BIDEN STAYS??? Democrats PANIC As Biden Resists Calls To Withdraw | America First Ep. 1348BIDEN STAYS??? Democrats PANIC As Biden Resists Calls To Withdraw | America First Ep. 1348
Biden refuses to withdraw at the top of the Democratic ticket, Gretchen Whitmer announces she will not be running for president, and more. Plus, the latest on the Middle East, including a possible Israeli military strike on Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the latest in the Trump vs. Biden campaign. And, of course, we have a new episode of America First, hosted by Nicholas J. Fuentes ( ) and co-hosted by Betsy and Brittany ( ). Welcome to the first episode of the new show, where we introduce a brand new set and talk about the latest news in the world of politics, including Joe Biden's refusal to withdraw from the Democratic primary race, and much, much more! Subscribe to America First to stay up to date on all things politics, entertainment, and current events! Logo by Courtney DeKorte. Theme by Mavus White. Music by PSOVOD, tyops, and tyops. Please rate, review, and subscribe to our new podcast, America First! on Apple Podcasts, wherever you get your favorite streaming platform, and don't forget to leave us a rating and review! Thank you so much for listening! We really appreciate all the support and reviews! and we really appreciate it. Thank you for being a part of the movement! -Nick & Cozy. xoxo, Nicholas -The Best Fiends - The Besties and Cheers, Cheers! -Alyssa and Betsy, Rachel, Sarah, Sarah, Kristy, Rachel, and Rachel, Kristy & Rachel, Jr. - Thank you, Sarah & Rachel - Rachel, Rachael, Evan, and Sarah, Amy, Michael, & Sarah, Jr., & Caitlyn, Katie, . Music: "The Baby Boomer Generation? (feat. ) "No Egirls" - The Good Morning America" - Thank You, Rachelle, , , and Rachelle & Rachelle Thank You're Not Interested? (Music: "I've Never heard of a Better Than That?" - Thank Me, Thank You? & More? - By: Rachel, She's Not a Bad Idea? by Ms. ( ) & Other Things? , "So Good To Go? ) -
Transcript
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00:06:19.000It's kind of like nothing going on, which is the perfect week to introduce a brand new set for the first time in seven years when there's nothing going on in the news.
00:07:28.000Which we appreciate, but like I said, I'm not sure how many days we're going to stay on top of this, but of course it's a rapidly developing situation in the past one week since this catastrophic debate performance, and now we're starting to see some of the first national and statewide polls since the debate, which show that it was as catastrophic as everybody initially thought.
00:07:52.000And in particular, this latest New York Times poll has Trump at 49 and Biden at 43 nationally.
00:08:00.000I don't think it's ever been that bad in 2020, 2016, any time in any other race.
00:08:26.000But he says he's not stepping down and actually now all the other potential challengers have seemed to have taken a step back.
00:08:34.000Gretchen Whitmer, the governor of Michigan, says that she will not be running.
00:08:38.000Michelle Obama says that she also will not be running.
00:08:41.000So that knocks out two, at least for the moment, challengers that I think a lot of people were wish-casting might have stepped in and replaced Biden.
00:08:50.000So we'll talk about all that and all the latest developments with this Democratic ticket.
00:08:57.000We'll also be talking tonight about the developments in the Middle East.
00:09:01.000And this is another one where we've been covering it for a long time and it seems like it's going to really start to heat up in the coming weeks.
00:09:09.000And this is the imminent war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon.
00:09:15.000And I have been saying this basically from the beginning.
00:09:20.000And we've been waiting for a long time, but it seems like it's finally going to happen.
00:09:24.000Israel's long-anticipated ground offensive against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.
00:09:30.000Some of their government ministers have confirmed that they have prepared and approved military operations in Lebanon.
00:09:39.000American intelligence says that's going to take place in the middle of July.
00:09:42.000And the big story from today is that Israel killed the highest-ranking Hezbollah general to date.
00:09:50.000In their conflict with Hezbollah so far.
00:09:53.000At least the conflict that restarted after October 7th.
00:10:00.000So we'll talk about the latest details about the conflict and potentially the imminent war.
00:10:19.000Although, you really don't, well I don't want to say you don't need the notification.
00:10:25.000I want you to follow me here on Rumble and Cozy, but I'm also here to remind you that the show has a brand new start time, 8 o'clock central every night.
00:10:37.000So, going with the whole new setup, if you're joining us for the first time, if you missed the show yesterday, obviously we have a brand new setup here.
00:10:46.000It's very exciting, and it's very new, and I think I look much better.
00:12:26.000No, but everybody loved the set, and I told you yesterday, though, we're dialing it in still a little bit.
00:12:31.000Some of the minor things, like we're just trying to get the audio and the lighting perfect, so we made some minor adjustments over the past 24 hours, and still making adjustments like as the show began moments ago, but we're trying to get it 100% right.
00:15:43.000Like I said, thank you everybody for tuning in and for the generous support last night and for all the compliments and for the constructive criticism of which I'm so fond of receiving, especially when it's unsolicited.
00:16:17.000Because I feel like it's just me, or maybe it's just me, I don't know, but this is my gut feeling for the past like four weeks.
00:16:27.000I feel like from October 7th until Donald Trump was convicted in New York,
00:16:35.000That everybody was getting red-pilled all the time.
00:16:39.000I felt like the consciousness was rising.
00:16:41.000The war in Gaza, the genocide in Gaza, was waking everybody up about Israeli and Jewish influence in American politics.
00:16:51.000And I felt like there was a true realignment happening.
00:16:54.000Something really exciting and interesting and new was happening.
00:16:59.000An actually radical and actually disruptive idea was forcefully being asserted in the mainstream.
00:17:08.000And that is, as I said, consciousness or conscientiousness of Jewish and Israeli influence in politics.
00:17:16.000Which was such a breath of fresh air because for the last four or five years we've got nothing but garbage about there's only two genders and all kinds of other inane nonsense.
00:17:28.000It feels like we're moving backwards more than forwards with a lot of the stuff coming out of the GOP and the conservative movement.
00:17:35.000So from October 7th until very recently, it felt like everybody was becoming a Groyper.
00:18:00.000I don't think it's actually good for American society.
00:18:16.000I think that, for example, when people are talking about the influence of foreign lobbying on our country, that is getting to the heart of the matter.
00:18:25.000I think so many of the problems in the country are downstream from corruption.
00:18:29.000And corruption comes from money, which comes from foreign states.
00:18:33.000Directly or indirectly, it comes from multinational corporations, which is deeply connected to foreign states.
00:18:40.000And so I think that when people are talking about that, this is extremely productive.
00:18:46.000And this is very beneficial, and this is good for us, and it's good for the country.
00:18:51.000But ever since the Trump conviction, when we get back into talking about the horse race of who's going to win, Republicans or Democrats, I feel like we're not talking about anything.
00:19:06.000And I've made my position very clear on Trump in the past few weeks, which is that I'm not against Trump, or a never-Trumper, anti-Trumper, anything like that.
00:19:15.000But I also recognize that Trump is far less radical than he was years ago.
00:19:20.000And I also recognize that the promises that are being made are fundamentally different than they were in 2016, specifically as it pertains to immigration, where he said he wants to staple green cards to diplomas.
00:19:31.000And without getting into that whole thing all over again, I just want to say that
00:19:35.000It is important to always keep the focus on what really matters.
00:19:40.000I'll talk about the, I'm going to talk about the horse race, we're going to talk about, because of course it matters right now, it's rapidly changing and developing as the Democrats are potentially going to change their nominee on the ticket.
00:19:54.000This is extremely important and it's happening.
00:19:57.000But I think it's very important to also keep in mind that there is a much bigger picture with American politics, which is, in my opinion, totally outside of the partisan debate between Chuck Schumer and Mitch McConnell and all this other stuff.
00:20:20.000Last week, the Supreme Court made a ruling on January 6th.
00:20:24.000And without getting too much into the details on this particular case, you can go and read the details yourself.
00:20:31.000The Supreme Court ruled on whether the Department of Justice can charge peaceful January 6th protesters with the felony obstruction of justice charge.
00:20:44.000They say that technically the obstruction of justice charge is a evidence tampering statute.
00:20:51.000The way it's been applied is that if any January 6th rider indirectly caused the certification process to be delayed, they say, well, that's an obstruction.
00:21:03.000But that's really a very broad and, I think, a very liberal interpretation of the statute.
00:21:09.000If you look at how it had been applied previously, it was really more about evidence tampering, that you're obstructing a proceeding
00:21:17.000If you're messing or tampering with objects pertaining to the proceeding like documents and the authenticity of documents and things of that nature.
00:21:29.000And anyway, the details aren't so important for my purpose here.
00:21:33.000But there was this huge Supreme Court case, which had, I think, enormous weight for the J6ers and for the Trump movement and for, really, for civil liberties, the way that the DOJ has used the conspiracy statute and all kinds of other things to throw a lot of innocent and peaceful and decent people in jail.
00:21:52.000And one of the Trump-appointed justices, a conservative, Amy Coney Barrett, sided with the liberals.
00:22:00.000And Ketanji Brown-Jackson, the black Biden-appointed liberal judge, went with the conservatives.
00:22:09.000And so that was just the latest example, although there are many, of conservative judges siding with liberals, and yes, even and especially the Trump-appointed ones, in particular Barrett and Kavanaugh.
00:22:24.000But it's also part of a much bigger trend of Republicans in Congress and in the Senate joining with Democrats to raise the debt ceiling to pass more foreign aid for Ukraine.
00:22:37.000And the point is that although I do believe that electoral politics is a conduit
00:22:44.000For a march through the institutions for reactionary right-wing people, and so there are some opportunities, it is not the end-all be-all, and far from it.
00:22:56.000Because what you find is that Republicans are just as willing to deliver the same kinds of policies as Democrats, and often cooperating with the Democrats.
00:23:08.000So if the conversation is all about who's going to win every two years, is it going to be the Republicans or Democrats, and what the majority will be, and by how many, and who gets the appointments?
00:23:21.000If all the focus is on that, and insofar as Republicans and Democrats, there's really a negligible difference between the two, although it's not that there's no difference, but it's marginal.
00:23:35.000Then we are never going to achieve the kind of radical change that is necessary.
00:23:40.000And that's really the basis of the whole show.
00:23:43.000That's how it got started in the first place.
00:23:45.000I think Trump was far more radical initially, but now I think he's been assimilated.
00:23:50.000And so many of the typical conventional Republicans are in his circle, and they'll be in his cabinet.
00:23:57.000And they will be shaping the administration, but the message on this show is the same, which is we cannot get dragged back onto the hamster wheel of business as usual partisan politics to the exclusion of the actual dynamic in the country, which is more about elite power factions and money.
00:24:18.000Then it is about party affiliation and how people are going to vote in the next election.
00:24:53.000I just don't think there's anything that's actually interesting there for sophisticated, perceptive people that really care about the actual political reality in the country as opposed to this, all this other stuff that's going on.
00:25:10.000With that, we're going to dive into the news and our featured story.
00:25:13.000We are going to talk, although a little bit to my chagrin, we are going to talk about Joe Biden and what is the latest with him and the Democratic Party.
00:25:22.000As part of our ongoing coverage of this catastrophic fallout from the presidential debate on Thursday, as you know, there was the first presidential debate last Thursday where it's now infamous.
00:25:36.000And obviously we'll go down in American history as maybe the worst debate performance in the history of televised debates.
00:25:43.000Joe Biden showed up and immediately it was clear that not only were the rumors of his cognitive decline true, but they were actually maybe even underselling how bad it really was.
00:25:55.000And Republicans were pretty over the top, but it was bad on Thursday.
00:26:01.000And it was very clear from the moment that he was trotted out on the debate stage that they were going to have a major problem.
00:26:09.000And there was panic and there was a frenzy all throughout the night on Thursday.
00:26:14.000And it seemed almost like the bottom was going to fall out from within the Democratic Party.
00:26:19.000So many activists and party apparatchiks were saying that Biden must withdraw immediately from the ticket.
00:26:26.000That was happening all throughout the night and the day on Friday last week and I think the Democrats had to huddle and get together and figure out the game plan and at least temporarily what they were going to do moving forward.
00:26:40.000Very quickly on both sides people began to figure out that it wouldn't be a very simple process to replace Biden.
00:26:50.000And we've gone through the procedural stuff.
00:26:52.000I don't think it's particularly interesting, but needless to say, there are several major obstacles.
00:26:59.000You've got ballot access deadlines in various states.
00:27:02.000You have the fact that the delegates Biden has won in the course of the Democratic primary are pledged to vote for him.
00:27:10.000And if they decide not to, they can simply be replaced.
00:27:16.000And then if he is removed, there is the very contentious and divisive question of who would replace him.
00:27:24.000There are a slate of candidates, and they all have their own unique problems, and there is going to be some expectation, I think, from their base that it's going to be diverse, which complicates matters.
00:27:35.000If it was a matter of pragmatism and efficacy, they'd probably pick the tall white guy, the other one, Gavin Newsom.
00:27:42.000But because of the demands of the base, they're gonna have to pick some black person.
00:27:45.000They're gonna have to pick Kamala Harris, or they have to pick some woman.
00:27:49.000Maybe they'll pick Michelle Obama or Gretchen Whitmer.
00:27:53.000And so we've talked about some of the challenges, and it's been an evolving conversation.
00:27:58.000On Friday, Barack Obama, Chuck Schumer, all the party leadership came out and said, this is the guy.
00:28:05.000This is the nominee, and we're just going to have to suck it up.
00:28:09.000And what they went with initially, they said, well, he had a bad night.
00:28:13.000We all have a bad night sometimes, which is pretty, I think, offensive to the intelligence of just about anybody.
00:28:22.000A lot of people can have a bad debate performance, but I think everybody recognizes that's not what that was.
00:28:28.000If anything, the good performances are the fluke.
00:28:31.000When Biden is able to get up and do the State of the Union or any other major public appearance and he's not lost, people correctly recognize that that is under the influence of drugs or pharmaceuticals or some other kind of medical intervention.
00:28:48.000And anyway, but that was the narrative they went with.
00:28:51.000They said, well, he had a bad night, but we're going to lock in and we're going to rally around our guy and we're going to vote for him in November.
00:29:17.000I don't have it in front of me, but I don't believe it's ever even been within or outside the margin of error with President Trump in the lead.
00:29:31.000And nevertheless, Trump won in 2016, and I think he also won in 2020.
00:29:35.000So this would point to an unbelievable blowout.
00:29:38.000The other numbers statewide aren't much better.
00:29:42.000Real clear politics, which is the staple for political polling, has removed North Carolina as a swing state.
00:29:51.000They say now that North Carolina is so solidly Republican, they don't even consider it contested.
00:29:56.000And not only that, they've replaced it with Virginia.
00:30:00.000Virginia, a state that Clinton won in 2016 by 10 points, Biden won in 2020 by 10 points.
00:30:07.000They say now Virginia is within margin of error and may be competitive, as well as New Hampshire and maybe also Minnesota and even New Jersey, where one poll showed Trump almost in the lead.
00:30:20.000So the numbers are catastrophic and although the Democrats have tried to shore up support within the party for Biden, a lot of people are not buying it.
00:30:29.000And that's our featured story tonight.
00:30:31.000We're going to read this article here from the New York Times.
00:30:34.000In spite of all this, Joe Biden has said privately to the Democrats that he's staying on.
00:30:40.000He's going to be the nominee and he says he's going to win.
00:30:44.000This is a story, it says quote, President Biden was fighting for his political future on Wednesday, confiding in two close allies that he knows he must reassure the public after a faltering debate performance, as a new poll from the New York Times and Siena College showed Donald Trump had widened his advantage in the race.
00:31:04.000The polls showed Mr. Trump ahead of Mr. Biden among likely voters 49% to 43%, his largest lead of the race in a Times-Siena survey.
00:31:14.000It also showed that concerns about whether Mr. Biden was fit enough to serve as an effective president grew more widespread after the debate.
00:31:23.000A majority of every demographic group in the survey, including Biden voters, said Mr. Biden was too old to be an effective president.
00:31:32.000Mr. Biden had lunch with his Vice President Kamala Harris today as speculation swirled about the future of the Democratic ticket.
00:31:40.000Later in the day, Mr. Biden huddled in the Roosevelt Room with a group of Democratic governors, including Gavin Newsom of California, Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, and Andy Beshear of Kentucky, all of whom have been floated as potential replacement candidates as he seeks to stabilize his standing among his party's leaders.
00:31:58.000The president was also making his first post-debate calls to the congressional Democratic leaders, Representative Hakeem Jeffries and Senator Chuck Schumer.
00:32:07.000In an emailed fundraising message on Wednesday, President Biden reiterated to supporters that he's staying in the race.
00:32:21.000I think some people are, though, actually.
00:32:25.000The article goes on and says an increasingly vocal contention of Democrats are calling on Mr. Biden to restore the public's faith in his cognitive capacity after more than 50 million Americans watched him struggle for his words at last week's debate.
00:32:40.000Mr. Biden himself has said he didn't have a great night.
00:32:44.000He has appeared in limited, unscripted settings and used teleprompters when speaking publicly, although he is sitting down for an interview on Friday with George Stephanopoulos of ABC and has planned campaign events in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
00:32:59.000So, we're coming up on one week tomorrow since that debate.
00:33:54.000As of right now, it looks like he may be the guy.
00:33:57.000Although I think maybe the bigger story, which is buried under the rest, is that if there is going to be someone other than Biden at the top of the ticket, it's going to be Kamala Harris.
00:34:11.000And it's actually interesting, if you look at the betting markets on Predicted or MaximLot's betting predictions,
00:34:19.000It says that Kamala Harris actually now has a higher probability of becoming the president than Joe Biden, according to people that are placing bets, according to the prediction markets.
00:34:31.000So I think if anything, what we've seen over the past just 24 hours since the show last night is that it seems it is likely that Biden will be stepping down, maybe not anytime soon, perhaps later.
00:34:44.000But if he's going to, and as it grows increasingly likely, it is in fact going to be Kamala Harris who steps up.
00:34:55.000And so if Biden were to step down as president, if he's not competent enough to run, well, he's not competent to be president, who would be the replacement?
00:35:07.000So I suppose on some level it's sensible and conventional and that's how it should be.
00:35:15.000The one problem though, like we talked about last night, is that Kamala Harris is just about as unpopular as Biden.
00:35:21.000Biden is, according to most voters, as this poll says, according to literally every demographic they surveyed, people believe he's too old.
00:35:31.000And yet, he's still just about as unpopular as Kamala.
00:35:35.000Either way, I think it points to a Trump victory.
00:35:38.000So this is the current state of the Democratic ticket.
00:35:41.000Like I said, we'll be watching it all week and we'll be watching it as we head into the conventions in the coming weeks.
00:35:49.000Republican Party convention comes first, then the Democrats.
00:35:53.000Some people say, and I've heard this on social media, that it may be the strategy by the Democrats to wait until the very last minute, which would be counterintuitive.
00:36:03.000The conventional wisdom says you need to urgently replace Biden on the ticket so that you give the American public enough time to rally around the replacement, that they need time to acclimate
00:36:18.000Where a new candidate will be foisted and there will be some period where the American public has to be brought into the fold and sold on whoever this is going to be.
00:36:29.000Certainly it's someone with not as much of a national profile.
00:36:33.000And I've heard some say that it's actually the opposite, that there will be a honeymoon phase when Biden gets replaced, where it really doesn't matter who it is, people will feel relieved that it's going to be someone other than Biden, and there'll be this built-in effect that they're actually going to be more favorable than they otherwise would be.
00:36:52.000It'll be a short window, but there will be an initial window where, whether it's
00:36:57.000Kamala, who is extremely unlikable, or some other person from outside the White House, that the American public, with relief at a normal candidate and a Democrat who is the least competent, they're going to rally around that person regardless.
00:37:19.000And once Biden hands the nomination, he can transfer it to a candidate of his choosing.
00:37:24.000It's actually, I think, simpler after the convention for Biden to make a decision like that, potentially, if he is to step down.
00:37:31.000So, perhaps that's what the lunch was about today.
00:37:35.000A lot of people made a big deal out of the fact that they had a scheduled private lunch on their White House schedule today, just between Biden and Harris.
00:37:46.000And given some of the predictions in the betting markets, it certainly points to her being, at least at this stage in the game, the most likely candidate that would succeed Biden.
00:38:12.000It will most likely be a Republican House and, according to the betting markets, even a Republican Senate.
00:38:18.000And so we could be looking at Trump and the Republicans running the table just as they did in 2016, which is, I think, truly remarkable in light of everything that's transpired in the past eight years between the pandemic, the recession, rigged election, mass immigration, which has totally changed the demographics of the voting.
00:38:38.000Truly remarkable that they'll have another opportunity to have the White House expanded majority in the Supreme Court and potentially both chambers of Congress.
00:38:47.000It's an enormous opportunity to set things straight.
00:38:51.000That's why I've been so hard on Trump and so hard on the Trump movement about making sure that we put all of that to good use.
00:39:02.000Because if you'll recall, we had exactly that arrangement in 2016.
00:39:11.000And it was actually somewhat inferior, because we only had a majority of, I believe it was, six on the Supreme Court.
00:39:22.000So we had 6-2-3, or I'm sorry, I think it was 5-4 actually back then.
00:39:29.000So we had a marginal Supreme Court difference.
00:39:31.000We had the House, we had the Senate, we had Trump in there, and with a mandate to build the wall, ban Muslims, renegotiate NAFTA, end the wars, all the above.
00:39:41.000And if you'll recall, it was squandered.
00:39:48.000This miracle that everybody's talking about now, this new earpiece, we are definitely going to replace because it keeps popping out of my ear.
00:39:55.000This miracle that we had in 2016, it was even better, potentially, than what we have, in some ways, what we have going for us now.
00:40:04.000We already had it 10 years ago, and almost every bit, almost every, down to the finest detail, bit of that political capital was squandered.
00:40:17.000No wall was constructed in those first two years.
00:40:23.000There was no renegotiation of NAFTA during that period.
00:40:26.000There was no adjustment made to the immigration system.
00:40:31.000Even DACA was not eliminated, which is seen as probably where that negotiation might begin for immigration.
00:40:38.000Neither of the major Middle East wars were brought to an end, and none of the other engagements across the Middle East or North Africa were ended either.
00:40:47.000Two years went by and what we got out of it was a partial repeal of Obamacare and we got a corporate tax cut.
00:40:58.000That's what it was all about in those first two years.
00:41:02.000And it wasn't until the very end after a lot of hard-fought battles in the courts and among the personnel and the bureaucratic state and the executive branch before anything pertaining to Trump's foundational promises
00:41:30.000And so it was based on that experience that I had, and I think so many other Trump loyalists had in that first term, so much disappointment in the first three years, too little too late in the final year, and then, to add insult to injury, this ridiculous election fraud, and almost no organization to do anything to combat it, even though we saw it coming a mile away, that a lot of people now are saying, be careful what you wish for.
00:41:58.000Yes, Trump is now the presumptive president, actually.
00:42:02.000Not only the presumptive nominee, but the presumptive president.
00:42:51.000Red meat, as they say, red meat for the base.
00:42:54.000They put on a big show, some gesture of doing something for the actual nationalists, the actual conservatives in the base.
00:43:04.000But we really get the same kind of Paul Ryan, Mitch McConnell, GOP establishment wish list that we did the first time.
00:43:14.000But with now the entire nation united behind it.
00:43:18.000And it will give everybody the appearance and the impression that we won, that the revolution succeeded, we went all the way and we achieved this great triumph, when in reality it's only
00:43:33.000It's actually a triumph for the elites who really got everything they wanted and now us supporting it through a very cool mascot, admittedly.
00:43:44.000And that's what I've been saying from the beginning is the big concern.
00:43:48.000If we're going to get total support for Israel and a corporate tax cut or the corporate tax cut made permanent and deepened and mass legal immigration
00:44:00.000Then what we're getting is really Biden, Obama, 3.0.
00:44:05.000We're just getting all the same stuff all over again.
00:44:07.000And don't kid yourself, if that sounds outlandish, just take a look at how it went down the first time, because this is not the first rodeo.
00:44:16.000A lot of people are new to this stuff.
00:44:17.000A lot of people to watch this show are very young.
00:44:37.000But the people that have been around from the very beginning, they all feel the same way that I do.
00:44:42.000Because they've been around long enough and they're connected enough to know exactly what went wrong and that it went wrong the first time.
00:44:50.000So that's the big take on what's happening with the election.
00:44:55.000But like I said, we're going to keep an eye on it and we'll see.
00:44:59.000I do think it is a bit presumptuous and maybe I think a little bit early to say that the race is over.
00:45:08.000It appears that way and I think it probably is.
00:45:12.000But you never know what can happen between now and November.
00:45:16.000And as a lot of people suggested, it may be a lot more likely that something completely outrageous could happen than people may think, and that is something like an assassination or some other kind of black swan event, something that you just wouldn't predict.
00:45:31.000Who could have predicted a COVID pandemic in 2020 and everything that transpired in the aftermath of that?
00:45:39.000The lockdowns, the vaccine mandates, the censorship.
00:45:42.000I don't think anybody believed that was possible years ago and then it happened.
00:47:14.000And yes, the United States had a goal of eradicating Al-Qaeda at one point, or eradicating the Taliban.
00:47:21.000And yet they still exist and there have been worse offshoots like ISIS and so on.
00:47:28.000So it's easier said than done when it comes to these non-state militant groups in the Middle East.
00:47:35.000They said they're going to eradicate Hamas and people said, well,
00:47:39.000Does that mean you're going to kill the leadership?
00:47:41.000Does that mean you're going to take security and civilian control over the Strip?
00:47:46.000Does it mean you're going to degrade their fighting force by killing most of their fighters or destroying most of their equipment or destroying their tunnels?
00:47:54.000Nobody knew exactly what that meant and they never articulated it.
00:47:58.000But they have moved into Gaza in waves, in phases.
00:48:02.000It started with an air campaign, then a ground campaign.
00:48:06.000And the ground campaign moved from the north to the south.
00:48:09.000What they started to notice, though, in the past few months is that they started to realize the complexity of that question.
00:48:16.000What does it mean to annihilate Hamas?
00:48:18.000Because although they've moved from the north to the south, clearing major cities and major Hamas strongholds, they've seen that Hamas is regrouping.
00:48:27.000And they'll clear out a city, leave, and then Hamas comes back.
00:48:32.000They also noticed that Hamas is recruiting, and it only makes sense.
00:48:36.000Israel is in the Gaza Strip, murdering countless women and children.
00:48:40.000That's the best recruitment tool for Hamas, which is dedicated to the destruction of Israel.
00:48:46.000So they've killed 20,000 Hamas fighters, and probably 20,000 more Hamas fighters, at least, have been recruited in the same time period.
00:48:55.000So now you have some of the Israeli generals that are saying, well, it may be impossible to defeat Hamas.
00:49:00.000You'd have to kill everybody in Gaza or get rid of them.
00:49:04.000And the United States intelligence says the same thing.
00:49:09.000And therefore, if the generals and if the Israeli public and if the American intelligence and American military personnel, if they all say it cannot be done, then what must happen is a ceasefire.
00:49:23.000There must be a negotiation between the Hamas leadership and the State of Israel about bringing the fighting to an end.
00:49:34.000There have been negotiations between Israel and Hamas leadership from the very beginning.
00:49:38.000Although there's been this brutal, genocidal war, they are still talking, mediated by Egypt and Qatar, with the United States involved also.
00:49:49.000But the hang-up is on, well, really the purpose of the negotiations itself.
00:49:54.000Hamas wants a negotiated end to the fighting immediately and without preconditions.
00:50:01.000They're willing to release the hostages.
00:50:28.000At the same time, since this conflict began, and while there is this current dilemma about how or under what conditions this fighting is going to be brought to an end, at the same time Israel is fighting in their south, in Gaza, there has been another war, although much lower intensity war, happening in the northern border.
00:50:51.000After October 7th, Israel and Lebanon evacuated their respective side of the Israeli-Lebanon border, which is on Israel's north.
00:51:00.000So Israel evacuated 60,000 people from the north.
00:51:04.000Lebanon evacuated a similar number of people from their side of the border.
00:51:08.000And since October 7th, Hezbollah and Israel have waged a low-intensity war, trading fire, artillery fire, in some cases literally using trebuchets.
00:51:41.000Fight, certainly a lot of strikes and different kinds of strikes and escalating as the fighting has gone on.
00:51:47.000And the problem is this now, and this is what's going to bring us into our story from today.
00:51:53.000As the fighting in Gaza winds down, the Israeli ministers that are prosecuting this war and that have the most aggressive and jingoistic tendencies, they want the fighting now to rotate to Lebanon, and they want to do the same thing in Beirut and southern Lebanon that they've done in Gaza.
00:52:14.000They see Hamas leaping over the border on October 7th and killing Israelis as an identical threat in the north.
00:52:22.000That Hezbollah could similarly, and maybe to an even worse effect, jump over the northern border and kidnap and kill Israelis there.
00:52:30.000It's a little bit convoluted because the politics are slightly different and the armaments are different and really the whole situation is not the same, but this is so the argument goes.
00:52:41.000And so the Israeli cabinet is saying once we finish in Gaza, again, however it ends, but once the fighting ends,
00:52:49.000They're going to move north and take the fighting over there.
00:52:52.000They're going to replicate their brutal war in Gaza against the far more populated and far better armed and more numerous Hezbollah in Lebanon.
00:53:04.000Hezbollah says they're not going to stop striking Israel until the war in Gaza finishes.
00:53:09.000So there's this very complicated deal that's going on where Israel and the United States are trying to bring the fighting to an end in Gaza, but can't navigate a way out of it.
00:53:20.000At the same time, whether and how the fighting ends in Gaza is inextricably linked to the fighting in the north with Hezbollah.
00:53:29.000Hezbollah won't stop striking Israel until Gaza is finished, but Israel wants to take out Hezbollah as long as they're launching missiles into Israel.
00:53:39.000So it's all deeply connected and tied together and all signs point towards Israel moving their forces north imminently potentially within this month in the next couple of weeks and bringing a major ground offensive into Lebanon after they wrap up in southern Gaza.
00:53:54.000And this is a story this is from the New York Times.
00:53:58.000Talking about the speculation that this is the next move.
00:54:14.000Army Major Harrison Mann resigned from the Pentagon's Defense Intelligence Agency earlier this year over the U.S.
00:54:20.000backing of the Israeli slaughter of Palestinians in Gaza, and has been speaking out against President Biden's policy of full-throated support for Israel.
00:54:29.000In comments to The Guardian, Mann said,
00:54:42.000His comments echo a report from the Washington Post that was published at the beginning of the year which said the U.S.
00:54:48.000officials were concerned that Netanyahu might view war in Lebanon as key to his political survival.
00:54:55.000Man said he expects Israel to target residential areas in southern Lebanon in the event of a full-blown war.
00:55:02.000He warned that Hezbollah would be able to hit back hard against Israel.
00:55:05.000He said they probably have the ability to at least partially overwhelm Israel's air defenses, strike civilian infrastructure around the country, and inflict a level of destruction on Israel that I'm not sure Israel has really ever experienced in its history, and at least certainly not in its recent history.
00:55:23.000He said that heavy bombardment of Israeli cities would make it more likely the U.S.
00:55:30.000He said our least escalatory participation will be possibly striking supply lines or associated targets in Iraq and Syria.
00:55:39.000But he said that on its own is risky, because if we start doing that, some people that we hit could be Hezbollah, but they could also be Iranian.
00:55:47.000Iran has warned Israel that a full-scale assault on Lebanon would lead to an obliterating war in the region, although it's unclear if Iran would intervene directly.
00:55:56.000Likely, the allied Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria would be involved.
00:56:01.000Man said he didn't expect the Biden administration to choose to target Iran directly, but warned that the risk of a direct U.S.-Iran war would increase significantly.
00:56:11.000He said, I trust the administration not to do that, but I think between us or the Israelis striking Iranian targets outside of Iran, the risk of escalation is also going to get much higher.
00:56:22.000So this is the predicament that we find ourselves in.
00:56:25.000Netanyahu does not want to bring an end to the fighting in Gaza.
00:56:28.000One, because the moment that the fighting across the board ends, he gets thrown out of office and probably thrown in jail.
00:57:09.000What's more, Netanyahu wants to invade Gaza and most likely wants to force all the Palestinians into the Sinai Peninsula so they can annex the territory.
00:57:19.000And I think they also want to bring the fight to Lebanon.
00:57:22.000It's not out of some kind of national security urgency.
00:57:27.000It's not born of some kind of defensive necessity.
00:57:31.000The Israelis that are in control of the Israel government want to invade Lebanon.
00:57:36.000They want to degrade Hezbollah because this is a form of annexing territory.
00:57:43.000Israel demands that in order for their people to be safely returned to their northern border inside Israeli territory, they say that Hezbollah must withdraw deep into Lebanese territory away from the border.
00:57:57.000But if Israel is able and successfully forces the Hezbollah army to make these concessions and retreat north of the river, it effectively means that this is Israeli territory.
00:58:10.000If they get a vote and if they get sovereignty as to what happens in southern Lebanon, then southern Lebanon is a buffer zone between Lebanon and Israel.
00:58:19.000And effectively then, it has been ceded to Israeli control.
00:58:25.000This is something that has been going on in the Middle East for a long time.
00:58:28.000It happened in the Golan Heights, happened in the Sinai Peninsula for a long time, in the West Bank.
01:01:04.000Move them around, destroy all their buildings, all their infrastructure so there's nowhere for them to go back to, terrorize them, so sufficiently demoralize them that by the end of it they say, you know what, uncle, we just want to leave.
01:01:26.000They move out, Israel moves in, they take the land.
01:01:29.000This is what they wanted from the beginning.
01:01:31.000And when I say from the beginning, yes, the beginning of October 7th, but I'm talking about even the beginning of the entire Zionist project.
01:02:27.000That would be living up to those lofty promises.
01:02:31.000The same thing is happening in Lebanon.
01:02:34.000They don't just want Hezbollah to move north of the river.
01:02:37.000That is a completely unreasonable demand that they know Hezbollah will never agree to.
01:02:43.000They're sabotaging attempts to even get them to agree to it.
01:02:47.000Right now, the United States is in France negotiating with France and talking about a proposal that they can jointly submit to Lebanon to get Hezbollah to meet Israel's demands.
01:02:59.000They're doing that because at one time, Lebanon was a protectorate of France.
01:03:33.000The same day that the United States diplomat is in France working on this deal, what does Israel do?
01:03:40.000They kill the top Hezbollah general, the most senior Hezbollah general, that they've killed in their low-intensity conflict with Hezbollah since October 7th.
01:04:40.000But this is what the Israelis always do.
01:04:42.000You may have heard over the years that Israel has offered the Palestinians a state, or they've offered the Palestinians land, but these Arabs are always refusing.
01:05:56.000They want the land in Lebanon south of the Latani River.
01:06:00.000And Israel knows that if Hezbollah is not allowed south of it, that Israel effectively controls it.
01:06:06.000And they know Hezbollah will never retreat, they know it'll be another war, and they see this as their opportunity to forge a pretext to initiate a fresh new war.
01:06:18.000October 7th would not justify Israel invading Lebanon.
01:06:23.000It's barely justifying their continued occupation of Gaza.
01:07:44.000Saudi Arabia gets defense guarantee weapons shipments, you name it.
01:07:50.000The other countries that Israel borders are Syria, which was destroyed by the Syrian civil war that the United States was involved in, and Lebanon, which is controlled by their rival Hezbollah.
01:08:01.000So this is not about some sort of perceived ostensible threat to Israel.
01:08:07.000It has nothing even to do with October 7th.
01:08:09.000This is about Israel's wish list of those that they prefer no longer to live alongside.
01:08:17.000Israel doesn't like living by Hezbollah.
01:08:19.000They don't like that they have adversaries on their border.
01:08:23.000So now they're going to use October 7th as a springboard to create a spurious pretext to launch a fresh, new, original war that they have initiated.
01:09:02.000They're no longer worried about Assad.
01:09:04.000They're no longer worried about any of them.
01:09:07.000What they are worried about, fundamentally, is Iran's nuclear program.
01:09:13.000Israel denuclearized Iraq by bombing their nuclear plant in 1981 and then with the war in 2003.
01:09:22.000They denuclearized Syria with the strike in 2007 and then the Syrian Civil War.
01:09:28.000The only remaining power that they are concerned about, which is part of their doctrine to counter nuclear proliferation in the region, is Iran.
01:09:37.000And the problem that Iran poses is that Iran is too big, it's too far away,
01:10:06.000If Israel were to launch some kind of raid, which would be ambitious and very technically sophisticated and maybe not even realistic and probably with the help of the United States, but if they were to go into Iran and try to seriously set back Iran's nuclear program or perform regime change, they know that that is when they would have to worry about Hezbollah.
01:10:34.000Because if Israel strikes Iran, if Israel performs regime change in Iran, Hezbollah is Iran's second strike.
01:10:45.000If it goes down in Iran, Hezbollah rains missiles on Israel and destroys Israel.
01:10:51.000And probably Israel can fight an all-out war against Hezbollah, and if it was a total war, I mean, they could nuke Lebanon, let's just be honest.
01:11:00.000So it would be mutually assured destruction, but that is their second strike capability.
01:11:06.000If Israel is able to seriously paralyze or disable Iran, Hezbollah will have the last word.
01:11:14.000So that is what Israel seeks to remedy in this war, and that is what Netanyahu is trying to parlay October 7th into.
01:11:40.000Then they want to take the fight to Iran.
01:11:42.000And once they take out Iran, whether through regime change or some kind of audacious strike to disable the nuclear program, which would be very, I think that would probably be outside the realm of possibility, then Israel will be free to dominate the region.
01:11:57.000Israel will be the only nuclear power in the region, the only one with a nuclear arsenal.
01:12:03.000They command the United States through their Israel lobby.
01:12:06.000They have the most sophisticated conventional military.
01:13:50.000It was in both ears, I couldn't hear anything.
01:13:52.000Tonight we have this one in one ear, and uh... I don't know if I just haven't found the right way to set it up.
01:13:59.000You know, and like, stick it on me, but... It keeps falling out, it's driving me crazy the entire show.
01:14:04.000I'm trying to do this show, it's a thousand degrees, cause someone turned the AC off, and this earpiece is falling out, there's fireworks going on outside, I'm 500 degrees, I'm sweating,
01:14:20.000So, you know, it's we're struggling over here, but that's OK.
01:14:24.000You know, it's it's it's always whenever there's an adjustment, it's it's a little tough, but that's OK.
01:14:30.000OK, we're going to take a look at our super chats.
01:14:32.000We'll see what you guys have to say about all this.
01:14:36.000All this crazy, these crazy Democrats.
01:16:44.000See, the good thing about the Groipers is you can be short, and you can be not in great shape, you know, and everything, and no one really cares.
01:16:55.000People give me a lot of crap for that, but it doesn't, like, destroy my ideology, because my ideology is not, like, Nietzschean vitalism and being a bodybuilder.
01:17:03.000My ideology is, like, you know, the intelligent should rule and they could be as bad as they want and get whatever they want.
01:17:09.000But their ideology is like, no, no, you have to be getting red light therapy and be a bodybuilder and whatever.
01:17:17.000And then they all get doxxed and they're all ugly and short and fat and Jewish and brown and weird.
01:17:23.000It's like, okay, so the Groipers turned out to be in better shape and more white than these guys.
01:17:28.000Their whole ideology is, like, being white and, you know, bodybuilding and whatever, and they're all fat and Jewish.
01:17:36.000And the Groipers, this ideology, I mean, me, it's led by a guy who's, like, not in great shape or anything.
01:19:48.000Everybody wants to get very... People want to split hairs on it, but you can tell.
01:20:14.000You know, I mean, everyone says, oh, Nick's Mexican.
01:20:17.000Like, yeah, I have Mexican heritage, but if you drop me in a Mexican neighborhood in Chicago, let's be honest.
01:20:24.000And I always say this, it's like, if I went to some kind of, like, Democrat Party meeting, or I went into a Hispanic neighborhood, and I said, hey guys, I'm Mexican, like you, what do you think their reaction would be?
01:21:11.000They have brown eyes, fine black hair.
01:21:15.000You know, we know what they look like.
01:21:17.000So, you know, there are, of course there's intermixing I think between Hispanics and whites because they're probably the two closest races because Hispanics have white admixture.
01:21:27.000So Hispanics and whites, I think there tends to be more intermarriage between them maybe than whites and blacks or whites and Asians.
01:21:34.000Um, and so consequently, then you get, uh, you know, people that are kind of on the cusp.
01:21:39.000You know, they could look like Southern European or even some of them look like, you know, they don't even look as swarthy.
01:24:30.000I mean, whenever I see people saying like, oh, what, so you get to commit calumny just because it's like, yeah, like, people are given to delusions, like, yes, people are given to being willfully ignorant and willfully believing lies.
01:24:47.000Just because you're Catholic doesn't mean you get, like, this get-out-of-jail-free card where it's like, did you know that not having a perfect perception is a sin?
01:24:55.000Did you know that, like, not liking somebody for some reason is a sin?
01:25:02.000It's this Catholic idea that we could boil everything down to, like, a very black-and-white, simple idea, like, oh, we're Catholic, so now we just know.
01:25:10.000It's like, well, the whole point is that
01:33:33.000You gain 15 pounds, your house gets filled up with a bunch of crap from TJ Maxx, and you just have to check in with your wife with her stupid fake name on everything.
01:33:45.000And, you know, she just gets into your brain by saying, you know, telling you what to do and stuff, and your testosterone goes down.
01:33:53.000This is what it means to become an adult.
01:33:55.000But I kind of want to chart a new path.
01:33:57.000I want to see if I could do marriage without becoming a total, like, simp.
01:36:03.000You have to get married when they're 29.
01:36:06.000And they're not doing so much of the cooking or cleaning, they're really doing more of the complaining and nagging.
01:36:11.000And this is sort of like what you would design if you hated yourself and wanted to die.
01:36:16.000This is what you would create if you said, how could I induce suicide as quickly as possible?
01:36:22.000You'd say, I want someone that I'm legally obligated to give half my stuff, who's really annoying and emotional and like doesn't get anything, doesn't like get it, like totally incompetent, freeloader, and is ugly.
01:36:38.000And that's kind of what we're getting now.
01:40:26.000How do you think the new norm slash Mr. Burcham would portray you as a character?
01:40:30.000You'd probably be the chronically online incel who just needs to man up and watch football, have sex, drink beer, and love fags, Jews, and women while talking about wokies.
01:40:44.000Yeah, I'd be portrayed as like, yeah, the guy that needs a touch grass.
01:40:48.000The rest of it fell off because it just doesn't work.
01:40:50.000But yeah, I would probably be portrayed as like the incel full of contradictions, closeted and, you know, online all the time.
01:41:02.000I mean, ironically, if Daily Wire portrayed me, it would be nearly identical to how the left would portray me.
01:41:09.000If I get portrayed on an episode of Law & Order SVU, it's the terrorist, murderer, incel, who's resentful against women because he can't get one, and he's just like on the computer getting radicalized all day, and a total failed male, like, that would be the, that's the liberal character.
01:41:25.000You saw it in the Batman, you see it in SVU, you see it in other stuff, and Daily Wire would be the same.
01:41:32.000But yeah, the Mr. Berksham thing, it's funny because they always have like a black best friend.
01:42:21.000Black people are just as normal as the white people, and they all just hate wokesters, and us normal white and black people, like, we don't like woke stuff.
01:42:29.000Like, that's kind of the subtle message there.
01:42:31.000And it's also to say, yeah, white people aren't racist.
01:44:04.000So there's like a liberal attitude implicit in that to say, hey, when they say I'm normal, what they're really doing is kind of moving the goalpost and saying what it means to be normal is to basically be liberal on the issue of race.
01:44:18.000Because years ago, there was this character who was called Archie Bunker, and he wasn't meant to be sympathetic.
01:44:26.000And he was racist, and he was homophobic.
01:44:29.000But he was likable, because he was relatable, and because he was, you know, correct.
01:44:33.000And now they have like an Archie Bunker, but he's liberal.
01:44:36.000They have like a liberal Archie Bunker that is meant to be likable and turns out not to be because he's just, uh, you know, he's become a caricature of what it means to be American.
01:44:47.000He's a good capitalist consumer and watches TV and is basically doesn't, has no introspection and is liberal on race and is liberal on women and is liberal on even some of the social degeneracy, but just within reason.
01:45:04.000And so, that's the grand irony, is that the new norm, it is about a new norm.
01:45:10.000Since when is it a norm that we are, it's desirous to have, or desirable to have, a multiracial friend group?
01:45:17.000And this is some statement on what, how tolerant you are?
01:46:22.000And I want a big white family reunion.
01:46:28.000Are we supposed to say now that the new norm of being conservative is, sure my daughter has a black boyfriend but that's okay because he's a really stand-up guy and he immigrated here from Nigeria and he contributes to this country.
01:46:41.000He started a small business and he works hard and he pays his taxes and that's what matters.
01:46:46.000I don't care that my grandkids are black and play basketball.
01:46:51.000You know, they're gonna be inculcated with good morals from
01:47:07.000I think I'd like a white wife and I think I'd like white kids and I think I'd like them to find white spouses and...
01:47:14.000And I think I'd like them all to have marriages where the parents are involved in selecting the spouse, and it happens inside the Catholic Church, and they're virgins until marriage, and they aren't getting up into hijinks and talking about haughtoise and all that.
01:47:31.000We're like the new Puritans for saying that.
01:47:34.000But yeah, I actually would prefer that our daughters are not talking about blowjobs on the street and how they want to take back shots instead of missionary.
01:47:41.000I mean, like, this is the conservative movement now?
01:47:46.000Welcome to your conservative movement, Hawktua!
01:47:49.000Black best friend, our trannies are hot, and, you know, let's go and die for Israel, and it's about Judeo-Christian values, and let's have legal immigrants.
01:47:58.000We're tolerant, they just gotta integrate, you know, like, uh, what's-his-name said, Nigel Farage.
01:48:04.000This is your right-wing revolution that's going on.
01:48:09.000Yeah, I'm not going to advocate against myself, but I think that
01:48:32.000If you're going to talk about that stuff, you're going to get cancelled regardless.
01:48:36.000I mean, let's see if she's able to go and talk about those ideas on those other shows.
01:48:42.000But, no, I think you're actually complacent and cancel culture if you participate in it.
01:48:50.000You know, because the person that doesn't associate with Candace Owens is not associating with her for the same reason that she wouldn't hypothetically associate with me.
01:48:58.000So, no, I don't necessarily agree with that.
01:49:01.000No, no, I'm definitely wearing real pants now.
01:51:32.000John Dave Irving sent $5, they've embraced the gig economy, side hustles, and remote work, paving the way for the Zoomers to follow in their footsteps.
01:51:46.000John Dave Irving sent $5, Millennials have also been at the forefront of social change, advocating for diversity, inclusion, and sustainability.
01:51:55.000They've fought for LGBTQ plus rights, climate action, and racial justice.
01:52:03.000John Dave Irving sent $5, they've shown the world that they're not just a bunch of avocado loving hipsters, they're a force to be reckoned with.
01:57:34.000Jar Jar Hedbinks sent $5, I'm 23 years old, and I've watched every livestream you've had since you got unbanned from X. I first found out about you from the man Dave Smith, what are your thoughts on him even though he is Jewish?
01:58:41.000There's a treasury of wisdom and knowledge and guidance.
01:58:46.000And Jews will always be given to these kinds of ideological dispositions and
01:58:54.000And often radical and secular because they lack this.
01:58:59.000So, libertarianism is obviously flawed and it's obviously false because of its emphasis on the individual and self-ownership and we're not individuals and we don't own ourselves.
01:59:09.000We're created by God and we're owned by God and our life is not about our will, it's about God's will.
01:59:16.000And in as much as every human being has a sexual faculty, every human being must be married, or take a vow of chastity, or holy orders, or monasticism, or something like that.
01:59:56.000So, it's a completely different worldview.
02:00:00.000And, uh, I think that's the source of it.
02:00:02.000So you understand that even though he's one of the good ones in the sense that he's not like a raging open borders liberal, but he's also not like, uh, we should all die for Israel Zionist.
02:00:22.000But he'll never be all the way on side, and it does have a lot to do with his Jewishness.
02:00:27.000Yes, and that's not to say that non-Jews are not ideological, but Christians should not be, should never be.
02:00:35.000Catholics, Christians, everybody should be Catholic, and Catholics should be focused on the church more than some kind of
02:00:45.000Political doctrine or something that that should be the the North Star should be the church and the cross the crucifix specifically so So yeah, so even though he's you know people say well, what about the good ones, you know Like Ian Ian Carroll said that to me the other day.
02:01:04.000He's like, uh, well, it's not about the Jews It is about the Zionists because what about the good ones and it's like yeah, but their Jewishness is still pretty relevant and
02:01:14.000And it's of course a complicated topic, so more on that another time.
02:07:26.000What are your thoughts on Nigel Farage?
02:07:28.000I'm Mixtrace English, grew up there, and I think that England must stay majority white and keep our culture, do you think Farage will actually do something about immigration or will he just be another hair twiters?
02:07:38.000Thanks for your show Nick, America first!
02:09:10.000If you're just still trying to, like, do this political compass thing where you're like, well, I'm a neo-syndicalist distributist with Maoist tendencies, you're just not going to make it and you should be hit by a car and die immediately.