00:00:59.760There are multiple sensitivities here.
00:01:03.040There are multiple narratives, not least what we've heard from Pete Hegseth, the Secretary of Defense,
00:01:10.980not least what we've heard from a whole variety of Iranian officials who are both sides claiming victory.
00:01:18.760So you have that, and it's not clear what precisely has been agreed.
00:01:23.820The Pakistan's ambassador to the UN said that Pakistan's prime minister had sent a, he didn't describe it as a text on agreement, but an understanding to both the US and Iran who had agreed to it.
00:01:41.500He didn't say precisely what was in it.
00:01:44.100He said that was bounded by secrecy to let the sides work out what are clearly very big differences at the moment.
00:01:49.960He spoke about the Pakistan's prime minister in his statement having primacy in this situation
00:01:56.480because it had been accepted by both Iran and the United States.
00:02:00.400And as you say, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, very clear that he doesn't see Lebanon as part of that ceasefire agreement,
00:02:08.560which is a difference with the Pakistani prime minister.
00:02:10.840indeed Israel launching its heaviest by its own statement a few hours ago, its heaviest strike on
00:02:17.920Hezbollah targets inside of Lebanon, some of them deep inside of Beirut, a coordinated against 100
00:02:24.400targets. Has that led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz? It's very hard to say, but it is
00:02:32.200certainly one of the many threads and strands of the lack of clarity, of the lack of certainty
00:02:40.340where everyone stands, of the multi-sided nature of what's been happening.
00:02:46.780Iran has, it appears, sent missiles and drones against a variety of targets in the Gulf today,
00:03:08.500I think when we look at the state of play on Iranian state media, the declarations of victory, the popular support coming out in the street for the regime in Iran, it's hard to imagine that even in the farthest one corners of Iran, military commanders haven't got the instruction yet to cease and desist.
00:03:27.100All of this is going to feed into that sort of uncertainty that can unravel what J.D. Vance called a, his precise words were sort of an unstable ceasefire.
00:03:45.240A fragile was his precise word, ceasefire.
00:03:50.820And I'm trying to get at which strand specifically is pulled that unravels the next one.
00:03:55.920It's sorry. It was an indictment framed as a question. So you're forgiven for understanding. Go ahead, please. No, you've had your chance. Go ahead. Thank you very much. I believe so. Based on the diplomatic negotiation. I believe so. I believe so. Sorry.
00:04:11.960As Iran claims Israel is violating the agreement by bombing Hezbollah in Lebanon.
00:04:17.700And as you mentioned a moment ago, breaking right now, Iranian state media says Iran is closing the Strait of Hormuz again in response.
00:04:27.120Iran has agreed to open the Strait of Hormuz.
00:04:29.640And as the president said, we have received a proposal from the Iranians that has been determined to be a workable basis on which to negotiate.
00:04:37.220The Iranians originally put forward a 10-point plan that was fundamentally
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00:04:41.860unserious, unacceptable, and completely discarded. It was literally thrown in the garbage
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00:04:47.160by President Trump and his negotiating team. Many outlets in this room have falsely reported
00:04:53.080on that plan as being acceptable to the United States, and that is false. With the president's
00:04:58.660deadline fast approaching and the United States military completely decimating Iran with each
00:05:03.220passing hour, the regime acknowledged reality to the negotiating team. They put forward a more
00:05:08.700reasonable and entirely different and condensed plan to the president and his team. President
00:05:14.620Trump and the team determined the new modified plan was a workable basis on which to negotiate
00:05:19.520and to align it with our own 15-point proposal. The president's red lines, namely the end of
00:05:26.780Iranian enrichment in Iran have not changed. And the idea that President Trump would ever
00:05:33.220accept an Iranian wish list as a deal is completely absurd. The president will only make a deal that
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00:05:39.700serves in the best interests of the United States of America. And he as a negotiating team will
00:05:44.460focus on this effort over the next two weeks. Thank you, Carolina. Iranian state media is saying
00:05:49.100that Iran has now closed off the straight-of-form moves today in response to Israeli attacks on
00:05:54.360Lebanon. What's the White House response to that? And just listed many military successes. I
00:05:59.720understand that. But strategically, how is the administration arguing that Iran does not have
00:06:05.340more economic leverage than now than it did before the start of the war? Sure. Well, with respect to
00:06:12.320the first reporting out of Iranian state media, the president was made aware of those reports
00:06:16.420before I came to the podium. That is completely unacceptable. And again, this is a case of what
00:06:21.920they're saying publicly is different privately. We have seen an uptick of traffic in the strait
00:06:26.240today, and I will reiterate the president's expectation and demand that the Strait of
00:06:31.220Hormuz is reopened immediately, quickly and safely. That is his expectation. It has been
00:06:37.540relayed to him privately that that is what's taking place, and these reports publicly are false.
00:06:42.840Following the president's announcement of the ceasefire, if this is indeed the end of
00:06:46.600hostilities in Iran, what is the president's message to the American people about what was
00:06:50.980has achieved for our country through Operation Epic Fury?
00:09:34.080I would caution a little bit of patience, but of course we want to see the ceasefire effectuated
00:09:39.120and abided by by all parties as quickly as possible.
00:09:41.840Just hours after President Trump said Iran had agreed to a ceasefire, two key U.S. allies in the Middle East say they're still being attacked.
00:09:50.660After Iranian state media claimed retaliation for strikes on the country's infrastructure, both Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates both report new drone and missile strikes from Iran this morning.
00:10:02.340Kuwait's army says, and I'm quoting now, significant damage, significant damage has been done to oil power and water sites in Kuwait.
00:10:10.580Just give me an estimate how many millions of dollars worth of damage you think we've done
00:10:15.320inside Iran. That's a real number. Somebody can come up with that number. I think it's huge.
00:10:20.200I've heard from senior Israelis that the ratio of bombs dropped by Israel and the United States
00:10:27.060on Iran compared to the tonnage of bombs and drones that hit targets in the Gulf Arab states
00:16:39.540Neil, first off, one of the central issues, and look, I want people to understand,
00:16:43.580this is what I was saying this morning.
00:16:44.800the difference between president trump's 15 point plan that he put out the other day and the
00:16:51.040iranians 10 point of which they have now and they've done a good job in what we call information
00:16:56.680warfare because they flooded the zone with that plan which is i said today with uh both eric
00:17:02.360bowling and uh and sam faddis and others it's such an unbridgeable gap there's no need to even
00:17:07.380have a meeting and some of the things that they say on there like about reparations uh
00:17:13.960certain uh things we're going to do in the middle east to with that they're going to tell us to
00:17:18.820withdraw our troops certain things about lebanon and what israel can do whether you agree with them
00:17:24.860or not we're not going to be dictated to by the iranians and most specifically about the straight
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00:17:30.820or whore moves that they're going to stay in charge there were eight of the ten points there's
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00:17:36.220no need to go to islamabad because there's nothing to talk about and by going to a meeting with those
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00:17:40.620points you're sending a signal that you're prepared to discuss them even if the discussion
00:17:45.660is we're going to scratch them off the list do that in advance now we find out just calm down
00:17:50.700i'll come to you in a minute um the now um the um we know from caroline levitt that they have
00:18:01.280president trump took that and threw it in the garbage there is a modified plan something
00:18:07.860between the 15 point and there that's what they've been working on she clearly is not comfortable and
00:18:13.900the white house is not comfortable with releasing that because president trump wants all the leeway
00:18:19.720to um wants all the leeway to be able to negotiate as the only he can negotiate and so it makes
00:18:26.720perfect sense now the actions have taken place today this is a fragile truce and remember you
00:18:32.960have a country that is three and i think three times the state of two and a half times the
00:18:39.540physical uh size of texas plus it's got the land you know it's the landscape of the moon
00:18:45.260we've destroyed their communication so pete hex had the best answer their carrier pigeons haven't
00:18:50.620gotten there yet you have these independent dispersed decentralized command and control
00:18:56.620anyway that they had planned in advance because they knew that they could be decapitated by the
00:19:01.100israelis and by the americans so what president i'm sure you know in the military we always say
00:19:07.66010 never get the word i'm sure they're 10 they haven't gotten the word and they are you know
00:19:12.300firing away or doing what activity they're doing with kuwait and others and people have to realize
00:19:17.460that's what happens what happened in gaza in the first couple of weeks of these truths now what's
00:19:22.320happening in hormuz a little different you would assume that they would have sent people down they'd
00:19:26.760be all over this because they under they must understand that is a central issue of this
00:19:31.120not just symbolically and i think this is why the the meeting with the secretary general
00:19:37.360of nato who has a very close relationship with trump what i mean by that nato themselves agreed
00:19:44.300to go to two percent because of the ukraine situation at 14 they never came close they
00:19:49.740gun decked everything uh people that we work with and this guy came along and president's got a
00:19:54.820great relationship with not only get him to two percent he got him to commit to five percent
00:19:58.200because of what their stance on ukraine and the ukraine peace so first off uh do we have any
00:20:05.160reporting at all neil about because this is a lot longer i think than they intended to have this
00:20:10.320meeting in the oval and i would assume and people and ralph we ought to be ready i i would assume
00:20:15.540president trump will bring the media in to to ask to talk and have a few questions any sense of how
00:20:20.720the NATO meeting showing. Right. So that meeting started at 3.30 this afternoon. Mark Rutte also
00:20:29.240met with Rubio at the State Department this morning. And forgive me for looking over my
00:20:34.100shoulder, but the Marine Guard has been going in and out, in and out, which means every time
00:20:39.500Trump leaves the Oval and comes back, that Marine Guard resumes. The place is swarming right now
00:20:46.180with european media people are expecting perhaps a gaggle with rute when he walks out but as it is
00:20:53.520now we don't have any word of that meeting ending and so i'm sure if it ended uh you know we'd find
00:20:59.760out about it so it's ongoing now so it's uh going past two hours okay and we'll return to you as
00:21:07.780soon as you give us the indication we'll come right back to you let me ask you about caroline
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00:21:12.380Levitt, because I think Caroline did another master class in how to handle this. If I can
00:21:17.920make an observation, not a recommendation. I think the White House should have been more forceful
00:21:23.620about her point today. She made so forcefully, I think was terrific about their bit, their plan
00:21:29.340and others. But we allowed from 630 last night or seven o'clock last night until one o'clock
00:21:36.560this afternoon, we allowed the Iranians to get their side of the story out and have the world
00:21:43.400believe that President Trump was actually considering those 10 points. Now we know very
00:21:48.880clearly that he threw them in the trash can where they belong. Any sense of the White House getting
00:21:55.100more aggressive about a surrogate program or more aggressive about pushing their point of view
00:22:01.540over and above President Trump putting out a true social which rocks the world every you know every
00:22:07.220couple hours sir. We don't have word on that I guess I suspect that's part of what's going on
00:22:15.480with NATO right now to see if those guys can come on board but Caroline Levitt was especially
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00:22:20.780forceful about saying that the United States would not cede the moral high ground to the Iranians
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00:22:27.440given the atrocities and all of the war and terrorism and destruction that the Iranians
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00:22:33.360have wrought upon the United States and her friends. And so, as I agree with you,
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00:22:38.200she absolutely had a masterclass today, Steve. Hang right there, Neil, particularly when any
00:22:44.660movement at NATO at all, we want to hear that because one of the central, remember, NATO's
00:22:48.300got to step up to the plate. The president said this last night over and over again, Dr. Bradley
00:22:53.380Thayer, let's talk about NATO first, because this is all about the plan of us taking those carrier battle groups, which is the war room's recommendation, turn them across the Indian Ocean.
00:23:06.820Maybe they stop for refueling of Diego Garcia, go through the Straits of Malacca, get into the South China Sea, and then drive up right through the Taiwan Straits and let the People's Liberation Navy suck on that.
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00:23:23.380Well, I don't disagree with that, Steve, of course, as it's very important to do.
00:23:29.760I think, as Neil was just reporting, the meeting with Ruta is extremely significant.
00:23:36.840It's gone on very long, so it's clearly contentious.
00:23:40.720And the Trump administration is seriously querying what's the value of NATO now?
00:23:45.660What's the value of NATO in support of U.S. strategic interests at a time when we call on them for epic fury, for support with epic fury?
00:23:57.640And you had Starmer's labor government say on Tuesday that it would not allow RAF Fairford or other bases to be used to strike the Iranian infrastructure.
00:24:11.220You had Spain forbid the use of, deny the use of U.S. bases, Spanish bases to the U.S.
00:24:39.440and that was to keep the Russians out, the Germans down, and the Americans in.
00:24:44.420To the degree to which those strategic interests still remain, of course, that's quite questionable.
00:24:49.880We don't talk about the German threat anymore.
00:24:52.460We don't really talk about keeping the Russians out, although that still remains in some form.
00:24:59.260And, of course, the Americans in, right, is a very important rule for the NATO administration, for Ruta to keep that relationship.
00:25:13.540Let me give you, this is the Kobayashi letter.
00:25:17.180Let me just read a couple of highlights of what they say is potentially going on as some of the warning of President Trump and some of the staff, I think, has leaked this as how he is upset.
00:25:25.400President Trump is considering a plan to punish certain NATO countries by moving U.S. troops out of countries which he deemed unhelpful to the Iran war.
00:25:35.700Details include proposal would involve moving U.S. troops from unhelpful countries into countries who were more supportive.
00:25:42.780The plan is early in conception and one of several White House's discussions with NATO, et cetera, et cetera.
00:25:47.620Goes talks about 84,000 combat troops we got.
00:25:51.160The key thing, though, is besides punishing them, I don't think that's the point.
00:25:55.100The point is you've got to get their attention. They have to put more money into real defense.
00:25:59.760The problem with this 2 percent and 5 percent, as you know, Dr. Thayer, it's fake.
00:26:04.800You know, they got they got health care in there. They have climate change in there.
00:26:08.780They dump all these social programs. What they don't have is massive weapons purchases and particularly maneuvers and interoperability,
00:26:17.560actually working and fighting as a unit because all the militaries are relatively small.
00:26:22.700They only make sense as a collective group, especially what they've really abandoned is their navies.
00:26:29.760And this is what's so important for the Strait of Hormuz, because they always assumed the United States was going to have a, you know, a 600 ship navy to keep the oceans free.
00:26:39.260And what President Trump is saying is that, hey, maybe we can't afford it.
00:26:41.720And you guys got to step up in the Red Sea and the Strait of Hormuz.
00:26:45.040What do you think the response, Rutte's response is going to be on that?
00:26:48.720well i think to a degree he's going to welcome that uh because he's aligned himself with
00:26:54.860president trump uh on these issues so what first what president trump is suggesting steve as you
00:27:00.600illuminated right that we're going to move troops out of for example germany have not been
00:27:05.580particularly helpful and into poland or into romania uh or elsewhere finland perhaps the
00:27:12.420Baltic states, perhaps Slovakia, perhaps Hungary, which are far more supportive of U.S. interests.
00:27:21.320Secondly, we want NATO to have a conventional deterrent again, like we had in the Cold War,
00:27:28.980where NATO allies worked very closely with the United States to ensure that we were going to be able to meet a Warsaw Pact invasion
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00:27:37.100across the inter-German border or German-Czechoslovak border.
00:27:42.420We were really good at that in the 1980s and had those capabilities.
00:27:46.980We want to restore that again, and that's going to have to fall to NATO's conventional forces.
00:27:53.080But the bottom line is NATO doesn't have conventional forces.
00:28:07.720They don't have conventional forces because they haven't put money into their navies.
00:28:11.300They haven't put money into conventional forces because they're putting it to their social welfare programs that their citizens get to benefit from while ours pay the taxes to underwrite a vast military short break.
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00:34:13.900Well, Steve, the announcement is that Anthropic has developed
00:34:19.580and is now withholding from the public a new model called Mythos.
00:34:24.500It's being rolled out in limited form to a select group of corporations, including Microsoft, NVIDIA, Amazon Web Services, so on and so forth, in Project Glasswing.
00:34:37.220But the importance of this release really, in this case, and it's easy to overstate a lot of these cases in this case, cannot really be overstated.
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00:34:48.300Anthropic has created the ultimate cyber weapon, at least where we stand right now.
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00:34:56.180Or maybe another way of looking at it is that Anthropic has created a non-human mind
00:35:02.340that excels at hacking, at cyber attacks, up to the highest human capabilities right now.
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00:35:12.860And, of course, it's able to do it at a speed and at a scale unimaginable for human beings.
00:35:20.420And so what we're talking about, Steve, when the model was being tested, it found and exploited vulnerabilities in basically every operating system and every web browser in existence.
00:35:36.300It's not clear exactly how critical, but they are telling us.
00:35:40.040anthropic they are telling us that these are severe threats severe vulnerabilities and it
00:35:49.060goes beyond just operating systems and web browsers so that means your web browser my web browser
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00:35:54.460all the computers running right now around the world vulnerable to attacks by a non-human
00:36:01.780autonomous mind, agent. It also includes a number of vulnerabilities found in, say, bank security
00:36:11.200software and other critical digital infrastructure. So what it means, again, Steve,
00:36:17.500it can't be overstated. Right now, the most dangerous cyber weapon on earth, because it
00:36:23.980would allow an amateur to wreak havoc on a very critical system or allow a professional to wreak
00:36:32.200havoc at a scale unimaginable. This is the most powerful cyber weapon, and it was created by
00:36:40.740simply scaling up the brain, so to speak, the virtual brain, the neural network of the artificial
00:36:47.700intelligence. In essence, the capabilities that have emerged out of the system mythos,
00:36:56.000it wasn't that they taught the system to hack specifically web browsers, so on and so forth,
00:37:03.340operating systems. It simply learned how to do it itself. It knows how to probe these
00:37:10.540vulnerabilities and report back or to act on its own to exploit those vulnerabilities. So when you
00:37:18.500look at it in the context of the Department of War, as Dean Ball pointed out, refusing to or
00:37:26.020banning Anthropics software from the U.S. government and also effectively banning its
00:37:32.600use by uh u.s contractors so all major firms in essence this this conflict between the department
00:37:42.800of war and anthropic you now have this tech company in possession of a weapon that is
00:37:49.560ostensibly far greater on a cyber attack level than anything the u.s government has or could produce
00:37:56.120what my understanding is and we read the article and talk to some of the people behind the article
00:38:04.060coming out is that the fear is this is not can't be used on the cybersome take out certain jobs or
00:38:11.140this is a company at the minimum it's a company destroyer it can take out whole companies like
00:38:17.440that never to be replaced you'd have to go absolutely they could shatter them this is an
00:38:23.360offensive weapon of unbelievable magnitude. And what I think is concerned the people in Anthropic,
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00:38:30.820I want you to go back to what you said. It taught itself how to do this. Let me make sure people
00:38:37.380understand this to the level of understanding that we mere mortals have. It taught itself how to do
00:38:43.760this. And it perfected its ability and continues to work to perfect its ability to do this. I think
00:38:52.720anthropic one of the reasons they're doing a limited release and only limited even to the
00:38:55.840pentagon or whatever i'm not defending anthropic i think they're admitting and correct me if i'm
00:39:00.940wrong joe that they don't they themselves the creators of this frankenstein don't have
00:39:08.940control of prometheus they don't have control of it that it has taught itself things that they
00:39:15.540never intended to teach it and taught it at a pace in a scale that shocked them in in this coming out
00:39:22.100Is that essentially where we are in this?
00:39:26.140Yeah, it's under control to the extent that they can turn it on and turn it off and limit the number of portals that it has out into the world, at least at the moment.
00:39:36.500So if they chose, they could simply shut it down right now.
00:39:41.200but as far as once it is online once you have a single user or thousands of users or it running
00:39:48.980autonomously as an agent which is how it found these exploits then once it's once it's in motion
00:39:56.440there really isn't any a 100 percent control over it and again it's you don't it's dual use in one
00:40:05.280of the strangest ways if you think about for instance any kind of expertise in biology in
00:40:11.920microbiology that would allow someone to either perhaps create some kind of cure or some positive
00:40:17.640use for microbes or it could create a bioweapon this classic case right so this is dual use but
00:40:23.160the thing is it's not just a human being necessarily using it deciding to use it one way or the other
00:40:29.880It has a degree of autonomy that's quite eerie.
00:46:14.340Even as we speak, because Anthropoc is telling you they can't control this.
00:46:18.980They're telling you they can't control it. It came out of nowhere.
00:46:20.880This is why on the app, everything we're working on,
00:46:23.260it's not simply about the content for children that's huge and of course they don't care they
00:46:28.560want to destroy your kids to make money it's not about the copyright for concert whatever that's
00:46:33.480fine that has to be taken care of obviously something fair will work out this is the heart
00:46:37.220of it is i keep saying we have no earthy idea what they're doing and their interactions with
00:46:42.200the weapons lab i know people i've talked to at lawrence livermore we have no earthly idea and
00:46:47.020all of a sudden you get this kind of wow look at this this is pretty scary oh some people at the
00:46:53.100White House knew this six weeks ago and some other people knew it seven weeks ago. And maybe
00:46:56.300some of the stuff that's happening in Iran, people talking about super weapons, maybe it's
00:47:00.680coming from that. So, Joe, you're our expert and lead sled dog. What is one to do, sir?
00:47:09.180Yeah, that's a tough one. That's always the solution is always more difficult to arrive at
00:47:14.000than talking about the problem. But there are proposed solutions. And, you know, ironically
00:47:19.700enough, Anthropic, who created this system to build better code and publicly points out the
00:47:26.880dangers of it, I think they would be the first to endorse setting up some sort of commission.
00:47:33.340One of the suggestions is the Department of Energy, as the Department of Energy has long
00:47:38.900dealt with nuclear security, both Josh Hawley and Marsha Blackburn, and a number of others
00:47:44.960have suggested that they would be the most appropriate agency to oversee, to be able to
00:47:50.240look inside these companies and monitor for any kinds of dangerous proclivities, dangerous use
00:47:58.420cases, all of these sorts of things. So it's not necessarily hopeless, Steve. For one thing,
00:48:05.000Anthropic didn't release it. And I'm not trying to give these guys all that much credit because,
00:48:09.460as you know, I'm completely philosophically opposed to basically everything that they're
00:48:13.620trying to do and create. But I guess to some extent, to give them some credit, they didn't
00:48:18.420release it to the public. They've done what they can to give it to critical companies to patch
00:48:24.220their work. You could say, oh, they're just empowering them to use it. I mean, maybe. But
00:48:28.360the fact is that as these systems do become more powerful, and especially as they become connected
00:48:34.020to weapon systems more and more, you're going to need more and more oversight. So I do think that
00:48:40.720such measures as putting the Department of Energy over these sorts of companies, or even, I mean,
00:48:48.020again, I don't want to give OpenAI or Sam Altman much of any credit, but at least he is suggesting
00:48:54.300things such as putting Casey, the Center for AI Standards and Innovation, in charge of monitoring
00:49:02.200these systems. All of these are questionable, but that, I think, Steve, is the key. Whoever it is,
00:49:07.520It should be an agency that is ultimately accountable to the public, and that transparency should, of course, there will be classified elements, but as much as possible, the public should be made to know what sorts of capabilities these systems have.
00:49:24.020Because we know already that among those dangerous systems, it can create a kind of AI psychosis.
00:49:30.620And then beyond that, taking down massive infrastructure, highly important that someone, some adult is in charge of all this.
00:49:39.760Joe, where do they go on JoeBot to get your writings?
00:49:42.880Where do they go to Humans First to sign up?
00:49:45.800We need people to use their agency to fight the machine, rage against the machine.