Former Vice President Joe Biden announces he will not seek re-election in 2020, leaving the Democratic primary race to face off against Hillary Clinton. Biden's announcement comes on the heels of his announcement that he would not seek a third term and instead endorse his running mate, Kamala Harris.
00:07:00.820Harnwell here at the helm, filling in for Steve Bannon.
00:07:03.480He's presently residing still in one of Dr. Jill Biden's federal prisons, as they insist on ploughing ahead, turning the greatest republic in the history of mankind into a banana republic.
00:07:18.360You heard Donald Trump in the cold open there, talking about how one of the factors that pushed Joe Biden out, that pushed the coup, was the fact that his polls were terrible.
00:07:30.660We're going to be hearing from Mark Mitchell from Rasmussen polling a little later on in the show.
00:07:35.460He's going to break down exactly what's going on there.
00:07:39.260I had an early look at some of these figures, and they are terrifying.
00:07:42.140And we're also going to be having on the show a little later, Monica Crowley, who will be talking about the leaking and the back briefing against Kamala Harris, coming from one of the Democrats' most authoritative figures, Barack Obama.
00:08:26.040The idea behind this DEI initiative, diversity, equity, inclusion, is that DEI is supposed to be a positive thing.
00:08:34.980However, it becomes a negative thing when you apply it to a specific person.
00:08:39.980So it's good in the abstract and the general and bad in the particular.
00:08:46.440Can you explain to me, before we talk about Biden's speech last night and everything that's going on, could you explain to me how that works?
00:08:54.780Yeah, so this is actually a great question.
00:08:57.760I mean, DEI, so-called diversity, equity, and inclusion is just the latest manifestation of the left's race-centric consciousness.
00:09:05.560I mean, it's kind of just the successor to affirmative action in university admissions and in corporate hiring practices as well.
00:09:12.260So, you know, the Supreme Court here in the U.S. dealt a fairly fatal blow to affirmative action in the university context in the students for fair admissions versus Harvard and University of North Carolina cases last summer.
00:09:26.900But, you know, it's interesting because if you go back to the affirmative action context, again, it's basically the exact same issue.
00:09:31.680We're talking here about fairly open, naked, explicit discrimination on the basis of race against white people, discrimination on the basis of religion, against Christians, against Jews, against Asians, against anyone who does not fit this incredibly arbitrary hierarchy of victims that constitutes the modern intersectional identity politics mindset.
00:09:48.000But if you go back to the affirmative action context, Ben, I think the very astute point that you're making, if you go back to the great Justice Clarence Thomas, in my opinion, the single greatest living American, you know, going back almost 30 years to the mid-1990s, he had an opinion in a case called Adoran that I remember reading at law school.
00:10:06.680This is literally 29 years ago, if I have the date correctly, 20 and 29 years ago.
00:10:10.040This is the first time that I think Justice Thomas first explained fully the badge of inferiority, the scarlet letter, essentially, that affirmative action, DEI, all these race-conscious practices put on the people that they purportedly held.
00:10:24.360Put another way, if you are a black or Hispanic person who gains admission to a university or is hired in a corporation, or in the case of Kataji Brown Jackson gets on the U.S. Supreme Court, or in the case of Kamala Harris gets leapfrogged from a dud of a candidacy in 2020 to now being the nominee,
00:10:38.680if you benefit in any way from these practices, you have a scarlet letter badge of inferiority.
00:10:43.420I think that is the intellectual tension that they are getting at here, because they can't recognize that.
00:10:48.140If they actually go ahead and recognize that these race-conscious practices actually do far more harm than good, empirically speaking, when it comes to mismatch theory, as well as for the individuals that they purportedly held,
00:10:59.980when they start to recognize that, Ben, the entire construct falls apart.
00:11:03.820So I think that's the underlying tension that they're getting at here, because, yeah, they can't necessarily admit that Kamala Harris is a DEI candidate,
00:11:11.660because the do-so would recognize that she just got this job due to race, which, again, gets back to the whole scarlet letter point.
00:11:18.620Actually, I think Biden himself, a couple of years ago, explicitly did refer to Kamala Harris as being a DEI candidate in front of her.
00:11:25.880Of course, the political climate was different two years ago, and I think the issue here is that the Democrats are, as you pointed out,
00:11:33.500they're desperately trying to shift the narrative, and they're now looking for anything that they can to attack Republicans,
00:11:39.960with specifically Donald Trump and J.B. Vance.
00:16:24.300So we were just talking to Josh Hammer from Newsweek about this general situation and the
00:16:31.060forces pressuring the bloodless, that we assume to be bloodless, palace coup, kicking out the
00:16:38.520incumbent, or the husband of the incumbent president, Joe Biden.
00:16:44.040We've got Colonel Derek Harvey in the studio as well with us to talk about the speech from Netanyahu to Congress yesterday.
00:16:53.380But Colonel Harvey, whilst you're here in studio and we have Josh Hammer here, could you just give me your first response to what Josh was saying, please?
00:17:10.260You know, I'm struck by your comments.
00:17:12.660And one of the things I was wondering about is I heard Newt Gingrich on Monday talk about
00:17:19.420Kamala Harris, Kamala Harris, and Heath was saying that she was probably a great candidate, if you want to go down in flames, as a Democrat party, because she's to the left of Bernie Sanders on everything.
00:17:34.360She's the most liberal senator that's been in the U.S. Senate.
00:17:38.040And he described her as a far left San Francisco Democrat to the left of Bernie Sanders.
00:17:45.940And why would we not want to run against her?
00:17:49.400What does what does your analysis say about the prospects and framing her like that?
00:17:55.540Yeah, I mean, I think that that is the true Kamala Harris record.
00:17:59.520I mean, she is a San Francisco left winger to her core.
00:18:03.420I mean, you know, Dave McCormick is running for U.S. Senate right now against Bob Casey there in Pennsylvania, had this remarkable advertisement that went viral on social media a couple nights ago.
00:18:13.380It's a 90-second ad just going through all of the far left positions that she took over the course of her of her aborted run for president four years ago, where she did not win a single primary voter or a single delegate because she dropped out well before Iowa.
00:18:27.280Again, Green New Deal, national ban on fracking, ban on offshore drilling.
00:18:31.080She wants to make illegally crossing the border not a crime, but a civil offense.
00:20:05.420No, I was going to suggest that they were so concerned about the downed party tickets from local and state and at the Senate and congressional level that they thought they would have fewer losses with Kamala.
00:20:19.120Do you think that might have been the calculation?
00:20:24.100I mean, part of it is probably kind of a try to staunch the bleeding operation.
00:20:27.620If you look at the various demographics who have been peeling away from Democrats and inching towards Trump, they've been hemorrhaging support among young voters, millennials, and Gen Z.
00:20:36.660They've been hemorrhaging support among young black men in particular.
00:20:39.640The polls show upwards of 25, maybe even 30% of young black men were considering voting for Trump.
00:20:44.960So I think they're trying to kind of shore up their kind of intersectional post-2008, post-Obama coalition.
00:20:50.980Essentially, this coalition of aggrieved interests, this coalition of the oppressed, to use kind of the critical race theory, you know, neo-Marxist nomenclature.
00:20:58.860But the problem is the flip side of that is that even if they can peel off on the margins some of those voters, and it's not obvious to me that they will because Kamala Harris is an extraordinarily cringe figure who purports to speak to a lot of these other people.
00:21:12.340But she really doesn't because she hasn't lived their life.
00:21:14.780She has no natural connection to them.
00:21:16.340But even holding aside that, even if they actually can shore up that support a little bit, to get back again to the Rust Belt and these crucial swing states, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, there's three states that really are going to determine this election.
00:21:28.660What does she possibly have to offer them?
00:21:30.620I mean, is a worker in the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania going to like the fact that she supports a national fracking ban and a ban on offshore drilling?
00:21:38.900You know, how does her whole kind of sycophancy towards EV mandates and electric vehicles, how is that going to play in the auto mills outside Detroit, Michigan?
00:21:46.640I mean, it just doesn't make sense on its own terms, I don't think.
00:21:48.900If I may, Oxfam, I don't know if you guys know the British NGO Oxfam, it does a lot of work on the leftish type social issues, without being overtly political.
00:22:04.380So Oxfam have produced this report, which they do, I think, every year.
00:22:08.020And they said the world's richest, at 1%, gained 40 trillion in the last decade.
00:22:14.960I think that's the backdrop, again, which it has, you know, it's the backdrop to the forthcoming presidential election in the United States.
00:22:22.020I think it's pretty much the backdrop to everything that's going on around the world right now.
00:22:26.020And you see the rise of the political movements going to the alternative right, the non-establishment right, the populist nationalist right,
00:22:35.280because the conventional centre-right parties have failed to do anything for the people.
00:22:40.440And this isn't a consequence of free market economics.
00:22:43.300This is an overt consequence of the clients of the state, the military, for example.
00:22:50.360Colonel Harvey, I'm sure you'll have a lot of experience on seeing this from the other side of the screen, right?
00:22:56.860The military, you have all the lobbies, you have the Chamber of Commerce, all the lobbyists.
00:23:03.360These are the people that are drawing the wealth out of the nation, paid for by taxpayers.
00:23:08.900So taxpayers, I saw a poll, I think, a couple of days ago saying one third of Americans now effectively have no pension for the future.
00:23:19.600Well, that's, you know, that's entirely to be expected when a country is bankrupting itself, spending on money on all the politically powerful lobby groups and leaving nothing for the people themselves.
00:23:30.220This is a point I think we're going to be pushing down on a little later in the show.
00:23:35.440My own reading of this, Josh, though, from what you were saying before, I think after, you know, President Trump said in the cold open that he basically thought that Biden's fate was sealed from the debate.
00:23:47.520And that's my reading of this as well.
00:23:51.980I think what accelerated the situation was the assassination attempt.
00:23:57.240And my perspective, my reading of this, Josh, and Colonel Harvey coming and telling me whether this mirrors yours, I think after the assassination attempt, the Democrats realised or believed that they're not going to win in November.
00:24:10.900And by that, I mean they won't win a fair election, you know, and it will take another show to discuss whether November the 5th is actually going to be a fair election or whether it's going to be another stolen election.
00:24:23.000And I don't buy it for a single moment.
00:24:24.820It's too big to rig a line that's being pushed out in certain quarters because fundamentally the issues to do with 2020 have not been resolved.
00:24:34.560And the people responsible for those are still very much in power.
00:24:39.260But to put that to one side, in a fair election and a straight down honest election, Trump, after the assassination attempt, I think the polls are starting to show this, would have no problem whatsoever on November the 5th.
00:24:51.560Therefore, the strategy of the Democrats is to protect their down ballot fights.
00:24:56.720And the Senate, the House, Josh, I think you were alluding to this earlier.
00:25:00.360And of course, you know, when Mark Mitchell comes on the show a little later, what I want to ask is, because you're seeing some of these national polls, which are showing quite strong support for President Trump.
00:25:11.720Really, I think what I want to see on and drill down on are these six swing states, right?
00:25:18.860That's, I think, where this battle is really going to take place.
00:25:22.240Now, I'd like to see what the polls are starting to show there in those areas.
00:25:29.440Yeah, so look, I mean, Kamala's gotten a negligible, thus far, boost in some of the national horse race polling.
00:25:37.720I mean, we need to wait for some more actual swing state polling, right, especially those Rust Belt states.
00:25:42.320You know, I think their calculus is that because of what I was saying earlier, because of this theory that Kamala can help recapture the voters who were hemorrhaging, the younger voters, Black, Hispanic voters,
00:25:52.820they think that she can help narrow the margins in the Sun Belt states of Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina, all of which were slipping away from President Biden.
00:26:01.680But, you know, Ben, you know, to your point earlier, you know, obviously the whole Democrat media complex put this thing in the full motion literally within minutes of that June 27th presidential debate ending there.
00:26:12.300And to me, it's somewhat of a crisis of their own making insofar as we didn't actually learn any new information on June 27th.
00:26:20.620Anyone who had eyes to see and ears to hear knew darn well exactly what was going on with the president of the United States in regards to his clear, palpable mental and physical decline.
00:26:31.320So they just chose to ignore that and then fabricate this crisis.
00:26:35.980The whole thing is just really, really, really bizarre.
00:26:39.660I don't think it's going to play out for them.
00:26:41.380But again, I don't think it would have worked out for them particularly well if they had stuck with Joe Biden ever.
00:26:45.280They were really between a rock and a hard place right now.
00:26:47.240The key for Donald Trump is to make sure that he didn't peak too soon.
00:26:50.960He had the natural sympathy after that incredible historic photo, the bloodied face in Butler, Pennsylvania,
00:26:56.180this remarkable unifying Republican National Convention in Milwaukee.
00:26:59.100The key is to make sure that he did not peak too soon and to keep this momentum going.
00:27:03.400This rally in Charlotte, North Carolina last night struck me as a good first step towards doing that.
00:27:08.920Josh Hammer, thanks very much for coming on the show this morning and breaking down this analysis.
00:27:13.340Colonel Harvey, if you'd very kindly stay on and then sort of give us a breakdown of what happened yesterday.
00:27:19.820Josh, where can people come together with your fantastic, excellent writing, your social media?
00:27:49.480We've got a two-minute break coming up.
00:27:51.260We'll be back with Colonel Harvey and also Mark Mitchell to help break down the figures behind much of what's driving the political battle here on The War Room.
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00:31:40.580It's one thing, and this is, I think, to his eternal credit, Donald Trump has moved the needle on the immigration debate in the United States.
00:31:49.580It's that the countries sending their immigrants to the United States aren't sending their best.
00:31:59.000You're also expanding your trillion-dollar national debt.
00:32:05.880I think it's $35 trillion, $1 trillion every few months.
00:32:09.780That's also in part due to the people coming in.
00:32:12.200We're going to talk about this a little bit more, break this down.
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00:33:50.780Colonel Harvey, how appropriate is it in 2024 for Joe Scarborough to sit there and try and reorientate the American political discourse towards a pro-immigration life?
00:34:04.580And how successful, how popular would it be?
00:34:07.960And then, on bouncing off your response to that, we're going to go straight to Mark Mitchell at Rasmussen to find out how the land lies in terms of the numbers.
00:34:17.120Well, my take on it is total spin and adulteration of the Reagan philosophy.
00:34:27.480You know, the Republican Party and Donald Trump and their platform is for legal immigration that brings in the best and the brightest that we desire in our country to become integrated in our society.
00:34:40.000They come in legally, and we bring in almost 1.4 million people legally every year.
00:34:49.280I see this problem in my county, in the streets, in the schools, in our social services, with a breakdown of affordable housing.
00:34:59.280The stress on our schools, with 47 different languages and nearly 10% of our students being, you know, illegal immigrant children.
00:35:09.600We see it in the cost across the board of social services and Social Security being directed at these illegal immigrants.
00:35:17.460When we have veterans and elderly people that are getting half of what these illegal immigrants are getting when they come across the border, tremendous stress and social upheaval in America.
00:35:29.220We also have almost 40 million immigrants living in our country that are not citizens, 40 million.
00:35:38.10011 million came in in the last three and a half years.
00:36:50.920I saw that Rasmussen, which is, I think, my favourite polling company in terms of getting at the actual underlying situation in the States.
00:36:58.820You published a poll, I think, this morning saying that 43% of Americans strongly disapprove of Joe Biden.
00:37:06.980How is he, you know, how is his heir and successor, assuming that we're going to have an honest election in November,
00:37:14.980that there's every doubt that it will be, knowing the Democrats' propensity to cheat?
00:37:23.560How is this, how can Kamala Harris possibly present herself for election on November the 5th,
00:37:31.520when you have the absolute disintegration of the southern border, which is supposed to be her primary responsibility?
00:37:39.680Well, I don't think they're going to be able to memory hold this at all.
00:37:44.620If you go to Google Trends, like 20 times more people are searching for the term border czar right now than they ever have, right?
00:37:52.380There's psyops that work and there's psyops that don't, and I don't think this Kamala Harris psyop is going to work.
00:37:57.640Like, they're pretty effective with immigration only, or I'm sorry, abortion.
00:38:00.820Only 12% of voters want abortion after six months, but somehow the country is painted as a pro-choice country, and it's just not.
00:38:09.460Immigration is going to be a really tough one to bury, too, because this country does not like illegal immigration.
00:38:16.160And we should know, because we're basically the experts on immigration.
00:38:19.760We're sponsored by Numbers USA to go into the field every month, and we ask a set of questions about immigration over and over again, and we produce an index.
00:38:27.760And I'll tell you, by like a 60% to 15 or less margin, so 4 to 1 to 5 to 1, Americans say the government is doing too little versus too much to prevent illegal immigration at the border.
00:38:42.360And what's fascinating is that index, which tracks how soft people are in immigration, was actually showing that people wanted softer stance on immigration during the Trump administration.
00:38:52.980But the second that Biden got elected, the index plunged from like 125 down to the 80s, where it is staying today.
00:39:01.940So there was something subconscious about Joe Biden's presidency that people knew even before he started implementing his policies, that this administration is way too soft on the border.
00:39:13.880Now, I'll get into the race numbers in a second, but I just want to take a high-level look at what's going on here.
00:39:19.760You know, four years ago, Trump was down, call it 8 to 10 points, depending on what poll you're looking at.
00:39:25.760Today, in our polling, you know, he's up like almost that amount.
00:39:29.840So he's turned it around 15 points in a four-year period.
00:39:33.460And it's interesting to ask why, but if you look at why he's winning so much right now, it's because more Democrats would cross over to vote Trump than Republicans would cross over to vote Biden or Harris.
00:39:45.640And Trump is winning among independents.
00:39:49.560Now, how are the Democrats going to win it?
00:39:52.640There's, in my opinion, let's just assume that all of the Democrats vote Biden or Harris the same amount that Republicans vote Trump.
00:40:01.240Then they have to win the independents.
00:40:04.340Independents hate what's going on in the border.
00:40:07.440And believe it or not, border is their number two issue behind the economy.
00:40:32.140The Democrats aren't going to win this next election.
00:40:35.140If they get their candidate inaugurated on January the 20th, it will be thanks to cheating rather than a straight up election.
00:40:46.400Mark, can you just – look, we've got about two minutes coming up to the next break.
00:40:50.360Like, Nevada, Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Georgia, these are the conventional six states around which the Electoral College is going to revolve, right?
00:41:02.140I've seen some of the national polls putting Trump a few points ahead versus Harris, the polls that have just sort of been done, I think, in the last few days.
00:41:11.600In some senses, these national polls aren't really going to tell us very much about what's going to happen on November the 5th in terms of the Electoral College.
00:41:18.660What's happening there in these six swing states?
00:41:23.460Yeah, I have to be very careful about saying when these polls came out.
00:41:27.420So Trump was up five to ten points all year.
00:41:30.040He actually got down to only plus three after the debate because Democrats rallied around Biden.
00:41:34.540The following week, we had Trump up to plus eight.
00:41:37.720So we did a mega swing state poll, which is the one that showed that plus three margin.
00:41:41.940So with Trump only up three, probably the lowest result we've had, we had Arizona Trump plus nine, Pennsylvania Trump plus four.
00:41:48.780Georgia Trump plus five, Wisconsin Trump plus three, Nevada Trump plus eight, and Michigan Trump plus one.
00:41:55.820Those are all the multi-way matchup numbers.
00:41:57.820So you can argue about if you like your two-way or your multi-way, but we show him winning to roughly tied to up majorly in every single swing state.
00:42:07.320And that was in a poll that was less favorable to him before the assassination attempt, before the majorly positive RNC.
00:42:15.580You know, I just don't like it's going to come down to the 3 a.m. pipe bursts or mail-in ballots, and we can get into that after the break.
00:42:23.660But we've got some crazy polling that implies that there's a level of cheating in this country bigger than anybody expected.
00:42:37.360I would like to ask a question about what you're seeing in New Mexico, what you're seeing in Minnesota, or maybe Colorado, if the map has expanded for the Trump campaign.
00:42:47.180I haven't had a chance to poll those states yet.
00:42:51.340I think we have an opportunity potentially to go into New York soon.
00:42:54.880We're going to do another set of swing state polls.
00:42:58.280But I think the takeaway is that if you look at your New York Times-Sianas, if you look at your Bloombergs or Harvard-Harris, people call us a right-wing pollster.
00:43:05.240We were actually, like, about a point off in the national popular vote in 2020 if you averaged all of our September and October polling together.
00:43:13.260Those pollsters are pretty close to us at a national level.
00:43:16.360And I think you'll find that on an individual swing state basis that we're holding up, too.
00:43:21.140So I think if you look at a reputable pollster that's in the same ballpark as us, you can trust the other polling that they're doing.
00:43:31.100We'll be back in two minutes with Mark Mitchell and Colonel Hart.
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00:45:05.660Mark Mitchell, how long can we expect from Rasmussen Reports to come out with a poll looking specifically at these swing states on a Trump-Rance versus Trump?
00:45:20.960Kamala and whoever her beep will be matchup.
00:45:24.440Yeah, I think we need to give it time for everything to solidify.
00:45:28.040I would say, you know, give it two or three weeks.
00:45:30.860You know, this swing state poll we just did, believe it or not, is only like 10 or 11 days old.
00:45:38.520I think the biggest finding in this poll is the cheating result.
00:45:42.860As you know, we've been following cheating very, very intently.
00:45:46.800We think it's incredibly important to be an accurate pollster.
00:45:49.000Everybody else seems to duck this issue.
00:45:51.220We've been asking about it for three years now.
00:45:53.440We went from an under 50% of the population saying they were concerned about cheating in 2020 to now, our biggest number, 66% of people are now at least somewhat concerned that cheating will affect the outcome of the 2024 election.
00:46:06.800Of course, we've also tested things like audits and, you know, IDs and paper ballots.
00:46:11.280Everybody overwhelmingly supports that stuff.
00:46:13.100But what we've done, we did one back in December.