00:00:11.000There is a government shutdown that is underway, and we will be doing a deep dive on the government shutdown, the history of government shutdowns, the alternative to government shutdowns, which I think, I don't know if everybody knows how it works, but we're going to go over, because I think it'll be helpful, the budgetary process for the Congress, because it seems like this has been happening, I'm sure, for a lot of people.
00:00:35.000A lot more than maybe if they were alive in the 2000s or the 90s or the 80s.
00:00:41.000There were certainly many in the 80s and 90s.
00:00:44.000But why this is the case, why we keep having these shutdowns, why it seems to be that there have been so many or the risk of so many in recent years, and just other things about that.
00:00:55.000We have live coverage of what's going on.
00:00:57.000The most recent development that we've seen in the government shutdown so far is the passage in the House of a continuing resolution to fund the government through to February.
00:01:08.000As we'll be talking about what's in that continuing resolution, if it'll pass the Senate and everything else.
00:01:13.000But before we get into the government shutdown and we get into the news and the history and all of that, we have a lot of housekeeping things to take care of.
00:01:22.000The first, and I'm proud to announce it, the first announcement is that the America First supercomputer is on its way.
00:01:52.000So I can finally use the money that you guys deliver to the show for the show to enhance the production quality here.
00:01:59.000And so I'm going to put that PC together.
00:02:00.000I should have all the parts by February 1st, and I believe I will have it built by that week.
00:02:06.000So my calendar over there says that February 1st is a Thursday, two Thursdays from now.
00:02:13.000So, not next Thursday, but the following Thursday, I should have the America First supercomputer ready to go by Friday.
00:02:20.000And what the PC will allow me to do, this is really a solid addition to the show.
00:02:25.000I will be able to have guests on regularly.
00:02:28.000So, expect a lot more guests, a lot more debates to happen.
00:02:31.000You know, the biggest problem with this dumb thing, with this MacBook, is that it doesn't have the processing power to handle Skype and OBS and streaming all at the same time.
00:02:43.000And also, my Google Docs, if I have notes up.
00:02:46.000So that's why in past interviews or debates, if it's laggy, if the audio and the video isn't synced up, like the Nealon interview last time, that's why we have those problems.
00:02:56.000This little baby machine, this little, I don't even know what you'd call it, this slim little thing, it doesn't have the juice, it doesn't have the components, the computer power to tackle all those different applications.
00:03:37.000So if you recall, I've been talking about the America First premium service.
00:03:41.000That is now live on the website Maker Support.
00:03:44.000And the link is down in the description below.
00:03:47.000If you want to support the show for only $5 a month on Maker Support, It's sort of like Patreon.
00:03:53.000You can get the audio only format of the show on SoundCloud.
00:03:57.000You get a special role in the Discord, special access to text and voice channels.
00:04:01.000And also, I will start tomorrow doing a bi weekly call in show.
00:04:06.000So, if you want to participate in the call in show tomorrow, you can get on the Discord and get in that voice channel for the call in show tomorrow by donating the $5 a month, buying the America First Premium on Maker Support.
00:04:19.000And like I said, I'll be doing those every other week, the call in shows.
00:04:24.000The unwashed masses like to rub shoulders with the big NJF on the program.
00:04:30.000So, I thought I'd make it easier for you to do that.
00:04:33.000So, if you buy the America First Premium tomorrow for our big call in show, you'll have priority.
00:04:38.000I'm not sure we'll have enough callers tomorrow or for the next one, but I guarantee that everybody who wants to be on that has America First Premium will have priority.
00:04:47.000They will get on tomorrow and every other time that we do it.
00:06:23.000I'm being shilled against very hard on poll, on this program.
00:06:28.000People are sending screenshots out of my Discord on the other one because that's all they have to do, I guess, because they're not producing content over there.
00:06:35.000And I just got to say, it's very interesting.
00:06:38.000People want this show to go off the air, people want me to stop producing content.
00:06:43.000I don't know who is behind the split with America First Media.
00:06:46.000I don't know who is behind the doxing, who's behind the rating on my Discord and my YouTube channel, but I'm not going anywhere, folks.
00:07:18.000Not for the rubbing shoulders, not for the fucking pool parties, and pardon my French, but I'm doing it because I want to put America first, as always.
00:07:26.000But that's our last housekeeping item, just an observation.
00:07:30.000But we have to talk about the government shutdown, folks.
00:07:34.000As we've been talking about all week this week and all week last week, analyzing what's been building up to this and what's contributed to this, the government shuts down at midnight tonight.
00:07:44.000If the Senate doesn't pass a continuing resolution, and the continuing resolution would continue funding for the federal government through the next four weeks, then all non essential government functions shut down until a bill is passed to fund the government.
00:08:01.000So, non essential functions like your national parks, those kinds of things, people still get their Social Security, you still have the military and all that.
00:08:09.000But if no continuing resolution is passed by the Senate tonight, then we have a shutdown on our hands.
00:08:16.000As of tonight, as of 6 38 Central Time tonight, or 7 38 Eastern Time tonight, the House of Representatives did pass a continuing resolution bill.
00:08:28.000And I will tell you what is in that bill.
00:08:30.000So, this passed by 230 votes to 197 votes.
00:08:36.000And included in this continuing resolution to keep the government funded is six years of funding for the Children's Health Insurance Program, or CHIP.
00:08:45.000It delays Obamacare taxes on medical devices.
00:08:49.000And it would allow the Department of Defense to fund missile defense enhancements.
00:08:53.000So, what has contributed to this is the fact that in order to keep the government funded, you have to have an appropriations bill, a continuing resolution rather, passed in the House of Representatives.
00:09:07.000Now, the problem is in the Senate, you need 60 votes.
00:09:10.000People don't know this so much about the Senate that it's not by simple majority.
00:09:14.000You need to have a supermajority of 60 votes to pass it through with just your party.
00:09:20.000And so, all the Democrats need, or rather, what the Republicans need to pass the continuing resolution to fund the government, is at least 10 Democratic voters.
00:09:29.000And so, it was announced earlier today that the Democrats have the votes to obstruct the passage of this resolution to shut down the government.
00:09:37.000And so, now that the continuing resolution, the CR, has been passed in the House, it's on the floor of the Senate.
00:09:43.000I believe this session for Congress today ended just a moment ago when the show started at 7 p.m. Central.
00:09:50.000So, I don't believe the Senate will have a chance to pass it tonight.
00:09:54.000And certainly, it doesn't look like even if they had the chance, they would have the votes to pass it.
00:10:00.000Of course, if it does get passed, and eventually it must to fund the government through the Senate, it will be put before the president to sign, and it will fund the government, but only for four weeks, folks.
00:10:10.000I don't think people understand this that if a continuing resolution is passed as opposed to a broader, longer term spending bill, government's only funded until February.
00:10:21.000So in February, you have another government shutdown if conditions are not agreed to.
00:10:26.000And so, right now, what the Democrats are doing is they're shutting down the government.
00:10:29.000They're forcing the hand of the Republicans to shut down the government because they want DACA.
00:10:35.000And what they're, in effect, doing is holding the country hostage for legal protections for these 600,000 to 800,000 illegal aliens that were formerly protected under the Deferred Action on Childhood Arrivals program.
00:10:49.000And so, that has been the subject of negotiations these past two weeks.
00:10:53.000And really, for the past four months, they put together a bill.
00:10:56.000Last week, between the Gang of Six, between Senator Dick Durbin and Lindsey Graham and four other senators, put together this bill that would fund the government.
00:11:06.000But in addition to that, it would also give legal protection to the DACA recipients who would do a number of other things.
00:11:12.000And if you recall, at the end of the week last week, President Trump terminated that deal.
00:11:16.000He rejected it outright in the Oval Office.
00:11:19.000And then that was also accompanied by the shithole comments, which many people say sank the chances of that getting passed.
00:11:26.000So now it's on the Democrats, it's on for them to decide.
00:11:29.000Now that the government shuts down at midnight and the White House is making its preparations for the government to shut down, it's on the Democrats to decide are they going to shut down the government?
00:11:57.000But prevailing of this, of course, I think the biggest reason for why this is significant, the biggest consequence of this, of course, is the midterms.
00:12:07.000The midterms is the most consequential aspect of this in the sense that.
00:12:11.000The government shutdown hurts the president, not for any other reason other than that it will be looked at as a failure of his Congress, which is controlled by the Republicans in both chambers, and the White House, which of course President Trump presides in.
00:12:25.000So the Democrats are forcing the shutdown because they believe this will leverage the president.
00:12:30.000If they shut down the government, that'll look really bad for Donald Trump.
00:12:34.000That'll look really bad for Republican incumbents in 2018, and that'll give them a good chance to win the House or possibly the Senate, very slim chance, but possibly the Senate in 2018.
00:12:48.000They believe, and I think even though the White House position is that they officially don't want a government shutdown, the official White House position, the official position of the president is that they don't want the shutdown.
00:12:59.000And even in Congress, the congressional leadership on the Republican side says they don't want a government shutdown.
00:13:04.000I believe the Republicans are playing this the same way.
00:13:07.000The Democrats believe the shutdown will leverage the Republicans into accepting DACA, and the Republicans believe the government shutdown will leverage the Democrats into accepting a wall.
00:13:17.000And ending chain migration and ending the diversity visa lottery system.
00:13:21.000Well, you understand that they can't both be right, right?
00:13:25.000If one side believes that the government shutdown will be a disaster for the Republicans, and one side believes the government shutdown will be a disaster for Democrats, well, one side has to be right, or maybe they're both right.
00:13:36.000I would err with the latter, and these statistics support this.
00:13:40.000In the last government shutdown in 2013, if you recall, which was over Obamacare, and you remember this was Ted Cruz.
00:13:47.000Who led the charge with the Freedom Caucus and shutting down the government in the House over funding for Obamacare?
00:13:59.000And in response to this government shutdown, which the media almost universally blamed on Republicans and on Ted Cruz in particular, on the extremists, the Tea Party elements, people who were polled said they blamed the GOP 29%, or rather 29% of people that were polled in the aftermath of the government shutdown.
00:14:57.000And then additionally, you had the media.
00:15:00.000This was in 2013 when the media still called the shots, when people still thought that CNN was unbiased and Fox News was the bitter clingers, you know, and all the MAGA feeds love it when that one comes out.
00:15:11.000But there was a very different opinion of the media.
00:15:14.000This time around for the government shutdown, you have President Trump in the White House, you have the Republicans controlling both chambers, and Democrats are the opposition party in both chambers.
00:15:24.000Not only are they the opposition party, but they have been branded effectively as the obstructionists.
00:15:30.000And this will play a very crucial role because, in effect, they actually are shutting down the government.
00:15:35.000But more importantly, given their prior record of trying to stop the tax cut, of trying to stop President Trump's cabinet confirmations, given the heavy hitting by President Trump on this narrative that the Democrats are obstructionists, they have this reputation in 2018.
00:15:52.000Where the Republicans had it maybe in 2013, now the Democrats do, as reflexively anti Trump as the obstructionists.
00:16:02.000As you have the Republicans in control and Democrats have been branded the obstructionists.
00:16:06.000Number two, you have a strong leader now.
00:16:08.000Not only do you have a strong leader for the Republicans, but you have a strong, a smart leader and one that is recognized as the legitimate negotiator here.
00:16:17.000With Ted Cruz, he had elements in his own party that were saying he's crazy, he's an extremist, he's shutting the government down, and everybody hated him.
00:16:24.000In this administration, President Trump is the actual head of the party, the way that the Republican Party and the Democratic Party work.
00:16:33.000Is that the head of the party functionally is the president?
00:16:36.000I don't know if people know that, but I mean, the actual role of the president is the head of the Republican Party or the head of the Democratic Party.
00:16:43.000And so you have the Trump administration, you have President Trump, who is the leader of the party.
00:16:48.000And not only is he the leader of the party, and, you know, people defer to him, but also he is a leader in the broad sense that he's negotiating this very well, he's very smart, he's guiding the direction of the Republican Party, I think, in a pretty coherent and succinct way.
00:17:04.000And so, this is much stronger Republican leadership than there was in 2013.
00:17:09.000And then, lastly, the media has been delegitimized.
00:17:12.000Whereas in 2013, Republicans owned it because CNN, NBC, and to an extent, even Fox News put it on the Republican Party.
00:17:21.000They said Republicans won't pass a clean bill, Republicans demand an end to Obamacare, and look at all the poor babies, and everyone should have health insurance, you know, all that crap.
00:17:30.000This time around, CNN is delegitimized, NBC, ABC, I mean, just about every major network.
00:17:37.000Trump's people are not watching it, and I would contend that even moderates are not watching it.
00:17:41.000I would contend that even independents, normie type people, who maybe don't even vote in the midterms, maybe they don't even vote in general, in the general election.
00:17:49.000But the broad population is not going to be watching the media, and certainly, if the media is anti Trump, is not going to be buying it wholesale.
00:17:59.000So you have those things going for this shutdown, which I think makes it a very strong hand for Republicans.
00:18:04.000So when you look at the numbers in 2013, to contrast it with this in the hopes that maybe we understand what the midterms will look like, Because, of course, 2013 preceded the 2014 midterms.
00:18:16.000In this shutdown, or rather in the previous shutdown, you had 29% blaming the GOP, about half that blaming the Dems, and half of the entire population blaming both parties.
00:18:26.000If it were like this in 2018, I would be okay with that.
00:18:29.000I think the numbers will be inverted this time.
00:18:31.000I think that to an extent, you'll see some equalizing between people who blame the GOP and the Democrats.
00:18:36.000Probably the people that blame both will remain the same.
00:18:40.000And it's also worth noting that after the government shutdown in 2013, even though people blame the GOP, GOP still came back and won the House and the Senate, which is important.
00:18:49.000But, and here, the whiteboard makes its debut once again.
00:18:56.000If we're going to get a comprehensive look at the effects of this on the midterms, we have to look at which states are up for grabs in the midterms.
00:19:04.000And I don't know, maybe I'll have to move my mic here.
00:19:07.000Maybe that's where the high gain comes into play.
00:19:21.000All right, so here is a list of the states that are up for grabs in 2018.
00:19:28.000And you can see these are the Democrat and independent states that are up for re election, the states with Democrat or independent incumbents.
00:19:36.000There are only two states with independent incumbents.
00:19:39.000And then you have the Republican incumbent seats, of which there are only eight.
00:19:43.000There are 24 Democrat and independent seats.
00:20:24.000So in this election cycle in 2018, It heavily favors Republicans because, of course, they're only defending eight seats, four of which are safe seats Mississippi, Nebraska, Utah, and Wyoming.
00:20:37.000There's only four seats that are contested that you have Republican incumbents running in.
00:20:42.000And, of course, Republicans already have a 51 to 49 vote majority in the Senate.
00:20:48.000And so the reason that I bring this up, the reason I bring up this map is because let's entertain the possibility government shuts down, it's a protracted shutdown.
00:20:59.000And both parties are blamed, as they were in 2013.
00:21:03.000More than half of the population says, you know what, it's both parties.
00:21:06.000I'm just against whoever the incumbent is.
00:21:09.000Well, look at how many seats Democrats stand to lose.
00:21:12.000And this is a little bit misleading, given the fact that it says 24 incumbents are defending, but really only, how many is this?
00:21:23.000This line denotes above on this side is contested, and on this side is safe.
00:21:29.000So there's really only 14 states that are contested.
00:21:33.000But 14 states contested for Democrats versus four contested for Republicans.
00:21:38.000So if you have half the population blaming both sides and the majority of the incumbents in the Senate up for re election in 2018 are Democrats, who's going to win if the government shuts down?
00:21:49.000Of course, it's going to be the Republicans.
00:21:51.000And not only this, but you look at the map further, and the X's and the dots denote the X's denote states that there's a Democrat incumbent, but Trump won in the 2016 election, and the dot denotes a Democrat incumbent.
00:22:05.000And you also have a Republican governor.
00:22:08.000So, states like Florida, Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota, Ohio, Wisconsin, they have both a Republican governor and they also were won by Trump in 2016, and yet you have a Democratic incumbent.
00:22:20.000So, those states are probably going to be the most likely ones to break for the Republicans.
00:22:26.000And then the rest, you know, these are the safe seats, these are contested.
00:22:29.000And so, if you look at the 2018 predictions on real clear politics, if you run a simulation, and let's say in November, We hypothesize that Trump has a 45% approval rating.
00:22:43.000He stands to win between 52 and 56 seats.
00:22:48.000This is if he has a 45% approval rating.
00:22:51.00094% of simulations say that Republicans will win between 52 and 56 seats in 2018.
00:22:58.000If he has his current approval rating of 39% during the time of the elections, he has a 97% chance of winning between 49 and 53 seats in the Senate.
00:23:34.000And if that were the case, these are the bastards that are going to get blamed for it.
00:23:38.000These are the people that will get that much closer to being unseated in 2018.
00:23:42.000And the reason why this is so important is that let's say, hypothetically, President Trump, and we're better here with the lighting, Let's say President Trump wins, you know, 56 seats, and that's with a 45% approval rating, and that's with everything so far.
00:23:57.000If the government shuts down a couple of times, those seats just keep going up.
00:24:01.000The approval rating goes up, the amount of seats he could win just keeps going up, and the enthusiasm to unseat Republicans goes down.
00:24:09.000So the more the government shuts down, the longer it stays shut down, in my opinion, the better the president will do, the better the Republicans will do.
00:24:17.000And this is what I've been saying all along for two weeks that this has been pushed by President Trump.
00:24:21.000And there's no more obvious case of this than.
00:24:45.000That's the on the ground stuff of why this is happening, what are the motivations here, what this will look like in the future, how this will play out in the next couple of days.
00:24:57.000The White House has said that they have prepared for the possibility that there will be a brief government shutdown in the coming days, maybe to last one day or two days, but certainly it could last a little bit longer than that.
00:25:08.000And it comes down to whether the Democrats are willing to negotiate on DACA.
00:25:13.000The other effect that this will have is that, you know, maybe some of these Democrats who understand this map break and they support the continuing resolution in the Senate.
00:25:22.000Because really it comes down to the Senate right now.
00:25:24.000The House has passed the continuing resolution with.
00:25:28.000It comes down now to Senate Democrats.
00:25:31.000And you know, if we pull up the map, maybe the senator from Florida, the Democratic incumbent, is saying, I don't want to appear reflexively anti Trump.
00:25:43.000I want to win re election in November.
00:25:45.000And I'm going to get blamed for the government shutdown.
00:25:48.000And I'm going to be going up against a massive, massive economic growth, a great economy, record Dow Jones industrial average, record GDP growth.
00:25:57.000I'm going to be going up against all of that and our record as a party of obstructing Trump.
00:26:16.000Maybe some of these states break for President Trump.
00:26:19.000And then what you have happen, it doesn't matter if all 10 break or only if some break, but you start to see the fracturing of the Democratic Party.
00:26:27.000The Democratic coalition starts to fracture.
00:26:29.000And then, so all of a sudden, whereas for the longest time, maybe for 16 years, you had a Democratic Party that was essentially a monolith.
00:26:38.000They decided who they're running and they go for them.
00:26:41.000They decide what they're going after and they go for it.
00:26:43.000When it was Obamacare, you know, recall the contrast between the Obamacare, the passage of it, and the repeal of Obamacare.
00:26:51.000In 2010, when Barack Obama passed Obamacare, he passed it without a single Republican vote.
00:26:58.000He passed it by the skin of his teeth, I believe, with one vote.
00:27:02.000And then he had to pass a reconciliation bill as well, which was also very close because of the death of Ted Kennedy, of course.
00:27:09.000The Republicans could not pass the repeal of Obamacare.
00:27:12.000So you understand that the Democrats have, that's one of their greatest strengths, is that in a situation like that, when they decided they wanted Obamacare, when Obama ran on this universal health care thing and they said they wanted this, they got it.
00:27:25.000It was a slim majority, it was a slim chance, but they got it.
00:27:29.000And then there were problems and they got it again because they were monolithic.
00:27:33.000Republicans, every single Republican, Senate, House, whoever it was, whether they were pro Trump, never Trump, every single one of them, Ran against Obamacare with few exceptions.
00:27:43.000And yet we couldn't do it, even with a stronger majority.
00:27:46.000We had a 52 seat majority when we started out in 2016, or in 2017, rather.
00:28:14.000You know, people make fun of the four dimensional game, and whether it's intentional or not, you could certainly argue that it's not intentional.
00:28:23.000I think it goes against the record that Trump has.
00:28:26.000But whether or not you see it as intentional, this is the effect.
00:28:29.000And this is a very comprehensive and good and smart effect that this is having on both parties, on the midterms, and on our prospects for passing future legislation.
00:28:46.000More broadly, to get into a little bit of what we were getting into last night, people have to ask themselves, why is this happening?
00:28:53.000I mean, we can root, root, root for the home team.
00:28:55.000We could say, go Trump, bust up the Democrats, blame it on them, hope we win it big in 2018.
00:29:01.000But you got to ask yourself, as a citizen, as a student of political theory or of civic engagement, why does the government shut down?
00:29:09.000People don't understand these things, basic civic things.
00:29:12.000And, you know, the reason, not for nothing, but the reason I'm so skeptical of democracy is the fact that.
00:29:18.000You have people voting in the election who have no clue how the government runs.
00:29:23.000You have people that go to the ballot box and they don't have the vaguest clue as to what a continuing resolution is, as to how many votes are needed in the Senate, how many representatives there are in the House, and maybe this is you, and maybe you shouldn't be voting.
00:29:38.000And that's not a diss, that's not a diss to anybody's intelligence, but it's merely to say I don't mean to be an elitist and say I know all these particulars and you don't, but it's simply to say that.
00:29:49.000When the country was founded, the idea of the founders, and let me bring this back.
00:30:00.000Okay, so it looks like we're back here.
00:30:03.000Anyway, when the country was founded, it wasn't this, people have it in their heads that it was this willy nilly, everybody gets a vote on everything.
00:30:14.000We need to enhance democracy for everyone all the time.
00:30:17.000That, you know, George Washington and Thomas Jefferson, and they all got together and they said, How are we going to give the people all the control of the country?
00:30:25.000How are we going to make it so that the people's will is executed every time perfectly?
00:30:31.000And that's not what the founders intended.
00:30:33.000The founders intended that the people would be one of many interest groups, one of many actors in the government, in the nation, that would exercise power.
00:30:45.000The grand compromise said this is a compromise between two proposals, two ideas of what the legislature would look like.
00:30:52.000You had the House of the People and the House of the States.
00:30:54.000You had the bicameral legislature with the House and the Senate, and that's how it was supposed to function.
00:31:00.000Well, and this is obviously a detour, but it is a big problem in the country when you have people that are going to the polls.
00:31:06.000And not only that, by the way, not only do people vote for the House and now they vote for the Senate.
00:31:10.000Not only does it break down federal authority, and outside of the fact that Congress, and more specifically the House, has usurped the authority of the executive branch to a great degree, not only that, but when the country was founded, it wasn't just anybody could vote.
00:31:27.000It wasn't like that was a regressive thing that only white, propertied men could vote.
00:31:35.000We're in this business, and this is progressivism, but we're in this business now.
00:31:39.000I guess since the end of the Cold War, where we think that every restriction that was in place before, every hierarchy that was in place before, every tradition that was in place before, all of these things were arbitrary and the result of bigotry.
00:31:56.000The reason that women stayed in the home was not because they're more suited to the home, not because there's a comparative advantage to having women in the home, not because women's role as the caretaker in a domestic function.
00:32:09.000Is beneficial to the society and beneficial to men and women.
00:32:12.000No, no, it was because of sexism, you see.
00:32:16.000Men didn't want women working the fields and fighting in the wars and going to school and doing all these other things, not because maybe it made women happy, not because women were more suited to this, they had more life satisfaction, it made everything function better.
00:32:31.000No, it was because they had an irrational hatred for women.
00:32:36.000It was so unfairly a male dominated society.
00:32:39.000The reason that sovereignty or Or rather, a franchisement.
00:32:44.000Enfranchisement was only afforded to white, propertied males.
00:32:49.000It was not because those were the people who had stake in the country.
00:32:53.000It was not because those were the people that founded the country, because the country was 80% white and 95% Protestant, and I guess was 95% English if you excluded slaves.
00:33:05.000It wasn't because that was the majority of the population.
00:33:10.000These were the people who settled the land in 1600.
00:33:14.000And not for any of those reasons, not because if you have land, you have stake in the future.
00:33:18.000If you have land, you have a certain IQ and a certain level of education and a certain vested interest in the success and the long term of the country.
00:33:26.000And men, not because their brains are particularly suited to politics, their brain structure and chemistry, particularly suited to the science and the art of politics.
00:33:50.000But people don't know why this happens.
00:33:53.000The budgetary process, the way it's intended to function, the way the budgetary process is intended to function is that instead of having continuing resolutions passed every four weeks or two months or nine months or whatever, which is essentially what we've been doing or going against the budgetary process every year with two exceptions since 2010, normally the process is, and it's set up in a beautiful way.
00:34:17.000It has been since the 1970s where It very smoothly goes on throughout the year, and then you have a budget for one year.
00:34:25.000And so you don't have government shutdowns.
00:34:26.000You might have the debt ceiling, which is another thing, but you don't have these shutdowns.
00:34:31.000You don't have these partisan battles.
00:34:32.000You don't have people not getting paid for their non essential government services.
00:34:37.000You just have a budget for the whole year.
00:34:39.000And so normally, how this is supposed to function is that the Office of Management and Budget goes to the federal agencies and they say, What do you need your money for?
00:34:52.000Essentially, to function in this fiscal year, tell me, give me a report of what kind of a budget you're going to need.
00:34:58.000And so the federal agencies put together their budget, they consider their costs and their expenses, and they put forth their reports to the OMB.
00:35:05.000And the OMB reviews these, they give comments, and they send it back to the agencies.
00:35:10.000The agencies draft a final proposal, they submit that to the OMB.
00:35:18.000He says, okay, so DHS needs this much, DOD needs this much, however many dollars for however many agencies I take into consideration what kind of a budget we're going to require to keep operations going.
00:35:32.000And then the president lays out his funding priorities for the fiscal year.
00:35:35.000So, in this case, President Trump's funding priorities were to restructure entitlements, to cut taxes, and to focus on the military.
00:35:43.000So, those are the budget focuses that President Trump has, and this is in this case.
00:35:50.000He says, These are the priorities for what we should appropriate money for.
00:35:54.000And then he proposes a definitive budget.
00:35:57.000And President Trump did this, I believe, in June, where he says, This is what I'd like to see funded.
00:36:01.000This is what we need appropriations for in the fiscal year.
00:36:04.000Congress takes this and using the budget proposed by the president, they put together a budget resolution, a budget resolution which will guide the construction of a budget.
00:36:15.000Once they complete a budget resolution, they put together appropriation bills.
00:36:19.000And so, using the resolution, which uses the president's budget as an outline, they start to put together how they're going to fund departments and agencies and programs.
00:36:30.000And if everything goes according to plan, they pass all these bills and the president signs all these bills by October 1st, by the end of the fiscal year.
00:36:38.000And so, this is how it's supposed to happen.
00:37:47.000It just comes down to political leveraging.
00:37:49.000It just comes down to this partisanship between the two parties where they can kind of use this as a bargaining chip to make one side look worse than the other, and it's all very goofy, but there is a process that is supposed to be followed, and it just isn't.
00:38:04.000And how many people would tell you about the Senate and the OMB and all of that?
00:38:09.000And that's not even to say, look at how complex everything is and all of that, but simply to say we have to really take a long and hard look at what our government is.
00:38:18.000How our government is supposed to function.
00:38:20.000Will we ever achieve meaningful and significant reform, needed reform under the current system?
00:38:27.000And when I say the current system, I don't mean the two party system.
00:38:31.000I don't mean polarization in politics.
00:38:34.000I don't mean this abstract nonsense that they talk about on Vox and BuzzFeed.
00:38:48.000Is probably the biggest argument against liberalism, the biggest argument against democracy that could be made.
00:38:54.000Certainly, it's a very strong, potent, and rich with examples these past 15 years, whether it be foreign policy, whether it be the war in Iraq.
00:39:04.000You know, you think of the war in Iraq where, number one, the public was misled.
00:39:09.000You know, we were lied into that war, given faulty intelligence by our greatest ally, by Israel and others, lied into the war, probably by elements in the deep state, even Afghanistan on 9 11, when the government didn't keep us safe and you have to have these big public spectacles maybe to bring us into war.
00:39:25.000The president received on his desk the day before the 9 11 attacks a bill to bring us to war in Afghanistan.
00:39:31.000And so we have to be sold into these wars.
00:39:34.000We have these major wars, and that's bad enough.
00:39:36.000But then, on top of that, on top of the fact that there's these lies and we get sold into unnecessary wars, on top of that, then in 2008, because we don't have the stomach for the war, we don't have the stomach for the casualties, we don't have the stomach for the expense of the war, because every day on television it's another brother home in a body bag.
00:39:57.000More casualties and the war drags on and it's very bad.
00:40:01.000Once you've gone in, now people are upset.
00:40:04.000Now the people don't have the stomach for war and then they want to pull you out.
00:40:07.000And then look what happens in the aftermath.
00:40:09.000Then you get ISIS, then you get all kinds of other instability and everything else.
00:40:13.000And people can contend whether that was a result of us leaving or not.
00:40:16.000But in any case, if the American public doesn't have the stomach for war, we pull out and other actors fill the gap.
00:40:26.000And so that's one example foreign policy where.
00:40:29.000The public makes the wrong call because the public is swayed by their passions and the masses are swayed by these different kinds of things.
00:40:37.000Whereas if you had a strong leader, if you had a Vladimir Putin in control, and I'm not necessarily, I'm not a Duganist, you know, I'm not advocating for that kind of autocracy, but it is just to contrast the two systems where in another country you have, um, you know, for example, the wars in Chechnya where they were long and they were bloody and they were brutal.
00:40:56.000I mean, he went in there and he leveled the entire The entire territory there, he leveled the entire city there until that war was won.
00:41:05.000And that's just the kind of engagement, that's the kind of conflict that democracies typically don't have the stomach for, that the people don't have the stomach for.
00:41:14.000And in this era of increasingly intrastate conflict, increasingly conflicts are going against borders and they're tribal and they're not so much between nation states, you're going to need that kind of leadership.
00:41:28.000You're going to need that kind of aristocracy, essentially.
00:41:32.000And that's different from the financial globalist ruling class.
00:41:35.000So you look at that in war, and then you look at that in economy.
00:41:41.000I think many libertarians even would agree, although they believe in liberty, although they believe in economic liberty, they, or Hoppe, someone like Hoppe, would contend that we need a strong ruler to get us back on track because the pitfall of democracy, of course, in an economic sense, is that the government starts giving out favor, starts giving out money, and then people don't want the gravy train to end.
00:42:02.000And that's certainly what's happening with the budget.
00:42:04.000That's certainly the predominant problem with the debt ceiling and budget and everything else the fact that you have how many hundreds of billions of dollars, how many trillions of dollars in entitlements?
00:42:17.000Why is there no serious proposal to end them?
00:42:19.000When are we going to get our economic house in order?
00:42:24.000I mean, that's probably our biggest strategic weakness the fact that in 100 years, within the next 100 years, we will become insolvent.
00:42:32.000I mean, that's a very dangerous thing.
00:42:34.000That's a very scary thing to think about.
00:42:36.000And if we had somebody at the helm, Who maybe they didn't listen so much to the passions of the masses, maybe they didn't have a corporate interest in business or in finance, but they singularly were focused on the interest of the nation state, they could make a hard decision like that.
00:42:53.000Ending Social Security, that would be very politically costly.
00:42:58.000Ending something like Medicare, devastating.
00:43:01.000Cutting those in any significant way would be devastating.
00:43:04.000That party wouldn't rule for another eight years.
00:43:07.000But if we had a different system, if we had a different, I don't know if there were a clause or some kind of reform, maybe it could be possible.
00:43:16.000It's challenging, but just something to get your noggin jogging, just something to activate your alms a little bit.
00:43:22.000And just look at our system and imagine how this could ever work.
00:43:26.000Do you think it's going to happen that at some point, all the people that, and they're so used to just being told what to do essentially, just kind of going along to get along, do you think there's going to be a mass consciousness, a mass awakening whereby all these people will suddenly wake up and be totally civic engaged and they'll vote out the people, they'll be following the voting record and they'll vote out the people that are spending all the money and they'll give up their welfare checks?
00:43:58.000Unless we change the system, unless we change how we think about government, and we get this idea, this toxic and corrosive ideological vision of our country as liberal and democratic, we got to get it out.
00:44:12.000We have to give birth to a new Republican Federalist country again with a stronger executive.
00:44:18.000That's certainly the consequence of being a large and populous nation and a powerful nation at that.
00:44:24.000So, just something to think about, just a deep dive into the The government shutdown.
00:45:09.000It's people in New York City, and they live in an apartment that they don't own, and they don't have a family, and they don't have a wife, and they're working for some bullshit job where they write about like music reviews, and they write like, ooh, you know, they do a Vox Day, you know, vid that's explaining.
00:45:27.000So this is the deal with this guy in LA who does electronic pop music, and also they're a lesbian, and you know.
00:45:35.000That's what people are doing for their jobs.
00:45:37.000Do you think these people that are coming to dominate the electorate are going to make the right call on matters of war, on matters of finance?
00:45:46.000Do you think these yuppies, when they walk around with their nails painted and they got makeup on and all this other stuff, and they're going to parties and drinking, and what do they do for a living?
00:45:55.000They write about fucking breaking bad.
00:45:56.000You think they're going to make the right call?
00:45:58.000And if we need to knock some people out, I don't think so.
00:46:01.000And pardon the French, but I mean, really, this is not a workable system, not a good system.
00:46:29.000If you're, and this is a problem with a lot of the liberals, and even if you look in Europe, these leaders with no kids, how could they give two?
00:46:38.000I was about to, but I got to get it under control.
00:47:06.000And it's interesting, towards the end of his life, when he eventually got married, I don't know if he had an epiphany or an awakening or something, but towards the end, he got married and his tone changed very quickly.
00:47:16.000Once he got married, I don't know if he had kids, but once he got married and maybe he had the prospect of having kids, he said, you know what?
00:47:48.000If you're going to go in, if you're going to spread negativity, and it's a pretty high threshold, but if you're going to go in there and you're going to be rude, you're going to shill.
00:47:57.000I had some guy in there this morning who was saying, You can read Oswald Mosley's 100 Questions about Fascism, and then he could throw it out the window because there's going to be a race war and all this other stuff.
00:48:07.000And I'm like, You're not a serious person.
00:48:10.000We do not need federals like that in the Discord.
00:48:13.000So if that was you, then that's unfortunate.
00:48:16.000But otherwise, I'll look into your situation.
00:48:20.000Simon Skola, did you ever play LA Noir?
00:48:23.000I did play that game, I didn't enjoy it.
00:48:26.000You know, I'm the type of guy, when I play a video game, I'm not looking to watch cinematics.
00:48:32.000I'm not looking to listen to audio cues, you know, where you have to walk around the house for 20 minutes and it's like, ooh, you know, there's a clue over there.
00:48:42.000And that was just a very dumb game, in my opinion.
00:48:52.000You know, when I'm, that's a bad example.
00:48:54.000Not going to get into how I behave when I drive because then I might get massaged and they'll say, oh, well, he was doing his normal behavior when he drives.
00:49:01.000But I mean, normally when I'm at the command post, I'm doing all kinds of things.
00:49:24.000Melissa Faye Blythe, Nick, I remember Lucian Wintrich had talked to you about collaborating, but it didn't work out because of your partnership with James.
00:49:32.000Maybe you could reach out again once the dust settles.
00:50:46.000And that would have been a great opportunity.
00:50:48.000Lucian Wintrich is a very connected person.
00:50:51.000And I turned him down because I said I didn't want to go against James.
00:50:54.000So, to anybody who watched James' video, I'm deciding whether or not I'll do a response video only because I'm not at liberty to talk about the situation at the moment so much.
00:51:25.000Several job offers to continue working with James.
00:51:27.000I gave up partnerships to work with James in this company.
00:51:32.000And so when people say, oh, well, he was going to go work for the right stuff and he does his own thing, he makes his own money, and that's okay.
00:51:40.000Well, you know, I had to sacrifice a lot to be a part of the company and then pulled right out from under me.
00:51:45.000So people are like, Nick, Nick, let it go already.
00:51:49.000You can imagine why it's a little bit difficult to let go.
00:52:26.000I'm a little bit hesitant given the major dip with the crypto lately.
00:52:30.000I may be buying a little bit this weekend only because it's a pretty massive dip and I think prices may recover.
00:52:36.000I'm not an expert, but I would imagine that in the near to long future, prices will recover and you can make a little bit of money off of that.
00:52:43.000So I may be investing in coin more broadly.
00:52:59.000His name's Carter Thomas, and he says, That you, in order to build wealth, you want to invest in coins that people will want to use.
00:53:06.000You know, there's a big difference between having a lot of dollars, having a lot of money, and having wealth, which many people don't think of Bitcoin in that way.
00:53:15.000They think of Bitcoin in the sense that, like a stock, like I could buy Bitcoin and then sell it for money.
00:53:20.000I can buy Bitcoin and then it'll be worth this much money.
00:53:23.000But Carter Thomas said something really interesting.
00:53:25.000He said, buy coins, buy altcoins, buy cryptocurrency that will become valuable, that people will want, that you could exchange for goods and services.
00:53:34.000And that's a very, I think that's a much better way to look at it because people look at it like, how am I going to ride this?
00:53:39.000How am I going to exchange this for money eventually?
00:53:41.000Because, of course, Bitcoin isn't very liquid.
00:53:44.000And, you know, what happens when you sell it, right?
00:53:46.000I mean, then you just have your cash and you're not in the game.
00:53:49.000So I may be looking at crypto again this weekend.
00:53:53.000Dominic Liberator, what GPU and CPU are you going to be running?
00:55:16.000But there is a big difference, and I'm a Catholic, between making a mistake and saying, I have, bless me, Father, for I have sinned, and making a mistake and saying, oh, well, he was a Mogapede.
00:55:28.000He was a Trump supporter, and he was only half black, so it's okay.
00:56:54.000Modernism has begotten a new age where the big financial interests control the politics.
00:57:00.000And this was written, of course, written about, of course, by Spengler in Decline of the West about how the West has become and will continue to be dominated by the big financial interests.
00:57:11.000And that's kind of a unique feature of modernism and of the West.
00:57:15.000You know, they don't have this in China to the same degree, they don't have this in Russia to the same degree, whereas in the United States, the money pulls the strings.
00:57:23.000Xi Jinping goes after the money, and the party goes after the money, and the party goes after all these interests.
00:57:28.000And in Russia, you know, Putin controls the oligarchs.
00:57:32.000Obviously, it's kind of like a pyramid structure in the sense that they kind of support him, I guess, if they all decided to go against him, but that doesn't happen because he's a strong ruler.
00:57:43.000In both of those cases, Putin and China, you have strong nationalists and patriots leading the country.
00:57:52.000A consequential leader of his country.
00:58:22.000I understand the dangers, I fully get what you mean by that.
00:58:26.000But I would take any day of the week a good aristocrat, or rather a bad aristocracy, which is incidental, or a bad Caesar, as opposed to the present system, which, with few exceptions, can never really work out the way it should.
00:58:43.000I think it's easier to understand once you fully comprehend the end result of this experiment, of this folly.
00:58:51.000Maybe it's easy now to say, well, aristocracy, there's definitely drawbacks, but in 100 years, when the currency collapses, we have no budget, we default on our debt, we're insolvent, we have this empire that's exploding everywhere.
00:59:36.000On the Supreme Court, I think it'll go in favor of the owners of the bakery because the last time we looked at this was, I believe, a month ago, and Roberts was leaning our way, I believe, if you're reading.
00:59:49.000So I believe it'll go our way, but of course I'm with the Christians.
00:59:53.000And not only because it's constitutional, not only because I believe in freedom of association in all aspects.
00:59:58.000We should be free to associate with whom we want to.
01:00:01.000That means no massive demographic transformation experiments.
01:00:05.000You know, I think to a certain extent the country at large has a freedom of association in the sense that we have a right to determine who comes into the country and who doesn't.
01:00:15.000I don't want to associate with people coming here from Africa or people coming here from Central America, not involuntarily.
01:00:22.000That's not to say I wouldn't associate with an African or a Central American, but I don't want my country to be full of these people because I don't think these people can create a good civilization.
01:00:34.000I don't think these people will be good stewards of the civilization that we built.
01:00:39.000And so we have a right to freedom of association.
01:00:41.000But moreover, we have to fight against the scourge of degeneracy, of hedonism.
01:00:47.000And that'll be a big cultural win as well.
01:00:51.000Altmedia, you have talents, but you're going down the wrong path.
01:00:54.000Well, You know, pal, I go by my instincts.
01:01:13.000If telling the truth, if doing the right thing, if having integrity is going down the wrong path, I will be going down the wrong path until the day that I die.
01:01:24.000I don't want to re litigate the, well, I'm not even actually going to get into it.
01:01:27.000Speaking of litigation, there's reasons why I can't.
01:01:29.000But, um, Things will come out about this eventually, and everyone will see the end result of what comes this year.
01:01:35.000But I will be vindicated, just like I was vindicated in the Thought Wars, just like I was vindicated in the Optics debate.
01:01:42.000And how many people in those cases told me, Nick, you're burning too many bridges, you're damaging relationships, you're doing this, that, and the other?
01:01:54.000I also, by the way, I really don't appreciate the fact that you have to, I like you, but you have talent, but I mean, you don't need to soften it.
01:03:10.000If you want to check out the Maker Support page, remember it's $5 and up, which will get you the audio only format of the show, priority call in on the call in shows, which will start tomorrow.
01:03:21.000And this episode will be uploaded on the podcast, in addition to a special role in the Discord server.
01:03:26.000And there's some goodies associated with that as well.
01:04:09.000We should pool all our money and we should buy a big plot of land.
01:04:13.000In the West, we should buy a big plot of land in northern Nevada, the safest place to be in a nuclear disaster.
01:04:19.000We'll buy up a big plot of land, we'll build up a compound, we'll build up a compound that uses brutalist architecture, a big, imposing concrete structure, ugly, with barbed wire fences and armed guards.
01:04:34.000And inside the compound, we will have Minecraft, we will have water, we'll have mugs.
01:04:40.000The currency that will be used in the compound will be broken shards of America First mugs.
01:04:46.000Which I guess there's enough of them around circulating in the world that those could become a stable currency.