Episode 5187: American Air Defense Continues In Iran; Updates On Operation Epic Fury
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Summary
Sen. John Cornyn and Ken Paxton are locked in a bitter primary battle for the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate primary in Texas. On CNN's State of the Union with Jake Tapper, Jake Blumberg and John Avallone discuss the outcome of the primary and what it means for the future of the race.
Transcript
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to allow a flawed, self-centered, and shameless candidate like Ken Paxton risk everything we've
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worked so hard to build over these many years. John Cornyn has failed this time and time again.
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In his over 40 years of office, you cannot name one single accomplishment
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that he's done to help the state of Texas. So the runoff there is May 26th, and the winner
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will face state lawmaker James Tallarico, who won the Democratic primary overnight,
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defeating Congresswoman Jasmine Croggett. Control of the Senate could be at stake here. The Texas
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race could be a tipping point. On the Republican side, we are expecting this to be quite a
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contentious battle. Things have already been heated between Cornyn and Paxton, and that is expected to
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continue in the coming weeks. We heard Cornyn and Paxton both preview some of their lines of attack
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last night. Paxton decried the amount of money that was poured into the state to try to boost
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Cornyn. That was more than $70 million on behalf of Cornyn efforts, really adding to why this became
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one of the most expensive Senate primaries in U.S. history. Cornyn, meanwhile, has really warned about
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Paxton's past controversies, his legal and personal scandals, that Cornyn believes will be a drag on
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Republicans if he becomes the nominee in November. One big question going forward, though, is whether
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President Donald Trump decides to get into this runoff, decides to endorse a candidate, something
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he declined to do in the primary, but he's left the door open to. That's certainly something that
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both camps are pushing for over the next 12 weeks.
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...over Tehran, flying over Iran, flying over their capital, flying over the IRGC, Iranian leaders
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looking up and seeing only U.S. and Israeli air power every minute of every day until we decide
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it's over. And Iran will be able to do nothing about it. B-2s, B-52s, B-1s, predator drones, fighters,
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fighters, controlling the skies, picking targets. Death and destruction from the sky all day long.
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We're playing for keeps. Our warfighters have maximum authorities granted personally by the
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President and yours truly. Our rules of engagement are bold, precise, and designed to unleash American
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power, not shackle it. This was never meant to be a fair fight, and it is not a fair fight. We are
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punching them while they're down, which is exactly how it should be. Thus far, Operation Epic Fury has
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delivered twice the air power of shock and awe of Iraq in 2003, minus Paul Bremer and the nation
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building. The campaign has seven times the intensity of Israel's previous operations against Iran during
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the 12-day war. Seven times. And as President Trump said, more and larger waves are coming. We are just
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getting started. We are accelerating, not decelerating. Iran's capabilities are evaporating by the hour,
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while American strength grows fiercer, smarter, and utterly dominant. More bombers and more fighters
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I think overperformed. Senator Cornyn overperformed. I early on thought Paxton was going to probably get
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more votes, but now people are just assuming Cornyn's going to win. But if I were a Cornyn supporter,
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there'd be a lot of alarm bells going off right now. First of all, he's an establishment figure.
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Secondly, this is a runoff, and I know better than anybody. I lost my initial primary. I won my
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runoff easily first time I ran because I was crazy. Well, I still am. I exaggerated a little bit,
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but I was intense, man. And I had the base following me. And I knew if I got in the runoff,
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I'd win the runoff because the most driven people vote in the runoff. I'd be worried about that if I
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were Cornyn. Also, something else that you can speak to very well, the 2020 election.
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Ken Paxton led Texans in stirring up bulls**t conspiracy theories in 2020 for Donald Trump.
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Ted Cruz supported stirring up the conspiracy theories, the unproven conspiracy theories.
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John Cornyn did not. And he called them unproven. And he voted to actually, you know,
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go along with the 2020 election. I'm just curious, John, you wrote the book on the big lie and you
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follow the president. Is there any issue that's more important to him on a loyalty test and where
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people fell in the 2020 election? And if that's the case, I just, I understand he wants to win
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Texas, but how in the world does he not endorse the guy who lied the most for him in 2020
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and vote and endorse instead John Cornyn, the guy who said, no, no, no, those theories are all
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unproven. What do you assess the enemy's control and command status is right now? And can you
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broadly describe our decisive point in this operation?
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Oh, I won't describe the decisive point in the operation because that would tell the bad guys
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what it was. That's a good question though. I appreciate the question. They're C2 structures
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in a bad way. Admiral Cooper's been continuing to pressure C2 at the IRGC, C2 and other military
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elements and will continue to do so. And now with complete control of the skies,
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we will be using 500 pound, 1000 pound and 2000 pound GPS and laser guided precision gravity bombs
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of which we have a nearly unlimited stockpile. We used more exquisite standoff munitions at the start,
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but no longer need to. Our stockpiles of those as well as Patriots remains extremely strong.
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The enemy can no longer shoot the volume of missiles they once did, not even close. And the
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chairman will lay out some of those percentages. So our air defenses and that of our allies have
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plenty of runway. We can sustain this fight easily for as long as we need to. And as I said yesterday,
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we set the terms. The Iranian air force is no more built for 1996 destroyed in 2026. The Iranian Navy
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rests at the bottom of the Persian Gulf combat, ineffective, decimated, destroyed, defeated,
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pick your adjective. In fact, last night, we sunk their prize ship, the Soleimani. Looks like POTUS got him
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twice. Their Navy, not a factor. Pick your adjective. It is no more. In fact, yesterday in the Indian Ocean,
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and we'll play it on the screen there, an American submarine sunk an Iranian warship
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that thought it was safe in international waters. Instead, it was sunk by a torpedo.
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Quiet death. The first sinking of an enemy ship by a torpedo since World War II.
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Like in that war, back when we were still the War Department, we are fighting to win.
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Also, yesterday, the leader of the unit who attempted to assassinate President Trump has
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been hunted down and killed. Iran tried to kill President Trump and President Trump got the last
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laugh. So one of the strange things about Trump's presidency, and this is actually even different
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from some dictatorships. I mean, there are a lot of dictatorships before they go to war would do a
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propaganda campaign, as the Russians did, for example, before attacking Ukraine. They would
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spend months talking about the enemy and so on. But Trump's method of leadership is
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often called personalist. So he does what he feels like in any given moment. His main aim is to win the
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current moment, whatever that is. So whether it's a confrontation with a journalist or whether it's a
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confrontation with a foreign enemy, to be seen as the dominant person or the dominant figure in
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the room or the conversation or of the moment. And it looks like that's what he did here. In other
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words, there was no particular plan. There was no clear goal. But he felt that this was a moment when
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he could demonstrate his dominance and he could win somehow. You know, of course, he doesn't win.
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And then he'll walk away and say he won anyway. But the consequences of that for Americans, for
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you know, for anybody in the Middle East and actually for Iranians, you know, the Iranian people
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don't seem to have been at the center of this of this operation at all. There's been no attempt to
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think about who might who might rule Iran next or how the Iranian Democratic opposition might come to
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power or might become at least have influence inside the country. You know, instead, he's speaking about,
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oh, well, there were some other military leaders. There were some other members of the Islamic
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Republic who he imagined they would take over as in as in Venezuela. So it's this personalist way
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of running the country. You know, there's no policy process. There's no presentation of different
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points of view. There's no consideration of alternatives. There's no internal debate inside the White
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House. And then there's no external debate in the country. There's no public debate. There's no
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debate with Congress. As we've already as I've already said, there's no debate with allies. In
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other words, there's no attempt to create any kind of consensus or movement or agreement,
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even if it's a minority consensus. And that's very unusual, actually, not just in American history,
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but anywhere. I mean, the that the whims of a of an individual leader would would would make these
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life and death dramatic decisions without any input from anybody else, which is certainly what
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it looks like from the outside. This is this is this is very strange and it's likely to produce very
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erratic and unpredictable outcomes. Now, this is not a mission accomplished situation.
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This is simply a reality check. The combination of U.S. and Israeli intelligence and combat power
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will control Iran and will control it soon. Sure, Iran will still be able to shoot some missiles
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and still be able to launch one way attack drones at civilian targets. And their proxies will attempt
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to attack our embassy's bases in soft targets. They are terrorists, after all. And they need
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to target civilians because they can't fight toe to toe. But we will find them and we will kill them.
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This is what the fake news misses. We've taken control of Iran's airspace and waterways
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without boots on the ground. We control their fate. But when a few drones get through
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or tragic things happen, it's front page news. I get it. The press only wants to make the president look
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bad. But try for once to report the reality. The terms of this war will be set by us at every step.
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It's a real litmus test and a dilemma for Trump because the 2020 big lie is still at the heart of
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so much what he's talking about to this day. He's still talking about it now and raising fears about
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what will happen in 26 and 28. Congressman Dan Crenshaw, who also spoke out against the Stop the
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Steal effort, lost a Republican primary yesterday in Texas. So he will be out. He crossed Trump.
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Cornyn also disagreed with Trump. So, yes, it's true. There's a lot of political people.
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Trump's advisers are saying Cornyn's the safest pick, Dave Weigel, because they believe he has
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a better shot to win in the general election. I have been talking to advisers in the last couple
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of days saying there's some momentum for Trump to do that. I think David Drucker is right that if
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Cornyn had lost even by any number, maybe Trump can't. But because he's more or less pulled even,
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he could justify it and say, I'll put you over the top. But I'm not 100 percent sure he will
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for all the points that Joe just raised. And Democrats are simply salivating at the possibility
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of taking on PACs. And so this is the Republican Party. This is my party in this hour at this at this
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moment, which is why it needs such an incredible political enema, unlike any we've ever seen.
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That's quite a visual. Thank you for that. Thank you very much.
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As I said Monday, the mission is laser focused. Obliterate Iran's missiles and drones and facilities
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that produce them. Annihilate its Navy and critical security infrastructure and sever their pathway to
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nuclear weapons. Iran will never possess a nuclear bomb, not on our watch, not ever. And this is why
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President Trump's moral clarity on Iran today is so vital. Unlike the past where vague red lines and
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endless negotiations let Iran fund terror and inch ever so slightly toward a bomb, this president sees
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the threat plainly and acts decisively. No more half measures, especially when Iran is at its weakest.
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No more letting Tehran play for time while our people pay the price.
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His leadership ensures that we finish what we start and that we protect our warfighters by crushing
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the enemy before they can strike again. Our offensive operations, refined through months of relentless
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preparation, are unstoppable. And our defensive efforts are unprecedented. In closing, as President
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Trump told German Chancellor Mertz yesterday, Iran negotiated in bad faith, stalling, scheming, and
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preparing to strike. And we acted decisively to defend our people, our interests, and our allies.
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President Trump took bold action, putting America first, the kind of bold action that the American
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people elected him to execute. To our steadfast partner Israel, your mission is being executed with
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unmatched skill and iron determination. Fighting shoulder to shoulder with such a capable ally is a
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true force multiplier and a breath of fresh air. We salute your courage and your contribution.
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Four days in, we have only just begun to fight. America fights to win. And in Operation Epic Fury, we are.
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This is the primal scream of a dying regime. Pray for our enemies, because we're going medieval on these
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people. The reason I got a free shot at all these networks lying about the people. The people have
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had a belly full of it. I know you don't like hearing that. I know you try to do everything in
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the world to stop that, but you're not going to stop it. It's going to happen. And where do people like
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that go to share the big lie? Mega media. I wish in my soul, I wish that any of these people had a
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conscience. Ask yourself, what is my task and what is my purpose? If that answer is to save my
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country, this country will be saved. War Room. Here's your host, Stephen K. Mann.
00:15:53.920
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It's Wednesday for March in the year of our Lord, 2026. Okay. So we're going to have to,
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we're going to bifurcate our show here. We're going to talk a politics in Texas politics specifically,
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uh, in the second hour, we have a number of people. Luke Macias is going to join us to break down.
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It's actually a very good night, uh, in the Texas house and other places, some congressional races
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for conservatives. I wanted to have Brian Harrison won with 53% of the votes. There's no runoff there.
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There are some runoffs. We're going to go through all that. Um, I do want to start with the military
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briefing first, because I think that we have to work through these issues collectively this morning.
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I do want to say a thank you to real America's voice, Parker and Rob Sieg, the entire team,
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particularly our team in Denver that worked so hard, my own team here, everybody associated with
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War Room Texas, uh, and the folks that not just came on the show, but help drive the show in the
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background. Uh, last night, I think the secretary of state's showing on the website, almost 2 million
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votes for proposition 10 to prohibit Sharia law. This was done really in a campaign that kicked
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off with this conferences dinner that was put on. I want to thank Gert Wilders for coming over,
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uh, from Holland to actually, uh, the Netherlands to, to show us what would happen if we didn't
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thwart this really want to thank Glenn Beck for adding his, uh, putting his shoulder to the wheel.
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Uh, and every, everybody else associated Grant Stinchfield, who was a host that night.
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And then everybody that came up, we, this was a, uh, had no money, had really no visibility.
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And, um, with everybody pitching in here, true grassroots effort, I believe the combined number,
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I believe the number was actually, uh, more than Cornyn and Paxton combined, but I'll,
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I'll do that math here in a moment. Um, but it shows you what a strong, um, issue people here in
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the state understand this. We did give a permission structure for the first time to have an open
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conversation of this. And I want to thank governor Abbott for, uh, declaring, uh, the Muslim
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brotherhood and care as terrorists, international terrorist organizations also for Brian Harrison
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and other people that said, Hey, we got to have hearings on this now. Uh, and then we have to have
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a special session at the legislature, the, uh, conservatives and the Republicans in the state
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of Texas have spoken with one voice. They're not going to give up their country. If you heard Tommy
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Robinson want to thank Tommy for joining Ben Burkwam last night at Paxton headquarters, Tommy,
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we had about six or seven minutes with him in the last segment of, uh, I think the second hour.
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And Tommy laid it out exactly what happened to his country, exactly what happened to England
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and what happened particularly to London. As you know, we had Peter McElvaney on here or not. So
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this is the beginning of the second, um, wave of this effort, but, uh, to come together with a state,
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the size of a country worth literally no money, uh, and, and, and no organization, but kind of to ride
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to the sound of the guns, the grassroots organizations in this state, which are enormously, enormously
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powerful, uh, is just, and great people, uh, show what you can do, uh, when you, um, when you pull
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together, let's go back to the business at hand, uh, which is not that that's not the business we'll
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do in the second hour and, and Luke Macias and others, uh, we'll come on, um, uh, Debbie
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your goddess and others, uh, we'll come on and walk us through what a, what a big night it was
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for MAGA and what a big night it was for conservatives throughout Texas. And of course,
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we have the issue before us of the, of the, uh, Senate race. So we'll get to all that.
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But Captain for now, Brandon Weikert, I think you guys have done a really good job of kind
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of walking through. And I think this is very important. I think that's why the briefing
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we're getting there. And I realized for OPSEC, we're not going to probably have a Norman Schwarzkopf
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type, but we're getting there with the Pentagon, hopefully every couple of days doing this.
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But I want to go through and do a level set here, Captain Fennell, because our audience wants,
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there's a lot of going back and forth should be done. Hey, there's plenty of time for that.
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Right now we have sailors, airmen and troops in harm's way. We have to collectively come together
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as MAGA and make sure we just understand what is actually going on and what is the process here
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and what's the methodology. And I think I've got two of the, and of course with Thayer and Faddis and
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others, we've got really level heads that are professionals been doing this for a long time.
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Captain Fennell, I'll start with you. As you've been going through this, you, you've actually laid out
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target patches, et cetera. Given what you've seen overnight, given the briefing you saw from
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Secretary of War Hegseth and particularly General Raising Cain, your thoughts of where we are?
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Well, Steve, I say that we are what Admiral Cooper, the commander of Central Command said last night
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from his assessment is that we are ahead of the game plan. So with just over 100 hours in, 2,000
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targets have been struck, dedicated target lists that's probably got still more targets on that
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dedicated target list. But we have struck those strategic targets, both in Tehran, missile sites,
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missile production facilities, their Navy, and any associated known terrorist locations and compounds
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and training centers and things of that nature. So we've gone through, in four days, a systematic
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destruction of those major four categories of targets. Concurrently, we have been also rolling back
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their air defense capability, both strategically and along the coast, as General Cain just showed us in
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that chart in his briefing. And now we're moving, as he said, we're transitioning from standoff weapons
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into stand-in weapons. And I think this will help address some of the concerns. It's obvious in the last
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48 hours or the last 24 hours, lots of commentary, lots of articles about munition levels. But the reality is,
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we are now moving away from having to be exclusively tied to standoff weapons like a tomahawk or something
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else like that. And we can now start using general purpose bombs that have all kinds of different kind
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of kits on them, like the JDAM, Joint Direct Attack Munition, which essentially takes an old World War II
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Vietnam War bomb that we had many of these. And you put fins on the back and you put sensor fuses on the
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front and you're able to glide these things in very precision. And we're going to be able to expand and
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roll back even further now. That'll give us more air superiority. General Cain said we have local air
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superiority in the southern tier of Iran. We've destroyed their navy. Now 20 ships destroyed. 17 last
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night. This morning we have in the briefing. So, two briefings in 12 hours. 17 ships killed yesterday
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night, now 20. And with the one that was actually sunk by a torpedo, first time since World War II,
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of Iranian frigate off the coast of Sri Lanka. This is outside of the immediate theater of operations,
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but it just shows the completeness of our targeting and our awareness of what's going on. And so I think
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this is really a testament to the detailed planning. I heard one of your cold opens talk about there's no
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planning and no thinking. Clearly, I disagree with that. I think there's been a hell of a lot of
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planning, a hell of a lot of thinking, and we're systematically going through it. And then what we're
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now able to do, as Admiral Cooper mentioned last night, we're in this phase of dynamic targeting, which when
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I was in service, we called time-sensitive targeting, which means now that we have local air
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superiority, we can fly and observe. We have exquisite intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance
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that allows us to observe anybody that's going to come out of a tunnel, a cave, or anything like
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that. And if they move, we're going to be able to destroy those resources. And that's why the ballistic missile
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launches went down 86% since the first day, and the drone launches have gone down by 73% since the first
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day. They're still out there, but our ability to be more time on target to take out those that are
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coming out of their bunkers is going to increase. So I see us tightening the noose. It's an anaconda,
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if you will. We're slowly strangling off their conventional military forces to will, as Admiral
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Cooper said last night, we want to kill everything that they have that can shoot at us outside of
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their borders. And I think that we're, we are on the process to do that. And we're, we just need
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to keep at it and not give up. Captain, before we go to break, and Brandon is joining us right after
00:26:20.560
the break, as we go to break, as you listen to Admiral Cooper, CENCOM, and we're going to try to,
00:26:26.080
we've got a package on Admiral Cooper. If I can't play it this morning, I'm going to play it this
00:26:29.920
afternoon because it's very important. He's CENCOM commander. He's the combatant commander.
00:26:34.160
Uh, Raisin Cain, General Cain is the chairman of the Joint Chiefs and senior military advisor to
00:26:41.120
the president. Do you, have we bifurcated this? Is the American, are we taking out command and control?
00:26:48.400
Are we taking out, um, uh, you know, to get air superiority, to take out their naval forces,
00:26:55.440
ballistic missiles? The thing that Pete Hegseth walked through, what our objectives are. Are
00:26:59.360
now, are the Israelis the ones targeting, uh, specifically the senior command structure
00:27:05.680
and personnel of the, uh, of the Iranians, of both the Mullahs and the, uh, and the, uh,
00:27:13.680
Uh, from what I've seen, the Israelis are attacking military forces as well.
00:27:18.240
I think we're, I think there's a shared intelligence there. I think they have better
00:27:23.360
awareness of maybe some of the, uh, senior government officials, maybe some of the IRGC,
00:27:29.840
Islamic, Iranian Revolutionary Guard leadership, military leadership. So I don't know the specific
00:27:35.600
divvying up of the percentages. I'm, I'm guessing that it's more likely that the Israelis are doing
1.00
00:27:40.960
more of the, uh, leadership of Iran and the military and the government. And we're doing more of the
00:27:46.560
conventional military targets, especially the ballistic missile launchers, ballistic missiles,
00:27:52.560
the command and control of their, uh, military forces, their radar sites. That's why you're not
00:27:58.000
seeing any firings of their coastal defense cruise missiles, because their radars have been destroyed.
00:28:03.680
Hang on one second. We're taking a short commercial break. Captain James Fennell,
00:28:08.800
Brandon Weikert, next on the military situation in Iran.
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00:31:14.400
uh, Admiral Cooper is the combatant commander. Remember, I've always said the three most powerful
00:31:19.440
institutions in Washington, DC are the CIA, the federal reserve and CENCOM. He's the CENCOM.
0.60
00:31:24.800
We've still never had as hard as, as hard as captain Fennell ourselves, the first term,
00:31:31.040
we've never really had the pivot to Asia. I'd like to say we pulled it off. We didn't.
00:31:36.000
CENCOM is all powerful. Admiral Cooper is the CENCOM commander. Let's have a quick, uh, update by
00:31:42.080
Admiral Cooper. We have a short package here and I'll bring in Brandon.
00:31:45.280
We've been 100 hours into this operation and we've already struck nearly 2000 targets
00:31:50.160
with more than 2000 munitions. We have severely degraded Iran's air defenses and destroyed
00:31:56.800
hundreds of Iran's ballistic missiles, launchers, and drones. And in simple terms,
00:32:01.280
we're focused on shooting all the things that can shoot at us. They're also sinking the Iranian
1.00
00:32:07.280
Navy, the entire Navy. Thus far, we've destroyed 17 Iranian ships, including the most operational
00:32:14.000
Iranian submarine that now has a hole in its side. For decades, the Iranian regime has harassed
00:32:19.600
international shipping. Today, there's not a single Iranian ship underway in the Arabian Gulf,
00:32:25.200
Strait of Hormuz, or Gulf of Oman. And we will not stop. We will continue to conduct dynamic
00:32:30.880
targeting operations. We're hunting Iran's last remaining mobile ballistic missile launchers
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00:32:35.840
to eliminate what I would characterize as their lingering launch capability.
00:32:40.320
Now, in retaliation, the Iranian regime has launched over 500 ballistic missiles
00:32:45.120
and over 2000 drones. To be clear, Iran is indiscriminately targeting civilians as they
00:32:51.280
launch these missiles and drones. You've seen it on TV. The evidence is crystal clear and overwhelming.
00:32:56.800
Having said this, we are seeing Iran's ability to hit us and our partners is declining,
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while our combat power, on the other hand, is building. And my overall operational assessment
00:33:07.360
is that we are ahead of our game plan. I think you see the type of people President Trump selects,
00:33:13.520
Admiral Cooper. I would say Admiral Cooper and General Dan Kane are no brag, just fact. They just stick to
00:33:20.800
it. Brandon Weikert, your assessment of where we are and where we're going.
00:33:26.800
Well, as I said yesterday, the next 24 to 48 hours are going to be key for determining exactly
00:33:33.760
how this thing is going to shake up in terms of the air war. I certainly agree that we have degraded
00:33:40.640
significant capabilities within the Islamic Republic. I agree with the claim that we have gone after
1.00
00:33:47.040
those missile launchers. We have degraded those C2, that's command and control functions. This is all very
00:33:53.200
good for Team USA. However, I do think the transition munition, the transition in munitions
00:34:00.080
is an interesting story that might not be, not might being told very well. Essentially, we were relying on
00:34:07.360
standoff weapons. Now, the argument is, is because we're now switching because the Iranians have been
1.00
00:34:13.600
so thoroughly degraded. We're able to now enjoy local dominance. My concern is the real reason we
00:34:19.360
are switching is because we blew through 400 Tomahawk land attack missiles in about four days. And I would
00:34:26.320
remind your audience, we've only got about 4,000 according to open source information of those systems
00:34:32.000
totally. And it takes 18 to 24 months to procure about 100 every 18 to 24 months. And right now,
00:34:38.720
we've been building at most 90, which is considered low end. So if you're sitting in the Pentagon,
00:34:44.320
you're probably having conniptions because we're blowing through those tomahawks too fast. So in a way,
1.00
00:34:49.360
you don't have a choice but to switch over. Hang on for one second there. Last night,
00:34:54.160
when we were doing the Texas election night, Reuters broke a story. I think you got it to me and a couple
00:35:01.280
of other people. I want to talk about, people understand that this is a potential issue or an
00:35:06.160
issue. There's going to be five of the senior defense industry leaders, CEOs come to the White
00:35:13.680
House on Friday to have a senior level meeting. I assume the president of the United States is going
00:35:18.720
to be in there because he's very focused on this. Well, and it's key, the timing. That timing's key
00:35:23.760
because this weekend, as I told you, the original assessment was after eight days of full conflict,
00:35:28.080
we would have to begin cannibalizing Indopaycom. And I think the president is savvy enough
00:35:32.800
to know, I don't really want to do that unless I have to. So this is a smart move to have these
00:35:37.200
guys come in and read them the riot act. When you say read them right at what, what can they do?
00:35:43.120
Can they go to full? Do we have the capacity? Is it just, is it funding? Is it that they have,
00:35:49.360
they're not at full capacity as far as going 24 seven? Uh, it's a little bit. What's the solution?
00:35:56.640
It's a little bit of all of that, but in my opinion, the defense industrial base,
00:36:00.400
our defense contractors are some of the most corrupt people in the world. So they,
00:36:03.840
you know, they've been taking gobs of money at nearly trillion dollar defense budget. And yet,
00:36:08.240
somehow we're worried that after eight days of conflict, we're going to be out of weapons and
00:36:12.080
CENTCOM. How is that possible? Unless there's a lot of mismanagement. I know Hegseth is trying to
00:36:16.960
address that. He's got a great acquisitions guy in the Pentagon, but it's not moving fast enough.
00:36:21.680
That's just the nature of the bureaucracy. So my hope is that Trump can sit them down and say,
00:36:25.680
look, this has got to get done. Like he did with the COVID, uh, personal protective equipment, uh,
00:36:32.160
production, when he kind of took control over that, maybe that will be enough to keep us going
00:36:36.960
because otherwise the Pentagon is going to hear from the defense contractors that we can't do
00:36:42.000
anything more than we're doing, which means that that's going to start dictating the outcome of
00:36:46.320
this war, which is why I've been saying it's a race to depletion.
00:36:49.680
Did these, did these, um, was the Iran war and excuse me, Ukraine and, uh, in, in Gaza and other
00:36:57.360
places we've had to use these. Is this what led to this, uh, drawdown?
00:37:01.680
One hundred percent, Steve, one hundred percent. In fact, there was the final year of Biden. I thought
00:37:07.120
this was interesting. Bloomberg had a chart of this. There was zero new tomahawks made in 2024,
00:37:13.040
the last year of Biden's presidency, even though he was shipping all of these systems around the
00:37:18.160
world to places like Ukraine, where they were doing God knows what with, uh, they certainly
0.63
00:37:22.720
weren't winning the war. So, uh, this is another reason why the Ukraine war should be ended tomorrow.
00:37:27.120
But anyway, um, this is the real crisis. And I suspect that is also informing this transition
00:37:33.360
in munitions. Last night around midnight, I watched in real time on open source tracking,
00:37:38.400
a logistics chain open up from the Middle East to the United States via Europe. All of our logistics
00:37:45.120
birds were constantly going back and forth because they were starting now to pull the new forms of
00:37:50.320
munitions that are needed. And I think the reason that they're doing this is because they're very
00:37:54.640
worried in the Pentagon about having to pull from the greater resources in Indo-Paycom because the
00:38:00.240
Indo-Paycom guys are already throwing a stink about, Hey, if we do this and pull from us,
00:38:04.960
we're never going to get that back. And China's going to have open season, uh, on the region.
00:38:09.040
And so I think Trump is smartly saying, let's pull from whatever we can do in the United States.
00:38:14.400
He's going to, I hope pressure these defense guys, something that they should be talking about
00:38:18.880
is invoking the defense production act. Uh, because I'm telling you right now, this war is not ending by
00:38:24.400
this weekend. It's going to go beyond and they're going to have to start cannibalizing, uh, those,
1.00
00:38:29.200
those, uh, existing stockpiles in Indo-Paycom AOR, which is the worst possible scenario.
00:38:35.280
That's what Peter, that's what Peter, you use the example in COVID. That's what they used in COVID.
00:38:39.120
They stepped in with the defense production act. Hang on for one second. Just they made a,
00:38:43.680
a, we've, we've launched 2000, uh, weapons on 2000 targets and we got them. They've only come
00:38:50.000
back with 500 and it's getting more scattergun all the time. Do you buy that theory? Do you,
00:38:54.880
do you think this is not as organized on the Iranian side? They're still able to launch,
00:38:59.840
but you're not seeing the kind of systematic launches they were doing particularly in the 12
00:39:03.760
day war. Yeah. Which this gets back to my buddy, Colonel Rob Manus, who, who was talking about
00:39:09.120
this with me the other day, you know, he's insistent that these guys popping off the missiles in Iran
00:39:14.000
are a bunch of dead enders that they've been isolated. But to me, and that's that, you know,
00:39:19.040
it definitely has drawn down in the last 12 to 14 hours. But to me, the, the fact is the regime
00:39:25.760
was savvy enough to, uh, disaggregate the command and control functions locally. That way, when we
00:39:31.920
did come in to take out their central seat to, they would still be in the fight. I want to make
00:39:36.400
it clear. The Iranians are not out of the fight yet. They've killed a thousand innocent people in
1.00
00:39:41.600
the middle East with these missiles, but more importantly, Steve, they have managed to blockade the
00:39:46.240
Strait of Hormuz. And more importantly than that, they are targeting and effectively destroying
0.51
00:39:51.040
Saudi and Qatari oil production. It will take years and months to get those systems back online.
00:39:57.680
So this is part of a wider, longer term strategy on the part of Iran to hurt the American economy
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and the global economy beyond even the next few weeks. So that indicates to me that the Iranian
1.00
00:40:09.040
leadership may be degraded, but the Iranian regime is still in this fight. And I don't know if they're
00:40:14.560
going to be able to be thrown out with air power alone, which gets me to my fear, which is that
00:40:19.200
we're going to be putting a large number of special forces groups to try to coordinate with the MEK
00:40:25.280
on the ground. And I think that would be a grave mistake at this point.
00:40:28.400
Let's, let's play, hang on. I got your few minutes. Do we have,
00:40:32.080
Pete Hex had answered that question or attempted to answer that question this morning. Can we play the,
00:40:35.920
uh, can we play the Kurds? Uh, can we play the Kurds club?
00:40:39.200
The administration is considering arming Iranian Kurdish groups. So could you please clarify that
00:40:46.880
whether any such plan has been authorized or, and, uh, whether Congress or regional partners has been
00:40:54.960
notified and, uh, consulted? All I would say is, uh, none of our objectives are premised on the support
00:41:03.040
or the arming of, of any, any particular force. So what other entities may be doing,
00:41:08.320
we're aware of, uh, but our objectives aren't centered on that.
00:41:13.280
Does other entities mean the central intelligence agency in the Israelis? I mean,
00:41:18.640
I love Pete. I'm not so sure that got us to an answer. The Kurds are a wild card here, right?
1.00
00:41:23.920
Because I think a Turkey, they just shut down a missile. The Turk shut down a missile. People
1.00
00:41:28.400
are talking about their NATO, maybe invoke article five. The Turks can't be sitting there being wild
0.77
00:41:34.080
about. First of all, the last time I looked and folks remember, I didn't say I agreed with this,
00:41:38.240
but the reality in Gaza is the Turks are supposed to be head of the security force. I know people
00:41:42.960
don't like hearing that, but that's just reality. At least what president Trump says,
00:41:46.720
you got the Kurds, the, the, the Kurds are a wild card. Cause they want peace. They want a piece
00:41:51.600
of Iran that they say is their territory and they want to turn pivot and take on the Turks, sir.
00:41:57.440
Well, not only that, but they're also still smarting over what they say is our betrayal of
00:42:02.320
the Syrian Kurds. We allowed three or four weeks ago, Jelani or Shara of Syria to go in and annihilate
1.00
00:42:08.720
the, uh, the Kurds of Syria that we were backing. And, and he released all those ISIS fighters.
00:42:13.920
And it is my opinion. And William Van Wagenen, who's a colleague of mine in Syria, uh, he tells me
00:42:19.360
that the, the Jelani is reconstituting the ISIS fighters to, to go into Iraq and attack the
00:42:25.840
Iranian back militias there on our behalf. So you've got that story as well. That's not being
00:42:30.400
told, but with the Kurds in particular, they only want a small sliver of Iran. So if they do open up
0.87
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another offensive, they're not going to go in to change the regime the way we want them to.
00:42:41.120
They don't have the manpower for that. They're just going to target that little slice. And that's
00:42:44.880
going to trigger the mother of all reactions from our NATO partner, Turkey, uh, cause they do not
00:42:49.920
want to see that at all because they know that's the beginnings of state building, uh, for a Kurdish
00:42:54.480
independent country. And they do not want that. They will go to war over that. And so this is,
00:42:59.680
uh, a potential flashpoint that I think is unnecessary. Again, we don't have the ground
00:43:05.360
forces. I know Eric Prince said this to you recently. We don't have the relevant ground
00:43:09.760
forces needed to overthrow the regime. President Trump has killed Kamani. He has gotten the bad guy.
00:43:16.080
He has gotten the people that not even Reagan could get. So in my opinion, that's a golden off ramp
00:43:22.000
for him. He can declare victory right now and say, okay, we've done it. We've won. We're going to
00:43:27.040
pull back. Now we're going to rebuild. We're going to reconstitute, and we're going to focus on
00:43:31.040
Western hemispheric defense and space dominance. Uh, uh, Brandon, we got to bounce where they get
00:43:36.720
your book and where they get your writing anywhere on Amazon. You can find me and I'm the Nat set guy at
00:43:42.160
emerald.tv. And I'm also the senior editor at 1945.com. At we, the Brandon is my Twitter.
00:43:49.920
Thank you, sir. Thank you, sir. Thank you. Thank you for coming on short commercial break,
00:43:54.400
Stephen Mosher and Captain Fennell, two old China hands. Next.
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00:45:14.560
So Captain Fennell, if you do listen to Admiral Cooper, if you listen to, um, General Cain,
00:45:21.680
you think about what they're talking about potentially for the next 24, 48, 72 hours.
00:45:27.120
Brandon Weicker does make a compelling case, not that you would choose it, but you'd have the
00:45:32.800
opportunity given the degradation of the Iranian command structure, military, Navy to the bottom of the
0.74
00:45:41.360
Persian Gulf. Uh, the air defense is gone, their air force gone, that the president would have a
00:45:48.240
possibility of an off ramp. Uh, do you agree with just with the military and let's leave the politics aside,
00:45:53.200
but do you think that gets enough down the path that, uh, some, I won't say hawkish, but people
00:46:00.160
that are saying, no, you have to destroy it root and branch, uh, would be satisfied, sir?
00:46:06.320
I'm a root and branch person. I do not think that we have destroyed enough.
00:46:10.640
Hold it. Captain Fennell, you did not need to tell us that.
00:46:14.800
You have a role to play here. We know that. So is the root and branch crowd not, wouldn't be happy?
00:46:19.280
We'll also have a little bit of a study of history. I can go back to Sherman and his march to the sea.
00:46:26.320
I can go back to the desert storm and trainer and book, the general's war when we didn't finish
00:46:32.560
because of the line of death or the highway of death. History is replete of when military
00:46:37.680
endeavors have been undertaken and we, different, different generals, different leaders have backed
00:46:43.840
off and allowed their enemy to get off the map. There's no going back from this. The Iranians
1.00
00:46:49.440
were already at war with us beforehand. They have declared war against us for 47 years and they are
00:46:55.280
now certainly, uh, this regime will never ever accept anything left except to destroy us. So why would we
00:47:03.120
stop now when they still have combat capability? The, the SEC war, the chairman and the operational
00:47:10.880
commander, Admiral Cooper have all said, we're still working at and chipping away and getting
00:47:16.560
after the rest of their military capabilities. So let's do that. The increasing risks to our forces
00:47:22.960
diminishes as their ballistic missile launches go down, as their drone attacks go down and our attacks.
00:47:29.280
Hang on. Let me make sure the audience, let me make sure the audience understands that maybe
00:47:33.120
it got to understand it first. Kushner and, and Witkoff and the president's been adamant saying,
00:47:37.760
hey, look, they're really tapping us along. They weren't serious. Given what we've done to the
00:47:42.480
command structure, what we've done to the leadership, what we try to eradicate the Islamic
1.00
00:47:46.720
Republic part of this, when you say there's no going back, uh, you say you can't have a half measure
00:47:52.400
here. And I think Pete used that term that these now, if they weren't your mortal enemies before
00:47:57.680
that you're never going to, you're not going to go to a negotiating table and cut a deal because
00:48:02.080
the hardcore that are still there are going to realize that their power comes from,
00:48:06.240
not from capitulation, but to fight down to the last man, essentially.
00:48:11.680
We have to defang them. We have to declaw them. They can think whatever they want. I don't really
00:48:16.960
care what they think. If they, if they hate us, but they don't have any weapons, then go ahead and
00:48:22.000
hate on us. We're not going to give you any more weapons, whether they're nuclear weapons or
00:48:26.000
conventional weapons. That's the mission. It's not regime change. I that's not the mission.
00:48:31.360
The mission is to declaw them, to take away their ability to hurt us. If you take off all the,
00:48:37.040
the, the, the teeth and the claws from a tiger, you can walk into a tiger's cage and be safe. So
00:48:43.520
that's what we have to do. We have to remove their claws and their, their fangs. That's the mission.
00:48:48.720
Uh, captain, hang on for a second. I want to, you've always taught me I'm well-trained by you to
00:48:54.400
always keep the main thing, the main thing. I want to bring in Steven Mosher, one of our top
00:48:58.560
experts on the Chinese Communist Party. Steven, I was so glad in the, in the fog of war here,
00:49:03.120
you had an incredible piece up in the New York post that said, Hey, uh, when, when Trump's doing
00:49:08.320
this, his, his, his real target is Beijing. Can you explain, uh, we got about three minutes here.
00:49:14.240
I'm gonna keep you through the break. Can you explain what you meant, sir?
00:49:16.800
Well, I mean, Steve, that it's, it's shock and awe in Beijing and it has been since Trump took office.
00:49:22.880
Uh, the, uh, the tariffs took a huge bite out of their, uh, their ill gotten, you know, trade profits.
00:49:28.240
And then it was, uh, uh, Panama. We're going to kick, uh, Hutchinson and Wampoa out of Panama.
1.00
00:49:33.680
That has now happened. In fact, the Panamanian Supreme Court has said that, that, that the contract
00:49:39.600
was void ab initio, which means from the beginning. So all of their investment in the Panama Canal ports at
00:49:45.040
each end Atlantic and Pacific is gone as if it never existed. Big blow to China. Uh, then we
0.96
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have Venezuela taking away that particular, uh, footprint in, in, uh, South America. Uh, now we
00:49:57.680
have the advances in Cuba. Can anyone doubt that, uh, Cuba is going to, uh, negotiate a deal rather
00:50:03.360
than live in the dark for the next century? Uh, we have Iran, the oil from Iran, not going to, uh,
00:50:09.440
China now. The first thing I looked at, Steve, when we attacked Iran to see what happened
0.95
00:50:14.000
to Karg Island, Karg Island, Iran's main oil export terminal was in flames. And that means China's oil
00:50:21.760
lifeline from the Ayatollah, uh, was going up in smoke. Uh, that's very important because it means
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a lot of things. It means, first of all, the Iranians can't get money from China, which was half of their,
00:50:33.040
their budget. It means, uh, secondly, that, uh, BRICS is probably dead, uh, because, uh, they were paying Iran
00:50:40.800
in, um, in, uh, renminbi, cheap Chinese currency. They could print it at will. Uh, now that, that,
00:50:47.680
uh, is gone, they'll have to pay in dollars again. They'll need tens of billions of dollars
00:50:51.760
to pay for oil. Uh, Trump is smiling, said, we'll be happy to sell them oil. Well, yeah,
00:50:57.120
and they'll be paying in dollars. So BRICS is dead. The dollar will remain the dominant, uh, currency.
00:51:02.800
So every, all roads, in my view, lead to Beijing. I mean, uh, people should see the pattern from
00:51:08.960
Panama to Venezuela, from Greenland to Iran, all the pieces of the puzzle are falling into place.
00:51:14.640
Uh, Trump is thinking, uh, very, very bigly here. Uh, you know, the, uh, the premier Wen Jiabao,
00:51:22.400
10 years ago, uh, the premier of China from 2002 to 2012, once said, uh, Americans are naive
00:51:29.600
and innocent and easily deceived. Think about that. The Chinese leadership think that Americans
00:51:34.400
are naive and innocent and easily deceived. Well, I think they've met their match in, in Donald
00:51:39.120
Trump. And one of the things he's doing is he's using one of China's ancient stratagems against
00:51:44.160
them. It's called taking the firewood out from under the pot. Well, what does that mean? Well,
00:51:48.880
that meant in traditional Chinese warfare, you took some vital resource away from your enemy
00:51:54.080
in order to prevent them from being able to mobilize an army and fight you.
00:51:58.560
Well, we're literally taking the firewood from, from, from away from the teapot refineries in China
00:52:05.200
that we're using it to fuel China's industry and fuel its war machine. We're literally taking,
0.57
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Trump is taking the firewood out from under the pot and, uh, and that's really hurting, uh, China.
00:52:16.320
And now we've got, hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on, hang on. We're gonna get to all that.
00:52:20.640
We're gonna take a short commercial break. Stephen Mosher's with us, Captain Fennell.
00:52:24.640
We're also gonna get into what happened in Texas last night in this, how do you say it? Historic
00:52:31.120
victory for the, uh, Prop 10, the proposal quite simply to prohibit Sharia law, the great state of
0.97
00:52:38.640
Texas. We're gonna talk all about that. We've got tons of people associated with Texas and politics and
00:52:44.000
conservatism and MAGA. Short commercial break. We're gonna be back in the warm in just a moment.
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