America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - GAZA WAR DAY 188: IRAN STRIKE IMMINENT??? | America First Ep. 1318GAZA WAR DAY 188: IRAN STRIKE IMMINENT??? | America First Ep. 1318

00:01:03.000 God, I've never heard of Bigfoot.

00:01:05.000 Who's that?

00:01:59.000 And its consequences have been a disaster for the human race.

00:02:17.000 They, they see America merely as a vessel.

00:02:21.000 I mean, only, only a class of people so rootless

00:02:27.000 That you view America in such a way as merely a vessel for abstractions, right? 1.00

00:02:32.000 We're gonna smash your brain in with the Bible, idiot. 1.00

00:02:37.000 And I'm addicted to the serotonin rush. 1.00

00:03:01.000 I feel like...

00:03:48.000 One person raised his voice.

00:03:49.000 The teacher couldn't believe it.

00:03:54.000 The classroom couldn't believe it either.

00:08:09.000 I don't know.

00:09:04.000 Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo!

00:09:07.000 It's going to be only America first! 1.00

00:09:08.000 America first!

00:09:27.000 The American people will come first once again!

00:09:53.000 America First!

00:09:56.000 America First!

00:12:16.000 Good evening everybody you're watching America First.

00:12:18.000 My name is Nicholas J. Fuentes.

00:12:20.000 We have a great show for you tonight.

00:12:22.000 Very excited to be back with you here tonight on Friday.

00:12:27.000 We have a lot to talk about tonight.

00:12:29.000 Lots to get into.

00:12:30.000 Big show.

00:12:33.000 Slow News Day.

00:12:34.000 It's a slow end to a slow second.

00:12:39.000 Slow week.

00:12:42.000 Since anything has happened anywhere in the world.

00:12:46.000 Nothing to talk about, and we're not even getting an Iran missile strike.

00:12:52.000 So, you know, nothing ever happens.

00:12:56.000 Why bother?

00:12:57.000 Nothing ever even happens.

00:13:02.000 But that's okay.

00:13:03.000 We'll be talking tonight about the Iranian retaliation.

00:13:07.000 Apparently it just won't even happen.

00:13:11.000 That's the new rumor.

00:13:14.000 And there's conflicting reports.

00:13:16.000 Some reports say that it will happen within 24 hours of right now.

00:13:24.000 And other reports say that the Iranians have not committed to doing anything at all yet.

00:13:33.000 And that they've actually decided not to follow through with any kind of drone or missile strike.

00:13:41.000 And we'll talk about why.

00:13:43.000 We'll talk about both sides.

00:13:46.000 We don't know yet.

00:13:48.000 We will know by Monday.

00:13:50.000 So, next time I do a show on Monday, we will have a better idea.

00:13:57.000 Although, right now, Western Intelligence, the official position is they're anticipating it to happen basically today.

00:14:05.000 Today or tomorrow.

00:14:07.000 But that doesn't mean that if nothing happens this weekend that nothing will ever happen in the future, but it means that this current warning is based on old intelligence and that the Iranians have decided to deliberate further or to cancel any kind of reprisal altogether.

00:14:30.000 But we'll get into all that tonight.

00:14:31.000 We'll talk about

00:14:33.000 What's going on over there?

00:14:34.000 But it's a huge bummer, man. 1.00

00:14:36.000 These guys suck. 1.00

00:14:37.000 I said it a few days ago. 1.00

00:14:39.000 They talk such a big game. 0.97

00:14:42.000 Muslims.

00:14:43.000 They're the best at this. 0.93

00:14:45.000 They talk such a big game, they never follow through.

00:14:50.000 They talk about a new Islamic caliphate and they talk about their death to Israel and death to America. 0.98

00:15:00.000 Israel's very much alive, guys.

00:15:03.000 Hate to be the... Hate to tell you.

00:15:07.000 I hate to tell you the truth.

00:15:09.000 But Israel and America, very much alive.

00:15:14.000 And that's great.

00:15:15.000 So, we'll talk about what's going on with Iran and why they're... Why they're not doing anything!

00:15:22.000 Come on! 0.61

00:15:22.000 Do something! 0.61

00:15:24.000 I got a show to do!

00:15:26.000 I got a show I gotta do every night!

00:15:30.000 And you can't provide me with a little bit of drama.

00:15:35.000 What the F. What the actual F. I've been waiting for this.

00:15:41.000 I have nothing going on, man.

00:15:44.000 I got nothing going on.

00:15:47.000 Except for this.

00:15:48.000 I was waiting to see it happen.

00:15:50.000 So, that's okay.

00:15:52.000 We'll talk about that.

00:15:53.000 We'll also be talking tonight about the FISA law.

00:15:57.000 Congress is deliberating over the reauthorization of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act, or the FISA Act, but it is being hotly debated by Republicans, specifically the Section 702, which allows the government to spy on U.S.

00:16:17.000 citizens.

00:16:19.000 And what some Republicans want is for the government to have to obtain a warrant in order for the government to use intelligence that they gathered in a backdoor manner to use that information against American citizens.

00:16:40.000 That's all Republicans want is for the government to have to obtain a warrant, which is just common sense.

00:16:49.000 Common sense under the Fourth Amendment, under any kind of constitutional order, that there would be a right to privacy that would be protected.

00:16:57.000 But the Speaker of the House, Mike Johnson, who actually, before becoming the Speaker, was in favor of that same modification, he now wants the reauthorization without the warrant.

00:17:08.000 So in other words, U.S.

00:17:11.000 intelligence can spy on foreigners, not citizens.

00:17:15.000 But in the course of their spying, they get a ton of Americans' data.

00:17:20.000 And they say, hey, well, we have the data, we can just rifle through it and find whatever we want to find.

00:17:27.000 Which, we know that they are obtaining all this foreign information for the purpose of getting, in a backdoor, accidental way, in an incidental way, the information on citizens.

00:17:41.000 Republicans say you need a warrant.

00:17:43.000 Mike Johnson used to say that.

00:17:45.000 Now he says, and the intelligence community says no.

00:17:48.000 To impose that would be so restrictive, it would cause so much more terrorism, which is typical.

00:17:57.000 So we'll talk about that too.

00:17:59.000 Should be a pretty good show.

00:18:01.000 Although, like I said, pretty slow week.

00:18:04.000 Nothing's been going on lately.

00:18:06.000 I've been bored.

00:18:07.000 That's one of the reasons I'm getting lazy with the show again.

00:18:10.000 There's just nothing happening.

00:18:11.000 When Candace Owens was doing stuff, I was here for it.

00:18:18.000 Nothing's going on now.

00:18:19.000 But, before we get into the news, I want to remind you to smash the follow button on Rumble and Cozy to get a push notification whenever I go live.

00:18:30.000 Smash the follow button, smash the like button, follow me on Telegram.

00:18:34.000 Telegram!

00:18:37.000 Follow me on Telegram and like the video on Rumble if you're watching the replay or if you're watching live.

00:18:44.000 I gotta make sure I'm live though because you know whenever I go live at an early hour like this it's always some BS like I'm actually not live and no one tells me and okay.

00:18:56.000 So we're good.

00:18:58.000 Also, before we get into the news, another reminder to get your AFPAC tickets.

00:19:03.000 AFPAC tickets have been on sale since Monday and

00:19:09.000 It's going to be our biggest conference yet, AFPAC 4, June 15th in Detroit, Michigan.

00:19:15.000 I'll be there high-fiving everybody, taking pictures with everybody, hanging out with you, listening to your stories.

00:19:23.000 I want to hear what you have to say about politics.

00:19:27.000 When I meet you in real life, this is your opportunity to do your show for me.

00:19:34.000 You're used to watching my show and me talk about politics but when you meet me the tables are turned and the roles are reversed and it's your opportunity to tell me what you really think about politics.

00:19:50.000 And I will sit there and listen and nod my head and make eye contact and pretend to be engaged and I will say, wow, you think so?

00:19:58.000 I never thought of it like that.

00:20:05.000 No, I don't know if I'll do that for everybody, because there's gonna be a lot of people there.

00:20:08.000 But I will be there!

00:20:10.000 Everybody always likes to do that.

00:20:12.000 Whenever I meet people, they always want to, like... They want to monologue at me.

00:20:17.000 It's like, uh...

00:20:19.000 I'm not at your meetup.

00:20:22.000 No, it's fine.

00:20:24.000 But it's like, what gave you the impression that I'm at your meetup and now I want to hear your... This is my meetup for my show.

00:20:32.000 Why are you doing a show for me?

00:20:35.000 And I get it.

00:20:36.000 I mean, I get why people want to do it.

00:20:38.000 It's just funny to me.

00:20:39.000 Whenever I meet people from politics, they're like, hey, I have a monologue that I've been working on, and I'm always like, okay.

00:20:46.000 I mean, they don't say that, but that's effectively what they're doing.

00:20:50.000 And I'm like, oh, buckle up.

00:20:53.000 Here we go.

00:20:54.000 I'm about to hear something I definitely have never heard before.

00:20:58.000 Trap in!

00:20:59.000 This is gonna be a good one.

00:21:01.000 Assistant, get the notebook out. 0.99

00:21:03.000 We got to get this stuff down for my next show.

00:21:06.000 No, I'm kidding.

00:21:06.000 But, um... No, but I'm excited to meet everybody.

00:21:10.000 Don't, don't let that, don't let that dissuade you.

00:21:14.000 It's gonna be a great time.

00:21:15.000 Huge party.

00:21:17.000 It's gonna be our biggest one yet.

00:21:20.000 Over a thousand people.

00:21:23.000 And, um... The tickets are selling fast, so you want to get them as quickly as possible.

00:21:29.000 Almost halfway sold out.

00:21:31.000 So, it's our biggest conference yet.

00:21:33.000 Like I said, over a thousand people.

00:21:35.000 We're closing in on halfway sold out.

00:21:37.000 So, I know people like to kind of push it and save it until the last minute.

00:21:41.000 You're gonna want to get them as quickly as you can, because I don't know how much longer they're gonna last.

00:21:47.000 So, afpac.events is the link.

00:21:51.000 aff.events or afpac.events 150 bucks general admission, but you get dinner.

00:21:58.000 Multiple speeches, meet-and-greet, all that kind of stuff.

00:22:03.000 No promises that I'll meet everybody.

00:22:06.000 For that, you gotta pony up and get the after-party or one of the VIP packages.

00:22:11.000 But, you know, I'll be floating around.

00:22:12.000 You get to see everybody.

00:22:15.000 It's a good time.

00:22:16.000 So...

00:22:17.000 The other thing is, it's the same, everyone's like, why are you doing it in Detroit?

00:22:22.000 I'm doing it in Detroit because Turning Point is doing it in Detroit, so if you are a young person, you can get Turning Point to pay for your flight and hotel, and then you can come to AVPAC instead, or on top of Turning Point.

00:22:40.000 So people are always like, why are you doing it in Detroit?

00:22:44.000 Why are you doing it?

00:22:45.000 Because Turning Point

00:22:47.000 Is paying people to be at their thing and it's kind of like for all the young people It's like a nice little subsidy.

00:22:54.000 So see if you could get yourself a little flight Action make it cheaper for yourself Don't tell them that's what you're doing now because then they won't they're definitely not gonna They're not gonna help you do that if they know it so you got to be a little secretive about it, but

00:23:10.000 But anyway, afpac.events, that's, we're joking about that, but afpac.events, make sure, I might need to say that just to cover myself.

00:23:19.000 afpac.events, get the tickets.

00:23:23.000 Okay, it's actually the morning on Saturday, just for posterity.

00:23:26.000 This is a morning show.

00:23:28.000 It is Saturday morning.

00:23:30.000 I'm cooked.

00:23:31.000 I procrastinated all night.

00:23:34.000 But it's Casual Friday, so it is acceptable to be casually late, especially on Casual Friday.

00:23:42.000 But yeah, there's not too much going on either, so I just feel no motivation.

00:23:48.000 Some nights I'm really with it and I'm ready to go, but there's nothing going on.

00:23:55.000 There's no news.

00:23:56.000 I feel like I almost want to change the schedule and make it like

00:24:02.000 Three shows and two afternoon streams a week.

00:24:07.000 Cuz I know everyone loves the afternoon streams, but it does suck doing five shows and afternoon streams.

00:24:16.000 There's not enough stuff to talk about and I just get tired.

00:24:21.000 So I'm so I was kind of noodling with this idea the other day.

00:24:26.000 I was like, you know, maybe I'll do like

00:24:28.000 Monday, Tuesday, Thursday, Friday show, and then like a Wednesday casual stream?

00:24:33.000 Because I know I haven't been doing five shows a week lately.

00:24:37.000 I've been kind of slacking, so... I've just been thinking about it.

00:24:41.000 I'm not sure yet.

00:24:42.000 Either I gotta try to just, you know, lock in and do five shows a week, or... you know, or we gotta change it up.

00:24:51.000 You know what?

00:24:52.000 I'll make a decision after AFPAC, because it's been a long time since I took a vacation.

00:24:57.000 I'm probably going to do AFPAC, and then I'm probably going to take a short vacation.

00:25:01.000 I'll probably go away for like a week, because I've just been pushing it basically since January 6th, you know?

00:25:09.000 What I was thinking about the other day is, after January 6th, I basically told myself I can never take a break.

00:25:19.000 Because if I step away from the show for a long time, then Cozy dies.

00:25:24.000 You know, because people really only tune in to Cozy to watch my show.

00:25:29.000 They're not there for any other reason.

00:25:31.000 If my show doesn't go live and I'm not there for like a week and a half, I don't know if I'm gonna keep my audience.

00:25:38.000 I don't know how many people will ever return.

00:25:41.000 So I so that was kind of the psychology for a couple years, but now that we're on rumble I got a great following on rumble people tune in all the time great replay viewership I'm not as concerned about that so I feel like Not saying I'm gonna wind down the content, but I can I can kind of take a little break and

00:26:02.000 Collect my bearings, because it's been a long three years.

00:26:05.000 I don't think people think about it that way, but I very much think of the timeline in terms of before January 6th and after.

00:26:13.000 Everything got much more difficult after.

00:26:17.000 And there was, like I said, I was kind of in this survival mode since Rumble took off.

00:26:23.000 And now that Rumble has assumed the same role as DLive, or like YouTube did at one time for me,

00:26:30.000 Now it's kind of like a return to normalcy in many ways.

00:26:35.000 Because the rules from January 6th until very recently, it was just like I was on deity mode.

00:26:43.000 I was on Iron Man hardcore mode.

00:26:46.000 No heads-up display, no extra lives, no nothing.

00:26:53.000 But now things are getting a little bit more friendly, you know?

00:26:59.000 Anyway, I'm just talking out loud about the show and everything, but... I think maybe I'll make a decision, because AFPAC's only a couple months away, so I think after AFPAC, I'll make a decision and figure out the schedule, and then I'll either be doing five shows a week and really pressing to get them on time,

00:27:22.000 Or maybe we'll mix it up a little bit.

00:27:24.000 But either way, I'd like to incorporate more of these afternoon streams, because they get more viewership than anything else.

00:27:29.000 I do an afternoon stream, it gets like 150,000 views.

00:27:34.000 I do a show, the shows have been doing well, like 60,000 to 90,000 every night, but the afternoon streams, for whatever reason, I guess, well, more people are awake at 3 p.m.

00:27:47.000 than they are at 2 a.m., so maybe that's why.

00:27:52.000 Anyway, that's that.

00:27:54.000 We'll move on.

00:27:56.000 We'll get into the show, our featured story.

00:27:59.000 We're going to be talking about this Iranian 1.00

00:28:02.000 Missile strike.

00:28:03.000 I'm sure you've all heard so much about it, and we'll talk about the whole thing.

00:28:08.000 We'll get into all the details about it.

00:28:11.000 If you have not been paying very close attention to what has been happening in the Middle East, there are a few developments that you have to understand to understand how we got here.

00:28:26.000 And I'm talking, strictly speaking, the precipitating factors here.

00:28:31.000 I don't want to go all the way back to October 7th.

00:28:34.000 But this is all about Israel and their current state, their current posture towards Gaza.

00:28:45.000 So the war in Gaza is basically over.

00:28:49.000 It's been just over six months.

00:28:52.000 Israel has cleared every major city in Gaza except for one.

00:28:56.000 It's a very small territory, but with a significant population.

00:29:01.000 Hamas, which is the main adversary, is not very sophisticated.

00:29:08.000 They don't have a lot of men, they don't have a lot of material, but they are dug in.

00:29:13.000 They're in tunnels, they're in trench, they've got defensive capabilities.

00:29:18.000 So it's been a tricky operation.

00:29:20.000 And Israel doesn't have the best ground force.

00:29:23.000 But over the past six months, Israel has cleared the entire Gaza Strip.

00:29:27.000 They moved from north to south.

00:29:30.000 And just last week they evacuated Khan Yunis, which was the city that they had been, the last city they had been fighting in.

00:29:38.000 And now all eyes are on the last city that they have to take out, which is Rafa.

00:29:44.000 And you've heard so much about it, and we've talked so much about it on the show, but Israel's basically done with Gaza.

00:29:51.000 They have driven all the people out of their homes.

00:29:55.000 They have driven all the people to the brink of starvation.

00:29:58.000 100% of the population is at risk of famine.

00:30:02.000 And something like three-quarters of the whole population of the Strip has now taken refuge in this one city in the southeastern tip of the Gaza Strip, which is Rafah on the border with Egypt.

00:30:15.000 And all the drama now is about this city.

00:30:20.000 Israel says that they have to go in. 0.97

00:30:22.000 The only way for them to finally defeat Hamas is to attack Rafah, is to fully invade, full ground offensive, and go into the city and kill all the remaining Hamas leadership and fighters.

00:30:37.000 Problem is, many civilians will die and many of the people there will flee into Egypt, which will cause diplomatic problems.

00:30:48.000 And those are, those are really the, specifically the two issues with what's happening in Palestine, what's happening with Rafah.

00:30:57.000 So the United States is trying to restrain Israel from going into Rafah.

00:31:02.000 And so are all of the Arab and other Muslim countries in the Middle East.

00:31:07.000 The Arabs don't want Israel to go into Rafah because it will be a lot of civilian casualties, their populations will be angry, it will cause a refugee crisis in Egypt and maybe other countries.

00:31:20.000 They're also worried because of the second but separate related development, which is what is happening on Israel's northern border.

00:31:28.000 So, Rafah is basically on Israel's southern border.

00:31:34.000 But what will happen in Rafah, what is happening in Rafah, is affecting what is happening on Israel's northern border.

00:31:41.000 Ever since Israel invaded Gaza, they have been engaged in a fight with Hezbollah in Lebanon, on their northern border.

00:31:48.000 And Hezbollah, unlike Hamas, is massive. 0.76

00:31:53.000 Lot of people, lot of manpower, lot of missiles.

00:31:58.000 And they have constant support and training and funding from Iran.

00:32:02.000 It comes from Iran into Syria, through Syria into Lebanon.

00:32:08.000 And Israel is far more worried about Hezbollah than they are about Hamas because Hezbollah has more manpower and more missiles and is directly supplied and trained by Iran. 0.53

00:32:20.000 And what will happen if Israel invades Rafah is this.

00:32:25.000 Hezbollah anticipates that when Israel strategically defeats Hamas, Israel will then initiate a war against Hezbollah.

00:32:36.000 And there are reasons for this.

00:32:38.000 We've gone over them on the show before.

00:32:40.000 I'm not going to get into them right now.

00:32:42.000 But Hezbollah has a very good reason to believe that once Israel wraps up Gaza by finishing them off in Rafah, they're going to wrap it up and then turn their attention north and they're going to go into Lebanon and they're going to try and take out Hezbollah. 0.83

00:32:58.000 And that's their next move.

00:33:00.000 So, if Israel goes into Rafah and takes out this city, Hezbollah may preemptively attack Israel. 0.61

00:33:09.000 And if they don't preemptively attack, then there's a good chance that Israel will attempt to instigate or provoke them into a preemptive attack, or Israel will attack outright and initiate the war directly.

00:33:22.000 So what happens in Rafah directly affects what happens on Israel's northern border.

00:33:29.000 If Israel takes out Rafah, that is a signal to Hezbollah and to their main patron, Iran, that Israel is ready to turn their attention north and take the fight somewhere else. 0.57

00:33:42.000 Take the fight to them.

00:33:44.000 So in anticipation of that, they may preemptively move.

00:33:48.000 Either way though, there's a good chance that Israel may provoke that either way. 0.97

00:33:52.000 Either by antagonizing Hezbollah into attacking them with some sort of false flag, or by just attacking them outright.

00:34:02.000 And this...

00:34:04.000 Leads to the other major development, which is Israel's antagonism towards Iran itself, towards Iran proper, and the specific incident which Iran is replying to or has stated that they will reply to this week, which is that last week Israel attacked the Iranian embassy in Damascus in Syria, which is a major problem.

00:34:30.000 If you don't know

00:34:32.000 Anything about international affairs, know this.

00:34:36.000 Attacking diplomatic personnel is like sacrosanct.

00:34:42.000 It's blasphemy.

00:34:44.000 This is like the worst thing, or rather, it's sacrilege.

00:34:48.000 Consulates, embassies,

00:34:52.000 Foreign personnel, they are considered absolutely sacrosanct, absolutely protected. 1.00

00:34:57.000 They're like the goalie or the umpire.

00:34:59.000 They're like the referee.

00:35:01.000 You cannot touch them.

00:35:04.000 Even during the Cold War, the United States and the Soviet Union were not messing with each other's ambassadors, weren't messing with each other's embassies.

00:35:13.000 Now there was some spy games that were being played.

00:35:16.000 But the idea that a state would go in and attack or lay siege to or bomb an embassy, it is a major faux pas.

00:35:25.000 It is a major problem.

00:35:28.000 And it is considered an act of war.

00:35:31.000 Because technically, legally speaking, a foreign embassy is that country's soil.

00:35:38.000 So the Russian embassy in America is technically Russian soil.

00:35:42.000 When you walk into the embassy, the embassy is governed by Russian law.

00:35:48.000 It's as though you're in Russia when you're in the building. 0.87

00:35:52.000 If you go into the British embassy, it's like you're in Britain.

00:35:56.000 And if you kill British personnel in the British Embassy, it's like you killed British people in the United Kingdom.

00:36:05.000 But it's even worse than that, because when you attack an embassy, it's not just an attack on that country.

00:36:14.000 It's also an attack on the country that the embassy resides in.

00:36:18.000 So in this case, Israel attacked Iran's embassy, which is like attacking Iranian soil.

00:36:22.000 But they also attacked Iran's embassy in Syria.

00:36:25.000 So it's also a violation of Syria's national sovereignty.

00:36:29.000 So it's doubly bad.

00:36:32.000 But also, when you attack an embassy, it's basically like an attack on the international community.

00:36:37.000 Because every country has embassies in every other country.

00:36:41.000 And if you demonstrate a willingness

00:36:45.000 That you're willing to cross that line, then every country becomes wary.

00:36:52.000 Oh, Israel bombs embassies.

00:36:54.000 Maybe our diplomatic personnel isn't safe in Israel or in other countries.

00:37:00.000 And if they're attacking diplomatic personnel, then that may signal to Iran that maybe an appropriate response is for Iran to attack the Embassy of Israel in some other country.

00:37:10.000 And countries don't want their territory to become a battleground for another war.

00:37:17.000 I mean, hypothetically, Turkey wouldn't want the Israeli Embassy being bombed by Iran. 0.91

00:37:24.000 They don't want to invite them.

00:37:25.000 So that's the problem with attacking an embassy.

00:37:29.000 So there's layers to this.

00:37:31.000 They blew up an Iranian embassy, killed high-ranking officials inside Syria.

00:37:35.000 It's a major violation of one of the major diplomatic conventions.

00:37:39.000 The whole international community has condemned this.

00:37:43.000 And so that is the last third major precipitating cause.

00:37:47.000 But they're all related.

00:37:48.000 This is why it's all happening at the same time.

00:37:52.000 Israel is finishing up its war in Gaza, which in itself is provoking Hezbollah and all the other Iranian-backed embassies. 0.53

00:38:03.000 But it is specifically related to Hezbollah because Hezbollah knows that when they finish in Rafah, Israel's going to war with Hezbollah.

00:38:12.000 So Israel's been provoking Hezbollah and Israel's been threatening and has issued an ultimatum to Hezbollah.

00:38:19.000 And Hezbollah is the number one proxy of Iran.

00:38:23.000 Hezbollah is actually Iran's second strike capability. 0.74

00:38:28.000 Iran has nuclear facilities all over the country.

00:38:32.000 Israel wants to blow them up.

00:38:34.000 And if Israel decided to do that, they'd probably have the backing of the United States. 0.67

00:38:40.000 In the event that Israel were to go to war with Iran, Hezbollah would provide a second strike capability to deter Israel. 0.55

00:38:51.000 If Israel bombed Iran's nuclear facilities or bombed Iran's conventional capabilities, Hezbollah, there's 100,000 guys with 200,000 missiles right over the border, they'd come pouring in. 0.98

00:39:04.000 And that is meant, it's basically a chess game.

00:39:08.000 You move one piece out of the way, and Hezbollah puts Israel in check. 0.97

00:39:12.000 So that means that Israel can't take the Queen, can't take the Bishop, whatever.

00:39:18.000 That's the idea.

00:39:19.000 So, it's like dominoes.

00:39:21.000 Or chess.

00:39:22.000 It's like a lot of games.

00:39:24.000 If Israel goes into Gaza and they finish off Gaza by taking out Rafah, Hezbollah knows they're next. 0.98

00:39:34.000 And if Hezbollah goes, then that's a big problem for Iran. 0.77

00:39:38.000 So, if Israel goes to war with Hezbollah, then Iran's gonna respond. 0.76

00:39:43.000 But Israel wants... But understand, Israel wants all of these successive things, because these three... 0.81

00:39:49.000 These three precipitating factors, these three battlefields, they're all related because they're all Iran. 0.93

00:39:56.000 Hamas is backed by Iran.

00:39:58.000 Hezbollah is backed by Iran.

00:40:00.000 Iran is Iran. 0.95

00:40:03.000 And one way to look at this entire campaign since October 7th is it is a long campaign by Israel to take out these successive Iran proxies, to take out these successive Iranian powers.

00:40:18.000 October 7th was used, that initial attack by Hamas has been used now as a justification to eliminate Hamas.

00:40:27.000 In the future it will be used to provoke and instigate a war with Hezbollah and significantly diminish Hezbollah and ultimately it will be used to instigate a conflict with Iran and significantly diminish Iran's capabilities.

00:40:42.000 Most likely by taking out their nuclear facilities.

00:40:46.000 So, we've been following this for the entire time, for the past six months.

00:40:51.000 I've been saying the same story from the beginning.

00:40:53.000 They're working their way up.

00:40:55.000 And they're leveraging one thing into the next.

00:40:57.000 They leveraged the Al-Aqsa flood on October 7th into a six-month war in Gaza.

00:41:02.000 They're leveraging the war in Gaza into an attack on Hezbollah. 0.55

00:41:06.000 They will leverage the attack on Hezbollah into a war with Iran. 0.57

00:41:10.000 And this is exactly what they're doing.

00:41:13.000 Israel has been bombing Hezbollah in Lebanon, and the attacks are going further into Lebanese territory, further north, further away from the border.

00:41:22.000 They've been killing more people.

00:41:25.000 And Israel has also been escalating against Iran.

00:41:28.000 They've been killing higher-ranking Iranian officials, blowing up Iranian facilities.

00:41:34.000 And then the latest provocation is that Israel bombed the Iranian embassy in Damascus, killing a number of high-ranking people.

00:41:42.000 And that brings us to where we are now.

00:41:45.000 So Israel killed all these people at the embassy.

00:41:48.000 This is such a belligerent act, it demands a response.

00:41:53.000 Iran has to retaliate.

00:41:56.000 Because if Iran doesn't retaliate, then what that signals is that they will allow Israel to kill high-ranking officials in other countries, in embassies.

00:42:08.000 It basically means it's open season.

00:42:10.000 And so Israel can continue 0.99

00:42:13.000 To prosecute a war against Iran on every front in multiple countries without regard for any of the conventions of war.

00:42:20.000 They could even kill diplomats inside of embassies.

00:42:25.000 And Iran will not reply. 0.82

00:42:27.000 So Iran has to reply.

00:42:29.000 This happened two weeks ago.

00:42:32.000 This happened on April 1st.

00:42:33.000 It is now April 12th.

00:42:35.000 And so the big story this whole week is about what this Iranian retaliation is going to be.

00:42:43.000 And the key questions are as follows, and it's going to sound familiar because we've covered this dynamic throughout the entire war.

00:42:51.000 The questions are, who will launch the strike?

00:42:55.000 Will it come from Iran itself?

00:42:57.000 From the Iranian military?

00:42:59.000 From the Islamic Revolutionary Guard?

00:43:02.000 Will it come from one of Iran's proxies like Hezbollah, or the Houthis, or Palestinian Islamic Jihad, or all of the above?

00:43:11.000 Who will it target?

00:43:12.000 Will it target Israel itself? 0.68

00:43:16.000 Will it target Israeli soil?

00:43:20.000 Will it target Israeli forces in other countries or Israeli proxies in other countries?

00:43:26.000 And from where will it be launched?

00:43:28.000 Will it be launched from inside of Iran?

00:43:32.000 Or will it be launched from Iraq?

00:43:34.000 Or will it be launched from Syria?

00:43:37.000 And then the question is, what will the attack be?

00:43:39.000 Drones?

00:43:40.000 Missiles?

00:43:41.000 How many?

00:43:43.000 Against assets?

00:43:45.000 Against personnel?

00:43:47.000 So these are all the relevant questions and how Iran calibrates the response, it has to be severe enough that it deters Israel from provoking Iran further, but it also can't be so severe that it dares Israel to retaliate even more strongly.

00:44:07.000 And it's this tit-for-tat reciprocal escalation that eventually brings the United States in.

00:44:13.000 And that's the other factor.

00:44:15.000 So, they have to calibrate the strike with all these different variables.

00:44:20.000 Where's it going to come from?

00:44:21.000 Who's going to launch it?

00:44:22.000 What are they launching?

00:44:24.000 At whom?

00:44:24.000 Where?

00:44:25.000 They have to calibrate all those details with a few things in mind.

00:44:30.000 And like I said, the basic is it can't be so strong, because if it's so strong, then Israel has to respond and it's an all-out war. 0.84

00:44:40.000 And if it's an all-out war, the U.S.

00:44:41.000 is coming with. 0.88

00:44:43.000 But it can't be so weak that Israel presumes that they can kill Iranians with impunity.

00:44:50.000 But maybe the critical factor is the involvement of the United States.

00:44:55.000 And that is what's been happening over the past week.

00:44:57.000 Iran has been very publicly signaling that they will retaliate.

00:45:02.000 And they've said some specific things.

00:45:04.000 They've said that if the UN Security Council had condemned the strike by Israel, then Iran wouldn't retaliate.

00:45:14.000 That's what they said earlier this week.

00:45:16.000 And resolutions in the Security Council are binding, contrary to what Americans say.

00:45:23.000 Technically speaking, unlike resolutions that are passed in other United Nations bodies, like the General Assembly, or DISAC, or the WHO, or ECOFIN, or whatever, the Security Council passes binding resolutions, meaning that it's incumbent on the member states of the UN to enforce them.

00:45:43.000 So, like, if the United Nations says Saddam Hussein must go, it's the obligation of the member states of the UN to carry out the regime change.

00:45:53.000 They're binding.

00:45:54.000 They deliberately call for action.

00:45:57.000 With the weight in as much as international law has it, with the weight of international law.

00:46:04.000 And Iran is actually in the right. 0.92

00:46:05.000 I mean, Iran says that if the UN Security Council had condemned the strike, they say, well, maybe they wouldn't retaliate.

00:46:12.000 Certainly the Security Council should have condemned the strike, because it's not just the normal conduct of a war.

00:46:19.000 Israel bombed an embassy.

00:46:21.000 So it's not like the UN would be taking sides, or any of the permanent members would be taking sides.

00:46:28.000 It's only enforcing one of the bedrock conventions of international law in the United Nations to condemn that.

00:46:37.000 But they didn't do it.

00:46:38.000 So Iran says that they have to reply.

00:46:40.000 There's also been some negotiation happening behind the scenes with China and Russia and other countries.

00:46:49.000 The U.S.

00:46:49.000 Secretary of State Antony Blinken has asked China to tell Iran to take it easy.

00:46:55.000 China refused.

00:46:57.000 The biggest factor, though, is to what extent the United States will be involved.

00:47:04.000 Will the United States protect Israel from the strike?

00:47:10.000 Will they, in other words, intercept an Iranian cruise missile?

00:47:14.000 Will they intercept an Iranian drone, as they have with Houthi missiles that have been launched at Israel from Yemen?

00:47:22.000 Will the United States participate in a counterattack by Israel?

00:47:27.000 If Iran attacks Israel and Israel counterattacks, will the United States help them?

00:47:32.000 Will they give them intelligence?

00:47:34.000 Will they help facilitate in some way?

00:47:36.000 Will they participate?

00:47:39.000 And, to what extent will the United States have Israel's back at all? 0.75

00:47:43.000 Is it 100%?

00:47:44.000 Is it 80%?

00:47:45.000 Because what Israel did is a pretty extreme provocation. 0.56

00:47:49.000 I don't think the United States supports the targeting of embassies.

00:47:53.000 The United States recognizes that this is what Israel is trying to do. 0.77

00:47:58.000 Israel is trying to provoke Iran into a war.

00:48:00.000 And they're trying to provoke that by doing these extremely antagonistic, belligerent actions like this one.

00:48:08.000 So the United States doesn't co-sign bombing embassies, and they certainly don't co-sign bombing embassies to make us fight Israel's war against Iran.

00:48:17.000 So Iran was waiting to see how much is the United States going to go with this, but the key factor is that the United States has signaled an absolute commitment to defend Israel.

00:48:29.000 The United States is deploying military assets to the Middle East to deter Iran. 0.99

00:48:36.000 They have even deployed some military personnel to Israel.

00:48:39.000 Joe Biden has said that he stands 100% with Israel, says that the United States will defend Israel from the attack, and so on and so forth.

00:48:49.000 And so, the reason why we haven't seen Iran retaliate yet, and why they might not retaliate at all, is because

00:48:59.000 If they do, they know that Israel will have the full backing of the United States in counter-attacking. 0.84

00:49:07.000 And that's the problem.

00:49:10.000 Iran is in a real catch-22 because they have to reply. 0.57

00:49:15.000 To not reply would be a major humiliation on the world stage and invite more aggression.

00:49:22.000 At the same time, if they retaliate,

00:49:26.000 Israel will attack them harder, and the United States will back them. 0.95

00:49:31.000 And then Iran will have to reply, and then it risks a full-out war, not just with Israel, which would be bad enough, but also with the United States.

00:49:41.000 And that is the last thing that Iran wants right now.

00:49:43.000 It would mean a full-scale regional war, and by the end of it, the axis of resistance would be in ruins, and so would Iran. 0.59

00:49:52.000 And probably it would mean regime change in Iran.

00:49:56.000 So that is why we have not seen any kind of a strike from Iran, and that's why I also don't think we're going to.

00:50:05.000 This morning, Iran seized an Israeli cargo ship in the Strait of Hormuz, and there's an early report, I don't know how reliable, but there's an early report that says that Iran is doing that in lieu of a strike. 0.60

00:50:19.000 So in other words, instead of bombing the shit out of Israel, they're just gonna take some civilian cargo ship. 0.90

00:50:26.000 And they say that they're doing that to send a message that Iran can paralyze Israeli trade if they want to, but that doesn't make a ton of sense. 0.96

00:50:40.000 They're really just backing down now because the United States has stepped up to protect Israel. 0.85

00:50:47.000 But, unfortunately, I don't think there's a... Unfortunately,

00:50:53.000 It may seem counterintuitive, but this does not prevent a war.

00:50:58.000 You might think, well, at least we're not going to embark down this path where Iran attacks Israel, and Israel attacks Iran, and then Iran attacks again, and then the United States attacks Iran.

00:51:11.000 It's World War III.

00:51:13.000 You might think it's a big sigh of relief that we haven't embarked down that path yet, but there's no off-ramp here.

00:51:22.000 There's really two big-term, long-term scenarios.

00:51:28.000 One is what I just described, which is that Iran follows through with the strike on Israel.

00:51:33.000 Let's say, for example, Axis of Resistance goes all out.

00:51:37.000 The Houthis, Hezbollah, Popular Mobilization Force, they all bombard Israel with missiles. 0.99

00:51:45.000 It overwhelms the Iron Dome.

00:51:47.000 A bunch of the missiles get through,

00:51:49.000 And it destroys civilian infrastructure in Tel Aviv and other major Israeli cities, it kills civilians, and there's a simultaneous uprising in the West Bank, and it's a serious conundrum.

00:52:02.000 Well, as bad as that strike will be, it will allow Israel to respond proportionally. 0.80

00:52:11.000 And even escalate proportionally.

00:52:14.000 Israel takes out six guys in an embassy.

00:52:17.000 Iran instigates an uprising and an all-out bombardment.

00:52:21.000 That means that Israel gets to take that and double it and give it to the next person. 0.84

00:52:25.000 They get to multiply that by 150% and they get to bomb all of Iran's nuclear facilities. 0.70

00:52:31.000 And if they bomb Iran's nuclear facilities, then Iran bombs Israel's nuclear facilities.

00:52:37.000 But Israel has nukes.

00:52:38.000 So then Israel nukes Iran.

00:52:41.000 Or something.

00:52:42.000 Or the United States intervenes.

00:52:45.000 But either way, this is a very ugly scenario.

00:52:49.000 This is one sphere.

00:52:51.000 This is one option, which is that this very quickly goes from a relatively minor operation in the Gaza Strip to a full-scale regional conflict which involves Israel, the United States, the United Kingdom against Iran and all of its proxy forces.

00:53:11.000 In Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, Yemen, and also involves Syria itself.

00:53:18.000 Most likely it will draw in Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States and potentially Turkey.

00:53:25.000 So that's option one.

00:53:27.000 That's behind door number one if Iran follows through. 0.97

00:53:30.000 And you might think, well,

00:53:32.000 Huge sigh of relief because that won't happen this weekend.

00:53:36.000 But behind door number two, the second option, is that if Israel is allowed to get away with bombing the embassy, they're going to bomb another one next week.

00:53:45.000 They're going to do something else because that has been the pattern since the beginning.

00:53:50.000 On January 3rd, they killed over 100 people in two terrorist attacks on the anniversary of Soleimani's death.

00:53:58.000 A month later, they sabotaged a gas pipeline inside of Iran.

00:54:02.000 Over the course of the same period, they've been killing Iranian Revolutionary Guard personnel, they've been attacking IRGC positions in Syria, they've been antagonizing Hezbollah, and they just blew up the embassy.

00:54:15.000 So you can bet that in the forthcoming

00:54:18.000 Weeks and months.

00:54:20.000 They will be doing more of that and then some. 0.77

00:54:23.000 They will be killing more IRGC. 0.99

00:54:27.000 They will be killing more Hezbollah. 0.99

00:54:30.000 They will be going into Rafah. 0.95

00:54:32.000 They will continue to provoke.

00:54:34.000 And eventually they will provoke so much that Iran will have to reply. 0.87

00:54:41.000 There's a very narrow path in the middle

00:54:46.000 Where it's kind of the same thing when they describe like this soft landing with inflation.

00:54:52.000 There's like this narrow path to achieve a soft landing where everyone kind of patiently waits for Israel to stop killing people without attacking Israel. 0.60

00:55:04.000 Because that's just what Israel wants and that's what they're trying to do. 0.86

00:55:09.000 They're carrying out this butchery in Gaza 0.92

00:55:14.000 And they're provoking all their neighbors.

00:55:17.000 And they are just hoping beyond hope.

00:55:19.000 They are praying that somebody makes a move against them.

00:55:24.000 They are slaughtering people in Gaza.

00:55:27.000 And everyone thinks, how could they possibly do that?

00:55:30.000 It's by design.

00:55:31.000 It's part of it.

00:55:33.000 It is a butchery in Gaza.

00:55:35.000 That's part of the provocation.

00:55:37.000 And they're antagonizing and striking all their neighbors because they are hoping that someone gives them a reason to expand the war.

00:55:46.000 They want Iran to give them a reason to expand the war. 0.58

00:55:51.000 And to go and take out another one of their adversaries.

00:55:56.000 In the meantime, the whole world is turning against them.

00:56:00.000 Europe has turned against them.

00:56:02.000 Russia and China are against them.

00:56:03.000 The United States is against them.

00:56:05.000 The people are against them.

00:56:06.000 Candace Owens is against them.

00:56:08.000 But Israel is hoping. 0.94

00:56:09.000 They know that the world is turning against them and they know that that's a problem.

00:56:13.000 But they're hoping that Iran attacks first. 0.82

00:56:17.000 Because if Iran attacks Israel, then the whole world will have to patiently watch as Israel expands the war and kills other people elsewhere. 0.89

00:56:28.000 Because then the subject changes.

00:56:31.000 So, it's kind of this tricky thing where everyone is waiting for Israel to tire itself out, to burn itself out, Hezbollah, 0.99

00:56:43.000 In an extremely disciplined way is restraining themselves so they don't launch any kind of major attack.

00:56:49.000 So is Iran. 0.97

00:56:51.000 The United States is holding back from really pressuring Israel and they're hoping that the Netanyahu government topples and the operation in Gaza finishes before anybody makes a move against Israel.

00:57:08.000 Because the moment that anyone makes a move against Israel,

00:57:13.000 Israel will be fully justified to reply, and the clock, so to speak, resets back to zero. 0.97

00:57:20.000 Right now, Israel has been beating a dead horse for six months.

00:57:25.000 And everybody is saying, alright, enough.

00:57:28.000 Like, you're done.

00:57:28.000 Even their own people are ready to overthrow Netanyahu and get rid of this guy.

00:57:33.000 And they want the war to be over, and they want their hostages back.

00:57:37.000 But the minute that Iran attacks Israel, 0.84

00:57:40.000 It's like his alt is ready again.

00:57:44.000 The bar is recharged.

00:57:46.000 His rechargeable ability is back.

00:57:49.000 The timer resets.

00:57:51.000 They get to go out and whoever attacks them, they get to go out and attack them back for as long as they need to.

00:57:57.000 Israeli society's primed for it. 1.00

00:58:00.000 International community has to watch it.

00:58:02.000 So that seems to be the game that's happening right now.

00:58:06.000 Hezbollah very early on declined to really get involved.

00:58:11.000 And I said that was super weak.

00:58:13.000 But they declined to get involved because they anticipated all that I'm saying right now.

00:58:18.000 Which is that if they made the first move, Israel would have a mandate in the mind of their own people and the international community to now take it to Hezbollah. 0.53

00:58:29.000 And same with Iran. 0.76

00:58:30.000 Iran knows that if they attack Israel, they're just giving them an excuse.

00:58:35.000 They're giving them a pretext.

00:58:37.000 Giving them a mandate to go and bomb Iran, and America's going to have to help them. 0.99

00:58:44.000 So Iran and Hezbollah have been refusing Israel what it wants, and they've been absorbing all of these belligerent provocations.

00:58:54.000 Across the entire region.

00:58:56.000 Blowing up IRGC and killing generals and embassies and all this kind of stuff.

00:59:02.000 So that's what's going on.

00:59:04.000 But I think it is far more likely that eventually Israel will extract the desired reaction. 0.97

00:59:14.000 And they will be able to work their way up the chain.

00:59:16.000 And like I said, this is all calculated on Israel's part. 0.97

00:59:22.000 They set out after October 7th to take out Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran.

00:59:26.000 And that's the grand prize.

00:59:29.000 They want to bomb Iran's nuclear sites. 0.89

00:59:31.000 They want to bomb Hezbollah. 0.76

00:59:33.000 And if they do that, they will be stronger than they have ever been.

00:59:39.000 They'll be in an unprecedented, uniquely secure position since the Jews started to settle Palestine over 100 years ago. 0.83

00:59:48.000 Because for the first time since they arrived there, they will have no adversaries, internally or externally.

00:59:55.000 They will have the full Palestine west of the Jordan River. 0.89

00:59:59.000 They will have full control of their borders, full spectrum mastery, and it will put them in an unprecedented position to dominate the region.

01:00:10.000 And that is what they want.

01:00:11.000 And that's what they promised from the start.

01:00:13.000 They said, we're going to change the geopolitics of the region for 50 years.

01:00:19.000 So this is about taking the atrocity on October 7th and leveraging that to ethnically cleanse Gaza and deport all the Muslims and send them into the Sinai. 0.99

01:00:29.000 And now they annex Gaza, and now that's taken care of. 0.91

01:00:31.000 And then they're going to do the same thing in the West Bank, and now that's taken care of.

01:00:36.000 And now, their border with Egypt, their border with Jordan is secure.

01:00:39.000 From the river, from the Jordan River to the sea, Israel has full control over the land. 0.97

01:00:45.000 And then they want to take out Hezbollah. 0.66

01:00:47.000 And then from Egypt, to the river, to the sea, to their northern border, they're clear to the Litani River in Lebanon.

01:00:55.000 They will be fully bounded by bodies of water.

01:00:58.000 By the Suez, Eastern Med, Jordan River, and the Litani River.

01:01:06.000 And then by taking out Iran's nuclear facilities, then there is no country in the region that has nukes other than them. 0.77

01:01:14.000 And there is no other country that is infiltrating these other states other than them.

01:01:22.000 Because what you have to understand is that what Iran represents fundamentally is a challenge to Israeli hegemony over the region.

01:01:31.000 Who else would have hegemony there?

01:01:34.000 Saudi Arabia and Egypt and Jordan and Iraq are clients of the United States.

01:01:42.000 Syria has been destabilized by 10 years of civil war.

01:01:46.000 Lebanon has been destabilized by 40 years of war with Israel.

01:01:52.000 And so all that remains is Iran and its many proxies which are operating inside of all these countries, inside and in between the cracks of all these countries. 0.84

01:02:02.000 And once that's rolled back, and once Iran is destabilized, Israel will dismember all of these countries. 0.92

01:02:10.000 Iraq will be divided up into three different countries.

01:02:13.000 Syria will be divided up into three different countries.

01:02:16.000 If not in a legal way, effectively that is how it will be.

01:02:20.000 They will create a Kurdish state.

01:02:24.000 Azerbaijan will steamroll Armenia. 1.00

01:02:27.000 And Israel will fully dominate the region. 0.96

01:02:29.000 And when you look at what has been happening globally,

01:02:34.000 This presents Israel with an unprecedented opportunity then to become a global superpower.

01:02:42.000 Which sounds crazy, but it's real.

01:02:46.000 Because that's, on some level, what many of the wars are about.

01:02:50.000 It's about

01:02:52.000 We're good to go.

01:03:16.000 They will control the flow of all kinds of other goods across a new Silk Road, and they'll be richer and more powerful than ever.

01:03:27.000 So, I think we've done this monologue about a hundred.

01:03:29.000 Forgive me if you've heard all of this before, but

01:03:32.000 But it's a slow news day, and that's what's going on.

01:03:35.000 So that's what Israel is trying to get Iran to do. 0.80

01:03:38.000 It's a trap.

01:03:39.000 I want to see Iran strike just because it would be funny, but also it would be a mistake because Iran striking Israel is a gift. 0.99

01:03:49.000 Iran strikes Israel, Israel gets to go full-on against all those nuclear facilities. 0.54

01:03:58.000 Or whatever, and then it's game over.

01:04:03.000 So that's that.

01:04:05.000 I'm probably not going to cover the FISA thing tonight.

01:04:07.000 I think I'll just save that for later.

01:04:10.000 When did I put up the post on Telegram?

01:04:12.000 How long have I been going?

01:04:14.000 About an hour.

01:04:16.000 Roughly an hour.

01:04:17.000 Yeah, so it's gonna be a shorter show tonight.

01:04:19.000 I'll just leave it at that.

01:04:20.000 We'll cover the FISA thing maybe next week if anyone even cares.

01:04:28.000 Yeah, I might cover it next week at some point.

01:04:29.000 It's not a huge story, but we'll just leave it at that.

01:04:34.000 Aborted Iranian... So anyway, but the latest news, so I'll just tell you the latest specifically, the news about this. 0.98

01:04:41.000 I'll read this story before we totally wrap it up.

01:04:46.000 This is from a few hours ago, but all this intelligence is unreliable.

01:04:50.000 It says, the U.S.

01:04:51.000 expects Iran will carry out strikes against multiple targets inside Israel in the coming days.

01:04:57.000 And is prepared to intercept any weapons launched at its ally.

01:05:02.000 President Joe Biden predicted that Iran's attacks were coming sooner than later and sought once again to issue a stern public warning saying his message to Tehran was simply, don't.

01:05:15.000 As of late Friday, the U.S.

01:05:16.000 believed that Iranian proxies could also be involved in the forthcoming attacks, according to a senior administration official and a source familiar with the intelligence, and that targets would likely be both inside Israel and around the region.

01:05:31.000 The U.S.' 0.99

01:05:31.000 's readiness to intercept weapons launched at Israel marked a clear indication of the level of ongoing cooperation between the two militaries. 0.99

01:05:40.000 The U.S.

01:05:41.000 had observed Iran moving military assets internally, including drones and cruise missiles, signaling that it was preparing to attack Israeli targets from inside its own territory, according to two people familiar with U.S.

01:05:53.000 intelligence.

01:05:54.000 So the intelligence says that Iran will be launching drones and cruise missiles at Israeli territory from Iranian territory.

01:06:02.000 And what that would mean is that Israel would be greenlit to counterattack inside Iranian soil.

01:06:09.000 Inside of Iranian territory.

01:06:12.000 So, the U.S.

01:06:15.000 says Iran's moving things around inside.

01:06:17.000 They're going to launch missiles from Iran to Israel, which means Israel gets to launch missiles from Israel into Iran. 0.69

01:06:25.000 And that's a war.

01:06:29.000 The U.S.

01:06:30.000 was not clear whether Iran was preparing to strike from its soil as part of an initial attack or if it was just posturing to deter Israel or the U.S.

01:06:39.000 from conducting a possible counter-strike on its territory.

01:06:43.000 U.S.

01:06:43.000 Navy forces in the Red Sea previously intercepted long-range missiles launched from the Houthis in Yemen toward Israel.

01:06:50.000 U.S.

01:06:51.000 forces in Iraq and Syria could also potentially intercept drones and rockets depending on the location from which they're launched.

01:06:59.000 The U.S.

01:07:00.000 is not anticipating that Iran or its proxies will attack U.S.

01:07:03.000 forces as part of the retaliation but is moving the assets just in case.

01:07:08.000 Tehran is wary of a dramatic escalation in the fighting and does not want to give the U.S.

01:07:13.000 or its allies an excuse to attack Iran directly.

01:07:17.000 The source has told CNN that U.S.

01:07:20.000 intelligence assesses that Iran has urged several of its proxy militia groups to simultaneously launch a large-scale attack against Israel using drones and missiles and that they could attack as soon as this week.

01:07:33.000 Secretary of State Antony Blinken spoke with the foreign ministers of Turkey, China, and Saudi Arabia to urge them to press Iran not to escalate the conflict in the Middle East after threats made by Iran against Israel.

01:07:46.000 The thing is, though, if Iran went all out, there's nothing that anybody could do to stop it. 0.99

01:07:53.000 Because the thing about missile defense is that it's unreliable.

01:07:59.000 It only is capable of intercepting a certain proportion of projectiles that go into the air, and there's only so many anti-ballistic missile batteries.

01:08:11.000 If Iran truly sought to do damage to Israel, if they were launching strikes simultaneously from Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Iran, and Lebanon, and with enough missiles, some of them are getting through. 0.82

01:08:28.000 And it doesn't take much for it to be a catastrophe.

01:08:31.000 So, America can try to intercept them, Israel can try to intercept them. 0.85

01:08:37.000 If Iran wants, they can make it hurt. 0.98

01:08:40.000 And then Israel can reply, and America can reply, and it could devastate Iran's military.

01:08:47.000 But at that point, we'd be in unprecedented waters.

01:08:51.000 This would be like another major war on the scale of the Iraq War, or something like that.

01:08:58.000 And unfortunately Iran doesn't have the power to resist the United States like Russia is doing right now.

01:09:03.000 It's similar to what Russia did a couple years ago, but Russia has a big enough economy and a big enough military and America doesn't back Ukraine like they back Israel.

01:09:20.000 So it's different in key ways that would seriously make this risky for Iran to 0.86

01:09:25.000 We're good.

01:09:41.000 But that's where we are.

01:09:43.000 So the latest is that American intelligence says that it's coming this weekend.

01:09:48.000 But there's other intelligence which conflicts with this and says that Iran is reconsidering if they'll even do a strike at all.

01:09:56.000 But we really don't know.

01:09:57.000 Some are saying that it is coming this weekend, it's gonna happen, it's gonna happen like today, within hours.

01:10:04.000 Some are saying that it's been cancelled.

01:10:06.000 Iran is reconsidering if they're gonna do anything at all.

01:10:09.000 Maybe they're just gonna seize this cargo ship.

01:10:12.000 And nothing more.

01:10:14.000 But we'll have to watch and see this weekend.

01:10:18.000 If nothing happens this weekend, it would suggest that whatever they were planning on doing has been postponed.

01:10:24.000 And it would signal that they have heeded the warning from the United States and they're gonna play it smart and not take the bait.

01:10:33.000 But that's that.

01:10:34.000 So, that's what you gotta look out for.

01:10:37.000 The key details you gotta look out for are what the strike is, where it's coming from, where it's going, what it is, and if it happens within the next 48 hours.

01:10:53.000 If it doesn't happen in 48 hours, then you know they pushed it back.

01:10:57.000 You know they're not gonna risk America getting involved.

01:11:01.000 But that's that.

01:11:01.000 I want to move on.

01:11:02.000 We're gonna take a look at our Super Chats, see what you guys have to say about all this.

01:11:09.000 We'll take a look.

01:11:10.000 Doesn't look like too many tonight, which is, I mean, it's good because I have been really hating reading these.

01:11:19.000 But also, where's the money?

01:11:22.000 No.

01:11:23.000 Alright.

01:11:24.000 Let me get set up here.

01:11:25.000 We'll read them.

01:11:26.000 We got like 25, 30 tonight.

01:11:29.000 Whoops.

01:11:30.000 Almost lost my cup there.

01:11:32.000 Okay.

01:11:33.000 Let's take a look.

01:11:34.000 We'll see what we got.

01:11:40.000 Why is it not reading now?

01:11:52.000 Okay.

01:11:54.000 Cinderblock Royper sent $100.

01:11:57.000 No message.

01:11:58.000 Thank you for the big super chat and no message!

01:12:01.000 Even better.

01:12:01.000 Thank you.

01:12:02.000 DarkTypeCowboy sent $5.

01:12:04.000 See you in Detroit, Nick. 1.00

01:12:06.000 I am scared of black people. 1.00

01:12:07.000 Is that a joke? 0.99

01:12:10.000 DarkTypeCowboy sent $5. 1.00

01:12:12.000 I wanna have sex with your wife. 1.00

01:12:14.000 She's not really into me. 1.00

01:12:16.000 I rape her. 0.99

01:12:17.000 Nicholas J. Fuentes on April 12th, 2024. 0.99

01:12:21.000 So you're saying the joke back to me.

01:12:24.000 Got it.

01:12:24.000 Thank you for that.

01:12:25.000 I love when you say the joke back to me.

01:12:26.000 Pellegrino sent $5.

01:12:28.000 Thoughts on genetics and political views?

01:12:31.000 Urquhart has 40% heritability.

01:12:33.000 Also because non-breeding liberals are culling themselves from the population.

01:12:37.000 Do you think we will see a tangible effect from this to the political landscape in the future?

01:12:42.000 It's totally heritable.

01:12:44.000 They say that the age of the mother

01:12:51.000 Is more highly correlated with likelihood to be politically conservative than the politics of the parents.

01:12:59.000 In other words, the likelihood that you are conservative is more related to how old your mother is or how old your mother was when she had you than whether or not your parents were conservative.

01:13:12.000 That's what somebody told me.

01:13:15.000 May I don't know if I'm remembering that exactly right, but I think that's what that person said So yeah, it is heritable.

01:13:21.000 I believe that and I think that's that is 100% true I mean right now people are being selected for those that are more Vital those that are more religious the people that are having kids are religious conservatives so Yeah, that's absolutely happening

01:13:40.000 Benny Brucey sent $6.

01:13:42.000 Hypothetically speaking, would Oliver Anthony savor a breakfast potato at McDonald's or start a food fight at In-N-Out?

01:13:48.000 Asking so I can greater aspire towards white excellence.

01:13:52.000 Well, to be fair, I didn't start a food fight.

01:13:57.000 I finished it.

01:13:58.000 Okay, that's a big difference, actually.

01:14:01.000 But Oliver Anthony, there's no In-N-Outs in Appalachia. 1.00

01:14:06.000 So I don't know if Oliver Anthony would ever find himself over there.

01:14:09.000 It might be too liberal for him.

01:14:11.000 He might get scared.

01:14:12.000 That's funny.

01:14:12.000 Yeah, sounds like, uh, sounds like a genie.

01:14:14.000 Sounds like the genie in Aladdin.

01:14:36.000 Only Groip sent $10.

01:14:37.000 Destiny did a flag quiz today and could not identify Spain's flag, Portugal's flag, or Netherlands flag.

01:14:43.000 You gotta give me the clip.

01:14:44.000 You gotta give me the clip, man.

01:14:48.000 Get the clip.

01:14:51.000 Some of those are not... I mean, Netherlands, I'll give you. 0.92

01:14:57.000 I would be able to identify it.

01:14:58.000 But you know, Netherlands, I'd give you. 0.99

01:15:01.000 But Spain?

01:15:02.000 How do you not know Spain?

01:15:07.000 That's pretty bad.

01:15:07.000 I don't watch UFC.

01:15:13.000 I don't watch sports.

01:15:37.000 And I think it's great.

01:15:38.000 I think it's very effective.

01:15:41.000 Luke the Evangelist sent $5.

01:15:43.000 Okay, I'm not... I told you I'm not clicking on links.

01:15:49.000 GreekGroper sent $5.

01:15:51.000 Half one of the major problems with Iran is their relatively weak navy.

01:15:55.000 Their land army is among the strongest and the country's geography would render them resilient during a long-term invasion.

01:16:01.000 However, the U.S.

01:16:02.000 could easily neutralize their navy.

01:16:10.000 Yep.

01:16:29.000 Yeah.

01:16:29.000 America and Israel would not... They would not be able to invade Iran and win a long-term ground war, but they wouldn't need to.

01:16:34.000 Because you're absolutely right.

01:16:35.000 All they'd have to do is embargo Iran, 0.98

01:16:58.000 Control the airspace.

01:17:00.000 Take out the nuclear facilities.

01:17:03.000 It would be over very quickly.

01:17:05.000 They'd have big problems.

01:17:07.000 So, yeah.

01:17:09.000 And similarly, like with Ukraine, it's been a war against Iran for decades.

01:17:15.000 You know, they say that the current invasion of Ukraine isn't a war, it's a special operation, because the war started in 2014.

01:17:25.000 And even before then, but really started in 2014.

01:17:29.000 The war with Iran has been going on for a long time.

01:17:33.000 Color revolution stuff, sanctions, assassinating their scientists, sabotage, you name it.

01:17:44.000 So, you're absolutely right about that.

01:17:47.000 BasedGroi% $25, New Zealander living in Dubai.

01:17:51.000 With this escalation, at what point do you think I need to get out of the country?

01:17:54.000 I don't want to be living in Fallout 3 Cheers.

01:18:00.000 You should get out of there as soon as possible, but I'm sure you'll be fine.

01:18:04.000 Nothing ever happens.

01:18:08.000 But, you know, if anyone knew, you probably would be in an empty neighborhood right now.

01:18:14.000 Hey, well, thank you.

01:18:15.000 I appreciate that.

01:18:29.000 I don't know, we might have to come for you and get more of a cut. 0.65

01:18:32.000 What do you mean?

01:18:33.000 Are you trying to say you're... Do I have to come over there and copyright strike you?

01:18:37.000 No, I'm kidding.

01:18:38.000 No, but I appreciate the super chat.

01:18:40.000 Glad to hear you're doing well, man.

01:18:42.000 I'll see you there.

01:18:42.000 Good morning, Groyper.

01:18:44.000 Yeah, that's a throwback.

01:18:52.000 Hey, thank you man.

01:19:16.000 Yeah, it's clearly an attention grab.

01:19:18.000 I'm really not interested in it. 0.99

01:19:20.000 It's just giving desperate, pathetic, like, you know, he made a clown out of himself. 0.97

01:19:27.000 I don't even want to do it. 0.98

01:19:28.000 I mean, if he, honest to God, if he had challenged me before he did the whole Purim costume and all that, I might have accepted.

01:19:41.000 But after that, like, there's just, it's not even worthwhile for me at that point.

01:19:47.000 And I'm somebody that's totally on the outside, I'm totally ostracized, blackballed, whatever.

01:19:54.000 You know, so a person like me is looking for opportunities to get in front of a mainstream audience, or to get some kind of credibility by debating people that are more mainstream than me.

01:20:09.000 But at this point, he is such a joke and has made such an embarrassment out of himself that there is nothing for me to gain by debating him.

01:20:22.000 Even if I won a crushing victory, which I totally would, there's nothing to be gained.

01:20:28.000 The guy's a joke.

01:20:29.000 I mean, he would hurt my credibility by debating him.

01:20:33.000 Because everyone already thinks I'm a Nazi.

01:20:35.000 If I debate this guy, it's gonna be a freak show.

01:20:39.000 Now it's a whole freak show.

01:20:41.000 Now it's not just one freak doing a show.

01:20:43.000 Now it's a freak show with two freaks doing their act next to each other, so... I probably would have debated him before he did that, but he's just turned into a laughingstock.

01:20:55.000 I think everybody...

01:20:58.000 I don't think there's one person, even a Zionist, that takes that guy seriously. 1.00

01:21:02.000 So yeah, I think you're right.

01:21:06.000 The timing's interesting.

01:21:09.000 Greekoid sent $5. 0.95

01:21:11.000 Big surprise that the former amateur porn star who turned men gay, Nala, is being platformed and embraced by another former amateur porn star who also turned men gay, Knowles. 0.59

01:21:21.000 Thanks for the really early show today.

01:21:23.000 Love you.

01:21:24.000 Thank you.

01:21:24.000 Yeah, very funny.

01:21:27.000 Are you a woman?

01:21:32.000 What kind of female question is that? 1.00

01:21:38.000 It's so interesting to me.

01:21:40.000 How does a person even come up with a question like that?

01:21:43.000 Are you literally a girl?

01:21:44.000 I can't imagine a man coming up with that question.

01:21:48.000 How do you stay out of drama?

01:21:53.000 I'm not ever really in drama.

01:21:56.000 I'm all about the business, so I'm never really in drama.

01:22:02.000 You know, I don't even know what that means.

01:22:06.000 Drama. 0.99

01:22:09.000 I'm not really in drama, I just do my, do my shit. 0.99

01:22:14.000 I do my work. 0.98

01:22:16.000 Now for a long time I had this reputation of being like a huge source of drama.

01:22:21.000 It was never me, it was always the people around me causing drama.

01:22:25.000 And then when all those people left and did other things, now consequently there's no, where's the drama now, right?

01:22:33.000 Do you remember years ago everybody's like, oh Nick causes all this drama, blah blah blah, now it's like no drama.

01:22:41.000 So...

01:22:45.000 I'm really sorry for you. 0.71

01:22:53.000 That must suck.

01:22:56.000 Thank you for the super chat, but yeah. 0.98

01:22:58.000 Oh, you're banned on Twitter? 0.98

01:23:01.000 Aw, that must really suck. 0.99

01:23:02.000 I feel really bad for you. 0.93

01:23:06.000 I have no idea what that's like.

01:23:08.000 Poor guy.

01:23:09.000 Poor thing.

01:23:11.000 What, did you lose a thousand followers?

01:23:13.000 They're there.

01:23:14.000 It'll be okay.

01:23:16.000 Yo, Dat Elephant.

01:23:20.000 Yo, Dat Elephant. 0.99

01:23:25.000 Yeah, Iran's gotta kill those cows. 1.00

01:23:29.000 Whatever Iran does, it's gotta take the cows out with it. 1.00

01:23:32.000 A bee sent $100, Elon Bucks.

01:23:35.000 Why does he let us post your clips everywhere but won't unban you?

01:23:39.000 It's like he cut off the head of the snake and is fine with watching it writhe around. 0.65

01:23:43.000 It makes me even more mad how people launder your opinions while pretending you don't exist or trash talking you. 0.59

01:23:59.000 I wish I could have my Twitter, but they won't give it to me.

01:24:10.000 But, it is what it is.

01:24:11.000 Maybe I'll get unbanned this year, we'll see.

01:24:17.000 Hey, thank you for the big super chat.

01:24:21.000 I appreciate it.

01:24:24.000 You know, I always hated when people talked about waking up early and watching cartoons. 0.99

01:24:34.000 It's like, when did you not have fucking cable? 0.99

01:24:37.000 Were you born in the 60s? 1.00

01:24:38.000 Like, you can watch cartoons any time of the fucking day. 0.99

01:24:44.000 People always say, oh it's like Sunday morning cartoons, Saturday morning cartoons. 0.99

01:24:48.000 Saturday morning cartoons?

01:24:49.000 What are you, 80 years old?

01:24:52.000 What are you, a fossil?

01:24:55.000 Saturday morning cartoons?

01:24:56.000 You didn't have Cartoon Network?

01:24:58.000 You never heard of Nickelodeon?

01:25:00.000 Disney XD?

01:25:01.000 Like if you're under the age of 100 talking about Saturday morning cartoons, what are you, raised by your grandparents?

01:25:11.000 Homeschooled?

01:25:13.000 One of those kids that never had cable?

01:25:15.000 It's like Saturday morning cartoons! 1.00

01:25:17.000 Who's writing this shit? 1.00

01:25:21.000 That's crazy. 1.00

01:25:22.000 I don't know about you, I watch cartoons all day.

01:25:24.000 I was watching cartoons at 10 o'clock at night.

01:25:27.000 I was watching Lilo and Stitch with the babysitter at 11 p.m.

01:25:31.000 Dave the Barbarian.

01:25:32.000 What are you talking about?

01:25:33.000 Richard Percival sent $10.

01:25:34.000 He's serious is the reputational damage Israel has suffered?

01:25:39.000 If Iran and Hezbollah never respond, but Israel annexes Gaza, would Israel have still come out ahead? 0.79

01:25:45.000 What was the first part?

01:25:47.000 He's serious is the... Oh, how serious?

01:25:53.000 It's not that serious, because all those problems will go away.

01:25:57.000 When this war is over, Saudi Arabia will ink the deal, okay? 0.62

01:26:03.000 And Israel had been headed towards a decoupling with the United States already, so... Honestly, they made the move at the right time. 1.00

01:26:13.000 Very funny.

01:26:13.000 That's a great super chat.

01:26:29.000 Thank you, man.

01:26:30.000 Yeah, well, he's just not that smart.

01:26:32.000 I mean, memory is a part of IQ, so his brain has been scrambled by drugs.

01:26:35.000 I would bet you a million dollars that if we both studied

01:26:58.000 Country names, country capitals, flags, and geography that I would do better than he would.

01:27:04.000 99 times out of 100.

01:27:05.000 I mean, I would do it better just based on prior knowledge.

01:27:09.000 And I have.

01:27:11.000 Joseph Quesada sent $5.

01:27:13.000 Clip of Destiny not being able to identify Spanish flag.

01:27:16.000 Let me see.

01:27:20.000 Got it.

01:27:21.000 I forgot it.

01:27:23.000 No, wait.

01:27:24.000 I was like, you guys actually have a cool flag.

01:27:26.000 Because you have a thing on it.

01:27:28.000 Was it this thing?

01:27:29.000 No, it was this thing.

01:27:30.000 No, it was this thing.

01:27:30.000 This doesn't look... Spanish?

01:27:33.000 It was this guy.

01:27:34.000 No.

01:27:35.000 It was this guy. 1.00

01:27:37.000 What the fuck? 1.00

01:27:37.000 They're like the same shit. 1.00

01:27:40.000 No. 1.00

01:27:41.000 It was this guy.

01:27:42.000 No.

01:27:45.000 Wow.

01:27:47.000 It had a... Ha!

01:27:51.000 Bro!

01:27:52.000 Wow!

01:27:56.000 That's crazy.

01:27:58.000 I can name most of these flags.

01:28:01.000 I think there's some that I couldn't.

01:28:04.000 What is that?

01:28:05.000 Indonesia, Estonia, Cyprus, Italy.

01:28:09.000 I'll come back to that one.

01:28:10.000 Poland.

01:28:12.000 Come back to that one.

01:28:13.000 Romania, Vatican.

01:28:16.000 That's one of the... Slovakia, I think.

01:28:18.000 Spain, Belgium.

01:28:20.000 Come back to that one.

01:28:23.000 Portugal, Austria.

01:28:26.000 North Macedonia.

01:28:27.000 Is that Barbados?

01:28:31.000 Latvia.

01:28:33.000 Don't know that one.

01:28:34.000 That one's the other one.

01:28:36.000 Slovakia or Slovenia.

01:28:38.000 No wait, no, I'm sorry.

01:28:40.000 The red one's Montenegro. 1.00

01:28:41.000 This one's North Macedonia.

01:28:43.000 France.

01:28:45.000 Czechia.

01:28:45.000 That one's like... I want to say that... I'll come back to that one.

01:28:54.000 Don't know that one.

01:28:54.000 Kosovo and that's like Croatia, I want to say.

01:29:00.000 And then the one I want to go back to, I think that's Bulgaria.

01:29:05.000 And then this other one is Kyrgyzstan, I want to say.

01:29:09.000 It's one of the Central Asian countries.

01:29:15.000 And the other ones I don't know.

01:29:16.000 There's like two that I don't.

01:29:20.000 Then I don't have a guess.

01:29:21.000 Two or three.

01:29:24.000 So, but I'm not that good with flags, but I'll just rattle those off off the top of my head. 0.95

01:29:29.000 I'm okay with killing gingers, yeah. 1.00

01:29:31.000 We gotta sacrifice... 0.99

01:29:50.000 They don't need to have been not yoked. 1.00

01:29:52.000 They don't need to have pure... We could just start killing them. 1.00

01:29:56.000 We just start killing them. 1.00

01:29:57.000 Nah, kidding. 1.00

01:29:58.000 Kidding!

01:29:59.000 Love Tyler Russell.

01:30:00.000 Hey, I don't hate gingers at all.

01:30:03.000 I don't hate gingers.

01:30:05.000 Zachariah Seeds sent $5.

01:30:06.000 Do foreigners ever go to a pack? 0.99

01:30:09.000 I'd give it will be cringe if I came.

01:30:11.000 I'm South African. 0.98

01:30:12.000 I'm not some ugly ass nigga and I have an Elon Musk accent but it may not make sense because I'm not American. 0.98

01:30:18.000 Love you big bro 07. 0.98

01:30:20.000 Hey, thank you, man.

01:30:21.000 Yeah, we've had non... There's gonna be non-Americans there. 1.00

01:30:24.000 There's gonna be some Europeans there.

01:30:29.000 Some Polish guy came to the last rally, so yeah.

01:30:32.000 Yeah, by all means.

01:30:34.000 Okay!

01:30:35.000 Alright, that's our last Super Chat.

01:30:37.000 That's gonna do it for me.

01:30:40.000 Relatively painless tonight.

01:30:42.000 That wasn't so bad.

01:30:44.000 Super Chats were terrible this week, but that wasn't bad. 0.99

01:30:49.000 But I'm in a better mood.

01:30:51.000 When I go live when I feel like it, then I'm in the mood for it.

01:30:56.000 When I go live and I'm not in the mood for it, then I'm mad.

01:30:59.000 Because I'm like, you're making me do this show.

01:31:03.000 When I go live and I'm in the mood for it, I'm like, alright, what's your question?

01:31:11.000 Alright, well that's it.

01:31:13.000 That's all I got.

01:31:14.000 Remember to follow me on Rumble and Cozy to get a push notification whenever I go live.

01:31:20.000 I'm on the air Monday through Friday.

01:31:22.000 Thanks to our Super Chatters.

01:31:24.000 Huge special thanks to CinderblockGroperAB and SamboGroper.

01:31:29.000 Big thanks to them.

01:31:31.000 Thanks to all our Super Chatters.

01:31:32.000 Everybody that watches, get your AFPAC tickets.

01:31:35.000 AFPAC.events I messed up the order.

01:31:41.000 What is it?

01:31:45.000 I'll see you on Monday.

01:31:47.000 Until then, have a great weekend.

01:31:49.000 Have a great rest of your evening.

01:31:52.000 Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo.

01:31:59.000 It's going to be only America first. 0.99

01:32:04.000 America first.

01:32:08.000 The American people will come first once again.

01:32:37.000 America first!

America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - April 13, 2024

GAZA WAR DAY 188: IRAN STRIKE IMMINENT??? | America First Ep. 1318GAZA WAR DAY 188: IRAN STRIKE IMMINENT??? | America First Ep. 1318

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