Alex Blumberg and Katie and Alex discuss the collapse of the tax reform bill in Congress, and why it s still not a done deal. Plus, a look at how Biden s mental acuity failed him, and how the media covered it up.
00:00:00.320Today, it's the one big, beautiful bill that was going to fix pretty much everything.
00:00:06.480The largest tax cut in American history, protection for Medicaid, border security, air traffic control, and even an end to wokeness.
00:00:15.560All of that straight out of the White House's own description of what the bill can do, by the way.
00:00:19.860The problem is, it's hard to argue that any of that would happen if the bill doesn't get passed.
00:00:26.500And the deeply divided Republican caucus is still making changes to it as we speak.
00:00:33.240It is in danger, which is probably why Trump himself marched to Capitol Hill today with a couple of warnings to the Republicans standing in his way.
00:00:42.020Number one, to the moderates who are demanding state and local tax deductions, salt.
00:09:22.640Remember, the manager's agreement or the manager's memo that would change the bill has to go out a couple hours, I think, before the Rules Committee vote.
00:09:34.620So that should just happen sometime late tonight, or that will be postponed because I don't think they can pass the rules.
00:10:28.020I think they're starting a commission or something to look at the Afghanistan withdrawal, some formal review process, which I guess would be the beginning of court-martials, etc.
00:10:39.980or some review process in a more formal way about Afghanistan.
00:10:43.700Then Paul Sperry of the New York Post had just put out a tweet that said a bunch of senators want a much tougher, want something much tougher about Milley, about for treason.
00:10:56.420And I'll have to get into the—I'll try to dig that around that as the show progresses.
00:11:01.580But the president's—he said, hey, we're doing a Golden Dome.
00:11:07.780It's going to be a version or, I guess, inspired by what's happening in Israel.
00:11:13.520Now, as you can imagine, it's a much larger geographic area.
00:11:22.380And the president said, done, start and done in three years.
00:11:26.400I hope that's why the defense budgets are a trillion dollars in this stamp, because this is quite expensive.
00:11:33.500Remember, he referenced President Reagan in Star Wars.
00:11:36.460I believe—and I made a film about this, Reagan's—about Reagan's war in the face of evil, of his bringing down the evil empire.
00:11:46.740That was kind of the coup de grace, boom, that they couldn't match with technology and money on that.
00:11:54.720And they kind of—I'm not saying they gave up, but they realized the game was over if we could take the strategic high ground.
00:12:00.320A lot of people laughed at President Reagan.
00:12:02.180And it didn't—it was so expensive, they didn't really pursue it.
00:12:07.340Also, I guess you had the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty.
00:12:09.780You had all types of things that kind of ensnarted at the time.
00:12:14.280But President Trump said, hey, before he leaves office—and I would actually say President Trump,
00:12:20.300I think that's after your fourth—your third term, your fourth victory in your third term.
00:12:26.340So we got a ways to go, but he said in—he said in three years he would have the Golden Dome completed.
00:14:59.520This July, there is a global summit of BRICS nations in Rio de Janeiro.
00:15:04.660The bloc of emerging superpowers, including China, Russia, India and Persia, are meeting with the goal of displacing the United States dollar as the global currency.
00:15:18.300As BRICS nations push forward with their plans, global demand for U.S. dollars will decrease, bringing down the value of the dollar in your savings.
00:15:26.960While this transition won't not happen overnight.
00:15:30.540But trust me, it's going to start in Rio.
00:15:32.880The Rio Reset in July marks a pivotal moment when BRICS objectives move decisively from a theoretical possibility towards an inevitable reality.
00:15:45.180Learn if diversifying your savings into gold is right for you.
00:15:48.680Birchgold Group can help you move your hard-earned savings into a tax-sheltered IRA and precious metals.
00:15:54.720Claim your free info kit on gold by texting my name, Bannon, that's B-A-N-N-O-N, to 989898.
00:16:02.380With an A-plus rating with the Better Business Bureau and tens of thousands of happy customers, let Birchgold army with a free, no-obligation info kit on owning gold before July.
00:16:38.300President Trump, as you know, yesterday has the phone call with Putin.
00:16:42.960He's very engaged now with trying to sort out and have everybody lay down their guns on the kinetic part of the Third World War.
00:16:55.260Simultaneously, there's this issue in Gaza.
00:16:59.940President Trump is actually, I think people are talking about maybe a million of the refugees go to Libya.
00:17:04.680There's all types of things in motion.
00:17:06.220All the way from the Red Sea to Houthis to the Persians.
00:17:11.300There's tons of negotiations going on behind the scenes with that and in this situation in Gaza in the Middle East and in Ukraine.
00:17:21.320So if you look at the arc of instability, number one, what he wanted to do was kind of stop and slow down the kinetic part of the Third World War.
00:17:49.920We've only been in wars over there since dragged in since the Arab oil embargo and the in the situation in Persia in the late 70s as a young naval officer was part of.
00:18:20.600This is still a hotbed of radical jihad.
00:18:23.700It's still exporting, you know, hundreds of thousands of people into Europe every year, particularly through North Africa, that the European nation still in Spain in these places still welcoming with open arms, the socialist.
00:18:38.840But the take on it is totally different than just national security or just weapons or guns or let's send troops.
00:18:58.320How do we make the region start to have some economic opportunities?
00:19:01.900Because you've got a ticking time bomb in Egypt, right, which is now playing footsies with the Chinese Communist Party on one side of Israel.
00:19:10.920You got Turkey to the north of Israel.
00:22:18.360They're entering into negotiation, which is fine.
00:22:20.740I'm not sure you have to bring the president to do that.
00:22:23.240But, hey, whatever it takes now for the big, beautiful bill.
00:22:26.340And we know they're making progress on the SALT guys.
00:22:30.400I hear they're making progress, some progress, on the Medicaid to cut the deficits and to still keep Medicaid for the folks that need it.
00:22:39.220And if you're able-bodied, you're going to have to work.
00:22:41.420If the left's going to sit there and go, oh, they're cutting Medicaid benefits and, you know, they're supposed to be working class and they're supposed to be populist.
00:22:48.900Hey, the folks on MAGA don't want to be on Medicaid.
00:22:52.200They want better high-paying jobs of which the tariff situation is going to provide.
00:22:57.360But until then, if you're on Medicaid, you've got to work, and the requirements can't be to 29.
00:23:57.440Now, you see this happen in businesses all the time.
00:24:00.440Where the financing of the thing, of the entity, starts to really affect operations or starts to affect profitability or starts to affect cash flow.
00:24:10.880Because your credit worthiness, maybe you do some things and hit an air pocket and in a company, your credit worthiness drops.
00:24:19.220And next thing you know, you've got to issue junk bonds with warrants attached.
00:24:23.880So all of a sudden, you don't get as much equity as you thought.
00:24:44.620The Moody's rating was backward, kind of looking about Biden.
00:24:49.380But the implications are forward because that's where it's going to get more expensive.
00:24:54.720And that's what's going to restrict Besson from financing out long in 10s and 30s and get some stability in the situation instead of having to continue to do it short.
00:27:38.460I wish that the president of the United States, who's got the weight of the world on his shoulders.
00:27:44.040You know, he's only stopping World War III and sealing the border and deporting 13 million illegal aliens with the court fighting him every day and come up with some ridiculous judicial supremacy opinion.
00:27:57.680That maybe, you know, he didn't have to take on another job as the whip in the House of Representatives.
00:30:20.200But I think the president did, and I think this was positive that came out today, he did, I think, put a sense of unity into people and that this has got to get done, and you've got to do it in the smartest way possible.
00:30:33.540Now, obviously, this thing on the deficits should have been handled earlier, but we are where we are.
00:30:40.060So you can't whine about it, and you can't bitch and moan about it.
00:30:42.500But you can try to make the best of it.
00:30:44.640People are thinking of the best interest of the president and his program and going forward.
00:30:54.160I am concerned about, you know, the exploding, you know, put $4 trillion in for a new cap to the debt ceiling, and we just blow through that, right, because we still have not grasped, you know, coming together on this spending.
00:31:13.000And the defense budget at a trillion, I hope that this Golden Dome, I think part of it's in this top-up that gets us over a trillion.
00:31:21.020But for three years, we just got to, you got to face facts.
00:31:28.940I mean, the 10-year is around four and a half.
00:31:31.960The 30 is around five, you know, a little below, a little above.
00:31:36.860I think the 30-year mortgage is at seven.
00:31:39.060You know, my fear is that the financing cost of this, when factored in, you're going to have now embedded real inflation, although Trump's, you know, he's bringing drug prices down, he's bringing energy down, he's bringing commodities down.
00:31:53.160So there's good things happening on that side, on the supply chain side and the inputs.
00:32:00.860I'm worried about the financing and the financing costs.
00:32:03.800Birch Gold's Philip Patrick, the man, I thank you for breaking away from the desk today to come and join us.
00:33:32.860But he's got to balance the real cost of an economic renaissance, tax cuts, tariffs, business incentives, with the political cost of saying no to Congress, right?
00:35:25.360This is what Ray Dalio, who's no friend of Trump, no friend of the war room, but a smart guy, has been warning about demand for treasuries.
00:35:48.780And this is the whole thing of the Rio reset right now, and it's not going to happen tomorrow, but in Japan, it hit today.
00:35:56.620A lack of demand of these bonds, at least at the price they're offered.
00:35:59.960That means you've got to offer a higher price.
00:36:01.480That means you've got a higher financing cost.
00:36:03.100That means that it rolls back through the economy.
00:36:05.580Philip Patrick, what's happening in Japan?
00:36:07.560Is that any warning sign, particularly when these brothers got to be buying U.S. government securities big league, sir?
00:40:46.460In the early, in the 70s, we had a relatively pristine balance sheet where a manufacturer hegemon had an incredibly educated working class,
00:41:34.780His first term took $1 trillion off, took liquidity out of the market.
00:41:37.920But that—you had the ability to do it.
00:41:41.020Now, you're $36 trillion, and the day that the debt ceiling increases, this is—the debt's going to increase $500 billion to $800 billion
00:41:51.360because of what Trump—what Besson's been doing to kind of make sure he's paying off—using cash that's coming in to pay off the securities.
00:42:56.800So as much as Besant sort of underplayed the Moody's downgrade, you know, this isn't a catalyst for more problems, but what it is is a confirmation signal.
00:43:06.800And confirmation signals matter a lot when investors are already uncertain.
00:43:11.940And uncertainty is the name of the game at the moment.
00:45:27.180Well, we just landed back in Washington, D.C., spent the day leaving very early, went to Antigua to meet the Venezuelans.
00:45:40.720We have been in discussions with them.
00:45:44.140Obviously, we've got more than a few Americans stuck down there as hostages, and we've been trying to get them out.
00:45:53.520We've got a lot of issues with them, and our priority is to put America first, bring home Americans, and do what's best for America.
00:46:02.400And I think it was a very successful day.
00:46:04.680We returned with Joe St. Clair, a young man who served in the military and found himself in a Venezuelan prison for really no reason at all, held against his will.
00:46:23.400And today, Joe is now an American free in America.
00:46:29.900Ambassador, look, you're doing yeoman's work on freeing these Americans down there from these prisons.
00:46:36.040The question is that people are talking about an overall deal, maybe getting the Chinese and the Russian Navy out of there.
00:46:42.160You deal with these guys almost daily, the Venezuelan government.
00:46:47.360Are they, you know, people kind of, are they trustworthy enough in your mind that we could actually do some bigger deal with?
00:46:54.620Well, look, I think that's a good question.
00:46:59.400We get it a lot, I would say, as a diplomat, as a diplomat who's been around for a long time.
00:47:06.720I'm not sure that we just worry about trusting.
00:47:12.320We want to make sure that we test and build confidence.
00:47:16.620A lot of the discussions about diplomacy and trying to find solutions is literally confidence building to make sure that one side does what they say.
00:47:27.400And you start with little things and you build confidence towards that.
00:47:30.980Because remember, they're skeptical of us and we're skeptical of them.
00:47:34.440And so building trust, I think, is what we need to do for the American people.
00:47:38.480What President Trump wants us to do is put America first.
00:47:42.000When he was over in Saudi Arabia, he made it very clear that it is not his position to try to do regime change, but to think about what is best for America, what's best for Americans, and how do we make sure that we're doing everything we can to make America stronger tomorrow.
00:47:59.520And what that means is, you know, in our neighborhood, we want to make sure that the Chinese are not coming in and taking oil and minerals and gold and keeping us on the outside.
00:48:15.360And President Trump is just very clear about sanctions penalize American companies.
00:48:21.120And if we believe in engagement, if we believe in capitalism, capitalism beats socialism and communism every single time.
00:48:29.920And so we want to put America first and do what's best for America.
00:48:33.160That means making sure that the Chinese do not take the Venezuelan oil.
00:48:39.180Is there some discussion about an extension of Chevron?
00:48:42.120Is that is that in the cards or something President Trump's working on?
00:48:45.200No, President Trump authorized that extension if if we were able to get some progress, if we were able to build some confidence that we were able to do that today.
00:49:19.180I'm doing what the president wants us to do.
00:49:22.260You know, we're living in this time where President Trump is completely transforming Washington, D.C. and America for the better.
00:49:29.720And, you know, it's not always things that I want to do, but I feel really compelled to do everything we can to help this guy, help the president of the United States really make this change.
00:49:43.160He needs as many people that are willing to sacrifice, step up and do what they can do.
00:49:48.660And so whenever he asks me to do something, I do it.
00:50:16.700Rick Grinnell, he hosted last night an incredible board of the Kennedy Center with the president, and the president kind of, you know, went there, let's say.
00:50:29.900It was an amazing meeting, and President Trump reinforced the Kennedy Center as a cultural uniter in this country of putting forward the best of American culture.
00:50:40.740Very powerful with some of the heavy hitters from the cultural side that Rick, Ambassador Renown, others have put on the board.
00:50:47.960And then today, pre-dawn, to go down and to work on these hostages.
00:50:51.440Mike Lindell, both sales are going great, I understand.
00:50:55.640We're running up to the Memorial Day weekend.
00:51:37.080And you're going to see all the beach stuff that came in, all the new kitchen towels that came in, kitchen, a bunch of stuff for the kitchen.