WarRoom Battleground EP 755: The Lords Of Easy Money Three Years Later
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Summary
In this episode of War Room, I sit down with Christopher Leonard Arthur to discuss his research on the deindustrialization of the United States and how it ties into the defense industrial base and what it means for our national security.
Transcript
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this is the primal scream of a dying regime pray for our enemies because we're going medieval on
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these people here's not got a free shot all these networks lying about the people the people have
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had a belly full of it i know you don't like hearing that i know you try to do everything
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in the world to stop that but you're not going to stop it it's going to happen and where do
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people like that go to share the big line mega media i wish in my soul i wish that any of these
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people had a conscience ask yourself what is my task and what is my purpose if that answer is to
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save my country this country will be saved war room here's your host stephen k band
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welcome it is uh friday 25 april year of the lord 2025 we're still here in kansas city missouri
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love this town and man so lucky christopher leonard arthur one of my favorite all-time favorites
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lords of easy money now you live here just so happens that the hillsdale college conferences
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here you're actually uh you're actually live in the greater kansas city missouri area i do i live
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about 10 minutes from here uh lived in dc for about 10 years but moved back here in 21 couldn't
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wait to get back i couldn't wait to get back yeah i grew up yeah yeah let's talk about a couple
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things today i know you're working doing a lot of research first off our your book we refer to all
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the time i think i've given out a couple hundred copies over the last couple of years everybody
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that's read it is like shocked why nobody knows the story about wall street the lords of easy money
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just an absolute it's a foundational text of the mega movement although i know you're not political
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but you've been doing research and something that's very relevant to the day this whole president
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trump trying to reorganize the world's commercial kind of system peter navarro who was a co-host here
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for years in the interregnum is now back over as the trades are in the manufacturing czar this is about
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the defense industrial base this is about actually is the united states even possible because i talked at
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the world economic forum conference the other day over at semaphore with all the globalists a lot of
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guys pulling me aside said hey it's it's really nice that you guys have these aspirations but the
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united states is so far gone as far as an advanced industrial power it's not it's not going to not just
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be easy it'll be impossible to bring the type of manufacturing that you want back here so talk talk
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to me about the the history of this and your research i will thank you and and thank you for having
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me on um i've been working on a book about the defense industry really hardcore full-time for
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about a year and a half for a couple years now and i'm very concerned about what you just talked about
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about the defense industrial base and the way it would tie into this new era that we're living in
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right now and i guess the way i could put it and and i know you you we have a little time so you
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might indulge me to talk about a little history we have the entire we're going to do this for an
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entire hour okay here's here's the headline uh in my mind right now is is what you're talking about
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um you know a retired army colonel who teaches out at leavenworth now put it really well to me
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that's at the staff college the commander general staff college yeah a lot of smart folks out there
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and and he he said you know all wars are wars of attrition that's what they always turn into and it
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it it tends to turn into a contest between two nations full society conflict and it really can
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kind of turn into a contest between two industrial bases and and when we look at the united states
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right now uh in my mind the most important story of the day right now is obviously the liber
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liberation day tariff regime but but when you back up in in my mind one of the most important stories
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if not the most important stories the deindustrialization the united states over the last 40
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years accelerated uh after china joined the wto in 2001 and and that has grave uh grave consequences
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for our national security and here's how i'd put it you know the the book i'm working on now goes back
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to 1940 and you know this this is a truism we won the world war because of the power of of our
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manufacturing we were the arsenal of democracy arsenal of democracy and and how we exist right
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now today is that we have lost the manufacturing ecosystem that we had in 1940 and going all the
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way back really to 1900 and and what that means when i say ecosystem when you're a manufacturing power
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in the way that china is today you don't just have factories you you've got all these attendant
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people that work around the engineers the the the tool producers the guys and gals who work on the
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manufacturing line all these people trained and thinking about and working in manufacturing all the
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time going back and forth between all these companies the defense industry relied on that that's
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what made it great and so here we are in this position in 2025 where the defense industry but hang
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over here i'm going to take i'm going to go from 1940 so we and it shouldn't be lost anybody it was
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the ramp up in 39 and 40 that got us out of the great depression he tried everything when he first
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took when fdr first came in in 1932 he tried all the different types of industrial policy he had and
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they were throwing and they admit it they were throwing stuff up on the wall and it worked for a while
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right the bank in in particularly in 34 35 36 starts slowing down by uh 38 they're just about
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back to where they were in 32 you know it wasn't 25 unemployment but it was a lot in the and it was the
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ramp up of the industrial power pre-pearl harbor right they kind of saw over the horizon
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what was coming whether they initiated part of it or not is another question but they certainly saw
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what was engulfing the world how so at 19 in 1945 we're untouched our two allies the chinese or
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besides the brits but our chinese chinese and the and the russians are completely eviscerated
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right with they fought the land wars in their territory our other partner the british is essentially
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destroyed you know they're hanging on to the empire but barely and their industrial base has been
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essentially eviscerated we're untouched how do we go from a manufacturing hegemon to cut to the early
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1970s or whatever this decline and why would anybody ever give it up you're a hegemon have total world
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control and can see peace and prosperity you can actually see the sunlit uplands as you're the
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manufacturing thing and it's taking you from the industrial revolution which is really created in
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england you kind of become the big player in it for a hundred years the people who were so smart
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that helped win the war how did the how did the quote unquote the greatest generation when when
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kennedy and and and lyndon johnson the 1960s come in how did essentially the greatest generation as
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leaders allow our greatest power the manufacturing hegemon superpower to just leave i mean
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the multi multi-trillion dollar question and the huge question and a complicated one um this is
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essentially what you're studying how that happened how that happened what it means for us where it
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leaves us today what it meant for us all along the way to become the world superpower at the end of
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world war ii and exactly what you're talking about you know the roosevelt administration was studying
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this stuff in the in the late 30s they were caught by surprise by pearl harbor i i know that whatever's
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going on with that but we we were ready but let me say so so hitler and roosevelt come to power in
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the same year yes 1932 yes the germans have are actually in a worse finance the great depression as
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bad as is the germans are actually in a worse situation they got the hyperinflation they have the
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bread lines i mean they're they're actually in worse shape in one level it seems to me they immediately get
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the joke that if you're going to pull out of something that you've got to go back to the basics
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they start rearming immediately and that rearming starts to take their economy out of and this is why
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kidler gets so so much popular support he's put people who had no hope to work it's not the political
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ideology they don't even understand that that kind of comes later they have jobs they have manufacturing
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jobs all of a sudden people have income young people are put to work roosevelt tries many different
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things in that time but not an arms not not a rearmament not a rearmament program we lagged that
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but then somehow the light bulb goes on right the light bulb goes on because i think they're also
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looking at germany and saying look how those guys are doing it and you can tell they're getting more
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and more dangers because eventually you got to use the weapons you're getting right into it it's it you
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know in the 30s uh fdr was watching germany rearm getting very concerned but there was tremendous
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opposition within the u.s body politic to a the arms industry yes and be the idea of foreign
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interventions yes one of the guys i'm writing about was the senator from uh i think he's from
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iowa or nebraska gerald nye yes he led this commission that was looking into the arms companies
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world war one the nye commission well because i go back more history this is why there were not so
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many huge movies about world war one in this country left a bitter taste yes it was not you
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know world war one the yanks are coming everything like that it left a bitter taste and particularly
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we didn't approve uh the what the world the world league we didn't approve the nations the league of
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nations we wanted nothing to do with it we had gone to europe because we it was a slaughterhouse i
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think we lost 250 000 troops in about 100 days of fighting and people wanted nothing more to do with
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this the particularly the heartland of the country the america first movement the original american
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first which was isolationist has said hey rose uh wilson and these guys sucked us in here after
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he promised us we'd never get involved we got involved we showed we could do it but there was
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very few patriotic movies or waving flags or anything like that people were quite bitter about world war
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one and that rolled into the 1930s it totally did and it's fascinating when you look at it you think
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people were disillusioned by vietnam world war one was way more intense i mean people talking about
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that i tell this all the time just tell us about that we know vietnam because it's so recent and
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media was so much bigger but the disillusionment over that the spanish flu the league of nations
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they it was it was bitter and they didn't want anything more to do with it and i've been reading
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all these senate hearings from the 30s and and the transcripts of that there was a broad movement
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in the u.s as you said based in the heartland literally america first charles lindberg all that
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stuff there was a sentiment that we had gotten drawn into an imperial war you know anti-imperialism
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is woven into the fabric america revolutionary thing we're not an imperial power that's what i think
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back then it was still alive we're living breathing thing particularly in the heartland of this country
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absolutely and pardon me um let me mute this but you had fdr and the people around him saying uh this
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thing's going to come to us okay uh germany's re-arming europe is but that's also we're starting
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to see the first of kind of the globalist right so some with wilson and thing but that exists these
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guys are thinking how these parts interconnect and how the economy get in and you have and they blame
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it now as a fascistic movement it wasn't the america first it wasn't it was very much in the direct
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lineage of kind of jackson and the revolutionary generation and what they warned us about no foreign
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entanglements don't go looking for monsters to slay we got enough to do here it was a huge divide in
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this country huge divide uh you know fdr did not have the political capital to arm or mobilize or send
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troops overseas he fought again at constant fought against it constantly if i could back up for one
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second because one thing i want to talk about i could talk about this for days i can tell i know
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you're in my wheelhouse now i know and and the stuff about them studying the global system in 1940
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is it would blow your mind uh have you i mean you probably know about it but you've heard of isaiah
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bows uh bowman isaiah geographer but i want to get into all that i want the audience but let's let
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this is what the book is going to be about part of it totally oh you're going to blow people's minds
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and but because this history is not known well only to very specific period that stayed the period
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well and and it's so it's so important for today it it shapes our world it shapes our world
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um but to keep it kind of focused on the defense industrial base and the military industrial complex
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look at the world that existed in 1930 in the united states okay let's actually go back to 1914 right
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before world war one we were the manufacturing powerhouse of planet earth we produced 33 percent
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of all manufactured goods in the world our economy was bigger than germany france and britain combined
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okay we had built up that system over about a hundred years so we had this enormous manufacturing power
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at the disposal of the roosevelt administration but tremendous political resistance to using it for war
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people truly were uh embittered did not like weapons companies i mean these debates in the 30s were brutal
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because they said that the war there was recriminations about how we got in here about was it
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global financiers or was it weapons manufacturers for profits people because of the dead because of the
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level of casualties that people were not prepared for because of mustard gas and the horrible techniques
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that were used there were a lot of people particularly people whose sons had been sacrificed that wanted
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to know exactly how this what happened and there was a lot of finger pointing in these commissions
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in committee hearings on the arms manufacturers was this profiteering where did the people get into
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did we get sucked into this thing to make people money exactly you know you've been accused of fiery rhetoric
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at times um that was it was superheated back then so let's get pleased what do you mean superheated
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and what we had to give me an example god man you look at this guy gerald nye um a senator and i'm
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sorry uh you're kind of catching me off guard i'm in the weeds i think he was from nebraska and he was
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accused of everything under the sun and then there was this whole ecosystem of journalists and politicians
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around that because he was trying to get the arm he was trying to go after the arms manufacturers
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to see what happened go after the arms manufacturers and so he's a midwest populace he's one of these
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guys absolutely and when i say fiery i mean all this uh rhetoric around the merchants of death um
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the the financiers i mean this stuff it was ugly this stuff was hot yes let's jump to 1941 fdr has been
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trying to build political support for this program because he sees a real real danger on the horizon
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pearl harbor happens now at that time as i said we are the manufacturing powerhouse of the world
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and fdr consolidates control you know we talk a lot about the new deal
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as uh sort of this new hybrid of government industry partnership or control that stuff was
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actually built on the the first prototypes of government controlled industry was from world war
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one the the war production board okay so fdr gets the entire force of government to essentially it's
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not a hyperbole to say this to take over american industry and this is the world war ii world war
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production we are now in world war ii okay the japanese have bombed pearl harbor americans are on board
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we've been attacked let's fight and and when we think about where we are today what's important
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is that the u.s government was able to harness the manufacturing power of commercial industry they
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took over ford general motors they took over the airplane company took over to tell people how what
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level of this was pretty shocking what level of takeover was it by the federal government i mean
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one of the characters in the book is this guy robert lovett okay pablo who was the book the best and the
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brightest starts the whole first part is love it how revered he is among the establishment and young
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jack kennedy is just president the whole thing's about love it and it flashes back to what he had
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done in world war ii and why he was kind of a dean of the american establishment and he built the air
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force his group built the united states air force we were producing like 7 000 planes a year in early
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1940 by 1945 it was like 50 000 at least my numbers are a little fuzzy forgive me i'm in the weeds but
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when you talk about the level of control i mean the war production board was telling people you can make
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this many screws this many nuts this many bolts you will produce this many planes we will uh you know
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we will regulate your profit margins i mean they had u.s military personnel inside the airplane factories
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it was um it is not an overstatement to say the government took over i mean they told general
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motors and ford hey good morning you're going to make tanks now thank you for the red uh rouge river
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plant and um and and i kind of want to always keep bringing it back today so could i jump okay go ahead
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i've got a question because i've said this a lot in the last couple weeks okay that um
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um right now we have a full embargo against the chinese communist parties coming to the united
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states i think the people going to walmart and costco going to talk to talk to president trump
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and saying hey look in about 90 days we're going to have empty shelves and it's not going to be
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biden's empty shelves on baby formula or things like this this is going to be empty shelves because
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you have a full embargo on with your 145 percent tariffs you have a full embargo and i keep talking
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about we went up the escalatory ladder on the terrace part quickly but because they've blocked
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us from uh from rare earths which is important for magnets from ball bearings from this that for us to
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go up the escalatory ladder would be even more restrictions on chips to cut them off but that
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that would be analogous to cutting off japan in july or august of 1941 of oil which was really the third
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act of the of the pre-war drama that essentially the japanese that drove them to to attack america
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because we america is basically saying we're going to cut you off economically given the fact that
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people tell me steve you can't go up the escalatory ladder for chips as we have no industrial base we
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could not actually thwart the chinese even if we went to war particularly since they are so the
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supply chain they control the supply chain particularly so much military technology
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it's the exact opposite of 1941 where we actually had the entire supply chain here is that accurate
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that is accurate you you know now you're jumping ahead i i think the military industrial complex has
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three phases what we're talking about world war ii cold war up until the end of the cold war
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that's the phase one and we're relying on our manufacturing base to create our military
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industrial power right and then in 1993 i think we have the so-called last supper where the pentagon
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tells all the defense contractors to merge and combine and that this is the war this is the cold
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war berlin wall's fallen the russians the bolsheviks have fallen uh where now it's the end of history
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coordinator fukuyama fukuyama and so this actually happens in the pentagon they caught the last supper they
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actually sit and say guys if you're going to survive you have to consolidate from 12 great companies
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down to a handful yeah and we can talk about that so that initiates phase two which brings us up to uh
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basically february 2023 when putin invades ukraine and thus begins where we are now but where we are
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now to get back to your question the manufacturing might that i just described to you that existed in
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1940 now essentially exists in china mexico vietnam and elsewhere it is not on our shores and the
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defense companies are kind of like these islands of of high-tech sophisticated manufacturing inside the
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united states that live in a in a kind of desert manufacturing or assembly do they actually
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manufacture or they assemble final assembly with parts key parts from other places okay so it's like
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the automotive industry the ford motor doesn't really make any car they don't manufacture cars
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here the ones they do the small percentage they do or the percentage they do they assemble
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from high value added parts made in other places i mean that a great point and i mean like i was down
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in lockheed martin's fort worth complex where they make the f-35 and you're right like the magnets the
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rare earth a lot of stuff that goes into that plane comes from china parts of that plane are produced in
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europe and then assembled but they i i i think i will stand by my thing they do still manufacture
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in the united states they're they're fabricating yeah they're fabricating parts from raw aluminum
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um they're they're putting these planes together the hellfire missile down in orlando florida they're
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putting this stuff along assembly lines but the pinch point to me is you've got these shipbuilding
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facilities out let's say in virginia uh newport beach or norfolk newper news tenneco the the shipbuilding uh
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the ship major shipping that's the only place we can still build a submarine isn't it and they
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maybe groton maybe up in uh groton but it's one of the biggest ship building they do the carriers
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there and everything 100 yeah and they can't find welders they can't find welders they've got to
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train welders up from nothing over a long time and then maybe lose that person whereas when you've got
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the ecosystem in place you've got all these welders uh tool machine operators engineers all these people
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you can draw from that's what the world looked like during world war ii is you know lockheed mart
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or lockheed aircraft had this burbank facility that was surrounded by a douglas aircraft and all these
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other people and they shared a personnel so now we're at this point where we're trying to develop
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military industrial might without that commercial manufacturing base around it to and and it has put
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us in a precarious situation i i think that that's accurate to say it's put us in a precarious situation
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where we're drawing down our munitions and so forth well this is what we did in the first trump term i
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mean we use the military industrial emergency to to i think it was three or one we used a bunch of
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these things to basically steal an aluminum i mean we used the defense production act didn't we
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i mean peter navarro is not sure peter navarro is not shy about about having president trump implement
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this to try to get at least some manufacturing going is he not well he is and as you know navarro is
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talking about that right now yes i mean navarro is still talking about that right now so that's
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in my mind the the the bigger project um let me go back in world war ii we're a hegemon at the end of
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the war untouched how over time because is it just economics they want to get to cheaper labor
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we're the dominant and we have the ecosystem and it's all working society is kind of happy the war is
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over this is you have the baby boom of the 1950s because people have well paying good jobs from
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big companies in the all smaller companies that feed around it whether you're in wichita kansas
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or fort worth texas or in southern california i mean i lived in manhattan beach for years
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and in turn from manhattan beach and towards these places and then out in burbank the entire aircraft
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industry was out there that a lot of that's gone now so what happened to our leadership to allow us to
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basically give up being a hegemon you would seem like you'd want to keep that forever okay as a
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crown jewel enormous question and also i've got a caveat you caught me unexpected this morning i'm
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still working on this i'm not done i got it i've got a lot of work left to do but in i will say okay
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i gotta say that we're gonna go to break here in a second i'll give you when uh so knowing christopher
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and and he knew how i fell in love with the book immediately we spent a lot of time i just wanted to
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understand and understand because he went back to the research he went back to the minutes of the
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of the federal reserve your book is magnificent i mean you lay out such a compelling case just on
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the facts no editorializing at all on the lords of easy money when you read it your head blows up
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and so as i asked chris because he's such a christopher so such a a great researcher and author
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what are you working on next and he says i'm thinking of something on the defense industrial
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complex in the defense department i go man you can't waste your time on that you got you can't
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waste your time on that you got to do something you're a finance specialist there's so many other
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things to do and then as i've thought about it over the last year or so it's absolutely genius because
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now in the heart of this gets to be one of the biggest things we have to talk about which is
00:25:24.920
we have a defense budget it's over trillion dollars and we can't centerpiece i made of the argument
00:25:30.040
last night the converging crises we have of the beginning of the kinetic part of the third world
00:25:35.000
war in this we're shifting more to a hemispheric defense which is a totally different outlook of
00:25:41.720
what we do we don't need big army in the in the eurasian landmass particularly in cencom
00:25:47.160
that we have to turn the defense budget back to what our strategy is where the central pacific
00:25:52.680
becomes like a barrier and you could cut the defense budget hundreds of billions of dollars if you did
00:25:58.680
that in fact i've argued you could cut it 200 billion dollars in the back of an envelope
00:26:02.680
and of course that's meeting with a stony silence in washington dc in the republican party there's as
00:26:10.520
i've actually had people say and i'm the advocate of raising taxes for the for the upper bracket as
00:26:16.520
much as they hate that i've had people i that are close to me going of the ideas they hate the most in
00:26:23.000
the imperial capital you're cutting the defense budget right now is the idea they hate the most because
00:26:28.280
that's really the industrial policy united states that's of the little bit of manufacturing we have
00:26:33.080
in huntsville alabama and all these places in these red states that's what got christopher leonard's
00:26:38.360
with us the author of lord of easy money we're talking about the defense industrial base as you
00:26:42.280
know peter navarre in his four years here is a co-host one of the topics that he had between the first and
00:26:47.080
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personal issue it's a family issue a community issue we're living in unpredictable times supply
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these aren't hypotheticals they're happening you see it here in the war room and we all know it
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order that's jace medical.com promo code bannon get the jace case and do it today china's undertaking
00:31:09.900
the fastest most rapid most expansive peacetime military buildup in the history of the world
00:31:16.440
not in modern history in the history of the world meanwhile the united states has lagged behind for
00:31:21.220
a variety of different reasons you talk about the navy as an example we don't have a shipbuilding
00:31:26.100
industry we have some shipbuilding in the united states but not nearly at the scale the chinese do
00:31:30.260
it's not just that we're not spending the money on it it's we don't have the ability to do it because
00:31:34.420
we allowed the nation to be de-industrialized we allowed the united states to become de-industrialized
00:31:40.000
especially since 1991 with both free trade agreements and the cheating that we allowed when we
00:31:45.120
assumed that allowed china to ascend to the world trade organization and what it has done is
00:31:49.940
de-industrialized this we can't just build ships boeing struggles to build planes we can't make
00:31:55.140
pharmaceuticals we depend on china for 88 of all the active ingredients in most of the pharmaceuticals
00:32:01.520
that we rely on in our country you can go down issue after issue after issue and and and you can see
00:32:06.620
that it's not just that we're not spending money on it it's that we can't do it because the industries
00:32:10.740
that would produce it domestically are long gone they were outsourced they were sent somewhere else
00:32:15.160
not just to china but other places but primarily to china that's dangerous it cannot continue
00:32:19.840
uh christopher leonard is is secretary of state rubio have a deal on your book because right there
00:32:27.140
he's pitching he's pitching industrial defense industrial base we don't have it it's a huge
00:32:31.560
restriction we don't have any shipbuilding we don't have anything what uh is this a topic at top
00:32:37.000
of mind of the u.s government right now this is a topic that is top of mind and i mean i'm telling
00:32:42.720
you i had not seen that rubio clip um navarro is really really keen on this has been from the first
00:32:49.580
administration but i'm telling you down to the kernel level inside the pentagon and this started
00:32:54.220
in 2022 when we uh there is real concern about our ability to keep up um from 2022 why because of the
00:33:04.980
beginning of the ukraine war and understanding you're back in a big ground war on the eurasian
00:33:09.240
landmass exactly and the thing that caught everybody by surprise in ukraine was that we were having a
00:33:15.100
world war ii style uh trench warfare again everybody thought now military conflicts are quick and fast
00:33:21.440
with precision bombing and all the rest of it the lessons from the gulf war all the way up through the
00:33:25.980
war on terror and what we were doing and and listen by the way like i i really try to stay non-political
00:33:32.060
you know i prize my independence you you were totally non-political in the wall street book
00:33:36.140
that's the power of it you're not you don't have a point of view you're laying out a set of facts
00:33:40.220
backed by documents that are so that blow you away because you're not taking a point of view same thing
00:33:45.900
here that's exactly right and so like when we get to the the war in ukraine i'm not going to weigh in
00:33:51.940
on it but what i will say is talking to people in the pentagon there was a concern that we were
00:33:56.040
essentially burning our seed corn if you will sending these munition stocks over there at the same
00:34:01.380
time we had to supply other countries and supply our own military we had a finite you remember the
00:34:06.100
biden administration had to resort to using these cluster bombs yes that they did not want to use
00:34:09.960
because we were burning down these inventories yes and so then you think about and they got grief from
00:34:14.340
the left who had supported the war about the lethality of the cluster bombs and how inhumane they
00:34:19.780
are that's right and uh within the administration itself there was a lot of that uh concern was voiced
00:34:27.360
and the the point is china right now i've read has a manufacturing advantage against us of 200 to 1
00:34:36.460
uh manufacturing power compared to the united states now what do you mean by that that's shocking
00:34:41.180
that is their industrial capacity compared to ours and i'm talking domestic on shore that they have
00:34:48.020
a manufacturing capability that is 200 to 1 and i'm taking this from a really great article in uh american
00:34:55.200
affairs that journal um i think i forget the name of it forgive me but you know when we went to war
00:35:02.160
against japan in world war ii we had a manufacturing advantage of 30 to 1 against japan and a lot of
00:35:07.940
people said it was the japan could not beat us so a lot of people on the japanese i mean inside the
00:35:15.440
japanese staff and particularly the navy a couple of guys had gone to harvard remember a lot of guys were
00:35:21.560
educated here and they were saying what are we doing here if we don't take these guys out totally
00:35:27.040
they're just not going to sit down there there's such a manufacturing superpower eventually because
00:35:32.680
all wars are wars of attrition they'll get us and that's why the the japanese high command felt that
00:35:39.120
they had to have a knockout blow against the foreign devils the beginning to to scare us off i mean
00:35:45.480
that was not lost on people that were smart at the time how big a manufacturing superpower we were then
00:35:50.100
that's exactly right i'm reading a book now about the aerial bombing of japan really great book called
00:35:54.640
reign of ruin and um you know what we had to build to get to the point that we were and we're not
00:36:03.700
weighing in on the morality of any of this war is hell but to get those bombers to japan was an enormous
00:36:09.620
industrial effort i mean those b-29s were burning up in the air they had a huge failure rate
00:36:14.800
and you got to ask yourself right now where's where's the capacity to do that now technology
00:36:22.140
innovation these things matter a lot it's not just raw manufacturing power uh but but these are
00:36:29.700
enormous questions that are definitely top of mind for government they're inside they're inside the
00:36:33.720
look when you talk about aerial bombings one of the obsessions here uh in fact the uh is it glasner
00:36:40.060
gladwell gladwell wrote the kind of i thought ripped from the pages of the war room how obsessed
00:36:45.200
we are with 12 o'clock high about focus on command and duty but the precision daylight bombing was that
00:36:52.420
you couldn't get it done at night there's mathematical formulas of lift capacity you send over amount of
00:36:57.960
bombs you got to drop to take down an industrial power and it wasn't getting done because guys were
00:37:02.960
waving off and just natural human they were afraid and in the formations and it was really the whiz kids and
00:37:09.780
and and the math it was the mathematics and you see this and was a fog of war that great documentary of
00:37:16.260
earl morris on mcnamara the mathematical precision that a lot of the guys there were may were then shifted
00:37:21.760
to the pacific because they were going to firebomb and they firebombed i mean as bad as the nuclear weapons
00:37:29.340
were as far as destructive power the firebombing of kyoto and tokyo probably had more inhumane if you have to
00:37:37.300
call it like that destructive power than dropping nuclear weapons that's exactly right um you know more
00:37:43.840
people might have died in those fire bombings uh i think maybe more people died at hiroshima and
00:37:48.800
nagasaki but i think the thing about the atomic bomb was it was this matter of uh i don't want to use
00:37:54.220
the word efficiency but it was this thing we can do this with one bomb but we had been in that's
00:37:59.200
oppenheimer i mean you have to detach yourself when i said but it was about efficiency it was a
00:38:03.180
this all this is what happened in vietnam later later it got too mathematical the human element got
00:38:08.920
taken out of it those guys thought as an industrial power they fought an industrial war
00:38:13.700
the the russian the russian the red army would have never won if our production capacity
00:38:19.220
had not been able to give them the arms and the and the and the munitions they needed to take on the
00:38:25.160
vermark now they lost what i don't know 20 million people in that effort but it gets down to modern
00:38:31.120
warfare at least in the 20th century the most barbaric century we've ever had
00:38:35.080
was a combination of advanced mathematics and calculus coupled with technology and science
00:38:41.120
on the on the art of of the the the thing that's cruelest in the world war and that's why
00:38:47.040
those lessons you know i keep saying we got to learn how to beat our plow our swords in the plowshares
00:38:52.820
which we have not done yet could i share a thought uh when you talk about that i've studied the rise
00:39:00.800
of american air power from the 30s up through nagasaki and it started as a theory a small group
00:39:08.140
of people gladwell wrote about this a little bit but i think the thing we need to remember is that
00:39:13.080
when you have a technology at hand there's a logic to war and it takes over and that's exactly what we
00:39:19.720
saw in world war ii which is that by the end curtis lemay was immolating cities in in a way that
00:39:26.740
um a lot of the military brass was completely against in the 30s and and i'm thinking about
00:39:31.780
this right now with ai you know we've got this uh tool on the shelf and i've met i've met a lot of
00:39:39.940
folks who are good people yes like patriotic thoughtful people developing this technology
00:39:47.460
whom i can relate with but what i'm saying is that once the technology is on the shelf the logic of war
00:39:53.580
is going to mandate it yes i want to go back to the lemay thing because they had done such a good
00:39:59.100
job and remember the story's kind of there was another general was kind of about lemay in 12 o'clock
00:40:03.340
high that the general had to lead and was going to lead the bombings because guys were afraid and
00:40:07.900
would break up from the formation and the formation not the individual the formation was the thing that
00:40:13.560
you had to keep even if it's your roommate or your best friend you got to let the plane go and keep
00:40:16.740
the formation the formation is the objective to get the bombs over mathematically when lemay went back
00:40:23.620
because remember lemay's group didn't know anything about an atomic bomb they knew nothing their mission
00:40:29.380
was to take down industrial japan and and make sure we didn't have to land four million men and lose a
00:40:36.420
million men in the process and so they had a mandate that's why island hop to get you know saipan was
00:40:41.780
going to be a major air base right to get closer there's a story i think it's in a book called uh
00:40:47.860
take torch to the enemy it's a book right after the war like in the late 40s early 50s and there's a
00:40:54.740
scene in there where they're calculating um that the staff and lemay is known as a taskmaster and
00:41:01.780
they're tackling the now the bombing of kyoto and tokyo at low levels because they're not being that
00:41:08.180
accurate high he wants to go in at treetop level basically with napalm which is a new thing because
00:41:13.700
the ball and they're invented at harvard invented harvard hold it and uh technology finding a purpose
00:41:20.020
right for war and um and they're doing calculations because the japanese had taken the factories
00:41:26.740
and put them into the rice huts the town is basically made of wood right but they got the ball bearing
00:41:32.020
plants again or the manufacturing little man the manufacturing ecosystem in this because guys are
00:41:37.300
saying we can't do this tokyo is a civilian population said no they have this and they're
00:41:41.220
doing calculations and and lemay saying you can't go in here i want it down high and there's some guy
00:41:46.740
on the staff that's doing some math and goes look um you know if we do that and the napalm works
00:41:53.460
you're going to have tornadic activity and this will actually create firestorms what's a fire
00:41:59.300
so firestorm it could burn down the entire you could lose you could kill two million people
00:42:03.620
and they go hmm interesting what's that calculation again what's the what do we have to do for the
00:42:08.660
tornadic activity and i think it was mentioned at the time hey we got to win this because this is
00:42:15.220
the kind of thing maybe they get guys for work crimes for later on so we got to win this war and make
00:42:20.180
sure that we're running the thing they had even on the staffs it just wasn't guys outside in the 30s
00:42:27.460
even on the staffs they were doing it there were some questions about what are we doing here right
00:42:33.060
what is the logic of this we understand we have an overall thing we got to destroy this industrial
00:42:37.540
base we have to do it because we don't want to have to invade because then the japanese will be
00:42:41.780
destroyed will be destroyed because this is getting more and more bitter more islands we take you know
00:42:48.340
iwo jima it's just more and more bitter the air war is more bitter the japanese people but in the
00:42:53.860
calculation of the the logic of war taking over what science and technology has given you is a
00:43:00.900
perfect example and that is absolutely artificial intelligence today that's why i'm the big i'm a
00:43:05.780
luddite i'm forming we're working a group of a lot of progressives and and people on the right that
00:43:11.060
are coming together and saying there's more if you look at the four oligarchs in this country that run
00:43:19.060
artificial intelligence uh you have to have there's more regulation for uh a korean young korean uh
00:43:28.340
girl to open one of these nail salons in washington dc than there is on artificial intelligence and the
00:43:35.060
destruct potential destructive power of artificial intelligence could be far worse than nuclear weapons
00:43:39.940
i'll i'll i'll leave it at that i mean powerful technology will ultimately um become a subject
00:43:50.980
to the mandates of war once the shooting starts it has a logic of its own and this stuff must be thought
00:43:56.660
about very carefully from a lot of points of view um you know i could try to tackle the question of why
00:44:03.300
we gave away our manufacturing might can you do that why did we do that because this is kind of why
00:44:08.180
we're in the shape we're in today this is my best assessment at this point still working on it but
00:44:13.060
you know first of all when we talked about that manufacturing powerhouse that existed in the 40s
00:44:17.060
that was built over 100 years using tariffs with a lot of other tariffs were part of the president
00:44:23.620
trump mckinley and his favorite group back there in the late 19th century and i am not in any american
00:44:28.260
plant but it's hamilton it's it's it's it's lincoln that whole throughput part of the not just civil
00:44:35.700
war but part of the tension in the country has always been the non-tariff guys versus the
00:44:40.500
tariff and protectionist guys but you got to look at who we were at the time the tariffs were a wall
00:44:44.740
to keep out uh britain and other developed powers from dumping on us we needed to build up our own
00:44:50.580
industries so we built a wall around the economy and it worked and we had this huge thing there's
00:44:57.780
obviously the super pivotal moment when we win world war ii and we are a superpower like no other
00:45:05.860
that has ever existed in the history of the world greater than the british greater than anything greater
00:45:10.820
world's greatest hegemon greater than all of it and the people running the country which was a
00:45:15.860
surprisingly small group of people and they all went to harvard they all went to yale and they all came
00:45:20.980
from this world and uh they looked at the globe like a map but of course it wasn't just like a small
00:45:29.060
group of people here's here's what i'm saying there was this tectonic shift where we realize we're not
00:45:36.020
the colony anymore trying to stoke our own we are the empire now we are the hegemon we like free trade
00:45:43.380
because now we're the global banking capital of the planet earth the dollar becomes the reserve currency
00:45:50.020
we create the imf we create the breton woods accord all of these things and so we started saying okay
00:45:56.820
now we're in the catbird seat and we're essentially running the global economy we are the peak the
00:46:03.780
pinnacle of it and it's therefore in our interests to be engaged more in running the entire system than
00:46:12.820
than being the workshop of the system and so that's kind of the fundamental mentality shift that starts to
00:46:18.020
happen and then you see it accelerate through the 1970s because we kind of hit this moment of economic
00:46:24.100
crisis you know uh there's less profitability for us corporations and that's when the offshoring really
00:46:31.300
starts because companies are searching to boost profit margins and all the rest of it and the other
00:46:37.700
nations are getting built up through our largesse by the way you go you go let's go back to into the
00:46:43.220
60s because you have vietnam you we do have an industrial base that's supplying vietnam a lot
00:46:48.180
of people accuse people today that the vietnam war was driven by the profitability of the arms just
00:46:53.300
the same types of things they argued in world war one you have lyndon johnson passes the great society
00:46:58.340
you have the guns and butter we're not although we're a manufacturing superpower when nixon comes in
00:47:04.340
kind of the crisis of the arab oil embargo the dollar we get off the gold standard you have the arab
00:47:09.140
oil embargo all of a sudden america goes from this whatever he just says from the post-war era of
00:47:15.620
like we're the we're the most biggest power in the world we're losing in vietnam with all these advanced
00:47:20.740
weapons the cities are on fire we're not we have runaway inflation we have gas lines around the country
00:47:27.620
how did that all go when it's still at the time we still are the manufacturing superpower we're about to
00:47:33.380
lose that the 70s we're about to farm that out but how do we have that crisis of confidence that all
00:47:39.940
these things happen and this is what i'm saying today we're right in and out in a series of we're
00:47:45.540
going to have a convergence of many crises that's going to last years and no easy decisions because
00:47:51.860
the easy decisions are decades ago it's going to be back to like the 60s and 70s when we had a similar
00:47:57.620
thing and we kind of abandoned core things like being a manufacturing superpower we walked away from it
00:48:02.980
jeez yes i mean these are huge huge forces you're talking about and also when we talk about
00:48:10.660
converging crises not to get back to the fed but as you know our interest payments on debt right now
00:48:17.220
cost more than the entire military budget but it's 1.4 tree and a lot more so that is gross yeah
00:48:23.780
that's everything that's that's what i said like that is the central that the still the fed and the
00:48:29.700
economy and and and and no growth rate and all that no manufacturing base no high value added jobs
00:48:36.100
on top of the debt that's why i just figured out in this conversation leonard
00:48:40.980
you're the guy that's actually looked at the two central parts of the crisis now for the last 10
00:48:46.500
years of your life you're probably the only individual you're not probably the only individual
00:48:50.180
that's done this you've looked at the financial fiasco and if you read your book you're shocked that
00:48:56.100
it could happen like this right what the fed was argue the time and now you're into the defense what
00:49:02.020
you're seeing what happened to the manufacturing base well the thing is as a reporter you want to
00:49:06.900
look at what matters and and it's not too difficult to pick out really powerful institutions and parts
00:49:12.820
of our economy start looking at how do things work it's pretty simple i guess at the end of the day and
00:49:18.020
i think that the defense industry is at the core of american power particularly since world war ii
00:49:23.540
when we became a globe-spanning truly hegemonic power this thing's been wrapped up with that from
00:49:29.540
the get-go i i guess to get back to the crisis of the 70s and this and the offshoring that began at
00:49:37.060
that time we felt we could trade away the manufacturing base and that we would benefit
00:49:43.300
from the trade that would result from the financialization that we're the world's bank right
00:49:48.340
and then it accelerates it accelerates into the 90s and it particularly accelerates during the 2000s
00:49:54.420
after china joins wto in 2001 with the china shock i mean that's when it really gathers speed and what
00:50:01.140
i'm saying is that now the policies are being reevaluated i think it's fair to say we're like wait a
00:50:07.860
minute let me let me tell you this i was just at one of the world's largest arms trade shows it was wild
00:50:15.220
man you had people from saudi arabia israel pakistan the russians the chinese they were all there
00:50:21.620
and i'm stating the obvious but it's fair to say we're entering a new geopolitical era
00:50:26.980
of blocks blocs and like a divided world where we're facing this kind of
00:50:36.020
i i don't want to use the word conflict but a dynamic we haven't faced i'm telling you in in
00:50:41.940
decades this is the heart of my speech last night the the the converging crises and what's going to
00:50:46.580
happen like i say the early kinetic place of the of the second of the third world war if president
00:50:52.500
trump doesn't try to get or doesn't get peace if you look at from 1939 in poland to 1941 the invasion
00:50:59.220
of uh russia and operation barbarossa by the by the germans uh the casualties there are nothing compared
00:51:07.060
to ukraine and gaza we got to go we're going to get a minute left you're amazing hey thanks for the
00:51:11.700
time i can't believe the the the the the heart of the issues you're getting to are just so incredible
00:51:17.380
for today i look forward to having you back and uh amazing research can't wait for the the book to
00:51:22.100
come out lords of easy money if you want to understand the financial situation we're in it is
00:51:28.420
absolutely a primer you read that you will be gobsmacked one of the concerns i have is it regardless of
00:51:35.300
politics you have president trump but that second and third tier of leadership right as a nation
00:51:42.020
because you look at the the the giant we're standing on shoulders of giants from back in
00:51:45.940
the 19th century in the early 20th century that had a view and had a vision and had america both
00:51:53.060
prosperous and peaceful at one time okay uh 10 a.m tomorrow morning we'll be here we'll be live
00:51:58.580
from rome president will be there for the funeral of uh bergolia and uh we'll be live in rome with
00:52:05.140
ben harwell see you tomorrow morning attending what if he had the brightest mind in the war room
00:52:11.140
delivering critical financial research every month steve bannon here war room listeners know
00:52:16.980
jim records i love this guy he's our wise man a former cia pentagon and white house advisor
00:52:23.060
with an unmatched grasp of geopolitics and capital markets jim predicted trump's electoral college victory
00:52:29.220
exactly 312 to 226 down to the actual number itself now he's issuing a dire warning about april 11th a
00:52:39.620
moment that could define trump's presidency in your financial future his latest book money gpt exposes
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how ai is setting the stage for financial chaos bank runs at lightning speeds algorithm driven crashes
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and even threats to national security right now war room members get a free copy of money gpt when
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they sign up for strategic intelligence this is jim's flagship financial newsletter strategic
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intelligence i read it you should read it time is running out go to rickardswarroom.com that's all
00:53:12.020
one word rickardswarroom records with an s go now and claim your free book that's rickardswarroom.com
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do it today hey war room hope you're all doing well my name is trevor comstock i'm one of the
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