00:09:19.260Nicole Wallace was a senior communications person in the Bush White House lying to you every day about the Iraq war and the Afghanistan war.
00:09:31.520Cook, and I might add, you know, the low end of the range is 223.
00:10:02.020every set of math you look at they're not when you talk about their early voting and what they've
00:10:09.240done and what they've accomplished i don't see where they're they're particularly lower
00:10:13.740propensity voters even the students we so everything is our we control our own fate
00:10:20.560this is upon us it's not even from the president i think what the president is doing is actually
00:10:26.220smart this weekend because the in-person early voting is ending and most of these i think
00:10:31.480tele-rallies are for, um, to get the activists, the working phone banks that are doing the
00:10:38.440canvassing now to get people ready. Cause we have to have a big game day. There's no doubt about that.
00:10:45.200And I know from the phone bank, people in Texas, people in Virginia, other places,
00:10:49.020and what they said right there, Hudson seat in North Carolina, uh, the seats in Pennsylvania.
00:10:54.880Yeah, these are in play. There's no doubt about that. But if you have a big turnout on on game day and they fail to turn out their lower propensity voters, because I will tell you, if you look at the math, they're cannibalizing their highest propensity voters.
00:11:13.480John Solomon's going to have some breaking news about the situation in Michigan, but I want to go to Ron Armstrong.
00:11:18.960Ron, just walk me through the math, and I just want to give a hat tip to you, stand-up Michigan, but all the grassroots organizations outside the official, and these two people don't get money.
00:11:31.360The ground game and the canvassing and the phone banking have been extraordinary.
00:11:37.140The reason we're in the hunt in Michigan is because of the grassroots.
00:11:42.180The reason we're in the hunt in Texas is purely grassroots, right?
00:11:47.820When you look around the country and where we're competitive and can turn this thing around, it's because of grassroots activists.
00:11:54.340I think that's why they're going to the 20, President Trump's going to do, I think, book that do 20 tele-rallies this weekend.
00:12:00.660I think principally to the hardest working canvassers and phone bankers.
00:12:05.580I know it's working in Virginia 1 also, right? Virginia 1. You look across where the war room and grassroots activists have put their shoulder, good things are happening. Ron, Michigan, thoughts?
00:12:18.420Well, first of all, it's about the people, and I'm not saying you left anything out, but I can tell you Arizona, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, there are many states, Maine, that have incredible on-the-ground activity, and it is not about the political Republican Party or the RNC.
00:12:37.900I'm not saying they aren't providing money, but the difference that we're seeing and we hope that will show up on Election Day, our organizations in Michigan, I will share with you, Sentinel Action Fund, America First Works, Turning Point Action, Turning Point Faith, the young Republicans that are a part of that, and Michigan Forward.
00:13:00.260All of those organizations have been working for over a year now on organizing people.
00:13:08.760When we talk about grassroots, it is the people.
00:13:11.300It is basically getting people to talk to other people, their own communities, their
00:13:17.460own families, their friends, organizing locally with people they know and not depending on
00:13:23.820the bad television commercials, the bad messagings that come out of most of these campaigns.
00:13:30.260It is face to face, door to door. It has been, I believe that Sentinel Action has knocked over a million doors. I know we've heard the same thing from Cliff. You've had him on many times, 500,000 doors here.
00:13:42.440knocking doors, talking to people about what matters most to them and informing them of why
00:13:49.080it's important that they get engaged. And, you know, look, we're in a difficult environment.
00:13:55.540Prices are high. Energy is up. The Iran war isn't popular. All of those things. But when we contrast
00:14:01.900that with what we're facing, Steve, and the alternative of people like Abdul Syed, and I have
00:14:09.440to mention because of the clip you just played he's a muslim the crowd cheers you should be able0.75
00:14:15.220to hang one second we're gonna get into all that of what the differences are but the grassroots
00:14:22.320of the difference here this weekend early voting ends in texas a day and across the country in a
00:14:27.840lot of places game people getting ready for game day canvassing phone banking etc it's razor it's
00:14:34.120on the razor's edge it could go either way do not accept defeat there's no substitute for victory
00:14:40.960and i realize folks we've got a lot of headwinds okay a lot of headwinds but we've been in tough
00:14:49.400places before been tough spots before short break back to the worm in a moment
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00:17:02.860We're going to have Cleta Mitchell and others to talk about, you know, race for impact and how they're going to try to steal this and what's going to happen Tuesday and days thereafter and what's being done in advance to make sure it's not stolen.
00:17:17.860John Solomon, big story you're breaking out of.
00:17:21.880uh michigan can you walk us through it here's what here's what concerns me what you know you've
00:17:27.400had we have great investigative reporters that you know oppo this is kind of coming the material
00:17:34.380so jaw-dropping the question i got is why is it coming so late walk us through the jaw-dropping
00:17:39.920part and then we talk about the timing yeah well part of it is it's hard to get access to some of
00:17:45.860these Islamic center and mosque footage, but they do, they do make their footage available to their
00:17:53.720members. And so we were able to get access to it. And what you see is in the places where al-Sayed
00:17:59.360went to get support, to get people to register to vote for him and to vote for him, they're
00:18:04.740non-profits. He's in the temple. He's in the Islamic center. That's a 501c3. And he's making
00:18:09.860the case, please vote for me. That raises some serious questions. It wasn't that long ago that
00:18:15.060certain Christian churches lost their tax-exam status because they directly endorsed or assisted
00:18:21.120a candidate in trying to win an election. So the first thing you see, members of Congress are
00:18:26.840already flagging this, and legal experts like the former Justice Department Chief of the Voting
00:18:33.160Rights Division, they're all concerned that there may be a legal case here, just like there may be
00:18:37.320a legal case in Alaska. The second and more important part, because it's really about a
00:18:41.380more existential question about the American experience is what you see inside American0.97
00:18:47.160mosque right now is a group of people that feel so comfortable that they're willing to say things0.93
00:18:54.140like America is the great Satan on our server. They sound just like what the Iranians say when1.00
00:18:59.240the Mullahs are talking against us. They say that it's time to get great retribution or revenge0.97
00:19:04.120against the Zionists, i.e. Jews and people who support them in the Israel state. This level of0.89
00:19:10.260extremism isn't normally visible to the American people, but that is who Al-Sayed is asking for0.95
00:19:16.140their vote. That is who is on our soil right now. These are the clerics and the theologians inside0.97
00:19:22.720these mosques saying things that 10 years ago we would only imagine our worst enemy in Iran would
00:19:28.320say, but now the people on our soil here in America trying to be part of a coalition to get0.91
00:19:35.100Al-Sayed elected. They're saying the very same thing that our deepest, darkest enemy say.
00:19:40.480This is the beginning of a very long project for us. First to begin looking at how Al-Sayed's0.55
00:19:45.900putting this coalition of people together and who they are. Did it violate the law? We'll find out.
00:19:51.280What are their real intents? What do they think of America? You now can watch it with your own
00:19:55.980eyes and see. This is not limited to Michigan. It is all across the country. And over the next
00:20:02.560several months, we're going to be able to show people all across the country what these Islamic
00:20:06.780centers and mosque are actually saying about our country. I don't think there's anybody watching1.00
00:20:13.400the show that is surprised. In fact, I think they're surprised that it's not even worse than
00:20:17.320that because these are operating centers. Here's my question, John. You know what? People in the
00:20:21.680middle, people in the middle have no idea. I got it. I don't know if they'll watch it or believe
00:20:26.320it, but I got it. But this is why people are making this thing. Are these, do these have tax
00:20:31.140exempt status? Are they tax exempt? And if they are, why is Treasury and the IRS and all that,
00:20:38.400why are they just not yanked immediately and say, hey, look, you can reapply?
00:20:43.140Yeah. You got to explain why you were trying to help a candidate on a 501c3 status. Last night
00:20:50.240on the show, Jay Christian Adams, former voting rights chief for the Justice Department, very
00:20:54.080familiar with these type of cases. He brought some of them over the years, said this looks like a
00:20:58.520real legal problem for these centers. So one avenue to take is the Justice Department to
00:21:02.680enforce that. The other is for those in the final days of this election to make sure that people
00:21:07.900that are still undecided in the Michigan race know who is in El Saeed's coalition, what they say,
00:21:14.360what they think about you. If you're a black folk or a Jewish voter, a union worker, the people
00:21:21.240around Saeed don't like this country. They want revenge for those who support Israel or are Jewish0.97
00:21:27.780or are quintessentially American, that is a really alarming thing, I think, for most people to see.
00:21:34.360Again, none of us on this show will be surprised because we're pretty deep into politics.
00:22:18.320Do you get any headcount ideas in the Senate?
00:22:21.520I think worst case scenario, it's 51-49.
00:22:23.880Republican is what both sides seem to agree. And it could stay 52, 53, 54. It could stay right
00:22:29.380where it is. It could be a couple losses, a couple wins. Keep an eye on New Hampshire Senate. That's
00:22:34.660one that both sides have a feeling could be a surprise on election night. Maine, one of the
00:22:40.180things I'm seeing in Maine when you look at the early vote is traditional Republicans thus far
00:22:45.020are underperforming in the Maine Senate race. That is salvable on election day. Just got to
00:22:50.100show up at the votes on election day, even if you don't like Susan Collins, that's a place where a
00:22:54.420gain can, you know, or a seat can be held. I keep an eye. I think Alaska is going to be okay at the
00:23:00.280end of the day. I think Kansas will be okay. Iowa is starting to tread back in the okay thing. You
00:23:06.920know, North Carolina is going to be a tough one. Keep an eye on Nebraska. It feels awful close on
00:23:11.120the early voting patterns, but vote of the day will, election day, if Republicans have a strong
00:23:16.800election day. What the Democrats have done is they front-loaded their vote. A lot more people
00:23:22.200used to vote on election day are in this group, it appears. So Republicans, if there's a strong
00:23:27.340day of, it's going to be a heavy Republican vote, and that could tip a lot of these races.
00:23:31.460One other thing I saw, Steve, California. I never thought I'd say this, but there is some really
00:23:37.040interesting Republican voting patterns in California, part of it driven by the voter ID
00:23:41.560initiative. There could be a lesson in that in 28, that we should put voter ID initiatives
00:23:45.780everywhere in the country. But Republican voters seem to be up and out in a big place and some
00:23:51.320places that I haven't seen in a while. And I keep a close eye on that. Kelly Myers is reporting
00:23:58.920that President Trump has just put back on Kansas. Yep. Sunday. And Iowa. And Iowa. Hey, the guy
00:24:06.580asked him a question as they ticked him off. He's back on. He's going to be back on the plane. So
00:24:10.600these all hang in the balance. One question. When you say the Zionists, I mean, this is what we're
00:24:15.220going to get ron armstrong in here about ann arbor and east lansing and these college kids
00:24:18.720particularly right the more radical do you believe particularly coming out of israel the 19 seats
00:24:25.700combined i realize they're two different parties but the lakud's got 26 or i think they've upped
00:24:30.480it now to 27 seats but the arabs have 19 seats and everything you're hearing i'm i'm monitoring
00:24:36.780this closely they're sitting there going this shows you our demographic uh drive right the0.97
00:24:43.220The jihad of the womb is working, and we're going to use the ballot box.
00:24:46.640We don't need to use guns against the Americans anymore or against the Israelis.0.84
00:24:51.400Do you think all this expose, when you say the Zionists, that this is going to jack up not just the Dearborn turnout and the Hamrick turnout,0.85
00:25:00.240but also at University of Michigan, East Lansing, and others as they take guidance from what happened in Israel?0.87
00:25:07.020They've doubled the number of seats that Arabs hold in the Knesset?
00:25:11.940so there's a lot of lessons to learn in the israeli election the first is how bad the
00:25:17.880prognostications were obviously netanyahu's party outperformed all the expectations and i think one
00:25:22.820of the things in 26 is there has been an uh a suppression game of expectations that when the
00:25:28.540real vote comes out you see it the second problem is that you see in traditional liberals right now
00:25:33.760is they have a hard time getting their own people so they're looking to new constituencies and new
00:25:38.440blocks to try to stop conservatives. But I thought General Gotti's people are saying today there's
00:25:45.640absolutely no path for Netanyahu. And this is why they even talk to the Arabs. There's no path for1.00
00:25:51.020Netanyahu to put together a government right now. How do you say he outperformed? Well, you got more
00:25:56.080seats than the projections. So what I'm talking about is when you're counting seats, when you're
00:25:59.620counting heads, right? He went from 68 to 53. How is that more seats? Well, no. When you look at what
00:26:07.140the pre-election polls were, the effort to suppress expectations. I think he was going to be below
00:26:12.600his primary challenger in the number of seats, and that actually didn't happen.
00:26:16.760What I'm talking about is not, I mean, obviously Netanyahu's popularity has clearly declined,
00:26:20.840right? And the Arabs are in Israel much more strong than people expected. But the game of
00:26:27.240suppressing expectations is what's going on in America. There was an element of that in Israel.0.64
00:26:37.160Is anything, are you seeing anything in Dearborn or anything in the Muslim community that any way, shape, could be the surprise?
00:26:44.040Because, look, I think people, the people I know in Israel are shocked by the doubling of the number of Arab seats, although it's two different parties.
00:27:02.360The African-American vote, the black vote in Michigan seems down.
00:27:07.020If the small polls that have been done that look at Jewish voters, they're going to be breaking away from the Democratic coalition in Michigan.
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00:37:57.960As of before yesterday, if you actually see it on the screen, we're 56,920 votes down.
00:38:06.820I'm going to conservatively say from the counties that we have seen reports so far yesterday
00:38:12.460vote. It was a little lower than it was the day before, but about the same Republican margin.
00:38:17.460So let's safely say we knocked 20,000 votes off of that number. Okay. 20,000 votes off of that
00:38:23.520number. We are probably close to 36,000 votes down from Democrat primary voters. This number
00:38:30.860is not high enough. Republicans are outvoting their midterm propensity. We are outvoting what
00:38:37.240we vote in midterms. Here's the problem. In some of these counties, the urban counties like Dallas
00:38:42.000in Austin, Democrats are coming close to their presidential level turnout. Okay. So yes,
00:38:47.940Republicans are motivated. Yes. Republicans are not staying home, but the problem is
00:38:52.560we need more Republicans. And there are a million and a half Republicans out there
00:38:58.000that vote in presidentials that don't vote in, in midterms. And only about 16% of those people
00:39:04.520have voted right now, Steve, do the math 200,000 of the 1.5. That means 1.3 million people are
00:39:11.980sitting there and these are trump loving patriots that are have not voted and truthfully they just
00:39:17.620aren't even used to voting in midterms if you look at the independents are you making calculations
00:39:22.900about traditionally how they break and does that concern you they may break harder or because of
00:39:27.660the way texas is set up a lot of those independents that are democratic leaning actually
00:39:31.780voted in the primary that's why he has such big primary numbers what's your sense of this
00:39:35.420independent uh vote yeah so that's the one thing i'll say i think the independents are pretty split
00:39:40.520OK, there's various different opinions on this. Historically, the independents have been Democrat leaning. The difference in this block of independence now is that we took half a million to a million Democrats that were always in the independent bucket and we stuck them into the Democrat piece of the pie this time around because they voted in the primary.
00:39:58.480So now what's left in that bucket is much more of a 50-50 sample.
00:40:03.920I can confidently say that the independents are far more Republican than they have been
00:40:08.180two years and four years ago as we modeled out projections just because of how many Democrats
00:46:21.780But they announced they were going to push it to Monday.
00:46:24.380Now, I think with this very severe kind of beginning of a tech sell-off, which I also mentioned to your folks, I hope they're listening because there's a day of reckoning coming.
00:46:34.240It feels like this is the beginning of something.
00:46:36.260A lot of people like to buy the dip, buy it because it's down a little today.
00:46:40.020You better be getting, don't get in front of this one.
00:50:29.440If he didn't start this, if he stopped at the 12-day war, he stopped at the 12-day war with obliterating the nuclear, because I believe my president, right now with Scott Besson and everything kicking in, we'd be picking up 10 houses in the House, and we'd be picking up a couple, three Senate seats.
00:50:49.040Besson would choke the living daylights out of them from the finance, from the finance boardroom.
00:50:55.140So now we got – by the way, the tech market meltdown is a long time coming, but the opaque nature of the financing.
00:51:00.800But big old – anyway, Eric, thank you so much.
00:51:03.280Eric Bolling is going to be with us in studio in Washington, D.C. on Tuesday for our coverage, wall-to-wall coverage.
00:51:12.780Starts at 5 o'clock Tuesday morning with Ed Martin.
00:51:16.160Goes all the way through American Sunrise, the War Room, all the shows during the day.
00:51:20.180And, of course, that night, super special coverage.
00:52:41.70030 days of free $1 million triple lock protection to see how pennies a day can protect you from AI, cyber, and all of it.0.52
00:52:50.320Okay, Lara Logan's going to join us. We've got John Hollis in Texas, McCabe at the White House, Colvett's coming in from Arizona. We're packed in the second hour of this, and we're going to leave you with this amazing song. May God bless America. Back in a moment.
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