00:09:13.600I need to read the bill when it finally comes out.
00:09:15.720But from what I can tell right now, what I'm judging, I'm judging execution at every step of the play, step of the way.
00:09:22.980This isn't we're in a good place and we're moving in a good direction.
00:09:26.840So, look, the war room posse in the creditors committee, we're at not one penny do a rust votes, prioritization of payments, enough cash comes in.
00:09:36.040We never default. So the hardliners are the hardliners.
00:09:38.840But what I'm hearing is on the table is a trillion and a half to two trillion dollar bump, which would basically take you to next spring to the debt.
00:09:46.920But concomitantly, at least a trillion, maybe a trillion and a half dollars of real cuts, not over 10 years, but real cuts in the short term.
00:09:56.520Can you explain to people that? Because the cuts we're talking about, not it's not this thing about get to a balanced budget in 10 years.
00:10:02.100the Andy Biggs's of the world, and these guys are talking real cuts,
00:10:07.280demonstrable cuts, out of Woken Weaponized, but done in period zero. Is that correct?
00:10:13.620Correct. So that's what's different about this, is it's not just the 10 years of setting up the
00:10:20.080framework for the cuts to happen, but you have a trillion dollars to be able to say,
00:10:25.880we're getting rid of the COVID bailouts, we're going to get rid of the IRS agents,
00:10:31.860We're going to get rid of the student loans, unobligated balances, and that annual process, which I'm the most excited about, the 20% cut that works out to be like a 30% cut or a 50% cut of foreign aid, huge structural cuts to the bureaucracy are a part of this framework.
00:10:50.540That is what would happen in year one.
00:10:52.840Now, there's a lot of questions about making sure that gets executed, actually passed and sent to the president's desk.
00:10:58.260I have a lot of opinions on that, and I think we've got to monitor that carefully.
00:11:09.740I think the war room posse is exactly right.
00:11:12.580Not a dollar of debt limit increase until these cuts are being enacted.
00:11:19.140And how you get to that place is going to be inning by inning, but that's the right posture.
00:11:25.940And we've got to be sending that to the members of Congress because that's what business is usual, and we can't have that.
00:11:33.500The other thing that I just want to make sure we got this right for the posse that I think is a huge positive, that the way it's structured now, this rolls into – we have this – first off, it's a rolling process.
00:11:44.920You also have this fight coming again in the spring, early summer of 2024, right at the end of the primary season, right before the convention.
00:11:52.380So it becomes front and center in the 2024 campaign, which Schumer and all these guys always want to kick it to after the campaign.
00:11:59.680The structure that we have now of the process means that literally for the next two years, this is a fight over taking the Leviathan down and cutting the spending.
00:12:09.520Is that essentially what this process looks like to you?
00:12:33.520And then we don't know what the politics are going to be next year or the year after, but
00:12:37.920we know that we're going to have to be doing work then to either maintain the cuts we did this year
00:12:43.160or to additional ones because of the economic environment that we're in. This ensures that we
00:12:48.880have the sword of Damocles every spring, every summer to force the cartel to come out of the
00:12:55.120closet, out of the backroom deals, and get to the floor of the House and force them to be at our
00:13:02.160numbers. I think this puts us on the road to doing that. And I think that's the kind of thing that
00:13:07.340we are seeing that we were never been able to see on the other side of the speaker's power sharing
00:13:11.920deal in January. All the criticisms of the chaos of the first week of January, the reason we have
00:13:19.560ordered a process today and able to really have leverage points is because of that week. Am I
00:13:24.340correct in that? Right. And a central contention that you've had, Steve, for years is that they
00:13:29.820always want to come out to us and they say the populace, the MAGA movement, they can't govern.
00:13:33.800And what the mainstream media has been doing for the last three months is it's all going to be chaos. Kevin McCarthy can't get it done. House conservatives will never help him. And I've been saying that is that is not true. House conservatives knew when they signed the power sharing agreement that they would be governing because for the first time they had real power and they can ensure that their voters interest were at the seat at table.
00:13:57.780This is an opportunity to disprove what the Jake Shermans of the world, the politicos, the Jake Tappers of the world, that says that our folks can't govern.
00:14:07.600And I think you're going to see that in the next two weeks.
00:14:11.160Russ, how do people keep up with you on social media because you're putting stuff up nonstop and how do they get to the site?
00:14:16.920At RussVoteAmericaRenewing.com, and we'll keep you updated.
00:15:47.400Text Bannon, B-A-N-N-O-N, 298-9898 to get a free info kit on gold.
00:15:54.380They'll help you convert your existing IRA or 401ks that are tied to a volatile market into an IRA in physical precious metals, either gold or silver.
00:16:52.180We talk about everything that's going on today and about the negotiations.
00:16:56.320Also, since Japan, India, China, Russia are buying gold nonstop, you might want to talk to Philip Patrick and the guys to get all the free information about your IRA and 401ks and precious metals.
00:17:07.680Just check it out today, but make sure that you get all of the information we're putting out about the end of the dollar empire.
00:17:13.820As we told you a couple of years ago, we're entering the phase of the politics of money.
00:17:18.480Right there, Russ Vogt laid out, this is going to be a continual, tough negotiating process.
00:17:23.160Because remember, we're a going concern, but we're bankrupt.
00:17:59.140You got Rand Paul, one of the best guys in the U.S. Senate.
00:18:01.600He just laying in and it gets back to the it gets back to the pandemic.
00:18:05.300It gets back to this whole thing of trying to crush, you know, the free speech dissent.
00:18:10.640It's just completely. And why are we paying for the woke and weaponized?
00:18:15.180Steve Cortez. Now, Steve, you make an important point here.
00:18:18.420It's not just the economic calamity. That's terrible enough on its own.
00:18:22.160But what is government? What is Leviathan doing with this massive amount of money that is crushing the prosperity of the American people?
00:18:28.720It's not investing in America, even though they use that term. They throw that term quite a lot.
00:18:32.980It is oppressing Americans. It is inflicting tyrannical mandates upon Americans.
00:18:37.760It is making Americans not just poor, but also far less free.
00:18:42.360And, Steve, I want to point out, you know, right now, this showdown that we're having in Washington, D.C., it is tense, no doubt.
00:18:49.000But it's also very exciting because it's incredibly consequential.
00:18:52.520And to all the deplorables out there who worked their tails off last November to earn this victory of control of the House, I want you to quickly give yourself a pat on the back.
00:19:01.940And I say quickly because then you've got to get right back to work.
00:19:04.200But all the people who donated, who put out yard signs, who made calls, who knocked on doors, who encouraged their friends and family to get out and vote, we earned this seat at the table by taking the gavel away from Nancy Pelosi.
00:19:16.860And now we have the showdown that we all wanted to try to reclaim our prosperity and put the country back on a trajectory toward non-inflationary growth.
00:19:27.740Now, to give the immediacy of this situation, I'm going to give a live, almost real-time update, as real-time as we can get.
00:19:34.160We have numbers through the end of March on what the deficit is doing right now in the United States.
00:19:39.680So if we can please pull up chart number three.
00:19:41.840This shows the deficit through March of this year.
00:19:45.020this information comes from the Bipartisan Policy Center, which is not a right-wing organization
00:19:49.820at all. It was founded by Tom Daschle and George Mitchell. That's where I'm getting
00:19:53.040my numbers. So through March, which is the latest we have, revenues for the federal government have
00:19:58.300decreased year over year by $2 billion. Outlays have increased by $182 billion, a 36% increase
00:20:09.460year over year. And so far, the budget deficit is roughly doubled on a year-over-year basis.
00:20:15.720So Steve, think about how exorbitant the borrowing and spending was last year. We took that
00:20:21.720untenable, totally unstable level, and we have made it markedly worse so far this year.
00:20:29.000So the situation is dire. Hold on, hold on. Cortez, slow down for a second. This is the
00:20:33.740first time I've seen this. It's fascinating. Let's go back and do that all over again. I want to make
00:20:37.380sure I comprehend it. So I know the audience is probably ahead of me in this. Just hit rewind and
00:20:42.180take that again. If we can put chart three up there again. And again, this is from the Bipartisan
00:20:46.180Policy Center. These are updated totals through the month of March. Revenues for the federal
00:20:52.140government, tax receipts, because Biden's economy is crashing into a ditch. The revenue, if you
00:20:57.940think of the United States like a company, the revenue is down. It is down by $2 billion year
00:21:03.840over year. By the way, one of the reasons it's down, Steve, which the Bipartisan Policy Center
00:21:08.520also pointed out, and I congratulate them for doing this because it's generally a sort of
00:21:12.980Washington uniparty organization. One of the reasons it's down is last year, there was a $60
00:21:17.960billion benefit from the Fed who was making interest rates on it, or excuse me, making
00:21:23.440profits on its interest rate bond buying program. It is now losing money massively month after month.
00:22:09.500So what I'm showing you right here is the last three months, this is the agricultural
00:22:13.400ETF, exchange-traded fund, meaning in one ticker, the ticker is DBA, you get basically
00:22:19.140all of the physical agricultural commodities put into one.
00:22:22.080So pork bellies, lean cattle, soybeans, wheat, all of it, corn, OK, put into one single ticker.
00:22:29.220That's the last three months. Notice what ag is doing recently.
00:22:33.680So these are the input prices. These are the wholesale prices at the farm, at the feedlot that are going to become your prices very soon at the restaurant or the grocery store.
00:22:43.760In the last three months, up roughly 10 percent. And these two charts are directly related, Steve.
00:22:49.880It's not because we're having problems out there because there's some sort of severe drought out there in the country.
00:22:53.960No, it's because of the chart that I showed previously, Washington's profligacy, its exorbitant borrowing and spending, continues to fuel inflation throughout the U.S. economy.
00:23:05.700And the place where that inflation right now is most punishing, particularly for middle and lower income folks, is in food, is at the grocery store.
00:23:12.500And you see it reflected in that chart of DBA.
00:23:15.120So I hope that those two charts combined provide a sense of urgency out there and convey the immediacy of this situation.
00:23:23.120That's the terrible news is we are in a corner.
00:23:44.660One of the reasons you heard Chip Roy come out yesterday and say, hey, something is on the table.
00:23:50.520You've heard us talk about clawbacks of money that hadn't been spent from the pandemic relief, things like this.
00:23:56.540You also heard Chip Roy yesterday say, hey, I want to shut down, reverse the Inflation Control Act, which was really just build back better in a slightly smaller.
00:28:51.200Once a criminal forges your signature, it's a race against time to stop him before he takes out loans against your home, or worse, sells your home.
00:29:00.760So when's the last time you checked your home's title?
00:29:02.800My partners at Home Title Lock demonstrate how criminals get you in minutes.
00:29:08.480They found the title to my home online and forged my signature, stating I sold my home.
00:32:28.480And over time, most of the gains come from the stock side, but the bond side provides you a stable income and insurance for the times when that 60% gets really volatile.
00:32:37.780For the last century, it has basically worked very well over time.
00:32:41.500And that has been sort of the robotic default asset allocation model for individuals to invest.
00:32:47.320BlackRock is now saying that it's ditching the 60-40 portfolio because of the new regime of high inflation.
00:32:53.900So that tells us that even if inflation right now is slightly less worse than it was, inflation is still terrible in the estimation of BlackRock, which, again, I absolutely hate the firm, think it's a malevolent force in American society, but extremely smart investing firm.
00:33:10.100BlackRock clearly believes that that is not transitory, contrary to all the lies told to us by Jay Powell and by Secretary Yellen, that it's not transitory, that we are in a new era of sustained higher inflation.
00:33:23.240So this is very, very big news. And folks should pay attention. I think that, again, you have to make your own informed decisions, but realize what the oligarchs are doing. And when they're willing to tell you what they're doing, as in the case of BlackRock, I think it's very significant.
00:33:37.240By the way, getting to that point, to give you information and a data point outside of BlackRock of this sustained era of high inflation, high inputs for individuals and for businesses, J.B. Hunt, let's take this from high finance to trucks, to trucking on the road.
00:33:52.900J.B. Hunt just came out with an earnings report that, for the most part, was pretty dismal, particularly the comments that came from their CEO.
00:33:59.880And J.B. Hunt, I think it's the biggest trucking firm, but it's not.
00:34:02.240It's close to the biggest trucking firm in America.
00:34:04.400If we can pull up chart number one, please, slide one.
00:34:07.160I'd like to show this quote, and credit to Bespoke for finding this from the report.
00:34:12.200The CEO of J.B. Hunt said this, quote, deflationary price pressure for an industry that continues to face inflationary cost pressures.
00:35:08.600And if you connect the dots there between what BlackRock is telling you about high finance and then what J.B. Hunt is telling you about literal trucks on the road,
00:35:17.260that paints the picture for you, again, of how how worrisome and how dangerous the economic
00:35:24.120state of the United States is right now and why it is so imperative to hold a line in Washington,
00:35:29.720D.C. in these present negotiations on the debt. Trucks don't lie. The trucks don't lie.
00:35:36.500Right. I always say price is true. Right. And Shakira says hips don't lie, which I'm sure is
00:35:42.200true. But trucks certainly do not lie. By the way, you know, let's go to one more data point,
00:35:46.660Let's go back to the world of high finance.
00:35:49.100If we go to chart number four, this is from Bank of America.
00:35:52.280Bad news out of Bank of America laying off 4,000 people, massive layoffs at Bank of America.
00:35:58.060And the Financial Times, which is Steve's favorite paper, I don't like the Financial
00:36:01.020Times, but it's Steve's favorite paper, they also point out here, and this is a quote from
00:36:05.460the FT about B of A, B of A set aside $934 million to insure against credit losses.
00:36:15.100And to put that in context, at this time last year, they only had a $50 million insurance fund.
00:36:21.140That's how non-worried they were a year ago about credit losses.
00:36:28.600They have almost a billion dollars set aside to guard the bank against credit losses.
00:36:34.860This gets steeped to what we were talking about yesterday in terms of the credit crunch, which is ongoing and intensifying in the United States.
00:36:42.080It's when a firm like B of A says, you know what?
00:36:44.340We need 20 times the set aside for credit losses.
00:36:47.860That shows you how dire, again, this situation is.
00:37:28.080Let's contract the credit before we lend it, and let's make sure that we're charging, obviously, higher rates, but we have much higher requirements.
00:37:36.640because in this downturn, we're not going to do it.
00:37:39.160This is why this in the cycle, the next phase to hit people,
00:37:42.300and I want to get into commercial real estate,
00:37:44.120but it also is just overall credit availability.
00:37:47.380You're seeing all the banks talk about right now a contraction in credit.
00:37:50.900What that means for you is no more for the college kids or the millennials,
00:37:56.080there's not going to be 10 envelopes in your mail every week
00:37:58.740with a credit card that you don't even have to fill anything out,
00:38:01.480and they're going to give you a $1,500 credit line.
00:38:04.580In fact, what you're probably going to see is pressure on the credit cards you've got to say, hey, maybe that $5,000 credit line that you're tapped out on and you're paying 29% a month, maybe we've got to bring that back.
00:38:17.120Also, mortgages, mortgages, second mortgages, everything related to credit, unless you're AAA rated plus, which even with a great credit rating as an individual, it's quite difficult to get those types of terms.
00:38:29.520So Steve Cortez, walk me through commercial real estate and also what Bank of America is telling us about credit contraction.
00:38:37.080Yeah. And first, just a quick point before I get to commercial real estate on the residential side, since you mentioned the mortgages, you know, you're exactly correct how difficult it was already fairly difficult to get a mortgage.
00:38:46.420Anybody who's done one lately knows that it has gotten even more difficult, massively so in recent weeks because of what has happened to banks, particularly regional banks.
00:38:54.500And that connects back to the chalk talk that we showed yesterday that's still up on my social media, where I talk about the growing institutional presence in the single-family home market, which used to be practically zero.
00:39:08.140Met life projections, say, by the year 2030 at present rates, 40% of new home sales are going to be purchased by institutional investors.
00:39:16.520That's something that should frighten every American because individual home ownership has always been a bedrock principle and an aspiration of America.
00:39:26.060It's getting increasingly out of reach. But to get back to the commercial real estate side, because I do believe that the residential real estate market right now, while prices have softened lately, you don't have a lot of leverage over there because the lending standards have been so stringent.
00:39:38.320So this is not like 08 and 09 in that regard. However, where are the risks? It doesn't mean that we're not in a risky situation.
00:39:45.000In fact, I think we may be in a more risky situation than 08 and 09. The risks now are in commercial real estate.
00:39:53.040And if we have a headline from Bloomberg to put up, Bloomberg is catching up.
00:39:56.500You know, look, Steve, War Room, you are always ahead of the curve. You are ahead of Bloomberg, the Financial Times, all of them.
00:40:02.340Right. And in this case, Bloomberg, welcome to the party. Hedge fund titan.
00:40:06.580Marshall warns real estate is the next shoe to drop. Commercial real estate could face the next crisis of confidence.
00:40:14.600And by the way, I think they're exactly correct, of course.
00:40:32.060The second assumption is high demand, that people need to go to work somewhere, right?
00:40:36.020It was considered to be relatively safe, relatively boring investment.
00:40:39.740Well, both of those assumptions have been absolutely blown out of the water, primarily by the Democrats.
00:40:45.040First, Biden's exorbitant borrowing and spending, his attack on American energy, caused interest rates to absolutely soar.
00:40:50.880Secondly, the tyrannical and unscientific lockdowns forced Americans to learn to work remotely.
00:40:58.160And that has persisted into this time.
00:41:00.440In addition to that, city centers have become wastelands of crime and degradation.
00:41:06.020And it's very understandable that many Americans simply do not want to commute, even if they'd rather work in the office.
00:41:11.880They don't want to go into central San Francisco or the Loop in Chicago and get assaulted.
00:41:16.400So these office towers in those cities, a combination of remote work, higher interest rates and a very dangerous physical environment, all of that, that confluence creates unbelievable risks for commercial real estate.
00:41:29.740And I would implore folks out there, even if you don't think you're connected to commercial real estate, you are.
00:41:35.520Number one, you may indirectly be invested through your 401ks and so forth.
00:41:39.220But number two, it's such a risk to the economy, it just further exacerbates this credit crunch
00:41:44.460that we're talking about, where there is not going to be capital available for you to buy
00:41:48.460a home, for a small business to try to expand, for anybody to go to regional banks.
00:41:53.180These are the consequences, the real-world Main Street consequences of Biden's economic
00:42:15.340By the way, everything you've said about Chicago, sir, when you talk about the commercial real estate collapse and you see what happens over the weekend and people are just going to say, why am I doing this?
00:47:16.340We're trying to do, you know, every night, pick up a couple of either things you've missed during the day or other people's podcasts and have our live chat in there.
00:47:23.040getting huge audiences and not just that building a real community so download getter it's totally
00:47:28.280free but i've got up on getter right now failure to launch i mean he has not actually officially
00:47:33.280come in it's supposed to be after this legislative session i would really have him you know get away
00:47:38.260from his donors get away from all the consultants get away from everybody's going to make all the
00:47:41.620money off him because people are going to make 10 20 30 million dollars on his run really think it
00:47:46.240through but i think that 2028 should look pretty uh should look soon enough for him because right
00:47:52.140now we have to come together and back a president trump we have a lot of tough fights ahead of us
00:47:57.020a lot of tough fights the biggest and toughest fight we have right now is in uh everything
00:48:02.500related to the finances of the country the economics everything that this biden regime
00:48:06.920the radical regime is doing on the southern border everything but it all ties back to cutting
00:48:10.680them off for money uh over and above artificial intelligence we're gonna get into that in the
00:48:16.140next hour with joe allen i want to bring in dr peter navarre dr navarre part of your brilliant
00:48:21.300sub-stack you've been writing, and of course, the amazing course you've got going on at,
00:48:29.480you know, everybody's raving about the macroeconomics.
00:48:32.860You're also, they're now going to put your writings up, I think, in the Washington Times
00:48:58.240The Washington Times, in my judgment, has one of the best, if not the best, op-ed sections of any newspaper in the world.
00:49:08.600And what we're going to be doing with the Substack, PeterNavarro.Substack.com, is that once a week on Wednesdays, they're going to publish one of my columns from the Substack, PeterNavarro.Substack.com.
00:49:23.360I mean, what's what's the inaugural one is up today.
00:49:26.860I think it's a really important piece, Steve.
00:49:29.540It's about kind of whether Putin was a chess master or just got lucky.
00:49:36.320But we're in a situation now where for 70 years it was the United States and Saudi Arabia setting oil prices as a tandem as the two largest oil producers.
00:49:50.820You could always crush OPEC either with the U.S. or Saudi.
00:49:56.420And there was a deal, you know, the deal between the Saudis and America is like Americans will protect the Saudis if they'll keep oil prices low.
00:50:03.900And so during the Trump administration, when we achieve strategic energy dominance, we averaged about $60 per barrel.0.51
00:50:16.880Biden talks tough on all these sanctions, and he expects everybody around the world, Europe, India, Japan, everyone to kind of embrace the sanctions, crush Russia, and, you know, it'd be over in a heartbeat, like hubris.
00:50:32.880You got to go back to Bush and Cheney for more hubris than that.
00:50:36.160What's happened, Steve, is something that maybe Putin figured out beforehand as a chess master.
00:50:43.120But Putin now has surpassed America as the partner with Saudi Arabia because Biden embraced strategic energy subservience.
00:52:09.020If you don't mind, I know you're jammed for time.
00:52:10.640I want to hold you through the break because there's a bunch of interconnections here that I want to lay out for the posse because they're going to talk about the economy going forward for the nation, the economy for them personally, but also strategically what this means because the de-dollarization, which is inextricably linked to this, they're blaming this on sanctions that were done with Russia.
00:52:37.520We've got to talk about that because I'm a big believer that you can use the dollar as a weapon, but you've got to be very, very, very, very selective.