America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - STATE OF THE RACE - 4 DAYS UNTIL ELECTION 2020 | America First Ep. 713

00:00:04.000 Good evening, everybody.

00:00:05.000 You are watching America First.

00:00:07.000 My name is Nicholas J. Fuentes.

00:00:08.000 We have a great show for you tonight.

00:00:10.000 Very excited to be back with you here tonight on Friday.

00:00:15.000 And we're going to have a casual episode tonight, very relaxed, low key, because it's casual Friday.

00:00:22.000 And we finally got to hear those seven perfect words Congratulations, sailor, you made it to Friday.

00:00:29.000 And this is not just any Friday, this is the last Friday before the 2020.

00:00:35.000 Presidential election.

00:00:36.000 We're now only four days away from the big day.

00:00:42.000 And I thought tonight we would do a state of the race. 0.69

00:00:46.000 And I was writing that headline or the title for the stream tonight, and I thought everyone's going to think the state of the white race, like the state of the union, but 2020 state of the race. 0.80

00:00:58.000 Well, this year it's been another rough year for whites. 0.68

00:01:03.000 No, but we're going to do a state of the presidential race with four days. 0.83

00:01:08.000 Not the white race, the state of the presidential race, which is four days left.

00:01:13.000 And we're going to go over a lot of data.

00:01:15.000 We're going to go over a lot of different numbers.

00:01:17.000 We'll be looking at early voting, voter registration, polling.

00:01:23.000 And I think that's it, right?

00:01:27.000 Voter registration, early voting.

00:01:28.000 Yeah, and then we'll look at some of the polling.

00:01:31.000 And I'll give you kind of my take, what I'm thinking about the election, what we're going to be looking at on Tuesday.

00:01:39.000 I'm also going to pull up the 270 to win map, you know, that interactive map where you fill in the different states.

00:01:45.000 And we'll go through a few different scenarios.

00:01:48.000 And it's going to be a more relaxed show.

00:01:51.000 Well, I don't know.

00:01:52.000 I always say that, and then every night it's like, okay, we're having a casual Friday show.

00:01:57.000 And on to the news race war, and your kids are all going to be murdered.

00:02:02.000 So I always promise that, and it never seems to be the case.

00:02:05.000 But I'm going to try to have a more laid back show tonight.

00:02:08.000 I'm loose, I'm chill, had a productive day, productive week. 0.99

00:02:13.000 We're sailing into the election, and then shit is really going to hit the fans. 0.99

00:02:16.000 So that'll be our main story. 0.99

00:02:19.000 We'll also be talking tonight about Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:02:22.000 Very important day for Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:02:24.000 He was denied, or rather, they tried to obstruct the extradition of Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:02:31.000 They tried to stop him from being extradited to Wisconsin to be tried as an adult for first degree murder.

00:02:38.000 If you remember, Kyle Rittenhouse was the 17, 16 year old boy who traveled from Illinois to Kenosha in Wisconsin.

00:02:47.000 For the Kenosha riots.

00:02:49.000 He shot three Antifa, and I believe he killed two.

00:02:54.000 He's being charged with first degree murder and a gun charge.

00:02:58.000 And now they're going to extradite him to Wisconsin.

00:03:01.000 And as I said, he'll be tried there as an adult, and he's facing life in prison.

00:03:05.000 It's a bit of a setback today.

00:03:07.000 They denied his request to not be extradited.

00:03:10.000 I don't know all the technical language, but basically, he's going to be extradited and tried.

00:03:14.000 So we'll talk about that, and it should be a pretty good show.

00:03:19.000 It's going to be chill.

00:03:20.000 It's going to be low key.

00:03:22.000 I'm like running out of shirts to wear.

00:03:24.000 I have to go shopping for these casual Friday shirts because I have all these neckties and I have all these dress shirts.

00:03:31.000 And my biggest problem is every day when it's casual Friday, every Friday, I go into my closet and I'm like, okay, I've got the blue shirt.

00:03:40.000 I've got the green shirt.

00:03:42.000 I've got a dress shirt that I can wear unbuttoned.

00:03:45.000 So I got to figure something out.

00:03:47.000 I think I've worn this shirt like, I don't know, maybe four.

00:03:51.000 Out of the six last casual Friday shows.

00:03:54.000 Anyway, before we get into the news, I wanted to talk about a few things.

00:03:59.000 Number one, of course, vote.

00:04:02.000 If you can, vote early, vote in person.

00:04:06.000 And if you can't vote this weekend, vote on Election Day on Tuesday.

00:04:10.000 Got to make sure you're registered to vote.

00:04:13.000 If you're not registered, register.

00:04:15.000 In some states, it's past the deadline.

00:04:17.000 In most states, it's past the deadline.

00:04:19.000 Although there are a lot of states where you can register same day.

00:04:23.000 If you go in on the day of the election, you can register and vote.

00:04:26.000 But everybody's got to make sure they do that.

00:04:28.000 Check and make sure you're registered.

00:04:30.000 Do what you got to do.

00:04:31.000 Get registered and vote.

00:04:32.000 Because we're going to talk about the state of the race tonight and break down some of these numbers.

00:04:37.000 And contrary to the polls, literally all the other evidence suggests that Trump is able to win the election.

00:04:45.000 And it may be even likely that Trump will win the election.

00:04:48.000 And we're going to get into it, obviously, in much greater detail.

00:04:52.000 But really, as far as I know, the only indicator that Biden is winning this election is the polls.

00:05:00.000 And you might say to yourself, oh, well, what other indicator is there?

00:05:04.000 Oh, only the polls.

00:05:05.000 Well, yes, only the polls.

00:05:07.000 If you look at the polls, like for example in Wisconsin, they have one poll that has Biden up 17 points in Wisconsin.

00:05:15.000 You have other polls in Wisconsin that have him up by three.

00:05:18.000 So what?

00:05:19.000 Both of those polls are correct?

00:05:21.000 Which one is correct?

00:05:22.000 The one that has him up by 17 or the one that has him up by three?

00:05:27.000 And what's more, you've seen the polls, and this is conspicuously always the case, The autumn, throughout the fall, and then the week before the election, oh, then it turns into a tie.

00:05:41.000 You know, it's interesting how that happens.

00:05:44.000 And what's more, then you look at all the other data voter registration, early voting, other things that are less quantitative, like rally size, I guess, is quantitative, but there's not like a good metric that measures that.

00:05:58.000 You look at almost any other number, any other qualitative metric for the election, and it's looking like Trump is going to do just fine.

00:06:06.000 So, point being, we need all hands on deck.

00:06:10.000 Everybody who can vote has to vote, especially in swing states.

00:06:14.000 I think everybody should vote.

00:06:16.000 I'm not telling you, oh, well, if you're not in a swing state, don't worry about it.

00:06:19.000 No, everybody's got to vote.

00:06:21.000 But particularly if you live in a swing state, you've got to make it happen somehow because we're still in this.

00:06:28.000 So that's my daily call to action to go out to vote.

00:06:34.000 I also wanted to talk a little bit briefly about the Tim Pool and the Ben Shapiro thing.

00:06:39.000 It's so frustrating.

00:06:41.000 There's not any new development, but.

00:06:43.000 If you've been following my Twitter lately, we made this big push to try to get me on Tim Poole's live stream earlier this week.

00:06:53.000 Tim Poole had Vosh on his show, I think on Wednesday or something.

00:06:59.000 And in response to that, a lot of conservatives said, What are you doing?

00:07:03.000 Why would you bring him on the show? 0.99

00:07:05.000 He's a pedophile. 1.00

00:07:06.000 He is in favor of political violence. 1.00

00:07:08.000 He doxes people. 1.00

00:07:10.000 Terrible, sick person. 0.99

00:07:12.000 And Tim Poole heard all of that and he interpreted that as, Oh, they just don't like him because of his views. 0.98

00:07:17.000 But I'm going to stick it to these snowflakes.

00:07:20.000 I don't care if they don't like his views.

00:07:22.000 I'm going to have him on anyway.

00:07:23.000 I'm the bravest man in the world.

00:07:26.000 And I'm watching all that and I'm thinking, pause.

00:07:29.000 Nobody says you shouldn't platform him because of his views.

00:07:33.000 You shouldn't invite him on the show because he hates you and he advocates for violence against you. 1.00

00:07:39.000 And he's a pedophile. 0.98

00:07:40.000 It's kind of a big difference. 0.98

00:07:42.000 In any case, he's out there and he's beating his chest.

00:07:46.000 Oh, I'll have on anybody.

00:07:47.000 I don't care.

00:07:48.000 I love triggering people.

00:07:50.000 Because people are, I think, justifiably upset about this.

00:07:53.000 And I said, okay, well, if you will have anybody on your show, well, have me on your show.

00:08:00.000 And his producer starts tweeting out, Oh, Nick Fuentes wants to come on the show, but he blocked me.

00:08:07.000 And she's tweeting over and over again, Oh, I'd love to invite him, but he blocked me.

00:08:11.000 Oh, I think he's going to back out.

00:08:12.000 Oh, I can't wait to have a conversation with him.

00:08:16.000 Now, she had blocked me too, the producer.

00:08:18.000 So I didn't even know she's tweeting that.

00:08:20.000 Eventually, it got through the grapevine that this had happened.

00:08:23.000 I unblocked her, same day, followed her even so that she could DM me.

00:08:28.000 And since that happened, since I unblocked her, she hasn't said a word about it.

00:08:33.000 Hasn't said a word about it, hasn't talked about it, hasn't replied, hasn't DN'd me, hasn't followed me back, anything like that.

00:08:39.000 And I know probably most of you are familiar with the situation, but you know, it's been like what, a couple of days, three days or something.

00:08:46.000 And then even today, Ben Shapiro made this big tweet about how the left is gatekeeping and they don't want the Overton window to be opened and all of this.

00:08:55.000 And it's so frustrating because you see these people like Shapiro and Dave Rubin and Tim Pool and even Joe Rogan, people that claim, and I know it's not anything new, but it's so frustrating.

00:09:07.000 All these people that are going to go out there and they're waving the bloody shirt, so to speak, talking about we're these free speech warriors and we'll platform anybody.

00:09:17.000 We don't care.

00:09:18.000 We're politically incorrect and we hate censorship.

00:09:22.000 And they don't even acknowledge, they literally don't even acknowledge our existence.

00:09:29.000 It's not even like they're dismissive or anything like that.

00:09:33.000 I mean, they won't even acknowledge that we exist, they won't talk to us.

00:09:37.000 They won't say our names.

00:09:39.000 I mean, literally, they will talk around us and like make vague allusions to what we're doing, but they will never name us.

00:09:48.000 They'll never.

00:09:49.000 And it's like, so there's no updates on that situation.

00:09:53.000 I've been tweeting at the producer and I tweeted at Ben Shapiro today to no avail, of course, but it's just so frustrating.

00:10:00.000 It's like, you know, you can't get through sometimes.

00:10:04.000 The only answer, of course, is we just have to become bigger and more influential and more powerful and get to the point where.

00:10:11.000 They have to engage.

00:10:12.000 You know, there was a time when they completely ignored us.

00:10:15.000 I think the Groyper War forced us into the conversation, and now that we're a big faction to be reckoned with, they've all had to acknowledge at some point that we are there.

00:10:26.000 They don't make it a habit, but it has happened. 0.61

00:10:29.000 They've acknowledged we're out there and there's a lot of us and everything, but we just have to keep on that upward trajectory, and then eventually I think they'll have to engage.

00:10:38.000 It's the only way.

00:10:39.000 So, anyway, I just wanted to vent a little bit about that.

00:10:42.000 I wanted to talk about one more news story before we move on.

00:10:46.000 Very brief.

00:10:47.000 I know yesterday we talked about the New York Times op ed that was published in 2018, which you may remember, where somebody who claimed to be a high ranking member, a senior official in the Trump administration, somebody claiming to be that, wrote an op ed saying that they were working in the Trump administration and that they represented a member of the deep state and they were a part of this coalition.

00:11:15.000 Basically, to take Trump down from the inside, to sabotage his White House, to sabotage his agenda, and make sure that the status quo prevails and is not disrupted.

00:11:25.000 And yesterday we talked about that on the show.

00:11:29.000 The person behind the op ed came forward and revealed himself, and it turned out to be the former DHS chief of staff, and his name is Miles Taylor.

00:11:40.000 And the reason I'm bringing it back up tonight, just a little bit of an update, which we didn't know about yesterday, but which is, I think, an important sort of addendum to what we said last night.

00:11:49.000 Apparently, and this is reported by Breitbart, this guy, Miles Taylor, the former DHS chief of staff who wrote an op ed in the New York Times saying that he's part of the deep state working to destroy Trump and stop his agenda, which is anti immigration, anti free trade, anti foreign wars, he now works at Google.

00:12:14.000 This is from Breitbart.

00:12:15.000 This is just the first paragraph.

00:12:17.000 It says, Miles Taylor, the anti Trump staffer who published an anonymous op ed for the New York Times in 2018, declaring himself a part of the deep state resistance against the president before serving as chief of staff to former DHS Secretary Kirsten Nielsen, went to work for Google after leaving the government.

00:12:36.000 And that was this summer he left the government and went on to work at Google.

00:12:43.000 And I believe I said this last night.

00:12:46.000 And I may sound like a crazy person to some when I go off like this, but I said, you got to realize that they're all in on it together.

00:12:55.000 The permanent bureaucratic class, which constitutes the government, okay, the deep state, the permanent bureaucratic class, I'm talking about your career employees in the FBI, the CIA, the NSA, that's the intelligence community, but also in all the other departments and agencies, right?

00:13:14.000 DHS, the State Department, the Pentagon, the DOD.

00:13:18.000 The EPA, the FDA, I mean, all these alphabet soup agencies and departments combined represent the government.

00:13:26.000 And they, more than different presidential administrations and politicians and civilian officials, they more than them represent what the government is effectively.

00:13:39.000 And they are completely in bed with the media.

00:13:42.000 They're completely in bed with big tech.

00:13:44.000 They're completely in bed with Wall Street.

00:13:47.000 And what do you think Wall Street is?

00:13:49.000 You know, when I talk about Wall Street, what are the top Companies in the entire world that are driving the major stock indices that are the biggest companies ever, maybe not necessarily in Wall Street, New York, but the biggest companies ever on a major stock exchange.

00:14:05.000 It's Apple, it's Amazon, it's Alphabet, which owns Google, it's Facebook.

00:14:10.000 You know, big tech is the top of Wall Street, so that's included.

00:14:14.000 Hollywood, all these institutions are all working together.

00:14:19.000 They are all conspiring and colluding and working together.

00:14:23.000 This is what constitutes the true American regime.

00:14:26.000 This is what constitutes the real power in America.

00:14:30.000 All these power structures working together.

00:14:32.000 And it's hilarious.

00:14:34.000 Well, it's not hilarious, but it's interesting that I said this all yesterday.

00:14:38.000 I went on a big, long rant.

00:14:40.000 I said, Look, what do all these developments tell us?

00:14:43.000 The Hunter Biden investigation being suppressed and the deep state working against Trump.

00:14:49.000 The media doesn't report it, big tech suppresses it.

00:14:53.000 We all know this.

00:14:54.000 We don't need evidence, really, because it's so obvious that they're all in on it together.

00:14:59.000 And then, not 24 hours later, we discover that the, I guess if you could attach a face to the very amorphous and faceless deep state working against us always in the bureaucracy, the face of that quote unquote resistance, which they themselves call it, leaves the White House after for years thwarting the Trump immigration agenda to then go work at Google.

00:15:23.000 Is there anything more emblematic of what happens in this country?

00:15:26.000 Is there anything more perfect?

00:15:28.000 Is there any greater evidence than this about what we're describing?

00:15:32.000 Because, you know, I feel like a lunatic sometimes. 0.91

00:15:36.000 The way that boomers talk about politics, I go around and I talk to so called normal people that are outside as opposed to us, non normal people on the internet as opposed to outside. 0.98

00:15:50.000 And sometimes I feel like I'm going crazy. 0.99

00:15:52.000 Because you talk to your barber, you talk to a cashier, you talk to your uncle, you talk to your neighbor, and it's like they're in a totally different world where they're talking about.

00:16:02.000 Well, Nancy Pelosi's terrible.

00:16:05.000 Well, Nancy Pelosi doesn't run anything, you know?

00:16:08.000 Well, you know, Donald Trump did this, and I'm going to defend the Bush record because Bush was a Republican.

00:16:15.000 I mean, their understanding of politics is like this surface level partisan thing.

00:16:20.000 And obviously, the way that we approach it on this show is looking at everything underneath, everything undergirding the faces on television, the real politicians, and that is the staffers, that's a think tank.

00:16:35.000 That's the lobbies and the interest groups.

00:16:38.000 That is the agencies and the departments.

00:16:40.000 That is the big tech giant corporations at the top of the stock indices.

00:16:44.000 That's BlackRock, the Federal Reserve.

00:16:47.000 So, anyway, so I don't want to spend too much time on that because we did that rant yesterday, but I would be remiss if I didn't acknowledge it and really drive home how important that is that you don't understand politics if you're not looking at it in terms of these power structures and how they're all interacting together.

00:17:07.000 You know, this guy.

00:17:09.000 You would think, oh, it's the Trump White House.

00:17:11.000 And I think people implicitly think that when Trump gets elected president, well, everyone in the White House is like a Trump clone or like a Trump henchman.

00:17:19.000 And everything that the Trump White House does, Trump is personally responsible for.

00:17:24.000 And everything that the Trump White House does, we as Republicans are obligated to defend or something like that when we know that it's much, much, much more complicated than this.

00:17:34.000 So that's Miles Taylor.

00:17:36.000 He's the face of the resistance, secretly working, not so secretly working in the Trump White House.

00:17:42.000 To undermine an America First agenda, he quits, goes to work at Google.

00:17:48.000 He is also a CNN contributor, you know, where he goes on television with Anderson Cooper saying, Yeah, it was me all along.

00:17:55.000 I'm the resistance from the deep state, and now I work at CNN and Google.

00:17:59.000 I mean, it's almost like you could draw a picture Google, the deep state, CNN, Democratic Party.

00:18:04.000 And somehow they're all, they all seem to be on the same page or the same payroll.

00:18:10.000 Okay.

00:18:11.000 Well, that's Miles Taylor.

00:18:12.000 I said I wouldn't talk too much about that.

00:18:14.000 Because we've got a lot to cover tonight.

00:18:17.000 And I want to move on and talk about Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:18:20.000 And, you know, I want to preface this by saying once again, because people lie about my position all day long, they lie about me on this issue and many other things.

00:18:33.000 So I want to just be clear and say, and if you don't know, Kyle Rittenhouse was the young man, I believe he's 17 or 16 years old, he's 17.

00:18:43.000 He lives in Illinois, and he traveled up to Kenosha, Wisconsin.

00:18:48.000 To clean up some of the graffiti after those Kenosha riots over the summer.

00:18:53.000 And he also went up there to protect businesses.

00:18:56.000 He even administered first aid to Black Lives Matter protesters.

00:19:00.000 And he's a good kid from what we understand.

00:19:02.000 And he went up there basically out of, basically having good intentions, right?

00:19:07.000 To clean, to rebuild, to protect, to administer aid.

00:19:12.000 He was attacked by Antifa, and this is on video.

00:19:16.000 People are chasing him, throwing things at him.

00:19:19.000 One person chasing him even brandished a pistol.

00:19:23.000 He ended up killing two of those people in self defense and shot another.

00:19:28.000 Now he is being held and he's being tried for first degree murder.

00:19:32.000 He faces life in prison.

00:19:35.000 And before we get into the development from today about his extradition hearing, I want to clarify that I believe that Kyle Rittenhouse, as far as his act of self defense, did nothing wrong.

00:19:49.000 Strictly, strictly talking about this 10 second encounter where he was being chased, he defended his life.

00:19:59.000 And I think in that encounter, he actually did very well.

00:20:02.000 He could have been killed if he didn't have better aim, if he didn't think more quickly.

00:20:09.000 He really did everything he was supposed to do.

00:20:11.000 He was attacked, he was being chased, he retreated.

00:20:14.000 And at a certain point, I believe he was being shot at, and a gun was brandished, and things were being thrown at him.

00:20:22.000 And he turned around and defended himself, and then that was it.

00:20:26.000 You know, it's not like there was collateral damage or there was anything else like that.

00:20:30.000 I mean, it was.

00:20:31.000 Just about as good as anybody could be when they're put in a scenario like that.

00:20:35.000 I think he did everything right. 0.99

00:20:38.000 And people that are calling this murder or any terrorism, some Democrats are trying to spin that ass, I think is ridiculous.

00:20:45.000 What I've said, though, from the beginning about Kyle Rittenhouse is while he may have been in the right in defending his own life, the big mistake, the big mistake that he made was ever showing up to Kenosha in the first place. 0.79

00:20:59.000 Now, does that justify what's being done to him?

00:21:02.000 Does that justify him being attacked?

00:21:04.000 Of course not.

00:21:05.000 Does that justify the legal system coming down on him and throwing the book at him in the way that doesn't apply to anybody else, including and especially Black Lives Matter?

00:21:15.000 Of course it doesn't justify that.

00:21:17.000 But bear in mind, we know what's going on in the country.

00:21:21.000 The media is against us, the legal system is against us, the courts are against us.

00:21:27.000 Judges, not unlike politicians, are subject to bias and they make political decisions.

00:21:33.000 We've seen that time and again, including and especially when it comes to.

00:21:38.000 Right wing demonstrators or right wing attendees of rallies that turn violent.

00:21:44.000 And that includes the Proud Boys, that includes people that went to Charlottesville, members of the Rise Above movement.

00:21:51.000 We've seen it enough times to know how it works all the way up the food chain, the courts, the media, even the local police and the local government.

00:22:00.000 It's against us.

00:22:01.000 So it doesn't make it right, but it does mean that crossing state lines with a firearm in a neighborhood that has just been ravaged by left wing mobs and riots.

00:22:13.000 Not a good idea.

00:22:15.000 Not something that should be replicated.

00:22:16.000 It doesn't justify what happened to him, but it was a big mistake.

00:22:20.000 And now we see the consequences here.

00:22:22.000 And by the way, I'm not saying that like I told you so or anything like that.

00:22:27.000 It is horrible.

00:22:28.000 It is horrible what is happening to this young man who did nothing wrong, really.

00:22:34.000 But as somebody who has a large platform with a lot of similarly aged young men, a lot of people that are teenagers, we have people as young as 13 or 14 watching the show, but also impressionable adolescents, people in their 20s.

00:22:48.000 I have a responsibility to tell people and give people advice and tell them what I think so that they don't end up in a situation where either they're going to get murdered by Antifa or they're going to be put in jail forever because these were his options.

00:23:03.000 At a certain point, he crossed a threshold and there were two trajectories for his life.

00:23:08.000 You know, once he was up there and everything and Antifa caught wind of him and they chased him, at a certain point in time, his fate.

00:23:18.000 Consolidated into two pathways where he would either get shot and killed by Antifa or he would defend his life and wind up in jail forever, which may not happen, but certainly it is a possibility.

00:23:30.000 I don't want that to happen to anybody else.

00:23:32.000 But this is from The Hill.

00:23:33.000 This is the update today.

00:23:35.000 He had a hearing today about his extradition to Wisconsin.

00:23:39.000 It says, Kyle Rittenhouse, the Illinois teen who fatally shot two protesters in Kenosha, Wisconsin in August, will be extradited to Wisconsin to face homicide charges there after a judge ordered his transfer.

00:23:51.000 Lake County Circuit Judge Paul Novak, in a ruling on Friday, denied Rittenhouse's request for release and ordered him extradited to the Badger State, where he faces homicide charges in Kenosha County.

00:24:04.000 Novak said his Illinois courtroom was not the proper place to determine the validity of several of the 17 year old's claims, including that he was acting in self defense and that he would be treated unfairly in Wisconsin because state law mandates that he be tried as an adult.

00:24:19.000 Novak ruled These are matters that can be raised in Kenosha County, Wisconsin.

00:24:24.000 Through pretrial proceedings or during trial.

00:24:27.000 It is unclear how soon Rittenhouse could be transferred, and his attorneys are expected to appeal the decision.

00:24:33.000 Rittenhouse is charged with first degree intentional homicide in the killing of two protesters and attempted intentional homicide in the wounding of a third.

00:24:42.000 He's also facing a misdemeanor charge of underage firearm possession for wielding a semi automatic rifle.

00:24:48.000 He faces life in prison.

00:24:52.000 And, you know, I want to stress, I'm reading this to you not to say, ha ha ha, I was right, I'm vindicated.

00:24:59.000 I'm not trying to do that because this is a horrible thing.

00:25:03.000 And, you know, it would be a horrible thing no matter what, but it is so wrong because he was put in a self defense situation where it was life or death.

00:25:12.000 He did exactly what you're supposed to do.

00:25:15.000 And in spite of this, because the legal system is corrupt, and don't think it's not for one second, we all know that.

00:25:22.000 The local governments and the courts, Are completely corrupt and completely biased.

00:25:27.000 As I said earlier, we've seen it in many cases just like this.

00:25:32.000 But this is what happens, and it's horrible.

00:25:34.000 It's horrible to see a fix like that.

00:25:37.000 But that's the way it goes.

00:25:39.000 So we'll see what happens.

00:25:41.000 He's going to be extradited now to Wisconsin.

00:25:43.000 We don't know if he'll be charged, or rather, if he'll be convicted and sentenced.

00:25:49.000 I would hope that that doesn't happen.

00:25:50.000 It seems like there is substantial evidence to prove his innocence.

00:25:54.000 We've seen the videos, and there are videos from multiple angles.

00:25:58.000 Before and during, and I think even after the shooting.

00:26:02.000 And I think that that, to a reasonable person, and hopefully to a reasonable jury, would more than prove his innocence.

00:26:09.000 But, and this is what I try to impress upon people, that's actually not enough.

00:26:14.000 Because if the world were so simple as proving what's right, well, we wouldn't have half the problems that we have.

00:26:21.000 We wouldn't have a fraction of the problems that we have between this election and what's going on with Hunter Biden and social media.

00:26:30.000 You know, if it was so simple as, well, look at the proof.

00:26:34.000 See, Kyle Rittenhouse is innocent.

00:26:36.000 If it were only so simple as just having the evidence and proving we're right to a reasonable judge or a reasonable jury, we know that that is not how things go.

00:26:47.000 We know that it is a corrupt legal system.

00:26:50.000 We know that it's political judges.

00:26:52.000 Everything is highly polarized and politicized.

00:26:55.000 And we know that when you're a Trump supporter, when you're not left wing, when it's left wing people on the receiving end of violence, I mean, your odds are really difficult.

00:27:06.000 The odds are stacked against you because of the system.

00:27:10.000 And I will say once again, because time has passed now and it's been about, what, a month or two since this happened.

00:27:16.000 You know, when I first gave my take on Kyle Rittenhouse, a lot of people said, oh, you know, you're saying you won't defend Kyle Rittenhouse, or you're.

00:27:27.000 Basically, people were saying that if you're not giving anything other than encouragement to this kind of behavior, well, somehow you're not sympathetic to the plight of Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:27:37.000 The message today is the same as it was a month ago or two months ago.

00:27:41.000 Do not repeat this horrible mistake because it is a mistake.

00:27:46.000 You know, at a certain point, you cross a threshold and the situation is no longer in your control.

00:27:52.000 Kyle Rittenhouse chose to go to Kenosha.

00:27:55.000 And in doing so, I think the only thing that was illegal about that was bringing the semi automatic rifle across the border into Wisconsin.

00:28:03.000 But at a certain point when he was in Kenosha, the situation became out of his control.

00:28:09.000 The minute that Antifa started to chase him, all of a sudden, now you don't have any options.

00:28:14.000 You're either going to get beat or killed, or you defend yourself, and then you face a fate where you're facing life in jail, or like Jay Gardner in Colorado, people kill themselves when they see things like this.

00:28:28.000 And what I stress to young people that look at Kyle Rittenhouse or everything that's going on, I would understand people that get passionate.

00:28:35.000 I understand people that get emotional and they want to take action and they want to get on the ground and in the streets because we're all fed up with what we're seeing.

00:28:43.000 But at the same time, We have to be responsible, and particularly people like myself have to be responsible in telling young people not to throw away their lives because you only get one life.

00:28:55.000 And that's what you're doing when you do this.

00:28:57.000 You are throwing away your life.

00:28:59.000 You are needlessly putting yourself in a position where your life is either terminated or it might as well be because you're locked away forever for something, by the way, that isn't even wrong and isn't even necessarily your fault, like in the case of Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:29:14.000 But this is the reality.

00:29:16.000 I mean, we are living in reality here.

00:29:17.000 We're not living in the reality where this jump started a movement and everybody showed up and we liberated Kyle Rittenhouse from jail.

00:29:25.000 You know, just out of curiosity, I went on Google search trends before the show and I looked up Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:29:32.000 And when he was in the news initially, he's at 100.

00:29:36.000 In other words, 100% of the media coverage that Kyle, or I don't know exactly how to phrase it, but in other words, he had more.

00:29:45.000 Searches on Google than ever before when he was in the news.

00:29:49.000 That was a 100.

00:29:51.000 They do zero to 100 on sort of a proportion of the highest searches that you've ever had.

00:29:56.000 He was at 100, the maximum, when he first shot those people in Kenosha.

00:30:02.000 And today, his extradition hearing, six weeks later, it's a one.

00:30:07.000 In other words, the Google searches that Kyle Rittenhouse is getting six weeks after the initial incident is 1%, and maybe less.

00:30:19.000 Than it was six weeks ago.

00:30:20.000 1%.

00:30:21.000 And I remember there were people at the time trying to make the case oh, well, he is a martyr and just you wait.

00:30:28.000 We need more Kyle Rittenhouses and this is going to accelerate the situation and this will spark a civil war, something like that.

00:30:37.000 I mean, not exactly, but this is basically what people are saying like this guy's a martyr and this is going to galvanize a mass movement and not to worry, he'll be freed or liberated.

00:30:47.000 Now, did that happen?

00:30:48.000 Or did Kyle Rittenhouses go across state lines, almost get killed?

00:30:52.000 Defended himself miraculously and now faces life in jail.

00:30:56.000 And now 1%, 1% of the people that were talking about it then are still talking about it just six weeks later.

00:31:04.000 And it's not even the day of his actual trial.

00:31:07.000 Think about that.

00:31:08.000 Point being, you know, people are going to try to goad you into doing this stuff, and there's a lot of emotions get high, and there's a lot of excitement, and passions run wild, and that happens for a moment.

00:31:20.000 And then it's a week later, and then it's two weeks later, and four weeks later.

00:31:23.000 And your life might be cut short, or you might be behind bars forever, and everybody else just moves on with their life, typically within 72 hours.

00:31:33.000 But eventually, then everybody just moves on.

00:31:36.000 I'm sorry that that's the way that it is.

00:31:38.000 I wish it weren't that way, but that is the way that it is.

00:31:41.000 Just like the courts being corrupt, just like the police being corrupt, and the local governments being corrupt, and the media being corrupt, it is also the case that there is not going to be a martyr that galvanizes the conservative base or the white base, whatever you want to call it, in this country.

00:31:57.000 It's not going to happen.

00:31:59.000 It hasn't happened in my lifetime, and you shouldn't risk your life on the off chance that you're going to be the one that does.

00:32:05.000 It's not worth it.

00:32:06.000 You want to give your life to the cause?

00:32:08.000 Here's what you do have kids.

00:32:10.000 Get a decent job.

00:32:11.000 Support your kids.

00:32:12.000 Support your family.

00:32:14.000 Give your time to the cause.

00:32:16.000 Volunteer for campaigns.

00:32:17.000 Run for office.

00:32:19.000 Get in a position of influence.

00:32:20.000 Learn a skill.

00:32:22.000 Give your skill to the movement.

00:32:25.000 Use your influence to advance the movement.

00:32:27.000 Now, that is not as glamorous.

00:32:29.000 That is not as sexy.

00:32:30.000 You know, go out in a blaze of glory when you're an adolescent and you know everything during the riot when everybody's pissed off.

00:32:38.000 Well, now that's glamorous.

00:32:39.000 That's like a Hollywood movie.

00:32:41.000 Telling people that they're going to have to day in and day out.

00:32:45.000 Wake up and work long days, long days, and work hard and things that are outside of people's comfort zone for decades and maybe generations and a long struggle.

00:32:56.000 Well, that's less exciting.

00:32:58.000 That's less sexy.

00:32:59.000 But if you really want to sacrifice and you really want to give your life for the movement, I can tell you we would be so much further along if we had an army of people doing that than if we had, you know, people that are going out there and blowing themselves up or whatever, you know.

00:33:15.000 And that's not obviously literally what happens, but you understand what I'm saying.

00:33:19.000 So, That's my take on Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:33:22.000 I'm praying for him, and I hope that he gets let off because it is an incredible injustice what's happening to him.

00:33:29.000 Did nothing wrong, is completely innocent, is being railroaded by the system, and I hope he gets off.

00:33:33.000 But you know what?

00:33:35.000 If there's any positive that can come from this, it is that it should be a cautionary tale to people not to not take action.

00:33:42.000 Understand, I'm not saying so this means never do anything, it's be prudent.

00:33:47.000 Be prudent, be cautious, understand your value as a human being, and invest in yourself.

00:33:53.000 And if you really care about advancing the movement, think about the prudent way to do that.

00:33:57.000 Think about the way, the long term way, because this is what separates everything your ability to plan for the long term.

00:34:05.000 And that's how you got to be thinking.

00:34:06.000 So that's Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:34:09.000 But like I said, I hope that he gets through this.

00:34:12.000 And I hope that they can appeal this and have him tried in Illinois as a minor, because then hopefully the sentencing won't be as severe, even if he's proven guilty.

00:34:22.000 But ideally, nobody wants to be in this situation.

00:34:25.000 Does anybody envy him in this situation?

00:34:27.000 It is horrible.

00:34:28.000 And at this point, you have no control.

00:34:30.000 Your fate is in the hands of a judge.

00:34:33.000 And good luck with that, right? 0.99

00:34:35.000 I mean, your fate is in the hands of an Antifa who's going to kill you, a judge who will convict you for life. 0.95

00:34:40.000 This is not a position people want to be in.

00:34:43.000 It's not anything anybody should envy.

00:34:45.000 So, anyway, pray for this guy.

00:34:47.000 You know, God help him.

00:34:49.000 He's up against the legal system.

00:34:51.000 It doesn't seem to work out generally, but I hope it does in his case.

00:34:54.000 We're going to move on, though.

00:34:56.000 For our casual, our very casual Friday.

00:34:59.000 We're going to move on and talk about the state of the presidential race.

00:35:02.000 And hopefully, this will be a little bit more lighthearted than Kyle Rittenhouse.

00:35:11.000 Although, not necessarily lower stakes.

00:35:13.000 These are very high stakes here.

00:35:15.000 So, as you know, the election is in four days on Tuesday, as it always is.

00:35:21.000 And I'm going to tell you once again you've got to get out there and vote.

00:35:24.000 And we're going to go over some of these numbers here about the race and gauge basically where we're at and what our odds are of winning.

00:35:33.000 I'm not going to assign to it a percentage chance.

00:35:37.000 And honestly, I don't even feel comfortable making a prediction because we could really have a wide range of outcomes.

00:35:45.000 It could be a Biden landslide, it could be a Trump landslide.

00:35:49.000 I think it's looking increasingly likely that it will either be Trump winning by a significant margin or Biden just barely winning.

00:36:02.000 I think that's sort of where we've narrowed the range down to.

00:36:05.000 Biden.

00:36:06.000 Having a basically decent victory, and Trump maybe even improving on where he was in 2016.

00:36:13.000 It all depends on the turnout on election day.

00:36:16.000 But we're going to start by looking at the polls here.

00:36:20.000 I want to start by looking at the polls, particularly in the swing states, because I've been stressing this whenever I talk about the election, people are always talking about national.

00:36:30.000 And in my opinion, this is useless.

00:36:33.000 It's interesting to gauge maybe where the country is at nationally because it's context.

00:36:40.000 But as we know, the election happens on a state by state basis.

00:36:43.000 If the national poll has Biden up by eight points, let's say, this doesn't surprise me because you've got 8 million people living in the greater Los Angeles area.

00:36:54.000 You've got, what, 15 million people living in the greater New York City area, something like that.

00:37:00.000 You've got 8 million people living in the greater Chicago area.

00:37:03.000 Most of the population is in these giant cities in liberal states, right?

00:37:09.000 So, in other words, If Trump is losing with the national population, this really has no bearing on the actual contest that we're going to see in four days.

00:37:19.000 The real contest is about electoral votes.

00:37:22.000 And no matter how many people that are counted in the national poll in California vote for Joe Biden, it doesn't change how many electoral votes Joe Biden gets from California.

00:37:31.000 And the same is true in Illinois and New York and Massachusetts and Washington and New Jersey and all these other Democratic states.

00:37:41.000 So that's why I tend not to focus too much on the national polling, really just the battleground states.

00:37:47.000 And right now, the battleground states that I'm looking the most closely at, the ones that I think are going to decide the election, are Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Arizona.

00:37:58.000 In Florida, the real clear politics average of the polls from the past week has Biden leading by 1.2 percent, 1.2 points in Florida.

00:38:12.000 Now, in the state by state polling, the margin of error is actually a lot higher than the national polling.

00:38:16.000 The margin of error sometimes could be 3, 4, 5%.

00:38:20.000 So he's within the margin of error on the real clear politics average for Florida.

00:38:26.000 In Pennsylvania, Biden is up by 3.6 points in the real clear politics average.

00:38:32.000 In North Carolina, Biden is up 1.2.

00:38:35.000 And in Arizona, Biden and Trump are actually tied.

00:38:39.000 So I look at the polling in the battleground states, the average.

00:38:43.000 And it is a much closer and a much tighter race than it was even two weeks ago.

00:38:48.000 I can go through the polling for October 15th, which is two weeks ago.

00:38:53.000 And in Florida, Biden is up 1.2 today.

00:38:56.000 He was up 2.6 two weeks ago.

00:38:59.000 So his lead has been cut in half in the average.

00:39:01.000 In Pennsylvania, Biden's lead was 6.4 points two weeks ago.

00:39:06.000 Now it's 3.6.

00:39:08.000 So again, almost cut in half over the past two weeks in the average.

00:39:12.000 In North Carolina, two weeks ago, Biden's lead was 2.8 points.

00:39:16.000 Now it's 1.2 points.

00:39:18.000 So in this case, it's been more than cut in half in North Carolina in the average.

00:39:23.000 In Arizona, Biden was up 3.5 points two weeks ago, and now it is a tie.

00:39:28.000 So the lead has been eliminated.

00:39:31.000 So the trend that I'm trying to show you is that even in the battleground state polling, on average, the polls are tightening, Biden's lead is narrowing, and in a lot of these polls, Trump is winning or it's within the margin of error.

00:39:45.000 These are the states that Trump is going to need to win in particular.

00:39:48.000 Now, you could argue about whether or not Trump needs Pennsylvania.

00:39:52.000 If Trump gets Michigan, he'll be okay.

00:39:55.000 If Trump gets some combination of Wisconsin and a vote in Maine, or Wisconsin and New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Nevada, or Wisconsin and Minnesota, or Minnesota and Wisconsin, Minnesota, and any of these other combinations.

00:40:09.000 Arguably, Trump can win with some other Midwestern plus something else combination, but the clearest path is with Pennsylvania.

00:40:17.000 At least in Florida, North Carolina, and Arizona, it's looking like we're in really good shape, and in Pennsylvania, it's closing there as well.

00:40:25.000 I also want to look at some of the other polling numbers.

00:40:28.000 This is a report from Fox News.

00:40:30.000 It says, quote, Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden's lead over President Trump has narrowed a touch to eight points from a 10 point advantage in early October, according to a Fox News national survey of likely voters.

00:40:44.000 Biden is ahead by a 52 to 44 percent margin.

00:40:47.000 It was 53 to 43 percent three weeks ago.

00:40:51.000 His lead is outside the poll's margin of sampling error.

00:40:54.000 Two percent back a third party candidate, and two percent are undecided.

00:40:59.000 Among likely voters, support for the former president has been between 51 and 53 percent.

00:41:04.000 Since early September, that notably distinguishes this year's race from 2016, when neither candidate exceeded 48% support in pre election surveys.

00:41:15.000 The survey shows Trump is preferred by white men by 17 points, rural voters by 18 points, white evangelical Christians by 50 points.

00:41:24.000 Those margins, however, are lower than what he received in 2016.

00:41:29.000 According to Pew Research Center validated voter data, he won white men by 30 points, rural voters by 25, and white evangelicals by 61.

00:41:37.000 In 2016, Biden is the favorite among women by 17 points, 17 points among women, suburban women by 29 points, Hispanics by 18, and blacks by 66, and voters under age 30 by 32.

00:41:55.000 That is a mixed bag compared to Hillary Clinton's 2016 support. 0.92

00:41:59.000 She won women by 15, suburban women by 11, and voters under 30 by 30, but won blacks by 85, and Hispanics by 38.

00:42:08.000 So, in other words, Trump is underperforming with whites, and Biden is underperforming with Hispanics and blacks.

00:42:18.000 Now, I want you to keep in mind a couple of things here.

00:42:20.000 Number one, think about the voting demographics that favor Joe Biden it's women, blacks, Hispanics, and young people.

00:42:30.000 And what are young people? 0.50

00:42:31.000 Largely non white. 0.56

00:42:34.000 You know, young people are about half white and half non white.

00:42:38.000 If you're looking at millennials and Generation Z, It's the highest proportion of non white out of any other generational group.

00:42:46.000 So, really, and we could say that it's young people too, just for the sake of argument, but really, the bulk of Biden's support, and if he wins, it's going to be due to this coalition of women, blacks, Hispanics, and young people, which are, of course, disproportionately non white.

00:43:05.000 Now, bear in mind the strategy from Republicans for the past four years, really for decades, and I think what they're trying to do in the future, they're trying to win over these voting blocks.

00:43:17.000 But these are the voting blocks that are tearing us down.

00:43:20.000 If we know that Joe Biden is a crook, we know that Joe Biden is terrible, we know that Joe Biden is going to have policies that throw open the borders and destroy the country and everything like that, think about who is responsible for making the wrong choice here.

00:43:35.000 Everybody gives me a hard time for saying, like, maybe it's not a good idea to have women voting. 0.94

00:43:39.000 Maybe we should restrict the suffrage. 1.00

00:43:41.000 But this is one of the original red pills for me.

00:43:44.000 It was looking at this kind of data.

00:43:46.000 When the 2016 election was happening, I was looking at different electoral maps.

00:43:51.000 What would the electoral map look like if only white men voted?

00:43:54.000 Oh, well, Trump landslide.

00:43:57.000 One of the biggest landslides in American history, if only white men voted.

00:44:01.000 Every other demographic, Clinton landslide in 2016. 0.68

00:44:05.000 If blacks vote, I don't think Trump gets a single electoral vote in 2016. 1.00

00:44:10.000 If it's black women, same deal. 0.99

00:44:12.000 If it's women, almost the same deal. 1.00

00:44:14.000 Even if it's white women. 1.00

00:44:16.000 You know, these maps and this data don't lie. 0.97

00:44:21.000 Who is voting for which party?

00:44:23.000 It's very clear which demographic groups, which demographic cohorts are responsible for these terrible results and then, therefore, these terrible consequences.

00:44:34.000 It's something that you really need to think about.

00:44:36.000 In any case, I also want to point out something else besides that.

00:44:40.000 Trump is underperforming among whites, but he is overperforming compared to 2016 with Hispanics and blacks.

00:44:48.000 Now, there is still a good chance that Trump loses.

00:44:52.000 He's behind in the polls nationally and in battleground states, and he is worse off in the polls nationally and in battleground states than he was in 2016.

00:45:02.000 So there is a chance that Trump loses, maybe a better chance that Trump loses than four years ago, in spite of the fact that he has lost white support but gained Hispanic and black support.

00:45:13.000 What does this tell you? 0.60

00:45:14.000 Well, it's the same thing that I've been saying for four years. 0.73

00:45:17.000 It's the same thing that Steve Saylor has been saying, I think, for 30 years, and Sam Francis and Jared Taylor and Ann Coulter and Michelle Malkin has been saying for decades, which is this the country is something like 60 to 70 percent white. 0.61

00:45:33.000 And that's because some Hispanics consider themselves white.

00:45:36.000 Depending on how you look at it, it's kind of variable.

00:45:39.000 But the country is still majority white, still supermajority white.

00:45:45.000 And the Republican Party is making their appeal directed at blacks, who are 13 percent of the population, blacks who notoriously, notoriously, Have strong party identification and loyalty with the Democratic Party.

00:46:01.000 They go 97, 91% for Democrats, 2008, 2016.

00:46:06.000 They have directed their energy at Hispanics, who have some of the lowest voter turnout out of any demographic group, and who, like blacks, are a small percentage of the population.

00:46:15.000 If you lose a small amount of white support, you cannot make up for it, even with huge strides in black and Hispanic support.

00:46:24.000 Now, I thought for a long time that even That even increasing your black and Hispanic support would be difficult or impossible.

00:46:32.000 It's looking like Trump is going to do better with Hispanics and maybe even blacks than he did in 2016.

00:46:38.000 Even still, even though I thought it was a waste of time and wouldn't happen anyway, it still may not offset the loss with white voters. 0.52

00:46:45.000 Well, what's the lesson? 0.79

00:46:48.000 The Republican Party and Republican politicians have to focus on white voters. 0.64

00:46:54.000 If we are going to win any of the forthcoming elections, which we still have a chance to win, it is going to be with a strategy where we target white voters, specifically the working class, specifically non college educated whites, union workers.

00:47:11.000 In the Rust Belt, in the Northeast. 0.65

00:47:13.000 It's the only way.

00:47:14.000 That is the only way we're going to offset these demographic changes that are happening in every state because of immigration and other factors.

00:47:21.000 That's the only way we can win.

00:47:23.000 So I want you to keep that in mind.

00:47:24.000 We're looking at the polls, we're looking at battleground states, and battleground states are, you know, they're coming along, it's tightening.

00:47:31.000 Nationally, we're getting killed.

00:47:32.000 These demographic cohorts are worrying, but I want you to keep those two things in mind.

00:47:37.000 If there's anybody responsible for the country's decline, it's the Democratic Party and their globalist entrenched allies.

00:47:44.000 And there are about a handful of groups which are responsible for putting them in power.

00:47:49.000 If it weren't for these cohorts, Republicans could not lose.

00:47:53.000 But because of these cohorts, Democrats cannot lose.

00:47:56.000 Republicans cannot win because of these cohorts.

00:47:58.000 And what does that tell you about these cohorts and about democracy and about the system?

00:48:03.000 And is this system really good for the public interest?

00:48:07.000 And then, secondarily, I want you to think about the numbers what this means for the future, but also what this means based on the past four years.

00:48:15.000 Republicans expended so much energy trying to appeal to and win over non white voters, specifically blacks, but also Hispanics.

00:48:24.000 And we're moderately successful, but it will not deliver us a victory because we have lost so much support with whites. 0.50

00:48:32.000 And the loss with whites, as far as a percentage, is smaller than the gain potentially with non whites. 0.84

00:48:37.000 But as the numbers work out, we see that it's not enough.

00:48:41.000 This is very important stuff, which has been said for years, for decades, said by me for years, but which people still don't understand.

00:48:49.000 The math doesn't lie.

00:48:51.000 You know?

00:48:52.000 I don't know how people can look at this and, you know, people like Charlie Kirk say, well, the only reason you're talking like that is because I'm not as pessimistic as you.

00:48:59.000 It's got nothing to do with that.

00:49:01.000 It's got nothing to do with pessimism or optimism or what your attitude is.

00:49:04.000 It has to do with the numbers. 0.67

00:49:06.000 Look, we did everything that we needed to do or that we thought we needed to do to pander to non white voters. 0.92

00:49:12.000 And you know what? 0.99

00:49:13.000 It worked out okay.

00:49:14.000 I mean, we had a modern improvement.

00:49:16.000 And it doesn't matter.

00:49:17.000 We may still be sailing to a loss.

00:49:19.000 Now, it's not a done deal yet.

00:49:21.000 We haven't lost yet.

00:49:22.000 I don't want to.

00:49:22.000 Put that into the ether there.

00:49:24.000 I don't want to put that in your head because we haven't lost yet.

00:49:27.000 We could still win. 0.59

00:49:28.000 But the point is, this loss of white voters could be catastrophic and potentially it will not be compensated for by the gain with Hispanics and blacks. 0.60

00:49:37.000 People really got to get that through their heads when they think about race and identity politics and what we're going to do in 2024, win or lose in this election.

00:49:47.000 The article goes on it says most of those casting a ballot in person backed Trump by 53%.

00:49:54.000 While a majority of those voting by mail go for Biden by 65%.

00:49:59.000 Now keep that number in mind.

00:50:04.000 More than one in three voters report having already cast their ballot.

00:50:07.000 And among this group, the former vice president is ahead by 29 points.

00:50:11.000 Trump leads by 16 points among those planning to vote on election day.

00:50:16.000 So this is the polling.

00:50:18.000 And my reaction to the polling is basically this I don't trust it completely.

00:50:25.000 I think that people that throw out the polls all together.

00:50:29.000 I think that that is probably wrong.

00:50:32.000 The polls were wrong in 2016, but the polls actually do give us some useful information.

00:50:38.000 And there may be errors.

00:50:40.000 There may be systemic errors.

00:50:43.000 For example, people have talked about the shy Trump effect that a pollster will call somebody's house and people don't want to say they support Trump.

00:50:50.000 Or there's a self selection bias where, in order to conduct a poll, maybe these pollsters have to call a lot of houses before they're able to get somebody who supports Trump on the phone.

00:51:01.000 This means sometimes smaller sample sizes.

00:51:04.000 It also means that the kind of Trump voter, the kind of Republican or conservative that you get on the phone, may not be a diehard Trump supporter because there's so much skepticism about pollsters and the media among Trump supporters.

00:51:17.000 So I understand that there may be systemic errors and even they're conducting suppression polls.

00:51:23.000 They're deliberately overstating Biden's lead to demoralize the Republican side.

00:51:29.000 That being said, it is worth it to look at them and be cognizant of what the polls say without taking them as the gospel and that they're never wrong because frequently they are.

00:51:40.000 And sometimes, They have to be because simultaneously you'll have a poll in the same place at the same time that is a wildly different result than another poll.

00:51:48.000 So, you know, one of them's got to be wrong, and that means that maybe many of them are wrong.

00:51:53.000 But we looked at the polling here, and after looking at the polling, I have to tell you this is the bad news.

00:52:01.000 This is the only metric, as far as I know, that I've seen that should make Trump supporters nervous heading into the election.

00:52:09.000 It's these numbers about white voters.

00:52:12.000 The national polling, the battleground states, it's the comparison with the polling in 2016.

00:52:17.000 This is the only data that should be concerning to Trump supporters that I see, the only class or type of data, which is the polls.

00:52:24.000 And like I just described, I would take it with a grain of salt only because you do have those issues with the polling.

00:52:31.000 Shy Trump, self selection bias, small sample sizes, high margin of error, and then of course you can never rule out that the media is just creating these numbers because they know that the polls do influence.

00:52:44.000 The rate at which people vote and how they vote.

00:52:47.000 So that's the bad news, but you know, take it with a grain of salt.

00:52:51.000 We're going to move on though and talk about some of these other numbers.

00:52:54.000 We'll talk about voter registration and then early voting.

00:52:58.000 And as far as quantitative analysis goes, these are two other things to look at besides polls, and they are pretty good for Trump.

00:53:05.000 So this is voter registration.

00:53:07.000 This is from the Examiner.

00:53:08.000 It says, The Republican Party has cut into Democrats' advantage in voter registration tallies across some critical presidential battleground states.

00:53:17.000 A fact they point to is evidence of steady and overlooked enthusiasm for President Donald Trump and his party.

00:53:24.000 Even though Trump trails in national polls and struggles with fundraising, with just weeks before the election, Republicans see their progress signing up voters in Florida, Pennsylvania, Arizona, and other states as a rare bright spot.

00:53:36.000 In Florida, Republicans netted 146,644 voters over Democrats since the pandemic hit in March, leaving Democrats with their smallest overall lead in party registrations.

00:53:51.000 Since the state began tracking them in 1972, which in 1972, of course, Nixon won and one of the biggest landslides ever.

00:54:00.000 In Pennsylvania, which Trump won with 44,000 votes in 2016, the GOP added 103,171 more voters since November than Democrats did.

00:54:13.000 Even in Arizona, where Democrats have been steadily chipping away at the GOP's advantage among registered voters due to a growing number of young Latino voters.

00:54:22.000 Republicans added 30,000 more voters than Democrats since mid August.

00:54:27.000 So, these are three critical swing states, three that some would say Trump necessarily must win in order to win the election.

00:54:36.000 And in all three states, Republicans are ahead in voter registration by tens, or in one case, or in two cases, more than 100,000 voters.

00:54:46.000 And keep in mind, this is net.

00:54:48.000 So, when I read the number that Republicans have 146,000 registered voters over Democrats since the pandemic, that means that.

00:54:58.000 You know, when you subtract the Republicans, or rather, when you subtract the Democrat new voter registrations since the pandemic from Republican new voter registrations since the pandemic, Republicans are ahead by 146,000, which is huge.

00:55:13.000 And you're ahead 103,000 in Pennsylvania since last November.

00:55:19.000 And they're up 30,000 since mid August in Arizona.

00:55:23.000 And that's a much smaller timeframe.

00:55:24.000 Since mid August, which is a span of what, two months compared to four years for Pennsylvania, 30,000.

00:55:31.000 Additional voter registrations for Republicans and Democrats.

00:55:35.000 These numbers should terrify Democrats.

00:55:38.000 What Democrats say, the reason why they're not concerned about this, they say, oh, well, all these people that are registering as Republicans, well, actually, they're going to vote Democrat.

00:55:49.000 This is literally what they're saying.

00:55:50.000 This should not be happening.

00:55:52.000 If Biden is truly leading by 10 points, if he's truly leading by 17 points in Wisconsin and 7 points in Pennsylvania, Trump wouldn't be ahead 150,000.

00:56:03.000 New registered voters in Florida.

00:56:05.000 He wouldn't be ahead 103,000 new registered voters in Pennsylvania.

00:56:10.000 The only way they could justify these numbers is by saying, well, okay, sure, the Republicans are way ahead in voter registration, which is not what they expected at all, but a lot of these Republicans are going to vote Democrat.

00:56:23.000 That's their argument, which doesn't make a lot of sense.

00:56:27.000 Certainly, there are Republicans that might flip and people that are renewing their voter registration.

00:56:34.000 But that definitely does not constitute the majority of them, or I would even go as far as to say a significant percentage of them.

00:56:41.000 So that's voter registration, which looks really good in the states where it needs to look good.

00:56:46.000 We'll talk about early voting, and we'll start with an article about Florida.

00:56:51.000 This is a really good statistic here.

00:56:54.000 This is from Fox.

00:56:55.000 It says Democrats are turning out at a lower rate than Republicans in Florida's largest county, Miami Dade, after Democratic nominee Joe Biden's campaign.

00:57:05.000 Pared down field operations because of the coronavirus pandemic.

00:57:10.000 Campaign operatives told Politico that door to door efforts to persuade voters to jump on the Biden bandwagon were at a standstill and without funding, despite record breaking fundraising hauls by the campaign for months leading up to the final stretch before Election Day.

00:57:26.000 Representative Frederica Wilson, who represents Miami's heavily black congressional district, told Politico We did not get the kind of funding for different vendors who would do that type of work until very late in the campaign.

00:57:38.000 In Miami Dade, 152,964 registered Republicans cast early ballots, leading Democratic voters 146,371, of whom turned out early to the polls, according to state data on Friday.

00:57:55.000 So Republicans are ahead by between 6,000 and 7,000 votes, early votes, in Miami Dade.

00:58:03.000 This is supposed to be a Democratic stronghold in southern Florida.

00:58:08.000 And Republicans are actually ahead in early voting.

00:58:10.000 Earlier, I told you, keep in mind that.

00:58:13.000 These polls that we're talking about, national and in battleground states, the polls show that Biden is supposed to be leading with people that plan to do early voting.

00:58:23.000 I think the number was 29%.

00:58:25.000 Biden is leading with people that plan on doing early voting.

00:58:29.000 And at least in early voting in Miami, in Florida, Republicans are actually ahead.

00:58:34.000 Not only is Biden not leading by 30%, which is what they're projecting, but Republicans are ahead of them.

00:58:42.000 Meanwhile, Democrats who mailed in their ballots in the county nearly doubled that of Republicans, 208,000 to 116,000.

00:58:50.000 So as far as early voting goes, we're in the lead.

00:58:52.000 As far as mail in ballots go, we're behind.

00:58:54.000 But they said that Biden would be ahead.

00:58:57.000 65 with mail in voters, people that planned on voting by mail.

00:59:02.000 Although black voter turnout is up statewide, pockets of the state have seen lower turnout from black Democrats than their Republican counterparts.

00:59:09.000 In Broward County, 45% of black voters had cast their ballot as of Wednesday, compared with 57% of black voters who voted early or by mail in 2016, according to a Hawkfish analysis for the Miami Herald.

00:59:24.000 Now, keep in mind, too, you have now already Something like what 86 million votes have been cast, and already we have way exceeded where we were in 2016 as far as early and mail in votes go, and that's because of the pandemic.

00:59:42.000 A record percentage of the vote will be cast early and by mail in this election, and they're behind when it comes to blacks.

00:59:50.000 And this is what this number just said 45% of blacks have cast their ballot early, 57% in 2016 at the same time.

01:00:00.000 So, this is record turnout for early and mail in voting like you've never seen before because of the pandemic, because people don't want to go and vote in the polling place in person where, you know, they'll catch the plague or whatever.

01:00:13.000 But they're behind.

01:00:14.000 You would expect a bad number for Democrats as far as turnout would go would be that, well, it would only be a modest increase over four years ago.

01:00:23.000 You should at least be matching. 0.92

01:00:25.000 You should be exceeding vastly because of the rate at which people are voting early and by mail compared to 2016.

01:00:31.000 But the turnout is actually less.

01:00:34.000 Double digits less.

01:00:35.000 That is a huge problem.

01:00:37.000 If you could extrapolate that to Pennsylvania or Arizona, if that same turnout problem is happening across Florida and other swing states, they're in real trouble.

01:00:47.000 I don't know why more people aren't reporting on this.

01:00:49.000 I don't know how you could look at that and say, oh, yeah, Biden's up by 10, and he's blowing out Trump with early and mail in voting.

01:00:56.000 That is really disturbing for them because this is a turnout election.

01:01:00.000 If Republicans turn out on election day the way the polls are saying, and Democrats are not turning out, Before Election Day, in the way the polls are saying, it's going to be a Trump landslide.

01:01:11.000 And if those conditions are true, then it will be a Trump landslide.

01:01:16.000 So that is some of the early voting in Florida, but we also have a report about the Midwest, which is also positive.

01:01:22.000 This is from the Associated Press.

01:01:25.000 It says The Republican Party is keeping pace in mail in and early voting in three key swing states, despite polls showing early voting should clearly favor Joe Biden.

01:01:35.000 Data out of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio indicates that registered Republicans are returning ballots.

01:01:40.000 At about the same rate as registered Democrats in the battleground states.

01:01:45.000 In Michigan, as of Wednesday, just over 1 million ballots have been returned, 40% from registered Democrats, with the same from registered Republicans.

01:01:55.000 In Wisconsin, 40% of the 711,000 returned ballots have been from Democrats, while 38% have come from Republicans.

01:02:05.000 The GOP actually leads in Ohio, with 45% of early ballots returned coming from Republicans, compared to 43% from registered Democrats.

01:02:14.000 The preliminary data matches up with the requests by party affiliation for mail in ballots.

01:02:20.000 The data contradicts national polls showing Biden supporters overwhelmingly plan to vote by mail or early in person.

01:02:28.000 According to a Pew Research poll released on Friday, 55% of voters who plan to cast their ballot in person before Election Day support Biden, compared to 40% who support President Trump.

01:02:40.000 Biden's lead is even larger among those who plan to or already have voted by mail, with 69% saying they support Biden, compared to just 27% who support Trump.

01:02:50.000 On the other hand, Trump leads those who plan to vote in person on election day 63 to 31%.

01:02:57.000 Pew's findings echo those of an Axios survey last month, which showed similar splits between those who plan to vote early and those that plan to vote on election day.

01:03:07.000 So keep in mind, like I said earlier, that important number that 55% of Biden voters say that they're going to vote early or through mail before the election.

01:03:18.000 But in Michigan and in Wisconsin and in Ohio, 55% of the early votes are not for Biden.

01:03:26.000 They're not coming from Democrats.

01:03:28.000 They're matched.

01:03:29.000 It's 40 and 40 in Michigan.

01:03:31.000 It's 40 and 38 in Wisconsin.

01:03:34.000 It's 45 and 43 in Ohio.

01:03:36.000 According to the polls, it should be 55 to 40.

01:03:40.000 Or, you know, out of the percentage of ballots that are returned by Democrats and Republicans, a lot of them are returned by independents.

01:03:46.000 It should be that Republicans should be at a much lower percentage than Democrats, but that's not what it is.

01:03:52.000 The expectation for this election is that all the Democrat turnout is going to come in the form of.

01:03:57.000 Early in mail in voting, and then Republicans will have a much greater edge and advantage on election day.

01:04:04.000 But that edge in the early in mail in voting isn't there for Biden.

01:04:08.000 It's not there in Florida.

01:04:09.000 It's not there in Michigan.

01:04:10.000 It's not there in Ohio or Wisconsin.

01:04:13.000 And as far as voter registration goes, it's not looking good in Florida.

01:04:17.000 It's not looking good in Pennsylvania.

01:04:19.000 It's not looking good in Michigan.

01:04:20.000 So that's when I say, well, the only thing that Biden has going for him quantitatively is the polls.

01:04:26.000 People might say, well, what else is there?

01:04:28.000 How about actual ballots?

01:04:30.000 How about actual early voting, actual mail in ballots?

01:04:34.000 How about we compare those numbers to the polls?

01:04:36.000 Or we could compare voter registration to the polls.

01:04:40.000 Once you enter in the data of the election so far, and this election, I mean, really, it's not election day, it's like election weeks because it's been going on for weeks.

01:04:49.000 More than 80 million votes have already been cast, and I'm sure that after the election, they will still be counting ballots.

01:04:56.000 They'll still be receiving ballots in some states.

01:04:59.000 So, You know, the election is in progress, and it is not what the polls are saying, at least from the imperfect, admittedly, data that we have so far.

01:05:10.000 So, that is quantitative analysis of voter registration, early voting in the polls.

01:05:15.000 I want to put up a map here from 270 to win.

01:05:22.000 And tell me if you could see this.

01:05:24.000 Is this like coming across clearly on the screen?

01:05:26.000 Because on my Streamlab screen, it's like.

01:05:30.000 It's a little bit pixelated.

01:05:32.000 So tell me if you could see this.

01:05:35.000 I just want to make sure I can see it on the screen before I move on.

01:05:39.000 Okay, it looks like that's basically visible.

01:05:40.000 I'll make it a little bit bigger here.

01:05:44.000 And let me see.

01:05:45.000 Can I get rid of that edge?

01:05:46.000 Can I get rid of that advertisement there?

01:05:52.000 Let me see.

01:05:57.000 Whoa, that's too much.

01:05:59.000 Let me crop it.

01:06:00.000 There we go.

01:06:01.000 Okay, that's better.

01:06:04.000 So here we go.

01:06:06.000 Here is a map, an electoral map.

01:06:09.000 We haven't done one of these yet on the show, which we probably should have been doing.

01:06:13.000 It's just kind of like a hassle to put it up on the screen.

01:06:17.000 So, here is a map of basically what we're certain about.

01:06:23.000 Democrats are starting out with roughly 212 electoral votes from the rip, Republicans at 164.

01:06:31.000 This is what basically we know to be true.

01:06:34.000 Now, some people might argue that New Mexico is in play.

01:06:37.000 I wouldn't necessarily argue that.

01:06:39.000 Some people would argue that Georgia is not in play, or that Georgia is in play.

01:06:46.000 I don't think that it really is.

01:06:47.000 Some people would say that Virginia is in play.

01:06:49.000 I don't know.

01:06:51.000 So, I guess if I were to be completely certain, I would say that this is a map of what we can expect right out of the gate.

01:06:59.000 Okay?

01:07:00.000 If I were to fill up the state with basic expectations, I would say that it makes sense that New Mexico goes to Biden, Virginia goes to Biden, Georgia goes to Trump.

01:07:10.000 I don't think Biden's going to win there.

01:07:12.000 I think Iowa goes to Trump, Ohio goes to Trump.

01:07:15.000 I think that it is reasonable to assume these, and probably that New Hampshire goes to Biden.

01:07:21.000 Now, then again, we could see surprises.

01:07:23.000 It is possible that Biden wins Ohio.

01:07:25.000 It is possible that Biden wins Iowa or Georgia.

01:07:28.000 It's possible that Trump wins New Hampshire.

01:07:31.000 But I think that as far as likelihood goes, it is a safer guess that this is really the map that we're working with 216 to 204.

01:07:40.000 If we're to break down the math here, I think that Biden maybe has a good chance for Nevada.

01:07:46.000 And then it really comes down to these states.

01:07:49.000 And the way that I think about it is you've got Arizona, you've got Florida, North Carolina, and then you've got these Midwestern states.

01:07:58.000 In order for Trump to win the election, let's just even take Nevada out for one second.

01:08:04.000 In order for Trump to win the election, I think the best path is to get Arizona, which he won in 16 and which is historically Republican, to get Florida, which he won in 2016, and which is looking very good in the polls, maybe better than almost any swing state.

01:08:17.000 North Carolina, also historically Republican and also looking better.

01:08:22.000 And at this point, Republicans are up to 259 electoral votes.

01:08:26.000 Now the path.

01:08:29.000 Narrows.

01:08:30.000 And it comes down to some combination here of the Midwest.

01:08:34.000 Trump can win Pennsylvania, in which case he gets 279.

01:08:37.000 It puts him over the top and he wins.

01:08:41.000 That's one way.

01:08:42.000 Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.

01:08:45.000 There's your path.

01:08:47.000 Another path is he could win Michigan.

01:08:49.000 If he wins Michigan and nothing else, it puts him over the top at 275.

01:08:55.000 If he gets Wisconsin, notice he's at 269.

01:08:58.000 Now at that point, he could flip.

01:09:01.000 This second congressional district in Maine, in Maine and Nebraska, they break down their electoral allocation by district.

01:09:10.000 And so in Maine, you know, Biden can win the state, which gives you two.

01:09:15.000 He can win the first district.

01:09:17.000 And then Trump can still win the second district.

01:09:20.000 And that gives him one.

01:09:21.000 That gives him 270.

01:09:22.000 If you notice, Minnesota is also 10 electoral votes like Wisconsin.

01:09:26.000 So he could just win Minnesota and that electoral vote, which he won in 2016.

01:09:31.000 In 2016, he won that one electoral vote from Maine.

01:09:35.000 He could win Minnesota and that one electoral vote in Maine, and then he could get 270.

01:09:40.000 Of course, and this could be the case too, he could win any combination.

01:09:44.000 If he wins all four, he's up to 316, and he gets 10 more electoral votes than he did in 2016.

01:09:50.000 So that is possible too.

01:09:53.000 He could get some combination of Wisconsin and Nevada, right?

01:09:58.000 Or Minnesota and Nevada.

01:09:59.000 Nevada, I think, is less likely, but some say it's in play.

01:10:04.000 The way to think about this, though, that I consider.

01:10:08.000 Is that Biden has to win everything here?

01:10:11.000 Biden has to win Nevada and Minnesota and Wisconsin and Michigan and Pennsylvania and the first district in Maine to win the election.

01:10:21.000 To get 279, he has to win everything there.

01:10:24.000 So you could say, okay, well, maybe Trump isn't doing so hot in Pennsylvania.

01:10:28.000 Maybe he's not doing so hot in Michigan or Wisconsin.

01:10:31.000 Maybe he won't be able to flip Minnesota.

01:10:33.000 Minnesota hasn't been red.

01:10:34.000 Not even Reagan could flip Minnesota red, but that's because Walter Mondale is from Minnesota.

01:10:40.000 You could say that he has no chance in Nevada.

01:10:43.000 But.

01:10:44.000 The odds that Trump wins at least one of them, you know, that the polling is wrong in one of them or the turnout is particularly high in one or something, that to me is where there's a little bit of optimism.

01:10:55.000 Now, granted, the polls could be completely wrong.

01:10:58.000 There could be huge turnout on election day.

01:11:02.000 And, you know, who knows?

01:11:03.000 Maybe we get everything and we don't even have to worry.

01:11:06.000 Maybe we even get New Hampshire and Maine.

01:11:08.000 I mean, that's possible.

01:11:10.000 It could be possible the Democrats cheat and we do end up losing everything.

01:11:16.000 You know, I mean, it is also a plausible scenario, albeit less likely, that Democrats rig it and they get 305 and they reverse some of the gains from 2016.

01:11:28.000 But this is just a general way to think about the math.

01:11:30.000 It's either a Biden landslide or Biden, I mean, really, that's kind of like the only thing.

01:11:36.000 It's either a Biden landslide or I think Trump is going to win.

01:11:39.000 Because a Biden landslide would look like this map.

01:11:42.000 And, you know, if Trump even just does his 2016 performance, even if he doesn't do as good in 2016, Again, he only needs to win one of these plus maybe an additional one if it's only Wisconsin or only Minnesota to flip the whole thing.

01:11:58.000 That's how I'm thinking about the election.

01:12:01.000 So we'll see.

01:12:02.000 Based on the voter registration, based on the early and mail in voting, Arizona was looking good.

01:12:08.000 The polling is looking good in Arizona.

01:12:10.000 It's a tie in the real clear politics average for Arizona.

01:12:14.000 So if the polls say it's a tie on average, I give that to Trump.

01:12:18.000 In Florida, a couple of days ago, Trump was actually up in the average.

01:12:22.000 Now he's only down by like one point.

01:12:24.000 Internal polling shows that Trump is up by a couple points in Florida and Arizona.

01:12:29.000 So I give Arizona to Trump.

01:12:30.000 I give Florida to Trump, also based on early voting and voter registration.

01:12:36.000 North Carolina, I don't know.

01:12:37.000 I mean, that's going to be close.

01:12:39.000 Michigan, we've got good early voting.

01:12:41.000 We've got good voter registration.

01:12:43.000 Same for Pennsylvania.

01:12:44.000 Wisconsin is a little tricky.

01:12:47.000 We've had some bad polls, but yet good voter registration.

01:12:50.000 And they just had a really good ruling about the deadline for when they're done accepting the mail in ballots.

01:12:57.000 Some say that Trump has a chance in Minnesota.

01:13:00.000 So, I mean, this could be another path here.

01:13:03.000 But it really is going to come down to one of these swing states in Arizona and Florida.

01:13:11.000 You know, I would say that it's the four critical ones that decide the election, really.

01:13:18.000 I mean, because let's just for the fun of it, if we're going to be very conservative about it, if I were to be extremely conservative about my prediction, I would say.

01:13:29.000 This is basically where we are.

01:13:31.000 And it's going to be a game of the trick is going to be to get these four states.

01:13:36.000 You know, let's even just give Maine for the fun of it to Biden.

01:13:39.000 The trick is going to be these four states.

01:13:42.000 That's how he's going to do it.

01:13:43.000 And if Arizona, Florida, North Carolina appear to be trending Trump, then we're in good shape.

01:13:48.000 You know, then it comes down to then the contest is kicked over and it comes down to one of the four.

01:13:55.000 Biden's got to win all four, which is difficult because he hasn't been campaigning.

01:13:58.000 His ground game is terrible.

01:14:00.000 They're on a deficit in voter registration.

01:14:03.000 They're neck and neck in early voting.

01:14:05.000 They're not performing where they need to be as far as mail in and early voting goes.

01:14:10.000 And in states like Michigan and Wisconsin, the courts there have ruled that they have to stick to a relatively strict deadline for the latest that they can accept the mail in ballots.

01:14:23.000 In Wisconsin, the mail in ballots have to be in by 8 o'clock local time on the night of the election.

01:14:29.000 So, with that in mind, with all of that information in mind, the chances that Biden's going to flip Arizona and Florida.

01:14:36.000 I think they are slim.

01:14:37.000 The chances that Biden is going to run the table and win all these Rust Belt states, all these Midwestern states, I think is also very slim.

01:14:45.000 Now, you could give him one or two or even three, but does he pull off every single one of them?

01:14:50.000 No.

01:14:52.000 The last thing I'll say, and then we'll move on to Super Chats.

01:14:54.000 The last thing I'll say, the real wild card is going to be Pennsylvania because this could very well be the map.

01:15:01.000 And if this is the map and it comes down to Pennsylvania, that is where the Supreme Court is going to come into play.

01:15:07.000 Because Pennsylvania was very close in 2016.

01:15:10.000 It was extremely close.

01:15:12.000 It was a matter of, I think, 1% that Trump won by in 2016.

01:15:17.000 There is a scenario where Trump wins Pennsylvania on election night.

01:15:22.000 But over the course of a couple of weeks, ballots are coming in and Pennsylvania becomes Biden.

01:15:29.000 You know, it becomes Democrat because they're counting all these mail in ballots that were received after the election and were counted after the election.

01:15:37.000 And then it turns into okay, Joe Biden wins PA.

01:15:40.000 Now it's 279 to 259, game over.

01:15:43.000 But there is an outstanding decision in the Supreme Court about the real deadline for when the state of Pennsylvania can continue to accept the mail in ballots.

01:15:56.000 There was a decision made, I think, by the state election officials or maybe the court in Pennsylvania.

01:16:01.000 They said that we're going to extend the deadline for how late we can accept mail in ballots.

01:16:07.000 This was against the state legislature in Pennsylvania.

01:16:11.000 I forget if it was the state board of elections or the courts.

01:16:14.000 But they overruled the legislature and said, well, we're going to extend the deadline for the mail in ballots because of COVID.

01:16:20.000 Now, Republicans challenged that decision.

01:16:22.000 They said, this is unconstitutional.

01:16:25.000 They're overstepping their legal authority.

01:16:27.000 The state legislature has the final say about the deadline for the mail in ballots.

01:16:32.000 It's the constitutional duty of the state legislature to draw up the rules for these contests and how the electors are allocated from the different states.

01:16:44.000 That decision, it went all the way up to the Supreme Court, and the Supreme Court went down four to four.

01:16:51.000 The four conservatives against the four liberals.

01:16:54.000 This was after Ruth Bader Ginsburg died.

01:16:56.000 It was Gorsuch, Kavanaugh, Alito, and Thomas against the four liberal judges, and it was split.

01:17:03.000 After Amy Coney Barrett was confirmed, Republicans filed a new petition to get the Supreme Court to intervene before the election.

01:17:10.000 The Supreme Court intervened. 0.97

01:17:12.000 Amy Coney Barrett sat it out. 0.99

01:17:15.000 And the Supreme Court declined to hear that case before the election. 0.64

01:17:21.000 They didn't make a ruling, but they declined to hear the case.

01:17:25.000 There were three dissenters Alito, Gorsuch, and Thomas.

01:17:30.000 Thomas didn't give a reason.

01:17:32.000 Alito and Gorsuch both basically said that if a state board or if a state court overrules the legislature, that is unconstitutional.

01:17:43.000 Alito said that this case may be revisited after the election.

01:17:48.000 If that happens and the Supreme Court reconsiders this case, or I guess considers this case after the election, and if Amy Coney Barrett participates and that 4 4 decision becomes a 5 4 decision with Amy Coney Barrett, they will strike down the extension of the deadline that was put in place by either the court or the state board, and then the original deadline put in place by the legislature, which is earlier, will have to be honored.

01:18:17.000 In the event that that happens, All the ballots that are received after the original deadline, but which were expected to be meeting the new deadline, will be discarded.

01:18:27.000 If the mail in ballots are favoring Joe Biden, as they appear to be in some states, and maybe once you factor in independence, they might be favoring Joe Biden, there is a chance that Democrat ballots will be thrown out, and then it could swing Pennsylvania back in favor of Trump.

01:18:44.000 Now, you could see a scenario very easily, very easily, because Pennsylvania is closer in the polls than Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota.

01:18:52.000 You could very easily see a scenario where it comes down to that.

01:18:55.000 Ballots are thrown out.

01:18:57.000 There's a new count, and it goes from Trump winning on election night to Biden winning after all the votes are counted to Republicans petitioning the Supreme Court.

01:19:06.000 The Supreme Court has a new decision.

01:19:09.000 The new decision discards all these mail in ballots that flips the vote total in Pennsylvania.

01:19:15.000 Pennsylvania goes to Trump, and then Trump wins the election.

01:19:17.000 I mean, that is a scenario that could play out.

01:19:20.000 So that's why we talked about this the other day.

01:19:23.000 There were similar decisions in North Carolina, Michigan, and Wisconsin about the deadlines.

01:19:29.000 In Wisconsin, they upheld a strict deadline.

01:19:32.000 In Michigan, they upheld the strict deadline.

01:19:34.000 In North Carolina, they allowed a nine day after Election Day deadline and a six day extension from what North Carolina originally had, which may put us in trouble.

01:19:46.000 And then in Pennsylvania, they just refused to make a decision, refused to address it before the election.

01:19:53.000 So that's where we stand as far as the map goes.

01:19:55.000 That's how the math works.

01:19:57.000 Okay, I said that was the last thing I was going to say.

01:19:59.000 There's actually another last thing I'm going to say, which is this.

01:20:05.000 Now, this is the 2020 election, and there is a chance that we could win with this map, but we're not winning by much, okay?

01:20:14.000 279, we're winning by nine points.

01:20:16.000 That is by the skin of our teeth.

01:20:19.000 It's coming down to all this minutiae.

01:20:21.000 I want you to keep in mind that we are reaching the point where a landslide is impossible.

01:20:27.000 If not, we're already there.

01:20:29.000 There will never be an election where a Republican will get more than 500 electoral votes.

01:20:35.000 There will never be an election, even, where a Republican will get more than 400 votes.

01:20:40.000 Think about that.

01:20:42.000 You know, these states, let's just for the heck of it, give Trump everything that he could possibly win, even in the most outlandish scenario.

01:20:51.000 Let's say he just goes crazy, he's the most popular president ever, and he wins everything that people think is even in play.

01:21:02.000 These are all the states, these are all the electoral votes that anybody suggested are in play in this election, and even people thought Colorado was in play in the last election.

01:21:12.000 This is where we're at.

01:21:13.000 This is the most that Republicans can win 353 electoral votes.

01:21:18.000 That obviously wasn't always the case.

01:21:20.000 In 1988, George Bush won California.

01:21:25.000 In 1988, okay?

01:21:27.000 People think it's like ancient history.

01:21:29.000 No, I mean, it was recently that we won California, and we won all kinds of states.

01:21:35.000 In 84, we won everything except for Minnesota.

01:21:38.000 We won Illinois.

01:21:39.000 We won New York.

01:21:40.000 We won Massachusetts.

01:21:42.000 I think the only thing we didn't win in 84 was D.C. and Minnesota.

01:21:45.000 Keep in mind, this is the ceiling for Republicans, 353.

01:21:50.000 And that's even a stretch.

01:21:52.000 I would say that our real ceiling would be this.

01:21:58.000 I would say our real ceiling would be 320, is what we could hope to achieve realistically.

01:22:06.000 320 is the most we could do.

01:22:08.000 Conversely, think about what the Democrats could win.

01:22:12.000 If Trump was a bad candidate and Biden was a really good candidate, They could flip Arizona.

01:22:17.000 They're on their way to flipping Arizona.

01:22:19.000 Arizona is going to be closer now than it was in 16.

01:22:22.000 Arizona was closer in 16 than it was in 2004. 1.00

01:22:26.000 They're on their way to flipping Florida with all the Puerto Ricans and Mexicans moving there. 1.00

01:22:31.000 Clearly, they're on their way to flipping Georgia. 0.99

01:22:33.000 Georgia elections are getting closer and closer. 0.85

01:22:37.000 And even in this election, people are saying Georgia is a swing state because of all the non white people who live there. 0.87

01:22:42.000 North Carolina, they could win. 0.83

01:22:44.000 Iowa, they could win.

01:22:45.000 Ohio.

01:22:46.000 I mean, they could really.

01:22:47.000 I mean, maybe not in this election, but in the same way that it is theoretically possible for Republicans to win New Hampshire, it is theoretically possible for Democrats to win all of these states.

01:23:00.000 Our ceiling is 320.

01:23:02.000 We may see an election in four years where Democrats win 374.

01:23:06.000 Maybe they flip Missouri too, you know, for good measure, or Montana.

01:23:09.000 Montana has a Democratic senator elected in 2018.

01:23:13.000 And then, of course, the crown jewel is Texas. 0.94

01:23:16.000 Texas goes blue, and maybe even South Carolina, because they have a lot of blacks there. 1.00

01:23:22.000 This is a scenario that we could see in our future. 0.95

01:23:25.000 This could be a scenario where maybe this is a bad day for Republicans, but it's possible.

01:23:30.000 And what does a good day for Republicans look like in 10 years?

01:23:33.000 A good day for Republicans would be what?

01:23:35.000 We got Montana, Missouri, South Carolina, Iowa, Ohio.

01:23:43.000 That's a good day for Republicans in the future, 388.

01:23:47.000 The Democratic wall is going to be these states. 0.73

01:23:51.000 You're eventually going to see a scenario where all of these states.

01:23:54.000 That are highlighted now are uncompetitive.

01:23:56.000 They're starting out with 388. 1.00

01:23:58.000 That's what we get with mass immigration.

01:24:00.000 People really need to think about that.

01:24:02.000 This is because of mass immigration. 0.65

01:24:04.000 When they say that Trump is polling well in Nevada, and that's in spite of surging young Latino support for Democrats, that's the future of Nevada. 0.93

01:24:16.000 It's all these illegals and legal Hispanic immigrants in Nevada that are young now, but will turn 18 and then vote, and presumably their voter turnout will go up as time goes on. 0.98

01:24:28.000 Nevada won't be competitive. 1.00

01:24:29.000 Arizona won't be competitive because of immigration. 1.00

01:24:32.000 New Mexico, we used to be able to win. 1.00

01:24:34.000 Now we can't.

01:24:35.000 Colorado, same deal.

01:24:36.000 Texas, look at the results in 2018 Ted Cruz versus Beto O'Rourke.

01:24:43.000 Look at the margin in Florida in 2016.

01:24:45.000 Look at the margin in the governor's race in Georgia in 2018.

01:24:48.000 Look at how we're having to fight for our lives in North Carolina.

01:24:51.000 Virginia once was the capital of the Confederacy, of the Confederate States of America.

01:24:56.000 It used to be a swing state.

01:24:57.000 Now we don't even campaign there.

01:24:59.000 It's solid blue.

01:25:01.000 And this is where we're at.

01:25:04.000 So I want you to keep in mind that for 2020, for the election that's coming in four days, we've got a shot.

01:25:11.000 This is not the reality.

01:25:12.000 It could be.

01:25:13.000 But sooner or later, we are headed to this map.

01:25:16.000 And we are headed to this map being the starting point.

01:25:19.000 The only way, I think, for Republicans to survive, if we get enough liberal white people on our side, we could turn the Rust Belt red for the foreseeable future.

01:25:29.000 We could hang on to Arizona a little bit.

01:25:31.000 We could hang on to Georgia and Florida. 0.77

01:25:33.000 I mean, conceivably, this is the only way that we're going to be able to fend off Democrats in the future is by making these states, all four of them, all four of them have to become solid red in the coming years by appealing to white voters. 0.70

01:25:49.000 That's the only way that we're going to buy ourselves time. 0.61

01:25:52.000 If Arizona flips, North Carolina flips, you know, even Florida, I guess Florida would be game over, but maybe Georgia.

01:26:00.000 I mean, the only way that we're going to stay in, that we're going to remain competitive as the Republican Party is if we shift the.

01:26:07.000 Swing states that we could count on in the southwest and maybe even in the southeast, and shift that up to the Midwest.

01:26:14.000 And honestly, I think it's unlikely, but maybe even like New Hampshire and Maine.

01:26:18.000 So that's the math.

01:26:19.000 That's how it all shakes out.

01:26:22.000 If I were to give you my map, how can I reset this?

01:26:25.000 If I were to give you my map, whoops, I don't want that.

01:26:32.000 If I were a betting man and I were to give you my map for what we're going to see on Tuesday, If I were to be as conservative as possible, I would say it's going to be something like this.

01:26:47.000 I would say I honestly have no idea how these states are going to go, but I think this is, we can expect this, and then I think we're going to get one out of the Midwestern states.

01:26:59.000 And I think if it's going to be any of them, it'll be Pennsylvania.

01:27:04.000 It's tough to say, but I think basically the election will, I mean, and this is not even really difficult, but.

01:27:09.000 It'll come down to this.

01:27:10.000 The real prediction is going to come in place with these four states.

01:27:13.000 These are the wild cards.

01:27:15.000 These are the wild cards.

01:27:17.000 And my bet is we'll win at least one of them.

01:27:20.000 And I think more likely than not, it'll be Pennsylvania.

01:27:22.000 But honestly, it's really a toss up in all four.

01:27:25.000 I would do a coin flip for all four.

01:27:28.000 That's good news, though, because if you're doing 50 50, if it's a coin flip for all four, the cumulative probability that Trump will win one of them goes up and makes him the likely winner.

01:27:38.000 Okay.

01:27:40.000 So that's the map.

01:27:42.000 That's where we are on 270 to win.

01:27:45.000 But we're going to move on and take a look at our super chats and we'll see what you guys are saying about all of this.

01:27:50.000 We'll take a good hard look at what everybody's saying and we'll see.

01:27:57.000 Getting down to the wire, folks.

01:27:59.000 I also want to take this time to remind you that I will be doing an election stream, of course, and it will probably start at 6 o'clock Central Time.

01:28:10.000 So on Tuesday, I'm going to have a big election stream.

01:28:14.000 It's going to start at 6 o'clock.

01:28:15.000 And it will go as long as it needs to.

01:28:18.000 I maybe will cut it off at like 4 a.m., 5 a.m., but I'm planning on starting at 6 o'clock and at various times throughout the night.

01:28:25.000 So far, I have booked Scott Greer, Steve Franson, Jake Lloyd, and Vince James, and Jaden McNeil.

01:28:32.000 They are all planning on showing up.

01:28:34.000 I haven't heard from Patrick yet.

01:28:36.000 I put it out there in a group chat.

01:28:37.000 He didn't respond.

01:28:38.000 I don't know if he's planning on doing his own stream, which would be fine, or if he's going to stop in on ours, but that's who we have so far.

01:28:45.000 And I'll announce the full lineup this weekend.

01:28:49.000 And I'll post all the information on Twitter and on Telegram.

01:28:52.000 But I just want to give you a heads up.

01:28:53.000 We'll be starting at 6 o'clock Central on Tuesday.

01:28:56.000 And at least we're going to have Scott Greer, Steve Franson, Jake Lloyd, and Vince and Jaden.

01:29:04.000 And that'll be our lineup.

01:29:05.000 And it should be a very fun night.

01:29:07.000 It's going to be a marathon stream.

01:29:09.000 We're not going to know who wins by the end of it.

01:29:11.000 But it'll be a lot of fun.

01:29:12.000 And I hope you'll join us.

01:29:15.000 And the thing is, you know, you could watch, I guess, really anything.

01:29:19.000 We're going to have all the different.

01:29:20.000 We'll have the New York Times up.

01:29:22.000 We'll have, I mean, the benefit of live streaming on DLive and just being like a low budget streamer, you know, not quite like NBC, right, or like 538, is we can kind of sample from everybody and, you know, it's going to be a lot of fun.

01:29:36.000 So I hope you'll tune in.

01:29:40.000 But we're going to move on and read our super chats.

01:29:40.000 Okay.

01:29:43.000 Let me get the sparkling water going here because my voice is going.

01:29:47.000 My voice is really going away.

01:29:50.000 And my mom got this new sparkling water, which I haven't tried yet.

01:29:55.000 It's Solil blood orange sparkling water.

01:29:58.000 We'll give it a try.

01:29:59.000 It's pretty good.

01:30:05.000 Pretty good as far as the sparkling water goes.

01:30:08.000 Okay.

01:30:09.000 So that's that.

01:30:11.000 And that's the election.

01:30:13.000 Now I will read our super chats.

01:30:15.000 Hyper conservative says Archbishop Vagano writes a letter to Trump warning him of the great reset.

01:30:21.000 The pedo cabal is falling.

01:30:23.000 I heard people talking about that, but I haven't read it yet.

01:30:25.000 I'll have to check that out.

01:30:28.000 Hopefully so.

01:30:29.000 The pedo cabal needs to fall.

01:30:31.000 We are accelerating it, I hope. 1.00

01:30:33.000 Polish American Groyp versus Jaden is a killer. 0.99

01:30:37.000 At first, he lures you in with his country charm, but then as you befriend him, he gets confident and negs you. 0.90

01:30:43.000 I love the guy, and it really hurts me.

01:30:45.000 Most anti Semitic person out there. 0.99

01:30:47.000 A Jew.

01:30:48.000 I don't know what that part means.

01:30:50.000 But don't even think of calling him Babin.

01:30:54.000 He really cuts you down.

01:30:54.000 He does.

01:30:56.000 When I first met him, he's like, Oh, I've never been to a big city like Washington, D.C. before.

01:31:03.000 And I'm like, God, what a charming country guy, you know?

01:31:08.000 Quaint.

01:31:09.000 And that classic Southern hospitality.

01:31:12.000 I said, This guy's harmless.

01:31:14.000 And then he played Warzone with him, and then he's threatening to beat me up.

01:31:18.000 He's like, Almost as bad as Owen Benjamin. 0.99

01:31:21.000 I'm going to come to your house, I'm going to beat you up, and I'm going to kill you. 1.00

01:31:26.000 And he's attacking my ethnicity, he's attacking everything about me, he's ripping me apart. 1.00

01:31:31.000 And now it's a cage match, it's a verbal cage match.

01:31:35.000 That's how he gets it, though.

01:31:35.000 Vicious.

01:31:37.000 That's how he gets you.

01:31:39.000 Brings you in.

01:31:39.000 He's like an anglerfish.

01:31:41.000 He brings you in with that folksy southern charm, and then just when you let your guard down, you're eating your biscuits and gravy, and then he chops you up with an axe.

01:31:50.000 Anyway, I'm kidding.

01:31:52.000 Kidding, of course.

01:31:53.000 We love Jaden.

01:31:53.000 Kidding.

01:31:54.000 He's a nice guy.

01:31:55.000 Nice guy.

01:31:56.000 He's got an edge, though, which is good.

01:31:58.000 You need an edge.

01:32:00.000 You need an edge.

01:32:01.000 But he's nice, but we're all friends.

01:32:02.000 Just jokes. 0.99

01:32:04.000 Big Rams says World War II wasn't black and white, but the At least we aren't speaking German, meme is really gay. 0.95

01:32:11.000 Attacking America's role in history and saying the Axis should have won only puts people off. 0.97

01:32:16.000 Been seeing that a lot lately. 1.00

01:32:18.000 I totally agree.

01:32:20.000 I mean, look, we could talk about World War II, and there's a lot of nuance about World War II that is missing about Hitler, about the Nazis, about the causes of World War II, about this moral dimension to World War II, about the casualties of World War II.

01:32:36.000 There's a lot of nuance there, but it is.

01:32:40.000 A bad idea, obviously, just politically, to do this thing like a lot of Wignats do, where they say, oh, the wrong side won.

01:32:47.000 I mean, that's just, that's never going to work in American politics. 0.94

01:32:52.000 But I do 100% agree with you. 1.00

01:32:55.000 At least we aren't speaking German. 0.98

01:32:57.000 Yeah. 1.00

01:32:57.000 We only have like trans kids and drag queen story hour and promulgation and proliferation of sodomy and homosexuality and abortion, the destruction of the traditional family. 1.00

01:33:13.000 Feminism out of control, invasion by non white immigrants. 0.99

01:33:16.000 Yeah, we only have that, but at least we're not speaking German. 1.00

01:33:19.000 I don't know.

01:33:20.000 Kind of makes you think, doesn't it?

01:33:22.000 But I agree with you.

01:33:24.000 Attacking America's role in history, it's just not a winner politically, and that's what I am as a political actor.

01:33:30.000 You know, some people are like, oh, you know, you're not an academic or whatever.

01:33:34.000 It's like, yeah, I'm not.

01:33:36.000 The point of this show is not to investigate or research or produce academic material.

01:33:44.000 The point of this show is to move the ball down the field, you know, to advance our political objectives.

01:33:49.000 And rhetoric is a part of that.

01:33:50.000 So I totally agree.

01:33:52.000 Minnesota Groyper says, and that's why I'm not like a World War II scholar, okay?

01:33:56.000 That's why I can't get into that like some people want me to, because we have to keep in mind politics.

01:34:03.000 Minnesota Groyper says, we're going to win Minnesota.

01:34:05.000 Well, hey, thank you for the big super chat.

01:34:07.000 You got to go out and vote, Minnesota Groyper, and get all your friends.

01:34:11.000 Not only do you have to vote, but you have to get all your friends to vote too and get them to vote Trump, particularly you, but that goes for everybody.

01:34:18.000 Well, thank you for the big super chat.

01:34:20.000 07s in chat for Minnesota Groyper, a great guy, a great guy, and a friend of the show.

01:34:24.000 I appreciate it.

01:34:26.000 McPaddy with a huge super chat.

01:34:28.000 Thank you so much.

01:34:30.000 McPaddy, wow.

01:34:32.000 You know, whenever I get these big super chats, it's always like when you get a birthday card with money in it.

01:34:39.000 You know what I mean?

01:34:40.000 Because whenever I get a birthday card or a Christmas card with money in it and people watch you open it, I always wonder do I like pretend to be surprised by the amount?

01:34:51.000 Do I pretend to be like, oh my gosh?

01:34:55.000 Do I pretend to do that first?

01:34:57.000 Or do I read the message in the card first and then say, oh my gosh, thank you so much?

01:35:02.000 Do you know what I mean?

01:35:03.000 Like, the same goes for the super chats.

01:35:05.000 Do I say, oh my gosh, thanks for the big super chat, and then read the message?

01:35:08.000 Or do I read the message and then say, oh my gosh?

01:35:13.000 I just had to do that the other day.

01:35:15.000 I got a birthday card, and I'm kind of autistic, so it's difficult for me to navigate otherwise common sense social situations.

01:35:24.000 And I'm like, okay, here we go.

01:35:25.000 It's the card with the check in it.

01:35:27.000 What's the play here?

01:35:28.000 What's the play?

01:35:29.000 Do I look at the check?

01:35:30.000 As the first thing, and say you shouldn't have?

01:35:33.000 Or do I sidestep the check because I care more about the nice card and pretend to read cursive writing that I can't read, thoughtfully read the card, then look at the check, then say, oh my gosh, thank you.

01:35:46.000 You know, so it's a tricky thing.

01:35:48.000 But I will say, big shout out.

01:35:50.000 But there's only one thing to say big shout out.

01:35:52.000 I appreciate it.

01:35:54.000 Thank you for the huge super chat, McPaddy.

01:35:56.000 He says, it's Friday.

01:35:57.000 Have a Big Mac on me.

01:35:58.000 You deserve it, big guy.

01:36:00.000 Well, thanks a lot.

01:36:01.000 I really do appreciate it.

01:36:03.000 Can we get an 07 in chat for McPaddy?

01:36:05.000 Friend of the show.

01:36:06.000 Friend of the show.

01:36:07.000 Another friend.

01:36:10.000 One of our favorite super chatters.

01:36:11.000 We'd love to see it.

01:36:12.000 Thank you so much.

01:36:12.000 I don't even, you know, when you get to that amount, it's like, how many times can I say thank you?

01:36:18.000 No words can express the gratitude.

01:36:20.000 So thank you so much for a huge super chat.

01:36:24.000 I do appreciate it.

01:36:26.000 Big Globe says, I can't donate $500, but are you legally able to tell us what was the result of that dispute between you and James Alsop a few years ago?

01:36:35.000 If not, that's okay.

01:36:36.000 Happy Friday.

01:36:38.000 Well, we did sign as part of a settlement that we couldn't talk about.

01:36:44.000 I can't remember if we couldn't talk about what happened during the dispute or how it was resolved.

01:36:51.000 But out of an abundance of caution, I don't want to talk about it because I don't want to get sued.

01:36:57.000 I got a very good result.

01:36:58.000 I'll just say that.

01:36:59.000 I mean, I definitely won. 1.00

01:37:01.000 They were trying to be, you know, just jerks. 1.00

01:37:04.000 They thought I wouldn't bring a lawyer in, and I did, and then they just looked like assholes, you know? 1.00

01:37:09.000 But. 0.98

01:37:10.000 In the event that they're watching and they want to be petty, I'm not going to.

01:37:13.000 Well, I don't know.

01:37:14.000 I mean, one of them's poor.

01:37:16.000 James Alsop's poor, I think.

01:37:17.000 So it's not like he could hire a lawyer to do what?

01:37:20.000 You know, seek what damages, right?

01:37:22.000 And the other partner, Matt, I think he's doing well financially.

01:37:31.000 But he also wrote out this big apology.

01:37:36.000 Excuse me.

01:37:37.000 This big apology email. 0.97

01:37:39.000 And, you know, for what it's worth, I am willing to forgive people, but this guy was like just being so unnecessarily a dick for months. 0.85

01:37:51.000 Like, persisted, and it cost him a lot of money. 0.98

01:37:54.000 It cost him a lot of money and a lot of energy, and it took a lot of time for him to just dick me around and just to mess with me.

01:38:01.000 And it's like, you know, so it would be one thing if somebody makes a mistake and they're like, you know what, I thought about it and I regretted it and I'm sorry. 0.86

01:38:08.000 But it's like, you persistently fuck with me for no good reason, like at your own expense for months, and then you're going to be like, oh, well, he wrote out this big email.

01:38:21.000 In the spirit of the new year, I don't like having bad blood and I don't like grudges. 0.99

01:38:26.000 And as a Christian, I'll fucking save it. 0.94

01:38:31.000 You know, this guy, for months, over a very small sum of money, relatively, it probably cost him way more than lawyers to keep this charade going over something that was very black and white, just trying to withhold money from me that he owed me. 0.98

01:38:45.000 And it's like, you know, then he's going to come out years later.

01:38:49.000 Oh, I'm so, I was so sorry that I persistently and at great personal expense.

01:38:55.000 Just try to keep a paltry sum of money from you.

01:38:59.000 Yeah, yeah, definitely.

01:39:01.000 It sounds authentic, sounds sincere.

01:39:03.000 It's really more like you bet on the wrong horse and now you regret it.

01:39:06.000 You know, he went all in on James.

01:39:09.000 I mean, do I even need to say anything?

01:39:11.000 That crashed and burned very quickly.

01:39:13.000 I had soaring success.

01:39:15.000 And oh, now, now that it's apparent that you bet on the wrong horse, now you're deeply, deeply sorry.

01:39:23.000 Oh, I believe you, man.

01:39:24.000 I totally believe you.

01:39:26.000 The worst thing about that.

01:39:28.000 Is so for people that don't know in October 2017, I started a company called America First Media, and it was me, James Alsop, and this friend of mine named Matt.

01:39:42.000 And this, the third partner in the business, now the business didn't last in January.

01:39:48.000 We ended up dissolving it, it was a general partnership.

01:39:50.000 We ended up dissolving it, and I don't want to get into the minutiae of it because I think legally I can't.

01:39:55.000 But the reason why it was such a screw job.

01:40:00.000 It was Matt and James basically teaming up against me, is because I had only ever met James Alsop one time.

01:40:08.000 I met him at Charlottesville, and that was it at the time.

01:40:12.000 I think I've met him since then, but I had only ever met him the one time.

01:40:17.000 We barely knew each other on a personal level, but we were both kind of equal in size, and as far as our audience goes, and we were similar in that we were dissonant right, but not quite fitting in with the alt right.

01:40:31.000 Definitely better optics and wanted to make a difference within.

01:40:35.000 The Republican Party or in the conservative movement.

01:40:38.000 So we said, okay, this is a natural alliance.

01:40:40.000 And, you know, this friend of mine, Matt, I had known this guy forever.

01:40:45.000 He was from my same town.

01:40:47.000 We went to elementary school together.

01:40:49.000 I went to school, he's a couple years older than me.

01:40:52.000 I went to school with his little brother, who was in my grade.

01:40:55.000 I've literally known their family since I was six years old.

01:40:59.000 And they're from a neighborhood like five minutes away from my house.

01:41:04.000 Okay.

01:41:05.000 I've been to their house.

01:41:06.000 I've hung out with them.

01:41:08.000 I was on, you know, and throughout my early years, throughout elementary school, I knew them.

01:41:16.000 Throughout middle school, throughout high school, I knew the family.

01:41:19.000 We knew the parents.

01:41:21.000 I knew the little brother.

01:41:21.000 I knew Matt.

01:41:23.000 In high school, we were on the same Model UN team, and we were working together as part of the same delegation at conferences.

01:41:31.000 You know, so I'd known this guy forever.

01:41:33.000 And then, longer than anybody I've met in politics by far, longer than some of my best friends from high school.

01:41:40.000 I mean, this is like ancient history here.

01:41:42.000 And, you know, so then he had been texting me and he said, Oh, I like what you're doing and I think we can monetize this better and blah, blah, blah.

01:41:51.000 And we involved him.

01:41:52.000 And I can't get into all the details, but basically by January, he screwed me over with James, who he had never even met in person before.

01:42:00.000 He had never even met James Alsop in person before in his entire life.

01:42:05.000 All their contact was over the phone and by text.

01:42:08.000 And they had started talking and texting, you know, three or four months prior, you know, and that even less.

01:42:15.000 It was what, October to January?

01:42:15.000 Right?

01:42:17.000 So maybe three, four months at the most that they had been talking.

01:42:22.000 And Matt sided with him, screwed me over, and then persisted in it for a long time.

01:42:27.000 And it's like.

01:42:31.000 But you know what?

01:42:32.000 It was an important lesson.

01:42:34.000 It was an important lesson because that's business, that's politics, and more fundamentally, that's people.

01:42:42.000 And I was actually.

01:42:44.000 It was actually a good thing for me because.

01:42:46.000 That was very early on in my career, and it taught me a very important lesson before I really got going.

01:42:54.000 It taught me there's a lot of lessons in there.

01:42:58.000 And I am no longer tethered to James Alsop.

01:43:00.000 Imagine if I had been with James Alsop for all these years, it would have been a disaster.

01:43:07.000 It's God's plan.

01:43:09.000 You know what a good friend of mine told me?

01:43:12.000 He told me, and I think this is such a great line.

01:43:16.000 He said, God's delays are not God's denials.

01:43:21.000 And what is the latter part of it?

01:43:25.000 And then the latter part of it is something to the effect of God's denials are God's protections.

01:43:29.000 In other words, when God delays things, he's not denying them to you.

01:43:33.000 And when he denies them to you, he's protecting you.

01:43:36.000 That is one way to, that is sort of a fatalistic, but a Christian way to look at things. 0.99

01:43:41.000 And certainly it rings true when I think of things like that. 0.92

01:43:44.000 God's delays are not God's denials, God's denials are God's protections.

01:43:49.000 And the delay with that, and then ultimately the denial of that, it ended up Working out in a much bigger sense that I could have never seen.

01:43:57.000 I could have never foreseen that back in early 2018.

01:44:01.000 So, anyway, important lessons, important life lessons.

01:44:08.000 And yeah, that one hurt.

01:44:09.000 That one was, I mean, it didn't hurt like my feelings, but it was like it was a huge betrayal and very dishonorable, very dishonorable, very wrong.

01:44:21.000 But, you know, that's people.

01:44:25.000 Anyway, anywho.

01:44:28.000 Water Jug says, Nick, do you think there is a greater chance for in person voter fraud since everyone is seemingly focused and distracted by mail in voter fraud this election?

01:44:37.000 Great show.

01:44:38.000 God bless.

01:44:39.000 Not really.

01:44:42.000 If there were in person voter fraud, it wouldn't be because people are paying attention to election vote or mail in voting fraud.

01:44:49.000 That's not really how it works.

01:44:51.000 One's really got nothing to do with the other.

01:44:53.000 When they're doing mail in voter fraud, it's like vote harvesting.

01:44:57.000 The in person voter fraud is like the machines are rigged or.

01:45:02.000 You know, a variety of other things, but there's not going to be one form of fraud because people are focused on another.

01:45:07.000 Like, those things just aren't related.

01:45:10.000 Chubbs says, but hey, thanks.

01:45:13.000 Chubbs says, told my normie friends price of admission to my election watch party is wearing a MAGA hat in public first to prove their loyalty.

01:45:20.000 Also walked into Target without a mask and decked in Trump gear tonight.

01:45:24.000 No one said a word.

01:45:25.000 They don't want it, Nick.

01:45:26.000 That's right.

01:45:27.000 They don't want the heat.

01:45:29.000 And especially not at night.

01:45:30.000 They're ready to go home.

01:45:31.000 But I guess where are all these people doing this?

01:45:34.000 Because I could never get away with that where I live.

01:45:37.000 I told you, I went to Target the other day and I literally was like in the process of putting the mask on.

01:45:42.000 And this guy like zipped over to me in record time.

01:45:47.000 And he didn't even get to say anything because I put it on so fast.

01:45:50.000 But that just goes to show it was like on my face.

01:45:53.000 And the guy was like ready to intercept me after I passed the threshold into the store.

01:45:57.000 And people are like, yeah, I went in with my MAGA hat and my Trump sweater and no mask.

01:46:01.000 And nobody even said anything.

01:46:03.000 It's like, where do you live?

01:46:05.000 Where do you live?

01:46:06.000 Do you live in, like, I don't even know.

01:46:09.000 Oklahoma? 0.98

01:46:11.000 Amazing Llama says, Christy Gnome is a MILF. 1.00

01:46:15.000 I haven't seen her. 0.96

01:46:16.000 Kato says, 69.

01:46:18.000 Now it's time.

01:46:21.000 Is that from that Trumpular song?

01:46:25.000 Yeah, that's a good one.

01:46:26.000 Kato says, now that we're so close, what do you think will happen with the election?

01:46:30.000 Do you think Trump will hold on to power no matter the outcome?

01:46:33.000 Hope open conflict doesn't occur, but if it does, be ready, Groypers.

01:46:37.000 And remember, Yovoya votar por Donald Tron.

01:46:43.000 What do I think?

01:46:43.000 Well, I think I just spelled it out, basically.

01:46:47.000 And I think that if Trump wins, I think he'll be able to hold on.

01:46:51.000 Honestly, though, very unpredictable.

01:46:53.000 So I'm not even going to pretend to know.

01:46:55.000 It's unpredictable because it's unprecedented.

01:46:57.000 There are so many unknowns here, it cannot be known. 0.96

01:47:01.000 Beautiful Sun says Gypsy Crusader is a cringe glowy, making fun of blacks on Omegle. 0.98

01:47:07.000 Is funny, but using the term Day of the Rope sounds like Fed speak, and he claims big people want him leading our movement and not Nick. 1.00

01:47:14.000 Well, I don't even know who that is.

01:47:15.000 So, can't be that big.

01:47:17.000 But, thanks for the big super chat.

01:47:18.000 I appreciate it.

01:47:20.000 I mean, it almost sounds like an advertisement.

01:47:20.000 I don't know why.

01:47:22.000 Almost sounds like the FBI sponsored this super chat, so I would say the name.

01:47:27.000 But, hey, thanks for the super chat.

01:47:28.000 Don't know who that is, but yeah, would avoid.

01:47:32.000 Really good comics.

01:47:33.000 Is not sure why I keep getting suspended from Twitter.

01:47:35.000 I'm not even doing anything wrong.

01:47:38.000 Did you get suspended from Twitter again?

01:47:41.000 Well, I mean, honestly, your content is so good.

01:47:45.000 It's, it is, they're making it impossible for you to exist on Twitter.

01:47:49.000 There's just no way around it.

01:47:51.000 Even if they don't get you for ban evasion, I mean, the content is too good to be on Twitter.

01:47:59.000 You know, and we love your posts.

01:48:01.000 We're sending them in the group chat.

01:48:02.000 Everybody loves it.

01:48:03.000 It's honestly the most consistently laugh out loud funny content I think I see on Twitter at all.

01:48:09.000 Buck Fuentes says, I'm applying to a bunch of colleges at the moment, and BU is on the list.

01:48:15.000 If you don't mind me asking, are the classes and teachers good quality?

01:48:18.000 How about the campus?

01:48:20.000 Anything negative I should know about it and do you recommend?

01:48:26.000 I don't recommend it.

01:48:27.000 Everyone that I went to school with there had a bad experience.

01:48:32.000 And apologies for the sniffling.

01:48:33.000 I only knew one person who graduated from BU.

01:48:37.000 I think I had maybe five or six close friends.

01:48:41.000 One of them was an exchange student who went home, one of them transferred out.

01:48:44.000 I dropped out.

01:48:46.000 Another one dropped out.

01:48:49.000 And only one of my friends actually ended up graduating from BU.

01:48:52.000 And we all hated it for the same reasons.

01:48:54.000 I mean, it's basically a diploma mill.

01:48:57.000 They invest all their resources, like a lot of colleges, in these fancy facilities.

01:49:02.000 You know, I would always complain, even when I was doing the show in college, that if you look at the fitness and recreation center for BU, it's like state of the art.

01:49:12.000 State of the art facility, machines.

01:49:14.000 Oh, and they show you that often the orientation on the tour.

01:49:18.000 But you go to the library, and it's a dump. 0.98

01:49:20.000 You go to the library, and it's a total shithole. 1.00

01:49:22.000 It's gross. 0.99

01:49:25.000 I mean, that in itself just goes to show the priorities there.

01:49:29.000 And yeah, the classes weren't particularly good.

01:49:32.000 The professors weren't good.

01:49:34.000 Although, I don't know, I've only ever been to one college.

01:49:36.000 I have nothing to compare it to, but I did not have a good experience there.

01:49:40.000 The campus is bad too.

01:49:41.000 It's in this weird part of Boston where you're kind of in limbo, it's not really near anything.

01:49:47.000 I mean, I was at Warren Towers at BU, which is in the middle of BU.

01:49:52.000 And so if you want to get to the back bay, it's like a mile, half mile east.

01:49:58.000 If you want to get to Alston, it's a mile west.

01:50:01.000 If you want to get to Fenway, it's a half mile, mile south.

01:50:06.000 But when you're literally in the middle of campus, there is nothing going on.

01:50:11.000 There's no stores, there's virtually no restaurants.

01:50:14.000 I mean, there is nothing going on there. 1.00

01:50:17.000 They have a Starbucks, a Jamba Juice, this dumpy Asian place, and what? 1.00

01:50:24.000 A little convenience store. 1.00

01:50:26.000 But that's it as far as your options go.

01:50:28.000 If you want to go out and get a decent meal, well, there's a McDonald's.

01:50:32.000 By Kenmore, there's that tasty burger place by Fenway, which is, like I said, about a half mile south.

01:50:41.000 Or you got to go all the way to Alston, which is all the way on the other side.

01:50:45.000 So it's kind of in this weird location.

01:50:48.000 The good thing is, there's the public transit is really good in Boston.

01:50:52.000 I love the public transit there.

01:50:54.000 It's cheap, it's simple, it's easy to understand, it's relatively clean and orderly.

01:51:00.000 And, you know, you pay a couple bucks.

01:51:03.000 And he could go anywhere in the city.

01:51:04.000 He could go downtown, he could go to the North End, he could go wherever.

01:51:08.000 So, I mean, that is kind of a benefit.

01:51:10.000 And I like Boston a lot.

01:51:12.000 It's a great city, it's small.

01:51:14.000 But the campus in particular, I don't love it.

01:51:18.000 I don't love the facilities.

01:51:19.000 I didn't really get much out of my classes.

01:51:22.000 The tuition is very high.

01:51:26.000 So, that's my thoughts on BU.

01:51:30.000 Alexander says Nick makes a post saying that he would crush Ben Shapiro in a debate. 0.80

01:51:35.000 Low IQ, Coomers, in his replies.

01:51:38.000 Nick is a master debater.

01:51:40.000 LOL, give me internet points, please.

01:51:42.000 Nah, but in all seriousness, keep up the good work.

01:51:46.000 Well, thank you.

01:51:48.000 Yeah, that is happening, and it's very funny.

01:51:51.000 Richard says, This show is such perfect keynote every night.

01:51:54.000 The setup, the memes, the knicker, nobody comes close to your show, never changed, and thank you for the schmoopies.

01:52:00.000 Well, thanks a lot.

01:52:01.000 Glad you like the show.

01:52:02.000 Brendan says, Hey, Nick, opinion on Little Caesars.

01:52:04.000 It obviously isn't the best pizza overall.

01:52:07.000 When you're hungry, Nothing beats a large pizza and crazy bread for under $10.

01:52:12.000 Love the show, by the way.

01:52:14.000 Well, that is a terrible opinion.

01:52:15.000 I mean, thanks for the super chat, but that's a horrible opinion.

01:52:20.000 It's not the best.

01:52:21.000 No, it's the worst.

01:52:22.000 Yeah, it's not the best because it's the worst.

01:52:25.000 Literally any other pizza is better than Little Caesar's.

01:52:29.000 Papa John's is terrible and it's better than Little Caesar's.

01:52:33.000 Pizza Hut is not very good and it's better than Little Caesar's. 0.98

01:52:36.000 Domino's sucks, better than Little Caesar's. 0.97

01:52:39.000 Little Caesars is maybe the worst pizza chain that there is. 0.98

01:52:43.000 And I didn't think that for a while because I hadn't eaten there in a long time.

01:52:47.000 And I went there recently and I got one of their hot and ready pizzas.

01:52:50.000 And it was by far the worst, one of the worst pizzas I've ever had.

01:52:55.000 And I was surprised.

01:52:56.000 I gave them a chance.

01:52:57.000 I thought, oh, yeah, hot and ready, cheap, you know, convenient.

01:53:02.000 You pop in, you get it, you eat it in the parking lot on your tray in your car while you play music, you know, as everybody does.

01:53:12.000 You drive 30 minutes to the white neighborhoods, you go to the white Little Caesars, and you go in there and you get a hot and ready pizza and then a bottle of Pepsi. 0.73

01:53:22.000 And then you eat it in your car in the parking lot just because. 0.83

01:53:26.000 And it was the worst, one of the worst pizzas I've ever had.

01:53:29.000 And nothing beats it.

01:53:31.000 Literally anything beats it.

01:53:33.000 A Big Mac, a cheesy Gordita Crunch, a pizza from Domino's.

01:53:38.000 I mean, literally anything beats that.

01:53:40.000 Even just tacos from a local taqueria.

01:53:43.000 If they sell pizza by the slice at a local pizza place.

01:53:46.000 I mean, almost anything is better, actually.

01:53:50.000 Nothing beats.

01:53:51.000 No, I think just about anything.

01:53:52.000 Anything would beat Little Caesars.

01:53:55.000 Captain Bogroll says, We're not here tomorrow.

01:53:58.000 Here's some Halloween humor to enjoy.

01:54:01.000 Why didn't the ghost go to prom?

01:54:03.000 He had no body to go with.

01:54:06.000 What do you catch from vampires in winter?

01:54:08.000 Frostbite.

01:54:10.000 What are zombies' favorite cereal?

01:54:12.000 Rice creepies.

01:54:14.000 Side splitting stuff.

01:54:15.000 Well, thank you for that.

01:54:17.000 12th Pool Groyper says, It's finally Friday.

01:54:20.000 Ain't got much to say, but I put money on Trump winning Pennsylvania.

01:54:23.000 I have faith Trump will win.

01:54:25.000 Voting on Tuesday as well.

01:54:26.000 Anyways, have a good weekend.

01:54:28.000 See you Monday.

01:54:28.000 Well, thanks a lot.

01:54:29.000 Thanks for the super chats.

01:54:31.000 See you Monday.

01:54:33.000 Brandon says everyone should pray the rosary for Trump's victory.

01:54:36.000 Say a prayer for Trump.

01:54:36.000 I agree.

01:54:38.000 He's got to win.

01:54:39.000 Fred says sorry, I missed it.

01:54:41.000 What exactly happened with JLP's Twitter?

01:54:44.000 You got to look that up.

01:54:45.000 I'm not going to amplify attacks on our guy, Jesse Lee Peterson.

01:54:51.000 Black Laser says did you forget during that third Zoom debate against these libertarians, Nick Videos actually invited Vosh, but he refused?

01:54:59.000 Saying he won't debate Nazis.

01:55:01.000 The guy is literally actively dodging you whenever the opportunity comes.

01:55:04.000 LOL.

01:55:05.000 I didn't know that, actually. 1.00

01:55:07.000 But yeah, every time I tweet, hey, you need to debate me, this person needs to debate me, all his faggot supporters reply, debate Vausch. 1.00

01:55:15.000 How many times have I said I would debate Vausch? 1.00

01:55:17.000 I think like a hundred.

01:55:18.000 I think I've said a hundred times I would debate him.

01:55:21.000 And he does this cop out.

01:55:22.000 Well, he could just email me.

01:55:24.000 Really?

01:55:24.000 Because every opportunity you have to get on the same stream as me, you dodge.

01:55:28.000 Zoom calls, joint debates, debates with Hunter.

01:55:31.000 I mean, all the time.

01:55:33.000 And he's like, oh no, I don't want to set it up.

01:55:35.000 And I want to have it on my stream, and I don't want to have a moderator, and blah, Okay, so you don't want to debate.

01:55:41.000 Because he knows he's wrong.

01:55:42.000 That's why he won't debate all type.

01:55:44.000 That's why he won't debate me.

01:55:46.000 He won't debate anybody that's serious. 0.98

01:55:48.000 He'll debate Eric Stryker and James Alsup and, you know, goofballs. 0.90

01:55:55.000 But that's because the guy has no substance. 0.81

01:55:57.000 I mean, he's just wrong on all this stuff.

01:56:00.000 I mean, he gets by by lying.

01:56:02.000 Don't you understand that?

01:56:03.000 Like the Catboy thing.

01:56:05.000 People think that it's like, oh, well, he slanders you and you slander him. 0.99

01:56:09.000 No, I mean, this guy is a pedophile. 0.96

01:56:11.000 How do we know that? 0.98

01:56:12.000 Well, I mean, there's evidence.

01:56:13.000 You go in his Discord and there is evidence of him grooming people that are underage.

01:56:19.000 You go in his Discord and his account is saying that, well, the age of consent should be lowered because it should be super low because the only reason it's high is because capitalism creates these power imbalances or whatever.

01:56:34.000 I mean, there's a lot of evidence there.

01:56:37.000 And then people are like, okay, well, But you're the cowboy or whatever.

01:56:41.000 Well, that was all a lie. 1.00

01:56:43.000 You know, when I call Vosh a pedophile, it's because we've seen all the evidence. 0.94

01:56:47.000 We've seen it in writing from his account. 0.89

01:56:49.000 And then he goes and he's like, oh, well, Nick Fuentes went on a date with this guy.

01:56:53.000 He flew him out, and Catboy Cammie's a sex worker and he's gay, and they stayed the night together, all of which was made up, all of which was not true.

01:57:03.000 So it's like, okay, well, you lied about that. 0.89

01:57:05.000 And it's the same way that he lies about race realism.

01:57:08.000 It's the same way that he lies about systemic racism.

01:57:11.000 It's the same way that he lies about, I mean, literally everything that he argues.

01:57:16.000 And the only reason that people take him seriously is because, like Destiny, it's a very sophisticated form of sophistry.

01:57:22.000 That's how Destiny gets by.

01:57:24.000 You know, Destiny, people worship him as like, oh, he's got sources and he's actually smart and everything.

01:57:30.000 But it's like the way that he debates is just by moving the goalpost and he pivots on his issues and he basically just browbeats the opponent and says, like, oh, so what you're saying is restate the opponent's message in a way that's completely wrong, you know, gets bogged down in the details.

01:57:48.000 And Vosh emerged from Destiny's community.

01:57:51.000 It's the same style. 1.00

01:57:53.000 It's the same deal.

01:57:55.000 No substance.

01:57:56.000 It's all just verbal tricks.

01:57:58.000 It's all just sophistry.

01:58:00.000 So, yeah, no surprise there.

01:58:03.000 Cointel Pepe says Imagine a three hour conversation with someone who would happily see you flayed alive.

01:58:09.000 Now Tim Pool doesn't have to.

01:58:11.000 Yeah, exactly.

01:58:13.000 Salmon says I live south of Boston in a city that is now majority black.

01:58:18.000 They call it 11th Isle of Cape Verde. 1.00

01:58:22.000 Pray for me.

01:58:24.000 Sorry to hear that.

01:58:25.000 Lemoncello LaCroix says these people like Ben Shapiro ignoring us got us like Horton.

01:58:30.000 Here's a who.

01:58:31.000 We are here.

01:58:32.000 We are here.

01:58:32.000 I don't know what that is.

01:58:35.000 Lemoncello LaCroix says also today, one by one, I got all the boys in my chemistry class to take off their masks in chemistry. 1.00

01:58:42.000 Wow, epic Chungus win. 0.98

01:58:44.000 I'm getting really irritated because of my allergies.

01:58:47.000 I think once my allergies are cured, I'm going to become a different person because they're actually just ruining my life.

01:58:54.000 Do you imagine the frustration of just like not being able to breathe always?

01:58:58.000 Do you know how difficult that is?

01:59:00.000 People are like, why are you mad all the time?

01:59:01.000 Well, I mean, being able to breathe, I think, is one of those fundamentals.

01:59:06.000 One of those fundamentals.

01:59:07.000 If you couldn't sleep or talk or do anything without sniffling constantly, I mean, you'd probably be extremely irritable too.

01:59:14.000 So I apologize, but that is reality.

01:59:18.000 Lemoncello LaCroix says also today, or I just read that.

01:59:22.000 Devin says, when Trump gets reelected, would you try to get into the Trump administration?

01:59:26.000 Yeah, that makes a lot of sense. 0.86

01:59:28.000 Aquinas says, shout out to the Groyper I met watching AF in the gym. 0.98

01:59:32.000 Made my day.

01:59:32.000 Ozzy Groyper's checking in.

01:59:35.000 Okay.

01:59:36.000 Semper says, I requested a mail in ballot twice.

01:59:39.000 I never received them.

01:59:41.000 I went to vote in person today, told the poll worker this, and the guy behind me said the same happened to him.

01:59:46.000 So much for mail in being reliable.

01:59:49.000 Yeah, I'm sure there's a lot of that.

01:59:50.000 That's happening every day.

01:59:52.000 I'm sure it's happening with like millions of people, or, you know, at least thousands or hundreds of thousands.

01:59:57.000 And in a very close election, that's.

02:00:01.000 You know, that's going to make a big difference.

02:00:04.000 So, Bean Dip Groyper says, Wishing you a relaxing weekend as the leader of a truly life changing movement.

02:00:11.000 You deserve it.

02:00:12.000 Congratulations, Groyper.

02:00:13.000 You made it to Friday.

02:00:14.000 Thank you.

02:00:15.000 Sipstream says, Hey, just got my last paycheck here.

02:00:19.000 Here you go.

02:00:20.000 Two Ninjaginis King thoughts on the boomer vote on November 3rd? 0.60

02:00:24.000 Boomers will go for Trump, I think.

02:00:25.000 Well, I don't know, actually.

02:00:27.000 Biden's leading with seniors by 10, I think.

02:00:30.000 So,.

02:00:31.000 Maybe not actually, but we'll see.

02:00:35.000 Zoom versus Ben Shapiro and Ashley on Twitter today reminding us Con Inc. isn't our friend once the elections are over.

02:00:40.000 What did Ashley do today?

02:00:42.000 I didn't see the Ashley post.

02:00:47.000 Groypers is having children in this day and age is suicide. 1.00

02:00:51.000 Either a gay boy or a whore that loves black guys. 1.00

02:00:53.000 What's wrong with you? 1.00

02:00:55.000 I see this kind of stuff all the time on Twitter, and I think, what does it matter with people?

02:01:00.000 I understand being a little bit cynical about what's going on because there's a lot of that happening, but there is definitely a fine line between understanding the reality that we're in and this kind of weird, like, Depression porn that people have.

02:01:16.000 It literally is like a form of porn. 0.99

02:01:19.000 I mean, it's like they get off on this kind of sick stuff where it's like, well, if you have a kid, they're either going to be a gay man or a race mixing whore. 1.00

02:01:26.000 It's like, what the fuck? 1.00

02:01:28.000 You know, I mean, yeah, don't get me wrong, that's going on, but who thinks like that? 1.00

02:01:32.000 I mean, what normal person thinks like that?

02:01:35.000 So, you know, you gotta do a little introspection there.

02:01:40.000 Wrong.

02:01:41.000 It is not suicide to have kids.

02:01:43.000 Yeah. 0.98

02:01:43.000 Having white kids is suicide? 0.98

02:01:45.000 It's literally the opposite, retard. 1.00

02:01:47.000 You think it's suicide to perpetuate our race? 1.00

02:01:49.000 What are you, an idiot? 1.00

02:01:51.000 It's called this don't raise them to be gay or a whore. 1.00

02:01:54.000 Do whatever you can in your power. 1.00

02:01:55.000 But in any case, it doesn't matter.

02:01:58.000 As long as you're having kids, I mean, you've done your part on some level.

02:02:02.000 So don't listen to that. 0.99

02:02:04.000 That's a bunch of black pill porn. 1.00

02:02:08.000 We don't need that. 0.96

02:02:10.000 Optics Respector says find a career that is lucrative and that you are passionate about.

02:02:14.000 Make money, have a family, and get involved in local politics and campaigns.

02:02:18.000 Give to good causes.

02:02:19.000 Get right with God.

02:02:20.000 That's how you make a difference, not in a blaze of glory.

02:02:23.000 Exactly.

02:02:24.000 Very, very well said.

02:02:26.000 Much more concisely, I think, than I said it earlier.

02:02:29.000 So, very true. 0.89

02:02:32.000 If all of our Groypers did that, we would be in really good shape. 1.00

02:02:35.000 Prince Zoomer says girls in NYC love to describe themselves as feminists. 1.00

02:02:40.000 Like, no, you're a whore who hates her dad. 1.00

02:02:42.000 Well, I mean, that's what a feminist is, right? 1.00

02:02:45.000 300 Spartans says, Hey, Nick, sorry if we've already talked about this. 0.74

02:02:48.000 Haven't been able to catch the show in a while.

02:02:50.000 Do you think Gretchen Whitner's heavily restrictive lockdown policies will help Trump win in Michigan?

02:02:55.000 I think that helps for sure. 0.91

02:02:58.000 Kane Jeeper says, I would like to take this opportunity to thank the Irish for creating Halloween, or as we call it in Irish, something something.

02:03:07.000 Okay. 0.68

02:03:08.000 Next Gen Catholic says, Do you think having hydroelectric and nuclear power plant construction as a Republican policy is a good idea?

02:03:16.000 I think it could appeal to Great Lakes states with hydroelectric plant job creation and can potentially win young people, especially young Republicans.

02:03:25.000 Yeah, I think nuclear is probably the future and hydroelectric too, I guess, to some extent.

02:03:32.000 But it's also important to be all about fossil fuels because, I mean, that supports a lot of jobs as well oil, natural gas, fracking, you know, so equally important.

02:03:43.000 But nuclear is forward thinking and it's cheap, and that might appeal to people that are.

02:03:48.000 You know, more climate conscious.

02:03:50.000 But I heard an argument the other day that climate change is actually a good thing.

02:03:54.000 I saw in Alex Jones, he was talking about that, and I talked to a scientist friend of mine, and he said that it's actually not crazy that global warming may actually help us.

02:04:05.000 Taking carbon, carbon dioxide, and putting it into the atmosphere might actually be a good thing.

02:04:12.000 Tork says, I resent the idea of early voting.

02:04:15.000 What's the limiting principle?

02:04:16.000 Why don't we open the early voting up six months in advance?

02:04:19.000 I hate the principle.

02:04:20.000 I'm voting on election day.

02:04:21.000 I totally agree.

02:04:23.000 It should be on election day or, you know, at most a week before or a couple weeks before.

02:04:28.000 I would understand for like absentee if you are not going to be in town or something like that, but yeah, there has to be some kind of a reasonable limit.

02:04:40.000 Winsell says, I've heard that the excuse for Biden shutting down his campaigns was to focus on campaigning in Minnesota.

02:04:46.000 Are they insane or afraid that a historically blue swing state might vote for Trump?

02:04:51.000 Seems like taking a loss either way, lol.

02:04:54.000 And he says, Biden shutting down his campaign in Florida.

02:04:57.000 I should have clarified.

02:04:59.000 Should have clarified?

02:05:00.000 You mean you should have said it right the first time?

02:05:03.000 Well, I said the completely wrong thing.

02:05:05.000 I should have clarified that what I meant was not Minnesota, but actually Florida.

02:05:11.000 What do you mean?

02:05:12.000 I don't understand anymore.

02:05:14.000 They want to focus on campaigning in Florida.

02:05:17.000 Is that what you meant?

02:05:19.000 Historically blue swing state might vote for Trump.

02:05:21.000 Florida's not historically blue.

02:05:24.000 Trump won it in 16.

02:05:25.000 So I actually don't even know what you mean anymore.

02:05:29.000 Your clarification made the meaning less understandable. 0.99

02:05:34.000 Gen Z says with the big super chats, I wore an AF hoodie to the Trump rally today and bumped into another Groyper. 0.97

02:05:40.000 I was with my normie friends, so I tried to be low key about it. 0.99

02:05:44.000 Crazy, we bumped into each other with a crowd of thousands of people.

02:05:47.000 Great night.

02:05:48.000 Hashtag America First is Rising.

02:05:50.000 Hey, well, thanks for the big super chat.

02:05:52.000 Great story.

02:05:53.000 Love to hear that.

02:05:55.000 Groypers, I hope you guys are voting.

02:05:57.000 Go to the rally, but vote too.

02:06:00.000 Based Beaner says, at the end of the day, we're all Latinos.

02:06:03.000 So true. 0.97

02:06:04.000 Coda says, I did my anti mask duty today at a local CVS.

02:06:08.000 Walked in without a mask, holding a coffee, and no one said anything.

02:06:12.000 Walked through the store taking sips and brought a monster up to self checkout. 1.00

02:06:16.000 The Latina working directly across from me made eye contact, didn't say anything like the bitch she is. 1.00

02:06:21.000 You lead, I follow, Nick. 1.00

02:06:22.000 Hey, well, congratulations.

02:06:24.000 Seems like we're not even getting that much resistance, which I'm surprised at because I get yelled at.

02:06:29.000 But hey, good for you.

02:06:31.000 Yeet.

02:06:32.000 This is just as Joshua Chamberlain and the 20th Maine save the Union, 2nd District Maine must answer the call.

02:06:40.000 May come down to that.

02:06:42.000 My pillow Groyper is very white pilling.

02:06:44.000 Show if Republicans are vigilant about voter fraud, we should be in good shape.

02:06:48.000 Well, I mean, we could still win.

02:06:50.000 Donatello says, if Trump loses, do you see him conceding?

02:06:53.000 What would a scenario look like where Trump refuses to concede?

02:06:56.000 Could he invoke the fact that Biden is compromised by the CCP?

02:07:00.000 Thanks, Nick.

02:07:01.000 Tease in the chat for Voy a votar pour Donald Trump.

02:07:08.000 Well, it all depends.

02:07:09.000 It depends on by how much he loses and where he loses.

02:07:12.000 If Trump loses everywhere, he will probably concede, I think.

02:07:16.000 If it's by a small margin or in a small number of states, I think he'll challenge it.

02:07:21.000 For a recount, challenge some of the deadlines in the courts and other things, and there will be a big race to then facilitate whatever process that is, whether it be a legal battle or a recount or whatever.

02:07:35.000 I think that if Biden wins overwhelmingly, he'll concede.

02:07:39.000 If it is less compelling, the victory, I think that he'll fight it.

02:07:43.000 I think ultimately, though, he'll be forced to concede if they determine that he didn't win.

02:07:48.000 I think those are the scenarios.

02:07:50.000 Now, with Biden, they're going to try everything.

02:07:52.000 I mean, they will literally try a coup, I think, if he loses.

02:07:55.000 But if Trump loses, I don't think he could mount much of a coup because he just doesn't have the same institutional backing.

02:08:00.000 He doesn't have that support from the Pentagon, from the DOD, from the intelligence community.

02:08:06.000 He just doesn't have it, sadly.

02:08:08.000 He doesn't have power centers in all the major cities like the left does.

02:08:12.000 So Trump could not mount any kind of effective resistance if he lost.

02:08:21.000 And after recounts and all other legal means were exhausted, they determined that.

02:08:26.000 He didn't win the election.

02:08:28.000 He would have no recourse.

02:08:29.000 Democrats would.

02:08:31.000 Dresden Burns says politicians are the cardboard cutouts that hide where the real machinery is.

02:08:36.000 Frank Zappa.

02:08:37.000 Wow.

02:08:38.000 Groundbreaking take there.

02:08:40.000 Higgy says, You're going to cop the new Jaden merch? 1.00

02:08:42.000 Also, fuck Trans Wooza. 1.00

02:08:45.000 Well, hey, thank you for the huge super chat. 1.00

02:08:47.000 Big shout out.

02:08:47.000 I appreciate it.

02:08:49.000 07 in chat for Higley.

02:08:51.000 I don't think I've ever seen Higley H in here.

02:08:53.000 That's, or not in a long time.

02:08:56.000 That's sort of a new one.

02:08:57.000 But hey, thanks a lot for the super chat.

02:09:00.000 Very generous.

02:09:02.000 Am I going to cop the new Jaden merch?

02:09:04.000 Is that even a question?

02:09:05.000 Of course.

02:09:06.000 Did he finish it, or is he still working on it?

02:09:09.000 I don't know.

02:09:11.000 But whatever it is, I'll buy it.

02:09:12.000 I'll buy one.

02:09:14.000 Got to support the team.

02:09:15.000 And it'll probably look great, too.

02:09:16.000 He's been working on it forever.

02:09:18.000 But yeah, I'll rep the Jaden gang.

02:09:20.000 He's always repping my merch, which I appreciate.

02:09:23.000 TG says some airlines are putting passengers on no fly lists for face mask violations.

02:09:29.000 Still going to resist?

02:09:30.000 Yeah.

02:09:32.000 Still going to resist? 1.00

02:09:33.000 Yeah, fuck you. 1.00

02:09:36.000 What a pussy question to ask. 1.00

02:09:38.000 Well, it's getting really bad. 1.00

02:09:40.000 Still going to resist, Nick?

02:09:41.000 Yeah.

02:09:42.000 Yeah, I am.

02:09:42.000 Still going to resist?

02:09:43.000 Because I'm not like you.

02:09:45.000 Uh, Grik Lee's has been a long time viewer since 2018.

02:09:48.000 It's been hard to focus on work with the election, it's unnerving.

02:09:51.000 It's very, uh, I mean, look, there's only so much you can do.

02:09:51.000 Yeah, I hear you.

02:09:55.000 So, like with anything, why worry about the things that you can't control?

02:10:00.000 Worry about the things that you can't control.

02:10:01.000 It's difficult, it's easier said than done.

02:10:03.000 But, um, you know, if if if you can't get along now, it's only gonna get more nerve wracking and more stressful as time goes on.

02:10:12.000 So, you gotta learn to sort of uh, disassociate a little bit from that.

02:10:18.000 Diligent says it's game time. 0.99

02:10:19.000 Let's fucking go. 1.00

02:10:20.000 Trump, Trump, Trump. 1.00

02:10:21.000 Yes.

02:10:23.000 Coinman says predicted has suspended trades on the election 10 19.

02:10:28.000 I take it as a POS indicator.

02:10:31.000 Your take?

02:10:32.000 What's POS? 1.00

02:10:33.000 Piece of shit or something else? 1.00

02:10:34.000 Doesn't really make sense in context. 1.00

02:10:38.000 Positive indicator?

02:10:39.000 I don't know what that means.

02:10:41.000 Did they suspend trades on the election?

02:10:43.000 I've been looking at the markets.

02:10:43.000 I didn't know that.

02:10:44.000 I thought the markets were moving.

02:10:46.000 Is it just.

02:10:48.000 Bets on the general election?

02:10:49.000 I have no idea.

02:10:50.000 I have no idea why they would do that.

02:10:52.000 I didn't even know they had done that.

02:10:54.000 Timed out says, To Jaden's credit, I was impressed when I visited Chicago after living near Minneapolis.

02:11:01.000 To his credit, about what?

02:11:02.000 I don't know what that means.

02:11:04.000 Polish American Groyper says, Sorry, Nick, my super chat was caught off.

02:11:09.000 Jaden called me Jewish.

02:11:10.000 It's not true.

02:11:11.000 You know that. 0.80

02:11:12.000 Anyway, great show.

02:11:13.000 I am keeping you in my prayers, player. 1.00

02:11:15.000 Say what you will about us Polish Americans and Poles, but one thing you got to admit we hate gay people. 1.00

02:11:21.000 They are icky. 1.00

02:11:22.000 Okay, thank you very much for that. 1.00

02:11:25.000 Polish American Groyper.

02:11:27.000 It's true, it's true.

02:11:28.000 They are pretty solidly Catholic.

02:11:31.000 Modern Monarchist says, I recommend the amazing film by Ridley Scott called The Duelist.

02:11:36.000 The acting is amazing, and cinema work is beautiful.

02:11:40.000 It's very traditional and holds value to this day.

02:11:43.000 The Modern Monarchist, did you miss me?

02:11:44.000 Do you love me? 0.97

02:11:45.000 I am the gutter slime of super chatters lurking in the shadows with dirty socks, licking my chops, waiting for a reaction.

02:11:52.000 Here's my warm pocket change to line your pockets. 0.70

02:11:54.000 There might be lint.

02:11:57.000 Okay, thanks, thanks very much.

02:11:59.000 Really appreciate it.

02:12:00.000 Love that.

02:12:01.000 That sounds like a great movie.

02:12:03.000 I'll definitely look at that.

02:12:05.000 Chicken on a Raft says, voted today one more swing state for Trump.

02:12:09.000 One more swing state vote for Trump.

02:12:11.000 The ballot was in three languages.

02:12:12.000 We have a lot of work to do.

02:12:14.000 Something was in another language.

02:12:16.000 Never seen that before. 1.00

02:12:18.000 Good point.

02:12:21.000 Modern Monarchist says, good evening.

02:12:23.000 You're watching America First.

02:12:24.000 I'm James Alsup.

02:12:26.000 James is like a Downs kid who got Frankenstein into a normal person.

02:12:30.000 The guy's personality is like a bus parked sideways on an escalator.

02:12:34.000 A bus parked sideways on an escalator.

02:12:37.000 That's an interesting visual.

02:12:40.000 And yeah, he is like in Rise of the Planet of the Apes.

02:12:42.000 Remember when they had that anti Alzheimer's medication that the monkeys got and it made them learn how to talk?

02:12:48.000 That's like James Ossip was born with Down syndrome and then they started throwing that into his bedroom every night and gradually the face didn't change like the monkeys in Rise of the Planet of the Apes.

02:13:00.000 Still a monkey, but his cognitive ability slowly improved until he was a functioning.

02:13:08.000 Adult.

02:13:09.000 You know, they said, he was born with Down syndrome.

02:13:13.000 This is, he's going to have such a difficult road ahead of him.

02:13:16.000 And then the doctor said, well, you know, there is one thing we could try.

02:13:19.000 There's this experiment, it's very experimental.

02:13:22.000 And there hasn't been any clinical trials, but we could authorize a test with your son.

02:13:27.000 And they said, anything, anything, anything to get our boy.

02:13:32.000 And they took the canister of, you know, whatever, of gas and they threw it in his bedroom.

02:13:40.000 And slowly but surely, he was like, Of none dead.

02:13:44.000 I like TRF.

02:13:47.000 I like Dad's hand McPheel on Fast and Nathan.

02:13:52.000 And slowly but surely, they were wowed by his moderate cognitive, by the moderate improvement in his cognitive ability.

02:14:00.000 And to this day, doctors are amazed.

02:14:03.000 And they think that one day they could fully cure it.

02:14:06.000 I mean, they're about halfway there.

02:14:09.000 But one day, with enough research and improvements, I mean, they could really take it all the way.

02:14:14.000 And the sky's the limit.

02:14:15.000 Who knows what could happen?

02:14:18.000 Well, yeah, I remember in Rise of the Planet of the Apes when the main monkey who was, what's his name?

02:14:26.000 Franco something.

02:14:28.000 What the hell is that guy's name?

02:14:29.000 Seth Rogen's best friend. 0.88

02:14:30.000 James Franco's pet monkey.

02:14:32.000 I mean, he got smart because Franco was a doctor.

02:14:36.000 And then the smart monkey, he liberated all the other monkeys.

02:14:40.000 He took the gas canisters and he rolled them in the zoo, and the gas filled up the zoo.

02:14:46.000 And all the monkeys got smart, and then they started talking and coming up with military tactics, and they learned how to work the doors.

02:14:55.000 And that was basically like James Alsop, except he went from being like a shopping cart wrangler at whatever stores they have in Washington State.

02:15:04.000 He went from wrangling shopping carts to, you know, then they taught him how to do like editing software to become a YouTuber, to become an anti SAW YouTuber.

02:15:15.000 And that was like his motto.

02:15:16.000 They're like, wow.

02:15:18.000 These trials show at least a 5% increase in his intelligence.

02:15:21.000 So it's not, obviously, you know, it's not like turning monkeys into people.

02:15:25.000 That's Hollywood.

02:15:27.000 But getting a modest improvement with somebody with Down syndrome, now that is definitely possible.

02:15:32.000 So, yeah.

02:15:35.000 Now that one cheered me up.

02:15:36.000 Now, modern monarchists, say what you will, but that one cheered me up.

02:15:41.000 See, that one brought me back into my element.

02:15:43.000 I perked up, I cleared my throat, and I'm back for a second, right?

02:15:49.000 Zoomer guy says, releasing the song tonight.

02:15:52.000 Wooza is done.

02:15:53.000 Wow, I cannot wait.

02:15:54.000 This is big stuff.

02:15:56.000 You got to link it.

02:15:57.000 Link it in Jaden's Discord so I can listen to it.

02:16:00.000 Polish American Groyper says, thank you for recommending The Apprentice.

02:16:03.000 I just began watching and it is really epic. 1.00

02:16:06.000 Fuck that bitch, Omarosa. 1.00

02:16:07.000 She was a bitch then and she betrayed our president. 1.00

02:16:10.000 Also, I see you drinking Essenza San Pellegrino lemon water. 1.00

02:16:14.000 That's not what I'm drinking, Goofy. 1.00

02:16:16.000 I've never, I haven't drank in that.

02:16:20.000 Not what I'm drinking.

02:16:21.000 I drink the just regular.

02:16:23.000 San Pellegrino mineral water, but not the lemon.

02:16:27.000 But yeah, no, The Apprentice is very good, and you can watch it for free.

02:16:30.000 If you go to Tubi, there's the streaming app called Tubi, T U B I. You can stream all the seasons of The Apprentice for free, and I've been watching it, and it's very good.

02:16:43.000 Very entertaining.

02:16:45.000 Dr. Zoomer says, went to my grocery store in a left leaning area without wearing a mask.

02:16:51.000 No one said a word despite plenty of looks, and when you're a griper, they let you do it. 0.74

02:16:54.000 Yeah, well, it seems like everybody's just not getting any resistance, only me.

02:16:59.000 Chubbs says, You almost had me.

02:17:01.000 I'm not going to dox myself, big guy.

02:17:03.000 Appreciate the Test though.

02:17:04.000 Here's another big mac on me.

02:17:06.000 Trump Monarchy November 3rd, baby.

02:17:08.000 Yeah, you probably shouldn't tell me where you are.

02:17:11.000 So I take that back.

02:17:13.000 But hey, thanks.

02:17:14.000 Nick's dad bot says, Can you tell us your favorite Groyper Twitter account?

02:17:18.000 I think the best ones are Slonker, Panther Den, and Jimbo.

02:17:20.000 Which one is your favorite?

02:17:24.000 Favorite Groyper Twitter account?

02:17:27.000 I mean, I really like Jaden's Twitter account.

02:17:29.000 I like really good comics.

02:17:31.000 I like.

02:17:34.000 Panther Den's pretty good when he's not, you know, just it's a brazen affront to me personally.

02:17:41.000 He makes good content.

02:17:42.000 Biggie Slunk is pretty good.

02:17:45.000 Jimbo's, I like Jimbo's content a lot.

02:17:50.000 Trying to think.

02:17:55.000 Cold Cheese has a good Twitter account.

02:17:57.000 He posts a lot of clips.

02:18:00.000 American Nationalist is one of the best, totally.

02:18:03.000 There are a lot of all stars.

02:18:05.000 It's hard to think off the top of my head.

02:18:07.000 Of all the best ones.

02:18:09.000 Of course, I like Enix.

02:18:14.000 Enix has got some really good ones.

02:18:17.000 Beardson. 0.68

02:18:18.000 Joey Mole.

02:18:19.000 Joey Mole is hilarious.

02:18:20.000 We love Joey Mole.

02:18:21.000 Beardson, of course, you know, he's a classic.

02:18:26.000 Dior.

02:18:27.000 I like Dior's Twitter account.

02:18:28.000 I've been retweeting him. 1.00

02:18:29.000 He's gotten the Fuenc's bump lately.

02:18:32.000 Neoliberal fan fiction.

02:18:34.000 Steve Franson is one of the funniest Twitter accounts as well.

02:18:37.000 I love Steve Franson's stuff.

02:18:39.000 I mean, that guy's just straight up off the goop.

02:18:41.000 He's just not taking the goop anymore.

02:18:43.000 Same with Jake Lloyd and Jake Lloyd's alt, which I won't tell you what it is.

02:18:50.000 So, really, everybody.

02:18:51.000 Everybody's such a winner.

02:18:52.000 It's a lot of good content.

02:18:53.000 I mean, I like it all.

02:18:56.000 Mike says, Hey, Nick, what exactly is AFPAC?

02:18:58.000 Is it open to anyone?

02:19:00.000 No.

02:19:01.000 See, the thing is, AFPAC is America First Political Action Conference.

02:19:05.000 It takes place the same weekend as CPAC in D.C., like CPAC.

02:19:10.000 And that is like an event that we're holding basically.

02:19:13.000 Outside of CPAC, AFPAC CPAC, and it is an America First conference where America First speakers go.

02:19:21.000 And here's the deal you know, I don't want to give away too much information because it's in the early planning stages.

02:19:26.000 But last year, AFPAC was invite only, and we got like a thousand people apply.

02:19:34.000 I think we only ended up bringing in like 150 or 200 or something like that.

02:19:39.000 And what I wanted this year was general admission, I wanted for 2021 to just say we will take as many people that want to come.

02:19:48.000 Now, this year, you've got the COVID restrictions.

02:19:50.000 So now in D.C., I think the limit to how many people you could have in an indoor space is 25.

02:19:58.000 In Maryland, it's low.

02:19:59.000 In Virginia, it's like 100.

02:20:01.000 I forget the exact numbers, but we looked at the surrounding area.

02:20:05.000 CPAC takes place in National Harbor, which is Maryland.

02:20:10.000 Alexandria, Virginia is right across the way.

02:20:12.000 And then D.C., of course, is not far.

02:20:14.000 They all have their own COVID restrictions, and all of them are kind of strict.

02:20:19.000 None of them allow more than 100 people. 1.00

02:20:22.000 Indoors. 1.00

02:20:24.000 So we have to accommodate that. 1.00

02:20:27.000 So, I mean, we're in the early planning stages, but we might have to do another exclusive invite only thing because we just can't have more than maybe 100 people because of these restrictions.

02:20:39.000 But we'll see.

02:20:40.000 We'll have a better idea closer to February.

02:20:44.000 Owen says Be careful with little Caesars.

02:20:46.000 Took on an entire hot and ready one time, gave me explosive diarrhea, and made me think I was having a heart attack.

02:20:52.000 Don't stop doing what you do.

02:20:54.000 We love you, buddy.

02:20:55.000 Well, thanks.

02:20:55.000 Yeah, I haven't had those problems in a long time.

02:20:59.000 I think it's because I've been eating so much junk.

02:21:01.000 That now it's like I've bullied my body into submission.

02:21:05.000 Because I used to, if I ate a lot of bad food, I would throw up a lot.

02:21:11.000 I mean, I used to throw up pretty regularly.

02:21:13.000 Because I would eat, like, oh, Popeyes chicken sandwich, throw up.

02:21:16.000 KFC Famous Bowl, throw up.

02:21:18.000 You know, I would overeat or I would eat a lot of junk food in one day, or I'd eat it after I haven't slept in a long time, and my body would just reject it.

02:21:28.000 But now it hasn't happened in a long time.

02:21:31.000 My sleep schedule is a lot better, though.

02:21:34.000 So maybe that's a factor, too.

02:21:35.000 But.

02:21:36.000 So, I haven't had that problem.

02:21:40.000 Basterisk says Little Caesars is good if you get the extra, most, bestest.

02:21:45.000 More cheese, more pepperoni, and if you use code FREE2L, you get a free 2 liter, all for $6.

02:21:51.000 Almost as cheap as an America First subscription.

02:21:54.000 What the?

02:21:55.000 Yeah, pepperoni is gross.

02:21:57.000 I don't eat pepperoni on pizza.

02:21:59.000 And I don't think extra cheese is going to make it that much better either.

02:22:03.000 There's a reason it's $6, you get what you pay for. 0.99

02:22:06.000 Dances with Metroids says, I reconnected with an old friend recently and he's gone full shit lib Democrat, Eastern mysticism, drug using, sexual degenerate. 0.98

02:22:16.000 I know it's wrong to have political prerequisites for friendships, but it's going to be hard to keep the red pill to myself. 0.96

02:22:22.000 Well, I mean, sometimes when that happens, you drift apart.

02:22:26.000 And, you know, I try to keep friends even if I disagree with them, but sometimes your values are so contradictory that you have little in common, you know, and it's tough to communicate, and then it's like, You know, these days it makes it difficult.

02:22:41.000 So, you know, you just try the best you can to make it work, but sometimes you can't.

02:22:47.000 If the two parties are willing to make it work, you can definitely just ignore politics or, you know, you could banter about it, but in this day and age it's tough.

02:22:57.000 Gen X Groypers is a warmer planet, is better for life, period.

02:23:01.000 Human life and plant life.

02:23:02.000 We thrive in warm weather, we die in the cold.

02:23:04.000 Global warming is a net positive.

02:23:06.000 Yeah, I tend to agree.

02:23:07.000 It's carbon.

02:23:09.000 And they want to vilify carbon.

02:23:11.000 I mean, we are carbon.

02:23:12.000 I mean, they're vilifying life.

02:23:14.000 They're vilifying human activity.

02:23:16.000 They're vilifying humanity.

02:23:18.000 They're vilifying the atoms that make up life.

02:23:22.000 It's hard to imagine how they could hate life more.

02:23:27.000 Modern Monarchist says I run an America First Clips page on Instagram called GroyperHQ.

02:23:32.000 I post you, Patrick, Jade, and Vince, and the rest of the AF gang.

02:23:36.000 Seeing thousands of views and hundreds of likes coming from normies on Instagram is encouraging.

02:23:40.000 People are coming around and love the short video format.

02:23:43.000 God bless and good night.

02:23:44.000 Well, thanks a lot for doing that.

02:23:45.000 That's actually really helpful.

02:23:48.000 People posting the clips on YouTube, Instagram, Twitter.

02:23:51.000 I can't tell you how much that helps.

02:23:53.000 So I do appreciate it.

02:23:55.000 I funny says, Do you think it's possible they'll use mass contact tracing to quarantine people to restrict voting?

02:24:01.000 No, I think that's unlikely.

02:24:03.000 Jefferson says, White pilled again. 0.94

02:24:05.000 God bless.

02:24:06.000 Thanks a lot.

02:24:08.000 Pelio says, I believe if you voted in the Dem primaries, then you're technically a registered Democrat for the general.

02:24:15.000 So, if anything, the opposite holds true in regard to Republican registries voting Democrat.

02:24:19.000 I think you're right about that.

02:24:21.000 In which case, no Democrats would register Republican to vote in the Republican primary because, in many states, they didn't even have a Republican primary for president.

02:24:31.000 Now, they could register Republican to vote for a Senate or a congressional race, but for what it's worth, as far as the presidency goes, if anything, the crossover would be Republicans voting in the Democratic presidential primary because that one was actually competitive and happening.

02:24:48.000 Black Laser says people always come at you by clearly made up lies throughout the years.

02:24:52.000 First, the sister being a lesbian hoax, then the booger eating, now the catboy lies.

02:24:57.000 How desperate can they be? 0.95

02:24:58.000 Can you predict the next psyop they're going to throw at you?

02:25:03.000 I mean, it's everything under the sun.

02:25:06.000 And it's things that are just like complete fabrications.

02:25:08.000 Yeah, like the booger eating thing.

02:25:10.000 They're like, oh, you ate boogers.

02:25:12.000 Because one time on a show three years ago, I like scratched my nose and then I touched my face like this.

02:25:17.000 And they're like, oh, you ate a booger. 0.87

02:25:19.000 That's the best they could do.

02:25:21.000 Three years later.

02:25:22.000 Oh, well, on this.

02:25:24.000 Stream, it looks like when you're scratching your nose.

02:25:26.000 Really?

02:25:26.000 That's what she got?

02:25:28.000 And then they find this old Instagram picture of my sister where she's posing with her black friend.

02:25:34.000 And they're like, they're dating.

02:25:35.000 Look, they're dating.

02:25:37.000 And they do this to me all the time, too.

02:25:39.000 There is a picture floating around where I took a picture with this Indian girl I went to school with.

02:25:43.000 And they're like, oh, they're dating.

02:25:43.000 Look, he's dating this girl.

02:25:45.000 They've been dating for years.

02:25:46.000 It's like, is that the new standard?

02:25:48.000 You take a picture with someone you're dating?

02:25:50.000 You know?

02:25:51.000 So they just make that up.

02:25:52.000 And then the Catboy Cammie thing, which we went over earlier.

02:25:55.000 And it's everything.

02:25:55.000 You know, they say, They say what?

02:26:01.000 I'm trying to think of just a few examples.

02:26:02.000 They say, oh, I'm a federal agent.

02:26:04.000 That's one of them.

02:26:05.000 Oh, well, of course, they accuse everybody of that.

02:26:06.000 I work for the FBI.

02:26:08.000 They said I was funded by NASA.

02:26:10.000 I've had Jewish people accuse me of taking money from Iran.

02:26:13.000 I've had Wignats accuse me of taking money from Israel.

02:26:16.000 I've had people say that I am just a Chinese operative.

02:26:21.000 And they did all this ridiculous stuff where they're like, oh, well, you know, Nick's dad worked for this company and there's this, and therefore he's not going to disavow China because.

02:26:32.000 Of this. 0.79

02:26:33.000 And, like, you know, just, and, oh, his dad's an illegal immigrant.

02:26:37.000 His parents are first generation immigrants.

02:26:39.000 He's actually Jewish.

02:26:41.000 It's actually Fuentes, a Sephardic name. 0.90

02:26:43.000 And, you know, every time it's a lie because this is so the real deal that they will just throw everything and just see what sticks. 1.00

02:26:53.000 So they just make up the most off the wall, ridiculous stuff. 0.85

02:26:56.000 Never any evidence. 0.94

02:26:58.000 Never any evidence.

02:26:58.000 It never makes any sense, but they'll just throw everything, whatever they can.

02:27:04.000 And in some ways, that just goes to show that the show is strong because there are people where there's legitimate things like the Vosh thing, the pedophilia, like that's real. 0.99

02:27:13.000 Destiny sucking dicks and like his girlfriend has sex with other guys, like he admits that. 1.00

02:27:19.000 You know, I mean, you could say, like, here, look at your positions, look at your life, fuck you. 1.00

02:27:24.000 You're an idiot. 1.00

02:27:26.000 But people look at me and they're like, well, Catboy, Durf, Fed, China, Israel, Iran, NASA. 1.00

02:27:36.000 All this crazy stuff.

02:27:37.000 And that's because the presentation and the views and the rhetoric and the facts and my career and my character is unassailable.

02:27:47.000 So then they have to just invent things, you know?

02:27:49.000 So in some ways, it just goes to show it's a positive. 0.95

02:27:52.000 After the whole Groyper War, what was the counter response? 0.95

02:27:55.000 Cookie joke? 0.97

02:27:56.000 That's the best you could do?

02:27:56.000 Catboy.

02:27:58.000 It's like Charlie Kirk is out there saying staple green cards and diplomas.

02:28:01.000 He's going to get me too'd eventually, I'm sure.

02:28:03.000 I mean, I've known things about him, which I don't know if I want to put that out there, but. 0.99

02:28:09.000 You've got people in Turning Point that are gay pedophile predators. 0.98

02:28:13.000 You've got all this stuff going on. 1.00

02:28:15.000 The guy looks like a freakazoid. 0.76

02:28:18.000 And the best that they could come up with was like, oh, well, you made this joke on your show where you said the Holocaust was like baking cookies. 0.96

02:28:24.000 And then you were like, oh, well, I don't know if they could bake that many cookies. 0.95

02:28:28.000 Like, that was the best they could come up with. 1.00

02:28:30.000 We're like, hey, you're the biggest conservative organization in America and you're like a total fucking cuck. 1.00

02:28:36.000 And like, everyone believed it. 1.00

02:28:37.000 The donors were fleeing, young people fleeing.

02:28:40.000 I know people throughout Turning Point to this day who are like, yeah, we totally like you and we agree with you, but we just like to go to Turning Point for the parties.

02:28:49.000 I mean, we like defeated them, and the best counterattack was like, oh, well, last year you said this thing about the cookie monster, and that's the worst thing that anyone's ever said.

02:28:59.000 Okay.

02:29:01.000 And then when that didn't work, then the left was like, this guy, he's handsome, he's a zoomer, he's a gamer, he's funny, he's smarter and more charismatic than anybody on our side.

02:29:11.000 Oh, I know he went on a date.

02:29:15.000 He went on a date with a catboy. 0.98

02:29:17.000 Yeah, yeah.

02:29:20.000 And by the way, they're like, how to think about it this way. 0.99

02:29:23.000 Because people still give me shit for that. 0.99

02:29:25.000 Think about it this way. 1.00

02:29:25.000 They're like, well, he went on a gay date and he streamed it for 10 hours. 1.00

02:29:29.000 Could you believe that?

02:29:32.000 How does that make any sense?

02:29:33.000 They're like, yeah, well, people found out that he did this 10 hour stream in public on YouTube.

02:29:39.000 Yeah, I don't know how he thought he'd get away with that one.

02:29:42.000 I mean, I would understand if they were like, oh, he secretly did this, but like someone snapped a picture.

02:29:48.000 But they're like, oh, this stream, you know, this public stream with somebody that he had been friends with for months.

02:29:56.000 Who turned out to be the most extreme wignat on the internet, period?

02:30:02.000 Well, that stream was actually like a covert thing.

02:30:05.000 Yeah, yeah, let's go with that.

02:30:06.000 Let's go with that one.

02:30:08.000 You know, and then it's endless.

02:30:10.000 And it's endless.

02:30:11.000 There are smaller ones and there are bigger ones, and who knows what will come next.

02:30:16.000 But that's because they can't win the debate.

02:30:19.000 They're not more likable than me.

02:30:20.000 They're not more charismatic than me.

02:30:22.000 I mean, they can ban me from YouTube and the stream gets bigger.

02:30:25.000 They're like, well, We'll get a ban from YouTube.

02:30:28.000 We'll get a blacklisted from this and X, Y, and Z.

02:30:31.000 Oh, and the show got bigger, right?

02:30:34.000 Think about that.

02:30:35.000 Banned from YouTube, 77,000 subs and a three year channel down the drain.

02:30:40.000 And my show got bigger and has made more money.

02:30:44.000 And my following has grown more than ever after getting de platformed from YouTube.

02:30:49.000 Not like getting de platformed from, you know, I don't even know, like some lesser platform, but the only streaming site that I was using for my show.

02:31:00.000 Three years, 77,000 subs.

02:31:02.000 The whole Groyper War was fought on YouTube.

02:31:04.000 Got banned from that.

02:31:05.000 The show doubled in size.

02:31:07.000 The show doubled in size after that.

02:31:10.000 And they're like, well, what could we do?

02:31:12.000 What could we do?

02:31:13.000 Oh, I know.

02:31:14.000 We'll make another thread on 4chan where we say he's a fed.

02:31:17.000 Oh, I know.

02:31:18.000 We'll invent another, you know, another hoax, another story.

02:31:22.000 Doesn't work.

02:31:23.000 Doesn't work.

02:31:25.000 Because I'm the best.

02:31:26.000 I'm the best.

02:31:30.000 Do you know I'm the greatest of all time?

02:31:32.000 I mean, that's what it is.

02:31:32.000 Do you know that?

02:31:34.000 It's what it is.

02:31:34.000 It can't.

02:31:36.000 They can't defeat me, so that's all well.

02:31:37.000 We'll just make this up anyway.

02:31:41.000 But, uh, but yeah, you love to see it.

02:31:43.000 Love to see it.

02:31:44.000 Tactical Nuke says, Why were butter churners so big?

02:31:47.000 Who is eating all that butter?

02:31:49.000 Makes you think.

02:31:51.000 I don't know.

02:31:52.000 I don't know what that means.

02:31:53.000 Uh, Higmig says, I'm Higley H, by the way, different username on Google.

02:31:57.000 Well, thanks for the genie.

02:31:57.000 Okay.

02:31:58.000 Thanks for the big super chat. 0.96

02:32:00.000 Uh, Jake Adams says, Is there a chance of a red New England in the future? 0.95

02:32:04.000 I don't think so.

02:32:05.000 Honestly, maybe New Hampshire, but I doubt that'll happen in Massachusetts or Maine or Rhode Island or Vermont.

02:32:14.000 I doubt that'll happen.

02:32:16.000 Is Vermont New England?

02:32:18.000 I don't know.

02:32:19.000 Virgin Larry says For thought experiment purposes, what do you think about raising minimum voting and military service age to 25 based on the science of brain development?

02:32:29.000 I'd be in favor of that, but I'd be in favor of restricting the suffrage based on a lot of qualifications, not just age, but a lot of things.

02:32:38.000 So I'd say something like that doesn't go far enough.

02:32:42.000 As far as military, though, that should be younger.

02:32:46.000 It should be 18 or 21 because you're in fighting shape when you're 18 or 21.

02:32:51.000 And if the nation needs you to fight, then they need the able bodied young men.

02:32:57.000 So that doesn't mean I'm pro the wars that are going on now necessarily or the war machine. 0.68

02:33:02.000 But as a principle, I don't think it makes sense that it's like, oh, well, the voting age and the service age needs to be the same.

02:33:09.000 I don't think that's the case.

02:33:12.000 Tactical Nuke says, love living near a hick town.

02:33:15.000 I haven't worn a mask in months, and no one cares.

02:33:19.000 Yeah, you're lucky because it's really cringe here.

02:33:21.000 Modern Monarchist says people try to be cringe.

02:33:23.000 That's why they merely adopted the cringe.

02:33:25.000 I was born in it.

02:33:28.000 Molded by it.

02:33:28.000 These things just come into my mind, man.

02:33:30.000 All right, I'll leave you to your allergies.

02:33:32.000 Enjoy the night and sleep well.

02:33:33.000 Well, thanks a lot, buddy.

02:33:34.000 I appreciate it.

02:33:36.000 Racist Man says Are my entropies super chats not going through?

02:33:42.000 I haven't seen any from you. 0.98

02:33:44.000 Jefferson says, Goat. 0.53

02:33:48.000 Let me take a look.

02:33:50.000 Oh, yeah, I guess there are some that aren't coming through.

02:33:54.000 Maybe not.

02:33:55.000 I don't know.

02:33:57.000 I can't see one by you that didn't go through.

02:34:03.000 Yeah, so I don't know.

02:34:04.000 I guess yours didn't go.

02:34:06.000 Okay, but that's our last super chat.

02:34:09.000 That's going to do it for me tonight on Friday.

02:34:11.000 Four days.

02:34:12.000 Four days.

02:34:12.000 Get out and vote.

02:34:14.000 Remember to check out my website.

02:34:15.000 Go to nicholasjfuentes.com.

02:34:17.000 Only five bucks a month to subscribe.

02:34:19.000 You get access to the entire America First archive.

02:34:22.000 The stream that I did, I think last week, I just put it up on the site.

02:34:28.000 That stream where I played Guitar Hero, we'd watched Kanye and Joe Rogan, we talked about Madison Cawthorn.

02:34:34.000 It's six hours.

02:34:35.000 I just uploaded it to my site.

02:34:37.000 And I'll be uploading last week's shows as well tonight.

02:34:41.000 And the shows from this week I'll upload this weekend.

02:34:43.000 We could watch all the America First content on that site for just five bucks a month.

02:34:48.000 NicholasJFuentes.com.

02:34:50.000 Remember, I'm on the air Monday through Friday, 7 p.m. Central, 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.

02:34:54.000 Oh, and one more thing the Halloween merch, we're going to stop selling it by next week.

02:35:01.000 The Halloween merch, we're phasing it out.

02:35:02.000 It's limited edition. 0.85

02:35:04.000 Seasonal merch, we've got, I think we'll keep the no e girls design, but the two Halloween designs we're going to get rid of next week. 0.80

02:35:11.000 So get them while you can.

02:35:12.000 Merch.nicholasjfuentes.com.

02:35:15.000 Remember, I'm Nicholas J. Fuentes, and as always, thanks for watching.

02:35:18.000 Thanks to our super chatters in particular.

02:35:21.000 A huge, huge shout out to McPaddy, Higley H, Beautiful Sun, and Minnesota Groyper.

02:35:27.000 Special thanks to our top super chatters tonight. 0.61

02:35:30.000 Let's get some O7s in chat for them. 1.00

02:35:32.000 We appreciate them. 1.00

02:35:33.000 I will also open the chest.

02:35:35.000 So, if you're listening to the show, but you're playing a game or you're doing something, I'm going to open the chest.

02:35:44.000 So, get ready, open up the tab.

02:35:46.000 I don't want to hear, did he do the chest?

02:35:47.000 Oh, man.

02:35:48.000 Because I'm giving you a warning.

02:35:49.000 I'm about to open it.

02:35:52.000 I'm opening the chest right now.

02:35:55.000 Okay, the chest is opened.

02:35:58.000 So, thanks.

02:35:59.000 Special thanks to our top super chatters.

02:36:01.000 Thanks to all of our super chatters, all of our subscribers, everybody that watches the show.

02:36:05.000 We love you.

02:36:06.000 I will be doing a Fortnite.

02:36:08.000 Stream tomorrow with Bryson Gray at 1 o'clock Eastern.

02:36:12.000 And besides that, I'll see you on Monday.

02:36:15.000 Until then, have a great weekend and have a great rest of your evening.

02:36:19.000 Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo.

02:36:26.000 It's going to be only America first.

02:36:31.000 America first. 0.99

02:36:35.000 The American people will come first once again. 0.93

02:37:04.000 America.

America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - December 01, 2020

STATE OF THE RACE - 4 DAYS UNTIL ELECTION 2020 | America First Ep. 713

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Summary

Transcript