In this episode, we talk about the Iran conflict and how it could impact energy prices, the economy, and the dollar. We also discuss the potential impact of the Iran sanctions on the Middle East and the potential for the dollar to rise in response.
00:04:23.120If we take you back to 1801, right, at the dawn of our republic, Jefferson's dealing with these potentates over in Libya, you know, the shores of Tripoli, right, the Marines,
00:04:39.580uh, Tunisia and, and, and, and, uh, this whole Barbary Coast set of pirates were demanding
00:04:47.660tribute for passage through what was open waters. And, um, Jefferson said, nah, I don't think so.
00:04:57.760Fought that. And then 14 years later in 1815, Madison basically finished the deal. And when
00:05:04.020the second Barbary Coast War wiped them out. And that inspired Roosevelt in 1907 to float the
00:05:11.500great white fleet around the world. See, that's where the whole concept of peace through strength
00:05:17.680was born. It wasn't with Ronald Reagan. It goes back to Roosevelt. And we have a very similar
00:05:24.240analogy here. If Iran thinks that they can turn the Strait of Hormuz into a pirate alley where0.93
00:05:32.660the rest of the world's got to pay them tributes in the form of tolls uh that's not going to happen
00:05:38.340and and they need to recognize the longer game that's going on you're going to see steve
00:05:45.840a far more rapid adaptation um in that neck of the woods uh basically as the world adapts they're
00:05:55.400going to buy more and more oil and natural gas more and more helium more and more aluminum
00:06:01.020or more fertilizer, well out of the way of the Strait of Hormuz, so they don't have to worry
00:06:08.460about it. The countries that actually produce these things there are going to find alternatives.
00:06:16.640And what Iran has shown us, and if anybody needed to be shown this again, I mean,0.98
00:06:21.600days back to 1979, they simply cannot be trusted to act as a responsible party in world events.0.98
00:06:30.440They just don't. They're pirates, and they want to hold the world hostage.
00:06:37.980And I think it kind of puts an exclamation point on why you don't want to give them nukes.
00:06:43.260I mean, can you imagine if they had nukes now? They'd be hitting Saudi, Kuwait, Europe.
00:06:52.720I mean, you said very often you didn't want this to happen, but now that we're in it, we've got to win it.
00:07:00.440I'm going to emphasize victory has a very long-term benefit here for the American people
00:07:07.500in terms not just of peace in the region, but of economic benefit, sir.
00:07:13.100But I think it was good that the president's not playing.
00:07:15.880As you know, Peter, one of his phrases he uses internally a lot is no games, right?1.00
00:07:22.140And the Iranians were playing games.1.00
00:07:23.900No need to send Jared and Whitcoff, Steve Whitcoff, over there.1.00
00:07:27.760like he said, a 17-hour flight to get jerked around by these guys.
00:07:32.640But they did come back when President Trump canceled it and dangled out
00:07:36.680because you can tell the blockade is hurting.
00:07:39.520Of course, they do have, and Bolin's going to get to it in a second,
00:07:42.860I think only four ships have gone through in the last 24 hours.
00:07:45.120They do have a pretty good grip on Hormuz, at least right now.
00:07:49.340They've dangled that out in front to do that, and we'll get to the nukes later.
00:07:56.440Of course, it took years to even do the Obama negotiation, which wasn't great.
00:08:01.660I just don't see President Trump doing that.
00:08:03.500I don't see these guys toying with him on his number one priority, which has been the nukes, sir.
00:08:12.920Steve, one other thing I want to observe here, again, historically, if you go back to 1801 or 1815 or 1907,
00:08:22.420Jefferson, Madison, and Roosevelt, you didn't have the opposition party and the newspapers at the
00:08:31.240time basically stirring up all sorts of propaganda that the Barbary pirates themselves could use
00:08:39.640against the United States. And that's a very different situation now. You have a coalition
00:08:44.780that we've seen dating back to 2016 of Democrats who want to control the powers of government
00:08:52.860and the legacy media who simply hate Donald Trump providing aid and comfort to the enemy
00:09:00.480in terms of raising all these questions about what Trump is doing, whether we can do this or
00:09:07.120that or whatever. And look, it's, it's, I don't want to call it treason, but there's a fine line
00:09:15.760between loyal opposition and treasonous activity that undermines us when we are in a war. And I
00:09:27.200think that it's high time for the media and the Democrats to get a hell of a lot more responsible
00:09:36.380than they are now it's it's um it's troubling to say the least i think i think hella frees over
00:09:44.860first dr navarre you're doing great work on trying to get a growth wage growth this affordability
00:09:51.880issue which is a construct of the of the democrats you and scott and the rest of the
00:09:56.760asset are working non-stop on that you're putting up these clips and these videos where do people go
00:10:01.340to get all this information because you guys are putting up a lot more stuff than the media's
00:10:05.800pushing out. So where do they go? PeterNavarra.com. PeterNavarra.com. That's the gateway to X,
00:10:14.020Getter, True Social, Substack, and Instagram. And I try to provide messages in forms
00:10:24.840that different people like. I mean, people are loving these 60-second videos because they really
00:10:31.540kind of quickly capture what's going on uh the longer versions in substech and all the op-eds
00:10:37.760i'm doing and i appreciate you know the washington times washington examiner uh and others that are
00:10:44.760printing uh this material and peternavaro.com will take you through that gateway sir and i appreciate
00:10:50.760what you do steve dr navarro who won the 2020 uh presidential election sir
00:10:56.880Donald J. Trump, all you have to do is read the unrefuted and undisputed three-volume Navarro
00:11:07.180report at PeterNavarro.com. And I'm glad you mentioned that because tip of the cap to Senator
00:11:13.520Chuck Grassley and his top aide, Josh Brown, they are digging deep and getting to the bottom of what
00:11:21.620There's a long-running attempt by the left and woke rhinos dating back to 2016 to the end of the 2024 election to basically overthrow the government and take Trump out.
00:11:37.780And if you look at the ways that was done, and by the way, Solomon's doing God's work here as well.0.65
00:11:44.740I'm waiting for our deep state bureaucracy here, and they fight Trump every way.
00:11:50.940They fight cash every way. They fight tot every way to release the documents on the CCP manipulation in the 2020 election, which is really going to, I think, open some eyes to the people in America across the political spectrum.
00:12:12.620Dr. Navarro, thank you. Look forward to having you back when those start getting released, which is supposed to be shortly.
00:19:56.300You told me when these markets started bouncing around and guys were on the wrong side of trades, I would ask you, I said, how's it going, Eric?
00:20:05.520I call him after the show. Eric goes, I see dead people.
00:20:08.800So is this one of the ones you were talking about?
00:20:14.720When they call themselves a hedge fund, Steve, and I think this is an issue that they may get sued because they call themselves a hedge fund,
00:20:20.960which would typically mean you're hedging some sort of supply or demand side of the equation.
00:36:21.680But the fact is that America, more than perhaps any other country that sent later waves of immigrants over in the 19th and early 20th century, the UK and America has that historical relationship that goes back to the Pilgrim Fathers way before the 250th anniversary.
00:36:46.800and those are things that those those are emotional ties that can either be artificially
00:36:52.820or synthetically created and they'll take a lot to destroy and so when the king comes over
00:36:58.000and you know and you mentioned the present difficulties let's not pretend that those
00:37:02.400difficulties are don't mean anything they certainly do but the king's coming over obviously he's not
00:37:07.900coming over for to be there on july the 4th itself and neither did the queen back in 1976
00:37:14.640She came a few days afterwards. But he's coming over to as really, I would say, as as the UK's chief diplomat, fundamentally, of course, ambassadors around the world, the crown's ambassadors are ambassador to the king rather than to parliament or the prime minister.
00:37:33.200But in this instance, he's coming himself as the UK's foremost ambassador to try to do something on an emotional level to say, look, to America, to the president, to the Americans, look, we're not going to be with you on the Middle East war, but we still value the fundamental basis of our relationship and friendship.
00:37:58.140And so it has a value if you think that's valuable.
00:38:57.560And he'll be there in his way to try to repair the relationship while saying that the U.K. isn't in a position to budge on it.
00:39:08.620And it will be a light-hearted pat on the back to America for its success.
00:39:13.560They don't have direct involvement in the day-to-day of politics, but they're quite powerful politically.0.87
00:39:20.120Why do you think the Crown has never taken a bigger stand about this mass migration problem that's really destroying the United Kingdom?0.89
00:39:32.360Because the UK doesn't have the discretion to do that.0.99
00:39:39.060The royal family, the monarchy doesn't have that discretion.
00:39:41.840It's well aware that its importance is based on precedent and on history.
00:40:18.140the third world illegal invasion, which is an existential crisis for the UK, is the situation over the Queen.
00:40:25.780I think this is the most substantial constitutional issue that I find that was ever made against the Queen's long reign.
00:40:34.120And that is she allowed Parliament to give powers to the European Union effectively, literally,
00:40:41.100so that Brussels could overwrite UK parliamentary law, destroying the UK's sovereignty
00:40:49.280without any referendum that the country had ever voted on to say that that was acceptable.
00:40:56.460And the Queen obeyed her constitutional role and signed off on those laws.
00:41:01.880And there was a question, a serious question, that said, look, perhaps we do need an elected president here in the UK.
00:41:10.100Perhaps we've gone as far as we can with a ceremonial head of state, because we need someone to come in and fill this vacuum and to push the integrity, defend the integrity of the British institutions.
00:41:21.740And that's a really substantial constitutional question for the UK.
00:41:26.340But it passed that by and the UK came out fine.
00:41:30.480In answer to your direct question about the invasion, Steve, it's not within the king's remit to enter.
00:41:37.560He'd create what is called by constitutional historians a constitutional crisis if he came in and publicly challenged the government.
00:41:50.580Ben, hang over a second. I'm going to hold you through the break.
00:41:52.780Patty Lyman, join us. Patty, we've got a minute here. I'm going to hold you through the break also.
00:41:56.880Just what's your headline? What's your takeaway, your big takeaway from the Virginia Supreme Court arguments this morning?
00:42:03.740My big takeaway is that the people of Virginia who we believe that we represent and that Judge Hurley's wonderful opinion represents, the people of Virginia are standing on the law and the rules as written for constitutional amendments.
00:42:23.040The government, the current government of Virginia, is standing on the Democrat motto, which is rules don't apply to us.
00:42:31.200In all seriousness, Steve, I listened to the entire argument today. I was impressed with how intelligent the questions were from each of the justices. Very intelligent, very probing questions. They had clearly read and studied everything.
00:42:48.540And I just I felt good about it. I'm not going to make predictions. I'm not in the prediction business. But I am very, very encouraged by the depth of the questions, the reasonableness of the questions and the substance and respect shown by the side of those of us opposing this, asking to have it overturned.
00:43:12.360The respect shown to the court was palpable from our side.
00:43:17.640I think not so much from the other side.
00:43:19.640I thought they were actually rather flippant with the court.
00:43:24.000And, you know, everyone's got, I think this was some Mark Elias lawyer that they brought in from California with state funds to pay.