In this special episode of the podcast, Senior Political Commentator James Carvalho joins us to discuss the results of the mid-term elections, and what it means for the 2020 Democratic primary race. James also discusses the Biden 2020 campaign, and why he thinks Biden should run for re-election.
00:00:00.000Last night, we got a lot of results. I was telling viewers that we heard from more states and more voters last night than any other point this year and big states.
00:00:09.160So the population represented last night was roughly over 40 percent of America.
00:00:14.820And so I'm curious what you make of what they're saying.
00:00:17.360Biden's not running with real strong opponents, but we're seeing numbers that rival the Obama reelection numbers in terms of his unifying the Democratic Party, even amidst the issues you mentioned.
00:00:27.840And we see Trump putting up numbers that got Haley out, but don't yet show party unity.
00:00:33.360What do you take from the numbers last night?
00:00:35.660Well, I don't take. I mean, they both have command and leads all the way through.
00:00:42.000President Biden did not have, you know, very much opposition.
00:00:44.900Haley, you know, ran a gutsy campaign. She got 25, 30 percent in a lot of places.
00:00:49.760But this is what I really think. We're going to have a hard time replicating the 2020 coalition, particularly among under 30 and non-white.
00:00:57.840And for President Biden to come back to win this thing, we're going to have to do better with kind of middle voters, swing voters, loosely aligned, which the good news is we are doing that.
00:01:09.340We're not winning elections on turnout. We're actually winning elections with, I don't know a better word than swing voters.
00:01:16.740I'd say less hardly aligned voters. We're doing pretty well.
00:01:20.160And I see that across the board. We're going to have to do that.
00:01:24.360We cannot rely on Democratic turnout to carry the day for us.
00:01:29.200It's striking to hear you say that because, James, the under 30 was the single largest gap, largest edge Biden had demographically over Trump last time.
00:01:39.660Well, black voters, for sure. But the black numbers are tepid.
00:01:45.560I mean, we've got to address that. And I don't know if it's possible to replicate the 2020.
00:01:51.160And the under 30 is decidedly unenthusiastic or detached right now.
00:01:59.040Now, what I'm sure the White House would say is, look, and at the end of the day, they're going to come back.
00:02:05.580The question is, did they come back in sufficient numbers with sufficient turnout?
00:02:09.340I just don't think we can rely on the same coalition this November as we did November four years ago.
00:02:16.160I really don't. I'd like to be proven wrong. Trust me.
00:02:19.680I think the other thing. So I'm torn on this, too, because I'm thinking about, you know, sort of I think we've we've we've extinguished 2020 from our memories in many ways because it was traumatic.
00:02:30.360But the other thing that I think is really important for the Biden campaign is a vision of the future.
00:02:34.780And I do think that, like, to go back to what you're saying about following him on the trail, like I could tell you the Biden 2020 platform.
00:02:42.600It was to then begin bringing the economy out of the depths through investment in the middle class and through an infrastructure investment and to rejoin Paris and invest in clean energy and to restore our ally, you know, our relationships worldwide.
00:02:57.520Like that. Yeah, that's what they did.
00:02:59.880Like they said they were going to do it. They did it.
00:03:02.140I can't really tell you right now what the what the second term Biden vision looks like yet.
00:03:08.940And I do think that's I mean, when you talk about like elections about the future, right, Americans are very future oriented people.
00:03:15.520That to me strikes me, particularly going to the State of the Union tomorrow, which is a kind of unveiling.
00:03:20.060I've been thinking about how important that is. What do you think?
00:03:22.300Well, I think it makes the State of the Union really important because I do think that it's always in an election year, kind of the kickoff of the incumbent president's reelection campaign, hearing the the positive vision rather than the here's all the reasons you don't want the Republicans back in the White House again.
00:03:38.560I think that's that's what we're going to get. And and so we'll see.
00:03:42.360But it has to be said that it has been a remarkable few years of Republican policy and particularly with the Supreme Court, like reproductive rights.
00:03:50.980Like what's the Democratic agenda on reproductive rights to stop the Republicans from doing more of what they've been doing?
00:03:58.080Like, can you articulate that in a positive way? Maybe you can change your verb tenses.
00:04:02.300But really, it's about trying to stop what the Republicans have done on reproductive rights and what they're continuing to do, what the Republicans have done and what they're continuing to do on democracy and the rule of law.
00:04:13.100But I mean, there is a lot of stuff in terms of this very unusual Republican Party led by Donald Trump that the Democratic Party now exists to stop.
00:04:23.400It's yeah, it's a bulwark to say we don't want to radically cashier who we are as a country to become a strongman authoritarian dictatorship.
00:04:32.000I've got to tell you, it's just not Nikki Haley. It's Glenn Youngkin also.
00:04:35.560I mean, it's it's obvious now that certain people have a problem with President Trump.
00:04:39.700You've got to get over the problem. We need to unite this in the final and the drive and the drive through Labor Day all the way to November.
00:04:46.800It's got to start now. President Trump's already challenged.
00:04:49.940I want to make sure everybody say he's challenged Biden to debate like starting Monday.
00:04:54.380Let's go. Let's get a couple of mics. Not a big deal.
00:04:58.180Toss some questions out or maybe it's just a cage match. Maybe maybe no questions.
00:07:28.440Well, first off, Yunkin, we put a shot across his bow yesterday.
00:07:31.680Here's what we're tired of, these guys that are, they act like, remember when sometimes little boys, 9, 10 years, 11 years old, you know, they don't want to do something.
00:07:42.280And if you need them to do it, they're moping and dragging their heels and making a big deal about it.
00:07:48.240That's what Yunkin and some of these people, Juan Siskimani, all these guys.
00:08:53.160But if she decides not to endorse, who cares?
00:08:55.340I would have rejected the endorsement of Mitch McConnell.
00:09:01.880Sundance, I think it's Sundance over Conservative Treehouse, has a great analysis about what's going on here.
00:09:06.500They're still trying to plot and wire the Senate against Trump.
00:09:10.000They're trying to do the institutionalist or trying to take a last stand against Trump and Trumpism and MAGA by hardwiring these institutions.
00:09:39.460So at 855 p.m. last night, nine o'clock, after I'm sure his political consultant, because everything they do is consultant driven, everything.
00:09:48.100So after he checked with his donors and after he checked with David Rubenstein, who still is, you know, he's David Rubenstein's boy.
00:10:26.980We've got a chance to take the Commonwealth.
00:10:29.280My beloved Commonwealth as a native of Virginia, which you are not, Yunkin.
00:10:35.440But you've got to put your shoulder to the wheel.
00:10:38.060You know, having to have the war room put a shot across your belt twice for not doing a – after Super Tuesday and you do it the night after at 9 o'clock at night, 855 p.m.
00:10:51.560Eastern Standard Time to be exact, it doesn't cut it, doesn't hack it.
00:13:09.800When you sent out the invitation, any sentient human being would have understood, and maybe your staff, if you would check with somebody that understands legal, or maybe even the great Mike Davis, that there was no chance the trial was going to start on the 4th.
00:13:23.880So I don't understand why we're even here tonight after giving this guy a platform after Super Tuesday.
00:13:29.080But, hey, I'm not going to whine and moan.
00:13:47.560Remember, you're one of the guys that threw in with us to make sure that we could check and see if his electors and his wind, quote-unquote, could even be certified, which it couldn't.
00:13:57.540We knew it couldn't in places like, randomly, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin.
00:14:05.040Johnson, collectively, remember, it was only, I think, 30,000 votes, 42,000 votes that Biden really won the presidency by.
00:14:14.280Arizona, Georgia, and I think Wisconsin.
00:14:18.620So, Johnson, you're unnoticed, and we've got the hairy eyeball on you tonight.
00:14:22.920We don't want to see you popping up every time and doing standing ovations.
00:14:25.780If there's something meaningful that really is for the country, that's your call.
00:14:31.300But when he's talking about the invasion of our country, he's talking about, you know, what you're a party to because, hey, you signed on to the McCarthy deal.
00:36:18.180We're going to turn over the rest of our coverage to my co-host, our executive editor, Natalie Winters, one of the great examples of what the academy hopes to turn out.
00:36:28.720I realize you went to Harvard-Westlake in Chicago, but you've been fighting with us for years, and you're one of our greatest examples of how you can be feminine and gracious and graceful and tough as boot leather.
00:36:44.980So I'm going to turn it over to you in our Palm Beach Real America Voice studio.
00:36:54.400We'll have updates on this meeting I'm going to go to.
00:36:56.660It's going to be quite, I think you'll be quite interested in it.
00:36:59.860Natalie Winters, the show's yours, baby.
00:37:02.300I have to say one thing real quick, Steve.
00:37:04.680When I was applying to college coming from Harvard-Westlake, I had wanted to go to your gladiator school, but I don't think it was up and running yet because they were using lawfare,
00:37:14.620I think that's something we've gotten quite used to against President Donald J. Trump, but I'm glad it's up and running, and I hope we can create many more people.
00:37:22.180I know you've been so empowering in my life and creating this wonderful career.
00:37:25.400It's great to be back in the West Palm Beach RAV studio, but I am happy to be here taking over, trying to fill in for Stephen K. Bannon.
00:37:32.880We got Dave Bratt, I believe, joining us to give us a little pregame, I think, ahead of this State of the Union.
00:37:40.500I don't even know if we really have a union.
00:37:42.560I think we should be doing maybe a State of the Border address that's pretty dismal.
00:37:46.860But Dave Bratt, can you sort of walk us through where we stand economically?
00:37:51.200I'm sure we'll get a lot of lies from Joe Biden tonight or whoever is writing his speech, but what are the actual facts?
00:37:58.460Yeah, I was watching the MSNBC crowd the other day, the mainstream media crowd, talking about the lies coming from conservatives on the economy.
00:38:07.680And so I do want to add a little factual basis.
00:38:13.000I think they don't know what they're talking about when they talk about the economy, right?
00:38:26.540Thank you to the Federal Reserve as well for this.
00:38:29.320And then if you throw in a Keynesian multiplier of two, which is just kind of standard macroeconomics, you get $5 trillion in government spending.
00:42:19.340Second chart is even more problematic.
00:42:23.100On this chart, if you look at, you know, we just got done saying many people hoping to get, you know, to out of work and to have a retirement.
00:42:33.080How many of our seniors have retirement accounts?
00:43:10.680I want to hold you through because I want to keep going through these charts so we can continue to make the case that we should not send billions of dollars to Ukraine.
00:43:18.000The only place we should be spending this money is on the southern border.
00:43:21.780We also have Michelle Backus who is live on Capitol Hill.
00:43:24.720I think we'll be pulling maybe Congressman Ralph Norman, some of his other colleagues, of course, only the good ones, to be going through what we can look forward to.
00:43:32.760Or I guess maybe, I guess, fear in Joe Biden's State of the Union.
00:45:15.340It's Natalie G. Winters filling in for the one and only Stephen K. Bannon.
00:45:19.160He has a very important meeting I think you guys will probably be hearing about soon.
00:45:23.580But as always, there's, of course, a ton of news breaking on Capitol Hill.
00:45:26.540We got, of course, Joe Biden's State of the Union tonight.
00:45:29.900Who knows who actually wrote the speech?
00:45:31.200Who knows if he'll be able to make it through?
00:45:33.140And while it's easy to bash him and the fact that he has turned this country into really something short of a union,
00:45:38.660I think we need to focus on congressional Republicans who have allowed, enabled, entitled, and frankly funded to the tune of billions of dollars is a horrible country destroying agenda.
00:45:49.220But, hey, I think we know the term Republican doesn't mean much.
00:45:53.220If people like Ken Griffin and all these mega donors that Steve was talking about before identify as belonging to the same party as us,
00:45:59.880because I don't know about you, I want nothing to do with the Republican Party that Ken Griffin is donating to,
00:46:04.960that Mitt Romney is a part of, that John McCain was a part of.
00:46:07.960I like the Trump version of the Republican Party.
00:46:11.040I think we have Michelle Backus, if I'm correct, with Congressman Ralph Norman, of course, a good fighter, a good friend of the show.