WORLD WAR III IMMINENT? NATO Military DEPLETED By Support For Ukraine | America First Ep. 1069WORLD WAR III IMMINENT? NATO Military DEPLETED By Support For Ukraine | America First Ep. 1069
Tonight we talk about how the U.S. military is running out of supplies to supply Ukraine, a major hurricane is hitting the Florida coast, and a major protest in Prague against the Czech government's support for the Ukrainian war effort. We also talk about the impact of the hurricane on Florida and what it could mean for the long-term recovery efforts. We finish up the show with our featured story of the day about Russia and Ukraine and how we may have run out of military supplies and what we can do to replenish them. If you like what you hear, please HIT SUBSCRIBE on Apple Podcasts or wherever else you get your podcasts. You can also join our FB group, and join the conversation by using the hashtag on the Apple App Store or Google Play. Just search to become a supporter of the show and receive 20% off your first month with discount code at checkout! Thanks to our sponsor, Only America First America. We appreciate it greatly and look forward to seeing you in the next few days! - Nicholas J. Fuentes and the crew at America First Subscribe to America First: A.K.A. on iTunes and share the podcast with your friends! Subscribe on Anchor.fm/AmericaFirstA.fm Learn more about our sponsorships and support us on Podcoin, Poshmark, Strava, Crackle, and Stikler, Gameday, Podcoin and more! We are giving you the chance to win tickets to our upcoming events and get exclusive deals on our next week! Thank you for supporting the show, only America First, Best Fiends, Best of the Week! and Best Fiend, Best Baked Alaska, Best Waffle, Best Coffee, and the most authentic coffee and the best coffee in the Midwest, Best Gourmet in the South? Best Watered, Best Brunch in the World! Best Fiare, Best Salsa, Best Churky, Best Shave in the Country, and The Best Seafood in the East Coast & the most Southern Breeze & the Best Seafarers in the Best Packed & the Most Amazing Places in the Southeast All of the South Coastiest & the South West Coast, the most AMAZ, the Best in the Nation, the Realest in the Mid-Atlantic and the South East & the Fastest & the Midwest
Transcript
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00:05:27.000And we talked about this a few months ago and it's more of a reality today.
00:05:33.000Big report in CNBC about how we're running out of military supplies.
00:05:39.000We have given so much of our artillery and other heavy weaponry that we have literally run out.
00:05:50.000And the United States has said that we're basically just done with certain parts of the arsenal that we're giving to Ukraine, in particular the long-range missiles and the long-range howitzers.
00:06:05.000We've given them all the ones that we have, or all the ones that we can spare.
00:06:12.000And now the administration says that we cannot give any more of that without getting into our supply that we would actually need in a war.
00:06:21.000So it looks like all this support that we're giving to Ukraine may be running out pretty soon because we just don't have enough supplies.
00:06:30.000And we're giving Ukraine so much stuff, we just don't make enough of it to replenish it.
00:06:39.000And that's because the United States and all the NATO countries are technically in peacetime, so we don't have the level of wartime production that's required for a war, or to sustain a major war effort.
00:06:53.000So all this stuff that we've been giving to Ukraine, this is an arsenal that has been built up over the course of 10 or 20 years, and we've given them everything that we made
00:07:05.000In the 21st century and now we don't have any and it's gonna take, excuse me, another 10 years at the current levels of production to even be able to replenish what has already been sent.
00:07:19.000Kind of funny when you think about it.
00:07:21.000And we'll also be talking tonight about a major protest in Prague in the Czech Republic protesting the Czech government support for the Russian sanctions and for the Ukrainian war effort.
00:07:34.000And we covered this a little bit last night.
00:07:36.000This is part of the pressure that is going to come on NATO and the European Union as the winter approaches.
00:07:43.000Because even if the government is all on board, even if the government is okay with the recession and with the high energy prices and so on, the people are not.
00:07:54.000The consumers are not, and they're the ones that are going to really get squeezed in the coming months, is the businesses in particular.
00:08:02.000Because if you look at, for example, in the United Kingdom, they passed a bill to subsidize the energy prices or the energy consumption for individuals, but the businesses are just out of luck.
00:08:16.000And in Eastern Europe and in Central Europe, they're not even getting, as of right now, any major relief.
00:08:24.000So, we talked earlier this year about it's this retaliatory escalation, this reciprocal escalation which is driving us further and further into the war, and how Russia and the United States and NATO seem to be equally willing and able to continue to escalate.
00:08:44.000It seems like that may no longer be the case anymore because of these two factors.
00:08:47.000Because of the energy cost, and because we just don't have the kind of wartime production necessary to be able to fight a war with Russia, which is what we're doing.
00:09:56.000So I hope Baked Alaska and all our other friends, Stephen Bonnell, are doing okay.
00:10:02.000Although, Stephen Bonnell, he's in Miami, so I don't think they're getting it so bad in Miami, but... Aside from that, there's just nothing going on.
00:10:50.000government and various Eastern European governments told all of their embassy personnel to leave Russia immediately.
00:10:59.000Estonia, Latvia, Bulgaria, Romania, and the United States all put out a travel advisory and a warning to their diplomatic personnel to leave Russia.
00:11:16.000I don't know what that is, but it's kind of freaky.
00:11:18.000So maybe it won't be too long before there's some news.
00:11:22.000And anyway, before we get into tonight's whatever, remember to follow me here on Cozy, smash the follow button to get a push notification whenever I go live.
00:11:32.000Also follow me on Gab Telegram, true social, links are down below.
00:11:36.000I think this weekend I'll be doing a major stream.
00:11:40.000I don't know though, because I have this wedding on Saturday.
00:11:44.000Which my mom told me, she's like, you're going.
00:11:55.000So, of course, when I have the one weekend I have something going on, Destiny will be debating Jordan Peterson, apparently, on Saturday at 11.30 Central Time.
00:12:29.000I think I'll be reacting to that Saturday 11.30 Central Time in the morning if I can.
00:12:39.000And it's family, but I don't really like weddings, I'm gonna be real with you.
00:12:44.000I'm gonna be honest, I don't really like them.
00:12:47.000And I went to a couple this year and then I said, you know what, I'm kind of, I'm just, I'm not doing it anymore.
00:12:54.000I went to a couple weddings this year and after the last one I was like, I'm good on weddings for this year.
00:13:02.000I don't think, at least I don't need to make another trip out.
00:13:06.000Because you know what happens is everybody I'm everybody's best good friend and all this but people don't live where I live so all my friends are getting married and they're sending their invites to me and it's like now it's not you know if I were in town I'd go to the wedding but they send me the invitation it's like you gotta fly out you gotta get a hotel you gotta pack up you gotta miss a show on Friday you gotta do all this
00:14:14.000It's fine, but it's like... I'll just say this.
00:14:17.000It's a lot easier to invite somebody to the wedding than it is for me to pack up all my shit and cancel the show and get a plane and get a hotel and get a rental car and fly out there and drive out there and, you know, all the whole ordeal that it is.
00:14:37.000People love inviting me to the wedding and then it's like, now you gotta pack up and get on a plane and fly it.
00:14:45.000It's like, you know, I'll send a gift.
00:15:36.000Zoomers were raised by Boomers that didn't really want to teach us anything.
00:15:41.000I feel like Boomers, they go on and on about how it was different in those days.
00:15:46.000But in those days, their parents taught them how to do stuff.
00:15:50.000Or they at least have the freedom to learn things on their own.
00:15:54.000And we're like the anarcho-tyranny generation.
00:15:57.000You could call it like anarcho-tyranny, because at once, we didn't get the mentorship of the parents that the previous generations got, but we also didn't get the freedom either.
00:16:11.000So we were sort of in the middle where they wouldn't tell us how to do anything but also they were very restrictive and helicopter and so we couldn't go out and learn on our own.
00:16:23.000And we're in this position where we just grew up to be stunted.
00:16:27.000I could make a list of everything that I didn't learn how to do when I was a kid that now I'm kicking myself because now I got to learn how to do as an adult.
00:16:36.000Like cooking and car stuff and chores and
00:16:40.000And even to some extent socializing and that sort of thing although that's it's easy enough to get along in that venue But it's still difficult So
00:16:54.000Because I think about myself, my parents are like, why don't you just cook?
00:16:57.000And I'm like, well, I don't know how to cook anything.
00:16:59.000And they're like, you're 24 years old, you don't know how to cook anything?
00:17:02.000It's like nobody ever... I was never told how to cook anything, and every time I tried, I got yelled at!
00:17:08.000Every time you tried to do something, it was, oh, you're making a big mess, oh, I'll do it, you know?
00:20:34.000Demonstrators called for Czechia's neutrality and protested Prime Minister Fiala's policy of sanctioning Russia, which has driven up energy prices.
00:20:44.000Meeting on a public holiday celebrating Czech statehood, the crowd took to Prague's main square.
00:20:51.000Named after the medieval saint and chanted slogans against the European Union, NATO, and the government.
00:20:58.000Prague police would not give a specific figure of the estimated crowd size, calling it only tens of thousands.
00:21:05.000The protest was organized by a group called Czech Republic First.
00:21:17.000It's too many... I think that's too many syllables.
00:21:20.000Czech Republic first, let's go, which Reuters described as a coalition of far-right and fringe groups and parties including the communists.
00:21:56.000One unidentified speaker at the rally said, a government has two duties to ensure our security and economic prosperity.
00:22:02.000This government does not fulfill either of these duties.
00:22:07.000Another demonstrator accused the government of being anti-Czech and serving only the European Union, NATO, and American power at the expense of Czech interests.
00:22:18.000The organizers called for another protest on October 28th and said they intend to ask President Milos Zeman to disband the government and call for early elections.
00:22:30.000It was the second such rally this month after some 70,000 people took part in the September 3rd protest.
00:22:37.000Similar rallies in other Czech cities drew hundreds of participants.
00:22:42.000Fiala had dismissed the September 3rd demonstrations as pro-Russian, accusing their organizers of listening to Russian propaganda and disinformation campaigns.
00:22:53.000His government has diligently followed the lead of Brussels in imposing trade embargoes against Moscow over the conflict in Ukraine, which has translated into skyrocketing prices of energy normally imported from Russia.
00:23:09.000So, major protest in the Capitol, and once again you see, like we talked about last night, that it's about the regime.
00:23:21.000And that is, if there's one takeaway from the show, it's this.
00:23:25.000That what goes on in the world is not, at the end of the day, about... and it is about ideas to some extent, but when you look at these types of situations, it's about power.
00:24:01.000There are strategic interests at stake and there's a long-standing geopolitical situation there.
00:24:08.000But they say, and the current political crisis is the result of the Maidan coup, which in 2014 was a revolution in Ukraine which deposed the pro-Russian leader who turned down a deal to join the European Union and NATO in favor of closer trade relations with Russia and a promise to join the supranational organizations headed up by Moscow.
00:24:35.000So in 2014 there's a coup and Yanukovych, the pro-Russian leader who turned down the EU-NATO deal, is ousted and they put in place a pro-Western leader and it's in response to this that Russia holds a referendum in Crimea and claims that Crimea is annexed to Russia.
00:24:53.000They claim Crimea as Russian territory and they begin fueling the separatists in Donbass.
00:25:02.000And then the government in Kiev begins militarizing and NATO throws their support behind Kiev and they create this wedge.
00:25:11.000But go back to the whole issue at hand, which is the Maidan.
00:25:30.000They wanted Ukraine to join NATO and the European Union, and when a giant crowd formed demanding that was what they wanted, NATO and the European Union and the United States said, well, Ukraine must join NATO.
00:25:46.000The Ukrainian government must follow the will of the people.
00:25:48.000The Ukrainian government must become a liberal democracy.
00:25:54.000So that's why they supported the revolution, and then they recognized the post-revolutionary government.
00:25:59.000When there were mass protests in 2014, that was democracy.
00:26:03.000That was democracy, that was legitimate, that was the people making their voices heard.
00:26:09.000And when they overthrew the government, the United States supported that, and they recognized the succeeding government, and militarized it.
00:26:18.000And that's ostensibly what this is all about.
00:26:21.000When you debate liberals, and when I debated Destiny on this, they said that the Ukrainian people have a right to join NATO.
00:26:29.000They have a right to join the European Union.
00:26:32.000And they express their voice at these protests, or at the ballot.
00:26:37.000They say the ballot's rigged though, so we have to listen to the protesters instead.
00:26:43.000So when there's a protest in favor of Ukraine joining NATO, which is something that NATO wants, well then that's the will of the people.
00:26:50.000And when they get their way, that's a triumph of liberal democracy.
00:26:54.000And when Russia invades, well that's an attack on democracy by autocracy.
00:26:59.000That's an attack on rule of the people by those that want to see rule by an autocrat, by a dictator.
00:27:08.000But when 100,000 people in Prague protest the sanctions because energy costs are through the roof and food prices are through the roof and inflation is 10%, well, their own government says, well, that's pro-Russian.
00:27:31.000And justly dismiss that and ignore that because those protesters, those people marching in the streets, 70,000 of them, well they're wrong.
00:27:45.000They're wrong and they're just reading fake news that was given to them by Russia.
00:28:02.000Are mass protests in the Capitol the will of the people that should be respected under every circumstance and never has foreign involvement?
00:28:13.000Or if there's a giant protest, is it the result of fake news?
00:28:17.000Well, it seems to depend on what the regime wants.
00:28:20.000It seems to depend on whether what the protesters want is in line and consistent with what the regime wants.
00:28:28.000Insofar as what the protesters call for is not what they want, it's the result of foreign interference and disinformation or they're extremists or something like that.
00:28:39.000If it is in line with what they want, well then it's a great triumph, and it's democracy, and that's what it looks like.
00:28:55.000When it was violence against Trump, and the Trump government, and Trump supporters, or even just by their allies, even just by Antifa, or by black people, then it was fine.
00:29:04.000And that was the will of the people, which we must listen to.
00:29:07.000But when it's people they don't like, or an agenda they don't like, well then it's everything wrong with the world.
00:29:15.000When it's the Trump supporters doing Stop the Steal, well, that was anti-democratic and the result of Russian interference.
00:29:24.000And when it's in Prague, and when it's in Germany, and when it's in Italy, it's foreign interference.
00:29:32.000That's why you can't listen to any of the propaganda.
00:29:35.000And I remember debating with Destiny about this and I keep bringing that up because he's the perfect example of a true believer.
00:29:42.000Because to me, all of this seems so obvious.
00:29:49.000But this country is full of true believers who really are buying into the liberal narrative on these things, which is that every protest that is backed by the CIA really is organic, and completely democratic, and they're freedom fighters, and we should support whatever comes next.
00:30:15.000When Ukraine holds a runoff in 2004 against their own constitution and they elect Yushchenko, the pro-western leader in the Orange Revolution, that was a democracy.
00:30:27.000When Russia invades and holds referendums in the Ukrainian territories or in Donbass or in Crimea, oh well they were obviously rigged.
00:30:44.000And when an election is held in the United States where half the ballots are mail-in and there's serious doubts about its authenticity by most of the opposition, oh well, they're extremists, censor them, it's disinformation, arrest the protesters, shut it down.
00:30:59.000When Vladimir Putin gets elected in Russia and he's got a 60% approval rating, oh well that's all fake, that's because of propaganda, oh that's brainwashing, whatever.
00:31:12.000Now it's not to say that it's all or nothing, that either all elections are fake or all elections are legitimate.
00:32:00.000Well, on the other side they say it's got to be the government.
00:32:03.000It's got to be the government and it's got to be the intelligence agencies and it's got to be the NGOs or private entities that are in bed with the government, that contract with the government.
00:32:15.000Who's going to determine what's real and fake news?
00:32:19.000And who does Facebook bring on to determine what is extremism?
00:32:23.000People that used to work in the State Department.
00:32:26.000People that used to work in the government.
00:32:29.000So it's really like, I mean you could say it's a private company, but it's like it's the government.
00:32:34.000And we're expecting all these entities, public or private, but they really all come from the security state.
00:32:41.000And they're the ones that are going to tell us what is good, and what is bad, and what is true, and what is false.
00:32:47.000And they are supposed to be the authority on that.
00:32:51.000The government, our American government, which has the biggest and most sophisticated intel operation, spy operation, diplomatic operation in the world, we're supposed to believe that when we intervene in other countries, it's totally justified, it's totally legit, totally organic, it's what they want, it's better.
00:33:09.000When other countries do it, it's evil, it's an act of war, they did that to spread their hateful ideology, and so on.
00:33:19.000And so waking up is realizing the people in Prague are not Russian shills.
00:33:24.000They're people that don't want to pay a thousand percent more for energy because of a war that isn't their own.
00:33:32.000And what is the interest of the Czech Republic in supporting the sanctions against Russia because they invaded Ukraine?
00:33:40.000How does, in what way does that even concern Czech Republic?
00:33:43.000It's closer to Ukraine than the United States.
00:33:49.000If you're a person living in Poland or Czech Republic or any of the countries that are not the United States or Belgium or a handful of other beneficiaries, what's your angle?
00:34:03.000All you're getting is higher energy prices.
00:34:07.000The sanctions are not stopping Russia.
00:34:12.000How does that even work as a deterrent?
00:34:14.000Because the argument would go something like, well, we've got to punish Russia because if we don't, then Russian aggression will go unchecked, and theoretically, then one day, Russia may invade Czech Republic.
00:34:28.000But does anybody seriously think Russia will invade Czech Republic anytime soon?
00:34:38.000So that invading one, attacking one, is an attack on all, and Russia would never do that?
00:34:44.000Well, newsflash, Ukraine isn't in NATO.
00:34:48.000So in what world does Russia invading Ukraine, a non-NATO country, create some kind of threat to the NATO countries, particularly one like that, which is not very close.
00:35:20.000The goal is, and there's a few things going on here, but I guess the primary goal is to just make Russia lose money, which is something that just benefits the American grand chessboard strategy.
00:35:36.000They know that Russia's not going to lose this war.
00:35:39.000They know that the sanctions and all of this, it's not going to stop Russia.
00:35:44.000All it's going to do is weaken an adversary of the United States.
00:35:48.000An adversary which, by the way, cannot even really threaten the United States.
00:35:53.000But it just makes the adversary less able to project power in its immediate vicinity, which allows the United States to do more of that.
00:36:01.000Which is project power in the vicinity of Russia.
00:36:04.000So what Czech Republic is paying for is essentially for the right of the United States to project power even further than they already do.
00:36:15.000They're fighting for the ability of Washington to pick up where Russia has receded because of the damage to their economy as a result of the United States making this war very painful for them.
00:36:30.000If the United States supplies Ukraine with weapons, then it makes the war more costly, more deadly for Russia.
00:36:52.000Why is that worth what they're paying?
00:37:16.000Because you could argue in America, if we were paying a high cost like that, which we really aren't, we're paying the gas price, that is really the main effect of the war in Russia on the United States.
00:37:28.000We're suffering a little bit from the food inflation, a little bit from the energy inflation, but not to the extent they are in Europe.
00:37:35.000But even still, you could argue, is it worth it for America?
00:37:38.000Well, at least our country benefits in some way.
00:37:41.000At least our government benefits in some way.
00:37:44.000But it's totally disconnected from the advantage or the plight of the average European citizen in a European country.
00:37:53.000And that goes for Czech Republic, that goes for Germany, Italy, France, Portugal, you name it.
00:38:16.000We said the other day, and this is what Sam Francis outlined 30 years ago,
00:38:22.000It's a globalization of the population with immigration, of the economy with free trade, and of the government with global government.
00:38:31.000And so in the 1990s, you see the triumph of open borders, free trade agreements,
00:38:38.000And you see the triumph of these supernational institutions like the EU, and NATO, and the UN, and the IMF, and the WTO, and all these, which subordinate the sovereignty of the national government.
00:38:53.000And you think about these countries, or at least I do, as the hinterlands.
00:38:57.000This is all the way on the other side of the world.
00:39:00.000But on the other side of the world, they're having the same problem.
00:39:02.000It's actually probably even more acute.
00:39:07.000To the extent that it's our government, which it really isn't, but to the extent that it bears our name and we could be elected and work in it and so on, at least it's our government which is running the institutions.
00:39:21.000But you would say it's more acute for someone in Czech Republic because their government works for our government.
00:39:30.000So it's a scourge of the entire world, and over there, it's the communists and the nationalists teaming up for the same thing, which is, hey, it's not about ideology.
00:39:40.000We want a government that puts the people first, puts the national interest first, rather than these abstract, theoretical, universal values or goals.
00:39:56.000They're playing America's chessboard game?
00:40:36.000When we say that the Maidan was influenced by the United States, people say there's no evidence for that, there's no evidence that the United States supported the coup in Kiev in 2014.
00:41:04.000When all these coups happen all over the world, when all these revolutions happen, well that's total when hijabis, when the women in Iran are burning their hijabs, that's all organic and we need to listen to them and we don't have our fingerprints all over that.
00:41:18.000And when, who was it, Newland, Victoria Newland, when she sponsors and makes a comment on a phone call about how they were behind the Maidan in 2014, oh well that's not real evidence, there's no evidence we're behind that.
00:41:33.000But when Trump wins the election, blame it on Russia.
00:41:47.000So it's more hypocrisy, and I hate to do the hypocrisy thing because as time goes on I question how useful it is to point that out, but the fact remains it elucidates a little bit of what's going on.
00:42:02.000That's the red pill, which is that what we're being told about these things, it's obviously just state propaganda.
00:42:19.000Just like they don't talk about the protests against the sanctions against Russia, just like they never talked about the protests against the mask mandates or the vax passes throughout Europe, which were going on
00:42:34.000So they choose what to cover, and they choose what not to cover, and the things that they support and they like are the triumph of democracy and we need to support that, and the things they don't like are evil and supported by extremists or foreign states.
00:42:50.000Except for when we like it, then that's impossible.
00:42:53.000So that's Czech Republic, but we've heard about that, and the hope, the goal, is that
00:43:01.000These governments will be replaced by anti-EU governments.
00:43:08.000The goal is that, and this is why I wasn't so happy about the new Prime Minister in Italy, is that the goal of things getting so bad like this is we want people to want to destroy the European Union and want to destroy NATO.
00:43:21.000We want a nationalist uprising that's catalyzed by these horrible abuses visited on the people by rule from Brussels or rule from London or rule from Berlin or Washington.
00:46:33.000So we're not making artillery, we're not making missiles, we're not making missile launchers and bullets, we're just simply not making enough stuff to support a war.
00:46:46.000And we certainly don't have enough stuff sitting around to support a prolonged war like that, or at least enough stuff to give to another country fighting a war like that.
00:46:55.000So back in the summer they talked about how our stockpile is empty and pretty soon we're just going to start eating into the stuff that we need to fight our own wars.
00:47:04.000Well now that day has finally come and this is a new report from CNBC.
00:47:11.000weapons industry, the normal production level for artillery rounds for the 155mm howitzer, which is a long-range heavy artillery weapon currently used on the battlefields of Ukraine, is about 30,000 rounds per year in peacetime.
00:47:27.000That's how much ammunition we make for that particular kind of artillery piece in one year.
00:48:04.000He said the military stocks of most European NATO member states have been, I wouldn't say exhausted, but depleted in a high proportion because we have been providing a lot of capacity to the Ukrainians.
00:48:15.000This is Josep Borrell, the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy.
00:48:21.000NATO Secretary General Jen Stoltenberg held a special meeting of the Alliance's Arms Directors on Tuesday.
00:48:30.000To discuss ways to refill member nations' weapons stockpiles.
00:48:34.000Military analysts point to a root issue.
00:48:36.000Western nations have been producing arms in much smaller volumes during peacetime, with governments opting to slim down very expensive manufacturing and only producing weapons as needed.
00:48:46.000Some of the weapons that are running low are no longer being produced at all, and highly skilled labor and experience are required for their production, things that have been in short supply across the U.S.
00:48:59.000has been by far the largest supplier of military aid to Ukraine in its war with Russia.
00:49:05.000Several of the American-made weapons have been game-changers for the Ukrainians, particularly the 155mm guns and long-range heavy artillery, like the Lockheed Martin-made high-mobility artillery rocket system.
00:49:35.000What this means for Ukrainian forces is that some of their most crucial battlefield equipment is having to be replaced with older and less optimum weaponry.
00:49:44.000Other weapons Ukraine relies on that are now classified as limited include those HIMARS launchers, Javelin missiles, Stinger missiles, the M777 howitzer, and 155mm ammunition.
00:50:00.000The Javelin, produced by Raytheon and Lockheed Martin, has gained an iconic role in Ukraine.
00:50:05.000The shoulder-fired, precision-guided anti-tank missile has been indispensable in combating Russian tanks.
00:50:11.000But production in the United States is low, at a rate of around 800 per year.
00:50:16.000And Washington has now sent 8,500 to Ukraine.
00:50:20.000More than a decade's worth of production.
00:50:24.000So again, it goes back to what I was saying earlier.
00:50:28.000There's no way that we're gonna win this war.
00:51:56.000Ukrainians are dying at a rate of 10 for every one Russian killed in the war.
00:52:04.000So, you're going to run out of people.
00:52:06.000And if you don't run out of people, you're going to run out of equipment.
00:52:09.000The Russians, every day, are destroying Ukrainian equipment.
00:52:14.000With their artillery, with their airpower, with now kamikaze drones, which they have from Iran.
00:52:21.000And so the Ukrainians are getting their weapons depots destroyed, their barracks destroyed, and they're relying on this life support from the United States, which is these weapons which we're sending them.
00:53:17.000So can one person tell me how Ukraine is going to win the war if they're running out of people, they're running out of weapons, and they're running out of energy?
00:53:30.000Like there's just... what do you do at that point?
00:54:48.000So when you say it's a 6% contraction in GDP, of course the GDP will contract.
00:54:53.000They're being sanctioned by the biggest economies in the world.
00:54:57.000They're being sanctioned by the United States, France, the Eurozone.
00:55:03.000The European Union and the United States are the two biggest economies in the world, if you take the EU as one unit.
00:55:11.000So of course their trade will be diminished.
00:55:14.000Of course their consumption and investment is going to be hurt by this.
00:55:18.000Of course economic activity will decline when you get completely cut off from the two biggest economies in the world and your foreign currency reserve stolen and your currency being blocked from trading with the dollar, which is how all international trade is denominated.
00:56:20.000China and Iran and Russia, they all make things because they have to.
00:56:27.000And you're starting to see the problem that I laid out earlier this year, which is that it is going to be these countries on the world island which are benefiting from this war.
00:56:37.000And the countries of the world seas, the country of trade, which is the United States, the country that gets its wealth from trading with all the other countries because of its rule of the seas, they seem to be at the disadvantage.
00:56:53.000We seem to be at the disadvantage here.
00:56:56.000Who is hurt more by an embargo on trade?
00:56:59.000If China banned us from trade, who would hurt more?
00:57:02.000Probably in real terms, we would, because take a look at all of the essential minerals and the essential other raw materials that are needed for advanced manufacturing.
00:57:26.000And hafnium is made in France, and there's a few ones that are in Europe, and there's a few ones that are in the United States, beryllium.
00:57:34.000But all of, but almost all of them are made in China.
00:57:38.000Almost all of the raw materials that are needed in advanced manufacturing are the most, the vast quantities of them are found in China, or in Central Asia, or in Russia.
00:57:55.000Or in those countries that are allied with Russia and China.
00:58:32.000World War II, it was a big, obviously the United States had a big impact because of our industrial capacity, but it was really Russia's ability to ramp up production.
00:58:41.000It was Russia that was able to win the war back then.
00:58:46.000And it's Russia that's gonna win this war now, and it's Russia and China that are gonna win the war of the future as well.
00:58:57.000It looks like a lot of positives for Russia this week between the annexation of those four territories, the mobilization of the reservists, the United States running out of supplies.
00:59:09.000If the Ukrainians don't have those long-range missiles, they're just gonna lose.
00:59:14.000How do you fight an enemy that has a longer artillery range than you do?
00:59:19.000In other words, you're over here and they're over here.
00:59:23.000And they can hit you from where they are, and you can't hit them from where you are.
00:59:31.000If they've got air superiority, if they've got drone superiority, if their reach is farther with artillery, how do you hit an enemy that can hit you from further away?
00:59:46.000Social unrest that you see in Europe you're gonna start to see in Ukraine They talk about their civil unrest in Russia because of the conscriptions just wait It's only a matter of time before that happens in Ukraine and they go and try and kill Zelensky or do a revolution or something because I Mean they got to recognize when it's over and it's over here so or at least it's about to be over in short order and
01:00:15.000So that's the situation with Ukraine and the United States.
01:00:18.000And it also is a sad reflection on the state of our military that we just don't make this stuff anymore.
01:00:24.000We're not the arsenal of democracy anymore.
01:00:28.000The weapons that we will eventually need in the future, we just don't even make anymore.
01:00:33.000And you almost have to wonder what that would look like for the United States.
01:00:36.000Where are they going to get the people that are going to make these things in the future?
01:00:43.000As you look around the country and we've got this military that's having this recruiting crisis.
01:00:49.000The military just can't hit its recruitment numbers anymore.
01:00:53.000And the people that we are recruiting, it's a lot of good old boys, a lot of southerners, a lot of legacy people, and to some extent there's minorities in the military.
01:01:02.000Where is the army of the future going to come from in the United States?
01:01:06.000And what is the economy going to look like that supports that military?
01:01:11.000I don't know how that's going to work.
01:01:15.000And this is where personnel becomes policy.
01:01:17.000It's like I've said, for the same reasons that you're going to have planes falling out of the sky because they have to bring on women pilots for affirmative action, it's the same reason the U.S.
01:01:25.000military is not going to win a war against China in the future.
01:01:29.000Who are we picking to lead the military?
01:01:31.000Who are we picking to be in the military and make the stuff?
01:01:35.000Because if it's anything like the people that make everything else here, it's not going to be doing so hot.