Maria Cardona and Sarah Downey join us to discuss the latest polls on Trump s approval rating and the impact of his latest tariffs plan. They also discuss the White House putting up posters of what they say are illegal immigrants who have been arrested for violent crimes.
00:02:38.000They put them up on the driveway of the White House.
00:02:40.880If you look here, that's the West Wing just at the forefront, the executive mansion itself to the left.
00:02:46.400But what's particularly noteworthy about this location is it is right directly behind the positions where TV correspondents do their hits from the White House lawn.
00:02:56.180So therefore, no matter what network you're on, that includes MSNBC, if you're doing a hit from the White House right now, those pictures will be behind you.
00:03:06.320The White House is doing a briefing in about a half hour about what they're doing here.
00:03:13.820So I have to say, one of the biggest challenges that we have with the deportations that we know of so far, for example, with Kilmer Abrego Garcia, we don't know if they've had due process.
00:03:24.620We don't know if, in fact, these individuals do have a rap sheet.
00:03:29.060So I would encourage those individuals that have that as a backshot to blur those people out.
00:03:34.720The job of journalism is to ensure that we are presenting the facts, that we are cross-referencing.
00:03:40.740We know that Polly Fact actually checked the Trump administration because of an earlier picture that they released on Kilmer, recognizing that it was altered, that it was false, that they placed gang signs, tattoos on him that weren't real.
00:03:56.340And so I would really, the press right now, we are absolutely under attack.
00:04:02.620Our job is always to have our true north, to make sure that we're presenting balanced news, and making sure that we are not putting folks that are potentially in danger.
00:04:13.360And having that representation of those pictures in the background, we can't allow that to, basically, for us to carry the water of potentially innocent people.
00:04:25.000So I would encourage, I recognize a lot of shots are tough, but I would encourage folks to actually make sure that those shots are blurred to the best of your abilities.
00:04:31.860Well, first of all, how many illegal aliens, I think, are in the United States? At least 20 million.
00:04:37.500Here's the word you come up with that number. We've been speaking about 12 million for 20 years.
00:04:41.400We know we got 10.5 that we know of came to the border. How many don't we know of?
00:04:45.860I talk about known gotaways at 2 million. How many unknown gotaways do we have?
00:04:49.480Like, between the Big Bend sector in Texas, where there's no technology, how many thousand people dig across from there? We wouldn't know.
00:04:56.520We would know now. But, you know, so I would venture over 20 million.
00:05:00.920But your question is, last count, we got, last I looked, there was about 700,000 illegal aliens with criminal charges walking the streets of this country.
00:05:10.540700,000. And that's what we're looking for now. That's what we're prioritizing. Them and National Security Threats.
00:05:17.620The registration requirements under 8 U.S.C. 1302, if you're an illegal alien in the United States, this message is for you.
00:05:23.760You cannot hide from ICE. We're actively looking for you.
00:05:27.100Federal law requires every alien in the United States who has been present in the United States for more than 30 days needs to register.
00:05:35.840For those 14 years or older, you need to be fingerprinted with the Department of Homeland Security.
00:05:41.220Federal law requires every alien in the United States to tell DHS in writing if you have a change in address within 10 days of changing that address.
00:05:48.800Failing to register with DHS and fare to tell DHS about your new address are criminal offenses and they will be treated as such.
00:12:23.140Okay, let's go to, we have an open for Viva Frye on Canada.
00:12:27.020Let's play, today's election day in what they used to call the Great White North, the old TV show, the old comedy show.
00:12:34.060Let's go ahead and play Viva Frye's open.
00:12:36.000Have you taken any steps to carry out President Trump's plans as he has said he would like to annex Canada?
00:12:44.260Have you taken any steps in that direction?
00:12:46.440No, I think what the president has said, and he has said this repeatedly, is he was told by the previous prime minister that Canada could not survive without unfair trade with the United States.
00:12:55.700At which point, he asked, well, if you can't survive as a nation without treating us unfairly in trade, then you should become a state.
00:13:03.360They'll have their elections this week.
00:13:04.640They're going to have their new leader, and we'll deal with the new leadership of Canada.
00:13:07.740There are many things we work with cooperatively on Canada on, but we actually don't like the way they've treated us when it comes to trade.
00:13:13.120And the president has made that point when he responded to the previous prime minister in regards to this.
00:13:19.240So does the president, does the U.S. still want to make Canada the 51st state?
00:13:24.420I think the president has stated repeatedly that he thinks Canada would be better off as a state.
00:13:28.840Now, it's unclear if former prime minister Justin Trudeau actually ever made that statement to Trump that Rubio claims.
00:13:36.420But the current prime minister, Mark Carney, whose party is now poised to win today's election, well, he's pushed back on the idea of the United States ever taking over Canada, saying in a recent press conference, quote,
00:13:48.300to be clear, as I've said to anyone who's raised this issue in private or in public, including the president, it will never happen.
00:13:58.640OK, Viva Fry, Viva, just give me a heads up because we've got to go to break right here, right?
00:14:04.900I got that clock right. OK, I just want to make sure.
00:14:07.680Viva, you hang on. We're going to talk about Canada and we're going to talk about if the quote unquote populace had gone more Trump,
00:14:15.640we would have a better outlook on today. A little cloudy up there in Canada.
00:14:20.180Carney, I can't believe you're going to elect a Goldman Sachs guy.
00:14:24.900Who elects Goldman Sachs guys in this day and age?
00:14:28.260Short commercial break. Viva Fry on the other side.
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00:16:23.400They feel betrayed about the treatment, not just the tariffs, but the talk of annexation, because they're obviously a sovereign country.
00:16:32.700They can't understand why they're a best friend to the South, a place where they travel to.
00:16:36.700And, you know, any Canadian with, like, five bucks in the bank has a condo in Florida or Arizona.
00:16:42.020And they can't understand for the life of them why they're being treated like this now.
00:16:45.080Politically speaking, this has gone from a sure thing for the Conservative Party to, you know, take back power for the first time in a decade to a certainly tilt liberal race almost entirely because of Donald Trump.
00:17:07.600But the Conservative is squeezed between the Conservative base of his party, especially out west in the western provinces, who do like Trump and the rest of the country, who hates Trump.
00:17:16.680So he can't criticize Trump directly like you saw Mark Carney, the liberal, did there and sort of put the Conservative in a vice.
00:17:25.140And then secondly, Jonathan, what's fascinating about this race is.
00:17:29.380We're a Bob and Doug McKenzie when you need them, right?
00:17:32.780The famous duo of the great white north.
00:17:36.180Viva Frye, tell me what's going on up there because I tell you, if Carney does happen to pull this out, the progressives are going to use this as the flag they plant to say, OK, this is the international.
00:17:49.780The Americans, the Democrats are too screwed up.
00:17:52.900The progressive movement here is too far gone.
00:17:55.640But the international liberal order will come to the rescue to save the world.
00:18:01.440They'll start in Canada and you'll start to see the big universities overseas backing Harvard and the Ivies.
00:18:06.180This will lead to institutional support.
00:18:08.640So this is what they're going to consider their rally point will be today.
00:18:12.640Your thoughts are why have the quote unquote populist not really run as a fire breathing populist?
00:18:21.240You just got to be too nice up there, sir?
00:18:23.400Well, that is that analysis was pretty on point in that there's a substantial base of the Conservatives up in Canada who do like Trump or don't have a problem with him.
00:18:32.760But there's a substantial portion that are as brainwashed as the liberals as relates to Trump.
00:18:37.380And so Pierre, he had a fine line to walk, but it's a line that I don't think he had to walk in the first place because he could have just stayed silent on Trump and leveled all of his attacks and blame against the liberals in terms of blaming whatever Trump tariffs and threats of annexation Trump was issuing.
00:18:53.320Blame it on the liberals because it was a result of 10 years of failed liberal policy.
00:18:57.820I don't think this will start a cascade of liberalism or the liberal world order worldwide.
00:19:03.320I do think Canada is something of an anomaly in their opposition to or reluctance to embrace populism.
00:19:10.120We see populism thriving in Europe, albeit, you know, it's struggling, but it's thriving in Romania, South America, Brazil.
00:19:18.420My level of being flabbergasted is how much resistance there is to the populist movement in Canada.
00:19:24.320And I think it has to do with having a media that is totally corrupt and totally captured by the government that basically acts as their watchdogs and their lapdogs and not their watchdogs.
00:19:34.960And so you have the media convincing everybody in Canada that their woes are the result of three months of tariff threats and discussion of annexation and not a decade of liberal devastation.
00:19:46.420And Pierre fumbled the ball in terms of making sure Canadians understood where that blame should lie.
00:19:52.020But we'll see today if the liberals win, let alone a minority, but I say, heaven forbid, a majority government.
00:19:57.540If they win a majority government, I do predict that it's going to lead to the breakup of Canada, not a liberalist new world order.
00:20:03.680It's going to lead to Alberta moving to secede from Canada because you've got a bunch of liberal environmental panicking, you know,
00:20:10.220anti-science nutbags who are exploiting Alberta for its resources while crippling Alberta's ability to exploit its resources, stealing their money, spreading it throughout Canada to the have-not provinces.
00:20:21.180And Alberta's going to say, we've had enough of this.
00:20:23.180Quebec and Ontario dictating the politics of the land and exploiting us while crippling us.
00:20:28.400So I think it'll lead to the breakup of Canada if the liberals get a majority.
00:20:31.540But I'm still mildly optimistic that Pierre can eke out a minority conservative government, and one can only hope he manages to get a majority conservative government.
00:20:41.180But that's looking very, very unlikely.
00:20:44.660OK, as we go through the day, we'll try to get you back on it.
00:22:25.840It's really funny when you're being held up at gunpoint because crime in Canada is at basically a decade high.
00:22:30.140Because of liberal policies, gun violence is at a high despite all of the gun laws that the liberals have implemented on law-abiding citizens.
00:23:14.440So, Rasmus, you're known as the person that can poll MAGA and one of the best analytic people following the president and his everything associated with the MAGA movement.
00:23:27.980All I hear all weekend in a drudge and everywhere is polls, the lowest in 100 years, the lowest in human history, 39 percent, 41 percent, 40 percent.
00:23:39.120Every issue, immigration, right, which he closed, he basically sealed the border in 60 days on immigration, on economy, on everything.
00:33:03.680So, Mark, just lay out the thesis once again.
00:33:07.020With people being bombarded this weekend and this morning, and you're going to see it all the way through, Trump is going to go to Michigan for a rally.
00:33:17.080We're going to do special coverage here in the war room.
00:33:22.100We're going to do a special, like, four hours.
00:33:23.960Eric Bolling, myself, Brian Glenn will be on Air Force One with the president, and the great Steve Gruber will be up in Michigan because he's the Rush Limbaugh of Michigan.
00:33:37.200All day, Mitchell, they're going to be bombarding us on the 100th day that Trump is the most unpopular, is the most unpopular president in 100 years.
00:33:50.600Yeah, I'd like to back up what I've been saying with a little bit of evidence.
00:33:53.700So don't just take it from me that there's a psychological operation going on.
00:33:58.040I will say if you look at the RealClearPolitics aggregate right now, just in the last, like, two days, a whole lot of polls dropped, and they were all – they all look the same.
00:34:13.920New York Times, who's been missing in action, negative 12.
00:34:18.080And ABC News, Washington Post, negative 13.
00:34:20.840They all dropped double-digit underwater polls for Donald Trump within a few days of each other, and it's all these people that haven't been polling that much.
00:34:31.320But then go to Google Trends, which is one of my favorite tools, and look at all of the search history going all the way back for the terms Trump approval, Biden approval, Bush approval, and Obama approval.
00:34:42.520And what you'll see is that for some reason there's something different about Donald Trump.
00:34:47.380For some reason, Trump approval drives way more, way more organic search volume than any of those other presidents, which is totally crazy considering how popular Obama ostensibly was.
00:34:59.580And what you see this April, it looks like it's going to be the second-highest month of all of Google polling history – or Google's data history of searches for Trump approval.
00:35:15.420They're trying to check it out themselves.
00:35:17.000The mainstream media is going to information gatekeep and shove a Quinnipiac poll in their face that says negative 12.
00:35:21.800These guys were all between seven and nine points left of me in September.
00:35:26.300And this is the exact same thing they were doing back then, trying to use the TikTok videos and Kamala Harris' debate performance to create a fake lead.
00:35:35.500But I have one other thing I want to bring up and look at.
00:35:37.880Everybody focuses on Trump approval, and what we've been focusing on is how highly approved of his policies are.
00:35:44.580But if you look at the electoral math, if you take turnout as a percent of voting eligible population or voting age population, depending on what data is available, and then you take each president their share of the national popular vote that they won, and then stack rank them based on how many, what percent of Americans that president got to vote for them.
00:36:08.100Trump 2.0 got 32 percent of the electorate to vote for him.
00:36:48.820Well, it's like, OK, do people like Trump or not?
00:36:52.500They saw him first time around, and they got a chance to vote for him again, right?
00:36:56.540And you take how many people turned out, like actual voters, and then you take the national popular vote.
00:37:03.100So it's like, OK, of the voters that turned out, how much did that winner get?
00:37:07.360And Trump 2.0 got way more than Trump 1.0, 32 percent compared to 28 percent, and he improved massively.
00:37:15.680And his electoral performance was better than like pretty much everybody except for like really – Trump 2.0 was only beaten by FDR number three, Reagan number two, Obama one.
00:37:27.340But again, we all know craziness that was going on there.
00:37:30.080And then Biden with that really huge asterisk about the highest turnout ever in the history of American elections, right?
00:46:42.820And at the same time, it is the way it is dealing with problems could be done more smoothly, more cooperatively to produce a less volatile result.
00:46:53.120Zani, let me ask you, you said we're still, let me ask you about something you know a lot about, because we are right now, the deadlock, the most important deadlock is a U.S.-China deadlock, where in order to get the world economy to a more stable place,
00:47:08.400and you wrote this in your post about a beautiful rebalancing between the U.S. and China, you need the two sides to start talking.
00:47:16.980The U.S. says they were waiting for China to call.
00:47:20.740The Chinese say the U.S. started this.
00:47:49.920They produce a lot of goods, more than the United States, Japan, and Germany combined, in manufactured goods, and they put it out, and they save too much, and they buy the dollars.
00:48:01.980We cannot continue this debt-money problem.
00:48:04.900We're at the end of a debt-money world order.
00:48:08.420So how are we going to get the negotiation?
00:48:11.060It is only through cooperation, calmness, and analytical work in which we recognize that these imbalances are unsustainable.
00:48:24.440They're not just financially unsustainable.
00:48:26.620In a world that is near war, that there could be, there cannot be mutual dependencies.
00:48:33.980And so how that is done together is the most important thing.
00:48:51.500Ray Dalio, largest hedge fund in the world, made a ton of money in China.
00:48:58.280McCormick of Pennsylvania was his deputy, was his right-hand man.
00:49:03.760I've got a lot of problems with Ray Dalio, and Ray Dalio got a lot of problems with Steve Bannon in the war room.
00:49:08.820However, ladies and gentlemen, that is the gospel of the war room right there.
00:49:14.180Said by supposedly the smartest, or at least regardless if he's smartest or not, he's running the biggest hedge fund in the world and managing more money than anybody that prior...
00:49:22.540Except for Larry Fink, who's not really a hedge fund guy.
00:50:27.520But that's the strongest statement I've seen from him.
00:50:30.520And not only the debt and the imbalances, but the debt and the imbalances tied to geopolitics, China, a threat coming at us, our dependence on them.
00:50:40.440Everybody's starting to follow that in all the news.
00:50:42.400I wish he'd go to the next point, the ditch Trump's been left in, right?
00:50:45.800It's a bunch of twos, 2% GDP growth for the next 30 years.
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