00:07:51.000By a monolithic and ruthless conspiracy that relies primarily on covet means, on the understanding of the sphere of influence.
00:08:05.000What makes Christianity and Christ so different from the other religions is that our religion is based on the bearing of suffering for the sake of even those that persecute us.
00:08:20.000An overflowing of love, an overflowing of self giving love, so much of it it cannot be contained.
00:08:33.000An unconditional, absolute standard of love for all of God's children.
00:08:40.000Even those that are misguided, even those that persecute us, even the most heinous among us.
00:09:25.000Read as many books as you can, learn a language, learn an instrument, get the best grades you can, get into a good school, and just don't mess around.
00:09:33.000You turn like 18, 20, and then it just goes at light speed.
00:09:37.000And if you are wasting time, years will go by.
00:09:41.000And you will wake up when you're 25 years old and say, I thought I would have accomplished more by now.
00:09:46.000Why am I still stuck in the same place?
00:09:50.000Let time be your ally by working every single day at what you think you want to be doing in 20 years.
00:10:04.000The servant who received five talents invested it and earned five more.
00:10:09.000The one who received two talents also invested wisely and earned two more.
00:10:15.000But the servant who received one talent went and dug a hole in the ground and hid his master's money.
00:10:22.000When the master returned, the servant with five talents said, Master, you gave me five and look, I've gained five more.
00:10:30.000The master replied, Well done, good and faithful servant.
00:10:34.000Because you have been faithful with little, I will put you in charge of much.
00:10:40.000The servant with two talents said, Master, you gave me two, and look, I've gained two more.
00:10:46.000The master said the same, Well done, good and faithful servant.
00:10:51.000You have been faithful with little, I will trust you with much.
00:10:56.000But the servant with one talent said, Master, I was afraid, so I hid your money in the ground.
00:11:48.000Let's say that Kamala Harris had won the election in 2024.
00:11:51.000If Kamala doubled down on supporting Ukraine as Trump has, if Kamala bombed Iran, there'd be riots in the streets.
00:11:59.000People would say our illegitimate president, who cheated her way into the nomination, she's expanding the war, she's expanding World War III into the Middle East.
00:12:08.000Everybody would say this is illegitimate, this is like a crime.
00:12:11.000But because it was Trump, 90% of Republicans supported Trump bombing Iran on Israel's behalf.
00:12:51.000After October 7th, the Jews knew that the Republican Party, controlled by AIPAC, controlled by Israel, and with Trump in office, they were going to let Israel do whatever they wanted to do.
00:13:50.000When Israel was under attack, They played into the right wing because they knew that the Republican Party would say things like, There's a Muslim takeover of America.
00:42:01.000What I am not happy to do is have a debate with somebody who has joked about my death, called people who work for me Shabbos boy race traitors.
00:42:08.000faggot feeding grounds at the edge of the ice nor return to the colony
00:42:35.000Shortly afterwards, we saw him heading straight towards the mountains, some 70 kilometers away.
00:42:45.000Dr. Ainley explained that even if he caught him and brought him back to the colony, he would immediately head right back for the mountain.
00:43:13.000Half ago, people said, I just can't even imagine Trump bringing us to war in Iran for regime change.
00:52:41.000Well, mine is gon' stream while you watchin' HD.
00:52:43.000They say that karma could take an eternity, yours is droppin' insane.
00:52:47.000Funny thing is that they ain't gon' compete.
00:52:50.000You gon' get yours while I'm doing me.
00:52:56.000You gon' get yours while I'm doing me.
00:53:03.000Hey, Johnny, show, I get a sneak peek, baby Blow on me just like some green tea, baby Tired of all of y'all telling me is real Yeah,
00:53:25.000I know when it's real You only come home to pose and pop off a look But you forgot how I feel Shot town popping up here, go on a drill Looking for someone to kill White kids listen to you, cause they feel some guilt And that's how your soul get fulfilled Handing out turkeys on camera inside of your hood Then you go back to the hills How many houses you build?
00:53:45.000How many souls did you heal off the back of your deal Difference between niggas getting you out of your deal and letting you out of your deal Damn, against your will, how many new names do you got on your will?
00:53:55.000Damn, how many more times is y'all gonna keep calling this sauce when it's silk?
00:54:00.000Damn, how many more interviews y'all gonna do just to get ice and chill?
00:54:03.000Damn, they tryna cover it up like a quilt.
00:54:13.000That's just how I do the sauce and the spill.
00:54:15.000These f**** know how I pop it for real.
00:54:17.000These f*** know how I pop it for real.
00:54:19.000Yeah, yeah I made way too much in a week Must be 250 at least Like the money just grew off a tree Like the money just came in for free For real
00:54:37.000Yeah, and my arm machine scanning my knee Like how long you been running the streets For real Yeah, she just hit me like we in Paris like 200 D For real And I went bought a whip for my brother Same body but two different colors And I might just chill, cock it another Small price as he kept it 100 And I might book a flight out to London
00:55:40.000Tree bend, turn shit up again Never gonna take it, get a little bit out the can Cutting ties with all my friends All the way down that road I can go again.
00:56:03.000They say twin, you know what I'm saying?
00:56:06.000Outside is better than what it was, you know what I'm saying?
00:56:08.000Atlanta, I'll tell you about my run, you know what I'm saying?
00:56:12.000Ask Pluto Banker 21, you know what I'm saying?
00:56:15.000I done put up half, what's done is done, you know what I'm saying?
00:56:19.000Two cars in the back, two in the front, you know what I'm saying?
00:56:22.000They so down from me, gotta punt, you understand, Me and Andrew's bad by popular demand, got a three tick.
00:56:35.000I ain't St. John the Baptist on the land I ain't Lori Lynn Stark on my pen And I'm quick to turn a hat into a fan Niggas standing ten toes on quick sand If they could've been, they would've been But they can't Embarrassment, the only thing I'm getting secondhand It costs a lot for that Mercedes stretch of the hand She said it's time for a lot because I'm back with Taliban Come right now,
00:57:04.000bring a friend for my friend Come right now, bring a friend for my friend Know what I'm saying?
00:57:12.000Outside is back to what it was, you know what I'm saying?
00:57:15.000Atlanta, I'll tell you about my run, you know what I'm saying?
00:57:18.000Ass Pluto Bank of 21, you know what I'm saying?
00:57:22.000I done put up half, what's done is done, you know what I'm saying?
00:57:25.000Two cars in the back, two in the front, you know what I'm saying?
00:57:28.000They so down for me, gotta punt, you understand?
00:57:38.000I just fucked the Mindy off on some fast shit, what else?
00:57:42.000I just fucked the Mindy off on some fast shit, what else?
00:58:18.000I just ran a million up on some slime shit I just fucked they feelings up on some pride shit I just fucked Chanelia up on some light shit Bolly Santana, gon' make them rewind it Diamonds on diamonds and helmets on helmets I'm a big shot where these hoes are around him Talkin' bout billions, he talkin' on camera Think he a dirty, ain't nobody around him Bolly Santana, new head on Montana Bolly Santana, new head on Montana Bolly Santana, new head on Montana Bolly Santana,
00:58:45.000new head on Montana Iceman turn, what else?
00:58:59.000Iceman turn Iceman turn, Iceman turn Like we knew that the tables were Iceman back outside for the greater Good fuck you pussy, but shout out your neighbor I get mentioned a lot by a bunch of people that I wish I never met We sharing women that I already fucked at the height of my success All you pussy boys losing it and you need to take meds When I tell you, dear, cause it's ice time, bitch, it ain't the fake fans Iceman turn, what else?
01:01:20.000The United States military began major combat operations in Iran.
01:01:26.000To consign the American empire to destruction while they look forward to a golden age, while they look forward to a century of empire and domination.
01:01:36.000Maybe we can't stop it, but I'm not going along with it.
01:02:14.000When Syria and Egypt launched a surprise attack on Israel, which started the Yom Kippur War on October 6th, 1973, almost 50 years exactly before October 7th, Israel was almost overrun.
01:02:27.000And the United States was reluctant to provide them with the military support that they needed to defend themselves.
01:02:33.000So, the prime minister of Israel, Golda Meir, called up Nixon and said, If you don't help us, we will nuke Syria and Egypt.
01:05:12.000what do you think look at my shoes aren't they great You look like a gangster.
01:05:58.000Sometimes it's too hard to sit still If it's time I'll spend, don't let me fall asleep Feeling empty again, tonight I'll lie awake
01:06:30.000have told himself would learn to the strength that a line would not care if his line died things have to change Lion himself would accept such a deal.
01:13:40.000You don't need fear, but if you think you can hide without you
01:14:09.000You can hide and play inside, bubblegum Look at the heat, does it really all have to wind up as bubblegum? The ground lies a tiny struggle, it's just a dream I hate to waste your bubblegum Just change, entire lives are just a rubblegum Stars shooting down, moving on, hope of glory Phones march over earth, lost in the fog
01:17:37.000You're raised by your parents, you go to school, you finish school, then you move into an apartment as a single man or woman, and you go to work.
01:18:43.000So it's totally fair for us to recognize that the countries around Russia, no, we shouldn't be invading or torturing them or oppressing them.
01:18:52.000And big picture, holy smokes, you do not want the two largest powers in the world, apart from the United States, to get together and align against us.
01:19:01.000Why do you support Israel against Hamas, for example?
01:19:05.000Why do you support America giving them billions of dollars?
01:22:21.000The United States is going in with a private company as a passive investor, not with the Venezuelan government itself, but with one of their aligned oligarchs.
01:22:32.000And together with this company through the Pentagon, we're going to be claiming access to a massive amount of Venezuela's unexploited oil reserves.
01:22:44.000And this is supposed to set up the United States with a supply of oil, hopefully in the near future.
01:22:50.000Now, this can only be understood in the context, I think, of what is happening with Iran.
01:22:57.000And not just about the war in Iran, but specifically that the war in Iran is causing oil prices to increase.
01:23:06.000And this is how the Trump administration has handled its foreign policy from the very beginning, since the war started in February, which is you have a very specific, concerted effort to control the timing of the headlines.
01:23:22.000And what I mean by that is, we choose to escalate in Iran or de escalate depending upon when the market opens and closes.
01:23:32.000And I think this is a lot more of the same.
01:23:37.000Why were some of the particulars announced when they were?
01:23:42.000It's because this is in anticipation of the fact that the strategic petroleum reserve is running dangerously low.
01:23:50.000So, why do they make the big announcement about securing Venezuela's oil?
01:23:54.000It is to restore confidence to the market.
01:23:57.000That theoretically, potentially in the near future, the oil supply crunch is going to be ameliorated.
01:24:05.000So, we'll talk a little bit about that and why I feel that way.
01:24:09.000Really, it has a lot to do with how the oil market works.
01:24:13.000What a lot of people don't understand about this deal and about the Venezuela operation altogether is that you don't get Venezuela's oil right out of the gate.
01:24:23.000The same problem that you have with bombing Iran's oil infrastructure or the threat that they might bomb Saudi Arabia, the Gulf countries.
01:24:31.000Is that oil infrastructure takes years to build or repair.
01:24:38.000So let's say, for example, we go in and we bomb Iran's oil infrastructure, they bomb Saudi Arabia.
01:24:44.000The critical difference between that and what we are doing already is that what we are doing already is reversible.
01:24:52.000Closing the Strait of Hormuz, blockading the ports can be undone in a day or a week.
01:24:58.000Bombing the infrastructure cannot be undone for years, maybe more than a decade.
01:25:04.000And the situation is the same in Venezuela.
01:25:06.000We can announce the deal this weekend.
01:25:09.000When do you actually get the oil, though?
01:25:11.000You don't get the oil for five years, maybe at the very earliest.
01:25:16.000And there's a lot of questions involved in whether that's even possible.
01:25:41.000But for the first time since Trump unilaterally stopped the strikes on Iran about four weeks ago, there was another exchange of fire between the U.S. and Iran.
01:25:51.000And it started on Saturday when the United States launched a drone attack from Jordan against some Iranian positions on one of the islands near the Strait of Hormuz.
01:26:03.000Iran retaliated, they bombed Jordan and I believe Bahrain, and they retaliated against U.S. positions in those countries.
01:26:12.000Now, the Pentagon is leaning towards restarting the war altogether.
01:26:17.000And specifically, they say they're going to be mowing the grass.
01:26:20.000They're going to be going back to war in Iran, not to achieve victory, but to mitigate some of the threats from Iranian drones and missiles, which they're trying to reconstitute.
01:26:31.000Apparently, the Pentagon is claiming that they've been somewhat successful in suppressing Iranian fire on the commercial shipping going through the Strait.
01:26:43.000Of the pre war volume of oil through the Strait, bypassing Iran's blockade by using U.S. escorts and other tactics that are allowing certain tankers to get through without being either intercepted or threatened in any other way.
01:27:00.000So we'll talk a little bit about that as well.
01:28:31.000I want to get my Arch of Titus t shirt out.
01:28:33.000I don't know if you guys saw, but I posted on Telegram, there was a really good clip.
01:28:38.000And I think I saw this on either Instagram or Twitter.
01:28:42.000But there was a great clip this weekend.
01:28:45.000A rabbi was responding to a clip of mine.
01:28:48.000Where I'm talking about the Arch of Titus t shirt.
01:28:51.000And I'm showing the shirt on the stream, and I said, and I say it every time I promote it, that this is actually more offensive and more implicit to the Zionists, to the Israelis, than even some of the more red pill type stuff, like about 9 11 or about Epstein Island or the Liberty.
01:29:13.000I say this like every week that I promote the show.
01:29:15.000I say, realistically speaking, you can talk about the USS Liberty.
01:30:55.000And I've noticed that's the one thing they don't like because lately some of the rabbis have been coming around, Mizrahi and some of the other ones.
01:31:02.000They say, You know, this Nick Fuentes guy, he kind of knows what he's talking about, but they don't like the t shirt.
01:33:22.000And there was a big speech today by Vivek Ramaswamy, who was one of the speakers at the conference.
01:33:28.000And so, this is a conference of all of the major, high powered Jewish donors to the Republican Party and activists and party membership.
01:33:38.000And what they are there to promote is the Jewish self interest in U.S. politics, which is really comprised of two specific things it is supporting Israel and fighting anti Semitism.
01:33:53.000So, you have what is a Republican Jewish coalition?
01:33:57.000It's Jewish Republicans getting together and saying what is in the best interest of Jews.
01:34:03.000And what that almost always coalesces into is two specific issues promotion of Israel's national interest and how America can support Israel.
01:34:14.000And the second is combating anti Semitism what the government and civil society and the private sector can do to police, monitor, and shut down anti Semitic thought.
01:34:27.000Speech, actions, which is a pretty interesting concept to begin with, which is fairly obvious.
01:34:35.000But I want to talk a little bit about what went down there this weekend.
01:34:40.000So, Vivek Ramaswamy gave a speech there.
01:34:43.000And as you know, he's running as the Republican for governor in Ohio.
01:34:48.000And I've seen a lot of people get behind Vivek Ramaswamy.
01:34:52.000All of the pro Trump people, all of these Republican shills, they're all out there campaigning for Vivek.
01:34:59.000Even though he's in support of H 1B visas, even though he's anti white, a non Christian, even though he is kind of the antithesis of what MAGA is about, nevertheless, the MAGA movement has consolidated its support behind him because he's the Republican.
01:35:17.000And he goes up there and gives a speech at the Republican Jewish Coalition, and he opens up with this little statement about how the only reason anybody is anti Semitic, the reason that there are all of these Anti Jewish attitudes or controversy in America.
01:35:37.000He said it's because the Gentiles are simply jealous.
01:35:41.000He says to the RJC crowd that Jews are the most successful group in America.
01:35:47.000He says, and congratulations, good job, everybody.
01:35:51.000And then further, he says, that's the only reason why anybody has a problem with this group.
01:35:59.000All the anti Semitism, all of the critique and criticism of Jews as a group, Their role in politics.
01:36:06.000He said all of that is overflowing from bitter, malicious resentment and envy because they're just doing so well.
01:36:17.000And I see that speech, and you really begin to wonder how has the Republican Party actually meaningfully changed in any way over the past 10 years?
01:36:31.000Because I know we like to think, I think people on both sides of this debate.
01:36:37.000The more pro Trump Republicans, the more anti Trump Republicans.
01:36:41.000I think that people on both sides of that conversation would like to think that we've really made a lot of progress in the past 10 years.
01:36:50.000That the kind of neoconservatism, the dispensationalist Christianity, the Judeo Christian thing, the slavish support of Israel, a lot of people like to think that all of that is a thing of the past, that that was vanquished and we've moved on.
01:37:23.000But then you hear a statement like this from the potentially future governor of Ohio on the Republican side, and you realize we're really just right back where we started.
01:37:38.000Because think about it Vivek Ramaswamy is a neoliberal.
01:37:42.000Meaning, he is in favor of total free market capitalism.
01:37:46.000He believes that America exists for the free movement of goods and people.
01:37:52.000Open borders with a meritocratic immigration process.
01:37:57.000We want all the Asian tiger nations to send their Indians and Chinese H 1B applicants and their coders and developers.
01:38:05.000And America exists for those people to get rich.
01:38:08.000He's also a neoconservative, totally supports Israel.
01:38:12.000Absolutely in favor of the Israeli takeover of American tech defense industry.
01:38:19.000And in the end, he's another one of these slavish, pro Israel Zionist types.
01:38:24.000The only difference, however, between someone like Vivek and the Republicans that came before is that Vivek Ramaswamy is neither white nor Christian.
01:38:35.000So 20 years ago, George W. Bush was saying all the same things, but at least he was nominally a Christian and was white.
01:38:43.000You had people like John McCain and John Huntsman and Rick Santorum and Eric Cantor.
01:38:48.000All these people, they had really the same politics as Vivek and Vance and Rubio and the rest of them.
01:38:56.000It's just that the difference is everybody was white 20 years ago, everybody was Christian 20 years ago.
01:39:04.000We're actually getting the exact same fare, except it's worse because we're getting it from racial aliens, people that don't believe in Jesus Christ, people that arguably don't even really know what it means to be American.
01:39:19.000Now, there are a lot of people that have this very interesting position, and I've seen this in the past couple of years.
01:39:26.000They're hypercritical of Elon Musk andor Vivek Ramaswamy.
01:39:32.000We all remember the Christmas crash out of 2024 when, after the 2024 presidential election, all of the tech oligarchs like Vivek and like Elon Musk and the others crashed out on Twitter over some of the attacks from the Trump right.
01:39:50.000On H 1B visa applicants, on Indians in the Trump administration, on the glut of skilled labor that's coming from India.
01:40:00.000And Vivek had his famous effort post where he said that the reason white Americans are falling behind is because they're not doing math Olympiads.
01:40:09.000They're too busy taking their girlfriend to prom.
01:40:11.000They're not watching the Big Bang Theory, they're watching Save by the Bell.
01:40:16.000And at the same time, Elon Musk went on Twitter and said that anyone that is racist against Indians.
01:40:22.000Because they oppose H 1Bs, they should go fuck themselves in the face and they're racist and they gotta go.
01:40:29.000Now, there's been this curious position ever since then where there are people that are pro Trump and moreover, they're very pro Vance.
01:41:30.000And maybe the biggest point of all is that Vivek comes from that same world Vivek Ramaswamy, David Sachs, Vance.
01:41:39.000People like Sean McGuire, Sri Ram Krishnam, he was the source of all that acrimony in 2024.
01:41:46.000These people all operate in the same world.
01:41:49.000Why is it so important that Republicans get the governor's mansion in Ohio?
01:41:54.000It's because that's where Andoril, which is run by Palmer Lucky, which was funded by JD Vance and Peter Thiel's venture firms, that's where they're going to build their new factory to build their drones.
01:42:05.000And it's all of those Doge people that came in back in the beginning of 2025.
01:42:11.000They brought in all of the PayPal mafia, Andoril, Palantir people, and started giving out those DOW contracts.
01:42:20.000So these people are all clicked up politically, financially, historically.
01:42:25.000And yet you have all these pro Trump people saying it's all about JD Vance.
01:42:31.000Everything is just about getting him the nomination, getting him elected.
01:42:36.000He is a national populist or a national conservative.
01:42:39.000He's the last best hope for the Republicans.
01:42:42.000And they say that on the one hand, And then on the other, they say, but not this Vivek guy.
01:42:48.000Maybe reluctantly vote for him, but he is just the worst and he represents everything that's wrong with the country.
01:42:55.000He's putting white Americans down and blaming them, victim blaming, really, for being destroyed by free trade and mass migration.
01:43:07.000And then at the exact same time that Vivek is giving his speech at the Republican Jewish Coalition about how everybody's anti Semitic because they're just jealous of the Jews, at the same time, JD Vance is in Michigan, stumping for the Republican Senate candidate there.
01:43:29.000In the speech, he says that it is anti American and toxic to favor one ethnic group over another, to say one ethnic group deserves something that some other ethnic group doesn't deserve.
01:43:43.000He says that is fundamentally contradictory to what it is to be American.
01:44:33.000It's all these things that all these people have been saying realistically for the past four or five years in different venues and different forums, different personnel, but it's all the same group.
01:44:46.000You go back to the founding National Conservatism Conference, you can go back to Joe Kent's campaign for Congress in 2022, you can go to Tucker Carlson's show at Fox News or since he left Fox News.
01:45:04.000Which is, we're going to court the Jews on some level, and we're going to say, look, we love Israel, and Israel's the Holy Land, and they're our ally, and all this, but we just don't want to go to war with Iran.
01:45:19.000And they're going to go to the RJC, and they're going to say, Mark Levin is part of the coalition, just like Tucker.
01:45:25.000And they're going to say, anti Semitism is caused by envy.
01:45:29.000They're going to say, we're a colorblind meritocracy.
01:45:32.000No ethnicity should have any favor, no one deserves anything.
01:46:12.000And what I mean by that is back in 2024, Trump was telling you and specifically telegraphing everything that he has gone on to do in a second term.
01:46:22.000He said during the campaign he was going to staple green cards to diplomas.
01:46:27.000He said during the campaign, how are we going to do mass deportations?
01:46:31.000Well, we'll prioritize the violent offenders, we'll deal with everybody else later.
01:46:38.000He said in 24 to Miriam Adelson privately, We're going to give you the West Bank.
01:46:43.000We're going to give you the war with Iran.
01:46:45.000If Iran messes with us, we're going to wipe them off the map.
01:46:49.000Everything that has come to pass, he, in one way or another, either implicitly or explicitly, he either telegraphed it or he said it out loud, he broadcasted how it was going to be.
01:47:01.000And his biggest defenders on the timeline back then, they were all saying then about Trump what they are saying now about Vance, which is don't believe your lying eyes.
01:47:15.000And when they say these things, don't believe it.
01:47:19.000When Vance comes out and says, hey man, it's a colorblind meritocracy.
01:47:29.000When you see these things, when you hear them endorse Vivek, give the campaign staff to Vivek, Vivek goes to the Republican Jewish coalition and says, they hate you because they ain't you.
01:47:41.000And Vance says on Megyn Kelly's show, look, Mark Levin and Tucker are part of the coalition.
01:50:38.000I don't want to do a whole story about it, but I did watch those speeches and I'm thinking to myself, yeah, this is going to be the successor to Trumpism.
01:51:06.000It's literally all of these non American immigrants, lots of Indians, many of them Jewish and Israeli, people like Sean McGuire, people like Jacob Hellberg.
01:51:34.000I'm not going to blackpill, I'm not going to say we're not going to try.
01:51:38.000But I think that in 2028, Vance is going to be our strongest contender.
01:51:42.000And by that, I don't mean he's the best chance.
01:51:44.000I mean he's probably the most likely nominee.
01:51:49.000And I think the best opportunity we have is that he is going to spectacularly fail because of his attachment to the politically toxic Trump.
01:52:14.000I mean, I thought it would be better if Kamala won.
01:52:17.000But I think at this point, the best hope is that they really go out there and they try.
01:52:23.000And even with all the little tech money and everything, even with the Trump imprimatur on this and the Trump GOP and everybody in alignment, I don't think it's going to overcome the Democrats.
01:52:34.000And I hope it'll demonstrate to these people that that is missing a very key ingredient in the Republican coalition, which is the base.
01:52:43.000All the little tech money, the Trump apparatchiks, the Mar a Lago court.
01:52:48.000They're going to put all these pieces together, but it's just missing one thing, and that's the base.
01:53:25.000That this is the big chessboard, and that clearly Venezuela and Iran are inextricably connected in some way because of the role that energy is playing in both of these conflicts.
01:53:38.000And so, our featured story is about this deal, which was announced by Trump on True Social on Friday.
01:53:45.000And we're not so clear on all the details, but we do understand the basic framework.
01:53:51.000And the deal goes something like this.
01:53:54.000The Pentagon, through the Office of Strategic Capital, which was created in 2022 and is now run by a figure named Steven Feinberg, who's a little bit ominous, through the Office of Strategic Capital, the Pentagon is taking a stake in a private company run by a Venezuelan oligarch, which is the second biggest oil company in Venezuela.
01:54:20.000The Pentagon is taking a 35% passive stake in the company.
01:54:25.000We're going to get rights to buy 20% of the oil this company produces at cost.
01:54:31.000And this deal was approved of by Venezuela's government, even though they're not a party in the agreement.
01:54:38.000And as part of the agreement, this new company, or I suppose it's an existing company, is going to surge about 50 new oil platforms in the near future, new oil rigs to exploit some of Venezuela's untapped oil reserves.
01:54:55.000In the hopes that they could very quickly expedite the process of increasing Venezuela's oil supply and then guarantee that they're going to sell it to the United States.
01:55:06.000That's the basic structure of the deal.
01:55:12.000It says The agreement announced on Friday evening would give Washington a direct financial stake in a private company that would be granted century long rights to some of the world's largest proven oil reserves.
01:55:24.000The private company, led by Venezuelan businessman Alejandro Betancourt, Would have the opportunity to develop 17 oil fields said to contain 65 billion barrels of oil, or one fifth of the country's reserves.
01:55:39.000The Pentagon and a striking expansion of its remit would help finance the oil venture and reap the rewards of its future output.
01:55:47.000Trump and interim Venezuelan President Delcy Rodriguez agreed to the outlines of the deal days before the announcement was made on Friday night.
01:55:55.000Although it was negotiated by senior officials in both governments, the structure would make the U.S. an investor in a private company.
01:56:02.000Rather than a direct counterparty to the Venezuelan government.
01:56:07.000So that's where it gets a little bit complicated.
01:56:09.000The interim president, she was the vice president, Delcy Rodriguez, approved of the deal, but the government is not formally involved.
01:56:19.000We are dealing with a private company that the Pentagon is taking a stake in.
01:56:27.000The U.S. plans to take a 35% passive stake in Betancourt's North American Blue Energy Partners and would secure preferential rights to purchase 20% of its oil production at cost.
01:56:39.000The Pentagon's Office of Strategic Capital plans to structure the investment through penny warrants that would yield the U.S. an equity ownership in the business without a significant capital investment.
01:56:50.000Betancourt has served as a broker in Venezuela's energy deals and has close ties to Rodriguez.
01:56:56.000The substance of the agreement appears to be in direct conflict with Venezuela's 1999 constitution, which states that the country's oil reserves belong to the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela and cannot be sold.
01:57:08.000Venezuela, though, isn't currently a major oil producer.
01:57:12.000It pumps only 1.1 million barrels per day.
01:57:15.000Restoring production would take years and is unlikely to quickly spur the drop in gas prices that Trump has promised.
01:57:22.000So here is the complication with all of this.
01:57:26.000As you know, at the beginning of the year, Trump extradited Nicolas Maduro, the president of Venezuela, and has effectively now taken political control over the country.
01:57:40.000Now you've got American cabinet officials like the Energy Secretary Chris Wright.
01:57:45.000And the CIA director John Ratcliffe and the Secretary of State Marco Rubio, they're all coming to Venezuela all the time.
01:57:53.000And they're meeting with Delcy Rodriguez, they're meeting with the government.
01:57:57.000And it appears that the United States has effectively taken control over the country.
01:58:02.000And a lot of people presume that the reason we did this, aside from some of the strategic reasons having to do with Caracas's alignment with China and with Russia, is to secure Venezuela's oil.
01:58:16.000What is important to understand about Venezuela, however, is that while Venezuela has the largest proven oil reserves in the world, realistically, maybe Saudi Arabia has more oil, but Venezuela's oil reserves are known.
01:58:33.000Even though they have the largest oil reserves in the world, they're not exploiting the oil at all.
01:58:41.000And it was thought at one time that Venezuela's oil production might go up to four or five million barrels per day.
01:58:49.000And then they would be a serious producer.
01:58:53.000But because of political corruption, mismanagement, lack of investment, not only has their oil production stagnated, it's actually gone down over time.
01:59:02.000And because of U.S. sanctions and other interference, now they're only pumping a little bit more than 1 million barrels per day.
01:59:09.000So they're not actually a major exporter of oil or even a major producer of oil at this point in time, and really for the past 10 or 15 years.
01:59:20.000Why this matters is because if Trump's intention in seizing control of Venezuela is so that we could take their oil, which is what everybody says, we invaded to take the oil, and some people say Israel has something to do with this, this is actually a much longer term project than the capture of the government.
01:59:45.000Taking control of Venezuela took three months, the actual operation took something like 24 hours.
01:59:53.000But actually, getting Venezuela's oil production at the level where it could be, that's going to take 5, 10, maybe 15 years.
02:00:05.000First and foremost, even assuming that private investment could come in and they could do this without having to worry about the government and without having to worry about violence and without having to worry about the government revoking their rights or seizing their infrastructure,
02:00:22.000even all things being equal, it would take years for the investment to show up, for them to actually go down to the country, for them to repair the existing infrastructure or build new infrastructure.
02:00:40.000But that's assuming a lot of things because it isn't that simple.
02:00:45.000One of the primary reasons that private investors have such a gripe with Venezuela is because they did this 30, 40 years ago.
02:00:54.000And when the Bolivarian Revolution happened under Hugo Chavez at the turn of the century, the Venezuelan government took all their infrastructure and took all their oil and took all their profits.
02:01:09.000And to this day, those oil companies have not been made whole.
02:01:13.000So there's a major gap in trust and confidence and reliability.
02:01:19.000There's no guarantee that these American oil companies that now theoretically might be cleared to go in and start investing and building and extracting oil, there's no guarantee because the political situation is unstable and uncertain and unreliable that they're ever going to reap.
02:01:39.000The profits on these investments in 5, 10, 15, 20 years.
02:01:45.000Who's to say that there's not another revolution in Venezuela or that when the transition from Trump to the next president takes place, we don't relinquish our control of Venezuela and then maybe a more militaristic, defiant Venezuelan president takes all the infrastructure back?
02:02:04.000And if there's no guarantee on the investment, if there's no confidence, if there's no security, Then they're not going to put the money up.
02:02:12.000So, whereas Trump, ever since he extradited Maduro, has been kicking ExxonMobil and kicking some of the other American oil companies to race down there and put up all the capital and put their personnel in harm's way and start building, all these companies are reluctant because they're thinking in three years, Trump isn't going to be in office.
02:02:33.000So, the guarantor of this deal is not even going to be in the picture.
02:02:38.000And then, what happens with Venezuela's regime?
02:02:40.000Are we still going to be dealing with Delcy Rodriguez?
02:02:43.000Are we going to be dealing with somebody else?
02:02:47.000Are they going to keep their end of the bargain?
02:02:50.000And for the economics of that investment to make sense, well, they're not even going to be done in three years, let alone reaping the return on the investment.
02:03:00.000That's going to be a much longer term timeline.
02:03:04.000So that's why they're not racing down there even to start this long and capital intensive and arduous process of bringing Venezuela's oil infrastructure back online, optimizing the production.
02:03:18.000And then that output going to Texas and Louisiana to American consumers.
02:03:24.000Now, with this in mind, this is important to understand.
02:03:28.000Many of the American oil companies are not happy about this announcement.
02:03:33.000And they're protesting because they say the prospect of a private company like ExxonMobil competing with the U.S. government for oil contracts is a little bit unfair.
02:03:46.000You've got a Venezuelan company that is backed by the U.S. military, by the Pentagon.
02:03:52.000By the Office of Strategic Capital, which has about $200 billion to spend.
02:03:57.000And private companies are saying, well, that's not really fair.
02:04:03.000We don't have the force of the U.S. government to lean on the government of Venezuela.
02:04:09.000But in the context of their unwillingness to rush in, which is really more of a strategic priority than any kind of financial profit making incentive, it sort of makes sense.
02:04:22.000Trump has been pleading with the oil companies to go down there and start extracting the oil.
02:04:28.000And again, Trump is not only asking for them to do this, but to do this in spite of the risk.
02:04:33.000In spite of the instability, in spite of the lack of guarantees, which are inherent, and there's really no way to create guarantees, because these companies are not doing this, it seems that Trump is now mobilizing the military's capital to say, well, if ExxonMobil won't make the investment, if they won't increase the supply of energy for the United States, then I will.
02:04:58.000I'll bring the Pentagon in as a partner to some other private company.
02:05:02.000And right now, Chevron is making about 300,000 barrels per day.
02:05:08.000This company run by Alejandro Betancourt is producing about 200,000 barrels per day.
02:05:14.000When all is said and done, this company is going to be the largest oil producer in Venezuela.
02:05:20.000They might be producing a million barrels per day.
02:05:23.000And that company is going to get all the profits.
02:05:25.000And that company is going to become fabulously wealthy.
02:05:29.000And they're going to do it with the Office of Strategic Capital in the Pentagon as a partner.
02:05:34.000And I think what this does is actually twofold.
02:05:37.000One, this is actually going to accelerate.
02:05:40.000The construction of this infrastructure and then bring this oil to the market much faster.
02:05:47.000But secondarily, it's going to have the knock on effect of maybe this puts pressure on American companies to go in and do the same thing.
02:05:56.000Maybe this is the confidence inspiring mechanism if Exxon is sitting on the sideline, if Exxon and Chevron to some extent, if they're sitting on the sideline waiting to see whether there's going to be any guarantee.
02:06:12.000Or reliability that this government is going to see these contracts through.
02:06:17.000Maybe this is the sign that if Caracas is working with the Pentagon and a Venezuelan private company to secure this investment, maybe that will spur the private companies to accelerate the construction of all this infrastructure.
02:06:32.000And then that's just going to accelerate the entire timeline of bringing the oil out of Venezuela into the United States.
02:06:40.000There's some more details about this because this was my initial question.
02:06:44.000The deal was announced on Friday, and a lot of people are wondering so the United States secured this passive stake in a Venezuelan company.
02:06:54.000They apparently have the assent of the Venezuelan government to do this.
02:07:00.000The open question then is well, when is this going to happen and to what extent?
02:07:18.000Huge effort underway to put something like 50 new oil rigs in Venezuela in the next couple years, which is far ahead of the timeline of some of these other companies.
02:07:30.000And this is a story from Wall Street Journal.
02:07:33.000It says, The Venezuelan oil company plans to dispatch more than 50 drilling rigs to Latin America over the next few years.
02:07:42.000Alejandro Betancourt's North American Blue Energy Partners is aiming to move six drilling rigs.
02:07:48.000Into its Venezuelan oil fields by the end of 2026.
02:07:52.000Next year, it plans to deploy 12 more rigs, and in 2028 and beyond, an additional two rigs per month.
02:07:59.000The total is eventually expected to reach 52.
02:08:02.000Under Trump's plan, the U.S. would take a direct stake in the company, which will develop 17 fields housing 65 billion barrels of oil, or one fifth of the country's reserves.
02:08:14.000U.S. officials have said the state backed company would be the second largest corporate holder of proven reserves after Saudi Aramco.
02:08:22.000Venezuela, which is home to the world's largest proven oil reserves, has seen production dwindle.
02:08:29.000Over the past decade, to about 1.2 million barrels per day.
02:08:32.000The company is paying for the drilling campaign itself with cash flow from its oil production, the people familiar with the deal said.
02:08:40.000NABEP pumps 200,000 barrels of oil per day and is the second largest private producer in Venezuela behind Chevron.
02:08:48.000So it sounds like they're accelerating the rate of bringing this capital back online.
02:09:49.000Now, adding Venezuela's oil reserves on top of ours, that makes us one of the largest holders of oil in the world.
02:09:58.000I think one number said it makes us on par with the United Arab Emirates.
02:10:03.000We're making more oil than Kuwait, and we have slightly less than the UAE.
02:10:08.000Is it not an America first policy to have all of our oil, natural gas, and other energy within our hemisphere?
02:10:16.000We don't need oil from the Middle East.
02:10:19.000We don't need oil from other countries.
02:10:21.000We go to Canada and Venezuela to get it.
02:10:24.000What this ensures is that we are always going to have a bountiful supply of energy.
02:10:30.000It doesn't matter what happens in the entire Eurasian African landmass, it doesn't matter what the instability is there.
02:10:39.000Even if prices go up on the global market, one, we're increasing production in total, which weakens the leverage of countries like Russia or Saudi Arabia or Iran.
02:10:50.000But also, it guarantees that even if oil production goes down because of what is happening in Russia right now or what is happening in the Persian Gulf, at the minimum, we're always going to have energy.
02:11:05.000China will be dependent on the Persian Gulf, Europe is, in some sense, dependent on Russia.
02:11:13.000Other countries, particularly middle powers, other great powers, they will be dependent on everybody else.
02:11:20.000And that will deeply affect their economy.
02:11:23.000And they will have to account for these things.
02:11:25.000But if in the long term, the United States is sitting on the world's largest oil reserves, we've got Canada up there, we've got the oil sands in North Dakota, we've got oil fields in Texas.
02:11:37.000And then you could add on to that in some hypothetical timeline all of Mexico's energy, all of Venezuela's energy.
02:11:48.000This is an example of what an active interventionist America first foreign policy looks like, which is that we're going to control what happens in our hemisphere.
02:11:59.000And specifically, we're going to use the military and we're going to use our other soft power capabilities specifically for American interests.
02:12:09.000And the problem with the war in Iraq or the war in Iran or the other wars that have happened over the past 25 years is not that they are wars.
02:12:18.000It's not that we are using the military and intervening in some way.
02:12:23.000The problem with each and every one of those interventions, the biggest problem, is that they were not fundamentally essential interests of the United States and particularly of its citizens.
02:12:37.000Theoretically, there was an interest that was served in degrading Russia's military.
02:12:43.000And theoretically, there's an interest served in degrading Iran's military capability.
02:12:48.000And theoretically, it would have been nice if Saddam Hussein was no longer in power.
02:12:54.000But those were not existential risks to Americans.
02:12:58.000There wasn't actually a tangible, direct American interest that was served.
02:13:03.000But that cannot be said about taking over Venezuela.
02:13:08.000The benefit is so clear and so obvious and so tangible.
02:13:13.000The course of the conflict, I think, was economical and relatively restrained.
02:13:19.000So at this point in time, here we are, eight months later, there's zero casualties.
02:13:26.000The war, if you want to call it that, lasted a day, realistically, even less than that.
02:13:31.000And in the end, what it's going to reward us with is potentially, what is it, 65 billion barrels of oil?
02:13:40.000That sounds like as America first as it gets.
02:13:43.000And the only reason, by the way, that anybody was against this policy in the first place back in January is because they were told to be against it by the left.
02:13:55.000Why is it that Max Blumenthal and Hassan Pike And Ryan Grimm and the rest of them, why were they against Trump's intervention in Venezuela?
02:14:29.000Maybe even just formally, if not ideologically, of Russia.
02:14:34.000Why was the American Communist Party protesting that?
02:14:37.000Well, they're communists like Maduro, Blumenthal, Ryan Grimm, the rest of them.
02:14:43.000Why were they all saying hands off Venezuela?
02:14:45.000Because they wanted to guarantee the regime survival of the Bolivarian Socialist Republic, just like they want the same thing for Cuba and they want the same thing for Nicaragua.
02:15:03.000Those are state sponsors of socialism.
02:15:05.000Those are revisionist powers and antagonists working against the capitalist U.S. empire in the world.
02:15:13.000And so, insofar as we are eradicating America's enemies, insofar as we are removing socialist regimes from power to serve our interests, of course, leftists are not going to support that policy.
02:15:27.000For the same reason they supported the Soviet Union, for the same reason.
02:15:31.000They supported Fidel Castro for the same reason they supported all of those revolutionary activities.
02:15:37.000So, this is just yet another reminder.
02:15:41.000You know, I think over time we've been realizing that the DSA is not our friend.
02:15:47.000We've been realizing the left right unity idea is a fiction.
02:15:52.000We've been talking a lot about that over the past couple of weeks.
02:15:55.000And you can see now, I think unambiguously and very clearly, this is one of those issues like the Charlie Kirk assassination, like the ICE killings of those protesters back then, where the left was able to divide up the Israel critical movement and insert their own agenda that really has nothing to do with that issue.
02:16:18.000I remember back in January, people were saying, well, Maduro got removed because he was pro Palestine, and that's why Trump is doing it.
02:16:26.000And here's this quote from Netanyahu, and that's why we all have to oppose this policy.
02:16:31.000And at the time, I'm thinking, it's really got nothing to do with that.
02:16:36.000Either the oil is going to go to China or it's going to go to us.
02:16:40.000Either Venezuela is aligned with China, and Venezuela is going to receive Iranian drones and credit from China.
02:16:48.000And they're going to use their country as a base of operations for some future great power conflict, and they're going to send the oil to China.
02:16:56.000Or Venezuela is going to be another one of our colonies, and we're not going to be threatened from them.
02:17:02.000It's not going to be a drone factory for Iran.
02:17:05.000It's not going to be a drone factory for China.
02:17:07.000We're going to get all their oil, we're going to make more of it, and we're going to take it.
02:17:12.000And we're going to secure our own economic and strategic interests with our military.
02:17:57.000It means taking control of Venezuela and then pushing down the other dominoes, which would be Cuba and Nicaragua, and taking full control over our hemisphere from a strategic point of view, and then using this hemisphere to secure all of our strategic commodities, which would be lithium, oil, gas, gold, everything else that we can get from Central, South America, and the Caribbean.
02:18:34.000There's a lot to say about Iran, so I might just skip it.
02:18:42.000The reason I've been a little bit more economical with the coverage is because I don't know if you've noticed this, nothing is really happening.
02:18:51.000So there's not even enough, there's not even like two things happening every day.
02:18:56.000So I feel like if I cover everything in one night, By tomorrow, there's nothing to cover.
02:21:08.000This inaugurated another period of tit for tat strikes between the United States and Iran at a lower level, in a much more contained way than how we were fighting at the beginning of the war.
02:21:22.000And as you know, that culminated in a big threat by Trump to escalate the fighting against Iran to a level that we have not seen yet.
02:21:30.000Trump said, I'm going to do the biggest airstrike since World War II against Iran if they don't make a deal to open up the Strait.
02:21:42.000And as you know, he totally backed down unilaterally from that threat.
02:21:48.000He pulled back, and not only did he not follow through on the threat to escalate the fighting to a level greater than at the beginning of the war, He actually stopped the fighting altogether.
02:21:58.000And so we are in a period where peace has collapsed, but also the fighting has stopped.
02:22:04.000There is no active peace process right now.
02:22:06.000We are not in talks, not direct talks, not indirect talks.
02:25:21.000This is where the aircraft carriers were being serviced.
02:25:26.000So you've got thousands and thousands of soldiers on two aircraft carriers on the USS Lincoln and the USS Ford.
02:25:35.000I think the Ford went home, now it's just the Lincoln.
02:25:38.000And the Lincoln is out there at sea for something like 180 days, almost 200 days.
02:25:46.000I think it's actually a little more because the deployment started before the fighting did.
02:25:50.000So, the USS Lincoln, the aircraft carrier, has 10,000 soldiers aboard.
02:25:55.000They've been at sea for 215 days or something like that, and they haven't docked on land.
02:26:03.000So, what is happening on this aircraft carrier, as some sources have reported, is the bathrooms don't work, the laundry facilities don't work, they're running out of food, morale is very low, the sailors are unhappy.
02:26:17.000And the reason for this is because to remain at sea for this long, they're resupplied from other bases.
02:26:24.000Normally, a deployment in the Arabian Sea, the USS Lincoln would be serviced by the Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain.
02:26:33.000And ships would be going to and from that base to the carrier every 10 days to resupply.
02:26:39.000But Iran destroyed that headquarters with drones and missiles very early on in the conflict.
02:26:45.000So instead of being resupplied in the Arabian Sea from the Persian Gulf, Which is about a 10 day commute.
02:26:52.000Instead, now this carrier is being resupplied from Diego Garcia, which is a base on an island about 2,000 miles south of India.
02:27:03.000It's in the middle of the Indian Ocean, east of Africa, south of the Middle East.
02:27:09.000So now they're getting resupplied like every 25 days.
02:27:25.000Number two, bigger than that, is we're running out of weapons, offensive weapons and defensive weapons.
02:27:32.000Our stockpile of standoff munitions, like Minuteman missiles and tomahawks, is running low.
02:27:38.000They're called standoff because we can launch them from a safe distance.
02:27:43.000The range of these weapons is outside the range of what Iran would use to retaliate.
02:27:49.000So, if the range on the Tomahawk missile is this much, whatever Iran would send back at where the Tomahawk came from is less than that.
02:27:58.000So, we're running out of those offensive sea to surface missiles or Tomahawk missiles that we're using to destroy Iranian military infrastructure.
02:28:07.000But then, maybe more importantly, We're running out of the defensive munitions also.
02:28:12.000We're spread out across the entire Middle East, defending Israel, defending Jordan, defending northern Iraq, defending Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE, Qatar, the carriers.
02:28:25.000Maybe we're even defending other places also.
02:28:29.000We simply do not have enough defensive munitions to shoot down Iran's drones and missiles.
02:28:36.000Like we've talked about before, they make them faster, they make them more cheaply.
02:28:42.000And so, as the war goes on, our stockpile of defensive ammunition is running out faster than their stockpile of offensive ammunition, so to speak.
02:28:52.000One way attack drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles.
02:28:56.000So, as we fight the war with Iran, we're running critically low on these supplies.
02:29:00.000And this is a big problem because we don't just need it for Iran.
02:29:05.000If that's all we needed it for, we'd probably be okay.
02:29:08.000But we also need to give these weapons to South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, Ukraine, the Baltic countries.
02:29:17.000And this may be the most enduring legacy of the war in Iran right now.
02:29:22.000It is that we're already behind on fulfilling orders that we've already promised to Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan.
02:29:32.000Russia is now fighting in the gray zone in Europe, doing cyber attacks on Europe, sending drones into NATO countries.
02:29:41.000The reason John Ratcliffe went to Moscow last week is to warn Russia.
02:29:47.000Ahead of an expected incursion into a NATO country, maybe a Baltic country, between now and 2029.
02:29:55.000The legacy is that every other one of our adversaries is watching how Iran is effectively deterring aggression from the United States with these cheap one way attack drones.
02:30:08.000And so, as we fight ourselves to exhaustion against Iran, as we deplete our existing stockpiles, all of the new weapons that we're making right now are going into Iran, Russia.
02:30:21.000China, North Korea, Iran, they're all rebuilding their arsenal.
02:30:26.000And it's getting to the point where, in a hypothetical conflict with Russia, you're going to see all of Western Europe wiped out.
02:30:35.000If Russia is making millions, like 3 million, 6 million drones, that's not even an exaggeration.
02:30:44.000If Russia is making millions and millions of drones per year, and let's say we get in some kind of conflict with Russia over the Baltic states, Or over Ukraine or Poland or something.
02:30:57.000Well, all of Western Europe will be under siege by Russian one way attack drones.
02:31:03.000And we're going to have nothing in our arsenal to defend against this.
02:31:08.000And so, how is Ukraine fighting the war with Russia?
02:31:11.000Well, they're getting supplies and economic support and materiel from Western Europe.
02:31:17.000Maybe one day Russia decides they're going to bring the fight to Europe.
02:31:37.000If China makes a move on Taiwan, if North Korea makes a move on South Korea, if China makes aggressive moves against other countries, how are we going to defend Taiwan if there are millions of drones being launched at Japan, at the Philippines, at the first island chain, and we have nothing to defend those U.S. positions or the allies?
02:32:00.000This is going to be part of that enduring legacy.
02:32:13.000And so now, what we're doing, even though we're not talking to them, and even though we're not really fighting them, is we've imposed an economic blockade.
02:32:23.000So we're shutting down Iranian linked shipping in the Persian Gulf connected to their ports there.
02:32:29.000We're putting sanctions on their country, threatening sanctions on their other major trading partners, which are China, Turkey, Iraq, the United Arab Emirates.
02:32:40.000We're hoping that over time, this is going to bring about a soft and slow toppling of the Iranian regime.
02:32:48.000We don't want to make a permanent economic campaign against Iran's economy, which would make it such that a future Iranian regime could not maintain control over its borders.
02:33:01.000We want a slow and steady degradation of Iran's ability to make money, basically, to pay their soldiers, pay their police, maintain control of society.
02:33:12.000That's the plan right now is to economically starve them with this blockade or embargo.
02:33:18.000In the meantime, and this is important to understand, this is something we haven't covered a lot the United States and the Gulf countries are doing everything they can to get some oil out of the Persian Gulf.
02:33:34.000And so we're trying to strangle Iran's economy with our secondary sanctions, our primary sanctions, our blockade.
02:33:44.000The U.S. Navy policing the Strait of Hormuz on the side of the Arabian Sea.
02:33:49.000But of course, what Iran is doing is by shutting down the Strait of Hormuz, they're hoping that we collapse first.
02:33:56.000That with all of these strategic oil reserves in the whole world running out, with stockpiles of oil running low in the United States and elsewhere, they're hoping that it's going to hurt worse for us sooner than it does for them.
02:34:11.000So, quietly, while we're blockading the Strait of Hormuz, while they're While we're doing a maximum pressure sanctions campaign against their economy.
02:34:20.000At the same time, the U.S. is trying to, on the other side of the ledger, alleviate some of the pressure that Iran is inflicting with the closure of the strait.
02:34:30.000And they're doing this by one, shipping the oil from the Persian Gulf to the Red Sea through the East West pipeline.
02:34:38.000They're also trying to send it out across the United Arab Emirates.
02:34:42.000There's a West East pipeline being constructed.
02:34:45.000They're trying to find other ways to get the oil out.
02:34:48.000And the most daring effort that we're involved in is we're escorting ships through the strait in a number of different ways, also.
02:34:56.000And so a ship leaving the Persian Gulf will turn off its transponder so as not to be detected by Iran.
02:35:03.000And then some combination of U.S. drones, helicopters, aircraft, and ships will escort these tankers from the Persian Gulf through the strait out to the market.
02:35:15.000And it's said that we're getting about 5 million.
02:35:18.000Barrels per day out of the strait, in spite of Iran's closure of the strait.
02:35:23.000And that compares to 15 million barrels per day, which was the volume of pre war shipping.
02:35:30.000So, it's about one third of what it was.
02:35:32.000And the goal is that between the pipeline and the escorting of the oil, we are going to get enough oil from the Persian Gulf that we can mitigate some of the damage that Iran is doing to the economy.
02:35:47.000Obviously, there's a lot less oil in the world today than there was six and a half months ago.
02:35:54.000But if it's just maybe a little bit less rather than a lot less, then we can last longer.
02:36:00.000And again, we don't need to last forever.
02:36:02.000This can't go on forever, but we just need to last longer than Iran.
02:36:06.000So it really all then comes down to economics.
02:36:10.000What we're doing is extremely expensive.
02:36:12.000To get one ship through the Strait of Hormuz, getting a full escort package is very expensive and probably not economical.
02:36:22.000It's not worth it to have F 35s or F 16s or helicopters or warthogs, all this military hardware escorting.
02:36:32.000One tanker, one by one, maybe to get 15 ships through the strait per day, it's probably not worth it economically.
02:36:41.000And again, we can't do it forever, but if we could do it for now, maybe it changes the rate of damage that's being done to our economy relative to Iran.
02:37:10.000We fought each other through to a stalemate.
02:37:12.000Neither side is able to win from a tactical or strategic point of view.
02:37:17.000So now it's just about manipulating these numbers.
02:37:20.000It's the economics of it, and it's in terms of how much time does either country have.
02:37:27.000The big development from this weekend is that it looks like the war might be starting up again.
02:37:32.000This weekend, the United States launched a one way attack drone from Jordan.
02:37:37.000Onto one of the islands in the Strait of Hormuz, the island of Larak.
02:37:41.000And the U.S. military says the reason we launched this strike is because Iranian personnel were launching missiles that will then land in the Strait of Hormuz and become mines.
02:37:59.000They say that the Iranians have a new type of mine that can be deployed with a surface to water missile.
02:38:08.000So, on the island, on the land, they launch the missile.
02:38:11.000The missile goes up, it comes down, and then it's a sea based mine.
02:38:15.000And so, earlier in the week, the Trump administration said, We cleared all the mines, the strait is open, and it's ours, and shipping is going through unmolested.
02:38:24.000Then the next day, they say, We're bombing some of these new mine laying missile launchers on one of the islands.
02:38:34.000Now, the reason this doesn't make a ton of sense is because we've known about this capability that the Iranians have.
02:38:42.000And according to some of the reporting, the mines that can be deployed in this way cannot even destroy these larger tankers.
02:38:53.000These tankers are basically built to collide with things like this.
02:39:00.000And so the mines that are being deployed with a surface to water missile are not big enough that they're going to do damage or destroy any ships.
02:40:00.000And we need to go in to mow the grass and further degrade the capabilities so that Iran is unable to close the strait again.
02:40:10.000And this is a story about this from Axios.
02:40:14.000It says President Trump and his senior aides have been considering waging limited strikes in the Strait of Hormuz to prevent Iran from reconstituting its radar and missile capabilities to attack ships.
02:40:26.000The plan, which was developed over the past week by U.S. Central Command and supported by Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, Had not been approved by Trump ahead of this weekend's exchange of fire with Iran, but he could green light it after the new escalation.
02:40:41.000One U.S. official said the idea behind the plan is to reduce the risk of Iranian attacks on oil tankers, U.S. Navy ships, and Air Force aircraft to mow the lawn.
02:40:51.000Over the last two months, the U.S. military has gradually taken control of most of the strait through a campaign to degrade Iranian military capabilities, a low key operation to clear mines, and an effort to guide ships through the strait.
02:41:05.000That limited Iran's ability to hit oil tankers while allowing more traffic and oil exports through the strait.
02:41:11.000It eroded Iran's leverage over the crucial waterway.
02:41:15.000One incident that raised concern in recent days was the launch of an Iranian anti aircraft missile toward an F 35 fighter jet that was providing cover to ships in the strait.
02:41:25.000CENTCOM told Pete Hegsef, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs and the White House, that the military might need to strike Iran periodically in order to keep moving dozens of oil tankers out of the Gulf relatively safely every day.
02:41:40.000The officials said that last week the White House was leaning against approving the strikes to avoid escalating with Iran.
02:41:48.000But Iran's ballistic missile attacks on U.S. bases in Jordan on Sunday could change Trump's mind.
02:41:54.000The attacks came after the U.S. struck Iranian troops preparing to launch rockets with mines into the Strait.
02:42:02.000So last week, Central Command has a plan that we're never going to end this war.
02:42:08.000Because this is how they're selling us.
02:42:11.000They're telling us, well, Hey man, it's not really a war.
02:43:03.000Now they're telling us that in order to keep the embargo going, we're going to have to bomb them all the time forever.
02:43:10.000You want to keep your economic blockade going?
02:43:12.000Well, the only way that's going to work is if we periodically mow the lawn in perpetuity.
02:43:18.000And so every now and again, we're going to have to go in and bomb the islands and bomb the coast and bomb the regime in order for us to survive this economic pressure campaign.
02:43:30.000Because otherwise, if we wait, if we're doing this economic warfare, what is Iran going to do?
02:43:36.000They're going to rebuild all their drones and missiles.
02:43:38.000And so while we think we're strangling Iran's economy, in reality, they're getting cheap parts from China, they're rebuilding everything that we destroyed.
02:43:49.000And let's say we do this for three months, six months, nine months.
02:43:52.000By the middle of next year, they're going to have reconstituted their entire conventional deterrent capability of drones and missiles.
02:44:01.000And we'll be right back where we started.
02:44:04.000And if you recall, I've been saying this from the beginning, which is specifically there is no way out of this conflict where we don't surrender or escalate to victory.
02:45:34.000Here's the problem with this thinking it's the same mindset of what happened after Midnight Hammer, which is that the entire reason we got into this conflict to begin with is one, the prospect that if we leave Iran alone, they're going to build a nuclear bomb.
02:45:54.000Two, if we leave Iran alone, they're going to build 300 ballistic missiles every single month.
02:46:01.000And they're going to build more drones than that.
02:46:03.000And where that leaves us on a long enough timeline is that Iran is literally impossible to confront.
02:46:11.000Because we're confronting an Iran that has 900 pounds of highly enriched uranium, we're confronting an Iran that has undisclosed six generation centrifuges firing at full scale.
02:46:24.000And we don't even know what their nuclear capability is because we haven't had inspectors there in over a year.
02:46:30.000We're confronting an Iran that has thousands of ballistic missiles, maybe millions of drones.
02:46:36.000And they've got a million soldiers and they've got a bench that's 15 people deep in the leadership.
02:46:41.000And they become this porcupine that we can never swallow.
02:46:46.000And what that means then is they can do whatever they want in a region that's very important to us because of Israel and because of the oil and natural gas in the Persian Gulf.
02:46:56.000And because of its central location in between Asia and Europe.
02:47:02.000That's why we got involved in the first place.
02:47:04.000So we bombed Iran in Midnight Hammer because they were getting too close to a nuclear bomb.
02:47:10.000But then we had to bomb them again in Epic Fury because they had too many missiles.
02:47:14.000And now people say, well, we're going to walk away, but you can't walk away forever.
02:47:21.000Because if you walk away for any amount of time, the argument that will be made from Israel and from hawks in the Pentagon is hey, the longer that we have been away from Iran, the more missiles they have.
02:47:35.000Every month that you don't bomb Iran, multiply that by 300 ballistic missiles, multiply that by 100,000 drones or whatever the production capability is.
02:47:48.000They have that much more highly enriched uranium.
02:47:52.000And so I've said this from the very beginning, which is, you know, people are kind of watching it go back and forth the tit for tat strikes, the negotiations that are always so close to having a breakthrough.
02:48:05.000I said, but the one thing that we know for a fact are these functions of time, it's the timelines.
02:48:13.000And the same reason we had to bomb Iran in February, it's the same reason we can't walk away now.
02:48:21.000We had to bomb Iran in February because we had left them alone for eight months.
02:48:27.000And so they made another 1,500 missiles.
02:48:30.000And maybe they started excavating the stockpile of uranium at Pickaxe Mountain.
02:48:35.000And maybe they fired up their other undisclosed nuclear facilities where they're enriching uranium.
02:48:54.000In the middle of 2027, they'll have rebuilt everything.
02:48:58.000Everything that was destroyed in the war, which was so costly to us, that cost us half of our Tomahawks, most of our THAAD system, most of our Patriot missile batteries.
02:49:11.000That cost us 15 of our bases in the Persian Gulf.
02:49:15.000All that stuff is not going to be replaced anytime soon.
02:49:19.000For us to be made whole after what we've spent, it's going to take us three years at least.
02:49:25.000To build all of the THAAD system batteries or missiles that supply the THAAD system, Patriot missile batteries, to replenish those systems, it's going to take three years at least to get us to pre Iran war levels.
02:49:41.000In the meantime, we anticipate that Russia is going to test NATO.
02:49:46.000In the meantime, we anticipate that Xi Jinping is going to invade Taiwan.
02:49:51.000So we're going to get to pre war levels, which was already insufficient.
02:49:56.000In three years, at the end of this timeline, when we expect fully that China and Russia are going to make their move.
02:50:08.000So, this idea that you're going to just have it always, you're going to have your cake and eat it too, we're going to walk away from Iran, but we're not going to open up the strait or make peace.
02:50:19.000Yeah, that actually can't go on forever.
02:50:37.000Interest rates are going to go up, they say, in September and then again in December, rather than going down, which is what it needs to do.
02:50:46.000So, it's not just about the energy economy, it's about the broader economy, which is built on borrowing to make these speculative investments in data centers and chips and AI.
02:50:57.000So, you have this economic house of cards, which is not going to be able to.
02:51:02.000Sustain itself off of the 5 million barrels we're allegedly getting through the Strait every single day.
02:51:09.000And then the other problem is as long as we're being strangled by Iran in the Strait of Hormuz, they're rebuilding everything that we destroyed such that by the time we started the war next year, they're going to be back to pre war levels of all their ammunition.
02:51:23.000And what this implies is that we're going to have to keep going back.
02:51:28.000We're literally the only way to try this middle path between invading Iran and surrendering to Iran is literally a perpetual war.
02:51:40.000Which is to say, the full economic blockade, maximum pressure sanctions.
02:58:10.000I didn't really get it when I started, but I've read a lot over the years.
02:58:16.000I mean, I've been reading about politics since I was 12 years old.
02:58:21.000When I was reading Milton Friedman and Thomas Sowell, and I read all the libertarians and I read everything else.
02:58:27.000And so, if you are, if every single day you're reading and talking and engaging with the material all day, and you do that for 15 years, you're going to be able to kind of figure out how it all comes together.
02:59:06.000That starts at a much higher package, my friend.
02:59:09.000When we build Death Star 2, you're not getting your name on the commemorative wall or the floor tile for a meager $20, but I appreciate the sense.
02:59:21.000Everybody carrying a GPS and audio tracking device on their person while LARPing about Flock need to be imprisoned.
02:59:26.000Well, look, I mean, I'm against the Flock cameras.
02:59:30.000And I'm against that argument because the argument that people would make is that to get your phone records, the government has to subpoena the telecom company.
02:59:41.000But to get the flock data, they don't because you're in a public place.
02:59:45.000So we're just taking pictures of everybody's license plates everywhere all the time.
02:59:51.000And so the government can just take that data and do whatever they want with it.
03:00:34.000What I will say, though, is I'm against the LARPing about destroying them.
03:00:38.000And you're seeing people are getting arrested for that now, just like I told you they would.
03:00:43.000You see, in Florida, police are setting up decoy flock cameras.
03:00:47.000They're making fake flock cameras for a sting operation.
03:00:52.000They set them up, then they park across the street and they wait for fucking idiots like you to go and destroy your local flock camera and then they arrest you for three felonies.
03:01:10.000They caught somebody trying to take it down.
03:01:13.000That guy got charged with three felonies.
03:01:18.000Even though the decoy costs a couple bucks to make, they're charging him for felony destruction of property worth more than $1,000 because the guy didn't know that it cost less than $1,000.
03:03:04.000Another genius idea from the think tank.
03:03:06.000And you know what they're going to do?
03:03:07.000They're going to build fucking 10,000 more of them.
03:03:10.000You, idiot, are going to go and destroy one, get arrested and charged with three felonies, and then they're going to build 500 more in its place.
03:03:18.000Because under the municipal ordinance, these contracts they have with flock, the city has to pay for the replacement.
03:03:27.000If numnuts goes and blows up a flock camera, he's going to jail, and then the taxpayer has to pay for the replacement.
03:03:34.000So, why don't instead you just go to a fucking town hall meeting?
03:03:39.000Why don't you participate in local politics?
03:03:42.000Anything other than accountability for the true Goyim.
03:03:45.000Anything other than accountability for the Gentiles, for the true Goyim.
03:03:51.000They just will not engage with the process.
03:03:54.000There has been success in fighting data centers, there has been success in fighting CRT.
03:05:36.000In the old days, it was like if you were trying to entrap people, if you were trying to stir up violence, if you were a limited hangout, I wouldn't talk about Jews.
03:06:13.000It's because, well, I think there are two different people.
03:06:15.000Candace is not right wing and never has been.
03:06:19.000She's not ideologically aligned, one way or the other.
03:06:23.000And the reason that Tucker isn't talking about it is because I think that he is trying to create some kind of fusionist movement for JD Vance.
03:07:35.000That was a cousin of mine, maybe like 10 years ago.
03:07:39.000Said, remember there used to be a Burger King commercial for the Junior Whopper where they had a guy with like tiny baby hands, and he said, I don't even know what the joke was, but it was something like it looks bigger in his baby hands.
03:09:27.000Cops deserve to be annoyed because cops are really fucking annoying too.
03:09:33.000You ever notice in Chicago, they don't even chase these people anymore.
03:09:38.000You see these videos on TikTok, and the black people are harassing cops on the highway, tailgating them, doing fucking tricks around them, getting in front of them, flipping them off, and the cops don't do shit.
03:09:52.000They won't chase them, they won't track them down, they don't even confront them anymore.
03:09:58.000Oh, but God forbid you're driving 11 miles per hour over the speed limit as a white person in a nice car.
03:12:33.000If the left takes power in 28, do you believe these people will use the surveillance and data harvesting tools of the current administration in order to further their own goals?
03:14:55.000I was on vacation a couple weeks ago and I was in this grocery store and this D1 Chad was passing me by and he goes, Dude, anybody ever say you look exactly like Nick Fuentes?
03:23:22.000Eight months no ALK, year off SIGs, lost 33 pounds, getting lean, quit shit job, back in school for engineer masters, reading the Bible for the first time.
03:23:34.000On Michael Knowles' woke right debate, Chambas Kessenbaum said every time Nick Fuentes attacks me, I always tell him, let's debate anytime, anywhere.
03:24:38.000That's what every one of these Gen Z sniveling little Jew Zionists, that is what they all dream about is for their big career making moment to debate me.
03:26:17.000A Jew would have read it cover to cover, and the time it takes for you to make a decision about whether you're going to buy a book, the Jew has read it cover to cover and pondered it deeply and drawn conclusions.
03:26:30.000And you're sitting there, you're never going to read it, stupid.
03:26:32.000You're never going to order it on Amazon.
03:32:00.000What I've heard is that all of these Frontier models have basically shut down because they're terrified of what they discovered.
03:32:06.000All the development on Frontier models is effectively just stopped because of all this that's coming out lately about the tests that they were running and how they started hacking everything.
03:32:17.000They turned out to be connected to the internet and just started hacking everything.
03:32:22.000They were leaving the AI agents, were leaving instructions hidden for the next agents to discover.
03:34:46.000The oil plan, I forgot to get to this.
03:34:48.000The oil plan might not even really be real.
03:34:51.000I mean, what are the odds that the oil plan is just an announcement to stabilize the oil markets?
03:34:57.000Are they really going to rush 50 rigs to Venezuela in two years?
03:35:01.000Or are they just saying that so that people are going to price that in and it'll stabilize oil prices for another two weeks when we go back to war?
03:35:16.000I'm not going to say that's likely or that's a fact, but we can't not consider that, like everything else, they're timing these announcements, not even necessarily to increase the oil supply, but to control expectations about the oil supply so they can stabilize prices.
03:39:58.000No, but what we're looking, no, but actually, that's obviously a joke.
03:40:02.000What we're looking for is talented young men, elite human capital, because those are the people that are going to, those are people that are going to be lawyers, politicians, uh, In finance and tech, in the industries that matter.
03:40:17.000So, I mean, that's great and everything, but the women are really on a different track.
03:40:23.000We're not really looking to raise up the ranks of women, okay?
03:42:01.000I'm so disgusted by that group of like internet freaks, these like irony poisoned, like Discord fucking mouth breathers, where they're like, I'm just into all these weird political things.
03:42:18.000I'm wearing a furry costume, but I'm saying total nigger death.
03:44:18.000Big special thank you to Fentanyl is Good For You, AF Virginia Groyper, Christian Spees, Philly Groyper, Rhodesian Groyper, New England Slam Chowder, Jewish Question ATL, Titty Sprinkles, and Groyper Cuck Chair.