Bannon's War Room - October 10, 2022


WarRoom Battleground EP 155： Germany And The Coming Winter; Breaking Down The Battleground States; The Most Dangerous Time


Episode Stats

Length

50 minutes

Words per Minute

168.64044

Word Count

8,582

Sentence Count

23

Misogynist Sentences

2

Hate Speech Sentences

13


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 this is what you're fighting for i mean every day you're out there what they're doing is blowing
00:00:18.620 people off if you continue to look the other way and shut up then the oppressors the
00:00:25.620 authoritarians get total control and total power because this is just like in arizona this is just
00:00:31.520 like in georgia it's another element that backs them into a quarter and shows their lies and
00:00:36.280 misrepresentations is why this audience is going to have to get engaged as we've told you this is
00:00:40.540 the fight all this nonsense all this spin they can't handle the truth war room battleground
00:00:46.860 here's your host stephen k bannon saint michael is the breath of the holy spirit who will defeat
00:00:55.020 the antichrist
00:00:56.000 tell everyone that i have great power as one who stands before god
00:01:08.800 in select movie theaters only on october 13th
00:01:16.180 okay welcome uh this is war room it's columbus day monday 10 october in the year of our lord 2022
00:01:28.380 wanted to start off want to get oscar delgado back the producer of this incredible film about
00:01:34.120 saint michael the archangel you had a really great run i think you were the number one film of that day
00:01:38.760 oscar you got a new 30 second spot we just put up films back in theaters on the 13th tell us about
00:01:46.180 it what happened the first time around and and where is this going to be this time that people
00:01:50.240 can go see it in a theater and had that kind of communal experience of seeing this
00:01:54.180 with uh with people that they're close to or people that are just meeting
00:01:58.160 well it's been amazing we were the number one film per screen uh they were just super excited
00:02:04.740 uh they they just couldn't believe it so they were saying we need to give you an
00:02:09.540 time for our presentation we had another date but then they said um we need to move it quicker and
00:02:14.740 move it um further up so i was like okay so what we've done now is which is amazing they've given
00:02:20.260 october 12th and october 13th october 12th we'll have spanish subtitles for our brother hispanics that
00:02:26.440 and october 13th so those two dates are um amazing that people have come out the war team war
00:02:32.260 room prosely have come out and support because they understand the spiritual dynamics of what's
00:02:37.520 going on the two there's temporal and the supernatural and they understand now we need to
00:02:44.440 get engaged in the supernatural and saint michael helps us along in that in that area it's very critical
00:02:49.600 right now as you as you see what's going on tell us a little bit about the film how long did it
00:02:56.040 take you to actually you know i've done documentaries before i've done some that's taken me less
00:03:00.460 than six months i've taken others that have taken me years i'm working on a couple now that have been
00:03:04.880 years in the years in the process what how long did it take you to make this film when were you
00:03:09.600 inspired to make it it took about two years but then what i did is i put the bonus features
00:03:14.100 you know i took like the the raw bones of this this uh documentary and then i what i did is i recut
00:03:20.800 it and i put some beautiful bonus features so a more understanding depth of who saint michael was why is
00:03:26.960 that important so we go through the importance of saint michael why he god picked them as kind of
00:03:31.640 the general for these battles and how to take on the evil culture and the response people understand
00:03:37.620 this steve people understand the battle that we're in and so that's why we got the the response that
00:03:42.360 we did and i think they're going to come out again and that's the war room posse and the people like
00:03:46.600 that that understand there are two vectors the temporal and the spiritual and now they understand that
00:03:51.820 we got to start focusing a little bit more on the spiritual because that's the war that we're in
00:03:55.720 we need to fight the evil darkness and saint michael does that it's really critical and if you go to
00:04:00.840 st michaelmovie.com all saying spelled out you'll see all the different theaters that we're on
00:04:06.220 and uh it's just been an amazing experience i never knew how much people are hungry for um
00:04:12.540 the spiritual until kind of i'm just blown away i'm very thankful to god and thankful to those that
00:04:19.620 have come out i mean 52 000 people came out one night it was just they were just kind of in shock
00:04:25.720 i want to make sure everybody in the war room posse goes to st michaelmovie.com to check out
00:04:31.940 a screen or theater in your area sean foyte uh the evangelical uh musician preacher pastor also had
00:04:40.260 this vision of putting in theaters what is it what is it that you and sean see that's so important
00:04:48.200 about actually getting in these in theaters and having people come to the theaters to see it versus
00:04:52.760 just put it up as two-thirds of the films are today just put it up on and let people stream it
00:04:58.340 into their living room well steve as a prominent uh producer and movie maker yourself there's nothing
00:05:05.600 like being in a movie theater with other people the communal experience is just amazing you're able to
00:05:11.400 really experience on the big screen something that you can't see on a tv or on a phone and so i think
00:05:18.180 that just brings it to another level and especially a film like this a supernatural it deals with the
00:05:23.260 supernatural you can absorb it i mean at the end of the film people were praying the prayer of saint
00:05:28.320 michael i mean where does that happen i mean it's just it is amazing experience i've gotten texts and
00:05:33.660 texts about being able to really re-engage in the battle of the darkness and i think that's what i
00:05:38.640 want to i want people to leave with hope i want people to leave in this communal setting in the movie
00:05:44.100 theater to say you know what at the end of the day we're going to engage we're going to fight the
00:05:49.340 darkness we got saint michael with us we got god with us but we got to be able to do this we got to
00:05:54.260 have hope and that's the remedy we cannot leave on the table the supernatural the temple is important
00:05:59.640 great strategy is important but we really also need to engage with the supernatural because that's
00:06:05.000 where the fight is you know this i mean your posse knows that everybody is and knows that tunes into
00:06:09.920 the show are very aware of the spiritual dynamics of what we're dealing with
00:06:14.360 oscar one more time where do people go to find out uh where the first off our hispanic audience
00:06:22.720 to see where it's playing with hispanic subtitles on the 12th and then the rest of the audience where
00:06:27.620 it's going to play on the 13th yes it's saint michaelmovie.com and saint is spelled out
00:06:34.760 saint michaelmovie.com please go show we got to show hollywood we show that we are interested in
00:06:42.620 the supernatural good supernatural not horror supernatural good supernatural and we want to
00:06:47.120 engage in the fight and i think bringing saint michael to the battle will help us all
00:06:51.460 oscar delgado the film is fantastic the feedback i got from the war room posse that went to it was just
00:06:59.600 amazing and i'm pretty sure most of those people are gonna come back and see the second time and
00:07:03.500 actually bring some friends please sir oscar delgado thank you very much thank you great film
00:07:09.000 oscar oscar delgado the producer of this amazing film about saint michael the archangel when everybody
00:07:16.220 go see it i've got jeff anderson is going to join us in a minute about uh what he envisions kind of
00:07:22.460 the misrepresentation of the suppression polls that are being done right now on the run-up to 8 november
00:07:27.260 also bradley dr bradley there's going to join us about the 20th party congress his new book out about
00:07:33.140 how to understand the ccp huge week we're gonna be doing special segments on basically the morning
00:07:38.380 show in the afternoon show in the run-up uh to the 20th party congress where she is essentially
00:07:43.640 anointed emperor for life uh as you know we're the leading of platform and to take down the ccp and
00:07:49.780 this is another huge milestone so we're gonna get into it but i want to go to germany uh gunnar
00:07:55.140 beck uh joins us a member of the european parliament for alternative for deutschland
00:08:01.480 the uh party on the right that tries to uh talk sense into people about immigration many other
00:08:07.620 issues gunnar here's what i don't understand is that the german the german industrial economy
00:08:13.780 given your i don't know the third or fourth most important economy industrial power in the world
00:08:20.620 it doesn't seem like you have a energy strategy that makes sense for a modern industrial country
00:08:28.980 and in fact it seems it's almost based on fantasies and i i have a very tough time understanding exactly
00:08:37.040 what the german government's trying to do to make sure that germans not just the economy that but the
00:08:42.360 german citizens are not going out and chopping down the black forest so that they can warm themselves
00:08:48.900 this winter so can you take a second and explain i understand you're a party in opposition and you
00:08:53.400 guys have been in opposition over many policies of what i call the the uniparty in germany but can
00:08:59.280 you explain to our audience exactly what's going on well if you have uh hello steve uh if you have
00:09:06.760 if you have trouble understanding what the german government is trying to do uh you're not alone
00:09:13.680 uh i've not figured it out uh the truth is we are one of the leading industrial uh producers in the world
00:09:23.360 uh our economy uh is based on uh exporting industrial products and our government is uh pursuing a
00:09:36.960 an energy policy for the stone age germany's decided uh under this government but of course the grants
00:09:46.240 been made by mrs merkel uh to phase out practically all modern sources of energy and replace them with
00:09:56.800 so-called green energies uh well when the uk uh when the ukrainian war struck uh all conventional energy uh
00:10:10.960 was suddenly uh in short supply and we are seeing the consequences now um consumer and industrial energy
00:10:20.560 prices have skyrocketed our exports uh have declined as a result of uh rising uh or lack of competitiveness
00:10:32.240 because of much higher production costs so i think the government's in parallel uh the whole economic
00:10:41.040 model since the war germany had a uh large trade surplus for about 60 years from the early 1960s onward
00:10:50.800 within a year it's disappeared it's gone
00:10:59.280 here's what here's what i don't get is you know i've been kind of heckling it from from from my
00:11:06.640 getter account and on the show but is there any sense of urgency i see the germans reaching out to uae and i
00:11:14.080 see them reaching out to these other people and and doing this but they work themselves into this trap
00:11:19.920 by being dependent at least for a big amount of this on russian natural gas and remember in the
00:11:25.520 first days in the white house i had the german ambassador came over to see me and i had a very
00:11:31.120 blunt discussion with him about nato about not just fulfilling their obligations but the importance of
00:11:37.520 them really stepping up in nato and meeting the two percent requirement but also as a symbol to up to
00:11:43.440 the russians in addition about this whole natural gas situation he was so offended if you remember this they
00:11:50.960 went back and he sent a cable back to merkel a secret cable about my our discussions in the west wing
00:11:57.760 and they leaked it into the german media the next day and it was like i was some barbarian that i was
00:12:03.280 thinking of like a troglodyte on what was pretty basic and has come to pass but here's the thing i is the
00:12:08.480 german government working with any urgency to to winter is upon you and having been in germany
00:12:15.520 in the winter it gets cold there you're at a very northern latitude is this government
00:12:22.720 working with any urgency given the cataclysm that you guys face
00:12:26.080 well i think there's a degree of urgency but not about the impending winter but about rescuing the
00:12:35.920 planet uh the planet i think in your first question uh you call german energy policy fantastic
00:12:45.040 in every sense the world uh of the world uh the word and it certainly is but i think that's been a
00:12:52.320 characteristic of german policies for the last uh seven or eight years mrs merkel's uh migration policy
00:13:04.000 was fantastic in that sense that meant she allowed hundreds uh she allowed millions of uh migrants
00:13:14.640 from the middle east and africa to come to germany these are by and large
00:13:22.480 i mean there may be the odd exception but by and large these people have no qualifications
00:13:27.840 they were sold to us as gold coins as the uh a much needed labor force we needed
00:13:36.240 for a modern economy but of course they don't have the qualifications the the the fact is that practically
00:13:42.640 all of these three and a half million people from africa and the middle east that have come to germany
00:13:49.840 over the last seven or eight years are now unemployed and on state benefit and cost us about 100
00:13:57.840 billion euros every year now with energy policy it's exactly the same thing the german government
00:14:05.600 is behaving as if uh we had the energy sources to replace russian natural gas overnight simple fact is we
00:14:15.680 don't and we can't afford the current foreign and sanctions policy the government is implementing
00:14:27.040 here's from an american perspective you know the uk france and really germany are our central allies
00:14:34.320 in the west not just nato but even the industrial you know the partnerships trade agreements
00:14:41.040 um you know we've been closed since world war ii it it strikes an american that there's no logic
00:14:51.280 no reason no rationale and no urgency is is that what it looks like to opposition parties and if so
00:14:59.920 even when i read the german media or is the is the media just suppressing the voices of the opposition
00:15:05.200 because i don't really see even the opposition parties getting together and saying we are driving
00:15:09.920 off a cliff here and going to essentially destroy the nation i think it's a sad fact if you look back
00:15:17.760 on german history uh that germans um are not very good at cutting their losses once they've made up
00:15:28.240 their minds to back a certain policy they find it very difficult to disentangle themselves from that
00:15:37.680 even if there are clear signs it's not working and i think we are seeing exactly the same thing germans
00:15:43.920 german foreign policy german climate policy has been very ideal regarding for a long time
00:15:51.360 uh you can be ideal regarding up to a point but ultimately you cannot spend your own money on uh world
00:16:02.640 rescue projects up to a point where it undermines the basis of your own economy and i think we've reached
00:16:09.840 this point now and the germans haven't fully understood understood that insofar as your position
00:16:17.440 looking for allies in europe is concerned i can understand that you're very concerned because your
00:16:24.720 allies are divesting themselves for the uh sources of their own economic uh vitality or even competitiveness
00:16:39.440 what we are witnessing in germany right now is a kind of belated implementation of the morgan faul
00:16:46.880 plan namely to kind of attempt to transform the whole country into some kind of green uh uh agrarian
00:16:58.640 uh youtube certainly is is this is this hang on is this is you've hit the key point after the war
00:17:07.440 after around the time of the nuremberg trials secretary of treasurer i think it was morgenthal came up with
00:17:11.920 the plan to turn germany in perpetuity into a pastoral nation essentially de-industrialized it
00:17:19.120 and i mean by literally taking the factories that we hadn't bombed in this mission taking them apart
00:17:24.240 and shipping them to other parts of the world and at that time and turning the german people into a group
00:17:29.360 of kind of subsistence farmers at the time people said well you can't do that you know they've had this
00:17:36.160 problem obviously a deep problem with the nazis that's got it we've got to you know get rid of
00:17:41.040 that but it's one of the central countries of western europe and the plan was laughed at not
00:17:47.840 laughed at but thought just too radical you've essentially done this you're in the process of
00:17:52.560 doing yourself is this a delayed psychological ptsd from the war is that what we're seeing a basically a
00:17:59.280 a a central a country's nervous breakdown that it basically takes itself down
00:18:06.800 i'm afraid i fear you're right uh i think i i largely share your analysis i think it was actually
00:18:14.240 during the final stages of the war that uh the u.s secretary of state or i don't know what he was
00:18:21.200 agriculture articulated this plan but it was very quickly rejected because the u.s realized
00:18:29.280 that you couldn't de-industrialize germany without destabilizing the whole of europe now our
00:18:36.480 government now thinks it can uh forge ahead on climate uh change policies and it would have no
00:18:46.320 implications for our economy it's a fundamentally unrealistic assumption the second point i think you
00:18:53.520 uh hinted it was the german policies uh had a kind of very belated uh response to the kind of guilt
00:19:06.080 complex rooted in the second world war the other thing is that the guilt complex in germany is now
00:19:13.840 more alive than ever after the war it was focused on certain clear war crimes now the government is
00:19:24.640 telling us we in germany are responsible for everything that's gone wrong in the world we are responsible
00:19:32.480 for solving the climate crisis we are responsible for saving the planet we are responsible for solving
00:19:41.680 uh for taking in more migrants than anyone else it is totally insane it's unrealistic it's a gross
00:19:50.400 overestimation of our own economic possibilities germany may be the largest economy in europe
00:19:57.520 but compared to the united states it's about a quarter of the size of the u.s economy the u.s
00:20:05.120 the u.s isn't trying anything of the kind we are trying when i went to the u.s in july
00:20:12.080 and talked to various economic research bodies and economic advisors including the white house
00:20:20.400 i put it to them you know the german government are forging ahead with its climate uh rescue policies
00:20:27.600 it's wants to save the planet uh is the u.s administration uh going to go down the same route
00:20:34.960 and the universal answer i got in washington was well you know we admire your approach
00:20:41.520 it's very honorable uh wonderful but have to realize u.s isn't quite like germany our people wouldn't
00:20:49.680 quite accept this it would be far too fast so the longer the short of it was the answer was no
00:20:57.600 and our green we went with a parliamentary committee we had one or two representatives from the green party
00:21:03.920 uh they left very disheartened clearly i think in the u.s even under this administration there's a
00:21:12.480 residual sense of reality i'm afraid the german government uh has lost any such thing yes
00:21:22.400 gunner how do people follow you on social media because i keep telling folks in the united states if
00:21:26.640 you want to look at where the u.s could be headed uh watch what the elites in germany are doing because
00:21:32.160 it's it shocks me every day when i get up early and and read the uh european papers in english that
00:21:39.280 and particularly the ones that focus on germany how do people follow you well i'm active on both
00:21:46.080 facebook and on twitter and also now on getter so if you google my name if you look for my name gunnar
00:21:54.080 g-u-n-n-a-r and then beck b-e-c-k or dr gunnar beck you'll find me on uh each of these media thank
00:22:02.720 you very much dr beck thank you for uh sharing your insights a member of alternative for deutschland
00:22:10.080 in the european parliament thank you sir appreciate it
00:22:16.720 uh i want to turn now to jeffrey anderson president of the american main street
00:22:21.200 initiative uh wrote a great piece in american greatness uh first though jeffrey i want to get
00:22:26.400 your thoughts on uh dr beck and what you see our german allies doing uh because i can't make head
00:22:34.240 nor tails of it it looks like a suicide mission by the elite uh and i see a little tinge that i'm glad
00:22:41.440 dr beck went around with the group from the from the german uh european parliamentarians and can come
00:22:47.920 back and say hey the americans weren't quite as crazy as that i'm not so sure i feel that great your
00:22:53.120 thoughts sir well we certainly have plenty of crazies on uh our side of the atlantic um i'm
00:22:59.760 certainly not an expert on the german um what the happenings in germany but um i think that there's a
00:23:06.160 lot on the ballot in uh in our elections coming up here next month and uh it's going to be interesting
00:23:11.360 to see what voters have to say about the policies the last couple years and and the wider issues that
00:23:16.720 have been influencing the vote over the last uh many years now so talk about that because
00:23:23.040 one of the things that's affected the economy here is clearly this kind of radical at least
00:23:26.880 for the united states this radical shift to sustainable energy this this shift to the green
00:23:32.080 new deal you know going from trump and you were in you were in the justice department during the trump
00:23:36.320 years i think 17 to 21 um the the shift to sustainable new deal where you know we've cut
00:23:44.000 oil production you know we had this massive problem with opic now you laid out three different
00:23:49.760 alternatives i think scenarios and you went in and questioned one of the reasons i love the piece
00:23:53.840 in american greatness you really said hey there's a number of these prominent pollsters that are
00:23:59.040 literally just where the mainstream media goes to get their analysis you think they're really off
00:24:04.000 given what the underlying uh reality is in the country do you want to you want to walk us through that
00:24:10.320 sure i i think it's interesting that the sort of go-to source for the legacy media is is 538
00:24:17.600 nate silvers site that's affiliated with the new york times and they would have us believe at this
00:24:23.040 point that the democrats have the same chance essentially of holding the house of representatives
00:24:28.640 as republicans have of taking the senate i don't think anybody really believes that if you ask serious
00:24:35.520 political uh analysts on on either side of the aisle um and yet 538 is kind of the go-to
00:24:41.680 site for so many people like new york times washington post cnn etc um if you compare what
00:24:48.080 they're saying with real clear politics which i think is is is a much better source frankly um rcp is
00:24:55.520 basically saying that the democrats chance of holding the house is almost zero that's it's pretty much a
00:25:01.520 forgot conclusion they will lose the house and that republicans chance of taking the senate is better
00:25:07.440 than 50 50. um rcp thinks the most likely scenario is republicans will end up with gaining two seats
00:25:14.080 and ending up with 52 although there's a whole bunch of seats that are very much in play that we
00:25:18.800 can certainly talk about um a third source the cook political report definitely tends to be left
00:25:25.760 leaning over the years it tends to inflate the democrats prospects um but i've done some analysis i
00:25:32.640 just looked at the last four federal elections and how cook plays out so i've kind of come up with a
00:25:37.040 the decoder if you will a key to seeing how to sort of adjust cook for their own biases and
00:25:42.720 and get something meaningful out of it and once you apply that adjustment cook seems to more or less
00:25:47.920 agree with rcp that the odds are in favor of republicans taking the senate um even though it's
00:25:53.920 going to be it's going to be a close battle and i think election nights can be very interesting in
00:25:57.840 the senate but i don't think it's be very interesting in the house as i think yeah it's almost certain
00:26:02.800 the voters are going to um express their opinion about the the biden administration in the house
00:26:08.160 elections
00:26:11.120 are they seeing something i tell you what let's let's take a short break and we'll come back
00:26:15.280 because i want to get into all threes particularly your dakota ring on cook because cook is so prominent
00:26:19.440 but i agree with you uh the folks i know in dc and we've been on the road uh looking at campaigns and
00:26:25.360 going to events and we'll be doing that essentially up to 8 november it still shocks me the people inside the
00:26:31.280 bubble you have a conversation with them and say well you know this thing could go either way even
00:26:35.200 in the house and i'm sitting there going what are you looking at i mean it's it's are you kidding me
00:26:40.640 just the redistricting alone but then we look at the math and the underlying uh you know the cross
00:26:45.840 tabs it's just it's it would be a monumental feat to do that okay short commercial break jeffrey
00:26:51.840 anderson dr bradley thayer return on the other side
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00:29:51.680 war room battleground with stephen k bannon
00:30:04.080 okay welcome back uh jeffrey are they doing this because they know they still got to raise money
00:30:09.040 because now you're seeing you know we talk about when we have alex degras on the guys that really
00:30:13.120 get down into the numbers we talk about what's an inflection point that's normally a couple weeks
00:30:17.760 out from election day where you can see the big tectonic plate shift of late deciders or people
00:30:23.120 maybe more lower information voters but part of that inflection point is also the party that's got
00:30:29.280 the problem has to really start to cull the herd and they have to make some tough decisions particularly
00:30:34.240 people have been around a lot you're seeing that happening right now this is happening actually
00:30:38.080 with four weeks to go it's happening a little early where they're culling the herd
00:30:42.160 are people still believe in nate silver and these people because they have to it's performative and
00:30:48.240 you don't think they really believe it given your analysis of cook with the decoder ring and really
00:30:52.960 rcp what do you think rcp's come out and said hey the house is done we're talking about the senate even
00:30:59.120 the senate they'll hold all the controversial seats north carolina pennsylvania ohio wisconsin and
00:31:03.760 they'll pick up looks like they pick up georgia and uh in nevada uh so it looks like 52 48 at a
00:31:10.400 minimum why why is why does the apparatus still cling to the nate silvers this late in the game
00:31:18.800 well i think some of it's certainly wishful thinking steve i mean when when silver's coming
00:31:22.640 out saying the democrats have a much better chance than than it would appear and then then you see
00:31:27.680 otherwise uh there's a lot of people in the legacy media who who like the sound of that i don't think
00:31:33.920 the serious political people on the ground are probably paying a whole lot of attention to silver
00:31:38.080 they probably know which races are are worth really pushing across the line at the end and
00:31:42.640 which aren't um i think in the senate there's there's so much work to be done i mean this really
00:31:48.880 in my view there's 10 competitive races in the senate and uh and the republicans need to win
00:31:54.720 five of those to take the senate and democrats need to win six to hold the senate um i think uh i think
00:32:01.280 republicans are looking pretty good in um in ohio and north carolina in nevada and in wisconsin um
00:32:09.440 democrats are looking pretty good in washington which it's kind of amazing that's even in play
00:32:14.480 but it looks like it is with tiffany smiley mounting a tough challenge against patty murray
00:32:18.400 um new hampshire although i think that could be interesting and i also think colorado could get
00:32:22.400 interesting on election night but those are all certainly looking to be uh the democrats have to be the
00:32:28.080 favorites in those races and that leaves you with pennsylvania arizona and georgia and the democrats
00:32:34.560 would need to sweep those if the others go as they appear to be leaning although i don't think any
00:32:39.520 of these races are decided yet by any stretch and so um it comes a question of i think arizona
00:32:45.600 pennsylvania and georgia are going to be extremely important hang on one second hang on one second
00:32:51.120 hang on i want to go back to your picks you got ohio north carolina what are your other two on
00:32:56.000 the uh what's your other two on the uh on the safe side you think for the republicans you had ohio
00:33:01.280 north carolina what else right relatively safe at least ron johnson in wisconsin yes um and then uh
00:33:07.920 adam laxalt out in uh nevada who appears to be running a very strong campaign and i get the
00:33:12.880 impression that a lot of nevada voters are particularly have particularly soured on the
00:33:17.360 biden administration
00:33:18.320 by the way your holds for the democrats are i mean for us to even be talking that four weeks in
00:33:26.560 advance i never thought and i think smiley she's not maga but she's a she's a great candidate for
00:33:31.760 that state when you mention that it's washington state new hampshire and colorado i mean they when
00:33:39.120 we're even having that discussion that that's what they're clinging on to and they got to run the
00:33:43.120 tables on pennsylvania arizona georgia that gets you to a 51 49 right there correct
00:33:48.240 so you're saying they almost have to draw to an inside straight i would i would particularly as
00:33:54.640 they got they got a tough one in georgia and in pennsylvania oz is closing because oz is hanging
00:34:00.480 crime we you see that it was the issue set that drove so much of that that's why it's in nevada
00:34:05.840 you've got this issue set of inflation and crime and immigration and it's playing across the board so
00:34:10.880 i don't know how they've got headwinds or just not biden but it's the deeper issue set that they
00:34:16.880 banked on abortion the end of democracy january 6th and the ukraine war and and and fauci and
00:34:24.320 none of that played out for them is that how you see it yeah i think most of the issues certainly
00:34:28.880 favor the republicans which is why i think the house is pretty much a lock a done deal um i still
00:34:34.160 think there's gonna be some carryover on the covet stuff too that nobody's talking about that but
00:34:38.160 all the draconian lockdowns the mask mandates which were just insane um the vaccine mandates like
00:34:44.720 taking people out of the military for not getting vaccinated this kind of stuff i think is going to
00:34:48.800 also affect some voters but to go back to the specific races you asked about i mean i don't
00:34:54.080 think that republicans are remotely out of the woods in places like nevada wisconsin even you know jd
00:35:00.240 vance is making it closer than it really ought to be in ohio um i would still expect him to win but
00:35:05.760 who knows and north carolina is certainly not a given but those all look good for republicans um
00:35:11.040 um the uh the race i've been surprised that the the gop has not gone in harder on is arizona
00:35:18.560 because um arizona was four points the right of the country last time around i mean it's it's a
00:35:25.280 conservative leaning swing state um mark kelly is kind of a you know not a particularly exciting
00:35:30.960 candidate who hasn't been there very long and and it's pretty much just rubber stamped uh biden's agenda
00:35:36.080 he's not he's not cinema from the same state um and and yet blake masters has been outraised more
00:35:42.080 than 10 to 1 it's incredible i think that republicans are not sending money to masters um but i agree that
00:35:49.040 oz is uh seems to be picking up ground largely on the basis of uh of pushing crime and immigration and
00:35:55.680 inflation and um and i and i think uh no if if oz if oz closes he's got he's got 83 of the republican vote
00:36:04.240 that delta is the kathy barnett maga crowd and i said hey forget whether you like him or not it's
00:36:08.960 fetterman he's going to close that maga maga's going to turn out like they did for yunkin on game
00:36:14.080 day for oz that's why i feel very good about pennsylvania he's run a in the war room is has been no
00:36:19.360 fan of oz but he's run a very good campaign over the last couple weeks very much focused on what he
00:36:24.880 knows is working before i let you go because we want to have you back the cook report because it's so
00:36:29.760 revered and i spent a lot of time with the cook report numbers what made this give us your
00:36:34.240 analytics if you can your secret sauce how what went into the decoder ring well i just looked at
00:36:40.560 what cook had predicted over the last four federal elections and then in their last predictions and
00:36:46.480 then how those elections actually came out and it was striking that in their toss-up races which
00:36:51.680 you'd expect to go 50 50 or very close to it um in senate races over those years republicans won 72
00:36:59.040 percent of the time i mean almost three out of four and uh similarly the races they said were
00:37:04.480 just leans one way or the other um when they said it was a republican lean which is the slightest margin
00:37:10.320 they get republicans went 11 and 0 in those races and they won by an average of 14 points when they
00:37:16.160 said there was a democratic lean the democrats only won by an average of eight so a six-point difference
00:37:22.640 it just they've got a definite bias built in which i i i mean i don't know i think there's a good
00:37:28.160 chance uh it's a product of wanting to please a certain set of constituents um but it once you
00:37:34.240 sort of adjust for that bias i think they're pretty consistent over time and it could perhaps be a good
00:37:39.200 predictor of where things are headed tell us about real quickly about the uh about the uh american main
00:37:46.240 street initiative what is it given your time at justice under president trump yeah it's a it's an
00:37:53.680 initiative that focuses on the sort of main street issues that got president trump elected in 2016
00:37:59.520 um the things that everyday americans care about that the establishment elites typically don't care
00:38:04.800 about anything from you know immigration and and gas prices to to masks and we've been very active in
00:38:11.680 the mask debate um so we're sort of a we're a small nimble think tank that uh pushes ideas that everyday
00:38:18.800 americans care about and and we believe deeply in our constitution and our uh our foundry our
00:38:24.800 founding principles you say it's it's it it sounds like the issue set that's going to win this the
00:38:29.920 red tsunami is based upon so pretty good thinking there i i think the democrats morning joe and those
00:38:35.440 guys i wish they had somebody like you to help them think through the issues instead of the end of
00:38:39.440 democracy the ukraine war and this other other marginal issues they're just not to the heart of where
00:38:45.040 american life is today uh jeffrey thank you amazing piece over at the american greatness how do people
00:38:50.240 get to your website social media how do people follow you yeah it's americanmainstreet.org is our
00:38:56.800 website just all spelled out americanmainstreet.org thanks steve thank you brother fantastic look
00:39:05.040 forward to having you back i want everybody to go over there and check it out because this is the issue
00:39:09.040 that that has put us in this position that the the politics in the in the in the in the polling is
00:39:14.960 predicated upon that and so that's why you got to meet these organizations institutions groups
00:39:21.520 that are ahead of it let's bring a dr thayer he's always been ahead of it so this is a huge week
00:39:26.720 particularly for people like you have dedicated your life to understanding the ccp and its impact on
00:39:31.200 the chinese people in the greater world uh so this saturday i think this starts this saturday can you
00:39:37.120 explain to people what the 20th party congress is why this of all these other party congresses why
00:39:42.320 this is so monumentally important in world history sir absolutely steve and thanks very much for having
00:39:49.680 me on again uh what's going to be happening uh starting in chinese uh in in beijing uh on sunday
00:39:58.800 actually saturday for us uh will be the the parties the commencement of the party's 20th congress
00:40:05.760 this is an apocal event this is a a major uh event in the history of the chinese communist party and
00:40:12.640 now the history of the world uh given uh china's power uh in international politics what's going to
00:40:20.160 happen is that china's leader xi jinping is going to receive a third term uh and he's going to be again
00:40:29.040 reappointed uh in in uh uh the events of the following days uh to uh be the general secretary of the chinese
00:40:37.680 communist party the chairman of the central military commission which means he's going to be in charge of
00:40:43.520 china's military now that's significant because what xi is doing is he's uh now he's destroyed the rules he's
00:40:52.560 not just bent them but he's remade the rules that dung zhao ping put in place after mao uh dung zhao ping
00:41:00.480 china's leader after mao did not want another mao and he worked deciduously uh to ensure that one of
00:41:07.680 his legacies would be that chinese leaders only served in essence two terms as general as a general
00:41:14.720 secretary of the communist party what xi is doing and he's confident enough and bold but but but hold on
00:41:21.840 but hold it but hold it hold on a second it's not just the terms correct me if i'm wrong because
00:41:27.360 i don't think dung zhao ping which i spent a lot of time in my life studying this guy minutely
00:41:33.040 and i'm not even sure mao she is head of the he's chairman of the communist party
00:41:40.240 he's the head of state and isn't he actually made himself the head of the military the pla
00:41:46.080 and isn't that unique dung zhao ping didn't have that i'm not so sure
00:41:49.840 mao se tong had that isn't isn't more than just duration isn't that every organ of state power
00:41:56.400 reports to him it does indeed and he is a unique leader but it's fundamentally significant because
00:42:04.800 what he's doing is he's setting new rules for china and the chinese communist party the governance of china
00:42:12.080 and it also is significant because it shows his boldness we should expect a very different china
00:42:19.680 after uh next week we should expect a xi jinping which is very forceful in making changes
00:42:27.360 in international politics pushing up against u.s interests uh in the indo-pacific and globally the
00:42:33.920 interest of our allies as well we're going to find an individual who's going to be far more belligerent
00:42:39.840 and far more aggressive uh after next week uh and so that's alarming news uh for uh for americans
00:42:49.120 of course and for stability in international oh whoa whoa how could he get how could he get any more
00:42:54.560 aggressive he has built he's basically has a plan that he's been up up front about about
00:43:00.720 uniting the eurasian landmass and with allies now and the mullahs in iran uh erdogan to a degree
00:43:08.000 um obviously russia he's underwriting the entire russia situation he's also gone to you know made in china
00:43:14.080 2025 which you know the 10 industries they want to dominate including the top five that lead to the
00:43:19.360 convergence and transhumanism and he's been as belligerent i think as you could get out
00:43:24.000 out outside of if you look at unrestricted warfare information war cyber war economic war against
00:43:30.320 the west other than kinetic war in the south china sea or over over uh uh an invasion of taiwan or an
00:43:37.680 air or naval blockade how could this guy get any more aggressive sir he can get a lot more aggressive
00:43:45.440 steve uh in every respect um in india against india against taiwan uh against our interests this is
00:43:54.240 an individual who's going to be more risk accepting than he has been thus far because he's got his
00:44:00.640 domestic house in order he's in charge of the party and the party is in charge of china so he's confident
00:44:07.760 domestically and you think that most of the motivation of chinese leaders has been when you
00:44:15.200 have domestic stability you can aggress outward you're far more confident in bringing about the
00:44:22.000 changes that you want in international politics so steve you're exactly right he's done so much
00:44:27.680 already and he's pushed hard already but the worst from our perspective of course is yet to come
00:44:35.120 so we should expect given that he has his domestic house in order given that he sees an opportunity while
00:44:41.760 biden is in the white house uh to move forcefully uh against um uh his interests uh what he wants to
00:44:51.920 achieve unification in his mind unification of taiwan that is the conquering uh of taiwan um and measures directed
00:45:00.560 against it pushing against japan pushing against the south korea india obviously is a target
00:45:08.880 southeast asia myanmar a far more extensive military presence in africa and what has already been
00:45:17.360 the foundation has already been laid in central america and in south america uh to have a far greater
00:45:23.760 military presence uh there as well so we're on the cusp in the years to come of a tremendous danger
00:45:33.040 particularly because the biden administration has been weak and because our force posture is
00:45:38.720 not what it should be in terms of either our conventional force posture or our nuclear force
00:45:44.720 posture uh in the region to ensure uh that uh aggression uh is going to be deterred so it's a very dangerous
00:45:52.320 time once this guy has his house in order um he's going to be far bolder than he has been thus far
00:45:59.680 so it's a very important week uh next week for all americans the election certainly is important but
00:46:06.880 we need to recognize what's happening in china and why it's going to make all americans lives
00:46:12.400 um it will affect uh the lives of all of us um as a result of the um uh actions which are the chinese
00:46:20.160 communist parties taking so it's a very big yeah we're gonna have dr thayer and bill gertz frank gaffney
00:46:29.440 the committee on the present danger china of which lin chow han and uh dr thayer are part of
00:46:34.640 on every day both in the morning and afternoon because of this uh uh monumental event in uh global
00:46:41.840 history uh for our audience i've known dr thayer now for a couple of years with his writings brilliant
00:46:47.760 writer brilliant um analyst uh you're not an alarmist this is probably the most alarmist i've ever heard
00:46:55.040 you you're not an alarmist in fact tell us about your new book if people want to get a deeper
00:46:59.040 understanding of the ccp and china talk to us about your new book you just just you and lin chow han just
00:47:05.520 came out with right i my co-author lin chow han and i have just finished a book understanding the china
00:47:11.840 threat uh which is available which looks at the causes of the china threat and that's the ideology of
00:47:18.640 the chinese communist party and xi jinping uh in particular as what we say that uh what's happening
00:47:26.640 is there's going to be a car crash um uh steve and like cops investigating a car crash they always look
00:47:33.040 to the driver uh to see whether he's to blame and the driver is xi jinping and there's a lot of reason
00:47:38.640 to be worried about that driver secondly they look at the car well the car is the chinese communist party
00:47:44.560 uh and that's a very dangerous car it's a threat to every other vehicle and pedestrian on the road
00:47:50.880 and then thirdly the road conditions and the road conditions are really bad too because of china's
00:47:56.560 relative increase in power uh the fact that we've let them into their economic our western economic
00:48:02.720 ecosystem so there's lots of reason to be concerned and steve i think that's exactly right
00:48:08.640 that this is rather than i would say a realistic assessment uh of what's coming um uh for u.s for u.s
00:48:17.760 interests and for the american people all of the bad things that china is doing presently is going to
00:48:24.160 get a lot will get a lot worse uh after next week and we should anticipate and see ourselves uh for that uh
00:48:32.480 that confrontation just to wrap up we're going to have you back on obviously in the
00:48:38.320 days ahead you know we had uh gunner uh back dr beck from uh alternative for deutschland talking
00:48:46.160 about germany and you know the german situation particularly the middle companies with china
00:48:51.200 and we i talked after that about our energy policy based on fantasy here's what i think is most disturbing
00:48:59.200 in your writings and your analysis lynn child's others training in present danger
00:49:03.040 whether and but i've been you know banned but you know uh sanctioned by the chinese companies
00:49:08.560 probably think of the only civilian in history to be fully sanctioned so they're a mortal enemy to me
00:49:13.520 into war room but they look at the world as it is they look at the world realistically these are hard
00:49:19.520 tough mean nasty people but they look at the world realistically and in the west you have germany this
00:49:27.440 great nation in the united states and so much is based on fantasy and so much is based on particularly
00:49:32.560 i talk to people about china they have almost no understanding and almost no interest in
00:49:37.760 understanding the biggest problem we have is a elite that lives in a fantasy land and against an
00:49:47.200 existential threat of hard-bitten revolutionary criminals who if you like them or don't like them
00:49:54.560 take the world as it is it makes tough decisions we we got to go dr thayer one more time your social
00:49:59.760 media lynn xiaohan how they get to your ranks in the book we're going to have you back on
00:50:03.760 with your assessment in the run-up every day to the 20th party congress
00:50:08.160 steve thanks very much and bradley fair at getter and and at the truth uh and uh thayerhan1 on twitter
00:50:14.800 thanks very much steve and one more time uh the books on amazon understanding the china threat
00:50:21.200 is on amazon right now people are going to get it it is uh absolutely so look forward to developing
00:50:27.840 these uh uh arguments next week these yes the driver the car the road i like that all bad road
00:50:38.080 conditions all bad dr rarely say hey when thayer's telling that he's not alarmist it's time to sit up
00:50:44.720 and take notice okay we're going to see you tomorrow morning every day is packed non-stop
00:50:50.240 morning and afternoon see you back there at 10 o'clock in the morning in the world