America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - Special Coverage of the 2018 California Primaries feat. Bryden

00:00:03.000 Good evening, everybody.

00:00:04.000 You are watching America First live coverage of the California primaries.

00:00:10.000 We are joined today by a good friend of mine, fellow podcaster, Bryden Proctor.

00:00:16.000 How's it going, big guy?

00:00:18.000 Oh, it's going great.

00:00:19.000 Happy to be here.

00:00:21.000 Hoping for some lockouts here.

00:00:23.000 So good to go ahead and cover the Venezuelan elections with you, man.

00:00:28.000 Yeah, no, I'm excited.

00:00:29.000 It's been a jam packed night because I had America First earlier.

00:00:34.000 Did the show, it was about an hour and a half.

00:00:37.000 Had some enchiladas, you know, fitting for the occasion for our Mexican state.

00:00:43.000 And now we're back here, and it should be a long one.

00:00:47.000 I hope it's not a long one, but typically the election coverage goes on into the night.

00:00:52.000 And we're all set up here, actually.

00:00:54.000 We've got also, if you want to look, we've got the New York Times all ready to go with the primary results.

00:01:05.000 Now, the polls closed in California at 10 o'clock.

00:01:09.000 Central time, 8 o'clock Pacific time.

00:01:12.000 But we are still waiting for the first results.

00:01:14.000 Looks like we've got, I don't know what this is all about, but I guess they only had two candidates running in that district.

00:01:22.000 So we're still waiting on some results here.

00:01:24.000 I don't think we have any right now.

00:01:27.000 But what are you thinking so far, Brian?

00:01:28.000 And what are your thoughts before we get into the analysis tonight?

00:01:32.000 More than anything, I am really looking at Steve Knight over there.

00:01:38.000 He's the last Republican in LA County.

00:01:42.000 And then Rohrbacher.

00:01:44.000 They really wanted to go after him and they've been hitting him with the whole Russia thing.

00:01:49.000 So those are the ones that are really the most interesting to me.

00:01:53.000 I mean, obviously, we want to get everything that we can and hopefully lock some of these people out.

00:01:58.000 Because for people that may not know how the.

00:02:01.000 Did you go over it all? 0.81

00:02:02.000 How the California crazy jungle primaries work? 1.00

00:02:06.000 Of course.

00:02:07.000 The jungle primary.

00:02:10.000 Yeah, it's just the top two.

00:02:12.000 Guys, so it doesn't matter the party, uh, it's the top two, and this is something that they uh they started in California and federal elections in 2012, and then in uh 2016, they had seven congressional districts that were just two Democrats running against each other, they didn't have anything where it was Republicans, so I wonder why they might have done that.

00:02:34.000 Uh, it's just a mystery to me with these uh slimy California uh Democrats, but uh, hopefully.

00:02:43.000 You know, we're going to see some lockouts there and we'll get some Republicans because the Trump movement there is just a lot better than, you know, what McCain or I'm sorry, not McCain, you know, Romney.

00:02:57.000 You know, you weren't going to get the same enthusiasm for him.

00:03:06.000 Let me go in here and check.

00:03:07.000 I feel like there's people are telling me there's issues with the audio.

00:03:11.000 People are being very mean about it too, but.

00:03:14.000 I don't know what the issue seems to be.

00:03:16.000 Is it an echo?

00:03:18.000 I don't understand what the deal is here.

00:03:21.000 Your guest volume is much lower than Nick's.

00:03:25.000 It looked fine to me, TBH.

00:03:27.000 Let me do this so that it'll hopefully be fixed.

00:03:31.000 But we'll see.

00:03:32.000 I'll keep an eye on that and we'll see.

00:03:34.000 No sound.

00:03:35.000 Yeah, okay.

00:03:37.000 I have to open it up in a new tab because in the live, it's hard to communicate what's on the screen, in short.

00:03:45.000 But let's see.

00:03:46.000 Let me pull it up on the live chat.

00:03:48.000 It looks like we're all right.

00:03:48.000 Okay, so people are saying it's fixed.

00:03:50.000 We're good now.

00:03:51.000 But, yeah, no, the feature of this primary, which makes it different from special elections and other primaries, is the jungle primary feature, which, like you said, it's the top two vote-getters who face off in a general.

00:04:05.000 And just to explain that a little bit more thoroughly, this was actually put on the ballot in 2010.

00:04:13.000 It was a ballot measure in 2010, went into effect in 2012.

00:04:17.000 And the point of it was to prevent polarization.

00:04:20.000 The thought was that.

00:04:21.000 If instead of having it like a Republican primary and a Democratic primary, like for other states, if it was just everybody was on the same ballot, they said it would prevent conservatives from going really far to the right to appeal to conservatives and Democrats going really far to the left to appeal to liberals.

00:04:40.000 And instead, everybody would just be competing in the same primary.

00:04:43.000 But of course, now you have a big.

00:04:47.000 People are now telling me I'm too quiet.

00:04:51.000 Ah, great.

00:04:52.000 Epic.

00:04:52.000 I love it.

00:04:53.000 I love it.

00:04:54.000 Plugged in, people are telling me, like, oh, you got to do this, you got to do that.

00:04:54.000 Here it's.

00:04:58.000 You don't know.

00:05:00.000 Here, let me see if I can adjust it.

00:05:07.000 Now I'm too quiet.

00:05:08.000 How about I just yell?

00:05:09.000 How's that?

00:05:10.000 No, just kidding.

00:05:13.000 So it should be working just fine.

00:05:16.000 Maybe if I turn the gain up a little bit.

00:05:19.000 People are very fickle.

00:05:24.000 Just listen to the content.

00:05:25.000 Fixed.

00:05:26.000 People say it's fixed.

00:05:27.000 When they say it's not fixed, pick one.

00:05:30.000 But so the point is with the jungle primary, they're all on the same ballot, and it's supposed to be everyone's appealing to the same votes.

00:05:38.000 And as I was saying, some say it succeeded because you have Republicans and Democrats.

00:05:45.000 They're not going all over the place.

00:05:48.000 People say it's failed because it keeps cutting out.

00:05:52.000 You're fixing it for a sec, then it goes back to not fixed, not fixed. 0.89

00:05:56.000 That's actually true.

00:05:58.000 You've cut out a couple of times here.

00:06:00.000 I don't know what it's.

00:06:01.000 Could be.

00:06:02.000 I mean, you see, the microphone isn't going anywhere.

00:06:05.000 I'm about to hang myself with my mouse code here.

00:06:09.000 I'm losing it.

00:06:10.000 Let's take a look.

00:06:11.000 Yeah, too much content today.

00:06:12.000 I'm on content overload.

00:06:15.000 I shouldn't be cutting out.

00:06:15.000 Cutting out.

00:06:17.000 It doesn't say I'm cutting out.

00:06:19.000 Let's see.

00:06:22.000 Okay.

00:06:24.000 You know what?

00:06:25.000 Here.

00:06:25.000 Oh, I know what I'll do.

00:06:27.000 Let me try this.

00:06:28.000 Let me try this.

00:06:29.000 I will incorporate the headset mic for Google Hangouts.

00:06:36.000 And we'll see if that'll fix it.

00:06:39.000 Okay, Bryden, can you still hear me?

00:06:42.000 I can still hear you, yeah.

00:06:43.000 Okay, now let's see.

00:06:44.000 It's fine.

00:06:45.000 Fix it later.

00:06:45.000 You unplug the wire.

00:06:46.000 I didn't, dopey. 0.81

00:06:50.000 Disable the headset, mic, and windows. 0.69

00:06:52.000 The mic.

00:06:53.000 Fix the mic.

00:06:54.000 Plug it in.

00:06:54.000 Not fixed.

00:06:56.000 Is it fixed?

00:06:57.000 Just tell me if it's fixed.

00:06:57.000 Is it good?

00:07:02.000 Yeah, all this boomer advice.

00:07:03.000 Plug it in. 0.99

00:07:04.000 It's not going to work, dopey. 0.95

00:07:06.000 It's worse, they say. 0.93

00:07:09.000 Look the cable. 0.99

00:07:10.000 What the fuck does that mean? 0.99

00:07:11.000 Look the cable. 0.99

00:07:15.000 Language.

00:07:16.000 I hate the audience.

00:07:18.000 I hate the audience.

00:07:21.000 We're off to a great start here on America First primary coverage.

00:07:27.000 I'll undo what I just did.

00:07:28.000 Let me go back.

00:07:31.000 Let me go back to what I was doing before.

00:07:37.000 Oh.

00:07:38.000 It's fine.

00:07:39.000 Right here only.

00:07:40.000 Not fixed.

00:07:41.000 LMAO fixed.

00:07:43.000 Okay, I think people are just trolling me now at this point, so let's just get into it here.

00:07:53.000 I don't know what's going on.

00:07:54.000 Bad cable.

00:07:55.000 That's not what's wrong. 1.00

00:07:55.000 Retard. 1.00

00:07:57.000 Bad cable. 1.00

00:07:59.000 I'm using the same cable that I was using.

00:08:07.000 It's hard.

00:08:08.000 Bad cable. 0.99

00:08:09.000 Like, you fucking know. 0.99

00:08:13.000 Oh, boy. 1.00

00:08:15.000 Oh, boy.

00:08:15.000 Epic start.

00:08:17.000 So, anyway, why don't you say something now?

00:08:22.000 Well, yeah, so really, ultimately, what we have gotten because, really, because of the whole Trump thing was a whole bunch of Democrats, people voting just down card Democrat, just all around, because they hated Trump so much.

00:08:42.000 And you're left with the really far left people, honestly, in.

00:08:49.000 Government in California.

00:08:51.000 So the jungle primary, I don't think that it should be a thing at all, but we can use it to our advantage because so many Democrats this go around have just been running for various seats that we can split that up.

00:09:07.000 And if there's only one Republican, if none of them get anything, that's great.

00:09:13.000 They'll end up with somebody either not too strong, hopefully, or if we have a couple Republicans there, then they just won't be able to participate at all in the general.

00:09:22.000 And that's kind of what we're hoping for.

00:11:56.000 I can hear you.

00:11:58.000 I don't think they can.

00:12:11.000 That's a live show for you. 1.00

00:12:17.000 So dumb. 1.00

00:12:18.000 I turned off my mic. 1.00

00:12:18.000 I'm so dumb. 1.00

00:12:20.000 That was why. 0.97

00:12:21.000 I turned it off so you could speak, and I forgot to turn it back on.

00:12:25.000 No one to blame for that one, but myself.

00:12:28.000 That's a shame.

00:12:30.000 That's a shame.

00:12:30.000 Are we back now?

00:12:33.000 Now we can hear you.

00:12:34.000 You were muted the entire time.

00:12:35.000 Yeah, I know.

00:12:36.000 I know, genius.

00:12:38.000 You noticed finally.

00:12:39.000 Dislike the vid until he notices.

00:12:40.000 Yeah, no, don't do that.

00:12:44.000 So, anyway, as on Bryden, it's unfortunate that you're going to have to hear this twice, but the point that I just made was basically reiterating Bryden's point, which is that because of simple math in the jungle primary, in a lot of these districts, the ratio of Democratic candidates to Republican candidates is such that Republicans have a structural advantage because if there's less Republicans than Democrats, they're going to get a larger.

00:12:44.000 Okay.

00:13:11.000 Share of the vote.

00:13:13.000 So, for example, in the ones that we're looking at where this is a possibility, the 39th, the 48th, and the 49th districts, in the 39th district, for example, you'll have eight Democrats running and six Republicans running.

00:13:27.000 Because there's more Democrats than Republicans and they're on the same ticket, you're going to have Republicans, excuse me, by default, basically getting a larger share of the vote.

00:13:37.000 And so we have a real opportunity.

00:13:39.000 One of the big things we're looking for is where Republicans can just completely shut out Democrats from the general.

00:13:45.000 Where, if Republicans can be the top vote getters, that doesn't mean they get a majority.

00:13:49.000 That just simply means they get a plurality and then the next biggest.

00:13:53.000 We could completely shut Democrats out.

00:13:55.000 And of course, this is important.

00:13:58.000 We're looking at these 10 races, and why this is such a big deal is because there's only 23 seats that are standing between the Democrats and a majority in the House.

00:14:10.000 They only have to flip 23 Republican seats.

00:14:13.000 And so you look at a state like California where there's Eight, nine, ten seats up for grabs.

00:14:18.000 If they pick up all nine, they're halfway, they're almost halfway to controlling the House.

00:14:24.000 If they pick up six, they're a quarter of the way there.

00:14:26.000 So that's why, in just one single state, there's a lot at stake here, and that's why we're looking at it.

00:14:32.000 But that's, of course, not the only thing we're looking for.

00:14:35.000 The other big thing we're looking for, let me get this out of my way, too, because we don't need this.

00:14:40.000 The other big thing that we're looking for is this progressive and establishment split in the Democratic Party, which we saw.

00:14:47.000 A lot of this in Texas in the primaries.

00:14:49.000 We saw some of this in the earlier primaries earlier on in the month.

00:14:54.000 But this is really something that's been metastasizing this year and has been since the Bernie Sanders issue in the primary, which is this cleavage in the Democratic Party between the ideological progressives and the establishment moneyed type people. 0.51

00:15:11.000 And the big problem here is, of course, the young people, the minorities, the super far left people, they break towards very.

00:15:19.000 Well, I don't want to say extremist, but a much more principled position than the more pragmatic elements that are in the establishment. 0.97

00:15:25.000 And you saw this in the Texas primary, split the vote in several elections.

00:15:30.000 And I think you'll see this in the California one as well.

00:15:32.000 And it'll be interesting to see the turnout, but also to see how the Democrats break.

00:15:38.000 Will they go towards progressives?

00:15:39.000 Will they go towards the establishment candidates?

00:15:42.000 And how much overlap will there be between the two groups?

00:15:48.000 And what do you think about that?

00:15:49.000 I'll pull up the New York Times as you respond to that.

00:15:53.000 Sure.

00:15:53.000 They're telling you that it's the sounds not working.

00:15:59.000 But yeah, as far as the split between the kind of hyper progressive and the just more establishment types, I don't think you're going to see as much of that in the Southern districts, the Orange County districts.

00:16:17.000 Just even looking at the 39th, for example, even the Republican that we have down there that is.

00:16:23.000 It looks pretty likely, is young Kim. 0.99

00:16:26.000 She's a pro DACA immigrant person.

00:16:29.000 And then you have with the Democrats, this guy.

00:16:33.000 This is one of the funnier districts because it is open now because Ed Royce retired.

00:16:40.000 Gil Ciceros is the Democrat running down there, and he's a millionaire because he won the lottery.

00:16:49.000 And he just won the lottery back in 2010.

00:16:51.000 And the guy that he's running it against is some other millionaire.

00:16:53.000 His name is Andy Thornburn.

00:16:55.000 And the only thing that I have written about him.

00:16:57.000 Is Black Wife because he really plays that.

00:17:05.000 That's a lot has been spent down there, though, just to try to fight young Kim, who is a pro DACA person, but it's only 34% white, 32% Hispanic, and then there's a lot of Asians because it's Orange County. 0.78

00:17:20.000 But that one has been a real, real dirty campaign. 0.76

00:17:27.000 I'm not seeing as much of a split with the.

00:17:31.000 Everybody seems too liberal in California to me.

00:17:34.000 I mean, you've got any of these guys, they're all kind of running on the open borders, no wall, yay, DACA, let them all in platforms.

00:17:44.000 So, and you know, they're going to tax you to death.

00:17:46.000 I mean, they always do that.

00:17:47.000 A lot of them come right out of state government, and that's all they're about in California.

00:17:54.000 I've got the firsthand experience with that.

00:17:55.000 It's a nightmare.

00:17:57.000 Yeah.

00:17:58.000 No, that's a good point when you say it's almost like a different dimension with California in terms of.

00:17:58.000 Yeah.

00:18:04.000 In terms of liberal, you know, like we think what's too liberal, and well, you're in Ohio, and of course, that's obviously very different than the kinds of people that are in Orange County that are in LA.

00:18:14.000 And really, I think this is one of the races where, or this is one of the states where demographics is going to be really key, you know, specifically on issues like immigration.

00:18:24.000 You know, this is like a bizarro world where most of the Republican Party, most of the country is basically one way on immigration, and you look at some of these districts where they're over 50% Hispanic or there's a plurality of Hispanics, and Immigration is obviously going to play very differently for these kind of candidates than they are in some of the other states.

00:18:43.000 And that's why this one's kind of interesting because the conventional logic that we heard in the Pennsylvania special election was to nationalize these state races, make them about national issues, make them about the tax cuts, make them about Trump. 0.79

00:19:00.000 And in a state like Pennsylvania, that's probably a good idea.

00:19:03.000 In a state like Ohio, that's a good idea.

00:19:06.000 In the Midwest, in the South, You know, that's probably going to be your best bet.

00:19:10.000 In California, it's a little bit different.

00:19:12.000 You know, even in Pennsylvania, they said, don't make it about economics, make it about immigration.

00:19:16.000 Well, that's a little bit of a challenge in some of these districts where it's either they break a little bit for the left or a lot of it for the left.

00:19:23.000 You know, they vary in terms of these contested races from going one point over to the left to 16 points over to the left.

00:19:31.000 You know, a lot of these districts were won by Hillary Clinton in 2016.

00:19:35.000 And so, in many ways, these races kind of present a challenge for not just the Democratic Party, but for the GOP.

00:19:42.000 You know, we talk a lot about the cleavage, at least I have talked a lot about the cleavage in the Democratic Party between left and, you know, different varying degrees of left and establishment.

00:19:54.000 But you also see this in the right, where in many states across the country, the conventional wisdom just won't apply in a lot of these districts.

00:20:02.000 And that's where it's really going to come down to the local politics.

00:20:06.000 It's really going to come down to the actual contenders in the race as opposed to the more national trends, the more global trends going on.

00:20:14.000 And so it'll be interesting to see.

00:20:17.000 What kind of candidates will prevail on both sides, how this will change the face of the party.

00:20:23.000 And it looks like we're getting some early numbers here.

00:20:27.000 I'm not seeing any for the congressional races, but for Senate, it looks like we've got, let's see what the percentage is 3% reporting.

00:20:37.000 And hey, our friend Patrick Little is actually pulling ahead with 1.8%.

00:20:44.000 So he is on his way to becoming Fuhrer, but sadly, we're not quite there.

00:20:50.000 Dianne Feinstein's up there with 40%.

00:20:53.000 Behind her is James Bradley with 10%, followed by Kevin DeLeon, 6%.

00:20:59.000 Whoa.

00:21:00.000 Yeah, which is interesting at this point.

00:21:05.000 It looks like it's a lot of Western California coming in right now and not so much the Eastern portion, so maybe that explains it.

00:21:13.000 But a little bit of an upset that the Republicans are number two right now, right?

00:21:18.000 Yeah, Kevin DeLeon, I mean, obviously nobody is going to beat Feinstein.

00:21:22.000 Feinstein at all.

00:21:24.000 She's going to be there for her last term, and we can't wait to see you go, Diane.

00:21:29.000 We really can't.

00:21:30.000 But James Bradley really hasn't even raised that much money.

00:21:35.000 Old Kevin has been a known name over there in California for a while. 0.94

00:21:41.000 And I figured this was, for lack of a better word, sort of a shit test to see if he had any future after she was gone.

00:21:49.000 So that'd be really interesting if James Bradley could make it to the general there. 0.95

00:21:56.000 Yeah, that would be a big one.

00:21:57.000 You know, we're still plagued by audio issues.

00:22:01.000 You know, let me just try this for a sec.

00:22:03.000 How about I'm going to introduce a pretty daring strategy here, if you will.

00:22:10.000 You know, it's going to be, I'm going to lay it all on the line here.

00:22:14.000 We got a lot going on.

00:22:16.000 Here we go.

00:22:56.000 Hehehehe, Thank

00:25:40.000 you.

00:25:55.000 Yeah, absolutely.

00:25:56.000 And even, I mean, just with these early numbers, 3% reporting in, you know, John Cox, this is mostly, you know, like San Bernardino County is a big one, Riverside County, Fresno County, already just faring a little bit better than I thought.

00:26:14.000 I'm not sure if we should really care too much about the governor race.

00:26:18.000 I think it's just going to end up being Gavin Newsom.

00:26:21.000 But I am just happy that Antonio Villarigosa.

00:26:26.000 The former mayor of LA, who I do not like in the least bit.

00:26:29.000 I always called him mayor photo shoot because he never did anything, but he hung out with celebrities and went to movie premieres and everything.

00:26:36.000 They spent a lot just at the end trying to get anything out of him. 0.90

00:26:42.000 So, I mean, a part of me is like, all right, I just like watching Hispanics get BTFO'd, but this guy, it's a little personal. 0.97

00:26:58.000 It looks like my audio fix didn't work, which is puzzling to me because it's telling me that the sound is working, but it's not coming through, I guess. 0.55

00:27:11.000 Oh, no.

00:27:12.000 Which is.

00:27:14.000 Hi, welcome to America First.

00:27:16.000 I'm your new host, Bryden.

00:27:19.000 I don't know.

00:27:20.000 Here, let me just, you know, let me.

00:27:24.000 Here. 0.99

00:27:26.000 What a fucking stream, right? 1.00

00:27:28.000 It's epic. 1.00

00:27:31.000 I love the life that I live.

00:27:33.000 You can read off some different stuff here while we're waiting.

00:27:37.000 In the 10th district, which was actually listed as a toss up by the Cook Political Report, with 30% reporting in Jeff Denham as at 38.3%.

00:27:52.000 So that is a big split that we're seeing with Josh Harder, Ted Housy, Sue, I can't pronounce that last name, Michael Eggman.

00:28:01.000 These are 15%, 13%, 10%, 10%, 8%.

00:28:06.000 And That's the split that we're looking for.

00:28:08.000 The Democrats really shot themselves in the foot here with Jeff Denham is not particularly the guy that we want.

00:28:18.000 He wants DACA.

00:28:20.000 You got to understand that.

00:28:21.000 He actually co sponsored the DREAM Act and a bunch of other things.

00:28:26.000 But Michael Eggman, who only has 10% right here, he lost to Denham in 2016 by three points. 0.78

00:28:37.000 So, This is good news here.

00:28:39.000 And I think that shows a lot about how California is a little sick of the Democrats.

00:28:48.000 We've seen this with, I believe it was San Bernardino and a few other places that are now helping the DOJ sue the state of California.

00:29:02.000 There's a lot of upset people in California.

00:29:06.000 I mean, and that comes from they made a mistake.

00:29:09.000 They did vote down card Democrat.

00:29:11.000 And Orange County, which.

00:29:12.000 Was and still is pretty right wing.

00:29:15.000 It's a pretty red territory.

00:29:18.000 It went pretty left in 2016.

00:29:21.000 And then they started raising all the taxes in the state, and all the rich people were like, whoa, hey, hold on.

00:29:27.000 Enough of that.

00:29:28.000 So, this is some cool stuff, I think.

00:29:31.000 I want to see more splits like that.

00:29:33.000 Nick, you good?

00:29:34.000 Yeah, it looks like we're all together.

00:29:36.000 Looks like we fixed it.

00:29:39.000 People are saying it looks good.

00:29:41.000 So.

00:29:43.000 Excellent.

00:29:44.000 Excellent.

00:29:45.000 But yeah, no, I caught the tail end of that about these splits.

00:29:49.000 And it looks like we're seeing.

00:29:51.000 Actually, why don't we transition over here?

00:29:54.000 I'm not even going to transition into a different scene.

00:29:56.000 I'm just going to put it up on this window here so that we don't risk jamming anything up against.

00:30:06.000 Let me just whip this out here from the New York Times.

00:30:11.000 And here we are.

00:30:13.000 So it looks like we got more of the vote coming in, more for Senate.

00:30:18.000 We've got, we're up to, well, it's still 3%, but we got some more votes.

00:30:22.000 Governor, we've got some coming in now.

00:30:25.000 And it also looks like the congressional races are trickling in as well.

00:30:28.000 And I just want to clarify which ones we're going to be watching.

00:30:31.000 I don't think I covered this completely.

00:30:35.000 So the ones that we're watching are the 10th District, the 25th District, the 39th, the 48th, the 49th.

00:30:43.000 These are all toss up Republicans.

00:30:44.000 So these are going to be the most contested.

00:30:46.000 10, 25, 39, 48, 49.

00:30:49.000 The ones that lean Republican are 21 and 45.

00:30:53.000 And the ones that are likely Republicans, these are the safest, but still kind of toss up, are number four and 50.

00:31:00.000 So we're going to look and see.

00:31:02.000 So the first one, in terms of numerical order here, is we got House District number four.

00:31:07.000 And it looks like already with 1% reporting, Tom McClintock, who is the incumbent, is running away with it.

00:31:15.000 68% right now.

00:31:17.000 A little early to tell, of course.

00:31:20.000 And this one is likely Republican, so this would be the safest out of the races we're looking at tonight.

00:31:24.000 But nevertheless, Looks like we're at a solid start for McClintock.

00:31:31.000 We're going to keep scrolling here and we're going to check in on the next one numerically, which would be number 10.

00:31:37.000 And so it looks like we've got the race you were just talking about.

00:31:40.000 Jeff Denham here, who's got 38% pulling in the lead here.

00:31:45.000 Behind him is Josh Harder, a Democrat, and Ted Howes is in a close third there.

00:31:51.000 But this one looks like it's pretty tight.

00:31:53.000 This one is toss up Republican, so this one will be.

00:31:57.000 Kind of a gamble.

00:31:58.000 This one, this race in particular, not as much as 39, 40, and 49, but California 10 is one that could be where Republicans could shut out the Democrats.

00:32:11.000 If Ted over here, Howes, is it?

00:32:13.000 Howsie?

00:32:14.000 I don't know. 1.00

00:32:15.000 But if Ted here can overcome and he can pull into second, then of course they shut out.

00:32:19.000 And actually, this is the Republicans here.

00:32:23.000 What's interesting, and I think you were just talking about this, the dichotomy here in the Republicans is immigration.

00:32:30.000 Where this guy is a much more hardline immigration candidate, and Denim is a much more moderate.

00:32:38.000 Moderate, nothing, man.

00:32:39.000 He co sponsored the DVD.

00:32:41.000 I'm sorry, did I flip-flop these?

00:32:44.000 No, I think moderate is being nice about things.

00:32:50.000 This is your let-em-all-in type of guy.

00:32:52.000 Oh, yeah, right, right. 0.98

00:32:53.000 You've got to consider, and I'm pretty sure this district is more than 50% Hispanic, so it's a tough line to walk here. 0.99

00:33:05.000 40.1%. 0.76

00:33:07.000 Okay, so, but still, you know, still obviously a big percentage there.

00:33:12.000 So we'll see what happens there.

00:33:14.000 The next one numerically we're looking at is, next one we're looking at is number 21.

00:33:20.000 And let's see what we've got working over here.

00:33:23.000 So it looks like, is this one only two candidates?

00:33:27.000 Yeah, no, I don't think 21. 0.94

00:33:29.000 Okay, well, 538 has given me a pretty shit list over here, but we'll pull over that into. 0.77

00:33:35.000 The 25 here, where we've got Steve Knight. 0.95

00:33:40.000 They just want you to look at that one.

00:33:41.000 They're like, look at this one.

00:33:42.000 See, we got a Democrat in there.

00:33:44.000 It's great.

00:33:45.000 I think that's just for the general election.

00:33:47.000 Maybe they give it a leans Republican rating, right?

00:33:51.000 The next one we're looking at is 25.

00:33:53.000 That's the one where Steve Knight is the incumbent.

00:33:56.000 So far, it looks like we're doing well.

00:33:58.000 It's tough to say that.

00:33:59.000 It's always tough when we do the live election coverage because it's like we get 0.1% of the vote in.

00:34:05.000 Of course, it changes.

00:34:06.000 But right now, it looks like Steve Knight's doing well.

00:34:09.000 And I don't know, maybe it's just because of the districts that have reported early, but it looks like in just about all the ones we're looking at so far, Republicans are in pretty good shape, right?

00:34:21.000 Yeah, I'm a little more than pleased.

00:34:25.000 I know that we should be optimistic.

00:34:28.000 Things do look good.

00:34:30.000 I know the blue wave is a myth, but something we're always going to have to remember here is a lot of these aren't going to be finished tonight, and they're going to find the votes with all of those absentee ballots that they have because.

00:34:43.000 Their excuse is, well, a lot of them don't have steady addresses. 0.71

00:34:47.000 You're like, oh, they're losers, then I understand.

00:34:50.000 But there's already on Twitter a photo of an unlocked ballot box, and we know how these people work. 0.82

00:34:57.000 They'll find the votes if they're not going to van people in, if they're not going to bust them in, they'll find the votes in absentee ballots.

00:35:05.000 So that's why every time that we win anything anywhere, it has to be a blowout.

00:35:11.000 It can't be within a few points because one, they're going to claim that we cheated, and two, they'll just find the votes.

00:35:18.000 They always do it.

00:35:19.000 I hate to be that guy, but.

00:35:22.000 You're right.

00:35:22.000 No, you're right.

00:35:23.000 And that's, I think we saw that in Alabama in a big way, right?

00:35:27.000 I mean, we saw in Alabama a Democrat turnaround.

00:35:32.000 Well, not so much a turnaround, but they got almost 100% of the votes they got in 2016, which is outrageous. 0.68

00:35:40.000 The proportion of blacks voting in that election was higher than it was in 2012 when Barack Obama was on the ticket. 0.74

00:35:47.000 So, of course, Democrats do this. 0.54

00:35:49.000 Of course, they're going to steal it.

00:35:51.000 And in these Democrat strongholds, Of course, they're going to do it.

00:35:55.000 And they've been doing it for like 100 years.

00:35:58.000 So I hear you.

00:36:00.000 And they will find the votes.

00:36:01.000 A lot of these will carry on into the night.

00:36:05.000 And so we'll see what happens.

00:36:07.000 I'm cautiously optimistic about it.

00:36:09.000 Lately, the numbers from the generic ballot polling have been good, they've been really exceptional when you compare them to what they were like three or four months ago.

00:36:21.000 And so this primary is kind of where the rubber hits the road primary season is in full swing now.

00:36:27.000 Time is beginning to run out.

00:36:29.000 You know, we are in June, so the election is upon us.

00:36:33.000 Three or four months ago, when we were talking about Pennsylvania, it was, I think, a little bit easier to say, well, there's a lot more time between now and the election.

00:36:41.000 Now we're there, basically.

00:36:44.000 And there's not a lot of time left.

00:36:45.000 So this is really where the rubber hits the road.

00:36:48.000 And we'll see not only kind of like a status report, but we'll also see how the polling numbers square with the reality, right?

00:36:56.000 So we hear this blue wave talk, and like three months ago, that made sense when.

00:37:01.000 They had a 10 point advantage in the generic polling.

00:37:04.000 But now they only have four points, or in some polls, they're within the margin of error.

00:37:09.000 And so now I think it's a good time to see how strong is the blue wave?

00:37:13.000 Where is the country right now?

00:37:16.000 Will the blue wave be depressed because of the economy?

00:37:19.000 Will Republican turnout be inflated because of the economy?

00:37:22.000 I mean, where are we really at?

00:37:24.000 So I think it's, you know, all these races are important in and of themselves for reasons we talked about earlier, and they differentiate a lot from where the nation is.

00:37:33.000 But.

00:37:34.000 Still, I think it'll be a pretty good litmus test.

00:37:38.000 And let's see.

00:37:39.000 I'm going to take some super chats here in a moment, and then we'll do another check on the numbers.

00:37:46.000 So, you know, this is actually probably a great way to extort people for super chats because people donate money to complain about the audio.

00:37:56.000 The sound doesn't work.

00:37:57.000 Can you turn it on?

00:37:58.000 Yeah, so it's actually like a very sick way for me to extort money from you, where it's like, oy vey, the audio doesn't work.

00:38:06.000 I guess you have to.

00:38:08.000 Throw money at me.

00:38:09.000 So, somebody's saying bad cable.

00:38:12.000 You have no audio.

00:38:13.000 The fitting that connects to the Yeti is old and loose.

00:38:17.000 Cable input is loose.

00:38:18.000 It's fixed, he says.

00:38:20.000 And here we go.

00:38:20.000 We have a super chat from Aiden, which says Patrick Little spurred out and made himself permanently unemployable to get 2% of the vote.

00:38:28.000 Good job, guys.

00:38:30.000 Well, and let's talk about Patrick Little for a moment while the super chat is here, while we're on the subject.

00:38:37.000 And of course, Patrick Little was the outspoken.

00:38:40.000 Who is against Jewish supremacy, former Marine, and now he's running for Senate.

00:38:46.000 And what's your take?

00:38:47.000 I've talked about him at length this week and last week.

00:38:50.000 What do you think about Mr. Little?

00:38:54.000 I've interviewed him before.

00:38:56.000 I've talked to him on a few different occasions, and I think he's very sincere in what he's doing.

00:39:01.000 However, I think the spurgery of that one fluke poll where he got 18% or whatever, which is they polled like 1,000 people and only 400 were likely voters.

00:39:17.000 I mean, it was just a really weird poll, and it was used by the media, which we know.

00:39:21.000 You know, the lying left wing papers and all of that.

00:39:27.000 I think it was an effort to try to motivate the base, being like, look, look, Nazis, they're running, they're running. 0.94

00:39:34.000 And they're perfectly fine with pedophiles running in Virginia.

00:39:37.000 But I think it was an attempt to motivate the base.

00:39:40.000 Now, as far as him being permanently unemployable, he's independently wealthy.

00:39:45.000 He hasn't taken any donations.

00:39:48.000 So, I mean, he's got that going for him.

00:39:50.000 But clearly, he's not going to win anything tonight.

00:39:52.000 And I think he might have called, hopefully he didn't.

00:39:57.000 He could have caused more harm than good.

00:40:00.000 I think if you're going to do something like that, you should run as a Democrat. 0.59

00:40:03.000 If you just want to go out there and be a loony, run as a Democrat, man.

00:40:08.000 That would be really funny to me.

00:40:10.000 Yeah. 1.00

00:40:11.000 Well, I mean, this is, I think, kind of the big issue with our fasci goy friends, the totally pure, ideologically pure people. 0.99

00:40:23.000 The big problem is, of course. 1.00

00:40:25.000 They're elevated and they almost serve as instruments of the left.

00:40:29.000 And this is something that people didn't want to hear about earlier on, like after Charlottesville and during the election.

00:40:37.000 The thought that maybe we're not on the verge of taking over the country.

00:40:44.000 Maybe the left is just using us to create a certain narrative about Trump and about Trump's base and about the country. 0.68

00:40:51.000 And of course, I think as we've seen the Whig NAT, like white nationalist movement play out, the alt right play out. 0.75

00:40:58.000 I think we've seen that that's basically the only function that they served. 0.85

00:41:02.000 And so you're right.

00:41:03.000 It all started with that poll where, and it was a total fluke.

00:41:06.000 He got something like 18%.

00:41:08.000 And of course, this was because it was Dianne Feinstein, it was Leon, and then it was him and one other Republican.

00:41:15.000 And so if it's four options and you're one of the Republicans, that you get 18% with the, you know, not great name recognition is not really a surprise.

00:41:24.000 Of course, they did another poll and he got 0%.

00:41:27.000 Some say his name wasn't on that poll, but nevertheless, I mean, If his name's not on the poll, I mean, are people going to pull the lever for him enthusiastically?

00:41:35.000 Probably not, right?

00:41:36.000 And so that, I think, motivated a lot of the enthusiasm that propelled him into the spotlight.

00:41:45.000 But, like you said, of course, I think this was a lot more about the left creating a narrative about what the Republicans are as opposed to, you know, this ascendant white nationalist electorate in California, which we had just never heard about.

00:41:59.000 And it's unfortunate because he talked about issues that are important the USS Liberty.

00:42:05.000 The Israel lobby, the Jewish lobby.

00:42:07.000 I mean, these things are real and these things are important and we should talk about them. 0.76

00:42:12.000 But we have to talk about them with tact.

00:42:14.000 We have to talk about them strategically.

00:42:16.000 And also, it's really not the place of a candidate to talk about these issues.

00:42:21.000 You know, save it for a podcast host, save it for a political activist, you know.

00:42:27.000 But when you're running for office, your job is to get elected, your job is to win votes.

00:42:33.000 And so I think that's maybe the big misconception where people say, oh, Nick doesn't like Patrick Little.

00:42:39.000 I don't even know Patrick Little, so I shouldn't say I don't like him, but they'll say, you know, Nick isn't gung ho about Pat Little.

00:42:45.000 That means that he is a shill or that means that he doesn't know about these issues or whatever.

00:42:51.000 I think it's actually quite the opposite. 0.89

00:42:53.000 We care about the same issues, but it's just a question of the time and the place and also the how, because how we talk about the issues is almost just as important.

00:43:02.000 So, whereas he goes on television for the media and talks about, you know, in all the most extreme ways where the media is saying, like, oh, yeah, we love.

00:43:12.000 We love when you talk about it that way.

00:43:14.000 It's very unfortunate for people that are trying to make some of these issues palatable because there is truth to them.

00:43:21.000 Is that fair?

00:43:21.000 Oh, yeah.

00:43:22.000 Yeah, I think that's completely fair.

00:43:24.000 I mean, now he didn't pay for it.

00:43:26.000 I'm not sure if you ever heard the robocall, and he didn't pay for it or even knew that it existed.

00:43:30.000 But we did a parody of it over on my show.

00:43:34.000 I thought it was really funny.

00:43:36.000 It was really, really over the top. 0.76

00:43:39.000 And it actually started out, it goes, Dianne Feinstein isn't just a Jew. 0.72

00:43:46.000 And it, it, it, like, if you are in San Francisco and you get this robocall, I really doubt the first thing that you're going to think is, wait, not just a Jew. 0.75

00:43:56.000 I thought that was bad enough. 0.98

00:43:57.000 Like, it goes in like, she's a dual citizen and all of these things. 1.00

00:44:04.000 There are real problems, and you're not, you're not going to get, well, more than 1.8% if you go around pointing it out in that way. 0.97

00:44:15.000 So I don't know.

00:44:16.000 He's a good guy.

00:44:17.000 He's sincere.

00:44:18.000 I just, uh, I never got the big hubbub about it, I guess.

00:44:22.000 Yeah, it's just kind of like a missed opportunity, you know, because we're really living in a great transformation here, a great reshuffling of politics where you're able to do and say things that previously were not acceptable, were not possible.

00:44:43.000 And now you have people like the Spurg right, the Wignat right, who are sabotaging that by.

00:44:51.000 By doing it in ways that, you know, like we're not trying to impress the media, but they're doing things that are alienating people.

00:44:57.000 They're doing things that are alienating the people that they purport to try to want to convert.

00:45:02.000 You know, I mean, they'll always say, well, they'll call you XYZ anyway.

00:45:06.000 They'll put you in the same category as Patrick Little anyway.

00:45:09.000 Well, of course, it doesn't really matter what the media says.

00:45:13.000 People are basically discerning.

00:45:15.000 You know, conservatives, I think for the most part, are discerning.

00:45:18.000 They can distinguish between somebody who's called something and it's not true versus somebody who's called something and it, you know, basically is true.

00:45:25.000 In the sense that you have a much better chance of reaching somebody if you have a message that is straightforward, clear, appeals to their interests, is dressed up in nice rhetoric and good optics, as opposed to somebody in a costume throwing up Roman salutes.

00:45:41.000 But that's Pat Little.

00:45:42.000 He looks like he's.

00:45:45.000 Okay, so there's still audio issues, which is fantastic because we did the show literally an hour ago and we were fine.

00:45:54.000 So I don't know what's going on.

00:45:56.000 Maybe people are just complaining.

00:45:59.000 But we're going to cut back and we'll look at some of the numbers again here.

00:46:03.000 Oh, Brian, I tell you, I'm having so much fun.

00:46:08.000 My vacation can't come soon enough, right?

00:46:11.000 Yeah, you're smashing keyboards.

00:46:12.000 You're going out into the woods.

00:46:13.000 I mean, it's.

00:46:15.000 You've been following.

00:46:15.000 Yeah, no, I did smash my keyboard.

00:46:18.000 Let me actually illustrate for the masses here, because I'm at this point right now.

00:46:23.000 I had this issue where I have my wireless keyboard here, and I had the receiver plugged into my computer.

00:46:30.000 And.

00:46:31.000 You know, I'm typing on my desk and it's not going to the computer.

00:46:34.000 I had to hold the keyboard right in front of the receiver for it to process.

00:46:39.000 And so I'm moving the receiver into all the different ports.

00:46:42.000 I'm holding it up.

00:46:43.000 I'm doing all these different things, and nothing's working.

00:46:45.000 So I take the keyboard over my head and I smash it on the desk.

00:46:49.000 I smash it on the ground.

00:46:52.000 And then I realize wait a minute, I'm moving the wrong receiver.

00:46:55.000 I'm moving the receiver for my mouse, which I'm not even using.

00:47:01.000 And so I'm like, fine, cool.

00:47:04.000 I'm using the wrong receiver.

00:47:05.000 So I move the right receiver.

00:47:07.000 And this keyboard, like all the keys are spilled out all over the floor.

00:47:10.000 It's cracked.

00:47:12.000 I turn it on.

00:47:13.000 Of course, it's working immediately after I move the right receiver.

00:47:16.000 So I put it all back together.

00:47:18.000 But that's the kind of week I'm having.

00:47:20.000 But let's go in.

00:47:22.000 But enough about that.

00:47:22.000 We want to hear about the election.

00:47:25.000 And so let's see.

00:47:27.000 We've got some more votes coming in for Senate.

00:47:29.000 Yeah, Feinstein is just running away with it.

00:47:31.000 What is interesting, though, is Bradley seems to be holding his own here in second.

00:47:36.000 It's not a crazy lead he's got right now, he's only up by about 8,000 votes.

00:47:41.000 But nevertheless, he still is in second, which is something to speak of with 8% reporting.

00:47:48.000 For governor, similarly, Gavin Newsom is number one with 34.

00:47:53.000 Number two is John Cox.

00:47:54.000 Number three is Travis Allen.

00:47:57.000 And so, doesn't look like, at least for now, once L.A. starts coming in, I have a feeling things are going to change, obviously.

00:48:06.000 But at least for now, it looks like Republicans are doing okay.

00:48:10.000 Let's look at some of these other contested ones.

00:48:13.000 Let's look at number 10.

00:48:15.000 Still looks like Denim looks like he's doing very well.

00:48:18.000 Still at around 40% with 30% reporting.

00:48:22.000 So we're doing well there. 0.97

00:48:24.000 Why don't we pull up to let's pull up the jungle primary ones 39. 0.70

00:48:30.000 Young Kim is 27% with still less than 1% reporting.

00:48:36.000 Let's check out 48 and 49.

00:48:38.000 48, we've got Rohrbacher who is at 29% with less than 1% reporting.

00:48:43.000 And 49, we've got Harkey.

00:48:47.000 In the lead with 32%, less than 1% reporting.

00:48:51.000 So, still pretty early to tell, but it's looking okay so far.

00:48:57.000 That'll be the trick once LA starts coming in, you know, just forget about it.

00:49:01.000 I feel like the whole map's going to flip, basically.

00:49:04.000 Yeah, I mean, that's a pretty fair assumption, unfortunately.

00:49:08.000 And that's where a lot of the absentee ballots are going to come in because they not only let illegals vote, but just any person.

00:49:17.000 I. When I was in LA, uh oh, I'm getting some echo there.

00:49:20.000 When I was in LA, actually, I got so many mail, like, you know, ballots by mail from people that had used to live there.

00:49:31.000 And I could have very easily just filled them out for Trump.

00:49:34.000 You know, I obviously didn't because that's illegal.

00:49:36.000 But I don't think many people know that you need to unregister.

00:49:43.000 If you move, you need to unregister to vote.

00:49:45.000 There's no big database, you know.

00:49:47.000 So it's just kind of an interesting little anecdote, honestly.

00:49:51.000 Yeah, yeah, that's a good point.

00:49:53.000 But yeah, it's just unfortunate to see because for so long, you know, it's just very sad, I think, to see that this state has basically been completely overtaken.

00:50:08.000 You know, I mean, you look at a state like California in a national election and federal election and all that, and even in these smaller elections, and this used to be a competitive state before mass immigration. 0.63

00:50:19.000 I mean, that's the name of the game here. 0.88

00:50:21.000 Before that.

00:50:23.000 You know, we recall that 25 years ago, this state was won by a Republican.

00:50:27.000 And I think it was 84, or was it 88?

00:50:29.000 Was the last time it was won by a Republican.

00:50:31.000 But I mean, you know, whether it was 84 or 88, it was competitive.

00:50:36.000 And you could have somebody winning it.

00:50:37.000 And now it's, you know, just forget about it.

00:50:40.000 And I think we'll see the same story in Texas.

00:50:42.000 We'll see the same story in Arizona, in New Mexico.

00:50:45.000 And so, you know, we're watching it tonight.

00:50:48.000 And we're watching the individual races, of course.

00:50:50.000 We're watching to see what it's going to look like in 2018.

00:50:54.000 But you look at just about every one of these, for the most part, in SoCal and increasingly in Northern California, just because of how the state has been run into the ground by the statewide leadership.

00:51:06.000 It's going to be very hard to be competitive here or really anywhere else in the Southwest.

00:51:10.000 So it's just, you know, you look at these kinds of numbers and it's just sad to see, you know, overwhelming, overwhelming grief over the loss of a great state.

00:51:22.000 Well, to stay on the LA point here, if we look at the 25th here, Steve Knight, it's less than 1% reporting, but he's still pretty healthy with 54% here.

00:51:33.000 And that's the only Republican in LA County.

00:51:36.000 So, I don't know really what that's going to mean, you know, for the Senate and the governor races with LA, but there's at least a small contingency.

00:51:47.000 I don't know what neighborhoods in LA have already come in, but at the risk of sounding a little too hopeful, I'm going to.

00:51:55.000 That's a nice thing until it all comes in and we're screwed.

00:51:58.000 But, you know.

00:51:59.000 Yeah.

00:52:01.000 No, I hear that.

00:52:01.000 It sucks because I go to LA and it's great weather, it's nice out, you know, but.

00:52:08.000 But I mean, this city is the prototype for what American cities will look like in the future.

00:52:14.000 Well, maybe Miami is a better example, but I guess LA, because it's got a more distinctly Mexican characteristic as opposed to the Cuban and Miami. 0.94

00:52:21.000 But this is the prototype for the future of the country, where it's the ethnic enclaves. 0.92

00:52:25.000 It's going to be minority white, of course, and it'll have that Mexican character. 0.98

00:52:31.000 It'll be Spanish and all the rest.

00:52:33.000 And it's just interesting to see that this happened in a very short span of time. 0.98

00:52:38.000 This happened in like 50 years.

00:52:40.000 So it's.

00:52:41.000 It's something we wax dramatically about, tragically, all too often on the show.

00:52:46.000 But, I mean, this is the future.

00:52:49.000 But we'll see.

00:52:50.000 Let's keep looking at the numbers here.

00:52:51.000 Let's keep plugging along.

00:52:53.000 We're going to take a look at some of the other races, which we haven't touched at, some of the other numbers here.

00:52:57.000 So let's take a look now.

00:53:00.000 We looked at 39, 48, and 49.

00:53:04.000 Let's take a look at number 50.

00:53:06.000 50 is an interesting race here, California District 50.

00:53:10.000 Because this one should be, this just goes to show why every race matters.

00:53:15.000 Now, this race shouldn't be a toss up.

00:53:18.000 It skews 19 points for Republicans.

00:53:21.000 And the incumbent here is Duncan Hunter.

00:53:24.000 But he's right now under FBI investigation for personal use of campaign funds.

00:53:28.000 So, as a result, it looks like at this point, I don't know, with 1% reporting, it looks like he's doing okay.

00:53:35.000 But it's categorized right now as likely Republican because of this kind of scandal.

00:53:40.000 And this is really why, when we're looking at 2018, it's going to be a real trick.

00:53:46.000 For Republicans.

00:53:47.000 You know, every time I get optimistic, every time I get enthusiastic, and don't get me wrong, I think we have a good shot.

00:53:52.000 I think we have potential for 2018.

00:53:55.000 But you have to remember what a thin line it is between Republican control and Democrat control.

00:53:59.000 It's 24 seats.

00:54:01.000 That's not a lot.

00:54:02.000 That's not a lot at all.

00:54:04.000 And you have many open seats.

00:54:06.000 You have like 100 toss ups.

00:54:10.000 When you're in that kind of territory, you could have, and it looks like he's doing okay right now.

00:54:16.000 But imagine if this guy messed up and it's a 19 point.

00:54:20.000 Skew for Republicans in this district than like a Democrat gets in.

00:54:23.000 It just goes to show every race matters here.

00:54:26.000 That's why it really is going to come down to the wire, not just in California, but in the entire country.

00:54:32.000 Democrats have a path that is very flexible.

00:54:35.000 There's a lot of maneuverability here.

00:54:36.000 23 races is not a lot.

00:54:39.000 But it looks like he's doing all right as of right now.

00:54:42.000 It's tough because we're still not seeing a lot of votes coming in as of yet, and that'll change.

00:54:47.000 Hopefully, we'll see that before too late into the night.

00:54:50.000 I'd like to get to bed pretty early.

00:54:53.000 But let's see.

00:54:53.000 We've got.

00:54:55.000 Yeah, so it looks like we're pretty stagnant.

00:54:58.000 Some things are coming in from the southeast, from San Francisco, yet.

00:55:03.000 I need to zoom in here.

00:55:06.000 It doesn't look like anything coming in from San Francisco yet.

00:55:10.000 San Jose, we've got Fresno, we've got Sacramento.

00:55:14.000 And this is all Feinstein right now for Senate.

00:55:19.000 For governor, it looks like we're in the same point, basically.

00:55:23.000 So we're waiting.

00:55:24.000 We're watching and we're waiting to see.

00:55:27.000 I'm just still, I mean, I'll bet the Trump tweet for support of John Cox did just something today for people.

00:55:37.000 I mean, most people vote ahead of time, but you can't underestimate the power of the man's Twitter.

00:55:41.000 I mean, is his pro John Cox tweet today might have done something?

00:55:47.000 I had never heard of him.

00:55:48.000 Are you familiar at all with Travis Allen?

00:55:50.000 I did not hear anything about him until today when people were starting to talk about this guy.

00:55:56.000 You know, actually, a lot of people.

00:55:58.000 Called into my show, like super chatted and said, you know, Travis Allen for California.

00:56:03.000 But you're right, I didn't hear anything about him, but I guess he's doing all right so far, right?

00:56:09.000 I mean, he's in third with 12.4%.

00:56:11.000 You know, I mean, Gary Newsom is going to be their guy, but as long as we can have a horse in the race, I'd be pretty satisfied with that.

00:56:21.000 And again, I really don't like Antonio.

00:56:26.000 So I'm just glad about that.

00:56:29.000 Somebody asked about, I know this is not the one we're focusing on, but I do want to pay attention to Maxine Waters' district, 43, because Omar Navarro is a nice fella and quite popular.

00:56:43.000 There's nothing coming in for that yet, but I'd really like to see him debate Maxine Waters.

00:56:48.000 He trolls her pretty hard on the internet.

00:56:52.000 Yeah, no, he's had a pretty interesting campaign in the sense that this is not like a competitive district, of course, but.

00:57:02.000 Through the power of his social media on a national level, you have seen him, I think, able to get an outsized impact that he wouldn't normally have, which it kind of just goes to show it is possible to be competitive using social media.

00:57:18.000 You know, we talk a lot about, for example, Paul Nealon and the Patrick Littles.

00:57:24.000 And one of the problems is the fact that they may have a big social media following and they may get a lot of retweets on Twitter.

00:57:31.000 But if you're running in a congressional district, How many of those are coming from the first district of Wisconsin?

00:57:36.000 How many of those are coming from, in the case of Omar Navarro, this district?

00:57:41.000 And so that's one of, I think, the criticisms of that kind of a strategy.

00:57:44.000 It's obviously better to focus on campaigning within the district as opposed to trying to pander on social media, which is national and even, in many cases, international.

00:57:54.000 But it's interesting to see because Omar Navarro, of course, has been doing that.

00:57:58.000 And he's been doing these periscopes where he gets a lot of views on it and he's been getting a lot of engagement on Twitter.

00:58:05.000 And it really has rocketed him into, at this juncture, with 5% reporting, it looks like somewhat of a competitive position here.

00:58:14.000 And that kind of trolling, that kind of viral campaign, it just goes to show that done in the right way, done in a tactful way, with the right optics, with the right message, I think you really can get a good outcome here.

00:58:26.000 You know, I think Donald Trump basically did that.

00:58:28.000 That was for national office.

00:58:29.000 So, you know, not at all we're talking about.

00:58:32.000 But it looks like with Omar, hey, he might just pull it off.

00:58:35.000 Who knows?

00:58:36.000 That'd be pretty cool to see him debate Maxine Waters.

00:58:39.000 Oh, I'd love it.

00:58:40.000 He is pretty ruthless against her.

00:58:40.000 I'd love it.

00:58:44.000 So that's what I'm hoping for then.

00:58:46.000 For the 43rd.

00:58:49.000 That's great.

00:58:50.000 A lot of kind of surprising stuff.

00:58:53.000 I mean, like I said, I'm coming in with a smile, being a happy warrior, but it's still California.

00:58:58.000 So I'm like, just go ahead and take it already and just make the bread lines and just fight the U.S. government.

00:59:07.000 I mean, geez, I know that's what you want to do.

00:59:10.000 But, oh, well.

00:59:13.000 You know, I have a funny story about Omar Navarro.

00:59:15.000 I actually didn't know who he was, but then.

00:59:19.000 One time, me and RC Maxwell got in kind of a fight.

00:59:23.000 This was when I was debating Will Chamberlain.

00:59:26.000 And in the build up to that, Cernovich was like, You should debate RC too.

00:59:29.000 And I was like, No, I won't do that.

00:59:31.000 We got in kind of a fight.

00:59:33.000 And then Omar Navarro calls me up on the phone at like, I kid you not, at like 2 a.m.

00:59:39.000 And he was like, Oh, like, do you have a problem with RC?

00:59:42.000 Like, he said something mean about me on Twitter.

00:59:45.000 And I was like, Dude, why are you calling me?

00:59:50.000 But he was just gathering intel, I guess, on a political foe.

00:59:54.000 I guess they're like mortal enemies or something, but he seems like a nice enough guy.

00:59:58.000 I saw him at CPAC.

01:00:00.000 The California Magazine is just got a lot of drama in it. 1.00

01:00:08.000 Yeah, talk about a jungle primary. 0.95

01:00:10.000 It's the Wild West out there.

01:00:13.000 You got everyone.

01:00:14.000 Who is that boomer who was on Red Elephants?

01:00:17.000 Arthur Shopper.

01:00:18.000 You've got Omar.

01:00:19.000 You've got Baked Alaska.

01:00:22.000 It's a real.

01:00:24.000 It's a mix, right?

01:00:26.000 A lot of characters.

01:00:27.000 A lot of characters.

01:00:28.000 So 19% reporting in the fourth district.

01:00:33.000 McClintock, of course, is doing great, but that's still one I was a little worried about.

01:00:37.000 I do want to go back to the 48th here.

01:00:42.000 It's still less than 1% reporting, but how much do you think the assault on Rohrbacher with his quote unquote, he was actually called Putin's, I think it was Politico called him Putin's favorite congressman.

01:00:59.000 I don't know if that's going to make an effect or not.

01:01:02.000 I mean, it still is Orange County, but I mean, he is being investigated.

01:01:07.000 So, I mean, Scott Bogg, or however you say his name here, that was the guy that was supposed to ruin it for the Democrats.

01:01:15.000 And he's got 18%.

01:01:18.000 Kersted, who's that stem cell scientist, he's got 18.7%.

01:01:24.000 You got to see Hans Kersted's campaign commercials.

01:01:27.000 He's like, I'm a scientist.

01:01:28.000 And then his wife goes, I'm a scientist.

01:01:30.000 And they got a kid in the middle with a book.

01:01:32.000 And they're like, they're both scientists.

01:01:34.000 And it's like, you just, what a nerdy household that would be. 1.00

01:01:39.000 I feel bad that their kid, they're going to do a transgender experiment on them. 1.00

01:01:43.000 I don't know. 1.00

01:01:44.000 I don't want to slander anybody or anything like that.

01:01:46.000 But that would just be my assumption about where California science is going with the stem cells.

01:01:53.000 Yeah, that's a good observation.

01:01:56.000 Well, you know, it's interesting because.

01:01:56.000 Yeah.

01:01:59.000 You've got a lot going on.

01:02:01.000 This one's a pretty interesting one because you've got Rohrbacher, who is, like you said, these weird Russia controversies.

01:02:09.000 And also, what's his position? 0.79

01:02:12.000 He thinks that people should be able to refuse to sell their houses to gay people, which is an interesting one in California. 1.00

01:02:19.000 It's one I support, but in California, we'll see if that's a winner. 1.00

01:02:22.000 He's a controversial guy.

01:02:24.000 And in Scott Bao, there's 10 different races.

01:02:28.000 I didn't Google how to pronounce the names.

01:02:31.000 I remember in Pennsylvania, people were just beating the shit out of me because I said, what was the one district that I was mispronouncing?

01:02:42.000 It was like, I don't even remember, but they were really.

01:02:45.000 People from Pennsylvania are like, it's not pronounced this way, it's pronounced.

01:02:48.000 Like, I don't know.

01:02:50.000 But this guy was actually a protege of Rohrbacher, this Republican.

01:02:54.000 And so he was, like you said, he was supposed to be the Republican who was going to take him over or at least make it a safe Republican seat because this is his former protege and obviously doesn't have the controversy.

01:03:06.000 So he's like a viable alternative here.

01:03:09.000 But like you said, Kierstead's taking the lead here. 0.85

01:03:12.000 What's interesting about Ruta, Harley Ruta, she's actually a former Republican.

01:03:17.000 That supported Hillary Clinton.

01:03:21.000 So that's kind of an interesting difference here.

01:03:24.000 They're both progressive.

01:03:25.000 Kierstead is a super progressive.

01:03:28.000 Ruda is a super progressive.

01:03:30.000 And of course, they basically have similar platforms, not too much of a striking difference.

01:03:37.000 But Kierstead's got the support of the party.

01:03:39.000 She's got the support of the DCCC.

01:03:43.000 But Ruda, she's kind of got this moderate appeal, like this crossover thing where because she is a former Republican, Maybe she thinks she can kind of pivot that.

01:03:53.000 It doesn't look like it's working, at least with less than 1% reporting in.

01:03:57.000 But it's a very interesting mixed bag here.

01:04:00.000 This one's very, you know, because it's not your usual components.

01:04:03.000 It's not like right versus left.

01:04:05.000 It's personalities, it's different backings and styles and strategies.

01:04:11.000 So this will be one to watch for sure, to be sure.

01:04:16.000 Well, a trend that I've seen in a few of these is it's very rich people who've never run for office before.

01:04:23.000 And I wonder if that's going to be something.

01:04:25.000 Thing that the Democrats try to push with more is, you know, oh, this is, they're an outsider, they're an outsider.

01:04:33.000 And, well, they're not, you know, I mean, it's not the same at all.

01:04:36.000 But we saw in 2016, people like the outsider.

01:04:40.000 I mean, if Hillary hadn't cheated Bernie Sanders, who knows what would have happened with old Bernie there with the Democrat Party.

01:04:46.000 And he painted himself as an outsider just because nobody ate with him in the cafeteria in D.C.

01:04:54.000 But it, It might end up being rather interesting as we get closer, even just to like 2020 and what have you, with these so called outsiders.

01:05:07.000 Because Rowdy had actually never run for office, I don't believe.

01:05:14.000 Actually, he does have a commercial.

01:05:15.000 I went through and watched a lot of these people's just one or two commercials. 1.00

01:05:19.000 And the whole thing was like, I would never grab a woman by the pussy. 1.00

01:05:25.000 I would never do that. 1.00

01:05:26.000 Essentially, is what it was some real Me Tooism.

01:05:31.000 Like anti MeTooism or whatever you want to call it.

01:05:34.000 So I just thought it was odd that they aren't going with I have experience.

01:05:39.000 They're now just saying I'm an unexperienced communist.

01:05:44.000 Yeah, no, that's a good point. 0.99

01:05:47.000 It's kind of weird because in a lot of ways, Trump really has opened it up for these outsiders.

01:05:53.000 And the funny thing is, of course, the outsiders that are able to get into a race are people of money.

01:06:00.000 So that is to your point. 0.99

01:06:01.000 That it's just like rich people, like rich assholes who have nothing better to do, I guess. 0.90

01:06:06.000 But it is kind of curious that the outsider appeal that Trump brought, that in many ways was populist, was appealing to the forgotten people, the working class, in many ways has opened the door, at least for, I think, a lot of Democratic primaries, not just in California, but in other places as well, for just like rich, elitist type peoples. 0.81

01:06:26.000 And so we'll see how that'll change, not just at the local level, but also at the national level coming up, you know, because now you hear about people like Oprah and The Rock and all kinds of other people running for office.

01:06:38.000 Suddenly you start to say, eh.

01:06:40.000 All right, well, let me.

01:06:42.000 All right, I'm gonna be back once.

01:06:44.000 All right, all right, so I guess we're live again here.

01:06:49.000 Bryden's uh, Bryden's taking a break.

01:06:53.000 Are we back?

01:06:54.000 All right, it looks like we're back.

01:06:55.000 Yep, yeah, uh, great stream, guys.

01:07:01.000 Really great stream.

01:07:02.000 So if it wasn't the microphone, then the app just crashes out of nowhere.

01:07:10.000 I kid you not, I'm talking.

01:07:13.000 One second, the next second, the whole app crashes.

01:07:20.000 God is trying our patience tonight on the America First live stream.

01:07:24.000 They're really throwing up every possible obstacle.

01:07:28.000 Just about every obstacle that is possible, it's being presented to us.

01:07:34.000 And our audience has collapsed.

01:07:38.000 We've gone down from like 600 to 300.

01:07:42.000 So, I mean, they're doing everything in their power.

01:07:46.000 To shut down the stream.

01:07:50.000 We're having fun.

01:07:52.000 Now you understand this is like an intimate gathering.

01:07:55.000 Now you understand this is an experience.

01:07:57.000 This is not.

01:07:58.000 We've abandoned all prospects of this being like a commercial, professional stream for money or for the show, for the channel.

01:08:07.000 This is now just a fun, intimate gathering of people who are enjoying the ride.

01:08:12.000 It's fun, it's funny.

01:08:13.000 We're all here together enjoying this moment.

01:08:17.000 And we'll salvage it by rebranding it in that way.

01:08:17.000 And.

01:08:20.000 So it's no longer live breaking coverage.

01:08:24.000 It has now become an intimate gathering of friends who are now just trying to get.

01:08:29.000 It's like in those inspiring stories when an Olympic runner breaks his leg during the race, but he still finishes the race because he crosses the finish line 40 hours later.

01:08:42.000 But it just mattered that he finished him.

01:08:44.000 That's where we're at right now.

01:08:46.000 I've broken my leg.

01:08:47.000 We're not going to win the race.

01:08:49.000 We're not doing anything great here.

01:08:51.000 But.

01:08:52.000 We're going to follow through on it.

01:08:54.000 I want to know when that story happened.

01:08:56.000 I've never heard it.

01:08:57.000 Why did nobody help that runner in the race?

01:09:00.000 40 hours.

01:09:01.000 You've never heard this before?

01:09:03.000 This is a common trope.

01:09:07.000 I don't know if this actually happened, but it was some inspirational story where it was like an African runner.

01:09:13.000 He was in the Olympics, and he completely blew out his leg or something, and he dragged himself across the finish line.

01:09:22.000 And they were like, It was like, yeah, he finished the race.

01:09:26.000 And they're like, you know, Bogo Agumbu, why did you finish the race?

01:09:29.000 And he was like, New Guinea sent me to the Olympics to finish the race, and I finished the race.

01:09:38.000 And that's where we're at.

01:09:40.000 I will finish the race.

01:09:42.000 That's the plot to cool runnings, dude.

01:09:45.000 Is it?

01:09:45.000 No, that's the bottom.

01:09:46.000 No, that's Winter Olympics.

01:09:48.000 I'll look it up right now.

01:09:50.000 What am I even going to Google?

01:09:52.000 Man finishes Olympic race?

01:09:57.000 I'm going to Google exactly that.

01:09:59.000 Here we go.

01:09:59.000 Here it is.

01:10:00.000 Here it is.

01:10:01.000 Olympic news.

01:10:04.000 Aquari demonstrates Olympic or superhuman spirit.

01:10:08.000 It says, he fell to the ground, gashing his knee, causing a dislocation.

01:10:15.000 His pace, of course, was lower, but he kept on going.

01:10:20.000 He crossed the line in last place, cheered home by a few thousand spectators.

01:10:25.000 And his quote was My country did not send me 5,000 miles to start their race.

01:10:32.000 They sent me 5,000 miles to finish their race.

01:10:37.000 And that's what we're going to do.

01:10:38.000 We're going to finish the race.

01:10:41.000 Okay.

01:10:41.000 There you have it.

01:10:42.000 He's not even black. 0.99

01:10:43.000 Why am I saying it like that? 1.00

01:10:48.000 We're salvaging it in good spirits.

01:10:51.000 The stream is bad, but we're in good spirits about it.

01:10:55.000 Oh, good.

01:10:56.000 Oh, good grief.

01:10:57.000 Where were we?

01:11:00.000 Let's take a look here.

01:11:01.000 Oh, man.

01:11:03.000 Let me pull it up here.

01:11:04.000 So let's do a little.

01:11:06.000 Let's get serious for five. 0.87

01:11:10.000 Frickin' seconds here.

01:11:12.000 Okay.

01:11:13.000 Let's see.

01:11:15.000 So, Governor, it looks like we've got 14% in, and John Cox is holding the lead.

01:11:20.000 Travis Allen fallen to fourth place.

01:11:24.000 And let's see.

01:11:26.000 So, it looks like some of Los Angeles is coming in.

01:11:30.000 210 out of 3,000 precincts.

01:11:35.000 John Cox at 21% in LA.

01:11:38.000 That's not a lot of precincts, but that's a good percentage.

01:11:42.000 For Los Angeles, right?

01:11:44.000 I mean, I would think Los Angeles would be like DC where it'd be nothing, but maybe those are precincts that are not downtown or something, right?

01:11:55.000 What do you think?

01:11:56.000 Yeah.

01:11:57.000 Well, I mean, you're going to get in LA, it's pretty much split into.

01:12:03.000 There's a lot of wealthy people that do live in the Los Angeles area there, mostly in southern Los Angeles.

01:12:12.000 When like East Lost starts to really come in, Like, yep, like just there.

01:12:16.000 We just saw John Cox take a hit and drop a little bit.

01:12:20.000 But actually, no, that was way down south.

01:12:22.000 Sorry. 1.00

01:12:24.000 East Los, you know, that's all Hispanic. 1.00

01:12:26.000 So you're not going to get any Republican, but you're probably not going to get a lot of turnout.

01:12:31.000 West LA, I won't underestimate the amount of people that would say, I don't, you know, I don't vote Republican and then do, especially after Jerry Brown has essentially ruined this state.

01:12:48.000 And Gavin Newsom is kind of just the expected guy and would be a continuation of Jerry Brown.

01:12:54.000 And his just this is the guy that raised the state minimum wage.

01:12:58.000 And after he's when asked, like, why he goes, I don't know, what's the worst thing that can happen?

01:13:04.000 So they might be sick of this a little bit.

01:13:06.000 I'm not sure if he'll take it in the general, but it might look good for John Cox.

01:13:11.000 That would be, I'd be pleasantly surprised.

01:13:14.000 I'd just like to have somebody there.

01:13:17.000 Yeah.

01:13:17.000 Yeah, no, I'm with you on that one.

01:13:19.000 That would be a big win.

01:13:20.000 And this is something they talked a lot about on 538, which I don't know if it's totally legitimate.

01:13:27.000 538 finds a way to spin everything as though it's bad for Republicans, bad for Republicans.

01:13:33.000 And they always do this.

01:13:35.000 And so on 538, they talked about how there's the crowding out problem for Democrats in the jungle primary.

01:13:41.000 But they said that kind of the double edged sword of this is that in the statewide races, the Senate and the governor, If you have two Democrats in both of those races and Republicans are shut out from the statewide races, they say that the effect that that will have is that it will drag the entire state left.

01:14:00.000 All the contests will go left because they say that the two governor candidates or the two Senate candidates, because they've got more money and it's statewide races and there's more name recognition, obviously, than local candidates, the effect it'll have is it'll drive up turnout for the Democrats.

01:14:18.000 And so when we say we want John Cox to land in number two or we want Travis Allen, if he pulls it out, to land in number two to face off in the general, it's not totally to say that they could win.

01:14:32.000 Or that they would have a shot, or that would be great.

01:14:35.000 But really, we want them just in the top two so that we could have that effect where it's not going to drag the state to the left if it's just two Democrats.

01:14:44.000 And I think there's a lot of truth to that.

01:14:45.000 I think people tend to look more at the bigger elections, the governor, the Senate, than they do maybe the local stuff.

01:14:52.000 And certainly, if you're talking about smaller races, that's probably true in smaller counties with smaller populations.

01:14:58.000 So I think that's definitely there's a lot of truth to that.

01:15:01.000 And right now, John Cox is doing pretty well.

01:15:04.000 I mean, It remains to be seen in those like super districts or super counties where it's going to be like LA or San Francisco.

01:15:12.000 But, you know, so far he's not doing poorly.

01:15:16.000 He's it.

01:15:17.000 He's only what?

01:15:18.000 What would that be?

01:15:19.000 About 150,000 votes shy of Gavin Newsom, 8%.

01:15:24.000 That's not the end of the world, at least with 15% reporting.

01:15:27.000 Well, and San Bernardino County hasn't come in yet.

01:15:30.000 And that is typically going to sway red.

01:15:36.000 So, you You know, the big high population areas, the coastal places there, we've seen a little bit of San Francisco coming in here.

01:15:46.000 If I can ever get to it, you know, like Alameda County and things like that, where it's very, very liberal.

01:15:55.000 But when you get closer to, I don't know, real America, they just live out in the desert and just farm sand and have like median incomes of, you know, 40,000 and they're still paying these outrageous Jerry Brown taxes and these like, let's.

01:16:10.000 Build a bullet train from LA to San Francisco.

01:16:13.000 No, I don't care what it costs.

01:16:15.000 So they might be sick of that.

01:16:18.000 That would certainly be interesting.

01:16:20.000 I really am waiting for San Bernardino County to come in on the governor's race.

01:16:23.000 That'll be neat.

01:16:25.000 Yeah, I agree.

01:16:26.000 I definitely agree.

01:16:28.000 And yeah, I mean, we'll see.

01:16:31.000 It's tough because we're still not a lot of the vote is in still.

01:16:35.000 12% reporting.

01:16:36.000 And the only one we really know is going to be in is Feinstein.

01:16:41.000 I mean, we know these are going to be our front runners here for the Democrats.

01:16:46.000 We'll see how everything else fills in.

01:16:48.000 And I don't know.

01:16:49.000 I think John Cox has a shot.

01:16:52.000 The numbers are looking good right now.

01:16:54.000 And as you said, San Bernardino is yet to come in, which obviously Steve's pretty Republican.

01:16:58.000 And it looks like a lot of the stuff in the West has also yet to come in in Yoke County.

01:17:03.000 I don't know if that has as much of a population as San Bernardino or Bernardino.

01:17:09.000 My mom always yells at me.

01:17:10.000 She's like, it's not Bernardino, it's Bernardino.

01:17:12.000 Like, you know.

01:17:13.000 Whatever, mom.

01:17:15.000 I have a show and you don't.

01:17:16.000 But I just got just kidding.

01:17:21.000 But yeah, no, it'll be interesting to see once these counties come in on both sides, the partisan left and the partisan right, how these things will fall into place.

01:17:32.000 But cautiously optimistic.

01:17:35.000 And of course, we're not going to know until the end what the turnout's going to look like.

01:17:39.000 The turnout's going to be a big deciding factor as well.

01:17:42.000 You know, if we see that the Democrats come into the top two spots, but the turnout is.

01:17:49.000 Or they don't come away with as big of a margin because of spoiler candidates, particularly progressives or like ethnic candidates.

01:17:58.000 I think that'll give us a pretty good insight into where the party will go, where the election will go in 2018.

01:18:04.000 Because, of course, the trick is for a lot of these candidates is maybe you get both Democrats in the top two spots, or maybe you get a Democrat and a Republican.

01:18:15.000 But the trick is that a lot of the progressives have been increasingly reluctant and hesitant to rally around the candidate.

01:18:24.000 They were willing to do that in 2016 when it was Hillary Clinton versus Donald Trump because they were told.

01:18:30.000 Well, Hillary's got the better chance of winning. 0.98

01:18:33.000 And if you don't vote for Hillary, like you're a bad person because Trump is a fascist and all the rest. 0.82

01:18:37.000 Well, after she lost, that argument loses basically all credibility.

01:18:42.000 So, you know, let's say in some of these congressional races and some of these other races, let's say the establishment candidate gets in and they don't get locked out by Republicans.

01:18:52.000 For example, on the 39th, the 48th, and the 49th.

01:18:55.000 Or, I'm sorry, the 39th, the 48th, and the 49th.

01:18:59.000 Well, who's to say that the progressives, who's to say that some of these other candidates, And their supporters are going to rally around the Democrats.

01:19:06.000 I mean, I certainly think there's going to be a big call to do that, but how much will it be heeded by the people?

01:19:12.000 I think they've been basically burned by their party.

01:19:14.000 So it'll be, it'll, it's a variable in this election more so than it was in previous midterms.

01:19:22.000 Well, and this is the thing too that came out this morning from the Sacramento Bee, really just complaining.

01:19:27.000 Activism is up in California.

01:19:29.000 So why is primary turnout expected to be low?

01:19:34.000 Only about 25%, it says here, actually cast their votes, which is so funny considering how easy it is.

01:19:42.000 But they're looking at around 32% this year.

01:19:46.000 But, you know, they have all these marches and all these things.

01:19:48.000 And even some of these candidates went to that downtown, you know, the hat march and all of that.

01:19:56.000 I think a lot of these people are the big burnouts of things.

01:20:00.000 I mean, hey, there you go, California.

01:20:01.000 That's what happens when you legalize weed.

01:20:04.000 You know, they're just not going to show up to vote.

01:20:08.000 But they will show up to these social networking events where they can go hold a sign, a virtue signal about how much they hate the president.

01:20:15.000 But it comes to actually getting things done.

01:20:17.000 I mean, I don't know.

01:20:18.000 Oh, I forgot.

01:20:19.000 Or like, that's a lot of trouble.

01:20:21.000 So, hey, that always works in our favor. 1.00

01:20:23.000 I mean, God bless the boomers for that, at least. 1.00

01:20:26.000 I mean, they do vote, they have nothing else to do. 1.00

01:20:29.000 Yeah.

01:20:30.000 No, you're right.

01:20:31.000 I mean, it's interesting because the Democrats have put their stock and invested almost everything in.

01:20:37.000 The categories of people that turn out the least.

01:20:40.000 You know, you look at Hispanic voter turnout, it's the lowest out of any group.

01:20:44.000 Black voter turnout is very depressed compared to white voter turnout.

01:20:49.000 Young people, the turnout is abysmal compared to boomers or even older people or slightly younger people. 0.96

01:20:57.000 So I will say that in the midterms, Republicans have several structural advantages.

01:21:02.000 They have the structural advantage of they gerrymandered the districts in 2010 because they controlled.

01:21:08.000 A lot of the state governments and they controlled the House in 2010, and they were really ascendant after two years of Obama.

01:21:15.000 They really had a hand in redrawing all the districts.

01:21:18.000 And so, because of those structural advantages, we're still winning the lottery basically because of that in 2018 in congressional races where they're tailor made for Republicans.

01:21:32.000 And then, additionally, in the midterms, Republicans have always done better than Democrats, always.

01:21:37.000 Republicans have always outperformed them.

01:21:39.000 And that's, I think, the simple fact because Republican demographics are the ones that are going to turn out reliably to vote.

01:21:45.000 I mean, it's people that work.

01:21:47.000 It's people that are taxpayers.

01:21:48.000 It's people that are, you know, I don't know if we want to get into some other characteristics, but I mean, they're a little bit more reliable, you know?

01:21:55.000 And so that's another thing I think where there are some strengths that Republicans are going into.

01:22:03.000 We have to be careful not to overstate them, but they definitely are there.

01:22:08.000 The Democrats, we know their advantages.

01:22:11.000 The time is on their side in the long term, but in a big way, we've got a fighting chance here.

01:22:16.000 And that's why it's important to get out and vote.

01:22:18.000 Like you said, the Democrats, they're going to go out and put up their signs and do their fundraiser and that, and they're going to tweet.

01:22:25.000 But obviously, in 2016, they didn't turn out to vote.

01:22:28.000 And they're going to try and correct that in 2018.

01:22:30.000 I think that's a little bit of a cause for anxiety because the big message, in my perception, is that Democrats are like vengeful.

01:22:41.000 You know, they're pissed because they're like, we let that through our fingertips that Donald Trump got elected because we didn't vote.

01:22:47.000 And so we have to correct that now.

01:22:49.000 So there is this renewed vigor.

01:22:51.000 This excitement among the Democrats, and not just motivated against Trump, but to like do something about it.

01:22:57.000 Like, we just want to vote.

01:22:58.000 We want to hurt him at the ballot box.

01:23:01.000 And so Republicans got to be equally there.

01:23:04.000 And Trump's been doing a great job of hitting the campaign trail and endorsing candidates.

01:23:08.000 The fundraising has been good, but there are advantages to both sides.

01:23:14.000 And we just got to fight.

01:23:15.000 We have to execute now. 0.98

01:23:17.000 Well, you know, I mean, this is a little silly. 0.93

01:23:22.000 I know you just did like a real thing there, but.

01:23:26.000 Did you hear about Governor Wildstar, the rapper libertarian running for governor in California?

01:23:33.000 No, I did not.

01:23:36.000 I'm not sure what his actual name is, which I'm sure hurt him quite a bit in his campaign there.

01:23:43.000 I don't think I saw Governor Wildstar listed in the results here.

01:23:49.000 But if you go to governorwildstar.com, he's got this wonderful GeoCities looking.

01:23:57.000 Website.

01:23:57.000 He's got anonymous masks all over the place.

01:24:00.000 A buddy of mine in California texted me today to tell me he cast his vote for Governor Wildstar.

01:24:09.000 I asked him about Patrick Goodall, and he had to go check because he said, I just voted for the ones I didn't recognize.

01:24:16.000 I just voted for people with white sounding names, which I think, honestly, I mean, that's another thing that might help us with a lot of things.

01:24:26.000 It's like if some of the people on here, I saw one that I can't even remember where it was, but it was like Amar Abba Jibba Dooba Doo. 0.84

01:24:37.000 And, you know, if you can't pronounce it, you know, you don't want that person in charge.

01:24:41.000 I mean, that sounds bad, but it's just accurate. 1.00

01:24:45.000 And I think, especially the Asians, will, you know, be attracted to that type of thing. 0.98

01:24:51.000 I just thought that was funny. 1.00

01:24:53.000 That's true.

01:24:53.000 I'm sorry.

01:24:54.000 No, I'm on his website right now, Governor Wildstar.

01:24:58.000 This is the future, my guy.

01:25:00.000 Well, let's take a look here.

01:25:01.000 There's a lot to unpack.

01:25:02.000 Is my.

01:25:03.000 What the.

01:25:04.000 Every page that I open, it opens up a little box that says, click the button to go to Wildstar 2018.

01:25:04.000 Why?

01:25:14.000 I'm on the website already.

01:25:15.000 Thank you for the welcome, though.

01:25:18.000 So, what is going on now?

01:25:20.000 Now I'm on another page.

01:25:22.000 Here we go.

01:25:23.000 So, the welcome again, great. 0.52

01:25:26.000 So, we've got this black gentleman who appears to be in a library, libertarian, hashtag bringback liberty. 0.96

01:25:32.000 Like, oh, yeah, correct. 0.98

01:25:34.000 The anonymous masks.

01:25:36.000 Nobody can give you freedom.

01:25:37.000 Nobody can give you equality or justice or anything.

01:25:40.000 If you are a man, you take it.

01:25:42.000 Wildstar 2014.

01:25:46.000 Okay.

01:25:47.000 What else?

01:25:47.000 These tabs are pretty wild.

01:25:49.000 It's just a mess.

01:25:50.000 There are four rows of tabs.

01:25:54.000 And like, what?

01:25:57.000 The next leap.

01:25:58.000 Join the revolution.

01:25:59.000 Contact.

01:26:00.000 Listen to this.

01:26:02.000 Picture this.

01:26:03.000 The free world.

01:26:04.000 Serious.

01:26:05.000 Political gospel.

01:26:06.000 Occupy the world.

01:26:09.000 My fave.

01:26:10.000 Hashtag ops.

01:26:11.000 Hashtag op love.

01:26:13.000 Hashtag op, help wildstar, martial law America, fruits, wake up world, silver screen gems, what?

01:26:28.000 Unjustified justice, press, People's Party Coalition, E for Eternity, young and revolutionary, and endorsements.

01:26:36.000 I have to imagine E for Eternity, well, I would pronounce it that way.

01:26:41.000 I like to imagine that he would announce it.

01:26:44.000 E for eternity. 1.00

01:26:45.000 You know how, you know, like black people that talk in a very, like, I don't know, inspired way, they really pronounce their T's. 1.00

01:26:55.000 Also, the very disrespectful upside on American flag. 1.00

01:26:58.000 Let's take a look at silver screen gems here.

01:27:01.000 What is this?

01:27:02.000 And the text box opens up again.

01:27:02.000 Okay.

01:27:05.000 So, this is just an entire, wow, this is just a list of movies about liberty.

01:27:13.000 To every lie, there is some truth.

01:27:14.000 To every Fantasy, there is a bit of reality.

01:27:17.000 To fiction, there is fact.

01:27:18.000 The movies that we watch are stories from our collective conscience coming to fruition.

01:27:24.000 As we recall these forgotten tales, the drops of truth within them seep into our souls and remind us of where we come from.

01:27:31.000 You're running for governor, not like wizard.

01:27:31.000 What?

01:27:36.000 Chief wizard.

01:27:38.000 We got V for Vendetta, 1984, Animal Farm.

01:27:42.000 Really groundbreaking stuff.

01:27:43.000 Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy.

01:27:46.000 The Odd Life of Timothy Green. 1.00

01:27:48.000 Isn't that about like an autistic kid? 0.99

01:27:50.000 The Campaign. 1.00

01:27:52.000 Come on.

01:27:55.000 Robocop.

01:27:55.000 The Lego movie.

01:27:57.000 Come on.

01:28:00.000 American Hustle.

01:28:01.000 Man of Steel.

01:28:03.000 12 Years a Slave.

01:28:05.000 Oblivion. 0.82

01:28:06.000 That was the movie where a sperm shaped spaceship flew into an egg shaped space station.

01:28:14.000 Spaceship. 0.72

01:28:15.000 Sperm shaped spaceship flew into. 0.98

01:28:18.000 Egg shaped space station. 0.91

01:28:21.000 Let me show you that.

01:28:22.000 This is so sidetracked, but I'll show you what I mean by that.

01:28:25.000 I think a lot of people missed that.

01:28:28.000 Here, let me find it.

01:28:30.000 I don't know if they have an actual shot of it because it was so obvious.

01:28:33.000 Yeah, and I'm not going to, it's an unnecessary detour.

01:28:37.000 Well, I like how he has actually written out the plot to The Matrix.

01:28:45.000 One, you know, again, you're running for office, pal.

01:28:49.000 And secondly, if you haven't seen The Matrix by now, I don't know what to tell you.

01:28:56.000 I don't think you should be allowed to vote if you haven't seen The Matrix.

01:28:59.000 It's an okay movie and it's older than everything.

01:29:02.000 The Monsters University is on the list.

01:29:06.000 Come on.

01:29:09.000 The Hunger Games.

01:29:10.000 A lot of crazy people run for office out there and they just let anybody do it.

01:29:15.000 I'm going to vote for this guy.

01:29:17.000 What else?

01:29:18.000 We'll do a couple more.

01:29:19.000 These are fun.

01:29:21.000 Now, that one really struck me because it's like, how does that fit in?

01:29:25.000 I got to imagine what is the thought process here of like, where do you go on this website?

01:29:32.000 Like, I'm a guy who wants to find out more about Governor Wildstar.

01:29:36.000 What am I looking at?

01:29:37.000 Do I look at the next leap?

01:29:39.000 Join the revolution?

01:29:40.000 Listen to this.

01:29:42.000 Picture this.

01:29:43.000 There's a lot of fruits.

01:29:45.000 Let's take a look at that one.

01:29:47.000 There's just so many calls to action here.

01:29:50.000 I think this is actually just about fruit.

01:29:54.000 No, it's not.

01:29:54.000 It's about, oh boy.

01:29:57.000 Wow, this is heavy.

01:30:00.000 We've got, wow, we've got, this is a lot.

01:30:04.000 Alan Watts, Carl Sagan.

01:30:07.000 It's all YouTube videos.

01:30:08.000 Joseph Campbell, Spirit Science.

01:30:11.000 Ayn Rand, Richard Feynman, Einstein on God, Abraham Hicks, Be All You Are, David Icke, Breaking the Spell, Gandhi.

01:30:22.000 So, this is, I imagine, this would be like what my website would be like when I was in seventh grade.

01:30:29.000 It's like, here are these third eye YouTube videos I watch at like 2 a.m.

01:30:34.000 Here are the cool movies I like.

01:30:38.000 Let's occupy this world.

01:30:41.000 This is just all over the place.

01:30:45.000 Let's do listen to this.

01:30:47.000 Let's listen.

01:30:47.000 What do we.

01:30:49.000 He's got an.

01:30:50.000 Oh, it's music he's recommending.

01:30:53.000 Cue Ball recognized featuring Phoenix.

01:30:57.000 Cue Ball presents the trilogy.

01:31:00.000 Okay, so is this.

01:31:01.000 You know what?

01:31:04.000 I've seen enough.

01:31:05.000 This is too much.

01:31:07.000 This warrants a whole episode in itself.

01:31:09.000 But so safe to say, Governor Wildstar probably not going to be.

01:31:17.000 Probably not going to be taking on Newsome.

01:31:18.000 Is he even.

01:31:20.000 Calculated here, he is.

01:31:21.000 He's got 0.2 percent of the vote, 3,500 votes.

01:31:28.000 Not bad.

01:31:30.000 Oh, geez.

01:31:31.000 I just, you know, guys, if you set your mind to it, you too can run for governor.

01:31:37.000 You know, it's just not hard, they'll let you do it.

01:31:41.000 Um, it's fine.

01:31:43.000 Well, it looks like Patrick Little's not doing so hot, he's he's uh 1.4 percent.

01:31:51.000 So, any minute now, any minute, we're going to see that decimal place move over and he'll be actualizing the 18% we were promised, right?

01:32:01.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

01:32:02.000 Well, I mean, we've got what?

01:32:06.000 Five counties that have nothing reported.

01:32:08.000 I mean, if they go 100% Patrick Little, that still wouldn't do it.

01:32:14.000 But hey.

01:32:15.000 Yeah, well, you know, it just goes to show that strategy doesn't work.

01:32:22.000 It just doesn't work.

01:32:23.000 And actually, you know, it's actually, I should say this.

01:32:28.000 That strategy, like, if it were going to work anywhere, it would work in California.

01:32:35.000 Because California is the most populous state, and you've got all kinds of people there.

01:32:41.000 It's got the second most populous city, LA.

01:32:44.000 So actually, and it's also, he's running for statewide office.

01:32:48.000 So if anybody was going to gain traction using, A nationwide platform like a Twitter or a YouTube or something like that, it would be in California or New York or Illinois.

01:33:01.000 You know, it would be that because just in terms of proportions, a lot more people live in California than live in like one congressional district in a given state.

01:33:11.000 So, to their credit, you know, it's not the worst strategy in the world, not the worst place you could run it.

01:33:17.000 But, nevertheless, let this be a lesson to all.

01:33:22.000 This is what your strategy has wrought.

01:33:26.000 Okay.

01:33:27.000 So, my strategy is everything consistent with Donald Trump.

01:33:31.000 Be like Donald Trump, exactly like him.

01:33:33.000 Optics, rhetoric, and he won, of course, 50% of the vote, right?

01:33:38.000 47% of the vote.

01:33:41.000 And this is what your strategy has run.

01:33:43.000 And that just tells you everything you need to know.

01:33:46.000 Was the juice behind the alt right Donald Trump, or was it like the alt right becoming who they are?

01:33:51.000 No, it's Donald Trump.

01:33:52.000 You subtract him from the equation, these are the numbers you're getting.

01:33:56.000 And so.

01:33:58.000 Yeah, I mean, that's absolutely right.

01:34:00.000 And anybody who still kind of thinks to the otherwise of like, oh, we memed him into being president.

01:34:07.000 Well, that's not true.

01:34:08.000 And you're actually being a rather bit disrespectful to.

01:34:11.000 All of the men and women in middle America that were like, you know what, I don't like that fellow that we let run everything for eight years and he ran everything into the ground.

01:34:21.000 And I don't like these people burning down cities and things like that.

01:34:25.000 I would like a job, please.

01:34:28.000 There were so many reasons.

01:34:29.000 Donald Trump said the right things and he continues to say the right things.

01:34:33.000 It's the black pilling on that is it's funny because it's just funny to me, basically. 0.56

01:34:41.000 It's not funny.

01:34:42.000 It's actually tiresome, I think, to a lot of people and counterproductive.

01:34:46.000 But if you want to win, you can't keep rolling with the whole, we're going to move the Overton window and things like that.

01:34:55.000 I mean, we'll see something similar.

01:34:58.000 I'm not even sure if he filed to run yet over in Wisconsin with our friend Paul Nealon.

01:35:06.000 So it's retweets, unless you're Donald Trump, retweets aren't really going to get you anything.

01:35:12.000 And it wasn't the retweets that got Donald Trump elected, it was just some serious.

01:35:17.000 Talking to people in a way that they had never been spoken to before about things that they actually do care about. 0.96

01:35:25.000 Most people, they just want to come home from their job and have a six pack and hope that they can have a conversation with their kid and then have some boring missionary sex with their wife that they haven't loved for a long time. 0.95

01:35:42.000 But no, that's a really dark way of putting it things. 0.98

01:35:45.000 But if you talk to just normal people, I don't want to say workers because it sounds like a commie.

01:35:50.000 But if you just talk to normal people, you're going to do a lot better.

01:35:54.000 And if you turn the party into a populist party, you're going to do a lot better.

01:35:59.000 We're not winning any favors with Charlottesville's.

01:36:02.000 Right.

01:36:03.000 Well, yeah.

01:36:04.000 And really, what it just comes down to at the end of the day is, and this is what it came down to for me after Charlottesville, was I looked at Charlottesville and I saw the personal cost for a lot of people, which was lost their jobs, lost, you know, kicked out of school.

01:36:20.000 Families ostracized them, banned from social media, tremendous personal costs to people involved, to the leaders of it.

01:36:30.000 And I was always asking, well, what's the benefit?

01:36:33.000 How does this further our goals?

01:36:35.000 Because I'm more than willing to sacrifice everything, don't get me wrong.

01:36:39.000 But as long as the sacrifice is worthy, as long as it's leading to solid, clear, definable, tangible political wins.

01:36:48.000 And so I saw loss after loss of people losing their jobs, deplatformed here, attacked here, all the rest.

01:36:55.000 And what was the gain?

01:36:55.000 What do we benefit from that?

01:36:57.000 Nothing.

01:36:58.000 And that really just got me thinking in terms of pragmatism.

01:37:01.000 We have goals, right?

01:37:03.000 We have political goals for our country.

01:37:06.000 And many of them are very grand goals for me, for you.

01:37:09.000 You know, we have big goals.

01:37:12.000 We want to fundamentally transform the country.

01:37:14.000 We want to revert it back to the way it used to be in demographically, socially, culturally.

01:37:19.000 We want to put the cat back in the bag.

01:37:21.000 That's a tall order.

01:37:22.000 How do we do that?

01:37:26.000 Institution which has legitimate exercise of authority.

01:37:29.000 They make the laws, they have the military.

01:37:31.000 It's much easier to cooperate within the system than to make change from outside the system.

01:37:36.000 And you could be an outsider inside the system, but as long as you go through the legitimate channel, which is the state.

01:37:42.000 Well, how do you get power in the state?

01:37:44.000 You get elected.

01:37:45.000 You work your way up the process, whether it's the party system, whether it's the election system, whatever it is, but you get in civilian government.

01:37:53.000 And the way to do that is tactically, the way to do that is by being smart.

01:37:58.000 And you look at a guy like Paul Nealon, for example, and here's why he was a genius initially.

01:38:04.000 In 2016, when I was on his campaign, he was running as an America First conservative.

01:38:09.000 He built up a campaign.

01:38:10.000 He had people flying in to volunteer for him.

01:38:13.000 Breitbart endorsed him.

01:38:14.000 He had national people campaigning for him.

01:38:17.000 And he didn't do great, but he was facing a pretty strong candidate in Paul Ryan.

01:38:22.000 Well, this year, think of what would have happened if he followed the same course, maybe that he was pursuing in like fall or summer of 2017.

01:38:31.000 If he had this America First aesthetic, America First rhetoric, but was also introducing some other select issues.

01:38:39.000 Paul Ryan drops out.

01:38:41.000 Paul Nealon wins the primary, he becomes a national figure, maybe wins the election, now he's in Congress.

01:38:47.000 Would it have behooved him to win the election first before he went full, before he started talking about things in an unfiltered, uncensored way?

01:38:57.000 And it obviously went too far in many ways, but would it have behooved him, would it behoove us to first get into office or first gain institutional power before we start to try and change the way things are than outside?

01:39:11.000 Because now Paul Nealon is just a guy.

01:39:13.000 Now he's just some guy on the internet.

01:39:15.000 Who doesn't even have a Gab account?

01:39:17.000 How much change can he affect outside?

01:39:19.000 And same with Patrick Little.

01:39:20.000 Could he have affected more change as a congressman or as just some guy who tried?

01:39:26.000 And so go ahead.

01:39:26.000 You know?

01:39:28.000 I was just going to say, and it's not that Patrick Little's not a smart guy.

01:39:32.000 If you talk to him, he's a really well educated, smart fella.

01:39:37.000 And like I said, he's very sincere about this.

01:39:39.000 I just, obviously, the strategy didn't work for him, which is kind of a shame.

01:39:47.000 You know, because he's a very, very nice dude.

01:39:51.000 It seems like it.

01:39:53.000 I don't have a personal problem with him.

01:39:54.000 I really don't.

01:39:56.000 And I think he's an upstanding guy for doing what he's doing because he's got the courage of his convictions.

01:40:01.000 He's standing up for what he believes in and he's not afraid of the repercussions.

01:40:05.000 And some of what he's saying, there's a lot of truth to it.

01:40:07.000 Don't get me wrong.

01:40:08.000 So I'm not out here saying he's a bad guy, bury him, you know, all this.

01:40:13.000 I'm saying tactically, is that the best way to achieve?

01:40:17.000 Our goals.

01:40:18.000 I don't think so.

01:40:19.000 And so that's what it is for me.

01:40:22.000 That's always what it's been about for me.

01:40:24.000 I don't take joy in the fact that we have to compromise or the fact that we have to sometimes be tactical in our words.

01:40:35.000 I would love to be brash and totally unfiltered and cuss and all the rest, but we have to do what it takes.

01:40:45.000 That's what it comes down to.

01:40:46.000 Do you want to be self indulgent?

01:40:48.000 Do you want to feel good about yourself?

01:40:50.000 And, you know, oh, I did something really edgy.

01:40:52.000 Or do you want to do the dirty work, which is not fun, by the way, but get power?

01:40:58.000 I mean, that's what we're after at the end of the day.

01:41:01.000 And what that requires is to win elections.

01:41:02.000 What that requires is to convert people, to get people to vote for you, normal people who don't have time to read Culture of Critique and the Israel Lobby, who just care about the economy and healthcare.

01:41:13.000 Win them on healthcare and the economy, get into office, and then you're in office.

01:41:18.000 You know, that's the approach.

01:41:20.000 And that's what I've been pushing from the start. 0.98

01:41:22.000 And, you know, a lot of, I think, controlled opposition is out there saying, if you say you should get elected, you're a cuck. 0.96

01:41:29.000 There's a reason for that. 0.94

01:41:30.000 There's a reason people are saying that. 0.99

01:41:32.000 There are active elements within the movement that are, I think, either they're stupid or they're controlled opposition, which are telling people that if you have resources, if you have electoral power, you must be a sellout. 0.99

01:41:44.000 You must be a shill. 0.99

01:41:46.000 You must be that. 1.00

01:41:46.000 You must be this. 1.00

01:41:47.000 I mean, think about it.

01:41:48.000 If you're a verified Twitter user, if you have more than 50,000 subs on YouTube or Twitter, oh, well, you must be controlled opposition.

01:41:56.000 If you have any kind of cloud or leverage or resources, oh, well, you must be controlled.

01:42:00.000 So, the only people that get the stamp of approval by the small click are people who have nothing, who they only can show up to a rally and yell?

01:42:09.000 What kind of movement?

01:42:11.000 But that's just in the case of Patrick Little.

01:42:14.000 I mean, that is just so important to bring that point home.

01:42:18.000 Yeah, absolutely.

01:42:21.000 Now, if we look at the 50th here, sorry, I just jumped right back into the 50th.

01:42:24.000 No, no, yeah, we need to.

01:42:25.000 We need to.

01:42:28.000 Duncan Hunter, we've got 14% reporting Duncan Hunter.

01:42:32.000 At 48%.

01:42:33.000 And you're seeing the Democrats here split up.

01:42:37.000 Bill Wells, the Republican, is down here.

01:42:39.000 He's got 13.3.

01:42:41.000 Oh, geez.

01:42:43.000 This was the person I was looking for.

01:42:44.000 Amar Campa Najar.

01:42:46.000 I don't know.

01:42:47.000 He's got the 15.2.

01:42:49.000 The other Democrat, Josh Butner, 13.7.

01:42:53.000 So with 14% reporting here, only 50 out of the 370 precincts, I'm not going to get too terribly excited, but it's still within the realm of possibility.

01:43:03.000 I would.

01:43:04.000 Think to get up there in the top two.

01:43:07.000 So, again, just happy to have somebody in the race.

01:43:11.000 And it is funny that they just put a lot of those people out there that campaigned pretty hard and oftentimes quite a bit against each other.

01:43:21.000 So, I mean, it's nice to watch them have to reap what they sow there.

01:43:27.000 Yeah, no, definitely.

01:43:28.000 And it still is a possibility here in terms of the lockout.

01:43:33.000 It's 14% reporting.

01:43:35.000 So, I think it's still possible.

01:43:38.000 And the ones that we're really looking at for that, I mean, that one was kind of a long shot in terms of District 50, if that was going to be a lockout.

01:43:45.000 I think even without the lockout, Duncan Hunter's got such a strong lead.

01:43:49.000 They haven't confirmed him yet, but that seems like a pretty hefty lead for him to take.

01:43:54.000 I got to imagine things won't evolve much different than this.

01:43:58.000 But the real ones we're looking at for the lockout are 49, 48, 39.

01:44:03.000 Let's take a look at these for a sec.

01:44:06.000 And it looks like we've got Diane Harkey with 24 and then three Democrats after her.

01:44:13.000 Only then do we get Christian Gaspar.

01:44:15.000 So the lockout in this district is only 12% reporting.

01:44:20.000 Looks probably like it's not going to happen.

01:44:23.000 It's a little premature to say for sure, but you've got three Democrats in between Gaspar and Harkey.

01:44:29.000 You're probably not going to get a lockout here, even though they said it could have happened.

01:44:33.000 And then we'll see in 48.

01:44:36.000 It looks like this one definitely is a possibility.

01:44:40.000 I know we were looking at that earlier where Kierstead took the lead over Bao, who was supposed to be like the Republican alternative.

01:44:48.000 Now that the gap between that has shrunk to less than 1%.

01:44:52.000 So you could still see a lockout here.

01:44:55.000 It may be narrow, but definitely still possible. 1.00

01:44:58.000 And then we'll check up on number 39, which is the young Kim race. 0.95

01:45:04.000 And it's a similar story here where Kim has got 26.

01:45:07.000 Republicans in third, but only four points behind with.

01:45:11.000 16% reporting.

01:45:12.000 So we'll see.

01:45:14.000 It's looking like in these Republican districts, of course, it's early to tell.

01:45:19.000 It's premature.

01:45:21.000 But in these districts where we need Republicans to win, the numbers are good right now.

01:45:26.000 26, to be up 10 points is good for right now.

01:45:30.000 I mean, of course, the important thing is that the Democrats have, you know, they've got one here, they've got five here, they've got five here, and five here, and eight here, and 16 here.

01:45:42.000 So maybe add up all the Democrats and add up all the Republicans, it's a different story.

01:45:46.000 But nevertheless, that you have such consolidation around one candidate that they've got 26 at this point, and some of these higher numbers, like in the 50th, where he was at 50%, and In 48, where they're 29 and 24.

01:46:02.000 I don't know, cautiously optimistic about California.

01:46:05.000 Omar Navarro is still looking pretty good, too.

01:46:07.000 So that's, I know I keep harping on this, but I really do want to see that debate.

01:46:14.000 That would just make my life so much better.

01:46:17.000 I'd be like, oh, I know that guy that just called our Aunt Jemima.

01:46:21.000 Which one's he in?

01:46:23.000 Is he in the 43rd?

01:46:24.000 43rd.

01:46:25.000 Let me pull him up here.

01:46:27.000 Yep.

01:46:27.000 Yeah, he's still, oh, yeah.

01:46:30.000 Well, you know, what's cool about the jungle primary system is that you're like, he's, I don't want to say he in particular is guaranteed, but basically, if it's one of these districts where it's an uncontested candidate,

01:46:45.000 and typically you don't have like a strong Republican candidate or whatever, it could be easy for somebody who's motivated and who's got infrastructure or a presence on social media to propel themselves into some kind of prominence through this, you know, because Omar Navarro.

01:47:02.000 In any other election, like 2,500 votes would not be crazy and 15% would not be huge.

01:47:08.000 But in this system, because of the jungle primary and because of the nature of the race that he's in, where it's Maxine Waters who generally is never going to be contested in a serious way, you could probably propel yourself quite easily into the general.

01:47:23.000 And in doing so, you do gain some notoriety, some prominence.

01:47:27.000 So that might be a strategy we can look at across the board, not just California, but for.

01:47:33.000 Our grassroots people in other elections.

01:47:35.000 It's an easy way.

01:47:36.000 You know, I look at many races in the Chicagoland area where you'll have a Democrat who's literally a criminal in many cases. 0.92

01:47:44.000 Like one of the representatives around me, I forget his name, it was like, it was a lot of something, some black guy. 0.99

01:47:52.000 And he was a crook. 1.00

01:47:53.000 You know, I think there was something with campaign funds or something. 0.98

01:47:57.000 And this is true with all the Chicago politicians. 0.90

01:47:59.000 This guy was a literal crook where, and totally an unprofessional guy. 0.94

01:48:03.000 Like it was obvious that he was just some. 0.99

01:48:06.000 You know, one of these race hustlers or something.

01:48:09.000 But he ran uncontested for like a decade.

01:48:12.000 And there's a perfect example, like in this case or in that case, where if you just had a well funded and organized candidate, like a Republican who was maybe moderate or something, you could definitely start to build support.

01:48:24.000 You could definitely pull away, I think, with some percentage, which is respectable, and maybe pull it off another time.

01:48:31.000 So I think there's a lot to be learned here.

01:48:34.000 And they've got to retire eventually.

01:48:36.000 I mean, Maxine Waters is 143.

01:48:39.000 Thousand years old.

01:48:41.000 She's not going to be there forever.

01:48:43.000 And then if you have that name recognition and you keep going after it over and over and over again, I know that Omar has raised more money this go around than he did the last go around.

01:48:53.000 So, yeah, maybe he gets there, maybe he doesn't, but she's got to retire eventually.

01:48:59.000 And then who's going to be there?

01:49:01.000 Omar, the guy who has been campaigning in the neighborhood.

01:49:05.000 They know his name, they've seen him, they know what he's about.

01:49:11.000 These people don't live forever.

01:49:13.000 Right, right, true, exactly.

01:49:15.000 And yeah, they got to give way to some kind of a guy at some point.

01:49:18.000 And it really helps to build that rapport, the community.

01:49:22.000 So I hear you on that.

01:49:24.000 Why don't we take some super chats and we'll see.

01:49:28.000 We'll see what the mass is saying.

01:49:30.000 Now that we've got the stream figured out, the tech is good, we've recovered in a big way.

01:49:35.000 You should see the analytics for the stream.

01:49:37.000 It was like, you know, we were like 600 and then collapses with the audio issues, collapses when the stream shuts off and then shoots back up.

01:49:47.000 So it's all over the board.

01:49:49.000 Let's see what people have to say.

01:49:53.000 We've got. 0.97

01:49:54.000 Aiden, who says when a twitchy weirdo like Little, quote, names the Jews, it makes, quote, naming the Jews look like lunacy. 0.97

01:50:02.000 Exactly. 1.00

01:50:03.000 Exactly right.

01:50:04.000 I mean, that's basically the issue here.

01:50:08.000 And not to go back to that subject, but I mean, this gentleman brings up a good point.

01:50:13.000 The problem is that these efforts don't exist in a vacuum where it's like, well, we could just throw whatever we want at the wall.

01:50:23.000 And if it doesn't work, like, it just vaporizes.

01:50:25.000 It's like it didn't happen.

01:50:26.000 It has no effect on people before and after.

01:50:29.000 But of course, that's not the case.

01:50:31.000 When people go out there and put forth these ideas, they're a liability to everybody else that puts forward those ideas.

01:50:39.000 And so you could take an example like Israel.

01:50:42.000 There's a very good case to be made that we should not be giving foreign aid to Israel.

01:50:47.000 And that case is made, by the way, by both Zionists like Jacob Wohl and Zionists like Laura Loomer and also America First Nationalists. 0.78

01:50:55.000 There's a good case to be made that the Israel lobby controls our State Department. 0.52

01:51:00.000 Or has a disproportionate influence.

01:51:03.000 And there's liberals who believe this Ryan Dawson, Keith Ellison, people like me.

01:51:08.000 But when you get people out there that are like lunatics talking about this stuff, they don't talk about it in a tactful and controlled way.

01:51:16.000 That's when it's like palatable, marketable, and true ideas can get swept into the dustbin because people are going to be alienated and it sends the wrong message.

01:51:30.000 Let's see.

01:51:32.000 Somebody says, can Patrick Little demand a recount on the Holocaust? 0.93

01:51:37.000 I mean, that's a funny joke. 0.92

01:51:41.000 That's a funny joke.

01:51:44.000 Of course, we don't condone his views, of course, but it is a comical joke.

01:51:50.000 Sharia LaBeouf says, are we in danger of any lockouts in Cali?

01:51:54.000 Doesn't look like it at the early stages.

01:51:59.000 Let's take a look here.

01:52:01.000 In the Senate, it still looks like it's up for grabs here.

01:52:05.000 James Bradley is only 0.2 behind the second place Dem.

01:52:10.000 And Governor John Cox is still going strong, 26%.

01:52:16.000 Second place with 18% reporting.

01:52:18.000 So the statewide race is still wide open.

01:52:22.000 And there are no races where Republicans are at risk of getting locked out.

01:52:28.000 The only ones that are lockout races would be Democrats.

01:52:33.000 It's 39, 48, 49, 10, and 50.

01:52:40.000 10 and 50 are like, eh, kind of, but those five are the main ones, and it's only Democrats.

01:52:45.000 Well, I just noticed this, and I kind of feel bad about it.

01:52:49.000 We don't even have a Republican running in the 5th district.

01:52:51.000 It's just Democrats, Independents, and Greens, and a Green.

01:52:56.000 So I don't know, guys.

01:52:58.000 Somebody probably should have run.

01:53:00.000 Well, what is the 5th district?

01:53:02.000 I'm not even sure.

01:53:03.000 I bet it's super lib.

01:53:05.000 Let me look it up California.

01:53:09.000 California.

01:53:11.000 Let's take a look.

01:53:11.000 California's fifth district is, oh, yeah, this is, it's 25% Hispanic, 12% Asian, 7% Black.

01:53:21.000 It's skews Democrat 21 points, if I'm reading that correctly.

01:53:25.000 Yeah, the Cook Partisan Voting Indexes. 1.00

01:53:27.000 So, yeah, that one makes sense, probably.

01:53:30.000 But hey, I don't know.

01:53:31.000 Maybe you get someone like Jeff Flake to run there.

01:53:36.000 They could turn it around.

01:53:38.000 It wouldn't mean anything.

01:53:41.000 But yeah, let's see.

01:53:43.000 Are we, am I on?

01:53:44.000 Okay, I'm on the camera.

01:53:48.000 But yeah, so let's see.

01:53:49.000 I don't know.

01:53:50.000 We might have to call it in like a half hour because it's like midnight for me.

01:53:54.000 And we're still at like 20% reporting.

01:53:57.000 I thought we would be two hours in, I would think we'd be okay, but I guess I should have known beforehand.

01:54:04.000 But we're looking like we're in a solid position generally right now.

01:54:08.000 We're just waiting for those votes to come in.

01:54:10.000 Devin Nunes is doing pretty well.

01:54:11.000 He's at 58 compared to 31 for the Dem Jans.

01:54:18.000 And it looks like none of the other candidates are really getting a lot of play.

01:54:21.000 So if that's the case in the primary, it looks like that'll be the case in the general, which that wasn't really like a.

01:54:27.000 A contested one, but I know Trump was talking about electing Nunes and McCarthy's doing well too.

01:54:35.000 So that's the thing.

01:54:37.000 It's kind of interesting to see because you remember earlier in the year there was talk of a blue wave in like Texas.

01:54:43.000 They said the blue wave was so powerful, it'll bring the Democrats to power in Texas.

01:54:48.000 And you see quite clearly, if the blue wave stuff were true, like Devin Nunes wouldn't be able.

01:54:54.000 And Kevin McCarthy, like Republicans generally speaking, if there was this crazy blue wave that was.

01:55:00.000 Like overturning red states, and it was reversing the Republican skew by 20 points, you would see a lot different numbers in a lot of these races.

01:55:09.000 So, I guess we should be a little bit rest assured that in these Republican districts, we're not getting blown out right now.

01:55:16.000 So, that's a great sign.

01:55:18.000 Well, on the subject of the blue wave, I wonder how much of it was just media BS even to begin with, because immediately after they lost terribly because they lost to Donald Trump, how could that have ever happened?

01:55:33.000 They said the party's over.

01:55:34.000 That's it.

01:55:35.000 What was it like?

01:55:36.000 James Carver was on TV with his bald head being all weird and was like, I can't do the voice right now, but it's over, it's over.

01:55:45.000 And then it was just a few weeks later, they were like, I don't know, let's have a bunch of protests and blue wave, blue wave.

01:55:53.000 It makes me wonder how much it was just kind of a big load of BS that the media was putting on.

01:56:02.000 Either that or they just really are that bad at.

01:56:06.000 Covering this type of thing.

01:56:09.000 No, I agree with you because we're not seeing it.

01:56:13.000 We just simply are not seeing it.

01:56:15.000 There were a few special elections which didn't go as planned.

01:56:21.000 You know, we saw Alabama, we saw Pennsylvania with Rick Saccon.

01:56:25.000 I think it was the 18th district.

01:56:27.000 We saw in Arizona, it wasn't a blowout for the Republican there when the skew should have made it a greater margin of victory.

01:56:35.000 But aside from the special elections, We really are not seeing the blue wave metastasizing, at least in the primaries.

01:56:43.000 You know, Texas, they said, oh, like you said, blue wave, blue wave.

01:56:47.000 They doubled their turnout from 2014, and it was still a third of what the Republican turnout was, which was also a record.

01:56:54.000 And then they said, you know, blue wave, blue wave, and all these other primaries.

01:56:57.000 And it really didn't show up in a big way.

01:56:59.000 And now, even in California, we're not seeing it.

01:57:01.000 And I'm trying to pull up here.

01:57:04.000 We're having a little bit of difficulty.

01:57:06.000 Let me switch off the studio mode so I could show you here.

01:57:09.000 And we're looking right now at the generic congressional vote, which the generic ballot is they say, would you vote for Republican or a Democrat in your congressional race?

01:57:21.000 And not in a particular one, but just the party.

01:57:23.000 This is a pretty good indicator of 2018.

01:57:26.000 And you look at the trend line here, and this is in December of 2017.

01:57:33.000 Democrats were up by 13 points, 12.8, 12.9, 11.

01:57:38.000 I mean, you go from really just starting about in December until the end.

01:57:42.000 They're up by like 13 points.

01:57:44.000 And this is when we heard a lot about Blue Wave.

01:57:46.000 Well, you go a little bit further down, and now you're at six points by February.

01:57:50.000 You go further down, we hit some trouble here.

01:57:53.000 We're back up to 10.

01:57:55.000 Now we're down to 3.2.

01:57:58.000 Okay?

01:57:59.000 3.2 lead for the Democrats.

01:58:02.000 And you look at any of the polling here, it's plus one in this poll, it's plus two in this poll, plus three.

01:58:07.000 And many of them, it's less than the average, 3.2.

01:58:11.000 You could look at some of them, I think.

01:58:14.000 There should be a couple where it's Republicans that are up.

01:58:16.000 Maybe they don't include that in the RCP.

01:58:19.000 But nevertheless, you hear all this talk about Blue Wave, but at least now, it's not reflected in the numbers.

01:58:25.000 At least for about a month, we've had Democrats less than 6% lead in the generic ballot.

01:58:34.000 And it's worth mentioning, by the way, that Democrats are estimated to require seven points, at least.

01:58:42.000 And these are the most conservative estimates.

01:58:46.000 That says that you need seven points for Democrats to be competitive in the House.

01:58:50.000 The most, or rather, the most liberal.

01:58:52.000 The most conservative estimates say that Democrats will require 11 point advantage to compete for the House in 2018 because of that structural gerrymandering advantage.

01:59:03.000 So you imagine that if Democrats are at 3.2% now and they need anywhere between seven and 11 points to win back the House, that's not a blue wave.

01:59:12.000 That's not a wave at all.

01:59:14.000 That's not a big wave.

01:59:15.000 That's nothing.

01:59:15.000 That's not a tsunami.

01:59:17.000 It's the opposite. 1.00

01:59:18.000 I mean, they suck. 0.99

01:59:19.000 If they need seven or 11 and there are three, no chance. 1.00

01:59:23.000 There's no chance.

01:59:24.000 So I don't know what they're talking about.

01:59:27.000 Well, let me ask you this.

01:59:29.000 They've got to run on something.

01:59:31.000 And it seems like they've tried everything. 0.62

01:59:33.000 They tried the immigration thing.

01:59:36.000 That, as soon as Trump said, OK, let's talk about DACA, they didn't know what to say.

01:59:41.000 They tried the gun thing.

01:59:42.000 And then David Hogg just got on everybody's nerves.

01:59:46.000 I don't know what they are going to be able to run on other than Chuck Schumer trying to.

01:59:51.000 Steal the president's ideas and claim them as his own.

01:59:56.000 Or I think, honestly, if I had to make just a gut guess, I'd say it's going to be the abortion issue, which that isn't even going to resonate with enough people because half of women don't agree with abortion.

02:00:13.000 They're just kind of a party without a purpose or a platform at this point, other than I'm not Donald Trump.

02:00:20.000 It's not a good platform at all.

02:00:23.000 Yeah, I mean, you're right about that.

02:00:26.000 There is no platform for the Democrats.

02:00:29.000 It's all that anti Trump stuff.

02:00:31.000 And the unfortunate thing is that that's not going to play well for the middle in 2018.

02:00:37.000 That'll play well for a very, like 10% on the left, the leftmost 10%.

02:00:42.000 But everybody else, when the economy is doing well, North Korea is solved or it's being worked on, infrastructure might be looked at.

02:00:49.000 That's not going to play so well.

02:00:50.000 So you're right.

02:00:51.000 I think a big part of the blue wave talk is mostly just about.

02:00:55.000 Like moralization.

02:00:56.000 It's really just more of a strategy about gassing everybody up to get them all excited.

02:01:01.000 And we're looking at this map, and this will give you an idea of where we are with California.

02:01:05.000 So, this is a pretty good visualization where you need 218 seats for a majority.

02:01:12.000 Republicans have about 206, and these are leaning, likely, and safe GOP.

02:01:18.000 So, I think that's all calculated here.

02:01:22.000 So, obviously, they need 12 out of these 34 to win.

02:01:26.000 Now, if they win all the California toss ups, which is 10, 45, 25, 48, 39, and 49, they get, what is that?

02:01:37.000 They get half.

02:01:38.000 Of the toss ups that they need to win, or rather to retain their majority.

02:01:43.000 So, why don't we look at those?

02:01:45.000 Let's look at them starting from left to right.

02:01:48.000 So, we'll start with 10 and 45 here, and we'll just take a look to give you an idea of what these toss ups, this blue wave type stuff, is looking like.

02:01:56.000 So, for example, number 10, you've got Jeff Denham, who's the incumbent with 40% of the vote.

02:02:03.000 You add up the Democrats, and you get what would that be?

02:02:06.000 You get 15 plus 12.

02:02:09.000 Plus 10, what would that be?

02:02:11.000 That would be 2037 plus 845, 47.

02:02:18.000 So they're roughly less than half, and their number one guy is at 15.

02:02:22.000 They may even get shut out completely if this Ted Housie gets more.

02:02:26.000 He completely locks them out, and then number 10 is a lock for Republicans.

02:02:30.000 Let's look at 45 then. 1.00

02:02:33.000 45, we've got Mimi Walters, who's at 54. 1.00

02:02:37.000 I mean, it's absolutely a blowout for her. 1.00

02:02:40.000 Compared to the Democrats, we'll see who goes up against her.

02:02:43.000 But I mean, does that look like a toss up to you?

02:02:45.000 I mean, I guess if the Democrats rally around one candidate, but even if you add them all together, what do you got 45 compared to her 54?

02:02:52.000 The numbers just aren't there.

02:02:54.000 So that's 10 and 45.

02:02:56.000 We could look at 25 and 48.

02:03:00.000 Let's pull up 25.

02:03:01.000 This is Steve Knight.

02:03:03.000 Again, 54.

02:03:04.000 What's that?

02:03:05.000 He's performing real well.

02:03:06.000 I was worried about that just because he is in LA County, but, you know, he seems to be doing a lot better than.

02:03:14.000 Than I had anticipated.

02:03:17.000 Yeah, he's doing great.

02:03:18.000 54.

02:03:18.000 The next Democrat's at 20.

02:03:20.000 And again, you add all these numbers up.

02:03:21.000 What are they at?

02:03:23.000 41.

02:03:23.000 It's a blowout.

02:03:25.000 You go to 48.

02:03:27.000 And let's take a look.

02:03:28.000 And this is just to give you an idea here.

02:03:31.000 This one's a little bit less, but even still, this is the Rohrbacher one.

02:03:34.000 Scott Bao wins like 2% more of the vote.

02:03:37.000 It's another lockout.

02:03:38.000 And so that's four that we just looked at right now of the toss ups.

02:03:41.000 We win those four.

02:03:43.000 We're at 210.

02:03:45.000 You've got eight left needed for a majority, which we can constitute from.

02:03:49.000 I mean, look at all these Republican incumbents here.

02:03:51.000 And a lot of them here, for example, we've got them in Texas, we've got them in Utah, Wisconsin, a lot of them from states that Trump won.

02:04:01.000 And so, again, this blue wave talk, this Democrat stuff, I think it's valuable because it creates pressure for Republicans.

02:04:10.000 It's a good thing that they're talking about.

02:04:12.000 Democrats are going to blow it out because this will motivate Trump, his team.

02:04:17.000 And also, as voters, to get out there and really make it happen in 2018.

02:04:22.000 But by the same token, just to assess it for accuracy, can we say that there's a blue wave?

02:04:28.000 This doesn't look like a blue wave.

02:04:30.000 34 toss ups, and Democrats are going to need 23 of them to constitute a majority, Republicans are going to need 12.

02:04:40.000 That doesn't look like a wave to me.

02:04:42.000 That looks like you've got a very narrow window here.

02:04:46.000 A lot of them are toss ups.

02:04:47.000 And if we're looking at California, which is a blue state, just case by case, I'm not seeing it.

02:04:53.000 Maybe the votes haven't come in yet from LA, but at least for now, the numbers right now, I'm excited.

02:05:01.000 Oh, absolutely.

02:05:02.000 And I can't wait for just the only blue wave will just be the tears and tears and the buckets of tears when they realize something has happened that hasn't happened since when?

02:05:17.000 Like since Roosevelt, you know?

02:05:21.000 They'll be completely demoralized.

02:05:23.000 There'll be nothing left.

02:05:25.000 And I don't know if they're going to go more to the center.

02:05:29.000 I think they're going to try to do that more on the federal level.

02:05:32.000 And I am looking out for, you know, we saw four DSA people, the Democratic Socialists Association, or whatever they are in Pennsylvania, got elected.

02:05:43.000 And that's something we need to look out for.

02:05:44.000 But when they're that demoralized, I wonder how they're even going to get anybody motivated for 2020.

02:05:53.000 I mean, it could just get worse and worse and worse for them.

02:05:57.000 And they're broke anyway, the whole party's broke.

02:06:00.000 So I'm just looking. 1.00

02:06:02.000 Forward to watching people cry again because that was one of the best nights of my life watching a bunch of trannies cry. 1.00

02:06:10.000 Um, I was in LA for that election the next day. 1.00

02:06:14.000 I go outside still wearing my make America great again hat, and just the streets were somber.

02:06:19.000 They didn't even want to look at me, yeah.

02:06:24.000 No, I know what you mean.

02:06:25.000 It's uh, that really is that will be a big victory if we win in 2018 and 2020.

02:06:31.000 I mean, god, could you imagine?

02:06:33.000 But yeah, I mean, that would be.

02:06:34.000 That would be a great feeling.

02:06:36.000 And it's within our grasp.

02:06:37.000 I mean, that's all I mean to say when I point these things out.

02:06:39.000 I don't want to get people complacent or a false sense of security or anything.

02:06:44.000 But all it is to say is that it is absolutely within our grasp.

02:06:47.000 This is not over by any stretch.

02:06:49.000 It's not decided.

02:06:51.000 And actually, if we take advantage of the things we have going for us, like you said, which is the money, the Democrats are broke, they have no money.

02:07:00.000 Republicans, the National Party, the leadership funds, the PACs are juiced up.

02:07:05.000 To the max, we have the gerrymandered districts.

02:07:08.000 I mean, there's so many things we have going for us.

02:07:10.000 All we have to do is execute it, and that means you got to go out to volunteer and also you got to go out to vote.

02:07:15.000 But if we execute on those things in 2018, it is absolutely a possibility, possibly even a likelihood.

02:07:24.000 And we're looking at these.

02:07:26.000 It looks like we got 20% reporting for governor, we've got 20% reporting for senate, and it looks like Bradley is faltering a little bit.

02:07:36.000 He's hanging back by about 0.3%.

02:07:41.000 And honestly, it looks like just about everything has come through to some extent.

02:07:47.000 Not every precinct, but every county's got a little bit in.

02:07:51.000 For governor, it's a little bit of a different story.

02:07:53.000 Kind of interesting.

02:07:54.000 Here you see all this blue.

02:07:55.000 Here you're seeing a lot of red here.

02:07:58.000 And actually, Cox is holding strong, whereas for Senate, Republicans are a little weak.

02:08:04.000 Bradley is faltering.

02:08:07.000 Cox is still going strong.

02:08:09.000 And Travis Allen's right behind him with 11.

02:08:12.000 And, you know, it's a little bit, it's kind of a toss up right now.

02:08:15.000 There's only 600 votes, I guess, that separate him and the Dem here.

02:08:18.000 But nevertheless, Gavin Newsom, 34, John Cox, 26.

02:08:25.000 Very well, you could see him in the race for governor.

02:08:27.000 If that's the case, you're going to see, we'll avoid that effect of locking Republicans out and maybe driving, or rather suppressing, turnout on the right.

02:08:36.000 So some optimistic things so far, but we're still not seeing a lot of the vote come in.

02:08:43.000 I don't think any of the races we have more than 50, except for the one with Rohrbacher, right?

02:08:48.000 And that just says a lot about California in general, I think.

02:08:48.000 No.

02:08:53.000 They got a lot of people, and boy, are they just taking their sweet time doing everything.

02:08:59.000 They got to drive in all of these ballots, Nick, and the traffic is just so bad.

02:09:04.000 So, I hate the traffic, dude.

02:09:07.000 I went to LA, and that was, I will never, I will never live there for that reason.

02:09:13.000 And also because of the earthquake that is coming, it can't come soon enough.

02:09:19.000 That's the thing about LA is I was told, you know, any day now it's going to just all fall apart and fall into the sea.

02:09:26.000 And that day never came.

02:09:30.000 It's, you know, you can only, You can only pray for so much, I think.

02:09:34.000 So, I don't know.

02:09:35.000 Yeah.

02:09:36.000 Well, I mean, the thing is, is that it's like the weather's nice.

02:09:42.000 And that's, don't get me wrong, I love that.

02:09:44.000 As I get older, I'm appreciating good weather, of course.

02:09:48.000 You know, I never used to.

02:09:50.000 Really?

02:09:50.000 Because I never used to understand the appeal.

02:09:52.000 I was like, you know, I don't really mind winter.

02:09:55.000 I don't really care.

02:09:56.000 I like the snow and all.

02:09:57.000 But now I just have no tolerance for it.

02:10:00.000 I have no patience.

02:10:02.000 But, uh, You know, I would go there for the weather.

02:10:05.000 I would go there because, like, things are happening and it's cool.

02:10:09.000 But the traffic, I was in there for like, I was in traffic for hours.

02:10:13.000 I flew over there, and a friend of my dad's picked me up from the airport who's going to lend me his car, and he drove me back out to, like, Monrovia.

02:10:23.000 Let's do this one.

02:10:24.000 He drove me out to Monrovia.

02:10:25.000 It was, like, two and a half hours from the airport.

02:10:28.000 I was, like, falling asleep in the car.

02:10:30.000 It was, like, two hours back to L.A.

02:10:32.000 And not only that, but then there's the earthquake, which I legitimately fear.

02:10:36.000 And I don't know how people are not like, I don't know how people are not terrified of that every day.

02:10:44.000 Because you're hearing about all these, there's something going on between all the earthquakes in California and Mexico and Iran, like all over the world, the volcanic eruptions, the plane crashes.

02:10:55.000 Something's going to happen.

02:10:57.000 I don't know how people could live like that every day knowing that something of that magnitude is a statistical certainty within like three decades.

02:11:08.000 So I will never live there for that reason.

02:11:12.000 It's something that you just kind of learn to live with.

02:11:15.000 You know, like, oh, the apocalypse will come at any time now, but, you know, I'm just trying not to get robbed at the local taco stand.

02:11:23.000 So let's take a look.

02:11:26.000 It's a nightmare of a place.

02:11:28.000 I mean, it really is.

02:11:29.000 It's sick.

02:11:29.000 You know, the one thing they have going for them is In N Out, though.

02:11:32.000 I'm a really big fan of the In N Out burger because it's cheap.

02:11:38.000 That's the best thing I like about it, in terms of like a fast food burger, it's much better than like a McDonald's or a Wendy's or like.

02:11:46.000 Anything you get at like the big chains, and it's also like two bucks for a burger, and then like five dollars total for the whole meal.

02:11:54.000 And so, I'm a big, big, big fan of In and Out.

02:11:57.000 I would move to LA if only for that and for like Fat Burger, but you know, the earthquakes, all that.

02:12:04.000 Do you know what the kiloton yield of the Tsar Bomba was?

02:12:12.000 No, because I'm doing the nuclear simulator here.

02:12:16.000 I just imagine.

02:12:18.000 And also the North Korea situation.

02:12:20.000 Just imagine, would it be so devastating if a nuclear bomb hit Los Angeles?

02:12:27.000 Yeah, I'd be devastated.

02:12:28.000 That'd be rough.

02:12:30.000 That would be horrible.

02:12:32.000 Imagine a million injuries, 375,000 fatalities.

02:12:39.000 That would be horrible.

02:12:41.000 Just terrible.

02:12:42.000 Just, oh man.

02:12:45.000 That would be a real shame, huh?

02:12:47.000 That would be a real shame.

02:12:50.000 Just kidding.

02:12:51.000 Just kidding.

02:12:52.000 That would be terrible.

02:12:53.000 Well, let's move it over here. 0.98

02:12:55.000 If I were Kim, I think I would hit this. 0.99

02:12:58.000 No, I would hit this.

02:13:01.000 I would just right there.

02:13:04.000 No, that's terrible.

02:13:06.000 Of course, I don't condone this.

02:13:08.000 Of course, it's an extended joke.

02:13:10.000 Let's go Beverly Hills, actually.

02:13:12.000 Eat the rich. 1.00

02:13:13.000 Nuke the rich into oblivion.

02:13:15.000 We're getting too much of the mountains.

02:13:16.000 I'll have to adjust it so it's like here.

02:13:19.000 No.

02:13:19.000 Right?

02:13:20.000 But let's see.

02:13:21.000 Do we have any more votes coming in?

02:13:22.000 Looks like we're now at 25%.

02:13:27.000 And Bradley's slipping even more.

02:13:30.000 Are we at 25 for governor?

02:13:31.000 No, not yet.

02:13:35.000 Let's check in on our lockout districts.

02:13:37.000 Let's check in on 39, 48, 49.

02:13:41.000 Let's see.

02:13:43.000 So it's pretty static.

02:13:44.000 I'm getting ready to call it in like five minutes, maybe 12 30 or 1 a.m.

02:13:50.000 If we start seeing some movement, but we're not really seeing a lot of movement here.

02:13:58.000 Yeah.

02:13:59.000 Yeah, no, that's, I mean, that sounds like probably the best course of action.

02:14:03.000 I mean, it's almost 1 30 here, and man, they're just taking their sweet time doing this.

02:14:09.000 Oh, yeah, you're an hour ahead, right?

02:14:11.000 Yeah, yeah. 1.00

02:14:13.000 Yeah, no, in Pacific time, these bastards keeping us up all night, two hours. 0.98

02:14:18.000 That is the one thing that I would like about LA the fact that, well, it's late for everybody else, it's always early. 0.98

02:14:25.000 Because I'm a night owl, so that would actually make a lot of sense for me.

02:14:30.000 Actually, no, wouldn't it be the opposite?

02:14:32.000 Well, that's not how time works, but you know, you get to talk to the Australians a lot on Twitter, which is a lot of fun.

02:14:40.000 Well, I mean, I guess it's kind of the reason I think it's cool is because it's like when it's 3 a.m. by me, it's like 1 a.m. for them.

02:14:48.000 So that's what I mean by it.

02:14:49.000 It only just feels like that, I guess, because when it's late here, I wish I had the extra hours, but of course, you know, it's not how time works.

02:14:57.000 Yeah, right.

02:14:58.000 But of course, 3 a.m. would still come around there anyway, you know.

02:15:02.000 So what was cool was in.

02:15:05.000 East Coast, because I would be able to stay up late and still be able to talk to people in Central Time and Pacific Time.

02:15:12.000 So there you have it.

02:15:16.000 It's just.

02:15:18.000 Nobody gets sleepy out West ever, man.

02:15:20.000 They just, you know, it's fine.

02:15:24.000 They're always up.

02:15:24.000 Always up.

02:15:26.000 Let's see.

02:15:27.000 Let's read some super chats.

02:15:28.000 We've got Swift who says, problem with the Republican system, small r, Is that it's impossible for a candidate of the people to win a primary.

02:15:39.000 Club for Growth's candidates all won.

02:15:42.000 Yeah, no, I mean, that's increasingly the problem as time has progressed.

02:15:48.000 As financial instruments have been invented and the economy has grown, you've seen the concentration of resources and wealth in much greater magnitude in the hands of fewer and fewer people.

02:16:01.000 Like, before you had wealthy people, but it was unquestionable that the state was the most wealthy.

02:16:06.000 And aside from like landowners, there were very few like really wealthy merchants.

02:16:11.000 But now you have like these mega financial interests where they've got more money than some countries.

02:16:18.000 And, you know, of course they could buy politicians.

02:16:21.000 And Club for Growth is, that's of course Grover Norquist's.

02:16:25.000 Or no, that's Grover Norquist's is the tax people.

02:16:28.000 Club for Growth is kind of similar.

02:16:31.000 But yeah, I know what you mean.

02:16:32.000 It's all the lobbyist type candidates, the PAC people.

02:16:35.000 So yeah, I hear you.

02:16:37.000 There has to be some kind of a revision for that.

02:16:40.000 And Swift says, Did you know that in 1955, LA was the whitest major city in the U.S.?

02:16:47.000 Can you believe that stuff? 0.84

02:16:48.000 Historical invasion.

02:16:50.000 It's true. 0.91

02:16:51.000 It's true.

02:16:52.000 And that's where they all went. 1.00

02:16:53.000 You know, it's something like 50% of Mexicans are in the Southwest, and some obscene percentage are in like just SoCal alone. 0.99

02:17:02.000 So it's unprecedented. 0.98

02:17:08.000 It's noticeable, definitely noticeable the difference between even Cincinnati, which is something crazy like 48% black. 0.95

02:17:18.000 It's noticeable whose city it is in LA and places that. 0.98

02:17:23.000 You know, someone like me can afford to live in.

02:17:27.000 It's and everything's in Spanish, or you go to Koreatown and everything's in Korean, but it's a different world out there. 0.98

02:17:35.000 And I would recommend people go and give it a visit, just bring a lot of money.

02:17:39.000 But yeah, it's not California, it's not America, or at least Southern California is not.

02:17:45.000 Yeah, there's a lot of truth to that in a big way.

02:17:48.000 You know, that it is basically like a different country.

02:17:55.000 In terms of the language, the culture, the demographics. 0.99

02:17:58.000 And this is the fault, not so much of the immigrants, but of the politicians.

02:18:03.000 I think a lot of the animosity is directed in the wrong place.

02:18:08.000 People are quick to, or the white nativism is very quick to find a target in the Hispanics themselves.

02:18:17.000 But I've always said that you can't really blame people that they're in Mexico, which is not a great place.

02:18:24.000 And they come to America, which is a great place.

02:18:26.000 And there's free stuff. 0.94

02:18:27.000 And they're like, Mexico encourages them to leave and to come to America and sets them up here.

02:18:33.000 So you can't really blame them, but you have to blame the politicians because the politicians we elect to represent our interests.

02:18:40.000 And we elect them to protect our borders and to protect our culture and to be vanguards of that. 1.00

02:18:44.000 And so it's like Hispanics, they come over here out of their own self interest and it's a conquest. 1.00

02:18:49.000 It's like, well, yeah, of course. 1.00

02:18:52.000 Why would they not do that? 1.00

02:18:53.000 They'd be stupid to not do that. 1.00

02:18:54.000 But our politicians, we. 1.00

02:18:56.000 We vote for them and they deliver this to us.

02:19:00.000 You know, it wouldn't be a problem if we didn't open up the border.

02:19:02.000 So I think we have to be clear about who the real problem is.

02:19:08.000 Well, it is the politicians that I was so impressed that Tucker Carlson even went on something that I guess we've been on for a while.

02:19:18.000 Jerry Brown said something about, oh, we're a big economy and all that.

02:19:23.000 And yeah, that's great for. 0.99

02:19:27.000 I guess, you know, some of these businesses for what they want to skirt the law, employ illegals, pay them nothing. 0.99

02:19:36.000 And it means frick all. 0.99

02:19:39.000 I know this is a wholesome show, means frick all to, you know, what that means to your neighborhood, to your culture, anything like that.

02:19:49.000 I mean, it's changed. 0.86

02:19:50.000 It literally, East Los is Mexico.

02:19:55.000 There's no difference between Mexico and East Los besides.

02:20:00.000 The people are on government programs.

02:20:03.000 You know, out there you've got KFC with bulletproof glass on it that accepts EBT.

02:20:10.000 And nobody thinks that that's weird or anything like that.

02:20:13.000 Everybody speaks Spanish and all the white people are just terrified to go there.

02:20:20.000 And you've got a lot of the violence.

02:20:22.000 I mean, when I first moved to Los Angeles, I lived in the MacArthur Park area and it was just run by gangs.

02:20:31.000 Now the gangs left me alone.

02:20:32.000 They were pretty nice to me, honestly.

02:20:34.000 But it wasn't a place that police really went.

02:20:37.000 It was a rather lawless land.

02:20:40.000 And that all came from these horrible politicians that just said, it might help us out here.

02:20:46.000 Now, they're going to reap what they sow with that because they are just giving out all of these government benefits to these people.

02:20:55.000 But at the time, it was a nice short term solution to their problem.

02:21:01.000 Yeah, no, you're right about that.

02:21:01.000 Yeah.

02:21:03.000 It's that short term thinking, the kicking the can down the road and those maybe not so unintended consequences.

02:21:12.000 Maybe for some it was unintended, but certainly I think for others it was quite intended.

02:21:18.000 But yeah, it is in America in a lot of these places.

02:21:21.000 We're looking at the governor here, and I'm very optimistic about the governor, John Cox.

02:21:28.000 It just goes to show how much power the president has because he gave a very explicit endorsement of Cox on Twitter today and over the week.

02:21:37.000 And I think that's carried a lot of weight here.

02:21:40.000 And of course, as I look at the counties that have come in, the problem here is LA, where it's 300, less than 300 out of 4,357 precincts.

02:21:54.000 So, you know, it's not even close to being counted, and that's going to be a big sort of, it's going to be a big Dem stronghold for both Newsom and the other guy.

02:22:04.000 So I think that's why we're seeing that he's still doing so well.

02:22:08.000 But, you know, by the same token, San Bernardino is not.

02:22:12.000 Oh, oh, oh.

02:22:14.000 They just did it.

02:22:15.000 It's Newsom and John Cox.

02:22:16.000 Oh, excellent.

02:22:18.000 Oh, wow.

02:22:19.000 Just when I was starting to doubt.

02:22:20.000 Very good.

02:22:22.000 Well, there you have it.

02:22:22.000 All right.

02:22:24.000 So that's great.

02:22:25.000 That's a great thing.

02:22:26.000 So 538.

02:22:28.000 Particularly, what's the guy's name?

02:22:32.000 Nate Silver. 1.00

02:22:32.000 Yeah, Nate Silver, you're a retard. 1.00

02:22:35.000 He was like, the Republicans are going to get cut by the jungle primary system too because they'll get cut out of the governor and the Senate. 1.00

02:22:46.000 Yeah, yeah, wrong bitch. 1.00

02:22:50.000 Those things that we have no chance of actually winning in the general. 1.00

02:22:54.000 I mean, yeah, yeah.

02:22:55.000 Oh, what a bummer.

02:22:56.000 I read that article and the phrasing of it was so funny.

02:23:00.000 Because, you know, this is the messy haired guy who cried himself to sleep on election night.

02:23:05.000 Like, you know, his whole big claim to fame is like, I knew Romney was going to lose.

02:23:09.000 And it's like, you, yeah, okay, fine.

02:23:12.000 But, you're right, what a winner.

02:23:14.000 But he had to phrase it as, like, yeah, they won't be able to get the governorship or the Senate.

02:23:23.000 We're never going to get the Senate, you know, and the governorship, I don't expect us to win.

02:23:29.000 But, I mean, if you're in California, obviously you got to vote for John Cox.

02:23:32.000 And I expect.

02:23:33.000 The GOP to probably spend some money out there.

02:23:35.000 It'd be nice. 0.76

02:23:36.000 That would change a lot if we could get the governorship in California.

02:23:41.000 But it just was written in such a hopeful little way of just this scared little man whose world is changing around him in a way that actually benefits people that aren't living in the hills sniffing their own farts.

02:23:57.000 Yeah.

02:23:58.000 Well, I mean, that's just it.

02:24:00.000 I mean, he's such a smarmy, like, smug guy.

02:24:04.000 It's so clear the bias there, where he's just making stuff up.

02:24:08.000 Where the Republicans obviously had the advantage here, structurally speaking, with the jungle primary.

02:24:15.000 But he had to say, oh, no, but actually it could be big trouble.

02:24:18.000 And it was so convoluted. 1.00

02:24:20.000 So I'm glad that the dumb dumb got BTFO'd there. 0.98

02:24:26.000 We'll see if, well, let's do a quick scroll through and see if there's any other updates. 0.98

02:24:29.000 Very, very excited about that.

02:24:31.000 I mean, that's, we're not, I don't think we'll have a great chance of winning the governor here.

02:24:37.000 Maybe, never say never, but probably not likely.

02:24:40.000 But you won't see that effect of depressing Republican turnout.

02:24:43.000 So that'll be good.

02:24:46.000 Let's see.

02:24:47.000 Let's take a quick scroll through, see if we see any of these swing districts called one way or the other.

02:24:55.000 So it doesn't look like none of them so far.

02:25:00.000 Let's see.

02:25:01.000 Yeah, not 25.

02:25:02.000 Let's go through 30.

02:25:06.000 Which ones were we looking at in the 30s?

02:25:09.000 39.

02:25:10.000 Nothing.

02:25:11.000 40s.

02:25:12.000 Look at 45, nothing.

02:25:16.000 48, 49, nothing.

02:25:19.000 50, nothing.

02:25:20.000 So still, oh, yeah, it's still low, low, low numbers of reporting.

02:25:25.000 So, yeah, I'm real interested about 48.

02:25:33.000 I imagine that's not, we're not going to see anything on that till the morning. 0.96

02:25:37.000 But boy, would that be nice if we could get all Hans cursed just.

02:25:43.000 Out of there, that would really, really upset a lot of people.

02:25:46.000 And I do have some faith in Orange County, honestly, because they did see the error of their ways as soon as it happened.

02:25:55.000 They were like, okay, in the state legislature, there's just Democrats everywhere, progressive Democrats, no less.

02:26:03.000 And it just taxes, And Orange County does not like that.

02:26:10.000 Yeah, yeah, I hear that.

02:26:12.000 So, yeah, that'll be an interesting one to watch.

02:26:16.000 And you're right.

02:26:16.000 I mean, if.

02:26:17.000 If Scott can pull it off and recover a pretty small lead by Kierstead, I mean, that'll be a big thing.

02:26:25.000 Looks like it just got boosted 36.

02:26:27.000 I don't know if that just happened or not.

02:26:29.000 But yeah, you're right.

02:26:31.000 Most of these will probably go on until the morning.

02:26:33.000 So I think we're going to call it.

02:26:35.000 Do you want to call it right now or do you want to call it in a bit?

02:26:38.000 Should we switch over to a Minecraft stream or a Fortnite stream?

02:26:43.000 Pretty versatile.

02:26:44.000 No, I think we're going to call it.

02:26:46.000 I've got to get to bed.

02:26:47.000 I've got to get up early.

02:26:48.000 A lot of stuff to do.

02:26:49.000 But.

02:26:50.000 But it's been a fun stream.

02:26:51.000 Thanks for coming on, and I apologize for all the technical difficulties and appreciate your patience.

02:26:57.000 Hey, thanks for having me on, man.

02:26:59.000 It's definitely been a lot of fun.

02:27:03.000 I'm really hopeful.

02:27:05.000 I hope everybody that's watching is really hopeful as well.

02:27:08.000 And before we go here, I do want to point out that what's her name?

02:27:13.000 Martha Roby now has to do a runoff in Alabama against, was it Barry Bright? 1.00

02:27:20.000 That never trumper horrible lady. 1.00

02:27:23.000 She's. 0.92

02:27:24.000 Being a real Ivanka Trump, I guess, if you catch my drift.

02:27:29.000 But yeah, so that's hopeful there.

02:27:32.000 And it actually shows that we can get a lot of these never Trump people hopefully out of there.

02:27:38.000 I mean, we're fundamentally changing the party.

02:27:40.000 And ultimately, if we continue down this path, changing the country and saving it without the risk of sounding dramatic, I don't think it's that dramatic.

02:27:51.000 So, yeah, no, great closing thoughts.

02:27:53.000 That was a big development in Alabama.

02:27:55.000 Bree was telling me about.

02:27:57.000 That.

02:27:57.000 So you're right.

02:27:58.000 I mean, a lot of potential there and within our own party for change.

02:28:03.000 But it's been fun.

02:28:04.000 We'll see what happens.

02:28:06.000 It's not conclusive, unfortunately.

02:28:08.000 I don't like when we have to cut it off when it's not conclusive, but that's show business, folks.

02:28:13.000 As we say in the business, that's showbiz.

02:28:17.000 But that's going to do it for us tonight.

02:28:19.000 Thanks, Bryden, for joining me.

02:28:21.000 And thanks to all of my fans and viewers for joining us for this intimate stream.

02:28:28.000 And apologies for the tech issues.

02:28:30.000 We appreciate the patience in figuring all that out.

02:28:33.000 I know it's not fun.

02:28:35.000 It's not fun for me either, okay?

02:28:36.000 By the way, you know, everyone's freaking out.

02:28:38.000 Oh my God.

02:28:39.000 Yeah, it's not fun for me when I got to fix it.

02:28:42.000 But that's all right.

02:28:42.000 We figured it out.

02:28:44.000 Join us tomorrow for another episode of America First Run at the usual time, 7 p.m. Central.

02:28:49.000 So we're looking forward to another show tomorrow.

02:28:52.000 Until then, have a great rest of your evening.

02:28:55.000 Take it easy, folks.

02:28:58.000 Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo.

02:29:05.000 It's going to be only America First.

02:29:10.000 America First.

02:29:11.000 First, the American people will come first once again with respect.

America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - June 05, 2018

Special Coverage of the 2018 California Primaries feat. Bryden

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