Trump and Haley go head-to-head in the New Hampshire primary tonight in a two-way race between Donald Trump and Nikki Haley. Who's going to win? Who's gonna win tonight? We'll find out on America First Live with Nick and Ryan as they break down the results of the first primary on Tuesday, February 2nd. Stay tuned all night for all the results and reaction from CNN, CBS, NBC, CNN, and other major news outlets as they come in and give their predictions. Tune in to America First LIVE with Ryan and Nick as they give their picks for tonight's results and give you their best guess on who will win the primary and who will lose it. You won't want to miss it! Stay tuned to the America First live stream to see who wins and who doesn't! See you in the Badger Denial Zone, where we'll be live streaming the results all night long! Vote early, vote often, and be sure to stay up to date with the results! See who's going home and who's staying up to speed on the outcome of the primary night! Thank you for listening! -Nick and Ryan -America First Live: Election Results: Who's Winning and Who's Going Home? - What's Winning & Who's Gonna Win Tonight? by Nicholas J. Fuentes - America First: Who Will Win? by Ryan & Ryan - Who Will We Be the Real Winner? (and who's Winning Tonight: Trump vs. Haley vs. by Vaynerd ? by Nikki Haley? and much, much more! by and who s gonna be the Real winner? Thanks for listening to the results from the results? & much more!! by Nick and Haley are going to be the real winner in the first presidential candidate in the second primary night of the 2020 primary? in the next round of the Democratic primary? Vote for the 2020 Democratic primary! and we'll see who's gonna come home the next one?! by: Nikki Haley & Nikki Deantis vs. Nikki Haley?? in a head to head in the other side of the field? . Vote for Trump or Deantis and see who s going to come home? or who s winning tonight! & so much more!!! & more! Vote early and early in the results are in the polls!
Transcript
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00:18:45.000We covered the Iowa caucus last week and that was the first contest.
00:18:50.000And you remember, DeSantis placed second, and a disappointing second, basically tied with Nikki Haley, and that was after he had spent all of his money in Iowa, and that was really the only state that he had any chance of winning outright.
00:19:05.000You know, there were other states where maybe he was gonna get close to Trump, or maybe he was gonna get double digits, but, I mean, Iowa, at one time, he was favored to win.
00:19:17.000And that was critical for his strategy was a outright victory meaning like he gets more votes than Trump and it didn't even come close to happening.
00:20:30.000If she was performing the best in New Hampshire, and then she got the support from Christie's voters, then that would propel her to a better finish in South Carolina, which is in several weeks, and then after that,
00:20:45.000She would begin a one versus one race with Trump and maybe she'd be competitive.
00:22:36.000But the polls close at different times throughout the day across the state, so that's why we had some votes in the morning, or in the afternoon, and then the final polls do not close until, I believe, 7 o'clock our time.
00:28:54.000I mean, that right there, that is the smoking gun, everybody.
00:28:57.000There you have a guy on CNN saying, yeah, I voted for Nikki Haley because I don't want Trump, and if it was Biden versus Nikki Haley, I'm voting for Joe Biden.
00:29:05.000That right there is evidence of crossover.
00:29:07.000This open primary system is absolutely outrageous, and it has to be retired.
00:29:20.000I think maybe that's overstated because this has been the narrative now for the last two weeks is that New Hampshire has an open primary system.
00:29:37.000Where Democrats can request a Republican ballot on Election Day.
00:29:41.000So if you're a Democrat, you can go in today and vote in the Republican primary, register as a Republican, you can cross over.
00:29:50.000And so there's been this narrative that that is going to happen in large numbers, that Independents and Democrats will turn out, and because they prefer a Biden vs. Haley matchup.
00:30:00.000Even though they may be voting for Biden, they'll vote for Haley as a vote like that guy just said against Trump.
00:30:07.000And it'll be interesting to see what the result will be tonight if that is a significant factor.
00:34:23.000The election, for many people have already called it, but some organizations are saying, you know what, let's hold off until the polls close.
00:34:31.000Election night is a night for voters to show up, and President Trump won in a historic fashion.
00:34:37.000We do know a record number of Independents and Democrats showed up tonight, and guess what?
00:34:41.000A lot of them did vote for President Trump.
00:34:44.000And Charlie and Jack, I think this is a sign that we have changed so much politically, so many Americans have decided to get involved in politics and take back the Republic, that we're no longer
00:34:56.000At that time, in that stage we were 10-15 years ago, where people could buy an election.
00:39:06.000And so the argument is that the Democrats freed up, they don't have to vote, well then they'll be participating this time in New Hampshire and they're gonna pour in and maybe swing the vote for Haley or swing the vote and create a smaller margin of victory for Trump.
00:39:31.000We knew that that is the situation, and we know that Democrats, their strategy is going to be to turn out for Haley, to try and create a Haley-Biden race, so that Trump is excluded.
00:39:45.000At the end of the day, New Hampshire is important for Haley, but it's really not important in the grand scheme of things.
00:39:51.000If they rig New Hampshire, again, like I said at the top, if they rig New Hampshire and maybe Haley stays in until Super Tuesday at the latest, if it comes down to delegates, Trump wins.
00:40:06.000Haley does not want this to turn into a race for delegates, and all you have to do is just look at the polling.
00:40:13.000Trump won a majority of the delegates in Iowa.
00:40:15.000He'll win a majority of them in New Hampshire.
00:40:17.000In Nevada next week, Trump is leading by 60 points.
00:41:39.000What they're playing for is to not get totally crushed with a 20 or 30 point defeat.
00:41:47.000And you don't win the primary that way.
00:41:50.000That would have been significant maybe when the race was full of other people, but this is now a one-on-one race.
00:41:57.000This is exactly what the establishment wanted.
00:42:00.000This was the ideal scenario from the beginning.
00:42:03.000It's less raise up an establishment candidate to face Trump head-on, and we don't have any spoiler candidates that split the anti-Trump vote.
00:43:06.000And breaking news from the decision desk of America First, we can now report from the Associated Press that Donald J. Trump has won the New Hampshire Republican primary.
00:43:19.00019% of votes reporting in as we wait for the rest of the votes to be counted.
00:43:24.000But we can report that Donald Trump will win the New Hampshire primary in a widely expected turn of events.
00:43:33.000Nikki Haley struggles to surmount Donald Trump as they head into Nevada and South Carolina.
00:46:18.000Not like electorally off-putting per se.
00:46:23.000I think that he, you know, I don't know what he exactly brings to the table other than the fact that yeah, he's from Michigan, which is a good thing.
00:46:31.000He's not his residency, but he's from Michigan, which is a swing state that I think Trump would like to win.
00:46:36.000And even though it's not technically Carson's home state, I feel like a lot of people see it that way.
00:47:30.000Well, I just saw a report that dairy New Hampshire has only a thousand Republican ballots left, which is under an hour before the polling place.
00:49:20.000And the thing I'm actually mostly concerned about here is the cash on hand that the Biden campaign has.
00:49:26.000I think they reported like $117 million they raised in the last quarter, which is a lot.
00:49:31.000And I think just to echo the point that, again, everybody's been making is the biggest concern is hemorrhaging money that could be used to fight Democrats rather than fight Republicans in this weird circular firing squad that we have going on right now.
00:51:02.000Garrett, as we have a split screen here, we're looking at the Nikki Haley watch party as well in New Hampshire.
00:51:07.000Obviously, the feeling there, not as excited, a bit dour, if you will, if we can just judge from what we're seeing, the body language, a lot of people on their phones.
00:51:14.000Garrett, was there ever a moment tonight where it seemed like Team Trump was nervous, or did they think they had this the whole time?
00:51:57.000Less so the Trump campaign, but more so the Trump candidate expected to see a similar margin in this state.
00:52:03.000I don't know that that's going to end up being the case here.
00:52:06.000So that frustration about the margin was palpable.
00:52:08.000That frustration at Chris Sununu, the New Hampshire governor, has been palpable throughout the week.
00:52:13.000But the Trump campaign, I think, never really sweated that this would be a win here.
00:52:17.000Just sort of how much of a rhetorical advantage would they get towards their argument that the primary needs to end now was sort of the one big question that they faced over the last 36 hours or so.
00:52:29.000Garrett, thank you for just joining our coverage.
00:52:31.000Former President Trump, the projected winner by NBC News of the New Hampshire primary.
00:52:36.000As soon as we get some reporting on when former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley or former President Trump will take the stage to speak in New Hampshire, we're going to bring that information to you live.
00:52:45.000We also have a team of reporters at the Haley event.
00:52:47.000Alright, so basically we're going to wait and see
00:52:52.000When they speak and what they're gonna say and we're gonna watch the votes come in 21% reporting and the margins going down so Haley's at 46 Trump 52 and margin of victory is expected to be now 11 so down from 13 it was 13 moments ago now down to 11 so we're watching for that looks like this market has closed
00:54:03.000Shylin is the same age as President Biden, telling WMUR in a one-on-one interview Sunday that she worries about both his and President Trump's mental fitness.
00:54:54.000In Manchester, New Hampshire in 2016, I went up there a few weeks actually, not four few weeks, but went up there for one or two days at a time, three separate weeks, and we did door knocking.
00:55:10.000And one of the nights, I went to Manchester, New Hampshire the night that the Pussygate tape dropped.
00:55:38.000I drove a van of people up to New Hampshire from Boston.
00:55:43.000And we pulled into our hotel, and when we got to the hotel, we went to the lobby, and it was all over the TV.
00:55:49.000It was on all the TVs in the lobby, and I was like, wait, what's going on?
00:55:54.000Like, I had no idea, because we were driving all night, so I wasn't on my phone, and we pulled into the hotel, we go into the lobby, it's everywhere, we're like, what?
00:56:03.000And we literally, the next day, had to go and knock on doors after this whole thing dropped, and basically the campaign was in free fall, because
00:56:12.000Paul Ryan made a conference call to all the Republican legislators and said, you don't need to support Trump.
00:56:18.000He said, focus on the down-ballot races.
00:56:22.000Everyone thought that maybe he would leave the ticket.
00:56:25.000There was a fear that Donald Trump would be removed from the ticket and wouldn't be the presidential nominee.
00:56:32.000And for basically like 12 or 24 hours everything was in limbo and then that evening he went on Fox News and debuted like an apology video and he apologized for the comments and I remember I wrote an article on my blog
00:57:08.000He arranged to have all of Bill Clinton's accusers meet for a press conference before the debate on the sidelines and they were even there in the audience.
00:57:18.000I think Juanita Broderick was there and a couple others.
00:57:22.000And I said, watch, he is a master of this.
00:57:59.000And when Trump said, you'd be in jail, you know, she goes, it's awfully good that someone with your temperament isn't in charge of the law.
00:58:06.000And he said, well, because you'd be in jail.
00:58:46.000Because I put money down after the RNC, because he was doing really well in the polls after the convention, and then I put a lot more money down when that happened.
00:59:00.000We had to put door hangers on and talk to voters, and they were like chasing us off the lawn because he was just on the tape saying, grab him by the pussy.
01:00:57.000Primary challenges that you're faced with Nikki Haley, and we know this is probably going to be the most expensive general election that we've ever seen in American history.
01:01:05.000The amount of a billion dollars is going to be spent against Donald Trump.
01:01:09.000Possibly a billion five, maybe even two billion spent completely against him all in.
01:01:14.000And I'm just talking in terms of direct advertising.
01:01:16.000I'm not talking about all the indirect stuff that media does.
01:01:19.000Tyler, walk me through just some of the money angles of this that the Trump campaign is looking at.
01:01:26.000Yeah, I mean, when you look at what we're up against here... Someone says, is Nikki Haley speaking right now?
01:13:10.000I want a female president with a black son-in-law and some manlit, bald, cuck husband versus the god-emperor of mankind and the sun, Alexander.
01:16:06.000I love black people as much as the next guy, but this is unacceptable.
01:16:11.000Joking about their relationship, Rena thanked him for sharing his food, watching her shows with her, and coming over to kill a cockroach because I'm scared.
01:16:20.000The couple got married at a golf resort in South Carolina.
01:17:00.000And then over here, this is what we have the privilege of.
01:17:03.000God was generous enough, even though this country has sinned and this country is abominable and aborts babies and tolerates homosexuals and transgenders, God gave us this.
01:17:17.000You know, that video made everybody mad, but it's true.
01:26:07.000She made this gaffe where she was asked about the Civil War.
01:26:09.000Somebody asked her, what was the Civil War about?
01:26:12.000And she said, well, it was about freedom.
01:26:14.000I literally think that she just doesn't know anything about the Civil War.
01:26:18.000Because a lot of people said, like on the left, they said that she was running with this, and typically, this is what Charlie Kirk is saying,
01:26:26.000In the South, they say that the Civil War was a war of Northern Aggression because the Southern states were exercising their right to secession or to have slavery or whatever.
01:26:39.000They say that it wasn't really about slavery, it was about their right to secede, and it was about the North trying to dominate the South.
01:26:49.000So Charlie Kirk is saying, oh, she tried to run with this Southern argument that the Civil War really wasn't about slavery, but that's not what... I think that she legit just doesn't know anything about the Civil War.
01:27:01.000I don't think it's... because I don't think she was even weighing in and saying, oh, it was about slavery, it wasn't about slavery.
01:27:08.000I think she legitimately just doesn't know what happened.
01:27:32.000Now, Crimea was annexed in 2014, but those aren't the four that are at stake in this war.
01:27:38.000Crimea, I mean, that's never gonna be revised.
01:27:42.000Obviously, they were talking about the two from Donbass and the two south of Donbass, which is Zaporizhzhia and Kursan.
01:27:53.000And she couldn't name a single one of them.
01:27:55.000Until I think she googled it before they brought it up again.
01:27:59.000So, I think people underestimate... I think she just didn't know anything about the Civil War.
01:28:04.000Especially because not even a decade ago she was taking down... Look, I get what you're saying.
01:28:10.000Okay, obviously I get what you're saying.
01:28:11.000But just understand, what we're seeing here is a coordinated campaign which potentially could have been in the works for quite some time.
01:28:18.000Because remember, so why did Nikki Haley just say... There's a lot of fact checks running around out there saying,
01:28:25.000Why did Nikki Haley claim that South Carolina is the next state when actually the Nevada caucus comes up between between now and South Carolina?
01:28:38.000Well, here's the thing is that Haley isn't participating in the Nevada caucus.
01:28:43.000She's participating essentially by herself in the Nevada primary.
01:30:12.000I mean, Donald Trump has already started going for the jugular with the birtherism stuff and Nikki Haley.
01:30:18.000I mean, it is going to be a bruising next month for this woman who very clearly did not want to talk about being the daughter of immigrants, did not want to talk about being the governor that took the Confederate flag down from the state capitol in the wake of the Mother Emanuel shooting.
01:30:32.000I mean, this is all stuff that I think for the general election could be, you know, important data points for Nikki Haley, but in a, in a,
01:30:39.000In a primary process where nativism and xenophobia and latent, if not explicit, racism has proven to be mana, I think it's going to get really, really ugly.
01:30:53.000We have a special member who's a big supporter who's just coming in who helps us out a lot, our friend Kirk, who also we partner on Kirk's Hot Sauce.
01:31:01.000How good is the Kirk's Hot Sauce, Tyler?
01:33:28.000I tell you, at home, I like freak out, because I have a special salsa that's from Dallas, and I have Kirk's Hot Sauce, and I put both on eggs, and it's the only thing that wakes me up.
01:36:27.000South Carolina, he has a big lead for now.
01:36:29.000One thing that I'm thinking about, and Kayleigh sort of touched on this a few minutes ago here on the program.
01:36:35.000I think that the Trump campaign and the Republican Party has to grapple with this reality that there are a lot of Republican voters who are not excited right now about nominating Donald Trump again.
01:36:46.000More of them are, but there's a substantial minority who are not.
01:36:51.000Those people are going to have to come into the fold at some point if the Republicans are going to win a general election, and I've seen a lot of people sort of dismissive of all these independents
01:37:05.000So I think just sort of giving the back of the hand to that coalition is unwise, and I think Republicans need to look at these numbers carefully.
01:37:26.000He obviously wants Nikki Haley to be the vice president.
01:37:30.000He wants her to be on the ticket because he knows that's his ticket back to the White House, a door that has been closed to him for lo these many years, since 2016, because he was hoping so much that he'd be able to get in, but then Trump, uh, he, he, you know, uh, was on the wrong side of history.
01:37:47.000He continues to be on the wrong side of history on all these issues, but now he sees a way in the same way that all these snakes see their way in.
01:38:26.000We have 75,000 live concurrence across platforms.
01:38:29.000That's amazing that we're holding steady on that, by the way.
01:38:31.000Trump will be speaking in a minute, so stay right here, we'll throw to it.
01:38:34.000You can email us freedom at charliekirk.com and I want you to tell me who you think should be the vice president.
01:38:39.000But Tyler, that's old failed conventional thinking by Guy Benson.
01:38:42.000Can you just riff on that a little bit?
01:38:43.000Look, if you research, if you actually do the research on how the left is winning elections, right?
01:38:48.000And I like to say manipulating elections.
01:38:50.000This is manipulation tactics is what they're using.
01:38:54.000But they're winning via manipulation because they're not focused on the high propensity independent.
01:39:00.000So Guy Benson is, again, when you talk about this mind virus that we're talking about, the mind virus that exists within the beltway within Washington, D.C.
01:39:09.000is that if you win the 4-4 independent, you win the election in a close election.
01:39:50.000But it's semi-open is what they call it.
01:39:53.000But Charlie is going to vote the way he's going to vote.
01:39:55.000Trying to spend money and trying to convert Charlie away, most independents actually are the way that Charlie is, which is they're a former, they already know what they're doing.
01:40:04.000Low propensity independents, low propensity people within your own party are much more likely that you can influence and get their vote out.
01:40:12.000And so Democrats have said, no, this is where he's totally wrong.
01:40:17.000It is much better... Guy Benson is wrong.
01:40:19.000Guy Benson is completely wrong because they figured out, I can cancel out every one of these high propensity, really expensive independents by chasing a low propensity independent that doesn't care at all about their ballot.
01:40:36.000Just to further your point about the whole propensity thing, I think people so often gloss over the fact that elections, by and large, are voter turnout.
01:40:46.000You've got to look at the number of people that don't vote.
01:41:03.000The Republican Party and South Carolina Senator Tim Scott walk into the ballroom as a guest of the Trump campaign.
01:41:09.000He's now about to become probably one of the most recognizable political surrogates in the country.
01:41:13.000Likewise with South Carolina's Republican governor, a Trump endorser, the other senator, Lindsey Graham, a Trump endorser, and much of their congressional delegation.
01:41:21.000They want to put Nikki Haley on an island, and that's what they're going to be doing over the next three, four weeks until the South Carolina primary, if she stays in the race that long.
01:45:45.000But when you think about South Carolina, where Trump has a double-digit lead, when you think about those Super Tuesday states, the math doesn't necessarily get better for her.
01:45:54.000In fact, you have larger swaths of voters who describe themselves as Republicans.
01:45:59.000And that's why it becomes more uphill for her.
01:46:03.000Yeah, if you were Nikki Haley, you could say, listen, New Hampshire's gonna be the electorate writ small.
01:46:08.000I did well here, but as Chuck's pointed out, she did okay, right?
01:48:16.000And if you remember, he was the, like, red-pilled producer on Tucker Carlson that got fired because I think they found him on some, uh, that forum for lawyers and he was bragging about it and said some other controversial things.
01:48:30.000So if you remember, this was a scandal maybe three or four years ago.
01:48:39.000Tucker Carlson's top writer resigns after secretly posting racist, sexist remarks in an online forum.
01:48:47.000The top writer for Fox News has for years been using a pseudonym to post bigoted remarks on an online forum that is a hotbed for racist, sexist, and offensive content.
01:48:58.000Writer Blake Neff responded to a thread
01:49:02.000By another user with the subject line, would you let a jet black Congo N-word do LASIK eye surgery on you for 50% off?
01:49:09.000Neff wrote, I wouldn't get LASIK from an Asian for free, so no.
01:49:15.000He wrote, black dudes staying inside playing Call of Duty is one of the biggest factors keeping crime down.
01:49:21.000Honestly, given how tired black people always claim to be, maybe the real crisis is their lack of sleep.
01:49:44.000I never got to the bottom of if he was red-pilled on Israel.
01:49:58.000Because something that you'll find with a lot of these Republicans is they're getting more
01:50:03.000Amenable to racism, but they will never touch anti-semitism, and that's because a lot of them are Jews.
01:50:10.000So I don't know Blake Neff, I've never talked to him, and I don't know what his position is on those things, but honestly, I wouldn't be surprised.
01:50:17.000People who participate in politics want their side to win.
01:50:20.000Very few people are real... I don't... Cheech and Chong?
01:51:01.000But I would not be surprised to tell you the truth because, again, you see that for whatever reason the conservative movement is moving closer towards race realism or some latent form of white nationalism.
01:51:15.000But they never, ever, ever touch anything related to Jews or Israel.
01:51:20.000And that's because they either receive money from Jews or they are Jews.
01:51:26.000Don't be fooled that just because they say something edgy about black people.
01:51:30.000It doesn't these days It doesn't necessarily make a person based and I would contend.
01:51:37.000I always have that Understanding the Jewish dilemma is a much more important thing than than being
01:51:49.000abrasive in the way that you talk about black people because black people realistically are not a high agency political group in America and you know they are a relatively manageable part of the population.
01:52:06.000The real thing that is off the rails that is kind of totally out of control is the Zionist Jewish subversion of America.
01:52:14.000So to say something edgy about black people it's not new
01:52:45.000The American people want to give back what they had during the... Obama and an NBC News analyst and I should mention... We appreciate your time.
01:52:57.000Thank you for joining our coverage here of the New Hampshire primary.
01:52:59.000Joining me now is Republican strategist Sarah Fagan.
01:53:02.000Why is everybody saying Trump is speaking?
01:55:54.000Jews do extraordinarily well in the three hard sciences.
01:56:10.000Jews don't like what they deride as Jew counting because it shows how highly represented Jews tend to be in the best jobs.
01:56:17.000So when the Great Awokening demands fewer whites in elite jobs, Jews get hammered.
01:56:22.000That's arithmetic, but a lot of Jews and anti-Semites won't believe it.
01:56:29.000Let's see, so what was the context here?
01:56:32.000A lot of people, both Jews and anti-Semites, believe that their feelings about Jews must dictate whether or not Jews are white in modern America.
01:56:41.000But the boring truth is that the bureaucratic logic of federal paperwork means that the recent DEI push means fewer Jews and good jobs.
01:56:49.000And this guy says, yeah, which by the way, yeah, as if.
01:56:54.000Yeah, clearly Jews are no longer influential because of DEI.
01:56:58.000That's apparent by everything we've seen over the past several months, like Elon Musk visiting Auschwitz.
01:57:04.000It's all us stupid anti-Semites that, you know, we just feel differently about it.
01:57:10.000White gays are a protected class in the state I live.
01:57:13.000If I was a betting man, I would expect a Jewish carve-out in the DEI world.
01:57:17.000Obviously both are lower in the tier system, but definitely WASPs are not even on the board.
01:57:23.000He says, well, you know, anti-Semites won't buy that.
01:57:32.000Young Jews have been getting rapidly less overrepresented in elite roles during the last decade's Great Awakening because they count as white on DEI metrics.
01:57:40.000By the way, this is... I did a whole show on this last week.
01:58:24.000The interesting thing, as we mentioned about Senator Scott here, you know, Senator Scott ran against former President Trump.
01:58:30.000I asked him why he wanted to run, and he told me he was the right person at the time.
01:58:34.000And then, interestingly enough, I haven't seen him have as much energy as since he's endorsed Trump and been on the stage with him and so excited to get behind him.
02:02:45.000Tremendous numbers of independents came out because in this state, because you have a governor that doesn't frankly know what the hell he's doing, in this state, in the Republican primary,
02:06:30.000And so you want to actually speak truth, that's the truth tonight.
02:06:34.000And the only thing they're rooting for is an ugly thing that we don't want to see happen.
02:06:39.000That's what these people are rooting for, is playing to say long enough so the Reid Hoffmans and the ugly Democratic George Soros Juniors, who are funding the lawsuits against Trump, can prop up their puppet.
02:09:43.000And over the last couple of months, if you check, and you have to remember, in 2016, they were saying, oh, what does he know about elections?
02:13:08.000The president said a double-digit win in New Hampshire, and you delivered a double-digit win for President Trump!
02:13:16.000But I'm going to invite you to my home state starting tomorrow!
02:13:23.000Where this election is over, it is time for the Republican Party to coalesce around our nominee and the next president of the United States, Donald Trump!
02:16:48.000And the good news and the reason we have such support, the best numbers I've ever had, the reason we have support is because they are so bad at what they're doing and so evil and they're destroying our country.
02:17:01.000So I want to thank, I want to thank everybody for being here.
02:19:29.000And it's like I said at the beginning, once it becomes a race for delegates, once you actually start counting the delegates, it's just over.
02:22:27.000And then he most likely would have lost New Hampshire, lost Nevada, maybe had a good finish in South Carolina, but the idea was you win in Iowa, or maybe you come close to winning, and then you hang on until Super Tuesday.
02:23:42.000But New Hampshire was the one state where she could have won.
02:23:48.000And that was the whole strategy, is do well in New Hampshire, come close to Trump, or maybe even win, and maybe that boosts you in South Carolina, and maybe you get a second wind in South Carolina, and at that point it's a two-person race, and maybe you're competing in Super Tuesday.
02:24:27.000There's no pathway where you win this.
02:24:30.000Even if you fight it through to the finish, you can show up to every state and get 30 or 40%, which you won't, but you could, and you still wouldn't win enough delegates.
02:24:41.000But I think maybe it's true what Vivek is saying.
02:24:46.000Which is, and maybe this is not true, maybe it's more sinister, but I think the play is that she's going to hang on until Trump gets charged.
02:24:59.000You know, or something bad happens to him.
02:25:01.000Obviously he's been charged, but I think that maybe Haley is remaining in the race until Trump gets removed in some way.
02:25:10.000Like either something bad happens to him personally, or he gets thrown in jail.
02:25:17.000I think maybe, because honestly, and I know that sounds unlikely, I know that sounds crazy now, but that's literally the only way that she could win at this point.
02:25:27.000Any other scenario, if you roll the dice, any scenario, from here until the end of the primary, it just gets less likely that she wins.
02:25:36.000Trump continues to accumulate delegates.
02:25:40.000I mean, she gets less and less viable every day.
02:25:43.000So, I mean, is it crazy to say that she's just waiting in the wings?
02:25:49.000And if something catastrophic happens to Trump, that she's the only one remaining, it seems like that's the only, and that sounds crazy, but that's the only timeline where she wins.
02:26:00.000There's no timeline where she beats Trump at the ballot.
02:26:03.000Like, she doesn't beat Trump in the primary.
02:26:07.000She's never gonna get more votes than him.
02:26:09.000That's just not in the, that's not in the cards.
02:26:13.000Not to mix metaphors, but it's not gonna happen.
02:26:16.000So like I said, if she doesn't get more votes than Trump in New Hampshire, and she doesn't get him in her home state of South Carolina, it doesn't happen.
02:26:26.000And that's kind of what you need to do to win, is to get more votes, eventually.
02:26:32.000So, the only playbook where she becomes the nominee, it's not where she beats him at the ballot box as if Trump, somehow,
02:28:40.000And Trump has been leading Biden since roughly November.
02:28:45.000So when she gets up there, her pitch to the voters, and again, she's not going to win, but her pitch is to say, well, Trump can't beat Biden, we don't want it to be another matchup, he can't deliver the victory.
02:28:58.000But for the last three months, Trump has been in the lead, and that's before you even look at the swing states.
02:29:06.000If you look at the swing states, which are
02:29:08.000Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Georgia, Trump is leading or tied in every single one.
02:29:17.000In Arizona, on average, Trump is up by almost 5.
02:29:21.000In Nevada, on average, Trump is up by more than 5.
02:35:45.000I honestly think that it is better to have them closed, like we talked about here today.
02:35:51.000It is silly, like I think Jack said this earlier, it is silly to allow people to register Democrats the same day just to try to mess, create chaos and mess with the election.
02:36:02.000Democrats doing this, we have their heads lopped off.
02:36:05.000I found the 2016 exit poll from New Hampshire.
02:36:08.000It was 55% Republican, 42% Independent.
02:36:11.000And Trump got exactly the same amount, 36% from both.
02:36:16.000The guy who got the big boost from indies was Kasich at the time, and the one who lost a lot was Rubio, actually.
02:36:53.000California is doing it, and it's a top-two system.
02:36:56.000So in the governor's race in California in 2018, it was a Republican and Democrat, but there was a very likely possibility that it was going to be two Democrats.
02:37:04.000So the reason you have open primaries is so that you can eventually move to, well, let's just take
02:39:11.000I voted for Nikki Haley and it was certainly a strategic vote.
02:39:15.000I think the DNC is fairly resolute in their nomination for Joe Biden.
02:39:21.000And while I wouldn't vote for her in a general election, particularly on our differences with climate change solution, a woman's right to bodily autonomy, or incarceration rates, I think a vote for Nikki Haley helps diminish Trump's influence in the RNC and their nomination, but is also a vote towards democracy.
02:39:50.000Women's rights to bodily autonomy and climate solutions and incarceration rates.
02:40:09.000This guy is gonna get raped to death his entire life by women, blacks, Jewish corporations, and he's, like, shilling for the climate and for, like, incarceration rates to go down and women's bodily autonomy.
02:40:54.000This state has been fired up for President Trump.
02:40:57.000And I think his victory tonight tells the Republican Party exactly what they need to hear.
02:41:03.000Number one, it declares the primary over because the exit polls have shown that more independents and more Democrat voters have actually voted.
02:41:49.000Talk about the ego, because I think what irks me about what we just saw, which was this super positive speech from Nikki Haley saying she's going to keep going forward, the ego of the campaign and the ego of the candidate at this point now is doing the bidding of the other side.
02:42:04.000Because they know they don't have a path, but they're going to keep doing this.
02:42:07.000And as long as they keep doing this, they're wasting money for the party.
02:44:24.000Can I ask you just like a tiny question?
02:44:30.000Do you think it's responsible for politicians to spend like a hundred million dollars in Iowa on TV ads which go to mainly news stations that have lied to us for years?
02:44:45.000When there's homeless veterans out there that could use that money?
02:44:49.000When you didn't even come close to beating Trump, and you spent like a hundred million in TV ad money?
02:44:56.000That's fine, but I'm just saying, I'm asking you... And do you know that when the media doesn't tell the truth, the whole reason you put commercials on is to tell the truth because the media doesn't?
02:45:04.000My point is, you're not going to beat Trump.
02:45:06.000And all the money you're wasting could go to better causes.
02:57:33.000Trump is getting older and simply does not have the energy to start a war with a grifting literal Nazi who would love nothing more to get the attention and extra views on YouTube.
03:03:12.000Remember I do a show every night here on Rumble and Cozy.
03:03:15.000Usually it's starting at about this time.
03:03:18.000I'm gonna be streaming tomorrow in the afternoon.
03:03:21.000I think I'll stream the Ben Shapiro Destiny Debate.
03:03:24.000Among other things, the Elon Musk Auschwitz interview.
03:03:28.000I'm gonna be doing a afternoon stream exclusively on Rumble tomorrow.
03:03:34.000So make sure you follow me on Rumble right now if you're not already.
03:03:37.000Follow me here, like the stream, and tune in tomorrow afternoon and tune into my show, which I do every weeknight and goes live at a different time every night.
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03:03:52.000So make sure to follow me here and on Cozy.TV slash Nick.