America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes


LIVE 2018 MIDTERM COVERAGE | America First Ep. 277


Summary

In this episode of America First, host Nicholas J. Fuentes ( ) is joined by Bryden P. Proctor ( ) and Vinnie Vellian ( ) to discuss the early election results and what they think about the early voting numbers so far. They also discuss how the midterms are shaping up and what to look out for in the final stretch of the campaign. They also talk about the impact of early voting and how the early vote is shaping up for both parties, and whether or not it will be enough to change the outcome of the mid-terms. And, of course, they have a special guest on the show tonight: the one and only Vince of the Red Elephants! Thanks to our sponsor, Right2Bryden! America First! Subscribe to America First to get immediate access to all of our newest episodes and listen to the latest news and discuss the upcoming mid-term elections. Subscribe today using our podcast s hashtag and find us on social media using the hashtag , and tag to be notified when a new episode is available! of the show hits the pod! We are part of the Gimlet Media Podcast Network. We post polls, analysis, and discussion on all major social medias including Apple Podcasts, and the latest webinars, iReporters, blogs, and social media platforms! . Please rate, review and subscribe to our podcast! and share your thoughts on the latest episodes! to help spread the word to your fellow podcasters! , friends, family and strangers everywhere! Thank you for listening to our newest podcast, we are listening to us! - Nick, Nick, and much more! Nick, Vinnie, and Vince, Vicky, and Bryden, and thanks for listening! ( ) , Vinnie & Bryden Nicky, and Vicky - Vinnie and Vee, Vicky and Vyndor, Vee . v= & Vinnie , Vicky & Vicky , Vee , and Viana, , etc. - Veeee, Vy, Vee & Vyde, . . - Thank you, Nicky & Vee ( ) - Vytee, and Vary, VYTEK, - and Vayner, and


Transcript

00:00:52.000 Wall.
00:03:37.000 Wall.
00:05:31.000 Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo.
00:05:38.000 It's going to be only America first.
00:05:43.000 America first.
00:05:47.000 The American people will come first once again.
00:06:15.000 America first!
00:06:17.000 America first!
00:06:38.000 Good evening, everybody.
00:06:39.000 You're watching America First.
00:06:41.000 My name is Nicholas J. Fuentes.
00:06:42.000 We have a great show for you tonight.
00:06:44.000 We're very excited to be here covering the 2018 midterms.
00:06:47.000 Joining us, we have two very special guests on our panel.
00:06:51.000 We have Bryden Proctor from Right to Bryden.
00:06:53.000 Welcome.
00:06:57.000 And, yeah, well, we'll see.
00:06:59.000 We'll see.
00:06:59.000 We're gonna have fun regardless, but, you know, whether or not it's good remains to be seen.
00:07:03.000 And, of course, welcome back to the show, Mr. Vince of the Red Elephants.
00:07:08.000 How's it going?
00:07:20.000 Yeah, I mean, we'll see what happens.
00:07:21.000 You know, honestly, this has been, I think everyone can agree, everybody who's streaming tonight and everybody on this panel, I think we can all agree that the, maybe the defining characteristic of this election is that it's just totally unpredictable, totally chaotic.
00:07:35.000 And, you know, the midterms in the past, the polls aren't always great.
00:07:39.000 And last, or two years ago, the election, not a lot of people called it right.
00:07:44.000 But this time I feel like nobody really knows what to expect because of the way the turnout's happening.
00:07:49.000 Let me just get some of your initial impressions.
00:07:51.000 Everybody's kind of heard my take if you watched America First last night or the night before.
00:07:55.000 But why don't we start with you, Bryden?
00:07:57.000 What are your initial impressions?
00:07:59.000 What do you think going into this and what do you think as we're seeing some of these early results?
00:08:24.000 The early voting in a lot of places did favor the Republicans, but it's strange to see just so much turnout.
00:08:34.000 Ideally, there's not a lot of turnout.
00:08:36.000 That's typically how Republicans win elections.
00:08:39.000 But you're seeing kind of that Trump effect in a lot of these places.
00:08:43.000 The panhandle down in Florida is some counties are like 60% turnout.
00:08:49.000 You know, even in some places over here in Ohio and Indiana, they're more than beating the 2014 and even oftentimes 2016 numbers, which is.
00:08:58.000 Kind of scary, but I'm hoping that this is just where, uh, places that Trump has been.
00:09:04.000 Right.
00:09:04.000 I was just informed, actually, we had a little audio difficulty initially, but it's resolved.
00:09:09.000 We're good now.
00:09:10.000 Um, I, I'm getting a little... How's that?
00:09:15.000 Y'all right over there, right?
00:09:21.000 Yeah, yeah.
00:09:22.000 My assistant just came in as well to tell me the same.
00:09:25.000 But yeah, I generally agree with that impression so far.
00:09:30.000 And then Vince, what about you?
00:09:31.000 What did you think going into this?
00:09:33.000 And what's your analysis so far, given what we've seen?
00:09:40.000 Yeah.
00:09:41.000 I mean, there's, you know, I was going through all the house races and there's like, there's a couple races where there's like one poll and it was done back in early September.
00:09:50.000 So there's not enough polling.
00:09:52.000 We know that.
00:09:52.000 Right.
00:09:53.000 But, but from, I use kind of like the same formula when I predicted back in 2016 that there was going to be about 304 electoral rolls for Donald Trump.
00:10:03.000 I looked at, I looked at racial demographics.
00:10:06.000 I looked at
00:10:07.000 Uh, basically gauging voter turnout, voter enthusiasm by using primary election data.
00:10:14.000 How many people turned out for the Republicans?
00:10:16.000 How many people turned out for the Democrats?
00:10:18.000 I know that doesn't really include independents, but you can get a general, uh, voter enthusiasm.
00:10:25.000 That's how I, that's what I did for the,
00:10:28.000 We're good to go.
00:10:42.000 I predict that the Republicans will eke it out, about 219 to 216 based on the analysis that I did, but that just goes to show you how close it can be.
00:10:53.000 I mean, some of these races are within hundreds of votes, and so it's going to be a stressful night indeed.
00:11:02.000 You know, you're right in the sense that you look at some of the most important swing states in terms of the Senate, like Ohio for example, I think there were two polls conducted and they were both conducted within a week of the election and so there just isn't a wealth of data and this is something I was talking about this week is that even with the midterm polling that we have, which is not a lot, it's smaller sample sizes in the congressional races, it's much more difficult to forecast, you've got these other effects where you have voters that aren't
00:11:32.000 Likely to turn out in normal elections and also voters that aren't likely to answer the phone to to actually answer the pollsters That are going to be turning out in this election.
00:11:42.000 That's young people.
00:11:43.000 That's the non whites.
00:11:44.000 That's the racial minorities So there's a lot of factors where we say we really have no idea what's going on I think some of the trends we're seeing is there's definitely a lot more young people voting.
00:11:54.000 There's definitely I think there's probably a lot more racial minorities voting I think the Democrats are
00:12:01.000 Mobilizing in the Midwest and the Rust Belt in a way that they weren't in 2016.
00:12:04.000 And so when you look at those things, to me, this presents a problem, but conversely, we don't know what the Republican turnout's going to look like.
00:12:12.000 So, the polling, I'm kind of throwing it all out the window, and it's going to come down to who turns out.
00:12:17.000 Democrats are turning out big numbers.
00:12:19.000 Republicans, looks like in some of the rural counties, what we've seen from Indiana and Kentucky, are turning out, you know, as much as they need to.
00:12:26.000 So, you're right, it's going to be close.
00:12:28.000 So far we don't have any forecast here.
00:12:30.000 I've got, let me transition over here, I've got the New York Times live forecast, if you remember The Needle from 2016.
00:12:38.000 In Indiana right now, Mike Braun is ahead by over 100,000 votes.
00:12:51.000 And so that would cover the gap that we need for Indianapolis.
00:12:54.000 So it seems like, to me, that Braun, we might pick up a Senate seat there.
00:12:59.000 We'll have to see that.
00:13:18.000 I feel really good about Indiana, actually.
00:13:20.000 I think Donnelly's on his way out.
00:13:23.000 I know you're saying it's a bunch of the rural counties that have come in, but if you just go to the New York Times map right there, and the whole big dot of it is Indianapolis, and it's heavily for Donnelly.
00:13:38.000 Trump campaigned very hard in there.
00:13:40.000 Mike Braun campaigned very hard in there.
00:13:42.000 You know, I'm right on the edge over in Cincinnati, so I pick up a lot of their AM radio ads and all of that, and they went after Donald pretty hard, so I'm pretty sure.
00:13:54.000 And who's that guy?
00:13:56.000 Was it Bobby Knight?
00:13:57.000 For whatever reason, the Hoosiers just love that guy, so if you get him behind anything, everybody's like, all right.
00:14:01.000 I'm looking actually at the betting markets right now.
00:14:04.000 This is, to me, another good indicator.
00:14:06.000 Typically it tends to fluctuate with the news in the sense that you know it's not the best predictor it's more just a good sign of where the common mood is that because you know if you're invested if you're betting money you're more invested in it you've got the most up-to-date facts and for the betting markets right now they have
00:14:24.000 At least for Indiana, they've got Joe Donnelly at a 20% chance, basically, of winning re-election.
00:14:30.000 So it looks like we've basically got Indiana in the bag, which is a very good thing to me because the polling was basically in the middle on Indiana.
00:14:39.000 I don't know if you guys were watching the polling on RealClearPolitics, but the average, I believe it was 24 hours ago or 48 hours ago, was only a 0.8% advantage for Donnelly, actually.
00:14:49.000 So if he ends up losing by a big margin, I think
00:14:51.000 Uh-oh.
00:15:15.000 Wouldn't be America First without these vicious audio issues.
00:15:18.000 I mean hey, it just couldn't be as bad as it was when we did California, you know?
00:15:22.000 It was like...
00:15:28.000 Four minutes at a time of just me, like, chuckling, like, oh, he's making the good jokes.
00:15:34.000 But yeah, when it comes to Predict It, I understand the logic behind, you know, people wanting to put money, and this is a little tinfoil hat, but they're putting, you know, money and what have you, but people also
00:15:51.000 Love long shots and will pay off, you know big big payoffs on that So if you are looking at 2016 and you're like, okay, I can you know, I have a hundred extra dollars I can dump it on Beto O'Rourke.
00:16:02.000 Well, if he happens to win then I've made a lot more money So I don't think that predicted is gonna end up being as accurate as it should be great idea But you're forgetting there's a lot of people out there with just you know
00:16:16.000 Okay, there's a there's a massive delay in our voices in terms of the OBS software, it's it's all coming in at the same time.
00:16:28.000 So let me let me investigate this a little bit But in the meantime, I'm gonna throw up some of the numbers here on the screen and and we'll just let people take a look But I'm gonna try and figure this out here
00:16:38.000 Wouldn't be America First if we didn't have a boomer tech issue, right?
00:16:41.000 Wouldn't be... We actually just had a switch.
00:16:44.000 I'm using a very different headset than I usually use.
00:16:50.000 I actually broke my original one.
00:16:52.000 Or, you know, why don't we just, in the meantime, if there's... Wait, is it out of sync in terms of our... Like, my voice is not syncing up with your voice?
00:17:00.000 Because if that's the case, I don't... Okay.
00:17:04.000 All together.
00:17:07.000 Okay, well then, until I fix it, I'll just keep it on the New York Times.
00:17:12.000 Looks like a badly dubbed anime.
00:17:16.000 So where were we?
00:17:16.000 Where were we?
00:17:17.000 Yeah, it wouldn't be the Boomer Tech.
00:17:18.000 Or rather, it wouldn't be America First without the Boomer Tech.
00:17:27.000 But anyway, what I was saying about Indiana, while you figure that out, is that two years ago in 2016, Donald Trump lost Indianapolis by about 100,000 votes.
00:17:37.000 So right now, Braun is ahead by over 100,000 votes.
00:17:40.000 So that would make up the gap, the margin that we need for when we take the big hit of Indianapolis when all the votes start reporting.
00:17:48.000 I mean, as it looks right now, that's a Senate seat for us, but again, it's really the House that's really shaky for us in this election, which, and I'm most concerned about, because we don't want to hand the gavel and subpoena power to Nancy Pelosi and the Democratic Party.
00:18:02.000 It would be terrible.
00:18:09.000 We'll see if that 140,000, that's a pretty sizable lead that he's got, is going to be enough to overcome it.
00:18:15.000 To me, Indiana is looking good, but to me, Indiana was looking good from the start.
00:18:20.000 What are you guys thinking more about Florida, if we'll transition for a moment?
00:18:24.000 We're taking a look here now at Florida on the Senate map, and that's of course Rick Scott versus Bill Nelson.
00:18:29.000 What are you guys thinking about that one?
00:18:40.000 Little worried about it, honestly.
00:18:43.000 I think that Rick Scott can pull it out.
00:18:45.000 When it comes to Florida, I'm a little bit more worried about the gubernatorial race because I know some people down in Florida and I don't want them to have to move.
00:18:56.000 I think that Rick Scott can pull it out.
00:19:02.000 He was great as governor.
00:19:03.000 People did like him as governor.
00:19:06.000 I just don't know, you know, how much they liked Bill Nelson.
00:19:10.000 There was a lot of campaigning that Trump did down there.
00:19:12.000 It sounds so lame, but you know, it depends on turnout.
00:19:18.000 Depends on turnout, you know, in an election.
00:19:23.000 But it should.
00:19:24.000 I'm thinking Florida goes our way.
00:19:26.000 I think everybody campaigned really hard down there.
00:19:28.000 But you're going to look at a lot of especially getting hit with the hurricane, the way that, you know, Rick Scott handled the hurricane and all of that.
00:19:37.000 I think Floridians will remember that and and hopefully vote for Rick Scott.
00:19:41.000 But everybody's doing down ballot this this time.
00:19:43.000 Everybody's doing down ballot.
00:19:45.000 Right.
00:19:46.000 And the thing is, is that Andrew Gillum was was was endorsed by the Communist Party USA.
00:19:54.000 And he's ahead right now by about 0.2%, so it's very close.
00:20:00.000 It's very close.
00:20:00.000 We have 3,223,000 for Gillum, 3,209,000 for DeSantis, and it looks like there's a few districts left in the panhandle, which is usually typically red.
00:20:10.000 We'll have to see what happens there.
00:20:12.000 I'll be in the live voice channel on my Nicholas J. Fuentes server.
00:20:14.000 Are you guys all in there?
00:20:33.000 Alright, I'll shoot that over to you.
00:20:34.000 We'll see if we can get this fixed.
00:20:37.000 I apologize for the technical difficulties here, but let me see if we can get this back on track here.
00:20:50.000 It's fine, it'll be better.
00:20:51.000 You can just add in the little widget there, the Discord widget.
00:20:56.000 I don't have to show my face anyway.
00:21:03.000 I'll just close this Hangouts then.
00:21:13.000 All right, well, that's epic.
00:21:16.000 Pretty epic stream so far, right?
00:21:18.000 Aren't we just loving the audio issues?
00:21:21.000 I think you guys can hear me though, right?
00:21:23.000 It's only everybody else that's having the problem, so that's all right.
00:21:27.000 But anyway, we're taking a look here, and so far it looks like the polls are starting to show us some returns here.
00:21:34.000 Now we're up to Texas, Florida.
00:21:36.000 Tennessee, Indiana, Ohio, West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Vermont.
00:21:42.000 I mean the big ones that we're looking at tonight, it's gonna be Texas, Florida, Tennessee, West Virginia, Ohio, and Indiana.
00:21:48.000 Everything basically the east over here.
00:21:50.000 They already called Virginia for Tim Kaine.
00:21:53.000 You know, we basically expected that.
00:21:54.000 They called Vermont for Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren in Massachusetts.
00:21:58.000 You know, this stuff doesn't surprise us.
00:22:00.000 The big ones we're looking at here are gonna be all these guys and
00:22:03.000 Wow, it looks like they've already declared Ohio for Sherrod Brown.
00:22:07.000 That's a little bit disappointing.
00:22:08.000 He was leading in the polls, but you know, people still thought he had a shot.
00:22:13.000 So let's see.
00:22:13.000 It looks like we've got Bryden in here.
00:22:16.000 Bryden, are you there?
00:22:21.000 I don't know.
00:22:22.000 Let's see.
00:22:23.000 I'll wait for the live chat to let us know if the audio has been fixed.
00:22:28.000 That's the problem, you know, it's not like I don't have a producer of a certain Semitic persuasion, so we don't really have the resources to tell me what's going on with the audio, but we'll figure it out here.
00:22:41.000 So, let's see.
00:22:43.000 Yeah, it's looking like we're not doing so hot.
00:22:45.000 I think they just called Ohio for Sherrod Brown.
00:22:58.000 Yeah, but I kind of figured that was going to happen.
00:23:00.000 I mean, he is the incumbent.
00:23:01.000 Luckily, we still have Rob Porter, but there was absolutely zero campaigning going on from Renesi, from what I could see just in the Cincinnati area.
00:23:11.000 It was really embarrassing.
00:23:13.000 I had reached out to their campaign multiple times just saying, hey, let me knock doors.
00:23:17.000 Hey, let me, you know, make phone calls.
00:23:19.000 They called me one time and were like, oh, that sounds great.
00:23:22.000 Let's get with you and schedule you to do that.
00:23:23.000 I was like, yeah.
00:23:25.000 And then I never heard from him again, so I don't know what was going on with her in AC Campaign, but I kind of figured that one was, it was a long shot anyway.
00:23:33.000 All right, here we go.
00:24:00.000 Yeah, why don't I It must be your OBS might have to restart man.
00:24:04.000 I'm I have no idea why it's But how could there be a delay?
00:24:11.000 Oh because they're you You know, maybe it's everybody else maybe it's everybody watching the stream Maybe you need to get your computers fixed Everybody maybe you need to figure that one out
00:24:26.000 What a night for it to go bust on me, right?
00:24:29.000 Every other night I think you were doing alright.
00:24:31.000 Maybe if I switch to my other microphone, will that make it better?
00:24:35.000 Maybe the quality will just dip.
00:24:42.000 I think it's gotta be the processing policy.
00:24:46.000 I don't know.
00:24:48.000 Maybe just put an image, like a small square of your face in the bottom left hand corner and then we'll just go voice only.
00:24:56.000 Hey, we're gonna all figure it out together.
00:24:59.000 We're all gonna figure it out together.
00:25:02.000 It's gotta be the OBS then, yeah.
00:25:08.000 OBS actually did just do an update just recently as I usually do, but I'll bet if you restarted your computer that's what it is, but I'm not sure how to do that.
00:25:24.000 I like how the analysis has shifted away from Ohio, Florida to, you know, let's analyze the audio transmission here.
00:25:34.000 That's the thing.
00:25:34.000 The audio is coming through.
00:25:36.000 I'm hearing it in real time.
00:25:38.000 It's showing up in real time on the software, but I guess something's happening when it's relaying it to YouTube.
00:25:44.000 So let me check.
00:25:45.000 Let me pull up some of the...
00:25:48.000 Some things here.
00:25:48.000 We'll see if we can figure it out.
00:25:50.000 People are not really helping in the live chat.
00:25:52.000 If you're being impatient and calling me names in the live chat, that's probably not going to help.
00:25:58.000 I think that's only increasing the tensions in the situation.
00:26:04.000 That's right.
00:26:04.000 We're going to be here for five hours, so strap in, everybody.
00:26:08.000 We're going to figure it out, guys.
00:26:10.000 We're going to be here for a while anyway.
00:26:11.000 So... It's going to... Yeah, strap in, get some popcorn.
00:26:18.000 I'm looking at, because it's things that I care about, I'm looking at Ohio's First.
00:26:26.000 You know, Aftab Pureval spent a lot of money.
00:26:30.000 He had all kinds of celebrities all over the place, all over his commercials on the TV and all of that.
00:26:38.000 And he's still, with what's reporting right now, just three points behind Steve Shabbat.
00:26:48.000 That's a curious one to look at.
00:26:49.000 I know that I heard a lot of the big talking heads, the weird fruit and vegetable shaped faces on TV were totally behind Aftab.
00:27:00.000 That would be a big upset for me.
00:27:01.000 I don't even like Steve Shabbat that much, he's an old wrinkly man, but Aftab is just terrible.
00:27:08.000 DeSantis just pulled ahead of Gillum there.
00:27:10.000 Yeah, very good.
00:27:11.000 That Florida, that's what's gonna kill us, honestly, and it scares me because that was an election that used to be winnable, and increasingly I think it's not winnable for Republicans anymore because of the demographic situation.
00:27:22.000 Do you guys feel the same way?
00:27:31.000 I don't know.
00:27:31.000 I don't know.
00:27:31.000 I mean, Donald Trump won Florida.
00:27:35.000 I mean, if you look at the, but see, the thing is Cubans vote like 55% for Republicans.
00:27:42.000 So most of the Hispanic population in Florida is Cuban.
00:27:46.000 But do you know what, do you know who's winning for Georgia though?
00:27:49.000 Which is good news for us is, uh, Brian Kemp is winning by over a hundred thousand votes over Stacey Abrams, who sponsored a bill.
00:28:00.000 That would mandate the government to tell you to turn in your weapons, your firearms.
00:28:05.000 Oh, that's good.
00:28:06.000 Yeah, and I remember there was that big, that was what that whole New York Times article was about by, was it Michelle Goldberg?
00:28:13.000 And she was talking about how Georgia was going to be the opportunity for the coalition of the ascendant to show white people that it's not their country anymore.
00:28:21.000 And for... Right, right.
00:28:30.000 Because it's like 30% black.
00:28:31.000 The state is like 30% black.
00:28:36.000 Obviously, they're not getting them out to vote though.
00:28:40.000 It's 272,000 for Brian Kemp.
00:28:42.000 Stacey Abrams is 147,000.
00:28:44.000 So well over 100,000 votes there for Brian Kemp.
00:28:47.000 He had the coolest campaign ad by the way.
00:28:49.000 Did you guys see that campaign ad?
00:28:52.000 Oh, you know what I think it is?
00:28:52.000 I think it's my PC.
00:28:54.000 You've got to get the bitrate up, fellas.
00:28:59.000 I see it clearly now.
00:29:00.000 It just completely collapsed at about 705.
00:29:02.000 So let me see if I can just jack that way up.
00:29:07.000 And then maybe we'll be all right.
00:29:09.000 Maybe then we'll be okay.
00:29:11.000 But yeah, that Brian Kemp is doing well to me is exciting because I think that reflects possibly what the turnout is looking like across the country.
00:29:21.000 I think that's going to have some kind of an effect there.
00:29:24.000 So that's good.
00:29:25.000 And now we're seeing some returns come in from Texas.
00:29:28.000 I don't know.
00:29:28.000 It's only 1% in reporting.
00:29:30.000 Do you think we can learn anything from what we're looking at in Texas just as long as we have these numbers now?
00:29:42.000 Let me look at it here.
00:30:01.000 No, I'm not going to accept that.
00:30:02.000 I mean, it's my prediction.
00:30:04.000 And you know, this always means that it gets screwed up.
00:30:07.000 But Beto is, he's got to go down by like 12%.
00:30:12.000 Like he has to really get messed up.
00:30:14.000 Otherwise, he's just going to end up on some VP ticket in 2020.
00:30:18.000 And that'll be funny to watch him skateboard on the stage again.
00:30:21.000 And the only reason he was skateboarding is because, well, he didn't have his license.
00:30:29.000 You know, he did you guys so that someone did like a side by side video of of Ted Cruz, like basically cooking bacon on his gun.
00:30:38.000 And then they showed like Beto trying to dab or something like that.
00:30:44.000 Like, hello, fellow kids.
00:30:46.000 And I mean, just the fact that Donald Trump only won the state of Texas by nine percent and that probably Ted Cruz will win by around eight percent or something like that.
00:30:55.000 Shows us that demographics matter because we were winning Texas like 23% you know 24% before and You're gonna see Texas 23 go blue probably in the congressional in the house race You're gonna see you Dallas County used to be Always red until the demographics completely shifted in Dallas County and now that's always going to be blue it's almost the same thing like with California and
00:31:20.000 There's a lot of blacks in Ohio.
00:31:21.000 I mean...
00:31:35.000 One thing I wanted to bring up, actually, is I had seen in Florida that the exit polls, which are always garbage, black voters were up 6% for the GOP than what we're used to.
00:31:54.000 So I imagine it's, you know,
00:31:57.000 Up to 7% or whatever.
00:31:58.000 I don't really trust that that much.
00:32:01.000 You're saying 7% of black voters are voting?
00:32:04.000 Or you're saying 7%?
00:32:06.000 Voted with the GOP.
00:32:08.000 What?
00:32:08.000 Up above?
00:32:11.000 Well, it's up 6% than it normally was.
00:32:13.000 The joke is that it was 1% before.
00:32:16.000 Oh, I see what you're saying.
00:32:18.000 Well, the 2016 election would have like 8%, was it 8%?
00:32:23.000 Yeah, it was 8%.
00:32:24.000 Yeah, it's 14 total now.
00:32:27.000 Yeah, it's 14 total now.
00:32:29.000 So let's see, what are we looking at now?
00:32:30.000 I guess we've got some numbers from Michigan coming in.
00:32:32.000 I understand it.
00:32:33.000 And it's less than 1% reporting, but we do have some numbers there.
00:32:37.000 I don't think so.
00:32:52.000 Uh, given the way that that race went, do you guys think that we can extrapolate, uh, what happened there?
00:32:58.000 Or rather, do you think we can extrapolate conclusions about Michigan, Wisconsin, possibly Pennsylvania based on what happened in Ohio?
00:33:04.000 Because I see, obviously, Indiana and Ohio taking very different courses here.
00:33:08.000 Shrod Brown, uh, you know, he obviously wins it outright.
00:33:12.000 Indiana, too close to call.
00:33:13.000 Mike Brown's way up.
00:33:15.000 Which one do you think, uh, the rest of the Midwest and the Rust Belt is gonna go based on the numbers we're seeing so far?
00:33:30.000 Go ahead, Brian.
00:33:31.000 Oh, I was going to say, Vince, you're going to have to take that one over, because the way that I'm looking at it, Indiana is a little bit more, I guess, red than Ohio.
00:33:44.000 We've got Sherrod Brown, we've got Rob Porter, so we kind of like to split our stuff.
00:33:49.000 And again, heavy black population.
00:33:51.000 Indiana is just
00:33:54.000 Actually more rural.
00:33:56.000 You know, there's one city in all of Indiana that anybody knows.
00:34:00.000 And what is it?
00:34:01.000 It's Indianapolis.
00:34:01.000 All right, that's it.
00:34:02.000 That's the only city you know there.
00:34:05.000 You know, we've got Cleveland, Toledo, Cincinnati, all of that.
00:34:08.000 So they're a bit more rural.
00:34:10.000 I wouldn't make any predictions just yet about Pennsylvania.
00:34:15.000 I think, you know, obviously we're looking at, you know, the Senate thing.
00:34:20.000 Bob Casey's completely got that.
00:34:23.000 When it comes to the House in Ohio, I mean, we've got a lot of Republicans interested in what happens in Virginia, quite frankly, than Indiana and Ohio.
00:34:35.000 I just care about my districts and, you know, my governor, and it kind of looks like, at least right now, Richard Cordray might pull this one off.
00:34:45.000 So what about Balderson in Ohio 12?
00:35:17.000 While you're pulling that up, I just want to mention that Debbie Stabenow and John James are in a very tight race.
00:35:25.000 Oh, but it's less than 1% reporting.
00:35:27.000 Never mind.
00:35:28.000 I thought it was more than that.
00:35:29.000 I thought it would be more than that.
00:35:30.000 OK, but they started with Oakland County.
00:35:32.000 You've got to take a look at the predicted.
00:35:34.000 I know Bryden says he doesn't care about predicted, but Republicans are now favored 60% to control the House after the midterms.
00:35:42.000 Now, granted, these prices don't
00:35:47.000 Yeah.
00:35:50.000 Wait, by what?
00:35:51.000 By the... Hold on.
00:35:53.000 Were you going off of the ticker there?
00:35:55.000 The New York Times?
00:35:56.000 Oh, okay.
00:36:11.000 Let's take a look at some of the tickers.
00:36:13.000 Did I get rid of those?
00:36:22.000 You know what?
00:36:22.000 New York Times got rid of their meter.
00:36:24.000 Did you hear about that?
00:36:25.000 I read an article today that New York Times got rid of their meter because it triggered people.
00:36:29.000 It reminded too many people of 2016.
00:36:38.000 Huh, because they're not, yeah, because they're not using it.
00:36:40.000 Yeah, they changed it.
00:36:41.000 They said they would have the results in at about 7 o'clock, 7.30.
00:36:44.000 They don't have anything.
00:36:46.000 Uh-oh, looking like a bad night for them.
00:36:51.000 Yes.
00:36:53.000 Well, I have two things.
00:36:55.000 Awesome.
00:36:56.000 I have two things.
00:36:57.000 One, apparently the Discord is saying that the audio is all kinds of messed up.
00:37:03.000 Oh, thanks.
00:37:04.000 But two, we have a, yeah.
00:37:14.000 We just gotta restart, man.
00:37:16.000 But we've got, before we have to do that, we've got a screenshot coming from FiveThirtyEight, where now the Democrats only have five and nine chance of controlling the House.
00:37:27.000 So Nate Silver's possibly in for another bad hair day.
00:37:31.000 Check this out before we restart, if we are planning on doing that.
00:37:37.000 Here we go.
00:37:37.000 What if white people voted?
00:37:38.000 This is from 538.
00:37:39.000 They would control the house 268 to 167 if only white people voted.
00:37:45.000 If only non-white people voted, Democrats would control the house 388 to 47.
00:37:48.000 So there's just some bits of data there for you from 538.
00:38:02.000 I'm more confused about what if black people just voted.
00:38:07.000 Alright, you know what?
00:38:08.000 Maybe we're just gonna have to drop the jettison of guests here.
00:38:12.000 I'm asking people like, what's the delay?
00:38:15.000 What's the delay?
00:38:16.000 People are like, you're all delayed.
00:38:18.000 Like, no, you don't understand.
00:38:20.000 So am I behind?
00:38:21.000 Or are you guys ahead?
00:38:23.000 Nick is the only one delayed, they're saying.
00:38:29.000 But how could they know if you're the only one delayed?
00:38:32.000 In the context of the conversation, is it I'm talking, and then you start talking while I'm talking, indicating that it's me that's delayed, or is it the other way around?
00:38:43.000 Because I can adjust it, I can offset the sync of the different audio components, and I can fix it without rebooting.
00:38:51.000 But in order to do that, I need to know who's behind and by how much.
00:38:56.000 Yeah, exactly.
00:39:01.000 Dude, everyone's saying different shit.
00:39:03.000 Everyone is saying different shit in the chat.
00:39:05.000 Nick is ahead, guests are delayed.
00:39:08.000 Yeah, it says guests are six seconds behind.
00:39:10.000 Guests are ahead, Nick is delayed, so everything, there's no consensus here.
00:39:14.000 I'll try offsetting my volume by six seconds and we'll see if it works.
00:39:18.000 Is that good?
00:39:26.000 I got that figured out.
00:39:27.000 I just went in the other room and asked the lady watching it, and she said that when you come back, you're talking over us, and then when you say something, it takes us a long time.
00:39:40.000 That's why they were saying that Nick was interrupting all the time.
00:39:43.000 Yeah.
00:39:45.000 All right, let's take a look here.
00:39:46.000 Oh, shit.
00:39:49.000 Well, I don't think we're, it's not gonna fix it, you know, I believe we'll have the same problem.
00:39:53.000 No, but would it be a big deal if we just restarted OBS?
00:39:56.000 Look, I mean, the stream was growing beforehand.
00:39:58.000 People are complaining.
00:39:59.000 I don't, you know, I don't really care if they're complaining.
00:40:02.000 You know, as long as people are, if we restart it, it's just gonna butcher the whole thing, so.
00:40:07.000 Let's take a look and we'll see if it works, but people have got to relax a little bit.
00:40:13.000 Let's see.
00:40:14.000 I just like how all of that problem was solved by actually interacting with another plus and plus human being.
00:40:25.000 We're going to have to adopt the weekly sweat motto, which is fuck the fans.
00:40:31.000 That's what we're going to have to switch over to, right?
00:40:34.000 But let's see.
00:40:41.000 Okay, people are saying the delay is better.
00:40:44.000 I don't know if we want to do that.
00:40:48.000 No more delay.
00:40:53.000 So now people are saying no it's not.
00:40:56.000 Now people are saying it is fixed.
00:40:59.000 Okay.
00:41:03.000 We just, we can't win here.
00:41:04.000 We can't win.
00:41:05.000 Some people are saying I like it when it was a delay.
00:41:07.000 Hopefully we win in Congress no matter what.
00:41:09.000 And then, you know, not fixed.
00:41:12.000 We're not restarting the stream.
00:41:14.000 We're not restarting.
00:41:15.000 So for everybody that's saying restart, restart, that's not going to happen.
00:41:25.000 It's fixed.
00:41:26.000 No, I think all your computers are broken.
00:41:28.000 I think everybody who's watching the show... I don't know what that means.
00:41:32.000 Because I think it's just fine.
00:41:37.000 Add one more second, people are saying.
00:41:39.000 Okay, see, this is productive.
00:41:40.000 Now we're working together.
00:41:41.000 When the fans and the Knickers work together...
00:41:47.000 I apologize to the guests here.
00:41:48.000 There he goes.
00:41:49.000 See?
00:41:50.000 Now there you go.
00:41:51.000 I mean, you know, every week we do just fine, and then it seems like the election streams, it must be the Zionists.
00:41:57.000 I have to say, if I had to point a finger at anybody, I'd have to point to Ben Shapiro.
00:42:13.000 Let's do a clap sync, okay?
00:42:17.000 So I'm gonna count to three, and then I count to three, we'll all clap, and then we'll get a sense of what the delay is, right?
00:42:23.000 Okay?
00:42:25.000 One, two, three.
00:42:28.000 Wait, you... But you clapped after me!
00:42:33.000 We have to all clap at the same time.
00:42:35.000 There was a- what the fuck?
00:42:38.000 Okay, Bryden and Vince and me, we're all clapping.
00:42:42.000 This is entertaining.
00:42:44.000 Okay, one, two, three.
00:42:47.000 Fuck the Young Turks.
00:42:52.000 Yeah, okay.
00:42:53.000 Okay.
00:42:55.000 One, two, three.
00:42:56.000 Dude, one, two, three, clap.
00:42:58.000 Come on, Bryden.
00:42:59.000 You know what?
00:43:00.000 You know what?
00:43:01.000 Here we go.
00:43:02.000 Literally 10-second delay, people are saying.
00:43:04.000 It's like five seconds off.
00:43:06.000 We've already made it delayed by seven, so we'll jump up to 17 seconds, and we'll see what it's like.
00:43:15.000 Perhaps people are just abusing.
00:43:18.000 Let's see.
00:43:18.000 It could be.
00:43:23.000 Maybe they're just fucking around, who knows?
00:44:36.000 Okay okay I just listened to it the delay is like it's like 10 seconds and I don't know how to fix it here so let me let me jump in I'm gonna mess around with that we're gonna play around it's the it's honestly it's
00:44:53.000 I'm not restarting.
00:44:54.000 Dude, do you think, like, if I restart the computer, it will change how much processing capacity- I can get it to restart your computer, bro.
00:45:00.000 Well, now that I'm re- The computer will say to itself... Now that I'm restarted, I'm finding... No, but you've had, like, streams where you've had guests on, and the discord, and things like that, and it's completely fine.
00:45:19.000 It's completely synced up, right?
00:45:21.000 So something must be awry.
00:45:26.000 Well, I just... Nick, I want to ask you, like, who would you trust?
00:45:30.000 The guy that, like, does the streams and then... Prefice versa, yeah.
00:45:34.000 Yeah, alright, alright, alright.
00:45:37.000 I'll start right back up, alright?
00:45:41.000 Okay, so I just restarted it.
00:45:42.000 I didn't restart my computer, I restarted the stream.
00:45:45.000 Hopefully he deletes the old one, so that...
00:45:49.000 Uh, yeah, yeah, we'll be right back on the same stream.
00:45:52.000 And I'll see if, uh... Are we gonna hitch back onto the same stream?
00:45:55.000 ...the bitrate issue is fixed.
00:45:58.000 Or maybe if I... Maybe I'll have to increase it.
00:46:02.000 By a little bit.
00:46:04.000 I'm... not many.
00:46:05.000 Honestly, because usually I have much more windows open.
00:46:08.000 I never have any more.
00:46:09.000 How many windows do you have open?
00:46:10.000 Because I'm worried it might be like a ram if you... Let's see, somebody's saying fixed?
00:46:13.000 Still wrong.
00:46:16.000 So which I don't get it half the people are saying more what's good now half are saying it's not Not fixed not fixed Are we back kick gas started jumped a bit rate up a little bit.
00:46:35.000 We'll see if we get it.
00:46:37.000 Oh
00:46:42.000 They called it for Ted Cruz already?
00:46:44.000 No way.
00:46:46.000 That doesn't surprise me.
00:46:49.000 Okay, now are we good now?
00:46:51.000 Test, test.
00:46:54.000 Say hello back to me.
00:46:58.000 Alright, well we'll see.
00:47:00.000 They're saying it's good now.
00:47:10.000 Um, uh, let me, let me play it for myself and I'll see.
00:47:15.000 Okay.
00:47:32.000 Right now there's only 2% reporting though.
00:47:34.000 So I need to go look at it myself, but this is a screenshot out of the discord here.
00:47:40.000 Bob Huggin.
00:47:42.000 That's not his real last name, but, you know, he'd be hugging them votes.
00:47:45.000 Hugin?
00:47:46.000 No, it's Huggin.
00:47:47.000 Because he's hugging them votes, dude.
00:47:48.000 Come on.
00:47:49.000 Yeah, he's up at the moment, which is good.
00:47:52.000 I did say on Twitter... What's the reporting, though?
00:47:56.000 Oh, okay, okay.
00:47:58.000 I did say on Twitter... Yeah, there's no way.
00:48:01.000 I mean, Menendez was up by like... But there was only one poll that I saw out of RCP.
00:48:09.000 I think he's good.
00:48:10.000 Yeah, I think he's gonna.
00:48:12.000 I think he's gonna.