In this episode, we take a deep dive into why China is the world's fastest growing economy and why the US is the worst economy in the history of the world. We cover how China got there, why the U.S. is not, and why we should be worried about it.
00:00:30.000There's nothing about the people. The people have had a belly full of it.
00:00:33.780I know you don't like hearing that. I know you've tried to do everything in the world to stop that, but you're not going to stop it. It's going to happen.
00:00:39.120And where do people like that go to share the big line? Mega Media.
00:00:43.860I wish in my soul, I wish that any of these people had a conscience.
00:00:49.260Ask yourself, what is my task and what is my purpose?
00:00:52.420If that answer is to save my country, this country will be saved.
00:00:59.260War Room. Here's your host, Stephen K. Bannon.
00:01:09.460Good evening, everyone. Dave Brat sitting in with the great Stephen K. Bannon.
00:01:14.040I've been watching the shows all day. Natalie Winters just teed it up.
00:01:18.300We've got a great show for you. We're going to hit gold.
00:01:21.700We're going to hit the Judeo-Christian West. We're going to hit immigration hard.
00:01:26.340I'm going to start off and try to frame the economics.
00:01:30.160Stephen K. Bannon, there's no one better at doing the geopolitics and the economics.
00:01:34.000But I'm going to run through some charts that I think connect all the dots, right?
00:01:39.820A lot of people are taking cheap shots at tariffs and this kind of thing, but they can't connect the whole story.
00:01:45.580So I'm going to try to give you one whole story for the first part of this segment with the data from way back,
00:01:52.380connecting everything from productivity to trade to tariffs to human capital to growth theory to the debt and money, gold, everything.
00:02:02.980And so get out your number two pencil and here we go.
00:02:06.520Denver, if you want to pull up the first chart, let's start off with a real long run.
00:02:31.260The two giant red balls are population weighted, so that's obviously China and India.
00:02:36.280They're only making about $1,000 a year back 40 years ago.
00:02:41.200The U.S. and all those yellow dots to the right are Western European countries, also called the Judeo-Christian West.
00:02:50.700That Judeo-Christian West brought you a lot of nice things like science, freedom, human rights, democracy, only out of the Judeo-Christian West.
00:03:12.400It's saying we're all fallen, we all need help, and we're going to structure government a certain way.
00:03:16.760So I'm not going to get into all that, but I just want to forward, watch those two red balls as we go from 1980 all the way up to today, 2023.
00:05:28.320We have more debt now than we did in World War II without World War II.
00:05:33.120Of course, we have never-ending wars, and Steve covers that brilliantly every day.
00:05:38.960But we've covered that pretty sufficiently, so I want to get to the tariff story coming up next chart, Denver.
00:05:47.900Here's the untold story on the mainstream media, and here's what President Trump is trying to correct, and I'm all with him on this.
00:05:56.480The graph on the left is the U.S. trade deficit at goods only, and, of course, it's blowing up over time.
00:06:05.140It's getting bigger and bigger and bigger as you look at that chart, right?
00:06:07.780That's the size of the deficit, right?
00:06:10.320So we are not producing and exporting.
00:06:13.660We're importing consumer goods and spending on consumer goods.
00:06:18.420The rest of the world is making stuff.
00:06:20.820And traditionally in economics, you say, okay, that's fine.
00:06:24.120You know, we're consuming stuff, and that makes us happy.
00:06:26.420But it turns out that innovation and research and development and capital equipment and all of those things necessary for a successful economy are very correlated with manufacturing.
00:06:39.700And when you have deficits of that size ongoing, and that's where Lighthizer is very good.
00:06:45.380Make sure you go watch the Tucker interview with Robert Lighthizer.
00:07:47.540Well, on the far left graph, there's the Mexican trade deficit of the United States, that Mexico's trade surplus, it says on that graph, same thing.
00:10:01.300I don't think that's really a smart idea on their part, right?
00:10:04.540When trade 60 percent of your economy and only 14 percent of our economy and we're a massive world power, if you're just using common sense, that makes no sense whatsoever.
00:10:17.800I think this is part of President Trump's problem with some of the attitude adjustments around the world.
00:10:22.100We've been paying for the post-World War II liberal world order, protecting the seaways, providing trade, providing military protection for everybody.
00:10:31.220And all we're saying now is we want reciprocal tariffs, right?
00:10:37.500And Lighthizer, by the way, goes through three options there, and they're very sophisticated.
00:10:43.660He covers them because very common sense.
00:10:46.220But he says in order to deal with the tariff and non-tariff barriers, which I'll cover in a sec, you're probably better off just using tariffs until we get this story straightened out.
00:10:59.340And most of these charts are showing you what that means.
00:11:01.180The far right graph is Canada, Canadian exports to the U.S. up there on the top is a percentage of GDP up at 19 percent, right?
00:11:12.280Canadian exports, the stuff they send us, 19 percent of their economy.
00:11:18.340Down at the bottom, you can't even see it's a little blue line.
00:11:21.080That's our export percentage to Canada.
00:11:23.640So if we get into a trade dispute with Canada, again, they're not, whoever's advising their trade folks to be yelling and blustering at us, not too good of advice.
00:11:36.020At the bottom, we're down there at 1.7 percent.
00:11:45.560The next chart is probably one of the most important in this tariff debate.
00:11:49.480In addition to the deficit story, and you'll see arguments out there, pros and cons, but I'm trying to lay out the charts that make sense of this thing.
00:11:59.040Here's free trade for the G20 countries.
00:13:29.500So, dear far left, economists, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, could you please get your economists to explain this to us, America first types, because we're dying to hear it.
00:13:42.100Now, how does all this trade story apply to our lives?
00:13:45.280On the far left, there you see the service industries kicking up.
00:13:51.100We do have high value added, high wage, high salary services, lawyers and doctors and dentists and et cetera, the IT fields, software engineers, et cetera, right?
00:14:04.160But as we've shown on the show numerous times, the distribution of income is stark.
00:14:10.220And so a huge part of the decline of the middle class is that black line industry manufacturing.
00:14:17.140It's going up until, guess when, about 1960 and then down.
00:14:22.120And then on the far right, again, U.S. manufacturing jobs, you can see a massive decline starting at about 2000.
00:14:30.200It started before that, right, with opening up to China, the World Trade Front.
00:14:34.980But the U.S. manufacturing jobs on the far right dropping precipitously in the darker blue chart.
00:14:44.000You can just see them going down, down, down.
00:14:48.040Sorry I'm going fast through this, but I hope you will all get at this and train in the next generation.
00:14:57.980Share these charts with the folks you know and share the war room because this stuff is just crucial.
00:15:03.400I'm going to skim over a little of this, but our manufacturing data also and investment data, this has been lost in translation.
00:15:14.140But the national accounts, the bureaucratic state has been adding everything in the way they calculate what counts as investment.
00:15:23.620This will not shock the war room, but it may shock your neighbors.
00:15:26.660And the average business person, I don't think, knows some of this stuff.
00:15:32.120But the green energy stuff, the green stuff, Biden was proposing that all government spending, all government jobs, they count that as investment now, as capital investment.
00:15:50.280It was all politically driven through friends.
00:15:52.300And you're seeing that the doge is showing that corruption.
00:15:56.080And so I just wanted to put that up there.
00:15:57.900But at the bottom, you see the value of manufacturing.
00:16:02.500China is that, if you look down at that number four and a bunch of numbers after it, that's $4.5 trillion manufacturing output in 2023.
00:16:13.820The U.S. is only at $2.5 trillion in manufacturing output in 2021, I think the last year they had data on that, in that setup.
00:16:27.220And so China's clobbering us in manufacturing, and that goes along with capital investment and research and development that I said earlier has all those nice properties.
00:16:38.140And I'm going to cover that in a minute.
00:16:39.240Next chart, Denver, we've gone over this.
00:16:43.160I'm going to go over this one pretty quick.
00:16:44.720The jobs reports, you know, have the jobs data have just been grossly overestimated during the Biden years.
00:16:53.780So they said 200,000, 250,000 every month.
00:16:57.540If that was the case up at the top, you can read this and cover this later if you want.
00:17:02.420That would approximate 12 million new jobs we should have had during the Biden years, right, if all those job reports were accurate.
00:17:11.500They had an 850,000 job revision, oops, at the Labor Department, et cetera.
00:17:19.580And so the full-time jobs, it turns out, is only 1.5 million over four and a half years.
00:17:25.6601.5 million jobs, new jobs over four and a half years, not 12 million if you would have followed the data.
00:17:32.520And the bottom chart there shows you that 41% of those new jobs were government.
00:17:38.560The next charts I have said are the most important charts.
00:17:42.500I've gone over these a thousand times on the War Room with all of you.
00:17:46.840This is Bob Gordon, Northwestern University.
00:17:50.940Again, I don't know his politics, but I doubt he's a War Room America firster.
00:17:56.380This has been his life's work for 50 years.
00:17:58.220He's well-respected in the macro profession by everybody.
00:18:02.320So these data, and these data are also Brookings.
00:18:04.960So this is not rightwing.com data for you lefties watching the show.
00:18:09.860Here's productivity down for the last 70 years, right?
00:18:12.980If you start in the top left and just go down, you used to have 5, 6, 7.
00:26:50.180We're going to have him on many more times.
00:26:52.280Rod, stay with me after the break for a minute.
00:26:53.940I want you to share your full social media and how people can learn about what you're trying to share, not just for the Baptist church, but for the entire Judeo-Christian West.
00:27:43.500Now he's issuing a dire warning about April 11th, a moment that could define Trump's presidency and your financial future.
00:27:51.040His latest book, Money GPT, exposes how AI is setting the stage for financial chaos, bank runs at lightning speeds, algorithm-driven crashes, and even threats to national security.
00:28:02.600Right now, War Room members get a free copy of Money GPT when they sign up for Strategic Intelligence.
00:28:08.940This is Jim's flagship financial newsletter, Strategic Intelligence.
00:47:21.700If you're in Utah, get on the phones and call him and tell him that you disagree with that and then call your Utah legislator.
00:47:27.800Tell him to override it because they should override it.
00:47:31.160This is the first bill in history that I know of that a majority, a unanimous vote from the party of the governor voted for something and then the governor vetoed it.
00:47:43.320I've never heard of anything like that before.
00:48:03.080And in Texas, we just had a hearing in the Texas state affairs.
00:48:07.660And what this will do, if we pass this legislation, it'll make it possible for individuals to hold gold and silver as money and buy as little as a penny's worth or a million dollars or $10 million.
00:48:18.520Hold it in the form of real gold that's vaulted and protected and defended, and then they can spend it with a debit card.
00:48:26.680All of this is explained in my book, Pirate Money.
00:50:05.100Yeah, actually, it's a debit card, and there's a commercial application called Glint.
00:50:09.600I use Glint, but there are others, Knessus and others, that are developing this.
00:50:13.880Let's just imagine it's 2020, you take your family to dinner, and it costs you $40, and then you put some money in gold so that five years later, you ought to be able to take your family.
00:50:24.780It took 1 50th of an ounce of gold to pay for your dinner in 2020.
00:50:29.100It takes 1 50th of an ounce of gold to pay for your dinner in 2025.
00:50:34.760So that's $60 or 1 50th of an ounce, 3,000 divided by 50.
00:50:40.780If you do it using this commercial application, you've actually invested in gold, and then you have to pay capital gains tax on that sale or when you use it.
00:50:51.820Now, fortunately, your sponsor, Birch Gold, they've got ways you can avoid the taxes, putting it in IRA and so forth like that.
00:50:58.940But for spending money, you're going to have to pay tax.
00:51:02.120If you put a debit card offer together, then you can just go spend it.
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