Learn English with Pastor Kevin McLeod. In this episode, McLeod talks about the importance of being a Christian in the 21st century, and why it s so important to have a Christian president. He also talks about why he s running for president in 2020 and why he thinks it s a good idea to run against Donald Trump. McLeod is a pastor at Grace Bible Church in Los Angeles, California and is also the founder of the Christian Futurist Project, a non-profit organization dedicated to helping others achieve their dreams and goals through the power and influence of their faith. He has been a pastor for over twenty-five years and is the author of several books, including and as well as . He is also a regular contributor to conservative media outlets such as Fox News and the New York Times, and is a frequent guest on conservative talk shows such as The Weekly Standard and conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh s radio show, Rush Limbaugh's radio show on Sirius XM. and the conservative radio show The Rush Limbaugh Show on Fox News Radio. He has also been featured on CNN, CBS Radio, Fox Business, Fox News, and many other media outlets including CNN, NPR, CBS News, NPR and NPR. , and is an author, and has been featured in the Hollywood Reporter, USA Today, The Hollywood Reporter and The New Yorker, and the Los Angeles Times. in a new book, in the latest edition of his new book titled, The Future Is Yours Truly . in this episode of written by his new memoir, The Future is Yours in which he shares his vision for the future of the next century. which will be out in 2020. In addition to his new novel, , he also has a new album out in paperback coming out in May 2020, A Christian Future . by the next year, He s a new podcast out in the fall, which is out in July, and he s a Christian Future in 2020, and he is a Christian, not a Christian . and so much more! he s more than a Christian yet, he s going to be a Christian. . . . He s more of a Christian than you are a Christian and a Christian? at least he s not a liberal, right? at the same time he s an atheist, but he s also a feminist, right?!
Transcript
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00:15:12.000We have got to be willing to die for Jesus Christ.
00:15:17.000We have to want it more than they do, because if there are thousands and millions and tens of millions and hundreds of millions of Christians ready to meet their final destiny, then nothing can stop us, and nothing will.
00:17:56.000Years from now, some of them may look back and ask themselves whether they've made the right choice, whether they've made the most of the opportunities they've been given.
00:46:07.000Because if there are thousands, and millions, and tens of millions, and hundreds of millions of Christians ready to meet their final destiny, then nothing can stop us, and nothing will.
00:48:42.000Years from now, some of them may look back and ask themselves whether they've made the right choice, whether they've made the most of the opportunities they've been given.
00:58:20.000We'll be looking at the polling, we'll look at the election betting odds, we'll be watching live coverage of the different events, and the latest events with all the different candidates.
00:58:32.000We'll watch Trump, Haley, DeSantis, and Vivek events, the most recent ones they've done.
01:02:09.000But historically, those are the first two.
01:02:13.000The Democrat Party literally made a decision this year that because Iowa and New Hampshire are too white, that they want to put them at the end rather than the beginning of the election.
01:02:26.000Because of course the Democrats hate white people now.
01:02:39.000The party made a decision that to have Iowa and New Hampshire at the beginning is not representative of the diversity of their party.
01:02:48.000So rather than front-loading Iowa and New Hampshire at the beginning,
01:02:53.000They're going to hold them, but they're going to reveal the results at the very end, in March, so that they can let the black people have the first crack at it.
01:03:07.000So, we're not going to get results in the Democrat, and there isn't really a Democratic contest anyway, it's just Joe Biden, this Jew, Dean Phillips, and, uh,
01:03:19.000I think one other person's running, and Marianne Williamson.
01:03:23.000Those are the three Democrats, but they're not even really holding a competition this year.
01:03:28.000So it's just the Republican caucus, and like I said, it's Trump, DeSantis, Haley, Ramaswamy.
01:03:36.000Behind me I have the New York Times live results.
01:03:41.000And, you know, they included Chris Christie, but he dropped out.
01:03:45.000And then they have Asa Hutchinson, who was the governor of Arkansas.
01:03:50.000I don't know if he dropped out or not.
01:04:39.000I'm not 100% sure all the other caucus states, but Iowa is the most famous one and the most significant.
01:04:45.000And, historically, it actually worked a little bit differently than the way it's gonna work tonight.
01:04:51.000So, historically, I believe it's every precinct
01:04:56.000They have a center, like a gymnasium or a church, or a place where typically you would go to vote, and instead of going in and it's one person, one vote, across the entire state, everybody meets at exactly the same time.
01:05:13.000The party holds a meeting simultaneously in every county, I think it's every county or every precinct,
01:05:21.000They hold a meeting all over the state, excuse me, all over the state, and everybody goes all at the same time.
01:05:29.000So it's not like it's open from 9 to 5 and you go in and you cast your vote.
01:05:39.000And instead of voting, in years past, they would have it where each campaign would have a representative go and give a speech on their behalf.
01:05:51.000So you go to the gymnasium in your precinct,
01:05:54.000And there's a speaker for Trump, and there's a speaker for Haley, and DeSantis, and Vivek, and they give a speech on behalf of the candidate, and then they would go to different corners of the room, and they'd hold up a placard and say, this corner's for Trump, this corner's for whoever, and all the people in the room would go to the different corners, and they would add up all the people in the corners,
01:06:19.000And that's how they would determine how the delegates were allocated.
01:08:14.000I think there's like 2,400 total delegates.
01:08:20.000Because of course the way the nominating process works is that there are primaries and caucuses that are held in all 50 states and the territories, and every state has a number of delegates based on population size.
01:08:36.000And so the smaller states have fewer delegates, the bigger states have more delegates, and different states have different rules about how they're allocated.
01:08:44.000Probably every candidate will get a delegate tonight, because they're not hard to get at the Iowa caucus.
01:08:50.000In other states, in primary states, it works differently.
01:08:56.000But there's, I think, 2,400, something like that in total.
01:09:01.000And then, of course, at the very end of the season, when all the states have voted, whoever has the majority of the delegates, that person is officially nominated at the Republican Convention in the summer.
01:09:19.000So the thing is though, tonight there's 40 delegates at stake, but it's not even really about the delegates because it's a very small number of delegates.
01:09:30.000Super Tuesday, which is in 8-9 weeks, it'll be up to 1,200 delegates will have been allocated by that point.
01:09:39.000So, you know, by the time we get to the first week of March, we're gonna be halfway to the finish line.
01:09:56.000Because, again, this 40 is not going to make or break anybody.
01:10:01.000The reason why the Iowa caucus is a big deal is because this, along with the next three races in New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina, these first four, which happen in January and February, they set the tone for the rest of the primary.
01:10:21.000So historically, these are the big four.
01:10:24.000Iowa, and then New Hampshire, and then Nevada, and then South Carolina.
01:10:29.000And those four, the first four taken together, they give everybody a pretty good idea of who is popular and who's viable.
01:10:39.000Who is looking like they're a true contender for the nomination.
01:10:49.000So Iowa is a big deal, and I'll get into the specifics because, you know, we're just kind of going over some background stuff here.
01:10:55.000But the reason why Iowa is a big deal is because it's the first one.
01:11:00.000So we have polling information, and we'll look at the polls in a moment.
01:11:05.000We have polling, but Iowa is the first case where people go and vote.
01:11:11.000And so we'll really get an idea of who actually has genuine support.
01:11:17.000And some people will overperform and some will underperform and that'll give us a good idea and that is a good signal to the donors and to other primary voters in other states who really stands a chance of winning the nomination and who's popular.
01:11:35.000So, specifically tonight, it's a big night for Ron DeSantis.
01:11:41.000This is really, I would say, this race matters the most to him.
01:11:47.000Because Ron DeSantis, his whole strategy is based around Iowa.
01:11:54.000And it has to do with the first four contests.
01:11:56.000You see, it's Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina.
01:12:01.000Out of the first four, DeSantis really only has a chance of winning or getting second or coming close to first in Iowa.
01:12:11.000And that's because of the demographics of Iowa.
01:12:13.000New Hampshire is up there in New England and they're sort of libertarian and they're much more moderate, much more establishment.
01:12:22.000Nevada is always a wild card, a lot of Hispanics.
01:12:25.000South Carolina is Nikki Haley's home state.
01:12:29.000Iowa has a lot of evangelicals and very conservative voters, and actually Donald Trump didn't win the Iowa caucus in 2016.
01:13:51.000If he doesn't have a good performance here, he's done.
01:13:56.000If he doesn't perform well here, he will not perform well anywhere else, and as a result, he will not be able to raise money, and it's the end of the line.
01:15:22.000Vivek is a total political outsider, never held elected office, and he's anti-establishment.
01:15:30.000He's built his campaign on viral internet marketing, has eschewed a lot of the political conventions, specifically not giving a lot of money for TV and radio ads in Iowa.
01:15:45.000And so it'll be interesting to see if he overperforms his polling.
01:15:49.000Because some have been suggesting that this may be the case, that Vivek may come into Iowa and do much better than he's doing in the polls.
01:15:59.000Because people have said that there's enthusiasm.
01:16:01.000He's done literally like 260 events in Iowa, which is more than twice as many as anybody else.
01:16:09.000So he's done literally hundreds of events, so has his wife.
01:16:16.000And he's been getting good crowds and a lot of buzz around him.
01:16:20.000And Trump notably struck at Vivek yesterday on True Social.
01:16:26.000This is a big story the other day that apparently Vivek took a picture with a bunch of young kids and they had a shirt on that said, Save Trump, Vote Vivek.
01:16:37.000And this is part of his appeal as he's telling a lot of these Trump voters that they need to vote for him to save Trump.
01:16:45.000And he's putting out this weird theory that Trump is going to be assassinated or somehow removed from the ballot and that if we want to have any chance at, like, a pro-Trump guy in office, since Trump won't be the nominee, we gotta vote Vivek.
01:17:00.000That's what he's been telling people, which is very strange.
01:17:04.000Although, it kind of makes sense in a weird way to, like, a weirdo Republican audience.
01:17:10.000And Trump hit Vivek very hard and said, no, like, vote for me.
01:17:16.000So we'll see how effective that that pitch is.
01:17:58.000So we got the hashtag Iowa Caucuses, so we'll see what they're saying on Twitter.
01:18:05.000We got the Trump Rumble channel, so I think we'll probably watch the most recent Trump rally in Iowa, which happened, I believe, yesterday.
01:18:16.000We'll watch the most recent DeSantis appearance, which was earlier today.
01:22:40.000July, which is I would imagine when she announced Maybe a little bit later Yeah, well I wonder what happened in July what the heck happened in July late July 23 Because he went from 23 to 17 And then it looks like it's been Narrowing between him and Haley ever since
01:23:10.000Notably around the November debates, it seems.
01:27:41.000Between somebody who can protest in slogans versus somebody who's sharing with you their true convictions.
01:27:47.000If you want somebody who's gonna speak truth to power, vote for somebody who's gonna speak the truth to you.
01:27:53.000If I win the Iowa Caucus, I'm the next president.
01:27:55.000And if I'm the next president, we are going to revive our national identity, shut down that new state federal bureaucracy, revive this economy, and be proud to be who we are again.
01:28:24.000And they said, well I don't trust Vivek because the way he made his money was a little bit scummy and initially he reacted to January 6th the way the media did.
01:29:15.000In order to run in politics without being a billionaire or, you know, having some other kind of independent base of support, you have to ask yourself, how are you going to win a statewide office as a relative nobody?
01:29:36.000First you run for something local, then you run for Congress, then you run for governor or senator or something statewide, then you run for president.
01:29:46.000But typically, any politician that runs for president is a statewide office holder, meaning they were a governor or they were a senator.
01:29:56.000And typically, every senator and governor, in most cases, although less so than for the presidency, a governor or senator usually starts out in Congress.
01:30:09.000And so, the politician's route to the presidency is climbing up a political ladder, and typically the only way that people can do that is through patronage.
01:30:23.000They have to fund very expensive campaigns.
01:30:26.000How do you run a campaign for Congress?
01:30:28.000Well, depending on your district, you could need a million dollars, or more.
01:33:18.000And as a consequence, these politicians that run for office, you get these generic, uninspired, out-of-a-box campaigns, and they're run by people who are really nothing more than these hollow political operators.
01:33:38.000Whereas somebody like Trump, or even Tom Steyer for that matter, or Andrew Yang, or...
01:33:47.000Michael Bloomberg or Vivek I consider them all part of the same category even though they're on the right and left you know Tom Steyer was a Starbucks CEO and he ran in the Dem primary in 20 and Bloomberg did the same and so did Andrew Yang although Andrew Yang wasn't even a billionaire he was a low millionaire which is quite shocking Andrew Yang only had between 1 and 10 million dollars net worth which you might say well that's pretty rich
01:34:17.000But that's not rich when you're running for presidential politics.
01:34:20.000You know, Vivek, I think, had a billion.
01:34:27.000Trump has 10 to 20 billion or 5 to 15, however, whoever's estimate you take.
01:34:35.000You know, so Andrew Yang had like, I think, 1 to 5 million dollars, something like that.
01:34:42.000Anyway, I consider them all part of the same category because these are entrepreneurs, these are activists, billionaires, and they all come from sort of a different place.
01:34:56.000You know, Bloomberg and Trump come from a specific generation.
01:35:01.000Trump's in real estate, Bloomberg's in Wall Street.
01:35:05.000And, you know, Wall Street and real estate kind of select for a very specific kind of personality.
01:35:11.000And, of course, New York is the city of the 20th century.
01:35:16.000So they're older because when you're 70, 80 years old, the fortune was made in New York when those people were in their 20s, 30s, 40s, and it was in industries like Wall Street and real estate.
01:35:31.000And it's interesting, now these guys like Vivek and Andrew Yang, they're millennials, and they made their money in tech.
01:35:38.000You know, they made their money with Silicon Valley.
01:35:41.000They made their money in the industry and in the cities of this generation where the money is now.
01:35:46.000So, you know, they're different in temperament and they're different kinds of people.
01:35:50.000That industry selects for a different kind of person.
01:35:59.000They have that kind of tech startup, entrepreneur, stereotypical affect.
01:36:06.000You know, but nevertheless I like that and and I think Vivek he really cares.
01:36:11.000He's really putting in the work He's doing a lot of events.
01:36:15.000He's high energy I think he's very eloquent and I also think you know, he's far smarter than your average candidate I feel like it's such a breath of fresh air even if you know what a lot of people say he's like fake even if he is fake
01:36:31.000Wouldn't you prefer a fake person who's actually smart than a fake person that's dumb?
01:36:39.000And what I mean by that is DeSantis and Haley are dumb.
01:36:45.000But the way they talk to people, the way they do their whole routine, they get up there and they say things like, I'm gonna lead the great American comeback.
01:36:58.000And when Vivek gets up there, he actually has something intelligent to say.
01:37:03.000And I feel like that speaks to a different generation.
01:37:06.000I feel like when Donald Trump gives a speech, and when these generic politicians give a speech, they're speaking to a television audience.
01:37:13.000They're speaking to an older audience that was raised on the medium of television, which has a certain tempo, and has a certain lexicon level.
01:37:24.000And Vivek is speaking to an internet audience,
01:37:27.000And internet's obviously a very different medium and has a different tempo and a very different lexicon understanding level reading comprehension level.
01:37:42.000And then of course he is directionally correct.
01:37:48.000Even if you don't trust him as a guy, even if you don't maybe necessarily love the specific policies, he's anti-establishment, he's pro-America, he defends white people, and also he's offering a true alternative.
01:38:59.000And they probably believe something completely retarded.
01:39:03.000They probably don't know something that a 5th grader should know.
01:39:07.000You know, like, take an average American adult, and they might not know the difference between Washington, D.C.
01:39:13.000or Washington State, or, like, they might not be able to find Russia on a map, or, like, they might not be able to say, like, what century the Civil War happened in, or they might have, like, all kinds of weird ideas, or they might say completely asinine stuff, like, I hate both of them.
01:39:31.000I'm not gonna vote for either of them.
01:39:33.000You know, they might say some stupid shit like that.
01:39:38.000You definitely... The average person... If we had a politician that said what people are thinking, they'd sound like Oliver Anthony, or Jim Belushi, or some other fucking idiot.
01:39:49.000So, like, thank God Donald Trump didn't say what's on everybody's minds.
01:42:38.000The only thing you remember about him is that debate in New Hampshire where he repeated himself five times and where he kept saying, It's like,
01:43:59.000Because all these pussies were coming into the election and they were like,
01:44:05.000We want to probe business culture and reignite liberty to get the American dream again.
01:44:12.000And Donald Trump comes up with the navy suit and the red tie, comes down the escalator with the supermodel wife, and says, hey, America sucks.
01:48:22.000But compared to Make America Great Again, it's just like nothing.
01:48:27.000Yes, we can like you and you can kind of see it with yes, we can because there's this idea of like people are telling us we can't You know, yes, we can which is was Obama's was like implying You know if it's like an affirmative it's like people were saying no we can't We can't and Obama said yet.
01:49:04.000We can do the things we always wanted to do, but that we were told we couldn't.
01:49:09.000And people can color that with their own, you know, they can project onto that whatever they want, you know, for the climate people, for the, for the communists that want economic whatever, you know, for the
01:49:27.000Anybody that wants something could say, you can't have it.
01:50:35.000And anyway, I'm rambling on and on and on about something totally different now, but what I... So, to return to my original point, what I love about these entrepreneurs is that they really have vision.
01:50:49.000And Vivek, you know, he doesn't have a brilliant slogan.
01:50:52.000He hasn't captured that like Trump did.
01:56:46.000This kind of stuff where they say, well, I'd make a good president because... It's like, if you have to tell people why I'd make a good president, you just don't get it.
01:58:43.000And if you look at him as sort of like the archetypal demagogue, or like the archetypal, like, democratic leader, I know that it became undemocratic, but you understand what I'm saying.
01:58:56.000If you sort of look at him as, or even FDR, FDR was basically a dictator as well.
01:59:01.000I mean, he didn't, well, he had camps too.
01:59:07.000But if you look at FDR also as a dictator,
01:59:11.000There's something to be said about these leaders who are really pioneers of technology and of party politics, and they tell us something about how all of this works, which is to say these guys were not managers, they were not bureaucrats.
01:59:33.000They were not going up there and telling people, well, uh, you know, I'm, here's why I'm the true liberal.
01:59:42.000In both cases, they were men of action.
01:59:44.000They were both people that even if the policies didn't work, it was about sweeping, dynamic, vigorous, energetic change.
01:59:55.000You know, Napoleon is maybe in that conversation as well, creating the, you know, the army that he did and the bureaucratic state that he did.
02:00:05.000And it tells us something about leadership.
02:00:27.000That's the tragedy of DeSantis because there is a timeline where it's a Trump-DeSantis ticket and they win, and DeSantis ensures that the White House is based.
02:00:37.000Theoretically, I don't even know if... I don't think I would trust him as Vice President.
02:00:45.000Because he's obviously a shill, and he's outed himself as a shill.
02:00:49.000But let's say for the sake of argument, we didn't know that, and he never tried to challenge Trump, and he never showed us what an idiot he is.
02:00:57.000If he were the Vice President, theoretically he could be the best Vice President ever, he could keep the trains running on time, he could avoid all the pitfalls that befell Trump in the first term.
02:01:09.000Looking out for him as his vice president in the second term, and he could have set himself up to succeed Trump like George Bush Sr.
02:01:22.000Not presidential material, but it was like a third Reagan term.
02:01:25.000DeSantis could have been a third Trump term as vice president, and he wouldn't challenge Trump, he'd have Trump's endorsement, and you know, and then maybe you could believe in him.
02:01:36.000So it's just like an unmitigated disaster.
02:04:46.000Imagine you're an American and like planes are falling out of the sky because black people are flying them and they're getting in fights at the airports and every and Disneyland and You know the people at Starbucks are turning the tablet around and they're forcing you to tip 10% for a cup of coffee like all of these shenanigans are going on our institutions are crumbling and
02:05:11.000And DeSantis comes out and says, I beat the left.
02:11:10.000You have your civilian military, you have your civilian National Guard and all that stuff, and they work for the Constitution, they work for the government.
02:11:51.000If he sent me somewhere and said, look, we need to torture Hillary Clinton.
02:11:56.000Theoretically, I wouldn't obviously do that on my own volition, but if Donald Trump won the election, and Donald Trump called me on a secret burner phone, and he said, look,
02:12:09.000We have to capture and... No, we can't go there.
02:16:57.000Today is the day we make history because we tune out the noise of the media, we tune out the noise of the politicians, and we raise the voices of Americans that say we want a better day.
02:17:22.000Like, that's what's dangerous about her.
02:17:24.000She's like one of... You know how the Israeli Defense Force, they make a lot of... They take a lot of, like, photos of hot girls serving in the IDF?
02:17:56.000You know that if she gave you a hug, it would just be intoxicating.
02:18:00.000You know that if you came, if you were like cute enough and it would be a good photo op for her and she gave you a hug, you know she would smell bossom.
02:18:12.000You know her hair would smell like hairspray.
02:18:44.000Is that weird that if I hugged her I would smell her hair?
02:18:49.000I'd wrap my arms around her little body and I would go by her and go... And I would sniff her hair and I would go... I'm not voting for you.
02:18:58.000I would sniff her hair and I'd say, you are never getting my vote.
02:19:07.000Maybe she could be a waitress or something.
02:19:37.000She kind of has that energy of like, uh, the, uh, Pee Wee Herman bus driver.
02:19:43.000Like, she'd kind of give you a smirk and she'd kind of be like, like one of those old city chicks, you know what I'm talking about in all those old movies?
02:19:53.000She's got like a female maverick energy, you know what I'm saying?
02:19:58.000Like a woman that kind of smirks at you, like a woman that works in a mechanics shop, she's kind of like,
02:20:26.000Look, if you can't handle me when I say that I want to grab Nikki Haley's hair and sniff it, if you can't handle me when I'm saying that, you don't deserve me when I'm saying it will be done, Supreme Leader.
02:27:34.000In November we must take our very troubled nation, a nation in decline, back from crooked Joe Biden and the radical left Democrats and thugs who are destroying it.
02:38:20.000Those are all states that Trump won in 2016 that Biden won in 2020.
02:38:26.000But what you'll notice is that the three states that had the lowest margin of victory for Biden, that it was the lowest difference, you know, that he won by the least, I think it was 150,000 between three states, it was Arizona, Wisconsin, and Georgia.
02:38:45.000Those are the three with the smallest margin.
02:41:15.000Because California, Illinois, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and New York lost votes.
02:41:21.000If you get the same map in 24, like, there would have been a tie in 2020.
02:41:27.000If Trump had just, this is not a huge differential, if Trump had just won 150,000 more votes in those three states, it would have been a tie in 2020.
02:41:36.000Because of the vote change in 24, the same map,
02:42:30.000And when you look at the polling, this is the real white pill.
02:42:32.000I'm going to show you why I'm showing you this map.
02:42:37.000Because if you look at the head-to-head polling for the general election, Trump versus Biden, and you look at the swing states, I'm going to try and find the swing state polling here.
02:42:53.000If you look at Arizona, Trump is leading on average by five points.
02:43:00.000So in Arizona, this is one of the three that Trump needs.
02:43:55.000So if you look at just the polling, if you look at the polling average right now, I mean, he's basically tied in Wisconsin, basically tied in Pennsylvania, but he's up in Arizona, he's up in Georgia, he's up in Michigan, he's even up in Nevada.
02:44:11.000If you look at just the polling, this is what the map looks like right now.
02:44:15.000If the election were held today and you just looked at the polling,
02:44:19.000And typically the polling overestimates the performance of the Democrat.
02:44:23.000Like in, of course, in 16 and in 2020, the polls were much more favorable to Clinton and Biden than the results actually were.
02:44:35.000So, if history plays out again, this is the minimum, this is the floor for Trump, if the election's held today, 283 to 226.
02:44:50.000And if Trump winds up winning Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, he actually improves.
02:47:23.000To be free and flexible and creative was really essential to what I wanted to make and I didn't find a platform.
02:47:28.000...put out to you as the voting is about to get underway.
02:47:34.000Look, in a room like this, I think the question at the beginning of the night was, are people going to be able to get out?
02:47:38.000Are they going to want to get out in these frigid temperatures?
02:47:41.000And at least in this room, it appears the answer is yes.
02:47:43.000Because if you look around me, there were about a hundred seats that were laid out in this room, Tom, and all of them look pretty much full.
02:47:50.000We're about 15, 10 to 15 minutes before they do exactly what you were just describing.
02:47:54.000Say the pledge, begin the process here, and then we'll expect to hear from folks.
02:49:31.000This is a crossroads in the history of our civilization that will determine whether or not we, the people, reclaim control over our government.
02:54:17.000And let's go back to, I don't mean to harp on Nikki Haley here, but obviously, if she wanted to be the story, who's the hawk on foreign policy?
02:54:24.000And who's been the one trying to say, hey, we've got to change our conversation on abortion?
02:54:29.000That's not enough of the electorate that cares about the issues that she does.
02:54:32.000So, look, you look here and so far... Here we go!
02:58:51.000I pledge allegiance to the flag of the United States of America, and to the republic for which it stands, one nation, under God, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all.
02:59:04.000They're going to take the pledge and then I think they vote, right?
02:59:10.000Dear God, thank you for gathering our friends, our neighbors tonight in a very important caucus as we help elect the President of the United States.
02:59:20.000We remember those in Perry who are suffering tonight.
02:59:23.000These are our neighbors and friends, too.
02:59:26.000And we hope that you will help us make the right decisions in helping this great United States and help all those around the world for peace and prosperity.
03:00:01.000And again, I really thank you for coming out tonight.
03:00:04.000So, just so you know, this is what's happening in every precinct in Iowa.
03:00:09.000So, I don't know how many precincts there are, but in every precinct they're going to do the pledge
03:00:33.000And then a representative for each campaign is going to come up and give a speech.
03:00:37.000The speeches conclude and then they're going to vote.
03:00:39.000So this is happening simultaneously across the entire state right now.
03:00:44.000Every state, rather every precinct within the state, is having this meeting right now.
03:00:50.000So they'll probably all conclude around the same time, submit their results, and then, you know, we'll probably get the results in about a half hour.
03:02:19.000Today is our last chance to make sure America First outwins Trump.
03:02:24.000I know it may feel uncomfortable for you to switch your vote from Trump to debate tonight, but I'm asking you to do it for our country.
03:02:32.000Okay, do you guys want to watch these?
03:02:39.000Press 1 if you want to watch this, 2 if not.
03:02:42.000So this guy's obviously giving a speech for Vivec.
03:02:46.000They're gathered in what appears to be a grade school gym.
03:02:54.000And you see they're all spread out around the room, they're gonna give the speeches, and then they go and they vote, and I believe this time it's on paper.
03:03:03.000And the speeches, I don't think, are very long, so... This is just giving us a sense of the pace.
03:03:08.000This is what's happening all across Iowa.
03:03:10.000That's the only reason I'm watching it.
03:03:12.000You wanna... Did I say one for yes or two for no?
03:03:16.000One for yes, one for watch this, two for watch something else.
03:03:20.000One for watch this two for watch other coverage, but this is I mean, I guess we don't need to but this is just good We're gonna keep an eye on this because this is the pace of The meeting that's being held everywhere.
03:03:33.000Everybody's saying to people don't want to watch this.
03:03:39.000Well, we'll keep this on in the background, okay?
03:03:42.000Why don't we watch the Trump announcement?
03:03:44.000You know, let's just get excited, okay?
03:03:46.000Let's get excited because this is the third Trump campaign, and honestly, when you look at the polling and you look at the map, he's gonna do it.
03:03:56.000I mean, unless... Here's the state of the race, okay?
03:04:00.000It would seem that there is virtually no competition to Trump in the primary.
03:04:43.000Nikki Haley is counting on two things.
03:04:46.000She's counting on DeSantis dropping out, and she's going to absorb all or most of his support.
03:04:53.000And then two, she's hoping that if she finishes second place in Iowa, if she has a strong finish in New Hampshire, because if you look at New Hampshire, she's only 14, 15 points behind Trump.
03:05:05.000She's hoping to build throughout the next four races.
03:05:09.000Second place finish in Iowa finishes tight on Trump's ass in New Hampshire.
03:05:17.000And then by the time she gets to her home state of South Carolina, maybe she beats Trump.
03:05:22.000And she's counting on that to be sort of like when the race really begins, and then when she gets to Super Tuesday, then she's competitive.
03:05:32.000So that's really the state of the race.
03:07:17.000And even I think Elon has said it as well, they've been pushing this really strongly, this idea that Trump will somehow not make it to the election, which is very bizarre.
03:07:26.000And I never even thought of that until they started saying that repeatedly.
03:07:33.000But all things being equal, I think that Trump will win the nomination.
03:07:36.000I think he's on his way to be the favorite to win the election.
03:07:40.000Like I said, you take a look at the polling.
03:07:45.000Let's take a look at the general or the Trump versus Biden average.
03:09:31.000This is how it started, this is how it's ending.
03:09:35.000Who would have thought he came down the escalator and said we're gonna make America great again, then he got his mug shot taken after he tried to January 6th the government.
03:17:24.000And in 19, and I will tell you this, and I said it very strongly, years ago, I said, and I love the military and I want to have the strongest military that we've ever had, and we need it more now than ever, but I said don't
03:17:40.000He was so- By the way, he was saying that in the 90s, and he was way ahead of his time, and obviously, you know, if you just look at a map of the Middle East, I mean, that's just true.
03:18:08.000I mean, obviously everything that's going on in Gaza, they literally did take over the Middle East.
03:18:15.000And, you know, he wasn't the only one to say that, but it's just true.
03:18:23.000They called it the Shiite Crescent that they were building in the wake of the Iraq War, Syrian Civil War, Yemeni Civil War, Israel-Lebanon War.
03:19:24.000It's crazy though that he said that nine years ago and, you know, it's obviously so in the news the past three months, although it's been in the news for a long time, but just really in your face lately.
03:19:36.000And they're taking it over big league.
03:19:38.000We spent two trillion dollars in Iraq.
03:20:20.000Compare that to DeSantis where he's like, I beat the left all the time and I'm the only true conservative in the race and we're gonna do Iowa.
03:23:42.000Yeah, so we're not getting a ton of results.
03:23:44.000It's only literally 300 votes in so far, so they're trickling in slowly.
03:23:50.000Let's take a look over here and see what they're reporting on the news.
03:23:55.000Ten years ago, and what a voter considers conservative today are two different things, but Donald Trump is the avatar for conservatism now, no matter what.
03:24:33.000This is the live forecast here from New York Times.
03:24:36.000It says that the estimate is that Trump will have 53% of the vote, Haley 21, DeSantis 18, and Ramaswamy 7.
03:24:47.000So, you know, that's actually basically what the polls are saying based on... But this is an estimate that's only based on 1% reporting so far, so... Still could be an upset, but this is their live forecast.
03:25:56.000Looks like DeSantis just swung 20 points more for a second place finish, and that's based on these early results, although I don't think they really tell us anything.
03:26:09.000So I think that just reflects the current vote total maybe more than anything.
03:26:15.000It's got some support in Johnson County.
03:26:19.000But again, 1% of the vote in, so we're really, you know, we're not very far into it at all.
03:28:46.000I'll note there was not a representative here speaking on behalf of Asa Hutchinson, but there was for Vivek Ramaswamy, Nikki Haley, Ron DeSantis, Donald Trump, etc.
03:31:16.000Now this is no surprise, but still, it's a notch in the belt for former President Trump, and it gives him the big momentum as he heads to New Hampshire, the contest next week.
03:31:25.000Again, no big surprise here, but still a very decisive, very big win for Donald Trump, and it also shows where a lot of voters' heads are right now in the Republican Party.
03:32:04.000Even if Nikki Haley gives him a run for his money in a state like South Carolina or maybe a handful of other states, no one can win.
03:32:13.000This is gonna be the face you're looking at for the next six months when they do this whole process.
03:32:19.000It's gonna be Trump victory after Trump victory.
03:32:22.000I mean, we're talking about best-case scenario for Haley.
03:32:27.000She gets, within striking distance, in 2nd place.
03:32:30.000Like, best-case scenario is she finishes 2nd here, 2nd in New Hampshire, 2nd in South Carolina, and then 2nd in a bunch of other races on Super Tuesday.
03:34:12.000There's every indication he's going to speak tonight.
03:34:14.000The stage is set behind me with a raptor already loaded, I suspect, for the victory speech that's been some time in the making here tonight.
03:34:21.000And, you know, for the Trump campaign, I think they see this as kind of two tasks, and I think you'll see this in the speech tonight.
03:34:27.000First, they feel, like, very confident that they have probably put... So this is looking ahead to New Hampshire.
03:35:16.000But the idea that he would be a weaker candidate against Joe Biden, the polls have not borne that out when we sort of project these general election matchups.
03:35:24.000And I know we're a long way from the general election, but I suspect we will see Donald Trump stand on the stage behind me tonight and make the point that it is now voters who are kind of trying to put that argument to bed and that it's time to unite behind him.
03:35:35.000A message he's given, by the way, every time he skipped a debate or otherwise refused to participate in kind of the traditional open primary process that we usually use to select a nominee.
03:35:46.000Garrett Haig for us at the Trump victory party.
03:35:49.000No longer a watch party because they have victory tonight, as far as NBC News is projecting.
03:38:20.000And it was really just a question of by how much and what the differential would be, not just between him and the second place finisher, but between him and actually the entire rest of the field combined.
03:38:32.000The operative question for tonight is a relative performance of DeSantis, Haley, and Vivek.
03:38:38.000And like I said earlier, Iowa is make or break for DeSantis.
03:38:43.000If DeSantis doesn't break out tonight, if he doesn't get second place, if he doesn't get 20% or more,
03:38:50.000It's likely that his campaign is over.
03:39:06.000Because like I said before, if he loses tonight and he bows out of the race, the question becomes how much of his support goes to Haley.
03:39:16.000And that could be a problem for Trump.
03:39:18.000Like I said, I have no doubt that Trump would prevail in a hypothetical scenario.
03:39:23.000But you can see the polling here for the next contest is New Hampshire.
03:39:27.000Trump's got 43.5, Haley with 29, Christie who dropped out with 11, DeSantis with 6.5.
03:39:35.000If there's a scenario with Christie out and DeSantis out, that's 18% where probably a majority of that is going to go to Haley.
03:39:45.000If she gets all of it, that puts her in the lead.
03:39:48.000Now, if she wouldn't get all of it, I imagine a lot of DeSantis support would go towards Trump, and there would be more of a battle there, but you can understand where that is going to begin to pose a problem, if they both drop out.
03:40:01.000If Christie's already out, if DeSantis drops out too, then in New Hampshire, she's gonna give Trump a run for his money.
03:40:24.000And of course, you know, if she has a good finish in New Hampshire, those numbers are going to change as well.
03:40:29.000If there's a scenario where Haley beats Trump in New Hampshire, or she comes real close in second place, that of course will propel her even further.
03:40:41.000These are the numbers before we know what the results look like, before New Hampshire hasn't even happened yet.
03:40:47.000So all of this is hypothetical, but that's how the race is going to change depending on the outcome.
03:40:53.000If DeSantis has a good finish tonight and he stays in, this stalls Nikki Haley's breakout.
03:41:00.000If DeSantis has a strong finish tonight and finishes strong in New Hampshire, then him and Haley are splitting the anti- or non-Trump vote, and it is different.
03:41:11.000There's a constituency that does not like Trump, or dislikes him, and there's a constituency that wants maybe something simply other than him.
03:41:21.000So as long as DeSantis and Haley stay in the race, Trump is basically 100% secure.
03:41:28.000But the sooner that DeSantis drops out, and I think that's inevitable, then
03:41:34.000That will accelerate the narrowing of the race, and it becomes a two-person race between Haley and Trump, with Vivek as a minor spoiler, with Vivek diverting a tiny amount of support for Trump, which could be crucial in a state like New Hampshire or South Carolina.
03:41:51.000So, that's how the race could be affected by the results tonight.
03:41:54.000It's not so much about the delegates, and we knew that Trump would win.
03:42:02.000Nikki Haley's gonna stay in no matter what.
03:42:04.000Whether she finishes second or third, she is gonna see it through.
03:42:08.000At least until South Carolina, because that's her home state.
03:42:12.000So the question is mainly about, at this point, whether DeSantis performs well enough to stay in the race, because that is going to change everything.
03:42:21.000If he stays in, he's going to spoil Nikki Haley's big finish in New Hampshire, and that's going to affect South Carolina.
03:42:58.000Let's see what's happening on Fox Business.
03:43:12.000But very importantly, because we have to beat him, I'm the only one, every single poll over the last two months, and beyond that, mostly, but over the last two months, I'm beating him and beating him very substantially.
03:43:24.000I'm saying we're beating him because we have to get him out.
03:43:41.000And the first two times were very big wins and we're going to make this an even bigger win because we've done more in the last short period of time than anyone again has ever done for your state.
03:44:02.000And to see him rise and rise and rise till he was a...
03:44:10.000Before we go, anything we can draw, I know New Hampshire is a completely different electorate, it's a different race, but anything we can draw from this race that would take us into New Hampshire, at least about the people who came out, the people who supported former President Trump?
03:44:24.000Obviously this is going to be a much more conservative, much more evangelical crowd than the one that shows up in New Hampshire.
03:44:31.000And Democrats and Independents have an easier time crossing over and voting in New Hampshire.
03:44:35.000So it's important to keep in mind that this electorate is going to look a lot more like the Republican electorate as a whole than New Hampshire does.
03:44:43.000You know what, we have a key election alert.
03:44:44.000I actually want you two to stay with us because I want to ask Anne about this.
03:44:48.000Apparently, from what we're hearing from the Iowa Republican Party, right, the Iowa GOP, there's going to be a somewhat low turnout for this caucus.
03:46:29.000Then again, though, in 2016 it was far more competitive.
03:46:36.0002016 I believe there were 17 or 18 candidates now there's only I mean realistically like four so I guess you know between the cold and having a fraction of the candidates although I don't know if that's a cope but you know these are real factors so maybe that's why the turnout is lower but it looks like we have some more votes in and Nikki Haley is pulled into the lead in second place for the race for second place I should say
03:47:04.0001,000 for Trump, 373 for Haley, 315 for DeSantis, 147 for Vivek.
03:47:14.000And the spread remains the same, but we'll keep checking in on that.
03:49:24.000Again, the decision desk projecting President Donald J. Trump, the winner of the Iowa caucus on the Republican side, and we'll keep you posted here in the election night watch party room as people start to arrive and make... Great, yeah, so it looks like their election party's happening soon.
03:49:42.000I'm interested to see what Trump will say.
03:49:44.000Although I bet they're probably gonna wait until some more results come out.
03:49:48.000We'll see what Charlie Kirk has to say about all this.
03:49:52.000Very uneven results where he maybe will just have had an event that was really successful, got a lot of people in person on his side, and that's just gonna vary all across the state.
03:50:04.000It'd be really interesting if he managed to do a good result.
03:50:07.000I think a lot of people would like that just because it would prove retail politics isn't dead, whereas everything else about this is clearly indicating
03:50:17.000You can spend $250 million on a state and have it just do absolutely nothing whatsoever these days.
03:50:23.000Yeah, so Jack, walk us through here the next steps.
03:50:29.000They're going to try to make a big push for New Hampshire, isn't it?
03:50:48.000Went on Fox News, I can't tell you exactly when this was, a while ago, and said, if Trump wins Iowa, it's going to be awfully hard to make the case that you can beat President Trump anywhere.
03:51:54.000Um, and then she will, and to your point, Charlie, uh, it will be a Haley Trump race and the media will try to make this a, a Haley Trump race.
03:52:01.000Of course, Haley, by the way, will be, will be going.
03:52:04.000I, I guarantee you right now, Nikki Haley's campaign is picking up the phone to Chris Christie and saying, all right, man, how many meatball subs is it going to take?
03:52:12.000Uh, how many, you know, how many, uh, lifetime supply of Golden Corral, what will it be?
03:52:18.000Because she wants those Chris Christie voters up in New Hampshire.
03:52:23.000This was the only place where we saw Chris Christie really show any traction across the entire board.
03:52:28.000So if Haley's able to get a Christie endorsement going into New Hampshire, she has a good showing at parity or even better than she's done here in New Hampshire.
03:52:39.000And then there might be some motivation.
03:52:42.000And of course, of course, you're going to see what I predict
03:53:26.000I don't think winning Iowa gives Trump a mandate because it's setting him up for a tough battle in New Hampshire if DeSantis drops out or struggles here.
03:53:37.000Haley is going to be fighting, not just for the Christie support, but for the DeSantis support as well.
03:53:42.000And what can be said about, you know, if Trump wins Iowa, then it's open and shut.
03:53:50.000The same is true, but in reverse for DeSantis.
03:53:52.000If DeSantis can't win Iowa, what is he going to win?
03:53:57.000Iowa is more conservative, more evangelical, it's older.
03:54:01.000If he's not going to win in Iowa, he's not going to win in New Hampshire, or come in second even, it's not going to happen for him in South Carolina, which is Nikki Haley's home state, and if he doesn't achieve liftoff by that point, which is two months into the race, he's dead on Super Tuesday.
03:54:23.000And the thing is, as the race narrows and becomes that Trump-Haley race, like I said, then it's a bit more competitive.
03:54:30.000And then, there is a case to be made on, you know, hypothetically, depending on how well Haley does in here, will affect how well she does in New Hampshire.
03:54:41.000That will affect how well she does in her home state, South Carolina.
03:54:45.000This will have a compound effect which will lead into Super Tuesday, and the establishment is gonna push hard, the liberal media is gonna push hard, and there's gonna be a lot... I think people are underestimating the extent to which the spotlight will then be on Haley as a foil for Trump.
03:55:02.000Haley as a woman, Haley as more of an establishmentarian, a moderate, and so...
03:55:10.000I think people are maybe underestimating the threat.
03:55:13.000I think that, you know, like Chuck Todd said, the Iowa constituency is more representative of the Republican constituency nationally, but it doesn't take away from the fact that these contests happen sequentially.
03:55:27.000So, be that as it may, that if you take the Republican voters as a whole, they look more like Iowa,
03:56:38.000And they have the same plan, the 1-2-3, where he would finish 1st in Iowa, or rather 3-2-1, it would be 3rd in Iowa, 2nd in New Hampshire, 1st in, I think South Carolina came 3rd in that cycle.
03:56:51.000And they're really doing the same thing with Haley.
03:56:53.000I mean, not quite a 3-2-1, but they're doing this thing where she sort of, like in stages, she's able to rise through as the race narrows and then eventually become competitive for Super Tuesday.
03:57:09.000So it really all comes down to what kind of finish DeSantis and Haley have And we got 2% in speaking of which we have a little update 2% in Trump's got 55% Haley with 18 and DeSantis with 17.7 So it's still very early.
03:57:26.000It's only 2% in but it looks tight between Haley and DeSantis Their forecast for the spread
03:57:48.000That's an estimate that's just based on 2% reporting.
03:57:51.000So, it's gonna change over the course of the night, but that really is the conversation is whether or not DeSantis is viable for New Hampshire.
03:58:02.000All you gotta do is look at the polling.
03:58:13.000If DeSantis drops out before New Hampshire, it's a close call.
03:58:20.000And there's going to be Democrats voting there.
03:58:22.000They're not going to be voting in the Democrat primary, they're going to be voting in the Republican primary, and they're going to be voting for Haley.
03:59:37.000They are lashing out at the media for projecting this race for former president.
03:59:45.000We help individuals and organizations better lead and manage change and now we're...
03:59:54.000A big part of their platform, their sort of anti-corporate or legacy media position, and this is where they're leaning right now is, you know, they're not looking so good in the polls, at least not within striking distance of Donald Trump and neck and neck.
04:00:10.000So far with Nikki Haley as we are looking at these numbers on the bottom of our screens here.
04:00:15.000So what the night holds for for Ron DeSantis is a big question mark.
04:00:19.000We know that tomorrow his plan is not to go to New Hampshire, which is the state that's next in line, but instead to go to South Carolina, which is Nikki Haley's home turf.
04:00:28.000But look, if he's going to move forward in this race, he has got to have a strong showing here.
04:00:33.000If you put all your eggs in this basket and the basket breaks,
04:00:36.000You don't have much left to go on here.
04:00:38.000Even if he wants to move forward, he told our colleague Hallie Jackson earlier, he's in it for the long haul.
04:00:43.000There are some practical limitations to that, Tom.
04:00:46.000If you come in third in a state where you really bet big, the money dries up.
04:00:51.000And if you don't have the cash to fuel the jet to go to your campaign stops, the campaign effectively stops, Tom.
04:00:58.000Dasha Burns for us at the DeSantis watch party tonight.
04:01:42.000And we're gonna be watching the results trickle in.
04:01:45.000I mean, there's not really too much more to say about it.
04:01:49.000You know, we've been at this now for a few hours, so... I mean, I think we've covered the basis here on what these results are going to mean.
04:02:19.000A conspiracy against them, that all of the polls were colluding with Trump, that they secretly wanted Trump to win.
04:02:27.000Somehow, all of the pollsters had worked together.
04:02:31.000And again, I don't just mean the conservative, right-leaning pollsters.
04:02:34.000I mean even the lefties, who were saying that Trump was going to win.
04:02:37.000We're somehow all in on it because they were also, I guess, terrified of Ron DeSantis or something like this, like some lawyer from Jacksonville in weird looking boots is going to scare all of these people for some reason.
04:02:52.000And, you know, a guy who's obviously been stress eating for the last month or so of the campaign, which everyone can see, and that they were trying to fund their own polls to actually get themselves out of it.
04:03:40.000I mean, you're doing a full, full Grassley here.
04:03:44.000And if you can't break, at current trends, it looks as if, we don't know yet, if you can't break 20% by doing a full Grassley and spending $120 million,
04:05:00.000That is what they were grooming DeSantis for throughout 2022.
04:05:03.000In 2022, for the midterms, DeSantis built a $200 million war chest
04:05:12.000And it was all coming from Wall Street donors who presumed that DeSantis would take his victory in the midterms and turn that and pivot that into a presidential campaign.
04:05:25.000And a lot of people... I mean, that was two years ago now.
04:06:12.000And then, notably, Ken Griffin, who sort of leads the pack for the Wall Street Republican donor base, flipped his support from Trump to DeSantis.
04:06:24.000And he was never an enthusiastic supporter of Trump.
04:06:26.000He said, of course, his preference was always somebody like DeSantis, but many of the donors reluctantly went along because Trump, it was a hostile takeover of the party in 16, and then he was the guy in 2020.
04:06:38.000And so in 2022, these guys like Ken Griffin, Wall Street donors, the Israelis, they all flipped, they all supported DeSantis.
04:06:47.000And if you look at the average in the primary,
04:06:52.000I'll pull up the historic polling here for that.
04:07:02.000I don't know if it goes back as far as 2022, but if you remember, you go back to like November, December 2022.
04:07:10.000DeSantis was within 10 points of Trump in the average.
04:07:16.000So it was a donor-backed coup and they really thought that they could do it because I think they overestimated that, you know, we all knew that Trump was never going to lose.
04:07:25.000We all knew that Trump would run again in 24.
04:07:28.000We all knew that we would support him.
04:07:30.000We all knew that he would inevitably win.
04:07:33.000But the donors did not want that to be so, and they certainly didn't want to let him win it without trying, and I think they overestimated the appetite among Republicans for a non-Trump alternative.
04:07:46.000Because there was this idea, I think, in the period from January 6th until the midterms, that what Republicans wanted was a post-Trump
04:08:01.000They wanted nationalism or populism without the baggage.
04:08:05.000And I think a lot of them thought that because Trump went quiet for those two years, for that one and a half, two year period, that maybe he was down and out.
04:08:15.000We all knew that wasn't the case, but I think they overestimated this appeal of a Ron DeSantis candidate who would provide the policy benefits of a Trump, a more right-wing version of the Republican establishment, and again, without the pugnacious attitude, without the Twitter and all that other stuff.
04:08:36.000And then when Ron DeSantis announced last year, his support fell off a cliff.
04:09:00.000And now what has happened in just the last three or four months is that Nikki Haley has absorbed all that support.
04:09:07.000So all the donor establishment support that was behind DeSantis, behind this, you know, this good idea which was Trumpism without Trump, him carrying Florida by 20 points, him being the antidote to all of Trump's shortcomings because he was a good governor, had good personnel, you know, was experienced as a politician.
04:09:29.000When that didn't work out, they threw all their weight behind the woman.
04:09:33.000Behind an electable woman who's gonna win the suburban moms and all that stuff.
04:09:43.000So, I mean, I agree that it was never gonna work out.
04:09:47.000But understand the challenge didn't come from the people.
04:09:51.000The DeSantis challenge, which has now become the Haley challenge, there was no popular demand for this.
04:09:59.000There was no... Nobody was crying out for any of these people to run, and certainly nobody thought that they had a chance of winning.
04:10:08.000This was a completely top-down coup against Trump through money, and in a way through the Zionists.
04:11:37.000But I think, you know, this isn't going to end the way it started.
04:11:41.000I think we're going to see some real dynamic movement in the vote totals tonight as we go on.
04:11:46.000But that rural vote, that data point you just bring up right now, that could be bad news for Governor DeSantis, because that's where you expected a lot of his support as well.
04:11:54.000We're going to have to wait and see what happens there.
04:11:57.000You brought an interesting point up when we spoke last week.
04:12:00.000I'm going to bring in Mark in this conversation.
04:12:01.000Dave basically said that Iowa was built for Mike Pence, right?
04:12:06.000He's somebody the evangelical community knows.
04:12:11.000He knows how to speak to those voters, and yet he didn't even survive.
04:12:14.000He couldn't even make it to the Iowa caucuses.
04:12:17.000What do you think happened to the Republican Party in Iowa, or is it the Republican Party across the country, or do you think it's just Donald Trump is so popular?
04:12:28.000Well, Tom, I think the reality is that a lot of voters look at the record of the four years of the administration, and I think it's natural that they accrue that to the person who was in the Oval Office.
04:12:38.000Whether or not he was really the one championing those issues or not, the reality is he's the one that gets the credit for them as having sat at the Resolute Desk.
04:17:43.000And I remember I always used to say this during Stop the Steal.
04:17:46.000I said maybe it's the best case scenario that he loses or rather doesn't take office in 2020 and that it happened the way that it did.
04:17:59.000As opposed to him losing outright or him winning.
04:18:05.000It was almost the best case scenario that he won but was cheated out of it
04:18:11.000And that he challenged it, but it didn't work.
04:18:14.000And we got four years of Biden and you almost get like this perfect dynamic where we got a taste of what normalcy looked like.
04:18:23.000Because that was really the appeal of Biden insofar as there was one was, let's just go back to the way things were.
04:18:32.000Trump being in office is just too much of a drag.
04:18:34.000He's, you know, the left wants it more than we do.
04:18:37.000They're pushing everybody so hard because they can't
04:18:41.000Let's just let them have what they want.
04:18:44.000I feel like there was a big Normie appeal to that idea.
04:18:48.000And then they got a taste of what return to normalcy looks like, which is inflation, 7 million illegals, war in Ukraine, war in the Middle East, war in Taiwan.
04:19:01.000You know, all these problems that we're having.
04:22:03.000He's come down, you know, a couple points since we last checked, but very much a commanding lead.
04:22:10.000Most news outlets have already declared him the winner called him the winner.
04:22:13.000We just need to get the other 96% All right.
04:22:17.000Well, we're gonna wait for the Trump speech.
04:22:19.000Let me know if he starts But I'm not gonna I don't really want to watch Marjorie Taylor Greene's boyfriend With these mics with all the I don't know what's with the game on those microphones.
04:22:31.000It's kind of crazy but you know they always have some technical issues it seems and
04:23:06.000If there's anybody there, they definitely shouldn't do that.
04:23:09.000Because you don't wanna, you don't wanna get in trouble.
04:23:15.000Alright, so they're, they're waiting for it on Associated Power.
04:23:18.000Okay, what's, what the fuck is this now?
04:23:29.000It's gonna go hard after Nikki Haley because as we just talked about we're going to New Hampshire now and that's where Nikki's trying to kind of stake her claim.
04:23:36.000A lot of people thought when Chris Christie got out he had that kind of never Trump lane and now Nikki is the heir apparent to that although the hot mic moment that we now have heard many times I think is indicative of a lot of Chris Christie supporters so I don't think necessarily all of those voters he had are gonna go to Nikki because I think
04:24:35.000The end of February is when we vote in South Carolina.
04:24:38.000If he wins that state, he's 3-0 and the field's 0-3.
04:24:40.000And you de facto have a nominee at that point where he's going to be pushing folks
04:24:45.000As they are already saying, to coalesce behind him.
04:24:48.000He's going to say this is a show of force.
04:24:50.000He's going to say he's the heir apparent to rebuild this country, to take it back to the America First principles and the America First policies that he put in place.
04:24:59.000And he's going to say these other folks are wasting our time and our money because I'm going to be the nominee.
04:25:04.000We need to be focused on Joe Biden and beating Joe Biden.
04:25:07.000And also some of that money is going to be focused on his legal fights.
04:25:10.000Some of them too, but that's also kind of the argument I think they're going to make.
04:25:26.000Everyone would be saying that this was an embarrassment, right?
04:25:29.000So, you can look for candidates like Nikki Haley, like Ron DeSantis, and say, hold on.
04:25:34.000You know, Donald Trump is the incumbent, and he's getting about half the vote.
04:25:39.000So, I think, you know, you can look at this either glass half empty or half full, and I think you'll hear Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis make the argument that sure, Donald Trump
04:25:50.000One, but at 50 percent, is that the number that what is effectively an incumbent should be making in a state where the electorate is kind of ideal for Donald Trump's candidates?
04:26:02.000Well, the challenge has always been you have to consolidate every never-Trumper and every Trump-skeptical person and then peel off a little bit.
04:26:10.000But every time someone drops ass, some people go to Trump as well.
04:26:14.000Listen, I'm so sick of that because we were told to suck it up and do whatever we could to elect goobs like Mitt Romney for years and all the Republicans did that.
04:26:23.000And so if Donald Trump becomes the nominee, I'm sorry, it's a choice between chicken or fish.
04:26:41.000I'm just saying, for someone who worked for people like Huckabee and Santorum, I sucked it up, and I did what I had to do because I thought the alternative on the left was wrong for the country.
04:26:50.000The people who are never Trumpers need to understand that when it comes time to cast
04:26:53.000You can call Senator Mitt Romney a goo, but he was the nominee for your party, and he still has Republicans, maybe not in the Trump faction at all, that still respect him and that he's a decent guy.
04:27:02.000I want to go to Chuck for a history lesson real quick.
04:27:06.000You didn't have an incumbent, but you had a very popular candidate in George W. Bush, and you had John McCain who was trying to build that coalition in New Hampshire, which he was able to do.
04:27:15.000But at the end, W was just too popular.
04:28:36.000And this is the entire length of the rally.
04:28:42.000That she was sitting there, and the next time I talk to people and they go, I don't know if I'm gonna go because it was just like this, you know, McSally love fest.
04:29:00.000The DeSantis crew is just flailing left and right, putting out a statement saying that
04:29:21.000The media has interfered in the election.
04:29:26.000We've got NPR now talking about the path forward for Nikki Haley, Eric Erickson, who predicted that DeSantis would win the Iowa primary saying Trump is the establishment.
04:29:40.000But most importantly, I've got a message from Tanya Tay, and I want to open those up to the chat, maybe the super chats.
04:30:25.000By the way, DeSantis is blaming the media.
04:30:29.000Quote, it is absolutely outrageous that the media would participate in election interference by calling a race before tens of thousands of Iowans even had the chance to vote.
04:30:37.000The media is in the tank for Trump and this is the most egregious example yet.
04:31:19.000I believe, based off of some really good friends that are watching that are really close, our staff that's on the ground in Iowa.
04:31:26.000It says that Donald Trump is going to expand his lead throughout the night and Ron DeSantis is probably going to slide in these more rural areas.
04:31:36.000Oh without a doubt, especially northwest Iowa.
04:31:38.000So what's going to end up happening is you're going to see Trump probably end up 55%, yeah 56%, Nikki Haley is probably going to end up 22%, 23%, and Ron DeSantis is going to end up somewhere between 15 and 18.
04:31:52.000So, you know, it just embarrasses him more to come out and say, hey, this is his peak.
04:31:59.000If everything goes per what our ground staff is saying, he's at peak Ron DeSantis production, and he should actually be really grateful that the media is reporting on how much he has.
04:32:38.000Because here's the thing, Ron DeSantis transferred over all that state-based super PAC money, and so all that money people were giving, they thought, I'm giving to Ron DeSantis for governor, Ron DeSantis for governor.
04:32:46.000In fact, they were giving Ron DeSantis for the consultant class.
04:32:50.000And so look, I mean, by the way, the results are still pretty stiff.
04:33:12.000But I don't consider Vivek's success or failure based on vote total.
04:33:16.000He has red-pilled so many people in the intelligentsia.
04:33:19.000Elon Musk, David Sachs, people that I run into that are higher income, PhDs, they love... Vivek is a whisperer to the elites, unlike anything I've ever seen.
04:33:30.000I wonder what these people think a red pill is.
04:33:31.000I wonder when Charlie Kirk says someone is red-pilled, I wonder to him what that means.
04:33:38.000It means you're a race realist, and it means you know about the Jews.
04:33:58.000Not to be blunt, but that's what it is.
04:34:00.000If you're red-pilled, that means you know about the race IQ gap among other biological racial differences and are therefore a racialist or a tribalist.
04:34:26.000Influence on the planet and I'm not talking strictly about Israel or Zionists I'm talking about world Jewry which acts as a collective force on Mankind and specifically on Western civilization to me.
04:34:40.000Those are like the two red pills to me in terms of politics Those are like the two big red pills
04:34:45.000So when he says, like, you know, so-and-so gets red-pilled, I'm wondering, does that mean, like, socialism sucks?
04:34:50.000Does that mean, um, you know, what, what does that mean now?
04:34:54.000I feel like maybe five or six years ago was socialism sucks.
04:34:58.000Now, maybe it's, it's a little closer to where we are, at least on race.
04:35:04.000We're the only voter who paid money once to have that, so I think you gotta respect... It's just funny to hear all these years after the Groyper War, they sound exactly like us.
04:35:14.000You know, years ago, back in 2019, they would say, oh, you know, socialism sucks, and big guff sucks, and freedom this, and all that.
04:35:25.000And now, fast forward four years later, and they're like, we're noticing, oh, he's red-pilled.
04:36:21.000And they were saying that like it's a bad thing.
04:36:25.000And of course, white identity politics is the only answer to white genocide.
04:36:32.000It's the only way that whites are going to survive.
04:36:35.000Because the situation that is happening in the world, if you zoom out and you want to understand the major trend, the 1,000 year inflection point that we're living through right now, it's that the Global South, which is impoverished, black and brown, formerly colonized by whites, newly liberated and independent, are now migrating north.
04:37:02.000And they're called refugees, they're called economic migrants, they're called immigrants, they're called many different things, but they're all moving north.
04:37:10.000And they're moving into white countries.
04:37:13.000So there's a population explosion that happened in Latin America, that happened in Asia, that is happening and will happen in Africa.
04:37:23.000And these population booms outside the world have made whites a global, or rather outside of Europe and North America, they've made whites a global minority, a tiny global minority, and now they're moving into all of our countries.
04:37:38.000And so in Europe, the United States, Canada, Australia, whites are increasingly becoming a minority.
04:37:48.000This is a result of global political developments.
04:37:52.000This is a result of the world wars and the end of European colonization.
04:37:58.000It also has something to do with liberalism being adopted in the West, that we have embraced diversity and tolerance and equity and these things.
04:38:09.000And when you look at a 500, 1,000 year trend, that's the big story.
04:38:15.000500 years ago, Europeans colonized the world.
04:39:58.000But these people that are moving to Europe from the Middle East or Africa or the people moving to the United States from Latin America, they're just dumb.
04:41:50.000And then, like I said, then you brought in the Nazi scientists.
04:41:54.000And you brought the best from Scandinavia, the best from England, the best from Germany, the best from France, the best from Italy, the best from the Slavic nations.
04:42:15.000I mean, these people coming across the border, they have like an 85 IQ.
04:42:19.000Venezuela is the lowest IQ country in Latin America.
04:42:24.000And they're all coming here and, you know, they're not gonna be able to do complex tasks.
04:42:29.000And same thing, I mean, these people that are coming from all these other countries, you know, some of them are okay, but they're not the best.
04:43:16.000And anyway, the only way to fight back against this is white identity politics.
04:43:24.000It's to say, whites are distinct, whites are a race, whites are responsible for all these achievements, and we have to assert our white identity.
04:43:33.000We need to protect ourselves as whites, we need to organize as whites, we need to defend the historic white ancestry and culture of America.
04:43:43.000And these guys all talk about it like it's a bad thing, so that's not red-pilled.
04:43:47.000You know, you're not red-pilled until you're advocating for white
04:43:52.000You're not red-pilled until you're advocating for white identity politics, and you're not red-pilled until you're against Jewish influence.
04:44:11.000So you've got to acknowledge that, and you have to say that, I mean, you can say it in a negative way or a positive way.
04:44:17.000You can say the world has to be run by not-Jews, or you can say the world has to be run by Christians, but you have to say it one way or the other.
04:47:07.000And as long as that 50% that isn't Trump, the 50% constituency that either hates Trump, doesn't like Trump, maybe it's a Democrat crossover, maybe it's somebody that just wants something different, maybe it's some idiot boomer who says, well I don't like the Trump tweets, you know, whatever.
04:47:28.000But that was always the problem, is that for a non-Trump candidate to win, it had to be a two-man race, but it's always been a one-man race.
04:47:37.000You're either Trump or you're not Trump.
04:47:40.000And they're all splitting that not-Trump vote between, like, four people.
04:47:46.000So, you have Vivek, who is not Trump, but has a certain Trumpian appeal.
04:47:52.000You have DeSantis, who is somewhat similar.
04:47:54.000You have Haley, who has probably consolidated the Christie vote, and also a similar crowd from DeSantis, maybe more anti-Trump than DeSantis.
04:48:05.000And so as a result, I mean, between the three of them, they've got 45% of the vote.
04:48:15.000But, taken separately, you got two with 20% and one with 8%.
04:48:21.000So, they're splitting that anti-Trump vote.
04:48:24.000And, you know, it's actually remarkably similar to the 2016 primary, because if you recall, it was far more competitive.
04:49:26.000But that's the only way it would have worked.
04:49:28.000But until the very end, until Indiana, they weren't able to do that.
04:49:33.000And as a result, nobody stood a chance because Trump just had too... You cannot beat his base.
04:49:39.000There's no candidate that has a bigger base of support than he does.
04:49:45.000So Trump's gonna get 50% no matter what.
04:49:48.000And unless the anti-Trump people coalesce around one person that's going to make the case as the alternative, it simply mathematically cannot work.
04:50:00.000So it would seem that DeSantis will make it through to New Hampshire.
04:50:03.000If DeSantis gets a second or a very very close third place finish, I mean it would seem that he is likely going to New Hampshire.
04:50:13.000We're gonna have to wait and see how big the margin is, you know, if he gets second or if he gets third by how much.
04:50:21.000And of course, we'll see what his response is tonight, but it would seem that if he goes to New Hampshire, that's seriously going to spoil Nikki Haley's ambitions.
04:50:32.000Because as I said earlier, he goes to New Hampshire, he pulls 10 or 20% from her
04:51:09.000And that's what it comes down to here.
04:51:14.000And it looks like we're back at the Trump watch party.
04:51:16.000I brought in several months ago, so that's how long they've been working this state all across from the north, to the south, to the east, to the west.
04:53:14.000And even though he is a Hindu, that's a Hindu Hail Mary.
04:53:17.000Um, that, uh, you know, what you have in Vivek is a guy who comes across saying all of the same, uh, or espousing, I guess I would say all of the same beliefs as Trump, as the MAGA base, as the MAGA voter, but he's able to do so in a way that is palatable.
04:53:36.000To the independents, to the moderates, to like the Bill Ackmans and the Elon Musks of the world.
04:53:43.000He's able to put it into words what Trump simply would have gotten across in a joke or a mean tweet or in a funny retort or something.
04:53:51.000Vivek is actually able to extrapolate on those and do so with an incredibly high verbal IQ.
04:53:57.000Easily one of the highest verbal IQs I think of any
04:54:00.000Uh, any presidential contender that we've seen.
04:54:03.000Um, of course we all know that president Trump is a very stable genius.
04:54:06.000And so we're not, we're not questioning that in any way, but I think there's something about the, I think there's really something about the first capacity of Vivek and his ability to put into words what so many Trump supporters are feeling, what so many Trump supporters are going through, have gone through.
04:54:24.000And I guess what I even mean to say about Trump supporters, it's, it's not even
04:54:28.000Not even just Trump supporters, but Middle America, about the South, about the Northeast, about the Rust Belt, all of these places that have been artificially depressed, been depressed by policies, whether it be outsourcing, whether it be these great replacement open borders, mass migration policies, whether it be the ethnic cleansing of our cities on the backs of the 60s riots and MLK.
04:56:40.000And this is what we warned of last winter.
04:56:42.000A year ago, Charlie was in the thick of it here with us and with the good RNC members that were there that were saying, hey, donors are not going to give to the RNC.
04:56:53.000The common man that we should be looking to, the grassroots, is not a fan of what's happening to the RNC.
04:59:29.000Because Americans for Prosperity and groups like that, which are really bad, this is really evil.
04:59:34.000I'm going to explain to you exactly why it's evil.
04:59:37.000They are taking advantage of same-day voter registration states, which should not exist, and converting Democrats over to vote for their candidate.
05:00:11.000The reason why this is so nefarious and so evil is because what ends up happening is a percentage of those people they've converted end up on the Republican voter rolls through November.
05:00:22.000Which means when we're chasing ballots for not just Donald Trump, not just the Senate candidate in your state, not just the person running for even state legislature, but the guy running for school board, we're knocking on the door of Democrats who are registered Republicans, but they're actually Democrats because groups like this spend a hundred plus million dollars converting them just as registered Republicans just to help Nikki Haley.
05:00:47.000So what ends up happening is we spend more money accidentally turning out Democrats because of groups like AFP.
05:03:32.000Still no T. Hired an army of ballot chasers, sold a book to a million people, he could have just been the most popular person ever.
05:03:42.000Yet tonight, Ron DeSantis, unfortunately, and tragically, has become... I don't want to say a laughingstock, Jack, but it's not a good night.
05:03:53.000Well, unfortunately, I think what DeSantis is waking up to, and we'll see, right?
05:04:00.000We'll see, you know, as people go through the stages of grief, and as the DeSantis supporters go through the stages of grief, I wonder if at some point they will ever begin to question their priors.
05:04:11.000And I wonder if they will ever get... Okay, how about NBC?
05:08:26.000And I think to the point that you made, Steph, I mean, it's the elephant in the room.
05:08:31.000She's still a brown lady that's got to try to win in a party that is deeply anti-immigrant and which accepts the notion that you can say immigrants are poisoning the blood of our country.
05:08:43.000She's getting, you know, birthered by Donald Trump.
05:09:54.000Our statues, tearing down statues of Christopher Columbus, tearing down statues of our heroes, tearing down George Washington and Thomas Jefferson and all the rest of it.
05:10:03.000And they can't for the life of them believe that the people of this country would have a problem with it and the people of this country would ever respond in such a way.
05:10:13.000And so they've got to find a way, just like the DeSimps are going through their
05:11:53.000Max Tittman sent $5, by the way that question was mostly devil's advocate.
05:11:58.000It doesn't seem to be the same thing, I'm just not totally sure why and wanted to hear your thoughts.
05:12:06.000Angelo Ferraro sent $5, did you see Stu Peter's tweet where he said Vivek shouldn't be president because he's Indian and there are Indians that brush their teeth with feces?
05:12:15.000Question Vivek's sincerity but that was retarded.
05:12:18.000Didn't pick up on any satirical undertone.
05:12:21.000I'm not gonna police his tweets, okay?
05:17:16.000Here's the problem, and I'm going to let you in on a little secret, which is that, and I don't mean to black pill because it's a good night, Trump won the caucus, it's exciting, it's the beginning of 2024, but I'm going to be honest with you, we are going to have the same problem if there is a second term, in the second term that we did in the first term.
05:17:46.000Because, you know, it was an open secret that the first term was sort of a disaster for at least three years because the RNC controlled the presidential transition.
05:18:03.000So Reince Priebus, who was chair of the RNC, handled the hiring along with Johnny DeStefano, who was head of the personnel office, for three years.
05:18:15.000Well, Reince Priebus did the transition and DeStefano was in personnel for years and they hired all these rhinos.
05:18:24.000Not only was it, they turned people away from the campaign and they hired, from the Trump campaign that is, and they hired people from like the Cruz campaign and the Rubio campaign.
05:18:35.000And so, you know, if you know anything about the the first term, it didn't get good until they put John McEntee in charge of PPO, which is a personnel office.
05:18:46.000And that happened in the beginning of 2020.
05:18:50.000And that's why the final year of the Trump admin was actually good.
05:18:55.000That's when they started building the wall.
05:18:57.000That's when, you know, I think John McEntee passed a note to the Joint Chiefs saying, remove everybody from Europe and Middle East and Korea.
05:19:07.000And that's because the personnel was terrible for the first few years.
05:19:13.000And anyway, now all these groups are starting up different programs to fill up the White House with the right people, but it's like the bad people are doing it too.
05:19:25.000So, you know, everybody kind of found out that the Trump White House was sabotaged, or the Trump admin was sabotaged by bad personnel, so now there's this big race to find all of the prospective hires that Trump would bring in if there's a second term.
05:19:43.000So the good people, right now, are fighting the Kushner people again, they're fighting America First Policy Institute, they're fighting all the same people.
05:19:56.000The good people that are hiring the right people are fighting the same bad people hiring the bad people as in the first term, and the good people are black-pilled.
05:20:07.000They're like, you know, are we really doing this again?
05:21:48.000that worked on the campaign from the beginning and got turned away, or they got blackpailed and quit during the first term, and, you know, totally blackpailed after everything blew up, like, decided to quit politics.
05:22:04.000And the people that remained are, you know, they're battling for the right personnel.
05:24:13.000That sucks for DeSantis because like they were saying he spent hundreds of millions of dollars and he did the full 99 county tour which you know it's funny I'll tell you a little story about that when we were putting together
05:24:28.000A campaign for Kanye earlier well last year now I was gonna say earlier in the year but in early 2023 we were putting together the bones of a potential 2024 run we're thinking about it and we brought in some potential campaign managers and they were selling us
05:24:49.000They wanted to do the same strategy as DeSantis.
05:24:53.000When a guy come in, he was a nice guy, but he came in and he's like, we're gonna tour all 99 counties, we're gonna meet everybody, we're gonna shake everybody's hand, we're gonna do small events, even if there's only five people there, only two people, because then two people are gonna tell their friends and their friends are gonna, whatever.
05:25:11.000And I remember he showed up with that, and I was like, are you fucking kidding me?
05:25:16.000I'm like, this is the number one rock star on planet Earth, and we're gonna be in like, we're gonna be in a Pizza Hut meeting with two people?
05:25:25.000I said no, and then I kind of came up with a different plan, and don't get me wrong, I mean like, the guy wasn't dumb, but that's just a conventional plan, and that was a very unconventional candidate.
05:25:37.000He wanted us to run the campaign like we're Ron DeSantis, but you know, we're not no Ron DeSantis.
05:26:15.000Not that I, you know, I like Iowa, but that's not, I mean, that obviously wasn't the play.
05:26:21.000I'm like, he should do it at like Soldier Field in Chicago, or he should do it at Grant Park, you know, but he should do it there, or Miami, or LA.
05:26:34.000But the guy was like, yeah, we gotta do all 99 counties, and we're gonna do all these little events, and we're gonna go to the Iowa State Fair, and all this.
05:26:48.000And you know, it wasn't a terrible idea, but I was like, look, that's not the approach.
05:26:54.000But anyway, so that's what DeSantis did.
05:26:56.000He spent hundreds of millions of dollars, built out the ground game in Iowa, and he barely got more than Haley.
05:29:07.000I probably shouldn't even talk about this, but I'm going to talk about it.
05:29:10.000The RNC is contemplating going into what I would consider severe debt.
05:29:16.000They should be cash flow rich right now.
05:29:32.000And that's part of the reason why you're not seeing help for Arizona, Wisconsin and Georgia.
05:29:38.000We have more ground staff at Turning Point Action on the ground in the most critical states than the Republican Party does, the National Republican Party.
05:30:13.000You know he went to the Turning Point Action Conference instead of going to Bob Vander Plaats, who I like Bob, and I know Jack has some spiciness towards him, but I've gotten along with Bob.
05:33:49.000I mean would it would anybody be saying like wow He won by 10 And you know, maybe that's not realistic but still I Don't know if I know I don't know if I I mean look it's it's a good night It's a good I
05:34:06.000It's a good result, but let's not get carried away.
05:34:08.000I don't think this is anything to write home about for Trump.
05:34:11.000If Trump got 60% in Iowa, I would say that would be exceptional.
05:34:18.000That would be a crushing victory, which would really silence any doubt.
05:34:22.000But, you know, Nikki Haley and DeSantis combined had 40%.
05:34:25.000That means 47% of the Republican electorate voted for someone other than Trump.
05:38:11.000Go get your... Especially when the diet people say it.
05:38:14.000All the diet people always say, you need to eat local meat.
05:38:18.000You need to eat organic, locally sourced, raw milk.
05:38:25.000That is one thing I will never accept, is these hippies on the right that are all about
05:38:30.000All they do is talk about food all day.
05:38:33.000Like, sorry, but you're just kind of a boring person.
05:38:38.000If all you have to talk about is, like, cooking and diet, you're kind of a boring person.
05:38:46.000You're a completely uninteresting person.
05:38:49.000No offense if anyone is like that in the chat.
05:38:52.000It's one thing if you're like a farmer or something, or you're like a dietician, but all these amateur people online that are going on and on about, today I had an organic blah blah blah, you know, fucking berries from my garden, and a little bit of this that I got from a thing, and local farmers, blah blah blah, you gotta get a local.
05:39:15.000Ask your local farmer's market if the honey's local.
05:39:20.000Three quarter pounders with cheese, please.
05:42:55.000So I think basically you're kind of a beta male if you work out.
05:43:01.000I think you're actually like a soy boy if you work out and eat meat.
05:43:05.000I think the real manly thing to do is to eat plenty of fruit and refined sugars and coffee and orange juice and vanilla ice cream and not to work out basically at all.
05:43:27.000And I think that's actually the real health mindset.
05:45:41.000and he said no but this I'm not even kidding at all I met this there's this like guy from Germany and he said like his father's grandfather was in the World War two and for the Germans and he was telling me he was like you Americans we too much meat
05:51:42.000Whether it's Republican or Democrat or liberal or conservative, it would be so nice if we could come together and straighten out the world and straighten out the problems and straighten out all of the death and destruction that we're witnessing that's practically never been like this.
05:51:57.000It's just so important, and I want to make that a very big part of our message.
05:54:33.000These two have been working so hard, and they... You know, they have another job also, so they have to do it all, but they've been working so hard.
05:54:41.000And I know that Ivanka is home, and Tiffany's home.
05:59:58.000And he's one of the best governors in our country.
06:00:00.000And I hope that I'm going to be able to call on him to be a piece of the administration, a very important piece of the administration.
06:00:10.000And also, just to conclude with this, the entire Trump team, and that includes my two boys who are really here all the time, whenever we needed them.
06:02:41.000You know, my wife attended the funeral two months ago of Rosalind Carter, and it was beautiful.
06:02:49.000And Jimmy Carter was there and I thought to myself, Jimmy Carter is happy now because he will go down as being a brilliant president by comparison to Joe Biden.
06:03:12.000We have to say, you know, we have, I say all the time, we have more liquid gold under our feet than any other nation anywhere in the world.
06:03:20.000And we have to stop the crime and we have to help rebuild our cities and we have to rebuild the capital, Washington DC.
06:03:28.000On one of the Biden indictment trials, you know, this is the only person, this never happened before, but I go to a lot of courthouses because of Biden, because they're using that for election interference.
06:03:40.000And it's on things like election, and I don't know if you know, but they did polls tonight on the election of 2020.
06:04:13.000You know, we have these elections that last for 62 days, and if you need some more time, take as much time as you want, and so many bad things happen.
06:04:22.000We have to get rid of mail-in ballots, because once you have mail-in ballots, you have crooked elections.
06:04:26.000Actually, Jimmy Carter's commission said that a long time ago.
06:06:39.000And we would have had a deal with Iran very quickly.
06:06:43.000Had the election where we, by the way, got, and I say we because it's all we, we got more votes than any sitting president in the history of our country.
06:06:53.000But we, they say we lost by a whisker, okay?
06:06:57.000But regardless, regardless of that, we're going to do incredible things and we're not going to let China do what they'd like to do.
06:07:06.000I get along great with him also, President Xi.
06:08:09.000And we want a country of law and order.
06:08:13.000So we're going to rebuild the capital of our country, Washington, D.C.
06:08:17.000We're going to scrub those beautiful marble columns and get the swastikas off them.
06:08:22.000And we're going to scrub them and get the graffiti off them.
06:08:25.000And we're going to clean the streets and we're going to rebuild the streets.
06:08:30.000And we're not going to have rusted medians through the middle that are falling down into the roads where foreign dignitaries from all over the world come and they look.
06:08:40.000And we're not going to be riding on top of garbage like I did just a month ago, riding on top of garbage.
06:08:46.000We're going to rebuild our beautiful Washington, D.C., and we're going to take control of it, and we're going to make unbelievably harsh penalties for people that go around shooting.
06:13:19.000And to all of the people standing behind me and all of the people in this room and so many great politicians and great dignitaries and friends, I just want to thank you all.
06:16:28.000Well let me tell you Tom, right now it looks like they're gearing up to have the governor speak shortly.
06:16:33.000They are introducing conservative radio host Steve Dace right now who's been one of his biggest surrogates and endorsers here and I'm just gonna modulate my volume here from Gossip Girl voice to raising it loud as we hear the crowd here tonight.
06:16:48.000Listen, this is a vibe here tonight that is really reflecting the sort of
06:16:56.000Underdog mentality that he has taken on in the final weeks here as he has gone from the guy that said he was going to win the state to the guy that's now fighting for second place.
06:17:06.000They've been raging against the media.
06:18:02.000Nobody knew who we were, nobody knew what we were up to, and together we have created a movement that I think is going to carry our nation to the next level.
06:18:10.000And for that, all of the patriots across this state, across this country, everybody watching on the livestream, we are so grateful to you, and I promise you this, we are just getting started in leading this movement to our future, okay?
06:18:27.000Now, this is a campaign founded on speaking the truth.
06:18:33.000Not just when it's easy, but when it's hard.
06:18:36.000Not just to the Democrats, but to our own side.
06:18:40.000And not just to other campaigns and candidacies, but to ours.
06:18:45.000And so I will stick to the truth tonight.
06:18:49.000The first hard truth, and this one's hard for me, I gotta admit this.
06:18:55.000But we've looked at it every which way, and I think it is true that we did not achieve the surprise that we wanted to deliver tonight.
06:19:05.000And I think that that's just a hard fact that we're going to have to accept as a campaign.
06:19:12.000And the question then is, what do we do that is right for our country?
06:19:18.000And so Corbin and I, as we just heard Vivek Ramaswamy dropping out, we have another election alert that's happened in real time.
06:19:23.000We have a major projection from our decision desk, the other big headline tonight out of Iowa.
06:20:17.000Follow me in taking our America First movement to the next level.
06:20:22.000It did not begin in 2016, it began in 1776.
06:20:26.000And for the next journey of this race, we are going to make sure that our movement is actually the one that actually leaves and saves this country in the next step.
06:20:38.000And as for this movement, founded on truth, America First 2.0, we're just getting started.
06:20:59.000This country has allowed us to live an American dream that my parents, who were here with us earlier helping take care of our little boys, they never imagined when they came to this country 40 years ago.
06:21:49.000Vivek Ramaswamy, after dropping out, has immediately endorsed former President Trump, that's what I'm being told right now, in that campaign speech as well.
06:21:57.000I want to get over to Ali Battali, she's with the Haley campaign right now.
06:22:01.000Set us straight here, I mean, you know, what was the expectations game for the Haley campaign?
06:22:07.000Was it a solid second or was it survive Iowa, let's get right to New Hampshire.
06:22:13.000They left it vague I think on purpose, Tom, in large part because they really said that they felt that second obviously would have been the preference, but that third would have just reinforced the status quo as to what people would have assumed already in a state like Iowa.
06:22:28.000The thing I imagine that we're going to hear from the Haley team in the coming 24 hours is that Ron DeSantis is someone who came in through all of his resources at Iowa, had an immense ground game, got all the right endorsements, and still only notched 21 or 22 percentage points, and Donald Trump was able to get, at least as of right now, over that
06:23:40.000But they were just so excited about the fact that they were predicting that we wouldn't be able to get our ticket punched here out of Iowa.
06:23:50.000But I can tell you, because of your support, in spite of all of that that they threw at us, everyone against us, we've got our ticket punched out of Iowa!
06:24:19.000You just don't see it every day because of all the nonsense that gets spewed out there by the media, by social media, all this other stuff.
06:24:27.000People want to have hope for this country's future, and that's what we represent.
06:24:33.000We represent a chance to reverse the madness that we've seen in this country, to reverse the decline of this country, and to give this country a new birth of freedom and a restoration of sanity.
06:25:32.000We have a lot of work to do, but I can tell you this, as the next President of the United States, I am going to get the job done for this country.
06:29:27.000American politics minus Trump is so cringe.
06:29:32.000Trump gets up there and he's like, they're terrorists, they're emptying insane asylums into literally just like, just fear-mongering anti-immigrant rhetoric.
06:29:46.000Trump gets up there and says, they're criminals, they're insane lunatics, they're terrorists.
06:29:55.000When I was president, they weren't terrorists, but under these people, they're all terrorists.
06:30:01.000Literally, just like, we're gonna deport more people than ever.
06:30:05.000And then, like, DeSantis gets up there and he's like, I think it's safe to say they plunged our ticket out of Iowa.
06:36:49.000Trump and Biden are both about 80 years old.
06:36:55.000Trump and Biden both put our country trillions of dollars deeper in debt and our kids will never forgive them for it.
06:37:08.000Trump and Biden both lack a vision for our country's future because both are consumed by the past, by investigations, by vendettas, by grievances.
06:43:49.000So, with DeSantis remaining in the race, him and Haley will be vying for that 11% from Christie.
06:43:59.000Trump will add the 5% from Ramaswamy, and it looks like the result may look similar to Iowa, where Trump will get half, and then it would seem that Haley will finish second and DeSantis third in New Hampshire.
06:44:17.000And then Trump will destroy in Nevada, and then it looks like he'll even win in South Carolina, Nikki Haley's home state, because she's actually doing worse in South Carolina than she's doing in New Hampshire, although there hasn't been a ton of polling in South Carolina.
06:44:36.000With DeSantis and Haley remaining, they're splitting that vote, and the more
06:44:42.000Primaries that they go into splitting the vote like that, the more difficult it will become for either of them to achieve any kind of lift off before Super Tuesday.
06:45:51.000Shame about Vivek, but you know, I thought that he was a necessary and a good part of the race.
06:45:57.000I said it last night, I never thought that he would win, and I never considered voting for him.
06:46:02.000But he was contributing something to the conversation, and to me the main thing was preventing Republicans from backsliding just back to the regular status quo.
06:46:13.000Without him on that stage, it would just be an establishment battle royale from the beginning, but he was the one guy on that stage
06:46:22.000Who was reminding the GOP that even after Trump, there's still going to be Trumpism.
06:46:28.000There's still going to be America First.
06:46:29.000There's still going to be opponents to the establishment.
06:48:45.000SaintSugarTheConspiracyCatOfficialFanClub sent $3, give this $3 to your video editor to buy a coffee.
06:48:52.000His Trump Synthwave music private intros are bangers, specifically the MAGA one with the saxophone at the end close eyes and dancing in my office.
06:49:00.000He didn't make that, that's a YouTube video.
06:49:03.000Richard Percival sent $15, you explaining the difference in how Trump talks versus these hacks reminds me of that yay song, I'm on TV talking like it's just you and me.
06:51:05.000It's clear that Elon has made a deal and that's not necessarily a pejorative thing to say but there is some working relationship with him and the Zionists and the ADL and so the idea that we're gonna slip in there and represent the Nazi seat at the table is just ridiculous.
06:51:28.000Candace Owens Tucker and all them are very clearly part of something distinct
06:51:32.000And kosher and Elon has probably been a part of that for some time.
06:51:38.000I don't think that's Some ad hoc working group.
06:51:42.000I think that was maybe the design from the beginning if you really followed it from the start and Yeah, the last part's just obvious, but thanks
06:54:31.000Imagine your president and Nikki Haley as the presidential maid with that maid costume Spongebob had to wear when he was taking care of Squidward.
06:54:54.000Natsuk Greekoid sent $5, why was Elijah reading my name funny?
06:54:59.000Wstream W Jesus W Trump W Nick, can't wait for Tupac.
06:55:05.000Rektable sent $5, great debate the other night.
06:55:08.000My question, Gavin plugged censored TV, Jewboy plugged Info Wars, was there a stipulation or restriction placed on you and Vince to not plug cozy TV?
06:55:18.000Seemed odd to not shout out your main platform.
06:55:39.000It was the debate, people were throwing up Roman salutes, and I said the Holocaust was a hoax.
06:55:45.000But yeah, there was stipulation we couldn't plug Gozi.
06:55:48.000So you can do a Roman salute, and you can say the Holocaust is fake, and you can debate Zionist and Jewish power, but you can't plug your website.