Episode 2488: This Time It's Different
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
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Summary
In this episode of War Room, host Stephan Kambrenno is joined by his good friend and former colleague Nate Conell to discuss the current financial crisis in America and what it means for the future of the country.
Transcript
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this is the primal scream of a dying regime pray for our enemies because we're going to
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medieval on these people you're just not got a free shot all these networks lying about the
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people the people have had a belly full of it i know you don't like hearing that i know you try
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to do everything in the world to stop that but you're not going to stop it it's going to happen
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and where do people like that go to share the big line mega media i wish in my soul i wish that any
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of these people had a conscience ask yourself what is my task and what is my purpose if that
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answer is to save my country this country will be saved war room here's your host stephen k bann
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no i i think i raised this point with you earlier and it continues to be something i'm kind of
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obsessed with here which is in 2010 this was something spending austerity the deficit debt
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that republicans ran on they could plausibly say they were implementing this time around it was
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just nowhere i covered the campaign very closely right it was not anywhere in fact i thought nate
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cone uh made a good point he was talking about in march 2021 right so biden's just elected and
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you've got the arp american rescue plan a morning council political poll found that more republicans
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said they heard a lot about the news that the dr seuss estate had decided to stop selling six books
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it deemed had offensive imagery then about the 1.9 trillion dollar stimulus package and acted into
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the law that very week like they i think this is a misreading even of their own base there is no
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it's like vestigial it's like writing last year's date on your checks in january this is what they're
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doing because it's what they do but i don't even know like who wants it no one i mean it's completely
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divorced from the last campaign and so there's clearly no public appetite for this and i agree
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with you in their base i mean if you were to poll seniors in florida in arizona in georgia you know
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right center seniors you know they would be they're going to be apoplectic about this and you know i
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remember back in 2011 you know as we got closer you know this dominated not just news coverage but
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social media and and because we went through that it's all going to happen much more intensively and
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earlier so there's going to be a white hot spotlight on this and what you can see is the republicans
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can't articulate what they want right you made a really important point they didn't last fall for
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sure but right now they can and i think they're just expecting that they have to fight you know
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they're all all auditioning to be the chief you know carnival barker and tucker carlson circus
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essentially not worried about swing voters and clearly not worried about the economy so i think
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you're right i think there's going to be a sense of whiplash voters are going to be like wait wait
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now they had a miserable election you know they basically limped to the finish line and very
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barely got across but even with that voters who might have voted for them in some districts say i didn't vote
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for this you know it was to do something about inflation maybe or about crime not to basically
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you know point a self-inflicted massive wound at the american economy potentially
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i'll tell those parents right there that's why i'm here that's why i'm here to make sure their
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children do not have and continue this debt if you just look if we continue the trajectory that
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we're on in the next 10 years we'll spend eight trillion dollars just on interest eight trillion
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dollars just on interest what that means though too because of the spending that has been going on
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is that's why you have inflation america's strength will shrink it everyone has always said it
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doesn't matter what occupation you're in you whether you're u.s general or not the greatest threat to
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america is our debt our debt is now at 120 percent of gdp meaning our debt is larger than our economy
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at the this is higher than at any time in american history and it's higher at any time in american
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history when the revenues that are coming into government are higher than any other time so
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we've got a lot of revenue we just have a spending problem and that's where i want to find that we
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can find common ground yes can you commit that the u.s will not default on its obligations look
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if i look at anything and you want to equate this if you have a child and you give them a credit card
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and they spend that limit you're responsible for paying that credit card but the responsible thing
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too is going forward not just raise the limit but look at how you're spending you know i look at chuck
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schumer he's never passed a real budget he's never passed any appropriation bills but he puts a one
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point um it is uh thursday two february in the year of our lord 2023 it is groundhog day and of course
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um we're going to be monitoring that closely but poxatawney fell but it's like groundhog day
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again we're here i want to make sure everybody understands the uh because i'm talking to the um
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the the chairman of the the men and women that are the form the office of the chairman of the
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creditors committee of the full faith and credit the united states government and i want to make sure
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we're deconstructing this because uh it's going to be very important going forward so i got cortez
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i got brat and we're going to introduce you uh to a um a gentleman from heritage and heritage is
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just doing amazing fantastic work in fact steve cortez has got up on getter a great piece by dr
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kevin roberts about the defense budget dr roberts for schedule dr roberts going to join us tomorrow
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i think in the five o'clock hour to go through this amazing analysis of heritage of course we've had
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mike howlon a lot they're doing great work we've got e.g e.j and tony is going to join us here
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momentarily but i want to make sure everybody understands fully appreciates what's happening
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here as cortez and brad can appreciate the the information warfare about this rachel maddow's gone
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she punched out right remember she didn't want anything to do with this so she punched out to go
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i don't know right the new west wing whatever she's doing uh she shows up once a week and you know
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does her thing but she's out as the railhead of the thinking but she's got her acolyte chris hayes
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is the new command center over at msnbc from msnbc and the new york times remember if the new
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york times didn't publish every day msnbc would be a test pattern so it's all new york times washington
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post uh you know the insiders but the railhead of that uh is uh is chris hayes okay and he brings
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on floof last night that the the uh the obama guy and they're saying i i do this so you know this
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is coming out of nowhere what are they even talking about nobody mentioned there's a campaign
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oh no no no and they watch this show uh closely they understand that the important voices the
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voices that mattered and that would be maga that would be this audience have been folk maniacally
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focused on this massive national security interest uh concern of the out of control debt the rising
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interest rates all of it maniacally for the last two years of steve uh cortez can tell you and bratt
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when we you know we called all the shots on the american recovery plan the debt you know this time
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it's totally different and they just want you know why do you even bother it's not popular nobody's
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talking about this this is a not a ticking time bomb this is a bomb that's about to go off it's going
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off and bratt's got uh some analysis that talks to you about the underlying real economy right and how
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it's a dead carcass and the only way the con the system works the con works is this fiscal domination
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by these by these by the uh uniparty that continues to have this massive spending discretionary spending
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you know trillion dollars of the defense department train does here train does there but bing bing bing
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bing and they got their buddies over the fed just continue to print the fiat money that system's
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coming to an end it's not sustainable they talk about not sustainable as far as the green new deal goes
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and all the the net zero carbon hey sustainability let's talk about financial sustainability and the
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people getting a vote on this is the global south who control all the resources because they're going
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to say hey look we control the resources and you keep giving these things called federal reserve notes
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we don't know if they're worth it and maybe we do a basket with somebody else and have another
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you're like you're like england you know after the war we want to have another uh another currency
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another basket of currencies and take you off take off the dollar from being the prime reserve
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currency and then we're argentina this audience gets it and they're going to all they're going to
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try to do now he just said it's going to turn white hot nobody talked about this it's not popular hey
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we're not here to do popular things we're here to do what's what's right for this constitutional republic
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that was bequeathed us and we're not going to turn and we're not going to turn it over after our watch
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with a massive financial crisis kenneth rogos book this time is totally different every one of these people
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say it every time before their economy collapses we're at 120 percent and it's actually worse than
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that remember that's just the face amount of the treasury treasury that's just the fit the 31 and a
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half is just the face amount i think you could argue with the social security and the in the medicare
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you get another 30 you're at 60 and and you should not touch medicare and social security you don't
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need to we can get there without that um and and then you got to add the nine and a half trillion
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dollars over a treasury excuse me at the federal reserve the balance sheet of the federal reserve
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and hey note to self the scam's been they've been able to kick in i don't know 50 billion to 100
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billion to but to help the deficit from profits made off the uh off from the fed because the
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interest or interest rates now with the inverted yield curve mercatus mercatus the guys over george
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mercatus they've got an analysis says we're sitting on a one trillion dollar loss over at the at the
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treasury guests are kicking in so i want to bring in e.j uh and tony e.j thank you very much for joining
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us here from heritage also from steve moore's fantastic group the uh the prosperity guys uh who
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are always sitting there thinking about how we how do we get this economy really the real economy not
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the fake financial economy you've got this piece that chills me to the bones about the great
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depression 1932 and signals you see sir can you walk us through it and if denver can put that up
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and if mo and grace i want to get it in all the chat rooms so everybody midnight writer uh the great
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carly uh carly uh bonet all of them get this article and start reading it uh sir walk us through your
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analysis certainly well steve thank you so much for having me and when when we look at last year's gdp
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report what we find is that the headline number really belays a lot or betrays a lot of the details
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in that report but no one seems to be willing to read the report and actually find those details
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and one of the really really scary things in there is that real disposable income which is just your
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disposable income adjusted for inflation dropped precipitously last year and 90 of that drop was due
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entirely to inflation it fell a trillion dollars now you can say well the economy today is a lot larger
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than it was in years past so let's look at that in percentage terms in percentage terms that's the
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second worst drop ever the only time it was exceeded was 1932 the worst year of the great depression so if
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you want to understand how are american consumers actually doing right now i think that's the perfect
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piece of context um so so what are you saying what's the flashing signals i want to go back to
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your thing about the great depression what are the flashing signals because brad's going to join us after
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the break to talk about the underlying economy what are the flashing signals and what are your biggest
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concerns we should be worried about well there's a couple of things steve one of which is that we like
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to look at a business investment to see what is the trajectory of the economy going forward not just
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simply where we are now because if investment is going down today that signals lower growth in the
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future but also vice versa if investment today is increasing that signals that in the future the
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economy will be growing faster and when you look at investment first of all you have residential
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investment which is just falling off a cliff we have two quarters in a row where it's fallen by 25
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percent or more but on top of that the only growth in investment right now is coming from a buildup in
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inventories but why is that happening it's not because businesses are stocking up thinking that
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they're going to have higher sales in the future no it's actually because they were unable in the
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fourth quarter of last year to liquidate their inventories at current prices in other words people
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literally were so strapped for cash that they started buying less and businesses were left holding goods
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and services and so now they're going to have to turn around and sell those probably at a loss which will
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lead to lower profits which again points to lower growth so even when you look at some of the
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positive numbers in the report again like business investment you really need to figure out where is the
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devil in these details because things are again not nearly as rosy as they appear
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you're a data analytics guy at heritage and with the you're an analytics guy as you look at the
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underlying analytics from the top line numbers what is your we've got about a minute here and i'm
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holding you through the break what is your what is your forecast looking forward on this economy
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i think we're going to see the the headline gdp numbers uh flatline and then turn south this year
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uh there there really is just no way that you can escape spending printing and borrowing trillions and
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trillions of dollars i mean we really should not be surprised with the results here
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i tell you what ej just hang on for one second we're going to take a break i got brat lined up
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with an analysis the underlying economy steve protesting i'm coming you know hunter biden
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we we've dealing signal not noise here you know last night hunter biden's uh lawyer tried to gimmick
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the gimmick is i don't know go to delaware go to doj you know want to pursue criminal charges on
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on rudy myself everybody else on the laptop they basically admitted after two years of line about it
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hello that laptop's actually ours it's not russian distant it's not russian disinformation
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we don't have time for the nonsense hey let the grand jury deal with hunter's laptop let the house
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you'll you'll see all you want to see abby low in the next week uh starting in the with the house
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investigations which we'll get to in the second hour um short break the economy how it ties and
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what does the ukraine war have to say about that all next in the war
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will the lack of a red wave during the midterms lead to a more emboldened biden more wasteful
00:15:05.420
government spending higher taxes a deepening of inflation and how do you protect your hard-earned
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future with gold do it today take action use your agency here's your host stephen k bannon
00:16:07.720
okay um a couple things cpac match lap's gonna join us in the second hour talk about new uh speakers
00:16:17.120
coming to cpac you know president trump's coming war room's going to be there real america's voice
00:16:21.380
cpac.org slash war room you get 47 bucks off your general mission ticket and that gets you to
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everything you need to get to right for us if you want to do extras i think they're extra too but you
00:16:32.800
and we're going to do breakout rooms we're going to do meet and greets all of it just like we did at
00:16:36.920
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the ticket's 248 after the 47 discount so go there one time good deal cpac.org slash war room go check
00:16:51.760
it out now this will be an incredibly enjoyable fun but also informative as we fire off the football
00:16:58.380
into 2023 and beyond ej i just want to make sure at the end tell me about the spending again because
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this has got to be cut this is why the bravery and um in intellectual leadership of heritage under
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kevin roberts uh and cortez has been all over this he's got up on on uh on getter the um about
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cutting the defense but we everything's on the table except for medicare and social security we got
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to cut the defense budget right dr roberts gonna be on here tomorrow you guys have done an incredible
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job what what was the comment you made at the end about spending sir so people are wondering why is
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the economy in the shape it is in right now and it's simply because you cannot spend borrow and print
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trillions upon trillions of dollars and not expect negative consequences look the sins of the past
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always catch up with you be they moral or monetary and that's exactly what we're seeing today the average
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family for example has lost six thousand dollars in purchasing power so in other words even though
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their salaries their wages have been going up prices have been going up even faster and so they can
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effectively buy less today than they could when biden took office but on top of that now that the federal
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reserve is belatedly raising interest rates that's adding to borrowing costs on everything from from
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credit cards to student loans from mortgages to auto loans that's another fourteen hundred dollars
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that the average family has lost that's seventy four hundred dollars feel like you're poor
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i was going to get to the said over heritage told me seventy four so that's how you add it together
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the drop in real wages and in the interest rate seventy four hundred bucks a year on a family can you
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afford that don't think so that's the real economy ej how do people oh by the way spending is a tax
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it's a tax on you it's a tax um how do they get to how do people get to you over to heritage at the
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prosperity group your social media all of it where they go uh they they can find me at heritage.org
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they can find a lot of the reports i've written at committee to unleash prosperity.com and you can
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also follow me on twitter at real ej and tony yeah uh ej thank you very much honor have you on here
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i'll tell you i'm gonna go to uh brad but uh uh cortez let me bring you in for a second chris hayes
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and chris this is what you got to do you got to get somebody a numbers guy you need an ej on your
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staff or cortez right cortez uh hayes is a poet ploof is a poet they're poets right they're not
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serious people they're poets you need you need data analytics guys chris hayes has a big miss
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there what is that miss sir massive not thinking about by the way when you say you need a numbers
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person you need a data guy do you think there's even one of those at 30 rock where msvc broadcast from
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in the entire building do you think there's one hold it i don't think so yes stephanie rule stephanie
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rule no she's in the investment banking business she's she's a new business person that's right
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yeah she's a new business that's the one getting all seriousness here's what chris hayes just totally
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misses and look when you watch a lot of these anchors it's not just chris hayes a lot of these
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broadcasters try to talk about the economy it's like watching a toddler uh talk about physics all right
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i mean they're just so out of their depth so out of the realm uh that they have no idea what has
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changed chris hayes something material has changed and the american people know you don't have to be
00:20:18.280
an economist or a data person to know it interest rates have changed the regime of essentially free
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money it was an artificially repressed interest rate regime of free money um that was caused by the
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federal reserve as well as central banks all over the world we knew that it couldn't last forever
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well that bubble was popped it was pierced by the policies of joe biden uh primarily by his attack
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on american domestic energy production concurrent with the exorbitant borrowing and spending that
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he engaged in the orgy of borrowing and spending uh with the full complicity of the washington
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permanent washington political class including republicans that pierced uh that bubble okay and now
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interest rates to be specific here on election day in 2020 okay when joe biden prevailed i don't say one
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when he prevailed on election day 10-year treasury yield was 0.8 percent today it is 3.4 and that's
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come down a bit by the way in recent weeks but it is still more than four times higher and the way
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bond math works steve what matters is the percent of the percent in other words it is four times higher
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by historical terms three percent might sound low but it's not at all low in the context of sub one
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percent right so in other words think of it this way think if we had interest rates at five
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percent ten-year treasury yield at five percent which is sort of more normal historically and
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then they lurched to 20 okay which happened in the late 1970s it's a crisis well what we have right now
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is an absolute crisis so chris hayes yes it has changed materially it has changed deficits
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they always mattered but they really matter now so they're not dumb people they're cunning ploof
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and here's the reason obama obama's the one that went to it went to zero negative interest rates
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after the debacle the and i'm not making any excuses for hank paulson and and uh and bush and that crowd
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who who were there with the uniparty it's all the uniparty remember obama supposed to be the most
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progressive chris ploof answer this one this way i want to run cover for him supposed to be the most
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progressive president in history where it really matters yeah the pro wrestling in the front you're
00:22:21.960
progressive where it really matters money what they they allowed the greatest concentration of
00:22:27.560
wealth in the history of the american republic on obama's watch and he's a running dog for wall
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street okay just like bernie sanders all these guys give this happy talk chris hayes msmc all the happy
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talk you would allow the interest rates go to zero the greatest concentration but real estate stocks this
00:22:45.320
is when the wealthy it was turbo this was the beginning of the oligarchs okay that was on obama's watch
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the beginning they got a great book called confidence man and it's quite frankly it's
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embarrassing obama sitting there's a constitutional lawyer he's like what what this thing's so over
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his head that's the way wall street rolls that's the way he runs in the democratic party by the way
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robert reich's got this piece in the guardian about what we have to do is tax hey look for the oligarchs
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all the oligarchs are either left-wing progressive democrats or they're the worst rhinos in the world
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that hate maga do you think i have any problem with the oligarchs being taxed well in at war room
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we do not okay we would take reich's thing and and and so we see that and we raise you because it's
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all the uniparty wealthy come on baby you want to do that hey i'm all in you want to you want to get
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these titans you larry fink and ken griffin you think we have any problem of uh you know not i don't
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think it's tax i think it's reparations i think it's reparations what they've stolen from the american
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people on obama's watch and on biden's watch uh steve cortez thoughts yeah and by the way data
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point on that point of of the obama biden administration what they did in their eight
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years the supposedly most progressive administration ever which massively exacerbated wealth inequality
00:24:03.960
according to federal reserve numbers during those eight years only the top 10 of earners saw their
00:24:11.160
net worth increase the bottom 90 percent almost all of america saw their net worth decline and for
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black americans specifically for black american households they lost one third of their net worth
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during those eight years wiped out we think about that you've never got the whole obama duck hey chris
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hey chris hayes david please suck on that come back tonight and let's answer that question obama buried
00:24:35.800
the african americans they destroy a third of their wealth hispanics almost the bad so don't give me
00:24:41.320
your happy talk and all this i we never heard this was not on the campaign trail stop doing the clown
00:24:46.680
show i tell you let's do i i'm going to show you where the i'm going to go back and do two things
00:24:50.760
with the cortez and bring a day bread in with his analysis let's do that let's do the can we hit the
00:24:54.600
two uh can we hit the two and i'm going to introduce brad let's roll are you shocked at your latest
00:25:00.120
utility bills well if you are you're hardly alone but for millions of americans it's an absolute
00:25:06.040
crisis because they are literally having their power shut off let's look at the numbers in a chalk
00:25:10.760
talk from the chicago sun times data last year january through october the most recent month we have
00:25:16.920
1.5 million americans had their power shut off how does that compare in context well for electricity
00:25:23.880
shutoffs of 29 percent over the prior year for natural gas up 76 percent over the prior year and
00:25:30.760
this stunning number may get even worse soon because prices are spiking for example in california right
00:25:37.560
now according to the utility socal gas typical winter heating bill has gone from 130 a month last year
00:25:44.520
to 315 a month this year a rise of 142 percent this reality is simply unaffordable
00:25:53.720
for many many americans it's a consequence of biden's war on american energy and the exorbitant
00:25:59.240
borrowing and spending of the washington unit party we're counting on the gop house to hold the line
00:26:06.280
patriots tragically massive corporate layoffs they are accelerating especially in the tech space
00:26:12.200
but one job that's very much in demand being a repo man because americans cannot afford their cars
00:26:18.280
let's look at the numbers in a chalk talk last year 2022 americans lost one trillion dollars
00:26:23.640
in real disposable income that was the worst percentage drop since the great depression
00:26:29.000
making it incredibly hard for americans to deal with rising interest rates and more expensive loans
00:26:33.640
on things like automobiles car payments one thousand dollars a month or higher that's now 16 of all
00:26:41.080
auto loans all-time high for context three years ago that number was only six percent which translates into
00:26:48.920
a giant jump in the percentage of americans who are severely delinquent in their auto loans meaning
00:26:54.840
they haven't paid in three months we just put in a number of almost six percent there which is worse
00:27:01.560
than the levels of the great recession of 2008 2009. patriots these numbers this economic reality
00:27:08.360
makes it imperative that the house gop hold the line regarding the debt ceiling
00:27:13.080
um steve let me get to you we're gonna bring brad in at the break we're gonna take a break right
00:27:20.040
here and bring dave bread in because this is about there's two things and this is all the happy talk
00:27:24.280
and spin you're seeing watch the chris hayes is not just that a lot of the conservative media and
00:27:28.440
what's happening up here in capitol hill basically there's a depression going on for working class
00:27:33.800
people in the way that in their lives and the reason is the underlying real economy the productive
00:27:39.960
economy what is really creates jobs and uh in value and wealth that is um that is dormant right
00:27:48.600
now it's dead it's a carcass all they do it is juice it up with this deficit spending and they hit
00:27:54.120
the button over the computer at the fed and create the fiat money that is over it's the end of the con
00:28:00.120
the long con all next in the war room thanks to your support patriot mobile has emerged as one of the
00:28:06.600
leaders in the parallel economy and they have big news patriot mobile now offers services with all
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00:28:20.040
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00:28:25.960
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your values their 100 u.s based customer service team makes switching easy just go to patriot mobile dot
00:28:59.720
dot com slash bannon that is patriot mobile dot com slash bannon or call them at 878 patriot that's
00:29:08.600
878 patriot get free activation today with the offer code bannon that's patriot mobile dot com slash bannon or
00:29:18.280
call 878 patriot do it today take action use your agency use your host stephen k bannon
00:29:29.720
okay on a day that uh hunter biden hunter biden's lawyers all upset they finally it's called a
00:29:37.720
self-own after two years they admitted it's not russian disinformation it's actually mine after all
00:29:43.800
right and they're going up there the well i don't know delaware doj these guys are criminals these guys
00:29:48.120
are criminals well bro strap in because the house investigations are going to be coming and the
00:29:54.600
word is immediately after the illegitimate joe biden who's not really president he's illegitimate
00:30:02.040
he's going to give his state of the union i think mccarthy just said like back in jefferson in those
00:30:05.720
days just just send it over send it in writing and you know we'll have a clerk read it um and i hope
00:30:11.720
that there's appropriate response uh by the by the uh maga wing of the republican party during this fiasco
00:30:18.520
the state of the union uh of all his lies and misrepresentation don't let him lie call him out
00:30:23.540
right there uh and the next day they're going to start they're going to start to hunter biden this is
00:30:28.200
what i'd love it comer and these guys are i think on point right now a lot going on behind the scenes
00:30:32.840
we'll we'll break news when we can uh dave bratt uh by the way mypillow.com promo code war room the
00:30:38.280
launch of mypillow 2.0 hey and i agree with citizens free press you know mike lindell what he did the
00:30:45.000
he owned jimmy kimmel now he did it inside the inside the whatever is the the the the um like
00:30:51.640
the the cage right but i thought he owned him in the opening uh monologue was great mike got
00:30:57.080
had over a million or two million hits already this is the way he gets the word out to people who
00:31:01.880
don't watch war room or don't watch lindell tv right it's a massive it's a massive all those ratings
00:31:07.000
you know gut feeling these guys crushing he's still got big ratings because it's broadcast uh mypillow.com
00:31:12.420
promo code war room you got to go to get the launch of mypillow 2.0 if the if the original
00:31:17.620
mypillow uh was your sleeping companion this is next level okay totally next level of technology
00:31:23.980
mike's worked on this for a long time boom it's out you're gonna love it buy one get one free
00:31:30.060
mypillow.com promo code war room check it out now dave uh bratt uh what did you think did mccarthy
00:31:36.480
have it right about the credit card before you because you're gonna walk us through whether
00:31:39.880
where the economy really is not that not the fake economy that we're just we're just spending this
00:31:44.780
money we don't have and and and burying our children and grandchildren sir yeah i think he
00:31:51.000
had the intent right but i think he goofed up the metaphor uh the kid didn't spend too much the parents
00:31:56.040
spent 32 trillion too much uh now the next generation's got to pay it off or else the fed's
00:32:01.820
going to run inflation to pay it off so uh that does matter
00:32:05.240
talk to walk us through your walk us through your charts walk us through your uh analysis of where
00:32:12.860
the real economy is the productive economy yeah yeah first i i just want to respond to ploof uh for a
00:32:20.160
minute uh it it's always interesting after the left destroys everything right after the marxists
00:32:26.300
destroy china and russia and every civilization they've run uh it's incumbent on the judeo-christian
00:32:33.940
principles to come in and clean up the mess and usually those people do it humbly and so you know
00:32:39.040
i don't have to go through and recite the you know magna carta renaissance reformation enlightenment
00:32:44.300
all the great things we did uh the puritans founded harvard whose motto was truth for christ and
00:32:51.720
church if you said that today at harvard you'd probably get booted off campus all right but the
00:32:57.640
point of all that is the christians in their kindness gave over harvard and yale and princeton
00:33:03.480
and all the great schools you can name all of them were all christian founded gave them to secular
00:33:09.000
society uh as a gift not to force religion right we don't believe religion should be forced
00:33:14.860
and so uh ploof what are we aiming at we're aiming to restore the greatness and the decency
00:33:21.600
and the character of the judeo-christian west that's what we're aiming at but i'll be i'll
00:33:28.100
be polite and i'll just run through some numbers here uh we made a secular handshake uh the seminaries
00:33:33.460
went across the tracks we gave you uh the secular world the universities but unfortunately you goofed
00:33:39.260
it all up your economists aren't making any sense right now and so i'll just go over the first chart we
00:33:45.140
got hold on hang on hang on no no hang on hang on because i understand you from liberty and you
00:33:50.540
always believe that you know the economy because of the spiritual war but cortez i didn't realize
00:33:55.320
we're going to trigger brat uh so much i thought we're gonna get the numbers and get into the
00:33:59.940
details man he's been sitting there seething right seething you gave those ivy leagues man we created
00:34:06.500
brown we created dartmouth we created harvard and yale and we gave them over and you got you end up
00:34:12.120
with guys like obama and ploof right chris hayes that's what you get for your effort yeah
00:34:16.640
speaking of obama and his alma mater columbia university i actually just this morning uh
00:34:22.480
coincidentally posted this on my social media there was a massive student survey of thousands
00:34:27.220
and thousands of students all over the country and they asked them about free speech issues
00:34:30.660
and this group ranked 203 universities on the topic of free speech dead last at 203 columbia
00:34:39.500
university ivy league columbia barack obama university but steve here's also bad news before we get
00:34:44.660
cocky either you or i our alma mater you went to graduate school i went to undergrad georgetown
00:34:49.580
university number 200 200 out of 203 almost the very seller when it comes to free speech in a
00:34:58.560
university yeah leave it to the modern jesuits right leave it by the way i went there when it
00:35:04.940
was still quasi-catholic university cortez you were that you were at the tail end of that
00:35:09.060
now it's just stop hold it so uh brad let me go back to you now that you got it off your chest
00:35:17.080
i know you're seething right i know you're seething you got it off your chest let's go yeah
00:35:22.160
see see the let's go back to the uh let's go back because you're right and you make a great point
00:35:27.860
that the bolsheviks and the in the soviets destroyed russia and destroyed the russian people
00:35:34.200
the the the the the uh this chinese communist party are still the butchers and the in the and
00:35:40.620
destroy the lao baijing every day it's absolutely correct and you're seeing it here i just want to
00:35:45.320
duly know before we go at 203 columbia university is also the home of the columbia school of
00:35:50.440
journalism right the journalism reviewed the revered thing of free speech hey baby hey i got a thing
00:35:56.240
from hippocrates a physician heal thyself i want you at the journalism things columbia stop telling us
00:36:03.560
about the rest of the country once you get the chart and go get go from 203 get a get a one handle
00:36:09.200
in front of let's go to 199 let's aspire and get the twos right dave brett on the uh on the economy
00:36:16.080
sir yeah if the guys uh in denver want to put up a chart one uh this is just to respond yesterday was
00:36:22.840
the big you know federal reserve day uh some breaking news he mentioned the term disinflation i think they're
00:36:28.460
getting a little too ahead of their skis uh but the gdp uh growth rate that you know they're they're
00:36:34.220
talking about three percent and so the average person looking at that go how in the world can
00:36:38.700
that be so i i just want to put it in broader context you this is cbo they're usually a little
00:36:44.480
too optimistic uh but these are the numbers that came out yesterday too and if you look at the far
00:36:49.240
right from 2026 to 2031 the long run trend is we're going to be growing at only one and a half percent
00:36:56.780
uh gdp growth and so and then the next chart uh why is that uh and here's your dead carcass of the
00:37:04.260
economy uh the the the two most uh steve cortez and ej just got done putting it very well capital inputs
00:37:13.240
uh in in intro macro class we usually just talk about capital as the major cause of economic growth
00:37:20.820
and then when you get a little bit more advanced and you see it there capital way over to the far
00:37:25.320
right is only going to be growing at one percent and then the most important variable is called
00:37:30.220
total factor productivity uh that's the free markets the animal spirits the entrepreneurship the
00:37:36.760
innovation the patents all of that all of that is only growing over at the far right
00:37:42.080
at uh one percent uh at the end of the year and we we've gone over all this with the head of
00:37:47.300
northwestern uh uh the greatest scholar on productivities uh robert gordon uh and productivity
00:37:53.700
has been going down steadily for the past 40 years productivity down in the united states of america for 40
00:38:01.900
years so mr ploof uh in secular terms that's what we're aiming at uh rust vote has a budget where every
00:38:10.020
line item is going to be aimed at that at productivity uh no pronoun studies no crazy
00:38:15.240
stuff no marxist stuff just all we want is productivity grows so the americans can have
00:38:20.100
freedom again put a pin in it cortez you know this is why what rust vote in the war room this is the
00:38:26.620
focus is to make sure any spending goes to the real economy and to build productivity but let's let me
00:38:33.500
just pull back for a second cortez jump in here on brett at one percent dave and steve and at one and
00:38:39.600
a half percent the model doesn't work this is my point hey when you're looking at a business model
00:38:44.660
you go hey guys this doesn't work so right away you have to triage you got to have you got to step in
00:38:51.180
let me just repeat this at these numbers the real numbers and of course uh you know brad just tells
00:38:56.880
you hey there i think they may be a little optimistic this math doesn't work cortez first
00:39:02.140
and then we'll go back to brad just on the first chart you're exactly right you know and i think you
00:39:06.160
know to use an analogy let's put it in terms of sort of personal finance let's say you have an
00:39:09.500
adjustable rate mortgage but your real earnings which is the case for most americans your real
00:39:14.360
earnings are going down while your debt service costs are rising dramatically well you have to
00:39:20.820
increase those earnings significantly or you need to somehow in your life massively cut your expenses
00:39:26.720
or guess what you're going to get foreclosed out of that home that is the reality that is faced
00:39:31.100
nationally that that sort of micro reality is the macro reality that is faced nationally by the
00:39:36.240
united states because again we've had the luxury in recent years of artificially low interest rates
00:39:42.540
and the profligate spending that flowed out of that era set the table for the current terrible tough
00:39:49.320
decisions look there are no good options here okay let's just be brutally honest about this let's be
00:39:53.180
adults there are no good options right now okay yeah but as adults and as inheritors of the
00:39:59.060
greatest republic and the greatest economy in the history of the world we have to confront these
00:40:03.800
tough decisions and we have to be dispassionate and honest with the american people chris hayes isn't
00:40:09.060
honest joe biden isn't uh jerome paul the fed is not jenny yellow is not we need to know it's all it's
00:40:14.600
it's all it's all it's all it's not it's not popular it's not just no good options there's no easy
00:40:21.300
decisions here that's why this that's why the maga uh the maga has to be the chairman of the creditors
00:40:27.160
committee creditors committee are not garden parties they're not fun okay but to get back
00:40:33.080
to the animal spirits and the productivity because right there you you said something was months ago
00:40:38.780
uh about a year ago you said the bond market you know you see that you see in the bond market numbers
00:40:44.780
they're not buying off in the biden plan bratch is giving you what the biden plan is the reality of
00:40:49.640
the math and the best of the bond market goes they do not salute they do not support this correct
00:40:55.480
brother cortez no exactly correct and think of the bond market use another analogy think of the
00:41:00.000
bond market essentially as the bank right that is loaning money to the united states and the bond
00:41:04.240
market was willing to loan money to the u.s government at incredibly low rates in a past era
00:41:10.020
that is no longer the case the bank is saying you have a broken business model so if we're going to
00:41:15.260
continue to loan you money we want much higher interest rates so it's an entirely new interest rate
00:41:20.700
regime you know again uh you know we can't just wring our hands about it right the gnashing of teeth
00:41:24.860
doesn't pay the bills okay this is the reality we face let's be adults about it and let's make
00:41:30.120
significant spending cuts significant fiscal decisions right which involve sacrifices clearly
00:41:36.620
right and one of those sacrifices on the right has to be we can't just in a knee jerk reflexive
00:41:42.760
way say we are always at all times going to raise defense spending no defense spending needs to be
00:41:47.720
prioritized how can we actually get safer but spend less right those kinds of uh that kind of
00:41:53.140
analysis of what needs to happen and and and mccarthy i think does hurt himself by talking about
00:41:59.320
this waste fraud and abuse okay yes they're all that but that's that that's that's something they
00:42:03.880
throw out there to take you off the ball that's that's noise not signal right you need this gets
00:42:09.460
down like in defense spending to cut all these you got to take out the commitments right once you start
00:42:14.440
backing off the commitments then all of a sudden you can get to real numbers you can get to real cuts
00:42:18.380
we can't do everything all these marginal programs all these social marginal programs
00:42:23.820
are all going to be up on the chopping block the bloated defense budget it's bloated you want to
00:42:28.960
take down the ccp want to defend taiwan hey i can cut a hundred billion dollars and put the ccp out of
00:42:33.400
business in 100 days you have to have fully integrated uh you know unrestricted warfare right
00:42:41.640
economics capital markets technology cyber all of it right you just can't build for you can't we can't
00:42:48.400
spend a trillion dollars and be looking for every kinetic war in the in the world it can't happen
00:42:53.780
and the first cut has got to be ukraine how about this for ukraine zero let those let this let the
00:43:00.220
guys in davos see how pretty davos was how nice it was let the guy let the swiss write me a big check
00:43:04.860
the swiss write a big check you're so worried about austria those beautiful ski towns write a big check
00:43:10.300
italy big check france big check germany big check let the americans get health care you write the
00:43:16.980
big checks to uh for ukraine you're so interested in ukraine you write the hundred billion dollars
00:43:21.420
give our hundred billion dollars back okay short break a lot of people complain about the state of
00:43:27.320
our country or the way woke corporations treat us and their employees but it's not enough to complain
00:43:33.220
we need to change the way the marketplace works and that starts with you and where you spend your
00:43:39.180
money in less than a year public sq has grown to be the largest platform of patriotic freedom loving
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00:43:57.240
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00:44:37.940
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00:45:20.780
okay make sure you see us at cpac go to cpac.org slash worm we got special deal with those guys
00:45:28.520
47 off your general mission ticket we're going to be doing the live broadcast like we did at turning
00:45:32.880
point and we did at cpac dallas you the audience is going to be part of it you're going to love it we
00:45:38.100
got and we got a bunch of stuff uh cooked up so you're going to get we're going to have the whole crew
00:45:41.880
there all of our contributors and we're also going to have all the uh the entire production staff you get to
00:45:47.820
meet so cpac.org slash worm go there today cpac president trump's already committed other people
00:45:53.640
committing every day we'll be making those announcements i think nikki haley's going to be
00:45:57.660
there got to see that speech right steve cortez um by the way the greatest line ever i give the old
00:46:05.400
milton she's ambitious as lucifer and cortez comes in yeah and even less principled it was so good i put
00:46:12.340
it up on getter last night on an article about nikki um the uh let's go back to bratt
00:46:17.800
bratt talk to me about the underlying real economy of the united states of america sir
00:46:21.940
yeah well you went off on the animal spirits a little bit and uh cannot overemphasize that piece
00:46:29.860
it's totally missing uh right some great uh scholars uh deidre mccloskey uh if people love economics go get
00:46:37.480
her volume called bourgeois dignity uh goes over uh competing views of what caused growth and her
00:46:43.940
thesis is modern growth started uh when we finally started to call business morally good right you can
00:46:50.140
go back to max vaver and the protestant ethic and people got out of bed every day with a purpose in
00:46:54.980
life i think that's in one of your talks uh what's the purpose uh what is your task uh and if you don't
00:47:01.480
wake up with a task it's hard to have those animal spirits uh effective so the kids these days are being
00:47:06.800
taught everything under the sun except why you're on the planet and so that does matter so i went over
00:47:12.320
the uh you know the economic growth figures the investment figures the total factor productivity
00:47:17.800
figures all down uh why does this matter uh the next slide uh denver a bunch of uh bouncing balls on
00:47:24.920
there in macro intro you'll learn a thing called the rule of 72 this chart shows it uh just take that
00:47:32.740
number 72 if you're growing at one percent gdp grows at one percent it will take you 72 years to
00:47:40.180
double your income as a person or as a country so up at the top if uh if you're growing at two percent
00:47:47.020
gdp it will take you 35 right 70 divided by two is 35 years to double your income to go from 56 grand
00:47:55.620
to 100 grand a year so what we're talking about is significant and these are in real terms right so
00:48:00.880
that's a real doubling of your welfare and then what people may not get is just one percent
00:48:06.700
differences make a huge difference in economic growth so i just got done showing you the charts
00:48:12.620
they're all up at bratt economics on getter uh with the you know the one percent gdp growth uh and then
00:48:20.140
the uh and then the consequences and the productivity falling but if you go from two percent on that chart
00:48:26.620
uh to three percent you go from doubling your income in 35 years to doubling it in only 25 years
00:48:33.620
and so forth so the the consequences of these choices we're making and the budget we're having
00:48:39.560
and the debt ceiling that the media is going to spin it as creating chaos uh we're not creating chaos
00:48:46.140
we're creating rationality in economics again very key that we get confident we are not creating
00:48:53.540
chaos we are the adults in the room that are asking for the receipts we're asking for your
00:48:59.780
uh economic growth uh projections and how you get there given the current biden white house budget
00:49:05.900
and then we'll present russ vote and show you how we achieve uh both better outcomes for the american
00:49:11.400
people and economic growth for your children and a plausible way of paying off the debt
00:49:17.040
yeah this is this is why russ's whole 10 years to get to a balanced budget which i think it ought
00:49:23.740
to be harder because i can do bigger cuts quicker um but we're mac the knife here remember you're in
00:49:30.960
the war room so we're and i was in the white house i was a hardliner on this and hardliner quite frankly
00:49:36.300
on tax increases for the oligarchs that's the thing where i'm gonna get we're gonna we're reaching
00:49:42.780
out to reich to get him on here and i know they're all going to melt down now they're all going to vapor
00:49:47.200
lock what band is for taxes no we know we have a concentration of wealth in this nation i'm not
00:49:52.140
talking about rich people i'm not talking about wealthy people we want everybody aspire to create
00:49:56.360
value and to have wealth if that's what they aspire to i'm talking about oligarchs the founders in this
00:50:01.820
country we fought a revolution to get away from the uh the the worthless uh landed aristocracy of the
00:50:10.540
british empire plus the british east india company in these new monopolies with oligarchs that you could
00:50:16.300
see what's happening that's what happened in india right we fought a revolution led by our smuggler
00:50:21.680
john hancock and sam adams and a couple of three guys that like playing outside the guardrails
00:50:27.400
okay you know the revolutionary generation you know they had a couple three bandits in there
00:50:31.980
that said hey i think i got a better idea we're building a new nation here go screw yourself right
00:50:36.560
we're not going to play by your rules we're not going to play your game right now we're back into
00:50:40.460
an oligarchy we've allowed it in progressive presidents you know david fluke please come forward
00:50:45.660
to make the argument of why you were the running dog right for wall street and papered up with all
00:50:51.040
your pretty speeches all the most progressive under obama that led to the greatest concentration of
00:50:56.460
wealth in the nation's history bernie sanders why don't you deal with that first before you start
00:51:00.080
wandering around talking around give me a minimum wage or 15 an hour right that's all pro wrestling
00:51:05.140
that's to take your eye off reality and no i think hey remember all the oligarchs are either
00:51:10.900
hard-left progressives globalist uniparty or even they get republican they all hate maga it's the
00:51:18.380
ken griffins of the world do we owe them anything no we don't owe them anything zero so no we're for
00:51:24.500
defense cuts and look i gave what seven and a half years of my life to service this country my
00:51:29.520
daughter also which we should do we believe as citizens you owe that to your nation but we can see
00:51:35.240
the defense and it's not fraud waste waste fraud and abuse stop that that's ridiculous this is
00:51:39.860
stupid hour this is not about waste fraud and abuse yes you ought to cut that out all the time
00:51:43.940
right as as a given this is about systemically going through and restructuring this day bratt
00:51:49.600
once again where do people go to get your analysis because you're putting up stuff that people got to
00:51:53.400
see every day yeah i've been posting a ton bratt economics on getter and just you've been covering
00:51:59.720
the war uh very well just so people understand that of course war spending and the defense uh contractors
00:52:06.780
and oligarchs in that uh realm of course will contribute to economic growth in the short run
00:52:13.540
but all of those resources are terribly misplaced terribly misplaced in terms of producing productivity
00:52:20.580
for the next generation beat our swords into plowshares as the uh as uh the bible tells us dave bratt i know
00:52:29.180
dave brask i now go say as an evangelical christian dave brask i go now say a rosary because steve
00:52:34.080
bannon mentioned tax cuts tax increases tax increases on the wealthy while he was on brett we love your
00:52:40.920
brother cortez is going to stick around monica crowley is going to join us next 90 seconds war room
00:52:46.080
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