00:00:00.000seem like a guy who's going to ever meet a war he doesn't like.0.74
00:00:04.600Well, look, I agree. We're in a bizarre situation. The war is at a dead logon. We have 750-some-odd
00:00:13.320troops killed or wounded. The fleet, thank God for the United States Navy, still has huge offensive
00:00:20.860and defensive capabilities, but its logistics have been cut off from our bases, which also
00:00:26.920affects the Air Force and the Army, inside the Persian Gulf, who we can no longer use.
00:00:32.360So it looks as if the fleet, two carrier battle groups, 20-some-odd warships,
00:00:37.340is being sustained 2,400 miles away from Diego Garcia and 4,500 miles to the Philippines.
00:00:46.240So we're in a real desperate situation here.
00:00:49.220We have expended a considerable number of our THAAD and Patriot missiles,
00:00:56.040as well as the Navy's offensive missile, the Tomahawk.
00:01:00.600So I think in the longer run, in the coming months, the six months,
00:01:05.640we simply cannot continue to sustain this war as it's being thought.
00:01:10.880He has engaged our United States Postal Service to do his dirty bidding.
00:01:16.680I'd like to share with you from the New York Times the story of Ricky Hatch,
00:01:22.680A Republican election official in Utah, a state that relies almost exclusively on mail voting, said he had noticed a nationwide increase of election officials encouraging voters to mail their ballots early because of postal service slowdowns.
00:01:39.880Quote, we've definitely morphed over time from going from, hey, get your ballot in before the deadline to mail your ballot at least a week early if you want to have it counted, Mr. Hatch said.
00:01:52.200Now, he added, the advice is even more cautious. Quote, better yet, use a drop box.
00:02:00.020That's what this has come down to, my friend, where this government, the Postal Service, this is like the Postal Service equation, equivalent of shrink flation.
00:02:08.600Right. It used to be like you said, get the ballot in, you know, a couple of days in advance.
00:02:12.580Then it was a week. Now they start talking about two weeks and saying, you know, two weeks may not be enough.
00:02:17.560Look, the Postal Service, as you point out, has capitulated to Donald Trump.
00:02:22.520This Postal Master General is doing his bidding there.
00:02:25.960You know, they've changed a bunch of rules that have been less obvious to people.
00:02:29.500And now they are, of course, implementing this unconstitutional power grab, this executive order by saying, oh, yeah, we're going to we're going to issue a new rule about towering mail-in ballots.
00:02:40.640And maybe we won't deliver them at all unless the states submit lists of names in advance and they follow our ballot envelope requirements.
00:02:51.520And, you know, to do so, to do so, they say, well, there's no there's no problem here because we've done this for other things.
00:02:57.900And when they list the examples, cremated remains and fake bombs, that's what they analogize these ballots to.
00:03:05.580Right. Only an authoritarian like Donald Trump could have a postal service say we need to regulate mail in ballots the same way we regulate cremated remains and fake explosives.
00:03:20.100Talk about what's happening with the trade war in Canada right now and the pushback from Prime Minister Carney.
00:03:25.460He's been a vocal critic of Trump when he's had to be and standing up for his country, I think, is the way he would look at it.
00:03:31.260But this trade war, in your view, when we heard Scott Bessett belittling Canada interviews yesterday, saying, what are they going to do?
00:03:38.540We're 13 times bigger than them. Bring a couple of toy submarines from the mall in Edmonton.
00:03:43.060And that kind of rhetoric from the secretary of the Treasury and obviously from President Trump himself.
00:03:49.080Again, question is, what is the objective here?
00:03:52.260What do they think is going to come of a trade war with Canada?
00:03:55.540The president has been and the rhetoric you're describing from Scott Bessent is basically Donald Trump's own rhetoric, to your point.
00:04:02.360It's not something I think we would have heard Scott Bessent say two years ago on his own.
00:04:05.360But the president's been frustrated about aspects of the USMCA, his own trade deal, and what he was hoping would lead to greater specifically auto manufacturing in the US after, you know, he carved out all kinds of exemptions.
00:04:21.600that has not happened. And so that is part of what has been this brewing fight. But again,
00:04:25.900it gets back to your question about Iran. What's the strategy? This is not a strategy.
00:04:30.980Most people would not want to launch a trade war, let alone with our neighbor,
00:04:35.380two months before the midterms. This is just, you know, becoming more economic pain,
00:04:40.960particularly for border states where there are serious Senate contests. So what's the
00:04:47.080What's the point here? It is it is another fight to have.
00:04:51.080Vaughn, the general brings up a few things, but he points to Asia and Donald Trump's in the White House.
00:04:55.740We have nothing else in mind, which means it doesn't matter if these these troops and weaponry are in the Middle East.
00:05:01.320We've got nothing else in mind. And he said no one would touch us because we're so strong.
00:05:05.380I mean, I we're we have troops in Asia for a reason because there are actual threats, including from North Korea and including from China.
00:05:12.420We're hoping that they're on the same page as President Trump about this, but we don't know that.
00:05:16.540The president of the United States, about the same time that he was announcing the slashing of U.S.-South Korea joint military exercises,
00:05:24.380the president of the United States was revealing or suggesting classified material that North Korea was in possession of 53 nuclear missiles.
00:05:32.820That was the same time that he announced the cutting down of those joint military exercises.
00:05:37.000And this calls into question, though, the extent to which the U.S. would be willing to defend Taiwan,
00:05:41.460This is something that this White House is not committed to if China were to move forward with an attempted incursion.
00:05:47.480But I think that this calls into question the imperialist foreign policy that we have seen the president of the United States deploy in the extent to which some actions of other countries could be potentially justified.
00:06:02.900based off of the president of the United States, just days before the Iran war beginning,
00:06:08.100making clear through his cabinet that they would not be controlling or owning Venezuelan oil
00:06:15.460reserves, but instead were simply working as an intermediary to help Venezuelan oil hit the
00:06:21.960marketplace in order to benefit Venezuela. Then fast forward to where we find ourselves today,
00:06:26.220the White House directly announcing the U.S. government taking an equity stake in the company
00:06:31.700that would be taking control of these oil reserves.
00:06:34.480And so all of this, these are tied together here
00:06:37.080because as Energy Secretary Chris Wright
00:13:56.100Okay. Yes, Bannon and Navarro totally agree that this federal government spending way too much money. CRs rather than fiscal responsibility are king. And there's no end in that in sight as we're moving into a November election. These people on Capitol Hill just don't have the discipline to do that.
00:14:19.560So we take that, unfortunately, for now, as a given.
00:14:23.900If I could wave a wand, I'd put Russ Boat in charge of the whole federal government budget, get Congress out of the way, and life would be good.
00:14:37.200We've got a big article that you're challenging, I guess, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, given his speech that we covered live here, from Jackson Hole on Friday.
00:14:48.160We're going to talk about Canadian trade.
00:14:50.220Eric Bolling is going to join us about the Venezuelan deal.
00:14:52.880President Trump cut and his thoughts on the bond market.
00:16:20.960Peter, I've got so much to go through with you in the Canada trade, all that,
00:16:24.320but I want to get to let's talk bonds, interest rates, and your article in the time
00:16:28.820because I've only got Bowling for a limited amount of time,
00:16:31.840and i want to get him in this conversation because i want the two smartest guys i know
00:16:35.900to opine here so let's go to your washington times piece and and take it with what's happened
00:16:42.900in the bond market since uh uh his discussion warsh's discussion on friday as we said
00:16:50.520right after we heard that it was quite hawkish he kind of pretended to be a dove
00:16:56.620to get the job right but it's a quite hawkish uh talks so so you came out with a piece correct me
00:17:05.420if i'm wrong but you're saying hey bro you can't raise rates in the teeth of this because it's an
00:17:11.820oil shock and it'll absolutely decimate the economy is that your basic theory your case
00:17:17.080new washington times piece yes and i've seen him as a wall street guy he's not he's not a main
00:17:25.220Street guy. He's not a MAGA guy. The whole thrust of his rhetoric has been controlling inflation
00:17:33.500and kind of not looking at the other part of the dual mandate, which is the job market and
00:17:40.280importantly to you and I, real wages. Now, the mistake here, Steve, this is where
00:17:45.960reasonable people can differ. If you believe that bond yields are flying off the handle
00:17:52.340solely because of the fiscal irresponsibility that we've shown, then you would be more inclined
00:18:00.540to raise rates to slow all of that down. But the fact of the matter is, if you look at the jump
00:18:08.160in bond yields over the last three or four months, it's primarily driven by the oil price shock.
00:18:18.040And the lesson of Bernanke, the lesson of Greenspan, Steve, is that you do never, you never raise interest rates into the teeth of an energy price shop.
00:18:29.500The reason why Fed shares raise rates to control inflation is to slow the economy down, to basically induce a recession and get deflation going.
00:18:41.240You don't have to do that when a supply shock, an oil price shock, does the work for you.
00:18:48.720And so the risk is raising interest rates when you have something driven primarily by an oil price shock is you make things worse very quickly and you wind up in the 70s stagflation scenario.
00:19:03.480And for the life of me, I can't figure out why the cable news diaspora is not talking more about that.
00:19:11.240Everybody seems to think rate hikes are the way to do it.1.00
00:23:04.160By the way, this oil deal, you want to talk about relieving any sort of price shock for disruption in acquisitioning oil?
00:23:15.180We got 65 billion barrels of reserves at our fingertips over the next couple of years if we can figure out a way to drill it, get it out of the ground, and get it into our refineries and into our military.
00:30:49.060I'll tell you this. If he raises rates before the election, it's first of all stupid because, as I tell you, you do not raise rates into an energy price shock full stop because the mortgage rates, the higher mortgage rates are doing the work, the higher gas prices are doing the work, whatever.0.98
00:31:08.640You just don't do that. You're begging for a recession.0.99
00:31:10.760But the second thing is, if he does that, that will be the biggest betrayal of Donald
00:31:16.480John Trump since Jerome Powell, and arguably worse, because worse, it got about 25 IQ points
00:31:24.480on Jerome Powell, and he should know better.
00:31:27.260He needs to see the chessboard, Steve.
00:31:29.380I'm not seeing him seeing the chessboard.
00:31:32.340I'm not seeing anybody out there in Wall Street land understanding history here.
00:31:39.480So this is a very perilous time. Eric mentioned the PCE and how Wors did a very good job showing for 65 months it's been elevated. That's true. But it's also true that the core has been steadily coming down under Trumpnomics. And that's another reason why you don't raise raise.
00:32:03.960So, uh, as the boss says, Steve, let's see what happens.
00:32:08.080But, but boy, I'm telling you, if we get a September or October surprise out of Kevin
00:32:15.020Warsh before the November election, um, man, I don't want to be, I don't want to be in
00:32:26.720Uh, bowling, the Japanese talk to me about people are saying what's happened in the last0.98
00:32:31.28048 hours in japan is historic uh with the pricing of their uh long bonds what's happening there0.98
00:32:37.340are we risking right now the japanese because they're kind of the go-to guy in selling our
00:32:42.920debt are we risking a busted treasury auction uh because japan's not prepared they're they're
00:32:50.780puking up u.s treasuries to get to cash right now they don't want any more they figure they
00:32:56.040they've got enough u.s treasury i think they got a trade 1.2 trillion are you concerned about that
00:33:00.920as a bond trader? Well, the two things you said there, will they puke treasuries, which would
00:33:08.800mean sell our treasuries? I don't think they're going to do that. Do they not show up? The two
00:33:13.260factions of Japanese who are buying our treasuries, there's the feds, the government, and also the0.99
00:33:18.880independent insurers and some of the other, you know, people exposed. They're buying, you know,0.97
00:33:23.800they had been buying, their interest rates were effectively, you know, zero. Now, all of a sudden,
00:33:29.060they pop up to 3%. So they're doing 3% there. And the game was, play around with your own currency
00:33:35.840at 0% rates, costs you nothing, and sell it at 4%, 3%, 4%, 5% over here in the US.
00:33:42.940That game, that arbitrage is all of a sudden close to almost nothing. So do they stop buying?
00:33:49.020Maybe. Maybe they slow down their buying. And then what effect is that going to have? That's
00:33:53.800going to be another upward pressure. You stop buying the treasury, upward pressure on the rate
00:33:58.400yields, upward pressure on yields. None of it looks good. My point is none of it right now
00:34:03.380is healthy going forward. I don't mean to be a panicking or a doomsday. I think Trump is doing
00:34:09.980great things. I honestly think his oil deal may be the salvation, but it's going to take a long
00:34:15.680time. Those barrels aren't produced today. So when and if we do start to produce some of those
00:34:21.260barrels, I think that'll put a lot of easing of the inflation pressure on our balloons. Remember,
00:34:26.880But isn't Capitol Hill – but what they're going to do to – what Polly Pockets is going to do this afternoon, they're going to pass a CR.
00:34:35.560They're not going to use the 30th of September as a forcing function to have a national debate about spending.
00:34:40.740You're going to signal to the Chinese and the Indians over there at the Shanghai group that are trying to get off the dollar.
00:34:48.600You're going to signal to the global capital markets that we're not serious about cutting spending.
00:34:54.620In fact, here's what's going to happen.
00:34:55.820I said this six months ago. You're going to get a CR. Wait, you're going to get a CR, you know, right before the August break or right when they get back.
00:35:03.100And the CR is going to kick it down to right before Christmas. And they're going to use the holidays.
00:35:07.140They got to get out of town to go spend Christmas with mama. They're going to get you an omnibus with all this crap and a lame duck's going to be dumped in there.0.99
00:35:15.880And you're going to have over a two trillion dollar deficit next year.0.93
00:35:18.900Aren't we signaling to the world that we're not serious about even addressing, starting to address cuts in federal spending so that we, because it's not sustainable to continue to have $2 trillion deficits every year.
00:35:32.280We're adding a trillion dollars to the national debt between 100 days and five months.
00:35:37.440So talk to me about what's this afternoon with Polly Pockets.
00:35:41.940100% what you've said and 100% what we've been saying.
00:35:45.260And I think the analogy we used to use, or I've used on the show, is I spent, I'm old enough to remember spending several last minute, will we shut down the government, or will we get some sort of last second deal, and I'd have to wait until midnight on whatever it was, New Year's Eve, whatever it was, on air, on Fox, knowing very well at the last second there's going to be some deal that cuts them, it gives them another three months or six months, whatever it was.
00:36:14.840And I assume when you say they want to get home to spend time with mom, I assume that means their real wives, not their girlfriends in D.C.
00:36:24.360Eric Bolling, I know you've got to bounce.
00:36:26.100Where do we go to get all your content, sir?
00:36:29.300You come to Real America's Voice at 4 o'clock or any time I'm on with Band in the War.
00:36:33.600And by the way, we did a road show on Friday with Governor DeSantis for the full hour.
00:36:38.020Every human being that walked around that packed place, it was a massive place.
00:36:42.720We opened more and more seats three times, wanted Bannon, wanted Bannon Bowling to do some back and forth.
00:37:09.180We do it with you, Peter Navarro, but you're locked in the White House.
00:37:12.020let's go i want to talk uh briefly in this segment and we got i want to talk about in the
00:37:15.900next segment your book uh you are getting lamb blasted lambasted every second of every day on
00:37:23.020cnbc on msnbc on cnn you and president trump because you're the you're the trade czar that
00:37:29.060you guys have picked a fight with carney just because you don't like him politically can you
00:37:34.300walk through i think maga understands canada are not the innocent victims that they're playing
00:37:39.660themselves, right? Walk through exactly what this trade war is about and why it's necessary, sir.
00:37:46.560First of all, it's got nothing to do with animus towards Carney. Carney basically has a political
00:37:52.860playbook, Steve, that says he can rule if he bashes Trump. And Doug Ford, his, I don't know,
00:38:02.980call him sidekick, does the same thing. So you get these two clowns up north of the border bashing0.97
00:38:10.440Trump. Every time they go up in the polls, their economy goes down. Now, historically, let me take0.98
00:38:16.580you back on a time machine. 1987, that's when the first free trade agreement negotiations began
00:38:24.500with Canada. And the tragedy of our negotiations with Canada, Steve, is that their negotiators
00:38:31.780have always out-negotiated the United States of America, except during Trump's time. They are
00:38:39.700arrogant sons of bitches who think they're smarter than us. And the way they have negotiated trade1.00
00:38:46.380deals with us has allowed them to screw us. They screw us on dairy. They screw us on lumber.
00:38:54.040They screw us on automobiles. They screw us on steel. They screw us on aluminum.
00:39:00.820And a lot of the screwing the Canadians do to the Americans is with the help of the Chinese Communist Party.0.71
00:39:07.520And what started this current round was a 338 action by Jameson Greer, where he proved beyond any shadow of a doubt that the Canadians are discriminating against us with their triple digit dairy tariffs, with their out of control auto market manipulation.0.69
00:39:33.980Steve, the Japanese, Germans, Koreans, and especially the Chinese get treated better
00:39:40.440than we do when it comes to trading with the Canadians. So when you ask us why President
00:39:48.160Trump is taking this action, it's simply to stop Canada's unfair trade practices. And by the way,
00:39:57.200we are not happy with the fact that Canada trying to play us against China is basically playing a1.00
00:40:07.380stupid game because China is going to eat them alive. That's the state of play. And the rest of1.00
00:40:13.480it on TV right now is the usual BS where they're just trying to blow up Trump in advance of an
00:40:20.020election. The media does not, they salute no American flag, Steve. Any rational look at our
00:40:29.240trade relationship with Canada says that we should be doing exactly what we should be doing
00:40:34.920with the support of all of the American people. And we don't have that. Instead, we got the
00:40:41.000Morning Joes and the Steve Leismans and everyone in between basically on a legacy media that's 95%
00:40:49.040against trump spewing a bunch of bs and you know my job is to get out there and tell it like it is
00:40:57.600and hope the message punches through i want to talk about this message first off before i go to
00:41:04.720the message just give me a line or two what is president trump and yours objective in this trade
00:41:12.020war right now with canada what is the objective what what are you what are you guys trying to
00:41:16.660achieve in this? And Canada's discriminatory terrorist and non-tariff barriers so that our
00:41:25.760dairy farmers, our steel workers, our auto workers, our lumberjacks can all have more job
00:41:36.220opportunities at higher wages. That's all we're looking for. I'm telling you, Steve, if you go
00:41:42.420back. Look, I don't even know if you know this, Bannon. I have more experience than anybody in
00:41:48.520the West Wing right now negotiating with the Canadians because I was the guy with Wilbur Ross
00:41:54.680the day after the election that Steve Bannon helped the boss win in 2016, who was assigned
00:42:00.860to negotiate with the Canadians until Lighthizer would eventually become USTR. I know these sons
00:42:07.780of bitches right the canadian people as nice as they are and i love them dearly okay are not well0.99
00:42:15.580represented either by the trade negotiators or by no doug ford no and mark carney okay those people1.00
00:42:24.700are doing the canadian people a tremendous disservice they're gangsters they're gangsters
00:42:57.140The tariff story is a story of victory.
00:42:59.540Even with the courts getting involved in President Trump, the center-beating heart of President Trump's economic plan is deregulation, lower taxes, and, wait for it, tariffs.
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00:45:19.520advantage of it today war room here's your host stephen k man okay dr navar we're gonna get to
00:45:28.740falchi in a second in your new book about falchi rotting in prison but i gotta address one more
00:45:34.320time the and this is why i say before president trump and his or particularly his political team
00:45:39.720gives out these endorsements i always ask i says has anybody asked these guys where they stand on
00:45:45.280trump's tariffs because believe me the standard stock neoliberal republican does not support
00:45:53.240president trump's they may mouth it but they'll flip on these tariffs in a new york second
00:45:57.060once president trump if president trump ever leaves the scene so it is a unbroken record of
00:46:03.820success on any aspect you look at it and this is what's driving a manufacturing renaissance it's
00:46:11.640Yes, it's the tax cuts and the big, beautiful bill, but it's the forcing function of the tariffs, and they haven't caused inflation, and the courts have tried to gum up the works.
00:46:21.000So I don't understand – we got Peter Navarro, and you're in the middle of this, but I don't know why we don't have a full-court press, a whole-of-government approach here on walking the American people through the anti-Wall Street, anti-globalist corporations,
00:46:39.200because this is where nationalism this is where the rubber meets the road if you're for the tariffs
00:46:44.420you're a nationalist if you're not for the tariffs you're a globalist full stop i don't want to hear
00:46:49.300any happy talk okay because this is what's building back american manufacturing power
00:46:55.980to make us a hegemon again dr peter navarre your thoughts team the trump tariffs are really
00:47:04.120at the heart of the greatest manufacturing boom that we are and are going to experience
00:47:11.580since World War II. It's just amazing to watch the money come in from offshore that needs to
00:47:23.120be here in order to avoid the tariffs. We're seeing it in the data. This is what bothers me.
00:47:29.200It's like the data is right in front of everybody.
00:47:32.560Going back to 2018, we've seen zero inflation from tariffs, full stop, zero.
00:47:40.760And I've got like quotes from every single person out there in the legacy media back
00:47:46.500in 2018, 2019, who was going to cause inflation?
00:48:00.460And look, I'm working on that great transshipment scam.
00:48:03.320Like we're getting a lot of money from China, but it's been able to use nefarious ways to kind of skirt around and ship stuff now to Vietnam and Thailand and Mexico and Canada.
00:48:18.400And I, this operation I'm wanting with CBP and their great organization.
00:48:26.180We're going to bring in like $40 to $50 billion additional dollars a year, Steve.
00:48:32.280You know how much that buys in terms of our budget?
00:48:37.600So look, and the one thing, Steve, the only way you're going to get the rhinos on Capitol Hill, and I think they've had the epiphany, if they get rid of tariffs, the whole fiscal position in this country collapses.0.56
00:48:50.200because it's literally hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of billions of dollars.