America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - The Government Shutdown and the Midterms | America First Ep. 89

00:00:02.000 Good evening, everybody.

00:00:03.000 You are watching America First.

00:00:04.000 My name is Nicholas J. Fuentes, and we have a great show for you tonight.

00:00:09.000 There is a lot to talk about.

00:00:11.000 There is a government shutdown that is underway, and we will be doing a deep dive on the government shutdown, the history of government shutdowns, the alternative to government shutdowns, which I think, I don't know if everybody knows how it works, but we're going to go over, because I think it'll be helpful, the budgetary process for the Congress, because it seems like this has been happening, I'm sure, for a lot of people.

00:00:35.000 A lot more than maybe if they were alive in the 2000s or the 90s or the 80s.

00:00:40.000 Maybe that's not totally true.

00:00:41.000 There were certainly many in the 80s and 90s.

00:00:44.000 But why this is the case, why we keep having these shutdowns, why it seems to be that there have been so many or the risk of so many in recent years, and just other things about that.

00:00:55.000 We have live coverage of what's going on.

00:00:57.000 The most recent development that we've seen in the government shutdown so far is the passage in the House of a continuing resolution to fund the government through to February.

00:01:08.000 As we'll be talking about what's in that continuing resolution, if it'll pass the Senate and everything else.

00:01:13.000 But before we get into the government shutdown and we get into the news and the history and all of that, we have a lot of housekeeping things to take care of.

00:01:22.000 The first, and I'm proud to announce it, the first announcement is that the America First supercomputer is on its way.

00:01:30.000 The supercomputer is on the way.

00:01:32.000 I ordered the parts, and I guess good luck to me trying to build it.

00:01:36.000 You know, boomer tech over here.

00:01:38.000 I'll have to be on the phone with 10 different people.

00:01:41.000 Trying to assemble this behemoth.

00:01:42.000 But this is a monster, all right?

00:01:45.000 I went all out.

00:01:46.000 I'm not constrained by the company.

00:01:48.000 I'm not constrained by people.

00:01:52.000 So I can finally use the money that you guys deliver to the show for the show to enhance the production quality here.

00:01:59.000 And so I'm going to put that PC together.

00:02:00.000 I should have all the parts by February 1st, and I believe I will have it built by that week.

00:02:06.000 So my calendar over there says that February 1st is a Thursday, two Thursdays from now.

00:02:13.000 So, not next Thursday, but the following Thursday, I should have the America First supercomputer ready to go by Friday.

00:02:20.000 And what the PC will allow me to do, this is really a solid addition to the show.

00:02:25.000 I will be able to have guests on regularly.

00:02:28.000 So, expect a lot more guests, a lot more debates to happen.

00:02:31.000 You know, the biggest problem with this dumb thing, with this MacBook, is that it doesn't have the processing power to handle Skype and OBS and streaming all at the same time.

00:02:43.000 And also, my Google Docs, if I have notes up.

00:02:46.000 So that's why in past interviews or debates, if it's laggy, if the audio and the video isn't synced up, like the Nealon interview last time, that's why we have those problems.

00:02:56.000 This little baby machine, this little, I don't even know what you'd call it, this slim little thing, it doesn't have the juice, it doesn't have the components, the computer power to tackle all those different applications.

00:03:09.000 So the big PC, it's on the way.

00:03:11.000 I'll build it.

00:03:12.000 We'll have all kinds of guests.

00:03:13.000 I'm thinking we'll have Lauren Rose, we'll have JF come on the show.

00:03:17.000 We'll have on Paul Nealon again.

00:03:19.000 We'll have Millennial Matt.

00:03:20.000 I have a really great slate of guests lined up for next month.

00:03:24.000 So look forward to that.

00:03:26.000 Not tomorrow, or rather, not Friday this week, but in a couple of weeks, we'll have that up and running.

00:03:31.000 The second announcement is that my page on Maker Support has been launched.

00:03:36.000 It is live.

00:03:37.000 So if you recall, I've been talking about the America First premium service.

00:03:41.000 That is now live on the website Maker Support.

00:03:44.000 And the link is down in the description below.

00:03:47.000 If you want to support the show for only $5 a month on Maker Support, It's sort of like Patreon.

00:03:53.000 You can get the audio only format of the show on SoundCloud.

00:03:57.000 You get a special role in the Discord, special access to text and voice channels.

00:04:01.000 And also, I will start tomorrow doing a bi weekly call in show.

00:04:06.000 So, if you want to participate in the call in show tomorrow, you can get on the Discord and get in that voice channel for the call in show tomorrow by donating the $5 a month, buying the America First Premium on Maker Support.

00:04:19.000 And like I said, I'll be doing those every other week, the call in shows.

00:04:22.000 I know you guys love those.

00:04:24.000 The unwashed masses like to rub shoulders with the big NJF on the program.

00:04:30.000 So, I thought I'd make it easier for you to do that.

00:04:33.000 So, if you buy the America First Premium tomorrow for our big call in show, you'll have priority.

00:04:38.000 I'm not sure we'll have enough callers tomorrow or for the next one, but I guarantee that everybody who wants to be on that has America First Premium will have priority.

00:04:47.000 They will get on tomorrow and every other time that we do it.

00:04:50.000 So, that's the America First Premium.

00:04:52.000 You can check that out on Maker Support and just look up America First Premium there.

00:04:57.000 Like I said, very, very reasonable, only five bucks.

00:05:00.000 Word on the street is America First Media is going to cost $10 for the paywall.

00:05:04.000 So, We're not going to get you.

00:05:07.000 You're not trying to take your shekels like they are pretty reasonable just to keep our operations running. 0.88

00:05:13.000 But that's all of our housekeeping things, I believe.

00:05:17.000 And let me check here.

00:05:18.000 It looks like I'm a little bit overmodulated here on the microphone.

00:05:21.000 That's not cool.

00:05:24.000 But I believe that's all the housekeeping things.

00:05:26.000 Yes, so we have the supercomputer, the call in show, and the maker support.

00:05:29.000 Now that that's out of the way, also, this is just another observation.

00:05:34.000 While I'm watching my video before the show starts, I'm watching the intro screen.

00:05:38.000 I like to listen to the music, get myself all jazzed up for the show.

00:05:42.000 I'm watching the intro screen already 20 or what was it?

00:05:46.000 Yeah, I think it was 20 dislikes on the show.

00:05:49.000 And I've been noticing this very convenient since Sunday, since the breakup in America First Media.

00:05:55.000 I see 40 dislikes on every program.

00:05:57.000 I see 20 dislikes before the show even gets started.

00:06:00.000 And fellas, who do you think that is?

00:06:02.000 Who do you think is responsible for that?

00:06:04.000 I just find it very convenient.

00:06:06.000 I know we're trying to take the high road.

00:06:08.000 I know we're trying to let it go.

00:06:09.000 I know we're trying to stop the drama.

00:06:11.000 But I just find it very interesting that after the America First media split, I get doxxed.

00:06:16.000 My family gets doxxed.

00:06:18.000 I get 40 dislikes on my show before it even starts.

00:06:22.000 There's something going on, folks.

00:06:23.000 I'm being shilled against very hard on poll, on this program.

00:06:28.000 People are sending screenshots out of my Discord on the other one because that's all they have to do, I guess, because they're not producing content over there.

00:06:35.000 And I just got to say, it's very interesting.

00:06:38.000 People want this show to go off the air, people want me to stop producing content.

00:06:43.000 I don't know who is behind the split with America First Media.

00:06:46.000 I don't know who is behind the doxing, who's behind the rating on my Discord and my YouTube channel, but I'm not going anywhere, folks.

00:06:54.000 I'm not going anywhere.

00:06:55.000 That's why they don't like me, because I always tell the truth.

00:06:59.000 I always fight.

00:07:00.000 I always punch back.

00:07:02.000 That's the difference.

00:07:03.000 A lot of people in this movement, they like to go along to get along.

00:07:06.000 They don't like to offend the top guys.

00:07:08.000 They don't like to offend the top brass.

00:07:11.000 They don't like to step on anybody's toes.

00:07:13.000 They don't like to put themselves too far out there.

00:07:16.000 I'm doing it.

00:07:16.000 Not me.

00:07:17.000 Not for the money. 0.98

00:07:18.000 Not for the rubbing shoulders, not for the fucking pool parties, and pardon my French, but I'm doing it because I want to put America first, as always. 0.97

00:07:26.000 But that's our last housekeeping item, just an observation. 0.97

00:07:30.000 But we have to talk about the government shutdown, folks.

00:07:34.000 As we've been talking about all week this week and all week last week, analyzing what's been building up to this and what's contributed to this, the government shuts down at midnight tonight.

00:07:44.000 If the Senate doesn't pass a continuing resolution, and the continuing resolution would continue funding for the federal government through the next four weeks, then all non essential government functions shut down until a bill is passed to fund the government.

00:08:01.000 So, non essential functions like your national parks, those kinds of things, people still get their Social Security, you still have the military and all that.

00:08:09.000 But if no continuing resolution is passed by the Senate tonight, then we have a shutdown on our hands.

00:08:16.000 As of tonight, as of 6 38 Central Time tonight, or 7 38 Eastern Time tonight, the House of Representatives did pass a continuing resolution bill.

00:08:28.000 And I will tell you what is in that bill.

00:08:30.000 So, this passed by 230 votes to 197 votes.

00:08:36.000 And included in this continuing resolution to keep the government funded is six years of funding for the Children's Health Insurance Program, or CHIP.

00:08:45.000 It delays Obamacare taxes on medical devices.

00:08:49.000 And it would allow the Department of Defense to fund missile defense enhancements.

00:08:53.000 So, what has contributed to this is the fact that in order to keep the government funded, you have to have an appropriations bill, a continuing resolution rather, passed in the House of Representatives.

00:09:05.000 It then goes to the Senate.

00:09:07.000 Now, the problem is in the Senate, you need 60 votes.

00:09:10.000 People don't know this so much about the Senate that it's not by simple majority.

00:09:14.000 You need to have a supermajority of 60 votes to pass it through with just your party.

00:09:20.000 And so, all the Democrats need, or rather, what the Republicans need to pass the continuing resolution to fund the government, is at least 10 Democratic voters.

00:09:29.000 And so, it was announced earlier today that the Democrats have the votes to obstruct the passage of this resolution to shut down the government.

00:09:37.000 And so, now that the continuing resolution, the CR, has been passed in the House, it's on the floor of the Senate.

00:09:43.000 I believe this session for Congress today ended just a moment ago when the show started at 7 p.m. Central.

00:09:50.000 So, I don't believe the Senate will have a chance to pass it tonight.

00:09:54.000 And certainly, it doesn't look like even if they had the chance, they would have the votes to pass it.

00:10:00.000 Of course, if it does get passed, and eventually it must to fund the government through the Senate, it will be put before the president to sign, and it will fund the government, but only for four weeks, folks.

00:10:10.000 I don't think people understand this that if a continuing resolution is passed as opposed to a broader, longer term spending bill, government's only funded until February.

00:10:21.000 So in February, you have another government shutdown if conditions are not agreed to.

00:10:26.000 And so, right now, what the Democrats are doing is they're shutting down the government.

00:10:29.000 They're forcing the hand of the Republicans to shut down the government because they want DACA.

00:10:35.000 And what they're, in effect, doing is holding the country hostage for legal protections for these 600,000 to 800,000 illegal aliens that were formerly protected under the Deferred Action on Childhood Arrivals program.

00:10:49.000 And so, that has been the subject of negotiations these past two weeks.

00:10:53.000 And really, for the past four months, they put together a bill.

00:10:56.000 Last week, between the Gang of Six, between Senator Dick Durbin and Lindsey Graham and four other senators, put together this bill that would fund the government.

00:11:06.000 But in addition to that, it would also give legal protection to the DACA recipients who would do a number of other things.

00:11:12.000 And if you recall, at the end of the week last week, President Trump terminated that deal.

00:11:16.000 He rejected it outright in the Oval Office.

00:11:19.000 And then that was also accompanied by the shithole comments, which many people say sank the chances of that getting passed.

00:11:26.000 So now it's on the Democrats, it's on for them to decide.

00:11:29.000 Now that the government shuts down at midnight and the White House is making its preparations for the government to shut down, it's on the Democrats to decide are they going to shut down the government?

00:11:39.000 How long do they want this to occur?

00:11:42.000 And will they concede on DACA?

00:11:44.000 Will they give up on DACA?

00:11:45.000 Or will they drag this out until the Republicans concede?

00:11:49.000 And then the flip side is what will the Republicans give?

00:11:51.000 Will they give total DACA protection in exchange for what?

00:11:55.000 And so now the fight is on.

00:11:57.000 But prevailing of this, of course, I think the biggest reason for why this is significant, the biggest consequence of this, of course, is the midterms.

00:12:07.000 The midterms is the most consequential aspect of this in the sense that.

00:12:11.000 The government shutdown hurts the president, not for any other reason other than that it will be looked at as a failure of his Congress, which is controlled by the Republicans in both chambers, and the White House, which of course President Trump presides in.

00:12:25.000 So the Democrats are forcing the shutdown because they believe this will leverage the president.

00:12:30.000 If they shut down the government, that'll look really bad for Donald Trump.

00:12:34.000 That'll look really bad for Republican incumbents in 2018, and that'll give them a good chance to win the House or possibly the Senate, very slim chance, but possibly the Senate in 2018.

00:12:46.000 Republicans believe the same thing.

00:12:48.000 They believe, and I think even though the White House position is that they officially don't want a government shutdown, the official White House position, the official position of the president is that they don't want the shutdown.

00:12:59.000 And even in Congress, the congressional leadership on the Republican side says they don't want a government shutdown.

00:13:04.000 I believe the Republicans are playing this the same way.

00:13:07.000 The Democrats believe the shutdown will leverage the Republicans into accepting DACA, and the Republicans believe the government shutdown will leverage the Democrats into accepting a wall.

00:13:17.000 And ending chain migration and ending the diversity visa lottery system.

00:13:21.000 Well, you understand that they can't both be right, right?

00:13:25.000 If one side believes that the government shutdown will be a disaster for the Republicans, and one side believes the government shutdown will be a disaster for Democrats, well, one side has to be right, or maybe they're both right.

00:13:36.000 I would err with the latter, and these statistics support this.

00:13:40.000 In the last government shutdown in 2013, if you recall, which was over Obamacare, and you remember this was Ted Cruz.

00:13:47.000 Who led the charge with the Freedom Caucus and shutting down the government in the House over funding for Obamacare?

00:13:54.000 And this one went on for two weeks.

00:13:56.000 It cost the economy $24 billion.

00:13:59.000 And in response to this government shutdown, which the media almost universally blamed on Republicans and on Ted Cruz in particular, on the extremists, the Tea Party elements, people who were polled said they blamed the GOP 29%, or rather 29% of people that were polled in the aftermath of the government shutdown.

00:14:19.000 Blamed it on the GOP.

00:14:21.000 12% blamed it on the Democrats.

00:14:24.000 And 54% blamed both.

00:14:27.000 And I think these are interesting numbers.

00:14:29.000 I think there are some things to take into consideration with the 2013 government shutdown.

00:14:34.000 In the 2013 government shutdown, of course, it was the Democrats who were the ruling party.

00:14:38.000 They controlled the Senate and the White House.

00:14:41.000 And additionally, there was no strong leader in the Republican Party.

00:14:45.000 Ted Cruz was the de facto leader, but he wasn't, you know, he wasn't actually the leader.

00:14:49.000 He wasn't the leader of the party, much less in any sense a leader of the party.

00:14:54.000 In any kind of ad hoc kind of way.

00:14:56.000 So they lacked a leader.

00:14:57.000 And then additionally, you had the media.

00:15:00.000 This was in 2013 when the media still called the shots, when people still thought that CNN was unbiased and Fox News was the bitter clingers, you know, and all the MAGA feeds love it when that one comes out.

00:15:11.000 But there was a very different opinion of the media.

00:15:14.000 This time around for the government shutdown, you have President Trump in the White House, you have the Republicans controlling both chambers, and Democrats are the opposition party in both chambers.

00:15:24.000 Not only are they the opposition party, but they have been branded effectively as the obstructionists.

00:15:30.000 And this will play a very crucial role because, in effect, they actually are shutting down the government.

00:15:35.000 But more importantly, given their prior record of trying to stop the tax cut, of trying to stop President Trump's cabinet confirmations, given the heavy hitting by President Trump on this narrative that the Democrats are obstructionists, they have this reputation in 2018.

00:15:52.000 Where the Republicans had it maybe in 2013, now the Democrats do, as reflexively anti Trump as the obstructionists.

00:16:00.000 So that's number one.

00:16:02.000 As you have the Republicans in control and Democrats have been branded the obstructionists.

00:16:06.000 Number two, you have a strong leader now.

00:16:08.000 Not only do you have a strong leader for the Republicans, but you have a strong, a smart leader and one that is recognized as the legitimate negotiator here.

00:16:17.000 With Ted Cruz, he had elements in his own party that were saying he's crazy, he's an extremist, he's shutting the government down, and everybody hated him.

00:16:24.000 In this administration, President Trump is the actual head of the party, the way that the Republican Party and the Democratic Party work.

00:16:33.000 Is that the head of the party functionally is the president?

00:16:36.000 I don't know if people know that, but I mean, the actual role of the president is the head of the Republican Party or the head of the Democratic Party.

00:16:43.000 And so you have the Trump administration, you have President Trump, who is the leader of the party.

00:16:48.000 And not only is he the leader of the party, and, you know, people defer to him, but also he is a leader in the broad sense that he's negotiating this very well, he's very smart, he's guiding the direction of the Republican Party, I think, in a pretty coherent and succinct way.

00:17:04.000 And so, this is much stronger Republican leadership than there was in 2013.

00:17:09.000 And then, lastly, the media has been delegitimized.

00:17:12.000 Whereas in 2013, Republicans owned it because CNN, NBC, and to an extent, even Fox News put it on the Republican Party. 0.95

00:17:21.000 They said Republicans won't pass a clean bill, Republicans demand an end to Obamacare, and look at all the poor babies, and everyone should have health insurance, you know, all that crap.

00:17:30.000 This time around, CNN is delegitimized, NBC, ABC, I mean, just about every major network.

00:17:37.000 Trump's people are not watching it, and I would contend that even moderates are not watching it.

00:17:41.000 I would contend that even independents, normie type people, who maybe don't even vote in the midterms, maybe they don't even vote in general, in the general election.

00:17:49.000 But the broad population is not going to be watching the media, and certainly, if the media is anti Trump, is not going to be buying it wholesale.

00:17:59.000 So you have those things going for this shutdown, which I think makes it a very strong hand for Republicans.

00:18:04.000 So when you look at the numbers in 2013, to contrast it with this in the hopes that maybe we understand what the midterms will look like, Because, of course, 2013 preceded the 2014 midterms.

00:18:16.000 In this shutdown, or rather in the previous shutdown, you had 29% blaming the GOP, about half that blaming the Dems, and half of the entire population blaming both parties.

00:18:26.000 If it were like this in 2018, I would be okay with that.

00:18:29.000 I think the numbers will be inverted this time.

00:18:31.000 I think that to an extent, you'll see some equalizing between people who blame the GOP and the Democrats.

00:18:36.000 Probably the people that blame both will remain the same.

00:18:40.000 And it's also worth noting that after the government shutdown in 2013, even though people blame the GOP, GOP still came back and won the House and the Senate, which is important.

00:18:49.000 But, and here, the whiteboard makes its debut once again.

00:18:53.000 I know you folks love the whiteboard.

00:18:56.000 If we're going to get a comprehensive look at the effects of this on the midterms, we have to look at which states are up for grabs in the midterms.

00:19:04.000 And I don't know, maybe I'll have to move my mic here.

00:19:07.000 Maybe that's where the high gain comes into play.

00:19:09.000 Maybe that's why it's a good thing.

00:19:11.000 Can you still hear me?

00:19:12.000 Let me check my levels here and make sure I'm still.

00:19:14.000 Looks like I'm a little bit quiet.

00:19:16.000 Let me jack up the volume and the gain a little bit.

00:19:18.000 Test.

00:19:19.000 Okay, so we should be good.

00:19:21.000 All right, so here is a list of the states that are up for grabs in 2018.

00:19:28.000 And you can see these are the Democrat and independent states that are up for re election, the states with Democrat or independent incumbents.

00:19:36.000 There are only two states with independent incumbents.

00:19:39.000 And then you have the Republican incumbent seats, of which there are only eight.

00:19:43.000 There are 24 Democrat and independent seats.

00:19:47.000 Geez, the lighting got all jazzed up.

00:19:48.000 What's that all about?

00:19:51.000 Wait, wait.

00:19:53.000 All right, whatever, whatever.

00:19:55.000 We'll just, whatever.

00:19:56.000 We'll do it live.

00:19:57.000 So you have 24 between the Democrats and the Independents.

00:20:00.000 These are all the states that they are running for in 2018, and these for the Republicans.

00:20:05.000 Of course, this is the Senate.

00:20:07.000 The Senate, the elections are staggered because the term of a senator is six years.

00:20:12.000 A third of the Senate is elected or reelected in one election cycle.

00:20:17.000 The next third is elected or reelected in the second cycle, the next two years, and the following in the third cycle.

00:20:23.000 And then it starts all over again.

00:20:24.000 So in this election cycle in 2018, It heavily favors Republicans because, of course, they're only defending eight seats, four of which are safe seats Mississippi, Nebraska, Utah, and Wyoming.

00:20:37.000 There's only four seats that are contested that you have Republican incumbents running in.

00:20:42.000 And, of course, Republicans already have a 51 to 49 vote majority in the Senate.

00:20:47.000 Democrats, it's much trickier.

00:20:48.000 And so the reason that I bring this up, the reason I bring up this map is because let's entertain the possibility government shuts down, it's a protracted shutdown.

00:20:59.000 And both parties are blamed, as they were in 2013.

00:21:03.000 More than half of the population says, you know what, it's both parties.

00:21:06.000 I'm just against whoever the incumbent is.

00:21:09.000 Well, look at how many seats Democrats stand to lose.

00:21:12.000 And this is a little bit misleading, given the fact that it says 24 incumbents are defending, but really only, how many is this?

00:21:20.000 Only 14 are really in jeopardy here.

00:21:23.000 This line denotes above on this side is contested, and on this side is safe.

00:21:29.000 So there's really only 14 states that are contested.

00:21:33.000 But 14 states contested for Democrats versus four contested for Republicans.

00:21:38.000 So if you have half the population blaming both sides and the majority of the incumbents in the Senate up for re election in 2018 are Democrats, who's going to win if the government shuts down?

00:21:48.000 Who's going to win?

00:21:49.000 Of course, it's going to be the Republicans.

00:21:51.000 And not only this, but you look at the map further, and the X's and the dots denote the X's denote states that there's a Democrat incumbent, but Trump won in the 2016 election, and the dot denotes a Democrat incumbent.

00:22:05.000 And you also have a Republican governor.

00:22:08.000 So, states like Florida, Indiana, Missouri, North Dakota, Ohio, Wisconsin, they have both a Republican governor and they also were won by Trump in 2016, and yet you have a Democratic incumbent.

00:22:20.000 So, those states are probably going to be the most likely ones to break for the Republicans.

00:22:26.000 And then the rest, you know, these are the safe seats, these are contested.

00:22:29.000 And so, if you look at the 2018 predictions on real clear politics, if you run a simulation, and let's say in November, We hypothesize that Trump has a 45% approval rating.

00:22:43.000 He stands to win between 52 and 56 seats.

00:22:48.000 This is if he has a 45% approval rating.

00:22:51.000 94% of simulations say that Republicans will win between 52 and 56 seats in 2018.

00:22:58.000 If he has his current approval rating of 39% during the time of the elections, he has a 97% chance of winning between 49 and 53 seats in the Senate.

00:23:09.000 So this is really the list.

00:23:11.000 That dictates why a government shutdown is a good thing, no matter what.

00:23:15.000 This is the list that dictates that Trump is playing four dimensional chess on this.

00:23:19.000 He forced the shutdown.

00:23:21.000 And he forced the shutdown because people will be furious about this Congress.

00:23:26.000 This Congress will shut down probably this weekend.

00:23:29.000 It may shut down in four weeks.

00:23:31.000 Who knows what could happen?

00:23:32.000 It may shut down a couple of times. 1.00

00:23:34.000 And if that were the case, these are the bastards that are going to get blamed for it. 0.99

00:23:38.000 These are the people that will get that much closer to being unseated in 2018. 0.95

00:23:42.000 And the reason why this is so important is that let's say, hypothetically, President Trump, and we're better here with the lighting, Let's say President Trump wins, you know, 56 seats, and that's with a 45% approval rating, and that's with everything so far.

00:23:57.000 If the government shuts down a couple of times, those seats just keep going up.

00:24:01.000 The approval rating goes up, the amount of seats he could win just keeps going up, and the enthusiasm to unseat Republicans goes down.

00:24:09.000 So the more the government shuts down, the longer it stays shut down, in my opinion, the better the president will do, the better the Republicans will do.

00:24:17.000 And this is what I've been saying all along for two weeks that this has been pushed by President Trump.

00:24:21.000 And there's no more obvious case of this than.

00:24:23.000 Than Lindsey Graham.

00:24:25.000 Lindsey Graham, who just one week ago was saying, This president is so great, he's so bipartisan, and I love working with him.

00:24:32.000 And today he says, There's no negotiator in the White House.

00:24:35.000 We don't have a friend to negotiate with in the White House.

00:24:39.000 As we really turned on a dime, and I think in pursuit of that.

00:24:42.000 So that's my forecast.

00:24:44.000 That's the political forecast.

00:24:45.000 That's the on the ground stuff of why this is happening, what are the motivations here, what this will look like in the future, how this will play out in the next couple of days.

00:24:57.000 The White House has said that they have prepared for the possibility that there will be a brief government shutdown in the coming days, maybe to last one day or two days, but certainly it could last a little bit longer than that.

00:25:08.000 And it comes down to whether the Democrats are willing to negotiate on DACA.

00:25:13.000 The other effect that this will have is that, you know, maybe some of these Democrats who understand this map break and they support the continuing resolution in the Senate.

00:25:22.000 Because really it comes down to the Senate right now.

00:25:24.000 The House has passed the continuing resolution with.

00:25:27.000 A number of Democrats.

00:25:28.000 It comes down now to Senate Democrats.

00:25:31.000 And you know, if we pull up the map, maybe the senator from Florida, the Democratic incumbent, is saying, I don't want to appear reflexively anti Trump.

00:25:41.000 I want to win re election in 2018.

00:25:43.000 I want to win re election in November.

00:25:45.000 And I'm going to get blamed for the government shutdown.

00:25:48.000 And I'm going to be going up against a massive, massive economic growth, a great economy, record Dow Jones industrial average, record GDP growth.

00:25:57.000 I'm going to be going up against all of that and our record as a party of obstructing Trump.

00:26:01.000 I don't want to do that.

00:26:02.000 Trump won my state in 2016.

00:26:04.000 So maybe Florida breaks for the GOPCR.

00:26:07.000 Maybe Indiana breaks.

00:26:08.000 Maybe Missouri, North Dakota, Ohio, Wisconsin.

00:26:11.000 Maybe some of these states with Republican governors.

00:26:13.000 Maybe Michigan breaks, Missouri, Maine.

00:26:16.000 Maybe some of these states break for President Trump.

00:26:19.000 And then what you have happen, it doesn't matter if all 10 break or only if some break, but you start to see the fracturing of the Democratic Party.

00:26:27.000 The Democratic coalition starts to fracture.

00:26:29.000 And then, so all of a sudden, whereas for the longest time, maybe for 16 years, you had a Democratic Party that was essentially a monolith.

00:26:38.000 They decided who they're running and they go for them.

00:26:41.000 They decide what they're going after and they go for it.

00:26:43.000 When it was Obamacare, you know, recall the contrast between the Obamacare, the passage of it, and the repeal of Obamacare.

00:26:51.000 In 2010, when Barack Obama passed Obamacare, he passed it without a single Republican vote.

00:26:58.000 He passed it by the skin of his teeth, I believe, with one vote.

00:27:01.000 In the Senate.

00:27:02.000 And then he had to pass a reconciliation bill as well, which was also very close because of the death of Ted Kennedy, of course.

00:27:09.000 The Republicans could not pass the repeal of Obamacare.

00:27:12.000 So you understand that the Democrats have, that's one of their greatest strengths, is that in a situation like that, when they decided they wanted Obamacare, when Obama ran on this universal health care thing and they said they wanted this, they got it.

00:27:25.000 It was a slim majority, it was a slim chance, but they got it.

00:27:29.000 And then there were problems and they got it again because they were monolithic.

00:27:33.000 Republicans, every single Republican, Senate, House, whoever it was, whether they were pro Trump, never Trump, every single one of them, Ran against Obamacare with few exceptions.

00:27:43.000 And yet we couldn't do it, even with a stronger majority.

00:27:46.000 We had a 52 seat majority when we started out in 2016, or in 2017, rather.

00:27:52.000 And we couldn't do it.

00:27:54.000 Well, if the Democratic Party starts to fracture, we could start bringing people over to our side.

00:27:58.000 People from Maine, people from Florida, people from Ohio, Indiana.

00:28:02.000 If we could start bringing these Democrats over our way, there might be deals on other things.

00:28:07.000 There might be a deal on infrastructure.

00:28:08.000 There might be a deal on restructuring entitlements.

00:28:11.000 Who knows what is possible.

00:28:12.000 And so this is really.

00:28:14.000 You know, people make fun of the four dimensional game, and whether it's intentional or not, you could certainly argue that it's not intentional.

00:28:20.000 I think you'd be wrong.

00:28:21.000 I think it goes against the patterns.

00:28:23.000 I think it goes against the record that Trump has.

00:28:26.000 But whether or not you see it as intentional, this is the effect.

00:28:29.000 And this is a very comprehensive and good and smart effect that this is having on both parties, on the midterms, and on our prospects for passing future legislation.

00:28:39.000 So that's the ground level.

00:28:42.000 This is how this will play out in my opinion.

00:28:44.000 Estimation.

00:28:46.000 More broadly, to get into a little bit of what we were getting into last night, people have to ask themselves, why is this happening?

00:28:53.000 I mean, we can root, root, root for the home team.

00:28:55.000 We could say, go Trump, bust up the Democrats, blame it on them, hope we win it big in 2018.

00:29:01.000 But you got to ask yourself, as a citizen, as a student of political theory or of civic engagement, why does the government shut down?

00:29:09.000 People don't understand these things, basic civic things.

00:29:12.000 And, you know, the reason, not for nothing, but the reason I'm so skeptical of democracy is the fact that.

00:29:18.000 You have people voting in the election who have no clue how the government runs.

00:29:23.000 You have people that go to the ballot box and they don't have the vaguest clue as to what a continuing resolution is, as to how many votes are needed in the Senate, how many representatives there are in the House, and maybe this is you, and maybe you shouldn't be voting.

00:29:38.000 And that's not a diss, that's not a diss to anybody's intelligence, but it's merely to say I don't mean to be an elitist and say I know all these particulars and you don't, but it's simply to say that.

00:29:49.000 When the country was founded, the idea of the founders, and let me bring this back.

00:30:00.000 Okay, so it looks like we're back here.

00:30:03.000 Anyway, when the country was founded, it wasn't this, people have it in their heads that it was this willy nilly, everybody gets a vote on everything.

00:30:12.000 It's just like direct democracy.

00:30:14.000 We need to enhance democracy for everyone all the time.

00:30:17.000 That, you know, George Washington and Thomas Jefferson, and they all got together and they said, How are we going to give the people all the control of the country?

00:30:25.000 How are we going to make it so that the people's will is executed every time perfectly?

00:30:31.000 And that's not what the founders intended.

00:30:33.000 The founders intended that the people would be one of many interest groups, one of many actors in the government, in the nation, that would exercise power.

00:30:43.000 And so I talked about this yesterday.

00:30:45.000 The grand compromise said this is a compromise between two proposals, two ideas of what the legislature would look like.

00:30:52.000 You had the House of the People and the House of the States.

00:30:54.000 You had the bicameral legislature with the House and the Senate, and that's how it was supposed to function.

00:31:00.000 Well, and this is obviously a detour, but it is a big problem in the country when you have people that are going to the polls.

00:31:06.000 And not only that, by the way, not only do people vote for the House and now they vote for the Senate.

00:31:10.000 Not only does it break down federal authority, and outside of the fact that Congress, and more specifically the House, has usurped the authority of the executive branch to a great degree, not only that, but when the country was founded, it wasn't just anybody could vote. 0.53

00:31:27.000 It wasn't like that was a regressive thing that only white, propertied men could vote. 0.54

00:31:32.000 That wasn't an arbitrary thing.

00:31:35.000 We're in this business, and this is progressivism, but we're in this business now.

00:31:39.000 I guess since the end of the Cold War, where we think that every restriction that was in place before, every hierarchy that was in place before, every tradition that was in place before, all of these things were arbitrary and the result of bigotry.

00:31:54.000 It was all regressive.

00:31:56.000 The reason that women stayed in the home was not because they're more suited to the home, not because there's a comparative advantage to having women in the home, not because women's role as the caretaker in a domestic function. 1.00

00:32:09.000 Is beneficial to the society and beneficial to men and women.

00:32:12.000 No, no, it was because of sexism, you see.

00:32:16.000 Men didn't want women working the fields and fighting in the wars and going to school and doing all these other things, not because maybe it made women happy, not because women were more suited to this, they had more life satisfaction, it made everything function better.

00:32:31.000 No, it was because they had an irrational hatred for women.

00:32:36.000 It was so unfairly a male dominated society.

00:32:39.000 The reason that sovereignty or Or rather, a franchisement. 0.89

00:32:44.000 Enfranchisement was only afforded to white, propertied males. 0.86

00:32:49.000 It was not because those were the people who had stake in the country. 0.79

00:32:53.000 It was not because those were the people that founded the country, because the country was 80% white and 95% Protestant, and I guess was 95% English if you excluded slaves.

00:33:05.000 It wasn't because that was the majority of the population.

00:33:08.000 That was the culture.

00:33:10.000 These were the people who settled the land in 1600.

00:33:14.000 And not for any of those reasons, not because if you have land, you have stake in the future.

00:33:18.000 If you have land, you have a certain IQ and a certain level of education and a certain vested interest in the success and the long term of the country.

00:33:26.000 And men, not because their brains are particularly suited to politics, their brain structure and chemistry, particularly suited to the science and the art of politics.

00:33:36.000 No, no, no, no. 0.65

00:33:37.000 It was racism. 0.98

00:33:40.000 It was sexism.

00:33:42.000 It was classism.

00:33:43.000 Don't you understand?

00:33:45.000 So, I know that was a detour.

00:33:48.000 You know, learn your civics, folks.

00:33:50.000 But people don't know why this happens.

00:33:53.000 The budgetary process, the way it's intended to function, the way the budgetary process is intended to function is that instead of having continuing resolutions passed every four weeks or two months or nine months or whatever, which is essentially what we've been doing or going against the budgetary process every year with two exceptions since 2010, normally the process is, and it's set up in a beautiful way.

00:34:17.000 It has been since the 1970s where It very smoothly goes on throughout the year, and then you have a budget for one year.

00:34:25.000 And so you don't have government shutdowns.

00:34:26.000 You might have the debt ceiling, which is another thing, but you don't have these shutdowns.

00:34:31.000 You don't have these partisan battles.

00:34:32.000 You don't have people not getting paid for their non essential government services.

00:34:37.000 You just have a budget for the whole year.

00:34:39.000 And so normally, how this is supposed to function is that the Office of Management and Budget goes to the federal agencies and they say, What do you need your money for?

00:34:50.000 How much money do you need?

00:34:52.000 Essentially, to function in this fiscal year, tell me, give me a report of what kind of a budget you're going to need.

00:34:58.000 And so the federal agencies put together their budget, they consider their costs and their expenses, and they put forth their reports to the OMB.

00:35:05.000 And the OMB reviews these, they give comments, and they send it back to the agencies.

00:35:10.000 The agencies draft a final proposal, they submit that to the OMB.

00:35:14.000 The OMB gives it to the president.

00:35:16.000 The president looks it over.

00:35:18.000 He says, okay, so DHS needs this much, DOD needs this much, however many dollars for however many agencies I take into consideration what kind of a budget we're going to require to keep operations going.

00:35:32.000 And then the president lays out his funding priorities for the fiscal year.

00:35:35.000 So, in this case, President Trump's funding priorities were to restructure entitlements, to cut taxes, and to focus on the military.

00:35:43.000 So, those are the budget focuses that President Trump has, and this is in this case.

00:35:49.000 So, the president lays them out.

00:35:50.000 He says, These are the priorities for what we should appropriate money for.

00:35:54.000 And then he proposes a definitive budget.

00:35:57.000 And President Trump did this, I believe, in June, where he says, This is what I'd like to see funded.

00:36:01.000 This is what we need appropriations for in the fiscal year.

00:36:04.000 Congress takes this and using the budget proposed by the president, they put together a budget resolution, a budget resolution which will guide the construction of a budget.

00:36:15.000 Once they complete a budget resolution, they put together appropriation bills.

00:36:19.000 And so, using the resolution, which uses the president's budget as an outline, they start to put together how they're going to fund departments and agencies and programs.

00:36:30.000 And if everything goes according to plan, they pass all these bills and the president signs all these bills by October 1st, by the end of the fiscal year.

00:36:38.000 And so, this is how it's supposed to happen.

00:36:40.000 It's a pretty good system.

00:36:41.000 If the system works according to how it's supposed to work, the system works pretty beautifully.

00:36:47.000 You could argue that the Senate having the 17th Amendment has broken things.

00:36:50.000 You can argue that the financial class has corrupted the Congress and usurped the executive's power.

00:36:55.000 You could contend that.

00:36:56.000 But just in terms of procedure, just in terms of policy, this is a good procedure in the sense that it's supposed to work this way.

00:37:06.000 And for eight years, it hasn't, with only two exceptions.

00:37:09.000 And one of them was very weird in 2015.

00:37:12.000 You had a really weird budgetary process, but we did get a one year budget passed.

00:37:16.000 In 2016, we got a budget passed, but the process is supposed to be very different than it is right now.

00:37:22.000 That's why you have all these government shutdowns.

00:37:24.000 So that's a little bit of a deep dive on the budgetary process.

00:37:28.000 I hope that clears it up for some people who are hearing about government shutdowns.

00:37:32.000 They don't know who to blame, they don't know how far back it goes.

00:37:36.000 And this is not necessarily a sign of weakness, I don't think.

00:37:40.000 You know, Ronald Reagan had eight government shutdowns during his presidency, and the economy did well.

00:37:45.000 So, it's not necessarily that.

00:37:47.000 It just comes down to political leveraging.

00:37:49.000 It just comes down to this partisanship between the two parties where they can kind of use this as a bargaining chip to make one side look worse than the other, and it's all very goofy, but there is a process that is supposed to be followed, and it just isn't.

00:38:04.000 And how many people would tell you about the Senate and the OMB and all of that?

00:38:09.000 And that's not even to say, look at how complex everything is and all of that, but simply to say we have to really take a long and hard look at what our government is.

00:38:18.000 How our government is supposed to function.

00:38:20.000 Will we ever achieve meaningful and significant reform, needed reform under the current system?

00:38:27.000 And when I say the current system, I don't mean the two party system.

00:38:31.000 I don't mean polarization in politics.

00:38:34.000 I don't mean this abstract nonsense that they talk about on Vox and BuzzFeed.

00:38:39.000 I'm talking about democracy.

00:38:41.000 I'm talking about liberalism.

00:38:42.000 Will these things ever get resolved?

00:38:45.000 I think the 21st century.

00:38:48.000 Is probably the biggest argument against liberalism, the biggest argument against democracy that could be made.

00:38:54.000 Certainly, it's a very strong, potent, and rich with examples these past 15 years, whether it be foreign policy, whether it be the war in Iraq.

00:39:04.000 You know, you think of the war in Iraq where, number one, the public was misled.

00:39:09.000 You know, we were lied into that war, given faulty intelligence by our greatest ally, by Israel and others, lied into the war, probably by elements in the deep state, even Afghanistan on 9 11, when the government didn't keep us safe and you have to have these big public spectacles maybe to bring us into war.

00:39:25.000 The president received on his desk the day before the 9 11 attacks a bill to bring us to war in Afghanistan.

00:39:31.000 And so we have to be sold into these wars.

00:39:34.000 We have these major wars, and that's bad enough.

00:39:36.000 But then, on top of that, on top of the fact that there's these lies and we get sold into unnecessary wars, on top of that, then in 2008, because we don't have the stomach for the war, we don't have the stomach for the casualties, we don't have the stomach for the expense of the war, because every day on television it's another brother home in a body bag.

00:39:57.000 More casualties and the war drags on and it's very bad.

00:40:01.000 Once you've gone in, now people are upset.

00:40:04.000 Now the people don't have the stomach for war and then they want to pull you out.

00:40:07.000 And then look what happens in the aftermath.

00:40:09.000 Then you get ISIS, then you get all kinds of other instability and everything else.

00:40:13.000 And people can contend whether that was a result of us leaving or not.

00:40:16.000 But in any case, if the American public doesn't have the stomach for war, we pull out and other actors fill the gap.

00:40:23.000 This happened in Vietnam as well.

00:40:26.000 And so that's one example foreign policy where.

00:40:29.000 The public makes the wrong call because the public is swayed by their passions and the masses are swayed by these different kinds of things.

00:40:37.000 Whereas if you had a strong leader, if you had a Vladimir Putin in control, and I'm not necessarily, I'm not a Duganist, you know, I'm not advocating for that kind of autocracy, but it is just to contrast the two systems where in another country you have, um, you know, for example, the wars in Chechnya where they were long and they were bloody and they were brutal.

00:40:56.000 I mean, he went in there and he leveled the entire The entire territory there, he leveled the entire city there until that war was won.

00:41:05.000 And that's just the kind of engagement, that's the kind of conflict that democracies typically don't have the stomach for, that the people don't have the stomach for.

00:41:14.000 And in this era of increasingly intrastate conflict, increasingly conflicts are going against borders and they're tribal and they're not so much between nation states, you're going to need that kind of leadership.

00:41:28.000 You're going to need that kind of aristocracy, essentially.

00:41:32.000 And that's different from the financial globalist ruling class.

00:41:35.000 So you look at that in war, and then you look at that in economy.

00:41:38.000 You look at that in entitlements.

00:41:41.000 I think many libertarians even would agree, although they believe in liberty, although they believe in economic liberty, they, or Hoppe, someone like Hoppe, would contend that we need a strong ruler to get us back on track because the pitfall of democracy, of course, in an economic sense, is that the government starts giving out favor, starts giving out money, and then people don't want the gravy train to end.

00:42:02.000 And that's certainly what's happening with the budget.

00:42:04.000 That's certainly the predominant problem with the debt ceiling and budget and everything else the fact that you have how many hundreds of billions of dollars, how many trillions of dollars in entitlements?

00:42:15.000 And why haven't entitlements gone?

00:42:17.000 Why is there no serious proposal to end them?

00:42:19.000 When are we going to get our economic house in order?

00:42:24.000 I mean, that's probably our biggest strategic weakness the fact that in 100 years, within the next 100 years, we will become insolvent.

00:42:32.000 I mean, that's a very dangerous thing.

00:42:34.000 That's a very scary thing to think about.

00:42:36.000 And if we had somebody at the helm, Who maybe they didn't listen so much to the passions of the masses, maybe they didn't have a corporate interest in business or in finance, but they singularly were focused on the interest of the nation state, they could make a hard decision like that.

00:42:53.000 Ending Social Security, that would be very politically costly.

00:42:58.000 Ending something like Medicare, devastating.

00:43:01.000 Cutting those in any significant way would be devastating.

00:43:04.000 That party wouldn't rule for another eight years.

00:43:07.000 But if we had a different system, if we had a different, I don't know if there were a clause or some kind of reform, maybe it could be possible.

00:43:14.000 So that's just a little something.

00:43:16.000 It's challenging, but just something to get your noggin jogging, just something to activate your alms a little bit.

00:43:22.000 And just look at our system and imagine how this could ever work.

00:43:26.000 Do you think it's going to happen that at some point, all the people that, and they're so used to just being told what to do essentially, just kind of going along to get along, do you think there's going to be a mass consciousness, a mass awakening whereby all these people will suddenly wake up and be totally civic engaged and they'll vote out the people, they'll be following the voting record and they'll vote out the people that are spending all the money and they'll give up their welfare checks?

00:43:51.000 It just simply won't happen.

00:43:52.000 That's a very pessimistic thing to say, unpopular thing to say, maybe, but.

00:43:57.000 That's the present trajectory.

00:43:58.000 Unless we change the system, unless we change how we think about government, and we get this idea, this toxic and corrosive ideological vision of our country as liberal and democratic, we got to get it out.

00:44:12.000 We have to give birth to a new Republican Federalist country again with a stronger executive.

00:44:18.000 That's certainly the consequence of being a large and populous nation and a powerful nation at that.

00:44:24.000 So, just something to think about, just a deep dive into the The government shutdown.

00:44:28.000 You're not going to hear that. 0.92

00:44:29.000 You'll hear on the Ben Shapiro show, you'll hear about Nancy Pelosi and blah, The Democrats are the real racists. 1.00

00:44:35.000 Democrats are hypocrites. 1.00

00:44:37.000 But he's not going to tell you. 0.99

00:44:38.000 He's not going to be skeptical of democracy because he benefits from democracy.

00:44:43.000 Think on that one as well.

00:44:44.000 But that's the government shutdown.

00:44:47.000 That's a pretty comprehensive look at it.

00:44:49.000 Let's look into your super chats now.

00:44:50.000 We'll see what the masses are saying who cannot be trusted to run the government.

00:44:55.000 I'm joking, of course.

00:44:57.000 But hey, and when I say that, even I wouldn't be able to vote if we return to.

00:45:01.000 Property ownership, I wouldn't be able to vote.

00:45:03.000 I'd be okay with that.

00:45:03.000 And you know what?

00:45:05.000 Because you think about it, who's voting now?

00:45:08.000 And it's yuppies. 0.85

00:45:09.000 It's people in New York City, and they live in an apartment that they don't own, and they don't have a family, and they don't have a wife, and they're working for some bullshit job where they write about like music reviews, and they write like, ooh, you know, they do a Vox Day, you know, vid that's explaining. 0.95

00:45:27.000 So this is the deal with this guy in LA who does electronic pop music, and also they're a lesbian, and you know. 0.89

00:45:35.000 That's what people are doing for their jobs. 0.93

00:45:37.000 Do you think these people that are coming to dominate the electorate are going to make the right call on matters of war, on matters of finance?

00:45:46.000 Do you think these yuppies, when they walk around with their nails painted and they got makeup on and all this other stuff, and they're going to parties and drinking, and what do they do for a living? 0.98

00:45:55.000 They write about fucking breaking bad. 0.96

00:45:56.000 You think they're going to make the right call? 0.99

00:45:58.000 And if we need to knock some people out, I don't think so. 1.00

00:46:01.000 And pardon the French, but I mean, really, this is not a workable system, not a good system. 1.00

00:46:07.000 You have to own property. 1.00

00:46:08.000 You have to have kids.

00:46:09.000 I think having kids should be a requirement, too.

00:46:11.000 You have no stake if you're a bachelor. 1.00

00:46:14.000 You have no stake if you're just some jerk off with an opinion. 1.00

00:46:17.000 Sorry, but I mean, that's the way it goes. 0.99

00:46:19.000 If you have a kid, you have an investment in posterity.

00:46:23.000 You have a stake in the future, whether you have property or not.

00:46:26.000 You have something to look after.

00:46:29.000 If you're, and this is a problem with a lot of the liberals, and even if you look in Europe, these leaders with no kids, how could they give two?

00:46:38.000 I was about to, but I got to get it under control.

00:46:38.000 How could they care?

00:46:41.000 How could they give a care about the future of their country, demographically and economically, if they don't have any kids?

00:46:47.000 They don't.

00:46:48.000 Why would they?

00:46:49.000 It's like Keynes said in the end, we'll all be dead. 0.98

00:46:51.000 And of course, Keynes was a pedophile. 1.00

00:46:54.000 Keynes, John Maynard Keynes, the economist, was a homosexual and a pedophile. 0.99

00:46:59.000 And maybe that gives a little bit of insight into why he was able to say things like, well, you know what? 0.99

00:47:04.000 In the long run, we're all dead.

00:47:06.000 And it's interesting, towards the end of his life, when he eventually got married, I don't know if he had an epiphany or an awakening or something, but towards the end, he got married and his tone changed very quickly.

00:47:16.000 Once he got married, I don't know if he had kids, but once he got married and maybe he had the prospect of having kids, he said, you know what?

00:47:22.000 I made a big mistake.

00:47:24.000 I wasn't careful enough talking about inflation.

00:47:27.000 And so there you go.

00:47:30.000 But super chats, we have to get into the super chats.

00:47:33.000 What are the people saying?

00:47:36.000 Excuse me.

00:47:38.000 Patrick Henry, my suicide note because you banned me from Discord.

00:47:42.000 Well, which one are you?

00:47:43.000 Who are you, Patrick Henry?

00:47:46.000 I ban people that counter signal.

00:47:48.000 If you're going to go in, if you're going to spread negativity, and it's a pretty high threshold, but if you're going to go in there and you're going to be rude, you're going to shill.

00:47:55.000 For revolution.

00:47:57.000 I had some guy in there this morning who was saying, You can read Oswald Mosley's 100 Questions about Fascism, and then he could throw it out the window because there's going to be a race war and all this other stuff.

00:48:07.000 And I'm like, You're not a serious person.

00:48:10.000 We do not need federals like that in the Discord.

00:48:13.000 So if that was you, then that's unfortunate.

00:48:16.000 But otherwise, I'll look into your situation.

00:48:20.000 Simon Skola, did you ever play LA Noir?

00:48:22.000 It's a very white game. 0.94

00:48:23.000 I did play that game, I didn't enjoy it.

00:48:26.000 You know, I'm the type of guy, when I play a video game, I'm not looking to watch cinematics.

00:48:32.000 I'm not looking to listen to audio cues, you know, where you have to walk around the house for 20 minutes and it's like, ooh, you know, there's a clue over there. 0.95

00:48:42.000 And that was just a very dumb game, in my opinion. 0.88

00:48:44.000 It just wasn't fun. 0.93

00:48:46.000 When I play a video game, I want to be engaged, I want to be stimulated.

00:48:50.000 I'm a very ADD kind of person.

00:48:52.000 You know, when I'm, that's a bad example.

00:48:54.000 Not going to get into how I behave when I drive because then I might get massaged and they'll say, oh, well, he was doing his normal behavior when he drives.

00:49:01.000 But I mean, normally when I'm at the command post, I'm doing all kinds of things.

00:49:05.000 I have to be stimulated.

00:49:06.000 And so that's why I like the games.

00:49:08.000 But LA Noir was not stimulating.

00:49:11.000 Rick Smith, God is with you, my man.

00:49:13.000 Wish I could give more.

00:49:14.000 Don't worry about it, my friend.

00:49:15.000 We appreciate all that you can give.

00:49:18.000 You know, we're doing it.

00:49:19.000 We're doing it because it's the truth. 1.00

00:49:20.000 We're not doing it for the shekels, unlike others. 1.00

00:49:23.000 So I appreciate it. 1.00

00:49:24.000 Melissa Faye Blythe, Nick, I remember Lucian Wintrich had talked to you about collaborating, but it didn't work out because of your partnership with James.

00:49:32.000 Maybe you could reach out again once the dust settles.

00:49:34.000 I may definitely do that.

00:49:37.000 And here's something interesting Lucian Wintrich warned me specifically about James.

00:49:43.000 I was going to go and work with Lucian at Gateway Pundit.

00:49:50.000 I was confusing with Gatestone Institute.

00:49:53.000 So Lucian works at Gateway Pundit, and he wanted to work with me in some capacity there.

00:49:58.000 And then he found out that I was that's when I was just starting my podcast with James, the Nationalist Review, I believe in August.

00:50:06.000 And so Lucian found out I was working with James and he said, You know what?

00:50:10.000 We really can't have any of this overlap between the alt right and what we're trying to do.

00:50:14.000 Because he said, You know what? 0.99

00:50:15.000 The alt right are a bunch of buffoons. 1.00

00:50:17.000 The alt right, they can't get their act together and they don't know what they're doing and they're politically suicidal and isolated. 0.99

00:50:24.000 And I said, You know, I may understand that, but James is my friend.

00:50:28.000 And I, wow, you know, wow.

00:50:30.000 And I did say that.

00:50:31.000 I said, You know, I can't go against my buddy James.

00:50:34.000 I gave him my word we were going to start this show together.

00:50:37.000 Wow, isn't that funny, right?

00:50:39.000 They leave that one.

00:50:40.000 He left that part out of the video.

00:50:41.000 Maybe he doesn't even know that much.

00:50:43.000 But I said, you know, I can't leave my buddy hanging.

00:50:45.000 I wish you all the best.

00:50:46.000 And that would have been a great opportunity.

00:50:48.000 Lucian Wintrich is a very connected person.

00:50:51.000 And I turned him down because I said I didn't want to go against James.

00:50:54.000 So, to anybody who watched James' video, I'm deciding whether or not I'll do a response video only because I'm not at liberty to talk about the situation at the moment so much.

00:51:03.000 And you might be able to imagine why.

00:51:05.000 But I may do a response video because all kinds of people are coming to me Nick, I watched James' video.

00:51:11.000 You backstabbed him.

00:51:12.000 All of this, a lot of things curiously left out.

00:51:15.000 And I think that's a good example for anybody that thinks that I was the instigator there.

00:51:20.000 I mean, I gave up very real opportunities to continue working with James.

00:51:24.000 I gave up.

00:51:25.000 Several job offers to continue working with James.

00:51:27.000 I gave up partnerships to work with James in this company.

00:51:32.000 And so when people say, oh, well, he was going to go work for the right stuff and he does his own thing, he makes his own money, and that's okay.

00:51:40.000 Well, you know, I had to sacrifice a lot to be a part of the company and then pulled right out from under me.

00:51:45.000 So people are like, Nick, Nick, let it go already.

00:51:49.000 You can imagine why it's a little bit difficult to let go.

00:51:51.000 It stings a little bit.

00:51:52.000 There was a lot of sacrifice.

00:51:54.000 And like I said, I never saw a dime from it.

00:51:57.000 Even then, you know, would it have even been worth it?

00:52:00.000 Versus all the opportunity cost and moving forward.

00:52:04.000 But he was right.

00:52:05.000 He vindicated himself there.

00:52:07.000 It turned out that people didn't want to work.

00:52:09.000 They were only in it for themselves, they were only in it for the money, and they really weren't serious.

00:52:14.000 But I know people don't want to hear about that too much.

00:52:16.000 Shreya LaBeouf says, buy Link if you want to be in the Lamborghini Racing League on Mars.

00:52:22.000 Disclaimer I'm not a financial advisor.

00:52:24.000 Well, I'll look into Link.

00:52:26.000 I'm a little bit hesitant given the major dip with the crypto lately.

00:52:30.000 I may be buying a little bit this weekend only because it's a pretty massive dip and I think prices may recover.

00:52:36.000 I'm not an expert, but I would imagine that in the near to long future, prices will recover and you can make a little bit of money off of that.

00:52:43.000 So I may be investing in coin more broadly.

00:52:46.000 I don't know though.

00:52:47.000 What's the deal with Link?

00:52:48.000 Sean pushes Link all the time.

00:52:51.000 I'll have to look into it.

00:52:53.000 The key for buying into cryptocurrencies is you have to buy crypto that people will want to use.

00:52:58.000 There's a really good guy I follow.

00:52:59.000 His name's Carter Thomas, and he says, That you, in order to build wealth, you want to invest in coins that people will want to use.

00:53:06.000 You know, there's a big difference between having a lot of dollars, having a lot of money, and having wealth, which many people don't think of Bitcoin in that way.

00:53:15.000 They think of Bitcoin in the sense that, like a stock, like I could buy Bitcoin and then sell it for money.

00:53:20.000 I can buy Bitcoin and then it'll be worth this much money.

00:53:23.000 But Carter Thomas said something really interesting.

00:53:25.000 He said, buy coins, buy altcoins, buy cryptocurrency that will become valuable, that people will want, that you could exchange for goods and services.

00:53:34.000 And that's a very, I think that's a much better way to look at it because people look at it like, how am I going to ride this?

00:53:39.000 How am I going to exchange this for money eventually?

00:53:41.000 Because, of course, Bitcoin isn't very liquid.

00:53:44.000 And, you know, what happens when you sell it, right?

00:53:46.000 I mean, then you just have your cash and you're not in the game.

00:53:49.000 So I may be looking at crypto again this weekend.

00:53:53.000 Dominic Liberator, what GPU and CPU are you going to be running?

00:53:57.000 No idea.

00:53:58.000 I got to tell you.

00:53:59.000 But I did consult with many experts, many people have built PCs before.

00:54:04.000 I mean, I went through many layers of double checking and getting second and third and fourth opinions.

00:54:12.000 So I should be getting better GPU and CPU, whatever the hell that means.

00:54:16.000 You know, that's megabits and pixel dots and all that.

00:54:19.000 So I think I should be all right.

00:54:21.000 Marissa Blythe says referring to trad thoughts is like letting groupies on stage with the band.

00:54:27.000 Very bad optics, or deferring, excuse me, to trad thoughts.

00:54:30.000 It's true.

00:54:31.000 It's true. 1.00

00:54:31.000 And you know, look, women can have a place. 1.00

00:54:33.000 I never said women didn't have a place.

00:54:35.000 I never said that. 0.93

00:54:37.000 What I said was specifically about Tara McCarthy that she divided the movement because she demanded special treatment.

00:54:43.000 And I maintain that to this day.

00:54:45.000 And you know, Lawrence Southern, not for nothing, but she made a mistake.

00:54:50.000 And look, look, we can make mistakes, but that one was a beauty.

00:54:54.000 And not only did she make a mistake, but then she justified it.

00:54:58.000 Ooh, that's where you lose me.

00:55:01.000 That's where you lose me.

00:55:03.000 We can all make mistakes.

00:55:04.000 We're all sinners.

00:55:05.000 And hey, let he who is without sin cast the first stone.

00:55:09.000 I'm all aboard that train.

00:55:11.000 We're all products of our time.

00:55:12.000 We all make mistakes.

00:55:14.000 But, but. 1.00

00:55:16.000 But there is a big difference, and I'm a Catholic, between making a mistake and saying, I have, bless me, Father, for I have sinned, and making a mistake and saying, oh, well, he was a Mogapede. 0.99

00:55:28.000 He was a Trump supporter, and he was only half black, so it's okay. 1.00

00:55:32.000 Big mistake. 0.99

00:55:33.000 Big difference. 0.87

00:55:34.000 And, you know, look, I still like Lauren Southern.

00:55:36.000 You know, she's all right.

00:55:39.000 I go on her live streams and stuff, but we're just talking purely about the principle.

00:55:43.000 Purely about the principle. 0.99

00:55:44.000 I don't have any problem with Lauren Southern, but that. 0.82

00:55:47.000 Doesn't sit well with me.

00:55:49.000 You can make mistakes.

00:55:50.000 We all make mistakes.

00:55:51.000 But as a Catholic, what we are firm believers in is the admission of guilt.

00:55:56.000 You have to confess your sins, either to a priest or to somebody, but you have to acknowledge that you did wrong.

00:56:02.000 You made a mistake.

00:56:03.000 You sinned against God.

00:56:04.000 You did the wrong thing and not excuse it with whatever else.

00:56:09.000 So that's the problem I had. 1.00

00:56:12.000 I didn't have a problem with women in the movement.

00:56:15.000 I think women are good supporting roles in the movement.

00:56:17.000 But leading the movement, no. 0.99

00:56:22.000 And all those other things, no.

00:56:24.000 You know, the Tara McCarthy thing and the rest, no.

00:56:27.000 Rick M., or no, I missed one.

00:56:30.000 Right from wrong says, Do you see the dangers of who would be this aristocracy?

00:56:35.000 Of course.

00:56:36.000 Of course.

00:56:37.000 I would say we have a modern, like an oligarchy, basically.

00:56:42.000 And, you know, that's wrong.

00:56:44.000 But when I say aristocracy, I mean it in the sense of a real aristocracy, like a real, a Cesaro aristocracy, essentially, where.

00:56:53.000 You know, this is kind of a new age.

00:56:54.000 Modernism has begotten a new age where the big financial interests control the politics.

00:57:00.000 And this was written, of course, written about, of course, by Spengler in Decline of the West about how the West has become and will continue to be dominated by the big financial interests.

00:57:11.000 And that's kind of a unique feature of modernism and of the West.

00:57:15.000 You know, they don't have this in China to the same degree, they don't have this in Russia to the same degree, whereas in the United States, the money pulls the strings.

00:57:23.000 Xi Jinping goes after the money, and the party goes after the money, and the party goes after all these interests.

00:57:28.000 And in Russia, you know, Putin controls the oligarchs.

00:57:32.000 Obviously, it's kind of like a pyramid structure in the sense that they kind of support him, I guess, if they all decided to go against him, but that doesn't happen because he's a strong ruler.

00:57:43.000 In both of those cases, Putin and China, you have strong nationalists and patriots leading the country.

00:57:52.000 A consequential leader of his country.

00:57:56.000 And there is an aristocracy in China. 0.57

00:57:58.000 You have the Standing Committee of Nine.

00:58:01.000 In Russia, there's an aristocracy.

00:58:02.000 You have the oligarchs and you have kind of the inner circle there.

00:58:06.000 What we have in this country is an oligarchy where we don't know who runs the country.

00:58:10.000 It's the financial interests, it's dispersed, it's international, it's decentralized.

00:58:14.000 And what we need is a new government of patriots, loyalists, Caesarism, Caesarism now.

00:58:21.000 And so that's what we need.

00:58:22.000 I understand the dangers, I fully get what you mean by that.

00:58:26.000 But I would take any day of the week a good aristocrat, or rather a bad aristocracy, which is incidental, or a bad Caesar, as opposed to the present system, which, with few exceptions, can never really work out the way it should.

00:58:41.000 I mean, we're on a path to ruin.

00:58:43.000 I think it's easier to understand once you fully comprehend the end result of this experiment, of this folly.

00:58:51.000 Maybe it's easy now to say, well, aristocracy, there's definitely drawbacks, but in 100 years, when the currency collapses, we have no budget, we default on our debt, we're insolvent, we have this empire that's exploding everywhere.

00:59:04.000 Demographically, we're a mess.

00:59:06.000 There's civil war breaking out, we have a police state, and on and on and on.

00:59:10.000 You'll think a little bit differently. 0.63

00:59:11.000 You'll have wanted that vanguard class, right?

00:59:14.000 But just something to think about, just some food for thought.

00:59:17.000 Rick M says, Nick, what is your take on the bake the cake issue?

00:59:22.000 It's now reached the Supreme Court.

00:59:24.000 What do you think the verdict will be?

00:59:26.000 Well, on the bake the cake issue, of course, I side with the Christians, freedom of association as well.

00:59:31.000 I mean, this is constitutional.

00:59:32.000 This is what the country's all about.

00:59:36.000 On the Supreme Court, I think it'll go in favor of the owners of the bakery because the last time we looked at this was, I believe, a month ago, and Roberts was leaning our way, I believe, if you're reading.

00:59:48.000 Some of the reports from that. 1.00

00:59:49.000 So I believe it'll go our way, but of course I'm with the Christians.

00:59:53.000 And not only because it's constitutional, not only because I believe in freedom of association in all aspects.

00:59:58.000 We should be free to associate with whom we want to.

01:00:01.000 That means no massive demographic transformation experiments.

01:00:05.000 You know, I think to a certain extent the country at large has a freedom of association in the sense that we have a right to determine who comes into the country and who doesn't. 0.88

01:00:15.000 I don't want to associate with people coming here from Africa or people coming here from Central America, not involuntarily. 1.00

01:00:22.000 That's not to say I wouldn't associate with an African or a Central American, but I don't want my country to be full of these people because I don't think these people can create a good civilization. 1.00

01:00:34.000 I don't think these people will be good stewards of the civilization that we built. 1.00

01:00:39.000 And so we have a right to freedom of association.

01:00:41.000 But moreover, we have to fight against the scourge of degeneracy, of hedonism.

01:00:47.000 And that'll be a big cultural win as well.

01:00:51.000 Altmedia, you have talents, but you're going down the wrong path.

01:00:54.000 Well, You know, pal, I go by my instincts.

01:00:57.000 I go by my intuition.

01:00:59.000 And, you know, that's your opinion.

01:01:01.000 That's your opinion.

01:01:02.000 Many people have told me this.

01:01:03.000 Many people come to me with their concerns.

01:01:05.000 I hear this from, you know, people emailing me saying, you should be trepidatious.

01:01:11.000 You're burning too many bridges.

01:01:12.000 And you know what?

01:01:13.000 If telling the truth, if doing the right thing, if having integrity is going down the wrong path, I will be going down the wrong path until the day that I die.

01:01:22.000 You know, but, and look at this.

01:01:24.000 I don't want to re litigate the, well, I'm not even actually going to get into it.

01:01:27.000 Speaking of litigation, there's reasons why I can't.

01:01:29.000 But, um, Things will come out about this eventually, and everyone will see the end result of what comes this year.

01:01:35.000 But I will be vindicated, just like I was vindicated in the Thought Wars, just like I was vindicated in the Optics debate.

01:01:42.000 And how many people in those cases told me, Nick, you're burning too many bridges, you're damaging relationships, you're doing this, that, and the other?

01:01:49.000 I'm doing my thing.

01:01:50.000 Hope they're doing their thing, too.

01:01:52.000 And we'll see what happens.

01:01:54.000 I also, by the way, I really don't appreciate the fact that you have to, I like you, but you have talent, but I mean, you don't need to soften it.

01:02:01.000 You can criticize.

01:02:02.000 Don't please don't patronize that way.

01:02:04.000 It gets under my skin a little bit only because, you know, I believe in what I'm doing and there's something to be said for that.

01:02:12.000 And also, I've been right just about every other time. 1.00

01:02:14.000 So, Alyssa Love, smart people are great at convincing themselves of stupid shit. 0.99

01:02:19.000 I don't know if you're referring to me or to somebody else, but very hostile, very hostile super chats, it appears. 1.00

01:02:25.000 But, you know, I mean, they're paying me money, so who's to complain, right?

01:02:28.000 But I don't know if you intended that as me that's doing that or other people, but.

01:02:33.000 Looks like those are all of our super chats and pretty clean here.

01:02:36.000 We're at 8 04 p.m.

01:02:38.000 And it looks like that's going to do it for us tonight.

01:02:40.000 Remember, we have our maker support, which went live earlier today.

01:02:44.000 So if you want to go, you can check out the link down below in the description.

01:02:48.000 I don't have like a special link for it, like AmFirst or anything like that.

01:02:53.000 But the link is in the description below.

01:02:55.000 And we have another super chat real quick who says, Nick, please say the Milky's copypasta.

01:03:00.000 I didn't lose the bet, so I don't have to say it.

01:03:02.000 James still has to say it.

01:03:04.000 If he ever wants to reconcile, I'm going to need apology and the Milky's copypasta.

01:03:08.000 But.

01:03:09.000 I digress.

01:03:10.000 If you want to check out the Maker Support page, remember it's $5 and up, which will get you the audio only format of the show, priority call in on the call in shows, which will start tomorrow.

01:03:21.000 And this episode will be uploaded on the podcast, in addition to a special role in the Discord server.

01:03:26.000 And there's some goodies associated with that as well.

01:03:28.000 So $5 on Maker Support.

01:03:30.000 Link is in the description.

01:03:31.000 The supercomputer is on the way, so be excited for that.

01:03:34.000 Lots of good content to come.

01:03:36.000 More debates, more guests, more conflict.

01:03:38.000 And you know I love conflict.

01:03:40.000 And, uh, Another super chat, Simon Scolo, who says, I missed his second one.

01:03:45.000 Fellas, fellas, I think I missed one.

01:03:51.000 Oh, he says, Will you be watching the Waco miniseries next week? 0.86

01:03:54.000 I haven't heard anything about that, but I may check it out.

01:03:57.000 Very interesting.

01:03:59.000 There's been talks of a Nick Fuentes cult, a Nick Fuentes cult of personality.

01:03:59.000 Very interesting.

01:04:03.000 And who knows?

01:04:04.000 Maybe I want to go all in on that.

01:04:06.000 James says, I have a cult of personality.

01:04:08.000 Hey, you know what we should do?

01:04:09.000 We should pool all our money and we should buy a big plot of land.

01:04:13.000 In the West, we should buy a big plot of land in northern Nevada, the safest place to be in a nuclear disaster.

01:04:19.000 We'll buy up a big plot of land, we'll build up a compound, we'll build up a compound that uses brutalist architecture, a big, imposing concrete structure, ugly, with barbed wire fences and armed guards.

01:04:34.000 And inside the compound, we will have Minecraft, we will have water, we'll have mugs.

01:04:40.000 The currency that will be used in the compound will be broken shards of America First mugs.

01:04:46.000 Which I guess there's enough of them around circulating in the world that those could become a stable currency.

01:04:53.000 And we'll live the dream.

01:04:54.000 We'll be there preparing for the political takeover.

01:04:58.000 We'll be there building the new Republican Party and all the rest.

01:05:01.000 So, hey, retweet if you want that.

01:05:03.000 But anywho, let me see if we have any more last minute.

01:05:07.000 Okay, so it looks like we're finally done with the Super Chats.

01:05:09.000 But that's going to do it for us tonight on the show.

01:05:11.000 Remember, you can follow me down below.

01:05:13.000 All the information is there donation, maker support.

01:05:16.000 It's all down below.

01:05:18.000 We're on the air Monday through Friday, 7 p.m. Central.

01:05:21.000 8 p.m. Eastern Standard Time.

01:05:22.000 I'm Nicholas J. Fuentes.

01:05:23.000 This, of course, was America First.

01:05:26.000 We will see you tomorrow.

01:05:28.000 Thank you, as always, for supporting the show, for donating.

01:05:31.000 If you bought America First Premium, thank you so much for supporting the cause.

01:05:35.000 Thanks for watching, and we will see you tomorrow.

01:05:42.000 Americanism, not globalism, will be our credo.

01:05:48.000 It's going to be only.

01:05:51.000 America first, America first. 0.97

01:05:55.000 The American people will come first once again. 0.94

01:06:11.000 The respect that It's going to be only America first. 0.96

01:06:25.000 America first. 0.93

America First - Nicholas J. Fuentes - January 18, 2018

The Government Shutdown and the Midterms | America First Ep. 89

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