GRAND OLD TRANNY? Don Jr SWEARS ALLEGIANCE To TRANNIES, HORRIBLE | America First Ep. 1146GRAND OLD TRANNY? Don Jr SWEARS ALLEGIANCE To TRANNIES, HORRIBLE | America First Ep. 1146
In this episode of the podcast, I discuss French President Emmanuel Macron's call for a European army without the United States, the FBI, and the transgender issue. I also talk about the Trump administration's new policy on abortion and the transgenders, and what it means for the future of the country and the world order. This is a slow news day in the USA, but there's a lot to talk about in the world, and we'll cover all of it in this episode. I'll be out of town this week, so don't miss it! Tweet me if you have any thoughts on this or any other foreign policy stories you think we should cover in the next few days, or if you think this is a good idea, tweet me . and let me know what you think! Timestamps: 4:00 - Macron's vision for a Europe without the U.S. 9:30 - What does it mean for the EU? 14:40 - Trump's son on the transphobic views 21:20 - The transgender issue 22:00 - Why is this a real issue? 27:15 - The transphobia issue is on the fringe 29:20 - What should we do about it? 32:30 - Is this a good or bad thing? 35:00- What should the country do? 36:15 37:40 39:10 - What is the role of women in the LGBTQ+ in society? 40:00 + 41: What does this mean for us? 45:10 47:10 + 45: What are we going to do in the future? Theme: Theme music: Theme song by Ian Dervish Theme by my main amigo, Evan Handyside Theme Music: "Let's Talk About It?" by Jeff Kaale Theme Song: "Goodbye" by Skynyrd by Fountains of Brooklyn by Haley Shaw by Suneaters & Other Words: "I'll See You in the Sky (feat. , "Good Morning & Good Morning, Good Morning & Goodbye" by Haley and Good Morning by , "The Good Morning and Good Night & Good Night, Good Luck by Myself & Good Day by Good Morning ( ) by Chacho, , & Other Things ( ) by
Transcript
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00:00:00.000Now looking more like it's out of dependency that the Europeans are allied with the United States.
00:00:07.000They rely on and depend entirely on the United States nuclear umbrella and on the United States power projection capability.
00:00:16.000They as an independent entity do not have even the capability to operate individually or collectively as an entity that you could say is European separately from Washington.
00:00:32.000And that's a big problem, especially as the United States is now refocusing on and shifting towards China.
00:00:42.000Macron is speaking on how Europe needs to break away from the American defense industry, the American officers, policymakers, and they need to exert themselves as their own European entity.
00:00:58.000Potentially a conversation about a European Army, a European Centralized Command, something like NATO without America, NATO that's just Europe.
00:01:11.000And it's a complicated subject because, as you know, the United Kingdom broke away from the European Union seven years ago.
00:01:21.000And there's all kinds of questions concerning what this would even look like.
00:01:25.000There's only one country now within the European Union that has nuclear weapons.
00:01:30.000Does that nuclear umbrella extend to Poland?
00:01:39.000Will France or Germany be able to send people from Croatia into a war someplace else?
00:01:44.000It's a very complicated situation because unlike the United States, these are all sovereign, independent countries.
00:01:52.000So many of the European nations want to be sovereign from America, but how many of them want to submit their sovereignty to Brussels, or Paris, or Berlin, or some other capital?
00:02:08.000So we'll talk about all that tonight, and there's not too much going on in America.
00:02:13.000It's a pretty slow news day, but this speech is a pretty big deal in light of everything that's been happening in the world.
00:02:19.000So it's going to be a little bit of a foreign policy show tonight.
00:02:23.000We'll talk about the FBI, but that's not a huge story.
00:02:26.000To me, the more interesting story, the bigger story, is what's happening with France, and this new vision articulated by Macron.
00:02:34.000It's been a long time coming, it's a very big deal, and it goes hand-in-hand with what we've been talking about lately, which is how the world order is realigning, especially in the wake of the Ukraine crisis, and now, in particular, in the last month, all these developments with China.
00:04:06.000So, we're down two shows but we're up one big collaboration.
00:04:11.000The other thing I wanted to cover before I get into the news, not a huge deal but I do just have to bring it up.
00:04:20.000I don't know if you saw this but, I don't know if this was today, yesterday, but Don Jr., Trump's son, was on the Full Send podcast.
00:04:30.000And they ask him about the transgender thing.
00:04:33.000And I said yesterday, I've been saying for a long time that I don't like the transgender issue because this is like becoming an obsession for the conservatives.
00:04:44.000And as I've said, this is on the fringe.
00:04:48.000It is the tip of the spear right now for the left.
00:05:34.000But the other day I said, well, I don't know.
00:05:36.000Because it seems like that's an easy one.
00:05:39.000You got even guys like Aiden Ross going out there and saying there's two genders.
00:05:45.000But I saw this interview, and I didn't watch the whole thing, but I saw this clip where Full Send, and these are very popular guys, and they're actually seen as conservative.
00:05:55.000They're pro-Trump, they have appeared with Trump in the past, they interviewed him.
00:06:00.000And these guys are very mainstream, they're very popular, millions of subscribers, young people, college kids love them.
00:06:08.000And so they are considered nominally in the mainstream discourse to be right-leaning conservative types.
00:06:17.000They just had Tucker Carlson on the other week.
00:06:52.000It is so weird and it's so offensive to any normal person's conscience that anybody, even famous people, can afford to not be liberal on this issue.
00:07:05.000You cannot afford to be liberal on, or rather conservative is what I mean.
00:07:11.000You cannot afford to be conservative on feminism.
00:07:15.000You cannot afford to be conservative on homosexuality.
00:07:19.000You cannot afford to be conservative on even abortion, as the last few elections are evidence of.
00:07:25.000You can't afford to be conservative on any of it, on any of the social agenda.
00:07:30.000Transgenderism is the one thing that famous people can be conservative on, and do not have to be liberal on.
00:07:39.000Rowling, who's a hardcore feminist, liberal British woman, even she is conservative on this issue.
00:07:48.000But Don Jr., son of the presumptive Republican presidential nominee who's supposed to be the guy, says, well, I'm actually quite liberal on it.
00:07:58.000And I think it's just about protecting kids, but if you want to be trans, that's your prerogative.
00:08:03.000And so understandably, these guys like Matt Walsh and others are saying, hey, what's the story?
00:08:10.000We've been working so hard for all this time to consolidate and to make it possible for people to be conservative on this issue.
00:09:48.000By what knowledge do we presume to be able to tell the sovereign, sacred individual what he ought to or ought not to do in the comfort of his own home?
00:11:22.000In Florida, Governor DeSantis signed a bill, the famous Don't Say Gay Bill, that banned discussion of gender and sex issues in the public school classrooms for children before the fourth grade.
00:11:41.000You can't teach them about gay until the fourth grade.
00:11:44.000You can't promote transgenderism until they're a legal adult.
00:11:48.000You can't have pornography in the society until they're at least 18 years old or if there are not abusive practices in the production of the pornography.
00:12:19.000Then they get in their car and then they go and they live at work.
00:12:22.000And sometimes they go and live at schools.
00:12:25.000And sometimes they go and live with other people in relationships and they bring kids into the mix.
00:12:31.000So what happens when you're in your living room wearing a dress as a man believing you're a woman and you also happen to be a person that has children in the home?
00:13:12.000Which is to say that no matter what decisions you make and what you think about them, whether they're only affecting you or they're only taking place within a certain boundary, we are all connected.
00:13:42.000A person does in the woods and no one's there to see it, we're talking about people that are in the society.
00:13:49.000And insofar as you're in the society, you've got parents, you've got siblings, you've got a boss, or you've got employees, you've got neighbors, you've got people that you see on a daily basis.
00:14:02.000And so this distinction that liberals, that's what this is, it might be right liberalism as opposed to left liberalism,
00:15:20.000And what happens when one of these adult consenting individuals who decided to do with their body what they wanted to do, leaves the living room and goes in public and has to use the bathroom?
00:15:39.000Because if the guy in a dress goes into the girls' bathroom, which inevitably he will do in his life, he is going to scare and intimidate, probably harass, the women there.
00:15:53.000And they're going to go and complain and protest.
00:15:56.000So for him to be able to be a guy in a dress in his living room, he also has to be a guy in a dress in his living room who is able to use a girl's bathroom in public anywhere he goes.
00:16:07.000Or else we're not really respecting his individual right to do to his body what he wants to do or to self-identify.
00:16:16.000So now the society has to change to accommodate this.
00:16:33.000And when you see these issues like the bathroom, or sports, or even for that matter when we talk about indoctrinating children,
00:16:43.000These are just the areas where this revolutionary attitude conflicts with the society.
00:16:51.000If you believe that people have a right to be transgender, in other words, then it's just a matter of society changing to accommodate that.
00:17:00.000If you think that people have a right to be transgender, they have to have a place to go to the bathroom.
00:17:05.000So, you're either gonna let them in the girls' bathroom, or you gotta make a gender-neutral bathroom, if you think they have the right.
00:17:11.000Because if they have a right to be transgender, if they change genders, then that means that they're a girl.
00:17:20.000Or, if you think that they didn't really become fully a girl, they're just a transgender, but we recognize that, then you gotta have a transgender bathroom to accommodate.
00:17:31.000And the same goes for sports, and the same goes for the rest of it.
00:17:35.000We just have to get used to people liberally expressing their individual rights.
00:17:42.000Moreover, when you make the argument about indoctrinating... So that's with regard to this idea of privacy of your own home.
00:17:51.000We're okay with it in the privacy of your own home.
00:19:57.000Same thing with marriage or intimacy or sex.
00:20:01.000Children can't get married, but yet they watch in Disney cartoons princes and princesses, and they watch in all kinds of shows, girlfriends and boyfriends and that kind of thing, for the same reason.
00:20:15.000When they become adults, we fully expect them to partake in that, because there's nothing intrinsically wrong with it.
00:20:23.000The problem with this argument about transgenderism is you want to have it both ways, which is we're going to abdicate the conviction, the moral conviction, which says it's wrong, it should not be allowed, but at the same time we want to allow people to do it and protect the children from it.
00:20:44.000While you can't have things in society be permitted that are intrinsically wrong and immoral like transgenderism,
00:20:52.000But then expect that children are not going to be exposed to it.
00:22:09.000And if it shocks everyone's conscience, it's such a transgression against the natural law, why would we say that anybody should be up to this and doing this?
00:22:22.000The liberal position is to believe in morality, but to defer any kind of moral pronouncement or any kind of moral conviction or decision out of fear of conflict.
00:22:39.000Is the idea that these bigger issues, life and death issues, issues of God and morality and the natural law, are so contentious that people kill over them.
00:22:52.000And rather than fight and die for what's right, we'll defer any moral pronouncement.
00:22:58.000And we'll permit everyone to do what they can, with the exception of one immutable law, which is nobody wants to die.
00:23:06.000Or rather, I should say, nobody wants to be killed.
00:23:09.000Some people want to die, in which case you have euthanasia becoming popular in Canada and Europe.
00:23:16.000Nobody wants to be harmed without their consent, I think is the new language.
00:23:21.000Which is a logical conclusion that they've worked it out to.
00:26:26.000Sensibilities change with time, and they're subjective, and they're relative.
00:26:31.000So in the 1990s, when there was a social revolution happening, and conservatives said, hey, slow down.
00:26:39.000Let's make this acceptable based on the sensibility of the time.
00:26:44.000The sensibility of that time was relative and subjective, just like it is now.
00:26:49.000And so if in 30 years, conservatism is doing the same thing, what will be the sensibilities of the adults making the decisions 30 years from now?
00:27:00.000It'd be rooted in the kinds of things that children are being brought up believing today.
00:29:29.000All these 12 and 13 year olds that are being brainwashed with this gender ideology, they'll have to wait patiently until they're 18 to get their sex change, get castrated, start an OnlyFans, start smoking pot.
00:29:44.000Good thing they waited until they were 18 to do all those things.
00:29:52.000So, we have to protect the kids from these things because we all know we don't want them doing those things when they're 5, 13, 18, 25, 50.
00:30:01.000We don't want them to be doing it at all because it's wrong.
00:30:06.000And so if that's the case, we need to have the moral conviction to say, I don't want my kids to see it because it's wrong.
00:30:12.000And that's why people shouldn't be doing it even in their living rooms.
00:30:41.000And ironically, the question is how do you get people, if they are going to be deviant, to do it discreetly in a way that doesn't impose on anybody, in a way that doesn't scandalize or corrupt children?
00:30:56.000It'll still be out there, and it'll be quiet, but the only way that you arrive at a society where you minimize it to that level, to that proportion,
00:31:08.000Where everyone understands that if it's that way, you better shut up about it, is if there is a society with the moral courage to say no.
00:31:22.000And that's the irony of the whole thing, because it's always going to be there.
00:31:28.000There's always going to be an element of evil, but it is the role of the state and it is the responsibility of the people in the society to collectively say, that is immoral.
00:32:25.000There is pushback in places like Russia and China and Iran and North Korea and Syria and Turkey and Hungary and there is pushback against liberalism.
00:33:19.000We can divert it in a direction and assimilate it into something that is good.
00:33:26.000And here is what I think the application of this is.
00:33:31.000What makes liberalism appealing is that it is humane.
00:33:37.000There's, and Fulton Sheen said this, in the Soviet Union, in Nazi Germany, you had the cross without the Christ.
00:33:45.000You had the sacrifice, you had the individual sacrifice for the collective, you had the idea of mortification, of pain and suffering, but directed towards a higher purpose, which was in communism for the socialist paradise and all that.
00:34:01.000He said in the West, you had the Christ without the cross.
00:34:12.000And that's the feature that people like.
00:34:15.000People like the idea that towards sinners, we're not going to decapitate them and we're not going to be cruel towards them or prejudicial, but we're going to understand them.
00:34:28.000The error was in this therapeutic solution that if we were just kind and nice and tolerant of sin, that it would make the sinners feel better, but it didn't.
00:34:40.000Because sin is poison, and it corrupts the vessel that it's contained in.
00:34:45.000And so what happened is that all the people in which we tolerated sin, the transgenders, the feminists, the homosexuals, the drug addicts, did that help them?
00:35:47.000If you saw that movie, The Whale, I mean we all know what fat people are like, but that's another piece of media which shows what a sick lifestyle that is.
00:36:02.000And so I think that the answer is not to say, let's turn back the clock and hate on these people and be cruel towards them and be prejudiced towards them.
00:36:15.000The answer is to apply what we've learned.
00:36:18.000Which is that for a lot of these things, we can understand them.
00:36:43.000There's also a connection with nutrition.
00:36:47.000And so we could say that the answer is not to, and this is I think the big mistake, what conservatives do because they're unimaginative, and because in some cases there is a legitimate critique that they're prejudiced or that there's ignorance, conservatives say we gotta just act like people used to act.
00:37:09.000And I don't think that's necessarily the answer.
00:37:12.000I think the answer is to be as loving and as compassionate and as merciful and charitable as liberals towards these groups, but without tolerating these sins.
00:37:28.000It's to say that for these categories of people,
00:37:32.000I don't think the answer is to beat them up or to make them afraid or to hurl insults at them or slurs, which I think is popular on Twitter.
00:37:44.000I think the answer is to, and you know, without throwing pearls before swine, in terms of advocacy, the solution is that these people need to be identified and they need to be helped.
00:37:56.000And help is not to enable them to persist in these lifestyles which we know are deeply immoral.
00:38:01.000We know that it's not good to cut a slice of a person's skin off and roll it up into a penis and sew it on their crotch.
00:38:11.000Like, we know that's not good for people.
00:38:35.000For liberals, there's this answer in, we're gonna bring everybody in, we're gonna wrap our arms around everyone and make them all feel welcome.
00:38:44.000Now, they did marginalize one group, which is the intolerant and the moral.
00:38:48.000They marginalized Catholics and Nazis and racists and so on.
00:38:52.000But liberalism was able to become hegemonic because it opened its arms to everybody and brought them all in.
00:39:00.000But people are realizing that liberalism doesn't have all the answers.
00:39:04.000It was actually Satan, because that's what Satan does.
00:39:08.000Invites you in with false promises like, you will never die.
00:39:11.000Or you could become like God, which was the two original lies of the devil.
00:39:18.000And in this way, the devil said, you can be who you really want to be.
00:39:49.000So to me that, I look at this and I get it.
00:39:53.000I get because, and I said this the other day with the Mr. Beast story, you see this guy Chris on Mr. Beast and he's totally sympathetic in a certain way.
00:40:03.000A lot of people see this and here's the thing, transgenderism is something that is so intuitively repulsive to people that their disgust overpowers this liberal idea of compassion.
00:40:20.000More than anything else, transgenderism, because it is so visibly uncanny and unnerving and weird, people's disgust overpowers the usual programming.
00:40:32.000Because any adolescent male, and really I think any adult male, and even a lot of women, just look at that and say,
00:41:01.000So I think that's what happens when you see a guy like Chris from Mr. Beast, there is a lot of pushback because people see it and it's jarring and it triggers their disgust reaction.
00:41:10.000I'll tell you this though, that guy will win.
00:41:13.000This transgenderism thing eventually will overpower that.
00:41:17.000And it'll overpower that because the message is something like,
00:41:58.000doesn't want to be the jerk that says, I'm telling you, you can't do that because you know you're fucked up and this is at least that's how it's perceived.
00:42:08.000You've made irreversible changes like the way you are is wrong.
00:42:14.000And the solution is you don't have to be that guy.
00:42:16.000You could be the guy that says, listen, I love you.
00:42:18.000I understand you, but this is only going to harm yourself.
00:43:55.000It can't just be this rabid... and too often, I said this before, when you see that protest in Ohio and they're throwing up Nazi salutes and they're saying, hey fuck you faggot!
00:44:08.000It's like, that's just... does anybody think that is a winning message?
00:44:12.000Does anybody even really feel good about that?
00:44:14.000I don't think anybody feels good when they see that.
00:44:16.000I don't think any good person... I don't think a decent person sees that and has any good feelings.
00:44:24.000I know people get self-righteous, and I know people get angry about what they see, but if we're all being honest, I don't think that reflects good on anybody.
00:44:34.000By the same token, we also see the Don Jr.
00:44:37.000thing, and he says, well, if you want to wear a dress, and we see Alex Stein hanging out with Blair White, we also say, yeah, that's definitely not acceptable either.
00:44:47.000It's not to say that the balance is in the middle, but it is to say that we have to at once have a moral authority, we also have to have compassion.
00:44:57.000And I think that's what a vision after liberalism looks like.
00:45:03.000Because let's retain that element of, we don't want slavery, we don't want executions, and we don't want the kind of brutality that defined the old age.
00:45:15.000And this sort of, um, I don't know what you would call it, but certain attitudes.
00:45:24.000But by the same token, we cannot permit the degeneracy to go any further.
00:45:28.000I think that's what it looks like when you go beyond as opposed to trying to go back.
00:45:34.000So that's... those are just some thoughts.
00:45:36.000I saw this post and I'm thinking... and it vindicated me.
00:45:40.000I've been saying this now this entire year.
00:46:51.000If you start to say, well we could bend the rules a little bit here, just based on reacting to what the left is doing, well the left has a very clear vision.
00:46:58.000So if we're just reacting to that, we could just join them.
00:48:31.000China brokered a peace deal to normalize ties between Saudi Arabia and Iran.
00:48:38.000China is now conducting trade in Yuan, the Chinese RMB, with Saudi Arabia, Brazil, even France.
00:48:46.000And the French President last week made a remark that China should play a role in the peace process in the Ukraine crisis.
00:48:53.000So, all of this sets the stage for this speech, which is that we are entering a multipolar world order, where the United States is not the only superpower, or a hyperpower, meaning that it's more powerful than all the other countries put together, or so much more powerful than the next most powerful country.
00:49:14.000Well, we are entering a period where there are multiple polls that are exerting influence which might be Russia and China or maybe Brazil or maybe Saudi Arabia and Iran acting independently.
00:49:27.000And we talked about this a lot last week.
00:49:29.000This owes tremendously to the Ukraine crisis, which exposed the United States as a paper tiger.
00:49:37.000The United States tried to force Russia to stop the war, and they simply could not.
00:49:43.000They were unable to force Russia to stop.
00:49:46.000Russia invaded Ukraine against every threat, every warning.
00:49:50.000The United States applied every kind of soft power they could.
00:50:00.000Actually, the United States hurt itself and its allies more than maybe it hurt Russia.
00:50:06.000And not only did the United States not succeed in isolating Russia, but as a matter of fact, the United States isolated itself and its allies.
00:50:14.000The only countries that ever sanctioned Russia are the U.S.
00:50:18.000and its handful of solid allies between NATO, Japan, Canada, Australia, South Korea,
00:50:26.000But not India, not Pakistan, not most of Africa, not the Middle East, not South America, not Central America, not most of Asia.
00:50:36.000And so as a consequence, the multipolar world order is coming into reality much more quickly than expected.
00:50:42.000Now that countries see the weakness of the United States,
00:50:47.000And they see that the United States is abusing its allies that are basically trying to leave.
00:50:53.000And so, the big speech today from Macron in the Netherlands was laying out his idea, which he's been talking about for a long time, about something called European strategic autonomy.
00:51:08.000And the idea is that as it stands, and basically since the end of World War II, all of Europe has merely been a vassal, a subject for the United States.
00:51:19.000That they just do whatever the United States says, and that they have to.
00:51:24.000And that status quo came out of World War II, because after World War II, all the European countries, specifically the Western European countries, were destroyed.
00:51:36.000And they were at risk of being invaded by the USSR.
00:51:41.000There was a fear that the Soviet Union could keep going after they invaded Germany, and they could take over the entire continent, and nobody could stop them.
00:51:51.000In 1949, there were only two nuclear powers in the world, Russia and the United States.
00:51:56.000And at that time, the Soviet Union appeared unstoppable.
00:51:59.000And without the United States, they could have taken over Europe.
00:52:04.000And since then, although the European countries recovered and their economies rebounded and they developed industry and the Soviet Union fell, because of that relationship there was a legacy effect that the Europeans never developed their own military capabilities.
00:52:22.000Because the United States was paying for their defense, in effect, all these other countries never bothered to develop their own defense industries, never developed their own defense capabilities.
00:54:30.000With 450 million people between their countries with 18-20 trillion dollar GDP and they don't want to come together quite like a nation but in the way that the United States is able to combine the powers of its land and people and resources.
00:54:49.000Some Europeans want to do the same for Europe and bring together all the European states
00:54:54.000into a consortium, essentially, and form a common European defense in a way that is distinct and separate from the NATO alliance led by America.
00:55:08.000And if they're able to do that, then they can be autonomous.
00:55:11.000If they have their own army, if they have their own defense industry, if they have their own resources, then they don't need America.
00:55:19.000And if America calls them into war, they could say no.
00:55:23.000And Europe can act independently as its own power.
00:55:26.000China will be a power exerting its interests, the United States will be a power exerting its interests, and a common, united Europe will be its own superpower, like I said, with close to 500 million people, a massive GDP, massive resources, and they could be their own distinct, independent superpower apart from the United States.
00:55:48.000Maybe allied with the United States, but not
00:55:54.000So Macron gave a speech about this, and this is the article from Russia Today.
00:55:58.000It says, quote, Speaking at The Hague on Tuesday, French President Macron spoke of his vision for a new era of European sovereignty in which the continent can choose its own partners and shape its own destiny.
00:56:11.000His address was briefly disrupted by protesters who attempted to shout him down.
00:56:16.000Macron's speech made during the first state visit to the Netherlands by a French president in 23 years was closely watched by analysts and allies alike as it centered on European sovereignty.
00:56:28.000It came just days after the French leader sparked concerns among allies after he said in an interview that Europe must not be a follower of either Washington or Beijing on the issue of Taiwan.
00:56:40.000European sovereignty might have once sounded like a French idea, said Macron, or even wishful thinking.
00:56:47.000But he pointed to the danger of a Europe that is too dependent on other world powers, saying it places Europe in the position of not being able to decide for itself.
00:56:56.000European sovereignty should mean that the continent can, quote, choose our partners and shape our own destiny, rather than being a mere witness to the dramatic evolution of this world.
00:57:07.000He said this means that we must strive to be rule makers rather than rule takers.
00:57:12.000But Macron also said Europe would maintain robust relationships with its allies.
00:57:18.000He said we can do this in a cooperative manner in keeping with our spirit of openness and partnership.
00:57:23.000And he said the pandemic was a wake-up call as Europe discovered how dependent it was on other nations.
00:57:29.000So this is a pretty interesting speech.
00:57:33.000And he's talked a lot about this and so has the new German Chancellor Olaf Scholz.
00:57:39.000They've talked a great deal about strategic autonomy and Macron says it's because of the pandemic and that may be partly true, but I think mostly it has to do with the Ukraine crisis.
00:57:51.000And the reality is that this war in Ukraine is far worse for Europe than it is for the United States.
00:58:01.000This is a war that the United States wants, because the United States wants to weaken Russia.
00:58:09.000The United States is all in on defending Ukraine and making sure that it had to go down this way.
00:58:15.000They could have negotiated, they could have made a deal for Ukraine to never join NATO, but they wanted this conflict because the decision makers in Washington thought it would isolate Russia and that it would cost the Russian military greatly.
00:58:31.000And Russia is a competitor, not a peer competitor, but a rival of the United States, so Washington thought that this would come at a tremendous cost to Russia and hurt their relative strategic position in the world.
00:58:46.000On the other hand, in Europe, they did not want this war.
00:58:50.000From the beginning, from the very beginning, from 20 years ago, the French in particular, but also the Germans and the Italians,
00:58:57.000have taken a far lighter stance towards Russia than Washington.
00:59:02.000And that's because, to some degree, many of the European countries are dependent on Russia for natural gas, for energy, for other trade.
00:59:11.000And what's more, the Europeans see and are sympathetic to Russia's point of view on the issue.
00:59:17.000It's the United States that wants to extend NATO to Ukraine.
00:59:21.000It's the United States that wants to extend its umbrella
00:59:25.000of security protection but which really means power projection to the throat of Moscow by pushing it to Georgia and Ukraine.
00:59:34.000But from the beginning France has been pushing negotiation and from the beginning Germany has only strengthened their ties with Russia.
00:59:43.000Additionally, the sanctions on Russia are hurting the Europeans more than they're hurting the United States.
00:59:49.000Not only did the Europeans not want this conflict,
00:59:53.000But they also don't want the conflict because it's hurting them, disproportionately.
00:59:59.000Germany, as an example, has a massive industrial base.
01:00:02.00025% of the German economy is industry.
01:00:06.000In the United States, it's a much lower percentage.
01:00:13.000I think it's something like 5% or 10% industry.
01:00:16.000So, relatively speaking, Germany has a far bigger productive sector of their economy than the United States.
01:00:23.000The inflation in energy price, in energy cost, because of the destruction of Nord Stream 2 and the energy sanctions on Russia are catastrophic for German industry, which as a consequence is catastrophic for the German economy.
01:00:38.000You don't have energy, you don't have industry.
01:00:41.000You don't have industry, if you're Germany, you don't have an economy.
01:00:48.000The same is true of the Eastern European countries, the same is true of Italy, and to a lesser extent the same is true with the United Kingdom and with France.
01:00:56.000What's more, the Europeans have a lot in common with Russia, in that they're dealing with a lot of the same issues, like migration, like terrorism, like Muslims.
01:01:08.000They also have a shared identity, they have a shared civilization,
01:01:13.000Shared religion, to some extent, also.
01:01:18.000And so Macron can say that it's about the pandemic, it's really about the Ukraine crisis, that America has dragged Europe along into this conflict, even though it's really not in their interest.
01:01:30.000Because Washington is so thoroughly infiltrated and compromised all these governments, and they're all dependent on Washington, so they couldn't refuse.
01:01:38.000Now, the United States is pivoting away from both Russia and the Middle East and towards China.
01:01:43.000Specifically, this big confrontation over Taiwan.
01:01:47.000Taiwan sent a delegation to the United States.
01:01:50.000The United States sent a delegation to Taiwan.
01:01:53.000China is now hosting a series of military drills.
01:01:58.000They're sending fighter jets and warships into the Taiwan Strait.
01:02:02.000And as the United States pivots to confront China in what seems like the beginnings of World War 3, Europe is realizing that they do not have any interest in fighting that war.
01:02:18.000control over the Pacific Ocean and over shipping routes.
01:02:22.000This is about the United States insulating and suffocating China with a chain of islands
01:02:31.000around the sea of China, which is constituted by the Philippines, Taiwan, Japan, and it's about global dominance of the economy, and it's also about, to some extent, global prestige and power in the world.
01:02:47.000Why would Europe want to fight in that war?
01:02:51.000Maybe Europe wants to side with China, like many other countries are.
01:02:55.000India has articulated something similar.
01:02:57.000Saudi Arabia has articulated something similar.
01:03:00.000The United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Turkey, they're making moves that indicate that they're feeling a similar way.
01:03:42.000Maybe we don't want to side with anybody.
01:03:43.000But we are unable to make any decisions for ourselves.
01:03:47.000We're unable to be autonomous if we do not have a strategic capability.
01:03:53.000The reason they can't make these decisions is because they don't have their own arms industry.
01:03:59.000There is no way for them to be able to mobilize in the same way as the United States because they don't have the troops and they also don't have the same level of coordination.
01:04:09.000There is no European common defense in the way that there is with NATO or the way that there is within the United States.
01:04:17.000And so there's a lot of disagreement about how this would be implemented and what steps would be taken, but the general idea is that Europe will begin to spend more on its own military, build their own defense industry, then they've got to bring together and create a shared strategic command
01:04:35.000They've got to bring together a shared surveillance and intelligence apparatus.
01:04:39.000They've also got to find a way to share the nuclear deterrent because as it stands there's only one European Union member state that even has a nuclear weapon now that the United Kingdom is out.
01:04:50.000And then how do you integrate the United Kingdom since they broke away?
01:04:54.000So, there are a lot of difficult questions, but the general idea after the Ukraine crisis is that Europe has to become its own entity and break away from the United States.
01:05:05.000And this is just furthering what I said last year, the multipolar world.
01:05:11.000And the way to look at it is like this.
01:05:16.000In the 1970s, the United States and the Soviet Union were evenly matched in firepower.
01:05:22.000The United States fighting the Soviet Union was arguably an even fair fight.
01:05:28.000Maybe the Soviet Union was more powerful, actually, at the time.
01:05:32.000It went back and forth a lot between 1945 and roughly 1986.
01:05:39.000There was a lot of back and forth where the United States had the upper hand or the Soviet Union had the upper hand.
01:05:45.000But that is what defined the bipolar world order, was the relative power of the two superpowers.
01:05:53.000After the Cold War, the United States was more powerful than all the countries put together.
01:06:15.000Brought Russia back under control from the oligarchs and from the United States, made Russia a strong country, lifted millions of people out of poverty, and so on.
01:06:49.000Maybe more powerful than the United States by itself.
01:06:54.000For the United States to remain competitive, and to remain, you could say, in the position of primacy in the world, they need all their allies.
01:07:15.000If they don't have these allies, they are, in terms of raw numbers, weaker than their rival powers.
01:07:24.000They're weaker than China, Russia, Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, North Korea.
01:07:28.000They're weaker than all the axis of enemies put together.
01:07:34.000And so when Europe decides to become independent and create a central European defense, without its allies, the United States is going to be one among several superpowers.
01:07:47.000And it's not going to happen tomorrow, and it's maybe not even going to happen by the end of this decade, but in the 2030s, 2040s, the world will meaningfully be a multipolar place, meaning that China will be as powerful as the United States.
01:08:03.000Maybe as powerful as China or the United States.
01:08:07.000India may be on par with these other countries, but it's going to look a lot less like the United States telling everybody what to do, and it's going to look a lot less like the United States telling everybody what to do except Russia and China, and it's going to look like more a series of different powerful countries
01:08:28.000With smaller regional powers lining up based on who's going to offer the best thing.
01:08:36.000There was a book written in the 90s called The Reluctant Sheriff by Charles Haass, who I think is the current president of the Council on Foreign Relations, and he says that in the future, this was written in the 90s after the Cold War,
01:08:54.000Instead of these fixed alliances, you're going to see what are called posses, which are informal collections of states that will come together and disintegrate based on mutual interest, based on issues.
01:09:09.000So regional powers, great powers, coming together for a time for a specific thing,
01:09:15.000And then separating on other issues, or separating after that thing is resolved.
01:09:19.000But rather than these types of coalitions like we saw during the Cold War, where you're either communist or you're American, or rather even in the last 30 years where you're with China or you're with America, it's gonna be like you got three or four superpowers and then these smaller powers that'll go between, like Europe, like France as an example in this case, or like Saudi Arabia or Turkey, they would be prime examples.
01:09:45.000Turkey, which is part of NATO, but will also make deals with Russia and China.
01:09:49.000Saudi Arabia, which in the last 80 years was the most important ally of the United States, now making deals with China behind the back of Washington.
01:09:59.000They didn't even know that this was happening.
01:10:33.000Interesting stuff, and it was only a matter of time.
01:10:36.000That's why we should have been nicer to Europe.
01:10:38.000We probably should have forged a real foreign policy instead of, like I said last year, hanging on with this death grip to the post-Cold War order.
01:10:48.000It was always going to be transient, but we acted like it wasn't.
01:14:56.000If they even did, I mean... The bag was sealed shut with the sticker, so... It's probably not possible, but... You know, with these black DoorDash drivers, God only knows what they're capable of.