00:00:37.000You know, I throw the slop together for the feeding trough of America first, but really, the high quality stuff, really the gold standard, that's going to be the premium content.
00:00:49.000So it was a fantastic show this morning on World Report.
00:00:54.000We talked all about Turkey and President Erdogan, who was reelected yesterday, and really some startling things about Turkey.
00:01:03.000A lot of parallels between the United States and Turkey, and a lot of parallels between Turkey, China, and Russia.
00:01:11.000It's pretty good stuff, pretty keynote stuff.
00:01:14.000But of course, we have a banging, a pretty smashing, bitching episode of America First tonight.
00:01:21.000It's a regular show, and then at 8 o'clock, so in an hour, we'll be bringing on Jazz Hands McFeals and Bryden from Right to Bryden to commentate on some live primary coverage.
00:01:35.000So tonight we've got, and I finally committed them all to memory, we've got Oklahoma.
00:06:16.000The first travel ban came down in February.
00:06:19.000It was an executive order and it banned temporarily.
00:06:23.000Okay, you got to remember, folks, what he promised in 2015, November or December 2015, when he said Donald Trump is calling for a total and complete shutdown of Muslims entering the United States.
00:06:34.000What actually became actualized in the travel ban was nothing close to a blanket ban on Muslims.
00:06:40.000You know, they make it out like he said, if you're Muslim, you can't come in, like nothing close to that.
00:07:31.000It won't allow people to come into the country until this period has passed and we can properly review the vetting procedures.
00:07:40.000So all it's saying is that Libya, Iran, these other countries, they're not properly making sure that the people coming from their country to our country are clear that they're safe, that they're okay.
00:07:54.000So, I think that's completely reasonable, even to a Democrat.
00:07:57.000Hey, you know, all these countries that are mired in war and terrorism and Islamism, why don't we just check and make sure we know who these people are?
00:08:04.000Let's just do a little evaluation of what the process looks like.
00:09:09.000Well, I very gently chase her over to the garbage cans and I kind of give her a little bit of a shove because, you know, I have to protect my property.
00:09:17.000Normally, under no circumstances, but also a lesbian.
00:10:13.000It wasn't really a sweeping decision by any stretch.
00:10:16.000If you read how they interpreted it, the reason that the lower courts shut it down was because they said that when Trump said we should ban all Muslims, that served as enough evidence that the ban on five Muslim majority countries was based on prejudice, which is.
00:10:37.000Like, we can ban immigration from dangerous countries, but not if it's because we associate the danger with the people who are the cause of the danger, right?
00:10:47.000You can only ban immigration from Muslim countries if you're demonstrating that it's because of terrorism and not because they subscribe to the religion that's causing all the terrorism, right?
00:10:59.000So, the argument was in the lower courts, this is why it got shut down in the circuit courts and the appellate courts, was because they said, When Trump said that he was going to ban Muslims, that constituted prejudice, therefore, it's violating constitutional rights and all the rest.
00:11:14.000In the decision, which was written by Chief Justice Roberts, they said that it did not constitute discrimination.
00:11:22.000It was squarely within, this is his own word, squarely within the jurisdiction of the president.
00:11:27.000I'll read it actually, the direct quote, because I have it in front of me.
00:11:31.000Justice Roberts wrote The proclamation is expressly premised on legitimate purposes, preventing entry of nationals.
00:11:38.000Cannot adequately be vetted and inducing other nations to improve their practices.
00:11:43.000The text says nothing about religion, but it should be about religion.
00:11:47.000You know, this was my battle cry during the travel ban.
00:11:50.000Now that it's been approved, and this is really the first iteration, I'm going to get to the consequences of this decision, which can be pretty big.
00:11:59.000But for starters, it should have been a ban on Muslims.
00:12:18.000Under the Atlantic Charter, under the UN Charter, they have human rights, which are healthcare and education for girls and all this gay stuff.
00:12:29.000The only rights that we have in the United States are God given.
00:12:33.000The Declaration of Independence acknowledges that we are given rights by God, they are enshrined in the Constitution, but they are for citizens.
00:12:42.000They are for citizens of the United States, not for illegals, not for non citizens.
00:12:46.000And this isn't complicated stuff, folks.
00:12:49.000You have somebody who comes into the country.
00:12:55.000They're not of the country, they're not citizens of the country.
00:12:59.000So, just the same that we can't give First Amendment rights to people in Uganda, you know, we can't go over into Uganda and say, hey, folks, it's not totally free over here in terms of speech and you're taking guns.
00:13:58.000You know, in the same way that you are discriminating when you go fruit shopping, you know, when you look at apples and some apples have lots of bruises and are discolored, well, you're discriminating in your judgment of the apples.
00:14:11.000We want a golden delicious that's shiny, it's ripe, it's red, it doesn't have bruises.
00:14:15.000We're going to be discriminating in our judgment.
00:14:18.000When we make any consumer choice, when we make any choice in general, we are discriminating.
00:14:26.000It can be a bad thing if you're discriminating because of.
00:14:29.000You know, on an individual level, if you were to say, you know, I can't be friends with that person because he's black or Muslim, on an individual level, I think that's wrong.
00:15:02.000Reiterated by the Greek government, this has been reiterated by the German government, just about every CIA, every major intelligence agency, and every major government who's handled this migration problem has said, We cannot properly vet these people.
00:15:18.000And so, a state, which is making decisions for the society, has to judge based on generalizations, based on majorities, based on statistics.
00:15:29.000So, while I would never say that we should discriminate against a Muslim in an individual case where we would treat somebody differently because of something.
00:15:42.000We see that in immigration from Mexico.
00:15:44.000We see that in immigration or visas from the Middle East.
00:15:47.000If people are coming over from the Middle East and you have, for example, in Syria, 20% of Syrians are sympathetic to ISIS, why would we bring in any of them?
00:15:58.000If we bring in five, statistically speaking, one of them is a supporter of ISIS.
00:16:02.000I don't want to bring in anybody who supports ISIS.
00:16:04.000If you bring in one person who kills an American citizen, I mean, that alone is unacceptable.
00:16:37.000If you're in Syria, you could go to Jordan.
00:16:40.000They're running out of resources, but to an extent, you'll be fine.
00:16:42.000Hey, why isn't Israel accepting any of them, right?
00:16:45.000Or why isn't Saudi Arabia accepting any of them?
00:16:48.000But they go through Turkey, they go through Eastern Europe, and they go to Germany where they can get better stuff, where they can get free stuff.
00:16:56.000They don't go to a country that speaks their language, that practices their religion, that looks like their country.
00:17:01.000They come all the way to the United States where they don't speak the language, it's unfamiliar, all the rest.
00:17:44.000I mean, our Constitution, our Declaration of Independence, is based on Christianity, based on Christ, not this Judeo Christian stuff, based on Christ.
00:18:02.000Are they really making it that better in Germany?
00:18:04.000It would be one thing if they came over and all of a sudden life dramatically improved.
00:18:09.000Like, whoa, those Muslims in Germany, like they're so talented and nice and they're giving everybody baskets of goodies that, wow, like they're so friendly.
00:18:19.000But we see what they bring terrorism, they bring gang rape, they bring crimes.
00:18:25.000That's not all of them, but it's a lot of them.
00:18:27.000So, why would we bring in something that has a negative externality so they could feel better?
00:18:42.000So, the Muslim ban should have been a Muslim ban, but it's good that it got affirmed as constitutional because what we saw in this decision was kind of a narrow scope in terms of the ruling, but what it does in a broad sense is it reaffirms the President's very strong powers on immigration.
00:19:02.000This is a big step because the biggest impediment to immigration reform has been the fact that the president cannot properly exercise his authority on this issue.
00:19:13.000If you read the Constitution, if you read the Immigration Nationality Act, the president has a wide, wide scope in terms of how he can change immigration rules and laws and enforcement and all the rest.
00:19:25.000The reason he hasn't been able to do that is because every time he puts down an executive order, every time he tries to go to the Congress, we see.
00:19:36.000Either a circuit judge in Hawaii, okay, you know, like they have to deal with our problems over there on the beaches, you know, they're going to intercede and essentially veto it for a short period of time, or the Congress is going to do what they always do, cuck, compromise, water it down, and then we get the Paul Ryan bill.
00:19:53.000So the biggest impediment to immigration reform has been that Donald Trump's hands have been tied.
00:20:00.000And so now that there has at least been some foundation laid, some precedent that the court, Is affirming the president's authority to act on immigration, maybe it could lead to better things.
00:20:13.000I'm not saying we could interpret this ruling for future rulings because, you know, changing up the illegal immigration system is going to be very different than the travel ban.
00:20:22.000But nevertheless, it's a good precedent to set.
00:20:24.000It's significant in that this is, it goes to show that the courts can be beat.
00:20:29.000It's long, it's arduous, it's a process, it's a big, like, frustrating obstacle, but it can be beaten.
00:20:37.000And when it gets to the Supreme Court, the system does work.
00:20:40.000When we get our justices in there, if we get another vacancy, if that'll be Ginsburg who dies, or that'll be somebody else who retires, we'll be able to fill it with another far right guy.
00:20:48.000We redefined the courts for a generation.
00:20:50.000And then we've got not one, but two branches working in our favor.
00:20:54.000And that allows us to browbeat the Congress.
00:20:56.000So I think we're in a pretty good spot with this ruling.
00:21:00.000It's not, you know, it's not obviously ideal, but we have to have a sense of proportion and have a little perspective of where we came from.
00:21:07.000You know, we went from how could we accept.
00:21:46.000It's not all of them, but, you know, this is basically the program.
00:21:49.000They're not sending their best, folks.
00:21:51.000And so we had a problem where we said, how can we become the, how can we become a landfill, basically?
00:21:56.000How can we become a human landfill and attract, you know, like that Lazarus poem, Lazarus poem, really actualize it?
00:22:04.000Let's bring in the tired, the poor, the hungry, the sick, the dirty, the gross, the slimy, the dumb.
00:22:11.000Let's just bring them all in and, you know, It'll be, I don't know, that'll be a good thing.
00:22:17.000It went from that for 25 years to this administration, which said, stop, no, stop that, no more of that.
00:22:23.000So once you understand that we've got 25 years of momentum in one very bad direction, it's going to take a little bit of a period to halt that.
00:22:33.000You know, it's like Mr. Incredible stopping a train or a bus.
00:22:37.000You know, it's got, we have to have a little period where we first have to halt the momentum of this runaway train in favor of open borders, mass immigration.
00:22:47.000Multiracial population replacement, all the rest, and then get it going in the other direction.
00:24:02.000The other thing I want to talk about here.
00:24:05.000And this is a big thing that I really wanted to talk about yesterday, but I did not get a chance at all.
00:24:10.000Also, before we get into this, there was another Supreme Court ruling on abortion.
00:24:17.000There was a Supreme Court ruling, another 5 4 decision today, which decided against a California law, which said basically that anti abortion clinics for birth things, I don't know all the particulars of it, but it basically said that if you're not an abortion center, you no longer have to advertise for abortion centers.
00:24:37.000Where if you went in and it was like a pro life, Family planning center or medical thing, whatever.
00:24:43.000And the argument of the other side said, oh, well, it's not a real medical place.
00:24:47.000They're kind of like not telling you that they're pro life.
00:24:50.000But the law mandated that they basically advertise abortion, that they say, oh, you know, you could do it the right way.
00:24:55.000You could do it congruent with God and life, but also you could always get an abortion as well.
00:25:00.000So the Supreme Court overturned that law.
00:25:02.000It's a big win for the pro life lobby, or pro lifers in general.
00:25:07.000Big one for life, big one for babies that you don't want to see killed.
00:25:10.000You know, I saw an article the other day.
00:25:13.000I don't have the link on me right now.
00:25:14.000I can't, you know, give it to you right now.
00:25:16.000But somebody shared it with me on Discord.
00:25:20.000There was this article talking about the most common kind of abortion where they, and I've never really thought about this too much.
00:25:27.000I mean, I basically knew this in the back of my head.
00:25:29.000But the most common form of abortion is the babies inside the uterus.
00:25:34.000They go in there with the force of they break off the leg, they break off the other leg.
00:25:40.000They tear the baby limb from limb out of the mother's womb.
00:27:16.000A big issue for me until I really, you know, I was always against it because I'm pro life, but I mean, once you see like a visualization of that, you just can't get that out of your head.
00:27:26.000I can't imagine how people can do this, you know, abortionists in real life.
00:27:30.000I see a diagram of it and it's reprehensible.
00:27:33.000But on a lighter note, on a lighter note, we got to get to this other topic, which I want to talk about, which is the left.
00:27:42.000The real Nazis are out there again, being their usual tolerant selves.
00:29:06.000So, I was just kicked out, but they have a right to do that effectively, and she's been very cool about it.
00:29:13.000And of course, this was not the newest thing that happened.
00:29:16.000You also had the DHS Secretary Nielsen, who got booed out of a Mexican restaurant.
00:29:22.000I think Stephen Miller, the same thing happened to him earlier this month.
00:29:26.000But basically, people are being harassed all over the place.
00:29:28.000They're having gay parades in front of Mike Pence's house to make him mad or something.
00:29:33.000I don't really know what the motivation is there.
00:29:35.000And then this was the big, this is when it really came to a head and became kind of a You know, when the Democrats really owned this.
00:29:41.000I mean, you could say before it's kind of out of their control, whatever.
00:29:45.000But Maxine Waters, who's a big time representative, big time congresswoman, you know, that shouldn't really be a word, but she says, quote, if you see anybody from that cabinet in a restaurant, in a department store, at a gasoline station, you get out and you create a crowd and you push back on them.
00:30:01.000You tell them they're not welcome anymore, anywhere.
00:30:04.000And Trump responded by saying, quote, Congresswoman Maxine Waters, an extraordinarily low IQ person, Has become together with Nancy Pelosi, the face of the Democrat Party.
00:30:15.000She has just called for harm to supporters, of which there are many, of the Make America Great Again movement.
00:30:39.000And it's such a tired point to make nowadays, but.
00:30:43.000I mean, you really got to think about this, folks.
00:30:46.000Imagine if this had been the other way around that some crazy alt right guy, you know, some crazy white nationalist went to a baseball game and shot a Democrat, you know, and they were like a big racist or something.
00:31:00.000And they said, Donald Trump said that the Democrats are fake news or that the Democrats are obstructionists, so I killed them.
00:31:16.000It would determine the next election and the one after that.
00:31:19.000With Steve Scalise, the person who killed him was somebody who was radicalized by the mainstream media.
00:31:24.000Somebody who, of course, and you have all kinds of people like this in a country of 330 million who sit all day watching television hearing this kind of stuff that the government is illegitimate, that a foreign country controls our president, that a foreign country stole an election, we're being taken over by a tyrannical dictatorship slowly but surely.
00:31:46.000And they're creating these kinds of people.
00:31:47.000You know, God knows how many others there are out there that haven't attempted it or have yet to attempt it.
00:31:53.000And this happens because the media has radicalized people and it's nobody talks.
00:31:57.000Nobody talks about this kind of stuff that happens.
00:31:59.000If it were any other way around, you know, if it were like a Cracker Barrel, or as they call it in the South, Cracker Barrel, I say that endearingly.
00:33:20.000We should be able to disagree, but also have services.
00:33:24.000And we can agree it's hypocritical because, of course, the other Supreme Court case that just came down was on gay bakeries or gay people going to bakeries, where it's like you can't discriminate against homosexuals because.
00:33:35.000You know, you gotta bake the cake, dummy, whitey.
00:33:40.000But now, when it's a Trump administration official, you know, they don't have to serve them.
00:33:44.000They can actually kick them out for no other reason than they disagree with their politics.
00:33:48.000And so we could say all of this is basically bad.
00:33:56.000And many people say, well, how can we fix this?
00:33:58.000We gotta have civility, we gotta have conversation.
00:34:01.000And we have to think strategically, folks.
00:34:03.000We have to think about things through to their logical conclusions.
00:34:06.000This is how political people have to think.
00:34:09.000When you're talking about historical forces and people, let's pursue option one.
00:34:16.000We embrace civility, we have a civil discourse.
00:34:19.000I rebrand the show instead of hot headed, cocky political commentator owns the libs to the conversation show where I bring on liberals and everyone gets a fair shot and we just exchange ideas and everybody's happy.
00:34:48.000You've made Democrats as palatable as Republicans.
00:34:51.000You've made them on this, you know, whereas at least now you could say, well, I don't agree with the Republicans, but the Democrats are nuts.
00:34:57.000Now you could say, well, they're both basically civil.
00:34:59.000They're both basically doing the right thing, but I agree more with the Democrats.
00:35:22.000What if there's leftist violence in the streets?
00:35:25.000What if this happens all the time, not just to cabinet members, but to supporters as well?
00:35:29.000What do you think is going to be the effect on Republicans?
00:35:31.000What do you think is going to be the effect on people in the middle if this polarization continues?
00:35:37.000Maybe more and more Republicans start to see the elites not as just people they disagree with, but their enemies.
00:35:43.000But suddenly the elites are not just people who think, oh, well, I believe in a more inclusive America, folks, but actually people that want to replace you and your kids, that think that.
00:35:53.000By virtue of your race and your religion, you should be substituted out for foreign people.
00:35:57.000What if suddenly people started to get alienated from the elites?
00:36:02.000What if people started to see the violence and they said, you know what, maybe these differences are irreconcilable.
00:36:39.000You have to understand that historical forces do not change through reform.
00:36:43.000You know, never in history did people get together, maybe like twice, people got together and said, We're going to collectively change our behavior in a more productive direction.
00:36:52.000We've analyzed the statistics, we've looked at where we're headed, and we're going to make a conscious decision to go the other way.
00:36:58.000All changes come about in society because dysfunctional things stop working very abruptly.
00:37:05.000Dysfunction makes things become tense, become rigid, become inflexible, so that they are not resilient.
00:37:12.000Then you have a big catastrophe and it explodes.
00:37:14.000And basically, that's the only way that a new order can arise.
00:37:18.000You know, you think that you could take this system that we have where they have control of so many things.
00:37:23.000I mean, we could make reforms and we have to prepare ourselves for this inevitable possibility.
00:37:28.000But the idea that, you know, we're going to just win hearts and minds, we're going to change everybody's mind, we're going to become.
00:37:34.000You know, we're going to get in the media.
00:37:35.000We're going to make movies that are like explicitly political, and that's going to challenge Hollywood, and we'll change everybody's mind.
00:37:42.000We're going to get them to believe in free speech.
00:38:17.000You can't negotiate with people like that.
00:38:19.000If you don't even agree about the premise of debate or conversation where they say, actually, civility, debate, language is all tools of white supremacy, you can't even come to the table.
00:38:40.000Make a decision, and we're going to have to have something that's revolutionary.
00:38:43.000It doesn't have to be violent, it doesn't have to be fighting in the streets.
00:38:47.000I'm not saying that at all, but it does have to be some kind of revolution in consciousness or in decision making where the Democratic Party ceases to be viable or there's some kind of split.
00:38:56.000It's the only way it's going to go down.
00:38:58.000So I see the Red Hen thing, I see the Nielsen thing, and it's unfortunate, it's wrong.
00:39:04.000But you see those things, and the enemy's making a big mistake.
00:39:08.000You should not interrupt them when they're making a mistake.
00:39:11.000This has allowed Donald Trump to brand the Democratic Party as the party of Maxine Waters and Nancy Pelosi, who are telling the voters in West Virginia, the voters in Pennsylvania, the voters in Indiana, we don't like your kind.
00:40:13.000Okay, but let's let the left keep making this mistake.
00:40:16.000The day that they become civil and they come to the table, I mean, they would lose the debate, but I mean, that would be what's best for them.
00:40:55.000But I think we'll get a good idea of where we're at, maybe like 9 30, 10.
00:40:59.000Fingers crossed, I could get back on a normal sleep schedule so I could commit myself to some kind of routine so I don't, you know, go all, go all.
00:41:28.000Let me bring this over here, actually.
00:41:30.000We've got Reagan who says, Nick, your pagan slaying skills are known far and wide in Christendom to hype your crusade against Greg Johnson.
00:41:39.000Can we please get you to wave your knife at the camera with, I shed the blood of the Saxon men?
00:42:10.000I even, you know, look, people can be as educated as they want to be, but if your worldview is incoherent, if it doesn't make sense, it really doesn't matter.
00:42:17.000You know, there's a lot of educated Marxists out there, there's a lot of educated neoliberals, neocons, you know, every stripe, every variety, but.
00:42:26.000If it doesn't fit into some semblance of coherence, it's not going to help you.
00:42:34.000American Rebel says, You're three minutes late today, Nick.
00:43:07.000You know, the key to thoughts is you just got to remain indifferent.
00:43:10.000You know, the trick with thoughts is they get in your head.
00:43:12.000Well, they get in most mortal men's heads.
00:43:15.000They get in your head with their sultry, temptuous displays, but you got to get that out.
00:43:21.000You got to become a monk in terms of that so that you can really go hard against them.
00:43:26.000And, you know, maybe that sounded a little differently than I wanted to, but you got to fight back against them very strongly because thoughtery is a big problem.
00:43:37.000And they get you when you show a little bit of interest.
00:43:39.000Can't even entertain the idea that you care, that their opinion matters.
00:44:31.000You know, it's very easy for these rich people, these rootless cosmopolitan elites, when they are sheltered from what happens, you know, and they can build up a fence and they can go to a private school and they can build up the gates and all that.
00:44:46.000But Most people are going to feel this.
00:44:48.000Most people are going to see a real transformation in ways that affect them personally.
00:44:52.000And then you're going to see opinions change very quickly.
00:44:55.000But right now, all the people that are making policy live in neighborhoods that are all white, where they're free from the consequences of these decisions.
00:45:03.000They're neighborhoods that are safe, that are high income.
00:45:07.000They go to school with people that are not going to rape or kill their kids, like you see in many places where there's high immigration.
00:45:16.000I think it'll happen once people start feeling it.
00:45:19.000Anonymous said, What books should all Catholics read?
00:45:22.000Mere Christianity was a great recommendation.
00:45:24.000You know, there's a lot of great Catholic literature out there.
00:45:45.000I would watch Catholic Answers on YouTube.
00:45:48.000They give a lot of good book recommendations on there, even if you're not wild about the apologism that they do.
00:45:53.000Because it is, you know, if you're like a more traditionalist, you're not going to like the flavor of it.
00:45:57.000But they've got a lot of really qualified, well read people that for every question they field, they say, oh, and here's like four books you could read on the subject.
00:46:05.000So I highly recommend that as a resource for people that want to know.
00:46:36.000You know, and it's sort of a duality about it where at once you have to be striving for perfection, you have to be striving for Pareto optimality, but at the same time there has to be this admission or acceptance that falling short is okay and it can be excellence if you're really striving.
00:47:08.000You know, I mean, on the Patrick Little thing, I think what it lays bare or is representative of is a problem I saw at Charlottesville, which is just a complete divorce from reality.
00:47:20.000You can't convince these people that they're not winning.
00:47:22.000No matter what, it's always, no, we're winning.
00:47:25.000Even though they have no metrics for that, even though they have no goals to contrast that with, it's always, we're winning.
00:48:22.000It's like, okay, yeah, good luck with the friggin' Heimbach rally in Michigan, right?
00:48:28.000That's not to attack any one person, but that's just to say it's a real problem.
00:48:32.000We have to really be realistic about these things.
00:48:35.000And so, you know, people who I understand some of the sentiment, not all of it by all means, but for people who say, oh, you know, maybe we support this guy, whatever.
00:48:45.000You know, then it comes crashing down as I predicted, and then celebrated.
00:48:48.000They say, oh no, but it actually wasn't a loss.
00:48:50.000It was a big victory, but it was just completely stolen.
00:49:18.000Cute, totally innocent way to say that bacon is like so good, it's so American, you know, that if you don't eat it, you have to get the hell out.
00:49:27.000And so, anybody that refuses to eat the bacon has to get out.
00:49:31.000So, no matter what, if you don't eat bacon, we have to just get them out or just stop letting them in, you know.
00:51:34.000But it's just such a ridiculous argument because, of course, it's an asymmetrical position.
00:51:39.000So, when low IQ people say this kind of thing, James used to say this kind of thing to me all the time.
00:51:44.000Not saying he's low IQ for the sake of legal reasons, but he would always say, You never attack your radicals.
00:51:51.000Well, it's a big difference because the left can protect their radicals with the mainstream media, with every major corporation, Hollywood, every major news media outlet, everything.
00:53:39.000We've got Recovery Anonymous who says, what is the worst kind of Person in your opinion, and tell me why the correct answer is smug Brits like Sargon.
00:59:30.000McMaster's not looking so hot, or Warren's not looking so hot over there, so I guess the Trump bump thing worked, but Lee Bright's kind of getting trounced at the moment, too, in South Carolina's fourth, which is interesting.
01:01:23.000Well, yeah, I should give you a more proper introduction.
01:01:25.000We've been kind of in this freewheeling kind of attitude on the show tonight, and we've been setting it up, so we've been in this intermission phase, but I will introduce you now.
01:01:34.000Now, be seriously beginning our coverage of the 2018 primaries.
01:01:39.000We're looking at primary races in Oklahoma, Colorado, Utah, Maryland, New York, and we're looking at runoffs in Mississippi and South Carolina.
01:01:48.000I'm not missing anything there, right, fellas?
01:02:24.000I mean, the white pills have been coming pretty strong across all fronts.
01:02:28.000There's, you know, I'm kind of interested in Mitt Romney, kind of interested to see what happens in New York, definitely interested to see how things shake out in Maryland.
01:02:37.000But otherwise, a lot of the elections that are being held tonight are pretty.
01:02:42.000Kind of inconsequential, I think, in the long run.
01:02:44.000But those are the big ones that I'm kind of interested in seeing.
01:02:47.000I mean, we know Mitt Romney's going to win, right?
01:02:49.000But the question is, you know, what is he going to do with that win and how does that play out?
01:02:55.000And he's basically in the Senate for life if he makes it in tonight, right?
01:03:00.000I mean, that's his play is to be the new John McCain, right?
01:03:51.000Yeah, it's funny because, you know, you look at Maryland and Chelsea Manning, you know, maybe she could have, I don't think she would have really stood a chance.
01:04:00.000I know she was kind of running as just kind of like a political thing, but, you know, pretty goofy to see all this Democrat silliness, whether you have the gubernatorial candidates, Chelsea Manning as a Senate candidate.
01:04:12.000It's very, very goofy stuff going on in Democratic states.
01:04:15.000I think you could look at Maryland, you could look at the tomfoolery that goes on there in these elections and say, we probably don't want our country to look like that.
01:04:23.000Well, speaking of Maryland, too, the gubernatorial race, you have Rashearn Baker and Ben Jealous, which those are terrible names.
01:04:31.000They're both endorsed by old comrade Sanders.
01:04:33.000I mean, you know, Larry Hogan is a lock.
01:04:35.000He obviously has a better mixtape anyway, but it will be neat to see how well the more progressive candidates do just really all across the board.
01:04:46.000They haven't been having too great of a run, I would say, but when you see a party like this just torn asunder by the dingbat.
01:04:56.000Branch of them, and then the more establishment branch.
01:05:00.000It fares well for us, but it sure is a lot of fun to watch.
01:05:26.000Of where the Democratic Party is, the Republican Party, where Trump is with his base, and how that'll all play out in the midterms.
01:05:33.000So that's what's kind of nice about this one.
01:05:35.000You know, when you watch the Alabama special Senate election and some of the other ones, it was like high stakes stuff because, you know, big defeats and it actually amounted to seats.
01:05:45.000But for the most part here, I think we're pretty comfortable, pretty relaxed.
01:05:58.000The thing, though, one interesting thing about the Maryland race and some of, especially with like Chelsea Manning challenging Cardin, is that Democrats put out this clarion call for literally everybody to run for office.
01:06:13.000Anybody that could cobble together enough signatures to get on the ballot should run.
01:06:18.000And of course, knowing their coalitions and how fractured they are and the quality of individuals that they would field to run for public office, that hasn't necessarily turned out to be the best plan to the extent that even Steny Hoyer was caught on a hot mic trying to convince a more progressive candidate to stay out of the race.
01:06:39.000I mean, this is the, you know, you reap what you sow sort of thing here.
01:06:45.000And so now you have a guy in Maryland.
01:07:26.000I think it's kind of split down the middle.
01:07:28.000Yeah, so you have Chris Van Hollen and Martin O'Malley are backing, I think, Jealous.
01:07:36.000And you have Bernie Sanders and Kamala Harris.
01:07:39.000I'm sorry, Kamala Harris and Bernie Sanders are backing Jealous.
01:07:42.000Chris Van Hollen and Martin O'Malley are backing Rashad or Baker or Rashurn Baker or whatever.
01:07:47.000So the party is, you know, They don't want to talk about this, but there is a Democratic Civil War kind of bubbling beneath the surface.
01:07:54.000And so some of the outcomes of these races are going to have an effect on that, especially if their candidates don't win in the long run against somebody like Hogan, who's been pretty milquetoast.
01:08:05.000But in a state like Maryland, I mean, you know, the guy, he's a Republican, but he's had to like be in favor of legalizing weed and going really soft on the border.
01:08:14.000I mean, I think he recalled all the National Guard troops to like virtue signal against Trump.
01:08:19.000It's been a total disaster in Maryland.
01:08:22.000I've heard, however, though, I know somebody from Maryland who sent me a little background information on that race, somebody who's involved in the Republican GOP there.
01:08:30.000And he tells me, a good source, good friend of mine, who says that actually this Larry Hogan character is actually not so bad because I know he presents his milquetoast.
01:08:39.000Like I would never say that he's, you know, a real winning kind of a guy.
01:08:41.000But I think you look at a guy like Hogan, he's somebody who's playing the game.
01:08:45.000You know, I've heard that he has no problem with Trump behind closed doors or his policies for that matter.
01:08:52.000Strategy in a blue state, which, you know, that's a testimonial I've heard.
01:08:57.000I think it's certainly something that's tangible in a state like that.
01:09:00.000But what we're really playing for in Maryland with this Hogan character, who's got pretty good approval ratings and was able to pull off a pretty big win in a blue state, is the census.
01:09:09.000You know, we look at the census in 2020, and if Hogan is the governor, we are able to influence how the congressional districts are drawn up for the next 10 years.
01:09:20.000And so right now it's gerrymandered pretty badly in Maryland, where you've had, you have like, Districts that are barely even contiguous, where they lump in inner city people with rural people.
01:09:29.000They make it so that white people are basically disenfranchised, not represented.
01:10:57.000It's kind of just been kind of stagnant for 20 years.
01:11:00.000But if it gets much worse, then that's going to be one of those states where there is no hope of electing a Republican at any point in the future.
01:11:08.000And Virginia may already be at that point just because of Northern Virginia tipping the scales.
01:11:14.000So, best we can do for right now, I guess.
01:11:18.000Well, yeah, and that's a good point that you make because we also watched Virginia, which is very similar in terms of what's going on there with the demographics and kind of this urban versus rural thing.
01:11:33.000But, you know, we saw in Virginia earlier on in the special election in 2017 something exactly the same where after that round of elections, I think we might have been doing primary coverage live with that, or I forget what the scenario was, but maybe we referenced it on the Alabama stream.
01:11:51.000Virginia turned into a racial headcount where essentially moving forward because of mass immigration, because of the demographics of the state, these kinds of swing states are going to become very hostile and almost uncompetitive to Republicans.
01:12:04.000Whereas before you could flip Virginia, whereas before you could flip a New Mexico, a Colorado.
01:12:10.000It's looking that increasingly these kinds of border swing states that kind of go one way or the other are now going pretty decidedly for the left.
01:12:19.000And so you're basically right about that in terms of Larry Hogan's the best we're going to get.
01:12:24.000So, it's not like Brian had said, it's not like ideal.
01:12:26.000We're not really going to change it in the chat, but that's really the best we can do.
01:12:30.000So, it's a tough situation, but I guess we'll see what happens.
01:12:46.000So, there's been a couple different races in New York that I, for the whole, you know, dingbat left, that I really wanted to pay attention to.
01:12:54.000One is the 12th, where you have Carolyn Maloney.
01:13:32.000She's not good, but she seems to be blowing out the incumbent here.
01:13:36.000And that'll mean if the trend goes forward, then we've already got Anthony Pappas, which is better known in the Latin, the original Latin, Tony Potatoes.
01:13:46.000But that's a surprising one for me there, is Alexandria.
01:13:52.000Yeah, that's a good point that you make.
01:13:54.000And it kind of highlights a point that Jazz brought up earlier about this civil war that's boiling under the surface with the Democratic Party.
01:14:02.000Because this is something we witnessed, I think, very early on.
01:14:06.000In Texas, we saw kind of the beginnings of this.
01:14:09.000We talked a lot about this in the Pennsylvania special election, which is that we're not going to see the same kind of coherence.
01:14:14.000We're not going to see the kinds of winning candidates that we have seen in the special elections.
01:14:18.000What we're going to see in 2018 is a real breakdown, which reflects, I think, the kind of thing that we saw in the Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton primary, where the people, the progressives that for so long said, we're going to go along to get along, we'll vote for the establishment candidate, we're going to go with what works, with what wins.
01:14:37.000Now, I think you have kind of this open revolt basically.
01:14:43.000But you look at, for example, the incumbent in that race you just brought up that's losing, you see that the progressives really are in revolt against the establishment.
01:14:51.000And that's not going to bode well for a blue wave.
01:14:54.000If the blue wave is going to comprise mostly of progressives, and if establishment candidates win, are they going to go for the establishment candidates?
01:15:02.000And then vice versa, if the progressives win, they're not going to win the moderates, and they're not going to get crossover from the right.
01:15:08.000So I think that the blue wave, it's basically crested at this point.
01:15:28.000And California is a great example, too, because what they were concerned about there with the top two primary system was if you had a smorgasbord of Democratic, leftist, far left candidates running for office, then those votes would get, they'd be chasing all the Democratic votes, and then Republicans would.
01:15:48.000And that's what happened in the governor race as well, as there were too many other options.
01:15:53.000And so they're trying, at least in that system, they were trying to push as many of the people off the ballot as possible.
01:15:59.000And it's not the same system in Maryland, but that's why Steny Hoyer was trying to get the progressive because you always hear Mitch McConnell going out there, we need to elect candidates who can win.
01:16:10.000There is some truth to that, and the left knows it as well.
01:16:13.000And they have to be able to elect candidates who can go up against Republican incumbents.
01:16:20.000And if they elect some, you know, if they have eight people in the race, you know, eight cat ladies or just really insane looking, cringy candidates that can't win independent voters, it's a loss.
01:16:31.000And they were the ones that told those people to come out.
01:16:33.000And that was the blue wave that they were trying to meme.
01:16:35.000The blue wave was really just a mass of unelectable candidates who showed up and got on the ballot.
01:16:42.000That doesn't translate into wins in the fall.
01:16:49.000A meme, you know, because people got the blue wave from these big voter shifts in the special elections.
01:16:57.000You know, 538 could hardly contain themselves over the fact that districts and states that broke 10, 15, 20 points for the right were now drifting a lot further to the left.
01:17:06.000But I think in every case, you had very special scenarios, whether it was the Alabama center race with Roy Moore, whether it was Pennsylvania with Connor Lamb.
01:17:17.000Now you're seeing, like you said, with the progressives that are coming out to run in droves, all these women that they can't stop.
01:17:23.000Talking about and all these progressives, it's just a bunch of unelectable losers.
01:17:26.000You know, just because a lot of people show up to run, that just means there's a lot of intensity on the furthest partisan, most ideological faction of the party.
01:17:39.000You know, just because they're taking a more activist lens, that doesn't really change the calculation that Democrats have got a real problem in terms of are they going to get the middle?
01:17:49.000You know, so I think it's a big problem for them.
01:17:52.000Maybe we're not seeing it right now in the primaries, but I think it'll definitely.
01:17:56.000The blue wave is going to run into some trouble in 2018.
01:18:00.000Well, speaking of just having a bunch of pretty unelectable people run in the state legislature in Oklahoma, they had, you know, 100 or so teachers run, and they've had a whole bunch of teacher strikes and things like that.
01:18:14.000I, for one, think that it would be hilarious to watch Oklahoma just be run by a bunch of teachers.
01:18:37.000I mean, even the more establishment types are paying lip service to the God Emperor at this point in one way or another, which is why I was so excited about the Mitt Romney thing.
01:18:47.000Like, okay, you know, Kennedy might have a chance with him.
01:18:51.000That's clearly not going to be the case.
01:18:53.000I thought it was very telling when he came out and said Donald Trump's going to get elected in 2020.
01:18:59.000So, not to be too terribly optimistic, but these people want their jobs.
01:19:07.000But Dan Donovan, speaking of a guy who wants to keep his job, looks like with 63% reporting in New York's 11th, 64 to 35, Mike Grimm, the evasion equation, fresh out of prison.
01:19:23.000Doesn't look like it's going to work out for him.
01:19:45.000And like you said, Michael Grimm, who actually served jail time for some of his political crimes, he thought he was going to make some kind of a comeback.
01:19:52.000This is actually, I think, a testament to the fact that Republicans are not going to make the mistake that Democrats will.
01:19:58.000It's dubious whether or not Donovan or Grimm will be competitive with Rose.
01:20:02.000The Democrats have been pretty confident about Rose being able to pull it off.
01:20:06.000And both Republicans have said, I could beat the Democrat.
01:20:11.000I think we saw some of the polls with Grimm ahead.
01:20:13.000I haven't been looking closely at those numbers, but that we see Donovan with 63% reporting holding such a strong lead there, I think shows that Republicans are a little bit have better judgment.
01:20:26.000Because Grimm had this Trumpian aspect he said he was the subject of a witch hunt and he was an outsider and this kind of stuff.
01:20:34.000He attacked the media more along those lines.
01:20:38.000And Donovan was more of the boring kind of candidate.
01:20:41.000You know, now we don't want people that are not crazy, but, you know, he wasn't throwing bombs all over the place.
01:20:47.000And so I think that voters were able to see, okay, you know, obviously this guy's got a better chance of winning and they're turning out for him.
01:21:01.000I just want to break in and say that the AP is reporting that Henry McMaster, who is Trump's endorsed candidate, has won in South Carolina against businessman John Warren.
01:21:33.000And this is a big one because, you know, I think it just goes to show that the Trump endorsement, you know, even if this wasn't like a massive thing in and of itself, this is a big win for Trump because this demonstrates that Trump's endorsement.
01:21:47.000I saw some polls with this race, and some of them had John Warren up a little bit.
01:21:51.000And so, once you consider that Trump came down there to Columbia the other day for a rally, he gave his very vocal support behind McMaster.
01:21:59.000Even if McMaster was going to win anyway, it gives it kind of this magical effect where it's like, well, you know, Trump gave this full throated endorsement.
01:22:06.000McMaster endorsed Trump early on, so he was eager to campaign for him.
01:22:11.000So, that means that Trump carries a lot of weight in 2018.
01:22:14.000And if Trump carries a lot of weight in 2018, his endorsement, his word, That's going to give him a lot of leverage and maybe some degree of control over the outcome of some of the legislative agenda and some of what goes on in the election.
01:22:26.000So I think this is something necessary because we saw that he came out for Rick Sacone, or no, I'm sorry, he came out for Alabama.
01:23:49.000I mean, the only person that has the luxury of not needing to do that is Mitt Romney, who lives in a state, who's running for Senate in a state where he is racially, ideologically, and religiously favored.
01:24:02.000And Mitt Romney could not win in any other state if not for those three things.
01:24:06.000But he can afford to be the cuck, the insurgent cuck in Utah.
01:24:30.000And on Mitt Romney, you know, this is another interesting race, which, I mean, we know Mitt Romney's going to win, but this stuff is just crazy to me how anybody could vote for this guy.
01:25:56.000And I don't think that Salt Lake City or anything like that is going to be changing demographically anytime soon, but he still wants to keep his job.
01:26:05.000When you see all these people start to bend the knee, again, not to be too terribly optimistic, the job matters to this guy more than governing in any particular way.
01:26:15.000But if he had a choice, hamburgers and hot dogs, but if he had a choice, the choice would be hot dogs.
01:26:22.000And he, I mean, how can you like a guy like that?
01:26:25.000And his whole position, Is to, he knows that he's going to be a senator for life.
01:26:31.000He knows that he's going to be able to do that.
01:26:33.000In terms of a compromise, I mean, nobody's compromising with Jeff Flake.
01:26:38.000Nobody's compromising with any of these guys.
01:26:39.000So he's going to, I think he's going to have to go along to get along.
01:26:42.000I think he will probably raise the red flag and virtue signal when Trump gets a little bit too close to subjects that he's not comfortable with and signal on the, you know, our values, et cetera.
01:26:57.000But I don't think, I mean, look at Lindsey Graham.
01:26:59.000Lindsey Graham has completely, now that John McCain is, his good friend John McCain is on his deathbed, Lindsey Graham has completely.
01:27:46.000Well, I mean, the trick with the Senate is that, depending on what the majority is going to look like after the midterms, he could wield a tremendous amount of leverage, you know, because you saw the same thing with the Obamacare vote, where John McCain sunk the whole thing with one vote.
01:28:02.000When you have such a slim majority, every vote counts.
01:28:05.000If it's directly down party lines and you have a 51 vote majority with a tiebreaker, that can be problematic.
01:28:11.000So that's what I'm really worried about is that John.
01:28:14.000Or rather, Mitt Romney gets in there and he basically acts as a Democrat.
01:28:17.000He acts to impede the Trump administration, Republican in name only.
01:28:22.000And look, maybe he gets elected, he serves one term.
01:28:27.000By the end of the term, if one guy and him in concert with the other establishment Republicans and the other forces against Trump can assist in impeding the Trump administration within six years, Trump is either finished with his second term or he never serves a second term.
01:28:44.000Either case, Mitt Romney has sold himself out for a seat at the table and whatever comes after Trump.
01:28:49.000So that's the prospect that really scares me is that, you know, Trump, I think, will absolutely bully the hell out of Mitt Romney.
01:28:57.000He'll bust his balls, you know, Mitt, drop to your knees, that kind of thing.
01:29:00.000I think there'll be a lot of leverage on the White House side, but if Mitt Romney's, like, biding his time, if he's waiting for 2024, that's something that should make us a little bit anxious.
01:29:12.000Unless we get rid of the nuclear rule or the.
01:29:15.000You know, we make it so that we could pass laws in the Senate with just 51, and maybe we get 52 or 53 after the midterms.
01:31:23.000You're just run into the ground by the time it's all over.
01:31:27.000And they're running for these positions.
01:31:29.000That they can never hope to win, and they're just wearing themselves out.
01:31:32.000And I mean, you know, Nick, I know you're talking about the Supreme Court decision and some of the other things going on today, but the shot in Freud on the internet today, my God, the tears, it's moved from tears to depression and despair.
01:31:51.000People are talking about leaving the country and quitting.
01:31:53.000I mean, I just am, oh man, there's all this salt, like I love it.
01:31:58.000And the fact that, you know, he, she, whatever, Tried to run for the seat and just got blown out at 4.8%.
01:33:05.000But we've got a, we've got a new, um, We've got a new victory here to announce.
01:33:11.000My studio mode isn't really working on OBS, but that's all right.
01:33:15.000We've got a decision called in the U.S. House District 11.
01:33:20.000Dan Donovan has secured the Republican nomination in New York's 11th district, 64.3% of the vote, 95% reporting, which is good because, you know, this is something we talked a lot about in the California primary.
01:33:34.000Me and Bryden, we were having a lot of audio issues on that show.
01:33:38.000We talked a lot about this how every race matters.
01:33:42.000You look at Any of the, whether it's Larry Sabato's crystal ball, whether it's 270 to win, whether it's real clear politics, Republicans have about 210 seats.
01:33:55.000And if there's going to be a big blue wave, if Democrats are leading by six points in the generic ballot, and we're not totally compensating for that with structural advantages like the gerrymandered districts from 2010, then it's very easy for them to snatch it up.
01:34:10.000What I mean by that is it's ultra competitive.
01:34:13.000So, you know, when you see these small races like this, you might not care normally what happens in New York's 11th district in Staten Island.
01:34:21.000But in this kind of case, it matters immensely that we have a slightly better candidate like Dan Donovan than Michael Grimm, who may have a fighting chance to beat Max Rose in 2018.
01:34:31.000Maybe that's one less seat we have to worry about.
01:34:47.000Yeah, we definitely shouldn't take anything for granted.
01:34:50.000What you were saying back to Mitt Romney a little bit is the Senate map is actually very, very optimistic about how the Senate is going to look.
01:35:00.000And I hope we don't end up in a situation where Mitt Romney ends up being the tie breaking vote.
01:35:05.000Maybe, you know, in a subsequent election, it'll change.
01:35:10.000But we stand to gain a significant number of Senate seats.
01:35:13.000Again, I don't want to be too overly optimistic about that.
01:35:16.000And every seat does count, especially in the House.
01:35:19.000But the Senate's going to be looking pretty good.
01:35:21.000And I mean, I'm already looking at guys like Bob Corker and Jeff Flake and John McCain.
01:35:27.000I mean, those are huge victories all in themselves because they didn't require a fight.
01:35:57.000And, you know, with the Senate map, I am overly optimistic, you know, because we really have to worry about the House, but the Senate, we might actually be able to pick up seats.
01:36:07.000And this is something I've been talking a lot about on my 2018 election podcast.
01:36:12.000All the Democrat states, or rather, what is it, like 24 out of 32 seats that are up for grabs are Democrats.
01:36:19.000And only two of the Republican incumbent seats are actually contested, which are, I think it's Nevada.
01:36:26.000And it's Nevada and I think Indiana, right?
01:36:32.000So there's only two that are contested for Republicans, but we could easily pick up North Dakota, where it's Heidi Heitkamp, who voted for Obamacare, who voted against the tax reform.
01:36:43.000Kevin Kramer's a pretty competent guy.
01:36:45.000I looked into that race a couple of weeks ago.
01:36:47.000Indiana, the polling is looking very good for Mike Braun.
01:36:50.000Joe Donnelly got in basically on like a fluke.
01:36:53.000Florida, the polling is great for Rick Scott.
01:36:56.000So even if, and also in Missouri, the polling trade for Josh Hawley, If you look at just those four races, which I just kind of filled in here aside from the others, we're up to 53 Senate seats.
01:37:07.000West Virginia, if Joe Manchin gets in, he said he might vote for Trump on some things.
01:37:11.000If the Republican gets in, he'll vote for Trump on things.
01:39:00.000But, you know, generally speaking, I don't think there's really too much to read into any of these.
01:39:05.000Well, another thing I wanted to say about the Senate when you're talking about the seats.
01:39:09.000You only need a simple majority to break filibuster.
01:39:14.000So they're going to, especially with what we hope will be a retirement from Kennedy, what we hope will be a retirement or just kicking the bucket of Ginsburg, you won't have, Trump will be able to get more of better Supreme Court nominees through the Senate without having to get something that's going to break a filibuster.
01:39:36.000You're going to have to peel people off.
01:39:37.000You'll be able to get somebody pretty good.
01:39:40.000I think when did they vote to change that?
01:40:04.000I mean, we really just have to protect one House.
01:40:07.000You know, I think if we lost one House, that would basically be catastrophic.
01:40:12.000But as long as we have one chamber, we're going to secure ourselves from.
01:40:16.000Any kind of impeachment attempt or any kind of issue about not being able to get a SCOTUS nominee through.
01:40:23.000So I think we're in a really strong position here.
01:40:25.000Really, what we have to worry about right now is the House.
01:40:29.000But actually, the numbers that I've seen on the House, I've seen a couple of different estimates.
01:40:33.000I've seen anywhere between 7% and 11%, they say is the minimum that Democrats need to be leading on the generic ballot for them to win a majority, which if you look at the generic ballot, they are barely scraping that.
01:40:47.000The average right now is they're up by six points in the generic ballot.
01:40:52.000Republicans have rebounded pretty significantly from where they were earlier in the week.
01:40:56.000And if the minimum they need is seven, and that's the most liberal estimate, or rather the most conservative estimate, liberally you could say they need 11 points.
01:41:06.000Sometimes they were at three or four points, and we still got a lot of great things on tap for Trump later on in the year.
01:41:13.000Democrats are really going to have a hard time here, I think, in these House races.
01:41:17.000I think they thought they were going to kind of waltz in.
01:41:19.000And they were going to blow everybody away.
01:41:21.000You know, they were talking about being competitive in Texas in the beginning of the year.
01:41:25.000Now it's looking like it's going to be ultra competitive right on through.
01:41:28.000And that alone, I think, is something to be optimistic about.
01:41:32.000Well, speaking of the blue wave, I think everybody remembers when old, oh, what's the raging Cajun got on TV and was like, oh, the Democrats are over.
01:41:57.000He's losing now to the establishment endorsed Jason Crow by quite a lot at 67 to 32, 70% reporting.
01:42:05.000So I don't think that the far left, the dingbat wing of the left, is going to be able to actually get their candidates out there.
01:42:14.000And hopefully that leads to a lot of these long haired stoners just not voting at all or writing in, you know, Bernie Sanders or Mickey Mouse.
01:43:24.000I want to plug in the Rasmussen polling number because I think we look at the average, and the average is kind of usually lower than what it actually is.
01:43:31.000I don't really trust the average from.
01:43:35.000The Rasmussen number from today is 46.
01:44:13.000Well, and we got to be careful, though, about being complacent.
01:44:16.000That's the thing that scares me the most at this point we want to maintain a healthy balance of insecurity, but also confidence, where people are not like so dismayed that they're, you know, it's like, who cares?
01:44:29.000It doesn't matter if I vote anyway, I'm going to go home.
01:44:31.000But also, it's not, we're doing so well that my vote doesn't matter, I'll stay home, which, you know, I think both of these things happen to the Democrats in some countries.
01:44:39.000Capacity in 2016, a little bit of a combination where at once they were led to believe that they were so far ahead.
01:44:47.000I don't think anybody believed that they weren't going to win, but you see these things happen on both sides.
01:44:52.000So I think we got to be careful to remember that every vote counts, but we've got a real shot here.
01:44:58.000And this is another reason why I think it would be wise if Paul Ryan and Mark Short and everybody else on Capitol Hill who's trying to push these amnesty bills through at this.
01:45:17.000Sure enough, the generic ballot poll dips by five points.
01:45:20.000It was trending in a very positive direction ever since January, really gaining on the Democrats.
01:45:26.000Remember how upside down it was in January, then February, then March.
01:45:30.000But then, you know, sure enough, they start talking about amnesty and it dips and now it's recovered because those bills are killed.
01:45:36.000And so they really, Paul Ryan, you know, I don't know that a Hotly contested speakers' race would be good at this very moment.
01:45:46.000But the fact that Paul Ryan's still there and still trying to eke out something, anything, so that he doesn't have to say that he sold his soul just for tax cuts.
01:45:56.000I mean, obviously, he's got his eyes set on a $4 million a year K Street job.
01:46:02.000But, you know, this is all part of this amnesty push.
01:46:05.000He says it's to thwart the discharge petition.
01:46:08.000But I have said that the discharge petition vote would actually be great because it would put all these, a lot of these Republicans on record as being pro amnesty and might have a shot at getting some of them out of there.
01:46:20.000But Paul Ryan wants to believe that he's thwarting this effort by putting his own version of amnesty, Chamber of Commerce laden.
01:46:30.000Bill out there only to fail, and you know that's not what people want.
01:46:35.000Now, that does mobilize them to make phone calls, and it did succeed in getting it shut down.
01:46:40.000But, but yeah, I wouldn't have wanted, um, and I don't think Trump has this in mind, but it would not have been advantageous for a bill to advance that was a clean DACA fix, not clean DACA fix, but a DACA fix with wall funding because then Trump would have said, Well, we got the wall, and then what do people have to be interested in, excited about?
01:47:01.000Um, you know, we want a complete Immigration reform package.
01:47:04.000I think that's what Trump wants as well.
01:47:07.000And the fact that you have to elect the right candidates to get there, it's a little bit of stick and carrot.
01:47:12.000But the truth is, Trump can't get these things with the current Congress.
01:47:37.000People feel like they're under attack.
01:47:39.000I'm not saying that it's good to let that continue unabated, but that is certainly some voters may feel like if there's nothing to worry about, they're comfortable, they're not going to show up to vote.
01:47:53.000And I think people need to be driven to the polls.
01:47:55.000Every election counts, every vote counts.
01:47:58.000Yeah, that's a good point about creating some kind of anxiety.
01:48:03.000I hesitate to say create anxiety among the voter base, but he has been walking this very careful balance of, and I've been to a couple of the rallies at this point.
01:48:12.000And once the talking point is, I've done more in my 500 days than any other president in history.
01:48:17.000I've done more than I promised, blah, blah.
01:48:19.000But at the same time, it's if you want it to stay like this, if you want immigration, if you want this and that, you've got to vote for the right people.
01:48:26.000And I think he's walking that line pretty expertly, where because to go too hard in any direction creates problems.
01:48:33.000If you say, well, you got to elect the right people or else I can't work, well, people say, well, why did we elect you in the first place if you couldn't get anything done?
01:48:40.000But if you say, well, I got everything done, And there's nothing to worry about, well, then people get complacent.
01:48:45.000So I think Trump is doing a very good job of at once demonstrating to people that he is competent, that you get what you pay for, basically.
01:48:53.000You're going to get the goods that you were promised, but at the same time saying, you know, we have a long way to go here still.
01:49:01.000Like you say, we don't have the right people in the Congress to get the immigration package we need, to get other things that we need.
01:49:08.000And so I think that's been very effective.
01:49:10.000If you've been to any of the rallies, especially in these swing states, The messaging has been extremely on point.
01:49:14.000And on immigration, he's gotten stronger.
01:49:17.000You know, I thought the amnesty thing, or rather the children at the border thing, was a little bit confused at first.
01:49:24.000But since the executive order he signed, it's been so good on immigration in terms of the rhetoric, talking about Europe, talking about being tough and separating children and all the rest.
01:49:34.000I mean, it's been everything that we heard, I think, in the primary, in the 2015, 2016 primaries.
01:49:40.000So I think we're moving in with a pretty strong hand.
01:49:47.000I don't want to get too upset over it, but one thing that I have been seeing in the media after the whole kids thing and all of that was Trump bows to pressure, Trump bows to pressure.
01:49:58.000And we can't get all caught up in what the media says because the guy could do anything and it could cure three forms of cancer and they're going to say he didn't cure all the cancer.
01:50:07.000But I think it is important to note what the media is doing.
01:50:10.000And if there's one good thing that if Donald Trump never did anything else, he never got the wall built, he never did anything, at least he got so much distrust.
01:50:18.000In the actual opponents of anything good in the world, and that's the media.
01:50:25.000So, I mean, you saw that grandma at this last rally just yelling at Jim Acosta, and I think he's going to ruin her life.
01:50:33.000But I agree completely about the rhetoric.
01:51:04.000I mean, he went really hard against Bright on Twitter, and Martha Roby was like, I would never like this guy and what have you about a year before.
01:51:13.000So his rhetoric can be a little bit, and I'm going to sound bad here, a little dangerous to some of our guys if he's got the wrong people in his ear.
01:51:21.000Yeah, I think that's definitely a valid point.
01:51:24.000I think it's just a lot about the balance because, you know, what's tough about these elections is the way they've been nationalized.
01:51:33.000And so the trick is that what Trump may say about an issue in one state might be a winner, and then in another state might not be such a winner.
01:51:41.000You know, like when we talked about the California primaries, the kinds of things that Trump might say to get people fired up in South Carolina or in Pennsylvania, it's not the same kind of things they're going to be able to fly in certain districts in California, in New York.
01:51:57.000And so when you look at cobbling together some kind of a pathway to 218 votes, 218 seats, we have to be mindful that it's spread out all over the country, these swing races.
01:52:09.000And so I definitely agree there's a balance that has to be struck.
01:52:12.000We have to be really careful about the rhetoric because it's not going to be the same as 2016.
01:52:19.000You know, the Democrats are focused, they are there, they're energized.
01:52:23.000And to match that, we're going to need to basically not make mistakes like we did in some of the races you mentioned before.
01:52:56.000But yeah, Timmons and Bright were watching in South Carolina 54 to 45, only 76% reporting.
01:53:03.000And then we're also still waiting on Maryland gubernatorial primary for the Democrats, where they've got, let me take a look, 32% reporting.
01:53:15.000But I think the important ones have been, you know, we're watching the key races, but the important key races have basically been determined and with pretty good results, you know.
01:53:25.000I'm pretty satisfied with the night so far.
01:53:56.000The best part about that race, though, was that he had to run a primary at all because he failed to get 50% at the convention against Kennedy.
01:54:05.000And I was actually kind of hoping that Kennedy would beat him.
01:54:52.000Well, speaking of rhetoric, I saw in the New Republic just not too long ago the headline By Not Calling for the Abolition of ICE, Bernie Sanders is Undermining His Position as the Nation's Most Prominent Left Wing Politician.
01:55:07.000So they're really running with this narrative of abolishing ICE.
01:55:54.000You have people like Bernie Sanders, who was supposed to be their most progressive candidate, uh, that could get on a ballot anyway.
01:56:00.000Um, and now you know, you have they're trying, they they tested them on guns on the gun ban, and that became a big thing until it wasn't until they realized how damaging it was to run around and ask people on record, on camera, are you in favor of an assault weapons ban?
01:56:16.000And Heidi Heitkamp are like running for the hills when they see someone coming with a microphone to ask that question.
01:56:22.000But now they're doing it on abolition of ICE.
01:56:25.000And if they start doing that to candidates in states where there is a huge problem with MS-13 violence and all kinds of stuff, which is a lot of places, this isn't good.
01:57:10.000So they're either going to have to go for it, the whole full blast abolish ice, or, you know, a sensible conservative fella.
01:57:21.000Yeah, let me pull up her website real quick and see what's going on there because this is a big problem for the Democrats.
01:57:27.000And this is maybe the problem with all that blue wave type talk because the kinds of people that got really fired up and jazzed up to go and vote in the primaries and participate in the process, it's the nut bars.
01:57:42.000The party has been driven so far to the left, and in large measure, I think Trump has forced them that, like you said, Jazz, with the left, the centrist position for them is abolishing ICE, the left position is prosecuting them in this kind of French Revolution style directory.
01:58:02.000And so I think you're seeing with the gun issue, the crime issue, a lot of these issues where you have like white people voting, it's going to be a big problem for Democrats because these are not satisfactory policies for most people.
02:00:48.000You know, I don't know what the skew is for parties in this district, but, you know, I think one of the biggest misconceptions that the Democrats and even our side has had is that, like, changing demographics will inevitably have Democrat winners.
02:01:02.000It gives them, like, a massive advantage.
02:01:04.000It's hard to screw it up, but it's by no means impossible to screw it up.
02:01:09.000And I think we saw that with Hillary Clinton.
02:01:11.000I mean, she was a good example of somebody who all the numbers were on her side.
02:01:15.000I mean, she had every institutional advantage, but she blew it because she was a bad candidate.
02:01:19.000And so the progressives here, if they're going to look like Alexandria Ocasio Cortez going down the line, they're not going to bode too well.
02:01:28.000Maybe she won't get eviscerated in New York District 14, but, you know, these are not Connor Lambs that they're running in Pennsylvania or in Indiana or in Colorado or states where it's really competitive.
02:01:40.000So, no, they just took their Connor Lam at the national level, a guy who you could compare to Connor Lam.
02:01:47.000Joe Biden said he's not running for president today.
02:01:50.000So, There goes the most viable candidate they had.
02:01:54.000If they were ever going to pursue a strategy of trying to take back white working class voters, that was it.
02:02:01.000I mean, he was going to be pretty old anyway.
02:02:04.000But now, and I was going to say this before when you have all these outsider candidates, they saw what Trump did and they kind of ignore all the fundamental elements that allowed Trump to do what he did the name ID, the money, the attitude, the willingness to fight.
02:02:20.000And they think, oh, well, I'm an outsider.
02:02:22.000And they overlook all the other qualifications that made Trump happen.
02:02:26.000And so now you have Schultz, you have Zuckerberg, you have Mark Cuban, you have all these guys that want to like run for office.
02:02:33.000And Biden, by taking his name out of the ring, that means that is Hillary going to run again?
02:03:23.000I mean, and this is a question that was asked on my show.
02:03:26.000Pretty recently, they said, you know, who do you think is going to run in 2020?
02:03:30.000And the exact answer I gave was Joe Biden's the only one who could be competitive.
02:03:34.000He's the only one who could compete with Trump.
02:03:38.000You know, of course, I think he'd have a strong shot at winning Pennsylvania.
02:03:42.000You know, he would have a strong shot at winning all the other Rust Belt Midwest states.
02:03:45.000He'd have a strong shot at resting Michigan and Wisconsin back.
02:03:49.000He's got that same kind of like, in a very weird way, as a liberal, he's got the same kind of like folksy, Like grassroots, down to earth kind of a feel.
02:04:00.000It's like in a very similar way to Trump.
02:04:03.000You know, obviously they're not from the same backgrounds or anything.
02:04:06.000He's kind of like the Democratic spawn.
02:04:08.000But in a big way, I think Joe Biden could have really targeted Trump's base in a way that a Kamala Harris couldn't have, in a way that a Cory Booker couldn't have.
02:04:16.000He could have really challenged him in Iowa, North Carolina, you know, these kinds of places.
02:04:20.000And so that he's stepping down just kind of shows that the Democratic Party is doubled down on this strategy, which is.
02:04:29.000Like, F white people, screw white people.
02:04:31.000We don't care about the white working class.
02:04:33.000We're not going to try and win them back.
02:04:41.000You know, maybe in 15 or 20 years when Texas goes blue and Arizona goes blue and all the rest, but there's a lot of game between now and then.
02:04:50.000And in the meantime, they're going to need the white working class.
02:04:52.000So, this constant, and they're not helping their case either by having these wacky politicians, wacky media figures just piling it on.
02:05:01.000You know, Netflix specials and other things.
02:05:03.000So that Joe Biden's out of the race, I think, says everything you need to know.
02:05:06.000There's nobody else who's like a national figure, who's got the name recognition, who's even being floated right now.
02:05:12.000I mean, the only people, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kamala Harris, I mean, these people don't have what it takes to win.
02:05:19.000They stand no chance in the heartland.
02:05:22.000So I don't know, Bloomberg maybe, but no, I think we're this, it's a lot of good stuff right now.
02:05:27.000We're, I think we've laid the foundation for a pretty solid political movement to sustain itself from here on out.
02:05:35.000Well, not to beat the Joe Biden thing completely to death.
02:05:37.000I just don't think we got all the meat off the bone exactly yet.
02:05:41.000I, for one, really wanted him to run because I wanted to watch two like inadvertently racist grandpas like gaff all over the place on the campaign trail.
02:05:52.000Like when you look at Joe Biden, I mean, one of the funny things he said recently was, like, we can teach anybody to code.
02:05:59.000We even had kids from the hood coding, you know, and the rabid leftist base would go nuts over that, but they'd have to defend that.
02:06:08.000Like, no, no, no, no, that's not what he meant.
02:06:10.000I would have loved to have seen these guys just try to alpha each other, these two old men on a debate stage, but sadly, it's just not going to happen.
02:06:20.000Well, speaking of totally not racist old men, Mitt Romney is the winner.
02:06:56.000To me, that's like a crime that he's able to waltz into Utah from the East Coast where he's made his fortune and he's, you know, got all the rest.
02:07:08.000Made his fortune from running methadone clinics, no less.
02:07:13.000But, yeah, Mitt Romney, you know, it's like you're trying to escape someone and you run into your house and you run into your house and you forget to lock the door.
02:07:21.000Mitt Romney's like snuck in the back door with Utah.
02:07:24.000I mean, everybody else got locked outside, but no, Mitt's back in.
02:07:31.000And I think the media, because the voting, the electorate has gotten low info enough where they'll try to sell this as a resurgence of never Trump and look, Trump opponents are surging in the primary.
02:07:45.000I mean, you know, most people are going to realize what's up there.
02:07:48.000But yeah, I think because there is so little for the left to pull out of this tonight, it'll be about Mitt Romney, just my thought, maybe.
02:07:57.000Yeah, that's a good point because you're right.
02:08:00.000I mean, all the never Trumpers are on the run.
02:08:06.000So, of course, we're going to try and play it up as, you know, Mitt Romney, the vanguard of real Bill Crystal conservatism.
02:08:13.000You know, he's going to save us from an authentic nationalism, national sovereignty, and, you know, make us just a slightly less posed up multiracial hellhole.
02:09:22.000But, yeah, Maryland, it's a shame because, you know, I imagine that in the coming years, maybe not Maryland, but states like New Hampshire, maybe even Maine, I think they would come into play.
02:09:34.000You know, if we keep going along this trajectory and we could beat back the media decisively and we could really win some of these crucial foundational battles right now, I think we could buy ourselves a lot of time if the Republican Party were to solidify this.
02:09:49.000Public, this like Trumpian character on trade, on foreign policy, and really sell it in the next iteration of it.
02:09:57.000I think we have a real shot at reconstituting whatever we lose in the Southwest, in the Midwest, in the Northeast.
02:10:04.000I think if there's, it would be a really difficult thing, but I definitely think it's doable because you saw the margins in Minnesota.
02:10:10.000You saw the margins in Wisconsin and Michigan, New Hampshire.
02:10:17.000So I think just as easily as we won Michigan and Wisconsin, I think we could pull some of these others if we really solidified our gains here, if we really.
02:10:24.000And maybe you subtract this Trumpian character, which might have put some people off.
02:11:19.000But we're headed in the right direction.
02:11:23.000Again, I hate red wave, but as long as people stay motivated and are making the phone calls, are donating their time, and if you have it, the money, To guys in your district or your state.
02:11:37.000I don't see how poorly we could do it.
02:12:11.000I see the trash you shove in your body every day with the pizza and the ice cream, and I'm like, okay, it doesn't look bad at all if you look at the slop feed on Twitter.com.
02:12:40.000We got another one from Philip Fry who says, I missed it a few weeks ago, but how do you boys feel about Corey Stewart versus Creepy Kane on Virginia?
02:12:58.000I think Corey Stewart's got a good shot, especially with the president's support and backing.
02:13:03.000Because of the close geographic proximity, that means that Trump can go have rallies there fairly often, fairly easily, without a lot of troubles with logistics of getting his advance team and Secret Service and everything over there.
02:13:37.000Common knowledge that's been pushed around, and in Corey, uh, Corey's a great candidate, he's a real solid candidate, and I think he'll do really well.
02:13:44.000The question is, Virginia, uh, the question is, what are they willing to do?
02:13:49.000We saw what they were willing to do to Ed Gillespie in terms of the campaign ads that are going to be put out there, uh, and they're going to do that again.
02:13:57.000The question is, can they turn those people out, um, in the midterms?
02:15:20.000I told Beardson when Beardson released Back to the Forums, when he burst onto the scene with that EP, Back to the Forums as Mr. Genocide, I DM'd him.
02:16:51.000Haven't heard of him, but I'll check it out.
02:16:53.000And we got one more from Joe, and then we'll get back to the coverage.
02:16:55.000She says, Nick, your Civ game being ruined last night is God's justice wrought down upon you for leaving your Catholic homies high and dry.
02:17:04.000Also, watching the show eating tacos, Nick, and tacos go well together.
02:19:19.000But yeah, I guess the big takeaway that I would see is that, again, we're seeing there is no blue wave, and there's a lot of division within the left, which is great.
02:19:29.000I cannot wait to see them be forced to rally behind what's her face?
02:19:40.000You've got also the DCCC endorsed some other fella over in New York, but the progressives still liked him.
02:19:50.000Dana Balter, who was going, we didn't talk about the 24th district at all.
02:19:54.000So you're seeing a lot of just cognitive dissonance among the left.
02:19:59.000I mean, more so than usual about like, okay, I like this, but I don't like this.
02:20:03.000And as long as they're torn apart, that's great because we're actually united on immigration, the wall.
02:20:10.000Tax cuts are nice, but trade, all of this stuff is great.
02:20:13.000And the more that the president campaigns for people, he does kind of have that touch.
02:20:18.000So, as long as he's endorsing the right people, and even if he doesn't, I'm pretty sure that the voters, especially in the South, know the difference between a Trumpian candidate and a Trump endorsed candidate.
02:20:39.000So, this is nothing but more bad news for the Democrats.
02:20:42.000Like I said, they're not going to be able to pull much out of this that they can carry around as a victory in a string of days, actually, probably weeks of misery and despair, especially with everything that's been going on.
02:20:58.000The closest they were able to come to any sort of a victory was last week.
02:21:04.000And it was totally fraudulent and fake when they thought they were getting a victory with the EO.
02:21:09.000And then that turned out to be nothing but bad news for them as well.
02:21:13.000So I think that they're going to try to.
02:21:17.000Say that the never true, never Trump movement is not dead because of Mitt Romney, and then quickly pivot back to kids at the border or maybe even Bob Mueller.
02:21:26.000But the problem with pivoting back to Bob Mueller is that invites discussions about the IG report.
02:21:31.000So I don't know what they're going to do.
02:21:32.000They're going to have to probably invent a new scandal.
02:21:34.000What's Stormy Daniels up to these days?
02:21:52.000And both factions don't know how to win America.
02:21:55.000The establishment is failing, floundering.
02:21:57.000The progressives are not going to provide a platform that the American people want.
02:22:02.000And on the Republican side, I think we've seen affirmed pragmatism and support for Donald Trump.
02:22:07.000Donald Trump's endorsement has carried a lot of weight.
02:22:10.000We picked good people if you look at the different primaries.
02:22:14.000And so I think we're basically in the best position that we could be if you look at the 12th District of New York, if you look at how the gubernatorial, or I'm sorry, not the.