In this episode of The War Room, host Stephen K. K. B. Bannon is joined by Charles Murray, author of The Bell Curve and Coming Apart, to discuss the recent plenum in Beijing with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
00:12:41.000And the next one was when I encountered the physics of the big bang.
00:12:47.000And now I'm not talking about religious teachings.
00:12:50.000I'm talking about what physicists have discovered about the origin of the universe, which is that
00:12:56.000at the moment of creation, there were a whole bunch of settings that had to come out exactly right in order for us to live in a universe that permits life.
00:13:08.000And the odds of those settings being exactly where they were are calculated by the physicists at in excess of a trillion to one.
00:13:18.000Well, that requires an explanation, you know, because I don't believe in trillion to one chances.
00:13:23.000And I found myself believing that I lived in an intentional universe and in part a universe that was intended to create life.
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00:17:33.000Never done in human history, in any culture, any civilization.
00:17:36.000It's one of the things that makes the Judeo-Christian West different.
00:17:39.000And you said that was all tied back to Christianity, or much of it was tied to Christianity from both the scientists, the thinkers, the artists, all of it.
00:17:52.000Well, let's first talk about the arts.
00:17:55.000The great values of Christianity, truth, beauty, and the good, this triad of transcendental qualities that artists were supposed to use as ideals and did use as ideals during the Renaissance and subsequently.
00:18:14.000Whether the individual artists and composers and writers were themselves devout was almost irrelevant because the environment was one in which they were trying to realize these ideals.
00:18:26.000And as the arts secularized in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, they started saying to themselves, oh no, great art is not supposed to express truth, beauty, and the good.
00:18:43.000It is supposed to challenge the audience.
00:18:46.000And artists should not be concerned about those false delusory ideals.
00:18:53.000We should express our personal preferences.
00:18:56.000And their personal preferences turned out to be nihilistic and banal and oftentimes very silly, whether you're talking about music or literature or the visual arts.
00:19:10.000In the sciences, Christianity had a different kind of role, which is in a very real sense, the Catholic Church sponsored the scientific revolution.
00:19:21.000The historians like to portray science and religion as being hostile to each other and the Catholic Church as the great evil in this, constantly getting in the way of science.
00:19:33.000And that simply is a misreading of history.
00:19:39.000But the overall message of Christianity was God is rational.
00:19:45.000God delights in having us explore and understand the mysteries of the universe.
00:19:51.000And that was an enormously empowering force for scientists in pursuing their work.
00:20:00.000The physics of the Big Bang in these settings, can you take a second?
00:20:10.000Because you're saying that mathematically that you can prove or mathematically you led to the conclusion there has to be a supreme being or a God because of the way the Big Bang actually mechanically worked.
00:21:07.000There are maybe a dozen other of these parameters that are arbitrary in one sense, but that also, working together, make possible the universe we live in, which in turn permits life.
00:21:24.000I really like the analogy that a Canadian philosopher came up with to illustrate this.
00:21:30.000He said, suppose that you were sentenced to death by a firing squad of a hundred expert marksmen and they march you out and they fire and they all miss.
00:21:41.000Well, you have a couple of alternatives.
00:23:07.000Are you laying that out as a potential that we can avert a catastrophe in this country by returning to the Christian roots of this country, sir?
00:23:18.000Well, actually, in coming apart, I was saying we really needed a kind of civic Great Awakening.
00:23:26.000We've had religious Great Awakenings before that we needed a new Great Awakening to turn things around.
00:23:33.000And the good news, and I'm not generally optimistic about anything, is that there are signs that Christianity is starting to have a kind of reawakening of its own
00:23:49.000There are a surprising number of people in mainstream media who are now openly saying good things about Christianity in a way that you never saw in the 1980s and 1990s.
00:24:02.000You have columnist Ross Douthat and David Brooks, who are devout Christians and openly say so.
00:24:10.000You have Ayanur C.L.E., and Neil Ferguson, who have not been, they were formerly atheists, who've converted.
00:24:18.000And a variety of other intellectuals who seem to all have come to the same conclusion at the same time.
00:24:26.000My theory is, Steve, that we're coming out of an adolescence.
00:24:31.000I look upon the 20th century as a time when science had provided all kinds of body blows to religion.
00:24:41.000And like adolescents who say their parents are wrong about everything, I think that intellectuals started saying that traditional religion was entirely wrong.
00:24:53.000Our intellectual parents have been wrong about everything and rejected it.
00:24:57.000And the nice thing about adolescence is you grow out of it eventually.
00:25:01.000And a symptom of growing out of adolescence is to realize that maybe your parents were smarter than you thought.
00:25:07.000And I think that's what we're looking at now.
00:25:09.000Now, you can say to yourself, what difference does it make if few intellectuals are suddenly less hostile to religion?
00:25:23.000It can change the willingness of people to think seriously about these questions.
00:25:29.000So I'm not saying it's a strong movement.
00:25:31.000I'm not saying it's going to transform things.
00:25:34.000But there is a possibility for a religious renewal which could go a long way toward at least making solutions to some of these problems possible.
00:25:49.000But I must say, Steve, I wrote another book that got ignored because I was canceled called Facing Reality.
00:25:57.000In the last chapter of that, I talked about the prospects of a revolution.
00:26:04.000And I have since privately, I don't think I've published this anywhere.
00:26:09.000I kind of think of the election of Donald Trump in 24 as putting a pressure cooker on vent, a pressure cooker that was about to explode.
00:26:20.000And we've taken some of the pressure off that.
00:31:49.000I'm going to go for now about what's happening with China because there's all kind of rumors going on about Xi.
00:31:54.000The new federal state people are going to join Ben Harnwell tonight.
00:31:57.000We're going to have a whole drill down of more geopolitics.
00:32:00.000So much is going on that President Trump is trying to set things right, as I know he's pivoting for intense work on the American economy.
00:32:09.000But you've got to get the situation globally or we're going to slide deeper in this third world war.
00:32:16.000Captain Finnell, all kind of a President Trump, Besson's over there going to negotiate now.
00:32:21.000We got the we got the Australian prime minister here because of rare earths.
00:32:26.000President Trump is starting to engage with with Lula as much as he hates that because of rare earths.
00:32:31.000There's all kind of rumors coming out of Beijing that, you know, Gordon Chang and guys I really I love and appreciate are saying, hey, this may be the end of Xi's run in this whole rare earth thing.
00:32:43.000Maybe the last card he played, but the established order over there is getting a little jiggy on Xi.
00:32:48.000I think the economy is all messed up. He's crossways with Trump.
00:32:51.000He's threatening. He's threatening a kinetic war, but they can't win it and that he's going to be removed.
00:32:57.000You're my naval intelligence expert. What say you, sir?
00:33:02.000Well, Steve, this fourth plenum is, you know, the 20th Party Congress for the Chinese Communist Party.
00:33:08.000It's a big event because what this fourth plenum does to set the stage for the next five year plan called the 15th five year plan that will cover from 2026 to the magic year of 2030 about where the Chinese Communist Party and the People's Republic of China are heading.
00:33:26.000And so for the last year, there has been a lot of rumors about Xi is losing power.
00:33:32.000And it started last October in 2024 with an article or a series of articles in the PLA Daily that talked about collective leadership.
00:33:41.000And a lot of folks, good intentioned folks, interpreted that phraseology collective leadership as being an indicator that Xi was losing power and that the party was starting to emphasize, well, we need to collectively lead this country.
00:33:55.000We don't need a strong man, singular person like Xi anymore, who's busted the rules and the norms for succession of power as he kept power past his second five year term.
00:34:06.000But if you look at that series of articles and then another article in December of 2024, they talk about democratic socialism or democratic centralism, excuse me.
00:34:18.000And it's not democracy or a check on authoritarianism, but it's a lenist organizational system, emphasizing unified leadership of the party and the tool that the party has used to curb internal corruption.
00:34:31.660And so what we've seen over the last year is a series of purges of senior PLA officers that go back a year ago.
00:34:40.580We saw leaders of the Ministry of Defense removed.
00:34:44.820And just this week, we saw the formal announcement of nine more members, one of which was the vice chair of the Central Military Commission.
00:34:53.260They have two chairmen or two vice chairs.
00:34:56.120Xi is the chairman of the Central Military Commission, and there's two uniformed officers.
00:35:00.660One of them was taken away, General He.
00:35:02.640Xi and the other, General Zhang, has been attributed as having the supernatural power to be able to purge all these military leaders that they say are loyal to Xi, and therefore Xi has lost power.
00:35:15.860And I can understand the argument and the wishful thinking that some folks have to think that Xi has now lost power of the PLA.
00:35:23.480But what none of these analysts say, and where I think I try to bring in a unique perspective, is you have to watch what's been happening with the PLA over this time period, not just this last year, but over the 12 to 13 years that Xi's been running the People's Republic of China.
00:35:40.200And as I've stated in other forums, there's just been the slow, steady expansion and aggressive nature of the PLA over this time period.
00:35:49.920So these perturbations, these removal of these nine officers – oh, by the way, six of the nine weren't even active duty.
00:35:57.520They had been former officers, and they'd been out of the system for some time.
00:36:01.980So my assessment is that Xi still remains in charge of what they call the pen, the gun, and the knife hilt.
00:36:13.920He's clearly in charge of propaganda in China.
00:36:16.200We see him every day on PLA Daily, People's Daily, China Daily, Xinhua, Global Times.
00:36:22.940He's in control of the messaging from the PRC.
00:36:26.520He's got control of the PLA, in my opinion, based on what we see the PLA doing, like dual carrier operations this summer that went beyond the second island chain,
00:36:36.180or even just this last Sunday, a week ago Sunday, Chinese Coast Guard ramming Filipino ships in the South China Sea.
00:36:43.940And then the third area is called the knife hilt, which is essentially the state security.
00:36:49.360And Xi appears to have control of the state security inside China and the people.
00:36:56.680He's on police, and he seems to be in charge of the whole system.
00:37:01.140And I think what happened in this process was that Xi was able to do some house cleaning in advance of today's start of the fourth plenum.
00:37:10.620This was announced last Friday, and essentially Xi was able to ensure that nobody that was completely in alignment with what he has as a vision for the PRC,
00:37:20.420for the 15th year plan, five-year plan, that they're out of the system now.
00:37:27.140And so I think that's where we're at, is that he is firmly established in control.
00:37:31.920Now, if I'm wrong, we'll know about it next week.
00:37:33.900Hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on.
00:37:37.260And I want to get to that in a second.
00:37:39.880Rickards, one of the most dangerous times in American history geopolitically.
00:37:44.180It's one of the reasons he's got the Australian prime minister today, because Trump's no fan of that guy,
00:37:48.220about the economic war Xi has unleashed on rare earths.
00:37:55.160I mean, this plenum is so important, particularly because it's going to be right before President Trump's going to get into direct negotiations with Xi.
00:38:03.760Well, Captain Fennell has his facts absolutely right, so I don't dispute that at all.
00:38:09.600I disagree on the conclusion a little bit when he says they're doing naval operations with aircraft carrier groups beyond the second island chain.
00:38:19.160Is that a sign of weakness or a sign of strength?
00:38:21.240I might suggest it's a sign of weakness.
00:38:23.500In other words, putting on a little bit of a show, a lot of the PLA generals who have been purged were actually appointed by Xi.
00:38:30.540Now, are they disloyal, or is what's actually going on the PLA's cleaning house of Xi loyalists?
00:38:39.320I don't want to pretend to have inside information in terms of what's going on there, but look at the same facts and draw slightly different conclusions.
00:38:47.600It is the case that Xi has been demoted in a sense.
00:38:52.120He now reports to a committee, and the committee is run.
00:38:54.700There are a number of members on it, but the committee is run by the PLA.
00:38:57.760So he's already been knocked down a peg.
00:38:59.760None of this is – and Captain Phelps is right about the propaganda outlets, but they don't actually want to talk about this.
00:39:06.080They're doing it, but they don't want to talk about it.
00:39:07.740But it takes other analysts and experts to kind of get to the bottom of it.
00:39:10.960So my own view – yeah, facts are right, but I think Xi is in a very vulnerable position.
00:39:15.740He's losing – you know the term – the mandate of heaven.
00:39:18.240And it's an intangible concept that do the people support you or not?
00:39:23.880And they do if you have what's called the mandate of heaven, and I think Xi has lost that.
00:39:29.220This is what we talked about in the very first episode of War and Pandemic on the 20th of January 2020 when Jack Posobo was here.
00:39:37.480Let me ask you, given that, how is he doing – correct me if I'm wrong – the boldest stroke that I think they've done on economic warfare is here to threaten –
00:39:47.260cannot just threaten to cut off Americans even after negotiating a soft deal from heavy rare earths,
00:39:53.720which will grind our production lines in weapons and automobiles and international harvester John Deere, all of it to a halt in six weeks, sir.
00:40:04.520Well, that's exactly right, but is that the last card?
00:40:12.900And shame on the United States for not having – you know, for trusting the Chinese and not having thought about this as the result of the globalists and the Davos crowd and all that.
00:40:32.000You can identify the resources, work out agreements, get going by all means.
00:40:36.760But this is a – at least two years, probably longer to be self-sufficient, even with our allies, with a friendly trading group.
00:40:45.560So, yeah, we're in a very tough place right now.
00:40:48.120Trump's probably going to have to make a few concessions to get the Chinese to reopen that pipeline of magnets and rare earth-based batteries.
00:40:57.040Hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on.
00:41:32.600So take a point or two off just for propaganda, and then if you do some analysis, there's every reason to believe that China is very close to a recession.
00:41:41.160Their debt-to-GDP ratio is worse than the U.S.
00:41:43.960They have a worse debt problem than we do.
00:42:29.080And after you kill 20 million girls, which they did, you got a lot of men without women, and they tend to be the least attractive men in the economy.
00:42:36.840So there's an extremely volatile demographic time bomb sitting there on top of everything else.
00:42:42.780What do you mean – before we go to break, we've got about a minute and a half.
00:42:46.600What do you mean monetary crisis, Jim Rickards?
00:43:25.400But that's not a sign of getting out of the dollar.
00:43:28.660That's a sign of saying, I wish I had more, but the banks aren't like it.
00:43:32.840Jim, you and Fennell, my producer, are going to deal with – we've got to go to the president in the Oval Office for the Prime Minister of Australia.
00:44:02.320And it's a great honor to have you as my friend.
00:44:05.100It's a great honor to have you in the United States of America.
00:44:08.920Please, would you like to say something?
00:44:10.740Well, thank you so much, Mr. President, for the invitation here to the White House and for showing us around the improved Oval Office.
00:44:20.420And for what you're doing around here as well and for the great honor as well of my delegation saying just across the road, we could have walked, but they didn't let us.
00:44:30.220We drove all of 20 meters there from Blair House, but it's a great honor to be able to stay there.
00:44:40.660We are great friends and we're great allies.
00:44:44.960And this is a relationship that's been forged in the battlefields of the world.
00:44:51.480We have stood side by side for freedom and democracy.
00:44:56.340And congratulations, I must say, Mr. President, on the work that you've done.
00:45:00.220With the Middle East, it's an extraordinary achievement.
00:45:04.400And on defense, we've already had a discussion about taking it to the next level.
00:45:10.500Our defense and security partnership with AUKUS is so important for us.
00:45:15.340And I thank you for the support that the administration are giving as well.
00:45:21.320You've had the chief of the Navy here as well, which will play obviously a very critical role with the subs.
00:45:30.220And increasing the security for the region and the world.
00:45:35.100And our economic relationship is so important.
00:45:37.960The U.S. has a trade surplus with Australia, as you know.
00:45:40.680And we can continue to take what is every opportunity to improve the relationship even further and make it even stronger.
00:45:52.280And today's agreement on critical minerals and rare earths is just taking it to the next level.
00:45:58.520Seizing those opportunities which are before us to take our relationship to that next level.
00:46:09.140And it's been fantastic the contact that we've had together, the friendship that we've developed.
00:52:43.920But Australia, because of its location, which is great, but one of the things dictated by that location is you have to order a lot of airplanes.
00:52:54.920They need a lot of airplanes in Australia, and that gives us a little bit of an...
00:52:59.380Mr. President, yeah, your Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, in his Shangri-La speech in, I think it was May, warned about the potential likelihood or threat of President Xi ordering an invasion of Taiwan.
00:53:14.5402027 is also the year that Fleet Base West is supposed to start rotating those U.S. and U.K. submarines.
00:53:22.540Do you see AUKUS as the deterrent for China in the Indo-Pacific?
00:54:14.540Mr. President, given the trade surplus that the U.S. enjoys with Australia, would you consider lifting the tariffs that you've imposed on Australia?
00:54:22.540And can you give us any details about the critical...
00:54:24.540Yeah, well, the tariffs have been amazing, because, you know, tariffs have been really a reason that I was able to settle almost all of the...
00:54:32.540You know, I've settled eight wars in eight months.
00:55:28.540I don't think there's been an American president that settled one.
00:55:31.540I think there probably hasn't been outside of the two countries involved, or however many are at war.
00:55:37.540I don't think there's ever been an outside country that settled a war, period.
00:55:40.540So I settled eight in eight months. I'm proud of that.
00:55:43.540Now, in the meantime, I'm running a country that's, right now, we're the hottest country anywhere in the world.
00:55:48.540We were dead. A year and a half ago, we were a dead country.
00:55:51.540Now we're the hottest country in the world, economically and otherwise.
00:55:54.540So, but I will say this. Australia pays very low tariffs.
00:55:58.540Very, very low tariffs. In fact, Australia pays among the lowest tariffs.
00:56:03.540Mr. President, there's been concern in Australia that it's taken nine months to get this meeting.
00:56:12.540Have you had any concerns with this administration, with its stance on Palestine, climate change, or even things the ambassador said about you in the past, the Australian ambassador?
00:56:21.540I don't know anything about him. I mean, if you said bad, then maybe he'll like to apologize.
00:56:26.540I really don't know. Did an ambassador say something bad about him? Don't tell me. I don't know.
00:56:32.540Where is he? Is he still working for you? Yeah, yeah.
00:56:36.540You said bad? Before I took this position, Mr. President.
00:56:41.540I don't like you either. I don't. And I probably never will. Go ahead.
00:56:46.540Mr. President. No, you what? Go ahead. Behind you, President.
00:56:51.540Mr. President, your secretary of the Navy said there will be some clarifications around some ambiguities on Wilkis. Can you tell us...
00:56:59.540Well, he'll get that taken care of. These are just minor details that he'll take care of.
00:57:03.540John, you're going to get that taken care of, right? There shouldn't be any more clarifications because we're just we're just going now full steam ahead buildings.
00:57:11.540Yeah, please. Thank you. Mr. President, are you now satisfied with Australia's defense investment or do you want Australia to invest more in defense?
00:57:19.540Well, I'd always like more, but they have to do what they have to do. You know, you can only do so much. I think they've been great. They're building magnificent holdings.
00:57:28.540What if he had the brightest mind in the war room delivering critical financial research every month?
00:57:34.540Steve Bannon here. War room listeners know Jim Rickards. I love this guy.
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