GAZA WAR DAY 37: Israel Planning REGIONAL WAR With Hezbollah, Says White House | America First Ep. 1249GAZA WAR DAY 37: Israel Planning REGIONAL WAR With Hezbollah, Says White House | America First Ep. 1249
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00:15:12.000Day 37, if you can believe it, is today.
00:15:16.000And it looks like Israel is preparing to open a second front.
00:15:20.000They actually want to fight Hezbollah in northern Israel and southern Lebanon.
00:15:27.000And the White House and the Biden administration are warning them not to.
00:15:32.000But it looks like there is a big pressure within the Israeli war cabinet to preemptively strike Hezbollah and expand the war and make this a regional conflict.
00:15:46.000In addition to that, there's also news about the Gaza Strip and Israel's plans after they're finished with Hamas.
00:15:54.000They're saying that they have no intention of having any kind of coalition government in the Gaza Strip or any kind of Palestinian government there.
00:16:05.000They're saying that they alone want to administer whatever form of government comes next in Gaza when they're finished with the operation.
00:16:15.000And that looks to me like full-on annexation.
00:16:18.000So, we'll talk about that and get into all the latest on the war over there.
00:16:24.000We'll also be talking tonight about potentially another government shutdown, or maybe not, because it looks like the new U.S.
00:16:32.000Speaker of the House, Representative Mike Johnson, is going to cut a deal with the Democrats, just like his predecessor Kevin McCarthy, which is kind of a joke.
00:16:45.000And so if you've been following the show for the last couple months, you may remember that before the war in Israel, the major story was that Speaker of the House, Kevin McCarthy, was betraying the base again in order to put forward a continuing resolution to fund the government in this ongoing appropriations battle.
00:17:08.000And in order to cut Republicans out of the deal, he went across the aisle and made a secret deal with the Democrats.
00:17:17.000Mike Johnson wound up being the fourth and the successful one.
00:17:36.000And we still don't have these appropriations bills.
00:17:40.000There's going to be another continuing resolution like there was in October, and it looks like he's going to make the same deal that Kevin McCarthy did.
00:17:49.000He's going to cut the Republicans out and go to the Democrats, and with their support, pass another CR that will fund the government through January.
00:18:05.000And I don't know if Republicans will even be able to get rid of him because they got rid of the one mechanism that they were able to use to get rid of McCarthy back in October.
00:18:35.000I guess there's a little bit more going on so that's what we'll be talking about tonight.
00:18:41.000Before we get into the news I want to remind you to smash the follow button on Cozy and on Rumble and I've been telling people you gotta follow me on both because I don't know how long I'm gonna be on Rumble and knock on wood so far so good I'm I am on Rumble now and I think they have a pretty solid commitment to free speech over there
00:19:43.000And the link for Telegram is down below.
00:19:45.000So make sure to follow me on everything.
00:19:49.000And with that, I suppose we'll dive into the show.
00:19:53.000I don't really have too much else to say besides that.
00:19:58.000But our war, or rather, our coverage of the war in Gaza continues this week.
00:20:04.000So I think we'll start with the Gaza War because
00:20:09.000This is a pretty big deal and I've been covering the Gaza War almost every day since it began and I've articulated that the main two interests that the United States has in this conflict, because of course this isn't our fight.
00:20:26.000Hamas is not our enemy, neither is Hezbollah.
00:20:31.000These are not threats to the United States homeland.
00:20:34.000And so it's really immaterial who prevails in this conflict for us.
00:20:41.000But with that being said, because we are a global hegemon, nevertheless, we do have an interest in the region.
00:20:49.000And the biggest and the most important interest is this, that we do not get drawn into a wider conflict.
00:20:56.000And I've said from the beginning that so far it has been a contained local conflict between Israel and Hamas.
00:21:06.000And Hamas, although they will be a formidable foe for Israel, they are not a military power.
00:21:15.000Their formidability comes from their defensive fortifications, the fact that they're entrenched, literally and figuratively.
00:21:23.000They have miles of tunnel, very far underground.
00:21:26.000They have missiles and rockets, and what's more, it's a popular resistance movement.
00:21:50.000And so that makes it a different kind of conflict.
00:21:52.000But with that being said, there's only 25,000 Hamas fighters.
00:21:57.000And although their defensive munitions
00:22:00.000Will pose a problem for Israeli armor and for Israeli infantry.
00:22:05.000They do not pose a threat to countries in the region offensively.
00:22:10.000So this is really, so this conflict is not a big deal.
00:22:14.000This is a local conflict and it has its challenges, but this is not something that should expand any further than that.
00:22:22.000And it doesn't really have any strategic significance either.
00:22:26.000The Gaza Strip and Eastern Mediterranean broadly is not a strategically significant region.
00:22:34.000Which a lot of people don't really understand.
00:22:36.000When people think Middle East, they think oil.
00:22:40.000And so people, I think, fall into this misconception that everywhere in the Middle East is strategically important because they equate the Middle East with oil.
00:22:51.000But the oil is mostly coming from the Persian Gulf.
00:22:56.000It's mostly coming from the Arabian Peninsula and the Persian Gulf.
00:23:00.000And so that is, although in the same region, it's a totally different part of that region than where Israel and Palestine are situated.
00:23:12.000So if you look at a map of the Middle East, there's the Suez Canal, there's the Persian Gulf,
00:23:17.000Those constitute the main strategic parts and the Gaza Strip and Israel don't touch that.
00:23:27.000So with that being said, America's interest in the region is that because we are an ally of Israel, because Israel has capture of our government, because they have totally infiltrated and because they influence our government, the biggest strategic interest for America
00:23:45.000Is that we're not forced into fighting other, bigger, more powerful entities in the region.
00:23:52.000Hamas has 25,000 fighters, but Hezbollah has 100,000.
00:24:32.000They're a key ally of Russia and China.
00:24:35.000And so the main goal is that we don't end up fighting Iran's proxies or Iran.
00:24:40.000And the second major goal is that we don't want for the war in Gaza to result in a total expulsion of Palestinians from the Gaza Strip because most likely they will be coming to the United States as refugees.
00:24:55.000And we're already in the middle of a major migrant crisis.
00:24:59.000All of our major cities are being overwhelmed by asylum seekers.
00:25:04.000This wave mostly from Venezuela, although they're coming from many countries across the southern border.
00:25:14.000Intends on politically expelling all of the Palestinian Gazans if they intend to annex the region Without a possibility for the Palestinians returning home Then presumably the Palestinians will not all be settled in Egypt Jordan or other Arab countries They will wind up in Europe and the United States.
00:26:31.000They're displacing nearly all the Palestinians that live in Gaza, and they've also repeatedly said that there will not be any kind of Palestinian administration in the Gaza Strip when the conflict is over.
00:28:03.000And they are being bombed constantly on a nearly daily basis by Iran and its proxies.
00:28:10.000And so with our assets in the region protecting Israel, and as a consequence with our assets coming under attack because of our support for Israel, we're already involved in a limited way.
00:28:21.000But the wider the conflict gets, if Israel is in a bigger and more expanded war with Hezbollah and the other Iranian-backed militias or Iran itself, then we will be fully involved.
00:28:34.000We will be fully on the hook for defending the State of Israel because they will not be able to defend themselves.
00:28:40.000They will not be able to fend off Hezbollah and Iran and the Islamic Resistance and Hamas.
00:28:47.000So we will have to come to their aid and that will mean a huge
00:28:52.000American military intervention, which is not something that we want.
00:28:57.000The article goes on and says, Some in the Biden administration are concerned that Israel is trying to provoke Hezbollah and create a pretext for a wider war in Lebanon that would draw the United States and other countries further into the conflict.
00:29:14.000source said the White House asked Austin to express concern to Gallant about escalating military action in Lebanon.
00:29:22.000In the public readout of the call, the Pentagon said Austin emphasized the need to contain the conflict to Gaza and avoid regional escalation.
00:29:32.000and Israeli sources with knowledge of the call said that it was a very direct and frank conversation specifically concerning Israeli military action in Lebanon.
00:29:42.000An Israeli source said Austin asked Elan for clarification about Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon and asked that Israel avoid steps that could lead to an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah.
00:29:54.000Specifically, the Biden administration was alarmed by two specific incidents.
00:30:00.000With a high potential of pushing Hezbollah to respond in a way that would significantly widen the conflict with Israel, according to the Israeli source.
00:30:09.000In one incident, an Israeli airstrike hit a car in southern Lebanon and killed an elderly woman and three of her grandchildren.
00:30:17.000It took days for the Israeli military to acknowledge it.
00:30:20.000The second incident happened on Saturday before the call between Austin and Galant, where the Israeli military conducted a drone strike 25 miles north of the border.
00:30:32.000It was the longest-range strike in Lebanon since the war started.
00:30:36.000Additionally, the Biden administration is concerned by Galant's public threats against Hezbollah and think these threats only increase tensions.
00:30:46.000So, we've talked about the dynamic in Israel for a long time.
00:30:52.000I think people basically understand what's happening over there.
00:31:01.000All the dominoes have been put into place where Israel is attacking Hamas, the United States is there protecting Israel, and in the meantime Israel is fighting with Iran's proxies in a very limited way.
00:31:16.000Where Hezbollah in Lebanon is sending missiles into Israel, the Houthis in Yemen are sending missiles into Israel, the Islamic Resistance in Iraq and Syria is attacking American bases in Iraq and Syria.
00:31:31.000And the powder keg here is that the longer the war goes on, every day that the war continues and Palestinians continue to die in Gaza,
00:31:43.000There is a greater likelihood that the war becomes a regional war, where it's not just Israel fighting Hamas, but there is high-intensity conflict going on basically across the whole Middle East, where Saudi Arabia is in Yemen, Israel is in Lebanon, the United States is in Iraq and Syria and Lebanon, and potentially Iran is involved directly.
00:32:09.000And then it turns into, this is a regional conflict that then very quickly becomes a world war, where potentially Europe is involved, Russia and China are involved.
00:32:20.000So it's a very, very delicate situation, and like dominoes, once one of these flashpoints erupts, every other one is going to go off.
00:33:04.000Is that it looks like Israel is trying to make this happen.
00:33:10.000Contrary to what many people believe, that Israel is in a defensive position and they are defending themselves because this is the rhetoric that's used.
00:33:21.000They go out there and say, well we're in this war in Gaza because we have a right to defend ourselves.
00:33:32.000It's an offensive war in Gaza, and it appears to have total military aims, meaning that they don't have a limited aim to anything specific where they want to neutralize Hamas, or they want regime change, or they want to secure some strategic part of the Strip.
00:34:05.000Additionally, it seems that they don't want to keep the fighting contained to Gaza.
00:34:10.000They want for the fighting to open up on a second front.
00:34:14.000Because maybe they see this as an excuse
00:34:19.000For them to finally destroy Hezbollah and fundamentally change the security situation in the region, because it's been getting bad for them for a long time.
00:34:29.000And this all goes back to the Iraq War.
00:34:31.000When Saddam Hussein was removed from power, it basically opened the floodgates for Iran to expand its influence everywhere in the whole Middle East.
00:34:42.000And with Saudi Arabia getting closer to Israel and the United States, a lot of the people and a lot of factions in the Middle East have joined the cause of Iran, specifically like Hamas.
00:34:57.000And so in the last 10 or 15 years, the situation has been created where Israel is surrounded by enemies.
00:35:04.000They've got Assad, who is their mortal enemy forever.
00:35:09.000They've got Hezbollah, which it's like their mission statement to destroy Israel.
00:35:15.000It's these Iranian-backed militias which control or are influential in significant parts of Iraq.
00:35:38.000And the entire region hates them, and so maybe they see this as an opportunity.
00:35:43.000Rather than them being haplessly on the back foot on defense, maybe they see this as an opportunity to bring the United States back into the region and to use American military might to fundamentally change this dynamic.
00:36:00.000And if Israel is able to provoke Hezbollah into a first strike,
00:36:05.000Then the United States is on the hook to defend Israel.
00:36:09.000And so it's really a very political game that's being played.
00:36:13.000Israel and Hezbollah are both attacking each other with minor strikes, and it's very reciprocal, it's tit-for-tat.
00:36:27.000I was actually disappointed that the leader of Hezbollah said specifically that he was not declaring a war, that it would not escalate in the short term, that there would not be any major fighting.
00:36:40.000And the United States has made it clear to Hezbollah and Lebanon that they would get involved if there was a wider war.
00:36:47.000And it seems like neither the Lebanese government, nor Hezbollah, nor the Lebanese people want a war.
00:36:57.000If they initiate the war on an offensive basis, then they have no case.
00:37:03.000They can't come to the United States for aid if they flagrantly go against American interest and start an offensive war.
00:37:11.000It kind of goes against this narrative that they're on the defense, that they were attacked, that this is about their right to defend themselves or their right to exist.
00:37:19.000If they're going around and starting new wars and opening up new fronts and attacking their neighbors,
00:37:25.000So, since Hezbollah and Lebanon don't want the war, and they haven't taken the bait so far, Israel is now becoming more and more provocative in their actions on the border.
00:37:38.000So they're striking further into the interior of Lebanon, they're not just hitting the border, their missiles are moving further and further north, they're bombing Syria as well, the United States is bombing Syria, and apparently they're also killing civilians in Lebanon.
00:37:54.000And that's notwithstanding the fact that they are constantly threatening Hezbollah on a daily basis and talking about how they'll be destroyed and how they'll be wiped off the map and so on.
00:38:06.000And the goal, it seems, of these more provocative strikes and of the rhetoric is to goad Hezbollah into making a miscalculation.
00:38:22.000Hezbollah fighters crossing the border.
00:38:25.000They need Hezbollah to make a small mistake that they can embellish and blow out of proportion and claim that it's an act of war and they were attacked
00:38:36.000And then they can use that as the pretext to respond in the same way that they're doing in Gaza, with air superiority to totally destroy Hezbollah, and to call on the United States to get involved as well, which it seems the United States is increasingly escalating just like Israel.
00:38:55.000And like we talked about on Friday, they're escalating airstrikes in eastern Syria,
00:39:01.000And they're now targeting the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and Iranian military in Syria as well.
00:39:08.000So, this is a very bad situation, because it seems like the war in Gaza is not going to end anytime soon.
00:39:16.000The Israelis are moving very slowly and gradually, and they're suffering pretty significant casualties.
00:39:22.000They say they're losing about five Israeli soldiers per day, but the real fighting hasn't even started.
00:39:27.000They're on the outskirts of the major city, Gaza City.
00:39:32.000And so if they're only on the outskirts, moving carefully, slowly, coming in with air power to kill everything first, and they're still losing five guys per day, then this does not bode well for when they actually begin the real fighting and lay siege to Gaza City.
00:39:49.000It would suggest that there will probably be significantly more casualties, maybe in the hundreds, some are saying.
00:39:57.000And if that's the case, it's going to be very bloody and costly and it's going to go on for a very long time.
00:40:03.000How much longer can there be this level of civilian casualties in Gaza, military casualties from Israelis, and at the same time, how much longer can this low-intensity conflict occur between Israel and Hezbollah and the United States and the Iranian militias before it turns into an all-out war?
00:40:26.000And the answer is it seems almost inevitable at this point and there's rumors that Israel is preparing for a full-on war and that the United States is as well.
00:40:35.000People have talked about some of the recruitment ads for the US military and saying that for the first time they feature white people so that signifies that
00:40:45.000Contrasted with past military advertisements when it's all about diversity, when they're calling on the white people, they're actually thinking about wars as opposed to running it like it's some other business.
00:40:59.000So, this is a very bad and precarious situation.
00:41:50.000All it's going to take is for a Houthi missile to finally penetrate the Saudi air defense and hit Israel before this thing widens and expands.
00:41:59.000And if it's going on indefinitely, these things are going to be happening every day.
00:42:03.000So the likelihood just goes higher and higher and higher.
00:42:07.000And again remember that's the one thing, this is like the one thing that the United States does not want.
00:42:14.000People talk all the time about how Israel is our closest ally and yet in this case the Israeli interest and the American interest not only don't align, they're opposites.
00:43:56.000It's been the same story with these people for 70 plus years.
00:44:01.000Since the beginning of that country and even before then.
00:44:06.000And that's only the first strategic interest.
00:44:08.000Of course, the second strategic interest is that the Gazan Palestinians are not displaced.
00:44:16.000And this is, by the way, what everybody in the entire world wants.
00:44:22.000And there's a fine line between Israel conducting military operations in the Gaza Strip and for them to send in civilians with some intention of annexing the Gaza Strip.
00:44:43.000And then from around 2005 on, they have blockaded the Gaza Strip, which by the definition of international law, constitutes a military occupation.
00:44:54.000What it looks like they're doing in this case is they're not just going to militarily occupy Gaza, but the Netanyahu government is saying that they want to control the government in Gaza indefinitely.
00:45:09.000It says, quote, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said several times in recent days that the IDF is the only force that can control Gaza after the war, signaling plans for a long-term military occupation.
00:45:24.000He said, IDF forces will remain in control of the Strip.
00:45:27.000We will not give it to international forces.
00:45:31.000He reaffirmed these comments on Sunday and rejected the idea of even the Palestinian Authority, which administers some areas of the West Bank, from taking over Gaza.
00:45:41.000He said, we need to see the following two things.
00:45:44.000Gaza must be demilitarized and Gaza has to be deradicalized.
00:45:48.000And I think so far we haven't seen any Palestinian force, including the Palestinian Authority, that is able to do it.
00:45:56.000So what that means is that Israel's not going to give up the Gaza Strip, they're going to stay there, and maybe it's going to be the same situation as the West Bank, where they will militarily occupy and then oversee Israeli settlement, civilian settlement of the Gaza Strip.
00:46:13.000Either way, with an Israeli military occupation and so-called demilitarization and deradicalization, it means that the Palestinians can't come home.
00:46:24.000So all these people that are fleeing North Gaza, and that may eventually be fleeing South Gaza as well, they're not coming back ever.
00:46:43.000The Palestinians themselves don't want to leave Gaza.
00:46:48.000So not only does the United States and the entire world oppose this for humanitarian reasons,
00:46:54.000Because this is an ethnic cleansing, but they also oppose it on the grounds that this is removing these people from their land.
00:47:02.000They're murdering them where they stand, they're starving them out, and the intention is to indefinitely displace them into every other country, like local countries or western countries.
00:47:15.000So this is the second strategic interest of the United States, and Israel is fighting us on this too.
00:48:13.000They cannot diverge any further than they already are.
00:48:18.000And it also raises another point about the nature of the relationship with Israel.
00:48:23.000Some look at our relationship with Israel and they say that Israel and the United States are so inextricably tied together that it's difficult to see which one is really in control.
00:48:38.000I've come across this argument a few times where people say that
00:48:45.000Because Israel and the United States are very, very close together, it may appear that Israel is controlling America.
00:48:52.000They say, but actually, America controls Israel.
00:48:55.000And when they're so close together, it's hard to discern who's really in charge.
00:49:01.000Some say, for example, that when Israel agitates for war with Iraq, they say that they're doing that at the behest of America.
00:49:11.000And it sounds ridiculous, and it's ridiculous on its face for many reasons, but some people actually say this.
00:49:16.000They say that Israel is the puppet of America.
00:49:20.000That Israel, like other Western countries like the UK, or Germany, or Belgium, that they're the puppet of the United States, and they're only doing what the United States tells it to do, and it's really the American security apparatus which is the problem.
00:49:37.000But this situation should dispel that theory altogether.
00:49:42.000Because here is the White House that is doing everything in its power.
00:49:45.000We're sending our Secretary of State all over the Middle East.
00:49:49.000To Lebanon, to Israel, to Saudi Arabia, to Iraq.
00:50:44.000They bomb both of Syria's major airports.
00:50:50.000So they're doing the opposite of what we're telling them to do.
00:50:54.000And regardless of that fact, even though they're going against us on both major things, when they inevitably provoke a war with Hezbollah, we will be expected and we dutifully will go to their defense.
00:51:09.000Even though they dragged us into a war that we warned them about, that we didn't want, in pursuit of an ethnic cleansing that we have opposed for 60 years.
00:51:45.000And so although, because I'm knowledgeable about it,
00:51:50.000And if I were forced to take a position, I'm honestly more sympathetic to the Palestinians.
00:51:56.000As an American, however, I don't actually care that much.
00:52:00.000Whether or not the Palestinians have self-determination, it means as much to me as whether the Kurds have self-determination, or whether the Nigerians have self-determination, or whoever.
00:52:16.000There's conflicts like this going on everywhere and you just don't hear about them.
00:52:20.000There's a major civil war going on in Myanmar.
00:52:23.000You probably don't even know about it.
00:52:45.000And there's a civil war in Sudan, and there's a civil war in Yemen, and there's a civil war in Syria, and there's an ongoing battle for Kurdish self-determination.
00:52:56.000And I really don't care about any of these things by themselves because they got nothing to do with America.
00:53:04.000With that being said, if I were forced to choose, I'd be sympathetic.
00:53:11.000And when I look at the conflict, it's not necessarily that I'm pro-Palestine, it's more that I'm anti-Israel.
00:53:19.000Because when you look at this situation, you realize the Palestinians have no power.
00:53:28.000So when people try to make this about Jews versus Muslims, and they say, well, I'm not going to take a side because I'm a Christian American, so I'm not going to take a side.
00:53:40.000Let the Muslims and the Jews fight each other.
00:54:46.000They agree for maybe the wrong reasons, but they agree.
00:54:50.000When those Palestinians are protesting, they are protesting the fact that we are getting involved, and they're protesting the fact that the Palestinians are being forced out and ultimately here.
00:55:03.000So, the Muslims there and the Muslims here are not the problem for us.
00:55:08.000When you look at our two strategic interests, which is a widening of the war that we will be involved in, and the fact that we will have to accept refugees,
00:55:17.000Because they will not be allowed to return.
00:55:48.000If the Jews had to fight Hamas, and they had to worry about Hezbollah, and Iran, and the Houthis, and the Islamic resistance, and they didn't have America supporting them, it'd be a different equation.
00:56:07.000If Israel said, we're going to go it alone against Hamas and let us worry about Hezbollah and Iran and the rest, I'd say, okay, yeah, knock yourself out.
00:56:16.000Maybe I would have a problem with the Muslims.
00:56:19.000If the Muslims in the streets were saying, you need to relieve Hezbollah, you need to relieve Iran, we're getting our asses kicked, I'd say, okay, why don't you leave?
00:56:28.000We need to clean these guys up out of the streets.
00:56:32.000Israel is only able to fight this war with America.
00:56:36.000If it wasn't for us there, they couldn't do it.
00:56:39.000So we are an integral, necessary part of this war because of Israel.
00:56:46.000Israel is forcing us, politically at gunpoint, to be in there getting bombed, getting dragged further and further into a world war, and ultimately into accepting their refugees.
00:56:59.000They want to send these people out of their country and into ours.
01:00:14.000You can't take everything at face value.
01:00:18.000So, for example, there was a rumor that came out this weekend and it said that the entire war cabinet wants a preemptive strike against Hezbollah.
01:01:14.000Maybe it was leaked because they want Hezbollah to believe that they have a hair trigger.
01:01:17.000Maybe they want that to leak so that Hezbollah has this conception of Israel as on the brink of war and so maybe now Hezbollah cancels any offensive
01:01:46.000If Hezbollah thinks that Israel is just dying to go to war, then Hezbollah is going to be very careful in how they deal with Israel, because they don't want to set that off.
01:01:57.000And so it all becomes about confidence.
01:01:59.000It's like we talked about last week with American aircraft carriers in the region.
01:02:04.000When it comes to this game of deterrence, it's about creating a relative degree of confidence that you are going to follow through on your threats.
01:02:14.000It's really about persuasion through gestures and subterfuge and actions.
01:02:21.000The United States doesn't want a war with Hezbollah.
01:02:24.000And it's dubious that we would even fully go to war.
01:02:27.000But we put all this stuff over there to say, hey, we mean it.
01:02:31.000We put an aircraft carrier and a submarine and the Marines over there and we put Biden over there.
01:02:37.000And all of that was meant to convey the seriousness of the threat.
01:02:43.000And say, hey, we really mean it this time.
01:02:45.000If you attack us, we're gonna go to war.
01:02:47.000Even though no one wants to, even though we don't even want to, even though we can't afford it, hey, we mean business.
01:02:53.000You should feel very confident that if you attack Israel, that we will attack you.
01:03:00.000So it's about signaling, and that way they can change the outcome of the war through deterrence.
01:03:06.000And it reminds me of the Trump administration's diplomacy with North Korea.
01:03:10.000I remember back in 2018 everyone was losing their minds because Trump was very provocative towards North Korea in 2017 and in the beginning of 2018.
01:03:21.000He put carrier strike groups in the Sea of Japan and he was saying I'll nuke North Korea and I have more nukes and mine work and
01:03:33.000Everybody said we elected an anti-war president, we got a warmonger.
01:03:40.000If you threaten North Korea, if you make North Korea really believe that you're insane and you will wipe them off the map, then they will be persuaded to come to the negotiating table, which is what happened.
01:03:53.000And there was a breakthrough in diplomacy in February 2018 and it was a surprise.
01:03:59.000During a press conference they came in and said North Korea agreed to a summit.
01:04:07.000In March and April, it started to completely go off the wheels.
01:04:10.000North Korea was making provocative statements, and it looked like the whole thing was coming apart, and then Donald Trump brought in John Bolton as the National Security Advisor.
01:04:19.000John Bolton is, like, number one war hawk ever, number one neocon.
01:04:26.000Or, I'm sorry, I think he was the chair of the National Security Council.
01:04:30.000And everybody said, wow, Trump abandoned the diplomacy.
01:04:38.000It was about telling North Korea that it could go one of two ways.
01:04:43.000Either we can have John Bolton run our foreign policy and we'll kill all of you like we were going to last year, or you can follow through on your promise and we could shake hands and lift sanctions and you stop the WMD tests.
01:04:58.000And eventually they secured the summit.
01:05:01.000And again, if people took it at face value, if they looked at the John Bolton hire, if they looked at the carrier strike groups being deployed and the nuclear threats, if they took all that at face value, they'd say Trump is a psychopath who wants war.
01:05:18.000If you look at it in the context of what was happening, then you can parse out and read in between the lines what they're trying to communicate with North Korea.
01:05:30.000And it's a high-stakes game of brinksmanship.
01:05:38.000Xi Jinping is visiting California this week, or this month.
01:05:43.000I don't know exactly when the meeting is, but for the APEC summit.
01:05:48.000And if you remember, back in April 2017, Xi Jinping was in America for the first time during the Trump administration.
01:05:57.000Xi Jinping visited Mar-a-Lago, I think it was the second week of April in 2017, and that is when Donald Trump did the first airstrikes in Syria.
01:06:07.000They said there was a chemical weapons attack in Homs, and Donald Trump immediately bombed Syria, 50 Minuteman missiles
01:06:49.000One of the big criticisms of Obama, from the right, was that back in 2013, I think it was 2013, it might have been 2011, Obama said that our red line in the Syrian civil war is chemical weapons.
01:07:04.000We won't intervene, but if Assad uses chemical weapons, then that crosses the line, we'll go in.
01:07:11.000And then the United Nations or whoever, the Blue Helmets, lied and said that Assad used chemical weapons.
01:07:19.000And everybody looked to Obama and they said, OK, now's the time.
01:07:38.000When Obama didn't follow through on the red line, when he didn't enforce it, even with a token military action,
01:07:47.000Like we talked about with Israel and Palestine, our enemies had no confidence in our threats.
01:07:53.000They had no confidence in our deterrent threat.
01:07:57.000If we say, don't use chemical weapons or else we'll kill you, and then you use them and we don't kill you, then the threats are empty, then the deterrence doesn't work.
01:08:06.000What good is deterrence if you never follow through?
01:08:08.000If no one has any confidence that you'll go in, then the deterrence doesn't deter.
01:08:13.000And so some say that that paved the way for Putin to invade Crimea, because he had confidence that Obama wouldn't intervene.
01:08:20.000If he wouldn't intervene in Syria, he won't intervene against Russia.
01:08:25.000So, in April 2017, one of the first things Trump did three months in, three months after his inauguration, was Xi Jinping at his house,
01:08:39.000Now again, face value, you say Trump betrayed us, he's a neocon, he's going to war in Syria, this is crazy.
01:08:47.000But if you look at the deeper meaning there, if you read between the lines, it's like Trump is telling Xi Jinping, hey, this is a new White House.
01:08:57.000He's telling Xi Jinping, and he's telling Iran, and he's telling the whole world, this isn't the Obama administration.
01:09:31.000And he, in a sense, restored the deterrent power of America.
01:09:36.000And Trump understands that because he's a negotiator.
01:09:39.000Trump understands psychologically that the basis of American power, it's the economy, it's the military, but more importantly it's the deterrent threat.
01:09:52.000But in order for people to be threatened by that, they need to believe that war with America is on the table.
01:09:57.000If you signal that you don't want to go to war and it's off the table, you might as well not have it.
01:10:02.000So that's the basis of your negotiating power.
01:10:05.000And so that was the approach with Syria, that was the approach even with North Korea, because it was also at that time
01:10:13.000A year before the summit that Trump was negotiating with Xi Jinping to put pressure on North Korea.
01:10:19.000China was a big part of bringing North Korea to the negotiating table.
01:10:25.000And so Trump is threatening North Korea saying we're gonna nuke North Korea and at the same time he's bombing Syria while Xi Jinping is at Mar-a-Lago.
01:10:37.000So it's a message to Xi in general, and to the world in general, but also specifically a message to Xi about his threats with North Korea, saying, my threats against North Korea are not idle.
01:10:48.000I will bring violence to the Korean Peninsula.
01:10:51.000I will destabilize the Korean Peninsula.
01:10:55.000So, and that's just a word, that's just a very general concept.
01:11:00.000When I hear these rumors out of Israel, and when I hear these leaked phone calls about
01:11:18.000I think maybe though it's more likely that they've leaked this to deter Hezbollah from getting involved because they know it's going to be a long war.
01:11:26.000They know it's going to be very intense fighting and it's not going to be good for them to open up a second front even with American involvement.
01:11:35.000It's gonna hinder their operations in Gaza.
01:11:38.000And I think they really would be in an existential threat to be engaged with Hezbollah, Hamas, and everybody else in the whole region.
01:11:50.000So, there's a pretty good chance that it could just be a signal that says that Hezbollah and these other Iranian proxies should be very careful.
01:12:07.000They are weak, so they're appearing strong.
01:12:10.000They desperately don't want a war on the northern border, but they can't let Hezbollah know that.
01:12:14.000If Hezbollah knows that, it's open season.
01:12:18.000If they signal the opposite and say, hey, we're starving for a war on the northern border, Hezbollah doesn't want a war.
01:12:25.000They're gonna say, okay, maybe let's back off.
01:12:28.000If they're crazy and they have America totally behind them, then
01:12:32.000Maybe it's time to wind down some of these strikes.
01:12:36.000So, a lot of what's being done and said, it's really more about the psychology.
01:12:41.000And it's more about the psychology of deterrence than it is about actually articulating what their security posture is, what their strategic position is.
01:12:52.000So... Anyway, so that's the latest on the war in Gaza.
01:15:17.000Apparently there's been a crisis since the summer about forming a government that these elections were inconclusive and I guess they gave amnesty to this guy that it's unconstitutional to give him amnesty and now the socialists are going to form a government.
01:17:52.000And do I see them as part of the movement?
01:17:54.000I mean, look, anybody that says America First is part of the movement, anybody that wants to put the country first, black, white, Muslim, Mormon, whatever, this is a political movement.
01:18:46.000My problem with the Jews is that they worship the devil and they have controlled our country and they use our country as an instrument to benefit themselves So, I don't know if that's bait or if that's an actual Jew that's posting that or a Zionist But at no point have I ever said that my problem with Jews is that they're successful or rich I mean, I love hard-working people and
01:26:22.000Yeah, you know, it's just people really don't get it.
01:26:27.000Like this weekend I was hanging out with a friend of mine and he he's the only friend
01:26:36.000That I went to high school with that still talks to me.
01:26:38.000I had a big friend group in high school.
01:26:41.000I probably had like 10 close friends in a group.
01:26:44.000None of them talked... They all refused to talk to me, except for one.
01:26:48.000They cut me off after like Charlottesville, like late 2017.
01:26:55.000And so I was hanging out with the one the one guy that still talks to me from high school over the weekend and he was telling me that He spoke to this guy who was my best friend like my sophomore year in high school.
01:27:10.000We were like best friends sophomore and junior year and He told me that he talked to that guy recently and he said that if he could kill anyone in the world It would be me.
01:28:11.000And this person who I'm still friends with, he gets shit all the time from people for being my friend.
01:28:18.000So, it's like even people that aren't political, even people in normie world, people that just have normie jobs and do regular shit, even they get pressure for talking to me because of my political views, because I'm not completely ostracized.
01:29:18.000I know I'm preaching to the choir here, but it's just crazy.
01:29:22.000It's like, I can't have a bank account, I can't livestream anywhere, I'm banned from Twitter, all my friends from high school hate me, I go outside in public, people attack me, probably spit in my food.
01:29:33.000You'd think I'm like a murderer-rapist.
01:29:38.000You'd think I'm like a rapist-murderer.
01:31:11.000This country used to be based, used to be able to buy a quality flannel shirt and a bomber jacket and go to a diner and eat pie and coffee and have a nice conversation with the waitress and used to be able to work with your hands and shit like that.
01:31:27.000Now, this country is just a freak show.
01:31:30.000I went to a coffee shop and there were two traddies working there.
01:36:01.000I'm biased, of course, but Mexicans, you can still get a good meal at a Mexican restaurant and they're run by the cartels and they don't kill people for no reason.
01:36:11.000Mexicans bring, they import Mexican Coke that still has real sugar.
01:36:17.000They make real food, you know, like steak tacos and stuff.
01:36:21.000And they're family-oriented and they're kind of criminals and they work with their hands.
01:39:15.000But... I feel like we have more of a... Well, then again though, me and Joel Davis are a little more like... We're a little more pugnacious.
01:39:27.000Me and Joel Davis, we're like scrappy.
01:47:40.000Hey Nick, did you see that on John Oliver's show last night?
01:47:45.000He practically parroted 95% of your ongoing analysis of the Israel-Gaza war?
01:47:50.000Such as Gaza being an open-air prison, the disproportionate amount of Palestinian civilians and children being killed, as well as Western leaders refusing to use the term ceasefire.
01:47:59.000Well, I don't watch John Oliver, so I don't see that, but those aren't my talking points.
01:50:04.000But my primary concern is that this escalates and widens, so...
01:50:09.000Not quite, buddy, but... Honestly, you have to have, like, a 90 IQ to hear those three things on another show and say, He copied your whole show!
01:52:21.000Someone must have gotten a hold of the tapes.
01:52:23.000Maybe Keith Woods got the gay sex tape from Lindsey Graham or Chuck Johnson got it.
01:52:44.000Because that's clearly what controls him is that there's a tape of him having gay sex or something and that's why he's always like the number one neocon.
01:52:55.000So... The tapes must have fallen into the right hands this time and now he's gonna be the number one America First-er.
01:57:44.000I don't even remember... I remember that scene where he curb stomps that guy, and... I remember the scene where he blows smoke in the black guy's face.
01:59:14.000I ordered my coffee I said yeah let me get a pumpkin spice latte blah blah blah I go and sit down and this tranny goes order for Nick Fuentes I'm like ah fuck me so there's piss in this there's pink pills in here I'm fucked I go I'm like okay here we go well what's this gonna be about so I get the coffee
01:59:37.000and he is a male to female he goes so are you gonna do any more content with destiny I'm like no I don't think so I don't think we're doing anything soon thanks I didn't drink any of that I didn't drink any I'm like there's piss in here there's spit in here you know they fucked this up somehow I'm like there's definitely drugs in here but
02:03:23.000Because we have the technology to excavate it and use it and so the value comes from us.
02:03:29.000If we hadn't invented trains and cars and planes and all the things that use oil, if we didn't discover petrochemicals and their properties and their uses, it would be useless and they wouldn't know it was there and they wouldn't know what to do with it if they had it.
02:03:47.000And so they want to pretend like, oh, that's their money.
02:04:04.000So it's really like, we have all the guns, we have all the money, we have all the technology, we have all the people, and they are on this land with this oil that they have never found, and they didn't know what to do with it, and we have to pretend like, you know, we have to pay them for it, and they get rich, and we have to be like, oh, guess they have it, what are we gonna do?
02:04:29.000They should consider themselves lucky if we give them a little land, and we build some houses for them, and we let them exist with some sovereignty.
02:07:35.000They were a big part of the Versailles Treaty and collecting the debts on the Versailles Treaty and they were pornographers and pushing degeneracy and a lot of problems.
02:07:49.000They brought America into the war to defeat the Germans.
02:08:57.000I don't know if people watch my stuff as much, but people have heard my name and have associated it with, like, extremism or whatever, so... That's true.