00:23:17.240Marjorie Taylor Greene, your thoughts?
00:23:18.800Well, I'm just looking at that headline, and it says how Rupert Murdoch quietly helped Mike Johnson survive Marjorie Taylor Greene's ouster attempt.
00:23:26.920So that's also the Democrats, everybody.
00:23:34.540Nancy Pelosi, Jerry Nadler, Hakeem Jeffries, all these Democrats that literally are destroying our country right now, locked arms with Fox News, locked arms with 196 Republicans, and said,
00:23:49.860do not stop the unity party – what is it, unity party?
00:24:00.740Because what has the so-called unity party done?
00:24:03.260The uniparty has given us over $34 trillion in debt.
00:24:06.500The uniparty has cut our border wide open, even though they complain about it all the time on Fox News.
00:24:12.400They've never pushed Republicans to do anything about it.
00:24:14.760The uniparty has given us the destruction of America, and we are falling apart as a nation to the point, Steve, my own children who are all in their 20s, that generation has no hope for the future.
00:24:27.520They don't believe they're ever going to be able to buy a house.
00:24:30.380This generation of young people today will never be able to realize and live the American dream like our generations and generations before us were able to do.
00:24:39.720And this is what they want to continue in Washington, D.C., and shame on Marjorie Taylor Greene for trying to end it.
00:24:46.280Shame on Marjorie Taylor Greene for trying to actually hold our party accountable and our speaker accountable, who, guess what, by the way, Rupert Murdoch didn't vote for Mike Johnson.
00:25:28.260The House Republicans, every day they're sending a different letter to this person, this person.
00:25:31.460And now that the war room's all over him about, you know, hiding the 300-page report, not getting on top of this, not framing this jihad against President Trump by the legal system, by lawfare.
00:25:43.280But President Trump actually came out and said, I think Mike Johnson's doing a good job.
00:25:48.480My belief is that, look, President Trump's got enough on his shoulders, okay?
00:25:51.400He's in that frickin' filthy courtroom today, you know, being hammered again and having his defense team trying to put up a defense in a totally rigged situation.
00:26:01.820It's President Trump comes out every afternoon to say it.
00:26:04.100The Republicans have not lifted a finger to defend him.
00:26:07.480You've got a federal judge in Florida that's doing it, going to put Jack Smith on trial.
00:26:12.060You've got an appeals court in Georgia that's stepping into a criminal trial because Fannie Willis is so bad because the Kemp-controlled Senate won't do it.
00:26:21.200So you've got two – that's two people.
00:26:23.100That's appellate judges and a federal judge are stepping in here.
00:26:26.940You've got these things breaking all over the place, but there's no cohesive Jim Jordan at either weaponization or judiciary calling in people, sending subpoenas, et cetera.
00:27:14.360I fight for President Trump probably more than President Trump fights for himself in Washington, D.C., because I'm tired of no one fighting for him.
00:27:21.540And he should have never been drug in this in the first place.
00:27:24.700But the inner circle and the speaker's team, they came and they kept peppering him and peppering and peppering him.
00:27:30.640And they're saying, you've got to say this on behalf of Mike Johnson.
00:27:33.700You've got to calm her down and stop her.
00:38:26.960I thought that the Federal Reserve had, you know, after a disastrous 21, you know, failing the American people on inflation, the Federal Reserve restored their credibility with one of the fastest, if not the fastest, hiking cycle in history.
00:38:46.320It looked as though they had things under control this fall.
00:38:50.660Well, inflation was dropping in the November and December post-CFOMC meetings.
00:39:00.800And for some reason, Chair Powell needed to come out and play the hero and signal an easing.
00:39:07.060And, you know, my theory, and it's been borne out, is, you know, he calls this easing in financial conditions, stock market shoots up, credit spreads tighten.
00:39:18.640And, you know, that reignited inflation and reignited the economic activity.
00:39:25.920And now, you know, six months later, we're seeing the results of that.
00:39:32.460I think if he had just stayed the course, things would have been, you know, the conditions would have been much better.
00:39:39.740And, you know, the other thing we're seeing here is we're seeing this bifurcated economy.
00:39:45.100And that behavior in the late fall has led to it.
00:40:15.920And, you know, again, it's very disappointing, Maria, because Treasury and Fed, the economic positions and administration are risk management positions.
00:40:59.100We'll play maybe the rest of the Maria in a second.
00:41:02.880Scott, I want to go back in time because I think people need to set this.
00:41:06.740I think this was after Thanksgiving in early December, Yellen and the Fed really started working hand-in-glove together, which they've never done before.
00:41:16.700And this was the financial-industrial complex coming together to save Joe Biden, just like the biopharmaceutical has, the defense industry has, all the big corporatists, the easy-money folks on Wall Street, our tech overlords in Silicon Valley.
00:41:33.980But tell us what happened in early December that's going to drive us over a cliff, sir.
00:41:42.960Look, I think the problem with Jay Powell, Janet Yellen is that they are linear in their thinking, and markets in the real world are nonlinear.
00:41:56.940And what's happened here is they are central planners.
00:42:01.880Their plan was if we can ease financial conditions, then the economy will be strong coming into the election.
00:42:15.120Studies have shown that voters tend to gravitate toward how's the economy doing plus or minus two weeks around Labor Day.
00:42:23.860They thought that they could engineer a boom into Labor Day.
00:42:27.740And the problem is inflation got in their way, and inflation and consumer expectations are nonlinear.
00:42:37.680Janet Yellen shortened the issuance for Treasury.
00:42:43.740And the way for your viewers to think about this is if Treasury is going to issue 10-year bonds, then that puts upward pressure on interest rates, maybe upward pressure on mortgages.
00:42:58.340If you move it to shorter issuance, you're issuing Treasury bills, which roll every 90 days.
00:43:06.920And by taking the long issuance out, you take pressure away from the market.
00:43:13.200And, you know, I can tell you, given the size of these deficits, Janet Yellen does not want price exploration based on market signals.
00:43:23.740You know, she has a central planner, and central planners do not like market signals.
00:43:29.260We're going to take a short commercial break.
00:43:31.760We're going to come back and drill down on all this because this shows you the bind that we're in, the structural bind.
00:43:39.260Scott Besson, Capital Markets, next in the War Room.
00:43:43.720Have you heard of cancer-fighting foods?
00:43:45.660The American Cancer Society discovered diets rich in fruits and veggies may actually lower, let me repeat that, lower your risk of cancer.
00:43:55.460Now, hopefully, you're motivated enough to run out to the store and get five full servings of fruits and veggies.
00:45:16.900This is about the central bank digital currency, the one previous about Richard Nixon and his team taking us off the gold standard in 1973, I think it was.
00:45:28.760If you want to learn about capital markets, you want a little bit about macro, which we go out of our way to make sure this audience understands.
00:45:36.240Because you can't understand power until you understand money.
00:46:14.940Scott, let me see if I can summarize this, at least part of it.
00:46:21.240Understanding that what they were selling or thought they had to sell best was Bidenomics.
00:46:25.900Because it was still back over Thanksgiving last year, Scott, that they were still marketing that.
00:46:30.800What they wanted to do is make sure they had enough liquidity and juice into the system, into the stock market and others in summer, particularly mid-summer, late summer, powering through Labor Day.
00:46:40.740Because history tells them when they look at polling, history tells them that that will lead people.
00:47:28.860Way to think about it is we've had when Yellen and Powell eased financial conditions in the fall, we had this massive stock market rally, say up 25% off the bottom.
00:47:42.920And the top 10% of Americans own 88% of stocks.
00:49:44.940Steve, and let's unpack that, and then I'll come back and give my grades on Professor Yellen, is let's remember all the way back.
00:49:56.980This spending by the Biden administration is what set off this inflation, and that was a choice.
00:50:05.580The other choice that they made is to constrain supply through overregulation or heightened regulation.
00:50:14.140The reason the Trump economy worked well is you had a demand shock, and the demand shock was met with a supply shock in terms of deregulation.
00:50:24.960So, inflation really never got above 2.2%, 2.3% is we had a demand shock fueled by government spending, which is still going on.
00:50:37.380And we are getting a continuous constraint on the supply side by, like, these regulations that keep getting added, you know, almost daily.
00:50:47.380And it looks like there's a whole group that they want to codify before the November 5th election.
00:50:52.400So, it's very difficult, if not impossible, for inflation to abate.
00:51:00.460And the administration, led by Yellen, is doing this.
00:51:06.580And we could have been in a much better place if they had not overplayed their hand in the fall and just, you know, let the market do its job, is Janet Yellen does not believe in market signals.
00:51:21.800So, as you outline, she is suppressing the long end of the curve by holding back products.
00:51:29.680So, she is starving bond managers who want to buy 10 years that, you know, and believe me, the government has plenty of debt to issue.
00:51:38.940They're just issuing it at the very short end, which is very risky.
00:51:44.080Like, this is, you know, this is EM stuff.
00:51:46.940I've been doing this 40 years, and it doesn't end well.
00:51:49.840You know, this is kind of stuff Turkey, Argentina, Brazil does going in an election.
00:51:53.600It's not what the United States of America does, is the switch to short end is normally during a recession when you are having trouble issuing debt.
00:52:06.400We are doing this with 3.8 percent unemployment.
00:52:11.120You know, we are, you know, the stated economic numbers are quite good, but underneath the hood is a mess.
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