Today is Super Tuesday, the biggest day in the Democratic Primary season, and we're here to break it all down! Bernie Sanders defeats Hillary Clinton in the first primary debate, and now it's time to turn our attention to Super Tuesday's results. We'll be streaming live from California, Texas, Utah, Colorado, Arkansas, North Carolina, Virginia, North Dakota, and Maine as results come in throughout the day, and then we'll have a special live stream from inside the New York Times studio where we'll be covering all of the results from tonight's Democratic primary contests. Stay tuned to America First with Nicholas J. Fuentes and the rest of the America First crew to keep you up to date on all things going on in the 2020 Democratic primary race! And stay tuned to the end of the show for a special bonus post-election edition of America First, featuring a live stream hosted by America First's Nick Fennessey and the crew from America First. . America First is a show where we're breaking down the results of the Democratic primary and previewing what's to come in Super Tuesday. We're coming at you tonight with live streaming coverage from all 14 states and counting! You won't want to miss it! Stay tuned for a full stream of all things Super Tuesday! and stay tuned for our live stream streaming from the NY Times studio, starting at 10:00pm central time! Thanks for checking us out! - Nick and the team at America First! See you all on America First and much more! -- Your continued support us on social media! Tweet us Timestamps: and we'll see you in the next episode of the morning show! . . . and keep us on Insta: , , and Thank you for all your support is much appreciated! Love you, Nick, Nicky, Tweet Me! , Thank you, bye! <3 - & Good Luck, Nick - Yours Truly, Cheers, Kristian, Tim, Cheers! & Cheers -- - Evan, - Kristian & Blake, Sarah, -- Molly, Kristian Sarah Love, J. - - Jack, Jody, Ben, Amy, Blake, & Blake - Jake, Rachel, &
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00:00:00.000But as soon as people start playing games, I stop.
00:24:34.000Tonight we are going to watch and wait for results from California, Utah, Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma, Minnesota, Arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee, North Carolina, Virginia, Vermont, and Maine.
00:24:50.000And as you can see we already have some results that are in.
00:24:53.000We've got Alabama, North Carolina, Virginia, and Vermont which have already been decided.
00:26:08.000But tonight we're gonna have a little bit of a panel discussion, and I think that'll be helpful to get some other perspectives and break it up some.
00:26:15.000And also, I'm not using the microphone for my headset.
00:26:19.000Last time, during the last debate, everyone was complaining about the microphone on my headset.
00:26:23.000So I'm just gonna use the normal microphone, but obviously I'll be using the headset so that I can hear my friends talking.
00:26:39.000You know, normally it's like the show's the same and I do the monologue and so on, but tonight is more like the format of how the debates are.
00:26:48.000You know, we're watching, we're commentating and all that.
00:26:59.000But before we dive right into the results and before I bring on Patrick Casey and Vince James, let me just check and make sure... Okay, so it doesn't look like they're even...
00:27:10.000Okay, doesn't look like they're even in the channel.
00:27:12.000So let me let me tag them just so they're ready to go when duty calls here.
00:27:18.000But in any case, before we jump in, I want to just go over briefly some of the things we went over yesterday.
00:27:29.000So I covered some of the primary news last night during the show.
00:27:33.000You might remember yesterday the bulk of the show was about AFPAC and we talked a little bit about coronavirus, but towards the end I talked about some developments in the primary.
00:27:43.000We had the South Carolina primary on Saturday.
00:27:48.000Each contest has been a game-changer in its own way so far.
00:27:53.000In Iowa, we had the disastrous rollout of the caucus results, and it was an upset victory for Pete Buttigieg, a technical victory for Buttigieg and state delegate equivalents.
00:28:05.000Bernie Sanders winning the popular votes.
00:28:32.000Got 50% big victory big margin and also one with Hispanics and a huge margin with Hispanics and close on the heels of Biden with blacks.
00:28:43.000Now this weekend with South Carolina, this is maybe the biggest upset to date.
00:28:47.000Joe Biden is now back in the race essentially and not only is he back in the race with a first place finish in South Carolina by a margin of 150,000 votes and 30 percent but he's now second place in delegates and since Saturday you've had Tom Steyer, Pete Buttigieg, and Amy Klobuchar drop out respectively over the course of Saturday, Sunday, and then Monday with Buttigieg and Klobuchar dropping out to endorse Biden.
00:29:15.000Rumors that Beto O'Rourke will endorse Biden.
00:29:19.000And so you had a big upset on Saturday that Joe Biden has come back in the race, but because of the dropouts and endorsements, this is obviously what we're seeing.
00:29:29.000It's the consolidation of the field behind Joe Biden.
00:29:33.000And this is, I'm sure, at the behest of the Democratic Party.
00:29:37.000I'm sure the decision was made from the Democratic higher-ups and with superdelegates and a contested convention in mind that whoever was going to win South Carolina, whoever was poised to be able to go the distance and challenge him in delegate count or take delegates away from him over the course of the race, that person would be the moderate in the lane
00:29:59.000Who would inherit support from the other candidates?
00:30:21.000He is involved, but I don't think he's as much a part of the apparatus, obviously, as Klobuchar and Buttigieg.
00:30:27.000So in any case, I think Tom Steyer wasn't so much a part of that, but you can see that now two lanes are being created, and this is something which we did not talk about yesterday, but it is clear that with Klobuchar and Buttigieg out of the race, the moderate, the so-called pragmatic vote, which means to say the people that want to see somebody become the nominee who can beat Donald Trump rather than somebody who reflects their views,
00:30:52.000That field, that lane, is consolidating around Joe Biden.
00:30:57.000And with the progressive lane, this is something interesting.
00:31:00.000You've got Bernie Sanders, who is actually left-wing, and is a socialist, and wants Medicare for all, and so on.
00:31:07.000And consolidation is not happening with that lane.
00:31:10.000Elizabeth Warren, notably, I would say is, at least in terms of her platform and the issues, in the progressive lane.
00:31:17.000She is in favor of Medicare for All, she's in favor of a wealth tax, and so on.
00:31:22.000And so that she has not dropped out of the race to endorse Bernie Sanders shows that she is actually, in a way,
00:31:28.000Despite being in the progressive lane, she is a part of the establishment.
00:31:32.000She's doing the bidding of the Democratic Party.
00:31:34.000By staying in the race, she acts effectively as a spoiler candidate.
00:31:40.000And even if she drops out tonight, which is possible, if she loses in Massachusetts,
00:31:45.000I think it's definitely possible she drops out tonight or tomorrow.
00:31:49.000But even if she drops out tonight, she'll have acted as a spoiler on Super Tuesday.
00:31:57.000A third of the delegates are apportioned today.
00:32:00.000So if she stays in the race today, and she is, she's going to siphon off votes from Bernie Sanders.
00:32:07.000And so progressives are split between Sanders and Warren and maybe it's 50-50 maybe it's 60-40 or 70-30 but he's not winning all the progressives or the people that might have voted for him in the Warren camp and meanwhile all the moderates just have Biden and Bloomberg to an extent but we'll see how he does he's this is the first time he's on the ballot and it looks like he's not doing so hot so far but that is the other dynamic in the moderate lane the so-called pragmatic beat Trump lane
00:32:34.000You've got consolidation behind Biden and yet in the progressive lane you still have two major candidates.
00:32:40.000Bernie is a front-runner and Elizabeth Warren is not.
00:32:44.000She's a secondary or tertiary candidate but by staying in the race she's acting as a spoiler and she's peeling off
00:32:51.000Very, very crucial support on a day like today.
00:32:55.000But with all of that in mind, that is the latest.
00:32:57.000We are watching the states tonight and this will change the shape of the race now and give us a good idea of who's going to win ultimately.
00:33:05.000And so far it looks like a good night for Biden.
00:33:07.000You know, I'll say a lot of people counted Biden out of the race and Biden stuck through a fourth place finish in Iowa, a fifth place finish in New Hampshire.
00:33:17.000A distant second place finish in Nevada but winning in South Carolina shows you what the rest of the country looks like.
00:33:24.000You know a lot of people got some ideas right in the beginning of the season right with the Iowa caucus in the beginning of February that the race might be something like Buttigieg versus Bernie.
00:33:35.000Obviously not the case because if you look at in a comprehensive and thorough way the different campaigns Joe Biden is the only candidate besides Bernie Sanders and arguably Bloomberg
00:33:47.000That has strong polling across the country, who has funds and a national infrastructure to last him through all 50 states and throughout the entire season, and all kinds of other factors that you're going to need to run a truly national campaign and make it to the convention.
00:34:21.000But even the polling was terrible for him for every single one of these states.
00:34:25.000And it was terrible for him next week.
00:34:27.000There's another Super Tuesday next week.
00:34:29.000It's smaller, but he's still got a lot of states next week.
00:34:32.000And he didn't have a national infrastructure.
00:34:34.000And he didn't have the funds to go the distance.
00:34:37.000So a lot of people counted Biden out right away and I said if Biden failed in South Carolina that would show that surprisingly there was no support ever.
00:36:46.000All Biden has to do is accumulate enough delegates, maybe to get a plurality, but he doesn't even have to do that.
00:36:53.000In other words, get more delegates than anybody else.
00:36:56.000All he has to do is get enough that he denies Bernie Sanders a majority of the delegates outright, and get enough that when the 750... I think it's 770 superdelegates come into play during the second ballot at the convention,
00:37:12.000That that will be enough to secure him the nomination.
00:37:15.000That will secure the majority of all delegates, pledged and superdelegates.
00:37:57.000And this is the most likely outcome, that when we get to the Democratic National Convention over the summer, and all the delegates from all the different states show up, that Bernie Sanders and no other candidate wins a majority of them outright.
00:38:14.000And all the delegates will vote based on the results of these state contests.
00:38:18.000And if Bernie Sanders doesn't clinch 1,991 of those pledged delegates and they vote in the first ballot and they don't get there, the second ballot is held, some of the delegates are unbound based on who won their state, and then again the 770 superdelegates come into play.
00:38:35.000770 superdelegates who are party officials, elected officials, they're handpicked by the DNC and they will go one way and they will put their finger on the scale and the party is not going to pick Bernie.
00:38:59.000But that seems to me to be the outcome right now, is that Biden just has to win enough to deny Bernie winning the ballot outright on the first go-around.
00:39:09.000And if he makes it all the way to the convention, then he will win basically by theft.
00:39:14.000And that's going to create a big problem for the Democrats because of course it is a question mark.
00:39:19.000It is dubious as to whether the Bernie Sanders supporters will fall in line behind Biden.
00:39:25.000As they fell behind Clinton, more or less, in 2016.
00:39:29.000That was the big problem that they had in 2016.
00:39:32.000Which is to say that, you remember, all the Bernie bros were very upset that Bernie got screwed out of the nomination, and it was a little different back then.
00:39:41.000I think Hillary Clinton did basically win it fair and square, but they crushed Bernie.
00:39:46.000I mean, they cheated him in all the different state contests, and they cheated him with the superdelegates.
00:39:51.000Now, I don't think Bernie could have won it in 2016, but
00:39:55.000That doesn't mean that Clinton didn't cheat.
00:39:57.000Even if she was going to win anyway, it doesn't mean she didn't cheat.
00:40:00.000But, in 2016, what was the rallying cry?
00:40:03.000It was, Clinton is winnable, Clinton will beat Trump, she's the nominee, so every leftist has to go out and vote for her.
00:40:13.000Some of them went off and voted Jill Stein, some of them went off and voted for somebody else, or they didn't vote at all, they stayed home.
00:40:19.000But generally speaking, the Sanders people
00:40:23.000They said, okay, we will swallow our pride, we'll vote for Clinton, anything to beat Trump.
00:40:31.000After Bernie Sanders, rightfully, rightfully, perhaps, will deserve the nomination, having a plurality, and who knows, it possibly gets a majority, but let's say it gets a plurality of the votes.
00:40:43.000He should be the rightful winner having the most votes and the most delegates and they deny him the nomination?
00:40:49.000That is a scenario which could which is going to pose a lot of problems for Biden and for the Democrats as to whether or not the Bernie Sanders people fall in line and they'll go behind Biden.
00:40:59.000I don't know if that's guaranteed but as we watch our results come in it is now 7 30 and we now have results from Texas and Arkansas which are coming in right now
00:41:10.000We are still waiting for polls to close in Colorado and Minnesota.
00:42:56.000I don't know if it's big surprises You know Bernie Sanders winning Vermont like hello of course and Biden winning some of the southern states.
00:43:05.000I don't think that's a big surprise and
00:43:07.000I didn't think I honestly did not think I have to admit I do not think Biden I did I mean like you said we had to see what would happen in the
00:43:26.000In South Carolina, but I did not think Biden was going to pull back in like this, this strong.
00:43:33.000Honestly, if we look at California and Texas with those high delegate counts, though, a lot of Hispanics in those states, it looks like Bernie might pull them out.
00:43:41.000I think that he's ahead in the polling for both of those states, honestly.
00:43:46.000And those are the highest delegate count states.
00:43:48.000So we're going to have to see what happens.
00:45:13.000Bernie Sanders' beat over Biden were people ages 17 to 29, so he's got the Zoomers and the Millennials, and people who never attend religious services, so he has the Reddit demographic down pretty well.
00:45:24.000But yeah, we're seeing that Biden's far more competitive than we initially thought, so this primary race has been full of surprises, and I don't think we're done with them yet.
00:45:34.000Yeah, well it's interesting to talk about some of the demographics because that was really always the biggest question with Bernie Sanders.
00:45:42.000We know the demographic that he does have, which is the very far left and young people.
00:45:47.000But when you look at the other demographics, for a long time minorities but also particularly over 65 and middle-aged people and
00:45:55.000The rest of the Democrats, ideologically, wasn't always there.
00:45:58.000And Nevada, I think, changed a lot of people's perception of the race, because in Nevada, he really did put together a coalition there.
00:46:06.000If you looked at the age demographics, he won with young people, but he also won with middle-aged people, he won big with Hispanics, he won with his traditional demographic of the young and the very far left, and he did a pretty good job with blacks.
00:46:19.000The only thing is, blacks in Nevada are something like 10% of the population.
00:46:23.000So I think in Nevada a lot of people's perception changed because they said here he really did put together a broad coalition.
00:46:29.000There really was support across several different demographics, but I think that's starting to fall apart.
00:46:34.000I think you can start to see that in a lot of these states which are a little bit more traditional or a little bit more normative, it really is, as you said, a very narrow coalition that Bernie has cobbled together.
00:46:46.000Vince, what do you have to say about the demographics of the different candidates?
00:46:50.000Yeah, it seems like Bernie Sanders has a pretty big support, I would say, amongst Hispanics.
00:46:58.000I'm just looking at Texas because it seems like last time around Bernie Sanders actually lost Texas to Hillary Clinton.
00:47:05.000So if Biden can pull off Texas somehow, even though the polling's showing it looks like
00:47:15.000Yeah, I mean, there could be a pretty big chance that he can pull this one off.
00:47:20.000Honestly, I just I'm very I'm shocked that Biden with him going around smelling children's hair, you know, not knowing which state that he's in all of the gaffes.
00:47:30.000I'm honestly shocked that this is happening right now.
00:47:34.000Yeah, I think the funny thing is how little that actually matters to the average voter.
00:47:43.000Yeah, and like everything else just doesn't matter.
00:47:45.000Now, obviously, some people are voting for policies and some people are bothered by, you know, the fact that this guy's clearly, you know, some kind of predator.
00:47:53.000But it's, yeah, oftentimes the motivations of voters are a little more simplistic, shall we say.
00:48:01.000It's funny, as we've been watching this primary and we watched the election in 2016, it's really kind of shattered my faith in the idea of that voters actually exist and are like thinking people.
00:48:15.000Because you watch Joe Biden, by all accounts he should be disqualified at this point from, as you said, the gaffes, the dementia which is on set, these just abysmal debate performances.
00:48:27.000By all accounts, I would think that any normal person would be able to say, this man is not fit to be president.
00:48:33.000I mean, and people said that about Donald Trump, but with Donald Trump it was very different.
00:48:38.000You know, in some ways it was similar, but in the important ways it was very different.
00:48:42.000Joe Biden, it just seems like he's not even a competent individual.
00:48:46.000And yet, you know, a lot of the support is from blacks, mind you.
00:48:49.000A lot of it, you know, if you look in South Carolina and other states, a lot of it is from blacks.
00:48:53.000And they are traditionally a sort of irrational voting bloc, shall we say.
00:48:58.000But across the board, and I mean that based on the statistics, I mean, they just don't vote based on even what they believe often.
00:49:36.000Hey, they're saying that we're both too loud in the chat.
00:49:40.000Yeah, I'm reading the chat, and some people are saying, it's too loud, it's too loud, and then some people are saying, it's too quiet, it's too quiet, so... Yeah, I know, you can never get a straight answer out of these people.
00:49:51.000I'm trying to adjust it based on what I'm looking at in Streamlabs, but... Let's see, maybe I'll turn you guys down a little bit collectively.
00:50:01.000Can I get a test from Patrick and Vince real quick?
00:51:10.000I think someone will get a plurality, sure.
00:51:12.000I don't know if anyone's going to get a majority.
00:51:17.000I mean, I guess it kind of looked like Bernie Sanders might have been able to get a majority, but you know, some of the bigger states, I think Texas and California are not winner-take-all.
00:51:29.000So even if Bernie wins California, I'm pretty sure he's not going to be able to claim all of the delegates.
00:51:36.000So I think there's going to be a contested convention.
00:51:39.000They're probably going to give it to Biden.
00:51:41.000I mean, have we, Nick, have you talked about Bloomberg?
00:51:43.000That seems to be a pretty interesting, uh, you know, I'm looking at him.
00:51:46.000He's got four delegates at this point.
00:52:08.000You know, I didn't really factor him into a lot of my analysis because it is really the first time, well it is, it is the first time that he's even on the ballot.
00:52:17.000You know, so a lot of people have been talking about the impact of Bloomberg and he's been in the past two debates, but this is the first time that we're actually going to see what the voters think of him.
00:52:26.000And in some states he was polling well.
00:52:27.000For example, in Arkansas there was a poll that came out, a pretty shocking poll that came out a couple of weeks ago.
00:52:59.000All the commercials are going to propel him into a pretty solid standing in some of these state races.
00:53:04.000You know, what people don't realize is that even though he hasn't been as visible as some of the other candidates, he has been bludgeoning voters in Super Tuesday states with commercials for months now.
00:53:15.000You know, as Vince said, $400 million on commercials, $150 million in other spending.
00:53:42.000So, we'll have to wait and see until we get one of these bigger states with all the votes in, but it looks like he's a little bit competitive.
00:53:50.000But what are your guys' thoughts on Bloomberg?
00:54:15.000You know, these people just... You know, I'm not sure.
00:54:18.000I know a lot of people have come up with theories about how... Oh, Bloomberg came in just to sort of challenge Sanders, and they all dropped out at the same time because they're trying to take it away from Sanders, but... I don't know.
00:54:29.000We're gonna have to see the way that these delegates shake out, honestly, because, like you said, it's not a winner-take-all scenario, but currently, as it sits right now, if we just go off the polling, I mean, it looks like Bernie Sanders is going to end up with hundreds of more
00:54:44.000But then Biden, especially if he pulls off Texas.
00:54:46.000Now, if Biden takes out Texas, we're looking at like a 660 to 626 scenario with Biden in the lead.
00:54:51.000But like you said, we have to see how the delegates shake out.
00:54:56.000But I think that I would probably predict a contested convention with the superdelegates.
00:55:02.000And we all know, we saw this before, and Bernie's just going to take it.
00:55:06.000He's just going to bend over and take it, just like he did at the Seattle rally where those two fat women came up on stage and just snatched the mic out of his hand.
00:55:42.000You know, spent $500 million on advertisements and then, you know, just kind of like cheated and bribed your way into a third place finish in a handful of states.
00:55:50.000But I'm looking at... Yeah, go ahead, Patrick.
00:55:53.000I was just going to say, what's the rallying cry there?
00:55:57.000They told us we couldn't fail this miserably, but we did it.
00:56:38.000Uh, so I think Bernie, I mean, you're, when you're looking at the results here and you see Bernie Sanders, you know, trailing Biden, uh, it's, it's, it's going to close and there's, there's absolutely still the potential for Bernie Sanders to claim the majority of delegates tonight.
00:56:53.000But yeah, in general, I think there is going to be a contested convention and.
00:56:57.000Did you guys see that predicted shoot up for Biden after the others dropped out?
00:58:14.000Well, it's funny, with Massachusetts, this is a state which, if you look at the polling, I believe it was Warren and Sanders that are tied, but with 4% reporting,
00:58:26.000What are your thoughts on Warren exiting the race?
00:58:28.000Because on the one hand, and I talked about this a moment ago, conventional wisdom would dictate that if Warren can't win her home state, then she would drop out.
00:58:37.000This is traditionally what happens, you know.
00:58:39.000Marco Rubio lost Florida March 15, 2016, and he dropped out of the race.
00:59:12.000With Buttigieg in particular out, I think the establishment does want there to be someone to sap support, to sap delegates in the primary from Bernie Sanders, obviously.
00:59:23.000She's somewhat of a populist, but at the end of the day, she's not a Bernie Sanders.
00:59:50.000Wasn't he talking about, I think he said something about possibly bringing in Beto O'Rourke to his administration because of his views on guns or something?
01:00:00.000This could just be him talking, but he did say that during a speech.
01:00:03.000But yeah, Ted Cruz actually won Texas during the primary in 2016.
01:00:07.000I just don't know if it's going to be financially, if she's going to have the financial capacity to stay in the race that much longer.
01:00:15.000We're gonna have to see but after this I mean it's just not it's not looking good on Super Tuesday for her at least.
01:00:20.000Yeah well you know she hasn't won a single contest so far and it doesn't look like she's likely to win a single contest tonight and if she loses not just every contest in February but also every contest today including her home state yeah I think it would be time for her to go but that that to me is the question is
01:00:42.000I think anybody would say, and as you said, you can look at the funding situation, you can look at the money, does she even have the capacity to go the distance, but will she stay in the race, as Patrick said and I talked about earlier, just to siphon off support from Bernie?
01:00:55.000Vince, do you think that's possible, that she'll stay in there to peel away support from Bernie so that that'll sort of drown out his support against Biden?
01:01:04.000Yeah, but I would see Bloomberg as more of a likely candidate to do that, though, because he has, like, an unlimited supply of gold in his garage, you know?
01:01:23.000I'm gonna read some Super Chats real quickly.
01:01:26.000I'll bring us up to speed to where we are and then it looks like we are going to get some more results in about seven minutes from Colorado and Minnesota.
01:01:33.000But I'm just gonna comb through some of these so I'm not like reading like two hours of them at the end of the night.
01:01:40.000We've got Yeet who says, I just want a T-Pose on Jared Holt with the fellas.
01:04:05.000And say, you know, number one, we've got our epic T-pose picture up, but you know what's funny about this is this girl is sort of blocking Jared Holt's path.
01:05:27.000Yeah, I think she was, I think she was bass throwing up a little interference, but we're gonna move on, read through some of these other chats.
01:05:33.000We've got Joe Blow says, uh, big Nick energy in your AFFPAC speech, especially the Groyper chant.
01:06:13.000I think that speeches tend to, yeah, speeches definitely benefit from, you know, raising some kind of emotional, having some kind of emotional effect on people.
01:06:23.000And it, yeah, I mean, that was, that was a good way to start off the speech because everyone's, you know, you got everyone's blood, you know, running, adrenaline up.
01:06:30.000And then, you know, the rest, I think that carried through the rest of the speech.
01:06:34.000Yeah, it was sort of like in Dark Knight Rises when Batman's crawling out of the hole and they're doing that chant.
01:07:36.000First names is how did you become so woke on the femloid question?
01:07:39.000I think I just intuitively understand What's going on with females, you know, some people are born simps and some people are born not it's really that simple You know, I there is a prominent simp not gonna name any names I think Patrick at least knows what I'm talking about.
01:07:55.000There's a prominent simp at the athpak
01:07:59.000Hang out this weekend Sipping for days and that kind of behavior is just innate.
01:11:10.000But yeah, he keeps having these moments on the campaign trail where he just exudes this Chad energy.
01:11:17.000And, you know, it's terrible that he's a total globalist pedophile, because if he weren't, it'd be pretty amusing.
01:11:24.000I mean, you know, he had the, what, where he did the 180 and turned on the journalists, the why, why, why, why, why things, grabbing his collar, like, hey, calm down, man, getting in his space.
01:11:34.000You know, he told that guy, it turned out to be a comedian, the guy who, uh, you know, interrupted Biden's speech in Iowa, asking him for, you know, why his wife left him.
01:11:55.000I think that Biden versus... We know how Bernie versus Trump would go, right?
01:11:59.000That would be a lot of, like, you know, Venezuela posting, you know, fear-mongering about socialism, which, just to be clear, we don't want Bernie Sanders socialism at all.
01:12:12.000Yeah, I think we know how that would go.
01:12:14.000But Trump versus Biden would be funny because they would both like have these like, they'd be trying to claim that the other one's the real racist while having these, you know, quote unquote racist gaffes and moments the whole time and the media would just not know what to do.
01:13:04.000There's a lot of... it's a lot of more based activity happening on the Democrat side, but... I was actually... I actually was kind of encouraged to see Biden sort of, like, get stern and, like, angry during the debates.
01:13:16.000I think that that was sort of... that was sort... that was sort of cool.
01:13:19.000But, I mean, obviously, the guy's... the guy's, like, literally CNOT.
01:13:23.000I mean, he doesn't... talking about, like, black kids in a pool, touching... brushing his leg hair or something like that, it's like...
01:13:31.000Dude, but it looks like he's going to, he's pulled ahead in Texas.
01:14:07.000I don't remember which debate it was, but he recently claimed that there were like 150 million gun deaths in America since 2009 or something.
01:14:19.000It's kind of a funny situation because no one on stage or
01:14:24.000None of the the commentators none of the hosts call, you know called him on it It's almost like you have you've got your senile grandfather or like uncle or something And he's just he's just prattling off saying insane things and you're you know, you don't even correct them You just kind of you've come to expect it.
01:14:38.000It's it's what you're used to from him.
01:14:40.000That's kind of right Declaration of independence right like it's one thing after another
01:14:47.000But then there's like live fact-checks of Trump on everything he says.
01:14:51.000Fact-checking the State of the Union address.
01:14:53.000Meanwhile, Biden's like, oh, 150 million dead because of guns.
01:14:57.000You know, white nationalism on the rise.
01:16:26.000Why are the Democrats so much more based than the Republicans?
01:16:33.000Republicans have been playing this game for years where they have to be completely clean and can't have said anything racist or sexist, anything like epic.
01:16:41.000And Democrats, they get to do that and then they only get called on the carpet when they actually fight the establishment in a meaningful way.
01:16:49.000The Republicans have been, all the based Republicans have been weaned out.
01:16:53.000The Democrats only now are their based comments coming to light.
01:16:59.000I don't see any polling on that at all.
01:18:58.000I mean, for however cool the Empire is, or the Sith are, I mean, they lose in the end, at the end of the day, so... But, I don't know, I mean, we... Yeah, I think you do need to be both.
01:19:09.000Like, there are some things you should be restrained in, right?
01:19:12.000Other things you, you know, other times you want to have energy and so forth, so... I guess it kind of is a false dichotomy.
01:21:15.000If Biden gets away with Minnesota somehow,
01:21:43.000They have it as, like, the polls show Sanders, but if he gets away with Minnesota somehow and comes away with Texas... That's a big margin right there.
01:23:48.000I'm watching New York Times, but... So it looks like Oklahoma has not been called by New York Times, but has been called by AP for Biden and Colorado.
01:24:36.000Pretty much, yeah, this is a lot more competitive than I thought, because my thoughts going into South Carolina were that Joe Biden might win South Carolina, he might not.
01:24:47.000You know, I was thinking that if Joe Biden did win South Carolina, it would be by a small margin, and I anticipated that he would either drop out because he lost, or going into Super Tuesday with only a small victory, that he would get killed in all these states, because so far what we've seen
01:25:49.000You know, it's strange, I'm looking at this right now, the Super Tuesday results from 2016.
01:25:52.000Bernie Sanders won Oklahoma 51.9% to Hillary Clinton 41.5%.
01:26:01.000So apparently, Biden is favored over Hillary Clinton, in Oklahoma at least, in this Super Tuesday.
01:26:11.000Yeah, this is a pretty wild, pretty wild night tonight.
01:26:15.000And what I also want to watch though is to kind of return to Bloomberg.
01:26:19.000I want to see sort of, now that we have a lot of the vote coming into these different states, it'll be interesting to see, you know, because we're watching Biden versus Bernie, but I also am interested to see where Bloomberg is in all of this.
01:26:32.000It looks like we've got now, we've got 50% reporting in Tennessee and Bloomberg is in third place with 20%.
01:27:55.000Yeah, because I see his performance tonight and I'm imagining if he doesn't win a single contest tonight and if he gets all third place finishes and really sort of an underwhelming show of support, does he stay in the race?
01:28:08.000Because to me, it would seem to me that if he stayed in the race after tonight, it's really not about winning delegates.
01:28:15.000You know, he's got four delegates right now and we'll see if he wins any in all these third place finishes.
01:28:21.000In a lot of these places, he's not even meeting the threshold.
01:28:24.000And if he is, you know, as is the case so far in North Carolina, he's still winning zero delegates.
01:28:30.000If he persists tonight after really not making any kind of tangible impact in the race, to me it says that the endgame is not actually to win the primary, but like Vince has said, to siphon off votes, to kind of throw a wrench into the process.
01:28:44.000Patrick, what do you think his endgame is in this race?
01:28:51.000I've been listening to Bannon's 2020 War Room podcast, which is pretty good overall, but they seem to think that Bloomberg, at this point, it's just about people trying to get his attention.
01:29:04.000Like, win him over so that when he drops out, that's who he'll give his money to.
01:29:10.000Obviously, I don't think he's going to be the nominee, but it does look like he's making an honest effort.
01:29:14.000I mean, he spent half a billion dollars.
01:29:18.000Bloomberg people have been trying to – there's a political article that came out last week, posted on Telegram.
01:29:41.000However, when he does drop out, when he does not get the nomination, to whom he gives his support, his money, is going to be pretty significant.
01:29:57.000I think that the issue thus far in the Democratic primary is that the centrist Democratic establishment types have not had a perfect candidate to rally around.
01:30:08.000The candidate was Hillary Clinton in 2016, and clearly she wasn't perfect, but perfect is, from their perspective, someone that they can all get behind.
01:30:16.000So this time around, Biden has his issues, the Ukraine stuff, the gaffes, not doing too well in the first two states.
01:30:27.000Bloomberg has plenty of issues as well, too.
01:30:30.000But it is looking like it's going to be Biden.
01:30:32.000So I do think that Biden versus Bernie Sanders is going to be the main rivalry to look out for in the lead up to the Democratic campaign.
01:31:00.000All right Patrick seems like you're cutting out a little bit there can you hear me you're kind of roboting Looks like we're glitching out.
01:31:32.000So, Steve, we've got a new face, a fresh face on our panel here, and I want to get your thoughts.
01:31:40.000As you have entered in, right out of the gate, maybe you've been watching so far, maybe you haven't, but what are your thoughts about the night so far?
01:31:50.000Well, you know, I just jumped in here.
01:31:52.000I've been working all evening, but it looks like Biden is just racking up the wins.
01:32:17.000You know, so many people get all bent out of shape about the Democrats cheating and all this, but...
01:32:43.000Honestly, I think that that might be their best chance and you can see why that is based on the states that Biden is winning right now.
01:32:52.000You know, it's an interesting note that you said that it is the more moderate states that Biden is winning in as opposed to Bernie winning in Colorado and potentially in California.
01:33:01.000You look at the map right now in the New York Times where Biden is winning,
01:33:06.000Alabama, Tennessee, North Carolina, Virginia, Arkansas, Oklahoma, potentially, you know, it's leaning his way in Texas.
01:33:14.000Minnesota, you know, looks like he he's competitive there.
01:33:18.000These are all the demographics that they are trying to win.
01:33:23.000In the 2020 election you know that Biden has won in Virginia is a pretty big deal because Virginia is I mean obviously it's been trending left over the past so many years but Virginia is arguably still a swing state.
01:33:36.000Minnesota will potentially be a swing state in the election.
01:33:40.000Texas if Biden can compete in Texas I mean that shows you sort of where the where it'll be positioned in 2020.
01:33:50.000You know, winning California, not a big deal for Democrats.
01:33:54.000So, sort of seeing the different states in the primary may be a good litmus test for the kinds of voters that Democrats will need to turn out if they want to beat Trump.
01:34:02.000I'm not trying to say that he'll win Alabama, but if Joe Biden can turn out the blacks in Alabama, he'll turn out the blacks in Pennsylvania, and they'll go for Biden, right?
01:34:26.000Yeah, that's definitely a dynamic to be paying attention to.
01:34:30.000I'm curious to see, I don't know if we have information on this yet, but how black turnout in Super Tuesday, and you know the first four states as well, this time around compares to the 2016 Democratic primary.
01:34:43.000Because one of the most significant factors in Donald Trump winning the 2016 election was low black turnout, right?
01:34:49.000Black people didn't turn out in droves for Hillary Clinton, and we really can't blame them for that.
01:34:55.000So yeah, if Biden is if Biden is unable to really rally blacks, he's obviously going to do the best among blacks out of any, you know, any of the candidates in the Democratic primary.
01:35:06.000But does that mean that he's going to be able to motivate them to come out in larger numbers?
01:35:11.000Not, you know, just just getting most of the ones who do show up is not.
01:35:16.000So that will be an interesting dynamic to see.
01:35:18.000And should Bernie manage to nab the nomination, he's going to have to fight for his life for it.
01:35:27.000Should he manage to get it, I think it kind of goes without saying that based on his poor performance among blacks thus far, that he is not going to be able to mobilize blacks and improve black turnout.
01:36:03.000Yeah, I think the Hispanic thing, because they're the largest non-white voting bloc right now in the United States of America.
01:36:10.000And if we look at the polling that was conducted for Bernie Sanders for California and Texas, for instance, the poll for California shows Bernie Sanders with 42% of Hispanic voters compared to Vice President Joe Biden at like
01:36:28.000Polls show that he leads with Hispanic voters in Texas as well, with 31% of Latino support in Texas, followed by Mike Bloomberg at number two with 23%.
01:36:39.000So if we're looking at the Hispanic demographic and the top two biggest states with the most Hispanics in the country, I mean, this is, like I said, we're going to have to see what happens.
01:36:48.000I'm really interested to see what happens with Texas, honestly.
01:36:52.000But, uh, you know, if, but the rest of the states, if we look throughout the rest of the states and throughout the rest of the elections that occur for the Democratic nominee, I mean, there's, you know, there's, like you said, moderate states.
01:37:05.000There's not too many Hispanic, of the Hispanic Democrats.
01:37:08.000Shocker, by the way, Hispanics come from socialist left-wing countries and then vote for socialist leveling policies and free shit.
01:37:14.000And their top issue, one of their top issues, top three issues is immigration.
01:37:58.000Which was the family that sort of got Barack Obama into politics, or one of the two Jewish families in Chicago that got him into politics before the Senate.
01:38:06.000So, like I said, very interesting stuff.
01:39:30.000From the time of the first debate and a little bit before that.
01:39:34.000Basically from the time he announced...
01:39:36.000Until the convention, he was number one.
01:39:39.000And, with few exceptions, he won virtually every single state in the primary.
01:39:44.000You know, he lost Iowa, famously, and Ted Cruz got a little bit more competitive towards the end, but it was, like, overwhelming support for Trump.
01:39:53.000And it was always this question of this anti-Trump vote.
01:41:03.000To simply say that, well, because Bernie Sanders is, like, rough around the edges, and that's all that Trump had going for him is that he was rough around the edges, or the only thing that Trump had going for him is he had, like, people excited to vote for him, obviously this is ignoring the fact that Donald Trump
01:41:18.000Really did offer like an alternative vision for Republicans.
01:41:22.000This MAGA, America First, anti-globalism stuff was fresh.
01:41:27.000Hardline on immigration was a popular Republican position.
01:41:31.000Being against the foreign wars was a popular position.
01:41:34.000Being against free trade was a popular thing.
01:41:37.000Bernie Sanders being in favor of Medicare for All is not popular.
01:41:41.000Being in favor of all these trillion dollar programs, not popular.
01:41:45.000Free healthcare for illegals, not popular.
01:41:48.000This is a short summary, some examples, but people saying, like, oh, Bernie's a better candidate because he's like Trump.
01:41:56.000Well, only on a very cosmetic and superficial level can you compare the two in almost all other ways.
01:42:03.000It's like a very amateur analysis to say that this is the case.
01:42:11.000I was just thinking while you were talking when you said that Trump kind of offered this alternative plan for the Republican Party, sort of reshaping the Republican Party.
01:42:20.000I was actually curious to get your thoughts on, I guess we could probably talk about this afterwards, or as sort of the
01:42:27.000The results are pouring in, but the way that I see it, and sort of the way that I explained it on my show, is that we can see the wave of populism is growing, and as long as the Republican Party grabs hold of this wave of populism and rides it the right way, that they'll be able to carry victories in places like Minnesota, Wisconsin, you know, where the demographics are
01:43:12.000We see some of these other states where there's high unionization.
01:43:15.000It seems like the unions are sort of turning over for Trump.
01:43:19.000And, you know, because you see the Democratic Party and they're supporting, what, mass immigration, low-skilled workers, free health care, H-1B visas, Bloomberg talking about affordable housing for illegal aliens.
01:43:34.000And it seems like as long as they play their cards correctly, I think that we have a future while it might be short after Trump until we can sort of get things under control and stop the demographic bleeding, if you will.
01:43:48.000That's really kind of what I was thinking as you were talking about the alternative future for Republicans.
01:43:55.000Yeah, yeah, it's definitely, it's not what people are saying.
01:43:57.000I think Biden is, he's a bad candidate, you know, and he's a bit of a buffoon and a fool and maybe not a charismatic guy, but I mean, the Democrats are going to turn out in 2020.
01:44:09.000Trump is like so and the thing about Trump the polarization is is there because Trump has a 95% approval rating among Republicans and it's like I think it's like 10% you know with Democrats you know so it's almost completely the inverse 90 versus 10.
01:44:26.000So the Democrats will turn out in 2020.
01:44:29.000And with Biden it's really just a, you know, whoever they put up it's just a question of turning out all the Democrats and then winning over a good amount of people in the middle.
01:44:39.000And as long as they put up somebody that's just like inoffensive to most Democrats and inoffensive to a lot of independents, I think they could basically skate their way to like a 50% chance that Biden will become the president.
01:44:52.000The risk with Bernie Sanders... Yeah, go ahead.
01:44:55.000No, I was just going to say, then you have to think sort of about the factor, obviously you have to factor in independence, and then we have to factor in what percentage of Bernie bros this time around are going to vote for Trump.
01:45:06.000Because we saw a pretty decent percentage last time, the people who voted for Bernie Sanders in the primary, voted for Trump in the presidential election, and a lot of the reasons that they gave was his talks on free trade.
01:45:18.000Which honestly, I like what he's been doing with trade.
01:45:22.000And, you know, some people kind of see the truth for what it is with the, you know, with immigration and what have you.
01:45:28.000I mean, nationally, if we look nationally, sure, it's popular amongst Hispanics in California and Hispanics in Texas, this free everything and these socialists, as you would say, policies.
01:45:43.000So like, but both of them really aren't to me.
01:45:47.000I don't see, while Bernie Sanders does turn out thousands of people at his rallies, I don't think either one really is an extremely strong candidate.
01:46:02.000But it looks like we've got some new numbers here.
01:46:06.000In Minnesota, the New York Times is now giving Joe Biden an 84% chance that Joe Biden wins Minnesota.
01:46:15.000And they are still holding strong at 69-70% that Joe Biden will win Texas.
01:46:20.000So I'm looking at the map here and we've got Biden.
01:46:24.000Yeah, Biden's crushing in Oklahoma, Arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee, North Carolina, Virginia, and he's now the favorite to win Minnesota and Texas too.
01:46:32.000He's even in Massachusetts in the lead and his odds of winning are rising.
01:46:37.000He's now up to 37% chance of winning even in Massachusetts.
01:46:42.000So he's like honestly kind of running the table here across the board.
01:46:48.000It looks like the only place he's even likely to lose anymore is Colorado, California, and Maine.
01:46:55.000And so you're looking at maybe 10 out of 14 that Joe Biden wins tonight.
01:47:02.000Let's say for instance that, let's just go hypothetical situation here, because if you look at the 2016 primary, you see how kind of like the delegates shook out, you know, like for instance if you win 50%, 52% or 60% or something like that, the majority of the delegates it seems on Super Tuesday, I'm looking at the election results from the New York Times from 2016, still does go to the candidate that
01:47:25.000So let's hypothetical situation go off.
01:47:28.000If Biden gets Texas, North Carolina, Alabama, Virginia, a lot of these you already did, Oklahoma, Massachusetts, Arkansas, Tennessee, and Minnesota.
01:47:39.000That puts him at like 735 in a winner-take-all scenario, which we know that's not the scenario, but I'm just kind of sort of creating a hypothetical situation here.
01:47:47.000Whereas Bernie, if he loses Texas and Minnesota, he's down to like 500.
01:47:52.000So we're talking about well over nearly 300 difference in delegates here.
01:47:57.000And yeah, honestly, I'm shocked that Joe Biden is predicted to win
01:48:04.000You're saying, yeah, he's predicted to win.
01:48:10.000And I just checked, I assumed it was Sanders, but no, I mean, he's even the favorite.
01:48:14.000He's likely a 59% chance of winning Maine too.
01:48:18.000So you're looking at, really, for Bernie Sanders at this stage, the only states he's likely to win are Vermont, Colorado, California, and the polling shows Utah as well.
01:49:37.000And Sanders is this curmudgeon, and you see these states where he's picking up these votes, it's like quasi-intellectual, techie, strange people.
01:49:47.000I mean, he's sort of like a niche candidate.
01:49:50.000And Biden has broad appeal, despite being kind of a dummy.
01:49:55.000Yeah, I mean when you're talking about, in the case of Bernie Sanders, when you're talking about like abolishing ICE, you know, giving amnesty to all the people who are here, when, whereas like in 2016, and I was talking to Bernie bros back there, like a lot of them sort of understood the immigration situation, if we just sort of focus on that for a minute.
01:50:40.000That's how the union busted out here in California.
01:50:42.000That's how the Democrats did, at least.
01:50:44.000So the unions have largely went away in LA, in particular the construction unions.
01:50:49.000And in large part, that's due to immigration.
01:50:51.000So a lot of the Bernie bros that I talked to back in 2016, they were completely on board with Bernie Sanders' stances on immigration in particular.
01:51:00.000And it seems like people are noticing this because in a recent town hall, someone actually directly asked him, said, I voted for you last time around, but I noticed that you did a complete 180 on immigration.
01:51:28.000But as far as but but I agree, I think that Biden nationally is probably more palatable to because if it was just millennials and probably younger than them that were the vote, the only voters in America, then I would say, yeah, that it probably would go to Bernie Sanders.
01:51:44.000But you have to remember, we got Gen X.
01:52:10.000Yeah, I think the only way that it does not happen is if Bernie Sanders is able to get that coveted delegate majority in the run-up to the Democratic Convention.
01:52:21.000If there's a contested convention, we know where the superdelegates are going to go.
01:53:20.000I was on one of these Twitter accounts, political polls, and they found that in the exit polling for Texas that Bernie and Biden were tied, essentially.
01:54:05.000538 has them at roughly the same probability.
01:54:13.000Biden has a little bit of a higher chance since South Carolina, but the polling has been neck and neck essentially.
01:54:21.000Yeah, I think that the reason why the New York Times has Biden at 62% for Texas is because the remaining counties in Texas are, the polling there, the individual polling there was leaning Biden by an average of four points from what I'm seeing from RealClearPolitics, but like I said, it's a toss-up because Sanders is, what did I say, 42% for Texas?
01:54:42.000Yeah, 42% of Hispanics for Texas, and we know that Hispanics are basically a supermajority in Texas.
01:54:51.000Yeah, yeah, and Bernie has been doing well with Hispanics, but I'm on predicted right now, and it looks like, as it stands, they're giving Sanders a 54% chance and Biden a 50% chance, and, uh, but it's gone up to as high as 73% over the course of the last hour.
01:55:27.000Yeah, if Sanders isn't taken at home with Texas, I mean, how well is this guy going to perform from here?
01:55:35.000This is sort of a death knell for his campaign.
01:55:39.000Maybe I'm being too preemptive by saying that, but if you can't carry Texas, and Texas is loaded up with Hispanics, and you're supposedly doing well with Hispanics, what does that say about your campaign?
01:55:51.000Yeah, yeah, that's a really great point.
01:56:21.000You know, I'm talking about the proportion of whites and Hispanics and sort of minorities in general.
01:56:26.000Yeah, if he can't win a big state like that, I don't think it's gonna be a good time for him everywhere else.
01:56:32.000And if he were to be the nominee, obviously for a national race, for the presidential race, but... It's definitely a real nail-biter, real nail-biter watching the results come in here.
01:56:45.000So I just saw an interesting, yeah, I just saw an interesting tweet according to NBC News.
01:56:51.000It looks like Mike Bloomberg will be reassessing his campaign.
01:58:00.000I was going to say, I'll tell you something about Texas.
01:58:02.000It might be able to show us how blue Texas is actually going, because if we count the total amount of votes from 2018, I think it was up like 18 percentage points from 2016, as far as like voter turnout.
01:58:14.000And if we count the total number of votes from the primary this time around versus the total number of Democratic votes from the primary last time around in 2016,
01:58:34.000And if we just take a look at the election between Beto O'Rourke and Ted Cruz, for instance, Beto O'Rourke in the top five counties got over 70% of the votes, the Latino vote, ahead of Ted Cruz.
01:58:44.000And we are constantly hearing from people that, oh, Texas Hispanics are conservative.
01:58:53.000Paul, the final vote count from Texas for Democrats, and compare and contrast that with the final vote count for Democrats for 2016, and sort of the different counties, just to show us, I think it could show us, this election could show us how blue Texas really is going.
01:59:09.000And maybe, I don't think it'll be enough to wake up the Republican Party, but we're inching towards that time when Texas finally goes blue in a presidential.
01:59:42.000And that is big because you only need, I think, 1,991 for an outright majority.
01:59:51.000That would put Biden basically... I mean, not only would he obviously be projected to win 800 more delegates, 750 more delegates than Bernie Sanders, but also within striking distance of
02:00:22.000If it shakes up how I have it written down here, where Biden is pulling away with Texas and Minnesota, it looks like he's basically won Minnesota already, Biden.
02:00:32.000So if Biden somehow pulls off Texas, like I said, we're talking about like a 300 differential in total.
02:00:40.000So yeah, that would put Biden basically where he needs to be.
02:00:45.000Yeah, they're giving him an 86% chance of winning Minnesota, which is a pretty big deal.
02:00:53.000And once again, Bernie Sanders won 61% in Minnesota last time around.
02:01:23.000I mean, she's only coming in with 13.6% of the vote, but nevertheless, if you could imagine that Texas will come down to what it looks like in the exit polls, which is even, 35-35, that could have pushed him over the edge.
02:01:36.000And I saw this either in New York Times or in FiveThirtyEight.
02:02:03.000So that is like a big deal and you could imagine what the effect might have been if, and I was seeing a tweet about this earlier, if Warren had done the same and endorsed Bernie Sanders.
02:02:13.000But that just goes to show she is working for the establishment in exactly the same way that Buttigieg and Klobuchar.
02:02:21.000The only difference is that she's serving the establishment by staying in and not endorsing.
02:02:50.000Associated Press, I was just about to say that.
02:02:52.000They called it for Biden in Minnesota and in Arkansas.
02:02:57.000So this is a big, so officially what we have now, Biden has won Minnesota, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, Alabama, North Carolina, and Virginia.
02:03:51.000Yeah, so if he can pull off, so I have Vermont, California, obviously, Maine, Utah, Minnesota, Colorado for Bernie, but if he can pull off Texas, like you said, Nick, it won't be too bad for him.
02:04:30.000I think it's funny, this longstanding meme that, you know, all the Dems are the real racists.
02:04:35.000And it's kind of funny that Biden's had these like plantation owners.
02:04:39.000Moments like he's he's just been kind of strange about black people and kind of like a patronizing way and and how fitting that the the main election candidate is gonna be Biden this guy really does go to show that the meme is true, so
02:04:57.000Yeah, yeah, that they're the real racists.
02:05:07.000I mean, if anyone's a racist, it's Bloomberg.
02:05:13.000Not too many stop and frisk fans out there.
02:05:19.000Well the funny thing on that note, the stop and frisk, is there is an argument to be made that Bloomberg-like did actually just totally overdo it past the point where it was even effective.
02:05:31.000If I recall the numbers correctly, under Giuliani,
02:05:34.000There were about 100,000 stop and frisks per year with about a 50% success rate.
02:07:22.000You know, like Soviet Union, like Stalin taking back over and being like, okay, a lot of this like degenerate, like Bolshevik stuff has to go.
02:07:29.000Like, oh, actually a lot of these socially conservative values are just absolutely necessary for having a functioning society.
02:07:34.000So yeah, law and order, you just kind of need it.
02:07:37.000It's just one of those things that it's worth investing in.
02:07:42.000I gotta tell you, I was really kind of like excited to see the potential.
02:07:47.000I knew it wasn't going to happen, but just to see like Bloomberg versus Trump and Trump sort of waltz out and do like the mini Mike Bloomberg duck behind the podium while he's talking to Bloomberg, I think that would have been pretty funny.
02:08:02.000Looks like on Predict It, they're giving Biden a 91% chance for
02:09:14.000Fans have you seen what it's like out here Nick.
02:09:16.000Do you ever actually leave the studio?
02:09:18.000Yeah funny Zoomers as I saw a groper's tick-tock comment with 75,000 likes today not to send me the link to the to the tick-tock America first cranks is kind of wonder if they end up picking Bernie after making him seem like a real underdog Hashtag tinfoil hat now that's retarded Nicker Nace is America first fan mail time everybody this first patch it comes from Ted Kaczynski
02:11:37.000I'm not...nobody's sweating, big guy, but I know Airwalk would say something cringe because he always posts cringe on DLive, but... Okay, we'll pick up the rest of these maybe the next hour of the show.
02:12:30.000Yes, I guess they're talking about Bloomberg here on FiveThirtyEight, and they're wondering what would happen if Bloomberg just gave up the money.
02:12:39.000Which is an interesting question, because Biden has spent, or I'm sorry, they all start with B. That makes it so hard.
02:12:46.000Bernie, Biden, Buttigieg, Bloomberg, you know, could they make it more difficult?
02:12:54.000Bloomberg spent more than $600 million in this race, and he's a bad candidate.
02:13:00.000You know, it just goes to show, in as much as he spent, as big as his operation is, he literally can't even pull delegates in a lot of these states, meet the threshold to start winning delegates.
02:13:10.000You almost wonder what would have happened if he put his $600 million behind somebody else, and ultimately, the bigger idea is that this will happen regardless, because what Bloomberg has said
02:13:40.000And so for example, in like the New Hampshire primary, even though Bloomberg wasn't even on the ballot, you've got at the same time all the campaigns are pulling out of New Hampshire because the primary race is over, Bloomberg people are going into New Hampshire and they're building up campaign offices
02:13:57.000If Bloomberg is going to put up to a billion and maybe more...
02:14:14.000And that's on top of what all the Democrats will raise beyond that with everybody else.
02:14:19.000That's gonna have a huge race on the general election.
02:15:22.000Because, you know, Trump, for what it's worth, Trump won the nomination spending very little of his own money.
02:15:28.000I don't remember the exact figure, but if you remember during the primary, he's a billionaire, and I think people were expecting that he was going to inject, like, a billion dollars or hundreds of millions of dollars, but he spent very, very little, actually, of his own money on the primary.
02:15:43.000I think it was in, like, the tens of thousands, maybe?
02:15:47.000I'll look it up real quick, see if I can find that figure.
02:15:50.000I thought it was around like 60 million, but maybe I'm... Maybe I'm thinking millions instead of thousands.
02:17:14.000Yeah he's got the, he's definitely got the, he did raise, I think he out-raised by far his last election.
02:17:22.000He's got the charisma, obviously he's funny, he's got the good economy, well at least there's a small downturn right now because of the outbreak, but he's got the economy, he's got the immigration wins like the public charge rule, the
02:17:36.000I mean, I'll have to to compensate because
02:18:02.000You know, Biden's like 120 IQ, 125 IQ, not a very smart guy.
02:18:07.000Trump's like 150, 155, so you have like a dummy going up against a stallion, basically, and the country is like demographically split, the votes are pretty well split, so Bloomberg's gonna have to fill that gap.
02:20:20.000Nate Silvers is part of what the wins in Oklahoma and Arkansas show is that Biden is stronger with working class white voters than Clinton was four years ago.
02:20:53.000I guess really now we're just waiting for a call.
02:20:55.000The big calls that have to be made now are Texas, and then we're still waiting for results from Utah, and the results for California don't even start coming in for another 45 minutes.
02:21:05.000But it's always so quaint and funny to see the, uh, the braggadocio.
02:21:54.000Sanders is slightly favorite in Idaho.
02:21:59.000North Dakota it's neck and neck there as well it's the gap is closing so it's got to be very competitive going forward into the future and this is the biggest day this Super Tuesday I believe is the biggest so it's gonna be a bad night I mean he's not out of the race obviously and we'll see if he loses Texas he might be but
02:22:21.000That's definitely a big blow and again it's all contextual because it was literally just a week and a half ago, no it was a week ago, that Bernie Sanders was the frontrunner.
02:22:31.000You know last week was the 10th Democratic debate in South Carolina and at the time Bernie Sanders was the official frontrunner, the official technical, in every way shape and form he was the frontrunner and now he's not.
02:22:43.000You know now I think Biden is firmly the frontrunner and the favorite.
02:22:47.000Yep in Minnesota Bernie's was ahead steadily
02:22:51.000By like six points in every single poll that I saw for Minnesota.
02:23:12.000Well, the age demographics in Minnesota aren't, I think, if you look at the age on the census for Minnesota, they aren't in Bernie's favor, but he was still ahead by six points.
02:26:34.000He's got these glasses on, he's like, I know he just made a truce, but he's got these glasses on, and there's just very interesting expression on his face.
02:27:16.000I was like yeah dude whatever we're good just take it just fucking take it and like move on you know but he was he was trying to be funny or something so he's a weird guy and then we were doing that that e-girl fight outside we were all chanting lock her up about Mindy Johnson and we wanted to see her get arrested and the weirdest thing happened
02:27:37.000You know, all the Groypers came out to watch this, uh, what would you call this, this altercation, the, uh, their ogling, and Mike Cernovich
02:27:47.000John Cardillo and Carpe Dunctum are all getting in my face, and they're like, you need to call this off, man.
02:27:53.000This is a bad- John Cardillo kept saying, this is a bad plan, man.
02:28:31.000If Mindy Robinson got arrested that then people are going to try and get me arrested and retaliate against me, I'd be like, what the fuck are you talking about?
02:28:40.000I know, it's like I just came outside and now Mike Cernovich is telling me like, you're going to be big, there's going to be a big target on your back because of this, this is an escalation.
02:28:49.000I'm like, dude, you think they would hesitate to do this to me?
02:28:52.000You think if I was in Harry's at 3am choking somebody out, you think Charlie Kirk and all these other people would be glad to see me locked up?
02:30:12.000The problem with these people is that they are so... Their brains are so steeped in fake E-drama that it's, like, poisoned their brains.
02:30:22.000You know, I come out there and I'm like, yeah, this is, like, a weird thing that's, like, a funny thing that's happening.
02:30:28.000But ultimately not a big deal, you know, everyone's gonna go home and whatever Mindy Robinson is not like a big deal But these guys are like so it's like the Kardashians.
02:30:37.000They're like their brains are so like steeped they're they're just drowned in this fake e-drama and
02:30:45.000Well, Jack Posobiec said this, and I'm gonna back him up and buy this, like, little clique in DC.
02:30:51.000And look, I'm friends with a lot of them, and Mike Cernovich is a good guy, and John Cardillo, I'm friendly with.
02:30:56.000You know, we have to have allies, and I don't consider these, like, enemies or anything like that, but...
02:31:01.000This is just the phenomenon that they are so engaged in this, like, you know, Real Housewives, like, reality show bullshit that's not even really, it's not even real.
02:31:10.000It'd be one thing if it was, like, these are major Twitter celebrities beefing, but it's people that are getting in these petty fights with people that don't even matter outside of, like, the Washington D.C., like, party Trump hotel scene.
02:31:23.000So I'm like, I'm like, I just don't want to, I don't even want to engage with this anymore.
02:31:27.000I'm gonna go back inside, I'm gonna talk to the gripers, you know, but...
02:31:31.000Well, it's a lack of perspective-taking, too.
02:31:33.000I mean, this is like an eggless egro who's, like, bashing people, you know, and then these guys are coming to the rescue.
02:31:40.000It's just totally... it lacks perspective.
02:31:43.000There was multiple fights that broke out there and nothing happened.
02:31:46.000Like, just random guys punching each other in the face.
02:32:11.000I was just going to say, I'm just looking at Texas here, sort of just neck and neck, sort of a flip the coin scenario, but honestly, how much of a part is Bloomberg playing against the plan that everyone thought that he was playing, which was to sort of
02:36:12.000I mean, I love Bane as a villain, but in the end, it's like, when Batman finally beats him, then it's like, oh, he was actually just totally, you know, whipped.
02:36:22.000And the only reason he escaped was for her, and he protected her, and she's... Yeah, so for that reason... I did it for you, my queen.
02:36:31.000I mean, it's like, you can just tell that it's like, and he was in love with her, and she's just... Look, we're like, you know, he's friend-zoned.
02:42:39.000Not listening to the radio on New Vegas.
02:42:41.000This is all very, like, Patrick energy that I'm getting.
02:42:45.000I'm constantly being pigeonholed here.
02:42:51.000It was like, what was it, Thursday night?
02:42:53.000We were all hanging out at someone's place, you know, the night before AFPAC, and there was like a circle of Zoomers, and I was talking to a few people in the kitchen, and they look at me, they're like, Patrick!
02:45:07.000Asian yeah Patrick be like let's go to dude Patrick you took us to a restaurant where we sat down and some waitress with gauges and a nose ring was like um so how it works here anytime a waiter starts off with how it works here that's how you know it's gonna be bullshit how it works is there should be entrees and right how we don't really do entrees it's more like how it goes is you just like get a bunch of small plates and share it
02:45:36.000It's like, okay, just get me the biggest plate you have, and I'll just order that, you know?
02:45:41.000I look at Patrick, I'm like, are you kidding me?
02:45:58.000I will defend that, but I will push back against the idea that somehow my decision to go to Asian Fusion, an Asian Fusion restaurant, once defines me as a person.
02:46:28.000It was actually better than the Italian restaurant, sad to say.
02:46:32.000You know, Patrick made another selection of an Italian restaurant and that place was garbage, so...
02:46:41.000I'm glad I came in at the time that I did, because for the rest of the entire time that I was there, all we did was order McDonald's on Uber Eats.
02:46:49.000Yeah, that's what we did all week for AFPAC.
02:46:51.000Yeah, National Harbor, everything closes so early there.
02:46:57.000Yeah, I didn't have a lot of good meals there.
02:46:59.000I mean, there was that Italian place, which was okay.
02:47:02.000I got a pretty good margherita pizza and some mozzarella balls.
02:47:06.000But outside of that, I don't really recall a real winner.
02:47:10.000Last time we went, we had some good... Last time we went, what was that place we went to where we had the burgers and the... Oh, was that in Nashville?
02:47:21.000Oh, that was... That might have... Well, what... Okay.
02:52:02.000Let's see, New York Times says, striking turn of events in Minnesota, where there had been speculation among operatives that Sanders might defeat Klobuchar there instead.
02:57:02.000Yeah, Biden, like, the energy I get from Biden, he's, like, poking
02:57:05.000He's got like the LBJ, the Lyndon Johnson energy to him.
02:57:34.000There was that one guy in some Iowa rally who was trying to get a picture with Joe Biden, and Biden wouldn't take a picture with him because he said he was voting for someone else.
02:57:45.000He was like, well, go find someone else to take a picture with.
02:57:48.000The guy was like, well, you don't know who I vote for, but I will.
02:58:02.000Imagine, like, you're a politician, and it's like, oh, hi, uh, I'm not gonna vote for you, but, like, okay, then why do I owe you anything, you know?
02:58:33.000His body language, you know, legs spread, seated at the edge of the chair, shoulders back, he's got the steepling, he's got the steeple, and it's every time.
02:58:43.000And if you watch him, he's always doing the same thing.
02:58:47.000And, you know, just his very pointed expression, and then you've got over here, then you've got the sort of... Bleeding in, eye contact, right.
03:00:57.000Let's see, we've got somebody from FiveThirtyEight says, one thing to look at in Minnesota, where Sanders was expected to win after Klobuchar dropped out, is the role Warren played as a potential spoiler.
03:01:09.000She won 19% in Hennepin County, and is at 16% statewide, one of her better performances of the evening.
03:01:18.000Biden is up 8% over Sanders statewide, but there's also almost all of Ramsey County left to count, so that could help Sanders cut into that lead.
03:01:26.000I my overall thought is that if Warren had not been in the race that would have probably been it would probably Disproportionately help Sanders and the liberal Twin Cities and maybe help them hold on So looks like our theory is true about the spoiler But yeah, it's a bad it's a bad night Biden is really just tearing through look at all this purple sea of purple here so
03:01:52.000Let's see, we'll read through some more Super Chats.
03:01:55.000You can't use these weird abbreviations.
03:01:58.000I don't know what to take vote from Donald Trump and Tulsi lives for 2024.
03:02:47.000She got 1% in, you know, 4% in New Hampshire or something like that.
03:02:52.000You know, everybody, like, because they agree with Tulsi on war,
03:02:55.000And you've got all these, like, anti-war zealots, and they love Tulsi Gabbard for that reason.
03:03:02.000They're totally blind to the reality that she's not charismatic, she's not a good speaker, and as a Democrat, she's really not compelling on any other issue.
03:03:12.000She's, like, good on war, and then she's, like, a standard Democrat.
03:03:16.000But the right loves her, and people think that if the right loves her, then she can do it.
03:03:21.000Well, she's running for the Democratic nomination, not the Republican nomination, so...
03:03:25.000And beyond all that, not a good public speaker.
03:03:27.000Not very... I don't believe very intelligent overall, so... Gabbard!
03:05:25.000She reminds me of, you know, in grade school when you used to do those Valentines for, you know, on Valentine's day.
03:05:31.000You have, like, cartoon valentines, these little cards that you give each other, you hand out to each other.
03:05:35.000And, you know, Tulsi's that girl in your class, you're like, uh, I'll take a valentine from her, but I don't really, you know, I don't really want one from her.
03:05:44.000She's like that, like, very middle-of-the-pack, very middling energy.
03:05:48.000She's not an executive, uh, pretty obviously, you know.
03:06:39.000I'm against the, you know, Israel first, Middle East stuff, and the military-industrial complex, but I'm not opposed to all war, okay?
03:06:47.000I will never say that I am anti-war, because in some cases war is necessary.
03:06:52.000In the case of self-defense, and I think there's a case to be made for war that isn't totally in self-defense.
03:06:59.000As long as, you know, military intervention
03:07:03.000or war you know whatever as long as it's in our interest this is what a state must do it is it is the task of the state to occasionally make war or to occasionally do all these kinds of things you know my problem with the war in iraq is not that war is evil it's that it's a war that was never in our interest it's a war that we relied into it cost a lot it's taken forever and so on
03:07:28.000It was at the behest of a foreign country and their agents in our country.
03:07:31.000But I'm never gonna say, like, America should take down their military and we should never, and we should disarm the world and we should have world peace.
03:08:06.000For what happens when our population is 450 million made up of people who are mostly on welfare?
03:08:11.000Like, what's going to happen, you know, when our population hits 450 million in 30 years?
03:08:16.000Outside of that, look at the Andrew Yang plan, the UBI plan, and he was always talking about automation, which I thought was good and replacing jobs, but he also supported mass immigration.
03:08:55.000If you have a different opinion, fine.
03:08:57.000But people try to make it about all these ancillary issues like the budget, military spending is out of control.
03:09:04.000Look, the deficit, like, doesn't matter, okay?
03:09:07.000I mean, the debt matters, and on a technical level, because the debt creates more interest, and you have to pay interest to service the debt, and that becomes unsustainable.
03:09:17.000But debt as a proportion of GDP is really the question.
03:09:21.000You know, what percentage of the debt, what percentage of the deficit is, uh, or rather, what percentage of the debt and deficit is it with GDP in mind?
03:09:30.000And in any case, we can pay for whatever we want because we just print the money.
03:09:34.000That's not sustainable, but that's the way it is, you know?
03:09:36.000And whatever we're gonna do, we find a way to make it work.
03:09:39.000But as Vince said, if you are gonna be one of these fiscal, you know, fiscal budget hawks, whatever, you look at how the budget breaks down, and yes, the majority of the budget is mandatory spending.
03:09:52.000It's entitlement spending where the check has already been written.
03:09:56.000Social Security, Medicare, other entitlements,
03:10:01.000You've got your entitlements, and you've got your interest, and that is the majority of the deficit.
03:10:07.000Or rather, that's the majority of the spending of the budget.
03:10:10.000And that's before Congress even decides.
03:10:12.000They have to write the checks for that stuff.
03:10:15.000It's set in stone when they do the budgetary process.
03:10:18.000Defense is part of discretionary spending, which is one of the few areas where it's a lot easier to manipulate and control.
03:10:25.000And spending a little bit more on defense, and maybe you spend a lot at one time and then you reel it back in, but what Trump has done with the record military spending is to revamp the military, you know, take care of our nuclear arsenal and buy new planes and this kind of stuff and aircraft carriers.
03:10:42.000Maybe you spend a little bit more for a few years and then you scale it back for maintenance and so on.
03:10:57.000For years Russia was the number two defense spender and they spent tens of billions of dollars on their military and recently they scaled it back to like not record lows but they scaled it back and I think now China for the first time ever is the number two defense spender.
03:11:12.000And the reason it went like that is because for years Russia was engaged in Syria and they were engaged in other things and they were revamping and doing R&D with their military and when those projects were completed they reduced the budget.
03:11:25.000None of these people are out there saying, Russia's in Syria and that's a problem.
03:11:44.000And I understand America's, you know, the leader of intervention and all that in the world, obviously.
03:11:49.000But it's very interesting to double-stand that these anti-war people seem to love when Russia's conducting these foreign adventures, or China they don't even talk about, or Iran they like.
03:11:59.000When America does it, and don't get me wrong, I'm not defending America's engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan and Syria and so on, but only when America does it is it suddenly
03:12:08.000It's a little more complicated than war bad, right?
03:12:37.000But let's see, California, the polls have just closed.
03:13:08.000One other thing I want to mention though on top of that is being welfare spending the largest item on the federal budget.
03:13:15.000It increased exponentially just within like from 2008 to even not including if we don't even include the recession part of it if we just go after the recession we just look at 2016 to 2020 every single year welfare spending is increasing and I'm constantly talking to people about like the federal budget when they bring up the military budget
03:14:57.000I'm on like Twitter and it's my on my phone and my desktop and I can't find the tweet So yeah, I did see a tweet that said AP called California.
03:15:07.000There's exit polls that are at P at P polling numbers.
03:15:12.000I almost said Pronounce that differently Yeah
03:15:17.000P polling numbers has some exit polls here.
03:15:20.000They have the racial breakdown for so far for California white 55% of the voters Sanders 33 Biden 23 Warren 19 Bloomberg 10.
03:16:15.000When the Hispanics are looking for a strong man, you know, like the Hugo Chavez is, you know, Bernie, Bernie has that socialism going on, but he's not strong.
03:16:23.000If they put, if Biden had the positions that Bernie has, it would be a wash.
03:16:27.000I mean, it would be, it would be so, you know,
03:17:11.000I think that if Biden wins, since Biden won Minnesota already, and if Biden wins Texas, I mean, that's the delegate count.
03:17:19.000I mean, obviously we're gonna have to wait to see what the delegate count shakes up as, but I just don't think that, I don't see Bernie Sanders pulling it out in the end, you know, with the other states coming up.
03:17:39.000So, we're just waiting on Texas and on Maine right now.
03:17:45.000So I just want to briefly point out one of the best effects of Biden surpassing Bernie and eventually getting the nomination.
03:17:54.000It's going to be the delicious Chapo Trap House tears, and not just from the podcasters, but from their whole extremely online fan base with the roses in their bios, and the pronouns in the bios too.
03:18:10.000Yeah, those people are going to be really upset.
03:18:14.000The extent to which these people are riding on this, the mental health of basically the US tranny community is totally rooted in Bernie Sanders winning and giving them free healthcare.
03:18:27.000People are going to have, like, serious mental breakdowns, which I, obviously, I'm not going to support that.
03:20:28.000So what that means is she's going to stay in the race and she's going to act as a spoiler next week and the week after that and the week after that and she's going to fucking sink Bernie completely.
03:20:42.000She's going to peel off votes from Bernie and give it to Biden.
03:20:47.000It's just like what happened in Minnesota.
03:21:27.000When Bernie had a monopoly, or you know, a virtual monopoly, it was him and Elizabeth Warren from the progressives.
03:21:34.000That is a lot less of a split than it is between Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Biden, and Bloomberg.
03:21:40.000Because in New Hampshire, Klobuchar got third and Buttigieg got second.
03:21:45.000I imagine that most of those people maybe would have went for Biden in New Hampshire.
03:21:49.000And Bloomberg is not really doing terrific.
03:21:51.000In Texas he's doing well and in the South he's doing well, but I don't think it's happening...obviously it's not happening in the same way that Bloomberg is anding Sanders the nomination, the way that Elizabeth Warren, you know, if it was a few percentage points different in a place like Minnesota, the way it's shaking out in other places, so...
03:22:10.000And the other thing about Bloomberg, too, is that at least Bloomberg is competing.
03:22:14.000I mean, he is effectively acting as a spoiler, but, you know, in a lot of these states, he's coming up in third place.
03:22:20.000You know, Texas, he's in third, and third here, third here, third place here, second place in Alabama, third in North Carolina, fourth in Virginia.
03:22:31.000I mean, so in a lot of these states, he's doing okay.
03:22:34.000Second in Colorado, he's second in Utah.
03:22:38.000But Elizabeth Warren is getting shit on in every single state.
03:22:43.000She got less than Bloomberg in all these southern states.
03:22:53.000And she's been in the race longer than Bloomberg, so to me it's like, well, maybe Bloomberg is competitive, but Warren is just like, there's no reason she should remain.
03:23:07.000If Bernie Sanders beat Hillary Clinton in 2016 in Minnesota and Oklahoma, and Biden is more popular, apparently, in those states than Bernie Sanders, and if we just sort of gauge this as this could potentially be the case for the rest of the country for the rest of the elections remaining,
03:23:32.000Then I mean that just tells you right there.
03:23:34.000I mean it seems like and then with the superdelegates of course.
03:23:37.000Just seems that Bernie is fading away.
03:23:39.000And honestly I agree with Patrick here that the best tiers are the Bernie bro tiers.
03:23:48.000The TYT is probably freaking out right now.
03:24:45.000They destroyed the country, like these Bernie bros are crying on Twitter about how Boomers destroyed the country because of, you know, we only have 10 years left to live and they picked Biden over Bernie.
03:24:57.000Biden wins Texas, according to redistrict.
03:29:03.000Beardson says, Nick is fighting the establishment without me?
03:29:15.000You know, Beardson, he joined the movement this past weekend, but now he's learning that on Twitter you can joke about being the CEO and whatever else, but once you're actually in the movement, you've got to work your way up.
03:29:29.000I can send Beardson some AIM posters to go put up, and maybe you can come do a banner drop, but Beardson, you've got to work your way up here if you want to get on these kind of live streams, man.
03:29:47.000It's so funny how they look so much like... I was telling Beardsman he should stand behind Gavin while he's not looking and just sort of inch outwards towards the back of Gavin and just get it on video.
03:30:28.000I think it was on Decision Desk it said or one of them said that they had more up-to-date information with a closer margin between Sanders and Biden at 2% and predicted Scott Biden now at 72.
03:30:42.000It had Bernie at 70, now Biden's at 70.
03:30:44.000That's not completely reliable, but it's a big flip.
03:34:46.000Oh, hey, keep up the good work brother.
03:34:48.000Like my my dad does that my dad's a boomer and he's you know, hey, hey brother, you know, that guy's a very like 1970s like 1980s kind of hey, babe, brother.
03:38:27.000I think they were trying to order so it was like 8 in the morning and the last night and I had a flight.
03:38:32.000I had to take a flight early in the morning and it was like 8 in the morning.
03:38:37.000You guys are trying to order Uber Eats for McDonald's and I'm trying to sleep on the air mattress in the middle of the living room and Jaden's like, how much does a
03:38:46.000How much does the hashbrowns cost or something like this?
03:38:50.000And he just keeps asking how much each thing costs and I finally get up, I grab my wallet, and I try to hand him $20 and I'm like, just order the goddamn hamburger, Jaden.
03:40:42.000We don't even have YouTube TV, but he opens up the app, and The Young Turks is like autoplaying.
03:40:49.000As soon as you open up the YouTube TV app, it's the first one up, it's the first thing to autoplay on Super Tuesday, and this comes after, of course, Google gives them, what, like $250,000 to teach journalism online?
03:41:01.000So it just goes to really show you, this is a media outlet that basically outright denied the Armenian genocide.
03:45:30.000There are a lot of people still waiting in line there.
03:45:33.000I don't have the exact data on it at this point, but if Houston, if of the 50% that haven't counted yet, if a majority of those or a significant number of those are from Houston and Dallas, then yeah, it could go for Biden, right?
03:45:48.000Those are where a lot of black people are and we know that they go for Biden.
03:45:55.000Well, actually, Dallas County is overwhelmingly Hispanic, I think, for Dallas County.
03:46:01.000Yeah, Harris County, which is Houston and Dallas, are still pending, while Bernie country, Austin, has already been counted.
03:46:08.000Again, I don't know how each one of these cities or counties... I haven't actually looked at the numbers, I'm just reading what the Twitter people are saying.
03:49:17.000Bloomberg is really hurting Biden in Harris County, all over Texas, honestly.
03:49:23.000Yeah, the relationship that those two have going forward, assuming Bloomberg stays in the race, and I think that's possible, is going to be interesting, too.
03:49:33.000Because, yeah, if he's taking support from anyone, then it's Biden.
03:51:39.000He's one of those people I'd rather just pronounce it...
03:51:51.000Is he was he a Bernie bro, or what's the story with that guy?
03:51:56.000Yeah He apparently he came from he's like one of the one of these denizens of destiny's discord server But then he he went too far left Because they had that they had their funny little debate recently Frankenstein's monster Yeah, he's like a dirtbag left type.
03:52:17.000He's one of these guys that supports workers co-ops and supporting the worker and higher wages for America, but also supports mass immigration, like the idiot he is.
03:52:27.000And he's also someone who said, and I actually reached out to Ralph to see if he wanted to debate on this, but he apparently declined.
03:52:35.000But he also said that blacks and Hispanics commit more crime because they're younger than whites.
03:54:12.000Looks like Biden won Dallas by a very slim margin.
03:54:27.000So, Harris County, Travis County, Dallas County, and Hidalgo County are, like, some of the top five counties that make up, like, 30 or so percent of all Texans.
03:54:39.000And, uh, these were the counties that Beto O'Rourke won by a staggering amount versus Ted Cruz.
03:54:45.000This just goes to show you how far Texas has gone demographically.
03:59:49.000Hey Nick, real quick, not to interrupt, it looks like this guy Tanjru, who by the way shows up to my stream too, great guy, thank you Tanjru, he gave you, someone said 50 subs?
04:01:37.000We're still waiting on, let's see, we're waiting on...
04:01:44.000We're waiting on the rest of Travis County, we're waiting on Bexar County, we're waiting on Tarrant County, which is a big one, by the way.
04:01:50.000Looks like Bernie is winding Tarrant County, though.
04:02:06.000So an hour ago, Michael, and forgive me if we
04:02:09.000Michael Tracy tweeted, the rapid establishment consolidation we witnessed in the past three days, greenlit by Obama, is unprecedented in the modern history of U.S.
04:05:27.000So yeah, I'm gonna we're gonna wrap it up in a half hour that that's as long as I'll go I'm not because these results easily could go into tomorrow as they did with the Iowa caucus So I have an upper limit I've been streaming now for four hours the stream has gone on for four hours if you can believe it Mike keeps cutting out for some reason who me?
04:09:47.000I went to Portillo's the other day and there was this woman at the cash register she must have had a disability maybe or maybe she was just old but I ordered up I'm like yeah can I get a big beef with fries and uh you know coke and she's like what do you want on the beef and I'm like just plain and she's like oh you're a plain Wayne she's like normally it's plain Jane but you're a guy and I'm like yeah I never heard that before but yeah it's true and then she it was so funny to me
04:10:16.000is after the order she's about to give me the receipt and she's like uh you're gonna laugh at me for saying this but i was watching the kardashians the other day and uh it was an old episode and bruce jenner was on and i was like i thought he looked weird now he looked weird then too but she basically did like this like anti like this boomer anti-trans take and i was like yo based i'm like yeah so true but
04:10:43.000I was thinking if she had gotten the wrong person that she said that to, she'd probably been fired.
04:12:31.000When my, uh... When my great-uncle... It was either when my great-uncle got out of... I think when my great-uncle got out of prison years ago, that was the one thing he wanted was an Italian beef.
04:12:43.000I can't remember if that's the right choice.
04:12:45.000Either my uncle got out of the military and he wanted that, that was like the first thing he wanted to get, or it was my great-uncle getting out of prison.
04:12:51.000Maybe it was both, but... We're big, uh... We're big Italian beef... Big Italian beef fans.
04:17:39.000Black Phillips says, Vince James equals Agent 47 to ward off Jason Bourne.
04:17:45.000It was because someone edited the video of me leaning in trying to hear the debate between you and someone at the Trump Hotel, and it looked like I was like... I was like lurking.
04:22:51.000We were basically talking about, what I was saying was that, you know, if you look at some of these areas that are like squalor, especially out here in California, San Francisco, a lot of these like majorly Hispanic areas as well down south, Southern California, you look at them and they're just like not complaining.
04:23:07.000And I basically was telling him that white people complain about shit like this.
04:23:12.000Like at the IHOP, they'll complain about their order.
04:23:15.000Like, they'll complain about the order at IHOP and he was talking about, like, the... I guess... I don't know if he went to an IHOP or if he worked at an IHOP or something like that and he was just sort of talking about how they just don't really take their job.
04:23:29.000Like, the people that sort of populate these...
04:23:33.000The jobs in the restaurant industry don't take their job seriously, or don't really... I can't remember exactly how the conversation went, but anyway.
04:23:42.000White people be complaining about their IHOP.
04:23:45.000White people be calling the manager, bro.
04:23:49.000People don't give a shit here, and that's why everything sucks, because when like, well, when the people that work at IHOP here mess up your...
04:23:58.000Yeah, people talk so much shit about Karen, but when it comes down to, like, calling the manager, Karen's on it.
04:25:00.000We could set up like a folding chair for you and my mom like lost her she was like this is not excited she like freaked out on the manager and uh and I was like mom like chill he's just wait this is not his fault this is just an error and my mom's like where she did the usual like head my mom's always moving her head around she's very
04:25:20.000She's like, we paid $20 for these tickets.
04:25:23.000You better believe that I'm going to make a problem for this manager.
04:30:20.000box the other day, my new one, and I tried to open it and it wasn't opening.
04:30:25.000And I KNEW this was going to happen because when I got it, okay, the level of incompetence... I'm trying to conjure up a mental picture of what I'm dealing with, okay?
04:31:24.000But I go back, and the guy didn't even ask me for the voter information, so it's clear that I didn't even need that.
04:31:30.000So I came out in the snow, got sent back, I came back the next time, and the guy just took my application as it was before, no problems, and he's going to set me up and he tells me, oh I need to change the lock on here.
04:31:41.000He told one of the girls behind the...
04:32:42.000It just, uh, it just sounds like good content.
04:32:44.000It's like that scene in Joker when he goes to get his mom's medical records and the black guy's reading it off and he's like, oh, you know, she's got schizophrenia, blah, blah, blah.
04:32:55.000And, uh, and then he's just like, what?
04:34:19.000Because it's things that just accumulate.
04:34:21.000It's like the tension builds, and it's like constantly sniffling because of my allergies is the background for everything.
04:34:29.000So it's like I can't breathe through my nose, and then usually I'm either hungry or tired or both, and then it's like a constant, constant annoyances.
04:34:37.000It's just little shit like that, and then something will just make me just fly off, and then it fists start flying, and I start screaming, you know, so... Yeah, yeah, I think we've all been there with the thousands of small things finally, finally reaching the breaking point.
04:35:51.000Yeah base dollar says neko wafers will choke you dangerous.
04:35:55.000Yeah Purple gangster says nilla wafers and milk gang crackers rise up nillo I haven't had a nilla wafer since I was in like grade school, dude all right, but those were ubiquitous when I was growing up for whatever reason maybe it's just like a I
04:36:09.000It's one of these snack foods that you would get at, like, the baseball game.
04:36:12.000Team snack at the end of the game, or, uh... Right.
04:36:15.000Those and, uh... What's the other one?
04:36:18.000The... It's, like, the chocolate with the wafer inside.
04:40:53.000Yeah, I think looking at the remaining counties and what percentages are in from the remaining counties and looking at Biden sort of pulling ahead, I think that Biden is probably going to pull this one out, which would basically be
04:41:07.000It would basically be a pretty large stake in the heart of Bernie Sanders.
04:41:12.000But if Bernie Sanders somehow pulls out Texas, then he's looking good.
04:41:17.000But I'm looking at 100% almost across the board, aside from a few counties that are smaller counties.
04:41:25.000There's a couple of big counties that still have less than 1% in, which is... We're probably going to be looking at tomorrow, or hours from now, before we get final results.
04:41:42.000I think I've kind of exhausted all of my hot takes tonight, but just to summarize...
04:41:48.000The fact that I think most people were, or many people were expecting Bernie to do far better.
04:41:54.000Regardless of the outcome, Bernie, this has been a huge, huge defeat for Bernie.
04:41:59.000I guess more competitive than he was last year, but I think it's very obvious he's not going to get the majority that he needs to avoid a contested convention.
04:42:09.000And in the case that the convention does become, you know, contested or brokered, whatever you want to call it.
04:42:17.000Um, it's not probably not going to Bloomberg.
04:42:19.000He's, it's going to be interesting to see what he does.
04:42:21.000Um, but it's, it's basically done for Bernie's campaign.
04:42:24.000There's always the potential that he comes back.
04:42:28.000Uh, but yeah, I think, uh, I think it's, uh, you know, there's going to be a lot of co-posting from Bernie supporters, but it's, it's basically done for his campaign.
04:42:37.000So Biden versus my, my initial prediction that I once thought was, had been totally, uh, falsified proven wrong.