00:11:54.660He doesn't have to work tirelessly as he does.
00:11:59.740He could have led a very content private life.
00:12:05.960But President Trump fights daily for all of us, for the younger generations, because he wants the United States to remain the most miraculous country on earth, where there is opportunity for all of us.
00:12:25.160He runs our country with a business mind and a father's heart.
00:15:49.980There's a couple of naysayers in the Middle East, countries saying, well, not so fast, not all of it.
00:15:54.640But I'll tell you, Steve, if you haven't watched The War Room, you don't know this.
00:15:58.660But any time you really need to know what's going on in the Middle East, forget the noise, forget the legacy media, you look at the oil markets.
00:16:04.940And this morning at $95 a barrel, we came in.
00:16:07.820And when Trump said it's all clear, it dropped to $78.
00:17:48.260The U.S. Navy, the seamen telling ships as they tried to transverse the straits saying, if you don't turn around, you will feel the full force power of the U.S. Navy on you.
00:18:10.880Are you sure that they're not playing games if you see these charts and nothing's coming out?
00:18:15.720Because a couple of announcements today from the Middle East saying, hey, we still control it and we'll let out who we want to let out.
00:18:24.120Not sure because I'm not there, but I will tell you, Steve, how many times over the last 50 days or so have we heard the strait is going to be open or we're going to finish this or it's concluded?
00:18:40.580But for us and for me, I think it's been pretty much spot on for the duration of this that no matter what you were hearing in the news reports, if you just watched the price of oil where it was headed, you kind of knew how the level of conflict that was happening.
00:18:54.520And for us to turn around this with an 18 percent drop in one trading session tells me that it's open to the tankers that Trump is willing to let transverse.
00:19:05.400And that's something that you and I could talk about at some point.
00:19:08.720Is it wise to let China start getting that oil?
00:19:17.840I think until you've got some sort of agreement, because I think there's so many still moving pieces.
00:19:22.340President Trump's kind of laid a framework for it, and I'm sure he's going to address today at turning point.
00:19:28.240It's one of the reasons I believe they're all running a few minutes late.
00:19:31.260This was supposed to start, I think, technically at 5 o'clock Eastern Daylight Time and maybe closer to 6.
00:19:37.640I think one of the reasons President Trump, I think, is in the middle of negotiations and talking to people back and forth.
00:19:42.700He's definitely going to give us an update.
00:19:44.540I talked to some folks at Treasury this afternoon.
00:19:48.040Everybody thinks there's big momentum.
00:19:49.700But as you know over there, one of the things I've been saying, Eric, is that who you're actually negotiating with and who actually has the ability to execute on a deal.
00:19:58.740My belief is the closer you get down to the actual strait or Hormuz itself,0.66
00:20:03.480you're kind of in Indian country, right?1.00
00:21:10.420This tells me that there is, you know, again, if we're, you know, you're a strategist.
00:21:16.460If Trump wanted to hold this up a while, he could hold the Chinese shipments.
00:21:21.140Maybe he wants to let some Indian ships go through or some Europeans.
00:21:25.160And I will tell you, Brent crude is still over $90 a barrel.
00:21:29.540So once that one shows some signs of weakness, then I think it's probably all clear in the Strait of Hormuz.
00:21:35.620But WTI, remember, it's a function of how strong that Middle Eastern crude is that goes to India, that goes to Asia, Asian countries, and Europe.
00:21:44.900Once the European crude starts to come down, WTI, we're less, I guess, held hostage by the Strait of Hormuz than the Europeans are in the Asians.
00:21:54.340So WTI comes down because we're flush with oil.
00:21:58.280The bottom line is it was $55 a barrel before this started because we had plenty of production.
00:22:05.040It's Europe and really China that's at risk of economic slowdown, of potential recession or worse if they don't get their oil.
00:22:16.260That's why I think it's a really important strategic move to decide who gets the oil that's coming through.
00:22:22.260Listen, if you're if you're marked to go to China, maybe just we're going to hold you up for a while.
00:22:26.800Hey, he can do it. He owns the straight right now.
00:22:29.640It's amazing, amazing, powerful, powerful tool he's got in his hand.
00:22:33.980What are you. What are markets and what are the European and the refiners and in the players over there?
00:22:42.360What are they looking for in President Trump's remarks today at Turning Point?
00:22:46.480Because President Trump is going to is going to address the war of that.
00:22:49.620there's no doubt. What are markets and what are players over there looking for?
00:22:54.860Timing, Steve, timing and volume. Remember, right before the war started and people stopped
00:23:02.080transversing the straight, there were 130 to 150 vessels that go through. Not all were oil,
00:23:08.240but predominantly oil vessels that went through on a daily basis. How many are going to get through?
00:23:13.240So how much oil gets out and how often. Right. So if nothing's gone through in 50 days or so, is it immediately there's 100 ships or 50 ships coming through?
00:23:22.940And again, where are they going? And for that reason, it tells me, you know, 110, 115 dollars a barrel down to 78 earlier today.
00:23:32.520At one point, the smart people, the people who are in the know, think that whatever is going to happen over the course of time is going to be positive.
00:23:40.240Not positive to the price of oil, positive to the economic well-being of not only the United States, but likely the whole world.
00:23:48.840And who are people going to believe? Because right now there is a discrepancy.
00:23:52.520And like I said, you don't know who really is controlling the deal over with the Iranians.0.54
00:23:58.060I keep saying this. And you don't know who can really effectuate a deal.0.92
00:24:02.800And particularly in that part of Iran, I continue to say when you get down to the Strait of Hormuz,
00:24:08.140You're down in, you know, you've gone from Indian country to the pirates because they have been out today with some counter counter statements.
00:24:16.960Do you think the markets are saying, hey, Trump's in charge?
00:24:20.000They shrugged it off, Steve. They shrugged it off. Those traders shrugged off all those counter statements.
00:24:24.620They said, you know, and they they actually shrugged off Trump's statements on the way up and they were right.
00:24:30.520So Trump was early on. If you remember, this is this is going to be going to be over within a week.
00:24:35.760early on they didn't believe that and oil kept making its move higher advancing higher and higher
00:24:40.800and they shrugged but today they shrugged off the other side which is i believe is they've been all
00:24:46.440they've been right straight through steve i mean people say that we've been talking about it and
00:24:49.980we've been right on war room almost every day but it's really not that difficult i've been doing it
00:24:55.060for 36 years i just watch the major players in the oil markets because they're the they're the
00:24:59.820ones with the most at risk yeah american people yes gas pump yes but the people who whose livelihood
00:25:05.480whose jobs, whose careers, whose companies rely on the price of oil aren't taking they're not taking news media reports and applying them to their position, their books or their or the risk portfolios.
00:25:18.280They're taking what they see and what they know.
00:35:52.480We're, you know, we're going to have some Virginia people on tonight.
00:35:55.380We're going to have them tomorrow morning.
00:35:57.280We're going to have Todd, Todd Blanche is going to join us.
00:36:00.720He's speaking at NRA tonight about a whole new approach to the Second Amendment
00:36:03.960to make it even more ingrained into American law,
00:36:07.460that they can't come and take your weapons.
00:36:09.140Do you think there should be some mention at least tonight or some hint of when this when we push through this war?
00:36:15.140And obviously we're a ways away from bringing it.
00:36:18.060As people have told us in the chat or in the engine room, you know, the Iranians are discounting some of the Iranian elements of just came with the president saying right now, even about Hormuz.
00:36:29.000But do you think we need a recalibration to kind of go back and say, hey, look, the grassroots got you here.
00:36:37.160We've got to focus on deportations.1.00
00:36:38.800we have to focus on this Islamic invasion into the country. President Trump went from1.00
00:36:44.040hugging up on Mandami to last night, President Trump said he's destroying New York. Do you think
00:36:49.560we need a recalibration, the president, MAGA, et cetera, to say, hey, look, we got to be battle
00:36:55.640hardened and focused on the midterm elections, sir? I think that you do and that you're very,
00:37:02.240very astute to bring that up because that's one recalibration I had not thought of,
00:37:05.980But I would say it's necessary. And there's no better platform and stage to do it at than tonight, Steve, because now that these that this sort of element of peace is starting to come back, that gas prices will fall, that affordability is more in reach.
00:37:19.560I think it is time to recalibrate with the base, reignite them, get them excited.
00:37:23.840That's what Charlie Kirk was all about. That's what Paul Gosar and Andy Biggs are all about.
00:37:28.640You have to ignite that flame again within MAGA. And I think that a lot of people have been concerned about it.
00:37:32.980look at the fracturing in the conservative movement just over this war. And you have the
00:37:37.780people out there, the Megyn Kellys, the Tucker Carlson's, the Nick Fuentes, all those people
00:37:41.320trying to divide this movement to the Democrats' glee, by the way. So I think you're right to say
00:37:46.120that the president should absolutely harden up that base and say, we're on the same team. Okay.
00:37:51.460You might not have believed me at first. You might've thought that I was short-sighted in this,
00:37:55.220but look at what's happening. I'm resetting Middle Eastern relations for the next 50 years.0.94
00:38:00.980Now let's refocus at home. Let's get the deportations. Let's go back to the rule of law and order.1.00
00:38:06.120Absolutely, Steve. It's a very important point that you're making that he should absolutely recalibrate with the base.
00:38:12.360Bo, hang on. You'll be with us throughout this evening with Erica Kirk first and then Charlie.
00:38:17.720We're going to go to the stage as soon as Erica does.
00:38:19.360Tell Brian Glenn. Brian, I want to talk to you about recalibration.
00:38:23.400People should remember. Is Brian still there?
00:38:25.880People should remember that when the Gulf War was won, I think George Bush's approval rating, the original, you know, Daddy Bush, was at 92 percent or something like that.
00:39:30.420How does he begin the process of recalibrating so we can get focused on winning?
00:39:38.080That is a great question, and I agree with you.
00:39:41.140I think those individuals you mentioned not necessarily was meant to divide the party but was to hold the party, the America First agenda,
00:39:49.880The stuff, the campaign promises that had all these people elect them to stay to those, for President Trump to stay true to those promises.
00:39:58.560I think that was the initial intent of all that.
00:40:01.420And, of course, a lot of it has gone off in directions I don't care to talk about right now.
00:40:05.440But coming off of no tax on tips, no tax on Social Security, no tax on overtime last yesterday afternoon in Las Vegas, I think that was the beginning of recalibrating this domestic message.
00:40:16.940Now, I like to talk about recalibrating Arizona.
00:40:20.880And, Steve, I remember going all across this great state in 2020 right after the election and all the election integrity hearings they had, all the discrepancies they had in this election.
00:40:30.680I remember campaigning in 2020 for President Trump in this state.
00:40:34.280And then I go fast forward to the midterms in 2022, rather with the gubernatorial race with Kerry Lake and Katie Hobbs.
00:40:45.480Fast forward to 2024, where President Trump took the state, not by much, and mind you, the worst political candidate probably in history for the Democrats was on the ballot and only won by a couple percentage points.
00:40:59.080So this state is red, but it's not as red as it needs to be.
00:41:03.140And I think tonight, endorsing and promoting the candidates that we've heard from so far today will help solidify the strength of the Republican Party to recalibrate it in Arizona.
00:41:14.760But I can't help but think, this whole time I've heard Eli Crane, I've heard all these great Republicans speak.
00:41:21.060But yet we hold the majority in the House.
00:41:29.820And all these executive orders that President Trump has done, we haven't codified, but not even less than half of them, into law.
00:41:37.120So I hear the call about having brave and strong and courageous Republicans.
00:41:42.260But if we get these Republicans into office and they don't work, they don't they don't succumb to the political industrial complex, then it's all for nothing, Steve.
00:41:51.820It's all for nothing. But let's recalibrate Arizona. Let's strengthen this state and let's move forward.
00:41:58.060Here we go. Looks like we have Erica Kirk up next, Steve.0.94
00:42:02.880OK, let's go ahead. We're going to toss it to the stage. We're here with Rural America's Voice. We'll be back after Erica Kirk.1.00
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01:38:00.080I love this guy. So popular. A man, he's probably in his 50s, early 50s. But he's been around a long time, much longer than that. He's a special person. There was no border problem when he was here. Sheriff Joe Arpaio.
01:38:20.660You know, he came out for me when I was running, and I heard about him. He was sort of a legendary
01:38:42.100guy. There were no border problems, right? We had no border problems, and he endorsed me right
01:38:47.140at the beginning Joe right long before you saw any of the politicians that were running against
01:38:51.340it was 18 people running and they said you know Sheriff Joe endorsed you I said you mean from
01:38:58.500Arizona a legend yeah he endorsed you before I even started practically thank you very much Joe
01:39:04.460and I've been with you all the way thank you appreciate it along with a special friend of
01:39:10.960mine and married to one of the greats Rush Limbaugh Catherine Limbaugh thank
01:39:15.940you Catherine she's a great woman and a veteran Border Patrol agent who's been
01:39:23.980a fantastic friend of me and the campaign and all of the things art del
01:39:29.860Cueto art wherever you are right and you know we have a lot of athletes and I
01:39:38.720sort of think of myself I'm sort of big sometimes in the wrong direction maybe
01:39:43.520but big these guys are really big Ryan Thompson of the Arizona Diamondbacks is
01:39:51.140a terrific player we have a World Series champion I met him today and I
01:39:59.540said you were a hell of a hitter and really was a great player and could be
01:40:05.300probably still great player looks good world series champion mark grace mark
01:40:14.260what a what a good hit and what about this guy world series mvp remember the blood pouring
01:40:21.140out of his foot it didn't bother him at all that blood was pouring the hell out of his foot i
01:40:26.260remember it Kurt Schilling thank you thank you and they're all characters too
01:40:38.500aren't they it's really amazing we like characters Hockey Hall of Famer and a
01:40:43.660great golfer I can tell you that he's really a good golfer Jeremy Roenick
01:40:48.100Jeremy thank you Jeremy thank you man what a good golfer he is too but
01:40:56.440probably a little better at hockey but you know supposed to be NASCAR great
01:41:02.680Danica Patrick Danica where's Danica where's Danica I love Danica I love her hair
01:41:13.060I always liked her hair I like the little widow's peak you know that
01:41:16.180widows me Danica where are you Danica so great thank you darling what a job
01:41:22.240you've done what a job you did former NBA all-star Tom Chambers Tom there's a
01:41:30.820big guy I didn't want my picture next to him he stood up I said is that Tom
01:41:37.680Chambers yeah I said well let's take it I'll stand on this side of the room Tom
01:41:42.420what a job you've done great job tom everyone loves you too arizona sports legend john gambo
01:41:50.740gambadoro john gambadoro thank you john gamble good job and a lot more we have a lot of celebrities
01:42:02.020here but with your help we'll continue to deliver on our mandate from the american people like no
01:42:08.420president has ever delivered before it's what we're doing we have a mandate you know they said
01:42:13.420if we could win three or four of the swing states that would be incredible because it's a little
01:42:18.320harder for a republican for some reason i'll tell you what the reason is they cheat that's actually
01:42:22.500the reason they cheat like hell remember i got out i said make it too big to rig right too big
01:42:29.620to rig don't believe the polls the polls had us way up don't believe the polls too big to rig we
01:53:48.880Well, thankfully, Steve, he did touch on a lot of the themes that I hope that he would,
01:53:53.060including some of the ones that you brought up domestically.
01:53:55.400So I think we should just kind of parse those out and then play them out.
01:53:58.680I mean, you know, I think the themes were dominance and recalibration.0.68
01:54:01.200So military dominance, obviously not letting Iran ever have a nuke, space dominance.0.74
01:54:06.060He did talk about Space Force and what the strides we've made there.0.62
01:54:09.540NATO, you know, the NATO recalibration saying, you know, they wanted us, but that, you know, we don't need them.
01:54:14.320And that lesson that's learned, we have to rely on ourselves.
01:54:17.280I think he's hinting at what may come in terms of a big NATO recalibration.
01:54:21.420Of course, the Middle East recalibration we talked about, he did touch on that, you know, with the brokering peace between Israel and Lebanon, ending eight wars, maybe two more.
01:54:29.980if we tack those on. South American recalibration, as I mentioned, he talked about putting Maduro in
01:54:34.980his place and facing justice. Cuban recalibration, seeing a new dawn in Cuba. And then Steve,
01:54:41.260to your point about a lot of the domestic recalibrations that would appease MAGA,
01:54:45.740he went down a laundry list of a lot of the things that he's done that I think make MAGA
01:54:49.940happy and proud. Stopped illegal, you know, illegal invasion by immigrants, largest drop in
01:54:55.240violent crime, largest tax cuts, border security, ban transmutilation of kids, got critical race
01:55:01.100theory out, got DEI out, cut the trade deficit by what is like 59% or so. No tax on tips, on
01:55:07.640overtime, on social security, ended third world migration, restoring law and order. I think we0.94
01:55:12.700all want that. And then hinting towards the great healthcare plan, getting those most favored
01:55:18.000nations prices. These are things to come. A permanent ban on Wall Street from snatching up
01:55:23.140homes for single-family homes so that houses can be affordable again for young people.
01:55:28.200I think that was important. And then, of course, passing the Save America Act,
01:55:32.160common-sense legislation. So in one sense, Steve, it was a retrospect of what he's done that's so
01:55:37.060well. In the other sense, it was also broadcast into the future. But there's the other element
01:55:41.360that I think we have to talk about, which is kind of what Brian said, the midterm recalibration.
01:55:46.340What does that look like? What Andy Biggs said, that Arizona is the fulcrum of national politics.
01:55:51.580He mentioned a lot of the people that are running in races there, which I think is amazing,
01:55:55.160but I don't know if he said, Steve, exactly what it's going to take. He mentioned that the
01:56:01.240conundrum of the fact that the president's party usually loses in a midterm and that,
01:56:05.220that that's a psychological conundrum, but what do we do to change that? I think that's really
01:56:10.240the question that to me is left a bit unanswered. Do you, in, in his laying out the themes of
01:56:17.260dominance and recalibration do you think and you know he prides himself in being able to weave to
01:56:23.420weave it all together do you see concisely the the the argument that he's going to make uh through
01:56:32.960the 250th because remember between now and election day obviously he believes he's bringing this war