00:09:25.000By a monolithic and ruthless conspiracy that relies primarily on covet means, on the understanding of the sphere of influence.
00:09:40.000What makes Christianity and Christ so different from the other religions is that our religion is based on the bearing of suffering for the sake of even those that persecute us.
00:10:59.000Read as many books as you can, learn a language, learn an instrument, get the best grades you can, get into a good school, and just don't mess around.
00:11:07.000You turn like 18, 20, and then it just goes at light speed.
00:11:12.000And if you are wasting time, years will go by.
00:11:16.000And you will wake up when you're 25 years old and say, I thought I would have accomplished more by now.
00:11:21.000Why am I still stuck in the same place?
00:11:24.000Let time be your ally by working every single day at what you think you want to be doing in 20 years.
00:11:39.000The servant who received five talents invested it and earned five more.
00:11:44.000The one who received two talents also invested wisely and earned two more.
00:11:49.000But the servant who received one talent went and dug a hole in the ground and hid his master's money.
00:11:57.000When the master returned, the servant with five talents said, Master, you gave me five and look, I've gained five more.
00:12:05.000The master replied, Well done, good and faithful servant.
00:12:09.000Because you have been faithful with little, I will put you in charge of much.
00:12:14.000The servant with two talents said, Master, you gave me two, and look, I've gained two more.
00:12:20.000The master said the same, Well done, good and faithful servant.
00:12:25.000You have been faithful with little, I will trust you with much.
00:12:30.000But the servant with one talent said, Master, I was afraid, so I hid your money in the ground.
00:13:22.000Let's say that Kamala Harris had won the election in 2024.
00:13:26.000If Kamala doubled down on supporting Ukraine as Trump has, if Kamala bombed Iran, there'd be riots in the streets.
00:13:34.000People would say our illegitimate president, who cheated her way into the nomination, she's expanding the war, she's expanding World War III into the Middle East.
00:13:43.000Everybody would say this is illegitimate, this is like a crime.
00:13:46.000But because it was Trump, 90% of Republicans supported Trump bombing Iran on Israel's behalf.
00:14:26.000After October 7th, the Jews knew that the Republican Party, controlled by AIPAC, controlled by Israel, and with Trump in office, they were going to let Israel do whatever they wanted to do.
00:15:24.000When Israel was under attack, They played into the right wing because they knew that the Republican Party would say things like, There's a Muslim takeover of America.
00:30:28.000If Israel controls that region, How rich, how powerful can they become?
00:30:34.000My issue with Iranian regime change is that we are creating an Israeli superpower that not even we will be able to restrain.
00:30:43.000Look at how they have used us like an instrument.
00:30:46.000They stole a nuclear arsenal from us, they got all of this military technology from us, we defeated their foes, and now we have essentially handed this to them.
00:30:56.000Now they're ready to cut the umbilical cord and become their own superpower.
00:31:00.000We endured the cost, we paid the money, our soldiers died, our country burned so that.
00:31:05.000A Israeli superpower could be born, and now our country will be in the wreckage.
00:37:31.000it's my shot, I assume you're lookin' at me You can go low with a high, it's tough, I want you to let nobody else can see I could be mean tonight, but that's not what I'm tryna be I could be mean tonight, No, I'm tryna be nice.
00:37:46.000I'm trying to be nice, I'm trying to be
00:42:30.000straight towards the mountains, some 70 kilometers away.
00:42:39.000If he caught him and brought him back to the colony, he would immediately Ago,
00:43:05.000people said, I just can't even imagine Trump bringing us to war in Iran for regime change.
00:45:47.000Shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down, shut it down.
00:49:26.000They use artificial intelligence to look at vast amounts of data and create insights.
00:49:33.000If the government has an amount of data which is kind of unimaginable, if you've got every phone call, every email, every transaction, every photograph of a license plate on the highway, satellite data, it's too much data for a bureaucracy to sift through.
00:49:51.000Comes in and interprets the data using algorithms, using artificial intelligence, using software to make vast amounts of data usable.
00:57:52.000The United States military began major combat operations in Iran.
00:57:58.000To consign the American empire to destruction while they look forward to a golden age, while they look forward to a century of empire and domination.
00:58:08.000Maybe we can't stop it, but I'm not going along with it.
00:58:46.000When Syria and Egypt launched a surprise attack on Israel, which started the Yom Kippur War on October 6th, 1973, almost 50 years exactly before October 7th, Israel was almost overrun.
00:58:59.000And the United States was reluctant to provide them with the military support that they needed to defend themselves.
00:59:05.000So the Prime Minister of Israel, Golda Meir, called up Nixon.
00:59:09.000And said, if you don't help us, we will nuke Syria and Egypt.
00:59:48.000We're like the SWAT team of Free Thought, and I go on with this battle ram at the door, and then they come in with these laser beams and have that information.
01:00:13.000Groyper dating app, do, AF legal team to represent Groyper's who are fired from work or kicked out of school for being a Groyper.
01:13:56.000You're raised by your parents, you go to school, you finish school, then you move into an apartment as a single man or woman, and you go to work.
01:15:03.000So it's totally fair for us to recognize that the countries around Russia, no, we shouldn't be invading or torturing them or oppressing them.
01:15:12.000And big picture, holy smokes, you do not want the two largest powers in the world, apart from the United States, to get together and align against us.
01:15:21.000Why do you support Israel against Hamas, for example?
01:15:25.000Why do you support America giving them billions of dollars?
01:30:09.000During every single day of the Trump administration, I will very simply put America first.
01:30:59.000I sag on Rizzi I got this baby, I gon' change, I put this bitch on the fence Yeah, you don't gon' cut her, baby, you call nobody, boy, I dance Oh you climb, oh you climb, oh you climb on me Oh you climb, oh you climb, oh you climb on me She gon' chop up with the face, she climb on me, come back with me, baby You won't let us go.
01:43:35.000the september attacks, there were countless rumors about strange coincidences surrounding the events.
01:43:40.000One Report about a group of Middle Eastern men spotted the morning of september 11th parked just across the river from New York City has not gone away.
02:00:52.000Read as many books as you can, learn a language, learn an instrument, get the best grades you can, get into a good school, and just don't mess around.
02:01:00.000You turn like 18, 20, and then just goes at light speed.
02:01:04.000And if you are wasting time, years will go by.
02:01:08.000And you will wake up when you're 25 years old and say, I thought I would have accomplished more by now.
02:01:13.000Why am I still stuck in the same place?
02:01:17.000Let time be your ally by working every single day at what you think you want to be doing in 20 years.
02:01:31.000The servant who received five talents invested it and earned five more.
02:01:36.000The one who received two talents also invested wisely and earned two more.
02:01:42.000But the servant who received one talent went and dug a hole in the ground and hid his master's money.
02:01:49.000When the master returned, the servant with five talents said, Master, you gave me five and look, I've gained five more.
02:01:58.000The master replied, Well done, good and faithful servant.
02:02:01.000Because you have been faithful with little, I will put you in charge of much.
02:02:07.000The servant with two talents said, Master, you gave me two, and look, I've gained two more.
02:02:13.000The master said the same, Well done, good and faithful servant.
02:02:18.000You have been faithful with little, I will trust you with much.
02:02:23.000But the servant with one talent said, Master, I was afraid, so I hid your money in the ground.
02:03:15.000Let's say that Kamala Harris had won the election in 2024.
02:03:18.000If Kamala doubled down on supporting Ukraine as Trump has, if Kamala bombed Iran, there'd be riots in the streets.
02:03:26.000People would say our illegitimate president, who cheated her way into the nomination, she's expanding the war, she's expanding World War III into the Middle East.
02:03:35.000Everybody would say this is illegitimate, this is like a crime.
02:03:38.000But because it was Trump, 90% of Republicans supported Trump bombing Iran on Israel's behalf.
02:04:18.000After October 7th, the Jews knew that the Republican Party, controlled by AIPAC, controlled by Israel, and with Trump in office, they were going to let Israel do whatever they wanted to do.
02:05:17.000When Israel was under attack, They played into the right wing because they knew that the Republican Party would say things like, There's a Muslim takeover of America.
02:20:40.000If Israel controls that region, How rich, how powerful can they become?
02:20:46.000My issue with Iranian regime change is that we are creating an Israeli superpower that not even we will be able to restrain.
02:20:55.000Look at how they have used us like an instrument.
02:20:58.000They stole a nuclear arsenal from us, they got all of this military technology from us, we defeated their foes, and now we have essentially handed this to them.
02:21:07.000Now they're ready to cut the umbilical cord and become their own superpower.
02:21:12.000We endured the cost, we paid the money, our soldiers died, our country burned so that.
02:21:17.000A Israeli superpower could be born, and now our country will be in the wreckage.
02:21:35.000Alright, 15 seconds, guidance is internal.
02:35:28.000I can't see the time but I'm having the time of my life Chris Poe the game on the line I'm dropping the dime on him He pulled up and turning what USA and BF did and that's why it's filled with gripe I'm trying to change for the better It's dropping me fucking the same Hey,
02:35:43.000he on the bed I'm on the cover we not on the same pace I be from the bed she gripping them covers like she on her last leg She look like she belong on the cover this whole game covered in everything I'm gonna buy a bottle of banana but she is not getting wet it rain B wants to interview Nick Fuetta The word out.
02:40:48.000They use artificial intelligence to look at vast amounts of data and create insights.
02:40:55.000If the government has an amount of data which is kind of unimaginable, if you've got every phone call, every email, every transaction, every photograph of a license plate on the highway, satellite data, it's too much data for a bureaucracy to sift through.
02:41:13.000Palantir comes in and interprets the data using.
02:41:16.000Algorithms using artificial intelligence, using software to make vast amounts of data usable.
02:49:48.000And it seems that Trump was so forceful that he compelled Bibi Netanyahu to make a ceasefire with Hezbollah in Lebanon, which may temporarily bring an end to the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah.
02:50:03.000Which just might pave the way for a potential U.S. Iran deal to end the conflict over the Persian Gulf.
02:50:16.000As you may or may not know, Israel's conflict in Lebanon has become a major sticking point in U.S. negotiations with Iran.
02:50:26.000Iran is insistent that they will not open up the Strait of Hormuz until Israel stops invading and bombing Lebanon.
02:50:36.000And this is something that the United States has not been able to convince them to do.
02:50:42.000So, among other things, we cannot agree with Iran on nuclear enrichment.
02:50:47.000We cannot agree with them on the terms under which the strait will be reopened.
02:50:53.000Maybe the more doable issue, contention, is that Iran wants a ceasefire on all fronts, which is not just the U.S. bombing Iran, but also Israel bombing Lebanon.
02:51:06.000It seems like that might have just been achieved.
02:51:09.000Like I said, major row on Monday between Israel and the U.S.
02:51:14.000And it seems like that phone call was perhaps strong enough that Netanyahu has bent the knee.
02:51:20.000And as of Wednesday, a three way announcement was made a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon.
02:51:44.000But it's still a long way off because, like we have been talking about since the beginning, the fundamental issue is this nuclear program.
02:51:52.000And in particular, it is their capability to enrich uranium and it is their stockpile of highly enriched uranium.
02:51:59.000And I will add, there was another development just today.
02:52:03.000The IAEA was allowed into Iran to inspect their nuclear power plant at Bushir on the coast with the Persian Gulf.
02:52:12.000This is a big step because the international.
02:52:17.000Nuclear agency, the IAEA, was not able to enter Iran since they were expelled last year.
02:52:23.000So apparently, they were permitted into the country to look at the reactor.
02:52:28.000However, they were not able to look at the stockpile of highly enriched uranium or the other nuclear facilities at Fordo, Natanz, Isfahan.
02:52:38.000And as a result, it's been nearly a year since any international body has seen what is happening with that uranium and what's happening with the rest of Iran's nuclear complex.
02:52:49.000And so, what some analysts are saying, which is very interesting, is that Iran may be further along now in their nuclear program than they were before the war started.
02:57:21.000Now they're just jewing it up for everybody to see.
02:57:25.000So much so, it's even pissing off the liberals.
02:57:28.000It's even pissing off the left wing garbage at CBS.
02:57:32.000And like I said, now it seems that the staff is in open revolt, in particular at 60 Minutes, where now half of their presenters have quit and the other half are considering leaving.
02:57:43.000The new Jewish producer is begging them to stay, and it looks like maybe they salvaged the show.
02:57:49.000So, we'll talk a little bit about that.
02:57:51.000But honestly, it's good because you know what I'm starting to see take shape is that all of this infighting between the Zionist Jews and the liberal establishment just seems to be creating an opportunity for us to take advantage of the situation as ideological opponents of Jewish power.
02:58:12.000Because they are alienating everybody, but also in the process, they're destroying the left.
02:58:19.000So, when you think about it, this actually creates opportunities for us.
02:58:23.000Think about what they did at the universities.
02:58:26.000The pro Israel Zionist right wing Jews flushed out all the left wing progressives because of the pro Hamas protests.
02:58:37.000And then at CBS and other media entities, again, they flushed out all these liberal Palestine sympathetic types like Tanahazi Coates and the rest of them and replaced them with Zionist Jews.
02:58:49.000And at the Federal government, they're going after people like Hassan Piker.
03:01:31.000If you want to be a super supporter, ultra AmericaFirst plus supporter, you can join the $100 a month club and join the group chat with me.
03:01:42.000I'm in the group chat every day, except for today.
03:01:45.000I wasn't really in there, but I promise I'll be in there tomorrow.
03:01:50.000I'm dropping bonus content in there all the time, doing voice memos, doing basically like an extra show every other day.
03:04:07.000And yet, at the same time, it seems that every week there is this familiar cycle where the administration comes out and they say on True Social or in the press pool or in the Oval Office, they will tell us that Iran is begging us to make a deal.
03:04:26.000They have begged us for an extension of the ceasefire.
03:04:29.000They want to make a deal really badly.
03:04:32.000They're making major concessions, and that a deal is imminent.
03:04:37.000We have probably heard this no fewer than a dozen times since the war started.
03:04:43.000And then what inevitably happens is that within 24 to 48 hours, the Iranian side will come out publicly and say that everything the administration is saying is a lie.
03:04:55.000And Iran will come out and say, We are not talking to the United States.
03:04:59.000We don't want to talk to the United States.
03:05:17.000And then within days of this, the United States comes out.
03:05:21.000Trump, in particular, will say that he is finally done messing around, and the Iranians are not taking him seriously, and they're crazy, and they don't know what they're doing.
03:05:31.000And if they don't get their act together, then we're going to bomb them again.
03:06:19.000And it's hard to know exactly what the strategy is or what even the objectives are.
03:06:25.000Remember, the original objectives in the conflict were announced by Trump the day that the war started.
03:06:33.000We were seeking the destruction of Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium.
03:06:38.000We wanted to destroy their enrichment capability.
03:06:42.000We wanted to degrade their stockpile of missiles and drones.
03:06:46.000We wanted to stop them from supporting regional proxies.
03:06:49.000We wanted to sink their Navy and institute a regime change.
03:06:55.000Those were the initial objectives, and we have achieved none of these things.
03:07:00.000We have not destroyed their highly enriched uranium, we've not destroyed their nuclear capability, and they're not willing to give up either of those things.
03:07:07.000We have not destroyed their stockpile of drones and missiles, we haven't even significantly degraded them.
03:07:13.000They're actually rebuilding what they've lost, and that will be completed within six months.
03:07:31.000So, if we have not achieved our objectives, then have we abandoned them?
03:07:37.000And if we haven't abandoned them, then how are we going to achieve them in the future without re engaging Iran militarily?
03:07:45.000And this is sort of the fundamental question, which is, We have all these objectives that we failed to complete, which, by the way, now includes also the opening of the Strait of Hormuz without Iran being able to charge tolls.
03:08:00.000So we haven't achieved any of the objectives.
03:08:03.000In order to achieve them, it would probably require a significant military escalation in terms of tactics and strategy.
03:08:10.000It might involve a ground war or attacks on civilian infrastructure or the use of weapons of mass destruction.
03:08:17.000But it seems that that is off the table.
03:08:21.000The administration is unwilling or unable to do this.
03:08:25.000And so, if the objectives have not been completed, and if the United States is not willing or able to escalate in such a way to achieve those objectives in another round of attacks, well, then does that mean the United States has abandoned its goals?
03:08:43.000And it seems that for the past eight to nine weeks, we are slowly coming to terms with the fact that we have lost the war.
03:08:57.000It is most likely cost prohibitive or impossible to achieve anything that we set out to achieve.
03:09:07.000And so, what would you call that if we are forced into a position of unilateral retreat, unilateral withdrawal and surrender after we fail to achieve a single objective?
03:09:18.000Well, you would say that we lost the war, you would say that we lose.
03:09:23.000We tried, we failed, and now we're done.
03:09:36.000Actually, they have the Strait of Hormuz under their control, whereas they did not before.
03:09:41.000And there is nothing we could do even to get them to make any concessions.
03:09:46.000So it's not even like a negotiated settlement.
03:09:50.000It's not even like we brought them to the table and had leverage and we got them to agree to certain things.
03:09:56.000This is like a unilateral total defeat.
03:10:00.000And it seems that the administration has simply been in denial.
03:10:04.000What has been happening over the past eight to nine weeks?
03:10:08.000Well, it seems that in the first few weeks, the administration was looking for a creative military solution that might give us some leverage to have a negotiated settlement.
03:10:20.000It seems like after the first four to six weeks, the Pentagon realized that what we were doing wasn't working.
03:10:28.000We were bombing Iran and it was having very little effect.
03:10:32.000Whereas Iran's attacks on us and our allies were very effective.
03:11:13.000Then they started to consider well, maybe there is a way, maybe there is some creative solution where we can thread the needle and we can escalate the tactics against Iran in a way that is more than what we have done already.
03:11:32.000Like, let's say, for example, We invade one of their islands, or we bomb their energy infrastructure, or we bomb their civilian infrastructure.
03:11:40.000In other words, we escalate the tactics qualitatively.
03:11:44.000We do something we haven't done yet so that it might be more effective than what we tried and which failed.
03:11:51.000But how do we escalate more than what we did before, but without triggering a brutal retaliation from Iran?
03:11:59.000Because, of course, if we hit their energy, then Iran will retaliate and bomb Saudi Arabia's energy, which is unacceptable to us.
03:12:07.000If we bomb their civilian infrastructure, they'll bomb civilian infrastructure in the Gulf, which is unacceptable.
03:12:14.000So, we were looking for maybe something in the middle, more than what we did before, but less than something that would trigger an unacceptable retaliation.
03:12:22.000And so, this is where Trump was brainstorming and basically bluffing, threatening to invade Karg Island, threatening to invade the islands in the Strait of Hormuz, threatening to launch some kind of raid inside Iran to secure the highly enriched uranium, threatening to bomb all their bridges and ports and energy infrastructure.
03:12:44.000Now, I think eventually the Pentagon realized, just like they realized before, there were no military options that were working in the initial phase of the conflict.
03:12:53.000I think eventually they realized there is nothing else we could do short of inviting a brutal Iranian response.
03:13:01.000If we invade the islands, all the soldiers are going to die and they're going to bomb Saudi Arabia and Emirate oil.
03:13:09.000If we bomb their civilian infrastructure and this huge apocalyptic attack like Trump was threatening, they will do the same thing to all the Gulf countries.
03:13:17.000And you set back the global energy market literally 10, 15 years.
03:13:24.000There's no way, even if we wanted to, that we could take back control over the Strait of Hormuz.
03:13:29.000So I think they realized that wasn't going to work.
03:13:32.000And this is when the Trump administration then imposed a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
03:13:41.000They said, okay, so what we were doing wasn't working.
03:13:44.000There's nothing more that we can do militarily.
03:13:47.000So then they came up with this harebrained idea.
03:13:51.000Trump administration said we're going to use the US Navy to close the Strait of Hormuz to Iranian shipping.
03:13:58.000Because how it has worked so far is that Iran's IRGC is closing shipping for everybody other than them and their own allies.
03:14:07.000So Iran still has sea based shipping at all of their ports going through the Strait.
03:14:14.000Obviously, they're not going to target their own ships with mines and drones and missiles.
03:14:20.000So they still have trade through the Strait of Hormuz.
03:14:23.000So, the Pentagon came up with this idea that we would interdict their shipping.
03:14:28.000We would close the Strait of Hormuz on the opposite side.
03:14:32.000So, now all of our allies can't send their oil out through the Strait because they'll be mined or bombed by Iran.
03:14:39.000And Iran's trade can't go in or out of the Strait of Hormuz because we will interdict that from the Arabian Sea on the other side of the Strait of Hormuz.
03:14:49.000And the idea is that if we are under economic pressure because The supply of oil is being choked off in the strait, then we can put economic pressure on Iran by choking off all of their trade, all of their commercial shipping in the strait.
03:15:07.000However, the Pentagon has determined that there is no guarantee this will have any impact.
03:15:12.000The IRGC has complete control over the country.
03:15:16.000And so, even if there are shortages, even if there is an economic breakdown, there will not be any civil disorder that will cause the collapse of the government.
03:15:25.000They can go the distance, it's not going to hurt them that badly.
03:15:28.000And there are other ways that Iran can insulate itself from this because they have land based trade routes through Pakistan and through Central Asia.
03:15:37.000And they've actually opened up more border crossings to guarantee this.
03:15:44.000And so now we've entered into this new phase where the administration is talking to Iran.
03:15:48.000And again, they're promoting this idea of peace talks when in reality, we just have no cards to play, we have no leverage.
03:15:57.000And let's talk about the negotiations as they stand.
03:16:02.000Where the negotiations stand right now between the U.S. and Iran, it's fundamentally unchanged from the beginning of the war, from before the war, from last year.
03:16:13.000The United States is demanding the same set of things.
03:16:17.000We are telling Iran we want them to give up their highly enriched uranium.
03:16:21.000We want them to stop enriching uranium altogether.
03:16:25.000And we're telling them we want the Strait of Hormuz opened in such a way where Commercial shipping does not have to pay a toll to Iran.
03:16:34.000They want freedom of navigation in the strait.
03:17:39.000We are telling them you have to turn over all of the highly enriched uranium to us.
03:17:44.000Iran is saying, under no circumstances will we do that or give it up to any country for that matter.
03:17:51.000We are telling them you have to open up the strait.
03:17:54.000Under no circumstances will we let you take control over it and charge a toll.
03:17:58.000Iran is saying, under no circumstances will we return to the pre war status quo in the strait.
03:18:05.000So there's no way these positions are going to be reconciled.
03:18:09.000And there's all these talks and all these negotiations, but at the end of the day, there's just no agreement and it's impossible.
03:18:16.000However, it seems that the one thing where there might be some progress on is the war in Lebanon.
03:18:24.000You might remember that when the original ceasefire was declared about eight weeks ago, these were the terms of the ceasefire that brought us into this current stalemate in the conflict.
03:18:37.000When the ceasefire was announced, the terms were these.
03:18:41.000Trump said that we will stop bombing Iran if Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz.
03:18:49.000We said we're not going to talk about uranium.
03:18:52.000We're not going to talk about, maybe even necessarily, under what conditions the Strait will be opened.
03:18:58.000And we're not going to talk about any of the other tertiary issues.
03:19:01.000But the administration said we will stop attacking Iran if they open up the Strait.
03:19:06.000And this deal will last for two weeks.
03:19:09.000In the meantime, we need to have serious discussions about a nuclear negotiation.
03:19:15.000Well, within hours of that announcement, Pakistan, which brokered the deal, and Iran both came out publicly and said, in order for us to open up the strait, we not only need the United States to stop bombing Iran, but we also need Israel to stop bombing Lebanon.
03:19:33.000They said it needs to be a ceasefire on all fronts, not just in the Persian Gulf, but also in Lebanon.
03:19:38.000Because around the same time that Israel and the United States attacked Iran, Israel also launched another war against Lebanon.
03:19:47.000They gave an evacuation notice for about the southern third of the country, about a third of all of Lebanon's territory.
03:19:54.000They displaced over a million people, killed thousands, and they launched the most aggressive bombing campaign against Lebanon since 2024.
03:20:04.000And it even included an incursion on the ground.
03:20:07.000So while everybody was looking at the Persian Gulf and everybody was looking at Iran and everybody was talking about regime change over there, Israel was invading Lebanon.
03:20:16.000Israel was displacing millions of people from southern Lebanon because they are preparing to give Lebanon the Gaza treatment.
03:20:24.000Make no mistake about it, it's the same exact playbook.
03:20:28.000Which is, they're going to tell everybody to get out, and then they're going to launch a massive bombing campaign.
03:20:36.000They're going to kill everybody there.
03:20:38.000If they kill civilians or destroy infrastructure, they'll say, Look, we told you to evacuate.
03:20:43.000And then once they do their apocalyptic bombing campaign, then they're going to invade.
03:20:48.000And once they invade, they're going to turn all the territory that they have annexed into a buffer zone.
03:20:56.000And this has been the plan for Lebanon since the beginning, which is.
03:21:00.000Degrade and diminish Hezbollah, just like they did to Hamas, push them north, invade the south up to the Latani River, and then effectively annex southern Lebanon and call it a buffer zone.
03:21:14.000This is what they did to the Golan Heights and the Purple Zone in Syria.
03:21:18.000This is what they did to the Gaza Strip.
03:21:20.000They took about 50% of Gaza's territory, they took about 17 miles initially, and then they took even more.
03:21:28.000And they said this is going to be a buffer zone, this is going to be a security corridor to separate Gaza from Israel.
03:21:35.000And they're doing the same thing in Lebanon.
03:21:38.000So Iran said, before we agree to opening up the strait, we don't just want a ceasefire in the Persian Gulf.
03:22:56.000If Iran can compel the United States to impose restraint on Israel, then Iran has really, they really are going home with the grand prize.
03:23:06.000They got Hezbollah effectively protection in Lebanon.
03:23:11.000So, that Israel cannot enforce this law passed by the Lebanese parliament to disarm Hezbollah, and Iran gains the Strait, and they got to keep everything they started with their strategic capabilities, which are their missiles, their nuclear hedge, and the regime is intact.
03:23:31.000Well, these were the terms of the ceasefire.
03:23:34.000And as soon as Iran and Pakistan said that in order for them to open up the Strait, they need a ceasefire in Lebanon, what did Netanyahu do in Israel?
03:23:43.000He started bombing Lebanon more intensely than ever before.
03:23:47.000The day after that deal was announced, Israel bombed Lebanon and killed a thousand people.
03:23:54.000And so Iran and Pakistan said the deal is off.
03:23:57.000If the terms of the deal were a ceasefire on all fronts in exchange for opening the strait, Iran said, look, there is no ceasefire.
03:24:06.000They just actually escalated the fighting.
03:24:09.000So they said, not only is the deal off, and therefore the Strait of Hormuz is still closed, which it remains closed to this day, but Iran also said, we don't even want to talk anymore.
03:24:56.000It tells you that the ceasefire was really protecting us more than Iran.
03:25:02.000Because if the deal was, we will stop bombing you if you give us our oil, and Iran doesn't give us the oil, but we're not bombing them, what does that say?
03:25:12.000It says that bombing them was hurting us more than it was hurting them.
03:25:17.000Because otherwise we would say, oh, you won't give us the oil?
03:25:20.000Well, then the bombing is back on, and you're not going to like that.
03:25:24.000But the reason we stopped bombing Iran.
03:25:27.000Was not because we were getting something out of it.
03:25:31.000We stopped bombing Iran because Iran was bombing us in return.
03:25:36.000And they could take it, but we couldn't.
03:25:39.000We were bombing them every day, and it seemed like it didn't even matter.
03:25:43.000We were not destroying or degrading their drone capability or their missile capability.
03:25:50.000Whereas on the flip side, Iran did destroy nine U.S. bases, they inflicted hundreds of billions of dollars on U.S. infrastructure in the Gulf.
03:26:00.000Not only that, but their attacks on the Gulf countries were destroying the Gulf countries' economies.
03:26:06.000Their attacks on Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, the Emirates, Kuwait, it was literally destroying these countries' economies.
03:26:14.000What's more, just the fact that Iran was launching drones and missiles at all was diminishing our supply of drone and missile interceptors, of which we have sparingly few and which we don't make enough of.
03:26:29.000So even though Iran still has 70% of their missiles, We have actually spent 70% of our missile interceptors.
03:28:18.000But Iran is saying if you end your blockade of the Strait, we will end our closure of the Strait.
03:28:24.000If you stop bombing us, we will stop bombing you.
03:28:28.000If you give us sanctions relief, we will give you economic relief.
03:28:33.000And then over the next 30 to 60 days, we can work out all the other problems which are going to require more advanced and sophisticated negotiations.
03:28:43.000These are sort of the terms of the deal right now.
03:28:45.000And it seems like the Trump administration is coming around to this.
03:28:49.000Trump administration is coming around to this bilateral acknowledgement.
03:28:53.000We're both going to leave and open up the strait.
03:29:00.000We are, in some sense, going to give Iran reparations.
03:29:03.000We might call it something else, but it has been floated to the New York Times that we're going to open up some kind of international reconstruction fund like the Gaza Peace Board for Iran.
03:29:15.000And we might let them collect a toll in the strait, but we're going to let them call it something else like an environmental protection fee.
03:29:23.000So, they are going to control the strait.
03:29:27.000And they are going to get the reparations, but through some kind of international consortium, through private hands, sovereign wealth funds, something like that.
03:29:39.000This is sort of the architecture and framework of the deal right now.
03:29:44.000But the one outstanding item is this business of a ceasefire on all fronts.
03:29:50.000And Israel continues to escalate the conflict in Lebanon.
03:29:53.000After it was announced about a week and a half ago that Iran and the United States had basically reached a deal, Netanyahu vowed to intensify the fighting in Lebanon and started bragging about how many Hezbollah militants they've killed.
03:30:07.000And ground forces in Lebanon pushed further into the country.
03:30:13.000And so this is where we get to this week.
03:30:17.000Trump calls up Netanyahu and has a very bad phone call with him.
03:30:21.000And he's quoted as telling Netanyahu, Are you fucking crazy?
03:34:08.000So Trump says, If you won't help me end the war and salvage my presidency, well, then maybe I'm going to throw a wrench in your reelection plans.
03:34:17.000And so, this is why Trump gets on the phone with Netanyahu and says, You're fucking crazy.
03:34:23.000And in particular, what does Trump say to Netanyahu?
03:34:26.000He says, You're turning the whole world against Israel.
03:35:53.000It says President Trump confirmed calling Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu fucking crazy.
03:35:59.000In a heated phone call over Israel's military operations in Lebanon.
03:36:04.000The New York Post's Miranda Devine asked Trump on her Pod Force One podcast whether he had called Netanyahu fucking crazy and told them that he would be in prison if it weren't for Trump.
03:36:26.000I really love him and work with him excellently.
03:36:29.000The phone call was first reported by Axios on Monday.
03:36:32.000During a Wednesday interview with CNBC, Netanyahu refused to comment directly on the phone call but alluded to tactical disagreements he has with Trump.
03:36:41.000He said, Quote, Sometimes we have, as in the best of families, tactical disagreements.
03:36:47.000We always find a way to work them out and we do so as great friends.
03:36:52.000Now, later on Wednesday, it was announced that there was a three way ceasefire deal between the U.S., Lebanon, and Israel.
03:37:02.000It says, Quote, Israel and Lebanon agreed to implement a full ceasefire contingent on Hezbollah, halting attacks and withdrawing its operatives from the area south of the Latani River in Lebanon.
03:37:13.000Hezbollah had already said it would agree to a full ceasefire, but it was not immediately clear whether the Shia militia would accept the terms agreed by the Israeli and Lebanese governments.
03:37:24.000On Monday, President Trump put the brakes on Israel's plan to launch massive strikes on Beirut in retaliation for Hezbollah's drone and missile strikes.
03:37:32.000Trump lashed out at Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu in an expletive laden call.
03:37:37.000As part of this understanding, the two sides agreed to create pilot zones in southern Lebanon in which the Lebanese armed forces will take exclusive control and make sure there is no Hezbollah presence.
03:37:48.000In return, the IDF will withdraw from the area.
03:37:51.000In the joint statement, Israel and Lebanon reaffirmed that they have no hostile intent toward one another and committed to continuing direct negotiations to build confidence, resolve all outstanding issues, and work toward a comprehensive agreement between the two countries.
03:38:08.000So, It looks like, at least for now, the Trump phone call worked.
03:38:13.000Trump lost his mind in Netanyahu and confirmed that it happened.
03:38:17.000He said, Look, Netanyahu's got to stop in Lebanon so that we can move forward with Iran.
03:38:23.000After the phone call, it looks like Israel and Hezbollah have agreed to stop fighting.
03:38:29.000But in order to assess whether this will be a lasting peace, we have to understand what is going on.
03:38:39.000We have to understand the fundamental strategic objectives of each party involved.
03:39:11.000This is their geostrategic doctrine in the Middle East.
03:39:16.000It is this they say we are through with exchanging land for peace.
03:39:23.000We're not giving up territory to make peace with our neighbors.
03:39:26.000They say, rather, territory is the most valuable thing we have.
03:39:31.000Israel, and in particular, the Likud party, which Netanyahu is the head of, they lament that Israel surrendered the Sinai Peninsula to Egypt in 1979 as part of the Camp David Accords.
03:39:46.000Because the Sinai had energy, something Israel does not have a lot of.
03:39:51.000And Israel laments that they returned the West Bank and Gaza to the Palestinians.
03:39:57.000They say land is something we don't have a lot of.
03:40:01.000We need to have as much of it as we can get because it means security and it means resources and it means living space.
03:40:10.000So, what Israel is after fundamentally, what you need to understand is they seek the annexation of Gaza, the West Bank, but also southern Lebanon.
03:40:32.000Because you have all these Palestinians in Gaza, and they are ruled by this party Hamas, which wants to destroy Israel.
03:40:41.000And they are dug in in these tunnels, and they've amassed an arsenal of rockets, and they have all these fighters that are willing to give their lives to murder Israelis.
03:40:50.000And then on the other side of this thin strip of territory, they have the West Bank, and they have all these other Palestinians in East Jerusalem, and throughout the West Bank, in Ramallah, and elsewhere.
03:41:01.000And there they have Palestinian Islamic Jihad, and they have other.
03:41:06.000And in the north, in southern Lebanon, they have Hezbollah, where there are 100,000 militants and they're armed to the teeth by Iran.
03:41:15.000The Iranian Revolutionary Guard is moving weapons previously through Syria, across the Syrian Lebanese border into southern Lebanon, arming these fighters right on Israel's northern border.
03:41:28.000And so what Israel has effectively had to do is create these walls and defensive fortifications on every side.
03:41:38.000In the north with Lebanon, in the east with the West Bank, in the south with Gaza and with the Sinai Peninsula.
03:41:45.000And you see the inherent vulnerability and insecurity of Israel's position after October 7th.
03:42:23.000So you got to have the IDF clearing these densely populated cities in Gaza, going into the tunnels, going into these big residential buildings, dense urban fighting environments.
03:42:37.000They got to be fighting in Rafah, they got to be fighting in Gaza City.
03:42:40.000But you also need Israeli forces on Israel's northern border because you have a hundred thousand much more well equipped and much more numerous Hezbollah militants in Lebanon.
03:42:52.000So this is a very unfortunate position.
03:42:55.000Now, simultaneously, let's also not forget you have the Houthi militants in Yemen and they're launching missiles and rockets at Israel from the south.
03:43:05.000But you also have Shiite militants in Iraq as part of the popular mobilization forces and they are launching rockets at Israel from the east.
03:43:18.000They have to have their Iron Dome, Arrow 2, Arrow 3, David Sling shooting down rockets and missiles from every direction from Hezbollah, from the PMF, from the Houthis, from Hamas.
03:43:31.000The ground forces have to be invading Gaza.
03:43:35.000They also have to be raiding the West Bank in the east, and they have to be forward deployed in the north against Hezbollah.
03:46:05.000In order for them to, with any kind of finality, eradicate these groups, move the civilian population, and annex the territory, they need to stop the flow of money, training, weapons, and other logistical support which goes to these groups from Iran.
03:46:27.000Hezbollah is propped up by Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps.
03:46:40.000So you're not going to be able to once and for all defeat Hamas, defeat Hezbollah, defeat these other guys, as long as Iran is facilitating training, weapons, logistical, and monetary support to all these groups.
03:46:55.000So what Israel is doing over the past three years is they are degrading these groups enough so that Israel can focus on Iran.
03:47:05.000If they went for Iran first, then they'd be fighting this multi front war while missiles are raining down on them from Iran.
03:47:20.000The Houthis and the PMF are bombing them from afar.
03:47:24.000So Israel had to suppress Hamas, suppress Hezbollah, get Iraq to assimilate the PMF into their armed forces, degrade the Houthis so that they would be freed up and bring the United States in to fight Iran.
03:47:41.000And then, this is part of their doctrine once Iran is defeated, once the regime change takes place, The new regime will cut off all the groups.
03:47:52.000And that is when Israel, without any opposition, without any resistance, then they can go in and push all the Palestinians out of Gaza into Somaliland and Western Sahara and wherever else and take the Gaza Strip.
03:48:08.000Then they can move in and annex the West Bank.
03:48:10.000Then they can move in and annex southern Lebanon.
03:48:13.000Then they can move in and annex southern Syria, maybe right up until the suburbs of Damascus.
03:48:20.000But in order to do this, they need to stop what is really the locus, the nucleus of resistance to Israel, which is Iran.
03:48:29.000Iran, which is effectively a factory of drones and missiles supported by their oil economy and their massive population, protected as a fortress by their mountain ranges, by their difficult terrain.
03:48:43.000This is what Israel is seeking to accomplish in the region.
03:48:47.000Now, once you understand this, you realize.
03:48:51.000This is why all of it has played out the way that it has.
03:48:55.000So they took October 7th and used it as a justification to invade Gaza.
03:49:00.000Then they said that Hezbollah's attacks on Israel, which were meant to deter Israel from invading Gaza, meant that we had to go and fight Hezbollah in Lebanon.
03:49:48.000Let's talk about what's happening in Lebanon.
03:49:51.000After Israel destroyed Hezbollah, The Lebanese government, which is separate from Hezbollah, the Lebanese parliament passed a law that says Hezbollah must disarm.
03:50:03.000However, the Lebanese armed forces are not willing to disarm Hezbollah because they're not going to give up their weapons without a fight.
03:51:10.000Because it's not really about defeating Hezbollah.
03:51:14.000It's about taking that territory so that nobody can ever threaten Israel on their northern border again.
03:51:21.000So when they create the ceasefire and Israel says, well, if Hezbollah doesn't attack us, and as long as Lebanon controls the airspace in southern Lebanon, then we won't attack Lebanon anymore.
03:51:35.000Well, that's not really what they want.
03:51:38.000They want to push all those people north because they want the land.
03:51:42.000They want that geographical defensibility.
03:51:46.000So, what will surely happen is that the ceasefire will break down.
03:52:04.000They'll say, We were attacked first, or they won't, or they'll just start attacking them, and they will find an excuse to restart the attacks.
03:52:11.000And Hezbollah will be slow to respond, but they eventually will.
03:52:37.000If Israel's war against Lebanon is also sabotaging diplomacy between the US and Iran, that's just a bonus.
03:52:45.000Because what else does Israel also seek?
03:52:47.000They also seek the end of the Iranian regime.
03:52:51.000So, if their war in Lebanon also happens to prevent the U.S. from leaving this other conflict, that's just a bonus because Israel wants the United States to remain in a war with Iran because they ultimately want escalation that leads to regime change there as well.
03:53:09.000So, when Trump forces Netanyahu to make peace with Lebanon so that we can make a very shaky ceasefire with Iran, Did I say, let's say Trump says we're forcing Netanyahu to make peace with Lebanon so that we can make a shaky deal with Iran?
03:53:27.000Understand, none of this is going to last.
03:53:30.000We are not going to make a nuclear agreement with Iran.
03:53:34.000Israel will not tolerate it, Iran will never agree to it.
03:53:38.000And the longer that diplomacy with Iran drags out, the more that Israel is going to itch to restart the war in Lebanon, and they will.
03:53:46.000And that will further poison diplomacy between the U.S. and Iran.
03:53:51.000So, once again, you can look at the headlines, and the headlines are always fluctuating.
03:54:03.000The news is not reporting on what is happening, it's not reporting on what the players want.
03:54:09.000The news is reporting on what the players want to communicate to each other.
03:54:14.000So, when the Washington Post says a peace deal is imminent, when Axio says a peace deal is imminent, This is wish casting from the Trump administration.
03:54:25.000These are anonymous officials in the admin that are going to the press and telling them these things, and the press is reporting it.
03:54:34.000And this constitutes a form of public diplomacy.
03:54:37.000It's almost like a press release, but it does not actually reflect what is really going on and the probability that any of this will succeed.
03:54:46.000So we have seen for the past several years ceasefire in Gaza, ceasefire with Hezbollah, ceasefire with Iran.
03:54:54.000And if you're watching the headlines, it's a roller coaster.
03:55:11.000Forget about Barack Ravid and Reuters for two seconds and understand what the players involved actually are after and what they're willing to do to get what they want.
03:55:23.000And then you realize there's going to be no ceasefire in Iran.
03:55:26.000There's going to be no ceasefire in Lebanon because it is Israel's imperative to not let this window of opportunity close.
03:55:35.000I'm not going to say it's impossible, but it would require a tremendous amount of willpower from the United States restraining Israel to hold all of this together.
03:55:45.000And I don't know that that's even possible.
03:55:49.000I think at the minimum, it's extremely unlikely, probably more likely than not, it's impossible.
03:55:56.000So that is where we stand with the war in Iran.
03:55:59.000These are, again, some of the dynamics.
03:56:01.000As it concerns the other matters, you know, once again, let's just say this the U.S. says, Open the strait the way it was before the war.
03:56:12.000Iran is saying, no, it's ours and we're charging a toll.
03:56:16.000Now, if Iran tells us no, what can we do to change their mind?
03:58:12.000Now, if Iran doesn't give up enrichment, then what is going to be the narrative in six months?
03:58:16.000I'm going to tell you what they're going to say.
03:58:18.000If Iran does not give up their enrichment capability, And if they don't let the IAEA inspect their sixth generation centrifuges, then in three to six to nine months, the press is going to start to say it's been a year and a half, two years since we have inspected Iran's nuclear program.
03:58:38.000Surely they have made enough highly enriched uranium, weapons grade fuel for 20 bombs.
03:59:44.000They have the straight, they're being enriched by it.
03:59:47.000And if they don't give up enrichment, then we'll have to assume that they are rebuilding that as well.
03:59:53.000We'll have to assume they are excavating their stockpile, excavating the tunnels to their centrifuges, and that they've restarted or probably are already enriching more uranium.
04:00:04.000And if we don't have eyes on it from the IAEA, then what we have to assume, we have to draw a negative inference that they're making more weapons grade material for a bomb.
04:00:24.000And that's why it's not so simple when they say, we just got to leave.
04:00:28.000Because it's like, okay, if we just pack it up and go home, again, they control the straight, they make money off of it, they use the money to rebuild.
04:00:36.000And if they rebuild, this is going to be a very disturbing development for Israel, the Saudis, the Emiratis, the Qataris, us, because they are angry, they are defiant, they are dug in.
04:00:50.000The IRGC is in complete control, they are more radical, and they're going to use that money to rebuild everything we destroyed.
04:00:58.000And we haven't solved the fundamental issue, which is that they may have a nuclear threshold status.
04:01:13.000So, in six months, let's say we leave now, we're still going to be begging them to give up enrichment, but just with increasingly less leverage, and they will increasingly have more of a deterrent capability.
04:01:25.000We're just resetting for the next war.
04:01:28.000That's why the administration says they want an interceptor that is cheap by the end of the year.
04:01:35.000That's why they want a $1.5 trillion military budget, because they are reloading.
04:01:41.000For what is going to be eventually probably another round of fighting with Iran.
04:04:06.000This is one of those things where, you know, people just don't want to think about it or people have this wishful thinking it's going to work out.
04:04:13.000I'm telling you, if you understand how any of this works, if you understand the logic, there's no way out of this.
04:12:23.000She goes in the group chat and she says something like, Oh, look, when Nick gets in here, you boys finally start behaving.
04:12:30.000It's like when a woman talks like that, you need to get the fuck away from her as quickly as possible.
04:12:37.000And if she's your wife, you just need to grab her by the face and just, you know, not do anything violent, but you need to be like, hey, listen, honey, I need you to stop that.
04:17:14.000So he's just aping the latest alpha in his life.
04:17:18.000Two, so he could have multiple wives, because he says, oh, it's the answer to feminism and whatever.
04:17:24.000And three, it's because in his bones, he has a chip on his shoulder against white people.
04:17:32.000He has a deep resentment against white people.
04:17:34.000He has this racial confusion, feels like he doesn't belong.
04:17:38.000He knows he acts like a cracker, but he's also brown, so he's seen as a nigger, but he also is not accepted by black people or non white people.
04:17:50.000This is why he's always taking it out on white people who think they're so much better and white supremacy and racism.
04:17:56.000And what he loves about his brown clown religion is that all of the brown people of the world get to go and worship the cube in Saudi Arabia.
04:18:08.000All the brown people get to go and whether they're Haitian or Filipino or Arab, they all get to be one human being and there's no more, we don't have to deal with white people and their attitude anymore.
04:20:01.000And sometimes, for one reason or another, people get older and they find people and they break apart or they don't find somebody and they grow older.
04:20:10.000And look, what happens is that people, for whatever reason, will fall in love with each other.
04:20:16.000There'll be kids from a previous relationship for one reason or another.
04:20:46.000And yeah, it actually does take a lot of integrity and it does take a lot of self assuredness and I think piety to step in and have love for those children and not resent them.
04:21:00.000Because you can be mad that your situation is not ideal.
04:21:04.000You can be mad that you didn't have the picture perfect life, which I think all would agree is ideal.
04:21:09.000I think anybody would agree the ideal is.
04:21:12.000Is that you fall in love with your wife?
04:21:14.000You know, you're both virgins, you have kids, they're your biological kids.
04:21:18.000I think anybody would agree that is the way anybody would want their life to go, but that's not always how it happens because life is complicated and people are complicated, and sometimes people have a circuitous road to happiness, to their family.
04:21:33.000And it actually does take a ton of integrity, and that actually is real Christ like masculinity to marry a woman, and if she has kids, treat them as the innocent children they are.
04:21:47.000And love them because they need a father, not resent them because they threaten your ego or challenge your ego.
04:23:39.000I saw the first clip where Spencer and him had a disagreement about the rules.
04:23:44.000I didn't see the final clip where Spencer's making fun of their dead child as if that's appropriate, as if that has any quarter, as if that should be tolerated in any way.
04:23:55.000He's saying the parents were reckless.
04:24:14.000I think things are funny, but that's just so beyond the pale.
04:24:20.000And then to throw out, oh, that's gay, that's caught, you know, that's easy to say when you're living like you think you're a rock star, living an irresponsible life of your own, and everybody else is supposed to pick up the pieces.
04:24:35.000The fatherless children, The women without a man, you know, we're all supposed to pick up the pieces for the rock stars that think that's gay and that's cucked and that's for losers and that's for losers that love people.
04:24:47.000I mean, you know, that's no way to live.
04:24:49.000So I just really question, you know, who are the role models going to be?
04:31:12.000It's all just saying nonsense that he doesn't really believe, that he doesn't really feel, because of what he perceives in any given moment as the most popular thing to say.
04:31:23.000Because that is how a large language model works.
04:31:27.000If you understand what ChatGPT does, Or any other LLM is, it's a prediction machine.
04:31:33.000It basically predicts what the correct letter will be, what each successive correct letter or word fragment will be.
04:31:42.000So if I say, you know, what is the color of the sky?
04:31:47.000It's basically like a prediction algorithm that says, I predict the most correct words are the color of the sky is blue.
04:32:27.000It was the most try hard chunk of Cole I've ever seen in my life.
04:32:31.000When he's not copying my tweets, the shit just sucks.
04:32:45.000He says, Sean Strickland won the real prize of being banned by the Epstein White House instead of oiling up and fighting for them like a good Mandingo slave in Django Unchained.
04:35:19.000For those that think you have a movement of chuds, I run around in a military unit with above average standards of selection and achievement.
04:35:23.000And you are well known and appreciated.
04:44:35.000As always, thank you to our top super chatters.
04:44:38.000Huge special thank you to Porsche Groyper, Femina Fides, just a girl, Holland, Nigersaurus, Lysol, Kentucky Knight, Hunter Biden's Coke Dealer, Thomas Cruz, Rhodesian Groyper, the entity JD Hamill, Lucrative producer, Legal Eagle, six or seven million, and Yappington, Yappington fell.