The end of the era of fiscal dominance in the United Kingdom. The Bank of England's Governor, Mark Carney, is the first major central bank to challenge the notion that fiscal policymakers are the only ones with a mandate to deliver economic and fiscal stability.
00:00:00.000This is him trying to explain a policy that at its core is a paradox, both addressing financial stability, allowing some sort of easing, unwinding of positions that are untenable in the current regime, while also fighting inflation using very similar types of tools in terms of raising rates.
00:00:18.220I can see why they're very, very sensitive about the concept of fiscal dominance right now.
00:00:23.060I can see why they are almost immediately.
00:00:24.700The questions were asked at the Bank of England, will they accommodate what this government is going to do?
00:00:28.920And when they first came up with the gilt market operation, they were accused of just that, pandering, accommodating what fiscal policymakers had decided to do.
00:00:37.840So I think it's really, really difficult for them to do now.
00:00:40.420And I think that's why we're seeing the kind of language, the approach that we've seen from Governor Bailey.
00:00:46.820The sense I get from him and the way he spoke yesterday just sounded like a man who was very, very sensitive to the idea that they might be contributing to so-called fiscal dominance.
00:00:55.120There is an argument that for decades, central banks helped offset a lack of action from fiscal policymakers, a lack of action from Washington, D.C.
00:01:04.920And this is a question now of can the central banks pull back and stop giving the fiscal policymakers a pass and risk financial instability and risk perhaps disrupting things to such an extent that imperils the basic functionings of a capitalistic society.
00:01:21.720And this is going to become an increasing debate in the months.
00:01:25.160There's something else that's going on here.
00:01:26.680But Julia Bromowitz said the from Bloomberg had a very trenchant comment the other day talking about the United Kingdom.
00:01:32.900She said this is the end of the era of fiscal domination.
00:01:38.000And what she said is that this is politicians continually to vote for and press all of these programs, both defense spending, all of it, all the way through to social spending that have these massive Keynesian deficits.
00:01:49.560And the central banks have just been very passive to go along with it.
00:01:53.620And this is the first time you've really seen the central banks say that the fiscal domination and one of the dark forces that Peter's talking about is the Bank of England.
00:02:02.160Now, if you're if you're a pension fund, if you're a pension fund holder, you say they're the white knight.
00:02:07.700If you're if you're someone who actually wanted a Tory government, they come in thatcher like they're a dark force.
00:02:14.340But this is why it's going to be so important.
00:02:16.360This era of fiscal domination where the politician could just have in the United States trillion, trillion and a half dollar deficits in the Federal Reserve just continued to pump.
00:02:25.540In fact, now, what everybody should do is go to birchgold.com forward slash Bannon.
00:02:32.500You get the you get our thing of the end of the dollar empire.
00:02:47.560We're entering an era like the 19th century with Andrew Jackson and Henry Clay and William James Bryant, that the politics of money is going to be everything.
00:02:57.820And this is what people are going to be talking about.
00:02:59.360This is exactly what's going on in the United Kingdom right now.
00:03:02.000Not enough politicians are fluent enough to grasp the topic.
00:03:05.800That's why you don't see a lot of people coming for.
00:03:07.320That's why you see a Jeremy Hunt who is kind of marginalized.
00:03:10.840He's now stepped up and actually coming forward because he actually I think he feels more equipped to do this.
00:03:30.420Here's what I want to do for a second, because I have said and I hate to say I've been right on this, but I said she would finally back off and go to the cuts.
00:03:36.740I've also said she will be gone by this week.
00:03:39.700I've also said by next spring, you'll see the end of the Tory party.
00:03:43.120I recognize, though, given the situation, I cannot deliver the mandate on which I was elected by the Conservative Party.
00:03:53.140I have therefore spoken to His Majesty the King to notify him that I am resigning as leader of the Conservative Party.
00:04:01.560This morning, I met the chairman of the 1922 committee, Sir Graham Brady.
00:04:07.920We've agreed that there will be a leadership election to be completed within the next week.
00:04:13.680This will ensure that we remain on a path to deliver our fiscal plans and maintain our country's economic stability and national security.
00:04:23.900I will remain as Prime Minister until a successor has been chosen.
00:04:43.200I hate to say this, but I think I'm the only person in the world that said she would not make it through the week.
00:04:49.000I gave a speech right after that at Hillsdale College or the Kirby Center here where I reiterated that Liz Truss would not make it through the week.
00:04:58.100When people said, oh, no, no, she's going to make it through next spring or make it forever, including our brilliant political analyst from the U.K.
00:05:30.820This is the end of the Reagan Thatcher era, the policy toolbox that you could use in that era.
00:05:39.720You cannot use right now because we're in a very different, very different time, very different set of issues, very different set of demands.
00:05:48.840She, in a very knee-jerk way, with quasi-quartain, went to a classic Reagan supply site.
00:05:56.440It's like Arthur Laffer was sitting in the room with him.
00:06:01.780Remember, President Reagan had the ability to run massive deficits for that time, okay, and to get us out of the stagflation, which took us 14 years to get out of it.
00:06:11.480You needed Volcker, and you needed both Reagan.
00:06:13.980Here, you've had somebody come up with a playbook that won't face the two biggest issues you have to face, the fantasy of net zero carbon energy policy.
00:06:26.160And if you don't think it's here, it's here, okay?
00:06:33.480And then the others, you've got to come to grips with spending or how you're going to finance the spending.
00:06:41.480You know, she got religion late after she got blown up.
00:06:43.820And the thing is, too, this is inextricably linked to the pension funds for people who are dependent on these pension funds.
00:06:52.700And the pension funds over there are very close to blowing up.
00:06:56.040The carnage she has left in her wake for these ridiculous moves, unthought-through moves, and never had the guts to put forward the math.
00:07:05.040This is as bad as Fauci and those guys.
00:07:07.060Remember, back in the pandemic, I was ranting and raving all the time that you've got the University of Washington, Seattle with their model.
00:07:12.660You've got the guys in England with their model.
00:07:15.380Where's the model from the government?
00:08:06.600But these issues, the specter of these issues is over us right now, and it's going to come on top of us immediately after we win.
00:08:14.720Because the Republicans, and particularly the populist nationalist wing of that, have to stand firm and have to say, this is what we have to do.
00:08:24.140This country, England is just a microcosm of us.
00:09:22.880She's never going away, at least, until they get to the election.
00:09:26.400The Tory party is going to go the way of the Whigs next spring, unless they have a radical change of thinking and leadership.
00:09:33.280In fact, if we can pull that clip up by the guy that's from BBC yesterday, it's on my getter feed, where he says they're a bunch of second raiders.
00:20:16.680You've got to, you know, eventually over time, we want to be good stewards of the earth.
00:20:20.700Clearly you've got to do it, but not the radical way they're doing it.
00:20:23.100Walk me through, and you see right there from Peter, from Hearts of Oak, how Boris, this has been one of the centerpieces of his reign, 50% by 2030.
00:20:32.780Oh, excuse me, all British homes by 2030.
00:20:36.460Dave Walsh, give me your assessment of the energy plan that essentially destroyed Liz Truss.
00:20:43.320Well, the deep concern is the repudiation of her articulated energy plans for opening up fracking across the UK,
00:20:50.420making it not illegal, and opening up about 132 permits in the North Sea,
00:20:56.540were possibly way involved in her undoing, the repudiation of that by our Tory party.
00:21:02.680England in 2000 was 100% self-dependent on electrical power and energy overall.
00:21:09.800Since that time, it has consciously reduced electricity production by 14% and 27% per capita.
00:21:17.840Electricity production is basically the lifeblood of any developed economic society.
00:21:23.260England has taken conscious steps to reduce capacity, electrical capacity, energy capacity,
00:21:29.400and particularly per capita as the population has grown.
00:21:32.580The UK had been about 34% dependent on its own coal-powered power for energy.
00:21:38.560It reduced all of that, took its nuclear capacity down by about 25%.
00:21:42.840So basically, since 2000, they have reduced continuous-duty baseload on-demand electricity sources by 40%.
00:22:20.640Growth in electricity consumption is a lifeblood of an economy.
00:22:23.840This broadband discussion, among many other technologies, broadband is an electrical-based phenomenon.
00:22:30.600You need more electricity to have computers, to have laptops, cell phones, broadband, all the above.
00:22:35.840The UK has consciously taken steps to go in the opposite direction.
00:22:40.700So we have the BBC this week broadcasting, or we're hearing from credible sources preparing public announcements for the winter
00:22:48.840about service interruptions occurring, blackouts up to two days' duration,
00:22:53.340potentially this winter, they're preparing emergency announcements.
00:22:55.980And then we have John Pettigrew, the CEO of the National Grid, announcing that we should expect 4 to 7 p.m. brownouts periodically in the UK this winter
00:23:06.960from the mouth of the CEO of the National Grid.
00:23:10.420So the energy policy is in faltering ruins in the UK.
00:26:34.000They're blaming Obama for not doing enough.
00:26:35.640And trust me, Gavin Newsom is going to sit there and go.
00:26:37.780The hermetically sealed political class in this city, our imperial capital, doesn't get it.
00:26:44.180But Dave Walsh is walking you through the laws of physical property of the modern industrial world.
00:26:53.360If you want to follow Greta Thunberg, if you want to be like Boris Johnson – and remember, all these guys want to be fed it and praised by the Guardian, by the Times of London, by the BBC.
00:27:01.280They want to go to all the parties and have people say, you're just so magnificent.
00:27:04.880So they're not prepared to understand what reality is and then have the stones to stand in the breach and do it.
00:27:25.720Not that I don't love those people and admire them and appreciate them.
00:27:29.020They were there under radically different circumstances.
00:27:31.880What the political class in Wall Street, in the city of London, with modern monetary theory and all of this, what it has done to the world as it's in a radically different set of problems.
00:27:43.900We have to solve for that problem set.
00:27:48.700The two days when we get to Dave Brady's going to walk us through the UK economy and how it parallels to the good old United States of America.
00:28:47.320After I've stolen the title, borrowed against it, or sold the property, it's 60 to 90 days for that person to even figure out that they're the victim of this crime.
00:31:14.960Make sure you support the great manufacturing company of Minnesota and the armor-piercing show that is Mike Lindell.
00:31:20.400You can't get it at big box stores, retail, home shopping because they broomed him because he's been picking a fight about 3 November, as we all have.
00:31:30.160So make sure you support the armor-piercing show that is Mike Lindell and all these great products.
00:31:36.140Before I go to, we got trying to track down Nigel Farage.
00:31:38.880We had Nigel on the show the other day.
00:31:40.480We lit Nigel up about stepping up and taking some leadership.
00:31:43.540He's got this great hit show on GB News because Nigel's the guy, the cavalry.
00:31:48.180He came in on Brexit and made Brexit happen.
00:31:50.480He's the guy that did Brexit, not Boris Johnson.
00:31:53.360Nigel Farage is the best leader in the United Kingdom.
00:37:31.720Just to put it into context, our federal government to GDP is in the low 20s, but we also have state government, local government, all those taxes, all the spending.
00:37:45.240And so for those who think that we're very far off from the euro socialists, we're not that far off as this chart shows, right?
00:37:54.320So this is just getting to 211, but you see the trajectory.
00:37:57.060And the problem here is everybody wants Christmas every day, and the American voter has to make up their mind on this, right?
00:38:05.940You got to eat your spinach to get economic growth.
00:38:08.700So all this money is going into consumption goods, just goods you like, but they do not cause the economy to grow.
00:38:16.180The educators right now in K to 12, you're spending $20,000 on each kid.
00:39:14.240And so if you're doing all these investments, then why is the rate of return on all the investments zero?
00:39:21.960And that, of course, correlates, as we showed yesterday, the productivity is roughly the same chart as GDP per capita, which is the same thing as your personal income at home.
00:39:32.160And so the middle class is well aware that their wages have been flat for about 40 years.
00:39:37.660During the Trump administration, there was an upward blip for high school grads for the first time in real wages.
00:39:44.400Now real wages, everyone knows, are being obliterated by inflation, right?
00:39:48.900So if wages go up by four, but inflation's eight percent, you're losing four percent, right?
00:39:54.360So real wages are down right now, all caused by this elitist ideology class who's been running things from the Death Star over in Europe.
00:40:04.160And then we have Chinese influence on us.
00:40:06.880And we went right along with all that.
00:40:08.960Our elites allowed all that to happen.
00:40:20.360This was Trump's full spectrum energy dominance, right?
00:40:24.120Whether it's wind, whether it's solar, whether it's nuclear, whether it's natural gas, oil production, across the board, not independence.
00:40:33.720That's a full spectrum energy dominance.
00:40:36.760Dave Walsh, I just want to make sure the audience understands because this is going to be the issue after you have the shift in power.
00:40:42.880Why is energy in this world, in the 21st century, why is energy underpin everything when you talk about GDP, GDP growth, productivity, GDP per capita, all that?
00:40:56.540Why is it that you have to have a realistic energy policy or everything else?
00:41:02.200You're building it on a foundation of sand, sir.
00:41:04.620Well, if you think about the notion of what's called core inflation, inflation that impacts core production, core products, aluminum, steel, coal, plastics, polymers, fertilizers for agriculture, transportation, core products.
00:41:24.260Energy is at the heart of, is a major, major cost input and barrier to existence of most core products of the type I mentioned.
00:41:35.180Anything to do with materials virtually of any kind except wood, all of the rest of materials from metals to polymers to plastics, all based on energy and basically natural gas and oil to produce them.
00:41:49.060And critical inputs to their content, along with, of course, fertilizers, we've made that case hugely.
00:41:54.920The entire developed world elevation in food production by a factor of three times, even since 1900 and two times since 1960, is almost entirely based on the fact of having ammonia produced from natural gas fertilizers to propel agricultural production globally in the last, in the last 40 to 50 years.
00:42:14.500It's medicines, medicines, the ability to transport medicines, the ability to conduct surgery, and the ability to use a 5G system, even brought up by Johnson today or a few days ago, all dependent on the, on electrification, natural gas and oil energy sources to transport, to make, to ship.
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00:46:55.960Tucker Carlson, myself, Jack Posobiec.
00:46:59.380Tons and tons of people, of course, put on by Charlie Kirk and the folks at Turning Point.
00:47:03.020Also, you can get the book at half price, The College Scam.
00:47:07.280If you want to know why the trillion dollars, Biden's buying off these voters by shifting a trillion dollars onto your shoulders, read The College Scam.
00:47:17.040I'm going to get back to the politics of Boris Johnson in a second.
00:47:20.760Peter's actually going to stick around with us in the second hour.
00:47:23.140Dave Bratt, any other charts, any other comments, analysis of the UK economy and why it portends what's going to happen here to our own beloved republic, sir?
00:47:34.800Yeah, well, as you know, I have libertarian tendencies.
00:47:39.080Those tendencies only work when you have free markets at play.
00:47:42.500So when the government is over half of GDP and you've got a list of everything, big auto, big airlines, big banks, big tech, big health care, big government.
00:47:53.240OK, so you're going to give some tax cuts to all those bigs, right, all these monopolies.
00:47:58.460And you really think you're going to incentivize this?
00:48:01.200No, you need a structural change of our economy.
00:48:50.120They'll have no effect if you've got to follow federal state law on certain mandates in Medicare, Social Security, et cetera.
00:48:56.120But don't – remember, all these – mostly – this is – just because they say the Tories are conservatives, just like they say the Republicans, don't think they're really conservatives.
00:49:04.200It's just – it's controlled opposition.
00:49:06.040And they don't want to – they don't want to cross BBC.
00:49:09.740They don't want to cross the people putting on the cocktail party just like in New York City and the Hamptons.
00:49:13.580They want to be welcome to all those things.
00:49:15.740Dave Walsh, anything on energy we've missed here?
00:49:18.940What is – Boris Johnson, by the way, the word is now Boris Johnson.
00:49:23.900In fact, I just had a very smart guy from Scotland that I really admire his thinking.
00:49:27.960He says Boris Johnson is going to come back.
00:49:30.240He says they'll just come in because right now these other guys are midgets compared to Boris Johnson.
00:49:35.400We'll get to Peter in a second on that.
00:49:36.880Your thoughts, Dave Walsh, are where they're jammed up on energy, right?
00:49:40.480You know, she's – she's adding $20 billion, I think, 20 billion pounds to pay for everybody's electricity, trying to get back to some fracking.
00:49:47.740But right now they don't have an energy policy that they have the balls to push through.
00:49:55.260Doubling down on their policies of the last 20 years will not work.
00:49:59.920What they've done by destroying baseload continuous generation by 42 percent of their mix, coal and nuclear being taken offline,
00:50:07.740they've displaced that by reducing personal consumption by 27 percent and then by importing gas, the rest of it.
00:50:14.920They used to be a net exporter of natural gas in 2000.
00:50:18.620Now they're a massive net importer of it from Norway, of course, the U.S.
00:50:22.420They only have one import terminal, which is another huge problem.
00:50:25.140Europe has only – really, the U.K., Spain, and France have meaningful importation capacity for LNG.
00:50:31.420So, yes, right now you've got all these tens of tankers lined up from the U.S., from Qatar, from Australia, lined up to support natural gas to LNG to Europe.
00:50:43.680But they don't have the importation capacity built to deal with it, and that takes two and a half to three years to build.
00:50:49.000So they're in a huge problem that wind will not get them out of and actually will accelerate the problem.
00:50:57.340You see these commercials, it's all fantasy.
00:50:59.600Dave Walsh, how do people get to you on Getter?