Nathaniel Hill has been super chatting streaming platform coming soon.

09:30:15.000 And he's right.

09:30:16.000 He's right.

09:30:17.000 It's slow going because it's a very difficult process.

09:30:19.000 But the next step is we're going to build the America First streaming platform.

09:30:24.000 And it's coming together.

09:30:26.000 And I think I've said this before, but we've got this proprietary technology that we literally invented.

09:30:32.000 That is going to, and I don't want to get into details, but it's going to take the cost of streaming and basically make it non existent.

09:30:38.000 And we invented it.

09:30:39.000 I know we talked about P2P.

09:30:41.000 It's not P2P, it's not peer to peer.

09:30:44.000 It's new.

09:30:46.000 Nobody else has discovered this, nobody else has this.

09:30:49.000 And this is the America First movement.

09:30:51.000 This is when it gets serious. 0.98

09:30:52.000 I mean, we're inventing like, we're literally in the fucking lab inventing proprietary technology. 0.96

09:30:58.000 That's like the definition of world class. 0.94

09:31:00.000 And we do have world class talent working on it.

09:31:03.000 So that's why it's taking a long time because it's a difficult and sophisticated thing that we're doing.

09:31:09.000 But we're going to be doing another stream test at some point this week.

09:31:12.000 I didn't want to do it today because it's a little busy today.

09:31:15.000 But we're going to be doing another test of that software later this week.

09:31:19.000 And hopefully, we're going to do like Operation Warp Speed and get this thing, hopefully, you know, a bare bones alpha version out in a couple of months just so that there's a backup in case DLive goes down.

09:31:32.000 And then we're going to build in all the features, and it's going to be like a serious streaming platform.

09:31:38.000 But we want to just make a backup first, you know, a last resort.

09:31:41.000 And then we're going to make it all fancy.

09:31:43.000 But the timeline for that is maybe two to six months completed project.

09:31:48.000 So, anyway.

09:31:50.000 Savage says, Thanks for this space.

09:31:52.000 Love watching history be made with you guys.

09:31:54.000 History in the making, really.

09:31:57.000 Troll says, Trump is literally unstoppable.

09:31:59.000 Yes, we are unstoppable.

09:32:01.000 God is in control.

09:32:03.000 Amren Peters says, Atlanta urban folk fervently looking for ballots right now.

09:32:07.000 Yeah, and you know that's exactly what's happening in Atlanta.

09:32:09.000 Give me a break.

09:32:11.000 Doomer Squidward says, let's go.

09:32:13.000 Base Dollar says, and thanks for the big super chat.

09:32:17.000 Base Dollar says, Trump, take your win.

09:32:19.000 We're with you.

09:32:19.000 Yes, perfect statement by Trump.

09:32:22.000 White Sox says, Biden trying to pull some malarkey.

09:32:25.000 I'd love to see it.

09:32:26.000 It's happening.

09:32:28.000 A lot of these don't even have a message.

09:32:31.000 Doomer Squidward says, more power, more energy.

09:32:33.000 MAGA, CAG, America First, Yoba, Folk Salad Nation. 1.00

09:32:36.000 Let's go. 0.97

09:32:38.000 And hey, thank you so much.

09:32:39.000 Doomer Squidward really coming in hot with a lot of ninjets.

09:32:43.000 I really appreciate it.

09:32:44.000 I'd spend more time, but I'm trying to rip through these.

09:32:47.000 Greenblatt says, Gini check.

09:32:49.000 Doomer Squidward says, more energy.

09:32:51.000 Shut it down.

09:32:52.000 Says, congrats on 50K.

09:32:54.000 A lot of us are having AF watch parties, so that number is really even higher.

09:32:57.000 I think you're right.

09:32:58.000 And we're going toe to toe with everybody.

09:33:00.000 It's like Tim Pool is right there.

09:33:03.000 Chapo has had less, actually.

09:33:05.000 The Young Turks was at 75,000.

09:33:07.000 They're promoted by YouTube.

09:33:09.000 They're on YouTube, and they've got 50% more than me.

09:33:12.000 I mean, think about that. 0.99

09:33:14.000 Based Ribicon says, Donald Capital fucking J. Trump. 0.99

09:33:19.000 Archibus says, you've got to vote for Donald Trump. 0.99

09:33:22.000 Well, a little late, but you should have done that.

09:33:24.000 Anime Ritus says, do you think Pennsylvania will go blue once they count the mail in ballots?

09:33:29.000 They count those later.

09:33:30.000 No, I don't think so.

09:33:32.000 I think it's looking really good there.

09:33:34.000 Swamp Cinema says, do a Joker dance if we win.

09:33:37.000 Maybe I will.

09:33:38.000 That's kind of a stale meme.

09:33:40.000 Base Dollar says, MAGA do be happening.

09:33:43.000 You know that it is.

09:33:45.000 Tyler Russell, who is a friend of the show, he says, Canadians for Trump. 1.00

09:33:49.000 MAGA season, bitch. 1.00

09:33:50.000 Let's go. 1.00

09:33:51.000 Love it.

09:33:52.000 Swamp Cinema says the orange knight rises.

09:33:56.000 Okay.

09:33:56.000 Ant E says great show.

09:33:58.000 Trump gets back on the 16 Trump train in 2021.

09:34:02.000 Yes, he does.

09:34:04.000 First last says give your meme energy, bros.

09:34:06.000 We got this.

09:34:08.000 Bravado says no more dialogue. 1.00

09:34:10.000 Libtards get nothing. 1.00

09:34:11.000 Yes. 1.00

09:34:12.000 Cointel Pepe says D live hypocrisy and force tonight.

09:34:15.000 If you didn't have X tag enabled, you would think there were less than a thousand people online.

09:34:20.000 Yeah, love that, right?

09:34:22.000 Biggest stream by far on here, and no acknowledgement.

09:34:26.000 They'll probably sanction me in some way this week.

09:34:30.000 Watch. 0.99

09:34:31.000 Hippie says, Hey, King, take my wagey bucks.

09:34:33.000 I'm a 25 year old Groyper who will always support the movement.

09:34:36.000 Praying for a miracle.

09:34:38.000 I think we got one.

09:34:39.000 MaxiBro says, 50K, let's go.

09:34:42.000 Thank you.

09:34:43.000 Optics Prime says, 50K fresh.

09:34:45.000 Base Crusaders says, Fun to watch Tim Pool get offended by a congressman saying, Cry more, Libya. 0.63

09:34:50.000 I saw that.

09:34:52.000 I don't know, man.

09:34:53.000 Some people are very choosy with what offends them and where their outrage goes.

09:35:01.000 A lot of these are just congratulations.

09:35:03.000 I'm going to skip a lot of the excess.

09:35:04.000 A lot of these are just short and sweet.

09:35:07.000 Jimbo says, Seps was right. 0.93

09:35:09.000 Twin Towers coming back.

09:35:11.000 Oh, he didn't win New York.

09:35:12.000 It wasn't an 84 style landslide.

09:35:15.000 Polish American Groyper says, Great show, guys. 1.00

09:35:17.000 Scott is so right on my fifth rosary.

09:35:19.000 Positive thinking and prayer will win.

09:35:21.000 Pag out.

09:35:22.000 It's true.

09:35:23.000 Pray.

09:35:23.000 Love God.

09:35:24.000 And trust the plan, right?

09:35:26.000 Trust the plan.

09:35:28.000 Let's see.

09:35:31.000 Orthodox Imperialist says, Thanks for everything, Nick.

09:35:33.000 Life's been entirely entertaining having AF to listen to every night.

09:35:37.000 I'm glad.

09:35:37.000 I'm glad I can make it a little easier.

09:35:40.000 A little relief because it's difficult.

09:35:44.000 Con Groyper says, Hi, Mom.

09:35:45.000 America First is live from parental television.

09:35:49.000 Okay.

09:35:50.000 I think I'm going to.

09:35:52.000 Those are our D Live super chats.

09:35:53.000 I think Entropy, for whatever reason, they weren't coming through.

09:35:57.000 And we've got a lot of them on Entropy.

09:36:00.000 And I'll try and speed through these quickly so I can get to bed.

09:36:06.000 And I got a lot of stuff to do this week, too.

09:36:09.000 I got a lot of activity that's not even election related, but it'll be much less busy because it'll be a regular show.

09:36:16.000 But still, I mean, you know, I got to stay on top of it for you guys.

09:36:20.000 Really Good Comics says Ben Shapiro dares to say Trump doesn't win? 1.00

09:36:24.000 Feel the power of my goy punch, you rat bastard. 0.99

09:36:28.000 I'm not going to read the whole part there, but you can infer. 0.99

09:36:32.000 Thanks a lot, Really Good Comics.

09:36:34.000 I appreciate it.

09:36:36.000 Yeah. 1.00

09:36:37.000 The goy punch, metaphorically, of course.

09:36:40.000 Tim says, Thank you, Nick.

09:36:41.000 Love to see you succeed.

09:36:42.000 God bless.

09:36:43.000 Thank you.

09:36:44.000 Ano Avat says, Hi, Nick.

09:36:46.000 I've been following you for almost four years.

09:36:48.000 You really changed things for the better, and I hope you will continue to do so.

09:36:52.000 The right wing vision and ideas are articulated and crystallized more than ever before because of you.

09:36:57.000 You even influenced me to join the Catholic Church, and it was the best decision ever.

09:37:01.000 Seems only fair to pay back a little bit.

09:37:03.000 Keep up the good work.

09:37:04.000 Well, thank you for the big super chat, and thank you for the kind words.

09:37:07.000 I appreciate that.

09:37:09.000 I'm glad to hear you're back in the church.

09:37:11.000 Love that.

09:37:12.000 And yeah, things are going really well.

09:37:15.000 And if you thought 2020 was good, 2021 is like, I mean, people that don't like me are going to want to leave America.

09:37:22.000 I mean, seriously.

09:37:23.000 We're planning AFPAC 2021.

09:37:26.000 I mean, it's like it's not even fair at this point.

09:37:28.000 So, anyway, so thank you so much for that.

09:37:32.000 Colonizers is going to smoke a cigar to celebrate the victory.

09:37:35.000 When the chips are down, I serve the commander in chief.

09:37:37.000 Me too.

09:37:38.000 I'm a Trump Revolutionary Guard Corps soldier.

09:37:41.000 Say the word.

09:37:42.000 Moga night at the White House. 0.85

09:37:43.000 I'll be there.

09:37:44.000 Freaking John says, All of you will tell your children what transpired tonight.

09:37:48.000 God bless America. 0.83

09:37:49.000 Very true. 0.98

09:37:51.000 Emperor Aurelian says, I can't wait to see the look on Vosh's fat, ugly face when Trump wins big tomorrow. 0.98

09:37:58.000 God bless you, Nick. 0.91

09:37:59.000 And Imperator Trump, thank you.

09:38:01.000 I can't wait either.

09:38:02.000 I more than want things to go well, for our own sake, I want them to go well so that the enemy is defeated.

09:38:12.000 You know, they're sad, demoralized.

09:38:15.000 That is enough for me.

09:38:18.000 Matt says, can't wait for Sleepy Joe to call up President Trump on the rotary phone and tell him he concedes.

09:38:23.000 Yeah.

09:38:24.000 Telegraph.

09:38:26.000 Carlos says, high energy tonight, boys.

09:38:28.000 God's will shall be exercised.

09:38:30.000 Trust the plan. 1.00

09:38:32.000 Entropizzle says, T pose on these faggots. 1.00

09:38:34.000 Yup. 1.00

09:38:35.000 Next Gen Cablic says, I love this show and this movement.

09:38:37.000 Four more years, let's go. 0.96

09:38:39.000 Grove versus TYT, BTFO, MSM, BTFO, pollsters, Tim Heidecker, Chapo Fags, Libshits, Pedophiles. 0.91

09:38:47.000 BTFO, it's a beautiful sunny day in Australia.

09:38:50.000 We are beaming our solar energy to the solar God Emperor, Donald Trump.

09:38:54.000 We're sending him our energy, our prayers, and it's working.

09:39:00.000 Akka says, This will sound unbelievable.

09:39:02.000 I was speechless myself, but when I voted this morning, the ticket I was printed for my ballot was the four digit meme number.

09:39:09.000 The woman said it out loud, and I could feel it at my core.

09:39:12.000 Meme magic.

09:39:13.000 God bless, or God is with all of us.

09:39:15.000 AF inevitable.

09:39:16.000 So true.

09:39:18.000 Speczo says, Congrats on 50K.

09:39:21.000 That's typical gamer numbers, and he has 10 million subscribers.

09:39:25.000 Great job.

09:39:25.000 Keep doing what you do.

09:39:27.000 1,000 year Trump and Reich.

09:39:28.000 Yes, sir.

09:39:29.000 Optics Respector says 50,000 live viewers.

09:39:32.000 Yep.

09:39:33.000 Diligence says AF is inevitable.

09:39:34.000 Congrats on 50K.

09:39:36.000 Thank you.

09:39:36.000 I'm going to skip some of these.

09:39:37.000 Congrats because, you know, it's just a little tedious.

09:39:40.000 Not that I don't appreciate it.

09:39:42.000 Base Dollar with a huge super chat.

09:39:44.000 I got to say, thanks for that one.

09:39:46.000 Big thank you.

09:39:47.000 He says, congrats, King, on your record viewer count.

09:39:50.000 Well, thank you so much, man.

09:39:52.000 Thank you for the huge super chat.

09:39:53.000 God bless.

09:39:55.000 Spicy Leaf says, take my energy from Canada.

09:39:58.000 Quinn says, I've been watching your stream since the start of the quarantine.

09:40:01.000 Love your content.

09:40:02.000 You have shaped my views for the better.

09:40:03.000 All I have to say is, MAGA.

09:40:06.000 SIP Exterminator says, I was nervous about the election the other night, but we have to remember that it is a blessing.

09:40:11.000 For us to live through times like these, great men rise to the occasion during tumultuous times.

09:40:16.000 There's a lot of truth in that.

09:40:19.000 Chad Mann says, My man Jaden got put on the B team.

09:40:21.000 Just kidding, man.

09:40:22.000 Let's go, Trump.

09:40:23.000 America first is inevitable.

09:40:26.000 Ural says, Regardless of what happens tonight, I owe the movement and you, Nick, so much. 0.97

09:40:30.000 I was a degenerate, depressed loser before AF.

09:40:34.000 I now have a relationship with God and have largely moved my life in a good direction. 0.92

09:40:38.000 God bless AF, the USA, and Trump.

09:40:40.000 Well, hey, love to hear it, man.

09:40:42.000 God bless.

09:40:43.000 Interdimensional says, happy to add one more Asian vote to Trump reelection total. 0.92

09:40:48.000 America first.

09:40:49.000 Love our Asians.

09:40:50.000 We love our Asians. 0.99

09:40:52.000 General Roberts says, yo, Nibba, I had the same shit happen with my Trump hat. 1.00

09:40:56.000 I told the lady to fuck herself and call the police. 1.00

09:40:59.000 She caved and let me go through, though. 1.00

09:41:00.000 Yeah, well, you got lucky.

09:41:02.000 It actually came to the polling place and, you know, they ended up giving me a high five.

09:41:06.000 But still, they made me capitulate, which I wasn't happy about.

09:41:12.000 Burnt Out says, been watching every day since the Griper War, but never live.

09:41:15.000 I usually watch later.

09:41:16.000 Three times speed.

09:41:18.000 Your show has definitely influenced me in a good way and made me re embrace Christ.

09:41:22.000 Thanks for all your content and God bless you.

09:41:24.000 Australia loves Trump.

09:41:25.000 Thanks a lot. 0.86

09:41:27.000 Cold Pizza says, being from California, I confirm that Scott Greer's take on Hispanic and Asian voters is spot on. 1.00

09:41:33.000 Yeah, very true. 1.00

09:41:35.000 Wednesday night says, hey, Nick, Welsh Groyper, been watching since 2018 when I saw you, Jacob Sartorius, based posting.

09:41:42.000 Big up from the UK and Wales.

09:41:43.000 Well, thanks.

09:41:45.000 Oi, thank you, bruv.

09:41:47.000 We love Wales.

09:41:48.000 We love the UK.

09:41:49.000 I got to get out there one of these days.

09:41:51.000 I had a dream about Sargon of Akkad the other day.

09:41:53.000 Very weird dream.

09:41:55.000 Not weird in like a sexual way.

09:41:58.000 That might have sounded wrong.

09:41:59.000 I meant weird like bizarre.

09:42:02.000 I had a dream that I was walking down the street in Chicago and I passed this house.

09:42:07.000 This was this, like last night.

09:42:12.000 And I saw this house and Sargon of Akkad was out talking to friends on the front patio.

09:42:19.000 And I like, Trying to get his attention, but he was with people and he like made eye contact.

09:42:24.000 I kind of waved, but I was like, Do I go up and say hi?

09:42:27.000 He's with people.

09:42:28.000 He doesn't seem like he wants me to.

09:42:30.000 So I kept walking and then he caught up with me later and I was like trying to talk to him, but this like homeless guy was chasing me and I was beating up this homeless guy.

09:42:41.000 And I have these dreams all the time where I'm like beating, like I'm beating someone up and like unrelentingly, I can't put them away, you know?

09:42:49.000 And it gets to the point where it's like, It's cruel.

09:42:54.000 It's like that scene in Drive when he's stopping that guy in the elevator.

09:42:57.000 And that's what I'm doing to this homeless guy, but he keeps getting up and chasing me.

09:43:00.000 And I'm like, I got to talk to Sargon.

09:43:02.000 And this guy's.

09:43:03.000 So that was a very weird dream.

09:43:04.000 Anyway, so I got to get out to the UK to visit Sargon and all the UK Groypers, but they're on lockdown. 0.97

09:43:11.000 So maybe later.

09:43:12.000 Anyway, thanks for the super chat.

09:43:14.000 Kind of a weird dream.

09:43:16.000 Kind of a bizarre deal.

09:43:19.000 Country Music says absentee voter in Ireland.

09:43:21.000 Trump 2020, save America, save the West.

09:43:24.000 Cheers.

09:43:24.000 You have my Irish blessings.

09:43:27.000 P.S. What It's Got Mean About RHB and Skittles.

09:43:30.000 I don't remember that one.

09:43:32.000 Mock Harris says, No way Biden can be called as a winner in Virginia.

09:43:35.000 I'm watching the AP count.

09:43:37.000 Well, we settled that.

09:43:38.000 It turns out not to be true.

09:43:40.000 Tutu says, Just saw the PewDiePie clip.

09:43:42.000 It is extremely white pilling to know that someone as big as PewDiePie knows about America first.

09:43:47.000 We truly are inevitable.

09:43:48.000 That was a big and a nice surprise to me as well.

09:43:51.000 Joey says, Hey, Nick, does anybody from America watch this show?

09:43:55.000 Joey says, Hey, Nick, me and my mates be watching from Australia.

09:44:00.000 Please consider doing stand up comedy as I am in love with your vibrant personality.

09:44:04.000 Can you please say shout out to the Frozen Chips chat.

09:44:07.000 Well, there you go.

09:44:08.000 Why do we have no.

09:44:10.000 Is there any Americans that watch this show?

09:44:12.000 The show's America First, and everybody's like, Hi, I'm from England.

09:44:15.000 I'm from Ireland.

09:44:16.000 I'm.

09:44:18.000 Anyway, not that I don't appreciate it, but it's like unexpected.

09:44:22.000 Carice says, Here we go.

09:44:24.000 Big super chat and blog post from Canada for the big night.

09:44:28.000 I remember the first time I was exposed to you when you crashed the SOF and Destiny debate.

09:44:33.000 The way you introduced yourself and Destiny Seething was Kino.

09:44:36.000 It really has been a ride.

09:44:37.000 Trump is truly the best you guys have right now.

09:44:40.000 Well, and he's the best ever of all time.

09:44:40.000 Good luck.

09:44:43.000 And Radio Fry course is rolled up to the polls, and my Nick Fuentes merch blasting Shade of Late.

09:44:48.000 Me Magic is Real.

09:44:49.000 Trump 2020.

09:44:50.000 Okay.

09:44:51.000 Well, that's our last super chat.

09:44:53.000 I got to get out of here.

09:44:54.000 I'm like dying.

09:44:55.000 I mean, I'm literally so exhausted.

09:44:59.000 Oh, my gosh.

09:45:00.000 I've been streaming since 6 o'clock.

09:45:02.000 So I've been streaming for, what, nine hours now?

09:45:05.000 High intensity, high emotions, high energy, caffeine burning through me.

09:45:11.000 You know, so it's a marathon and history being made.

09:45:16.000 I want to do one last check here.

09:45:17.000 Where are we?

09:45:19.000 Pennsylvania legal battle is ramping up.

09:45:21.000 Republicans filed the number of lawsuits on Tuesday.

09:45:24.000 Two cases scheduled to be heard tomorrow.

09:45:26.000 Good.

09:45:28.000 In Arizona, officials expect to finish counting ballots on Wednesday.

09:45:32.000 In Wisconsin, the cities of Milwaukee, Green Bay, among several others, including Kenosha and Beloit, are still waiting to count votes cast before Election Day.

09:45:40.000 Okay.

09:45:41.000 Still a large share of unpounded votes in Philadelphia and Allegheny and Pittsburgh.

09:45:47.000 Okay.

09:45:49.000 So that's where we are there.

09:45:51.000 Let's see.

09:45:51.000 It looks like some of these numbers are ticking up.

09:45:53.000 Wisconsin ticked up a little bit, and the margin seems to be, I think it was at five.

09:46:00.000 It's now down to like 3.6.

09:46:02.000 In Michigan, we're at seven here.

09:46:04.000 Pennsylvania, we're at 12.

09:46:07.000 Georgia, we're at 2.2.

09:46:09.000 And I want to check the betting markets.

09:46:11.000 Then I'm out of here, okay?

09:46:12.000 Okay.

09:46:15.000 The betting markets are stable.

09:46:18.000 Stable in Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Georgia.

09:46:22.000 Pennsylvania, I think that's higher than it's been.

09:46:25.000 And we'll check this one real quick.

09:46:29.000 And it's fluctuating between basically 60 and 70 percent.

09:46:33.000 So they're basically where I am.

09:46:35.000 And this may be the map, but we'll watch these legal challenges in Pennsylvania.

09:46:39.000 They'll count the votes in the Midwestern states.

09:46:41.000 And it's anybody's ballgame right now.

09:46:43.000 Maybe more likely Trump, but it's really anybody's.

09:46:46.000 But that's it for election night, okay?

09:46:48.000 The election continues the rest of this week.

09:46:50.000 It's not over, okay?

09:46:51.000 But I have to go to bed tonight because nothing else is going to happen.

09:46:55.000 So, one last time, good night.

09:46:57.000 Thanks, everybody.

09:46:58.000 Thanks to our top super chatters.

09:46:59.000 I don't even have good data on this.

09:47:02.000 Big, big thank you to Doomer Squidward.

09:47:04.000 Huge shout out to him, Pee Pee Caca, Base Lab Coat, Nathaniel Hill, Z Draw, Maxi Bro.

09:47:12.000 Big, big thank you to Base Dollar.

09:47:15.000 The entropy chats aren't really, some of them are missing.

09:47:19.000 Emperor Aurelian, Ano Avat.

09:47:22.000 Big, huge shout out to our top super chatters.

09:47:24.000 Special thanks.

09:47:25.000 Thanks to all of our super chatters.

09:47:28.000 Thanks to everybody that watches the show, all of our subscribers.

09:47:31.000 And I'll see you tomorrow.

09:47:33.000 I'll see you tomorrow as always.

09:47:35.000 Until then, try to get some sleep.

09:47:37.000 Have a good rest of your night.

09:47:46.000 I did the wrong thing.

America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - November 07, 2020

2020 ELECTION RESULTS | America First Ep. 715

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